Indusind Media & Communications Limited
CoDfidential - Not for Circulation
PKFSridhar& Santhanam LLP
Valuation of Broadband division of Indusind Media & Communications Limited
31^* July 2015
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QC 003990S(S2DOOie
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^nfMsntS- Not C^ul^on
PKFSridhar& Santhanam LLP
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Local Perspective, Global Focus
Executive Summary PKF Sridhar &
Santhanam LLP
• Valuation of the Broadband division of IMCL as on 31®̂ July'15 was done by PKF Sridhar & Santhanam LLP
• Key objective was to get an independent valuation of IMCL's broadband division for the purpose of slump sale to a New Company based on the business plan which reflects the most optimistic assumptions for arriving at valuation conclusions
• The New Company would be entitled to commercially exploit perpetually the existing customer base and supply chain network without any further payment to IMCL for such rights in future
• Valuation analysis was done without a detailed due diligence based on full, frank and complete disclosure by IMCL of all matters that a qualified commercial investor would consider as affecting the valuation of Broadband division of IMCL
Key Valuation Drivers:
1. Existing CATV customer base of 9 mio including 2 Mlo 2. 10,000 Km of hybrid fibre optic cable network for cost subscribers in digital mode effective expansion of broadband connectivity
3. Brand visibility from over 300 channels through IN Digital 4. Best-in-ciass technology partners to build the required network broadband capability frameworks
5. Voice over Internet Protocol to be launched soon for IMCL subscribers and for commercial establishments
Conclusion:
6. Greater thrust on broadband under Digital India Programme of Government of India
Based on the analysis of valuation under various methods , we are of the opinion that Equity Value under the DCF method Is the most appropriate valuation of Broadband division of Indusind Media and Communications Ltd and accordingly valuation of its Broadband division is in the range of R s . 2,469 Million to R s . 2,678 Million.
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I
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PKF Sridhar & Santhanam LLP
VALUATION CONTEXT
Local Perspective, Global Focus
Valuation Context 1/2 PKF Sridhar &
Santhanam LLP
Indusind Media and Communications Ltd (IMCL), a subsidiary of Hinduja Ventures Ltd., is one of India's largest integrated media companies in India
It has a pan - India presence with a reach of around 9 million subscribers including 2 million in digital mode in 32 locations and offers over 300 channels in the digital mode (IN Digital) and about 90 TV channels in the analogue mode (IN Cablenet).
The company offers the services under various heads
- In Cablenet - Analog Cable
n Digital - Digital Cable
n2Cable - Internet to Cable
n Phone - VOIP/ Internet Telephony
The Broadband business comprising of In2 cable and In Phone caters to around 30,000 customers
The company is considering a slump sale of its broadband division to a new company in line with its strategic plan
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Valuation Context 2/2 PKF Sridhar &
Santhanam LLP
Fttm NO
We understand that the purchaser of the business would be entitled to commercially exploit perpetually
- entire customer base of IMCL
-en t i re Franchisee and cable TV operator network of IMCL
-en t i re technical network infrastructure of IMCL
We are also informed that since IMCL would not seek any further future payment for such rights, the projected business plan also has been drawn up on most optimistic assumptions to reflect the best possible exploitation of these rights
In light of this scenario, IMCL requires an independent valuation of the Broad band division, reflecting the most optimistic assumptions to reflect the best possible exploitation of these rights, so that the full value of the division is captured in the valuation
IMCL has engaged PKF Sridhar & Santhanam LLP to provide such an independent valuation of its Broadband division for the purpose of slump sale to a New company
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Confi ^ n t i 9 - ^ - Not for Circulation
PKF Sridhar & Background of Broadband division of IMCL 1/2 santhanam LLP
• In2cable is the broadband / internet division of IMCL and is a "Category A" (all India) ISP licence holder
• Presently, it has a staff strength of 100 employees
• IMCL is a major broadband service provider in 12 cities and is enabling its network to offer several broadband services to its subscriber base
• It offers high speed Internet services to residential, corporate and SME customers.
