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VENCorp Revenue Proposal 1 July 2008 to 30 June 2014 Initial Public Forum Presentation.

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VENCorp Revenue Proposal 1 July 2008 to 30 June 2014 Initial Public Forum Presentation
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Page 1: VENCorp Revenue Proposal 1 July 2008 to 30 June 2014 Initial Public Forum Presentation.

VENCorp Revenue Proposal1 July 2008 to 30 June 2014

Initial Public Forum Presentation

Page 2: VENCorp Revenue Proposal 1 July 2008 to 30 June 2014 Initial Public Forum Presentation.

Overview of presentation

• VENCorp’s roles and functions• Approach to transmission planning• Revenue setting arrangements in the NER• Key elements of revenue proposal

Page 3: VENCorp Revenue Proposal 1 July 2008 to 30 June 2014 Initial Public Forum Presentation.

Who we are

• Statutory, not-for-profit, independent transmission network service provider

• In electricity we are responsible for:– Providing network services;

– Transmission network planning and investment;

– Managing connections to the transmission network;

– Emergency Management

Page 4: VENCorp Revenue Proposal 1 July 2008 to 30 June 2014 Initial Public Forum Presentation.

TransGrid (NSW)

Powerlink (QLD)

VENCorp andSP AusNet (VIC)

ESIPC and ElectraNet (SA)

Transend(TAS)

Not for Profit Entity

For Profit Entity

Network planning

Investment

Asset Ownership

Network planning

Investment

Asset Ownership

Network planning

Investment

Asset Ownership

Investment

Asset OwnershipAsset Ownership

Network planning

Investment

Network planning

Source: Firecone

VENCorp’s functions

Comparison of TNSP functions across the NEM

Page 5: VENCorp Revenue Proposal 1 July 2008 to 30 June 2014 Initial Public Forum Presentation.

Service provision and financial flowsTransmission Use of

System ServicesNetwork Services

services

payments

Contestable contracts

Non-Contestable contracts

Prescribed Services Transmission Customers

Direct Connect Customers

Rowville Transmission Facility

Page 6: VENCorp Revenue Proposal 1 July 2008 to 30 June 2014 Initial Public Forum Presentation.

VENCorp approach to planning

• Based on requirements in the National Electricity Rules, VENCorp’s Transmission Licence and the Victorian Electricity System Code.

• Captured in three documents– Electricity Planning Criteria– Regulatory Test– Connection Augmentation Guidelines

Page 7: VENCorp Revenue Proposal 1 July 2008 to 30 June 2014 Initial Public Forum Presentation.

Electricity Planning Criteria

• Investments decisions based on market benefits limb of the AER’s regulatory test and considers:– Probability-weighted impact on supply reliability– Value that customers place on reliability– Cost of additional capacity

• Decision to invest– benefits > costs – proceed with investment– benefits < costs – do not proceed with investment

Page 8: VENCorp Revenue Proposal 1 July 2008 to 30 June 2014 Initial Public Forum Presentation.

Connection Augmentation Guidelines

• Where an augmentation is required to comply with a NER specified access standard– the connection applicant will be required to fund that

augmentation • Where an augmentation is required to increase

the power transfer capability of the network – VENCorp will consider applying the regulatory test– If the augmentation does not satisfy the regulatory test

the connection applicant can elect to fund that augmentation

Page 9: VENCorp Revenue Proposal 1 July 2008 to 30 June 2014 Initial Public Forum Presentation.

Overview of Chapter 9

• Chapter 6A outlines the economic regulation of transmission services.

• Part A of Chapter 9 sets out the jurisdictional derogations that apply to Victoria and VENCorp in particular

• Clauses 9.8.4B to 9.8.4F modify Chapter 6A with respect to the transmission revenue regulatory regime for the Victorian Transmission Network.

Page 10: VENCorp Revenue Proposal 1 July 2008 to 30 June 2014 Initial Public Forum Presentation.

VENCorp’s revenue setting regime

• The transmission revenue regulatory regime that applies to VENCorp must comply with the following principles:

– the amount of VENCorp’s maximum allowable aggregate revenue for a relevant regulatory period must not exceed VENCorp’s statutory electricity transmission-related costs; and

– VENCorp's maximum allowable aggregate revenue must be determined on a full cost recovery but no operating surplus basis.

Page 11: VENCorp Revenue Proposal 1 July 2008 to 30 June 2014 Initial Public Forum Presentation.

