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2014VOLUME 12 NUMBER 3
JAMEIS WINSTON’S FLORIDA STATE SEMINOLES:
THE EARLY FAVORITE TO WIN THE NATIONAL CHAMPIONSHIP
RUSSELL WILSON’S SEATTLE SEAHAWKS TAKE AIM AT A SECOND STRAIGHT SUPER BOWL
The #1 Rated Football Handicapping Guide!
2 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2014
2014 Football handicapping guidE>
Buffalo Bills ............................. 8
Miami Dolphins ....................... 9
New England Patriots ............ 10
New York Jets ........................ 11
Baltimore Ravens .................. 12
Cincinnati Bengals ................ 13
Cleveland Browns .................. 14
Pittsburgh Steelers ................ 15
Houston Texans ..................... 16
Indianapolis Colts.................. 17
Jacksonville Jaguars ............... 18
Tennessee Titans ................... 19
Denver Broncos ..................... 20
Kansas City Chiefs.................. 21
Oakland Raiders .................... 22
San Diego Chargers ............... 23
Dallas Cowboys ..................... 24
New York Giants .................... 25
Philadelphia Eagles ............... 26
Washington Redskins ............ 27
Chicago Bears ....................... 28
Detroit Lions .......................... 29
Green Bay Packers ................. 30
Minnesota Vikings ................. 31
Atlanta Falcons ..................... 32
Carolina Panthers .................. 33
New Orleans Saints ............... 34
Tampa Bay Buccaneers .......... 35
Arizona Cardinals .................. 36
St. Louis Rams ....................... 37
San Francisco 49ers ............... 38
Seattle Seahawks .................. 39
StatS, SchEdulES and SuchWeek-By-Week 2013 NFL Schedule ..................................................................................................3
Team-By-Team 2013 NFL Schedule ..................................................................................................4
Football Futures .............................................................................................................................6
2014 NFL Predicted Standings ........................................................................................................7
Fantasy Football Focus ...................................................................................................................7
Jameis Winston
nFl tEaM-bY-tEaM handicapping analYSiS>
Russell Wilson
College Football Top 25 Season Preview ......40
American Athletic Conference .....................42
Atlantic Coast Conference ...........................48
Big 12 Conference .......................................57
Big Ten Conference ......................................64
Conference USA ...........................................74
Mid-American Conference ...........................82
Mountain West Conference ..........................90
Pac-12 Conference .......................................98
Southeastern Conference ..........................106
Sun Belt Conference ..................................116
Independents ............................................122
FbS conFEREncE-bY-conFEREncE pREViEWS and pREdictionS
2014 Football handicapping
guidE
thE top bRaSS(GUYS WHO TAKE ALL OF THE CREDIT)
Managing Editor
Creative Director
Executive Editor
Senior Editor
Senior Writer
Associate Editor
Assistant Editor
Scott Gramling
Ian Knowles
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President
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The Football Handicapping Guide is published annually by Daily Racing Form LLC, located at 708 Third Avenue, 12th Floor, New York, NY 10017. © 2014 by Daily Racing Form, LLC. Daily Racing Form, LLC reserves the right to accept or deny any paid advertisements and is not responsible for any contracts entered in with such advertisers.
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thE bRaintRuSt(GUYS WHO DO ALL OF THE WORK)
StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2014 3
2014 WEEK-bY-WEEK nFl SchEdulE>AFC East
AFC SouthAFC W
estN
FC EastN
FC North
College Top 25AFC N
orthN
FC SouthN
FC West
WEEK 1THURSDAY, SEPT. 4
Green Bay Packers at Seattle Seahawks 8:30SUnDAY, SEPT. 7
Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers 1:00New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins 1:00Tennessee Titans at Kansas City Chiefs 1:00Washington Redskins at Houston Texans 1:00Buffalo Bills at Chicago Bears 1:00Cincinnati Bengals at Baltimore Ravens 1:00Minnesota Vikings at St. Louis Rams 1:00New Orleans Saints at Atlanta Falcons 1:00Jacksonville Jaguars at Philadelphia Eagles 1:00Oakland Raiders at New York Jets 1:00Carolina Panthers at Tampa Bay Bucs 4:25San Francisco 49ers at Dallas Cowboys 4:25Indianapolis Colts at Denver Broncos 8:30
MOnDAY, SEPT. 8New York Giants at Detroit Lions 7:10San Diego Chargers at Arizona Cardinals 10:20
WEEK 2
THURSDAY, SEPT. 11Pittsburgh Steelers at Baltimore Ravens 8:25
SUnDAY, SEPT. 14Detroit Lions at Carolina Panthers 1:00Atlanta Falcons at Cincinnati Bengals 1:00New Orleans Saints at Cleveland Browns 1:00New England Pats at Minnesota Vikings 1:00Arizona Cardinals at New York Giants 1:00Dallas Cowboys at Tennessee Titans 1:00Jacksonville Jags at Washington Redskins 1:00Miami Dolphins at Buffalo Bills 1:00Seattle Seahawks at San Diego Chargers 4:05St. Louis Rams at Tampa Bay Bucs 4:05Houston Texans at Oakland Raiders 4:25New York Jets at Green Bay Packers 4:25Kansas City Chiefs at Denver Broncos 4:25Chicago Bears at San Francisco 49ers 8:30
MOnDAY, SEPT. 15Philadelphia Eagles at Indianapolis Colts 8:30
WEEK 3
THURSDAY, SEPT. 18Tampa Bay Bucs at Atlanta Falcons 8:25
SUnDAY, SEPT. 21Houston Texans at New York Giants 1:00Minnesota Vikings at New Orleans Saints 1:00Baltimore Ravens at Cleveland Browns 1:00Green Bay Packers at Detroit Lions 1:00Indianapolis Colts at Jacksonville Jaguars 1:00Oakland Raiders at New England Patriots 1:00Washington Redskins at Philadelphia Eagles 1:00Dallas Cowboys at St. Louis Rams 1:00San Diego Chargers at Buffalo Bills 1:00Tennessee Titans at Cincinnati Bengals 1:00San Francisco 49ers at Arizona Cardinals 4:05Denver Broncos at Seattle Seahawks 4:25Kansas City Chiefs at Miami Dolphins 4:25Pittsburgh Steelers at Carolina Panthers 8:30
MOnDAY, SEPT. 22Chicago Bears at New York Jets 8:30
WEEK 4
THURSDAY, SEPT. 25New York Giants at Washington Redskins 8:25
SUnDAY, SEPT. 28Tennessee Titans at Indianapolis Colts 1:00Carolina Panthers at Baltimore Ravens 1:00Buffalo Bills at Houston Texans 1:00Green Bay Packers at Chicago Bears 1:00Detroit Lions at New York Jets 1:00Miami vs. Oakland (in London) 1:00Tampa Bay Bucs at Pittsburgh Steelers 1:00Jacksonville Jaguars at San Diego Chargers 4:05Philadelphia Eagles at San Francisco 49ers 4:25Atlanta Falcons at Minnesota Vikings 4:25New Orleans Saints at Dallas Cowboys 8:30
MOnDAY, SEPT. 29New England Patriots at Kansas City Chiefs 8:30
Bye week: CinCinnati, Cleveland, denver, St. louiS, arizona, Seattle
WEEK 5
THURSDAY, OCT. 2Minnesota Vikings at Green Bay Packers 8:25
SUnDAY, OCT. 5Buffalo Bills at Detroit Lions 1:00Pittsburgh Steelers at Jacksonville Jaguars 1:00Baltimore Ravens at Indianapolis Colts 1:00Chicago Bears at Carolina Panthers 1:00Cleveland Browns at Tennessee Titans 1:00St. Louis Rams at Philadelphia Eagles 1:00
WEEK 5 (continuEd)Atlanta Falcons at New York Giants 1:00Tampa Bay Bucs at New Orleans Saints 1:00Houston Texans at Dallas Cowboys 1:00Arizona Cardinals at Denver Broncos 4:05Kansas City Chiefs at San Francisco 49ers 4:25New York Jets at San Diego Chargers 4:25Cincinnati Bengals at New England Pats* 8:30
MOnDAY, OCT. 6Seattle Seahawks at Washington Redskins 8:30
Bye week: oakland, MiaMi
WEEK 6
THURSDAY, OCT. 9Indianapolis Colts at Houston Texans 8:25
SUnDAY, OCT. 12Carolina Panthers at Cincinnati Bengals 1:00Detroit Lions at Minnesota Vikings 1:00Denver Broncos at New York Jets 1:00Baltimore Ravens at Tampa Bay Bucs 1:00Jacksonville Jaguars at Tennessee Titans 1:00Chicago Bears at Atlanta Falcons 1:00New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills 1:00Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns 1:00Green Bay Packers at Miami Dolphins 1:00San Diego Chargers at Oakland Raiders 4:05Washington Redskins at Arizona Cardinals 4:25Dallas Cowboys at Seattle Seahawks 4:25New York Giants at Philadelphia Eagles* 8:30
MOnDAY, OCT. 13San Francisco 49ers at St. Louis Rams 8:30
open: kanSaS City, new orleanS
WEEK 7
THURSDAY, OCT. 16New York Jets at New England Patriots 8:25
SUnDAY, OCT. 19Carolina Panthers at Green Bay Packers 1:00New Orleans Saints at Detroit Lions 1:00Miami Dolphins at Chicago Bears 1:00Minnesota Vikings at Buffalo Bills 1:00Cincinnati Bengals at Indianapolis Colts 1:00Cleveland Browns at Jacksonville Jaguars 1:00Seattle Seahawks at St. Louis Rams 1:00Atlanta Falcons at Baltimore Ravens 1:00Tennessee Titans at Washington Redskins 1:00Kansas City Chiefs at San Diego Chargers 4:05New York Giants at Dallas Cowboys 4:25Arizona Cardinals at Oakland Raiders 4:25San Francisco 49ers at Denver Broncos* 8:30
MOnDAY, OCT. 20Houston Texans at Pittsburgh Steelers 8:30
Bye week: philadelphia, taMpa Bay
WEEK 8
THURSDAY, OCT. 23San Diego Chargers at Denver Broncos 8:25
SUnDAY, OCT. 26Detroit vs. Atlanta (in London) 9:30 a.m.Buffalo Bills at New York Jets 1:00Chicago Bears at New England Patriots 1:00Miami Dolphins at Jacksonville Jaguars 1:00Seattle Seahawks at Carolina Panthers 1:00Minnesota Vikings at Tampa Bay Bucs 1:00Houston Texans at Tennessee Titans 1:00St. Louis Rams at Kansas City Chiefs 1:00Baltimore Ravens at Cincinnati Bengals 1:00Philadelphia Eagles at Arizona Cardinals 4:05Indianapolis Colts at Pittsburgh Steelers 4:25Green Bay Packers at New Orleans Saints* 8:30
MOnDAY, OCT. 27Washington Redskins at Dallas Cowboys 8:30
Bye week: ny GiantS, San FranCiSCo
WEEK 9
THURSDAY, OCT. 30New Orleans Saints at Carolina Panthers 8:25
SUnDAY, nOV. 2San Diego Chargers at Miami Dolphins 1:00Washington Redskins at Minnesota Vikings 1:00Tampa Bay Bucs at Cleveland Browns 1:00Arizona Cardinals at Dallas Cowboys 1:00Philadelphia Eagles at Houston Texans 1:00New York Jets at Kansas City Chiefs 1:00Jacksonville Jaguars at Cincinnati Bengals 1:00St. Louis Rams at San Francisco 49ers 4:05Oakland Raiders at Seattle Seahawks 4:25Denver Broncos at New England Patriots 4:25Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers* 8:30
MOnDAY, nOV. 3Indianapolis Colts at New York Giants 8:30
Bye week: atlanta, BuFFalo, ChiCaGo, detroit, Green Bay, tenneSSee
WEEK 10
THURSDAY, nOV. 6Cleveland Browns at Cincinnati Bengals 8:25
SUnDAY, nOV. 9Atlanta Falcons at Tampa Bay Bucs 1:00Tennessee Titans at Baltimore Ravens 1:00San Francisco 49ers at New Orleans Saints 1:00Dallas vs. Jacksonville (in London) 1:00Miami Dolphins at Detroit Lions 1:00Kansas City Chiefs at Buffalo Bills 1:00Pittsburgh Steelers at New York Jets 1:00Denver Broncos at Oakland Raiders 4:05New York Giants at Seattle Seahawks 4:25St. Louis Rams at Arizona Cardinals 4:25Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers* 8:30
MOnDAY, nOV. 10Carolina Panthers at Philadelphia Eagles 8:30
Bye week: indianapoliS, MinneSota, new enGland, San dieGo,
waShinGton, houSton
WEEK 11
THURSDAY, nOV. 13Buffalo Bills at Miami Dolphins 8:25
SUnDAY, nOV. 16Denver Broncos at St. Louis Rams 1:00San Francisco 49ers at New York Giants 1:00Tampa Bay Bucs at Washington Redskins 1:00Cincinnati Bengals at New Orleans Saints 1:00Atlanta Falcons at Carolina Panthers 1:00Seattle Seahawks at Kansas City Chiefs 1:00Houston Texans at Cleveland Browns 1:00Minnesota Vikings at Chicago Bears 1:00Philadelphia Eagles at Green Bay Packers 1:00Oakland Raiders at San Diego Chargers 4:05Detroit Lions at Arizona Cardinals 4:25New England Pats at Indianapolis Colts* 8:30
MOnDAY, nOV. 19Pittsburgh Steelers at Tennessee Titans 8:30
Bye week: dallaS, ny JetS, JaCkSonville, BaltiMore
WEEK 12
THURSDAY, nOV. 20Kansas City Chiefs at Oakland Raiders 8:25
SUnDAY, nOV. 23Tennessee Titans at Philadelphia Eagles 1:00Cleveland Browns at Atlanta Falcons 1:00Detroit Lions at New England Patriots 1:00Tampa Bay Bucs at Chicago Bears 1:00Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings 1:00Jacksonville Jaguars at Indianapolis Colts 1:00Cincinnati Bengals at Houston Texans 1:00New York Jets at Buffalo Bills 1:00Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks 4:05St. Louis Rams at San Diego Chargers 4:05Miami Dolphins at Denver Broncos 4:25Washington Redskins at San Francisco 49ers 4:25Dallas Cowboys at New York Giants* 8:30
MOnDAY, nOV. 24Baltimore Ravens at New Orleans Saints 8:30
Bye week: pittSBurGh, Carolina
WEEK 13
THURSDAY, nOV. 27Chicago Bears at Detroit Lions 12:30Philadelphia Eagles at Dallas Cowboys 4:30Seattle Seahawks at San Francisco 49ers 8:30
SUnDAY, nOV. 30Cleveland Browns at Buffalo Bills 1:00San Diego Chargers at Baltimore Ravens 1:00New York Giants at Jacksonville Jaguars 1:00Cincinnati Bengals at Tampa Bay Bucs 1:00Oakland Raiders at St. Louis Rams 1:00Tennessee Titans at Houston Texans 1:00Carolina Panthers at Minnesota Vikings 1:00New Orleans Saints at Pittsburgh Steelers 1:00Washington Redskins at Indianapolis Colts 1:00Arizona Cardinals at Atlanta Falcons 4:05New England Patriots at Green Bay Packers 4:25Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs* 8:30
MOnDAY, DEC. 1Miami Dolphins at New York Jets 8:30
WEEK 14
THURSDAY, DEC. 4Dallas Cowboys at Chicago Bears 8:25
SUnDAY, DEC. 7Pittsburgh Steelers at Cincinnati Bengals 1:00New York Giants at Tennessee Titans 1:00St. Louis Rams at Washington Redskins 1:00Carolina Panthers at New Orleans Saints 1:00New York Jets at Minnesota Vikings 1:00Baltimore Ravens at Miami Dolphins 1:00Indianapolis Colts at Cleveland Browns 1:00Tampa Bay Bucs at Detroit Lions 1:00Houston Texans at Jacksonville Jaguars 1:00Buffalo Bills at Denver Broncos 4:05Kansas City Chiefs at Arizona Cardinals 4:05Seattle Seahawks at Philadelphia Eagles 4:25San Francisco 49ers at Oakland Raiders 4:25New England Pats at San Diego Chargers* 8:30
MOnDAY, DEC. 8Atlanta Falcons at Green Bay Packers 8:30
WEEK 15
THURSDAY, DEC. 11Arizona Cardinals at St. Louis Rams 8:25
SUnDAY, DEC. 14Minnesota Vikings at Detroit Lions 1:00Cincinnati Bengals at Cleveland Browns 1:00Green Bay Packers at Buffalo Bills 1:00Tampa Bay Bucs at Carolina Panthers 1:00Jacksonville Jaguars at Baltimore Ravens 1:00Houston Texans at Indianapolis Colts 1:00Oakland Raiders at Kansas City Chiefs 1:00Miami Dolphins at New England Patriots 1:00Washington Redskins at New York Giants 1:00Pittsburgh Steelers at Atlanta Falcons 1:00New York Jets at Tennessee Titans 4:05Denver Broncos at San Diego Chargers 4:05San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks 4:25Dallas Cowboys at Philadelphia Eagles* 8:30
MOnDAY, DEC. 15New Orleans Saints at Chicago Bears 8:30
WEEK 16
THURSDAY, DEC. 18Tennessee Titans at Jacksonville Jaguars 8:25
SATURDAY, DEC. 20Philadelphia Eagles at Washington Redskins 4:30San Diego Chargers at San Francisco 49ers 8:15
SUnDAY, DEC. 21Minnesota Vikings at Miami Dolphins 1:00Baltimore Ravens at Houston Texans 1:00Detroit Lions at Chicago Bears 1:00Cleveland Browns at Carolina Panthers 1:00Green Bay Packers at Tampa Bay Bucs 1:00Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints 1:00New England Patriots at New York Jets 1:00Kansas City Chiefs at Pittsburgh Steelers 1:00New York Giants at St. Louis Rams 4:05Buffalo Bills at Oakland Raiders 4:25Indianapolis Colts at Dallas Cowboys 4:25Seattle Seahawks at Arizona Cardinals* 8:30
MOnDAY, DEC. 22Denver Broncos at Cincinnati Bengals 8:30
WEEK 17
SUnDAY, DEC. 28Carolina Panthers at Atlanta Falcons 1:00Cleveland Browns at Baltimore Ravens 1:00Dallas Cowboys at Washington Redskins 1:00Indianapolis Colts at Tennessee Titans 1:00Detroit Lions at Green Bay Packers 1:00Jacksonville Jaguars at Houston Texans 1:00San Diego Chargers at Kansas City Chiefs 1:00New York Jets at Miami Dolphins 1:00Chicago Bears at Minnesota Vikings 1:00Buffalo Bills at New England Patriots 1:00Philadelphia Eagles at New York Giants 1:00Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers 1:00New Orleans Saints at Tampa Bay Bucs 1:00Arizona Cardinals at San Francisco 49ers 4:25St. Louis Rams at Seattle Seahawks 4:25Oakland Raiders at Denver Broncos 4:25{Week 17 Sunday night game to be determined}
NFL Schedules
College Teams
poStSEaSonAFC and NFC Wild Card Playoffs Saturday, January 3 AFC and NFC Wild Card Playoffs Sunday, January 4 AFC and NFC Divisional Playoffs Saturday, January 10 AFC and NFC Divisional Playoffs Sunday, January 11 AFC and NFC Conference Championship Games Sunday, Jan. 18 Super Bowl XLIX at Glendale, Arizona Sunday, February 1 * SUnDAY nIGHT GAMES In WEEKS 5-16 SUBjECT TO TIME CHAnGE ALL TIMES PM EASTERn
Football Futures
4 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2014
2014 aFc tEaM-bY-tEaM SchEdulES
buFFalo billS
Date OppOnent time (pm et)
Sept. 7 at Chicago Bears 1:00Sept. 14 Miami Dolphins 1:00Sept. 21 San Diego Chargers 1:00Sept. 28 at Houston Texans 1:00Oct. 5 at Detroit Lions 1:00Oct. 12 New England Patriots 1:00Oct. 19 Minnesota Vikings 1:00Oct. 26 at New York Jets 1:00Nov. 2 BYE WEEKNov. 9 Kansas City Chiefs 1:00Nov. 13 at Miami Dolphins (Thu) 8:25Nov. 23 New York Jets 1:00Nov. 30 Cleveland Browns 1:00Dec. 7 at Denver Broncos 4:05Dec. 14 Green Bay Packers 1:00Dec. 21 at Oakland Raiders 4:25Dec. 28 at New England Patriots 1:00
MiaMi dolphinS
Date OppOnent time (pm et)
Sept. 7 New England Patriots 1:00Sept. 14 at Buffalo Bills 1:00Sept. 21 Kansas City Chiefs 4:25Sept. 28 Oakland Raiders (London) 1:00Oct. 5 BYE WEEKOct. 12 Green Bay Packers 1:00Oct. 19 at Chicago Bears 1:00Oct. 26 at Jacksonville Jaguars 1:00Nov. 2 San Diego Chargers 1:00Nov. 9 at Detroit Lions 1:00Nov. 13 Buffalo Bills (Thu) 8:25Nov. 23 at Denver Broncos 4:25Dec. 1 at New York Jets (Mon) 8:30Dec. 7 Baltimore Ravens 1:00Dec. 14 at New England Patriots 1:00Dec. 21 Minnesota Vikings 1:00Dec. 28 New York Jets 1:00
nEW England patRiotS
Date OppOnent time (pm et)
Sept. 7 at Miami Dolphins 1:00Sept. 14 at Minnesota Vikings 1:00Sept. 21 Oakland Raiders 1:00Sept. 29 at Kansas City Chiefs (Mon) 8:30Oct. 5 Cincinnati Bengals *8:30Oct. 12 at Buffalo Bills 1:00Oct. 16 New York Jets (Thu) 8:25Oct. 26 Chicago Bears 1:00Nov. 2 Denver Broncos 4:25Nov. 9 BYE WEEKNov. 16 at Indianapolis Colts *8:30Nov. 23 Detroit Lions 1:00Nov. 30 at Green Bay Packers 4:25Dec. 7 at San Diego Chargers *8:30Dec. 14 Miami Dolphins 1:00Dec. 21 at New York Jets 1:00Dec. 28 Buffalo Bills 1:00
nEW YoRK JEtS
Date OppOnent time (pm et)
Sept. 7 Oakland Raiders 1:00Sept. 14 at Green Bay Packers 4:25Sept. 22 Chicago Bears (Mon) 8:30Sept. 28 Detroit Lions 1:00Oct. 5 at San Diego Chargers 4:25Oct. 12 Denver Broncos 1:00Oct. 16 at New England Patriots (Thu) 8:25Oct. 26 Buffalo Bills 1:00Nov. 2 at Kansas City Chiefs 1:00Nov. 9 Pittsburgh Steelers 1:00Nov. 16 BYE WEEKNov. 23 at Buffalo Bills 1:00Dec. 1 Miami Dolphins (Mon) 8:30Dec. 7 at Minnesota Vikings 1:00Dec. 14 at Tennessee Titans 4:05Dec. 21 New England Patriots 1:00Dec. 28 at Miami Dolphins 1:00
baltiMoRE RaVEnS
Date OppOnent time (pm et)
Sept. 7 Cincinnati Bengals 1:00Sept. 11 Pittsburgh Steelers (Thu) 8:25Sept. 21 at Cleveland Browns 1:00Sept. 28 Carolina Panthers 1:00Oct. 5 at Indianapolis Colts 1:00Oct. 12 at Tampa Bay Buccaneers 1:00Oct. 19 Atlanta Falcons 1:00Oct. 26 at Cincinnati Bengals 1:00Nov. 2 at Pittsburgh Steelers *8:30Nov. 9 Tennessee Titans 1:00Nov. 16 BYE WEEKNov. 24 at New Orleans Saints (Mon) 8:30Nov. 30 San Diego Chargers 1:00Dec. 7 at Miami Dolphins 1:00Dec. 14 Jacksonville Jaguars 1:00Dec. 21 at Houston Texans 1:00Dec. 28 Cleveland Browns 1:00
cincinnati bEngalS
Date OppOnent time (pm et)
Sept. 7 at Baltimore Ravens 1:00Sept. 14 Atlanta Falcons 1:00Sept. 21 Tennessee Titans 1:00Sept. 28 BYE WEEKOct. 5 at New England Patriots *8:30Oct. 12 Carolina Panthers 1:00Oct. 19 at Indianapolis Colts 1:00Oct. 26 Baltimore Ravens 1:00Nov. 2 Jacksonville Jaguars 1:00Nov. 6 Cleveland Browns (Thu) 8:25Nov. 16 at New Orleans Saints 1:00Nov. 23 at Houston Texans 1:00Nov. 30 at Tampa Bay Buccaneers 1:00Dec. 7 Pittsburgh Steelers 1:00Dec. 14 at Cleveland Browns 1:00Dec. 22 Denver Broncos (Mon) 8:30Dec. 28 at Pittsburgh Steelers 1:00
clEVEland bRoWnS
Date OppOnent time (pm et)
Sept. 7 at Pittsburgh Steelers 1:00Sept. 14 New Orleans Saints 1:00Sept. 21 Baltimore Ravens 1:00Sept. 28 BYE WEEKOct. 5 at Tennessee Titans 1:00Oct. 12 Pittsburgh Steelers 1:00Oct. 19 at Jacksonville Jaguars 1:00Oct. 26 Oakland Raiders 4:25Nov. 2 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 1:00Nov. 6 at Cincinnati Bengals (Thu) 8:25Nov. 16 Houston Texans 1:00Nov. 23 at Atlanta Falcons 1:00Nov. 30 at Buffalo Bills 1:00Dec. 7 Indianapolis Colts 1:00Dec. 14 Cincinnati Bengals 1:00Dec. 21 at Carolina Panthers 1:00Dec. 28 at Baltimore Ravens 1:00
pittSbuRgh StEElERS
Date OppOnent time (pm et)
Sept. 7 Cleveland Browns 1:00Sept. 11 at Baltimore Ravens (Thu) 8:25Sept. 21 at Carolina Panthers 8:30Sept. 28 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 1:00Oct. 5 at Jacksonville Jaguars 1:00Oct. 12 at Cleveland Browns 1:00Oct. 20 Houston Texans (Mon) 8:30Oct. 26 Indianapolis Colts 4:25Nov. 2 Baltimore Ravens *8:30Nov. 9 at New York Jets 1:00Nov. 17 at Tennessee Titans (Mon) 8:30Nov. 23 BYE WEEKNov. 30 New Orleans Saints 1:00Dec. 7 at Cincinnati Bengals 1:00Dec. 14 at Atlanta Falcons 1:00Dec. 21 Kansas City Chiefs 1:00Dec. 28 Cincinnati Bengals 1:00
houSton tExanS
Date OppOnent time (pm et)
Sept. 7 Washington Redskins 1:00Sept. 14 at Oakland Raiders 4:25Sept. 21 at New York Giants 1:00Sept. 28 Buffalo Bills 1:00Oct. 5 at Dallas Cowboys 1:00Oct. 9 Indianapolis Colts (Thu) 8:25Oct. 20 at Pittsburgh Steelers (Mon) 8:30Oct. 26 at Tennessee Titans 1:00Nov. 2 Philadelphia Eagles 1:00Nov. 9 BYE WEEKNov. 16 at Cleveland Browns 1:00Nov. 23 Cincinnati Bengals 1:00Nov. 30 Tennessee Titans 1:00Dec. 7 at Jacksonville Jaguars 1:00Dec. 14 at Indianapolis Colts 1:00Dec. 21 Baltimore Ravens 1:00Dec. 28 Jacksonville Jaguars 1:00
indianapoliS coltS
Date OppOnent time (pm et)
Sept. 7 at Denver Broncos 8:30Sept. 15 Philadelphia Eagles (Mon) 8:30Sept. 21 at Jacksonville Jaguars 1:00Sept. 28 Tennessee Titans 1:00Oct. 5 Baltimore Ravens 1:00Oct. 9 at Houston Texans (Thu) 8:25Oct. 19 Cincinnati Bengals 1:00Oct. 26 at Pittsburgh Steelers 4:25Nov. 3 at New York Giants (Mon) 8:30Nov. 9 BYE WEEKNov. 16 New England Patriots *8:30Nov. 23 Jacksonville Jaguars 1:00Nov. 30 Washington Redskins 1:00Dec. 7 at Cleveland Browns 1:00Dec. 14 Houston Texans 1:00Dec. 21 at Dallas Cowboys 4:25Dec. 28 at Tennessee Titans 1:00
JacKSonVillE JaguaRS
Date OppOnent time (pm et)
Sept. 7 at Philadelphia Eagles 1:00Sept. 14 at Washington Redskins 1:00Sept. 21 Indianapolis Colts 1:00Sept. 28 at San Diego Chargers 4:05Oct. 5 Pittsburgh Steelers 1:00Oct. 12 at Tennessee Titans 1:00Oct. 19 Cleveland Browns 1:00Oct. 26 Miami Dolphins 1:00Nov. 2 at Cincinnati Bengals 1:00Nov. 9 Dallas Cowboys (London) 1:00Nov. 16 BYE WEEKNov. 23 at Indianapolis Colts 1:00Nov. 30 New York Giants 1:00Dec. 7 Houston Texans 1:00Dec. 14 at Baltimore Ravens 1:00Dec. 18 Tennessee Titans (Thu) 8:25Dec. 28 at Houston Texans 1:00
tEnnESSEE titanS
Date OppOnent time (pm et)
Sept. 7 at Kansas City Chiefs 1:00Sept. 14 Dallas Cowboys 1:00Sept. 21 at Cincinnati Bengals 1:00Sept. 28 at Indianapolis Colts 1:00Oct. 5 Cleveland Browns 1:00Oct. 12 Jacksonville Jaguars 1:00Oct. 19 at Washington Redskins 1:00Oct. 26 Houston Texans 1:00Nov. 2 BYE WEEKNov. 9 at Baltimore Ravens 1:00Nov. 17 Pittsburgh Steelers (Mon) 8:30Nov. 23 at Philadelphia Eagles 1:00Nov. 30 at Houston Texans 1:00Dec. 7 New York Giants 1:00Dec. 14 New York Jets 4:05Dec. 18 at Jacksonville Jaguars (Thu) 8:25Dec. 28 Indianapolis Colts 1:00
dEnVER bRoncoS
Date OppOnent time (pm et)
Sept. 7 Indianapolis Colts 8:30Sept. 14 Kansas City Chiefs 4:25Sept. 21 at Seattle Seahawks 4:25Sept. 28 BYE WEEKOct. 5 Arizona Cardinals 4:05Oct. 12 at New York Jets 1:00Oct. 19 San Francisco 49ers *8:30Oct. 23 San Diego Chargers (Thu) 8:25Nov. 2 at New England Patriots 4:25Nov. 9 at Oakland Raiders 4:05Nov. 16 at St. Louis Rams 1:00Nov. 23 Miami Dolphins 4:25Nov. 30 at Kansas City Chiefs *8:30Dec. 7 Buffalo Bills 4:05Dec. 14 at San Diego Chargers 4:05Dec. 22 at Cincinnati Bengals (Mon) 8:30Dec. 28 Oakland Raiders 4:25
KanSaS citY chiEFS
Date OppOnent time (pm et)
Sept. 7 Tennessee Titans 1:00Sept. 14 at Denver Broncos 4:25Sept. 21 at Miami Dolphins 4:25Sept. 29 New England Patriots (Mon) 8:30Oct. 5 at San Francisco 49ers 4:25Oct. 12 BYE WEEKOct. 19 at San Diego Chargers 4:05Oct. 26 St. Louis Rams 1:00Nov. 2 New York Jets 1:00Nov. 9 at Buffalo Bills 1:00Nov. 16 Seattle Seahawks 1:00Nov. 20 at Oakland Raiders (Thu) 8:25Nov. 30 Denver Broncos *8:30Dec. 7 at Arizona Cardinals 4:05Dec. 14 Oakland Raiders 1:00Dec. 21 at Pittsburgh Steelers 1:00Dec. 28 San Diego Chargers 1:00
oaKland RaidERS
Date OppOnent time (pm et)
Sept. 7 at New York Jets 1:00Sept. 14 Houston Texans 4:25Sept. 21 at New England Patriots 1:00Sept. 28 Miami Dolphins (London) 1:00Oct. 5 BYE WEEKOct. 12 San Diego Chargers 4:05Oct. 19 Arizona Cardinals 4:25Oct. 26 at Cleveland Browns 4:25Nov. 2 at Seattle Seahawks 4:25Nov. 9 Denver Broncos 4:05Nov. 16 at San Diego Chargers 4:05Nov. 20 Kansas City Chiefs (Thu) 8:25Nov. 30 at St. Louis Rams 1:00Dec. 7 San Francisco 49ers 4:25Dec. 14 at Kansas City Chiefs 1:00Dec. 21 Buffalo Bills 4:25Dec. 28 at Denver Broncos 4:25
San diEgo chaRgERS
Date OppOnent time (pm et)
Sept. 8 at Arizona Cardinals (Mon) 10:20Sept. 14 Seattle Seahawks 4:05Sept. 21 at Buffalo Bills 1:00Sept. 28 Jacksonville Jaguars 4:05Oct. 5 New York Jets 4:25Oct. 12 at Oakland Raiders 4:05Oct. 19 Kansas City Chiefs 4:05Oct. 23 at Denver Broncos (Thu) 8:25Nov. 2 at Miami Dolphins 1:00Nov. 9 BYE WEEKNov. 16 Oakland Raiders 4:05Nov. 23 St. Louis Rams 4:05Nov. 30 at Baltimore Ravens 1:00Dec. 7 New England Patriots *8:30Dec. 14 Denver Broncos 4:05Dec. 20 at San Francisco 49ers (Sat) 8:15Dec. 28 at Kansas City Chiefs 1:00
>
StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2014 5
AFC EastAFC South
AFC West
NFC East
NFC N
orthCollege Top 25
AFC North
NFC South
NFC W
est
dallaS coWboYS
Date OppOnent time (pm et)
Sept. 7 San Francisco 49ers 4:25Sept. 14 at Tennessee Titans 1:00Sept. 21 at St. Louis Rams 1:00Sept. 28 New Orleans Saints 8:30Oct. 5 Houston Texans 1:00Oct. 12 at Seattle Seahawks 4:25Oct. 19 New York Giants 4:25Oct. 27 Washington Redskins (Mon) 8:30Nov. 2 Arizona Cardinals 1:00Nov. 9 Jacksonville Jaguars (London) 1:00Nov. 16 BYE WEEKNov. 23 at New York Giants *8:30Nov. 27 Philadelphia Eagles (Thu) 4:30Dec. 4 at Chicago Bears (Thu) 8:25Dec. 14 at Philadelphia Eagles *8:30Dec. 21 Indianapolis Colts 4:25Dec. 28 at Washington Redskins 1:00
nEW YoRK giantS
Date OppOnent time (pm et)
Sept. 8 at Detroit Lions (Mon) 7:10Sept. 14 Arizona Cardinals 1:00Sept. 21 Houston Texans 1:00Sept. 25 at Washington Redskins (Thu) 8:25Oct. 5 Atlanta Falcons 1:00Oct. 12 at Philadelphia Eagles *8:30Oct. 19 at Dallas Cowboys 4:25Oct. 26 BYE WEEKNov. 3 Indianapolis Colts (Mon) 8:30Nov. 9 at Seattle Seahawks 4:25Nov. 16 San Francisco 49ers 1:00Nov. 23 Dallas Cowboys *8:30Nov. 30 at Jacksonville Jaguars 1:00Dec. 7 at Tennessee Titans 1:00Dec. 14 Washington Redskins 1:00Dec. 21 at St. Louis Rams 4:05Dec. 28 Philadelphia Eagles 1:00
philadElphia EaglES
Date OppOnent time (pm et)
Sept. 7 Jacksonville Jaguars 1:00Sept. 15 at Indianapolis Colts (Mon) 8:30Sept. 21 Washington Redskins 1:00Sept. 28 at San Francisco 49ers 4:25Oct. 5 St. Louis Rams 1:00Oct. 12 New York Giants *8:30Oct. 19 BYE WEEKOct. 26 at Arizona Cardinals 4:05Nov. 2 at Houston Texans 1:00Nov. 10 Carolina Panthers (Mon) 8:30Nov. 16 at Green Bay Packers 1:00Nov. 23 Tennessee Titans 1:00Nov. 27 at Dallas Cowboys (Thu) 4:30Dec. 7 Seattle Seahawks 4:25Dec. 14 Dallas Cowboys *8:30Dec. 20 at Washington Redskins (Sat) 4:30Dec. 28 at New York Giants 1:00
WaShington REdSKinS
Date OppOnent time (pm et)
Sept. 7 at Houston Texans 1:00Sept. 14 Jacksonville Jaguars 1:00Sept. 21 at Philadelphia Eagles 1:00Sept. 25 New York Giants (Thu) 8:25Oct. 6 Seattle Seahawks (Mon) 8:30Oct. 12 at Arizona Cardinals 4:25Oct. 19 Tennessee Titans 1:00Oct. 27 at Dallas Cowboys (Mon) 8:30Nov. 2 at Minnesota Vikings 1:00Nov. 9 BYE WEEKNov. 16 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 1:00Nov. 23 at San Francisco 49ers 4:25Nov. 30 at Indianapolis Colts 1:00Dec. 7 St. Louis Rams 1:00Dec. 14 at New York Giants 1:00Dec. 20 Philadelphia Eagles (Sat) 4:30Dec. 28 Dallas Cowboys 1:00
chicago bEaRS
Date OppOnent time (pm et)
Sept. 7 Buffalo Bills 1:00Sept. 14 at San Francisco 49ers 8:30Sept. 22 at New York Jets (Mon) 8:30Sep. 28 Green Bay Packers 1:00Oct. 5 at Carolina Panthers 1:00Oct. 12 at Atlanta Falcons 1:00Oct. 19 Miami Dolphins 1:00Oct. 26 at New England Patriots 1:00Nov. 2 BYE WEEKNov. 9 at Green Bay Packers *8:30Nov. 16 Minnesota Vikings 1:00Nov. 23 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 1:00Nov. 27 at Detroit Lions (Thu) 12:30Dec. 4 Dallas Cowboys (Thu) 8:25Dec. 15 New Orleans Saints (Mon) 8:30Dec. 21 Detroit Lions 1:00Dec. 28 at Minnesota Vikings 1:00
dEtRoit lionS
Date OppOnent time (pm et)
Sept. 8 New York Giants (Mon) 7:10Sept. 14 at Carolina Panthers 1:00Sept. 21 Green Bay Packers 1:00Sept. 28 at New York Jets 1:00Oct. 5 Buffalo Bills 1:00Oct. 12 at Minnesota Vikings 1:00Oct. 19 New Orleans Saints 1:00Oct. 26 Atlanta Falcons (London) 9:30 a.m.Nov. 2 BYE WEEKNov. 9 Miami Dolphins 1:00Nov. 16 at Arizona Cardinals 4:25Nov. 23 at New England Patriots 1:00Nov. 27 Chicago Bears (Thu) 12:30Dec. 7 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 1:00Dec. 14 Minnesota Vikings 1:00Dec. 21 at Chicago Bears 1:00Dec. 28 at Green Bay Packers 1:00
gREEn baY pacKERS
Date OppOnent time (pm et)
Sept. 4 at Seattle Seahawks (Thu) 8:30Sept. 14 New York Jets 4:25Sept. 21 at Detroit Lions 1:00Sept. 28 at Chicago Bears 1:00Oct. 2 Minnesota Vikings (Thu) 8:25Oct. 12 at Miami Dolphins 1:00Oct. 19 Carolina Panthers 1:00Oct. 26 at New Orleans Saints *8:30Nov. 2 BYE WEEKNov. 9 Chicago Bears *8:30Nov. 16 Philadelphia Eagles 1:00Nov. 23 at Minnesota Vikings 1:00Nov. 30 New England Patriots 4:25Dec. 8 Atlanta Falcons (Mon) 8:30Dec. 14 at Buffalo Bills 1:00Dec. 21 at Tampa Bay Buccaneers 1:00Dec. 28 Detroit Lions 1:00
MinnESota ViKingS
Date OppOnent time (pm et)
Sept. 7 at St. Louis Rams 1:00Sept. 14 New England Patriots 1:00Sept. 21 at New Orleans Saints 1:00Sept. 28 Atlanta Falcons 4:25Oct. 2 at Green Bay Packers (Thu) 8:25Oct. 12 Detroit Lions 1:00Oct. 19 at Buffalo Bills 1:00Oct. 26 at Tampa Bay Buccaneers 1:00Nov. 2 Washington Redskins 1:00Nov. 9 BYE WEEKNov. 16 at Chicago Bears 1:00Nov. 23 Green Bay Packers 1:00Nov. 30 Carolina Panthers 1:00Dec. 7 New York Jets 1:00Dec. 14 at Detroit Lions 1:00Dec. 21 at Miami Dolphins 1:00Dec. 28 Chicago Bears 1:00
atlanta FalconS
Date OppOnent time (pm et)
Sept. 7 New Orleans Saints 1:00Sept. 14 at Cincinnati Bengals 1:00Sept. 18 Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Thu) 8:25Sept. 28 at Minnesota Vikings 4:25Oct. 5 at New York Giants 1:00Oct. 12 Chicago Bears 1:00Oct. 19 at Baltimore Ravens 1:00Oct. 26 Detroit Lions (London) 9:30 a.m.Nov. 2 BYE WEEKNov. 9 at Tampa Bay Buccaneers 1:00Nov. 16 at Carolina Panthers 1:00Nov. 23 Cleveland Browns 1:00Nov. 30 Arizona Cardinals 4:05Dec. 8 at Green Bay Packers (Mon) 8:30Dec. 14 Pittsburgh Steelers 1:00Dec. 21 at New Orleans Saints 1:00Dec. 28 Carolina Panthers 1:00
caRolina panthERS
Date OppOnent time (pm et)
Sept. 7 at Tampa Bay Buccaneers 4:25Sept. 14 Detroit Lions 1:00Sept. 21 Pittsburgh Steelers 8:30Sept. 28 at Baltimore Ravens 1:00Oct. 5 Chicago Bears 1:00Oct. 12 at Cincinnati Bengals 1:00Oct. 19 at Green Bay Packers 1:00Oct. 26 Seattle Seahawks 1:00Oct. 30 New Orleans Saints (Thu) 8:25Nov. 10 at Philadelphia Eagles (Mon) 8:30Nov. 16 Atlanta Falcons 1:00Nov. 23 BYE WEEKNov. 30 at Minnesota Vikings 1:00Dec. 7 at New Orleans Saints 1:00Dec. 14 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 1:00Dec. 21 Cleveland Browns 1:00Dec. 28 at Atlanta Falcons 1:00
nEW oRlEanS SaintS
Date OppOnent time (pm et)
Sept. 7 at Atlanta Falcons 1:00Sept. 14 at Cleveland Browns 1:00Sept. 21 Minnesota Vikings 1:00Sept. 28 at Dallas Cowboys 8:30Oct. 5 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 1:00Oct. 12 BYE WEEKOct. 19 at Detroit Lions 1:00Oct. 26 Green Bay Packers *8:30Oct. 30 at Carolina Panthers (Thu) 8:25Nov. 9 San Francisco 49ers 1:00Nov. 16 Cincinnati Bengals 1:00Nov. 24 Baltimore Ravens (Mon) 8:30Nov. 30 at Pittsburgh Steelers 1:00Dec. 7 Carolina Panthers 1:00Dec. 15 at Chicago Bears (Mon) 8:30Dec. 21 Atlanta Falcons 1:00Dec. 28 at Tampa Bay Buccaneers 1:00
taMpa baY buccanEERS
Date OppOnent time (pm et)
Sept. 7 Carolina Panthers 4:25Sept. 14 St. Louis Rams 4:05Sept. 18 at Atlanta Falcons (Thu) 8:25Sept. 28 at Pittsburgh Steelers 1:00Oct. 5 at New Orleans Saints 1:00Oct. 12 Baltimore Ravens 1:00Oct. 19 BYE WEEKOct. 26 Minnesota Vikings 1:00Nov. 2 at Cleveland Browns 1:00Nov. 9 Atlanta Falcons 1:00Nov. 16 at Washington Redskins 1:00Nov. 23 at Chicago Bears 1:00Nov. 30 Cincinnati Bengals 1:00Dec. 7 at Detroit Lions 1:00Dec. 14 at Carolina Panthers 1:00Dec. 21 Green Bay Packers 1:00Dec. 28 New Orleans Saints 1:00
aRizona caRdinalS
Date OppOnent time (pm et)
Sept. 8 San Diego Chargers (Mon) 10:20Sept. 14 at New York Giants 1:00Sept. 21 San Francisco 49ers 4:05Sept. 28 BYE WEEKOct. 5 at Denver Broncos 4:05Oct. 12 Washington Redskins 4:25Oct. 19 at Oakland Raiders 4:25Oct. 26 Philadelphia Eagles 4:05Nov. 2 at Dallas Cowboys 1:00Nov. 9 St. Louis Rams 4:25Nov. 16 Detroit Lions 4:25Nov. 23 at Seattle Seahawks 4:05Nov. 30 at Atlanta Falcons 4:05Dec. 7 Kansas City Chiefs 4:05Dec. 11 at St. Louis Rams (Thu) 8:25Dec. 21 Seattle Seahawks *8:30Dec. 28 at San Francisco 49ers 4:25
Saint louiS RaMS
Date OppOnent time (pm et)
Sept. 7 Minnesota Vikings 1:00Sept. 14 at Tampa Bay Buccaneers 4:05Sept. 21 Dallas Cowboys 1:00Sept. 28 BYE WEEKOct. 5 at Philadelphia Eagles 1:00Oct. 13 San Francisco 49ers (Mon) 8:30Oct. 19 Seattle Seahawks 1:00Oct. 26 at Kansas City Chiefs 1:00Nov. 2 at San Francisco 49ers 4:05Nov. 9 at Arizona Cardinals 4:25Nov. 16 Denver Broncos 1:00Nov. 23 at San Diego Chargers 4:05Nov. 30 Oakland Raiders 1:00Dec. 7 at Washington Redskins 1:00Dec. 11 Arizona Cardinals (Thu) 8:25Dec. 21 New York Giants 4:05Dec. 28 at Seattle Seahawks 4:25
San FRanciSco 49ers
Date OppOnent time (pm et)
Sept. 7 at Dallas Cowboys 4:25Sept. 14 Chicago Bears 8:30Sept. 21 at Arizona Cardinals 4:05Sept. 28 Philadelphia Eagles 4:25Oct. 5 Kansas City Chiefs 4:25Oct. 13 at St. Louis Rams (Mon) 8:30Oct. 19 at Denver Broncos *8:30Oct. 26 BYE WEEKNov. 2 St. Louis Rams 4:05Nov. 9 at New Orleans Saints 1:00Nov. 16 at New York Giants 1:00Nov. 23 Washington Redskins 4:25Nov. 27 Seattle Seahawks (Thu) 8:30Dec. 7 at Oakland Raiders 4:25Dec. 14 at Seattle Seahawks 4:25Dec. 20 San Diego Chargers (Sat) 8:15Dec. 28 Arizona Cardinals 4:25
SEattlE SEahaWKS
Date OppOnent time (pm et)
Sept. 4 Green Bay Packers (Thu) 8:30Sep. 14 at San Diego Chargers 4:05Sep. 21 Denver Broncos 4:25Sep. 28 BYE WEEKOct. 6 at Washington Redskins (Mon) 8:30Oct. 12 Dallas Cowboys 4:25Oct. 19 at St. Louis Rams 1:00Oct. 26 at Carolina Panthers 1:00Nov. 2 Oakland Raiders 4:25Nov. 9 New York Giants 4:25Nov. 16 at Kansas City Chiefs 1:00Nov. 23 Arizona Cardinals 4:05Nov. 27 at San Francisco 49ers (Thu) 8:30Dec. 7 at Philadelphia Eagles 4:25Dec. 14 San Francisco 49ers 4:25Dec. 21 at Arizona Cardinals *8:30Dec. 28 St. Louis Rams 4:25
<2014 nFc tEaM-bY-tEaM SchEdulES>N
FL SchedulesFootball Futures
College Teams
Football FutuRES: oddS to Win . . .>
6 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2014
natiOnal champiOnship super BOwl XliX cOnference title Game
Florida State 6/1
Alabama 13/2
Oregon 7/1
Ohio State 10/1
Auburn 10/1
UCLA 15/1
Oklahoma 15/1
Georgia 20/1
LSU 23/1
South Carolina 25/1
Michigan State 30/1
Baylor 30/1
Wisconsin 30/1
USC 35/1
Florida 40/1
Notre Dame 45/1
Ole Miss 45/1
Texas 50/1
Stanford 55/1
Arizona State 55/1
Michigan 65/1
Nebraska 80/1
Kansas State 80/1
Clemson 80/1
Washington 85/1
Missouri 100/1
Texas A&M 110/1
Oklahoma State 110/1
North Carolina 110/1
Arizona 110/1
Iowa 110/1
Mississippi State 110/1
Miami Florida 110/1
Denver Broncos 6/1
Seattle Seahawks 7/1
San Francisco 49ers 17/2
New England Patriots 10/1
Green Bay Packers 14/1
New Orleans Saints 18/1
Indianapolis Colts 23/1
Chicago Bears 25/1
Philadelphia Eagles 30/1
Pittsburgh Steelers 32/1
Cincinnati Bengals 32/1
Detroit Lions 38/1
Baltimore Ravens 40/1
Carolina Panthers 40/1
New York Giants 45/1
Dallas Cowboys 47/1
Arizona Cardinals 50/1
San Diego Chargers 50/1
Kansas City Chiefs 50/1
St. Louis Rams 50/1
Atlanta Falcons 52/1
Washington Redskins 55/1
Houston Texans 65/1
Miami Dolphins 65/1
New York Jets 70/1
Buffalo Bills 75/1
Cleveland Browns 75/1
Tampa Bay Buccanneers 78/1
Tennessee Titans 90/1
Minnesota Vikings 130/1
Oakland Raiders 150/1
Jacksonville Jaguars 250/1
Denver Broncos 11/5
New England Patriots 3/1
Seattle Seahawks 16/5
San Francisco 49ers 21/5
Green Bay Packers 15/2
New Orleans Saints 17/2
Chicago Bears 14/1
Indianapolis Colts 14/1
Pittsburgh Steelers 15/1
Cincinnati Bengals 15/1
Philadelphia Eagles 15/1
San Diego Chargers 20/1
Baltimore Ravens 20/1
Kansas City Chiefs 20/1
Detroit Lions 23/1
Carolina Panthers 25/1
Dallas Cowboys 25/1
Houston Texans 25/1
New York Giants 26/1
St. Louis Rams 27/1
Atlanta Falcons 28/1
New York Jets 28/1
Washington Redskins 29/1
Arizona Cardinals 30/1
Miami Dolphins 30/1
Cleveland Browns 30/1
Buffalo Bills 35/1
Tennessee Titans 35/1
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 40/1
Minnesota Vikings 75/1
Oakland Raiders 80/1
Jacksonville Jaguars 110/1
StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2014 7
2014 FantaSY Football FocuS>
AFC EastN
FL SchedulesAFC South
AFC West
NFC East
NFC N
orthN
FC West
College Teams
AFC North
NFC South
ODDs tO win DiVisiOn title
twO men GiVe their OpiniOns On the 2014 seasOn
Denver Broncos -275
New England Patriots -250
Indianapolis Colts -140
Green Bay Packers -110
New Orleans Saints EVEN
Seattle Seahawks +120
Philadelphia Eagles +125
San Francisco 49ers +140
Pittsburgh Steelers +200
Cincinnati Bengals +200
Chicago Bears +250
Baltimore Ravens +250
Houston Texans +260
New York Giants +300
Carolina Panthers +325
Atlanta Falcons +325
Dallas Cowboys +375
Detroit Lions +400
Washington Redskins +450
Miami Dolphins +450
Tennessee Titans +475
Cleveland Browns +500
Kansas City Chiefs +500
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +550
San Diego Chargers +550
Arizona Cardinals +700
New York Jets +750
St. Louis Rams +800
Buffalo Bills +850
Minnesota Vikings +1000
Jacksonville Jaguars +1400
Oakland Raiders +1800
Ga ry B e n n e t t S e n i o r W r i t e r
top fantasy Quarterback Peyton manning, Broncos Quarterback sleeper Josh mcCown, Buccaneers Quarterback Bust matthew stafford, lions top fantasy running Back lesean mcCoy, eagles running Back sleeper Bishop sankey, titans Deepest rB sleeper Khiry Robinson, saints running Back Bust Frank Gore, 49ers top fantasy receiver Calvin Johnson, lions wide receiver sleeper Rueben Randle, Giants Deepest wr sleeper Kelvin Benjamin, panthers wide receiver Bust andre Johnson, texans top fantasy tight end Jimmy Graham, saints tight end sleeper Zach ertz, eagles Deepest te sleeper travis Kelce, chiefs tight end Bust Jason Witten, cowboys top fantasy Kicker stephen Gostkowski, patritos Kicker sleeper Randy Bullock, texans Kicker Bust adam Vinatieri, colts top fantasy Defense seattle seahawks Defense sleeper Houston texans Defense Bust arizona Cardinals
t i m S t e p h e n S a S S o c i at e e d i t o r
top fantasy Quarterback Peyton manning, Broncos Quarterback sleeper Ryan tannehill, Dolphins Quarterback Bust nick Foles, eagles top fantasy running Back Jamaal Charles, chiefs running Back sleeper Rashad Jennings, Giants Deepest rB sleeper Devonta Freeman, falcons running Back Bust Ray Rice, ravens top fantasy receiver Calvin Johnson, lions wide receiver sleeper Kenny stills, saints Deepest wr sleeper markus Wheaton, steelers wide receiver Bust Desean Jackson, redskins top fantasy tight end Jimmy Graham, saints tight end sleeper ladarius Green, chargers Deepest te sleeper Garrett Graham, texans tight end Bust antonio Gates, chargers top fantasy Kicker matt Prater, Broncos Kicker sleeper Dan Carpenter, Bills Kicker Bust nick novak, chargers top fantasy Defense seattle seahawks Defense sleeper Cleveland Browns Defense Bust Kansas City Chiefs
aFc StandinGSEAST ........................W .......... L
new england ..........13 ........... 3miami* .......................9 ........... 7new york Jets ............5 ..........11Buffalo .......................4 ..........12
NORTH.....................W .......... L
Baltimore .................10 ........... 6pittsburgh* ................9 ........... 7cincinnati ..................8 ........... 8cleveland ..................6 ..........10
SOUTH .....................W .......... L
indianapolis ...........11 ........... 5houston .....................6 ..........10Jacksonville ..............5 ..........11tennessee ..................4 ..........12
WEST .......................W .......... L
denver ......................12 ........... 4San diego ..................8 ........... 8Kansas city ...............7 ........... 9oakland .....................3 ..........13
*wildcard
aFc pLayoFF predictionSWiLdcard WeeKend: Dolphins over ravens colts over steelers
diViSionaL roUnd: Broncos over coltspatriots over Dolphins
aFc championShip: patriots over Broncos
SUper BoWL XLVii prediction:49erS 27, patriotS 17
nFc StandinGSEAST ........................W .......... L
dallas .........................9 ........... 7philadelphia .............8 ........... 8new york Giants .......7 ........... 9Washington ...............6 ..........10
NORTH.....................W .......... L
chicago ....................11 ........... 5Green Bay* ..............10 ........... 6detroit ........................9 ........... 7minnesota .................4 ..........12
SOUTH .....................W .......... L
new orleans ...........10 ........... 6tampa Bay .................9 ........... 7carolina .....................7 ........... 9atlanta .......................6 ..........10
WEST .......................W .......... L
San Francisco .........13 ........... 3Seattle* ....................12 ........... 4St. Louis .....................8 ........... 8arizona ......................7 ........... 9
*wildcard
nFc pLayoFF predictionSWiLdcard WeeKend: seahawks over cowboyspackers over saints
diViSionaL roUnd: seahawks over Bears49ers over packers
nFc championShip: 49ers over seahawks
2014 pREdictEd oRdER oF FiniSh>Football Futures
College Top 25
8 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2014
sept. 7
sept. 14
sept. 21
sept. 28
Oct. 5
Oct. 12
Oct. 19
Oct. 26
nov. 2
nov. 9
nov. 13
nov. 23
nov. 30
Dec. 7
Dec. 14
Dec. 21
Dec. 28
Situational REcoRdS
2014 SchEdulE
at Chicago Bears
Miami Dolphins
San Diego Chargers
at Houston Texans
at Detroit Lions
New England Patriots
Minnesota Vikings
at New York Jets
BYE WEEK
Kansas City Chiefs
at Miami Dolphins
New York Jets
Cleveland Browns
at Denver Broncos
Green Bay Packers
at Oakland Raiders
at New England Patriots
aFc EaSt>BUFFALO BILLS
ScEnaRio 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 6-YR total 6-YR%
STRAIGHT UP 7–9 6–10 4–12 6–10 6–10 6–10 35–61 36.5%
OVERALL ATS 7–9 8–7 7–7 6–9 7–9 8–8 43–49 46.7%
PRESEASON ATS 3–1 1–3 2–2 1–3 1–3 1–2 9–14 39.1%
HOME ATS 2–5 3–3 2–4 3–4 4–3 6–1 20–20 50.0%
ROAD ATS 5–4 5–4 5–3 3–5 3–6 2–7 23–29 44.2%
VS DIVISION ATS 1–5 3–2 2–4 2–4 3–3 4–2 15–20 42.9%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 5–7 6–5 7–5 4–8 6–6 7–5 35–36 49.3%
AS FAVORITE ATS 3–5 3–1 0–1 1–4 5–2 2–1 14–14 50.0%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 4–4 5–6 7–6 5–5 2–7 6–7 29–35 45.3%
2013 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/8 NWE L 21-23 W (+10) U (51)9/15 CAR W 24-23 W (+3½) O (43½)9/22 at NYJ L 20-27 L (+2½) O (40½)9/29 BAL W 23-20 W (+3½) U (45)10/3 at CLE L 24-37 L (+3½) O (41)10/13 CIN L 24-27 W (+5½) O (41)10/20 at MIA W 23-21 W (+5½) P (44)10/27 at NOR L 17-35 L (+10) O (48)11/3 KAN L 13-23 L (+4½) U (41)11/10 at PIT L 10-23 L (+2½) U (43)11/17 NYJ W 37-14 W (+2½) O (39)12/1 vs ATL L 31-34 L (-5) O (48½)12/8 at TAM L 6-27 L (+3) U (42½)12/15 at JAC W 27-20 W (-4) O (43½)12/22 MIA W 19-0 W (-1) U (42)12/29 at NWE L 20-34 L (+7½) O (46)
2010-13 REgulaR SEaSon gaME logS
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring -3.1 22
Yardage +4.8 16
Yds Per Play -0.05 16
Yds Per Point +2.21 25
Turnovers +3 12
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 21.2 22
1st Dwn/Gm 18.8 T22
Yards/Game 338.1 19
Yds Per Play 4.85 29
Yds Per Point 15.96 25
Rush Yds/Gm 144.2 2
Yards Per Rush 4.23 14
Pass Att/Game 32.6 24
Comp/Game 18.7 26
Completion % 57.3 29
Pass Yds/Gm 193.9 28
Pass Yds/Att 5.94 28
INTs Thrown 15 16
Sacks Allowed 48 T28
Att/Sack 10.9 28
Sack Yards 270 T14
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Allowed 24.3 20
1st Dwn/Gm 19.2 12
Yards/Game 333.4 10
Yds Per Play 4.90 6
Yds Per Point 13.75 24
Rush Yds/Gm 128.9 28
Yards Per Rush 4.38 23
Pass Att/Game 35.1 16
Comp/Game 19.4 4
Completion % 55.3 1
Pass Yds/Gm 204.4 4
Pass Yds/Att 5.83 3
Interceptions 23 2
Sacks 57 2
Att/Sack 9.8 3
Sack Yards 395 2
Offensive coordinator Nathaniel Hackett brought a much different look to the Bills’ running game in his first season with the team in 2013, and it didn’t do C.J. Spiller any favors. Buffalo uses a lot of read option plays to try to take advantage of quarterback EJ Manuel’s mobility. Spiller was hesitant in read option situations, and Manuel was fragile as a rookie, so they might move back to a more traditional look this year. Spiller figures to take back more of a No. 1 workload from Fred Jackson, though that was the plan a year ago and Jackson proved too valuable to keep off the field. Bryce Brown provides insurance for the aging Jackson. In the red zone, the Bills quickly moved away from Spiller in goal-to-go situations, opting for Jackson’s more decisive running instead.
