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Vermont’s energy future
David Blittersdorf,CEO, Earth Turbines, Inc.
Founder, NRG Systems, Inc.
Renewable Energy Vermont
Stratton, Vermont
May 15, 2008
• Oil prices hit bottom
in 2000
• A 100+ year trend
has reversed
• A first for mankind!
Political supply disruption
Magoon: Are we running out of oil? The big rollover
Production peaks 40-50 years after discovery peaks
USA Peak
$2.
$10.
$90.
= Peak Oil
Title of Presentation
Evidence of global peak production
Source: Energy Information Administration
World Crude Production Peak: 75 M barrels/day (May, 2005)
Vermont’s Electricity Supply
50%
700 MW average 2100 MW average
What does this mean?
• Replacing Vermont Yankee (~250 MWaverage)
• Must have aggressive conservation/efficiency and renewables, fossil fuels for backup and peaking only
• Electricity to increase from 20% to 50+% of energy
• Shifting to electrified mass transit
• Changing our energy mindset, moving to distributed renewable resources, not 500-1000 MW fossil or nuclear plants
Title of Presentation
Wind in Vermont
• Vermont has 6,000 8,000 MW of wind capacity available now
o 600-800 miles of ridgeline
o 75 miles (~10%) is needed
How do we get there? A good start
750 MW of wind = 250 MWave
• Large wind only– 500 1.5 MW turbines– Fifteen 50 MW wind farms
• Community and large wind– 150 1 MW turbines
(locally owned)– 400 1.5 MW turbines– Eight 50 MW wind farms
Here are the facts
• Rates will go up if VY relicensed or
shutdown – market prices rising
• Renewables must play a large role.
• Vermonters want a clean energy future.
• Fossil fuels and nuclear aren’t clean,
are not fixed priced for 10-20 years
Vermont Deliberative Poll Findings
• 90% support the building of a wind farm visible from where
they live.
• 98% would like to increase the proportion of Vermont’s
electricity obtained from renewables.
• 69% wanted to see the electricity used by Vermonters
produced mostly or entirely inside Vermont.
Source: Vermont Department of Public Service (2008)
What’s getting in the way?
• Misperceptions
• Politics
• Old ways of thinking
• Inability to understand a finite earth
It’s possible!
It’s REQUIRED & NECESSARY for our survival