• For corporate and SME customers IMCL offers dedicated leased line to enable them to manage their data transmission requirements
• In the Initial years, the growth of broadband subscriber base was not at par with the industry growth due to lack of focused attention to its broadband segment
• The company is currently implementing a broadband business plan in cooperation with external consultants and Intel as its technical partner to build a comprehensive services framework that can deliver leading edge voice, video, data and multimedia content services over any broadband or IP-centric network
• The broadband capability of cable systems presents opportunities for cable networks to facilitate the convergence of CATV, broadband data, telephony, and multimedia access
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Conftc ot for Circiitalion
P K F Sridhar & Background of Broadband division of IMCL 2/2 santhanam LLP
The Strategic plan involves sale of the Broadband division to a new company (Newco) under a different ownership with a separate CEO managing the business in order to bring the required focus to grow this business
Newco will get full rights to utilize the existing customer base as well the supply chain network of IMCL and offer its services to these customer using the existing franchisees and cable TV operators network
Newco will also get rights to use the existing network to offer its services. However, it has to make the additional investments required for broad band enablement of the last mile
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Sources of Information and Limitation to Scope of our Exercise 1/2
' Ciwiilaabn
PKF Sridhar & Santhanam LLP
Our mandate is to carry out a valuation analysis without a detailed due diligence based on full, frank and complete disclosure by IMCL of all matters that a qualified commercial investor would consider as affecting the valuation of Broadband division of IMCL
Information provided by Indusind Media & Communications Limited (IMCL)
• Financial Information - Historical unaudited Financial Statements for the last 3 years for Broadband
division of IMCL (FY13, FY14 and FY15) ~ Projected Business plan ( FY16 to FY20) that is to be adopted for the broad
band busines
• Consistent with the objectives of the valuation context the projected business plan is the most optimistic business plan in order to fully exploit the existing investment in the network and supply chain - t h e business plan has not been independently appraised by ourselves or any
external agency - W e r e we required to make such an appraisal, additional information could
come to our knowledge which may affect the valuation analysis and our current opinion on the valuation persented in this report
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^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^nf^ntS-^ot f9' C^ttl^oii
Sources of Information and Limitation to PKFSridhar&
Scope of our Exercise 2/2 santhanam LLP
• External Source
- Publicly available data on Peer companies
• Our conclusions are based on such information being complete and accurate in all material aspects and we have not carried out an audit of such information
• Our exercise should not be construed as:
- Due Diligence study on affairs of IMCL or its Broadband division
-Aud i t in accordance with Standards on Auditing
• Consequently we do not express an opinion on the financial statements used in the report
• Full, Frank and complete disclosure by IMCL of keymatters that a qualified commercial investor would consider affecting the valuation is given in next page
Finn NO. <"\ri03990S/S2000iei
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Lonfi - Not for CtrcLilalion
Key aspects disclosures by IMCL relied upon PKFSridhar&
by us 1/2 Santhanam LLP
Does the Technical network infrastructure have any limitations to offer broadband services that are consistent with the services provided by the competition and would enable the business to reach it envisaged market position ?
Has the required capital expenditure to technically put the Broadband division in a position to offer the services envisaged been provided in the Project business plan provided for the valuation ?
Post Slump sale .will the Newco need to make any payment for use of network , supply chain or any other item connected thereto Is IMCL likely to charge any fees ?
Does the Broadband division have full complement of staff for all the functions covered by the business cycle, Viz- Sales, Purchases, production, Inventory and Finance and their costs are factored in the business plan ?
Disclosure
No limitations considering current market offerings by competition
Yes. Our technical team has appraised this and confirmed the capital expenditure factored in the business plan
No. Post slump sale , no further payment for use of network , supply chain will be made by Newco. IMCL will not charge additional fee to Newco.
Yes, We have also factored in the cost of the proposed CEO of the business in the business plan
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Confi 9ent^- 9c ot for CiiCLilation
Flrni No 003990S/S20001fl
Key aspects disclosures by IMCL relied upon PKFSridhar&
by us 2/2 Santhanam LLP
Disclosure
Nil.
There are no dependencies
No
None
None
None. No such transactions
required in future
No contingent liabilities to be transferred to Broadband division. No other impediments
None
5 Is the broadband division fully Independent to execute all the activities required for its business cycles? List out dependencies if any
6 Is the cost structure of the company likely to change post the completion of the proposed transaction?
7 Any Legal disputes or other Litigation and its impact on the Broadband division proposed to be sold ?
8 Any regulatory restrictions that are currently affecting the performance of the Broad band division or would potentially affect the future performance ?
9 Intercompany and Group Transactions and any other related party transactions included in the business plan
10 Any Contingent Liabilities and other impediments in running the Broadband division during the entire business plan period
11 Any other disclosure that a qualified commercial investor would consider affecting the valuation
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Conmeni^- Not for Ciiciil^on
PKF Sridhar & Santhanam LLP
OVERVIEW OF THE COMPANY
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PKF Sridhar & About Company santhanam LLP
• Indusind Media & Communications Ltd. (IMCL), a subsidiary of Hinduja Ventures Ltd is one of India's largest integrated media companies
• It has a pan-India presence with a reach of around 9 million subscribers in 32 locations
• It is the pioneer in multi system operators
• It has plans for rapid digitalisation and expansion in the next two years with an expectation to reach over two million digital homes and over ten million analogue homes
• The company also engages in leasing out unused fibre to telcos, infrastructure providers, ISPs, and competitors
Brands/ Services of IMCL
IN Cablenet-Analogue Cable
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IN Digital-Digital Cable
IN2Cable-Internet on Cable
IN Phone-VOIP/ Internet Telephone
Local Perspective, Giobal Focus
^ . ^ . PKF Sridhar & Business Overview santhanam LLP
Financial Performance- Broadband division
•10%
j 13%
i
13% i i
4% 1 •1%
i i
4%
FY 13 FY 14 FY15
• T e d Revenue - ^ G r o s s Profit Margin
i f r P A T Margin EBIDTA Margin
^om^^^ www.pkfindia.in
74 ?