Hackett uses play-action and crossing action in the middle of the field. Rookie Sammy Watkins will likely be penciled in at flank-er, where they’ll rely on his YAC ability to make Manuel’s life easier. After spending the early part of the year on the perimeter last year, No. 2 WR Robert Woods should work a larger set of routes, similar to what former No. 1 receiver Stevie Johnson used to run. Marquise Goodwin figures to overtake T.J. Graham as their primary deep threat, while Mike Williams comes in as a red zone specialist. Tight end Scott Chandler will be utilized as a receiver underneath.
The Bills will be playing for their third defensive coordina-tor in three years with Jim Schwartz replacing Mike Pettine, who improved this group a lot in 2013, especially with sacks and inter-ceptions. Free agent outside linebackers Keith Rivers and Brandon Spikes will greatly help Buffalo’s transition to a 4-3 scheme.
2010 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/12 vs MIA L 10-15 L (+3) U (39)9/19 at GNB L 7-34 L (+12½) U (42½)9/26 at NWE L 30-38 W (+14) O (42½)10/3 vs NYJ L 14-38 L (+5) O (36½)10/10 vs JAC L 26-36 L (-3) O (41½)10/24 at BAL L 34-37 W (+12½) O (39½)10/31 at KAN L 10-13 W (+7) U (45½)11/7 vs CHI L 19-22 P (+3) U (41½)11/14 vs DET W 14-12 P (-2) U (44½)11/21 at CIN W 49-31 W (+4) O (41)11/28 vs PIT L 16-19 W (+6½) U (43½)12/5 at MIN L 14-38 L (+5½) O (43½)12/12 vs CLE W 13-6 W (0) U (39½)12/19 at MIA W 17-14 W (+6) U (40)12/26 vs NWE L 3-34 L (+7) U (46)1/2 at NYJ L 7-38 L (0) O (38)
2011 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/11 at KAN W 41-7 W (+4) O (39½)9/18 vs OAK W 38-35 L (-3½) O (41)9/25 vs NWE W 34-31 W (+7) O (53½)10/2 at CIN L 20-23 L (-3) O (42)10/9 vs PHI W 31-24 W (+3) O (52½)10/16 at NYG L 24-27 P (+3) O (49)10/30 vs WAS W 23-0 W (-4) U (46)11/6 vs NYJ L 11-27 L (-2½) U (45)11/13 at DAL L 7-44 L (+4½) O (48½)11/20 at MIA L 8-35 L (+3) U (44)11/27 at NYJ L 24-28 W (+9) O (42½)12/4 vs TEN L 17-23 L (-1) U (44)12/11 at SDG L 10-37 L (+7) U (49½)12/18 vs MIA L 23-30 L (0) O (43)12/24 vs DEN W 40-14 W (+3) O (43½)1/1 at NWE L 21-49 L (+10) O (50)
2012 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/9 at NYJ L 28-48 L (+3) O (39)9/16 KAN W 35-17 W (-3) O (45)9/23 at CLE W 24-14 W (-3) U (45)9/30 NWE L 28-52 L (+3½) O (47½)10/7 at SFO L 3-45 L (+10) O (45½)10/14 at ARI W 19-16 W (+5½) U (44½)10/21 TEN L 34-35 L (-4½) O (46½)11/4 at HOU L 9-21 L (+11) U (48)11/11 at NWE L 31-37 W (+13½) O (54)11/15 MIA W 19-14 W (-3) U (46)11/25 at IND L 13-20 L (+2) U (51)12/2 JAC W 34-18 W (-6) O (41½)12/9 STL L 12-15 L (-3) U (42½)12/16 vs SEA L 17-50 L (+4) O (44½)12/23 at MIA L 10-24 L (+5) U (43)12/30 NYJ W 28-9 W (-3) U (40½)
StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2014 9
AFC EastFootball Futures
NFL Schedules
AFC SouthAFC W
estN
FC EastN
FC North
NFC W
estCollege Top 25
College Teams
AFC North
NFC South
aFc EaSt
MIAMI DOLPHINS
2013 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/8 at CLE W 23-10 W (+2½) U (40½)9/15 at IND W 24-20 W (+1½) O (43½)9/22 ATL W 27-23 W (-3) O (45)9/30 at NOR L 17-38 L (+6½) O (48½)10/6 BAL L 23-26 L (-3) O (43)10/20 BUF L 21-23 L (-5½) P (44)10/27 at NWE L 17-27 L (+6) U (46)10/31 CIN W 22-20 W (+3) P (42)11/11 at TAM L 19-22 L (-2½) O (39)11/17 SDG W 20-16 W (+3) U (44½)11/24 CAR L 16-20 W (+4½) U (40)12/1 at NYJ W 23-3 W (-1½) U (39½)12/8 at PIT W 34-28 W (+3) O (41)12/15 NWE W 24-20 W (-2½) U (46½)12/22 at BUF L 0-19 L (+1) U (42)12/29 NYJ L 7-20 L (-7) U (41)
2010-13 REgulaR SEaSon gaME logS2010 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/12 at BUF W 15-10 W (-3) U (39)9/19 at MIN W 14-10 W (+5½) U (41)9/26 vs NYJ L 23-31 L (-2) O (35½)10/4 vs NWE L 14-41 L (pk) O (48½)10/17 at GNB W 23-20 W (+3) U (44)10/24 vs PIT L 22-23 W (+3) O (40)10/31 at CIN W 22-14 W (-1) U (44)11/7 at BAL L 10-26 L (+5) U (41)11/14 vs TEN W 29-17 W (-1½) O (43)11/18 vs CHI L 0-16 L (-3) U (40)11/28 at OAK W 33-17 W (+3) O (38)12/5 vs CLE L 10-13 L (-6) U (43½)12/12 at NYJ W 10-6 W (+4½) U (38)12/19 vs BUF L 14-17 L (-6) U (40)12/26 vs DET L 27-34 L (-3½) O (41½)1/2 at NWE L 7-38 L (+4) O (44)
2011 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/12 vs NWE L 24-38 L (+7) O (46½)9/18 vs HOU L 13-23 L (+3) U (47)9/25 at CLE L 16-17 W (+2) U (41)10/2 at SDG L 16-26 L (+6½) U (45)10/17 at NYJ L 6-24 L (+7) U (41)10/23 vs DEN L 15-18 L (+1) U (41½)10/30 at NYG L 17-20 W (+9½) U (43)11/6 at KAN W 31-3 W (+5½) U (40½)11/13 vs WAS W 20-9 W (-4) U (38)11/20 vs BUF W 35-8 W (-3) U (44)11/24 at DAL L 19-20 W (+7) U (46)12/4 vs OAK W 34-14 W (-3) O (43)12/11 vs PHI L 10-26 L (-3) U (44½)12/18 at BUF W 30-23 W (0) O (43)12/24 at NWE L 24-27 W (+7) O (49)1/1 vs NYJ W 19-17 P (-2) U (38½)
2012 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/9 at HOU L 10-30 L (+13) U (41½)9/16 OAK W 35-13 W (+1½) O (41)9/23 NYJ L 20-23 P (+3) O (40½)9/30 at ARI L 21-24 W (+4) O (39)10/7 at CIN W 17-13 W (+3) U (45)10/14 STL W 17-14 L (-5½) U (37½)10/28 at NYJ W 30-9 W (+1) P (39)11/4 at IND L 20-23 L (-3) U (43½)11/11 TEN L 3-37 L (-7) U (44)11/15 at BUF L 14-19 L (+3) U (46)11/25 SEA W 24-21 W (+3) O (37½)12/2 NWE L 16-23 P (+7) U (51)12/9 at SFO L 13-27 L (+11) O (38½)12/16 JAC W 24-3 W (-7) U (38½)12/23 BUF W 24-10 W (-5) U (43)12/30 at NWE L 0-28 L (+11½) U (48)
sept. 7
sept. 14
sept. 21
sept. 28
Oct. 5
Oct. 12
Oct. 19
Oct. 26
nov. 2
nov. 9
nov. 13
nov. 23
Dec. 1
Dec. 7
Dec. 14
Dec. 21
Dec. 28
Situational REcoRdS
2014 SchEdulE
New England Patriots
at Buffalo Bills
Kansas City Chiefs
Oakland Raiders (London)
BYE WEEK
Green Bay Packers
at Chicago Bears
at Jacksonville Jaguars
San Diego Chargers
at Detroit Lions
Buffalo Bills
at Denver Broncos
at New York Jets
Baltimore Ravens
at New England Patriots
Minnesota Vikings
New York Jets
>
ScEnaRio 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 6-YR total 6-YR%
STRAIGHT UP 11–6 7–9 7–9 6–10 7–9 8–8 46–51 47.4%
OVERALL ATS 8–9 8–8 8–8 9–6 7–7 9–7 49–45 52.1%
PRESEASON ATS 3–1 3–0 1–3 3–1 0–4 1–4 11–13 45.8%
HOME ATS 2–7 3–5 2–6 3–4 4–2 5–3 19–27 41.3%
ROAD ATS 6–2 5–3 6–2 6–2 3–5 4–4 30–18 62.5%
VS DIVISION ATS 4–2 5–1 2–4 3–2 2–2 2–4 18–15 54.5%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 8–5 7–5 6–6 6–5 5–5 7–5 39–31 55.7%
AS FAVORITE ATS 2–5 1–3 3–5 3–1 2–3 3–4 14–21 40.0%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 6–4 7–5 5–3 6–5 5–4 6–3 35–24 59.3%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring -1.1 18
Yardage -46.4 28
Yds Per Play -0.20 22
Yds Per Point -1.37 11
Turnovers -2 18
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 19.8 26
1st Dwn/Gm 17.4 29
Yards/Game 312.9 27
Yds Per Play 5.00 26
Yds Per Point 15.79 22
Rush Yds/Gm 90.0 26
Yards Per Rush 4.13 17
Pass Att/Game 37.1 10
Comp/Game 22.3 16
Completion % 60.1 18
Pass Yds/Gm 222.9 20
Pass Yds/Att 6.01 27
INTs Thrown 19 T20
Sacks Allowed 58 32
Att/Sack 10.2 30
Sack Yards 399 32
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Allowed 20.9 8
1st Dwn/Gm 20.4 T17
Yards/Game 359.4 21
Yds Per Play 5.20 11
Yds Per Point 17.16 6
Rush Yds/Gm 124.9 24
Yards Per Rush 4.13 18
Pass Att/Game 36.2 20
Comp/Game 21.5 T15
Completion % 59.3 14
Pass Yds/Gm 234.5 16
Pass Yds/Att 6.47 12
Interceptions 18 T10
Sacks 42 T11
Att/Sack 13.8 12
Sack Yards 272 13
Miami has a new offensive coordinator in Bill Lazor, a new offensive line coach in John Benton, a new starting RB in Knowshon Moreno, and a revamped offensive line. It may take a few games to get the zone-blocking scheme going. The Dolphins were the third-most pass-heavy team in the NFL last year—considering Lazor’s background as a quarterbacks coach, they figure to keep relying on the passing game. Moreno figures to take the bulk of the work, with Lamar Miller and Daniel Thomas (if he makes the team) battling for scraps behind him. Thomas took the bulk of the red zone touches as last year went on, but Moreno is expected to take most of these reps in 2014.
After a year as a quarterbacks coach in Philly, Lazor figures to bring a more up-tempo, spread philosophy to the Dolphins. Miami is expect-ed to rely on Mike Wallace more often this year, especially in more catch-and-run situations. Moreno will see heavy work in the screen game. Brian Hartline figures to be more of a traditional possession receiver, with he, Jarvis Landry and tight end Charles Clay working a lot of deep crossing routes. Clay is likely to work downfield much more often than he did last season. It’s an offense with some slow developing routes, so quarterback Ryan Tannehill is probably going take a ton of hits again. When the Dolphins throw in the red zone, Clay was targeted often, as was Brandon Gibson before his season-ending knee injury.
The Dolphins were able to improve their secondary this offsea-son by signing a couple of seasoned veterans in cornerback Cortland Finnegan and safety Louis Delmas, but this unit doesn’t have a whole lot of star power other than defensive ends Cameron Wake and Olivier Vernon, who combined for 20 sacks last year.
10 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2014
aFc EaSt
NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS
2013 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/8 at BUF W 23-21 L (-10) U (51)9/12 NYJ W 13-10 L (-10½) U (43½)9/22 TAM W 23-3 W (-7) U (44½)9/29 at ATL W 30-23 W (+3) O (49½)10/6 at CIN L 6-13 L (-2) U (45½)10/13 NOR W 30-27 W (-2½) O (51)10/20 at NYJ L 27-30 L (-3) O (43)10/27 MIA W 27-17 W (-6) U (46)11/3 PIT W 55-31 W (-5½) O (42½)11/18 at CAR L 20-24 L (+3) U (45½)11/24 DEN W 34-31 W (+1) O (53½)12/1 at HOU W 34-31 L (-7) O (49)12/8 CLE W 27-26 L (-9½) O (47½)12/15 at MIA L 20-24 L (+2½) U (46½)12/22 at BAL W 41-7 W (-1½) O (45)12/29 BUF W 34-20 W (-7½) O (46)
2010-13 REgulaR SEaSon gaME logS2010 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/12 vs CIN W 38-24 W (-5) O (45)9/19 at NYJ L 14-28 L (-3) O (39½)9/26 vs BUF W 38-30 L (-14) O (42½)10/4 at MIA W 41-14 W (pk) O (48½)10/17 vs BAL W 23-20 P (-3) U (44½)10/24 at SDG W 23-20 W (+3) U (49)10/31 vs MIN W 28-18 W (-5) O (45)11/7 at CLE L 14-34 L (-4) O (43½)11/14 at PIT W 39-26 W (+4) O (45)11/21 vs IND W 31-28 L (-4) O (49)11/25 at DET W 45-24 W (-6) O (50)12/6 vs NYJ W 45-3 W (-4) O (44)12/12 at CHI W 36-7 W (-3) O (37½)12/19 vs GNB W 31-27 L (-14) O (43½)12/26 at BUF W 34-3 W (-7) U (46)1/2 vs MIA W 38-7 W (-4) O (44)
2011 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/12 at MIA W 38-24 W (-7) O (46½)9/18 vs SDG W 35-21 W (-6) O (53½)9/25 at BUF L 31-34 L (-7) O (53½)10/2 at OAK W 31-19 W (-6) U (55½)10/9 vs NYJ W 30-21 W (-7½) O (50)10/16 vs DAL W 20-16 L (-6½) U (54)10/30 at PIT L 17-25 L (-3) U (51½)11/6 vs NYG L 20-24 L (-9½) U (52)11/13 at NYJ W 37-16 W (+3) O (47)11/21 vs KAN W 34-3 W (-17) U (46½)11/27 at PHI W 38-20 W (-3) O (51)12/4 vs IND W 31-24 L (-20) O (48)12/11 at WAS W 34-27 P (-7) O (46½)12/18 at DEN W 41-23 W (-7) O (47½)12/24 vs MIA W 27-24 L (-7) O (49)1/1 vs BUF W 49-21 W (-10) O (50)
2012 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/9 at TEN W 34-13 W (-5) U (48)9/16 ARI L 18-20 L (-13) U (46½)9/23 at BAL L 30-31 W (+3) O (48)9/30 at BUF W 52-28 W (-3½) O (47½)10/7 DEN W 31-21 W (-6) O (50½)10/14 at SEA L 23-24 L (-4) O (42½)10/21 NYJ W 29-26 L (-11) O (47½)10/28 vs STL W 45-7 W (-7) O (46)11/11 BUF W 37-31 L (-13½) O (54)11/18 IND W 59-24 W (-10) O (54)11/22 at NYJ W 49-19 W (-7) O (48½)12/2 at MIA W 23-16 P (-7) U (51)12/10 HOU W 42-14 W (-5½) O (50½)12/16 SFO L 34-41 L (-4) O (47½)12/23 at JAC W 23-16 L (-13½) U (51½)12/30 MIA W 28-0 W (-11½) U (48)
sept. 7
sept. 14
sept. 21
sept. 29
Oct. 5
Oct. 12
Oct. 16
Oct. 26
nov. 2
nov. 9
nov. 16
nov. 23
nov. 30
Dec. 7
Dec. 14
Dec. 21
Dec. 28
Situational REcoRdS
2014 SchEdulE
at Miami Dolphins
at Minnesota Vikings
Oakland Raiders
at Kansas City Chiefs
Cincinnati Bengals
at Buffalo Bills
New York Jets
Chicago Bears
Denver Broncos
BYE WEEK
at Indianapolis Colts
Detroit Lions
at Green Bay Packers
at San Diego Chargers
Miami Dolphins
at New York Jets
Buffalo Bills
>
ScEnaRio 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 6-YR total 6-YR%
STRAIGHT UP 11–5 10–7 14–3 15–4 13–5 13–5 76–29 72.4%
OVERALL ATS 9–7 8–8 10–6 10–8 10–7 9–9 56–45 55.4%
PRESEASON ATS 0–4 2–2 2–1 2–2 0–4 3–1 9–14 39.1%
HOME ATS 3–5 5–4 4–4 5–5 5–5 7–2 29–25 53.7%
ROAD ATS 6–2 3–4 6–2 5–3 5–2 2–7 27–20 57.4%
VS DIVISION ATS 4–2 1–4 4–3 4–2 3–2 2–4 18–17 51.4%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 7–5 6–6 7–5 9–5 9–4 6–8 44–33 57.1%
AS FAVORITE ATS 8–6 6–7 7–6 9–8 9–7 7–6 46–40 53.5%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 1–1 2–1 3–0 1–0 1–0 2–3 10–5 66.7%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring +6.6 8
Yardage +11.4 13
Yds Per Play +0.07 12
Yds Per Point -3.80 5
Turnovers +9 8
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 27.8 3
1st Dwn/Gm 23.6 2
Yards/Game 384.5 7
Yds Per Play 5.41 11
Yds Per Point 13.86 9
Rush Yds/Gm 129.1 9
Yards Per Rush 4.39 9
Pass Att/Game 39.2 7
Comp/Game 23.8 4
Completion % 60.5 16
Pass Yds/Gm 255.4 10
Pass Yds/Att 6.51 15
INTs Thrown 11 T7
Sacks Allowed 40 T12
Att/Sack 15.7 9
Sack Yards 256 13
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Allowed 21.1 10
1st Dwn/Gm 21.1 26
Yards/Game 373.1 26
Yds Per Play 5.34 17
Yds Per Point 17.66 5
Rush Yds/Gm 134.1 30
Yards Per Rush 4.46 24
Pass Att/Game 36.8 23
Comp/Game 21.0 11
Completion % 57.0 4
Pass Yds/Gm 239.0 18
Pass Yds/Att 6.49 13
Interceptions 17 T12
Sacks 48 5
Att/Sack 12.3 7
Sack Yards 313 6
Offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels has always had a strong preference for the power running game, using a lot of classic looks with pulling guards opening up room on between-the-tackles runs. Stevan Ridley had every chance to become a full-fledged feature back the past two seasons, but his tendency to put the ball on the ground will likely lead to a committee approach again, with Ridley splitting time with Brandon Bolden. Shane Vereen is more of an out-side-the-tackles, change-of-pace back.
This is a pick-your-poison passing game. The fact that New England played all of 2013 without Aaron Hernandez and most of it without Rob Gronkowski and Danny Amendola makes it difficult to pinpoint what they’d like to do, but Julian Edelman and Amendola working underneath will be a primary focus. Gronkowski, who often stays in to pass protect, stretches the middle of the field, with either Aaron Dobson or Brandon LaFell working on the boundary. Vereen runs a lot of wheel routes, and he and Edelman are used frequently in the screen game. When the Pats throw in the red zone, Gronkowski is often the primary target, but Edelman will continue to benefit from the attention Gronk draws in the end zone. Vereen had three receiving TDs on four targets inside the 10 last season.
The Patriots give up gobs of yards, but still placed among the top-10 NFL defenses in points allowed, turnovers and sacks. They finally bolstered their lackluster secondary by inking star corner-backs Darrelle Revis and Brandon Browner, and will also get unit leaders DT Vince Wilfork and MLB Jerod Mayo back from injury to man the middle.
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estCollege Top 25
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StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2014 11
aFc EaSt
NEW YORK JETS
2013 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/8 TAM W 18-17 W (+4) U (39½)9/12 at NWE L 10-13 W (+10½) U (43½)9/22 BUF W 27-20 W (-2½) O (40½)9/29 at TEN L 13-38 L (+3) O (40½)10/7 at ATL W 30-28 W (+9½) O (45)10/13 PIT L 6-19 L (+1½) U (40½)10/20 NWE W 30-27 W (+3) O (43)10/27 at CIN L 9-49 L (+6½) O (40½)11/3 NOR W 26-20 W (+6) O (45½)11/17 at BUF L 14-37 L (-2½) O (39)11/24 at BAL L 3-19 L (+3½) U (38)12/1 MIA L 3-23 L (+1½) U (39½)12/8 OAK W 37-27 W (-3) O (39)12/15 at CAR L 20-30 P (+10) O (40½)12/22 CLE W 24-13 W (-2½) U (41½)12/29 at MIA W 20-7 W (+7) U (41)
2010-13 REgulaR SEaSon gaME logS2010 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/13 vs BAL L 9-10 L (-1½) U (36)9/19 vs NWE W 28-14 W (+3) O (39½)9/26 at MIA W 31-23 W (+2) O (35½)10/3 at BUF W 38-14 W (-5) O (36½)10/11 vs MIN W 29-20 W (-4) O (38)10/17 at DEN W 24-20 W (-3) O (42½)10/31 vs GNB L 0-9 L (-6½) U (41½)11/7 at DET W 23-20 L (-5½) O (42½)11/14 at CLE W 26-20 W (-3) O (37)11/21 vs HOU W 30-27 L (-6½) O (46)11/25 vs CIN W 26-10 W (-9½) U (43)12/6 at NWE L 3-45 L (+4) O (44)12/12 vs MIA L 6-10 L (-4½) U (38)12/19 at PIT W 22-17 W (+3) O (36)12/26 at CHI L 34-38 L (+3) O (35½)1/2 vs BUF W 38-7 W (pk) O (38)
2011 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/11 vs DAL W 27-24 L (-6) O (41)9/18 vs JAC W 32-3 W (-8) U (38)9/25 at OAK L 24-34 L (-3) O (41)10/2 at BAL L 17-34 L (+5) O (43)10/9 at NWE L 21-30 L (+7½) O (50)10/17 vs MIA W 24-6 W (-7) U (41)10/23 vs SDG W 27-21 W (+1) O (43½)11/6 at BUF W 27-11 W (+2½) U (45)11/13 vs NWE L 16-37 L (-3) O (47)11/17 at DEN L 13-17 L (-6) U (38½)11/27 vs BUF W 28-24 L (-9) O (42½)12/4 at WAS W 34-19 W (-3) O (39)12/11 vs KAN W 37-10 W (-10½) O (35½)12/18 at PHI L 19-45 L (+3) O (44½)12/24 vs NYG L 14-29 L (-3) U (46)1/1 at MIA L 17-19 P (+2) U (38½)
2012 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/9 BUF W 48-28 W (-3) O (39)9/16 at PIT L 10-27 L (+4½) U (43)9/23 at MIA W 23-20 P (-3) O (40½)9/30 SFO L 0-34 L (+3½) U (41)10/8 HOU L 17-23 W (+9½) P (40)10/14 IND W 35-9 W (-3) P (44)10/21 at NWE L 26-29 W (+11) O (47½)10/28 MIA L 9-30 L (-1) P (39)11/11 at SEA L 7-28 L (+5½) U (38½)11/18 at STL W 27-13 W (+3½) O (39)11/22 NWE L 19-49 L (+7) O (48½)12/2 ARI W 7-6 L (-6½) U (37)12/9 at JAC W 17-10 W (-3) U (39)12/17 at TEN L 10-14 L (-1) U (40½)12/23 SDG L 17-27 L (-3) O (38)12/30 at BUF L 9-28 L (+3) U (40½)
sept. 7
sept. 14
sept. 22
sept. 28
Oct. 5
Oct. 12
Oct. 16
Oct. 26
nov. 2
nov. 9
nov. 16
nov. 23
Dec. 1
Dec. 7
Dec. 14
Dec. 21
Dec. 28
Situational REcoRdS
2014 SchEdulE
Oakland Raiders
at Green Bay Packers
Chicago Bears
Detroit Lions
at San Diego Chargers
Denver Broncos
at New England Patriots
Buffalo Bills
at Kansas City Chiefs
Pittsburgh Steelers
BYE WEEK
at Buffalo Bills
Miami Dolphins
at Minnesota Vikings
at Tennessee Titans
New England Patriots
at Miami Dolphins
>
ScEnaRio 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 6-YR total 6-YR%
STRAIGHT UP 9–7 11–8 13–6 8–8 6–10 8–8 55–47 53.9%
OVERALL ATS 7–9 11–8 11–8 6–9 6–9 9–6 50–49 50.5%
PRESEASON ATS 2–1 3–1 2–2 2–2 0–4 3–1 12–11 52.2%
HOME ATS 3–5 4–4 4–4 4–4 3–5 6–2 24–24 50.0%
ROAD ATS 4–4 7–4 7–4 2–5 3–4 3–4 26–25 51.0%
VS DIVISION ATS 3–3 2–4 5–2 2–3 2–3 4–2 18–17 51.4%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 5–7 9–6 10–5 5–6 5–6 6–6 40–36 52.6%
AS FAVORITE ATS 4–7 6–5 5–5 4–6 3–4 3–1 25–28 47.2%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 3–2 5–3 6–3 2–3 3–5 6–5 25–21 54.3%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring -6.1 26
Yardage -16.8 21
Yds Per Play -0.12 17
Yds Per Point +3.70 27
Turnovers -14 30
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 18.1 29
1st Dwn/Gm 17.5 T27
Yards/Game 318.1 25
Yds Per Play 4.99 27
Yds Per Point 17.55 28
Rush Yds/Gm 134.9 6
Yards Per Rush 4.38 10
Pass Att/Game 30.0 29
Comp/Game 16.6 31
Completion % 55.4 32
Pass Yds/Gm 183.2 31
Pass Yds/Att 6.11 25
INTs Thrown 22 T28
Sacks Allowed 47 T26
Att/Sack 10.2 31
Sack Yards 338 29
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Allowed 24.2 19
1st Dwn/Gm 18.3 9
Yards/Game 334.9 11
Yds Per Play 5.11 9
Yds Per Point 13.85 23
Rush Yds/Gm 88.2 3
Yards Per Rush 3.35 1
Pass Att/Game 36.6 22
Comp/Game 21.6 T17
Completion % 58.9 8
Pass Yds/Gm 246.7 22
Pass Yds/Att 6.74 18
Interceptions 13 T22
Sacks 41 T13
Att/Sack 14.3 15
Sack Yards 242 22
Offensive coordinator Marty Mornhinweg turned to a much more run-heavy approach than he traditionally had, and that was because of the fact that he had an erratic rookie under center last season in Geno Smith. This scheme skews toward zone blocking, but they still do a fair amount of gap blocking as well. Chris Johnson figures to lead the committee in touches, especially between the 20s. Chris Ivory provides a power complement and could also be their closer. The Jets were run-heavy in the red zone last season, and Ivory fig-ures to be the goal line back this year.
Mornhinweg is a West Coast guy, but he went vertical off play-action often last season, and figures to do so again regardless of whether it’s Michael Vick or Smith under center. Eric Decker gives them more of a traditional, big-framed target to lean on as a pos-session receiver and in the red zone. They use three-wide often, and slot man Jeremy Kerley figures to serve as their No. 2 target again. TE Jace Amaro will work the middle of the field in a secondary pos-session role, and he can exploit the deep seam against linebackers. Johnson will be used frequently in the screen game. Mornhinweg has a history of getting cute with the passing game inside the 20, and Vick’s arrival could allow him to do so again. When the pair was in Philly, Vick was often put on the move around the goal line.
The Jets led the league by allowing only 3.4 yards per carry last year and were fourth in red-zone defense, but this unit needs to do a better job forcing turnovers. They had the second-fewest takeaways in the NFL (15) and downgraded their secondary with cornerback Dimitri Patterson trying to replace top CB Antonio Cromartie.
aFc noRth
BALTIMORE RAVENS
2013 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/5 at DEN L 27-49 L (+7) O (48)9/15 CLE W 14-6 W (-5) U (43½)9/22 HOU W 30-9 W (-1½) U (44)9/29 at BUF L 20-23 L (-3½) U (45)10/6 at MIA W 26-23 W (+3) O (43)10/13 GNB L 17-19 P (+2) U (48)10/20 at PIT L 16-19 L (+2½) U (40½)11/3 at CLE L 18-24 L (-1) U (42½)11/10 CIN W 20-17 W (-2) U (43½)11/17 at CHI L 20-23 W (+3½) O (41)11/24 NYJ W 19-3 W (-3½) U (38)11/28 PIT W 22-20 L (-3) O (40)12/8 MIN W 29-26 L (-5½) O (41½)12/16 at DET W 18-16 W (+4½) U (49)12/22 NWE L 7-41 L (+1½) O (45)12/29 at CIN L 17-34 L (+7) O (42½)
2010-13 REgulaR SEaSon gaME logS
12 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2014
2010 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/13 at NYJ W 10-9 W (+1½) U (36)9/19 at CIN L 10-15 L (-3) U (39)9/26 vs CLE W 24-17 L (-12½) O (36)10/3 at PIT W 17-14 W (+2½) U (34)10/10 vs DEN W 31-17 W (-8) O (39½)10/17 at NWE L 20-23 P (+3) U (44½)10/24 vs BUF W 37-34 L (-12½) O (39½)11/7 vs MIA W 26-10 W (-5) U (41)11/11 at ATL L 21-26 L (+2) O (44)11/21 at CAR W 37-13 W (-13) O (36½)11/28 vs TAM W 17-10 L (-7½) U (41½)12/5 vs PIT L 10-13 L (-3) U (38½)12/13 at HOU W 34-28 W (-3) O (47)12/19 vs NOR W 30-24 W (-2) O (45)12/26 at CLE W 20-10 W (-3) U (39½)1/2 vs CIN W 13-7 L (-9½) U (43)
2011 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/11 vs PIT W 35-7 W (-1) O (37)9/18 at TEN L 13-26 L (-5½) O (38½)9/25 at STL W 37-7 W (-5) O (42)10/2 vs NYJ W 34-17 W (-5) O (43)10/16 vs HOU W 29-14 W (-6½) U (43½)10/24 at JAC L 7-12 L (-10) U (38½)10/30 vs ARI W 30-27 L (-11) O (42½)11/6 at PIT W 23-20 W (+3) O (41½)11/13 at SEA L 17-22 L (-6½) O (38½)11/20 vs CIN W 31-24 P (-7) O (40)11/24 vs SFO W 16-6 W (-3) U (40½)12/4 at CLE W 24-10 W (-7) U (38)12/11 vs IND W 24-10 L (-16) U (41½)12/18 at SDG L 14-34 L (-1) O (45)12/24 vs CLE W 20-14 L (-10½) U (38½)1/1 at CIN W 24-16 W (-3) O (37½)
2012 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/10 CIN W 44-13 W (-7) O (43)9/16 at PHI L 23-24 W (+3) P (47)9/23 NWE W 31-30 L (-3) O (48)9/27 CLE W 23-16 L (-11) U (43½)10/7 at KAN W 9-6 L (-6) U (46)10/14 DAL W 31-29 L (-3) O (45)10/21 at HOU L 13-43 L (+6½) O (47)11/4 at CLE W 25-15 W (-3) U (44½)11/11 OAK W 55-20 W (-7½) O (48)11/18 at PIT W 13-10 P (-3) U (41)11/25 at SDG W 16-13 W (-1) U (47)12/2 PIT L 20-23 L (-6½) O (37)12/9 at WAS L 28-31 L (+2) O (48)12/16 DEN L 17-34 L (+3) O (47½)12/23 NYG W 33-14 W (+3) U (47½)12/30 at CIN L 17-23 L (+4½) U (42½)
sept. 7
sept. 11
sept. 21
sept. 28
Oct. 5
Oct. 12
Oct. 19
Oct. 26
nov. 2
nov. 9
nov. 16
nov. 24
nov. 30
Dec. 7
Dec. 14
Dec. 21
Dec. 28
Situational REcoRdS
2014 SchEdulE
Cincinnati Bengals
Pittsburgh Steelers
at Cleveland Browns
Carolina Panthers
at Indianapolis Colts
at Tampa Bay Bucs
Atlanta Falcons
at Cincinnati Bengals
at Pittsburgh Steelers
Tennessee Titans
BYE WEEK
at New Orleans Saints
San Diego Chargers
at Miami Dolphins
Jacksonville Jaguars
at Houston Texans
Cleveland Browns
>
ScEnaRio 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 6-YR total 6-YR%
STRAIGHT UP 13–6 10–8 13–5 13–5 14–6 8–8 71–38 65.1%
OVERALL ATS 14–5 9–8 9–8 9–8 10–9 7–8 58–46 55.8%
PRESEASON ATS 1–3 3–1 3–1 2–2 2–2 2–2 13–11 54.2%
HOME ATS 6–2 5–3 3–5 4–4 4–5 4–3 26–22 54.2%
ROAD ATS 8–3 4–5 6–3 5–4 6–4 3–5 32–24 57.1%
VS DIVISION ATS 5–2 2–3 2–5 4–1 2–3 2–4 17–18 48.6%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 11–4 6–7 7–6 7–6 7–7 5–7 43–37 53.8%
AS FAVORITE ATS 7–1 6–4 7–6 7–8 5–5 4–4 36–28 56.3%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 7–4 3–4 2–2 2–0 5–4 3–4 22–18 55.0%
OVER-UNDER 11–8 7–10 8–10 10–8 10–9 7–9 53–54 49.5%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring -2.0 20
Yardage -28.1 23
Yds Per Play -0.69 29
Yds Per Point +0.12 17
Turnovers -5 22
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 20.0 25
1st Dwn/Gm 18.4 24
Yards/Game 307.4 29
Yds Per Play 4.51 32
Yds Per Point 15.37 18
Rush Yds/Gm 83.0 30
Yards Per Rush 3.14 32
Pass Att/Game 38.7 8
Comp/Game 22.7 T14
Completion % 58.6 22
Pass Yds/Gm 224.4 18
Pass Yds/Att 5.80 31
INTs Thrown 23 31
Sacks Allowed 48 T28
Att/Sack 12.9 20
Sack Yards 324 26
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Allowed 22.0 12
1st Dwn/Gm 17.8 T6
Yards/Game 335.5 12
Yds Per Play 5.20 12
Yds Per Point 15.25 14
Rush Yds/Gm 105.4 11
Yards Per Rush 3.83 5
Pass Att/Game 34.5 15
Comp/Game 19.6 5
Completion % 56.9 3
Pass Yds/Gm 230.1 12
Pass Yds/Att 6.67 16
Interceptions 16 T15
Sacks 40 T16
Att/Sack 13.8 11
Sack Yards 257 16
This is a zone-blocking running game that never got going a year ago. Part of it was sluggish running from Ray Rice, but a lot of it was simply poor blocking up front from an offensive line that was work-ing in new faces. Rice may face a suspension of three games or longer stemming from an assault charge from earlier this year, but he fig-ures to take the bulk of the carries once he’s back, as Bernard Pierce didn’t fare much better a year ago. Look for more outside stretch plays for Rice, who dropped weight during the offseason to prepare for the new offense. Justin Forsett, who played for new offensive coordinator Gary Kubiak in Houston, could end up pushing Pierce for the No. 2 role. Kubiak always stayed very run-heavy in the red zone with Arian Foster carrying the load for the Texans—Rice should get a chance to take on that role early in the year.
The passing game will likely have a different look under Kubiak, a West Coast disciple. Expect more hard play-action with quarterback Joe Flacco reversing field and looking to take deep shots. Flacco will be asked to move much more than he had in the past. Torrey Smith and Steve Smith will both see time at Z-receiver, a position that’s a move-able chess piece and the primary cog in the passing game. Kubiak uses multiple formations in the passing game, but he figures to use two tight ends often, with Dennis Pitta working crossing routes. The run-ning backs will also be used frequently in the screen game.
After a complete overhaul of defensive personnel entering 2013, the Ravens defense stayed virtually intact in 2014 while adding FS Darian Stewart and rookies ILB C.J. Mosley and DT Timmy Jernigan. OLB Terrell Suggs (1 sack in final 8 games) must get more pressure to increase his team’s turnovers (only six multi-TO games last year).
StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2014 13
aFc noRth
CINCINNATI BENGALS
2013 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/8 at CHI L 21-24 P (+3) O (41)9/16 PIT W 20-10 W (-6½) U (40)9/22 GNB W 34-30 W (+3) O (48½)9/29 at CLE L 6-17 L (-3½) U (43)10/6 NWE W 13-6 W (+2) U (45½)10/13 at BUF W 27-24 L (-5½) O (41)10/20 at DET W 27-24 W (+2½) O (45½)10/27 NYJ W 49-9 W (-6½) O (40½)10/31 at MIA L 20-22 L (-3) P (42)11/10 at BAL L 17-20 L (+2) U (43½)11/17 CLE W 41-20 W (-4½) O (40)12/1 at SDG W 17-10 W (-2½) U (48½)12/8 IND W 42-28 W (-7½) O (43½)12/15 at PIT L 20-30 L (-2) O (44½)12/22 MIN W 42-14 W (-7½) O (48)12/29 BAL W 34-17 W (-7) O (42½)
2010-13 REgulaR SEaSon gaME logS
AFC EastFootball Futures
NFL Schedules
AFC SouthAFC W
estN
FC EastN
FC North
NFC W
estCollege Top 25
College Teams
AFC North
NFC South
2010 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/12 at NWE L 24-38 L (+5) O (45)9/19 vs BAL W 15-10 W (+3) U (39)9/26 at CAR W 20-7 W (-3) U (37)10/3 at CLE L 20-23 L (-2) O (36½)10/10 vs TAM L 21-24 L (-6½) O (38½)10/24 at ATL L 32-39 L (+3) O (43)10/31 vs MIA L 14-22 L (+1) U (44)11/8 vs PIT L 21-27 L (+5) O (41½)11/14 at IND L 17-23 W (+7) U (47)11/21 vs BUF L 31-49 L (-4) O (41)11/25 at NYJ L 10-26 L (+9½) U (43)12/5 vs NOR L 30-34 W (+6½) O (45)12/12 at PIT L 7-23 L (+8) U (40)12/19 vs CLE W 19-17 W (pk) U (41)12/26 vs SDG W 34-20 W (+7½) O (43½)1/2 at BAL L 7-13 W (+9½) U (43)
2011 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/11 at CLE W 27-17 W (+7) O (36½)9/18 at DEN L 22-24 W (+3) O (40½)9/25 vs SFO L 8-13 L (-3) U (40)10/2 vs BUF W 23-20 W (+3) O (42)10/9 at JAC W 30-20 W (-2½) O (36½)10/16 vs IND W 27-17 W (-5) O (40½)10/30 at SEA W 34-12 W (-1½) O (37½)11/6 at TEN W 24-17 W (+3) P (41)11/13 vs PIT L 17-24 L (+3) O (40½)11/20 at BAL L 24-31 P (+7) O (40)11/27 vs CLE W 23-20 L (-6½) O (38½)12/4 at PIT L 7-35 L (+7) U (43)12/11 vs HOU L 19-20 L (-3) O (37½)12/18 at STL W 20-13 P (-7) U (38½)12/24 vs ARI W 23-16 W (-4½) U (41)1/1 vs BAL L 16-24 L (+3) O (37½)
2012 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/10 at BAL L 13-44 L (+7) O (43)9/16 CLE W 34-27 P (-7) O (39½)9/23 at WAS W 38-31 W (+3) O (49½)9/30 at JAC W 27-10 W (+1½) U (45½)10/7 MIA L 13-17 L (-3) U (45)10/14 at CLE L 24-34 L (-1) O (41½)10/21 PIT L 17-24 L (+1) U (47)11/4 DEN L 23-31 L (+5) O (47½)11/11 NYG W 31-13 W (+3½) U (47)11/18 at KAN W 28-6 W (-3) U (42)11/25 OAK W 34-10 W (-7½) U (50)12/2 at SDG W 20-13 W (-1) U (46½)12/9 DAL L 19-20 L (-3) U (46½)12/13 at PHI W 34-13 W (-4½) O (45)12/23 at PIT W 13-10 W (+3) U (40)12/30 BAL W 23-17 W (-4½) U (42½)
sept. 7
sept. 14
sept. 21
sept. 28
Oct. 5
Oct. 12
Oct. 19
Oct. 26
nov. 2
nov. 6
nov. 16
nov. 23
nov. 30
Dec. 7
Dec. 14
Dec. 22
Dec. 28
Situational REcoRdS
2014 SchEdulE
at Baltimore Ravens
Atlanta Falcons
Tennessee Titans
BYE WEEK
at New England Patriots
Carolina Panthers
at Indianapolis Colts
Baltimore Ravens
Jacksonville Jaguars
Cleveland Browns
at New Orleans Saints
at Houston Texans
at Tampa Bay Bucs
Pittsburgh Steelers
at Cleveland Browns
Denver Broncos
at Pittsburgh Steelers
>
ScEnaRio 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 6-YR total 6-YR%
STRAIGHT UP 4–11 10–7 4–12 9–8 10–7 11–6 48–51 48.5%
OVERALL ATS 7–9 7–10 7–9 8–7 9–7 10–6 48–48 50.0%
PRESEASON ATS 2–2 2–2 2–3 1–3 2–2 3–1 12–13 48.0%
HOME ATS 4–4 3–6 4–4 3–5 3–4 8–1 25–24 51.0%
ROAD ATS 3–5 4–4 3–5 5–2 6–3 2–5 23–24 48.9%
VS DIVISION ATS 1–5 4–2 3–3 1–4 2–3 3–3 14–20 41.2%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 3–9 5–8 5–7 6–6 6–6 7–6 32–42 43.2%
AS FAVORITE ATS 1–2 0–8 1–3 4–3 5–3 7–5 18–24 42.9%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 6–7 7–2 6–6 4–4 4–4 3–1 30–24 55.6%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring +7.8 T4
Yardage +62.7 4
Yds Per Play +0.68 5
Yds Per Point -2.33 8
Turnovers +1 13
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 26.9 T6
1st Dwn/Gm 20.6 T9
Yards/Game 368.2 10
Yds Per Play 5.37 13
Yds Per Point 13.70 6
Rush Yds/Gm 109.7 18
Yards Per Rush 3.65 28
Pass Att/Game 36.7 12
Comp/Game 22.8 13
Completion % 62.0 11
Pass Yds/Gm 258.5 8
Pass Yds/Att 7.05 10
INTs Thrown 20 T24
Sacks Allowed 29 3
Att/Sack 20.2 3
Sack Yards 182 5
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Allowed 19.1 T5
1st Dwn/Gm 17.6 T3
Yards/Game 305.5 3
Yds Per Play 4.69 2
Yds Per Point 16.03 11
Rush Yds/Gm 96.5 5
Yards Per Rush 4.01 15
Pass Att/Game 38.4 28
Comp/Game 22.6 24
Completion % 59.0 9
Pass Yds/Gm 209.0 5
Pass Yds/Att 5.45 2
Interceptions 20 T5
Sacks 43 10
Att/Sack 14.3 14
Sack Yards 279 11
New offensive coordinator Hue Jackson has always leaned heav-ily on the power running game, and that figures to be the game plan this year. Jackson utilizes a lot of gap blocking, which should allow feature back Giovani Bernard to use his creativity as a runner. Rookie Jeremy Hill will likely push BenJarvus Green-Ellis down the depth chart. Jackson has historically kept the ground game going down near the goal line, and it appears as if Hill will be his top goal-line option. It wouldn’t be a surprise if Bernard and Green-Ellis got some action down there too. Jackson also uses a lot of creative, gadget plays to attack the perimeter, and Bernard should be able to take advantage.
Jackson has pledged support for the often-overwhelmed Andy Dalton, but this passing game is going to be scaled back. The poten-tially improved running game should open things up for downfield throws, and Dalton’s willingness to throw deep into traffic is essen-tially his only strength. A.J. Green will continue to do most of his work downfield on the perimeter, with Marvin Jones playing an expanded and similar role on the other side of the field. They’ll go two tight ends often, with Tyler Eifert seen as a bigger catch-and-run threat than Jermaine Gresham, and Bernard being used frequently in the screen game. Green and Jones will be the primary red-zone targets when they throw, as both have the athleticism to win the jump ball.
The Bengals lost defensive coordinator Mike Zimmer to Minnesota, but new DC Paul Guenther, promoted from linebackers coach, won’t change much from an attacking unit that placed among the top-five defenses in points, yards and turnovers in 2013. FS Danieal Manning and rookie CB Darqueze Dennard are nice additions.
aFc noRth
CLEVELAND BROWNS
2013 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/8 MIA L 10-23 L (-2½) U (40½)9/15 at BAL L 6-14 L (+5) U (43½)9/22 at MIN W 31-27 W (+6½) O (40½)9/29 CIN W 17-6 W (+3½) U (43)10/3 BUF W 37-24 W (-3½) O (41)10/13 DET L 17-31 L (+1½) O (43½)10/20 at GNB L 13-31 L (+8) U (45)10/27 at KAN L 17-23 W (+7) O (39)11/3 BAL W 24-18 W (+1) U (42½)11/17 at CIN L 20-41 L (+4½) O (40)11/24 PIT L 11-27 L (-2½) U (40)12/1 JAC L 28-32 L (-7) O (39)12/8 at NWE L 26-27 W (+9½) O (47½)12/15 CHI L 31-38 L (-1) O (44½)12/22 at NYJ L 13-24 L (+2½) U (41½)12/29 at PIT L 7-20 L (+9½) U (44½)
2010-13 REgulaR SEaSon gaME logS
14 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2014
2010 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/12 at TAM L 14-17 P (+3) U (37)9/19 vs KAN L 14-16 L (-3) U (38)9/26 at BAL L 17-24 W (+12½) O (36)10/3 vs CIN W 23-20 W (+2) O (36½)10/10 vs ATL L 10-20 L (+3) U (41½)10/17 at PIT L 10-28 L (+14) O (37)10/24 at NOR W 30-17 W (+12½) O (44)11/7 vs NWE W 34-14 W (+4) O (43½)11/14 vs NYJ L 20-26 L (+3) O (37)11/21 at JAC L 20-24 L (+3) O (43)11/28 vs CAR W 24-23 L (-8) O (37)12/5 at MIA W 13-10 W (+6) U (43½)12/12 at BUF L 6-13 L (pk) U (39½)12/19 at CIN L 17-19 L (pk) U (41)12/26 vs BAL L 10-20 L (+3) U (39½)1/2 vs PIT L 9-41 L (+6) O (37½)
2011 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/11 vs CIN L 17-27 L (-7) O (36½)9/18 at IND W 27-19 W (-1½) O (39)9/25 vs MIA W 17-16 L (-2) U (41)10/2 vs TEN L 13-31 L (-1½) O (37½)10/16 at OAK L 17-24 L (+6½) U (45)10/23 vs SEA W 6-3 P (-3) U (41)10/30 at SFO L 10-20 L (+9) U (38½)11/6 at HOU L 12-30 L (+10½) U (42½)11/13 vs STL L 12-13 L (-3) U (36½)11/20 vs JAC W 14-10 W (-1½) U (34½)11/27 at CIN L 20-23 W (+6½) O (38½)12/4 vs BAL L 10-24 L (+7) U (38)12/8 at PIT L 3-14 W (+14) U (40)12/18 at ARI L 17-20 W (+6) P (37)12/24 at BAL L 14-20 W (+10½) U (38½)1/1 vs PIT L 9-13 W (+7) U (33)
2012 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/9 PHI L 16-17 W (+8½) U (42½)9/16 at CIN L 27-34 P (+7) O (39½)9/23 BUF L 14-24 L (+3) U (45)9/27 at BAL L 16-23 W (+11) U (43½)10/7 at NYG L 27-41 L (+7½) O (43½)10/14 CIN W 34-24 W (+1) O (41½)10/21 at IND L 13-17 L (+1) U (46½)10/28 SDG W 7-6 W (+3) U (40½)11/4 BAL L 15-25 L (+3) U (44½)11/18 at DAL L 20-23 W (+7) U (43½)11/25 PIT W 20-14 W (+1) O (32½)12/2 at OAK W 20-17 P (-3) U (40)12/9 KAN W 30-7 W (-7) U (38)12/16 WAS L 21-38 L (-4) O (40½)12/23 at DEN L 12-34 L (+10) O (43½)12/30 at PIT L 10-24 L (+10) U (37)
sept. 7
sept. 14
sept. 21
sept. 28
Oct. 5
Oct. 12
Oct. 19
Oct. 26
nov. 2
nov. 6
nov. 16
nov. 23
nov. 30
Dec. 7
Dec. 14
Dec. 21
Dec. 28
Situational REcoRdS
2014 SchEdulE
at Pittsburgh Steelers
New Orleans Saints
Baltimore Ravens
BYE WEEK
at Tennessee Titans
Pittsburgh Steelers
at Jacksonville Jaguars
Oakland Raiders
Tampa Bay Bucs
at Cincinnati Bengals
Houston Texans
at Atlanta Falcons
at Buffalo Bills
Indianapolis Colts
Cincinnati Bengals
at Carolina Panthers
at Baltimore Ravens
>
ScEnaRio 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 6-YR total 6-YR%
STRAIGHT UP 4–12 5–11 5–11 4–12 5–11 4–12 27–69 28.1%
OVERALL ATS 6–9 10–6 5–10 7–8 7–7 6–10 41–50 45.1%
PRESEASON ATS 0–4 2–2 2–2 1–3 2–2 3–1 10–14 41.7%
HOME ATS 2–5 5–3 2–6 2–5 5–3 3–5 19–27 41.3%
ROAD ATS 4–4 5–3 3–4 5–3 2–4 3–5 22–23 48.9%
VS DIVISION ATS 2–4 4–2 2–4 4–2 3–2 2–4 17–18 48.6%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 4–7 9–3 4–8 6–6 5–5 5–7 33–36 47.8%
AS FAVORITE ATS 0–4 2–0 0–2 2–4 1–1 1–4 6–15 28.6%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 6–5 8–6 5–8 5–4 6–6 5–6 35–35 50.0%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring -6.1 27
Yardage +6.9 14
Yds Per Play +0.23 8
Yds Per Point +4.53 29
Turnovers -8 T25
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 19.3 27
1st Dwn/Gm 18.8 T22
Yards/Game 339.4 17
Yds Per Play 5.04 25
Yds Per Point 17.63 29
Rush Yds/Gm 86.4 T27
Yards Per Rush 3.97 23
Pass Att/Game 42.6 1
Comp/Game 23.7 5
Completion % 55.7 31
Pass Yds/Gm 252.9 11
Pass Yds/Att 5.94 29
INTs Thrown 20 T24
Sacks Allowed 49 30
Att/Sack 13.9 17
Sack Yards 325 27
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Allowed 25.4 23
1st Dwn/Gm 20.5 20
Yards/Game 332.4 9
Yds Per Play 4.80 3
Yds Per Point 13.10 29
Rush Yds/Gm 111.3 18
Yards Per Rush 3.85 8
Pass Att/Game 37.8 26
Comp/Game 22.7 25
Completion % 60.0 16
Pass Yds/Gm 221.1 8
Pass Yds/Att 5.85 4
Interceptions 14 T20
Sacks 40 T16
Att/Sack 15.1 T18
Sack Yards 185 32
New head coach Mike Pettine brought in Kyle Shanahan to be his offensive coordinator. Pettine also hired former Ravens O-Line coach Andy Moeller to help operate a running game that’s expected to be built around a zone-blocking scheme. Ben Tate fits the bill as a one-cut back who was used in a similar scheme in Houston. Tate is inju-ry-prone, but he’ll likely be given as much as he can handle. Rookies Terrence West and Isaiah Crowell will battle in the preseason for the role of No. 2 RB on early downs while Chris Ogbonnaya is expect-ed to begin the year as the main back on obvious passing downs. Shanahan oversaw some zone-read option stuff in Washington. It could be sprinkled in with Johnny Manziel, but considering Robert Griffin III’s injuries, they figure to go light.