Terminology in the revenue proposal

• Committed Augmentations – identical to historic capex

• Planned Augmentations– identical to forecast capex

• Operating and Planning Expenditure– similar to opex

• Prescribed Services– Recovering costs of other TNSPs (SP AusNet,

Murraylink)

Page 12: VENCorp Revenue Proposal 1 July 2008 to 30 June 2014 Initial Public Forum Presentation.

Committed augmentations

• $150 million worth of committed augmentations commissioned during regulatory period

• Derived from– Contestable Projects (e.g Rowville and Moorabool

Transformers)– Non-Contestable Projects (e.g. interface works)– Projects not rolled into SP AusNet’s asset base

Page 13: VENCorp Revenue Proposal 1 July 2008 to 30 June 2014 Initial Public Forum Presentation.

Planned Augmentations• Forecasting around $350 million (real) over six year period driven by

– Increase in regulatory period (from 5 to 6 years)– Cost estimates based on upper end of reasonable range– Increase in load growth– Location of new generation and potential new interconnection upgrades to

meet load growth

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14

$ m

illi

on

s (

real)

Page 14: VENCorp Revenue Proposal 1 July 2008 to 30 June 2014 Initial Public Forum Presentation.

Amendments to planned augmentation program

Revenue Proposal Submitted

March 2007 September 2007June 2007

Annual PlanningReport Released

December 2006September 2006June 2006

Annual PlanningReport Released

Planned Augmentation Program Prepared

Planned Augmentation Program Amended

Draft Determination Released

Page 15: VENCorp Revenue Proposal 1 July 2008 to 30 June 2014 Initial Public Forum Presentation.

Operating and planning expenditure

• Predominantly made up of– Labour costs– Consultancies– Corporate costs

6

6.5

7

7.5

8

8.5

2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14

$ m

illi

on

s (

no

min

al)

Page 16: VENCorp Revenue Proposal 1 July 2008 to 30 June 2014 Initial Public Forum Presentation.

Other matters

• Negotiating Framework• Pricing Methodology

– Will be submitted by 31 May 2007

Page 17: VENCorp Revenue Proposal 1 July 2008 to 30 June 2014 Initial Public Forum Presentation.

Forecast Revenue Requirement

* - Total Revenue Requirement has been reduced by $1 million per annum to account for interest income earned by VENCorp**- The energy value is on a generator sent out basis.

$(millions) nominal excluding GST

2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14

Operational Expenditure 6.7 7.0 7.2 7.5 7.7 8.0

Planned Augmentation charges 0.2 1.7 6.8 15.8 31.8 43.0

Committed Augmentation charges 22.9 23.6 24.3 25.0 25.7 26.5

Total forecast expenditure for VENCorp 29.8 32.2 38.3 48.3 65.3 77.5

Prescribed Services charges 376 399.5 424.6 451.2 479.5 509.7

Total Revenue Requirement* 404.7 430.8 461.8 498.5 543.8 586.2

Energy (GWh)** 52,350 51,673 51,668 51,807 52,781 53,383

Victorian TUoS charges ($/MWh) 7.7 8.3 8.9 9.6 10.3 11.0

Page 18: VENCorp Revenue Proposal 1 July 2008 to 30 June 2014 Initial Public Forum Presentation.

Relationship between the revenue cap and transmission charges

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14

Pla

nn

ed a

ug

men

tati

on

s ($

m

illi

on

s)

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

MA

AR

($

mil

lio

ns)

Planned augmentation program Forecast MAAR

Page 19: VENCorp Revenue Proposal 1 July 2008 to 30 June 2014 Initial Public Forum Presentation.

Relationship between the revenue cap and transmission charges

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14

Pla

nn

ed

au

gm

en

tati

on

s (

$m

illi

on

s)

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

MA

AR

($m

illi

on

s)

Planned augmentation program Actual augmentation program

Forecast MAAR Actual MAAR requirements

Page 20: VENCorp Revenue Proposal 1 July 2008 to 30 June 2014 Initial Public Forum Presentation.

Relationship between the revenue cap and transmission charges

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14

Pla

nn

ed

au

gm

en

tati

on

s (

$m

illi

on

s)

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

MA

AR

($m

illi

on

s)

Planned augmentation program Actual augmentation program

Forecast MAAR Actual MAAR requirements

Page 21: VENCorp Revenue Proposal 1 July 2008 to 30 June 2014 Initial Public Forum Presentation.

Questions?


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