http://www.iaeme.com/IJCIET/index.asp 2098 [email protected]
International Journal of Civil Engineering and Technology (IJCIET)
Volume 9, Issue 10, October 2018, pp. 2098–2111, Article ID: IJCIET_09_10_207
Available online at http://www.iaeme.com/ijciet/issues.asp?JType=IJCIET&VType=9&IType=10
ISSN Print: 0976-6308 and ISSN Online: 0976-6316
© IAEME Publication Scopus Indexed
VARIABILITY OF SPATIO-TEMPORAL SEA
SURFACE TEMPERATURE IN NORTHERN
WATERS OF CENTRAL JAVA, INDONESIA Dwi Haryo Ismunarti
Doctoral Program of Water Resources Management, Faculty of Fisheries and Marine
Science, UNDIP Semarang Indonesia
Muhammad Zainuri and Denny Nugroho Sugianto
Department Oceanography, Faculty of Fisheries and Marine Science,
UNDIP Semarang Indonesia
Center for Coastal Disaster Mitigation and Rehabilitation Studies in
UNDIP Semarang Indonesia
Suradi W Saputra
Faculty of Fisheries and Marine Science, UNDIP Semarang Indonesia.
ABSTRACT
The Empirical Orthogonal Function (EOF) methodis widely used in various
studies for many different disciplines, and one application of this method is for
oceanography research. EOF is used to obtain the dominant mode of the data and to
evolve in time and space. This method can reduce a large number of the variable from
original data to a few variables without substantially reducing the original
information of data. The purpose of this study is to examine the EOF method for
reducing sea surface temperature (SST) data. Subsequently, by analyzing the
dominant pattern of temporal and spatial of SST. The analysis of SST was conducted
on The North Waters of Central Java for 180 months ( January 2003 – December
2017). This analysis produced several principal components that were called EOF
mode. For each EOF, there is a variable which is contained by two information the
pixel data and the eigenvector. The pixel data described spatial variability and
eigenvector which presented the time series variability. Basic selection of EOF mode
depends on the percentage of eigenvalues. The percentage of contribution will give
the selection rules of EOF mode that retains most of the information from the original
data. This analysis resulted from the three dominant modes with the largest variances
in several EOF. The modes explained 30.6 %, 27.1% and 18.9% of the total variance
for the first, second and third mode, respectively. Therefore, the first mode
represented the majority data.
Dwi Haryo Ismunarti, Muhammad Zainuri, Denny Nugroho Sugianto and Suradi W Saputra
http://www.iaeme.com/IJCIET/index.asp 2099 [email protected]
Keywords: Sea Surface Temperature (SST), the north waters of Central Java,
Empirical Orthogonal Function.
Cite this Article: Dwi Haryo Ismunarti, Muhammad Zainuri, Denny Nugroho Sugianto
and Suradi W Saputra, Variability of Spatio-Temporal Sea Surface Temperature in
Northern Waters of Central Java, Indonesia. International Journal of Civil
Engineering and Technology, 9(10), 2018, pp. 2098–2111.
http://www.iaeme.com/IJCIET/issues.asp?JType=IJCIET&VType=9&IType=10
1. INTRODUCTION
The northern waters of Central Java are located in the Java Sea and the length of the coastline
is 540.27 km [1]. The western part is connected to the South China Sea through the Karimata
Strait, the eastern part is connected to the Flores Sea. The northern part is connected to the
Sulawesi Sea to the Pacific Ocean through the Makassar Strait. The southern part is
connected to the Indian Ocean through the Sunda Strait [2]. The characteristics of the water
mass and the climate of Java Sea are directly affected by two monsoon winds [2], [3], [4] and
[5]. Northwest monsoon winds, which take place from September to February. Southeast
monsoon winds, which take place from March to August, affect the distribution patterns of
oceanographic parameters such as sea surface temperature (SST). Temperature is the physical
parameters determining the characteristics of waters. Temperature influences the processes
that occur in the oceans like beach upwelling, advection, medium-scale dynamic features
such as fronts and eddies etc[6]. Temperature is also an essential component to control the
sustainability of organism like development, activity and mobility, breeding, and others [7]
and [4]. In Indonesian waters, temperature plays an important role in the atmospheric process,
both in particular area and greater area. A slight change in temperature in Indonesia might
result in a significant effect to precipitation pattern in the Indo-Pacific area [2].