Shanahan ran a fairly traditional West Coast passing game and should do so with Manziel under center. Miles Austin seems to have a good a chance as any of Cleveland’s receivers to fill in for Josh Gordon as Manziel’s top downfield target. If Austin does win the role, he would likely line up at split end and be used on a lot of hard play-action. They’ll likely use three-wide often, utilizing Andrew Hawkins out of the slot as a catch-and-run and either Nate Burleson or Earl Bennett as the No. 3 WR. TE Jordan Cameron should be neck-and-neck with Hawkins for the most receptions, working more crossing routes this year, and he’ll be the clear-cut top receiving option in the red zone.
The Browns have a solid defense that added heady veteran start-ers SS Donte Whitner and ILB Karlos Dansby this offseason. But the anemic offense will likely put them in many short fields again, and new defensive coordinator Jim O’Neil will have to figure why the team was tied for 29th in red-zone defense last season.
StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2014 15
aFc noRth
PITTSBURGH STEELERS
AFC EastFootball Futures
NFL Schedules
AFC SouthAFC W
estN
FC EastN
FC North
NFC W
estCollege Top 25
College Teams
2013 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/8 TEN L 9-16 L (-6) U (41)9/16 at CIN L 10-20 L (+6½) U (40)9/22 CHI L 23-40 L (+2) O (40½)9/29 vs MIN L 27-34 L (-3) O (41½)10/13 at NYJ W 19-6 W (-1½) U (40½)10/20 BAL W 19-16 W (-2½) U (40½)10/27 at OAK L 18-21 L (-2½) U (40)11/3 at NWE L 31-55 L (+5½) O (42½)11/10 BUF W 23-10 W (-2½) U (43)11/17 DET W 37-27 W (+3) O (45)11/24 at CLE W 27-11 W (+2½) U (40)11/28 at BAL L 20-22 W (+3) O (40)12/8 MIA L 28-34 L (-3) O (41)12/15 CIN W 30-20 W (+2) O (44½)12/22 at GNB W 38-31 W (-1) O (44)12/29 CLE W 20-7 W (-9½) U (44½)
2010-13 REgulaR SEaSon gaME logS
AFC North
NFC South
2010 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/12 vs ATL W 15-9 W (+1) U (39)9/19 at TEN W 19-11 W (+6) U (37)9/26 at TAM W 38-13 W (-3) O (33½)10/3 vs BAL L 14-17 L (-2½) U (34)10/17 vs CLE W 28-10 W (-14) O (37)10/24 at MIA W 23-22 L (-3) O (40)10/31 at NOR L 10-20 L (+1) U (44½)11/8 at CIN W 27-21 W (-5) O (41½)11/14 vs NWE L 26-39 L (-4) O (45)11/21 vs OAK W 35-3 W (-7) U (41)11/28 at BUF W 19-16 L (-6½) U (43½)12/5 at BAL W 13-10 W (+3) U (38½)12/12 vs CIN W 23-7 W (-8) U (40)12/19 vs NYJ L 17-22 L (-3) O (36)12/23 vs CAR W 27-3 W (-14) U (37)1/2 at CLE W 41-9 W (-6) O (37½)
2011 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/11 at BAL L 7-35 L (+1) O (37)9/18 vs SEA W 24-0 W (-13½) U (40)9/25 at IND W 23-20 L (-10½) O (40)10/2 at HOU L 10-17 L (+4) U (46½)10/9 vs TEN W 38-17 W (-3) O (40)10/16 vs JAC W 17-13 L (-12) U (40)10/23 at ARI W 32-20 W (-4) O (46)10/30 vs NWE W 25-17 W (+3) U (51½)11/6 vs BAL L 20-23 L (-3) O (41½)11/13 at CIN W 24-17 W (-3) O (40½)11/27 at KAN W 13-9 L (-11) U (41½)12/4 vs CIN W 35-7 W (-7) U (43)12/8 vs CLE W 14-3 L (-14) U (40)12/19 at SFO L 3-20 L (+3) U (37)12/24 vs STL W 27-0 W (-10) U (33½)1/1 at CLE W 13-9 L (-7) U (33)
2012 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/9 at DEN L 19-31 L (+3) O (45)9/16 NYJ W 27-10 W (-4½) U (43)9/23 at OAK L 31-34 L (-3½) O (45½)10/7 PHI W 16-14 L (-4) U (44)10/11 at TEN L 23-26 L (-5½) O (43)10/21 at CIN W 24-17 W (-1) U (47)10/28 WAS W 27-12 W (-4½) U (44½)11/4 at NYG W 24-20 W (+3) U (48½)11/12 KAN W 16-13 L (-12) U (39)11/18 BAL L 10-13 P (+3) U (41)11/25 at CLE L 14-20 L (-1) O (32½)12/2 at BAL W 23-20 W (+6½) O (37)12/9 SDG L 24-34 L (-7) O (37½)12/16 at DAL L 24-27 L (-2½) O (46)12/23 CIN L 10-13 L (-3) U (40)12/30 CLE W 24-10 W (-10) U (37)
sept. 7
sept. 11
sept. 21
sept. 28
Oct. 5
Oct. 12
Oct. 20
Oct. 26
nov. 2
nov. 9
nov. 17
nov. 23
nov. 30
Dec. 7
Dec. 14
Dec. 21
Dec. 28
Situational REcoRdS
2014 SchEdulE
Cleveland Browns
at Baltimore Ravens
at Carolina Panthers
Tampa Bay Bucs
at Jacksonville Jaguars
at Cleveland Browns
Houston Texans
Indianapolis Colts
Baltimore Ravens
at New York Jets
at Tennessee Titans
BYE WEEK
New Orleans Saints
at Cincinnati Bengals
at Atlanta Falcons
Kansas City Chiefs
Cincinnati Bengals
>
ScEnaRio 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 6-YR total 6-YR%
STRAIGHT UP 15–4 9–7 14–5 12–5 8–8 8–8 66–37 64.1%
OVERALL ATS 11–8 5–10 12–7 7–10 6–9 9–7 50–51 49.5%
PRESEASON ATS 1–3 3–1 3–1 3–1 1–2 0–4 11–12 47.8%
HOME ATS 6–4 2–5 7–3 5–3 3–4 5–3 28–22 56.0%
ROAD ATS 5–4 3–5 5–4 2–7 3–5 4–4 22–29 43.1%
VS DIVISION ATS 5–2 1–4 6–1 2–4 3–2 5–1 22–14 61.1%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 9–5 4–7 9–5 4–9 4–7 7–5 37–38 49.3%
AS FAVORITE ATS 7–7 4–10 9–5 6–7 4–8 5–4 35–41 46.1%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 4–1 1–0 3–2 1–3 2–1 4–3 15–10 60.0%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring +0.6 14
Yardage -0.1 17
Yds Per Play +0.06 13
Yds Per Point -0.35 16
Turnovers -4 T20
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 23.7 T16
1st Dwn/Gm 19.5 17
Yards/Game 337.5 20
Yds Per Play 5.28 19
Yds Per Point 14.25 13
Rush Yds/Gm 86.4 T27
Yards Per Rush 3.51 29
Pass Att/Game 36.6 T13
Comp/Game 23.6 7
Completion % 64.3 6
Pass Yds/Gm 251.1 12
Pass Yds/Att 6.85 12
INTs Thrown 14 15
Sacks Allowed 43 T17
Att/Sack 13.6 18
Sack Yards 289 T19
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Allowed 23.1 14
1st Dwn/Gm 18.9 T10
Yards/Game 337.6 13
Yds Per Play 5.21 13
Yds Per Point 14.60 17
Rush Yds/Gm 115.6 21
Yards Per Rush 4.27 21
Pass Att/Game 35.6 18
Comp/Game 20.6 8
Completion % 57.8 5
Pass Yds/Gm 222.1 9
Pass Yds/Att 6.24 10
Interceptions 10 T29
Sacks 34 T25
Att/Sack 16.7 27
Sack Yards 198 29
The Steelers tried to implement a zone-blocking scheme last sea-son under offensive line coach Jack Bicknell Jr., but they never com-pletely implemented it after center Maurkice Pouncey’s season-end-ing knee injury in Week 1. Ex-Titans head coach Mike Munchak was brought in to finish the job. Le’Veon Bell will be a three-down work-horse in the one-cut system, one that will likely utilize a lot of inside zone plays. LeGarrette Blount will fit the system as a one-cut power runner, though he won’t be an option to relieve Bell on passing downs. Rookie Dri Archer will get some grabs on passing downs.
Through his first two seasons with the Steelers, offensive coordi-nator Todd Haley has emphasized the importance of getting the ball out of Ben Roethlisberger’s hands quickly in order to limit the hits he absorbs. They utilize relatively shorter timing routes to set up catch-and-run situations. Antonio Brown is used as a moving chess piece and will continue to be heavily featured. Markus Wheaton gives them a field stretching presence, while tight end Heath Miller and veteran slot man Lance Moore—they use three receivers often—will be traditional possession receivers. Haley continues to go to the air inside the 10 often, though Pittsburgh lost its top two red-zone threats (Jerricho Cotchery and Emmanuel Sanders). Look for Miller to see an expanded red-zone role, with Darrius Heyward-Bey possibly working his way into the mix.
The Steelers defense took a step back in 2013, placing tied for 27th in turnovers and tied for 25th in sacks. They helped themselves in the draft with OLB Ryan Shazier and DE Stephon Tuitt, and also signed FS Mike Mitchell, but Dick LeBeau’s unit is still lacking play-makers and run-stoppers to return to their Steel Curtain glory days.
16 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2014
aFc South
HOUSTON TEXANS
2013 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/9 at SDG W 31-28 L (-5) O (44)9/15 TEN W 30-24 L (-7) O (41½)9/22 at BAL L 9-30 L (+1½) U (44)9/29 SEA L 20-23 L (+1½) O (41)10/6 at SFO L 3-34 L (+4) U (42½)10/13 STL L 13-38 L (-9½) O (42½)10/20 at KAN L 16-17 W (+6½) U (38½)11/3 IND L 24-27 L (+1) O (41½)11/10 at ARI L 24-27 W (+4) O (42)11/17 OAK L 23-28 L (-10½) O (40½)11/24 JAC L 6-13 L (-10½) U (43)12/1 NWE L 31-34 W (+7) O (49)12/5 at JAC L 20-27 L (-3½) O (43)12/15 at IND L 3-25 L (+6) U (47)12/22 DEN L 13-37 L (+9½) U (53)12/29 at TEN L 10-16 W (+6½) U (44½)
2010-13 REgulaR SEaSon gaME logS2010 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/12 vs IND W 34-24 W (+1) O (48)9/19 at WAS W 30-27 P (-3) O (43)9/26 vs DAL L 13-27 L (-2½) U (47½)10/3 at OAK W 31-24 W (-3) O (43)10/10 vs NYG L 10-34 L (-3) U (48)10/17 vs KAN W 35-31 L (-4½) O (45½)11/1 at IND L 17-30 L (+5) U (50½)11/7 vs SDG L 23-29 L (+3) O (50)11/14 at JAC L 24-31 L (pk) O (48)11/21 at NYJ L 27-30 W (+6½) O (46)11/28 vs TEN W 20-0 W (-4½) U (46½)12/2 at PHI L 24-34 L (+8) O (51)12/13 vs BAL L 28-34 L (+3) O (47)12/19 at TEN L 17-31 L (+2) O (47)12/26 at DEN L 23-24 L (-1½) U (49)1/2 vs JAC W 34-17 W (-4½) O (48)
2011 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/11 vs IND W 34-7 W (-8½) U (44)9/18 at MIA W 23-13 W (-3) U (47)9/25 at NOR L 33-40 L (+4) O (52)10/2 vs PIT W 17-10 W (-4) U (46½)10/9 vs OAK L 20-25 L (-4½) U (48)10/16 at BAL L 14-29 L (+6½) U (43½)10/23 at TEN W 41-7 W (+3) O (44)10/30 vs JAC W 24-14 P (-10) U (41)11/6 vs CLE W 30-12 W (-10½) U (42½)11/13 at TAM W 37-9 W (-3) O (45½)11/27 at JAC W 20-13 W (-6) U (37)12/4 vs ATL W 17-10 W (+2) U (38)12/11 at CIN W 20-19 W (+3) O (37½)12/18 vs CAR L 13-28 L (-5) U (45)12/22 at IND L 16-19 L (-6½) U (40½)1/1 vs TEN L 22-23 W (+2½) O (38½)
2012 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/9 MIA W 30-10 W (-13) U (41½)9/16 at JAC W 27-7 W (-6½) U (40)9/23 at DEN W 31-25 W (-1½) O (43)9/30 TEN W 38-14 W (-13) O (44½)10/8 at NYJ W 23-17 L (-9½) P (40)10/14 GNB L 24-42 L (-4) O (46½)10/21 BAL W 43-13 W (-6½) O (47)11/4 BUF W 21-9 W (-11) U (48)11/11 at CHI W 13-6 W (+1) U (37)11/18 JAC W 43-37 L (-15) O (40½)11/22 at DET W 34-31 P (-3) O (48½)12/2 at TEN W 24-10 W (-7) U (48)12/10 at NWE L 14-42 L (+5½) O (50½)12/16 IND W 29-17 W (-10½) U (48)12/23 MIN L 6-23 L (-7½) U (43½)12/30 at IND L 16-28 L (-6½) U (47)
sept. 7
sept. 14
sept. 21
sept. 28
Oct. 5
Oct. 9
Oct. 20
Oct. 26
nov. 2
nov. 9
nov. 16
nov. 23
nov. 30
Dec. 7
Dec. 14
Dec. 21
Dec. 28
Situational REcoRdS
2014 SchEdulE
Washington Redskins
at Oakland Raiders
at New York Giants
Buffalo Bills
at Dallas Cowboys
Indianapolis Colts
at Pittsburgh Steelers
at Tennessee Titans
Philadelphia Eagles
BYE WEEK
at Cleveland Browns
Cincinnati Bengals
Tennessee Titans
at Jacksonville Jaguars
at Indianapolis Colts
Baltimore Ravens
Jacksonville Jaguars
>
ScEnaRio 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 6-YR total 6-YR%
STRAIGHT UP 8–8 9–7 6–10 11–7 13–5 2–14 49–51 49.0%
OVERALL ATS 9–7 7–8 5–10 12–5 10–7 4–12 47–49 49.0%
PRESEASON ATS 2–1 2–2 1–3 3–1 3–1 3–1 14–9 60.9%
HOME ATS 5–3 2–5 3–5 6–2 6–3 1–7 23–25 47.9%
ROAD ATS 4–4 5–3 2–5 6–3 4–4 3–5 24–24 50.0%
VS DIVISION ATS 5–1 2–4 3–3 4–1 4–2 1–5 19–16 54.3%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 7–5 6–6 5–7 10–3 9–5 3–9 40–35 53.3%
AS FAVORITE ATS 3–4 3–6 3–4 7–3 9–5 0–6 25–28 47.2%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 6–3 4–2 2–6 5–2 1–2 4–6 22–21 51.2%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring -9.5 31
Yardage +29.7 6
Yds Per Play -0.14 18
Yds Per Point +8.26 32
Turnovers -20 32
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 17.3 31
1st Dwn/Gm 19.2 T20
Yards/Game 347.2 11
Yds Per Play 5.10 22
Yds Per Point 20.13 32
Rush Yds/Gm 108.9 T20
Yards Per Rush 4.21 15
Pass Att/Game 39.6 6
Comp/Game 23.2 T10
Completion % 58.6 23
Pass Yds/Gm 238.3 15
Pass Yds/Att 6.02 26
INTs Thrown 22 T28
Sacks Allowed 42 16
Att/Sack 15.1 10
Sack Yards 370 31
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Allowed 26.8 T24
1st Dwn/Gm 17.6 T3
Yards/Game 317.6 7
Yds Per Play 5.24 14
Yds Per Point 11.87 31
Rush Yds/Gm 122.4 23
Yards Per Rush 4.31 22
Pass Att/Game 30.2 1
Comp/Game 17.9 1
Completion % 59.3 13
Pass Yds/Gm 195.2 3
Pass Yds/Att 6.45 11
Interceptions 7 32
Sacks 32 T29
Att/Sack 15.1 T18
Sack Yards 187 31
Bill O’Brien replaces long-time head coach Gary Kubiak, who brought the highly successful zone-blocking scheme to Houston. O’Brien oversaw a primarily gap-blocking system in New England and he brought in former Falcons assistant Paul Dunn to coach the offen-sive line, which suggests that this will be more of a mixed scheme up front. Arian Foster is still the starter and will be leaned on heav-ily with the uncertainty under center. He remains a capable red-zone back, and his reliability should lead to a heavy workload near the goal line.
O’Brien’s offenses have always been multiple and complex, though the biggest highlight of his career was certainly overseeing New England’s dominant two-tight end look. Andre Johnson will con-tinue to be used as a chess piece, likely playing the slot and working underneath more often, with tight end Garrett Graham complement-ing him. When they throw inside the 20, Johnson has been the logi-cal target for years, but Kubiak’s regime never came up with ways for him to escape attention in the end zone—Graham could end up with the bigger red-zone role. Foster will remain a big part of the pass-ing game as an excellent screen option. DeAndre Hopkins and DeVier Posey are shaping up to be primarily deep threats. Second tight end C.J. Fiedorowicz is primarily a blocker.
The Texans defense was awful in 2013 but has a great chance to improve significantly with new defensive coordinator Romeo Crennel and top draft pick OLB Jadeveon Clowney to generate more sacks and turnovers in this new 3-4 scheme. DE J.J. Watt is one of the NFL’s best on the defensive side of the ball, and rookie NT Louis Nix and a healthy ILB Brian Cushing will clog the middle.
StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2014 17
AFC EastFootball Futures
NFL Schedules
AFC SouthAFC W
estN
FC EastN
FC North
NFC W
estCollege Top 25
College Teams
AFC North
NFC South
aFc South
INDIANAPOLIS COLTS
2013 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/8 OAK W 21-17 L (-11) U (44½)9/15 MIA L 20-24 L (-1½) O (43½)9/22 at SFO W 27-7 W (+10½) U (45½)9/29 at JAC W 37-3 W (-7½) U (42)10/6 SEA W 34-28 W (+3) O (43½)10/14 at SDG L 9-19 L (0) U (50½)10/20 DEN W 39-33 W (+6½) O (54½)11/3 at HOU W 27-24 W (-1) O (41½)11/10 STL L 8-38 L (-7) O (43)11/14 at TEN W 30-27 P (-3) O (42)11/24 at ARI L 11-40 L (+3½) O (44)12/1 TEN W 22-14 W (-3½) U (46½)12/8 at CIN L 28-42 L (+7½) O (43½)12/15 HOU W 25-3 W (-6) U (47)12/22 at KAN W 23-7 W (+7½) U (47)12/29 JAC W 30-10 W (-11½) U (45)
2010-13 REgulaR SEaSon gaME logS2010 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/12 at HOU L 24-34 L (-1) O (48)9/19 vs NYG W 38-14 W (-4½) O (48)9/26 at DEN W 27-13 W (-6) U (47)10/3 at JAC L 28-31 L (-6½) O (45½)10/10 vs KAN W 19-9 W (-7) U (46)10/17 at WAS W 27-24 P (-3) O (44)11/1 vs HOU W 30-17 W (-5) U (50½)11/7 at PHI L 24-26 W (+3) O (46½)11/14 vs CIN W 23-17 L (-7) U (47)11/21 at NWE L 28-31 W (+4) O (49)11/28 vs SDG L 14-36 L (-1½) P (50)12/5 vs DAL L 35-38 L (-5½) O (48)12/9 at TEN W 30-28 L (-3) O (44)12/19 vs JAC W 34-24 W (-4) O (48)12/26 at OAK W 31-26 W (-2) O (46)1/2 vs TEN W 23-20 L (-8½) U (48)
2011 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/11 at HOU L 7-34 L (+8½) U (44)9/18 vs CLE L 19-27 L (+1½) O (39)9/25 vs PIT L 20-23 W (+10½) O (40)10/3 at TAM L 17-24 W (+10) O (40)10/9 vs KAN L 24-28 L (-1½) O (37½)10/16 at CIN L 17-27 L (+5) O (40½)10/23 at NOR L 7-62 L (+13½) O (49)10/30 at TEN L 10-27 L (+7½) U (43½)11/6 vs ATL L 7-31 L (+6½) U (44½)11/13 vs JAC L 3-17 L (+3) U (37½)11/27 vs CAR L 19-27 L (+3) P (46)12/4 at NWE L 24-31 W (+20) O (48)12/11 at BAL L 10-24 W (+16) U (41½)12/18 vs TEN W 27-13 W (+6½) U (41½)12/22 vs HOU W 19-16 W (+6½) U (40½)1/1 at JAC L 13-19 L (+3) U (36½)
2012 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/9 at CHI L 21-41 L (+10) O (42)9/16 MIN W 23-20 W (+3) U (45½)9/23 JAC L 17-22 L (-3) U (42)10/7 GNB W 30-27 W (+6) O (49½)10/14 at NYJ L 9-35 L (+3) P (44)10/21 CLE W 17-13 W (-1) U (46½)10/28 at TEN W 19-13 W (+3) U (46)11/4 MIA W 23-20 W (+3) U (43½)11/8 at JAC W 27-10 W (-3) U (43½)11/18 at NWE L 24-59 L (+10) O (54)11/25 BUF W 20-13 W (-2) U (51)12/2 at DET W 35-33 W (+7) O (51½)12/9 TEN W 27-23 W (-3½) O (46½)12/16 at HOU L 17-29 L (+10½) U (48)12/23 at KAN W 20-13 W (-4½) U (41½)12/30 HOU W 28-16 W (+6½) U (47)
sept. 7
sept. 15
sept. 21
sept. 28
Oct. 5
Oct. 9
Oct. 19
Oct. 26
nov. 3
nov. 9
nov. 16
nov. 23
nov. 30
Dec. 7
Dec. 14
Dec. 21
Dec. 28
Situational REcoRdS
2014 SchEdulE
at Denver Broncos
Philadelphia Eagles
at Jacksonville Jaguars
Tennessee Titans
Baltimore Ravens
at Houston Texans
Cincinnati Bengals
at Pittsburgh Steelers
at New York Giants
BYE WEEK
New England Patriots
Jacksonville Jaguars
Washington Redskins
at Cleveland Browns
Houston Texans
at Dallas Cowboys
at Tennessee Titans
>
ScEnaRio 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 6-YR total 6-YR%
STRAIGHT UP 12–5 16–3 10–7 2–14 11–6 12–6 63–41 60.6%
OVERALL ATS 7–9 12–7 8–8 6–10 11–6 10–7 54–47 53.5%
PRESEASON ATS 2–3 1–3 1–3 2–2 3–1 2–2 11–14 44.0%
HOME ATS 3–5 5–5 4–5 3–5 7–1 6–3 28–24 53.8%
ROAD ATS 4–4 7–2 4–3 3–5 4–5 4–4 26–23 53.1%
VS DIVISION ATS 2–4 4–2 2–4 2–4 4–2 5–0 19–16 54.3%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 6–6 9–5 6–7 5–7 8–5 8–5 42–35 54.5%
AS FAVORITE ATS 3–8 11–6 6–8 0–1 5–1 5–3 30–27 52.6%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 4–1 1–1 2–0 6–9 6–5 5–4 24–20 54.5%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring +3.4 T10
Yardage -15.3 20
Yds Per Play -0.22 23
Yds Per Point -3.02 6
Turnovers +13 3
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 24.4 T14
1st Dwn/Gm 19.9 16
Yards/Game 341.8 15
Yds Per Play 5.35 15
Yds Per Point 13.98 10
Rush Yds/Gm 108.9 T20
Yards Per Rush 4.26 13
Pass Att/Game 36.4 15
Comp/Game 21.9 18
Completion % 60.1 17
Pass Yds/Gm 232.8 17
Pass Yds/Att 6.40 19
INTs Thrown 10 T5
Sacks Allowed 32 6
Att/Sack 18.2 5
Sack Yards 227 9
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Allowed 21.0 9
1st Dwn/Gm 19.9 14
Yards/Game 357.1 20
Yds Per Play 5.57 22
Yds Per Point 17.00 7
Rush Yds/Gm 125.1 26
Yards Per Rush 4.47 25
Pass Att/Game 33.5 8
Comp/Game 20.3 7
Completion % 60.4 18
Pass Yds/Gm 231.9 13
Pass Yds/Att 6.92 21
Interceptions 15 T17
Sacks 42 T11
Att/Sack 12.8 9
Sack Yards 248 T19
Offensive coordinator Pep Hamilton’s ground-and-pound power running game never got going last year, due in part to an offensive line in flux but mostly due to the atrociousness of Trent Richardson. It’s a gap-blocking scheme that suits Richardson’s skill set, and the third-year back may just need more time in the offense. The Colts get more run-heavy as they approach the goal line, and they had lit-tle success inside the opponent’s 10 last year. Richardson will likely have a monster workload, especially from in close. Ahmad Bradshaw and Vick Ballard are both coming off major injuries as they battle for the No. 2 job. Bradshaw’s receiving skills could give him an edge.
Hamilton and Andrew Luck are still finding their way in this offense, as they face a lot of third-and-longs early in games and often end up doing most throwing in comeback efforts. They’ll move Reggie Wayne, T.Y. Hilton and tight end Dwayne Allen around in for-mations to create mismatches, especially with Allen spending time in the backfield and flexed out. Coming off an up-and-down year as the primary TE, Coby Fleener will likely go back to stretching the seam now that Allen is healthy. Hakeem Nicks will stretch the field on the perimeter while Donte Moncrief serves as his understudy. Fleener was targeted most often when they threw in the red zone last season, but it could be Allen that receives those targets in 2014. Nicks could be in for a big red-zone role this season.
The Colts made great strides last year, and could again finish among the top-10 scoring defenses due to having the NFL’s easiest schedule. It also helps to have outside linebacker Robert Mathis who led the NFL with 19.5 sacks. New DL Arthur Jones and LB D’Qwell Jackson will help, but losing safety Antoine Bethea hurts.
18 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2014
aFc South
JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS
2013 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/8 KAN L 2-28 L (+3) U (43)9/15 at OAK L 9-19 L (+3½) U (41)9/22 at SEA L 17-45 L (+19½) O (39)9/29 IND L 3-37 L (+7½) U (42)10/6 at STL L 20-34 L (+11) O (41)10/13 at DEN L 19-35 W (+26½) O (52½)10/20 SDG L 6-24 L (+7) U (44)10/27 vs SFO L 10-42 L (+15½) O (40)11/10 at TEN W 29-27 W (+11½) O (42)11/17 ARI L 14-27 L (+10) O (40½)11/24 at HOU W 13-6 W (+10½) U (43)12/1 at CLE W 32-28 W (+7) O (39)12/5 HOU W 27-20 W (+3½) O (43)12/15 BUF L 20-27 L (+4) O (43½)12/22 TEN L 16-20 P (+4) U (44)12/29 at IND L 10-30 L (+11½) U (45)
2010-13 REgulaR SEaSon gaME logS2010 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/12 vs DEN W 24-17 W (-3) U (41½)9/19 at SDG L 13-38 L (+7) O (45)9/26 vs PHI L 3-28 L (+3) U (44½)10/3 vs IND W 31-28 W (+6½) O (45½)10/10 at BUF W 36-26 W (+3) O (41½)10/18 vs TEN L 3-30 L (+3) U (43½)10/24 at KAN L 20-42 L (+9) O (39½)10/31 at DAL W 35-17 W (+6½) O (43½)11/14 vs HOU W 31-24 W (pk) O (48)11/21 vs CLE W 24-20 W (-3) O (43)11/28 at NYG L 20-24 W (+7½) O (43)12/5 at TEN W 17-6 W (+3) U (43½)12/12 vs OAK W 38-31 W (-3) O (41½)12/19 at IND L 24-34 L (+4) O (48)12/26 vs WAS L 17-20 L (-7) U (45½)1/2 at HOU L 17-34 L (+4½) O (48)
2011 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/11 vs TEN W 16-14 W (+1) U (38)9/18 at NYJ L 3-32 L (+8) U (38)9/25 at CAR L 10-16 L (+3) U (43)10/2 vs NOR L 10-23 L (+8) U (45)10/9 vs CIN L 20-30 L (+2½) O (36½)10/16 at PIT L 13-17 W (+12) U (40)10/24 vs BAL W 12-7 W (+10) U (38½)10/30 at HOU L 14-24 P (+10) U (41)11/13 at IND W 17-3 W (-3) U (37½)11/20 at CLE L 10-14 L (+1½) U (34½)11/27 vs HOU L 13-20 L (+6) U (37)12/5 vs SDG L 14-38 L (+3) O (40)12/11 vs TAM W 41-14 W (+3) O (42)12/15 at ATL L 14-41 L (+13) O (41)12/24 at TEN L 17-23 W (+7½) O (38½)1/1 vs IND W 19-13 W (-3) U (36½)
2012 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/9 at MIN L 23-26 P (+3) O (38)9/16 HOU L 7-27 L (+6½) U (40)9/23 at IND W 22-17 W (+3) U (42)9/30 CIN L 10-27 L (-1½) U (45½)10/7 CHI L 3-41 L (+6) O (38½)10/21 at OAK L 23-26 W (+6) O (44½)10/28 at GNB L 15-24 W (+15½) U (45)11/4 DET L 14-31 L (+6) O (44)11/8 IND L 10-27 L (+3) U (43½)11/18 at HOU L 37-43 W (+15) O (40½)11/25 TEN W 24-19 W (+3) U (45½)12/2 at BUF L 18-34 L (+6) O (41½)12/9 NYJ L 10-17 L (+3) U (39)12/16 at MIA L 3-24 L (+7) U (38½)12/23 NWE L 16-23 W (+13½) U (51½)12/30 at TEN L 20-38 L (+6) O (42)
sept. 7
sept. 14
sept. 21
sept. 28
Oct. 5
Oct. 12
Oct. 19
Oct. 26
nov. 2
nov. 9
nov. 16
nov. 23
nov. 30
Dec. 7
Dec. 14
Dec. 18
Dec. 28
Situational REcoRdS
2014 SchEdulE
at Philadelphia Eagles
at Washington Redskins
Indianapolis Colts
at San Diego Chargers
Pittsburgh Steelers
at Tennessee Titans
Cleveland Browns
Miami Dolphins
at Cincinnati Bengals
Dallas Cowboys (London)
BYE WEEK
at Indianapolis Colts
New York Giants
Houston Texans
at Baltimore Ravens
Tennessee Titans
at Houston Texans
>
ScEnaRio 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 6-YR total 6-YR%
STRAIGHT UP 5–11 7–9 8–8 5–11 2–14 4–12 31–65 32.3%
OVERALL ATS 4–12 5–11 9–7 7–8 6–9 5–10 36–57 38.7%
PRESEASON ATS 2–2 2–1 3–1 0–4 2–2 1–3 10–13 43.5%
HOME ATS 1–7 2–6 5–3 4–4 2–6 1–5 15–31 32.6%
ROAD ATS 3–5 3–5 4–4 3–4 4–3 4–5 21–26 44.7%
VS DIVISION ATS 1–5 4–2 3–3 4–1 3–3 3–2 18–16 52.9%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 2–10 5–7 7–5 6–5 5–7 5–6 30–40 42.9%
AS FAVORITE ATS 1–7 0–5 3–1 2–0 0–1 0–0 6–14 30.0%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 3–5 5–6 6–6 5–8 6–8 5–10 30–43 41.1%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring -12.6 32
Yardage -85.6 32
Yds Per Play -0.97 32
Yds Per Point +5.51 30
Turnovers -6 23
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 15.4 32
1st Dwn/Gm 16.9 31
Yards/Game 293.8 31
Yds Per Play 4.61 30
Yds Per Point 19.03 31
Rush Yds/Gm 78.8 31
Yards Per Rush 3.33 31
Pass Att/Game 37.0 11
Comp/Game 21.8 19
Completion % 59.0 21
Pass Yds/Gm 215.1 22
Pass Yds/Att 5.81 30
INTs Thrown 21 27
Sacks Allowed 50 31
Att/Sack 11.8 23
Sack Yards 310 25
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Allowed 28.1 28
1st Dwn/Gm 22.1 T28
Yards/Game 379.4 T27
Yds Per Play 5.57 23
Yds Per Point 13.52 26
Rush Yds/Gm 131.8 29
Yards Per Rush 4.16 19
Pass Att/Game 34.4 14
Comp/Game 22.1 20
Completion % 64.2 23
Pass Yds/Gm 247.6 T25
Pass Yds/Att 7.19 24
Interceptions 11 T26
Sacks 31 T31
Att/Sack 17.8 30
Sack Yards 225 27
The Jaguars will undoubtedly have to abandon the run when they fall behind in games, but until then it’s going to be all Toby Gerhart all the time. Jacksonville made the switch to a zone-blocking scheme last year with mixed results. A second full offseason to implement the scheme should lead to improvement, and Gerhart will likely see a lot of work on inside zone plays. Gerhart will retain his feature role when the Jaguars approach the goal line, but this team went play-action fairly often in this area last year. Jordan Todman will be a seldom-used back-up. It’s unclear whether the Jags can figure out how to get anything out of Denard Robinson, whose “offensive weapon” tag was removed.
Offensive coordinator Jedd Fisch wants to get receivers downfield and put pressure on opposing safeties, with the quarterback mak-ing a high-to-low read. But this rapidly devolved into checkdown city last season in the absence of Justin Blackmon and, for a time, Cecil Shorts. They’ll play a three-wide base, with Shorts as the X-receiver to go along with some combination of Marqise Lee, Ace Sanders, Allen Robinson and Mike Brown. Shorts is the field stretcher, but he will likely run more possession routes to make up for the absence of the suspended Blackmon. Gerhart will have a big role as a receiver, as tight end Marcedes Lewis figures to stay in to block often once again. Shorts and Lewis were targeted often in the end zone last season, and that trend should continue.
Defensive coordinator Bob Babich improved this unit in his first year with the Jags in 2013, but they still have too many holes to be a feared NFL defense. Former Seahawks defensive ends Chris Clemons and Red Bryant will improve a porous pass rush, but this unit will be on the field way too much due to a horrible offense.
StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2014 19
AFC EastFootball Futures
NFL Schedules
AFC SouthAFC W
estN
FC EastN
FC North
NFC W
estCollege Top 25
College Teams
AFC North
NFC South
aFc South
TENNESSEE TITANS
2013 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/8 at PIT W 16-9 W (+6) U (41)9/15 at HOU L 24-30 W (+7) O (41½)9/22 SDG W 20-17 P (-3) U (42½)9/29 NYJ W 38-13 W (-3) O (40½)10/6 KAN L 17-26 L (+2) O (37½)10/13 at SEA L 13-20 W (+11½) U (42)10/20 SFO L 17-31 L (+3) O (41)11/3 at STL W 28-21 W (-3) O (41)11/10 JAC L 27-29 L (-11½) O (42)11/14 IND L 27-30 P (+3) O (42)11/24 at OAK W 23-19 W (-2½) P (42)12/1 at IND L 14-22 L (+3½) U (46½)12/8 at DEN L 28-51 L (+12½) O (50½)12/15 ARI L 34-37 P (+3) O (42½)12/22 at JAC W 20-16 P (-4) U (44)12/29 HOU W 16-10 L (-6½) U (44½)
2010-13 REgulaR SEaSon gaME logS2010 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/12 vs OAK W 38-13 W (-6½) O (39½)9/19 vs PIT L 11-19 L (-6) U (37)9/26 at NYG W 29-10 W (+3) U (43)10/3 vs DEN L 20-26 L (-6) O (43½)10/10 at DAL W 34-27 W (+6½) O (43½)10/18 at JAC W 30-3 W (-3) U (43½)10/24 vs PHI W 37-19 W (-3) O (41)10/31 at SDG L 25-33 L (+6) O (45)11/14 at MIA L 17-29 L (+1½) O (43)11/21 vs WAS L 16-19 L (-7) U (44)11/28 at HOU L 0-20 L (+4½) U (46½)12/5 vs JAC L 6-17 L (-3) U (43½)12/9 vs IND L 28-30 W (+3) O (44)12/19 vs HOU W 31-17 W (-2) O (47)12/26 at KAN L 14-34 L (+4) O (42½)1/2 at IND L 20-23 W (+8½) U (48)
2011 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/11 at JAC L 14-16 L (-1) U (38)9/18 vs BAL W 26-13 W (+5½) O (38½)9/25 vs DEN W 17-14 L (-7) U (42)10/2 at CLE W 31-13 W (+1½) O (37½)10/9 at PIT L 17-38 L (+3) O (40)10/23 vs HOU L 7-41 L (-3) O (44)10/30 vs IND W 27-10 W (-7½) U (43½)11/6 vs CIN L 17-24 L (-3) P (41)11/13 at CAR W 30-3 W (+3) U (47½)11/20 at ATL L 17-23 P (+6) U (44)11/27 vs TAM W 23-17 W (-3) U (43)12/4 at BUF W 23-17 W (+1) U (44)12/11 vs NOR L 17-22 L (+3) U (47½)12/18 at IND L 13-27 L (-6½) U (41½)12/24 vs JAC W 23-17 L (-7½) O (38½)1/1 at HOU W 23-22 L (-2½) O (38½)
2012 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/9 NWE L 13-34 L (+5) U (48)9/16 at SDG L 10-38 L (+6) O (43½)9/23 DET W 44-41 W (+3½) O (47)9/30 at HOU L 14-38 L (+13) O (44½)10/7 at MIN L 7-30 L (+6) U (44)10/11 PIT W 26-23 W (+5½) O (43)10/21 at BUF W 35-34 W (+4½) O (46½)10/28 IND L 13-19 L (-3) U (46)11/4 CHI L 20-51 L (+5) O (44)11/11 at MIA W 37-3 W (+7) U (44)11/25 at JAC L 19-24 L (-3) U (45½)12/2 HOU L 10-24 L (+7) U (48)12/9 at IND L 23-27 L (+3½) O (46½)12/17 NYJ W 14-10 W (+1) U (40½)12/23 at GNB L 7-55 L (+10½) O (44)12/30 JAC W 38-20 W (-6) O (42)
sept. 7
sept. 14
sept. 21
sept. 28
Oct. 5
Oct. 12
Oct. 19
Oct. 26
nov. 2
nov. 9
nov. 17
nov. 23
nov. 30
Dec. 7
Dec. 14
Dec. 18
Dec. 28
Situational REcoRdS
2014 SchEdulE
at Kansas City Chiefs
Dallas Cowboys
at Cincinnati Bengals
at Indianapolis Colts
Cleveland Browns
Jacksonville Jaguars
at Washington Redskins
Houston Texans
BYE WEEK
at Baltimore Ravens
Pittsburgh Steelers
at Philadelphia Eagles
at Houston Texans
New York Giants
New York Jets
at Jacksonville Jaguars
Indianapolis Colts
>
ScEnaRio 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 6-YR total 6-YR%
STRAIGHT UP 13–4 8–8 6–10 9–7 6–10 7–9 49–48 50.5%
OVERALL ATS 12–4 6–9 8–8 6–9 6–10 6–6 44–46 48.9%
PRESEASON ATS 1–3 2–2 2–2 3–1 2–2 1–3 11–13 45.8%
HOME ATS 6–2 3–4 4–4 3–5 4–4 1–4 21–23 47.7%
ROAD ATS 6–2 3–5 4–4 3–4 2–6 5–2 23–23 50.0%
VS DIVISION ATS 4–2 2–4 4–2 1–5 1–5 1–3 13–21 38.2%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 9–4 4–8 5–7 4–8 5–7 4–5 31–39 44.3%
AS FAVORITE ATS 10–4 3–5 4–4 2–7 1–2 3–2 23–24 48.9%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 2–0 3–4 4–4 4–2 5–8 3–4 21–22 48.8%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring -1.2 19
Yardage -1.1 18
Yds Per Play -0.04 15
Yds Per Point +0.70 19
Turnovers 0 T14
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 22.6 19
1st Dwn/Gm 19.4 18
Yards/Game 336.9 22
Yds Per Play 5.22 21
Yds Per Point 14.89 15
Rush Yds/Gm 118.4 14
Yards Per Rush 4.10 19
Pass Att/Game 33.3 23
Comp/Game 20.5 21
Completion % 61.5 13
Pass Yds/Gm 218.5 21
Pass Yds/Att 6.56 14
INTs Thrown 16 T17
Sacks Allowed 37 T9
Att/Sack 14.4 12
Sack Yards 214 6
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Allowed 23.8 16
1st Dwn/Gm 20.6 T21
Yards/Game 337.9 14
Yds Per Play 5.26 15
Yds Per Point 14.19 20
Rush Yds/Gm 112.2 20
Yards Per Rush 4.02 17
Pass Att/Game 34.1 10
Comp/Game 21.5 T15
Completion % 63.1 22
Pass Yds/Gm 225.8 11
Pass Yds/Att 6.63 14
Interceptions 13 T22
Sacks 36 T21
Att/Sack 15.1 20
Sack Yards 227 26
New head coach Ken Whisenhunt and offensive coordinator Jason Michael both spent last season with the Chargers, Whiz as offensive coordinator and Michael as tight ends coach. They had great success with a committee backfield last season, and the Titans’ roster is set up for a similar approach. Offensive line coach Bob Bostad comes over from Tampa, and both he and Whisenhunt have overseen both zone and gap schemes. They’ll likely mix it up here as well. Rookie Bishop Sankey is likely the leader of the committee, a three-down back capable of grinding between the tackles. Sankey and Shonn Greene figure to split time equally in the red zone.
Whisenhunt helped turn Philip Rivers’ career around last season by emphasizing getting the ball out quickly. The Titans are expect-ed to take a similar tact with injury-prone Jake Locker, using shorter drops and more looks for backs and tight end Delanie Walker to cre-ate match-up problems. Kendall Wright will likely lead the team in receptions again, working as a Z-receiver and in the slot as more of a catch-and-run guy. Nate Washington and Justin Hunter are both field stretchers, but Locker will likely take fewer deep shots this season. Tennessee will use two tight ends often, with Craig Stevens serving as more of a blocking specialist. Hunter and Walker are the best red-zone targets.
The Titans defense is moving in the right direction with new defensive coordinator Ray Horton and the addition of former Broncos LBs Shaun Phillips and Wesley Woodyard. Having the sec-ond-easiest schedule in the NFL is a big plus. But this unit is still below average in nearly every facet, especially in the red zone (T-29th in NFL).
aFc WESt
DENVER BRONCOS
2013 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/5 BAL W 49-27 W (-7) O (48)9/15 at NYG W 41-23 W (-3½) O (52½)9/23 OAK W 37-21 P (-16) O (48½)9/29 PHI W 52-20 W (-10) O (57½)10/6 at DAL W 51-48 L (-7½) O (56)10/13 JAC W 35-19 L (-26½) O (52½)10/20 at IND L 33-39 L (-6½) O (54½)10/27 WAS W 45-21 W (-11) O (58½)11/10 at SDG W 28-20 W (-7) U (56)11/17 KAN W 27-17 W (-7½) U (49)11/24 at NWE L 31-34 L (-1) O (53½)12/1 at KAN W 35-28 W (-5) O (50½)12/8 TEN W 51-28 W (-12½) O (50½)12/12 SDG L 20-27 L (-9½) U (57)12/22 at HOU W 37-13 W (-9½) U (53)12/29 at OAK W 34-14 W (-10) U (53½)
2010-13 REgulaR SEaSon gaME logS
20 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2014
2010 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/12 at JAC L 17-24 L (+3) U (41½)9/19 vs SEA W 31-14 W (-3) O (41)9/26 vs IND L 13-27 L (+6) U (47)10/3 at TEN W 26-20 W (+6) O (43½)10/10 at BAL L 17-31 L (+8) O (39½)10/17 vs NYJ L 20-24 L (+3) O (42½)10/24 vs OAK L 14-59 L (-7) O (43)10/31 vs SFO L 16-24 L (+2) U (41)11/14 vs KAN W 49-29 W (+1) O (44½)11/22 at SDG L 14-35 L (+8½) U (50)11/28 vs STL L 33-36 L (-3) O (46½)12/5 at KAN L 6-10 W (+8) U (48)12/12 at ARI L 13-43 L (-4) O (44½)12/19 at OAK L 23-39 L (+8) O (41½)12/26 vs HOU W 24-23 W (+1½) U (49)1/2 vs SDG L 28-33 W (+5½) O (47½)
2011 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/12 vs OAK L 20-23 L (-3) P (43)9/18 vs CIN W 24-22 L (-3) O (40½)9/25 at TEN L 14-17 W (+7) U (42)10/2 at GNB L 23-49 L (+12½) O (46½)10/9 vs SDG L 24-29 L (+3½) O (47½)10/23 at MIA W 18-15 W (-1) U (41½)10/30 vs DET L 10-45 L (+3) O (43½)11/6 at OAK W 38-24 W (+7) O (41)11/13 at KAN W 17-10 W (+3) U (42)11/17 vs NYJ W 17-13 W (+6) U (38½)11/27 at SDG W 16-13 W (+4½) U (42½)12/4 at MIN W 35-32 W (+1½) O (37½)12/11 vs CHI W 13-10 P (-3) U (36)12/18 vs NWE L 23-41 L (+7) O (47½)12/24 at BUF L 14-40 L (-3) O (43½)1/1 vs KAN L 3-7 L (-2) U (37)
2012 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/9 PIT W 31-19 W (-3) O (45)9/17 at ATL L 21-27 L (+3) U (49½)9/23 HOU L 25-31 L (+1½) O (43)9/30 OAK W 37-6 W (-6½) U (47)10/7 at NWE L 21-31 L (+6) O (50½)10/15 at SDG W 35-24 W (0) O (48)10/28 NOR W 34-14 W (-6) U (54½)11/4 at CIN W 31-23 W (-5) O (47½)11/11 at CAR W 36-14 W (-3½) O (46½)11/18 SDG W 30-23 P (-7) O (47½)11/25 at KAN W 17-9 L (-10½) U (41½)12/2 TAM W 31-23 W (-7½) O (49½)12/6 at OAK W 26-13 W (-10) U (46½)12/16 at BAL W 34-17 W (-3) O (47½)12/23 CLE W 34-12 W (-10) O (43½)12/30 KAN W 38-3 W (-17) P (41)
sept. 7
sept. 14
sept. 21
sept. 28
Oct. 5
Oct. 12
Oct. 19
Oct. 23
nov. 2
nov. 9
nov. 16
nov. 23
nov. 30
Dec. 7
Dec. 14
Dec. 22
Dec. 28
Situational REcoRdS
2014 SchEdulE
Indianapolis Colts
Kansas City Chiefs
at Seattle Seahawks
BYE WEEK
Arizona Cardinals
at New York Jets
San Francisco 49ers
San Diego Chargers
at New England Patriots
at Oakland Raiders
at St. Louis Rams
Miami Dolphins
at Kansas City Chiefs
Buffalo Bills
at San Diego Chargers
at Cincinnati Bengals
Oakland Raiders
>
ScEnaRio 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 6-YR total 6-YR%
STRAIGHT UP 8–8 8–8 4–12 9–9 13–4 15–4 57–45 55.9%
OVERALL ATS 4–12 9–7 6–10 8–9 11–5 11–7 49–50 49.5%
PRESEASON ATS 2–1 2–2 1–3 2–2 2–2 1–3 10–13 43.5%
HOME ATS 0–8 4–4 4–4 2–6 6–2 6–3 22–27 44.9%
ROAD ATS 4–4 5–3 2–6 6–3 5–3 5–4 27–23 54.0%
VS DIVISION ATS 1–5 3–3 3–3 3–3 4–1 4–2 18–17 51.4%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 3–9 6–6 5–7 7–7 8–4 8–5 37–38 49.3%
AS FAVORITE ATS 1–9 3–3 1–3 1–4 10–2 11–7 27–28 49.1%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 3–3 6–4 5–7 7–5 1–3 0–0 22–22 50.0%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring +12.9 1
Yardage +101.3 1
Yds Per Play +1.03 2
Yds Per Point -2.20 9
Turnovers 0 T14
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 37.9 1
1st Dwn/Gm 27.2 1
Yards/Game 457.3 1
Yds Per Play 6.33 2
Yds Per Point 12.07 1
Rush Yds/Gm 117.1 15
Yards Per Rush 4.06 20
Pass Att/Game 42.2 2
Comp/Game 28.8 1
Completion % 68.3 3
Pass Yds/Gm 340.2 1
Pass Yds/Att 8.07 2
INTs Thrown 10 T5
Sacks Allowed 20 1
Att/Sack 33.8 1
Sack Yards 128 1
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Allowed 24.9 22
1st Dwn/Gm 21.2 27
Yards/Game 356.0 19
Yds Per Play 5.30 16
Yds Per Point 14.28 19
Rush Yds/Gm 101.6 T7
Yards Per Rush 3.87 10
Pass Att/Game 38.3 27
Comp/Game 22.3 22
Completion % 58.2 6
Pass Yds/Gm 254.4 27
Pass Yds/Att 6.64 15
Interceptions 17 T12
Sacks 41 T13
Att/Sack 15.0 17
Sack Yards 290 9
Heading into 2013, the Broncos brought back Alex Gibbs as an offensive line coach to revitalize the zone-blocking scheme. The running game is obviously aided by the threat of Denver’s passing game and Peyton Manning’s ability to adjust at the line of scrim-mage, but the front five deserves huge credit for the ground game. A year ago, Denver used a committee approach, and they’ll always have to rotate to an extent due to the Broncos’ fast pace on offense and Denver’s thin air. But Montee Ball should have a big workload with most red-zone touches. C.J. Anderson and Ronnie Hillman, if he stops fumbling, will battle for scraps behind him. Denver runs the ball often inside the red zone, mostly because opponents put extra defensive backs on the field down near the goal line. Ball will almost surely take the bulk of the red zone and goal-line carries.
This is a pick-your-poison, catch-and-run passing game. Their bread-and-butter is dinking and dunking, often underneath with Wes Welker and tight end Julius Thomas and in the screen game with Demaryius Thomas and Ball. They’re the best screen team in the NFL, especially when using wideouts. They will take some deep shots, a result of opponents crowding the line of scrimmage as the game goes on, with Demaryius Thomas and Emmanuel Sanders slipping downfield when the opportunity arises. When they throw inside the red zone, they’ll use Welker and Sanders for his ability to shake free underneath, or play-action for Julius Thomas.
Denver made plenty of personnel changes on defense with the additions of DE DeMarcus Ware, CB Aqib Talib and SS T.J. Ward, and once OLB Von Miller recovers from his torn ACL, Jack Del Rio’s unit will be a nightmare for opposing quarterbacks.
StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2014 21
aFc WESt
KANSAS CITY CHIEFS
2013 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/8 at JAC W 28-2 W (-3) U (43)9/15 DAL W 17-16 L (-3) U (45)9/19 at PHI W 26-16 W (+3) U (50½)9/29 NYG W 31-7 W (-3) U (44)10/6 at TEN W 26-17 W (-2) O (37½)10/13 OAK W 24-7 W (-8) U (41½)10/20 HOU W 17-16 L (-6½) U (38½)10/27 CLE W 23-17 L (-7) O (39)11/3 at BUF W 23-13 W (-4½) U (41)11/17 at DEN L 17-27 L (+7½) U (49)11/24 SDG L 38-41 L (-3) O (43)12/1 DEN L 28-35 L (+5) O (50½)12/8 at WAS W 45-10 W (-3½) O (44)12/15 at OAK W 56-31 W (-6) O (44½)12/22 IND L 7-23 L (-7½) U (47)12/29 at SDG L 24-27 W (+15½) O (45)
2010-13 REgulaR SEaSon gaME logS
AFC EastFootball Futures
NFL Schedules
AFC SouthAFC W
estN
FC EastN
FC North
NFC W
estCollege Top 25
College Teams
AFC North
NFC South
2010 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/13 vs SDG W 21-14 W (+4) U (45½)9/19 at CLE W 16-14 W (+3) U (38)9/26 vs SFO W 31-10 W (+3) O (38)10/10 at IND L 9-19 L (+7) U (46)10/17 at HOU L 31-35 W (+4½) O (45½)10/24 vs JAC W 42-20 W (-9) O (39½)10/31 vs BUF W 13-10 L (-7) U (45½)11/7 at OAK L 20-23 L (-1½) O (41)11/14 at DEN L 29-49 L (-1) O (44½)11/21 vs ARI W 31-13 W (-7) U (45)11/28 at SEA W 42-24 W (-1½) O (45½)12/5 vs DEN W 10-6 L (-8) U (48)12/12 at SDG L 0-31 L (+10) U (45½)12/19 at STL W 27-13 W (+3) U (43)12/26 vs TEN W 34-14 W (-4) O (42½)1/2 vs OAK L 10-31 L (-4) U (42½)
2011 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/11 vs BUF L 7-41 L (-4) O (39½)9/18 at DET L 3-48 L (+7½) O (44½)9/25 at SDG L 17-20 W (+14½) U (44½)10/2 vs MIN W 22-17 W (+3) U (40)10/9 at IND W 28-24 W (+1½) O (37½)10/23 at OAK W 28-0 W (+3) U (41)10/31 vs SDG W 23-20 W (+3) U (44½)11/6 vs MIA L 3-31 L (-5½) U (40½)11/13 vs DEN L 10-17 L (-3) U (42)11/21 at NWE L 3-34 L (+17) U (46½)11/27 vs PIT L 9-13 W (+11) U (41½)12/4 at CHI W 10-3 W (+9) U (35½)12/11 at NYJ L 10-37 L (+10½) O (35½)12/18 vs GNB W 19-14 W (+11½) U (46)12/24 vs OAK L 13-16 L (-3) U (43)1/1 at DEN W 7-3 W (+2) U (37)
2012 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/9 ATL L 24-40 L (+2) O (43)9/16 at BUF L 17-35 L (+3) O (45)9/23 at NOR W 27-24 W (+8) U (51½)9/30 SDG L 20-37 L (+2½) O (43)10/7 BAL L 6-9 W (+6) U (46)10/14 at TAM L 10-38 L (+5) O (39½)10/28 OAK L 16-26 L (-1) O (41)11/1 at SDG L 13-31 L (+7) O (41)11/12 at PIT L 13-16 W (+12) U (39)11/18 CIN L 6-28 L (+3) U (42)11/25 DEN L 9-17 W (+10½) U (41½)12/2 CAR W 27-21 W (+5½) O (41½)12/9 at CLE L 7-30 L (+7) U (38)12/16 at OAK L 0-15 L (+4) U (43½)12/23 IND L 13-20 L (+4½) U (41½)12/30 at DEN L 3-38 L (+17) P (41)
sept. 7
sept. 14
sept. 21
sept. 29
Oct. 5
Oct. 12
Oct. 19
Oct. 26
nov. 2
nov. 9
nov. 16
nov. 20
nov. 30
Dec. 7
Dec. 14
Dec. 21
Dec. 28
Situational REcoRdS
2014 SchEdulE
Tennessee Titans
at Denver Broncos
at Miami Dolphins
New England Patriots
at San Francisco 49ers
BYE WEEK
at San Diego Chargers
St. Louis Rams
New York Jets
at Buffalo Bills
Seattle Seahawks
at Oakland Raiders
Denver Broncos
at Arizona Cardinals
Oakland Raiders
at Pittsburgh Steelers
San Diego Chargers
>
ScEnaRio 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 6-YR total 6-YR%
STRAIGHT UP 2–14 4–12 10–7 7–9 2–14 11–6 36–62 36.7%
OVERALL ATS 8–8 7–9 9–8 9–7 5–11 9–8 47–51 48.0%
PRESEASON ATS 1–3 0–4 0–3 1–3 1–3 2–2 5–18 21.7%
HOME ATS 3–5 2–6 5–4 4–4 3–5 2–6 19–30 38.8%
ROAD ATS 5–3 5–3 4–4 5–3 2–6 7–2 28–21 57.1%
VS DIVISION ATS 5–1 2–4 1–5 4–2 1–5 3–3 16–20 44.4%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 7–5 5–7 5–8 6–6 3–9 6–7 32–42 43.2%
AS FAVORITE ATS 0–1 0–2 4–5 0–4 0–1 7–6 11–19 36.7%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 8–7 7–7 5–3 9–3 5–10 2–2 36–32 52.9%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring +7.8 T4
Yardage -30.6 25
Yds Per Play -0.27 24
Yds Per Point -6.75 1
Turnovers +18 2
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 26.9 T6
1st Dwn/Gm 20.2 14
Yards/Game 337.2 21
Yds Per Play 5.24 20
Yds Per Point 12.55 3
Rush Yds/Gm 128.5 10
Yards Per Rush 4.65 5
Pass Att/Game 34.1 T20
Comp/Game 20.8 20
Completion % 61.0 15
Pass Yds/Gm 208.8 T24
Pass Yds/Att 6.12 24
INTs Thrown 8 T1
Sacks Allowed 41 T14
Att/Sack 13.3 19
Sack Yards 221 8
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Allowed 19.1 T5
1st Dwn/Gm 18.9 T10
Yards/Game 367.8 24
Yds Per Play 5.52 21
Yds Per Point 19.30 2
Rush Yds/Gm 120.2 22
Yards Per Rush 4.49 26
Pass Att/Game 37.0 24
Comp/Game 20.9 10
Completion % 56.4 2
Pass Yds/Gm 247.6 T25
Pass Yds/Att 6.69 17
Interceptions 21 T3
Sacks 47 T6
Att/Sack 12.6 8
Sack Yards 309 7
This offense is built around Jamaal Charles and the running game. Head coach Andy Reid and offensive line coach Andy Heck brought a hybrid blocking scheme that mixes zone and gap blocking up front. Charles does a lot of his damage on the perimeter, though they do work some inside zone plays. After a solid showing in relief of an injured Charles in last year’s playoffs, second-year pro Knile Davis should be in for a slightly bigger role as K.C. looks to limit the number of hits Charles absorbs.
Alex Smith may be little more than a game manager, but he’s a good one. Like the offense he ran in San Francisco, Smith is asked to work off the running game and utilize his mobility to move the ball via a short passing game. He does a lot of moving around and will take off running more than most quarterbacks. Charles is the primary receiver in the passing game, getting set up on a series of screen plays. When they throw in the red zone, they continue to use Charles most often, as he’s the only K.C. player who was targeted more than six times inside the opponents’ 10 last season. They’ll use Dwayne Bowe on the perimeter when they need to move the chains, with Donnie Avery working a lot of deep crossing routes. They use two tight ends frequently, with Travis Kelce expected to be used as a receiver more often than Anthony Fasano was last season.
In his first year in Kansas City, defensive coordinator Bob Sutton took a unit tied for last in turnovers in 2012 (13 TO) up to second in 2013 (36 TO). OLBs Justin Houston and Tamba Hali caused plen-ty of takeaways with a combined 22 sacks and five forced fum-bles. The Chiefs also have the NFL’s best return game, scoring four return touchdowns in 2013.
aFc WESt
OAKLAND RAIDERS
2013 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/8 at IND L 17-21 W (+11) U (44½)9/15 JAC W 19-9 W (-3½) U (41)9/23 at DEN L 21-37 P (+16) O (48½)9/29 WAS L 14-24 L (+3½) U (45)10/6 SDG W 27-17 W (+6½) U (46½)10/13 at KAN L 7-24 L (+8) U (41½)10/27 PIT W 21-18 W (+2½) U (40)11/3 PHI L 20-49 L (0) O (45)11/10 at NYG L 20-24 W (+7) O (41)11/17 at HOU W 28-23 W (+10½) O (40½)11/24 TEN L 19-23 L (+2½) P (42)11/28 at DAL L 24-31 W (+9½) O (48½)12/8 at NYJ L 27-37 L (+3) O (39)12/15 KAN L 31-56 L (+6) O (44½)12/22 at SDG L 13-26 L (+10) U (50)12/29 DEN L 14-34 L (+10) U (53½)
2010-13 REgulaR SEaSon gaME logS
22 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2014
2010 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/12 at TEN L 13-38 L (+6½) O (39½)9/19 vs STL W 16-14 L (-3) U (37½)9/26 at ARI L 23-24 W (+5½) O (39)10/3 vs HOU L 24-31 L (+3) O (43)10/10 vs SDG W 35-27 W (+7) O (44)10/17 at SFO L 9-17 L (+7½) U (41)10/24 at DEN W 59-14 W (+7) O (43)10/31 vs SEA W 33-3 W (-2) U (40)11/7 vs KAN W 23-20 W (+1½) O (41)11/21 at PIT L 3-35 L (+7) U (41)11/28 vs MIA L 17-33 L (-3) O (38)12/5 at SDG W 28-13 W (+13) U (45)12/12 at JAC L 31-38 L (+3) O (41½)12/19 vs DEN W 39-23 W (-8) O (41½)12/26 vs IND L 26-31 L (+2) O (46)1/2 at KAN W 31-10 W (+4) U (42½)
2011 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/12 at DEN W 23-20 W (+3) P (43)9/18 at BUF L 35-38 W (+3½) O (41)9/25 vs NYJ W 34-24 W (+3) O (41)10/2 vs NWE L 19-31 L (+6) U (55½)10/9 at HOU W 25-20 W (+4½) U (48)10/16 vs CLE W 24-17 W (-6½) U (45)10/23 vs KAN L 0-28 L (-3) U (41)11/6 vs DEN L 24-38 L (-7) O (41)11/10 at SDG W 24-17 W (+7) U (47½)11/20 at MIN W 27-21 W (+2) O (46½)11/27 vs CHI W 25-20 W (-3) O (40½)12/4 at MIA L 14-34 L (+3) O (43)12/11 at GNB L 16-46 L (+11½) O (50)12/18 vs DET L 27-28 W (+3) O (47½)12/24 at KAN W 16-13 W (+3) U (43)1/1 vs SDG L 26-38 L (-2½) O (50)
2012 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/10 SDG L 14-22 L (-1) U (47½)9/16 at MIA L 13-35 L (-1½) O (41)9/23 PIT W 34-31 W (+3½) O (45½)9/30 at DEN L 6-37 L (+6½) U (47)10/14 at ATL L 20-23 W (+9½) U (49)10/21 JAC W 26-23 L (-6) O (44½)10/28 at KAN W 26-16 W (+1) O (41)11/4 TAM L 32-42 L (-1½) O (46½)11/11 at BAL L 20-55 L (+7½) O (48)11/18 NOR L 17-38 L (+6) U (56)11/25 at CIN L 10-34 L (+7½) U (50)12/2 CLE L 17-20 P (+3) U (40)12/6 DEN L 13-26 L (+10) U (46½)12/16 KAN W 15-0 W (-4) U (43½)12/23 at CAR L 6-17 L (+9) U (47)12/30 at SDG L 21-24 W (+7½) O (41½)
sept. 7
sept. 14
sept. 21
sept. 28
Oct. 5
Oct. 12
Oct. 19
Oct. 26
nov. 2
nov. 9
nov. 16
nov. 20
nov. 30
Dec. 7
Dec. 14
Dec. 21
Dec. 28
Situational REcoRdS
2014 SchEdulE
at New York Jets
Houston Texans
at New England Patriots
Miami Dolphins (London)
BYE WEEK
San Diego Chargers
Arizona Cardinals
at Cleveland Browns
at Seattle Seahawks
Denver Broncos
at San Diego Chargers
Kansas City Chiefs
at St. Louis Rams
San Francisco 49ers
at Kansas City Chiefs
Buffalo Bills
at Denver Broncos
>
ScEnaRio 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 6-YR total 6-YR%
STRAIGHT UP 5–11 5–11 8–8 8–8 4–12 4–12 34–62 35.4%
OVERALL ATS 7–9 8–8 8–8 10–6 5–10 7–8 45–49 47.9%
PRESEASON ATS 2–2 2–2 2–1 0–4 2–2 1–3 9–14 39.1%
HOME ATS 2–6 4–4 4–4 4–4 2–5 3–5 19–28 40.4%
ROAD ATS 5–3 4–4 4–4 6–2 3–5 4–3 26–21 55.3%
VS DIVISION ATS 2–4 4–2 6–0 3–3 3–3 1–4 19–16 54.3%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 6–6 7–5 6–6 7–5 4–7 5–6 35–35 50.0%
AS FAVORITE ATS 0–1 0–1 2–2 2–3 1–4 1–0 6–11 35.3%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 7–8 8–7 6–6 8–3 4–6 6–8 39–38 50.6%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring -8.2 29
Yardage -29.9 24
Yds Per Play -0.32 25
Yds Per Point +3.74 28
Turnovers -9 27
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 20.1 24
1st Dwn/Gm 17.2 30
Yards/Game 333.8 23
Yds Per Play 5.34 18
Yds Per Point 16.58 26
Rush Yds/Gm 125.0 12
Yards Per Rush 4.58 6
Pass Att/Game 32.4 25
Comp/Game 18.6 27
Completion % 57.4 27
Pass Yds/Gm 208.8 T24
Pass Yds/Att 6.44 17
INTs Thrown 20 T24
Sacks Allowed 44 T20
Att/Sack 11.8 24
Sack Yards 289 T19
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Allowed 28.3 29
1st Dwn/Gm 20.6 T23
Yards/Game 363.7 22
Yds Per Play 5.66 26
Yds Per Point 12.85 30
Rush Yds/Gm 107.9 13
Yards Per Rush 3.91 11
Pass Att/Game 34.3 13
Comp/Game 23.4 28
Completion % 68.1 31
Pass Yds/Gm 255.8 28
Pass Yds/Att 7.45 29
Interceptions 9 31
Sacks 38 T18
Att/Sack 14.4 16
Sack Yards 260 15
In addition to bringing in Greg Olson as offensive coordinator last season, the Raiders brought in Tony Sparano to install a man-blocking scheme. The move back to power blocking was for the most part successful. This year, newly acquired Maurice Jones-Drew will get the first crack at being a workhorse back. He’s dropped weight and has the vision to succeed in this scheme. Darren McFadden will battle for the starting job in what will likely end up in a time share. Latavius Murray reportedly looked good in practice during a redshirt rookie year and should be the No. 3 behind the injury-prone vets.
Olson showed a good deal of creativity last year with Terrelle Pryor and Matt McGloin giving two different looks under center. While he’s shown a willingness to attack deep in the past, this year should be more of a traditional West Coast passing game. James Jones will have a chance to be more of a possession guy, rather than the deep threat he was in Green Bay. Denarius Moore is going to be the home run threat, with Rod Streater likely to see a lot of targets working out of the slot. Tight end Mychal Rivera should see a slight-ly increased role. The backs will see plenty of work in the passing game, especially fullback Marcel Reece. They don’t throw often near the end zone, but Jones figures to see most red-zone targets. Moore was their most effective red-zone receiver last year.
The Raiders had a huge offseason in signing DE Justin Tuck, DE LaMarr Woodley and DT Antonio Smith up front, and former 49ers cornerbacks Tarell Brown and Carlos Rogers will help shore up a lacking secondary. But Oakland has the NFL’s toughest schedule and doesn’t create enough turnovers to overcome that deficiency.
StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2014 23
aFc WESt
SAN DIEGO CHARGERS
2013 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/9 HOU L 28-31 W (+5) O (44)9/15 at PHI W 33-30 W (+7½) O (51)9/22 at TEN L 17-20 P (+3) U (42½)9/29 DAL W 30-21 W (+1) O (47)10/6 at OAK L 17-27 L (-6½) U (46½)10/14 IND W 19-9 W (0) U (50½)10/20 at JAC W 24-6 W (-7) U (44)11/3 at WAS L 24-30 L (+2) O (49)11/10 DEN L 20-28 L (+7) U (56)11/17 at MIA L 16-20 L (-3) U (44½)11/24 at KAN W 41-38 W (+3) O (43)12/1 CIN L 10-17 L (+2½) U (48½)12/8 NYG W 37-14 W (-4½) O (46)12/12 at DEN W 27-20 W (+9½) U (57)12/22 OAK W 26-13 W (-10) U (50)12/29 KAN W 27-24 L (-15½) O (45)
2010-13 REgulaR SEaSon gaME logS
AFC EastFootball Futures
NFL Schedules
AFC SouthAFC W
estN
FC EastN
FC North
NFC W
estCollege Top 25
College Teams
AFC North
NFC South
2010 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/13 at KAN L 14-21 L (-4) U (45½)9/19 vs JAC W 38-13 W (-7) O (45)9/26 at SEA L 20-27 L (-3½) O (44)10/3 vs ARI W 41-10 W (-10) O (47)10/10 at OAK L 27-35 L (-7) O (44)10/17 at STL L 17-20 L (-8½) U (45)10/24 vs NWE L 20-23 L (-3) U (49)10/31 vs TEN W 33-25 W (-6) O (45)11/7 at HOU W 29-23 W (-3) O (50)11/22 vs DEN W 35-14 W (-8½) U (50)11/28 at IND W 36-14 W (+1½) P (50)12/5 vs OAK L 13-28 L (-13) U (45)12/12 vs KAN W 31-0 W (-10) U (45½)12/16 vs SFO W 34-7 W (-10) U (44½)12/26 at CIN L 20-34 L (-7½) O (43½)1/2 at DEN W 33-28 L (-5½) O (47½)
2011 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/11 vs MIN W 24-17 L (-9) U (44½)9/18 at NWE L 21-35 L (+6) O (53½)9/25 vs KAN W 20-17 L (-14½) U (44½)10/2 vs MIA W 26-16 W (-6½) U (45)10/9 at DEN W 29-24 W (-3½) O (47½)10/23 at NYJ L 21-27 L (-1) O (43½)10/31 at KAN L 20-23 L (-3) U (44½)11/6 vs GNB L 38-45 L (+5½) O (50)11/10 vs OAK L 17-24 L (-7) U (47½)11/20 at CHI L 20-31 L (+4) O (45)11/27 vs DEN L 13-16 L (-4½) U (42½)12/5 at JAC W 38-14 W (-3) O (40)12/11 vs BUF W 37-10 W (-7) U (49½)12/18 vs BAL W 34-14 W (+1) O (45)12/24 at DET L 10-38 L (0) U (52½)1/1 at OAK W 38-26 W (+2½) O (50)
2012 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/10 at OAK W 22-14 W (+1) U (47½)9/16 TEN W 38-10 W (-6) O (43½)9/23 ATL L 3-27 L (-3) U (47)9/30 at KAN W 37-20 W (-2½) O (43)10/7 at NOR L 24-31 L (+3) O (53½)10/15 DEN L 24-35 L (0) O (48)10/28 at CLE L 6-7 L (-3) U (40½)11/1 KAN W 31-13 W (-7) O (41)11/11 at TAM L 24-34 L (+3) O (46½)11/18 at DEN L 23-30 P (+7) O (47½)11/25 BAL L 13-16 L (+1) U (47)12/2 CIN L 13-20 L (+1) U (46½)12/9 at PIT W 34-24 W (+7) O (37½)12/16 CAR L 7-31 L (-3) U (45)12/23 at NYJ W 27-17 W (+3) O (38)12/30 OAK W 24-21 L (-7½) O (41½)
sept. 8
sept. 14
sept. 21
sept. 28
Oct. 5
Oct. 12
Oct. 19
Oct. 23
nov. 2
nov. 9
nov. 16
nov. 23
nov. 30
Dec. 7
Dec. 14
Dec. 20
Dec. 28
Situational REcoRdS
2014 SchEdulE
at Arizona Cardinals
Seattle Seahawks
at Buffalo Bills
Jacksonville Jaguars
New York Jets
at Oakland Raiders
Kansas City Chiefs
at Denver Broncos
at Miami Dolphins
BYE WEEK
Oakland Raiders
St. Louis Rams
at Baltimore Ravens
New England Patriots
Denver Broncos
at San Francisco 49ers
at Kansas City Chiefs
>
ScEnaRio 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 6-YR total 6-YR%
STRAIGHT UP 9–9 13–4 9–7 8–8 7–9 10–8 56–45 55.4%
OVERALL ATS 9–9 8–8 8–8 6–10 6–9 11–6 48–50 49.0%
PRESEASON ATS 3–1 2–1 1–2 2–2 3–1 2–2 13–9 59.1%
HOME ATS 5–4 3–5 6–2 3–5 2–6 5–3 24–25 49.0%
ROAD ATS 4–5 5–3 2–6 3–5 4–3 6–3 24–25 49.0%
VS DIVISION ATS 4–2 3–3 2–4 2–4 3–2 4–3 18–18 50.0%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 8–6 5–8 6–6 6–6 6–5 8–5 39–36 52.0%
AS FAVORITE ATS 5–8 5–7 7–8 4–6 3–4 3–3 27–36 42.9%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 4–1 3–1 1–0 2–4 3–5 8–3 21–14 60.0%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring +3.0 12
Yardage +26.8 9
Yds Per Play -0.18 20
Yds Per Point -0.96 14
Turnovers -4 T20
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 24.8 12
1st Dwn/Gm 23.3 3
Yards/Game 393.3 5
Yds Per Play 5.94 5
Yds Per Point 15.89 24
Rush Yds/Gm 122.8 13
Yards Per Rush 4.04 21
Pass Att/Game 34.0 22
Comp/Game 23.6 6
Completion % 69.5 1
Pass Yds/Gm 270.5 4
Pass Yds/Att 7.96 3
INTs Thrown 11 T7
Sacks Allowed 30 T4
Att/Sack 18.1 6
Sack Yards 150 2
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Allowed 21.8 11
1st Dwn/Gm 20.4 T17
Yards/Game 366.5 23
Yds Per Play 6.11 31
Yds Per Point 16.85 8
Rush Yds/Gm 107.8 12
Yards Per Rush 4.59 27
Pass Att/Game 34.2 12
Comp/Game 22.8 26
Completion % 66.4 29
Pass Yds/Gm 258.7 29
Pass Yds/Att 7.55 31
Interceptions 11 T26
Sacks 35 T23
Att/Sack 15.7 23
Sack Yards 248 T19
Veteran offensive line coach Joe D’Alessandris kept San Diego’s man-blocking scheme for the most part intact during his first season with the Chargers. They’ve also turned to a full committee approach. Ryan Mathews will once again lead the rotation as long as he stays healthy. Danny Woodhead will play on most passing downs and, sur-prisingly considering his size, stays on the field in many red-zone sit-uations. Donald Brown will have a significant role as well, spelling Mathews and Woodhead on all three downs. The trio will continue to rotate inside the 20 with Woodhead getting the most touches.
Philip Rivers found new life last year under offensive coordinator Ken Whisenhunt. Whiz took the head job in Tennessee, but new OC Franck Reich ascends from quarterbacks coach and should keep the game plan intact. There are a lot more quick throws in this offense, keeping Rivers upright and also giving San Diego’s playmakers a chance. Keenan Allen is the No. 1 target, often working the same side of the field as tight end Antonio Gates, the second receiver. Woodhead will continue to have a big role as an underneath target, stealing chances from slot receiver Eddie Royal. Allen emerged as a big threat when they threw deep in opponent territory last season, partially because teams still focus coverage on Gates. Woodhead remains a big receiving threat around the goal line, and second TE Ladarius Green appears ready for a bigger role. Malcom Floyd will be the deep threat if he can stay healthy. If not, Vincent Brown will assume that role.
John Pagano’s 3-4 defense doesn’t give up many points, but they finished 30th in takeaways last year and ranked 23rd in both total defense and sacks. With no signficant free agent additions, rookie CB Jason Verrett is the only real upgrade here.
24 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2014
nFc EaSt
DALLAS COWBOYS
2013 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/8 NYG W 36-31 W (-3½) O (48½)9/15 at KAN L 16-17 W (+3) U (45)9/22 STL W 31-7 W (-3) U (48)9/29 at SDG L 21-30 L (-1) O (47)10/6 DEN L 48-51 W (+7½) O (56)10/13 WAS W 31-16 W (-5½) U (52)10/20 at PHI W 17-3 W (+3) U (55)10/27 at DET L 30-31 W (+3) O (51)11/3 MIN W 27-23 L (-8) U (50½)11/10 at NOR L 17-49 L (+6½) O (55)11/24 at NYG W 24-21 W (+2½) O (44½)11/28 OAK W 31-24 L (-9½) O (48½)12/9 at CHI L 28-45 L (+2) O (49½)12/15 GNB L 36-37 L (-4) O (49½)12/22 at WAS W 24-23 L (-3) U (51½)12/29 PHI L 22-24 W (+7½) U (54)
2010-13 REgulaR SEaSon gaME logS2010 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/12 at WAS L 7-13 L (-3½) U (40)9/19 vs CHI L 20-27 L (-7) O (41½)9/26 at HOU W 27-13 W (+2½) U (47½)10/10 vs TEN L 27-34 L (-6½) O (43½)10/17 at MIN L 21-24 L (+1½) O (43½)10/25 vs NYG L 35-41 L (-3½) O (45)10/31 vs JAC L 17-35 L (-6½) O (43½)11/7 at GNB L 7-45 L (+7½) O (46)11/14 at NYG W 33-20 W (+12½) O (46)11/21 vs DET W 35-19 W (-5½) O (47)11/25 vs NOR L 27-30 W (+4½) O (48)12/5 at IND W 38-35 W (+5½) O (48)12/12 vs PHI L 27-30 W (+4) O (50½)12/19 vs WAS W 33-30 L (-9½) O (44)12/25 at ARI L 26-27 L (-7) O (44½)1/2 at PHI W 14-13 L (-2½) U (43½)
2011 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/11 at NYJ L 24-27 W (+6) O (41)9/18 at SFO W 27-24 P (-3) O (41)9/26 vs WAS W 18-16 L (-3) U (44½)10/2 vs DET L 30-34 L (-2½) O (46)10/16 at NWE L 16-20 W (+6½) U (54)10/23 vs STL W 34-7 W (-14) U (43)10/30 at PHI L 7-34 L (+3) U (49)11/6 vs SEA W 23-13 L (-10½) U (46)11/13 vs BUF W 44-7 W (-4½) O (48½)11/20 at WAS W 27-24 L (-7) O (43)11/24 vs MIA W 20-19 L (-7) U (46)12/4 at ARI L 13-19 L (-4) U (46½)12/11 vs NYG L 34-37 L (-4½) O (49)12/17 at TAM W 31-15 W (-7) P (46)12/24 vs PHI L 7-20 L (+2) U (49½)1/1 at NYG L 14-31 L (+3) U (48)
2012 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/5 at NYG W 24-17 W (+3½) U (45½)9/16 at SEA L 7-27 L (-3) U (43)9/23 TAM W 16-10 L (-7) U (45½)10/1 CHI L 18-34 L (-3) O (41)10/14 at BAL L 29-31 W (+3) O (45)10/21 at CAR W 19-14 W (-3) U (45)10/28 NYG L 24-29 L (+3) O (47½)11/4 at ATL L 13-19 L (+3½) U (47)11/11 at PHI W 38-23 W (-2½) O (43½)11/18 CLE W 23-20 L (-7) U (43½)11/22 WAS L 31-38 L (-3) O (47)12/2 PHI W 38-33 L (-10½) O (44½)12/9 at CIN W 20-19 W (+3) U (46½)12/16 PIT W 27-24 W (+2½) O (46)12/23 NOR L 31-34 L (-3) O (54½)12/30 at WAS L 18-28 L (+3) U (50)
sept. 7
sept. 14
sept. 21
sept. 28
Oct. 5
Oct. 12
Oct. 19
Oct. 27
nov. 2
nov. 9
nov. 16
nov. 23
nov. 27
Dec. 4
Dec. 14
Dec. 21
Dec. 28
Situational REcoRdS
2014 SchEdulE
San Francisco 49ers
at Tennessee Titans
at St. Louis Rams
New Orleans Saints
Houston Texans
at Seattle Seahawks
New York Giants
Washington Redskins
Arizona Cardinals
Jacksonville Jags (London)
BYE WEEK
at New York Giants
Philadelphia Eagles
at Chicago Bears
at Philadelphia Eagles
Indianapolis Colts
at Washington Redskins
>
ScEnaRio 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 6-YR total 6-YR%
STRAIGHT UP 9–7 12–6 6–10 8–8 8–8 8–8 51–47 52.0%
OVERALL ATS 7–9 10–8 6–10 5–10 6–10 9–7 43–54 44.3%
PRESEASON ATS 1–3 2–2 3–2 1–3 2–2 2–3 11–15 42.3%
HOME ATS 4–4 6–3 3–5 2–6 1–7 5–3 21–28 42.9%
ROAD ATS 3–5 4–5 3–5 3–4 5–3 4–4 22–26 45.8%
VS DIVISION ATS 2–4 4–3 2–4 0–6 2–4 5–1 15–22 40.5%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 6–6 9–5 4–8 2–9 3–9 7–5 31–42 42.5%
AS FAVORITE ATS 7–6 9–7 1–8 3–7 2–7 3–5 25–40 38.5%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 0–3 2–1 5–2 2–3 4–3 6–2 19–14 57.6%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring +0.4 15
Yardage -74.2 31
Yds Per Play -0.37 27
Yds Per Point -2.95 7
Turnovers +8 T9
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 27.4 5
1st Dwn/Gm 20.3 13
Yards/Game 341.1 16
Yds Per Play 5.70 7
Yds Per Point 12.43 2
Rush Yds/Gm 94.0 24
Yards Per Rush 4.48 8
Pass Att/Game 36.6 T13
Comp/Game 23.4 8
Completion % 64.0 8
Pass Yds/Gm 247.1 14
Pass Yds/Att 6.75 13
INTs Thrown 12 T10
Sacks Allowed 35 7
Att/Sack 16.7 8
Sack Yards 272 T16
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Allowed 27.0 26
1st Dwn/Gm 24.2 32
Yards/Game 415.3 32
Yds Per Play 6.07 30
Yds Per Point 15.38 13
Rush Yds/Gm 128.5 27
Yards Per Rush 4.70 30
Pass Att/Game 38.9 29
Comp/Game 25.2 30
Completion % 64.7 26
Pass Yds/Gm 286.8 30
Pass Yds/Att 7.37 27
Interceptions 15 T17
Sacks 34 T25
Att/Sack 18.3 32
Sack Yards 246 21
Offensive line coach Bill Callahan is expected to relinquish play-calling duties to new offensive coordinator Scott Linehan in order to focus on improving the Cowboys’ anemic rushing attack. They end up abandoning the run early in many games, as the zone-blocking scheme that Callahan implemented has yet to take hold. DeMarco Murray will take a headlining role again in this backfield, especially in the red zone, and he’ll keep that role until his next injury. Joseph Randle and Lance Dunbar will fight for scraps.
Linehan ran a pass-happy offense in Detroit, similar to what the Cowboys have run. He’s an Air Coryell disciple with a system that uses a lot of top-down reads, looking to take advantage of the deep ball. Dez Bryant is the obvious No. 1 receiver in this offense, and Linehan will likely move him around more than Dallas has done in the past. Tight end Jason Witten provides another chess piece type of weapon to wreak some havoc. Terrance Williams steps in as the No. 2 and will be used primarily as a deep threat. The Cowboys will use two tight ends as often as they go three-wide, meaning third wideout Cole Beasley and second TE Gavin Escobar will essentially split play-ing time. Dallas was one of the league’s most pass-heavy red zone teams last year, a trend that’s likely to continue this season. Bryant is the top target near the goal line, with Witten a close second.
Dallas DL coach Rod Marinelli will take over defensive coordinator duties in 2014, hoping to generate more turnovers like he did with the Bears (44 TO in 2012). But the Cowboys still give up tons of yards and will have much fewer sacks after losing both DE DeMarcus Ware (117 career sacks) and DT Jason Hatcher (11 sacks in 2013).
StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2014 25
AFC EastFootball Futures
NFL Schedules
AFC SouthAFC W
estN
FC EastN
FC North
NFC W
estCollege Top 25
College Teams
AFC North
NFC South
nFc EaSt
NEW YORK GIANTS
2013 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/8 at DAL L 31-36 L (+3½) O (48½)9/15 DEN L 23-41 L (+3½) O (52½)9/22 at CAR L 0-38 L (-2) U (47)9/29 at KAN L 7-31 L (+3) U (44)10/6 PHI L 21-36 L (+1½) O (54)10/10 at CHI L 21-27 W (+9½) O (46½)10/21 MIN W 23-7 W (-4) U (47½)10/27 at PHI W 15-7 W (+5½) U (49½)11/10 OAK W 24-20 L (-7) O (41)11/17 GNB W 27-13 W (-3) U (40½)11/24 DAL L 21-24 L (-2½) O (44½)12/1 at WAS W 24-17 W (0) U (45½)12/8 at SDG L 14-37 L (+4½) O (46)12/15 SEA L 0-23 L (+8½) U (43½)12/22 at DET W 23-20 W (+9½) U (47)12/29 WAS W 20-6 W (-3½) U (44½)
2010-13 REgulaR SEaSon gaME logS2010 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/12 vs CAR W 31-18 W (-5½) O (40½)9/19 at IND L 14-38 L (+4½) O (48)9/26 vs TEN L 10-29 L (-3) U (43)10/3 vs CHI W 17-3 W (-4) U (43½)10/10 at HOU W 34-10 W (+3) U (48)10/17 vs DET W 28-20 L (-10) O (45½)10/25 at DAL W 41-35 W (+3½) O (45)11/7 at SEA W 41-7 W (-7) O (40½)11/14 vs DAL L 20-33 L (-12½) O (46)11/21 at PHI L 17-27 L (+3) U (47½)11/28 vs JAC W 24-20 L (-7½) O (43)12/5 vs WAS W 31-7 W (-7½) U (43)12/13 vs MIN W 21-3 W (-5) U (43½)12/19 vs PHI L 31-38 L (-3) O (47)12/26 at GNB L 17-45 L (+3) O (43)1/2 at WAS W 17-14 L (-4½) U (44)
2011 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/11 at WAS L 14-28 L (-1½) O (41)9/19 vs STL W 28-16 W (-7) O (43)9/25 at PHI W 29-16 W (+9) U (48)10/2 at ARI W 31-27 W (-1) O (45)10/9 vs SEA L 25-36 L (-9½) O (43½)10/16 vs BUF W 27-24 P (-3) O (49)10/30 vs MIA W 20-17 L (-9½) U (43)11/6 at NWE W 24-20 W (+9½) U (52)11/13 at SFO L 20-27 L (+4) O (43)11/20 vs PHI L 10-17 L (-5½) U (45)11/28 at NOR L 24-49 L (+7) O (51)12/4 vs GNB L 35-38 W (+7) O (54)12/11 at DAL W 37-34 W (+4½) O (49)12/18 vs WAS L 10-23 L (-6) U (45)12/24 at NYJ W 29-14 W (+3) U (46)1/1 vs DAL W 31-14 W (-3) U (48)
2012 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/5 DAL L 17-24 L (-3½) U (45½)9/16 TAM W 41-34 L (-7½) O (43½)9/20 at CAR W 36-7 W (+3) U (48)9/30 at PHI L 17-19 P (+2) U (46½)10/7 CLE W 41-27 W (-7½) O (43½)10/14 at SFO W 26-3 W (+7) U (46½)10/21 WAS W 27-23 L (-6) U (51½)10/28 at DAL W 29-24 W (-3) O (47½)11/4 PIT L 20-24 L (-3) U (48½)11/11 at CIN L 13-31 L (-3½) U (47)11/25 GNB W 38-10 W (-3) U (50)12/3 at WAS L 16-17 L (-3) U (50)12/9 NOR W 52-27 W (-4) O (52½)12/16 at ATL L 0-34 L (0) U (49½)12/23 at BAL L 14-33 L (-3) U (47½)12/30 PHI W 42-7 W (-6) O (44)
sept. 8
sept. 14
sept. 21
sept. 25
Oct. 5
Oct. 12
Oct. 19
Oct. 26
nov. 3
nov. 9
nov. 16
nov. 23
nov. 30
Dec. 7
Dec. 14
Dec. 21
Dec. 28
Situational REcoRdS
2014 SchEdulE
at Detroit Lions
Arizona Cardinals
Houston Texans
at Washington Redskins
Atlanta Falcons
at Philadelphia Eagles
at Dallas Cowboys
BYE WEEK
Indianapolis Colts
at Seattle Seahawks
San Francisco 49ers
Dallas Cowboys
at Jacksonville Jaguars
at Tennessee Titans
Washington Redskins
at St. Louis Rams
Philadelphia Eagles
>
ScEnaRio 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 6-YR total 6-YR%
STRAIGHT UP 12–5 8–8 10–6 13–7 9–7 7–9 59–42 58.4%
OVERALL ATS 12–5 7–9 7–9 12–7 7–8 7–9 52–47 52.5%
PRESEASON ATS 2–0 1–3 1–2 2–2 3–1 1–3 10–11 47.6%
HOME ATS 6–3 3–5 3–5 4–4 4–4 3–5 23–26 46.9%
ROAD ATS 6–2 4–4 4–4 8–3 3–4 4–4 29–21 58.0%
VS DIVISION ATS 4–3 4–2 2–4 3–3 2–3 3–3 18–18 50.0%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 10–3 5–7 6–6 9–6 6–5 7–5 43–32 57.3%
AS FAVORITE ATS 9–4 5–6 5–6 4–5 5–7 3–3 31–31 50.0%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 3–1 2–3 2–3 8–2 2–1 4–6 21–16 56.8%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring -5.6 T23
Yardage -24.8 22
Yds Per Play +0.10 10
Yds Per Point +2.85 26
Turnovers -15 31
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 18.4 28
1st Dwn/Gm 17.5 T27
Yards/Game 307.5 28
Yds Per Play 4.98 28
Yds Per Point 16.73 27
Rush Yds/Gm 83.2 29
Yards Per Rush 3.50 30
Pass Att/Game 35.4 19
Comp/Game 20.3 T22
Completion % 57.3 28
Pass Yds/Gm 224.2 19
Pass Yds/Att 6.33 20
INTs Thrown 29 32
Sacks Allowed 40 T12
Att/Sack 14.2 14
Sack Yards 287 18
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Allowed 23.9 18
1st Dwn/Gm 20.4 T17
Yards/Game 332.3 8
Yds Per Play 4.88 5
Yds Per Point 13.88 22
Rush Yds/Gm 108.9 14
Yards Per Rush 3.84 6
Pass Att/Game 37.6 25
Comp/Game 22.6 23
Completion % 60.1 17
Pass Yds/Gm 223.3 10
Pass Yds/Att 5.95 5
Interceptions 17 T12
Sacks 34 T25
Att/Sack 17.7 29
Sack Yards 214 28
Long-time offensive coordinator Kevin Gilbride is gone, but O-Line coach Pat Flaherty remains in place to improve an awful run game (83 YPG in 2013, 29th in NFL). The Giants lean toward a lot of gap blocking, and their upgraded personnel on the offensive line should create more opportunities this season. New top back Rashad Jennings fits what they do as a downhill, no-nonsense type of run-ner. He’ll take the bulk of the work with David Wilson, if he’s back from neck surgery (a big if), taking on a change-of-pace role. Andre Williams and Peyton Hillis seem to be insurance in case Wilson can’t go this fall.
This will be Eli Manning’s first year without Gilbride either call-ing plays or working with him as QB coach. New offensive coordina-tor Ben McAdoo, a tight ends and quarterbacks coach in Green Bay, should bring more creativity and a West Coast look to the passing game. Expect more underneath, catch-and-run work for Victor Cruz and slot options Odell Beckham Jr. and Jerrel Jernigan, with Rueben Randle working as more of a traditional field stretcher. McAdoo would like to utilize a lot of two-tight end sets, but he’ll do so only if he can find two that are good enough to stay on the field. The backs will do more pass protecting than most, but McAdoo will mix in the screen game to utilize Jennings’ receiving ability. Assuming they mir-ror what the Packers typically did inside the 20 last year, expect a lot of throwing inside the red zone until they get inside the three.
The Giants lacked a pass rush in 2013, but then let team sack leader Justin Tuck walk. But they bolstered their secondary by adding tough CBs Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie and Walter Thurmond, and also signed stud LB Jameel McClain.
26 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2014
nFc EaSt
PHILADELPHIA EAGLES
2013 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/9 at WAS W 33-27 W (+4) O (51)9/15 SDG L 30-33 L (-7½) O (51)9/19 KAN L 16-26 L (-3) U (50½)9/29 at DEN L 20-52 L (+10) O (57½)10/6 at NYG W 36-21 W (-1½) O (54)10/13 at TAM W 31-20 W (-3) O (44)10/20 DAL L 3-17 L (-3) U (55)10/27 NYG L 7-15 L (-5½) U (49½)11/3 at OAK W 49-20 W (0) O (45)11/10 at GNB W 27-13 W (-1½) U (47)11/17 WAS W 24-16 W (-4) U (54)12/1 ARI W 24-21 L (-3½) U (48½)12/8 DET W 34-20 W (-3) O (51)12/15 at MIN L 30-48 L (-7) O (53)12/22 CHI W 54-11 W (-3) O (53½)12/29 at DAL W 24-22 L (-7½) U (54)
2010-13 REgulaR SEaSon gaME logS2010 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/12 vs GNB L 20-27 L (+3) U (48)9/19 at DET W 35-32 L (-6½) O (41)9/26 at JAC W 28-3 W (-3) U (44½)10/3 vs WAS L 12-17 L (-5) U (44)10/10 at SFO W 27-24 W (+3) O (39½)10/17 vs ATL W 31-17 W (-2) O (43)10/24 at TEN L 19-37 L (+3) O (41)11/7 vs IND W 26-24 L (-3) O (46½)11/15 at WAS W 59-28 W (-3) O (44)11/21 vs NYG W 27-17 W (-3) U (47½)11/28 at CHI L 26-31 L (-3) O (42)12/2 vs HOU W 34-24 W (-8) O (51)12/12 at DAL W 30-27 L (-4) O (50½)12/19 at NYG W 38-31 W (+3) O (47)12/28 vs MIN L 14-24 L (-14½) U (44)1/2 vs DAL L 13-14 W (+2½) U (43½)
2011 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/11 at STL W 31-13 W (-3½) P (44)9/18 at ATL L 31-35 L (-2½) O (50)9/25 vs NYG L 16-29 L (-9) U (48)10/2 vs SFO L 23-24 L (-10) O (43½)10/9 at BUF L 24-31 L (-3) O (52½)10/16 at WAS W 20-13 W (-3) U (46½)10/30 vs DAL W 34-7 W (-3) U (49)11/7 vs CHI L 24-30 L (-8) O (47½)11/13 vs ARI L 17-21 L (-13½) U (47)11/20 at NYG W 17-10 W (+5½) U (45)11/27 vs NWE L 20-38 L (+3) O (51)12/1 at SEA L 14-31 L (-3) O (43½)12/11 at MIA W 26-10 W (+3) U (44½)12/18 vs NYJ W 45-19 W (-3) O (44½)12/24 at DAL W 20-7 W (-2) U (49½)1/1 vs WAS W 34-10 W (-7) U (44½)
2012 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/9 at CLE W 17-16 L (-8½) U (42½)9/16 BAL W 24-23 L (-3) P (47)9/23 at ARI L 6-27 L (-3) U (42)9/30 NYG W 19-17 P (-2) U (46½)10/7 at PIT L 14-16 W (+4) U (44)10/14 DET L 23-26 L (-3½) O (47½)10/28 ATL L 17-30 L (-3) O (43)11/5 at NOR L 13-28 L (+3) U (52½)11/11 DAL L 23-38 L (+2½) O (43½)11/18 at WAS L 6-31 L (+3) U (45½)11/26 CAR L 22-30 L (+3) O (41½)12/2 at DAL L 33-38 W (+10½) O (44½)12/9 at TAM W 23-21 W (+7) U (48)12/13 CIN L 13-34 L (+4½) O (45)12/23 WAS L 20-27 L (+4½) O (46)12/30 at NYG L 7-42 L (+6) O (44)
sept. 7
sept. 15
sept. 21
sept. 28
Oct. 5
Oct. 12
Oct. 19
Oct. 26
nov. 2
nov. 10
nov. 16
nov. 23
nov. 27
Dec. 7
Dec. 14
Dec. 20
Dec. 28
Situational REcoRdS
2014 SchEdulE
Jacksonville Jaguars
at Indianapolis Colts
Washington Redskins
at San Francisco 49ers
St. Louis Rams
New York Giants
BYE WEEK
at Arizona Cardinals
at Houston Texans
Carolina Panthers
at Green Bay Packers
Tennessee Titans
at Dallas Cowboys
Seattle Seahawks
Dallas Cowboys
at Washington Redskins
at New York Giants
>
ScEnaRio 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 6-YR total 6-YR%
STRAIGHT UP 11–7 11–6 10–7 8–8 4–12 10–7 54–47 53.5%
OVERALL ATS 12–7 9–8 8–9 8–8 3–12 8–9 48–53 47.5%
PRESEASON ATS 2–2 0–4 1–3 3–1 3–0 2–2 11–12 47.8%
HOME ATS 6–2 4–4 4–5 3–5 0–7 3–6 20–29 40.8%
ROAD ATS 6–5 5–4 4–4 5–3 3–5 5–3 28–24 53.8%
VS DIVISION ATS 4–3 3–4 4–2 5–1 1–4 3–3 20–17 54.1%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 10–5 8–5 6–7 6–6 2–9 7–6 39–38 50.6%
AS FAVORITE ATS 9–6 8–4 5–7 6–7 0–5 6–8 34–37 47.9%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 3–1 1–4 3–2 2–1 3–7 2–1 14–16 46.7%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring +3.8 9
Yardage +23.3 10
Yds Per Play +0.85 3
Yds Per Point -1.40 10
Turnovers +12 T4
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 27.6 4
1st Dwn/Gm 22.2 5
Yards/Game 417.2 2
Yds Per Play 6.33 1
Yds Per Point 15.10 16
Rush Yds/Gm 160.4 1
Yards Per Rush 5.13 1
Pass Att/Game 31.8 27
Comp/Game 19.4 24
Completion % 61.0 14
Pass Yds/Gm 256.9 9
Pass Yds/Att 8.09 1
INTs Thrown 9 T3
Sacks Allowed 46 25
Att/Sack 11.0 25
Sack Yards 296 22
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Allowed 23.9 17
1st Dwn/Gm 23.0 T30
Yards/Game 394.0 29
Yds Per Play 5.48 20
Yds Per Point 16.50 9
Rush Yds/Gm 104.2 10
Yards Per Rush 3.77 4
Pass Att/Game 41.9 32
Comp/Game 25.5 31
Completion % 60.9 19
Pass Yds/Gm 289.8 32
Pass Yds/Att 6.92 20
Interceptions 19 T8
Sacks 37 20
Att/Sack 18.1 31
Sack Yards 271 14
Head coach Chip Kelly may not have brought his Oregon play-book to the NFL, but what he’s running is fairly close. The tempo and overall spread principles are what make this the league’s best rushing attack, as well as LeSean McCoy’s ability to exploit cutback lanes when defenses flow too fast to the perimeter. McCoy might have his workload lightened a little bit, but he’s still going to get an enormous number of carries. Unlike during the Andy Reid years, the Eagles are run-heavy in the red zone under Kelly. McCoy takes most touches inside the 20, often taking advantage of exhausted defenses at the end of drives. All-purpose back Darren Sproles could end up being used as a runner a bit more often than he was in New Orleans, while Chris Polk is more of a traditional back-up.
The Eagles use a lot of crossing routes that become high-percent-age due to the threat of the running game, plus quarterback Nick Foles holds onto the ball for a long, long time. They’ll use a lot of two-tight end looks, most often targeting either Jeremy Maclin or tight end Zach Ertz over the middle. Foles has good chemistry with No. 2 receiver Riley Cooper, who often takes advantage of single cov-erage against smaller defensive backs with a lot of comeback routes. Rookie Jordan Matthews will play inside in three-receiver sets. They also love the screen game, with McCoy and Sproles.
Defensive coordinator Billy Davis was brought in before 2013 to improve the team’s pathetic 13 takeaways, and he did just that with 31 forced turnovers, which tied for third in the NFL. FS Malcolm Jenkins was the only significant free-agent pickup, but first-round draft choice DE Marcus Smith should be able to contrib-ute right away.
StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2014 27
AFC EastFootball Futures
NFL Schedules
AFC SouthAFC W
estN
FC EastN
FC North
NFC W
estCollege Top 25
College Teams
AFC North
NFC South
nFc EaSt
WASHINGTON REDSKINS
2013 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/9 PHI L 27-33 L (-4) O (51)9/15 at GNB L 20-38 L (+7) O (47½)9/22 DET L 20-27 L (+1) U (48)9/29 at OAK W 24-14 W (-3½) U (45)10/13 at DAL L 16-31 L (+5½) U (52)10/20 CHI W 45-41 W (+1) O (47½)10/27 at DEN L 21-45 L (+11) O (58½)11/3 SDG W 30-24 W (-2) O (49)11/7 at MIN L 27-34 L (0) O (48)11/17 at PHI L 16-24 L (+4) U (54)11/25 SFO L 6-27 L (+5½) U (45)12/1 NYG L 17-24 L (0) U (45½)12/8 KAN L 10-45 L (+3½) O (44)12/15 at ATL L 26-27 W (+5½) O (49½)12/22 DAL L 23-24 W (+3) U (51½)12/29 at NYG L 6-20 L (+3½) U (44½)
2010-13 REgulaR SEaSon gaME logS2010 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/12 vs DAL W 13-7 W (+3½) U (40)9/19 vs HOU L 27-30 P (+3) O (43)9/26 at STL L 16-30 L (-5) O (39)10/3 at PHI W 17-12 W (+5) U (44)10/10 vs GNB W 16-13 W (+3) U (45)10/17 vs IND L 24-27 P (+3) O (44)10/24 at CHI W 17-14 W (+3) U (39½)10/31 at DET L 25-37 L (+3) O (45)11/15 vs PHI L 28-59 L (+3) O (44)11/21 at TEN W 19-16 W (+7) U (44)11/28 vs MIN L 13-17 L (+2½) U (43½)12/5 at NYG L 7-31 L (+7½) U (43)12/12 vs TAM L 16-17 P (+1) U (41)12/19 at DAL L 30-33 W (+9½) O (44)12/26 at JAC W 20-17 W (+7) U (45½)1/2 vs NYG L 14-17 W (+4½) U (44)
2011 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/11 vs NYG W 28-14 W (+1½) O (41)9/18 vs ARI W 22-21 L (-4½) U (45)9/26 at DAL L 16-18 W (+3) U (44½)10/2 at STL W 17-10 W (-3) U (44)10/16 vs PHI L 13-20 L (+3) U (46½)10/23 at CAR L 20-33 L (+3) O (44½)10/30 vs BUF L 0-23 L (+4) U (46)11/6 vs SFO L 11-19 L (+4½) U (38)11/13 at MIA L 9-20 L (+4) U (38)11/20 vs DAL L 24-27 W (+7) O (43)11/27 at SEA W 23-17 W (+3) O (37)12/4 vs NYJ L 19-34 L (+3) O (39)12/11 vs NWE L 27-34 P (+7) O (46½)12/18 at NYG W 23-10 W (+6) U (45)12/24 vs MIN L 26-33 L (-6) O (43)1/1 at PHI L 10-34 L (+7) U (44½)
2012 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/9 at NOR W 40-32 W (+8) O (50)9/16 at STL L 28-31 L (-4) O (42)9/23 CIN L 31-38 L (-3) O (49½)9/30 at TAM W 24-22 W (+2½) O (44½)10/7 ATL L 17-24 L (+3) U (51)10/14 MIN W 38-26 W (+1½) O (44)10/21 at NYG L 23-27 W (+6) U (51½)10/28 at PIT L 12-27 L (+4½) U (44½)11/4 CAR L 13-21 L (-3) U (48)11/18 PHI W 31-6 W (-3) U (45½)11/22 at DAL W 38-31 W (+3) O (47)12/3 NYG W 17-16 W (+3) U (50)12/9 BAL W 31-28 W (-2) O (48)12/16 at CLE W 38-21 W (+4) O (40½)12/23 at PHI W 27-20 W (-4½) O (46)12/30 DAL W 28-18 W (-3) U (50)
sept. 7
sept. 14
sept. 21
sept. 25
Oct. 6
Oct. 12
Oct. 19
Oct. 27
nov. 2
nov. 9
nov. 16
nov. 23
nov. 30
Dec. 7
Dec. 14
Dec. 20
Dec. 28
Situational REcoRdS
2014 SchEdulE
at Houston Texans
Jacksonville Jaguars
at Philadelphia Eagles
New York Giants
Seattle Seahawks
at Arizona Cardinals
Tennessee Titans
at Dallas Cowboys
at Minnesota Vikings
BYE WEEK
Tampa Bay Bucs
at San Francisco 49ers
at Indianapolis Colts
St. Louis Rams
at New York Giants
Philadelphia Eagles
Dallas Cowboys
>
ScEnaRio 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 6-YR total 6-YR%
STRAIGHT UP 8–8 4–12 6–10 5–11 10–7 3–13 36–61 37.1%
OVERALL ATS 6–8 6–9 8–5 6–9 11–6 5–11 42–48 46.7%
PRESEASON ATS 2–3 2–2 2–2 3–1 2–2 4–0 15–10 60.0%
HOME ATS 3–5 2–6 3–2 2–5 5–4 3–5 18–27 40.0%
ROAD ATS 3–3 4–3 5–3 4–4 6–2 2–6 24–21 53.3%
VS DIVISION ATS 3–3 2–4 4–2 4–2 6–0 1–5 20–16 55.6%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 6–4 4–8 6–5 6–6 9–4 3–9 34–36 48.6%
AS FAVORITE ATS 2–4 1–4 0–1 1–2 4–3 2–1 10–15 40.0%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 4–4 5–5 8–4 5–7 7–3 3–10 32–33 49.2%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring -9.0 30
Yardage +15.6 11
Yds Per Play -0.36 26
Yds Per Point +5.86 31
Turnovers -8 T25
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 20.9 23
1st Dwn/Gm 20.6 T11
Yards/Game 369.7 9
Yds Per Play 5.34 17
Yds Per Point 17.71 30
Rush Yds/Gm 135.2 5
Yards Per Rush 4.78 3
Pass Att/Game 38.2 9
Comp/Game 22.2 17
Completion % 58.1 26
Pass Yds/Gm 234.4 16
Pass Yds/Att 6.14 23
INTs Thrown 19 T20
Sacks Allowed 43 T17
Att/Sack 14.2 13
Sack Yards 306 24
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Allowed 29.9 T30
1st Dwn/Gm 20.6 T21
Yards/Game 354.1 18
Yds Per Play 5.70 27
Yds Per Point 11.85 32
Rush Yds/Gm 110.6 17
Yards Per Rush 3.99 14
Pass Att/Game 32.1 4
Comp/Game 21.1 12
Completion % 65.6 27
Pass Yds/Gm 243.5 20
Pass Yds/Att 7.58 32
Interceptions 16 T15
Sacks 36 T21
Att/Sack 14.3 13
Sack Yards 238 T23
New head coach Jay Gruden ran a pass-heavy offense in Cincinnati, much more so than the Shanahans did the past two years. Gruden has strongly hinted toward scrapping the zone read option, which fueled a big part of Washington’s success in the run-ning game. Alfred Morris figures to lose a little more playing time to Roy Helu as the Redskins show a little more of a finesse game, but Morris will still do a solid amount of between-the-tackles grinding. Quarterback Robert Griffin III will see far fewer designed runs in an attempt to keep him healthy.
Gruden and new offensive coordinator Sean McVay, Washington’s former tight ends coach, are both versed in a West Coast offense, so the passing game shouldn’t look drastically different. They’ll move Griffin around and rely on the catch-and-run ability of Pierre Garcon and tight end Jordan Reed, who is in for a much larger role in this offense. He’s a matchup nightmare in the middle of the field who will also be used heavily in the screen game. When they throw inside the 20, Garcon has always been Griffin’s favorite red-zone target. They fig-ure to work some different looks for Reed, and second tight end Logan Paulsen saw a fair amount of play-action looks inside the five. They’ll use a lot of three-receiver sets with Andre Roberts stepping in as a slot guy, while DeSean Jackson will be an every-down deep threat.
