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"Video conferencing is inevitable, but so is the day when the sun flames out and consumes the earth....

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"Video conferencing is inevitable, but so is the day when the sun flames out and consumes the earth. Which will come first?", Stan Gibson, 1999
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Page 1: "Video conferencing is inevitable, but so is the day when the sun flames out and consumes the earth. Which will come first?", Stan Gibson, 1999.

"Video conferencing is inevitable, but so is the day when the sun flames out and consumes the

earth. Which will come first?", Stan Gibson, 1999

Page 2: "Video conferencing is inevitable, but so is the day when the sun flames out and consumes the earth. Which will come first?", Stan Gibson, 1999.

Audio/Video/Data Conferencing

Bret MatthewsData Connection

Page 3: "Video conferencing is inevitable, but so is the day when the sun flames out and consumes the earth. Which will come first?", Stan Gibson, 1999.

Audio/Video/Data Conferencing

• Data Connection Background

• What Is It?

• Historical Development

• Who Uses It – And Why?

• Predicting The Future

Page 4: "Video conferencing is inevitable, but so is the day when the sun flames out and consumes the earth. Which will come first?", Stan Gibson, 1999.

Data Connection Background

• Software Development• Communications protocols + Higher-level services (“Middleware”)• Packaged Solutions• Supplier to Major Industry Players, Service Providers and End Users

• History / Numbers• Founded in 1981• Straight line growth• ~240 people• £21.5M Revenues + £7.3M Profit

• Products• MetaSwitch• H.323, SIP, T.120, SNA, ATM, SS7, MPLS, …• Messaging and Directory• Voice Access to Email, WWW, Content …• Conferencing

• DC-MeetingServer• Microsoft NetMeeting, DC-Share for Unix• ITU-T Standards Participation – e.g. T.128

Page 5: "Video conferencing is inevitable, but so is the day when the sun flames out and consumes the earth. Which will come first?", Stan Gibson, 1999.

Conferencing – What Is It?

• Video/Audio Conferencing• Video and Audio – “talking heads”• Telephone call “on speed”

• Collaboration• Data

• Share Applications• Whiteboard• File Transfer• Chat

• On-line interactive meetings

• Multipoint over local and wide area• Potential Markets

• Home/Consumer• Vertical (e.g. Banking Kiosks)• Corporate

• But depends on• Bandwidth

• e.g. audio requires 5-64 kbits/sec, video requires 150 - 500 kbits/sec

• Latency• Infrastructure

Page 6: "Video conferencing is inevitable, but so is the day when the sun flames out and consumes the earth. Which will come first?", Stan Gibson, 1999.

Traditional Videoconferencing

Page 7: "Video conferencing is inevitable, but so is the day when the sun flames out and consumes the earth. Which will come first?", Stan Gibson, 1999.

Desktop Conferencing

Page 8: "Video conferencing is inevitable, but so is the day when the sun flames out and consumes the earth. Which will come first?", Stan Gibson, 1999.

A Conferencing-Enabled Network

PublicISDN

Network

ISDN (H.320) Videoconferencing

Room System

PublicSwitched

TelephoneNetwork

Telephone Telephone

H.323 Gatekeeper IP Phone

IP Network

NetMeeting

DC-Share for UNIX

DC-MeetingServer

Firew all

Java-enabled W eb brow ser

H.323 - PSTN Gatew ay

H.323 - H.320 Gatew ay

Page 9: "Video conferencing is inevitable, but so is the day when the sun flames out and consumes the earth. Which will come first?", Stan Gibson, 1999.

Historical Development

• First Sightings• Jetsons, 1962

• AT&T PicturePhone – debuted World’s Fair 1964, available 1970, $160/month

• Compression Labs, 1982, $250,000 system, $1000 per hour to use

• Group (Room) Systems (early-90s onward)• Small Market

• Tens of thousands of pounds per unit

• Single purpose hardware and software

• PictureTel, VTEL, BT, TANDBERG

• Desktop (Personal) Systems (mid-90s onward)• Huge potential market

• Runs on standard hardware costing £1000 or less

• Proprietary islands of interoperability

• Data Connection, Polycom, Microsoft

• Key Developments (late-90s)• Standards: T.120, H.323

• Internet / Web conferencing

Page 10: "Video conferencing is inevitable, but so is the day when the sun flames out and consumes the earth. Which will come first?", Stan Gibson, 1999.