The research on the variability of SST in Indonesia has been conducted by [2], [4], [5] and
[8]. Low SST is recorded in May-August when dry season occurs. The trend of SST has been
increased since the 1970s. Lombok Strait is identified as the coldest waters with SST lower
than 26 °C. A research conducted by [9] and [10] in the Java Sea shows that low SST has
been recorded during the dry season and rainy season. The monthly rise of SPL was 0.0019 0C. The water is divided into three areas, namely east, middle, and west. In the dry season,
transition 1 season and transition 2seasons, SST in east areas are lower than the others, while
in the rainy season, SST is remained the same in 3 areas of Java sea.
The aim of the research was to observe the spatiotemporal variability of SST in the
northern waters of Central Java. Data of SST are presented in a three-dimensional matrix.
Two dimensions represent spatial variables, namely longitude (x) and latitude (y), while the
other represents variable of time (t). Empirical Orthogonal Function (EOF) is a method to
describe the dynamics of the variability of SST in space and time (spatiotemporal).
EOF is used as a tool to investigate physical variability in the fields of geophysics,
atmospheric science, oceanography, and climate. EOF is part of the statistical tool for
exploratory data analysis, that is, to reduce dimensions [11]. EOF is also known as Principal
Component Analysis (PCA) [12]. EOF analysis is aimed to transform p variables, which
correlate to k number of components that is orthogonal and independent [11] [12].
Variability of Spatio-Temporal Sea Surface Temperature in Northern Waters of Central Java,
Indonesia
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2. MATERIAL AND ANALYSIS DATA
2.1. Data of Sea Surface Temperature (SST)
The research was based on data of SST and data of surface current at 5m depth located at the
coordinate 108.8 to 111.7 East Longitude and -5.5 to -7.0 South Latitude. Data of SST are the
imagery data of Aqua MODIS Level-3 Satellite having spatial resolution measured at 0.050 x
0.050
and temporal resolution at the 8-day period. The data period was 180 months, from
January 2003 to December 2017. Data were obtained from the Pacific Islands Fisheries
Science Center (PIFSC) National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) - the
USA through the website (http://oceanocolorgsfc.nasa.gov). Analysis of temporal variations
of SST was performed using descriptive statistics and time series statistical analysis [15].
Analysis of spatial variations of SST was performed using GIS [9]. Analysis of SST
dynamics based on spatiotemporal analysis was performed using EOF [11] and [16].
2.2. Data of Surface Current
Data of surface current are the result of INDESO (Infrastructure Development of Space
Oceanography) oceanography modeling having a temporal resolution at the daily period and
within the time period from January 2003 – December 2017. The data of surface current were
analyzed using current rose and scatter plot method by season to determine dominant
directions and speed as stated in [17].
2.3. Empirical Orthogonal Function of SST
Assumed that X is the matrix of time series data SST in n×p order, where n represents
row/pixel and p times and rank (X) = r. If one conditions the data matrix X by centering each
column p, then
(1)
is the covariance matrix of the variables of time. Singular value decomposition (SVD)
towards the covariance matrix of C is factoring into form
. (2)
Sis ap×p diagonal matrix. The elements of S are non-negative real numbers on the
diagonal and are called the singular/eigenvalues. Thus,
S = diag( 1,..., p). (3)
The matrix Vis the ortho normal matrix of m × m order whose columns are the
eigenvectors of the matrix S[18], [19],[20].
3. RESULT
3.1. Temporal Variations of SST
The average of SST for 15 years, from January 2003 to December 2017, was recorded as
29.70oC, ranging between 24.31
oC and 34.88
oC. Annually, water temperature reaches two
highest temperature points and two lowest temperature points. The average temperature by
season is presented in Table 1. Low temperature is recorded in June, July, and August when
the dry season occurs and in December, January, and February or during the rainy season.