The Redskins made some strong free-agent signings like defensive tackle Jason Hatcher, free safety Ryan Clark, cornerback Tracy Porter and linebacker Akeem Jordan. But this defense has a long way to go to reach respectability after a season where they ranked tied for 30th in the NFL in scoring defense and 27th in yards per play.
nFc noRth
CHICAGO BEARS
2013 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/8 CIN W 24-21 P (-3) O (41)9/15 MIN W 31-30 L (-6) O (40½)9/22 at PIT W 40-23 W (-2) O (40½)9/29 at DET L 32-40 L (+3) O (47½)10/6 NOR L 18-26 L (-1½) U (50)10/10 NYG W 27-21 L (-9½) O (46½)10/20 at WAS L 41-45 L (-1) O (47½)11/4 at GNB W 27-20 W (+10) U (50½)11/10 DET L 19-21 L (+1½) U (52)11/17 BAL W 23-20 L (-3½) O (41)11/24 at STL L 21-42 L (+2½) O (45½)12/1 at MIN L 20-23 L (+2½) U (48½)12/9 DAL W 45-28 W (-2) O (49½)12/15 at CLE W 38-31 W (+1) O (44½)12/22 at PHI L 11-54 L (+3) O (53½)12/29 GNB L 28-33 L (+3) O (51½)
2010-13 REgulaR SEaSon gaME logS
28 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2014
2010 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/12 vs DET W 19-14 L (-6½) U (44½)9/19 at DAL W 27-20 W (+7) O (41½)9/27 vs GNB W 20-17 W (+3) U (45)10/3 at NYG L 3-17 L (+4) U (43½)10/10 at CAR W 23-6 W (+3) U (33)10/17 vs SEA L 20-23 L (-6) O (37½)10/24 vs WAS L 14-17 L (-3) U (39½)11/7 at BUF W 22-19 P (-3) U (41½)11/14 vs MIN W 27-13 W (0) U (41)11/18 at MIA W 16-0 W (+3) U (40)11/28 vs PHI W 31-26 W (+3) O (42)12/5 at DET W 24-20 L (-5) O (43½)12/12 vs NWE L 7-36 L (+3) O (37½)12/20 at MIN W 40-14 W (-5½) O (34½)12/26 vs NYJ W 38-34 W (-3) O (35½)1/2 at GNB L 3-10 W (+11) U (43)
2011 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/11 vs ATL W 30-12 W (+1½) O (40½)9/18 at NOR L 13-30 L (+5) U (46½)9/25 vs GNB L 17-27 L (+4) U (45)10/2 vs CAR W 34-29 L (-7) O (41½)10/10 at DET L 13-24 L (+6½) U (47)10/16 vs MIN W 39-10 W (-2) O (41½)10/23 vs TAM W 24-18 W (-2) U (44)11/7 at PHI W 30-24 W (+8) O (47½)11/13 vs DET W 37-13 W (-3) O (42½)11/20 vs SDG W 31-20 W (-4) O (45)11/27 at OAK L 20-25 L (+3) O (40½)12/4 vs KAN L 3-10 L (-9) U (35½)12/11 at DEN L 10-13 P (+3) U (36)12/18 vs SEA L 14-38 L (-3½) O (34½)12/25 at GNB L 21-35 L (+13½) O (41)1/1 at MIN W 17-13 W (+2½) U (42)
2012 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/9 IND W 41-21 W (-10) O (42)9/13 at GNB L 10-23 L (+5½) U (50½)9/23 STL W 23-6 W (-7) U (41½)10/1 at DAL W 34-18 W (+3) O (41)10/7 at JAC W 41-3 W (-6) O (38½)10/22 DET W 13-7 L (-6½) U (44½)10/28 CAR W 23-22 L (-7) O (40½)11/4 at TEN W 51-20 W (-5) O (44)11/11 HOU L 6-13 L (-1) U (37)11/19 at SFO L 7-32 L (+3½) O (34)11/25 MIN W 28-10 W (-6½) U (38½)12/2 SEA L 17-23 L (-3) O (36½)12/9 at MIN L 14-21 L (-1) U (40½)12/16 GNB L 13-21 L (+3) U (43½)12/23 at ARI W 28-13 W (-6½) O (35½)12/30 at DET W 26-24 L (-3) O (46½)
sept. 7
sept. 14
sept. 22
sep. 28
Oct. 5
Oct. 12
Oct. 19
Oct. 26
nov. 2
nov. 9
nov. 16
nov. 23
nov. 27
Dec. 4
Dec. 15
Dec. 21
Dec. 28
Situational REcoRdS
2014 SchEdulE
Buffalo Bills
at San Francisco 49ers
at New York Jets
Green Bay Packers
at Carolina Panthers
at Atlanta Falcons
Miami Dolphins
at New England Patriots
BYE WEEK
at Green Bay Packers
Minnesota Vikings
Tampa Bay Bucs
at Detroit Lions
Dallas Cowboys
New Orleans Saints
Detroit Lions
at Minnesota Vikings
>
ScEnaRio 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 6-YR total 6-YR%
STRAIGHT UP 9–7 7–9 12–6 8–8 10–6 8–8 54–44 55.1%
OVERALL ATS 7–8 6–10 10–7 7–8 7–9 4–11 41–53 43.6%
PRESEASON ATS 1–3 3–1 0–4 3–1 3–1 1–3 11–13 45.8%
HOME ATS 4–4 4–4 5–5 4–4 3–5 1–6 21–28 42.9%
ROAD ATS 3–4 2–6 5–2 3–4 4–4 3–5 20–25 44.4%
VS DIVISION ATS 2–4 3–3 4–3 3–3 1–5 1–5 14–23 37.8%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 5–6 4–8 8–6 6–6 4–8 2–10 29–44 39.7%
AS FAVORITE ATS 5–4 4–3 3–4 4–3 6–6 2–5 24–25 49.0%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 2–4 2–7 7–3 3–5 1–3 2–6 17–28 37.8%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring -2.1 21
Yardage -12.8 19
Yds Per Play -0.15 19
Yds Per Point +0.52 18
Turnovers +5 11
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 27.8 2
1st Dwn/Gm 21.5 8
Yards/Game 381.8 8
Yds Per Play 6.03 3
Yds Per Point 13.73 7
Rush Yds/Gm 114.2 16
Yards Per Rush 4.52 7
Pass Att/Game 36.2 16
Comp/Game 23.3 9
Completion % 64.4 5
Pass Yds/Gm 267.6 5
Pass Yds/Att 7.39 7
INTs Thrown 13 T13
Sacks Allowed 30 T4
Att/Sack 19.3 4
Sack Yards 169 4
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Allowed 29.9 T30
1st Dwn/Gm 22.1 T28
Yards/Game 394.6 30
Yds Per Play 6.18 32
Yds Per Point 13.21 28
Rush Yds/Gm 161.4 32
Yards Per Rush 5.35 32
Pass Att/Game 31.7 T2
Comp/Game 19.7 6
Completion % 62.1 21
Pass Yds/Gm 233.1 15
Pass Yds/Att 7.36 26
Interceptions 19 T8
Sacks 31 T31
Att/Sack 16.4 26
Sack Yards 189 30
Aaron Kromer is both the offensive coordinator and offensive line coach, though head coach Marc Trestman handles the play-calling duties. This is a versatile running game that shows a lot of different looks and styles. They’re at their best with fullback Tony Fiammetta leading the way for Matt Forte on inside zone runs. They’ll also use some basic man concepts, with pulling guards leading the way, when they send Forte outside the tackles. It’s a pass-heavy offense and will remain that way considering the lack of depth behind Forte, who will carry a huge workload with rookie Ka’Deem Carey likely to be sprinkled in.
Chicago will continue to run a pass-heavy offense under Trestman. He emphasized shorter, quicker timing routes with quar-terback Jay Cutler, keeping him relatively upright and allowing his NBA-sized receivers to make plays. Cutler is able to make more pre-snap determinations, and often just puts the ball up top for either Brandon Marshall or Alshon Jeffery to bring in. The two of them work deeper downfield than most receivers. They’ll use TE Martellus Bennett as a possession guy in the middle of the field once the receivers stretch out opposing defenses. They’ll go three-wide spar-ingly. Forte will be involved heavily in the screen game and as a checkdown option.
After the Bears’ horrific 2013 season of placing among the bottom-three NFL teams in sacks, points allowed and yards allowed, changes were definitely needed under defensive coordinator Mel Tucker. But new defensive ends Jared Allen and Lamarr Houston and new safeties Ryan Mundy and M.D. Jennings can only help so much.
StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2014 29
nFc noRth
DETROIT LIONS
2013 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/8 MIN W 34-24 W (-4) O (46)9/15 at ARI L 21-25 L (-1) U (47)9/22 at WAS W 27-20 W (-1) U (48)9/29 CHI W 40-32 W (-3) O (47½)10/6 at GNB L 9-22 L (+10) U (52)10/13 at CLE W 31-17 W (-1½) O (43½)10/20 CIN L 24-27 L (-2½) O (45½)10/27 DAL W 31-30 L (-3) O (51)11/10 at CHI W 21-19 W (-1½) U (52)11/17 at PIT L 27-37 L (-3) O (45)11/24 TAM L 21-24 L (-7) U (48)11/28 GNB W 40-10 W (-6½) O (48½)12/8 at PHI L 20-34 L (+3) O (51)12/16 BAL L 16-18 L (-4½) U (49)12/22 NYG L 20-23 L (-9½) U (47)12/29 at MIN L 13-14 L (-2½) U (49½)
2010-13 REgulaR SEaSon gaME logS
AFC EastFootball Futures
NFL Schedules
AFC SouthAFC W
estN
FC EastN
FC North
NFC W
estCollege Top 25
College Teams
AFC North
NFC South
2010 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/12 at CHI L 14-19 W (+6½) U (44½)9/19 vs PHI L 32-35 W (+6½) O (41)9/26 at MIN L 10-24 L (+13) U (42½)10/3 at GNB L 26-28 W (+14½) O (45½)10/10 vs STL W 44-6 W (-3) O (43½)10/17 at NYG L 20-28 W (+10) O (45½)10/31 vs WAS W 37-25 W (-3) O (45)11/7 vs NYJ L 20-23 W (+5½) O (42½)11/14 at BUF L 12-14 P (+2) U (44½)11/21 at DAL L 19-35 L (+5½) O (47)11/25 vs NWE L 24-45 L (+6) O (50)12/5 vs CHI L 20-24 W (+5) O (43½)12/12 vs GNB W 7-3 W (+7) U (45½)12/19 at TAM W 23-20 W (+3½) P (43)12/26 at MIA W 34-27 W (+3½) O (41½)1/2 vs MIN W 20-13 W (-3½) U (43½)
2011 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/11 at TAM W 27-20 W (+1) O (43½)9/18 vs KAN W 48-3 W (-7½) O (44½)9/25 at MIN W 26-23 P (-3) O (45)10/2 at DAL W 34-30 W (+2½) O (46)10/10 vs CHI W 24-13 W (-6½) U (47)10/16 vs SFO L 19-25 L (-5) U (44½)10/23 vs ATL L 16-23 L (-4½) U (46)10/30 at DEN W 45-10 W (-3) O (43½)11/13 at CHI L 13-37 L (+3) O (42½)11/20 vs CAR W 49-35 W (-7) O (47½)11/24 vs GNB L 15-27 L (+4) U (55)12/4 at NOR L 17-31 L (+8) U (55½)12/11 vs MIN W 34-28 L (-10) O (47½)12/18 at OAK W 28-27 L (-3) O (47½)12/24 vs SDG W 38-10 W (0) U (52½)1/1 at GNB L 41-45 L (-6½) O (42)
2012 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/9 STL W 27-23 L (-8) O (46)9/16 at SFO L 19-27 L (+6½) O (45½)9/23 at TEN L 41-44 L (-3½) O (47)9/30 MIN L 13-20 L (-3½) U (48)10/14 at PHI W 26-23 W (+3½) O (47½)10/22 at CHI L 7-13 W (+6½) U (44½)10/28 SEA W 28-24 W (-3) O (43)11/4 at JAC W 31-14 W (-6) O (44)11/11 at MIN L 24-34 L (-3) O (46)11/18 GNB L 20-24 L (+3) U (53½)11/22 HOU L 31-34 P (+3) O (48½)12/2 IND L 33-35 L (-7) O (51½)12/9 at GNB L 20-27 L (+5½) U (50)12/16 at ARI L 10-38 L (-5½) O (43½)12/22 ATL L 18-31 L (+3) U (50)12/30 CHI L 24-26 W (+3) O (46½)
sept. 8
sept. 14
sept. 21
sept. 28
Oct. 5
Oct. 12
Oct. 19
Oct. 26
nov. 2
nov. 9
nov. 16
nov. 23
nov. 27
Dec. 7
Dec. 14
Dec. 21
Dec. 28
Situational REcoRdS
2014 SchEdulE
New York Giants
at Carolina Panthers
Green Bay Packers
at New York Jets
Buffalo Bills
at Minnesota Vikings
New Orleans Saints
Atlanta Falcons (London)
BYE WEEK
Miami Dolphins
at Arizona Cardinals
at New England Patriots
Chicago Bears
Tampa Bay Bucs
Minnesota Vikings
at Chicago Bears
at Green Bay Packers
>
ScEnaRio 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 6-YR total 6-YR%
STRAIGHT UP 0–16 2–14 6–10 10–7 4–12 7–9 29–68 29.9%
OVERALL ATS 7–9 4–10 12–3 7–9 5–10 6–10 41–51 44.6%
PRESEASON ATS 3–0 2–2 3–1 4–0 2–2 3–1 17–6 73.9%
HOME ATS 1–7 3–5 7–1 4–4 2–5 3–5 20–27 42.6%
ROAD ATS 6–2 1–5 5–2 3–5 3–5 3–5 21–24 46.7%
VS DIVISION ATS 4–2 0–5 5–1 1–4 2–4 4–2 16–18 47.1%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 5–7 2–8 10–2 4–8 4–8 5–7 30–40 42.9%
AS FAVORITE ATS 0–1 0–2 3–0 4–5 2–6 6–8 15–22 40.5%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 7–8 4–8 9–3 3–4 3–4 0–2 26–29 47.3%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring +1.2 13
Yardage +45.5 5
Yds Per Play +0.05 14
Yds Per Point +1.13 22
Turnovers -12 T28
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 24.7 13
1st Dwn/Gm 21.9 7
Yards/Game 392.1 6
Yds Per Play 5.69 8
Yds Per Point 15.88 23
Rush Yds/Gm 112.0 17
Yards Per Rush 4.03 22
Pass Att/Game 39.6 5
Comp/Game 23.2 T10
Completion % 58.5 24
Pass Yds/Gm 280.1 3
Pass Yds/Att 7.07 9
INTs Thrown 19 T20
Sacks Allowed 23 2
Att/Sack 27.6 2
Sack Yards 168 3
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Allowed 23.5 15
1st Dwn/Gm 18.1 8
Yards/Game 346.6 16
Yds Per Play 5.65 25
Yds Per Point 14.75 16
Rush Yds/Gm 99.8 6
Yards Per Rush 4.23 20
Pass Att/Game 35.8 19
Comp/Game 21.1 13
Completion % 59.1 12
Pass Yds/Gm 246.9 23
Pass Yds/Att 6.91 19
Interceptions 15 T17
Sacks 33 28
Att/Sack 17.3 28
Sack Yards 249 18
New offensive coordinator Joe Lombardi will call the plays, and he has said that he’s essentially bringing the Saints’ playbook to Detroit. That should mean a diverse running game that borrows concepts from across the league. Reggie Bush will likely retain his spot atop the Lions’ backfield committee, as Detroit still figures to be a pass-first offense. Joique Bell has the size and power skill set to be an asset on the inside zone runs that figure to be heavily featured this season. Bush and Bell often split the red-zone snaps a year ago, though the more durable Bell more often gets the call on the goal line.
The Lions figure to be pass-happy as usual under Lombardi and new head coach Jim Caldwell. They’ll continue to move Calvin Johnson around the formation to keep teams from keying on him. Golden Tate will provide a deep threat on the other side of the field, and the Lions will frequently use the screen game with Bush and Bell. They also figure to use two tight ends more often than three-wide. TE Brandon Pettigrew is more of an in-line blocker and under-neath threat, while rookie TE Eric Ebron is the chess piece who will be flexed out to create mismatches. He could be the No. 2 target by the season’s second half. Not surprisingly, Johnson is almost always their first look when they throw near the goal line. Coverage often dictates if they’ll look elsewhere. Pettigrew had been a traditional play-action target under the old regime, and he and Ebron are red-zone threats.
After posting a mere 39 turnovers and 67 sacks in the past two years combined, new defensive coordinator Teryl Austin was hired in the offseason to help this team make more plays with his ultra-aggressive style. New starters, safety James Ihedigbo and rookie linebacker Kyle Van Noy should help an underachieving front four.
nFc noRth
GREEN BAY PACKERS
2013 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/8 at SFO L 28-34 L (+5½) O (46½)9/15 WAS W 38-20 W (-7) O (47½)9/22 at CIN L 30-34 L (-3) O (48½)10/6 DET W 22-9 W (-10) U (52)10/13 at BAL W 19-17 P (-2) U (48)10/20 CLE W 31-13 W (-8) U (45)10/27 at MIN W 44-31 W (-7) O (47½)11/4 CHI L 20-27 L (-10) U (50½)11/10 PHI L 13-27 L (+1½) U (47)11/17 at NYG L 13-27 L (+3) U (40½)11/24 MIN T 26-26 L (-6) O (44½)11/28 at DET L 10-40 L (+6½) O (48½)12/8 ATL W 22-21 L (-3½) U (47½)12/15 at DAL W 37-36 W (+4) O (49½)12/22 PIT L 31-38 L (+1) O (44)12/29 at CHI W 33-28 W (-3) O (51½)
2010-13 REgulaR SEaSon gaME logS
30 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2014
2010 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/12 at PHI W 27-20 W (-3) U (48)9/19 vs BUF W 34-7 W (-12½) U (42½)9/27 at CHI L 17-20 L (-3) U (45)10/3 vs DET W 28-26 L (-14½) O (45½)10/10 at WAS L 13-16 L (-3) U (45)10/17 vs MIA L 20-23 L (-3) U (44)10/24 vs MIN W 28-24 W (-3) O (44)10/31 at NYJ W 9-0 W (+6½) U (41½)11/7 vs DAL W 45-7 W (-7½) O (46)11/21 at MIN W 31-3 W (-3) U (44½)11/28 at ATL L 17-20 L (+2½) U (47½)12/5 vs SFO W 34-16 W (-8½) O (41)12/12 at DET L 3-7 L (-7) U (45½)12/19 at NWE L 27-31 W (+14) O (43½)12/26 vs NYG W 45-17 W (-3) O (43)1/2 vs CHI W 10-3 L (-11) U (43)
2011 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/8 vs NOR W 42-34 W (-5) O (47½)9/18 at CAR W 30-23 L (-10½) O (45)9/25 at CHI W 27-17 W (-4) U (45)10/2 vs DEN W 49-23 W (-12½) O (46½)10/9 at ATL W 25-14 W (-6) U (54½)10/16 vs STL W 24-3 W (-14) U (47)10/23 at MIN W 33-27 L (-10) O (47)11/6 at SDG W 45-38 W (-5½) O (50)11/14 vs MIN W 45-7 W (-12) O (49½)11/20 vs TAM W 35-26 L (-13½) O (48½)11/24 at DET W 27-15 W (-4) U (55)12/4 at NYG W 38-35 L (-7) O (54)12/11 vs OAK W 46-16 W (-11½) O (50)12/18 at KAN L 14-19 L (-11½) U (46)12/25 vs CHI W 35-21 W (-13½) O (41)1/1 vs DET W 45-41 W (+6½) O (42)
2012 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/9 SFO L 22-30 L (-6) O (47)9/13 CHI W 23-10 W (-5½) U (50½)9/24 at SEA L 12-14 L (-3) U (45)9/30 NOR W 28-27 L (-7½) O (54)10/7 at IND L 27-30 L (-6) O (49½)10/14 at HOU W 42-24 W (+4) O (46½)10/21 at STL W 30-20 W (-4) O (45)10/28 JAC W 24-15 L (-15½) U (45)11/4 ARI W 31-17 W (-10½) O (43)11/18 at DET W 24-20 W (-3) U (53½)11/25 at NYG L 10-38 L (+3) U (50)12/2 MIN W 23-14 W (-7) U (47)12/9 DET W 27-20 W (-5½) U (50)12/16 at CHI W 21-13 W (-3) U (43½)12/23 TEN W 55-7 W (-10½) O (44)12/30 at MIN L 34-37 L (-3) O (45½)
sept. 4
sept. 14
sept. 21
sept. 28
Oct. 2
Oct. 12
Oct. 19
Oct. 26
nov. 2
nov. 9
nov. 16
nov. 23
nov. 30
Dec. 8
Dec. 14
Dec. 21
Dec. 28
Situational REcoRdS
2014 SchEdulE
at Seattle Seahawks
New York Jets
at Detroit Lions
at Chicago Bears
Minnesota Vikings
at Miami Dolphins
Carolina Panthers
at New Orleans Saints
BYE WEEK
Chicago Bears
Philadelphia Eagles
at Minnesota Vikings
New England Patriots
Atlanta Falcons
at Buffalo Bills
at Tampa Bay Bucs
Detroit Lions
>
ScEnaRio 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 6-YR total 6-YR%
STRAIGHT UP 6–10 11–6 14–6 15–2 12–6 8–8 66–38 63.5%
OVERALL ATS 7–8 11–5 13–7 11–6 10–8 6–9 58–43 57.4%
PRESEASON ATS 2–2 3–1 2–1 1–3 2–2 1–3 11–12 47.8%
HOME ATS 3–5 5–2 5–3 7–2 6–3 3–5 29–20 59.2%
ROAD ATS 4–3 6–3 8–4 4–4 4–5 3–4 29–23 55.8%
VS DIVISION ATS 5–1 4–2 3–4 5–1 6–1 3–3 26–12 68.4%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 6–6 8–4 9–6 8–5 8–6 5–7 44–34 56.4%
AS FAVORITE ATS 4–5 8–4 9–6 10–6 9–6 5–4 45–31 59.2%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 3–3 3–1 4–1 1–0 1–2 1–5 13–12 52.0%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring -0.7 16
Yardage +28.0 8
Yds Per Play +0.09 11
Yds Per Point +1.44 23
Turnovers -3 19
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 26.1 T8
1st Dwn/Gm 21.9 6
Yards/Game 400.2 3
Yds Per Play 5.96 4
Yds Per Point 15.36 17
Rush Yds/Gm 133.5 7
Yards Per Rush 4.65 4
Pass Att/Game 35.6 18
Comp/Game 22.9 12
Completion % 64.2 7
Pass Yds/Gm 266.8 6
Pass Yds/Att 7.49 6
INTs Thrown 16 T17
Sacks Allowed 45 24
Att/Sack 12.7 21
Sack Yards 270 T14
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Allowed 26.8 T24
1st Dwn/Gm 20.6 T23
Yards/Game 372.3 25
Yds Per Play 5.87 28
Yds Per Point 13.92 21
Rush Yds/Gm 125.0 25
Yards Per Rush 4.63 29
Pass Att/Game 33.7 9
Comp/Game 20.8 9
Completion % 61.6 20
Pass Yds/Gm 247.2 24
Pass Yds/Att 7.34 25
Interceptions 11 T26
Sacks 44 T8
Att/Sack 12.3 6
Sack Yards 238 T23
While the personnel has changed, there haven’t been a whole lot of adjustments to the Packers’ running game over the past couple of seasons. They still use a zone-heavy blocking scheme, with big backs pounding between the tackles. Eddie Lacy is in for a feature-back workload this year, with James Starks picking up the scraps. Johnathan Franklin’s retirement leaves DuJuan Harris for a roster spot. Lacy is at his best going downhill on inside zone runs, similar to what he executed at Alabama. He took a big red-zone workload last year and will do so again. Even with quarterback Aaron Rodgers healthy for 16 games, Green Bay will still get enough scoring chanc-es for Lacy despite skewing pass-heavy in the red zone again. Lacy, not John Kuhn, now takes goal-line carries as well. Kuhn serves as a lead blocker and occasional short-yardage guy.
McCarthy’s West Coast offense mixes in a lot of deep shots. Rodgers will continue to move around and look for Jordy Nelson on the perimeter as his primary target. Randall Cobb is Green Bay’s chess piece, lining up as a boundary receiver, slot man and also in the backfield. Jarrett Boykin will see extended action as James Jones’ replacement, and they figure to run a lot of three-wide sets. Nelson was targeted most often inside the 20, though Boykin emerged as a favorite of Rodgers’ in the red zone too.
The Packers will remain one of the better sack teams in the NFL with the addition of defensive end Julius Peppers and a healthy outside linebacker Clay Matthews (168.5 combined career sacks). The concerns with this team are the amount of points and yards it allows, and the secondary doesn’t make as many plays as it used to.
StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2014 31
nFc noRth
MINNESOTA VIKINGS
2013 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/8 at DET L 24-34 L (+4) O (46)9/15 at CHI L 30-31 W (+6) O (40½)9/22 CLE L 27-31 L (-6½) O (40½)9/29 vs PIT W 34-27 W (+3) O (41½)10/13 CAR L 10-35 L (-2½) O (44½)10/21 at NYG L 7-23 L (+4) U (47½)10/27 GNB L 31-44 L (+7) O (47½)11/3 at DAL L 23-27 W (+8) U (50½)11/7 WAS W 34-27 W (0) O (48)11/17 at SEA L 20-41 L (+13½) O (45)11/24 at GNB T 26-26 W (+6) O (44½)12/1 CHI W 23-20 W (-2½) U (48½)12/8 at BAL L 26-29 W (+5½) O (41½)12/15 PHI W 48-30 W (+7) O (53)12/22 at CIN L 14-42 L (+7½) O (48)12/29 DET W 14-13 W (+2½) U (49½)
2010-13 REgulaR SEaSon gaME logS
AFC EastFootball Futures
NFL Schedules
AFC SouthAFC W
estN
FC EastN
FC North
NFC W
estCollege Top 25
College Teams
AFC North
NFC South
2010 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/9 at NOR L 9-14 L (+4½) U (49)9/19 vs MIA L 10-14 L (-5½) U (41)9/26 vs DET W 24-10 W (-13) U (42½)10/11 at NYJ L 20-29 L (+4) O (38)10/17 vs DAL W 24-21 W (-1½) O (43½)10/24 at GNB L 24-28 L (+3) O (44)10/31 at NWE L 18-28 L (+5) O (45)11/7 vs ARI W 27-24 L (-7) O (42½)11/14 at CHI L 13-27 L (pk) U (41)11/21 vs GNB L 3-31 L (+3) U (44½)11/28 at WAS W 17-13 W (-2½) U (43½)12/5 vs BUF W 38-14 W (-5½) O (43½)12/13 vs NYG L 3-21 L (+5) U (43½)12/20 vs CHI L 14-40 L (+5½) O (34½)12/28 at PHI W 24-14 W (+14½) U (44)1/2 at DET L 13-20 L (+3½) U (43½)
2011 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/11 at SDG L 17-24 W (+9) U (44½)9/18 vs TAM L 20-24 L (-1) O (41)9/25 vs DET L 23-26 P (+3) O (45)10/2 at KAN L 17-22 L (-3) U (40)10/9 vs ARI W 34-10 W (-3) U (45)10/16 at CHI L 10-39 L (+2) O (41½)10/23 vs GNB L 27-33 W (+10) O (47)10/30 at CAR W 24-21 W (+3) U (47)11/14 at GNB L 7-45 L (+12) O (49½)11/20 vs OAK L 21-27 L (-2) O (46½)11/27 at ATL L 14-24 P (+10) U (44)12/4 vs DEN L 32-35 L (-1½) O (37½)12/11 at DET L 28-34 W (+10) O (47½)12/18 vs NOR L 20-42 L (+7) O (53)12/24 at WAS W 33-26 W (+6) O (43)1/1 vs CHI L 13-17 L (-2½) U (42)
2012 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/9 JAC W 26-23 P (-3) O (38)9/16 at IND L 20-23 L (-3) U (45½)9/23 SFO W 24-13 W (+6½) U (43)9/30 at DET W 20-13 W (+3½) U (48)10/7 TEN W 30-7 W (-6) U (44)10/14 at WAS L 26-38 L (-1½) O (44)10/21 ARI W 21-14 W (-6½) U (39)10/25 TAM L 17-36 L (-5½) O (43½)11/4 at SEA L 20-30 L (+4½) O (38)11/11 DET W 34-24 W (+3) O (46)11/25 at CHI L 10-28 L (+6½) U (38½)12/2 at GNB L 14-23 L (+7) U (47)12/9 CHI W 21-14 W (+1) U (40½)12/16 at STL W 36-22 W (+3) O (39½)12/23 at HOU W 23-6 W (+7½) U (43½)12/30 GNB W 37-34 W (+3) O (45½)
sept. 7
sept. 14
sept. 21
sept. 28
Oct. 2
Oct. 12
Oct. 19
Oct. 26
nov. 2
nov. 9
nov. 16
nov. 23
nov. 30
Dec. 7
Dec. 14
Dec. 21
Dec. 28
Situational REcoRdS
2014 SchEdulE
at St. Louis Rams
New England Patriots
at New Orleans Saints
Atlanta Falcons
at Green Bay Packers
Detroit Lions
at Buffalo Bills
at Tampa Bay Bucs
Washington Redskins
BYE WEEK
at Chicago Bears
Green Bay Packers
Carolina Panthers
New York Jets
at Detroit Lions
at Miami Dolphins
Chicago Bears
>
ScEnaRio 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 6-YR total 6-YR%
STRAIGHT UP 10–7 13–5 6–10 3–13 10–7 5–10 47–52 47.5%
OVERALL ATS 6–11 11–6 5–11 6–8 9–7 9–7 46–50 47.9%
PRESEASON ATS 2–2 3–1 3–1 2–2 1–3 1–2 12–11 52.2%
HOME ATS 3–6 6–2 3–4 2–5 6–1 4–3 24–21 53.3%
ROAD ATS 3–5 5–4 2–7 4–3 3–6 5–4 22–29 43.1%
VS DIVISION ATS 1–5 4–1 1–5 2–3 4–3 4–2 16–19 45.7%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 4–9 9–4 4–8 5–5 7–6 7–5 36–37 49.3%
AS FAVORITE ATS 3–5 9–5 4–2 1–5 2–3 1–2 20–22 47.6%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 3–6 2–1 1–9 5–3 7–4 8–5 26–28 48.1%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring -5.6 T23
Yardage -53.4 29
Yds Per Play -0.18 21
Yds Per Point +0.83 20
Turnovers -12 T28
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 24.4 T14
1st Dwn/Gm 19.3 19
Yards/Game 344.2 13
Yds Per Play 5.44 10
Yds Per Point 14.09 12
Rush Yds/Gm 130.1 8
Yards Per Rush 4.92 2
Pass Att/Game 34.1 T20
Comp/Game 20.3 T22
Completion % 59.5 19
Pass Yds/Gm 214.2 23
Pass Yds/Att 6.28 21
INTs Thrown 19 T20
Sacks Allowed 44 T20
Att/Sack 12.4 22
Sack Yards 218 7
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Allowed 30.0 32
1st Dwn/Gm 23.0 T30
Yards/Game 397.6 31
Yds Per Play 5.62 24
Yds Per Point 13.25 27
Rush Yds/Gm 110.4 16
Yards Per Rush 3.99 13
Pass Att/Game 40.5 31
Comp/Game 26.2 32
Completion % 64.7 25
Pass Yds/Gm 287.2 31
Pass Yds/Att 7.09 23
Interceptions 12 T24
Sacks 41 T13
Att/Sack 15.8 24
Sack Yards 274 12
At every one of Norv Turner’s stops, the offense has leaned on a power running game, and his first year as the Vikings’ offensive coordinator will be no different. He retained offensive line coach Jeff Davidson, whose scheme skews toward more zone than gap blocking. Adrian Peterson will see a monstrous workload due to his club’s uncertainty under center, not to mention the inclement weather they’ll be playing in as they move outdoors to University of Minnesota’s TCF Bank Stadium for 2014 and 2015 while their new stadium is being constructed. Expect the Vikings to also be one of the NFL’s most run-heavy red zone teams.
Turner runs a classic Air Coryell, high-to-low passing game, one that should be relatively easy for rookie Teddy Bridgewater to pick up once he ascends to the top of the depth chart past incumbents Matt Cassel and Christian Ponder. They’re going to carve out a big-ger role for Cordarrelle Patterson, who has proven to be a catch-and-run threat, but he should also start working downfield more often. Patterson also proved to be a red-zone threat in limited chances last year. Greg Jennings will serve as the top downfield option and tight end Kyle Rudolph should have a big role as a possession receiver and an expanded role in the red zone. Peterson will also be worked into the passing game.
Free agents free safety Kurt Coleman and cornerbacks Captain Munnerlyn and Derek Cox were nice offseason additions. But new head coach Mike Zimmer and new defensive coordinator George Edwards don’t have any superstar players to work with now that defensive end Jared Allen and his 128.5 career sacks are in rival Chicago.
32 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2014
nFc South
ATLANTA FALCONS
2013 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/8 at NOR L 17-23 L (+3½) U (53½)9/15 STL W 31-24 W (-4) O (48)9/22 at MIA L 23-27 L (+3) O (45)9/29 NWE L 23-30 L (-3) O (49½)10/7 NYJ L 28-30 L (-9½) O (45)10/20 TAM W 31-23 W (-6½) O (43½)10/27 at ARI L 13-27 L (+2½) U (44½)11/3 at CAR L 10-34 L (+8½) U (47)11/10 SEA L 10-33 L (+3) U (47)11/17 at TAM L 28-41 L (+2) O (43½)11/21 NOR L 13-17 W (+7½) U (52½)12/1 vs BUF W 34-31 W (+5) O (48½)12/8 at GNB L 21-22 W (+3½) U (47½)12/15 WAS W 27-26 L (-5½) O (49½)12/23 at SFO L 24-34 W (+14½) O (46½)12/29 CAR L 20-21 W (+5½) U (46½)
2010-13 REgulaR SEaSon gaME logS2010 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/12 at PIT L 9-15 L (-1) U (39)9/19 vs ARI W 41-7 W (-6½) O (43)9/26 at NOR W 27-24 W (+3) O (49)10/3 vs SFO W 16-14 L (-7) U (42)10/10 at CLE W 20-10 W (-3) U (41½)10/17 at PHI L 17-31 L (+2) O (43)10/24 vs CIN W 39-32 W (-3) O (43)11/7 vs TAM W 27-21 L (-10) O (44½)11/11 vs BAL W 26-21 W (-2) O (44)11/21 at STL W 34-17 W (-3) O (43)11/28 vs GNB W 20-17 W (-2½) U (47½)12/5 at TAM W 28-24 W (-3) O (43)12/12 at CAR W 31-10 W (-7) U (41½)12/19 at SEA W 34-18 W (-5½) O (46½)12/27 vs NOR L 14-17 L (-2) U (50)1/2 vs CAR W 31-10 W (-14) P (41)
2011 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/11 at CHI L 12-30 L (-1½) O (40½)9/18 vs PHI W 35-31 W (+2½) O (50)9/25 at TAM L 13-16 L (+1½) U (46)10/2 at SEA W 30-28 L (-6) O (39)10/9 vs GNB L 14-25 L (+6) U (54½)10/16 vs CAR W 31-17 W (-3) U (49)10/23 at DET W 23-16 W (+4½) U (46)11/6 at IND W 31-7 W (-6½) U (44½)11/13 vs NOR L 23-26 L (0) U (49½)11/20 vs TEN W 23-17 P (-6) U (44)11/27 vs MIN W 24-14 P (-10) U (44)12/4 at HOU L 10-17 L (-2) U (38)12/11 at CAR W 31-23 W (-3) O (48)12/15 vs JAC W 41-14 W (-13) O (41)12/26 at NOR L 16-45 L (+7) O (53)1/1 vs TAM W 45-24 W (-10½) O (45½)
2012 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/9 at KAN W 40-24 W (-2) O (43)9/17 DEN W 27-21 W (-3) U (49½)9/23 at SDG W 27-3 W (+3) U (47)9/30 CAR W 30-28 L (-7) O (47½)10/7 at WAS W 24-17 W (-3) U (51)10/14 OAK W 23-20 L (-9½) U (49)10/28 at PHI W 30-17 W (+3) O (43)11/4 DAL W 19-13 W (-3½) U (47)11/11 at NOR L 27-31 L (-2) O (53½)11/18 ARI W 23-19 L (-9) U (43½)11/25 at TAM W 24-23 P (-1) U (51)11/29 NOR W 23-13 W (-3) U (54½)12/9 at CAR L 20-30 L (-3) O (46½)12/16 NYG W 34-0 W (0) U (49½)12/22 at DET W 31-18 W (-3) U (50)12/30 TAM L 17-22 L (-3) U (45½)
sept. 7
sept. 14
sept. 18
sept. 28
Oct. 5
Oct. 12
Oct. 19
Oct. 26
nov. 2
nov. 9
nov. 16
nov. 23
nov. 30
Dec. 8
Dec. 14
Dec. 21
Dec. 28
Situational REcoRdS
2014 SchEdulE
New Orleans Saints
at Cincinnati Bengals
Tampa Bay Bucs
at Minnesota Vikings
at New York Giants
Chicago Bears
at Baltimore Ravens
Detroit Lions (London)
BYE WEEK
at Tampa Bay Bucs
at Carolina Panthers
Cleveland Browns
Arizona Cardinals
at Green Bay Packers
Pittsburgh Steelers
at New Orleans Saints
Carolina Panthers
>
ScEnaRio 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 6-YR total 6-YR%
STRAIGHT UP 11–6 9–7 13–4 10–7 14–4 4–12 61–40 60.4%
OVERALL ATS 9–8 11–5 11–6 7–8 9–8 7–9 54–44 55.1%
PRESEASON ATS 3–1 2–1 2–2 1–3 1–3 1–3 10–13 43.5%
HOME ATS 5–3 6–2 5–4 4–2 4–6 4–4 28–21 57.1%
ROAD ATS 4–5 5–3 6–2 3–6 5–2 3–5 26–23 53.1%
VS DIVISION ATS 2–4 4–2 4–2 3–3 1–4 3–3 17–18 48.6%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 6–7 8–4 8–5 5–7 6–7 6–6 39–36 52.0%
AS FAVORITE ATS 3–3 6–2 10–5 5–3 6–7 2–3 32–23 58.2%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 6–5 5–3 1–1 2–5 3–1 5–6 22–21 51.2%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring -5.6 25
Yardage -36.3 26
Yds Per Play -0.69 30
Yds Per Point +1.85 24
Turnovers -7 24
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 22.1 20
1st Dwn/Gm 20.6 T9
Yards/Game 343.1 14
Yds Per Play 5.36 14
Yds Per Point 15.55 21
Rush Yds/Gm 77.9 32
Yards Per Rush 3.88 24
Pass Att/Game 41.2 3
Comp/Game 27.8 3
Completion % 67.5 4
Pass Yds/Gm 265.2 7
Pass Yds/Att 6.44 16
INTs Thrown 17 19
Sacks Allowed 44 T20
Att/Sack 15.0 11
Sack Yards 298 23
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Allowed 27.7 27
1st Dwn/Gm 20.4 16
Yards/Game 379.4 T27
Yds Per Play 6.05 29
Yds Per Point 13.70 25
Rush Yds/Gm 135.8 31
Yards Per Rush 4.78 31
Pass Att/Game 32.2 5
Comp/Game 21.3 14
Completion % 66.1 28
Pass Yds/Gm 243.6 21
Pass Yds/Att 7.55 30
Interceptions 10 T29
Sacks 32 T29
Att/Sack 16.1 25
Sack Yards 231 25
The Falcons brought in long-time offensive line guru Mike Tice to try and revive their running game. He uses a scheme heavy in zone-blocking concepts, which should benefit the Falcons’ relatively small front five. They’ll likely try to keep Steven Jackson’s workload reasonable during the regular season in order to keep him fresh for December and January. The No. 2 job will be an interesting battle between undersized veteran Jacquizz Rodgers, who will take a lot of passing-down snaps, and rookie Devonta Freeman, who fits the scheme well. Jackson will remain the primary runner in the red zone.
Offensive coordinator Dirk Koetter has always tried to utilize a lot of deep shots, though injuries sabotaged his game plan a year ago. A healthy Julio Jones working downfield will once again be Matt Ryan’s top target, with Roddy White working more underneath and crossing routes. They’ll go three-wide more often this season, with slot receiver Harry Douglas poised to take on a bigger role. Koetter usually features his tight end heavily, though he may have to change it up this year with Tony Gonzalez retired and replaced by raw second-year man Levine Toilolo. Koetter also uses a lot of screen work for his backs. Koetter usually relies on Ryan to make plays in the red zone by calling a lot of play-action. Jones took on a huge red-zone role last year before getting hurt.
The Falcons defense was a huge disappointment last season, as the unit placed among the bottom-six NFL teams in sacks, points allowed and total yards allowed. None of Atlanta’s new starters via free agency (DE Tyson Jackson, DT Paul Soliai and FS Dwight Lowery) will make a big enough difference to make this an above-average unit.
StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2014 33
AFC EastFootball Futures
NFL Schedules
AFC SouthAFC W
estN
FC EastN
FC North
NFC W
estCollege Top 25
College Teams
AFC North
NFC South
nFc South
CAROLINA PANTHERS
2013 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/8 SEA L 7-12 L (+3) U (44)9/15 at BUF L 23-24 L (-3½) O (43½)9/22 NYG W 38-0 W (+2) U (47)10/6 at ARI L 6-22 L (-3) U (41)10/13 at MIN W 35-10 W (+2½) O (44½)10/20 STL W 30-15 W (-7) O (42)10/24 at TAM W 31-13 W (-6½) O (39)11/3 ATL W 34-10 W (-8½) U (47)11/10 at SFO W 10-9 W (+6) U (43)11/18 NWE W 24-20 W (-3) U (45½)11/24 at MIA W 20-16 L (-4½) U (40)12/1 TAM W 27-6 W (-7) U (40½)12/8 at NOR L 13-31 L (+3) U (47)12/15 NYJ W 30-20 P (-10) O (40½)12/22 NOR W 17-13 W (-3) U (44)12/29 at ATL W 21-20 L (-5½) U (46½)
2010-13 REgulaR SEaSon gaME logS2010 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/12 at NYG L 18-31 L (+5½) O (40½)9/19 vs TAM L 7-20 L (-4) U (38)9/26 vs CIN L 7-20 L (+3) U (37)10/3 at NOR L 14-16 W (+12½) U (43½)10/10 vs CHI L 6-23 L (-3) U (33)10/24 vs SFO W 23-20 W (+1½) O (35½)10/31 at STL L 10-20 L (+3) U (37½)11/7 vs NOR L 3-34 L (+5½) U (40)11/14 at TAM L 16-31 L (+7) O (37)11/21 vs BAL L 13-37 L (+13) O (36½)11/28 at CLE L 23-24 W (+8) O (37)12/5 at SEA L 14-31 L (+5) O (40½)12/12 vs ATL L 10-31 L (+7) U (41½)12/19 vs ARI W 19-12 W (-2½) U (37½)12/23 at PIT L 3-27 L (+14) U (37)1/2 at ATL L 10-31 L (+14) P (41)
2011 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/11 at ARI L 21-28 L (+6½) O (37½)9/18 vs GNB L 23-30 W (+10½) O (45)9/25 vs JAC W 16-10 W (-3) U (43)10/2 at CHI L 29-34 W (+7) O (41½)10/9 vs NOR L 27-30 W (+6½) O (51)10/16 at ATL L 17-31 L (+3) U (49)10/23 vs WAS W 33-20 W (-3) O (44½)10/30 vs MIN L 21-24 L (-3) U (47)11/13 vs TEN L 3-30 L (-3) U (47½)11/20 at DET L 35-49 L (+7) O (47½)11/27 at IND W 27-19 W (-3) P (46)12/4 at TAM W 38-19 W (-3) O (46½)12/11 vs ATL L 23-31 L (+3) O (48)12/18 at HOU W 28-13 W (+5) U (45)12/24 vs TAM W 48-16 W (-7½) O (48½)1/1 at NOR L 17-45 L (+7) O (55)
2012 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/9 at TAM L 10-16 L (-3) U (45½)9/16 NOR W 35-27 W (+3) O (53½)9/20 NYG L 7-36 L (-3) U (48)9/30 at ATL L 28-30 W (+7) O (47½)10/7 SEA L 12-16 L (-1½) U (42½)10/21 DAL L 14-19 L (+3) U (45)10/28 at CHI L 22-23 W (+7) O (40½)11/4 at WAS W 21-13 W (+3) U (48)11/11 DEN L 14-36 L (+3½) O (46½)11/18 TAM L 21-27 L (0) O (46½)11/26 at PHI W 30-22 W (-3) O (41½)12/2 at KAN L 21-27 L (-5½) O (41½)12/9 ATL W 30-20 W (+3) O (46½)12/16 at SDG W 31-7 W (+3) U (45)12/23 OAK W 17-6 W (-9) U (47)12/30 at NOR W 44-38 W (+4) O (54)
sept. 7
sept. 14
sept. 21
sept. 28
Oct. 5
Oct. 12
Oct. 19
Oct. 26
Oct. 30
nov. 10
nov. 16
nov. 23
nov. 30
Dec. 7
Dec. 14
Dec. 21
Dec. 28
Situational REcoRdS
2014 SchEdulE
at Tampa Bay Bucs
Detroit Lions
Pittsburgh Steelers
at Baltimore Ravens
Chicago Bears
at Cincinnati Bengals
at Green Bay Packers
Seattle Seahawks
New Orleans Saints
at Philadelphia Eagles
Atlanta Falcons
BYE WEEK
at Minnesota Vikings
at New Orleans Saints
Tampa Bay Bucs
Cleveland Browns
at Atlanta Falcons
>
ScEnaRio 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 6-YR total 6-YR%
STRAIGHT UP 12–5 8–8 2–14 6–10 7–9 12–5 47–51 48.0%
OVERALL ATS 8–7 9–7 4–12 9–7 9–7 9–7 48–47 50.5%
PRESEASON ATS 2–2 0–4 1–3 1–3 3–1 3–1 10–14 41.7%
HOME ATS 5–3 4–4 2–6 5–3 3–5 6–2 25–23 52.1%
ROAD ATS 3–4 5–3 2–6 4–4 6–2 3–5 23–24 48.9%
VS DIVISION ATS 3–2 5–1 1–5 3–3 4–2 4–2 20–15 57.1%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 4–7 8–4 3–9 6–6 7–5 8–5 36–36 50.0%
AS FAVORITE ATS 6–4 3–3 1–2 5–2 2–4 6–4 23–19 54.8%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 2–3 6–5 3–10 4–5 7–3 3–3 25–29 46.3%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring +7.8 T4
Yardage +15.6 12
Yds Per Play +0.13 9
Yds Per Point -6.15 2
Turnovers +11 6
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 22.9 18
1st Dwn/Gm 19.9 15
Yards/Game 316.8 26
Yds Per Play 5.07 23
Yds Per Point 13.85 8
Rush Yds/Gm 126.6 11
Yards Per Rush 4.19 16
Pass Att/Game 29.6 30
Comp/Game 18.3 28
Completion % 61.7 12
Pass Yds/Gm 190.2 29
Pass Yds/Att 6.43 18
INTs Thrown 13 T13
Sacks Allowed 43 T17
Att/Sack 11.0 26
Sack Yards 336 28
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Allowed 15.1 2
1st Dwn/Gm 17.4 2
Yards/Game 301.3 2
Yds Per Play 4.94 7
Yds Per Point 20.00 1
Rush Yds/Gm 86.9 2
Yards Per Rush 3.95 12
Pass Att/Game 35.2 17
Comp/Game 23.4 29
Completion % 66.6 30
Pass Yds/Gm 214.3 6
Pass Yds/Att 6.09 8
Interceptions 20 T5
Sacks 60 1
Att/Sack 9.4 1
Sack Yards 424 1
The Panthers will remain one of the NFL’s most run-heavy teams, employing a diverse number of looks in their ground attack. They still utilize a lot of zone-read plays featuring Cam Newton, who will likely lead all quarterbacks in rushing attempts again despite offseason ankle surgery. They run a lot of two-back looks with DeAngelo Williams and Mike Tolbert on the field, giving them three running options between the tackles. Williams will likely hold off the injury-prone Jonathan Stewart for another year, with Kenjon Barner and rookie Tyler Gaffney battling for a roster spot.
Newton and offensive coordinator Mike Shula have their work cut out for them in the passing game after losing their top three receiv-ers. The Carolina passing game works off of the running game, utiliz-ing a lot of deep crossing patterns off play-action. They’ll use a two-tight end base, with Ed Dickson playing in-line and Greg Olsen flexed out as their top receiving threat. Jerricho Cotchery provides anoth-er middle-of-the-field threat. Rookie Kelvin Benjamin takes over as the primary deep threat and can count on seeing the ball any time he’s in single coverage. When they throw in the red zone, Olsen has always been Newton’s favorite red zone target, but Benjamin will surely take on a big role near the goal line, as he did at Florida State. Third receiver Jason Avant is better as a perimeter blocking presence than a pass-catcher at this point.
This defense became elite last year, finishing second in the NFL in both scoring defense and total defense, thanks to a league-best 60 sacks. The Panthers upgraded the secondary with CB Antoine Cason, SS Roman Harper and FS Thomas DeCoud.
34 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2014
nFc South
NEW ORLEANS SAINTS
2013 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/8 ATL W 23-17 W (-3½) U (53½)9/15 at TAM W 16-14 L (-3) U (48½)9/22 ARI W 31-7 W (-7) U (48½)9/30 MIA W 38-17 W (-6½) O (48½)10/6 at CHI W 26-18 W (+1½) U (50)10/13 at NWE L 27-30 L (+2½) O (51)10/27 BUF W 35-17 W (-10) O (48)11/3 at NYJ L 20-26 L (-6) O (45½)11/10 DAL W 49-17 W (-6½) O (55)11/17 SFO W 23-20 L (-3½) U (49½)11/21 at ATL W 17-13 L (-7½) U (52½)12/2 at SEA L 7-34 L (+6½) U (48)12/8 CAR W 31-13 W (-3) U (47)12/15 at STL L 16-27 L (-7) U (48)12/22 at CAR L 13-17 L (+3) U (44)12/29 TAM W 42-17 W (-10½) O (46½)
2010-13 REgulaR SEaSon gaME logS2010 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/9 vs MIN W 14-9 W (-4½) U (49)9/20 at SFO W 25-22 L (-4½) O (44)9/26 vs ATL L 24-27 L (-3) O (49)10/3 vs CAR W 16-14 L (-12½) U (43½)10/10 at ARI L 20-30 L (-6½) O (45½)10/17 at TAM W 31-6 W (-5) U (43)10/24 vs CLE L 17-30 L (-12½) O (44)10/31 vs PIT W 20-10 W (-1) U (44½)11/7 at CAR W 34-3 W (-5½) U (40)11/21 vs SEA W 34-19 W (-11) O (44½)11/25 at DAL W 30-27 L (-4½) O (48)12/5 at CIN W 34-30 L (-6½) O (45)12/12 vs STL W 31-13 W (-9½) U (47½)12/19 at BAL L 24-30 L (+2) O (45)12/27 at ATL W 17-14 W (+2) U (50)1/2 vs TAM L 13-23 L (-7) U (46½)
2011 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/8 at GNB L 34-42 L (+5) O (47½)9/18 vs CHI W 30-13 W (-5) U (46½)9/25 vs HOU W 40-33 W (-4) O (52)10/2 at JAC W 23-10 W (-8) U (45)10/9 at CAR W 30-27 L (-6½) O (51)10/16 at TAM L 20-26 L (-6½) U (49½)10/23 vs IND W 62-7 W (-13½) O (49)10/30 at STL L 21-31 L (-13½) O (48½)11/6 vs TAM W 27-16 W (-8½) U (50½)11/13 at ATL W 26-23 W (0) U (49½)11/28 vs NYG W 49-24 W (-7) O (51)12/4 vs DET W 31-17 W (-8) U (55½)12/11 at TEN W 22-17 W (-3) U (47½)12/18 at MIN W 42-20 W (-7) O (53)12/26 vs ATL W 45-16 W (-7) O (53)1/1 vs CAR W 45-17 W (-7) O (55)
2012 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/9 WAS L 32-40 L (-8) O (50)9/16 at CAR L 27-35 L (-3) O (53½)9/23 KAN L 24-27 L (-8) U (51½)9/30 at GNB L 27-28 W (+7½) O (54)10/7 SDG W 31-24 W (-3) O (53½)10/21 at TAM W 35-28 W (-1½) O (49)10/28 at DEN L 14-34 L (+6) U (54½)11/5 PHI W 28-13 W (-3) U (52½)11/11 ATL W 31-27 W (+2) O (53½)11/18 at OAK W 38-17 W (-6) U (56)11/25 SFO L 21-31 L (+3) O (50)11/29 at ATL L 13-23 L (+3) U (54½)12/9 at NYG L 27-52 L (+4) O (52½)12/16 TAM W 41-0 W (-3½) U (54½)12/23 at DAL W 34-31 W (+3) O (54½)12/30 CAR L 38-44 L (-4) O (54)
sept. 7
sept. 14
sept. 21
sept. 28
Oct. 5
Oct. 12
Oct. 19
Oct. 26
Oct. 30
nov. 9
nov. 16
nov. 24
nov. 30
Dec. 7
Dec. 15
Dec. 21
Dec. 28
Situational REcoRdS
2014 SchEdulE
at Atlanta Falcons
at Cleveland Browns
Minnesota Vikings
at Dallas Cowboys
Tampa Bay Bucs
BYE WEEK
at Detroit Lions
Green Bay Packers
at Carolina Panthers
San Francisco 49ers
Cincinnati Bengals
Baltimore Ravens
at Pittsburgh Steelers
Carolina Panthers
at Chicago Bears
Atlanta Falcons
at Tampa Bay Bucs
>
ScEnaRio 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 6-YR total 6-YR%
STRAIGHT UP 8–8 16–3 11–6 14–4 7–9 12–6 68–36 65.4%
OVERALL ATS 10–5 10–9 7–10 13–5 8–8 10–8 58–45 56.3%
PRESEASON ATS 2–2 3–1 3–1 2–2 4–1 4–0 18–7 72.0%
HOME ATS 5–1 5–5 4–4 9–0 4–4 7–1 34–15 69.4%
ROAD ATS 5–4 5–4 3–6 4–5 4–4 3–7 24–30 44.4%
VS DIVISION ATS 3–2 1–5 3–3 4–2 3–3 3–3 17–18 48.6%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 6–5 5–9 6–7 9–5 6–6 8–6 40–38 51.3%
AS FAVORITE ATS 6–1 9–8 6–9 12–4 5–4 7–5 45–31 59.2%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 4–4 1–1 1–1 1–1 3–4 3–3 13–14 48.1%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring +6.9 7
Yardage +93.8 2
Yds Per Play +0.74 4
Yds Per Point -0.65 15
Turnovers 0 T14
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 25.9 10
1st Dwn/Gm 22.4 4
Yards/Game 399.4 4
Yds Per Play 5.92 6
Yds Per Point 15.44 20
Rush Yds/Gm 92.1 25
Yards Per Rush 3.77 26
Pass Att/Game 40.7 4
Comp/Game 27.9 2
Completion % 68.5 2
Pass Yds/Gm 307.4 2
Pass Yds/Att 7.55 5
INTs Thrown 12 T10
Sacks Allowed 37 T9
Att/Sack 17.6 7
Sack Yards 244 12
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Allowed 19.0 4
1st Dwn/Gm 17.1 1
Yards/Game 305.7 4
Yds Per Play 5.19 10
Yds Per Point 16.09 10
Rush Yds/Gm 111.6 19
Yards Per Rush 4.61 28
Pass Att/Game 31.7 T2
Comp/Game 19.0 2
Completion % 60.0 15
Pass Yds/Gm 194.1 2
Pass Yds/Att 6.12 9
Interceptions 12 T24
Sacks 49 4
Att/Sack 10.3 4
Sack Yards 336 4
The Saints’ running game is a Frankenstein of a series of other offenses, but its basis is in between-the-tackles power. Pierre Thomas might lead the backfield committee in playing time, but the running game is better suited for big bruising backs like Mark Ingram and Khiry Robinson. They’ll rotate the three on early downs with Thomas staying on the field for most passing downs. Thomas is at his best on stretch plays that move the opposing front seven laterally, while the other two will work a lot of inside zone runs. Thomas got most of the carries inside the 20 last season, but Ingram started to eat into those red-zone touches late in the year once he was healthy.