68
Total Broadband Subscriber base as on July 2015 34,363 in 12 Cities
98 0.3%.
29,455 86%
I Direct Point I Franchisee i Point i Leaseline
4,810 14%
Direct Point
Franchisee Point
Leaseline
ARPU/Month- Rs. 2013-14 2014-1
541
163 8594
504
154 7098
Local Perspective, Global Focus
Historical Financials - Balance Sheet 9)i}f9enlM-9ot 9r C^UIMDO
PKF Sridhar & Santhanam LLP
in Rs Million
PARTICULARS
EQUITY AND LIABILITIES Current Liabilities Trade payables Other current liabilities
FY13A
25 154
Total 179 Assets Non-current Assets Net Fixed assets Other non-current assets Current Assets Trade receivables Cash and cash equivalents Other current assets Miscellaneous Expenditure Total
17 1
1 10
3 147 179
FY14A
28 139 167
20 1
1 5 4
136 167
33 128 161
17 1
1 6 3
133 161
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Historical Financials - Profit & Loss ^iif9ent^-9ot /OT c9UI^OII ^
PKF Sridhar & Santhanam LLP
In Rs Million
Operational Income 73 79 83
Other Income 1 1 1
Total Revenue 74 80 84
Operating Expenses 42 44 49
Employee Expenses 29 22 22
Administrative Expenses 1 2 4
Total Expenses 72 67 75
EBITDA 2 13 9
Depreciation 2 2 5
Interest - - 1
Profit Before Tax ( F B I ) (0) 10 4
Provision for Tax
Profit After Tax (PAT ) (0.42) 10 4
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Key Ratios
0 3
5 o L_
o TO
I s u . TO 0) Q. o
o TO
YoY Growth Revenue
Expense
EBIDTA
Year to March Gross Margin
EBIDTA Margin
PBT Margin
PAT Margin
Year to March Current Ratio
Debtors Turnover Ratio
Creditors Turnover Ratio
Working Capital Growth
Fixed Asset Turnover Ratio
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9)nf9en(^ ~9ot /OT c9:iil^on
PKF Sridhar & Santhanam LLP
FY13A
43%
2%
- 1 %
- 1 %
FY13A
0.08
8%
-7%
738%
FY14A
45%
16%
13%
13%
FY14A
0.06
103.32
2.52
-8%
4.08
FY15A 5%
12%
•31%
FY15A
4 1 %
1 1 %
4%
4%
FY15A
0.06
118.95
2.44
-3%
4.34
Local Perspective, Global Focus
^ ^ ^ 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 ^fif^f^iff^ ^9ot 9r c9:(il;^oii
PKF Sridhar & Financial Analysis santhanam LLP
• IMCL began to focus on Broad band division in FY2013 by increasing its revenue through increase in subscriber base and trimming its employee cost and other expenses
• EBIDTA margin in FY 15 is reduced due to significant increase in License Fees in FY 15
• IMCL made investments in to its network in FY 2013 and FY 2014
• IMCL PAT and PBT margin has steadied in FY14 . However PBT margin decreased in FY 15 due to increase in depreciation in proportionate to additions in Fixed Assets mainly Internet equipments.
• The benefit of these investment is likely to be seen in future in terms of increased growth in customers and revenues therefrom
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Industry Overview 9)nf9entWl ~9ot 9t c9:ul^ot}
PKF Sridhar & Santhanam LLP
Total Internet Subscribers as on Dec 2014 was 267.39 Million (Source: TRAI )
Demand for Internet and related services in India Is growing at a fast pace. However, as per National Telecom Policy 2012 against a target for achieving 175 million broadband connections by 2017 only about 61 million have been achieved by 2014.
The broadband In India has already generated 9 million direct and indirect jobs. 1 % addition to the broadband penetration can add $2.7 billion to the GDP of the country in the year 2015
Cable players in India have started giving broadband services a lot of serious attention in fiscal 2015 due to low potentials for ARPUs from the conventional cable carriage and subscription business
Drivers of the Broadband Services:
Socio- economic:
Digital classrooms,Telemedicine,Electronic Banking, Entertainment, e -Governance
Commercial:
Video and web collaboration, Video on demand, Video surveillance. Smart - cities, cars, homes, grids,e-Commerce
Technological:
Cloud Computing,Smart devices,Optic Fibre Networks / 4G,M2M,Digitization of content, Social Networking
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Internet Subscription base in India as of Dec 2014-267.39 Mio
Total Broadband subscriber base- 85.68 Mlo as on Dec 2014
Wired
I Fixed Wireless
Mobile Wireless
Local Perspective, Global Focus
. . A ^ ^, . P K F Sridhar & Industry Outlook santhanam LLP
" A 10 % increase in broadband penetration increases the per capita GDP by 1.38% in the
developing countries" World Bank
<d-7
!j -i^t r im No.