The average temperature during the dry season is 29.19oC and the average temperature during
the rainy season is 29.64oC. The high temperature is recorded in March, April, and Mayor
transitional 1 season and September, October, and November or transitional 2seasons. The
Dwi Haryo Ismunarti, Muhammad Zainuri, Denny Nugroho Sugianto and Suradi W Saputra
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average temperature during the transitional 1 season is 30.140C while in transitional 2seasons,
the average temperature is recorded at 29.81oC.
In general, SST had experienced an increase from 2003 to 2017. The monthly raise of
temperature was 0.00262 oC or 0.5
oC annualy as shown in Figure 1. From 2003 to 2017, the
increase of SST was linear and can be described using the following equation:
Y = 29.459 + 0.00262 X, (4)
where X = the nth
month index (n = 1 – 180) and Y = SPL (oC).
Table 1 The average of sea surface temperature (SST) by season in Northern Waters of Central Java,
Indonesia
Season Month Average SST ( oC)
Rainy December, January, February 29.64 ± 0.66
Transition 1 March, April, Mei 30.14 ± 0.44
Dry June, July, August 29.19 ± 0.59
Transition 2 September, October, November 29.81 ± 0.75
Yearly (January 2003 to December 2017) 29.70 ± 0.71
Figure 1 Temporal Variability of SST in Northern Waters of Central Java in 2003-2017
3.2. Spatial Distribution of SST
The result of the analysisof spatial variation of SST shows that the lowest temperature occurs
in the dry season as presented in Figure 2c. The cold temperature comes from the eastern part
of the waters which gets warm to the west. In transition 2seasons, warm temperature occurs
especially in the western parts which close to the beach (Figure 2d). In the rainy season
(Figure 2a), a mixture of cold water coming from the west occurs. Water temperatures are
relatively stable, especially on the high seas, but remain high on some beaches. The highest
temperature occurs in the transition 1 season, especially in the area bordering the land (Figure
2b).
3.3. Spatio-Temporal Variations of SST
The oceanographic study is needed to analyze the pattern or variability of SPL, both spatially
and temporally, to show how it changes by the time[21]. In order to do that, EOF (empirical
Variability of Spatio-Temporal Sea Surface Temperature in Northern Waters of Central Java,
Indonesia
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orthogonal function) statistical analysis is needed. EOF mathematically derived based on
singular value decomposition from data of covariance matrix. Singular value decomposition
results in eigenvalues and eigenvectors. Eigenvectors are orthogonal and known as EOF
mode. The mode can be defined as the structure of oceanography pattern of SST.
z
(a)
(b)
(c)
Dwi Haryo Ismunarti, Muhammad Zainuri, Denny Nugroho Sugianto and Suradi W Saputra
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(d)
Figure 2 Spatial Distribution of SST by season in Northern Waters of Central Java (a) Rainy; (b)
Transition 1; (c) Dry; (d) Transition 2
Eigenvalues are the measures of variability percentages described by each mode. The first
three modes described the variability of data as 30.6 %, 27.1%,and18.9%. The 3rd
mode up to
the 180th
mode presents negligible variability. Based on that, the first three modes were
considered reliable to define the structure of the spatiotemporal pattern of SST.
The eigenvector corresponding to the eigenvalue explains the structure of the temporal
pattern of SST. Each eigenvector produces a spectrum mode value during the observed
period. The size and direction of the spectrum shows the correlation of each period to the
mode
Variability of Spatio-Temporal Sea Surface Temperature in Northern Waters of Central Java,
Indonesia
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Figure 3 Mode Spectrum (a) EOF 1, (b) EOF 2 and (c) EOF 3
The structure of the temporal pattern of the northern waters of Central Java shows that the
waters have regular seasonal patterns throughout the year. As presented in Figure 3a, the
high-spectrum towards positive direction occurs every year in June, July,and August, when
the dry season occurs. This shows that the characteristics of SST in waters are dominantly
influenced by the dry season. Mode 2 presented in Figure 3b shows that the high-spectrum
with positive direction occurs in September and October when the transition 2 season occurs.