The Saints will run the same kind of pass-happy, spread offense they have run since 2007. Tight end Jimmy Graham is the focal point of the passing game, flexing out and working the deep seam. Drew Brees will look for him any time Graham gets single-coverage, and often when he’s double-covered too. He is by far the Saints’ top option in the red zone. Marques Colston works downfield on the perimeter, as Brees reads high-to-low. Kenny Stills and Brandin Cooks will mix in as home-run hitters, and Cooks could see some of the catch-and-run work that used to go to Darren Sproles. Thomas, one of the NFL’s best in the screen game, will see increased usage through the air with Sproles gone.
Defensive coordinator Rob Ryan transformed one of the worst defenses ever in 2012 to a unit that finished fourth among NFL defenses in yards, points and sacks. The addition of FS Jairus Boyd and CB Champ Bailey will help pass-rushing studs DE Cameron Jordan (12.5 sacks) and OLB Junior Galette (12 sacks) get more sacks.
StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2014 35
AFC EastFootball Futures
NFL Schedules
AFC SouthAFC W
estN
FC EastN
FC North
NFC W
estCollege Top 25
College Teams
AFC North
NFC South
nFc South
TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS
2013 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/8 at NYJ L 17-18 L (-4) U (39½)9/15 NOR L 14-16 W (+3) U (48½)9/22 at NWE L 3-23 L (+7) U (44½)9/29 ARI L 10-13 L (-2½) U (40)10/13 PHI L 20-31 L (+3) O (44)10/20 at ATL L 23-31 L (+6½) O (43½)10/24 CAR L 13-31 L (+6½) O (39)11/3 at SEA L 24-27 W (+16) O (40)11/11 MIA W 22-19 W (+2½) O (39)11/17 ATL W 41-28 W (-2) O (43½)11/24 at DET W 24-21 W (+7) U (48)12/1 at CAR L 6-27 L (+7) U (40½)12/8 BUF W 27-6 W (-3) U (42½)12/15 SFO L 14-33 L (+5) O (41)12/22 at STL L 13-23 L (+3) U (43)12/29 at NOR L 17-42 L (+10½) O (46½)
2010-13 REgulaR SEaSon gaME logS2010 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/12 vs CLE W 17-14 P (-3) U (37)9/19 at CAR W 20-7 W (+4) U (38)9/26 vs PIT L 13-38 L (+3) O (33½)10/10 at CIN W 24-21 W (+6½) O (38½)10/17 vs NOR L 6-31 L (+5) U (43)10/24 vs STL W 18-17 L (-3) U (39)10/31 at ARI W 38-35 W (+3) O (38)11/7 at ATL L 21-27 W (+10) O (44½)11/14 vs CAR W 31-16 W (-7) O (37)11/21 at SFO W 21-0 W (+3½) U (41)11/28 at BAL L 10-17 W (+7½) U (41½)12/5 vs ATL L 24-28 L (+3) O (43)12/12 at WAS W 17-16 P (-1) U (41)12/19 vs DET L 20-23 L (-3½) P (43)12/26 vs SEA W 38-15 W (-5½) O (43½)1/2 at NOR W 23-13 W (+7) U (46½)
2011 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/11 vs DET L 20-27 L (-1) O (43½)9/18 at MIN W 24-20 W (+1) O (41)9/25 vs ATL W 16-13 W (-1½) U (46)10/3 vs IND W 24-17 L (-10) O (40)10/9 at SFO L 3-48 L (+3) O (41)10/16 vs NOR W 26-20 W (+6½) U (49½)10/23 vs CHI L 18-24 L (+2) U (44)11/6 at NOR L 16-27 L (+8½) U (50½)11/13 vs HOU L 9-37 L (+3) O (45½)11/20 at GNB L 26-35 W (+13½) O (48½)11/27 at TEN L 17-23 L (+3) U (43)12/4 vs CAR L 19-38 L (+3) O (46½)12/11 at JAC L 14-41 L (-3) O (42)12/17 vs DAL L 15-31 L (+7) P (46)12/24 at CAR L 16-48 L (+7½) O (48½)1/1 at ATL L 24-45 L (+10½) O (45½)
2012 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/9 CAR W 16-10 W (+3) U (45½)9/16 at NYG L 34-41 W (+7½) O (43½)9/23 at DAL L 10-16 W (+7) U (45½)9/30 WAS L 22-24 L (-2½) O (44½)10/14 KAN W 38-10 W (-5) O (39½)10/21 NOR L 28-35 L (+1½) O (49)10/25 at MIN W 36-17 W (+5½) O (43½)11/4 at OAK W 42-32 W (+1½) O (46½)11/11 SDG W 34-24 W (-3) O (46½)11/18 at CAR W 27-21 W (0) O (46½)11/25 ATL L 23-24 P (+1) U (51)12/2 at DEN L 23-31 L (+7½) O (49½)12/9 PHI L 21-23 L (-7) U (48)12/16 at NOR L 0-41 L (+3½) U (54½)12/23 STL L 13-28 L (-3) U (43½)12/30 at ATL W 22-17 W (+3) U (45½)
sept. 7
sept. 14
sept. 18
sept. 28
Oct. 5
Oct. 12
Oct. 19
Oct. 26
nov. 2
nov. 9
nov. 16
nov. 23
nov. 30
Dec. 7
Dec. 14
Dec. 21
Dec. 28
Situational REcoRdS
2014 SchEdulE
Carolina Panthers
St. Louis Rams
at Atlanta Falcons
at Pittsburgh Steelers
at New Orleans Saints
Baltimore Ravens
BYE WEEK
Minnesota Vikings
at Cleveland Browns
Atlanta Falcons
at Washington Redskins
at Chicago Bears
Cincinnati Bengals
at Detroit Lions
at Carolina Panthers
Green Bay Packers
New Orleans Saints
>
ScEnaRio 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 6-YR total 6-YR%
STRAIGHT UP 9–7 3–13 10–6 4–12 7–9 4–12 37–59 38.5%
OVERALL ATS 8–8 6–10 9–5 4–12 9–6 6–10 42–51 45.2%
PRESEASON ATS 3–1 1–3 3–1 3–1 2–2 1–3 13–11 54.2%
HOME ATS 4–4 1–6 2–5 2–5 3–4 4–4 16–28 36.4%
ROAD ATS 4–4 5–4 7–0 2–7 6–2 2–6 26–23 53.1%
VS DIVISION ATS 3–3 2–4 4–2 2–4 3–2 2–4 16–19 45.7%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 7–5 5–7 7–4 4–8 6–5 4–8 33–37 47.1%
AS FAVORITE ATS 5–5 0–0 2–2 1–3 2–3 2–2 12–15 44.4%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 3–3 6–10 7–3 3–9 7–3 4–8 30–36 45.5%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring -6.3 28
Yardage -71.0 30
Yds Per Play -0.94 31
Yds Per Point +1.08 21
Turnovers +10 7
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 18.0 30
1st Dwn/Gm 16.8 32
Yards/Game 277.0 32
Yds Per Play 4.52 31
Yds Per Point 15.39 19
Rush Yds/Gm 100.8 22
Yards Per Rush 3.84 25
Pass Att/Game 32.1 26
Comp/Game 18.2 29
Completion % 56.6 30
Pass Yds/Gm 176.2 32
Pass Yds/Att 5.49 32
INTs Thrown 12 T10
Sacks Allowed 47 T26
Att/Sack 10.9 27
Sack Yards 361 30
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Allowed 24.3 21
1st Dwn/Gm 20.2 15
Yards/Game 348.0 17
Yds Per Play 5.46 19
Yds Per Point 14.31 18
Rush Yds/Gm 110.1 15
Yards Per Rush 4.02 16
Pass Att/Game 34.2 11
Comp/Game 22.0 19
Completion % 64.4 24
Pass Yds/Gm 237.9 17
Pass Yds/Att 6.96 22
Interceptions 21 T3
Sacks 35 T23
Att/Sack 15.6 22
Sack Yards 255 17
This will be the NFL debut for new offensive coordinator Jeff Tedford, long one of the most respected offensive coaches in the col-lege game. O-Line coach George Warhop uses multiple concepts and relies on athletic blockers getting to the second level to open up big plays in the running game. They’ll likely use some tempo to help the running game along. Doug Martin figures to take the bulk of the workload with rookie Charles Sims mixing in, especially on passing downs. Martin will likely take a decent red-zone workload, including goal-line carries. Mike James also figures to see some work.
Tedford ran a pro style system at the collegiate level, using tempo and space similarly to how Chip Kelly does in Philly. Assuming vet-eran Josh McCown wins the starting job, he will have a good shot at duplicating the success he had in Chicago. Tedford’s system often gets one of the boundary receivers in single coverage, and both Vincent Jackson and Mike Evans are capable of overpowering defensive backs downfield. The size of Tampa’s pass-catchers should lead to a lot of short TD throws for McCown. Jackson has never been a great red-zone producer due to the attention he draws, but between he, Evans and rookie tight end Austin Seferian-Jenkins, the passing game should be difficult to defend in the end zone. Seferian-Jenkins will have a chance to establish himself as a security blanket over the middle, while move TE Brandon Myers works up the field. They’ll also likely work the screen game more frequently, featuring Martin and Sims.
The Bucs improved in nearly every defensive facet last season, and new DC Leslie Frazier gets to infuse some talented free agents like DE Michael Johnson and CBs Alterraun Verner and Mike Jenkins to new head coach Lovie Smith’s Tampa-2 scheme.
nFc WESt
ARIZONA CARDINALS
2013 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/8 at STL L 24-27 W (+3½) O (43½)9/15 DET W 25-21 W (+1) U (47)9/22 at NOR L 7-31 L (+7) U (48½)9/29 at TAM W 13-10 W (+2½) U (40)10/6 CAR W 22-6 W (+3) U (41)10/13 at SFO L 20-32 L (+9½) O (40½)10/17 SEA L 22-34 L (+5) O (41)10/27 ATL W 27-13 W (-2½) U (44½)11/10 HOU W 27-24 L (-4) O (42)11/17 at JAC W 27-14 W (-10) O (40½)11/24 IND W 40-11 W (-3½) O (44)12/1 at PHI L 21-24 W (+3½) U (48½)12/8 STL W 30-10 W (-4½) U (41)12/15 at TEN W 37-34 P (-3) O (42½)12/22 at SEA W 17-10 W (+8) U (42½)12/29 SFO L 20-23 L (-3) O (41)
2010-13 REgulaR SEaSon gaME logS
36 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2014
2010 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/12 at STL W 17-13 W (-3) U (39½)9/19 at ATL L 7-41 L (+6½) O (43)9/26 vs OAK W 24-23 L (-5½) O (39)10/3 at SDG L 10-41 L (+10) O (47)10/10 vs NOR W 30-20 W (+6½) O (45½)10/24 at SEA L 10-22 L (+6½) U (40½)10/31 vs TAM L 35-38 L (-3) O (38)11/7 at MIN L 24-27 W (+7) O (42½)11/14 vs SEA L 18-36 L (-3) O (41)11/21 at KAN L 13-31 L (+7) U (45)11/29 vs SFO L 6-27 L (+1½) U (41½)12/5 vs STL L 6-19 L (+3) U (44)12/12 vs DEN W 43-13 W (+4) O (44½)12/19 at CAR L 12-19 L (+2½) U (37½)12/25 vs DAL W 27-26 W (+7) O (44½)1/2 at SFO L 7-38 L (+5½) O (39)
2011 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/11 vs CAR W 28-21 W (-6½) O (37½)9/18 at WAS L 21-22 W (+4½) U (45)9/25 at SEA L 10-13 L (-3) U (43)10/2 vs NYG L 27-31 L (+1) O (45)10/9 at MIN L 10-34 L (+3) U (45)10/23 vs PIT L 20-32 L (+4) O (46)10/30 at BAL L 27-30 W (+11) O (42½)11/6 vs STL W 19-13 W (-1½) U (42)11/13 at PHI W 21-17 W (+13½) U (47)11/20 at SFO L 7-23 L (+10) U (40½)11/27 at STL W 23-20 W (+2) O (40)12/4 vs DAL W 19-13 W (+4) U (46½)12/11 vs SFO W 21-19 W (+3) O (38½)12/18 vs CLE W 20-17 L (-6) P (37)12/24 at CIN L 16-23 L (+4½) U (41)1/1 vs SEA W 23-20 W (-2) O (40½)
2012 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/9 SEA W 20-16 W (+3) U (41)9/16 at NWE W 20-18 W (+13) U (46½)9/23 PHI W 27-6 W (+3) U (42)9/30 MIA W 24-21 L (-4) O (39)10/4 at STL L 3-17 L (-1½) U (37½)10/14 BUF L 16-19 L (-5½) U (44½)10/21 at MIN L 14-21 L (+6½) U (39)10/29 SFO L 3-24 L (+7) U (37½)11/4 at GNB L 17-31 L (+10½) O (43)11/18 at ATL L 19-23 W (+9) U (43½)11/25 STL L 17-31 L (-1½) O (36)12/2 at NYJ L 6-7 W (+6½) U (37)12/9 at SEA L 0-58 L (+10) O (36)12/16 DET W 38-10 W (+5½) O (43½)12/23 CHI L 13-28 L (+6½) O (35½)12/30 at SFO L 13-27 W (+16) O (38½)
sept. 8
sept. 14
sept. 21
sept. 28
Oct. 5
Oct. 12
Oct. 19
Oct. 26
nov. 2
nov. 9
nov. 16
nov. 23
nov. 30
Dec. 7
Dec. 11
Dec. 21
Dec. 28
Situational REcoRdS
2014 SchEdulE
San Diego Chargers
at New York Giants
San Francisco 49ers
BYE WEEK
at Denver Broncos
Washington Redskins
at Oakland Raiders
Philadelphia Eagles
at Dallas Cowboys
St. Louis Rams
Detroit Lions
at Seattle Seahawks
at Atlanta Falcons
Kansas City Chiefs
at St. Louis Rams
Seattle Seahawks
at San Francisco 49ers
>
ScEnaRio 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 6-YR total 6-YR%
STRAIGHT UP 12–8 11–7 5–11 8–8 5–11 10–6 51–51 50.0%
OVERALL ATS 13–7 9–8 5–11 9–7 7–9 10–5 53–47 53.0%
PRESEASON ATS 2–2 0–4 3–1 2–2 0–5 3–1 10–15 40.0%
HOME ATS 7–3 5–4 3–5 5–3 3–5 5–3 28–23 54.9%
ROAD ATS 6–4 4–4 2–6 4–4 4–4 5–2 25–24 51.0%
VS DIVISION ATS 5–1 3–3 1–5 4–2 2–4 3–3 18–18 50.0%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 10–5 7–7 4–8 8–4 5–7 8–4 42–35 54.5%
AS FAVORITE ATS 8–2 3–7 1–3 3–2 0–4 4–2 19–20 48.7%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 5–5 6–1 4–8 6–5 7–5 6–3 34–27 55.7%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring +3.4 T10
Yardage +28.9 7
Yds Per Play +0.47 6
Yds Per Point -1.05 13
Turnovers -1 17
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 23.7 T16
1st Dwn/Gm 20.6 T11
Yards/Game 346.4 12
Yds Per Play 5.34 16
Yds Per Point 14.62 14
Rush Yds/Gm 96.2 23
Yards Per Rush 3.65 27
Pass Att/Game 35.9 17
Comp/Game 22.7 T14
Completion % 63.2 10
Pass Yds/Gm 250.1 13
Pass Yds/Att 6.97 11
INTs Thrown 22 T28
Sacks Allowed 41 T14
Att/Sack 14.0 16
Sack Yards 289 T19
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Allowed 20.3 7
1st Dwn/Gm 19.3 13
Yards/Game 317.4 6
Yds Per Play 4.87 4
Yds Per Point 15.68 12
Rush Yds/Gm 84.4 1
Yards Per Rush 3.65 2
Pass Att/Game 39.1 30
Comp/Game 22.9 27
Completion % 58.7 7
Pass Yds/Gm 233.0 14
Pass Yds/Att 5.96 6
Interceptions 20 T5
Sacks 47 T6
Att/Sack 13.3 10
Sack Yards 337 3
Despite their Pittsburgh Steelers background, both head coach Bruce Arians and offensive coordinator Harold Goodwin have installed more of a finesse running game in Arizona, featuring more zone-blocking than classic power. It fits the skill set of undersized feature back Andre Ellington, who will get as much work as he can handle this year. They’ll use him on a lot of stretch plays on the perimeter. Stepfan Taylor and Jonathan Dwyer will battle for the No. 2 job. Both can provide more of an inside, physical presence. The Cards were very run-heavy near the end zone last year, and those touches are up for grabs with Rashard Mendenhall retiring.
Arians installed more of an aggressive, downfield passing game. Larry Fitzgerald is still the centerpiece, moving around formations and often running more possession-type routes. Michael Floyd works downfield and started to see more targets as opposing defenses focused on Fitzgerald. Field stretcher Ted Ginn will rotate in as a No. 3 receiver, likely pushing Fitzgerald to the slot when he’s on the field. Ellington will be used frequently in the screen game in an attempt to get him out in space. They’ll use two tight ends more frequently this year, especially after the addition of second-round pick Troy Niklas. Fitzgerald remains a heavy favorite when they throw in the red zone.
Defensive coordinator Todd Bowles was a magician with the Cards in 2013, putting his team among the top-7 NFL defenses in points, yards and turnovers. The addition of shutdown corner-back Antonio Cromartie adds to a talented group that includes DE Calais Campbell and CB Patrick Peterson, but the losses of LBs Karlos Dansby to free agency and Daryl Washington to suspension could end up hurting this unit significantly.
StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2014 37
nFc WESt
ST. LOUIS RAMS
2013 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/8 ARI W 27-24 L (-3½) O (43½)9/15 at ATL L 24-31 L (+4) O (48)9/22 at DAL L 7-31 L (+3) U (48)9/26 SFO L 11-35 L (+3) O (43)10/6 JAC W 34-20 W (-11) O (41)10/13 at HOU W 38-13 W (+9½) O (42½)10/20 at CAR L 15-30 L (+7) O (42)10/28 SEA L 9-14 W (+13) U (43)11/3 TEN L 21-28 L (+3) O (41)11/10 at IND W 38-8 W (+7) O (43)11/24 CHI W 42-21 W (-2½) O (45½)12/1 at SFO L 13-23 L (+7½) U (40½)12/8 at ARI L 10-30 L (+4½) U (41)12/15 NOR W 27-16 W (+7) U (48)12/22 TAM W 23-13 W (-3) U (43)12/29 at SEA L 9-27 L (+11½) U (41)
2010-13 REgulaR SEaSon gaME logS
AFC EastFootball Futures
NFL Schedules
AFC SouthAFC W
estN
FC EastN
FC North
NFC W
estCollege Top 25
College Teams
AFC North
NFC South
2010 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/12 vs ARI L 13-17 L (+3) U (39½)9/19 at OAK L 14-16 W (+3) U (37½)9/26 vs WAS W 30-16 W (+5) O (39)10/3 vs SEA W 20-3 W (+2) U (39½)10/10 at DET L 6-44 L (+3) O (43½)10/17 vs SDG W 20-17 W (+8½) U (45)10/24 at TAM L 17-18 W (+3) U (39)10/31 vs CAR W 20-10 W (-3) U (37½)11/14 at SFO L 20-23 W (+5) O (38)11/21 vs ATL L 17-34 L (+3) O (43)11/28 at DEN W 36-33 W (+3) O (46½)12/5 at ARI W 19-6 W (-3) U (44)12/12 at NOR L 13-31 L (+9½) U (47½)12/19 vs KAN L 13-27 L (-3) U (43)12/26 vs SFO W 25-17 W (-2½) O (40)1/2 at SEA L 6-16 L (-3) U (43)
2011 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/11 vs PHI L 13-31 L (+3½) P (44)9/19 at NYG L 16-28 L (+7) O (43)9/25 vs BAL L 7-37 L (+5) O (42)10/2 vs WAS L 10-17 L (+3) U (44)10/16 at GNB L 3-24 L (+14) U (47)10/23 at DAL L 7-34 L (+14) U (43)10/30 vs NOR W 31-21 W (+13½) O (48½)11/6 at ARI L 13-19 L (+1½) U (42)11/13 at CLE W 13-12 W (+3) U (36½)11/20 vs SEA L 7-24 L (-3) U (41)11/27 vs ARI L 20-23 L (-2) O (40)12/4 at SFO L 0-26 L (+14) U (39)12/12 at SEA L 13-30 L (+8) O (38)12/18 vs CIN L 13-20 P (+7) U (38½)12/24 at PIT L 0-27 L (+10) U (33½)1/1 vs SFO L 27-34 W (+12½) O (34½)
2012 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/9 at DET L 23-27 W (+8) O (46)9/16 WAS W 31-28 W (+4) O (42)9/23 at CHI L 6-23 L (+7) U (41½)9/30 SEA W 19-13 W (+2½) U (39)10/4 ARI W 17-3 W (+1½) U (37½)10/14 at MIA L 14-17 W (+5½) U (37½)10/21 GNB L 20-30 L (+4) O (45)10/28 vs NWE L 7-45 L (+7) O (46)11/11 at SFO T 24-24 W (+13½) O (37½)11/18 NYJ L 13-27 L (-3½) O (39)11/25 at ARI W 31-17 W (+1½) O (36)12/2 SFO W 16-13 W (+7½) U (41)12/9 at BUF W 15-12 W (+3) U (42½)12/16 MIN L 22-36 L (-3) O (39½)12/23 at TAM W 28-13 W (+3) U (43½)12/30 at SEA L 13-20 W (+10½) U (42)
sept. 7
sept. 14
sept. 21
sept. 28
Oct. 5
Oct. 13
Oct. 19
Oct. 26
nov. 2
nov. 9
nov. 16
nov. 23
nov. 30
Dec. 7
Dec. 11
Dec. 21
Dec. 28
Situational REcoRdS
2014 SchEdulE
Minnesota Vikings
at Tampa Bay Bucs
Dallas Cowboys
BYE WEEK
at Philadelphia Eagles
San Francisco 49ers
Seattle Seahawks
at Kansas City Chiefs
at San Francisco 49ers
at Arizona Cardinals
Denver Broncos
at San Diego Chargers
Oakland Raiders
at Washington Redskins
Arizona Cardinals
New York Giants
at Seattle Seahawks
>
ScEnaRio 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 6-YR total 6-YR%
STRAIGHT UP 2–14 1–15 7–9 2–14 7–8 7–9 26–69 27.4%
OVERALL ATS 6–10 7–9 10–6 3–12 11–5 7–9 44–51 46.3%
PRESEASON ATS 2–2 3–1 3–1 3–1 3–1 1–3 15–9 62.5%
HOME ATS 3–5 3–5 5–3 2–5 4–3 5–3 22–24 47.8%
ROAD ATS 3–5 4–4 5–3 1–7 7–2 2–6 22–27 44.9%
VS DIVISION ATS 1–5 1–5 4–2 1–5 6–0 1–5 14–22 38.9%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 4–8 5–7 7–5 2–10 9–3 4–8 31–41 43.1%
AS FAVORITE ATS 0–0 0–0 3–2 0–2 0–2 3–1 6–7 46.2%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 6–10 7–9 7–4 3–10 11–3 4–8 38–44 46.3%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring -1.0 17
Yardage -40.2 27
Yds Per Play -0.41 28
Yds Per Point -1.15 12
Turnovers +8 T9
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 21.8 21
1st Dwn/Gm 17.6 26
Yards/Game 304.8 30
Yds Per Play 5.04 24
Yds Per Point 14.01 11
Rush Yds/Gm 109.5 19
Yards Per Rush 4.11 18
Pass Att/Game 31.6 28
Comp/Game 18.8 25
Completion % 59.5 20
Pass Yds/Gm 195.3 27
Pass Yds/Att 6.18 22
INTs Thrown 11 T7
Sacks Allowed 36 8
Att/Sack 14.1 15
Sack Yards 235 11
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Allowed 22.8 13
1st Dwn/Gm 21.1 25
Yards/Game 345.0 15
Yds Per Play 5.44 18
Yds Per Point 15.16 15
Rush Yds/Gm 102.9 9
Yards Per Rush 3.74 3
Pass Att/Game 32.6 6
Comp/Game 22.2 21
Completion % 68.1 32
Pass Yds/Gm 242.1 19
Pass Yds/Att 7.44 28
Interceptions 14 T20
Sacks 53 3
Att/Sack 9.8 2
Sack Yards 326 5
The Rams’ running game found its footing in the second half of last year. They use a variety of looks behind a scheme that is heavy in zone blocking, utilizing a fullback and two tight ends, and running out of shotgun sets. Zac Stacy will be the workhorse. He thrived running in space behind the creative blocking schemes, especially on the perimeter. Rookie Tre Mason figures to take a decent workload behind him, as the Rams look to keep both their undersized runners healthy and fresh. The 224-pound Stacy will once again likely take on a monster red-zone workload, as the Rams tend to go very ground-heavy near the goal line.
Offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer’s playbook is full of short drops, play-action and catch-and-run situations. Tight end Jared Cook emerged as the No. 1 target by default, as the Rams effectively move him around to find mismatches. They’re hoping Titans cast-off Kenny Britt can take over at split end and provide a true No. 1 receiver. Tavon Austin figures to have a more consistent role this year, and they’ll use him throughout formations. Chris Givens will be a deep threat again, and expect more screen-game work for Stacy, as Mason isn’t ready to play on passing downs. When they throw inside the 20, quarterback Sam Bradford will usually look for one of his tight ends: Cook or Lance Kendricks. Britt might also work his way into the red-zone mix.
This team has an NFL-high 105 sacks since 2012 and new defen-sive coordinator Gregg Williams will make sure that doesn’t change with basically the same personnel plus some rookies. The Rams recovered 11 more fumbles last season than in 2012, and scored five defensive touchdowns for the second straight year.
nFc WESt
SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS
2013 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/8 GNB W 34-28 W (-5½) O (46½)9/15 at SEA L 3-29 L (+5) U (44½)9/22 IND L 7-27 L (-10½) U (45½)9/26 at STL W 35-11 W (-3) O (43)10/6 HOU W 34-3 W (-4) U (42½)10/13 ARI W 32-20 W (-9½) O (40½)10/20 at TEN W 31-17 W (-3) O (41)10/27 vs JAC W 42-10 W (-15½) O (40)11/10 CAR L 9-10 L (-6) U (43)11/17 at NOR L 20-23 W (+3½) U (49½)11/25 at WAS W 27-6 W (-5½) U (45)12/1 STL W 23-13 W (-7½) U (40½)12/8 SEA W 19-17 L (-2½) U (41½)12/15 at TAM W 33-14 W (-5) O (41)12/23 ATL W 34-24 L (-14½) O (46½)12/29 at ARI W 23-20 W (+3) O (41)
2010-13 REgulaR SEaSon gaME logS
38 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2014
2010 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/12 at SEA L 6-31 L (-3) P (37)9/20 vs NOR L 22-25 W (+4½) O (44)9/26 at KAN L 10-31 L (-3) O (38)10/3 at ATL L 14-16 W (+7) U (42)10/10 vs PHI L 24-27 L (-3) O (39½)10/17 vs OAK W 17-9 W (-7½) U (41)10/24 at CAR L 20-23 L (-1½) O (35½)10/31 vs DEN W 24-16 W (-2) U (41)11/14 vs STL W 23-20 L (-5) O (38)11/21 vs TAM L 0-21 L (-3½) U (41)11/29 at ARI W 27-6 W (-1½) U (41½)12/5 at GNB L 16-34 L (+8½) O (41)12/12 vs SEA W 40-21 W (-4½) O (42)12/16 at SDG L 7-34 L (+10) U (44½)12/26 at STL L 17-25 L (+2½) O (40)1/2 vs ARI W 38-7 W (-5½) O (39)
2011 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/11 vs SEA W 33-17 W (-6) O (38)9/18 vs DAL L 24-27 P (+3) O (41)9/25 at CIN W 13-8 W (+3) U (40)10/2 at PHI W 24-23 W (+10) O (43½)10/9 vs TAM W 48-3 W (-3) O (41)10/16 at DET W 25-19 W (+5) U (44½)10/30 vs CLE W 20-10 W (-9) U (38½)11/6 at WAS W 19-11 W (-4½) U (38)11/13 vs NYG W 27-20 W (-4) O (43)11/20 vs ARI W 23-7 W (-10) U (40½)11/24 at BAL L 6-16 L (+3) U (40½)12/4 vs STL W 26-0 W (-14) U (39)12/11 at ARI L 19-21 L (-3) O (38½)12/19 vs PIT W 20-3 W (-3) U (37)12/24 at SEA W 19-17 L (-2½) U (36½)1/1 at STL W 34-27 L (-12½) O (34½)
2012 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/9 at GNB W 30-22 W (+6) O (47)9/16 DET W 27-19 W (-6½) O (45½)9/23 at MIN L 13-24 L (-6½) U (43)9/30 at NYJ W 34-0 W (-3½) U (41)10/7 BUF W 45-3 W (-10) O (45½)10/14 NYG L 3-26 L (-7) U (46½)10/18 SEA W 13-6 L (-7½) U (37½)10/29 at ARI W 24-3 W (-7) U (37½)11/11 STL T 24-24 L (-13½) O (37½)11/19 CHI W 32-7 W (-3½) O (34)11/25 at NOR W 31-21 W (-3) O (50)12/2 at STL L 13-16 L (-7½) U (41)12/9 MIA W 27-13 W (-11) O (38½)12/16 at NWE W 41-34 W (+4) O (47½)12/23 at SEA L 13-42 L (+3) O (40½)12/30 ARI W 27-13 L (-16) O (38½)
sept. 7
sept. 14
sept. 21
sept. 28
Oct. 5
Oct. 13
Oct. 19
Oct. 26
nov. 2
nov. 9
nov. 16
nov. 23
nov. 27
Dec. 7
Dec. 14
Dec. 20
Dec. 28
Situational REcoRdS
2014 SchEdulE
at Dallas Cowboys
Chicago Bears
at Arizona Cardinals
Philadelphia Eagles
Kansas City Chiefs
at St. Louis Rams
at Denver Broncos
BYE WEEK
St. Louis Rams
at New Orleans Saints
at New York Giants
Washington Redskins
Seattle Seahawks
at Oakland Raiders
at Seattle Seahawks
San Diego Chargers
Arizona Cardinals
>
ScEnaRio 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 6-YR total 6-YR%
STRAIGHT UP 7–9 8–8 6–10 14–4 13–5 14–5 62–41 60.2%
OVERALL ATS 7–8 9–4 7–9 12–5 11–8 12–6 58–40 59.2%
PRESEASON ATS 2–2 1–3 3–0 2–2 3–1 3–1 14–9 60.9%
HOME ATS 3–4 5–2 4–3 8–1 5–4 4–4 29–18 61.7%
ROAD ATS 4–4 4–2 3–6 4–4 6–4 8–2 29–22 56.9%
VS DIVISION ATS 3–3 5–1 3–3 3–3 1–5 4–3 19–18 51.4%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 4–7 7–3 5–7 9–4 7–7 9–5 41–33 55.4%
AS FAVORITE ATS 2–2 5–1 5–6 8–4 9–7 10–4 39–24 61.9%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 5–6 4–3 2–3 4–1 2–1 2–2 19–16 54.3%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring +8.4 3
Yardage +6.8 15
Yds Per Play +0.42 7
Yds Per Point -5.88 4
Turnovers +12 T4
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 25.4 11
1st Dwn/Gm 17.9 25
Yards/Game 323.8 24
Yds Per Play 5.39 12
Yds Per Point 12.76 4
Rush Yds/Gm 137.6 3
Yards Per Rush 4.36 11
Pass Att/Game 26.1 32
Comp/Game 15.3 32
Completion % 58.5 25
Pass Yds/Gm 186.2 30
Pass Yds/Att 7.14 8
INTs Thrown 8 T1
Sacks Allowed 39 11
Att/Sack 10.7 29
Sack Yards 231 10
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Allowed 17.0 3
1st Dwn/Gm 17.8 T6
Yards/Game 316.9 5
Yds Per Play 4.97 8
Yds Per Point 18.64 4
Rush Yds/Gm 95.9 4
Yards Per Rush 3.87 9
Pass Att/Game 36.6 21
Comp/Game 21.6 T17
Completion % 59.0 11
Pass Yds/Gm 221.0 7
Pass Yds/Att 6.04 7
Interceptions 18 T10
Sacks 38 T18
Att/Sack 15.4 21
Sack Yards 283 10
The Niners remained the most run-heavy offense in the NFL, even in Colin Kaepernick’s first full season as a starter. They run a classic power-blocking scheme with a leading fullback, but they also mix in some zone-read stuff to take advantage of Kaepernick’s mobil-ity. Veteran Frank Gore is still the lead back, though he might see his workload reduced during the regular season. Kendall Hunter, Marcus Lattimore and rookie Carlos Hyde will battle for playing time behind him. The Niners are just as run-heavy in the red zone, with Gore taking on a huge workload. They got away from using Kaepernick as a runner down near the goal line, as he had only two rushing attempts inside the 10-yard-line last season.
The passing game works off the rushing attack and features plen-ty of movement for Kaepernick. The 49ers are very aggressive down-field, using Michael Crabtree and Anquan Boldin facing the line of scrimmage or tight end Vernon Davis exploiting slower defend-ers down the seam. They figure to run more three-receiver sets this year with Stevie Johnson working out of the slot. The don’t use their backs often in the passing game, and fullback Bruce Miller actu-ally led their running backs in both targets and catches last season. When they do throw in the red zone, Davis is the clear-cut No. 1 tar-get. Crabtree, however, could be in for a bigger red-zone role.
The Niners still have a great defense, but there are some con-cerns. Star ILB NaVorro Bowman (knee) will miss half the year, OLB Aldon Smith could get a six-game suspension, and they have to figure out their cornerback situation. But two hungry veteran leaders remain with inside linebacker Patrick Willis and defensive end Justin Smith.
StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2014 39
nFc WESt
SEATTLE SEAHAWKS
2013 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/8 at CAR W 12-7 W (-3) U (44)9/15 SFO W 29-3 W (-5) U (44½)9/22 JAC W 45-17 W (-19½) O (39)9/29 at HOU W 23-20 W (-1½) O (41)10/6 at IND L 28-34 L (-3) O (43½)10/13 TEN W 20-13 L (-11½) U (42)10/17 at ARI W 34-22 W (-5) O (41)10/28 at STL W 14-9 L (-13) U (43)11/3 TAM W 27-24 L (-16) O (40)11/10 at ATL W 33-10 W (-3) U (47)11/17 MIN W 41-20 W (-13½) O (45)12/2 NOR W 34-7 W (-6½) U (48)12/8 at SFO L 17-19 W (+2½) U (41½)12/15 at NYG W 23-0 W (-8½) U (43½)12/22 ARI L 10-17 L (-8) U (42½)12/29 STL W 27-9 W (-11½) U (41)
2010-13 REgulaR SEaSon gaME logS
AFC EastFootball Futures
NFL Schedules
AFC SouthAFC W
estN
FC EastN
FC North
NFC W
estCollege Top 25
College Teams
AFC North
NFC South
2010 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/12 vs SFO W 31-6 W (+3) P (37)9/19 at DEN L 14-31 L (+3) O (41)9/26 vs SDG W 27-20 W (+3½) O (44)10/3 at STL L 3-20 L (-2) U (39½)10/17 at CHI W 23-20 W (+6) O (37½)10/24 vs ARI W 22-10 W (-6½) U (40½)10/31 at OAK L 3-33 L (+2) U (40)11/7 vs NYG L 7-41 L (+7) O (40½)11/14 at ARI W 36-18 W (+3) O (41)11/21 at NOR L 19-34 L (+11) O (44½)11/28 vs KAN L 24-42 L (+1½) O (45½)12/5 vs CAR W 31-14 W (-5) O (40½)12/12 at SFO L 21-40 L (+4½) O (42)12/19 vs ATL L 18-34 L (+5½) O (46½)12/26 at TAM L 15-38 L (+5½) O (43½)1/2 vs STL W 16-6 W (+3) U (43)
2011 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/11 vs SEA W 33-17 W (-6) O (38)9/18 vs DAL L 24-27 P (+3) O (41)9/25 at CIN W 13-8 W (+3) U (40)10/2 at PHI W 24-23 W (+10) O (43½)10/9 vs TAM W 48-3 W (-3) O (41)10/16 at DET W 25-19 W (+5) U (44½)10/30 vs CLE W 20-10 W (-9) U (38½)11/6 at WAS W 19-11 W (-4½) U (38)11/13 vs NYG W 27-20 W (-4) O (43)11/20 vs ARI W 23-7 W (-10) U (40½)11/24 at BAL L 6-16 L (+3) U (40½)12/4 vs STL W 26-0 W (-14) U (39)12/11 at ARI L 19-21 L (-3) O (38½)12/19 vs PIT W 20-3 W (-3) U (37)12/24 at SEA W 19-17 L (-2½) U (36½)1/1 at STL W 34-27 L (-12½) O (34½)
2012 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/9 at ARI L 16-20 L (-3) U (41)9/16 DAL W 27-7 W (+3) U (43)9/24 GNB W 14-12 W (+3) U (45)9/30 at STL L 13-19 L (-2½) U (39)10/7 at CAR W 16-12 W (+1½) U (42½)10/14 NWE W 24-23 W (+4) O (42½)10/18 at SFO L 6-13 W (+7½) U (37½)10/28 at DET L 24-28 L (+3) O (43)11/4 MIN W 30-20 W (-4½) O (38)11/11 NYJ W 28-7 W (-5½) U (38½)11/25 at MIA L 21-24 L (-3) O (37½)12/2 at CHI W 23-17 W (+3) O (36½)12/9 ARI W 58-0 W (-10) O (36)12/16 vs BUF W 50-17 W (-4) O (44½)12/23 SFO W 42-13 W (-3) O (40½)12/30 STL W 20-13 L (-10½) U (42)
sept. 4
sep. 14
sep. 21
sep. 28
Oct. 6
Oct. 12
Oct. 19
Oct. 26
nov. 2
nov. 9
nov. 16
nov. 23
nov. 27
Dec. 7
Dec. 14
Dec. 21
Dec. 28
Situational REcoRdS
2014 SchEdulE
Green Bay Packers
at San Diego Chargers
Denver Broncos
BYE WEEK
at Washington Redskins
Dallas Cowboys
at St. Louis Rams
at Carolina Panthers
Oakland Raiders
New York Giants
at Kansas City Chiefs
Arizona Cardinals
at San Francisco 49ers
at Philadelphia Eagles
San Francisco 49ers
at Arizona Cardinals
St. Louis Rams
>
ScEnaRio 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 6-YR total 6-YR%
STRAIGHT UP 4–12 5–11 8–10 7–9 12–6 16–3 52–51 50.5%
OVERALL ATS 7–8 6–10 8–10 10–5 13–5 13–6 57–44 56.4%
PRESEASON ATS 4–0 4–0 0–3 3–1 4–0 4–0 19–4 82.6%
HOME ATS 3–4 5–3 6–3 6–2 7–1 6–4 33–17 66.0%
ROAD ATS 4–4 1–7 2–7 4–3 6–4 7–2 24–27 47.1%
VS DIVISION ATS 3–3 3–3 4–2 4–2 3–3 5–2 22–15 59.5%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 4–7 4–8 7–7 9–3 10–4 10–4 44–33 57.1%
AS FAVORITE ATS 2–1 5–2 2–1 1–1 6–4 11–6 27–15 64.3%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 5–7 1–8 6–9 9–4 7–1 2–0 30–29 50.8%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring +11.6 2
Yardage +65.4 3
Yds Per Play +1.15 1
Yds Per Point -5.95 3
Turnovers +20 1
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 26.1 T8
1st Dwn/Gm 19.2 T20
Yards/Game 339.0 18
Yds Per Play 5.57 9
Yds Per Point 13.01 5
Rush Yds/Gm 136.8 4
Yards Per Rush 4.30 12
Pass Att/Game 26.2 31
Comp/Game 16.7 30
Completion % 63.6 9
Pass Yds/Gm 202.2 26
Pass Yds/Att 7.70 4
INTs Thrown 9 T3
Sacks Allowed 44 T20
Att/Sack 9.5 32
Sack Yards 272 T16
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Allowed 14.4 1
1st Dwn/Gm 17.6 T3
Yards/Game 273.6 1
Yds Per Play 4.42 1
Yds Per Point 18.95 3
Rush Yds/Gm 101.6 T7
Yards Per Rush 3.85 7
Pass Att/Game 32.8 7
Comp/Game 19.3 3
Completion % 59.0 10
Pass Yds/Gm 172.0 1
Pass Yds/Att 5.25 1
Interceptions 28 1
Sacks 44 T8
Att/Sack 11.9 5
Sack Yards 298 8
Under head coach Pete Carroll, the Seahawks have churned out yards behind a zone-blocking scheme, first overseen by Alex Gibbs and now by Tom Cable. They use a lot of inside zone plays to free up Marshawn Lynch for yardage between the tackles. Lynch took a huge workload last year, and could give way to Christine Michael and Robert Turbin a bit more often this season. Seattle also gets a lot of rushing yards out of quarterback Russell Wilson, who takes the option to run on a lot of designed rollouts. The red zone is typi-cally all Lynch all the time, as he had nearly two-thirds of their red zone touches. That won’t change this year.
Seattle utilizes Wilson’s mobility by moving the pocket around a lot—Wilson also moves when it isn’t by design due to his lack of size and Seattle’s shaky pass protection. They’ll move Percy Harvin around and feature him in catch-and-run situations as the like-ly focal point of the passing game. The other receivers, some mix of Doug Baldwin, Jermaine Kearse, Sidney Rice and rookie Paul Richardson, will work downfield. They’ll use Zach Miller as a check-down option, while Lynch is occasionally used in the screen game. When they throw in the red zone, Miller was most often their top weapon in the end zone.
Seattle led the NFL in scoring defense, total defense, red-zone defense and interceptions in 2013. The “Legion of Boom” may miss cornerbacks Brandon Browner and Walter Thurmond, but All-Pro cornerback Richard Sherman and free safety Earl Thomas still remain. The front seven is still stacked with defensive ends Michael Bennett and Cliff Avril, who combined for 16.5 sacks for the Seahawks last season.
40 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2014
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1. OHIO STATEThe Buckeyes haven’t lost a regular-season game in three years and they have a great shot at keeping that streak alive in 2014 with superstar QB Braxton Miller operating an offense that ranked third in FBS in scoring (45.5 PPG) and eighth in yardage (512 total YPG) last season. Ohio State has no glaring weakness with a legitimate go-to receiver in WR Devin Smith and RBs Ezekiel Elliott and Dontre Wilson, who both averaged more than eight yards per carry last year, to soften the blow of losing Carlos Hyde. The defen-sive front seven rivals anybody in the land, especially the front four with a trio of elite pass rushers, and CB Doran Grant is an elite performer in a strong secondary. The Buckeyes have a couple of tough road games (Penn St. and Michigan St.), but they shouldn’t be tested at all in the Horseshoe.
2. FLORIDA STATEThe defending champs should find themselves back in the title game with so many pieces returning, including Heisman Trophy QB Jameis Winston to orchestrate an offense that scored an amazing 51.6 PPG last year, which ranked second in the nation. Winston has plenty of weapons left to choose from in WR Rashad Greene and TE Nick O’Leary, and the ground game is still dynamic propelled by RB Karlos Williams. The defense may not be as good as last season’s unit that held opponents to an FBS-leading 12.1 PPG, but there is no team on the schedule that can light up this talented crew. The ‘Noles play only four true road games all year, and could very well be two-touchdown favorites in all 12 of their regular-season games.
3. OREGONThe Ducks are hungry to get back to the title game and still have the explo-sive offense led by Heisman candidate QB Marcus Mariota, who amassed 4,380 total yards and 40 touchdowns last season despite suffering a knee injury. Oregon did lose its top four receievers, but there are plenty of play-makers like RBs Byron Marshall and Thomas Tyner, and the offensive line is a top-notch unit with all five starters returning. The defense expects to be tougher this year, and is still stacked with talent such as CB Ifo Ekpre-Olomu and ILB Derrick Malone. The Ducks face potentially three top-10 teams (Michigan St., UCLA, Stanford), but UCLA is their only difficult road trip.
4. ALABAMAThe Crimson Tide offense may struggle initially with new QB Jacob Coker replacing AJ McCarron, but they should still be one of the top running teams in the nation with RBs T.J. Yeldon and Derrick Henry getting plenty of holes from an outstanding offensive line. The defense lost a bunch of players to the NFL, but will still be as deep and talented as any unit in the land. The schedule is pretty favorable too, with an absence of Georgia and South Carolina, and playing both Auburn and Florida at home. Visits to LSU and Ole Miss appear to be the only potential downfalls, but a one-loss Alabama team will likely still make the inaugural four-team playoff in 2014.
5. OKLAHOMAThe top dog in the Big 12 will likely be the Sooners, whose QB Trevor Knight is a budding star who torched Alabama’s defense in the 2014 Sugar Bowl. His skill players don’t have a lot of experience, but the O-Line is strong enough to allow any ball carrier to thrive on the ground. Oklahoma’s defense should dominate conference foes, especially the front seven. The Sooners have only one hard road game on their schedule (Oct. 4 at TCU).
6. AUBURNDual-threat QB Nick Marshall is eager to get his team back to the champi-onship, and has plenty of returnees like WR Sammie Coates and RB Corey Grant to get back. The defense is also excellent, but the schedule is quite difficult with road games at Alabama, Georgia and Ole Miss, plus home games versus LSU and South Carolina, which all project as top-25 teams.
7. UCLA Hopes are sky-high for Bruins fans with the return of superstar QB Brett Hundley among the 16 starters coming back on offense and defense. RB Jordon James will be the main ball carrier, while LB Myles Jack anchors what should be an excellent defense with no real weakness. UCLA also has a favorable schedule, as it will host each of its top-three opponents this year (Oregon, Stanford and USC).
8. MICHIGAN STATE The Spartans lost 10 starters in the offseason, but they are still packed with talent throughout their roster. QB Connor Cook is poised for an even bet-ter junior season while RB Jeremy Langford will continue to run over and around would-be tacklers. The linebacking corps is the one question mark on what is shaping up to be another excellent MSU defense. After their Sept. 6 trip to Oregon, the Spartans should be favored in all their games.
9. GEORGIAIt’s all about staying healthy for the Bulldogs who welcome back the torn ACL duo of top RB Todd Gurley and top WR Malcolm Mitchell. QB Hutson Mason has huge Aaron Murray shoes to fill, but showed great composure when Murray got hurt last year. The defense will be strong, but the sec-ondary is a trouble spot. Georgia always has a brutal schedule, but plays just four true road games, with the toughest trip being at South Carolina.
10. STANFORDThe Cardinal will once again challenge for a conference title with unflap-pable QB Kevin Hogan and uber-talented WR Ty Montgomery through the air, but the power running game has a bunch of fresh faces. The defense will remain fierce, especially in an experienced secondary with star S Jordan Richards. Stanford has a great chance to begin the season 8-0 before a treacherous November that includes visits to both Oregon and UCLA.
THE TOP 25
StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2014 41
11. BAYLOROnly nine starters return for the 11-win Bears, but one of those is QB Bryce Petty who threw for 4,200 yards with 32 TD and just 3 INT last year. Thir-teen of those scores went to WR Antwan Goodley, who will be Petty’s top target in 2014. A young Baylor secondary could take some lumps, but a strong D-Line should put plenty of pressure on opposing quarterbacks. Other than visiting Oklahoma, the Bears have a manageable schedule.
12. USCSteve Sarkisian will implement an up-tempo offense with his new team, which QB Cody Kessler has adjusted to nicely. He’ll frequently target WR Nelson Agholor, while RB Javorius Allen leads a deep crop of rushers. But what makes USC a true contender is its defense that has All-American tal-ent throughout, including DE Leonard Williams, LB Hayes Pullard and CB Josh Shaw. A trip to Stanford on Sept. 6 could set the tone for the Trojans’ season, while a visit to UCLA in late November won’t be a picnic either.
13. LSUThe Tigers said goodbye to 10 starters, but dual-threat QB Anthony Jennings was an adequate replacement for injured Zach Mettenberger last year. He doesn’t have a lot of experienced skill-position players to utilize, but coach-es are high on freshman RB Leonard Fournette. LSU is also lacking in veter-ans on defense, but the unit certainly doesn’t lack in talent. DEs Danielle Hunter and Jermauria Rasco are fierce off the edge, and opposing receivers have a tough time shaking CBs Tre’Davious White and Rashard Robinson.
14. WISCONSINThe Badgers will try to ride stud RB Melvin Gordon behind a burly offensive line all the way to the Big Ten title game. QB Joel Stave needs to trim his interceptions to keep dual-threat QB Tanner McEvoy from taking his job, but Wisconsin will be a Gordon-centric offense. The defense returns only three starters -- all in the secondary -- so an Aug. 30 test versus LSU will be key. But Wisconsin does not have to play Ohio St., Michigan St. or Michigan.
15. SOUTH CAROLINAOther than star RB Mike Davis, who totaled more than 1,500 yards last year, the Gamecocks have plenty of holes to fill on offense, most notably a battle of QBs Connor Shaw and Dylan Thompson. South Carolina will miss Jadeveon Clowney up front, but the linebackers should be the core of a strong defense. The ‘Cocks have a brutal schedule though, with trips to Auburn, Florida and Clemson among their final five games of the season.
16. CLEMSONThe Tigers will miss their top three skill players in Tajh Boyd, Sammy Wat-kins, and Rod McDowell, but heady QB Cole Stoudt has potential for great-ness with solid WRs Mike Williams and Adam Humphries. DE Vic Beasley returns to wreak havoc on signal callers, posting 13 sacks last season (T-3rd in FBS). Visits to Georgia and Florida State in the first three weeks of the season will be rough, but Clemson should run the table after that.
17. BOWLING GREENThe class of the MAC has a new head coach in Dino Babers that will step up the pace on offense to allow QB Matt Johnson and RB Travis Greene to touch the ball more often. The Falcons should remain an excellent defense, especially in the front seven that includes DT Taylor Royster and OLB D.J. Lynch. The secondary is young, but FS Ryland Ward knows how to lead. The world will see just how good BGSU really is on Sept. 20 at Wisconsin.
18. NOTRE DAMEQB Everett Golson returns to the Fighting Irish after a year-long academic suspension, but he does not have the same personnel as two years ago when he helped Notre Dame reach the BCS title game. The defense is being reworked by new DC Brian VanGorder, but the Irish don’t have time to mess around, as they will face plenty of quality offenses this season, such as Florida State, Stanford, USC, Arizona State, Michigan and Louisville.
19. MICHIGANQB Devin Gardner looks to mature on the field with new OC Doug Nussmeier, who will probably stress ball security with the turnover-prone Gardner. The Michigan defense will have to carry this team, and is perfectly capable of doing so with players like CB Ray Taylor, DE Frank Clark, and LB Jake Ryan returning from a knee injury. The Wolverines shouldn’t be tested much at home, but they have to visit Ohio St., Michigan St. and Notre Dame.
20. VIRGINIA TECHThe Virginia Tech offense will be orchestrated by QB Michael Brewer, a Texas Tech transfer. He has three 600-yard receivers to target, and also has RB Trey Edmunds to keep defenses honest. Va. Tech’s defense is pretty young, but this group can fly and has opportunistic corners. After the Hokies lose at Ohio State on Sept. 6, they should win all of their remaining games.
21. ARIZONA STATEThe Sun Devils will once again take to the air with QB Taylor Kelly coming off 3,635 passing yards and 28 TD last season. He will continue to frequent-ly target WR Jaelen Strong. While the offense is in great shape, the ASU defense returns only two starters, which is less than ideal versus explosive Pac-12 offenses on its schedule (UCLA and Stanford). No Oregon though.
22. MISSISSIPPIFor the Rebels to make some serious noise in the stacked SEC, they will need QB Bo Wallace to really take a step forward in his progress. He has plenty of playmakers like WR Laquon Treadwell at his disposal, and the Ole Miss ground game is in good shape as well. The defense is tremendous throughout, which will come in handy versus Alabama, Auburn and LSU.
23. TCUTCU should be able to pile up enough wins to make a decent bowl and remain in the top-25. Texas A&M transfer QB Matt Joeckel will operate an up-tempo offense implemented by new OCs Doug Meacham and Son-nie Cumbie. The defense remains top-notch, which will be key in October versus Oklahoma, Baylor and Oklahoma State in three consecutive weeks.
24. EAST CAROLINAStar QB Shane Carden and WR Justin Hardy are ready to play the ECU’s first AAC game, as their squad should mop up the competition in its new conference. The defense lost a bundle, but the Pirates should be able to win high-scoring games all year. But they open September with consecu-tive road trips to South Carolina and Virginia Tech before AAC play begins.
25. LOUISVILLE Head coach Bobby Petrino is back to lead Louisville once again, and new QB Will Gardner has been a quick study of this complex, pass-oriented offense where he will often target WR DeVante Parker. RB Michael Dyer will also play a big role. The defense lost a ton, but the Cardinals will be favored to start 6-0 before meeting Clemson and Florida State in October.
ACCAAC
Big 12Big Ten
Conference USA
MAC
Mountain W
estSEC
Sun BeltIndependents
Pac-12College Top 25
42 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2014
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CINCINNATIOffense: Starters returning - 7; Defense: Starters returning - 6Notre Dame transfer QB Gunner Kiel is expected to run the Bearcats offense with plenty of talent at receiver, especially WR Shaq Washington (78 rec, 783 yds). Cincinnati can also rush the football effectively with RBs Hosey Williams (655 rush yds, 5.7 YPC), Ralph David Abernathy IV (518 rush yds, 5 TD) or Tion Green (412 rush yds, 7 TD). New DC Hank Hughes will keep the 4-3 defense intact that is ignited by the pass-rushing of DE Silverberry Mouhon (9.5 sacks) and relies on LB Nick Temple (79 tackles, 5.5 sacks).