Broadband is seen as a backbone for the India's ambitious 'Digital India' initiative and Rs 7000- crore mega programme to build 100 smart cities besides many ongoing E-Governance Projects as well as robust eCommerce opportunity.
"India is set for a " digital revolution" as it implements a $18 billion program to expand high speed Internet access and offer government services online" Ravi Shankar Prasad , Minister of Communications and IT
Of the 4.7 Billion internet users in 2025, 700 million will be from India. {Source'. Microsoft Report Cyberspace 2025- Today's decisions, Tomorrow's Terrain - June 2014 )
According to the Telecom Regulatory Authority of India (TRAI), of India's 250 million households, only approximately 15 million, or six percent, have a wired broadband connection.
The Department of Telecom (DoT) is exploring the idea of using the services of cable operators and multiple system operators to provide broadband connectivity to customers . The idea is that cable TV provides last mile connectivity and this can be used to provide broadband connectivity by tweaking technology. {Source : The Hindu - March 2015 )
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» • • • 9)i)f9ei}{M~9ot /OT emulation
PKF Sridhar & Santhanam LLP
OVERVIEW OF BUSINESS PLAN
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Projected Financials - Balance Sheet PKF Sridhar & Santhanam LLP
in Rs Million
EQUITY AND LIABILITIES Reserves and Surplus
Current Liabilities
Trade payables
Other current liabilities
Total
Assets Non-current Assets Net Fixed assets
Other non-current assets
Current Assets Trade receivables
Inventory
Cash and cash equivalents
Other current assets
Miscellaneous Expenditure Total
wwvy.pkfindia.in
FY18
27
148
105
123 175 228
32
1
6
1
5
5
125
104
1
32
1
4
13
73 175 228
53
191
83 327
163
1
58
1
81
23
327
426
380
5 811
226
1
121
1
414
48
811
HE
962
543
5 1510
326
1
173
1 941
68
1510
Local Perspective, Global Focus
Projected Financials - Profit & Loss PKF Sridhar & Santhanam LLP
FY16i Ffl^E
in Rs Million
FYiZO
Revenue 151 384 712 1,456 2,080
Total Revenue 151 384 712 1,456 2,080
Operating Expenses 88 214 381 803 1,147
Direct Employee Cost 39 77 125 118 168
Financial costs 1 2 3 3 4
Depreciation 6 7 9 11 14
Other expenses 8 15 25 23 33
Total Expenses 141 314 543 958 1,366
Profit before tax 10 70 169 498 714
Provision for Tax 2 17 42 125 179
Profit After Tax 7 52 127 374 536
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Key Ratios
(/) ™ ™ ™ ™ .2 Revenue 81% TO a: Expense §0%
1 EBIDTA 850̂
2 PBT 160%
PAT 95%
"TO Gross Margin 42%
.2 o EBIDTA Margin no/^
2 re PBT Margin 5%
Q PAT Margin 5%
Return on Cap Employed 0%
.2 Current Ratio o.09
(2 Debtors Turnover Ratio 43.94
5 Creditors Turnover Ratio 4 43
Q Working Capital Growth 4%
Fixed Asset Turnover ratio 5 Q4
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• • • PKF Sridhar &
Santhanam LLP
154%
127%
384%
629%
629%
44%
20%
18%
14%
FY17E
0%
0.22
20.06
4.64
12%
5.60
85%
74%
130%
143%
143%
FY18E
47%
25%
24%
18%
FY18E
682%
0.60
15.59
3.58
5%
5.30
105%
78%
183%
195%
195%
FY19E
45%
35%
34%
26%
FY19E
214%
1.52
16.12
3.30
12%
7.45
#Y20E
43%
43%
43%
43%
43%
FY20E
45%
35%
34%
26%
3 3 105%
2.16
14.12
2.92
42%
7.52
Local Perspective, Global Focus
Growth Plans for Broadband Division PKF Sridhar & Santhanam LLP
IMCL has plans to increase the Broadband subscriber base from 30,000 to 2,50,000 in FY 2020 by exploring its current Digital customer base of 2 million subscribers .