Mode 3 presented in Figure 3c shows that the spectrum height is relatively similar throughout
the year. The high spectrum in each year occurs during the transition 1 season and similar
spectrum also occurs during rainy season with a positive direction. Influence of rainy season
and transition 1 season to SST characteristics in waters is negligible.
(a)
Dwi Haryo Ismunarti, Muhammad Zainuri, Denny Nugroho Sugianto and Suradi W Saputra
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(b)
(c)
Figure 4 Spatial Pattern of (a) EOF 1 (b) EOF 2 and (c) EOF 3
Spatial SST pattern is obtained from the projection of the eigenvectors on the data matrix
to obtain the magnitude of each grid, then the plot of the corresponding grid is then carried
out. The value of projection resulted in no magnitude and shows the difference in
temperatures. Spatial maps are presented in Figures 4 showing the distribution of the mixing
of two water masses which have different temperatures corresponding to the mode.
EOF 1 spatial distribution pattern or the distribution of temperature differences during the
dry season is presented in Figure 4a.SST during the dry season is the lowest temperature
throughout the year. The mass of water having lower temperatures from the eastern waters
spreads towards the west. The temperature difference in the east is negative. The smallest
difference occurs along the coast starting from Pati to the eastern part of Teluk Semarang
towards the Karimunjawa Islands. Moving to the west, the temperature is higher so that the
difference in SST is positive. The biggest temperature difference occurs along the coast
starting from Batang to Tegal.
Variability of Spatio-Temporal Sea Surface Temperature in Northern Waters of Central Java,
Indonesia
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EOF 2 distribution pattern or the difference in temperature during transition 2seasons is
presented in Figure 4b. SST during transition 2seasons is warmer, especially around the
coast, and gets colder towards the high seas to the Karimunjawa Islands. Positive temperature
differences along the coast start from Pati to Batang except in Jepara towards the
Karimunjawa Islands.
Mode spectrum of EOF presenting temperature differences during transitional 1 season is
presented in Figure 4c. Sea surface temperature in transitional 1 season is the highest
compared to other seasons in a year. During the rainy season, sea surface temperature is
relatively stable so that there are no temperature differences recorded in waters.
4. DISCUSSION
Based on the analysis on SST in the northern waters of Central Java, periodfrom 2003 to
2017, SST had a monthly increase recorded as 0.00262 oC or annually increase as 0.5
0C.It
was higher than the record period from 1971 to 2000, the monthly increase of SST was
0.0019 0C [9]. The average SST recorded in 2003-2017 was 29.70
0C ± 0.71
0C, higher than
the recorded period from 1971 to 2000 showing the average SST recorded as 27.48 0C to
29.66 0C.
Temporal variation recorded by month shows that, in a year, two high temperatures, as
well as two low temperatures, are observed. High temperature occurs during transitional
months 1 and 2, while low temperature is observed during the rainy and dry season. The
results arein line with researches conducted by [5],[9] and [10]. The cycle shows that SST
variability is influenced by the changes of the season due to the monsoon pattern [2], [5] and
[9].In the rainy season, the lowest temperature is recorded in January. Sea current streams
from west to east, having the direction to 84.3o
in 0.15 m/sec to 0.2 m/sec, Current rose in
rainy season is presented in Figure 5a. The water mass originating from the South China Sea
enters the Java Sea through Karimata Strait. Cold water mass appears to be more evenly
distributed throughout the waters. This is in line with a research conducted by [9] and [10]
stating that the average SST in three areas of Java Sea remains the same during the rainy
season. In the rainy season, cold-water mass originating from the Pacific Ocean enters the
eastern waters through Makassar Strait [9] and [25].
In the dry season, the lowest temperature is recorded in August. The current streams from
east to west, directing to 299.9o, and the speed ranges from 0.15 m/sec to 0.2 m/sec. Current
rose in the dry season is presented in Figure 5c. The current flows water mass from the Banda
Sea and the Flores Sea entering the Java Sea. The transfer of water mass resulted in a water
mass deficit in the east. To compensate for this deficit, the water mass rises from the lower
layer to the upper layer or surface. The process is known as upwelling. Upwelling results in
lower SST. A research conducted by [5] shows that starting from 2014 to 2016 in Makassar
Straits, there was a decrease of SST from June, and the decrease was observed in the waters
in August.