CONNECTICUTOffense: Starters returning - 8; Defense: Starters returning - 6New Head Coach: Bob DiacoQB Casey Cochran (7.4 YPA, 11 TD, 4 INT) should earn the starting job after winning the final three games of 2013. WR Geremy Davis (1,085 rec yds) headlines a strong receiving corps, but the dismissal of RB Lyle McCombs stings, as does losing four O-Line starters. Linebacker is the biggest weak-ness, but the D-Line isn’t great either. The secondary shines with CB Byron Jones (3 INT), S Obi Melifonwu (70 tackles) and S Andrew Adams (2 INT).
EAST CAROLINAOffense: Starters returning - 5; Defense: Starters returning - 3Star QB Shane Carden (4,139 pass yds, 71% completions, 33 TD, 10 INT) leads ECU in its first AAC season and will continue to provide mass targets for WR Justin Hardy (114 rec, 1,284 yds, 8 TD) in effort to post another 40.2 PPG like last year. Five-foot-8 RB Breon Allen (311 rush yds) will be the main back. The defense lost a ton, and will ask a lot out of DL Chrishon Rose (6 TFL), ILB Zeek Bigger (77 tackles, 5 PD) and CB Detric Allen (40 tackles).
HOUSTONOffense: Starters returning - 8; Defense: Starters returning - 9New OC Travis Bush will keep the Cougars up-tempo with the trio of QB John O’Korn (7.0 YPA, 28 TD, 10 INT) and WRs Deontay Greenberry (1,202 rec yds, 11 TD) and Daniel Spencer (768 rec yds, 6 TD). Returning RBs Ryan Jackson and Kenneth Farrow combined for 1,175 rushing yards and 12 TD last year. The defense led FBS in takeaways (43) and will continue to ride LB Derrick Mathews (116 tackles, 7 sacks) and S Trevon Stewart (109 tackles, 4 INT).
MEMPHISOffense: Starters returning - 8; Defense: Starters returning - 8The Tigers are looking to quicken their pace this year, and QB Paxton Lynch (5.9 YPA, 9 TD, 10 INT) handled the offense well in the spring. He gets his top four wideouts back, with WR Joe Craig (338 rec yds) as the top target. Sixth-year senior RB Brandon Hayes (860 rush yds) is a tough runner. DE Martin Ifedi (10.5 sacks) and LB Charles Harris (73 tackles) lead a virtually intact front seven, and CB Bobby McCain (6 INT, 2 TD) is a true playmaker.
SMUOffense: Starters returning - 7; Defense: Starters returning - 7The Mustangs have a new playbook with QB Neal Burcham (5.1 YPA) replac-ing Garrett Gilbert. SMU’s top two wideouts are also gone, so WR Der’rikk Thompson (459 rec yds) and LB-turned-RB Kevin Pope (5.2 YPC) are the top skill-position players. DE Beau Barnes (5 sacks, 13 TFL) and LB Stephon Sanders (86 tackles, 13.5 TFL) are the only two standouts on defense.
TEMPLEOffense: Starters returning - 6; Defense: Starters returning - 7The Owls love sophomore QB P.J. Walker (8.3 YPA, 20 TD, 8 INT), but he is not blessed with accomplished receivers. More will be expected from RBs Kenny Harper (854 total yds, 11 TD) and Zaire Williams (661 total yards, 5.3 YPC). The defensive front seven is very green, but LB Tyler Matakevich (FBS-high 106 solo tackles) is excellent. The secondary had only 2 INT last year.
TULANEOffense: Starters returning - 7; Defense: Starters returning - 6Freshman QB Tanner Lee has the edge on QB Nick Montana (5.8 YPA, 14 TD, 10 INT), but WR Justyn Shackleford (419 rec yds) is a weak No. 1 option. Frosh RB Sherman Badie tries to replace Orleans Darkwa. CB Lorenzo Doss (7 INT, 2 TD) and S Sam Scofield (104 tackles) lead an underrated defense.
TULSAOffense: Starters returning - 7; Defense: Starters returning - 9QB Dane Evans (4.6 YPA, 4 TD, 10 INT) leads a weak offense that welcomes back WR Keyarris Garrett (9 rec TD in 2012) from a leg injury. The ground game will miss Trey Watts. Tulsa’s defense has many great returnees, such as SS Michael Mudoh (133 tackles) and DE Derrick Alexander (6.5 sacks).
UCFOffense: Starters returning - 6; Defense: Starters returning - 8UCF has four viable candidates to replace Blake Bortles under center, and that winner has great receivers to work with in WRs Rannell Hall (886 rec yds), Breshad Perriman (811 rec yds) and J.J. Worton (7 rec TD). RB Will Stanback will replace Storm Johnson. The defense remains nearly intact with star CB Jacoby Glenn (15 PD) and LB Terrance Plummer (110 tackles).
USFOffense: Starters returning - 9; Defense: Starters returning - 5The Bulls’ offense lacks star power with underwhelming QB Mike White (6.2 YPA, 3 TD, 9 INT) and no clear-cut top rusher. WR Andre Davis (735 rec yds) and TE Sean Price (21 rec) are quality pass-catchers though. USF boasts an opportunistic defense (25 TO) under DC Chuck Bresnahan with LB Reshard Cliett (7 TFL) and DBs Nate Godwin (46 tackles) and Hassan Childs (3 INT).
pREdictEd FiniSh1. East Carolina2. Cincinnati3. Houston4. UCF5. SMU6. USF
7. Memphis8. Connecticut9. Temple10. Tulsa11. TulaneAAC
College Top 25Big 12
Big TenConference U
SAM
ACM
ountain West
SECSun Belt
IndependentsPac-12
ACC
StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2014 43
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
aMERican athlEtic>CINC INNAT I
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 4–8 10–3 10–3 9–4 33–18 64.7%
OVERALL ATS 4–8 8–5 8–4 6–7 26–24 52.0%
HOME ATS 3–4 4–2 4–3 3–3 14–12 53.8%
ROAD ATS 1–4 4–3 4–1 3–4 12–12 50.0%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 2–5 3–4 5–1 4–4 14–14 50.0%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 2–3 5–1 3–3 2–3 12–10 54.5%
AS FAVORITE ATS 3–3 6–3 7–4 5–5 21–15 58.3%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 1–5 2–2 1–0 1–2 5–9 35.7%
OVER-UNDER 4–7 5–7 6–5 7–5 22–24 47.8%
2011-13 gaME logS
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring +11.1 32
Yardage +156.5 7
Turnovers -7 T102
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 32.1 47
Yards/Game 472.1 23
Yds Per Play 6.23 31
Rush Yds/Gm 168.5 67
Pass Yds/Gm 303.6 18
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Allowed 21.0 14
Yards/Game 315.6 9
Yds Per Play 4.77 10
Rush Yds/Gm 104.5 6
Pass Yds/Gm 211.2 29
9/129/209/2710/410/1110/1810/2410/3111/1311/2211/2912/6
TOLEDOMIAMI (OH)at Ohio StateMEMPHISat Miami (FL)at Southern MethodistSOUTH FLORIDAat TulaneEAST CAROLINAat Connecticutat TempleHOUSTON
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/31 PURDUE W 42-7 W (-10½) T (49)9/7 at Illinois L 17-45 L (-7) O (56½)9/14 NORTHWESTERN ST W 66-9 W (-29½) O (55½)9/21 at Miami Ohio W 14-0 L (-24½) U (55)10/5 at S Florida L 20-26 L (-10½) U (47)10/11 TEMPLE W 38-20 L (-20) O (55)10/19 CONNECTICUT W 41-16 W (-14) O (46)10/30 at Memphis W 34-21 W (-2) O (44½)11/9 SMU W 28-25 L (-6½) U (67)11/16 at Rutgers W 52-17 W (-1) O (54)11/23 at Houston W 24-17 W (+1½) U (60)12/5 LOUISVILLE L 24-31 L (+3) O (48½)12/28 vs N Carolina L 17-39 L (+2½) U (60)
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
aMERican athlEtic>CONNECT ICUT
2011-13 gaME logS
8/299/69/139/199/2710/1110/2311/111/811/2211/2912/6
BRIGHAM YOUNGSTONY BROOKBOISE STATEat South FloridaTEMPLEat Tulaneat East CarolinaUCFvs. Army*CINCINNATIat MemphisSOUTHERN METHODIST
* at Yankee Stadium
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/29 TOWSON L 18-33 L (-16½) O (47½)9/14 MARYLAND L 21-32 L (+4½) O (47)9/21 MICHIGAN L 21-24 W (+18½) U (51)9/28 at Buffalo L 12-41 L (-2½) O (48½)10/12 S FLORIDA L 10-13 L (-3½) U (40½)10/19 at Cincinnati L 16-41 L (+14) O (46)10/26 at UCF L 17-62 L (+24) O (52½)11/8 LOUISVILLE L 10-31 W (+28) U (50½)11/16 at SMU L 21-38 L (+14½) O (55½)11/23 at Temple W 28-21 W (+6) U (52½)11/30 RUTGERS W 28-17 W (+2) U (47)12/7 MEMPHIS W 45-10 W (+1½) O (41½)
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/3 AUSTIN PEAY W 72-10 W (-41½) 9/10 at Tennessee L 23-45 L (+3½) O (56½)9/17 AKRON W 59-14 W (-34) O (57)9/22 NC STATE W 44-14 W (-7½) U (60½)10/1 at Miami Ohio W 27-0 W (-16) U (55)10/15 LOUISVILLE W 25-16 L (-13) U (49½)10/22 at S Florida W 37-34 W (+3) O (54)11/5 at Pittsburgh W 26-23 L (-3½) U (56½)11/12 W VIRGINIA L 21-24 L (-3) U (68)11/19 at Rutgers L 3-20 L (+1) U (46½)11/26 at Syracuse W 30-13 W (-1) U (50)12/3 CONNECTICUT W 35-27 W (-7½) O (47½)12/31 vs Vanderbilt W 31-24 W (+2) O (50½)
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/6 PITTSBURGH W 34-10 W (-4½) U (50½)9/15 DELAWARE ST W 23-7 L (-44½) 9/29 vs Virginia Tech W 27-24 W (+6) O (47)10/6 MIAMI OHIO W 52-14 W (-19½) O (58)10/13 FORDHAM W 49-17 L (-40) 10/20 at Toledo L 23-29 L (-5) U (64½)10/26 at Louisville L 31-34 P (+3) O (53)11/3 SYRACUSE W 35-24 W (-4½) O (56)11/10 at Temple W 34-10 W (-8) U (56)11/17 RUTGERS L 3-10 L (-6½) U (47½)11/23 S FLORIDA W 27-10 W (-14) U (50½)12/1 at Connecticut W 34-17 W (-3½) O (41)
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/3 FORDHAM W 35-3 L (-38) 9/10 at Vanderbilt L 21-24 L (+1½) U (46)9/16 IOWA ST L 20-24 L (-4) U (44½)9/24 at Buffalo W 17-3 W (-8½) U (46½)10/1 W MICHIGAN L 31-38 L (-3) O (46½)10/8 at W Virginia L 16-43 L (+19½) O (58)10/15 S FLORIDA W 16-10 W (+7½) U (47)10/26 at Pittsburgh L 20-35 L (+10) O (43)11/5 SYRACUSE W 28-21 W (-1½) O (43½)11/19 LOUISVILLE L 20-34 L (-2) O (42)11/26 RUTGERS W 40-22 W (+3½) O (40)12/3 at Cincinnati L 27-35 L (+7½) O (47½)
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/30 MASSACHUSETTS W 37-0 W (-21) U (47)9/8 NC STATE L 7-10 P (+3) U (48)9/15 at Maryland W 24-21 P (-3) O (39)9/22 at W Michigan L 24-30 L (+2) O (44)9/29 BUFFALO W 24-17 L (-16½) U (44)10/6 at Rutgers L 3-19 L (+7½) U (40)10/13 TEMPLE L 14-17 L (-5) U (41)10/19 at Syracuse L 10-40 L (+5) O (43½)11/3 at S Florida L 6-13 P (+7) U (46½)11/9 PITTSBURGH W 24-17 W (+3½) U (43½)11/24 at Louisville W 23-20 W (+10) U (46)12/1 CINCINNATI L 17-34 L (+3½) O (41)
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 8–5 5–7 5–7 3–9 21–28 42.9%
OVERALL ATS 8–5 4–8 3–6 5–7 20–26 43.5%
HOME ATS 6–0 3–4 2–3 4–3 15–10 60.0%
ROAD ATS 2–5 1–4 1–3 1–4 5–16 23.8%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 5–2 3–4 2–4 4–4 14–14 50.0%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 3–3 1–4 1–2 1–3 6–12 33.3%
AS FAVORITE ATS 4–2 2–4 1–2 0–3 7–11 38.9%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 4–3 2–4 2–4 5–4 13–15 46.4%
OVER-UNDER 5–7 7–4 4–8 7–5 23–24 48.9%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring -9.7 101
Yardage -66.0 98
Turnovers -1 T68
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 20.6 107
Yards/Game 318.6 114
Yds Per Play 4.62 116
Rush Yds/Gm 84.4 121
Pass Yds/Gm 234.2 65
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Allowed 30.3 86
Yards/Game 384.6 52
Yds Per Play 5.52 66
Rush Yds/Gm 135.4 23
Pass Yds/Gm 249.2 89
AAC
AAC
44 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2014
>HOUSTON
2011-13 gaME logS
8/299/69/119/2010/210/1110/1711/111/811/2211/2812/6
UTSAGRAMBLING STATEat Brigham YoungUNLVUCFat MemphisTEMPLEat South FloridaTULANETULSAat Southern Methodistat Cincinnati
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/30 SOUTHERN W 62-13 W (-40) O (60½)9/7 at Temple W 22-13 W (-2½) U (67½)9/21 vs Rice W 31-26 W (-3½) U (63)9/28 at Utsa W 59-28 W (+3) O (62½)10/12 MEMPHIS W 25-15 W (-8) U (53½)10/19 BYU L 46-47 W (+10) O (65)10/26 at Rutgers W 49-14 W (+6) O (59)10/31 S FLORIDA W 35-23 L (-18½) O (53)11/9 at UCF L 14-19 W (+13½) U (68)11/16 at Louisville L 13-20 W (+17) U (60½)11/23 CINCINNATI L 17-24 L (-1½) U (60)11/29 SMU W 34-0 W (-9) U (63)1/4 vs Vanderbilt L 24-41 L (+1½) O (53)
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/3 UCLA W 38-34 W (-1½) O (59½)9/10 at North Texas W 48-23 W (-20½) O (65)9/17 at Louisiana Tech W 35-34 L (-6) O (67)9/24 GEORGIA ST W 56-0 W (-40½) U (70)9/29 at UTEP W 49-42 L (-14½) O (64)10/8 E CAROLINA W 56-3 W (-12) U (74)10/22 MARSHALL W 63-28 W (-24) O (62)10/27 RICE W 73-34 W (-27) O (73½)11/5 at UAB W 56-13 W (-28) U (76)11/10 at Tulane W 73-17 W (-33½) O (77½)11/19 SMU W 37-7 W (-19½) U (75½)11/25 at Tulsa W 48-16 W (-2½) U (77)12/3 SOUTHERN MISS L 28-49 L (-12) O (73)1/2 vs Penn St W 30-14 W (-6½) U (56)
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/1 TEXAS ST L 13-30 L (-34½) U (59½)9/8 LOUISIANA TECH L 49-56 L (+3) O (58½)9/15 at UCLA L 6-37 L (+17½) U (75)9/29 vs Rice W 35-14 W (-9½) U (69)10/6 NORTH TEXAS W 44-21 W (-9½) O (58½)10/13 UAB W 39-17 W (-13) U (67)10/18 at SMU L 42-72 L (-3) O (57½)10/27 UTEP W 45-35 L (-14) O (62½)11/3 at E Carolina L 28-48 L (-3) O (68½)11/10 TULSA L 7-41 L (+3½) U (66½)11/17 at Marshall L 41-44 W (+3½) O (75)11/24 TULANE W 40-17 W (-12½) U (67)
>EAST CAROL INA
2011-2013 gaME logS
8/309/69/139/2010/410/1110/2311/111/1311/2211/2812/4
NC CENTRALat South Carolinaat Virginia TechNORTH CAROLINASOUTHERN METHODISTat South FloridaCONNECTICUTat Templeat CincinnatiTULANEat TulsaUCF
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/31 OLD DOMINION W 52-38 L (-15) O (75½)9/5 FLA ATLANTIC W 31-13 P (-18) U (57)9/14 VIRGINIA TECH L 10-15 W (+8½) U (45½)9/28 at N Carolina W 55-31 W (+12½) O (60½)10/5 at Middle Tenn st W 24-17 L (-8) U (62½)10/12 at Tulane L 33-36 L (-13½) O (53)10/19 SOUTHERN MISS W 55-14 W (-24) O (55)11/2 at FLA International W 34-13 L (-27) U (50½)11/9 TULSA W 58-24 W (-16) O (53½)11/16 UAB W 63-14 W (-28) O (67½)11/23 at NC State W 42-28 W (-4½) O (54½)11/29 at Marshall L 28-59 L (+3) O (68½)12/23 vs Ohio U W 37-20 W (-14) U (63½)
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/3 vs S Carolina L 37-56 W (+21) O (59½)9/10 VIRGINIA TECH L 10-17 W (+17) U (64)9/24 UAB W 28-23 L (-17) U (65)10/1 N CAROLINA L 20-35 L (+6½) U (62)10/8 at Houston L 3-56 L (+12) U (74)10/15 at Memphis W 35-17 W (-14) U (56½)10/22 at Navy W 38-35 W (+13) O (66½)10/29 TULANE W 34-13 W (-15½) U (59)11/5 SOUTHERN MISS L 28-48 L (+9½) O (59½)11/12 at UTEP L 17-22 W (+6) U (57½)11/19 UCF W 38-31 W (+7) O (51)11/26 at Marshall L 27-34 L (+1) O (55½)
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/1 APPALACHIAN ST W 35-13 W (-14) 9/8 at S Carolina L 10-48 L (+21) O (50)9/15 at Southern Miss W 24-14 W (+7) U (56½)9/22 at N Carolina L 6-27 L (+14½) U (63½)9/29 UTEP W 28-18 W (-4) U (48½)10/4 at UCF L 20-40 L (+12) O (45)10/13 MEMPHIS W 41-7 W (-17½) U (48½)10/20 at UAB W 42-35 W (-2) O (56)10/27 NAVY L 28-56 L (-3) O (47½)11/3 HOUSTON W 48-28 W (+3) O (68½)11/17 at Tulane W 28-23 L (-10) U (65)11/23 MARSHALL W 65-59 L (-6½) O (71)12/22 vs LA Lafayette L 34-43 L (+6½) O (70)
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
aMERican athlEtic
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 6–7 5–7 8–5 10–3 29–22 56.9%
OVERALL ATS 6–7 7–5 6–7 7–5 26–24 52.0%
HOME ATS 4–2 3–3 4–2 4–1 15–8 65.2%
ROAD ATS 2–5 4–2 2–5 3–4 11–16 40.7%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 5–3 4–4 5–3 3–4 17–14 54.8%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 1–4 3–1 1–4 4–1 9–10 47.4%
AS FAVORITE ATS 2–2 2–1 4–3 5–4 13–10 56.5%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 4–5 5–4 2–4 2–1 13–14 48.1%
OVER-UNDER 10–3 5–7 7–5 8–5 30–20 60.0%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring +15.4 14
Yardage +99.4 22
Turnovers +8 T21
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 40.2 T8
Yards/Game 468.2 25
Yds Per Play 5.92 44
Rush Yds/Gm 140.1 92
Pass Yds/Gm 328.1 11
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Allowed 24.8 49
Yards/Game 368.8 36
Yds Per Play 4.90 17
Rush Yds/Gm 116.7 13
Pass Yds/Gm 252.1 95
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
aMERican athlEtic
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 5–7 13–1 5–7 8–5 31–20 60.8%
OVERALL ATS 5–7 11–3 5–7 10–3 31–20 60.8%
HOME ATS 3–3 6–1 3–4 4–2 16–10 61.5%
ROAD ATS 2–4 5–2 2–3 6–1 15–10 60.0%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 4–4 7–2 4–4 6–2 21–12 63.6%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 1–3 4–1 1–3 4–1 10–8 55.6%
AS FAVORITE ATS 3–3 11–3 4–4 5–2 23–12 65.7%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 1–4 0–0 1–3 5–1 7–8 46.7%
OVER-UNDER 7–4 8–6 6–6 6–7 27–23 54.0%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring +11.4 31
Yardage +3.8 67
Turnovers +25 1
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 33.2 38
Yards/Game 419.5 55
Yds Per Play 5.72 59
Rush Yds/Gm 139.0 T93
Pass Yds/Gm 280.5 26
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 21.8 20
Yards/Game 415.8 80
Yds Per Play 5.23 34
Rush Yds/Gm 149.0 T44
Pass Yds/Gm 266.8 110
StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2014 45
College Top 25Big 12
Big TenConference U
SAM
ACM
ountain West
SECSun Belt
IndependentsPac-12
>MEMPHIS
2011-2013 gaME logS
8/309/69/209/2710/410/1110/2510/3111/711/1511/2211/29
AUSTIN PEAYat UCLAMIDDLE TENNESSEEat Ole Missat CincinnatiHOUSTONat Southern MethodistTULSAat Templeat TulaneSOUTH FLORIDACONNECTICUT
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/7 DUKE L 14-28 L (+3) U (52)9/14 at Middle Tenn st L 15-17 W (+8) U (50½)9/21 ARKANSAS ST W 31-7 W (+3) U (52½)10/5 UCF L 17-24 W (+10) U (48½)10/12 at Houston L 15-25 L (+8) U (53½)10/19 SMU L 29-34 L (-2½) O (48)10/30 CINCINNATI L 21-34 L (+2) O (44½)11/9 TENN-MARTIN W 21-6 W (-13½) U (47½)11/16 at S Florida W 23-10 W (-1½) U (39½)11/23 at Louisville L 17-24 W (+21½) U (43)11/30 TEMPLE L 21-41 L (-8) O (50)12/7 at Connecticut L 10-45 L (-1½) O (41½)
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/1 MISSISSIPPI ST L 14-59 L (+31) O (50½)9/10 at Arkansas St L 3-47 L (+18) U (55½)9/17 AUSTIN PEAY W 27-6 W (-17) U (60½)9/24 SMU L 0-42 L (+24) U (54)10/1 at Middle Tenn st L 31-38 W (+23) O (57)10/8 at Rice L 6-28 L (+20½) U (58½)10/15 E CAROLINA L 17-35 L (+14) U (56½)10/22 at Tulane W 33-17 W (+13) U (54½)10/29 at UCF L 0-41 L (+29½) U (48)11/12 UAB L 35-41 L (+5) O (53½)11/17 MARSHALL L 22-23 W (+13½) U (50½)11/26 at Southern Miss L 7-44 W (+37½) U (56)
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/1 TENN-MARTIN L 17-20 L (-9) 9/8 at Arkansas St L 28-33 W (+23½) O (60)9/15 MIDDLE TENN ST L 30-48 L (+5½) O (54½)9/22 at Duke L 14-38 L (+21½) U (61)10/6 RICE W 14-10 W (+5½) U (60)10/13 at E Carolina L 7-41 L (+17½) U (48½)10/20 UCF L 17-35 W (+24) O (50)10/27 at SMU L 13-44 L (+21) O (49)11/3 at Marshall L 28-38 W (+20) O (63½)11/10 TULANE W 37-23 W (-1) O (56)11/17 at UAB W 46-9 W (+9) U (56½)11/24 SOUTHERN MISS W 42-24 W (-3½) O (49½)
>SMU
2011-13 gaME logS
8/319/69/209/2710/410/1810/2511/811/1511/2211/2812/6
at Baylorat North TexasTEXAS A&MTCUat East CarolinaCINCINNATIMEMPHISat TulsaSOUTH FLORIDAat UCFHOUSTONat Connecticut
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/30 TEXAS TECH L 23-41 L (+4) O (59)9/7 MONTANA ST W 31-30 L (-10) O (51½)9/21 at Texas A&M L 13-42 L (+27½) U (81)9/28 at TCU L 17-48 L (+17) O (50½)10/5 RUTGERS L 52-55 P (+3) O (54½)10/19 at Memphis W 34-29 W (+2½) O (48)10/26 TEMPLE W 59-49 L (-14) O (59)11/9 at Cincinnati L 25-28 W (+6½) U (67)11/16 CONNECTICUT W 38-21 W (-14½) O (55½)11/23 at S Florida W 16-6 W (-6½) U (55½)11/29 at Houston L 0-34 L (+9) U (63)12/7 UCF L 13-17 W (+14) U (56½)
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/4 at Texas A&M L 14-46 L (+14½) O (55)9/10 UTEP W 28-17 L (-20) U (53½)9/17 NORTHWESTERN ST W 40-7 W (-29½) P (47)9/24 at Memphis W 42-0 W (-24) U (54)10/1 at TCU W 40-33 W (+13) O (53)10/15 UCF W 38-17 W (-3½) O (46½)10/22 at Southern Miss L 3-27 L (+3) U (60½)10/29 at Tulsa L 7-38 L (+1½) U (58)11/5 TULANE W 45-24 L (-27) O (54)11/12 NAVY L 17-24 L (-8½) U (58½)11/19 at Houston L 7-37 L (+19½) U (75½)11/26 RICE W 27-24 L (-13) U (54)1/7 vs Pittsburgh W 28-6 W (+4) U (47½)
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/2 at Baylor L 24-59 L (+6½) O (57)9/8 SF AUSTIN W 52-0 W (-17) 9/15 TEXAS A&M L 3-48 L (+10) U (60½)9/29 TCU L 16-24 W (+13½) U (51½)10/6 at UTEP W 17-0 W (+1) U (52)10/13 at Tulane L 26-27 L (-19) O (49)10/18 HOUSTON W 72-42 W (+3) O (57½)10/27 MEMPHIS W 44-13 W (-21) O (49)11/3 at UCF L 17-42 L (+9) O (50)11/10 SOUTHERN MISS W 34-6 W (-15) U (50½)11/17 at Rice L 14-36 L (-3½) U (55½)11/24 TULSA W 35-27 W (+6) O (50)12/24 vs Fresno St W 43-10 W (+13½) U (62½)
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
aMERican athlEtic
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 1–11 2–10 4–8 3–9 10–38 20.8%
OVERALL ATS 5–7 5–7 7–5 6–6 23–25 47.9%
HOME ATS 2–4 2–4 4–2 3–4 11–14 44.0%
ROAD ATS 3–3 3–3 3–3 3–2 12–11 52.2%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 4–4 3–5 6–2 3–5 16–16 50.0%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 1–3 2–2 1–3 3–1 7–9 43.8%
AS FAVORITE ATS 0–0 1–0 2–1 2–3 5–4 55.6%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 5–7 4–7 5–4 4–3 18–21 46.2%
OVER-UNDER 6–6 3–9 7–4 4–8 20–27 42.6%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring -5.1 86
Yardage -59.2 94
Turnovers -8 T109
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 19.5 111
Yards/Game 311.5 118
Yds Per Play 4.68 114
Rush Yds/Gm 138.3 96
Pass Yds/Gm 173.2 107
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 24.6 T44
Yards/Game 370.7 39
Yds Per Play 5.19 32
Rush Yds/Gm 116.3 12
Pass Yds/Gm 254.3 99
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
aMERican athlEtic
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 7–7 8–5 7–6 5–7 27–25 51.9%
OVERALL ATS 6–8 5–8 8–5 5–6 24–27 47.1%
HOME ATS 3–4 2–4 6–1 2–3 13–12 52.0%
ROAD ATS 3–4 3–4 2–4 3–3 11–15 42.3%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 4–5 2–6 5–3 5–2 16–16 50.0%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 2–3 3–2 2–2 0–4 7–11 38.9%
AS FAVORITE ATS 4–6 3–4 3–2 2–2 12–14 46.2%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 2–2 2–4 5–3 3–4 12–13 48.0%
OVER-UNDER 6–8 4–8 6–6 7–5 23–27 46.0%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring -6.6 93
Yardage +22.6 57
Turnovers -7 T102
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 26.8 76
Yards/Game 435.2 41
Yds Per Play 5.53 71
Rush Yds/Gm 93.8 119
Pass Yds/Gm 341.4 8
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 33.3 T100
Yards/Game 412.6 73
Yds Per Play 5.58 70
Rush Yds/Gm 140.8 31
Pass Yds/Gm 271.8 115
ACCA
ACA
AC
46 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2014
>TEMPLE
2011-13 gaME logS
8/289/69/209/2710/1110/1710/2511/111/711/1511/2912/6
at VanderbiltNAVYDELAWARE STATEat ConnecticutTULSAat Houstonat UCFEAST CAROLINAMEMPHISat Penn StateCINCINNATIat Tulane
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/31 at Notre Dame L 6-28 W (+28) U (53)9/7 HOUSTON L 13-22 L (+2½) U (67½)9/14 FORDHAM L 29-30 L (-20½) O (53½)9/28 at Idaho L 24-26 L (-7½) U (57½)10/5 LOUISVILLE L 7-30 W (+33) U (58)10/11 at Cincinnati L 20-38 W (+20) O (55)10/19 ARMY W 33-14 W (+1) U (60)10/26 at SMU L 49-59 W (+14) O (59)11/2 at Rutgers L 20-23 W (+11½) U (57½)11/16 UCF L 36-39 W (+17½) O (60)11/23 CONNECTICUT L 21-28 L (-6) U (52½)11/30 at Memphis W 41-21 W (+8) O (50)
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/1 VILLANOVA W 42-7 W (-6½) 9/10 at Akron W 41-3 W (-16½) U (48½)9/17 PENN ST L 10-14 W (+7) U (46)9/24 at Maryland W 38-7 W (+9½) U (52)10/1 TOLEDO L 13-36 L (-8½) U (54)10/8 at Ball St W 42-0 W (-9) U (50)10/15 BUFFALO W 34-0 W (-22) U (47)10/22 at Bowling Green L 10-13 L (-12½) U (48½)11/2 at Ohio U L 31-35 L (-4½) O (46)11/9 MIAMI OHIO W 24-21 L (-13½) O (44½)11/19 ARMY W 42-14 W (-11) O (47)11/25 KENT ST W 34-16 W (-16½) O (40)12/17 vs Wyoming W 37-15 W (-7) O (51)
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL
8/31 VILLANOVA W 41-10 W (-17½) 9/8 MARYLAND L 27-36 L (-7½) O (43½)9/22 at Penn St L 13-24 L (+6) U (43)10/6 S FLORIDA W 37-28 W (+4½) O (47)10/13 at Connecticut W 17-14 W (+5) U (41)10/20 RUTGERS L 10-35 L (+3½) O (44½)10/27 at Pittsburgh L 17-47 L (+6½) O (47½)11/3 at Louisville L 17-45 L (+16) O (53)11/10 CINCINNATI L 10-34 L (+8) U (56)11/17 at Army W 63-32 W (+3½) O (57½)11/23 SYRACUSE L 20-38 L (+7) P (58)
>TULANE
2011-13 gaME logS
8/289/69/139/209/2710/1110/1810/3111/811/1511/2212/6
at TulsaGEORGIA TECHS. EASTERN LOUISIANAat Dukeat RutgersCONNECTICUTat UCFCINCINNATIat HoustonMEMPHISat East CarolinaTEMPLE
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/29 JACKSON ST W 34-7 W (-25½) U (58½)9/7 S ALABAMA L 39-41 L (-4½) O (48)9/12 at Louisiana Tech W 24-15 W (+7) U (59)9/21 at Syracuse L 17-52 L (+17½) O (52½)9/28 at LA Monroe W 31-14 W (+12) U (54½)10/5 NORTH TEXAS W 24-21 W (+3) U (53½)10/12 E CAROLINA W 36-33 W (+13½) O (53)10/26 TULSA W 14-7 W (+3) U (49½)11/2 at FLA Atlantic L 17-34 L (+3) O (48)11/9 at Utsa L 7-10 W (+8½) U (50½)11/23 UTEP W 45-3 W (-16) O (47½)11/30 at Rice L 13-17 W (+9½) U (49)12/21 at LA Lafayette L 21-24 L (pk) U (50½)
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/3 SE LOUISIANA W 47-33 L (-18½) 9/10 TULSA L 3-31 L (+13) U (64)9/17 at UAB W 49-10 W (+12) O (54)9/24 at Duke L 27-48 L (+9½) O (57)10/1 at Army L 6-45 L (+7) U (53½)10/8 SYRACUSE L 34-37 W (+9½) O (50)10/15 UTEP L 7-44 L (-1) U (57)10/22 MEMPHIS L 17-33 L (-13) U (54½)10/29 at E Carolina L 13-34 L (+15½) U (59)11/5 at SMU L 24-45 W (+27) O (54)11/10 HOUSTON L 17-73 L (+33½) O (77½)11/19 at Rice L 7-19 W (+14½) U (59)11/26 at Hawaii L 23-35 W (+19) O (55½)
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/1 RUTGERS L 12-24 W (+19½) U (48½)9/8 at Tulsa L 10-45 L (+22) U (57)9/22 OLE MISS L 0-39 L (+17) U (53)9/29 LA MONROE L 10-63 L (+20) O (52)10/6 at LA Lafayette L 13-41 W (+31) P (54)10/13 SMU W 27-26 W (+19) O (49)10/20 at UTEP L 20-24 W (+15) U (55)10/27 UAB W 55-45 W (+5½) O (59)11/3 RICE L 47-49 W (+6½) O (63½)11/10 at Memphis L 23-37 L (+1) O (56)11/17 E CAROLINA L 23-28 W (+10) U (65)11/24 at Houston L 17-40 L (+12½) U (67)
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
aMERican athlEtic
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 8–4 9–4 4–7 2–10 23–25 47.9%
OVERALL ATS 7–5 9–4 4–7 8–4 28–20 58.3%
HOME ATS 3–3 5–2 2–4 3–3 13–12 52.0%
ROAD ATS 4–2 4–2 2–3 5–1 15–8 65.2%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 3–5 4–4 2–5 6–2 15–16 48.4%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 4–0 5–0 2–2 2–2 13–4 76.5%
AS FAVORITE ATS 4–4 7–4 1–1 0–3 12–12 50.0%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 2–1 2–0 3–6 8–1 15–8 65.2%
OVER-UNDER 4–8 5–7 6–3 5–7 20–25 44.4%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring -4.9 85
Yardage -74.6 102
Turnovers -6 T97
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 24.9 89
Yards/Game 399.0 75
Yds Per Play 5.70 62
Rush Yds/Gm 149.3 82
Pass Yds/Gm 249.7 47
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 29.8 83
Yards/Game 473.6 110
Yds Per Play 6.40 110
Rush Yds/Gm 175.0 77
Pass Yds/Gm 298.6 121
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
aMERican athlEtic
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 4–8 2–11 2–10 7–6 15–35 30.0%
OVERALL ATS 4–8 5–8 7–5 9–4 25–25 50.0%
HOME ATS 2–5 1–5 5–2 5–1 13–13 50.0%
ROAD ATS 2–3 4–3 2–3 4–3 12–12 50.0%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 2–6 3–5 5–3 7–1 17–15 53.1%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 2–2 2–3 2–2 2–3 8–10 44.4%
AS FAVORITE ATS 1–2 0–3 0–0 2–1 3–6 33.3%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 3–6 5–5 7–5 7–3 22–19 53.7%
OVER-UNDER 8–3 6–6 5–6 5–8 24–23 51.1%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring +3.4 61
Yardage -40.3 86
Turnovers +11 T15
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 24.8 91
Yards/Game 311.8 117
Yds Per Play 4.66 115
Rush Yds/Gm 126.8 102
Pass Yds/Gm 184.9 103
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 21.4 18
Yards/Game 352.1 22
Yds Per Play 4.92 19
Rush Yds/Gm 123.7 17
Pass Yds/Gm 228.4 62
StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2014 47
College Top 25Big 12
Big TenConference U
SAM
ACM
ountain West
SECSun Belt
IndependentsPac-12
>UCF
2011-13 gaME logS
8/309/139/2010/210/910/1810/2511/111/1411/2211/2812/4
vs. Penn State*at MissouriBETHUNE-COOKMANat HoustonBRIGHAM YOUNGTULANETEMPLEat ConnecticutTULSASOUTHERN METHODISTat South Floridaat East Carolina
* at Dublin, Ireland
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/29 AKRON W 38-7 W (-23½) U (56)9/6 at FLA International W 38-0 W (-24) U (53)9/14 at Penn St W 34-31 W (+4½) O (50)9/28 S CAROLINA L 25-28 W (+7) U (53½)10/5 at Memphis W 24-17 L (-10) U (48½)10/18 at Louisville W 38-35 W (+14½) O (55½)10/26 CONNECTICUT W 62-17 W (-24) O (52½)11/9 HOUSTON W 19-14 L (-13½) U (68)11/16 at Temple W 39-36 L (-17½) O (60)11/21 RUTGERS W 41-17 W (-20) U (59)11/29 S FLORIDA W 23-20 L (-27½) U (51)12/7 at SMU W 17-13 L (-14) U (56½)1/1 vs Baylor W 52-42 W (+17) O (74½)
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/3 CHARLESTON SO W 62-0 W (-41) 9/10 BOSTON COLLEGE W 30-3 W (-7½) U (44½)9/17 at FLA International L 10-17 L (-6½) U (50)9/23 at BYU L 17-24 L (+1½) U (44)10/8 MARSHALL W 16-6 L (-20) U (42)10/15 at SMU L 17-38 L (+3½) O (46½)10/20 at UAB L 24-26 L (-17) O (45)10/29 MEMPHIS W 41-0 W (-29½) U (48)11/3 TULSA L 17-24 L (-2) U (49½)11/12 at Southern Miss L 29-30 W (+10) O (52)11/19 at E Carolina L 31-38 L (-7) O (51)11/25 UTEP W 31-14 W (-10½) U (53)
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/30 at Akron W 56-14 W (-24½) O (48½)9/8 at Ohio St L 16-31 W (+16) U (50)9/15 Fla. Internatnl W 33-20 L (-14½) O (49½)9/29 MISSOURI L 16-21 L (-2) U (48½)10/4 E CAROLINA W 40-20 W (-12) O (45)10/13 SOUTHERN MISS W 38-31 L (-16½) O (52)10/20 at Memphis W 35-17 L (-24) O (50)10/27 at Marshall W 54-17 W (-2) O (66½)11/3 SMU W 42-17 W (-9) O (50)11/10 at UTEP W 31-24 L (-13½) O (51)11/17 at Tulsa L 21-23 L (+1) U (54½)11/24 UAB W 49-24 W (-21½) O (58)12/1 at Tulsa L 27-33 L (+3) O (52)12/21 vs Ball St W 38-17 W (-7) U (60)
>TULSA
2011-13 gaME logS
8/289/69/139/2710/410/1110/1810/3111/811/1411/2211/28
TULANEOKLAHOMAat Florida AtlanticTEXAS STATEat Colorado Stateat TempleSOUTH FLORIDAat MemphisSOUTHERN METHODISTat UCFat HoustonEAST CAROLINA
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/29 at Bowling Green L 7-34 L (+2½) U (50)9/7 COLORADO ST W 30-27 L (-14) O (54½)9/14 at Oklahoma L 20-51 L (+23) O (51)9/26 IOWA ST L 21-38 L (-3) O (53)10/5 RICE L 27-30 L (-3) O (55)10/12 at UTEP W 34-20 W (-10) U (65½)10/26 at Tulane L 7-14 L (-3) U (49½)11/2 UTSA L 15-34 L (-3½) U (53½)11/9 at E Carolina L 24-58 L (+16) O (53½)11/14 MARSHALL L 34-45 W (+13½) O (62½)11/23 at Louisiana Tech W 24-14 W (-2½) U (53½)11/30 NORTH TEXAS L 10-42 L (+5) O (49)
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/3 at Oklahoma L 14-47 L (+24) U (62½)9/10 at Tulane W 31-3 W (-13) U (64)9/17 OKLAHOMA ST L 33-59 L (+13½) O (67)9/24 at Boise St L 21-41 W (+28) U (63)10/1 NORTH TEXAS W 41-24 L (-23) O (59)10/15 UAB W 37-20 L (-21) U (58½)10/22 at Rice W 38-20 W (-10) U (60)10/29 SMU W 38-7 W (-1½) U (58)11/3 at UCF W 24-17 W (+2) U (49½)11/12 MARSHALL W 59-17 W (-19) O (52)11/19 at UTEP W 57-28 W (-13) O (56½)11/25 HOUSTON L 16-48 L (+2½) U (77)12/30 vs BYU L 21-24 L (-2½) U (59½)
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/1 at Iowa St L 23-38 L (-1½) O (50½)9/8 TULANE W 45-10 W (-22) U (57)9/15 NICHOLLS ST W 66-16 W (-41) 9/22 FRESNO ST W 27-26 L (-5½) U (66½)9/29 at UAB W 49-42 L (-13½) O (58)10/6 at Marshall W 45-38 W (-3) O (68)10/11 UTEP W 33-11 W (-17) U (58)10/20 RICE W 28-24 L (-19) U (60)11/3 at Arkansas L 15-19 W (+9) U (63)11/10 at Houston W 41-7 W (-3½) U (66½)11/17 UCF W 23-21 W (-1) U (54½)11/24 at SMU L 27-35 L (-6) O (50)12/1 UCF W 33-27 W (-3) O (52)12/31 vs Iowa St W 31-17 W (-2) U (50½)
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
aMERican athlEtic
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 10–3 8–5 11–3 3–9 32–20 61.5%
OVERALL ATS 9–4 7–6 9–5 3–9 28–24 53.8%
HOME ATS 4–2 2–4 5–2 1–5 12–13 48.0%
ROAD ATS 5–2 5–2 4–3 2–4 16–11 59.3%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 6–2 6–2 6–3 3–5 21–12 63.6%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 3–2 1–4 3–2 0–4 7–12 36.8%
AS FAVORITE ATS 5–3 5–3 8–5 2–5 20–16 55.6%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 4–1 2–3 1–0 1–4 8–8 50.0%
OVER-UNDER 6–6 4–9 5–8 7–5 22–28 44.0%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring -12.8 T107
Yardage -73.4 101
Turnovers -10 T114
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 21.1 103
Yards/Game 356.2 101
Yds Per Play 4.69 113
Rush Yds/Gm 164.8 70
Pass Yds/Gm 191.4 101
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 33.9 102
Yards/Game 429.6 94
Yds Per Play 5.52 65
Rush Yds/Gm 198.9 96
Pass Yds/Gm 230.7 65
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
aMERican athlEtic
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 11–3 5–7 10–4 12–1 38–15 71.7%
OVERALL ATS 11–3 5–7 7–7 8–5 31–22 58.5%
HOME ATS 5–2 4–2 3–3 4–2 16–9 64.0%
ROAD ATS 6–1 1–5 4–4 4–3 15–13 53.6%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 7–2 3–5 4–5 3–5 17–17 50.0%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 4–1 2–2 3–2 5–0 14–5 73.7%
AS FAVORITE ATS 8–3 4–5 6–5 4–5 22–18 55.0%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 2–0 1–2 1–2 4–0 8–4 66.7%
OVER-UNDER 6–7 4–7 10–4 5–8 25–26 49.0%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring +13.3 24
Yardage +79.5 28
Turnovers +5 T31
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 34.6 30
Yards/Game 441.5 40
Yds Per Play 6.56 16
Rush Yds/Gm 159.9 75
Pass Yds/Gm 281.6 25
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 21.3 17
Yards/Game 362.0 29
Yds Per Play 5.35 49
Rush Yds/Gm 122.5 16
Pass Yds/Gm 239.5 77
ACCA
ACA
AC
48 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2014
>SOUTH FLORIDA
2011-13 gaME logS
8/309/69/139/199/2710/1110/1810/2411/111/1511/2211/28
WESTERN CAROLINAMARYLANDNORTH CAROLINA STATECONNECTICUTat WisconsinEAST CAROLINAat Tulsaat CincinnatiHOUSTONat Southern Methodistat MemphisUCF
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/31 MCNEESE ST L 21-53 L (-20½) O (48½)9/7 at Michigan St L 6-21 W (+21) U (41½)9/14 FLA ATLANTIC L 10-28 L (-12) U (45)9/28 MIAMI L 21-49 L (+17½) O (48½)10/5 CINCINNATI W 26-20 W (+10½) U (47)10/12 at Connecticut W 13-10 W (+3½) U (40½)10/26 LOUISVILLE L 3-34 L (+19) U (45½)10/31 at Houston L 23-35 W (+18½) O (53)11/16 MEMPHIS L 10-23 L (+1½) U (39½)11/23 SMU L 6-16 L (+6½) U (55½)11/29 at UCF L 20-23 W (+27½) U (51)12/7 at Rutgers L 6-31 L (+4) U (44)
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/3 at Notre Dame W 23-20 W (+10½) U (46)9/10 BALL ST W 37-7 W (-20½) U (50½)9/17 FLORIDA AM W 70-17 W (-41½) O (47½)9/24 UTEP W 52-24 L (-30) O (50)9/29 at Pittsburgh L 17-44 L (-2½) O (51)10/15 at Connecticut L 10-16 L (-7½) U (47)10/22 CINCINNATI L 34-37 L (-3) O (54)11/5 at Rutgers L 17-20 L (-2) U (49)11/11 at Syracuse W 37-17 W (-3) O (53½)11/19 MIAMI L 3-6 L (0) U (52½)11/25 LOUISVILLE L 24-34 L (-5½) O (44½)12/1 W VIRGINIA L 27-30 L (+1) U (57½)
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/1 CHATTANOOGA W 34-13 L (-29½) 9/8 at Nevada W 32-31 W (0) O (58)9/13 RUTGERS L 13-23 L (-7½) U (44½)9/22 at Ball St L 27-31 L (-8) O (57½)9/29 FLORIDA ST L 17-30 W (+17) U (53)10/6 at Temple L 28-37 L (-4½) O (47)10/20 at Louisville L 25-27 W (+6) U (56)10/27 SYRACUSE L 36-37 L (-3) O (53½)11/3 CONNECTICUT W 13-6 P (-7) U (46½)11/17 at Miami L 9-40 L (+6½) U (57)11/23 at Cincinnati L 10-27 L (+14) U (50½)12/1 PITTSBURGH L 3-27 L (+7) U (47)
BOSTON COLLEGEOffense: Starters returning - 4Defense: Starters returning - 6The Eagles are trying to find replacements for their three best offensive players from last year’s bowl season -- RB Andre Williams, WR Alex Amidon and QB Chase Rettig. BC brought in Florida transfer QB Tyler Murphy (6.6 YPA, 6 TD, 5 INT) to run an offense that will have to be propelled by sopho-more RB Myles Willis (5.8 YPC) and a committee of rushers, as no return-ing wideout caught even 15 passes last year. The Eagles are in much better shape on defense, especially with the entire secondary intact led by DB Dominique Williams (65 tackles). LB Steven Daniels (88 tackles) is a versa-tile backer, and OLB Josh Keyes (3.5 sacks) will help a pass rush that needs talented DEs Malachi Moore and Mehdi Abdesmad (2 sacks) to step up.
CLEMSONOffense: Starters returning - 5Defense: Starters returning - 7There will be many fresh faces for Clemson’s offense that posted more than 40 points and 500 yards per game last year. Filling the huge void of departed QB Tajh Boyd and WRs Sammy Watkins and Martavis Bryant will be heady 6-foot-5 QB Cole Stoudt (72% completions, 8 TD, 1 INT career), and a highly-skilled wideouts WRs Mike Williams (20 rec, 3 TD) and Adam Humphries (483 rec yds). Top RB Rod McDowell and his 1,025 rushing yards are gone, leaving the ground game to RBs Zac Brooks (5.1 YPC), D.J. Howard (3.7 YPC) and freshman Wayne Gallman. The defensive front seven will once again look to DE Vic Beasley (13 sacks, 23 TFL) and LB Stephone Anthony (86 tackles, 4.5 sacks), while the secondary is solid, but unspectacular.
>
ACCatlantic - oddS to Win
ACC ATLANTIC
1. Florida State 21/20 1/2 2. Louisville 8/1 9/2 3. Clemson 10/1 6/1 4. Boston College 50/1 30/1 5. N.C. State 60/1 35/1 6. Syracuse 60/1 35/1 7. Wake Forest 175/1 100/1
coaStal - oddS to Win ACC COASTAL
1. Miami-Florida 2/1 4/5 2. North Carolina 5/1 2/1 3. Virginia Tech 8/1 7/2 4. Duke 12/1 5/1 5. Georgia Tech 15/1 7/1 6. Pittsburgh 50/1 20/1 7. Virginia 50/1 20/1
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
aMERican athlEtic
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 8–5 5–7 3–9 2–10 18–31 36.7%
OVERALL ATS 6–7 4–8 3–8 5–7 18–30 37.5%
HOME ATS 2–5 2–5 1–4 1–6 6–20 23.1%
ROAD ATS 4–2 2–3 2–4 4–1 12–10 54.5%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 2–5 1–6 1–5 4–4 8–20 28.6%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 4–2 3–2 2–3 1–3 10–10 50.0%
AS FAVORITE ATS 1–4 3–6 0–5 0–2 4–17 19.0%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 4–3 1–2 3–3 5–5 13–13 50.0%
OVER-UNDER 4–8 6–6 4–7 3–9 17–30 36.2%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring -14.8 110
Yardage -95.3 110
Turnovers -4 T85
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 13.8 122
Yards/Game 255.5 123
Yds Per Play 4.28 123
Rush Yds/Gm 88.7 120
Pass Yds/Gm 166.8 110
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 28.6 T74
Yards/Game 350.8 21
Yds Per Play 5.42 57
Rush Yds/Gm 139.8 28
Pass Yds/Gm 211.0 26
DUKEOffense: Starters returning - 8; Defense: Starters returning - 6Erratic QB Anthony Boone (7.0 YPA, 13 TD, 13 INT) will try to lead Duke back to a bowl by continually feeding superstar WR Jamison Crowder (1,360 rec yds, 8 TD). The Blue Devils will continue to run often with RBs Josh Snead (651 rush yds) and Shaquille Powell (5.5 YPC). Duke gave up gobs of yards (418 YPG), but had 18 INT. The secondary will be a strength led by S Jeremy Cash (121 tackles, 4 INT) The LBs are decent, but the D-Line will struggle.
FLORIDA STATEOffense: Starters returning - 7; Defense: Starters returning - 6The defending champs scored 51.6 PPG and have an all-senior offensive line to protect Heisman QB Jameis Winston (10.6 YPA, 40 TD, 10 INT). RB Karlos Williams (8.0 YPC, 11 TD), WR Rashad Greene (1,128 rec yds, 9 TD) and TE Nick O’Leary (7 rec TD) are the star skill-position players. The defense lost some superstars, but is filled with playmakers like DE Mario Edwards (3.5 sacks), LB Terrance Smith (59 tackles) and DB Jalen Ramsey (49 tackles).
GEORGIA TECHOffense: Starters returning - 6; Defense: Starters returning - 5Tech’s offense has plenty of questions with speedy QB Justin Thomas (7.1 YPC) who struggles with option reads. Three starting O-Linemen are gone, and the only two reliable skill-position players are WR DeAndre Smelter (4 rec TD) and RB Zach Laskey (485 rush yds, 7 TD). The defense doesn’t return much, but NT Adam Gotsis (14.5 TFL) and LB Quayshawn Nealy (66 tackles) come back, as do injured DBs Isaiah Johnson and Jamal Golden.
LOUISVILLEOffense: Starters returning - 8; Defense: Starters returning - 4New Head Coach: Bobby PetrinoNew QB Will Gardner (32-of-37, 542 yds, 4 TD in spring game) will try to operate new head coach Bobby Petrino’s complex offense. WR DeVante Parker (885 rec yds, 12 TD) is a star and RB Michael Dyer (5.1 YPC) had a huge spring. The defense lost a ton, but DE Lorenzo Mauldin (9.5 sacks), LB James Burgess (72 tackles) and CB Terrell Floyd (4 INT) can really play.
MIAMI-FLORIDAOffense: Starters returning - 6; Defense: Starters returning - 7Miami needs to replace QB Stephen Morris, and the front-runner is Kansas transfer QB Jake Heaps (5.4 YPA, 8 TD, 10 INT). The offense revolves around emerging WR Stacy Coley (591 rec yds, 7 TD) and star RB Duke Johnson (920 rush yds, 6.3 YPC), whose broken ankle has healed. DE Anthony Chickillo (3.5 sacks) and CB Tracy Howard (4 INT) are future NFL players. Defensive team leader LB Denzel Perryman (108 tackles) will move to OLB this year.
NORTH CAROLINAOffense: Starters returning - 8; Defense: Starters returning - 7UNC puts up points in Larry Fedora’s frenetic-paced offense guided by much-improved QB Marquise Williams (7.8 YPA, 15 TD, 6 INT). RB T.J. Logan (5.7 YPC) heads a stellar group of backs while WR Quinshad Davis (730 rec yds, 10 TD) and Bug Howard (4 rec TD) provide reliable targets. The secondary shines brightest in this aggressive defensive unit. DE Norkeithus Otis (7.5 sacks) and LB Darius Lipford (6 TFL) pace an underwhelming front seven.
NORTH CAROLINA STATEOffense: Starters returning - 7; Defense: Starters returning - 8Florida transfer QB Jacoby Brissett (6.1 YPA, 3 TD, 4 INT career) is tasked with turning around a program that was 0-8 in ACC play. RB Shadrach Thornton (768 rush yds) and WR Bryan Underwood (382 rec yds) are both solid, and freshman WR Bo Hines shined this spring. NC State will play a base nick-el defense to combat all the spread offenses on the schedule. CB Juston Burris (6 PD) headlines a strong secondary, but the front seven needs work.
PITTSBURGHOffense: Starters returning - 8; Defense: Starters returning - 6Dual-threat QB Chad Voytik (11 career FBS passes) brings some excitement to an offense that struggled to score last year. Star WR Tyler Boyd (1,174 rec yds, 7 TD) will need help to keep double-teams away. RB James Conner (799 rush yds, 8 TD) ran for 229 yards in last year’s bowl win. The Panthers must force more turnovers, but the D-Line will miss DT Aaron Donald. LB Todd Thomas (72 tackles) and CB Lafayette Pitts (4 PD) are the top returnees.
SYRACUSEOffense: Starters returning - 8; Defense: Starters returning - 7The Orange will play more up-tempo with QB Terrel Hunt (500 rush yds, 6.0 YPA, 17 total TD) and an O-Line returning four starters. The RB position is deep, but WR Ashton Broyld (452 rec yds) is the lone proven wideout. FS Durell Eskridge (78 tackles, 4 INT) stands out in a defense strong on the out-side with DEs Robert Welsh (4 sacks) and Micah Robinson (5.5 TFL), as well as OLBs Cam Lynch (69 tackles, 4 sacks) and Dyshawn Davis (48 tackles).
VIRGINIAOffense: Starters returning - 6; Defense: Starters returning - 9After a 2-10 season, it appears QB Greyson Lambert (4.5 YPA) will replace QB David Watford (5.2 YPA, 8 TD, 15 INT). But this offense revolves around RB Kevin Parks (1,360 total yds, 12 TD) who will miss OLs Morgan Moses and Luke Bowanko. WR Darius Jennings (340 rec yds) leads a young receiving corps. Virginia’s injury-riddled defense is now healthy and still has stand-outs CB Anthony Harris (FBS-high 8 INT) and LB Henry Coley (90 tackles).