Number of Subscribers
250000
200000
150000
100000
237500
50000 29700
30 0
78400 H
39400 I I 29700 ^ • H
;oJ| 6 0 J 1 6 0 J 3123
166250 •
121875 H H
, jj s y j 12JI FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
Corporate Subscribers • Retail Subscribers
ARPU (Rs.)/ Month
10000
8000
6000
4000
2000
0
140 175 200 200
750( 750( 800( 850(
200
850( 850(
FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 F-Y2018 FY2019 FY2020
ARPU (Corporate) • ARPU (Retail - Direct)
ARPU (Retail - Indirect)
Retail Subscr ibers
300%
80%
60%
40%
20%
0% \Xr^ K^yW U]^
FY201S FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 f Y2019 [•Y202D
% of Direct - Retail % of Indirect - Retai
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Comments on Business plan
We note that the business plan is to be made with most optimistic assumptions In the context of current valuation
Business plan involves - Increasing customer base from current 30,000 to 250,000
- Increasing ARPU/month from Rs.8,140 to Rs.9,420 by 2020
- Resulting in increased revenues from Rs. 83.57 Mio to Rs.2.080 Mio by 2020
~ Increase in EBITDA from 1 1 % to 35% by 2020
IMCL's assumptions are driven by following considerations - Current customer base of 2,000,000 and about 700,000 will be added by Dec 2015
- Other than this. IMCL has another 7 Million customers for analog
Only 10% of existing customer base are required to be converted Into broad band subscribers
Lack of focus post Nov 2012 in the broadband business and the cable TV ecosystem due to introduction and streamlining of the digitization mandate of the Government
With a separate CEO in an independent entity, the legacy constraints of the existing business would also not be there
- Further the plan has been developed using the most optimistic assumptions
Even considering the above, the plan is very aggressive and in view of this we have
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placed a 10% additional risk while considering the discount rate
Local Perspective, Global Focus
SCOT Analysis
STRENGTHS Continuous growth plan with cable digitalization Pan India presence across 37 locations with 9 million subscribers Leveraging of existing customer base and infrastructure for broadband expansion 'One stop shop' to customers leading to lower subscription cost
OPPORTUNITIES Low broadband penetration in the country
and greater demand for internet connectivity from consumers Expand services to commercial establishment Greater thrust on Broadband under the Digital India Programme of the Government
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PKF Sridhar & Santhanam LLP
CONCERNS Establishing in newer locations already having set top box installed households. Resistance from Local Cable operator in giving up ownership of customers Preparedness and adaptation to rapidly changing technology to deliver application that bring tangible value to peoples life Up gradation of network to cater to the ever increasing data traffic
THREATS • Established telecom companies expanding
its broadband subscriber base • Exposure to cyber-crime and host of other
security risk due to lack of appropriate security In the product, solutions and services
Local Perspective, Global Focus
, . PKF Sridhar & Valuation Drivers santhanam l l p
Rich history of two decades in Cable TV network and Broadband service
One of the largest multi system operators providing services of Analogue and Digital cable, Internet, VlOP/ Internet Telephony
Analogue cable under the Brand name - IN Cablenet is considered as India's largest and the world's tenth largest cable TV service provider. Currently, 8.5 million cable connected TV homes across India receive their television programmes from In Cablenet
The key differentiator is the 10,000 km of hybrid fibre optic cable network of which 2,000 km is of underground fibre which will enable IMCL to have cost effective expansion of broadband business
Brand visibility from over 300 channels through IN Digital networks, Including radio / audio channels, which is currently the maximum number of channels provided on any distribution platform in India. This will help IMCL in the future growth plan
Broadband and Internet services provided through cable modems and Ethernet with plans for massive growth with cable digitalisation aided by new national broadband policy of the Government and TRAI
IMCL has engaged the best-in-class technology partners to build the required broadband capability frameworks.
Voice over Internet Protocol will be launched soon for IMCL subscribers and for commercial establishments
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PKF Sridhar & Santhanam LLP
VALUATION APPROACH
Local Perspective, Global Focus
Our Standard Valuation Approach 't)mei)i^ -Not ^ C^ulmoii
PKF Sridhar & Santhanam LLP
• We generally will apply one or nnore valuation approaches, analysing principal characteristics of businesses relevant to value and particular considerations required in the valuation to arrive at valuation objective.
• Three broad valuation approaches are as explained below:
- I n c o m e A p p r o a c h : it considers the income that an asset will generate over its remaining useful life. Appropriate yield or discount rate is applied to the projected income stream to arrive at a capital value. Two commonly used methods under Income Approach are Capitalization Method and Discounted C a s h Flow Method
- D i r e c t M a r k e t C o m p a r i s o n A p p r o a c h : It is a comparative approach that compares the subject business to similar businesses, business ownership interests and securities which that have been exchanged in the market. The most common sources of data points are public stock markets, acquisition market and prior transactions in the subject business. Adjustments may be made to render similar business and subject business more comparable.
- C o s t A p p r o a c h : It considers the basic economic principle that a buyer will pay no more for an asset than the cost to obtain an asset of equal quality Appropriate adjustments are to be made considering undue time, inconvenience, risk and other factors involved towards the cost of modern equivalent.
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Overview of Capitalization Method
• Average profits are capitalised at a proper rate of return, as applicable to the company and the industry.
• The Capitalisation approach can be structured in the following five steps, which are depicted in the graph opposite:
- Determine adjustments for extraordinary items, abnormal losses, taxation, appropriate weights to profits etc
- Decide on the blend of past and future years to be considered
- Determining the maintainable profits based on a blend of past and future financials, evaluating what is best reflective of the potential of the company;
- Determination of the capitalisation rate, which represents a rate of return that considers the relative risk of the Company;
- Determine the value of the business based on the maintainable profits as arrived at the appropriate capitalisation rate determined.