Historical Development

• Standards• H.32x

• H.320 : ISDN 64kbps x n• H.324 : PSTN <28.8kbps• H.323 : non-QoS LANS = Internet?

• T.120• T.122-T.125: MCS/GCC multipoint infrastructure• T.126: whiteboard• T.127: multipoint file transfer• T.128: application sharing• T.134/140: chat

• H.323/T.120 clients• Microsoft NetMeeting for Windows – http://www.microsoft.com/windows/netmeeting/

• Netopia for Mac – http://www.netopia.com/software/tb2/index.html

• Data Connection for UNIX• Sun Forum – http://www.sun.com/desktop/products/software/sunforum/

• SGImeeting – http://www.sgi.com/software/sgimeeting/

• HP Visualize Conference – http://www.hp.com/visualize/fyi/bissue/july99/newprods.htm

• IBM AIX• DC-Share for Linux - http://www.dcshare.com

Page 11: "Video conferencing is inevitable, but so is the day when the sun flames out and consumes the earth. Which will come first?", Stan Gibson, 1999.

Conferencing – Who Uses It?

Page 12: "Video conferencing is inevitable, but so is the day when the sun flames out and consumes the earth. Which will come first?", Stan Gibson, 1999.

Conferencing – Who Uses It?

• Hewlett Packard• Conferencing servers in the US, Japan, Australia, Europe, and Singapore. • Over 100,000 on-line meetings and 12 million minutes of conferencing per month• Increases teamwork among dispersed employees • Saves time and money - between $275,000 and $400,000 per month

• Budget Rent A Car• Virtual classroom between three training labs in Illinois and 127 remote workstation sites across

the U.S. • Usage has grown steadily, reaching approximately 400,000 minutes in Jan 2001 • Training costs have dropped from $2,000 per trainee to $156 • More employees are being trained, from 60% to 99% • Employee performance as good or better than with traditional training • Return on investment (ROI) achieved in 6 months

• Merrill Lynch• Servers located in the US, UK, Australia, Japan, and Singapore• Enterprise-wide deployment, with over half a million minutes per month of usage• Saves over $1 million per year

• See www.latitude.com/stories

Page 13: "Video conferencing is inevitable, but so is the day when the sun flames out and consumes the earth. Which will come first?", Stan Gibson, 1999.

Conferencing – Market Status

• How big?• The conferencing services market is projected to approach $14 billion

worldwide by 2005, representing a 38% compound annual growth rate over the 2000-2005 time period. (IDC: July 2001)

• Home Market• Low Bandwidth (traditionally)• Chat + Audio?• Mix of “GrannyPhone” + IRC/Chat + “Adult”• Audio/Video is poor to appalling over Internet

• Vertical• Very limited deployment• Value-add over proprietary approaches• Helpdesks, call centres

Page 14: "Video conferencing is inevitable, but so is the day when the sun flames out and consumes the earth. Which will come first?", Stan Gibson, 1999.

Conferencing – Market Status (2)

• Corporate• High bandwidth on corporate LANs• Variable bandwidth in Intranets• Strong bias to data

• Not enough bandwidth for Audio and – particularly - Video?

• Can always use the ‘phone!

• Security / firewalls

Corporate “Sell”?• Quantifiable benefits: reduced travel costs• Non-quantifiable benefits:

• Improved work practices/productivity

• Better job satisfaction and employee morale

• We use it between sites• High levels of interest/deployment across sectors:

• Engineering – Ford, Boeing, BMW, …

• Military

• Service Providers

Page 15: "Video conferencing is inevitable, but so is the day when the sun flames out and consumes the earth. Which will come first?", Stan Gibson, 1999.

Conferencing – Predicting The Future

• Web clients• Rapidly growing sector• Lack of standards and bridging to traditional clients like NetMeeting

• Conference Servers• in-house or via ISP• security, management• bridging communications – IP and PSTN• services – web “proxy”, recording

• Development of infrastructure• More bandwidth – e.g. deployment of 100Mbit Ethernet• QoS in VPNs

• predictable bandwidth• predictable latency

• Email was the major corporate growth “technology” of the 90’s ...

• Conferencing is a major corporate growth “technology” in the new millennium


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