The research of [10]divides the waters of the Java Sea into three parts, namely the east,
middle, and west. The results show that the lowest temperature occurred during the dry
season and the SST was lower in the east. SST was recorded lower in the east because of
upwelling in the Flores Sea and the Arafura Sea during the dry season [7] and [21].The
temperature in Lombok Strait has identified during the dry season as the lowest temperature
in Indonesian waters, which was recorded at less than 260 C [4].
During transition months 1 and 2, there was no monsoon domination so that the drive to
the water surface is weak in sporadic direction. In transition months 1, the current goes north
with an angle of 346.5 o
and speed ranging between 0.05 m/sec and 0.1 m/sec. In transition
Dwi Haryo Ismunarti, Muhammad Zainuri, Denny Nugroho Sugianto and Suradi W Saputra
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months 2, the current goes north towards 10.5o angle and having the speed between 0.05
m/sec and 0.1 m/sec. Current rose in transition 1 and transition 2 seasons are presented in
Figure 5b and 5d. The flow of sea current results in a minimum input of cold-water mass
from the west (South China Sea) or the east (Lombok Strait). The Java Sea becomes warm
during transition months [10].
The result of spatiotemporal analysis using EOF shows that the characteristics of the
northern waters of Central Java are described by SST in the dry season. According to [3] the
impulse of the southeast monsoon to the water surface is stronger than the impulse of the
northwest monsoon. This results in a faster distribution of cold-water masses from the east
than the distribution of water masses from the west. In the dry season, the distribution of
cold-water masses the Java Sea can reach the South China Sea.
The movement of water mass is seen from the spatial pattern of SST. In the dry season,
the cold temperature starts from the east and gets warmer to the west (Figure 2c). This is also
indicated by the distribution of temperature that is negative in the eastern region and
increasingly positive to the west (Figure 4). The spatial pattern of the mixing of two water
masses with different SST in the dry season (Figure 4) is more numerous and varied
compared to transition 2 season and transition 1 season.
The spatial pattern indicated by the mixing of two water masses with different SST is one
of the indicators showing that the area has high fertility rates. With this high fertility rate, it
can be predicted that the place is a favorable aquatic environment and suitable for
phytoplankton habitat or other aquatic organisms, and has the potential to be used as the area
for fishing. [22],[23] and [25] observed a correlation between the supply of fish and the
mixing of two water masses with different SST.
5. CONCLUSIONS
Sea surface temperature (SST) of Northern Waters of Central Java has shown a monthly
temperature increase recorded as 0.00262 oC of 0.5
oC per year. Temporal variations on SST
shows robust seasonal variation.SST is low during the dry and rainy season and high during
transition 1and transition 2 seasons.
Spatial distribution during dry season starts from eastern waters and continues to the west,
which is strongly influenced by the speed and direction of the current. During the rainy
season, SST is relatively homogeneous on the open seas.
ACKNOWLEDGMENT
This article is part of a doctoral dissertation for the Doctoral Program in Coastal Resource
Management, Faculty of Fisheries and Marine Science, UNDIP. The author would like to
extend the gratitude to the Directorate General of Strengthening Research and Development
of the Ministry of Research, Technology and Higher Education of the Republic of Indonesia
who has funded the research through the Doctoral Dissertation Grant. The author also extends
the appreciation to Directorate General of Science and Technology Resource and Higher
Education of the Ministry of Research, Technology and Higher Education of the Republic of
Indonesia who has funded the research through BPPDN Program
Variability of Spatio-Temporal Sea Surface Temperature in Northern Waters of Central Java,
Indonesia
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(a)
(b)
(c)
Dwi Haryo Ismunarti, Muhammad Zainuri, Denny Nugroho Sugianto and Suradi W Saputra
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(d)
Figure 7.Current rose: speed and direction by season in Northern Waters of Central Java (a) rainy
season, (b) transition 1, (c) dry season (d) transition 2
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