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S)timent^ - Not mr C^ulMon
PKF Sridhar & Santhanam LLP
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Overview of DCF
• The estimate of the future net returns to investors would be the theoretically most appropriate approach for company valuations. As these returns are difficult to determine, proxies are needed. The most widely used proxies are the so called "free cash flows", which are calculated as the gross cash flows generated by the operating activities of the company less the needed investments in the net working capital and the capital expenditures ("capex").
• The DCF approach can be structured in the following four steps, which are depicted in the graph opposite:
- Estimation / validation of unlevered future free cash flows for a certain discrete projection period (In the example 2 0 1 6 - 2 0 ) ;
- Determination of the weighted average cost of capital ('AA/ACCT which represents a rate of return that considers the relative risk of the Company achieving its cash flows and the time value of money;
- Estimation of the terminal value of free cash flows subsequent to the discrete projection period by taking into consideration the full investment cycle of the Company;
- Discounting both the future free cash flows of the discrete projection period as well as the terminal value to the valuation date to determine the operating firm value.
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^t)fiaenti9~ Not for emulation PKF Sridhar &
Santhanam LLP
2016E
Optrjrting firm va*u#
2017E - 2020E terminal
Wetghtod awrage txistof capital (WACO)
.J
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Overview of Market Multiple Method PKF Sridhar & Santhanam LLP
The market comparable approach determines the market value of a company by applying metrics from publicly traded companies ("peers group") in similar lines of business.
The conditions and prospects of companies in similar lines of business depend on common factors such as overall demand for their products and services. An analysis of the market multiples of companies engaged in similar businesses yields insights into investor perceptions and, therefore, the value of the subject business.
Key Financial Indicators viz: Revenue EBITDA
Book Value P/E
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Analysis of publicly traded comparable companies.
Multiples based on current market capitalization of
peers group.
Enterprise/ Equity Value of the Company
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Overview of Cost Method Confh
PKF Sridhar & Santhanam LLP
• Cost Method could be a variant of
- Book value method (Historical cost)
- Current Cost method or a combination of these
• In the case of historical cost method, all assets are taken at their respective historical costs.
- Value of goodwiti is ascertained and added to such historical cost of assets.
• Under Current cost method
- Tangible assets - current replacement price is taken
- Investment - valued at current market prices, unquoted investments are taken at cost, unless MP determined
- Inventory - current market prices
- Debtors - net collection / realizable amount
- Intangibles - current acquisition prices (Patents, TM. CP)
• Cost method is generally not the preferred method in a going concern valuation but is surely an useful tool for valuation in specific circumstances
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Choosing the right valuation method PKF Sridhar & Santhanam LLP
:F method Capitalization Multiples Cost Method method method
Growth • Stable • Stable Nascent phase / returns business projects new Standard Peer group with high projects business companies capex Cash flow model available involvement projections Short to • No are Medium significant available term intangibles Unique outlook involved business model Long term outlook
Note: These are general criteria in selecting the right valuation model to use and on a case to case basis, judgement is applied by us in choosing the appropriate model for valuation
Drivers in choosing the method of valuation
• Information
- Availability
- Reliability
• Characteristics
- Marketability
- Current cash flow status
- Uniqueness of assets
• Investment
- Time horizon
- Market views
• Legal requirements
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Co/iment^ - Not tor cWul^ot)
PKF Sridhar & Santhanam LLP
VALUATION
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Valuation Approach PKF Sridhar & Santhanam LLP
• Income Approach: Considered ~ IMCL is the pioneer and one of the largest multi system operators in the country with two decades of presence
in Cable TV network.
- Being into Cable TV and Broadband service, IMCL has plans for rapid digitalisation and expansion, considering the historical financials for valuation may not provide a fair value of business as industry outlook is on uptick
- However, DCF method is more appropriate which considers the future cash flow potential of the company as per current business plan
• Direct Market Comparison: Considered for Comparison - No Cable and Broadband service company ( except Hathway Cable) is listed on Indian stock exchange,
however telecom companies with revenue from internet/ broadband services are listed on NSE/ BSE,
- The identified peer companies have different business products mix and experience a different market dynamics .
- Broadband subscription is 10% of the total subscriber base of the peer companies. EV has been proportionately adjusted for arriving at EV/ Subscriber Multiple ( except Hathway Cable )
- Though these companies provide proxies for valuation indices, they are not directly comparable to IMCLs business.
- As there are wide variations in the business mix of each company, Market Multiple Method is considered only to draw comparison and support the valuation done using DCF method
- Thus with limitations on appropriate valuation indices available it is not possible to rely on Market Multiple Method to derive fair valuation of the business
• Cost Approach: Not Considered - Business is not asset driven and asset base is limited to internet equipment only
Cost approach will not showcase a fair benchmark for IMCL
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Key Assumptions PKF Sridhar &
Santhanam LLP
.1 v-'_ -"^JiJ^.^-^'
Valuation Object
Scenario
Valuation Date
Tax Rate
Terminal Growth Rate
Maintenance Capital
Risk adjustment
llliquidity Discount
100% Broadband Slump sale of Broadband division of IMCL division
Stand alone and For the purpose of this valuation we have assumed that IMCL will be able to Going concern independently continue its business activities in future
31^^ July 2015 Valuation date of our analysis is 31^* July 2015
32.45% Effective Corporate Tax rate in India
3% Considering the revenue and cash flow growth envisaged in the projections and industry outlook, a 3% growth rate is considered for perpetuity
20% Considering average life of assets to be 5 years, a 20% maintenance capital is considered as percentage of tangible asset
10% Considering IMCL's already existing subscriber base to be explored for broadband connectivity , comprehensive plan to expand the division by engaging the best-in-class technology partners and encouraging Government Policy , risk adjustment of 10% is applied to the market premium
28.58% Considering the company is not listed ,an additional itiiquidity discount for unlisted company of 28.58% is considered, on cost of equity
Cost of Equity
Cost of Debt
Debt: Equity
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21.24% Cost of Equity is built up considering market return for last 10 years and re-levered beta of the only peer available for comparison
9.46% Interest rate payable by the company
0.63 Capital Structure of the company considering debt and market value of equity of peer companies on valuation date
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Build upof WACC PKF Sridhar &
Santhanam LLP
Cost of Equity
Risk Free Rate 7.84%
Re-!evered Beta' 0.88
Risk Adjustment 10%
Market Risk Premium*
8.52%
^ 100% +
+
Cost of Equity after adjustments
21.24%
liliquidity Discount 28.58% J
Company cost of debt 14%
Tax Rate 32.45%
Cost of Debt
After Tax cost of debt
9.46%
Equity in % of total X Capital
61%
Net Debt % of ^ total Capital
39%
- Calculated considering returns on SNP CNX Index for last lOyears minus risk free rate of government bond - Calculated considering median beta of Peer Companies as on recent date to valuation
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Valuation Under DCF Method PKF Sridhar & Santhanam LLP
FY16
PAT
Add: Depreciation
52
7
127
9
374
11
In Rs. Million
20BTermlna • 536
14
536
14 CFFO 8 13 59 136 385 550 550 Capex (1) 20 80 68 75 113 94
inc. WC 5 (6) (20) (8) (23) (90) (90) Cash Flow 4 (1) (1) 77 333 527 546 Terminal Value 4,112 Total 4 (1) (1) 77 333 527 4,112 Discounting Rate 16.67% Growth Rate 3.00% Discount Period 0.50 1.50 2.50 3.50 4.50 Discounting Factor 1.00 0.93 0.79 0.68 0.58 0.50 0.50 Cash Flow Present Value 4 (1) (1) 52 194 263 2,055
EV 2,563
Add: Cash in Hand & Bank A/c as on Valuation Date 6
Equity Value 2.569
IMCL' Equity value based on the forecasted free cash flows for FY16 to FY 20 and the terminal value of cash flows, is estimated at R s . 2,569 Million
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Valuation Range based on Sensitivity Analysis
lOtl
PKF Sridhar & Santhanam LLP
Change in Terminal Value
2,569 -0,25% -0.13% 0.00% 0.13% 0.25%
-0.25% 2,589 2,610 2,632 2,655 2,678
-0.13% 2,558 2,579 2,600 2,622 2,645
0.00% 2,528 2,548 2,569 2,591 2,613
0.13% 2,498 2,518 2,539 2,560 2,581
0.25% 2,469 2,489 2,509 2,529 2,550
c c o u —
IMCL' Equity value based on the forecasted free cash flows for FY16 to FY20 and the terminal value of cash flows is estimated at R s . 2,569 Million
Sensitivity analysis examining the value impacts of incremental changes in the cost of capital (+/- 0.125%) and the growth rate (+/- 0.125%) is depicted above. Derived value range for 100% of IMCL Equity Value from R s . 2,469 Million to R s . 2,678 Million
Our conclusion is based on the prevailing market conditions and on the main assumption that the current business plan will not change in the future (same structure and strategy, no significant changes in the legal and the market environments, no departure of key staff etc.)
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„ , ^ , . PKF Sridhar & valuation conclusion santha nam LLP
Based on the analysis of valuation under various methods and the rationale as enumerated in the Annexures, we are of the opinion that Equity Value under the DCF method is the most appropriate valuation of Broadband division of Indusind Media and Communications Ltd and accordtngly valuation of its Broadband division is in the range of R s . 2,469 Million to R s . 2,678 Million.
The results of this valuation should not be used for any purpose beyond Sept ,2015
Respectfully Submitted,
-.3
PKF Sridhar & Santhanam LLP
Chartered Accountants
Mumbai, 31^* July 2015
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Selection of Peer Companies f9' C^til^on
PKF Sridhar & Santhanam LLP
Figs in Million
Bharti Airtei Mar-15 937,607 2,125,745 335,693 19.19 0.45 6.33X 11,077X
Hathway Cable and Datacom
Mar-15 19,170 48,771 3,453 11.80 0.26 14.12X 4.133X
M T N L IVlar-14 154,928 150,887 111,155 1.13 11.53 1.36X 13,353X
Reliance Mar-15 220,980 447,832 71,890 7.11 2.24 6.23X 6,299X Communications
Mar-15 220,980 447,832 71,890 6,299X
Tata TeleService Mar-15 29.390 82,661 6,002 1.05 4.38 13.77X 7,872X Maharashtra
29.390 7,872X
Average 8.36X 8,547X
Median 6.33X 7,872X
Suhscriher
. x £ /
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Comparison under Multiples Methods PKF Sridhar &
Santhanam LLP
Valuation: rV/EBITDA Multiple In Rs.
Million Particulars FY20E
Median x EBITDA 732
EV/EBITA Multiple 6.33 Risk Adjustment 10% Unlisted Company Discount 29%
Adjusted EV/EBITDA Multiple 4.07
Equity Value 2,980 PV of Equity Valuation 1,489
Sensitivity High by 5% 1562 Low by 5% 1413
V/aluation: EV/Subscriber Multiple In Rs.
Million Particulars FY20E
Median x Subscriber 0.25
EV/Subs Multiple Risk Adjustment Unlisted Company Discount
7,872 10% 29%
Adjusted EV/Subscriber Multiple 5,060
Equity Value 1,265| PV of Equity Valuation 632
663 600
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Recent Transaction Atria Convergence Technologies (ACT) is one of the country's leading high-speed broadband service providers headquartered in Bangalore It has been a pioneer in developing the ultra speed and high bandwidth broadband nnarket in South India under its flagship brand "ACT Fibrenet " It has one million subscribers across southern states of Karnataka, Tamil Nadu, Andhra Pradesh and Telangana and is adding over 20,000 new subscribers every month
• As per TRAI's latest report, ACT is the fourth largest wired broadband service provider in India, with industry-leading growth rates On 2"^ July 15 there was a Press announcement that Private equity major TA Associates and Argan (Mauritius) have signed a definitive agreement to invest approximately USD 500 Million (Rs 3,000 crores) to acquire shares of ACT
• TA will spend about $200 million (Rs 1,300 crore) while its co-investors, Argan, will bring in the rest of the money to buy a little over 90% stake in ACT This will be TA's single largest investment deals in India Dhiraj Poddar, Co-Head of India at TA Associates Advisory Pvt. Ltd., who will join ACT's Board of Directors at the close of the investment believes that in the coming years, India will see a significant increase in wired broadband penetration and foresees continued growth of ACT with a proven record of execution, attractive business model and highly capable management team EV/ subscriber works out to Rs 30,000
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• r 9
PKF Sridhar & Santhanam LLP
India Bus ness
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Source : Times of India- Business - July 2015
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Valuation Range and Rationale PKF Sridhar & Santhanam LLP
2,469 2,678
Selected Range
EV/ Subscriber Multiple
EV/EBITDA Multiple
EV/Subscriber Multiple (Hathway)
EV/ EBITDA Multiple (Hathway)
DCF
500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 Valuation Range-In Rs. Million
4000
Rationale for selection of DCF Method: 1. Peer Companies are mainly Telecom Companies (except Hath\A/ay),their business mix and growth potential are different. 2. Wireless voice and data significantly drives the valuation of telecom companies 3. IMCL's broadband division has a low base giving it an opportunity to have a high growth period in the next couple of
years with due management focus in the business 4. Valuation using Hathway EV/EBITDA multiple is significantly higher reflecting Hathway's maturing broadband business 5. Further the recent transaction in ACT, which is purely broadband business is at a significantly higher valuation
pnsidering all these and the objective of valuation being one derived from business plan reflecting the most optimistic umption we are of the opinion that DCF is the right choice.
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EV/Subscriber Scale CoiifiaentiW- Not foi Cucuiauon
PKF Sridhar & Santhanam LLP
Hathway 4,133
Reliance Com Tata Tele 6,299 7,872
Bharati Airtei 11,077
MTNL 13,353
Figs in Rs ACT
30,000
T
4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 8,000 9,000 10,000 11,000 12,000 13,000
14,000 30,000
10,276 IMCL-
Broadband
EV/Subscriber value of major telecom companies is ranging from Rs 4,133 to Rs 13,353
ARPU level for broadband is significantly higher than voice base revenue of telecom companies
Hathway's EV/ subscriber value is comparatively lower as the subscriber base of 11.8 Mio includes the CATV (Analogue and digital) subscribers with 450 thousand broadband subscribers
ACT is at a much higher value (Rs.30,000 per subscriber) as EV/subscriber is based on broadband subscribers only.
In IMCL - Broad band divisions's case, EV per subscriber is based on 250,000 subscribers to be added by 2020 while ACT's valuation is based on its existing subscribers. Rs.30,000 at the end of 5 years if discounted is about Rs. 15.000/-
Considering the above in our view, IMCL- Broadband division's derived EV/subscriber value of Rs 10,276 is appropriately positioned in the above scale
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