VIRGINIA TECHOffense: Starters returning - 7; Defense: Starters returning - 5Texas Tech transfer QB Michael Brewer (7.6 YPA, 5 TD, 0 INT career) will like-ly replace Logan Thomas and has strong weapons in WRs Willie Byrn (660 rec yds), Demitri Knowles (641 rec yds) and Joshua Stanford (640 rec yds). RB Trey Edmunds (675 rush yds, 10 TD) tries to jump-start a weak ground game. The defense is inexperienced, but very fast. CBs Kendall Fuller (6 INT) and Brandon Facyson (5 INT), and DE Dadi Nicolas (4 sacks) can all play.
WAKE FORESTOffense: Starters returning - 5; Defense: Starters returning - 5New Head Coach: Dave ClawsonThe offense is a mess for new coach Dave Clawson who has four candidates to replace QB Tanner Price. The RB corps is inexperienced and WR Tyree Harris (183 rec yds) is the team’s top wideout. Senior CBs Kevin Johnson and Merrill Noel (3 INT each) are an excellent duo, and LB Brandon Chubb (87 tackles) mans the middle well enough for his OLBs to blitz often.
StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2014 49
Big 12College Top 25
Big TenConference U
SAM
ACM
ountain West
SECSun Belt
IndependentsPac-12
AAC
ACC
50 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2014
>BOSTON COLLEGE
2011-13 gaME logS
8/309/59/139/209/2710/1110/1810/2511/111/811/2211/29
at MassachusettsPITTSBURGHUSCMAINECOLORADO STATEat North Carolina StateCLEMSONat Wake Forestat Virginia TechLOUISVILLEat Florida StateSYRACUSE
>
CLEMSON
2011-13 gaME logS
8/309/69/209/2710/410/1110/1810/2511/611/1511/2211/29
at GeorgiaSOUTH CAROLINA STATEat Florida StateNORTH CAROLINANORTH CAROLINA STATELOUISVILLEat Boston CollegeSYRACUSEat Wake Forestat Georgia TechGEORGIA STATESOUTH CAROLINA
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/31 VILLANOVA W 24-14 L (-15) U (47½)9/6 WAKE FOREST W 24-10 W (-2½) U (47½)9/14 at USC L 7-35 L (+16) O (41½)9/28 FLORIDA ST L 34-48 W (+24) O (55)10/5 ARMY W 48-27 W (-12½) O (50½)10/12 at Clemson L 14-24 W (+24) U (64½)10/26 at N Carolina L 10-34 L (+5½) U (59)11/2 VIRGINIA TECH W 34-27 W (+3½) O (40½)11/9 at New Mexico st W 48-34 L (-25) O (61½)11/16 NC STATE W 38-21 W (-7) O (52)11/23 at Maryland W 29-26 W (+2) O (52½)11/30 at Syracuse L 31-34 L (-2½) O (51½)
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/31 GEORGIA W 38-35 W (+1½) O (72)9/7 S CAROLINA ST W 52-13 L (-51½) O (62½)9/19 at NC State W 26-14 P (-12) U (65½)9/28 WAKE FOREST W 56-7 W (-28½) O (58½)10/5 at Syracuse W 49-14 W (-12½) U (65½)10/12 BOSTON COLLEGE W 24-14 L (-24) U (64½)10/19 FLORIDA ST L 14-51 L (+4½) O (63½)10/26 at Maryland W 40-27 L (-16½) O (58½)11/2 at Virginia W 59-10 W (-17½) O (55)11/14 GEORGIA TECH W 55-31 W (-10½) O (61½)11/23 THE CITADEL W 52-6 W (-40½) U (70)11/30 at S Carolina L 17-31 L (+2) U (63)1/3 vs Ohio St W 40-35 W (+2½) O (71½)
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/3 NORTHWESTERN L 17-24 L (-5) U (44½)9/10 at UCF L 3-30 L (+7½) U (44½)9/17 DUKE L 19-20 L (-7) U (50)9/24 MASSACHUSETTS W 45-17 W (-12½) O (45½)10/1 WAKE FOREST L 19-27 L (-1) U (49)10/8 at Clemson L 14-36 L (+21) U (52)10/22 at Virginia Tech L 14-30 W (+21) U (45)10/29 at Maryland W 28-17 W (+6) U (48½)11/3 FLORIDA ST L 7-38 L (+14½) U (46)11/12 NC STATE W 14-10 W (+1½) U (45)11/19 at Notre Dame L 14-16 W (+24) U (46½)11/25 at Miami W 24-17 W (+12½) U (44)
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/1 MIAMI L 32-41 L (+2½) O (43)9/8 MAINE W 34-3 W (-23½) 9/15 at Northwestern L 13-22 L (+4) U (55)9/29 CLEMSON L 31-45 L (+6½) O (60)10/6 at Army L 31-34 L (-7) O (56½)10/13 at Florida St L 7-51 L (+29) O (52½)10/20 at Georgia Tech L 17-37 L (+14½) U (61)10/27 MARYLAND W 20-17 W (-2½) U (46)11/3 at Wake Forest L 14-28 L (+4) U (53)11/10 NOTRE DAME L 6-21 W (+20) U (49)11/17 VIRGINIA TECH L 23-30 W (+10) O (51½)11/24 at NC State L 10-27 L (+13) U (56½)
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/3 TROY W 43-19 W (-15) O (53½)9/10 WOFFORD W 35-27 L (-26½) O (46½)9/17 AUBURN W 38-24 W (-5) O (57½)9/24 FLORIDA ST W 35-30 W (-1) O (46½)10/1 at Virginia Tech W 23-3 W (+7) U (51)10/8 BOSTON COLLEGE W 36-14 W (-21) U (52)10/15 at Maryland W 56-45 W (-9) O (52½)10/22 N CAROLINA W 59-38 W (-9½) O (56)10/29 at Georgia Tech L 17-31 L (-3½) U (64)11/12 WAKE FOREST W 31-28 L (-16½) U (63)11/19 at NC State L 13-37 L (-7) U (54)11/26 at S Carolina L 13-34 L (+3) U (50½)12/3 vs Virginia Tech W 38-10 W (+7) U (54)1/4 vs W Virginia L 33-70 L (-3) O (64½)
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/1 vs Auburn W 26-19 W (-2) U (54½)9/8 BALL ST W 52-27 L (-27) O (67)9/15 FURMAN W 41-7 L (-40) 9/22 at Florida St L 37-49 W (+14½) O (55)9/29 at Boston College W 45-31 W (-6½) O (60)10/6 GEORGIA TECH W 47-31 W (-11) O (69½)10/20 VIRGINIA TECH W 38-17 W (-7½) U (63½)10/25 at Wake Forest W 42-13 W (-11½) U (61)11/3 at Duke W 56-20 W (-12) O (68)11/10 MARYLAND W 45-10 W (-32) U (55½)11/17 NC STATE W 62-48 L (-15) O (65½)11/24 S CAROLINA L 17-27 L (-6½) U (60½)12/31 vs LSU W 25-24 W (+5½) U (58)
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
acc
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 7–6 4–8 2–10 7–6 20–30 40.0%
OVERALL ATS 6–7 6–6 4–8 7–6 23–27 46.0%
HOME ATS 1–6 2–4 4–2 5–1 12–13 48.0%
ROAD ATS 5–1 4–2 0–6 2–5 11–14 44.0%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 4–4 4–4 2–6 6–2 16–16 50.0%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 2–3 2–2 2–2 1–4 7–11 38.9%
AS FAVORITE ATS 2–3 1–3 2–1 3–3 8–10 44.4%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 4–3 5–3 2–7 4–3 15–16 48.4%
OVER-UNDER 2–10 1–11 5–6 9–4 17–31 35.4%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring -1.2 75
Yardage -61.8 95
Turnovers +3 T41
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 27.7 T70
Yards/Game 367.2 93
Yds Per Play 6.04 41
Rush Yds/Gm 212.5 20
Pass Yds/Gm 154.8 114
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 28.9 78
Yards/Game 429.0 93
Yds Per Play 5.93 93
Rush Yds/Gm 160.6 59
Pass Yds/Gm 268.4 113
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
acc
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 6–7 10–4 11–2 11–2 38–15 71.7%
OVERALL ATS 5–8 8–6 9–4 7–5 29–23 55.8%
HOME ATS 2–5 5–2 3–4 4–3 14–14 50.0%
ROAD ATS 3–3 3–4 6–0 3–2 15–9 62.5%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 4–4 6–3 7–1 4–3 21–11 65.6%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 1–4 2–3 2–3 3–2 8–12 40.0%
AS FAVORITE ATS 3–5 6–5 7–4 5–3 21–17 55.3%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 2–3 2–1 2–0 2–2 8–6 57.1%
OVER-UNDER 2–10 7–7 6–6 8–5 23–28 45.1%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring +18.0 10
Yardage +151.0 8
Turnovers +6 T29
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 40.2 T8
Yards/Game 507.7 10
Yds Per Play 6.36 25
Rush Yds/Gm 174.6 57
Pass Yds/Gm 333.1 9
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 22.2 24
Yards/Game 356.7 25
Yds Per Play 5.03 23
Rush Yds/Gm 155.7 53
Pass Yds/Gm 201.0 16
StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2014 51
>DUKE
2011-13 gaME logS
8/309/69/139/209/2710/1110/1811/111/811/1511/2011/29
ELONat TroyKANSASTULANEat Miami (FL)at Georgia TechVIRGINIAat Pittsburghat SyracuseVIRGINIA TECHNORTH CAROLINAWAKE FOREST
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/31 NC CENTRAL W 45-0 W (-32½) U (63½)9/7 at Memphis W 28-14 W (-3) U (52)9/14 GEORGIA TECH L 14-38 L (+8½) U (55)9/21 PITTSBURGH L 55-58 W (+4½) O (52)9/28 TROY W 38-31 L (-13½) O (67)10/12 NAVY W 35-7 W (-4) U (57)10/19 at Virginia W 35-22 W (+2½) O (52½)10/26 at Virginia Tech W 13-10 W (+12) U (47)11/9 NC STATE W 38-20 W (-11) O (57)11/16 MIAMI W 48-30 W (+3) O (64)11/23 at Wake Forest W 28-21 W (-6½) T (49)11/30 at N Carolina W 27-25 W (+5) U (61½)12/7 vs Florida St L 7-45 L (+30) U (66½)12/31 vs Texas A&M L 48-52 W (+14) O (76)
>FLORIDA STATE
2011-13 gaME logS
8/309/69/209/2710/410/1110/1810/3011/811/1511/2211/29
vs. Oklahoma State*CITADELCLEMSONat North Carolina StateWAKE FORESTat SyracuseNOTRE DAMEat LouisvilleVIRGINIAat Miami (FL)BOSTON COLLEGEFLORIDA
* at Arlington, Texas
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/2 at Pittsburgh W 41-13 W (-11) O (47)9/14 NEVADA W 62-7 W (-35) O (60½)9/21 BET COOK W 54-6 W (-40) O (53½)9/28 at Boston College W 48-34 L (-24) O (55)10/5 MARYLAND W 63-0 W (-18) O (56½)10/19 at Clemson W 51-14 W (-4½) O (63½)10/26 NC STATE W 49-17 L (-35) O (58½)11/2 MIAMI W 41-14 W (-21½) U (63)11/9 at Wake Forest W 59-3 W (-34) O (55½)11/16 SYRACUSE W 59-3 W (-37) O (58)11/23 IDAHO W 80-14 W (-59) O (70)11/30 at Florida W 37-7 W (-27½) U (50)12/7 vs Duke W 45-7 W (-30) U (66½)1/6 vs Auburn W 34-31 L (-11½) U (68)
College Top 25Big Ten
Conference USA
MAC
SECSun Belt
IndependentsPac-12
Mountain W
est
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/3 RICHMOND L 21-23 L (-12) 9/10 STANFORD L 14-44 L (+20½) U (62)9/17 at Boston College W 20-19 W (+7) U (50)9/24 TULANE W 48-27 W (-9½) O (57)10/1 at FLA International W 31-27 W (+3½) U (58½)10/15 FLORIDA ST L 16-41 L (+12½) U (58½)10/22 WAKE FOREST L 23-24 W (+3) U (60½)10/29 VIRGINIA TECH L 10-14 W (+15) U (52½)11/5 at Miami L 14-49 L (+15) O (57)11/12 at Virginia L 21-31 L (+9½) U (53)11/19 GEORGIA TECH L 31-38 W (+10) O (58½)11/26 at N Carolina L 21-37 L (+14) O (56)
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/1 FLA INTERNATIONAL W 46-26 W (-2½) O (53½)9/8 at Stanford L 13-50 L (+16) O (55)9/15 NC CENTRAL W 54-17 W (-35) 9/22 MEMPHIS W 38-14 W (-21½) U (61)9/29 at Wake Forest W 34-27 W (+2½) O (57)10/6 VIRGINIA W 42-17 W (0) O (55)10/13 at Virginia Tech L 20-41 L (+9½) O (55)10/20 N CAROLINA W 33-30 W (+10½) O (62½)10/27 at Florida St L 7-48 L (+27) O (54½)11/3 CLEMSON L 20-56 L (+12) O (68)11/17 at Georgia Tech L 24-42 L (+11½) U (67)11/24 MIAMI L 45-52 L (+6) O (69)12/27 vs Cincinnati L 34-48 L (+8½) O (62½)
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/3 LA MONROE W 34-0 W (-30½) U (54)9/10 CHARLESTON SOUT W 62-10 L (-55½) O (68½)9/17 OKLAHOMA L 13-23 L (+3½) U (56)9/24 at Clemson L 30-35 L (+1) O (46½)10/8 at Wake Forest L 30-35 L (-10) O (51½)10/15 at Duke W 41-16 W (-12½) U (58½)10/22 MARYLAND W 41-16 W (-19½) O (54½)10/29 NC STATE W 34-0 W (-18½) U (52)11/3 at Boston College W 38-7 W (-14½) U (46)11/12 MIAMI W 23-19 L (-12½) U (51)11/19 VIRGINIA L 13-14 L (-17) U (46½)11/26 at Florida W 21-7 W (-3) U (45)12/29 vs Notre Dame W 18-14 W (-3) U (47½)
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/1 MURRAY ST W 69-3 W (-44) 9/8 SAVANNAH ST W 55-0 L (-67) 9/15 WAKE FOREST W 52-0 W (-27½) O (51)9/22 CLEMSON W 49-37 L (-14½) O (55)9/29 at S Florida W 30-17 L (-17) U (53)10/6 at NC State L 16-17 L (-17) U (53½)10/13 BOSTON COLLEGE W 51-7 W (-29) O (52½)10/20 at Miami W 33-20 L (-21) U (57½)10/27 DUKE W 48-7 W (-27) O (54½)11/8 at Virginia Tech W 28-22 L (-13) O (49)11/17 at Maryland W 41-14 L (-31½) O (46)11/24 FLORIDA L 26-37 L (-7) O (39½)12/1 vs Georgia Tech W 21-15 L (-15½) U (59)1/1 vs N Illinois W 31-10 W (-14½) U (58)
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
acc
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 3–9 3–9 6–7 10–4 22–29 43.1%
OVERALL ATS 6–5 6–6 6–7 11–3 29–21 58.0%
HOME ATS 4–3 4–3 5–2 5–2 18–10 64.3%
ROAD ATS 2–2 2–3 1–5 6–1 11–11 50.0%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 4–3 4–4 3–5 7–2 18–14 56.3%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 2–2 2–2 3–2 4–1 11–7 61.1%
AS FAVORITE ATS 0–1 1–1 3–0 5–1 9–3 75.0%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 5–4 5–5 3–7 6–2 19–18 51.4%
OVER-UNDER 5–6 4–7 10–2 6–7 25–22 53.2%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring +6.1 48
Yardage +8.1 64
Turnovers +1 T54
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 32.8 41
Yards/Game 426.1 47
Yds Per Play 5.87 48
Rush Yds/Gm 178.0 T54
Pass Yds/Gm 248.1 51
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 26.6 T64
Yards/Game 418.0 83
Yds Per Play 5.67 77
Rush Yds/Gm 174.1 76
Pass Yds/Gm 243.9 83
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
acc
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 10–4 9–4 12–2 14–0 45–10 81.8%
OVERALL ATS 8–6 7–6 5–9 11–3 31–24 56.4%
HOME ATS 4–3 3–4 4–3 6–1 17–11 60.7%
ROAD ATS 4–3 4–2 1–6 5–2 14–13 51.9%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 4–5 4–4 3–6 7–2 18–17 51.4%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 4–1 3–2 2–3 4–1 13–7 65.0%
AS FAVORITE ATS 5–4 7–4 5–9 11–3 28–20 58.3%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 2–2 0–2 0–0 0–0 2–4 33.3%
OVER-UNDER 4–9 4–9 7–5 10–4 25–27 48.1%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring +39.5 1
Yardage +237.6 2
Turnovers +17 T2
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 51.6 2
Yards/Game 519.1 6
Yds Per Play 7.67 1
Rush Yds/Gm 203.1 28
Pass Yds/Gm 315.9 14
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 12.1 1
Yards/Game 281.4 3
Yds Per Play 4.09 2
Rush Yds/Gm 124.8 18
Pass Yds/Gm 156.6 1
Big 12A
ACACC
52 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2014
>GEORGIA TECH
2011-13 gaME logS
8/309/69/139/2010/410/1110/1810/2511/111/811/1511/29
WOFFORDat TulaneGEORGIA SOUTHERNat Virginia TechMIAMI (FL)DUKEat North Carolinaat PittsburghVIRGINIAat North Carolina StateCLEMSONat Georgia
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/31 ELON W 70-0 W (-44) O (58½)9/14 at Duke W 38-14 W (-8½) U (55)9/21 N CAROLINA W 28-20 W (-6½) U (59½)9/26 VIRGINIA TECH L 10-17 L (-6½) U (43)10/5 at Miami L 30-45 L (+5) O (55½)10/12 at BYU L 20-38 L (+7) O (55)10/19 SYRACUSE W 56-0 W (-7) O (54½)10/26 at Virginia W 35-25 L (-10½) O (49)11/2 PITTSBURGH W 21-10 L (-11½) U (53½)11/14 at Clemson L 31-55 L (+10½) O (61½)11/23 ALABAMA A&M W 66-7 W (-52½) O (58)11/30 GEORGIA L 34-41 L (+2½) O (58)12/30 vs Ole Miss L 17-25 L (+2½) U (55½)
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/1 W CAROLINA W 63-21 W (-33½) ()9/10 at Middle Tenn st W 49-21 W (-13) O (57)9/17 KANSAS W 66-24 W (-14½) O (62)9/24 N CAROLINA W 35-28 W (-6½) O (59)10/1 at NC State W 45-35 T (-10) O (62½)10/8 MARYLAND W 21-16 L (-14½) U (63½)10/15 at Virginia L 21-24 L (-7½) U (55½)10/22 at Miami L 7-24 L (+3) U (63)10/29 CLEMSON W 31-17 W (+3½) U (64)11/10 VIRGINIA TECH L 26-37 L (+2) O (49½)11/19 at Duke W 38-31 L (-10) O (58½)11/26 GEORGIA L 17-31 L (+4½) U (53)12/31 vs Utah L 27-30 L (-1½) O (49)
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/3 at Virginia Tech L 17-20 W (+8) U (46)9/8 PRESBYTERIAN W 59-3 W (-44½) 9/15 VIRGINIA W 56-20 W (-10) O (52)9/22 MIAMI L 36-42 L (-14) O (61)9/29 MIDDLE TENN ST L 28-49 L (-24½) O (63½)10/6 at Clemson L 31-47 L (+11) O (69½)10/20 BOSTON COLLEGE W 37-17 W (-14½) U (61)10/27 BYU L 17-41 L (-1½) O (50½)11/3 at Maryland W 33-13 W (-7½) O (44½)11/10 at N Carolina W 68-50 W (+8½) O (65)11/17 DUKE W 42-24 W (-11½) U (67)11/24 at Georgia L 10-42 L (+14½) U (64)12/1 vs Florida St L 15-21 W (+15½) U (59)12/31 vs USC W 21-7 W (+7) U (63½)
>LOUISV ILLE
2011-13 gaME logS
9/19/69/139/209/2710/310/1110/1810/3011/811/2211/29
MIAMI (FL)MURRAY STATEat Virginiaat Florida InternationalWAKE FORESTat Syracuseat ClemsonNORTH CAROLINA STATEFLORIDA STATEat Boston Collegeat Notre DameKENTUCKY
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/1 OHIO U W 49-7 W (-21) U (58)9/7 E KENTUCKY W 44-7 L (-40½) U (56½)9/14 at Kentucky W 27-13 W (-11) U (58)9/21 FLA INTERNATIONAL W 72-0 W (-41) O (55½)10/5 at Temple W 30-7 L (-33) U (58)10/10 RUTGERS W 24-10 L (-19) U (55½)10/18 UCF L 35-38 L (-14½) O (55½)10/26 at S Florida W 34-3 W (-19) U (45½)11/8 at Connecticut W 31-10 L (-28) U (50½)11/16 HOUSTON W 20-13 L (-17) U (60½)11/23 MEMPHIS W 24-17 L (-21½) U (43)12/5 at Cincinnati W 31-24 W (-3) O (48½)12/28 vs Miami W 36-9 W (-5½) U (60)
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/1 MURRAY ST W 21-9 L (-28½) 9/9 FLA INTERNATIONAL L 17-24 L (-3) U (48)9/17 at Kentucky W 24-17 W (+4) P (41)10/1 MARSHALL L 13-17 L (-11) U (46½)10/8 at N Carolina L 7-14 W (+13½) U (47)10/15 at Cincinnati L 16-25 W (+13) U (49½)10/21 RUTGERS W 16-14 W (-1) U (41½)10/29 SYRACUSE W 27-10 W (-2½) U (44)11/5 at W Virginia W 38-35 W (+12½) O (52)11/12 PITTSBURGH L 14-21 L (-3) U (45)11/19 at Connecticut W 34-20 W (+2) O (42)11/25 at S Florida W 34-24 W (+5½) O (44½)12/27 vs NC State L 24-31 L (+1½) O (44)
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/2 KENTUCKY W 32-14 W (-14) O (43)9/8 MISSOURI ST W 35-7 L (-35) 9/15 N CAROLINA W 39-34 W (-3) O (56)9/22 at Fla. Internatnl W 28-21 L (-10½) U (52½)9/29 at Southern Miss W 21-17 L (-10½) U (48½)10/13 at Pittsburgh W 45-35 W (-2) O (50)10/20 S FLORIDA W 27-25 L (-6) U (56)10/26 CINCINNATI W 34-31 P (-3) O (53)11/3 TEMPLE W 45-17 W (-16) O (53)11/10 at Syracuse L 26-45 L (0) O (59)11/24 CONNECTICUT L 20-23 L (-10) U (46)11/29 at Rutgers W 20-17 W (+3½) U (43)1/2 vs Florida W 33-23 W (+14) O (47½)
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
acc
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 6–7 8–5 7–7 7–6 28–25 52.8%
OVERALL ATS 5–7 5–7 9–5 5–8 24–27 47.1%
HOME ATS 2–3 4–3 4–3 4–3 14–12 53.8%
ROAD ATS 3–4 1–4 5–2 1–5 10–15 40.0%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 3–4 2–5 7–2 3–5 15–16 48.4%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 2–3 3–2 2–3 2–3 9–11 45.0%
AS FAVORITE ATS 2–3 4–4 5–3 5–3 16–13 55.2%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 3–3 1–3 4–2 0–5 8–13 38.1%
OVER-UNDER 5–7 7–5 7–6 8–5 27–23 54.0%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring +12.2 29
Yardage +69.5 33
Turnovers -4 T85
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 35.1 26
Yards/Game 429.7 44
Yds Per Play 6.10 36
Rush Yds/Gm 299.3 6
Pass Yds/Gm 130.4 120
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 22.8 T29
Yards/Game 360.2 27
Yds Per Play 5.52 64
Rush Yds/Gm 115.8 11
Pass Yds/Gm 244.5 84
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
acc
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 7–6 7–6 11–2 12–1 37–15 71.2%
OVERALL ATS 7–6 8–5 6–6 6–7 27–24 52.9%
HOME ATS 2–5 2–4 3–3 2–5 9–17 34.6%
ROAD ATS 5–1 6–1 3–3 4–2 18–7 72.0%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 3–4 6–1 3–3 2–6 14–14 50.0%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 4–2 2–4 3–3 4–1 13–10 56.5%
AS FAVORITE ATS 5–2 2–4 4–5 6–7 17–18 48.6%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 2–4 6–1 2–1 0–0 10–6 62.5%
OVER-UNDER 6–6 4–7 7–5 3–10 20–28 41.7%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring +23.0 5
Yardage +209.4 3
Turnovers +17 T2
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 35.2 25
Yards/Game 460.8 28
Yds Per Play 6.70 12
Rush Yds/Gm 146.8 87
Pass Yds/Gm 314.0 16
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 12.2 2
Yards/Game 251.5 1
Yds Per Play 4.20 3
Rush Yds/Gm 80.7 1
Pass Yds/Gm 170.8 5
StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2014 53
>MIAMI-FLORIDA
2011-13 gaME logS
9/19/69/139/209/2710/410/1110/2311/111/1511/2211/29
at LouisvilleFLORIDA A&MARKANSAS STATEat NebraskaDUKEat Georgia TechCINCINNATIat Virginia TechNORTH CAROLINAFLORIDA STATEat VirginiaPITTSBURGH
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/30 FLA ATLANTIC W 34-6 L (-31) U (52½)9/7 FLORIDA W 21-16 W (+3) U (47)9/21 SAVANNAH ST W 77-7 W (-59½) O (63½)9/28 at S Florida W 49-21 W (-17½) O (48½)10/5 GEORGIA TECH W 45-30 W (-5) O (55½)10/17 at N Carolina W 27-23 L (-8½) U (65½)10/26 WAKE FOREST W 24-21 L (-26) U (55)11/2 at Florida St L 14-41 L (+21½) U (63)11/9 VIRGINIA TECH L 24-42 L (-5½) O (43½)11/16 at Duke L 30-48 L (-3) O (64)11/23 VIRGINIA W 45-26 L (-21) O (58)11/29 at Pittsburgh W 41-31 W (pk) O (55½)12/28 vs Louisville L 9-36 L (+5½) U (60)
>NORTH CAROL INA
2011-13 gaME logS
8/309/69/209/2710/410/1110/1810/2511/111/1511/2011/29
LIBERTYSAN DIEGO STATEat East Carolinaat ClemsonVIRGINIA TECHat Notre DameGEORGIA TECHat Virginiaat Miami (FL)PITTSBURGHat DukeNORTH CAROLINA STATE
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/29 at S Carolina L 10-27 L (+11) U (56)9/7 MIDDLE TENN ST W 40-20 P (-20) U (66½)9/21 at Georgia Tech L 20-28 L (+6½) U (59½)9/28 E CAROLINA L 31-55 L (-12½) O (60½)10/5 at Virginia Tech L 17-27 L (+8) U (45)10/17 MIAMI L 23-27 W (+8½) U (65½)10/26 BOSTON COLLEGE W 34-10 W (-5½) U (59)11/2 at NC State W 27-19 W (-5) U (55½)11/9 VIRGINIA W 45-14 W (-13) O (52½)11/16 at Pittsburgh W 34-27 W (+1½) O (53½)11/23 OLD DOMINION W 80-20 W (-17) O (78)11/30 DUKE L 25-27 L (-5) U (61½)12/28 vs Cincinnati W 39-17 W (-2½) U (60)
College Top 25Big Ten
Conference USA
MAC
SECSun Belt
IndependentsPac-12
Mountain W
est
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/5 at Maryland L 24-32 L (+4) O (44½)9/17 OHIO ST W 24-6 W (-2½) U (46)9/24 KANSAS ST L 24-28 L (-12½) O (46)10/1 BETHUNE-COOKMAN W 45-14 L (-42½) U (60)10/8 at Virginia Tech L 35-38 W (+7½) O (45)10/15 at N Carolina W 30-24 W (+1½) O (52½)10/22 GEORGIA TECH W 24-7 W (-3) U (63)10/27 VIRGINIA L 21-28 L (-13½) O (47½)11/5 DUKE W 49-14 W (-15) O (57)11/12 at Florida St L 19-23 W (+12½) U (51)11/19 at S Florida W 6-3 W (0) U (52½)11/25 BOSTON COLLEGE L 17-24 L (-12½) U (44)
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/1 at Boston College W 41-32 W (-2½) O (43)9/8 at Kansas St L 13-52 L (+7) O (58)9/15 BETH.-COOKMAN W 38-10 L (-35) 9/22 at Georgia Tech W 42-36 W (+14) O (61)9/29 NC STATE W 44-37 W (-2) O (56½)10/6 vs Notre Dame L 3-41 L (+16½) U (55½)10/13 N CAROLINA L 14-18 W (+7½) U (71)10/20 FLORIDA ST L 20-33 W (+21) U (57½)11/1 VIRGINIA TECH W 30-12 W (+1½) U (57½)11/10 at Virginia L 40-41 W (+2) O (54)11/17 S FLORIDA W 40-9 W (-6½) U (57)11/24 at Duke W 52-45 W (-6) O (69)
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/3 JAMES MADISON W 42-10 W (-18) 9/10 RUTGERS W 24-22 L (-9½) U (49½)9/17 VIRGINIA W 28-17 W (-10) U (48)9/24 at Georgia Tech L 28-35 L (+6½) O (59)10/1 at E Carolina W 35-20 W (-6½) U (62)10/8 LOUISVILLE W 14-7 L (-13½) U (47)10/15 MIAMI L 24-30 L (-1½) O (52½)10/22 at Clemson L 38-59 L (+9½) O (56)10/29 WAKE FOREST W 49-24 W (-6½) O (53)11/5 at NC State L 0-13 L (-3½) U (54)11/17 at Virginia Tech L 21-24 W (+9½) U (48)11/26 DUKE W 37-21 W (-14) O (56)12/26 vs Missouri L 24-41 L (+4½) O (54)
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/1 ELON W 62-0 W (-32) 9/8 at Wake Forest L 27-28 L (-10) O (53½)9/15 at Louisville L 34-39 L (+3) O (56)9/22 E CAROLINA W 27-6 W (-14½) U (63½)9/29 IDAHO W 66-0 W (-27) O (60)10/6 VIRGINIA TECH W 48-34 W (-6) O (52)10/13 at Miami W 18-14 L (-7½) U (71)10/20 at Duke L 30-33 L (-10½) O (62½)10/27 NC STATE W 43-35 W (-7½) O (55)11/10 GEORGIA TECH L 50-68 L (-8½) O (65)11/15 at Virginia W 37-13 W (-3½) U (62)11/24 MARYLAND W 45-38 L (-25½) O (53)
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
acc
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 7–6 6–6 7–5 9–4 29–21 58.0%
OVERALL ATS 5–8 7–5 9–3 5–8 26–24 52.0%
HOME ATS 2–4 3–4 5–1 3–4 13–13 50.0%
ROAD ATS 3–4 4–1 4–2 2–4 13–11 54.2%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 3–5 5–3 8–0 2–6 18–14 56.3%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 2–3 2–2 1–3 3–2 8–10 44.4%
AS FAVORITE ATS 5–6 3–4 4–1 3–6 15–17 46.9%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 0–2 4–1 5–2 2–2 11–7 61.1%
OVER-UNDER 4–7 6–6 6–5 7–6 23–24 48.9%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring +7.1 T43
Yardage -0.5 71
Turnovers +5 T31
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 33.8 33
Yards/Game 425.8 48
Yds Per Play 6.75 11
Rush Yds/Gm 160.3 73
Pass Yds/Gm 265.5 33
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 26.8 66
Yards/Game 426.4 90
Yds Per Play 5.75 81
Rush Yds/Gm 176.5 78
Pass Yds/Gm 249.8 92
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
acc
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 8–5 7–6 8–4 7–6 30–21 58.8%
OVERALL ATS 7–6 6–7 6–6 7–5 26–24 52.0%
HOME ATS 2–4 4–3 5–2 4–2 15–11 57.7%
ROAD ATS 5–2 2–4 1–4 3–3 11–13 45.8%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 3–5 4–4 3–5 5–3 15–17 46.9%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 4–1 2–3 3–1 2–2 11–7 61.1%
AS FAVORITE ATS 4–3 5–4 6–5 5–2 20–14 58.8%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 3–2 1–3 0–1 2–3 6–9 40.0%
OVER-UNDER 5–7 6–6 8–3 4–9 23–25 47.9%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring +8.2 38
Yardage +22.5 T58
Turnovers +2 T47
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 32.7 43
Yards/Game 425.7 49
Yds Per Play 5.87 49
Rush Yds/Gm 148.3 85
Pass Yds/Gm 277.4 28
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 24.5 43
Yards/Game 403.2 65
Yds Per Play 5.28 39
Rush Yds/Gm 182.5 83
Pass Yds/Gm 220.7 50
Big 12A
ACACC
54 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2014
>NORTH CAROL INA STATE
2011-13 gaME logS
8/309/69/139/209/2710/410/1110/1811/111/811/1511/29
GEORGIA SOUTHERNOLD DOMINIONat South FloridaPRESBYTERIANFLORIDA STATEat ClemsonBOSTON COLLEGEat Louisvilleat SyracuseGEORGIA TECHWAKE FORESTat North Carolina
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/31 LOUISIANA TECH W 40-14 W (-14½) U (61½)9/7 RICHMOND W 23-21 L (-23½) U (50½)9/19 CLEMSON L 14-26 P (+12) U (65½)9/28 C MICHIGAN W 48-14 W (-23½) O (52)10/5 at Wake Forest L 13-28 L (-8) U (48)10/12 SYRACUSE L 10-24 L (-7) U (53)10/26 at Florida St L 17-49 W (+35) O (58½)11/2 N CAROLINA L 19-27 L (+5) U (55½)11/9 at Duke L 20-38 L (+11) O (57)11/16 at Boston College L 21-38 L (+7) O (52)11/23 E CAROLINA L 28-42 L (+4½) O (54½)11/30 MARYLAND L 21-41 L (+3) O (50)
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/3 LIBERTY W 43-21 L (-27½) 9/10 at Wake Forest L 27-34 L (-1½) O (50½)9/17 S ALABAMA W 35-13 L (-26) U (49½)9/22 at Cincinnati L 14-44 L (+7½) U (60½)10/1 GEORGIA TECH L 35-45 P (+10) O (62½)10/8 C MICHIGAN W 38-24 W (-11) O (54)10/22 at Virginia W 28-14 W (+3) U (51½)10/29 at Florida St L 0-34 L (+18½) U (52)11/5 N CAROLINA W 13-0 W (+3½) U (54)11/12 at Boston College L 10-14 L (-1½) U (45)11/19 CLEMSON W 37-13 W (+7) U (54)11/26 MARYLAND W 56-41 W (-11) O (54)12/27 vs Louisville W 31-24 W (-1½) O (44)
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/31 vs Tennessee L 21-35 L (+3) O (52½)9/8 at Connecticut W 10-7 T (-3) U (48)9/15 S ALABAMA W 31-7 L (-29½) U (50)9/22 THE CITADEL W 52-14 W (-19) 9/29 at Miami L 37-44 L (+2) O (56½)10/6 FLORIDA ST W 17-16 W (+17) U (53½)10/20 at Maryland W 20-18 L (-4) U (44½)10/27 at N Carolina L 35-43 L (+7½) O (55)11/3 VIRGINIA L 6-33 L (-10½) U (52½)11/10 WAKE FOREST W 37-6 W (-9) U (50)11/17 at Clemson L 48-62 W (+15) O (65½)11/24 BOSTON COLLEGE W 27-10 W (-13) U (56½)12/31 vs Vanderbilt L 24-38 L (+7½) O (54)
>PITTSBURGH
2011-13 gaME logS
8/309/59/139/209/2710/410/1610/2511/111/1511/2211/29
DELAWAREat Boston Collegeat Florida InternationalIOWAAKRONat VirginiaVIRGINIA TECHGEORGIA TECHDUKEat North CarolinaSYRACUSEat Miami (FL)
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/2 FLORIDA ST L 13-41 L (+11) O (47)9/14 NEW MEXICO W 49-27 W (-21½) O (46½)9/21 at Duke W 58-55 L (-4½) O (52)9/28 VIRGINIA W 14-3 W (-6) U (50)10/12 at Virginia Tech L 9-19 L (+7) U (42½)10/19 OLD DOMINION W 35-24 L (-16½) 10/26 at Navy L 21-24 L (-4½) U (51)11/2 at Georgia Tech L 10-21 W (+11½) U (53½)11/9 NOTRE DAME W 28-21 W (+5) U (51)11/16 N CAROLINA L 27-34 L (-1½) O (53½)11/23 at Syracuse W 17-16 L (-2) U (50½)11/29 MIAMI L 31-41 L (pk) O (55½)12/26 vs Bowling Green W 30-27 W (+6½) O (50)
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/3 BUFFALO W 35-16 L (-30) U (54½)9/10 MAINE W 35-29 L (-29½) O (47½)9/17 at Iowa L 27-31 L (+2½) O (50)9/24 NOTRE DAME L 12-15 W (+6½) U (56½)9/29 S FLORIDA W 44-17 W (+2½) O (51)10/8 at Rutgers L 10-34 L (-6½) U (52)10/15 UTAH L 14-26 L (-6) U (45½)10/26 CONNECTICUT W 35-20 W (-10) O (43)11/5 CINCINNATI L 23-26 W (+3½) U (56½)11/12 at Louisville W 21-14 W (+3) U (45)11/25 at W Virginia L 20-21 W (+7) U (58)12/3 SYRACUSE W 33-20 W (-8) O (49)1/7 vs SMU L 6-28 L (-4) U (47½)
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/1 YOUNGSTOWN ST L 17-31 L (-18) 9/6 at Cincinnati L 10-34 L (+4½) U (50½)9/15 VIRGINIA TECH W 35-17 W (+10) O (45)9/22 GARDNER WEBB W 55-0 W (-41) 10/5 at Syracuse L 13-14 W (+2) U (59)10/13 LOUISVILLE L 35-45 L (+2) O (50)10/20 at Buffalo W 20-6 W (-9½) U (52)10/27 TEMPLE W 47-17 W (-6½) O (47½)11/3 at Notre Dame L 26-29 W (+16½) O (47½)11/9 at Connecticut L 17-24 L (-3½) U (43½)11/24 RUTGERS W 27-6 W (-1½) U (43)12/1 at S Florida W 27-3 W (-7) U (47)1/5 vs Ole Miss L 17-38 L (+4) O (54)
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
acc
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 9–4 8–5 7–6 3–9 27–24 52.9%
OVERALL ATS 10–3 6–6 5–7 3–8 24–24 50.0%
HOME ATS 5–1 4–2 4–2 2–5 15–10 60.0%
ROAD ATS 5–2 2–4 1–5 1–3 9–14 39.1%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 6–2 4–3 4–4 1–6 15–15 50.0%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 4–1 2–3 1–3 2–2 9–9 50.0%
AS FAVORITE ATS 3–2 3–4 3–3 2–3 11–12 47.8%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 6–1 3–2 2–4 1–5 12–12 50.0%
OVER-UNDER 4–8 5–7 5–7 6–6 20–28 41.7%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring -7.3 97
Yardage +4.1 66
Turnovers 0 T61
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 22.8 98
Yards/Game 403.5 71
Yds Per Play 5.12 100
Rush Yds/Gm 162.7 71
Pass Yds/Gm 240.8 58
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 30.2 T84
Yards/Game 399.4 62
Yds Per Play 5.89 91
Rush Yds/Gm 180.2 82
Pass Yds/Gm 219.3 47
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
acc
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 8–5 6–7 6–7 7–6 27–25 51.9%
OVERALL ATS 7–4 7–6 8–5 5–8 27–23 54.0%
HOME ATS 3–3 5–3 4–2 3–4 15–12 55.6%
ROAD ATS 4–1 2–3 4–3 2–4 12–11 52.2%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 5–2 6–1 4–3 2–6 17–12 58.6%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 2–2 1–5 4–2 3–2 10–11 47.6%
AS FAVORITE ATS 7–3 2–5 5–2 2–5 16–15 51.6%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 0–1 5–1 3–3 3–3 11–8 57.9%
OVER-UNDER 6–6 5–8 5–6 6–6 22–26 45.8%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring -0.8 73
Yardage -5.4 74
Turnovers -1 T68
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 26.3 T80
Yards/Game 362.2 98
Yds Per Play 5.52 72
Rush Yds/Gm 125.7 T103
Pass Yds/Gm 236.5 61
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 27.2 70
Yards/Game 367.5 34
Yds Per Play 5.52 67
Rush Yds/Gm 149.0 T44
Pass Yds/Gm 218.5 T44
StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2014 55
College Top 25Big Ten
Conference USA
MAC
SECSun Belt
IndependentsPac-12
Mountain W
est
>VIRG IN IA
2011-13 gaME logS
8/309/69/139/209/2710/410/1810/2511/111/811/2211/28
UCLARICHMONDLOUISVILLEat Brigham YoungKENT STATEPITTSBURGHat DukeNORTH CAROLINAat Georgia Techat Florida StateMIAMI (FL)at Virginia Tech
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/31 BYU W 19-16 W (+3) U (48½)9/7 OREGON L 10-59 L (+26) O (59½)9/21 VMI W 49-0 W (-41) O (47½)9/28 at Pittsburgh L 3-14 L (+6) U (50)10/5 BALL ST L 27-48 L (-3) O (49)10/12 at Maryland L 26-27 W (+6) O (41)10/19 DUKE L 22-35 L (-2½) O (52½)10/26 GEORGIA TECH L 25-35 W (+10½) O (49)11/2 CLEMSON L 10-59 L (+17½) O (55)11/9 at N Carolina L 14-45 L (+13) O (52½)11/23 at Miami L 26-45 W (+21) O (58)11/30 VIRGINIA TECH L 6-16 W (+10½) U (40½)
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/3 WILLIAM & MARY W 40-3 W (-8½) 9/10 at Indiana W 34-31 L (-7) O (55)9/17 at N Carolina L 17-28 L (+10) U (48)9/24 SOUTHERN MISS L 24-30 L (-3) U (55½)10/1 IDAHO W 21-20 L (-16) U (53)10/15 GEORGIA TECH W 24-21 W (+7½) U (55½)10/22 NC STATE L 14-28 L (-3) U (51½)10/27 at Miami W 28-21 W (+13½) O (47½)11/5 at Maryland W 31-13 W (-3) U (52½)11/12 DUKE W 31-21 W (-9½) U (53)11/19 at Florida St W 14-13 W (+17) U (46½)11/26 VIRGINIA TECH L 0-38 L (+5) U (45)12/31 vs Auburn L 24-43 L (+3) O (49½)
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/1 RICHMOND W 43-19 L (-24½) 9/8 PENN ST W 17-16 L (-10) U (48)9/15 at Georgia Tech L 20-56 L (+10) O (52)9/22 at TCU L 7-27 L (+18) U (53)9/29 LOUISIANA TECH L 38-44 L (+3½) O (60)10/6 at Duke L 17-42 L (0) O (55)10/13 MARYLAND L 20-27 L (-2) O (44)10/20 WAKE FOREST L 10-16 L (-3) U (51)11/3 at NC State W 33-6 W (+10½) U (52½)11/10 MIAMI W 41-40 L (-2) O (54)11/15 N CAROLINA L 13-37 L (+3½) U (62)11/24 at Virginia Tech L 14-17 W (+10) U (48½)
>SYRACUSE
2011-13 gaME logS
8/299/139/209/2710/310/1110/1810/2511/111/811/2211/29
VILLANOVAat Central MichiganMARYLANDvs. Notre Dame*LOUISVILLEFLORIDA STATEat Wake Forestat ClemsonNORTH CAROLINA STATEDUKEat Pittsburghat Boston College
* at East Rutherford, N.J.
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/31 vs Penn St L 17-23 W (+7½) U (51)9/7 at Northwestern L 27-48 L (+17) O (54½)9/14 WAGNER W 54-0 W (-29½) O (49½)9/21 TULANE W 52-17 W (-17½) O (52½)10/5 CLEMSON L 14-49 L (+12½) U (65½)10/12 at NC State W 24-10 W (+7) U (53)10/19 at Georgia Tech L 0-56 L (+7) O (54½)11/2 WAKE FOREST W 13-0 W (-4) U (52½)11/9 at Maryland W 20-3 W (+6) U (54)11/16 at Florida St L 3-59 L (+37) O (58)11/23 PITTSBURGH L 16-17 W (+2) U (50½)11/30 BOSTON COLLEGE W 34-31 W (+2½) O (51½)12/27 vs Minnesota W 21-17 W (+3½) U (48)
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/1 WAKE FOREST W 36-29 W (-6) O (48½)9/10 RHODE ISLAND W 21-14 L (-26½) U (47)9/17 at USC L 17-38 L (+17) O (50)9/24 TOLEDO W 33-30 W (-2) O (56)10/1 RUTGERS L 16-19 L (-1½) U (50)10/8 at Tulane W 37-34 L (-9½) O (50)10/21 W VIRGINIA W 49-23 W (+14) O (60)10/29 at Louisville L 10-27 L (+2½) U (44)11/5 at Connecticut L 21-28 L (+1½) O (43½)11/11 S FLORIDA L 17-37 L (+3) O (53½)11/26 CINCINNATI L 13-30 L (+1) U (50)12/3 at Pittsburgh L 20-33 L (+8) O (49)
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/1 NORTHWESTERN L 41-42 L (-2) O (53½)9/8 vs USC L 29-42 W (+24½) O (62½)9/15 STONY BROOK W 28-17 L (-21½) 9/22 at Minnesota L 10-17 L (-3) U (54)10/5 PITTSBURGH W 14-13 L (-2) U (59)10/13 at Rutgers L 15-23 L (+6½) U (50½)10/19 CONNECTICUT W 40-10 W (-5) O (43½)10/27 at S Florida W 37-36 W (+3) O (53½)11/3 at Cincinnati L 24-35 L (+4½) O (56)11/10 LOUISVILLE W 45-26 W (0) O (59)11/17 at Missouri W 31-27 W (+6) O (55)11/23 at Temple W 38-20 W (-7) P (58)12/29 vs W Virginia W 38-14 W (+4) U (70)
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
acc
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 8–5 5–7 8–5 7–6 28–23 54.9%
OVERALL ATS 8–5 3–9 7–6 9–4 27–24 52.9%
HOME ATS 2–4 3–4 2–3 5–1 12–12 50.0%
ROAD ATS 6–1 0–5 5–3 4–3 15–12 55.6%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 4–3 1–6 4–3 5–3 14–15 48.3%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 4–2 2–3 3–3 4–1 13–9 59.1%
AS FAVORITE ATS 4–3 2–3 2–4 3–0 11–10 52.4%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 4–2 1–6 5–2 6–4 16–14 53.3%
OVER-UNDER 4–7 8–4 7–4 6–7 25–22 53.2%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring -2.7 82
Yardage +9.7 63
Turnovers +2 T47
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 22.7 99
Yards/Game 376.8 86
Yds Per Play 5.11 102
Rush Yds/Gm 194.8 38
Pass Yds/Gm 182.0 104
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 25.4 56
Yards/Game 367.2 33
Yds Per Play 5.32 46
Rush Yds/Gm 137.4 24
Pass Yds/Gm 229.8 63
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
acc
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 4–8 8–5 4–8 2–10 18–31 36.7%
OVERALL ATS 6–6 6–7 2–10 6–6 20–29 40.8%
HOME ATS 4–3 3–4 0–7 4–4 11–18 37.9%
ROAD ATS 2–3 3–3 2–3 2–2 9–11 45.0%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 2–6 5–3 2–6 4–4 13–19 40.6%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 4–0 1–4 0–4 2–2 7–10 41.2%
AS FAVORITE ATS 2–0 3–4 0–5 1–2 6–11 35.3%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 3–6 3–3 2–5 5–4 13–18 41.9%
OVER-UNDER 5–5 3–9 5–6 9–3 22–23 48.9%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring -13.5 109
Yardage -35.2 84
Turnovers -5 T93
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 19.8 110
Yards/Game 368.4 90
Yds Per Play 4.44 119
Rush Yds/Gm 156.6 77
Pass Yds/Gm 211.8 83
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 33.3 99
Yards/Game 403.6 66
Yds Per Play 5.66 76
Rush Yds/Gm 170.7 75
Pass Yds/Gm 232.9 T67
Big 12A
ACACC
>VIRG IN IA TECH
2011-13 gaME logS
8/309/69/139/209/2710/410/1610/2311/111/1511/2211/28
WILLIAM & MARYat Ohio StateEAST CAROLINAGEORGIA TECHWESTERN MICHIGANat North Carolinaat PittsburghMIAMI (FL)BOSTON COLLEGEat Dukeat Wake ForestVIRGINIA
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/31 vs Alabama L 10-35 L (+21) U (45½)9/7 W CAROLINA W 45-3 P (-42) U (56½)9/14 at E Carolina W 15-10 L (-8½) U (45½)9/21 MARSHALL W 29-21 P (-8) O (48)9/26 at Georgia Tech W 17-10 W (+6½) U (43)10/5 N CAROLINA W 27-17 W (-8) U (45)10/12 PITTSBURGH W 19-9 W (-7) U (42½)10/26 DUKE L 10-13 L (-12) U (47)11/2 at Boston College L 27-34 L (-3½) O (40½)11/9 at Miami W 42-24 W (+5½) O (43½)11/16 MARYLAND L 24-27 L (-14½) O (44½)11/30 at Virginia W 16-6 L (-10½) U (40½)12/31 vs UCLA L 12-42 L (+7) O (45½)
>WAKE FOREST
2011-13 gaME logS
8/289/69/139/209/2710/410/1810/2511/611/1511/2211/29
at Louisiana-MonroeGARDNER-WEBBat Utah StateARMYat Louisvilleat Florida StateSYRACUSEBOSTON COLLEGECLEMSONat North Carolina StateVIRGINIA TECHat Duke
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/29 PRESBYTERIAN W 31-7 L (-38) U (51)9/6 at Boston College L 10-24 L (+2½) U (47½)9/14 LA MONROE L 19-21 L (pk) U (49)9/21 at Army W 25-11 W (-1½) U (48)9/28 at Clemson L 7-56 L (+28½) O (58½)10/5 NC STATE W 28-13 W (+8) U (48)10/19 MARYLAND W 34-10 W (+4½) U (53)10/26 at Miami L 21-24 W (+26) U (55)11/2 at Syracuse L 0-13 L (+4) U (52½)11/9 FLORIDA ST L 3-59 L (+34) O (55½)11/23 DUKE L 21-28 L (+6½) T (49)11/30 at Vanderbilt L 21-23 W (+14) O (43)
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/3 APPALACHIAN ST W 66-13 W (-27) 9/10 at E Carolina W 17-10 L (-17) U (64)9/17 ARKANSAS ST W 26-7 L (-24) U (53)9/24 at Marshall W 30-10 L (-20½) U (46)10/1 CLEMSON L 3-23 L (-7) U (51)10/8 MIAMI W 38-35 L (-7½) O (45)10/15 at Wake Forest W 38-17 W (-7) O (51)10/22 BOSTON COLLEGE W 30-14 L (-21) U (45)10/29 at Duke W 14-10 L (-15) U (52½)11/10 at Georgia Tech W 37-26 W (-2) O (49½)11/17 N CAROLINA W 24-21 L (-9½) U (48)11/26 at Virginia W 38-0 W (-5) U (45)12/3 vs Clemson L 10-38 L (-7) U (54)1/3 vs Michigan L 20-23 P (+3) U (52)
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/3 GEORGIA TECH W 20-17 L (-8) U (46)9/8 AUSTIN PEAY W 42-7 L (-53) 9/15 at Pittsburgh L 17-35 L (-10) O (45)9/22 BOWLING GREEN W 37-0 W (-17) U (47½)9/29 vs Cincinnati L 24-27 L (-6) O (47)10/6 at N Carolina L 34-48 L (+6) O (52)10/13 DUKE W 41-20 W (-9½) O (55)10/20 at Clemson L 17-38 L (+7½) U (63½)11/1 at Miami L 12-30 L (-1½) U (57½)11/8 FLORIDA ST L 22-28 W (+13) O (49)11/17 at Boston College W 30-23 L (-10) O (51½)11/24 VIRGINIA W 17-14 L (-10) U (48½)12/28 vs Rutgers W 13-10 W (+1) U (42)
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/1 at Syracuse L 29-36 L (+6) O (48½)9/10 NC STATE W 34-27 W (+1½) O (50½)9/17 GARDNER WEBB W 48-0 W (-35) U (52)10/1 at Boston College W 27-19 W (+1) U (49)10/8 FLORIDA ST W 35-30 W (+10) O (51½)10/15 VIRGINIA TECH L 17-38 L (+7) O (51)10/22 at Duke W 24-23 L (-3) U (60½)10/29 at N Carolina L 24-49 L (+6½) O (53)11/5 NOTRE DAME L 17-24 W (+13) U (57½)11/12 at Clemson L 28-31 W (+16½) U (63)11/19 MARYLAND W 31-10 W (-9½) U (57)11/26 VANDERBILT L 7-41 L (-1) U (49½)12/30 vs Mississippi St L 17-23 W (+7) U (49)
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/1 LIBERTY W 20-17 L (-24½) 9/8 N CAROLINA W 28-27 W (+10) O (53½)9/15 at Florida St L 0-52 L (+27½) O (51)9/22 ARMY W 49-37 W (-7) O (54½)9/29 DUKE L 27-34 L (-2½) O (57)10/6 at Maryland L 14-19 W (+7) U (47½)10/20 at Virginia W 16-10 W (+3) U (51)10/25 CLEMSON L 13-42 L (+11½) U (61)11/3 BOSTON COLLEGE W 28-14 W (-4) U (53)11/10 at NC State L 6-37 L (+9) U (50)11/17 at Notre Dame L 0-38 L (+23½) U (42)11/24 VANDERBILT L 21-55 L (+13) O (47)
56 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2014
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
acc
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 11–3 11–3 7–6 8–5 37–17 68.5%
OVERALL ATS 10–4 4–9 4–9 4–7 22–29 43.1%
HOME ATS 5–2 1–5 3–3 2–2 11–12 47.8%
ROAD ATS 5–2 3–4 1–6 2–5 11–17 39.3%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 8–1 3–6 2–6 4–4 17–17 50.0%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 2–3 1–3 2–3 0–3 5–12 29.4%
AS FAVORITE ATS 10–3 4–9 2–7 2–5 18–24 42.9%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 0–1 0–0 2–2 2–2 4–5 44.4%
OVER-UNDER 6–7 3–10 6–6 5–8 20–31 39.2%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring +3.2 63
Yardage +72.4 32
Turnovers +7 T23
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 22.5 100
Yards/Game 356.0 102
Yds Per Play 5.00 107
Rush Yds/Gm 119.8 110
Pass Yds/Gm 236.2 63
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 19.3 11
Yards/Game 283.6 4
Yds Per Play 4.55 5
Rush Yds/Gm 110.9 10
Pass Yds/Gm 172.7 8
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
acc
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 3–9 6–7 5–7 4–8 18–31 36.7%
OVERALL ATS 4–8 8–5 5–7 5–7 22–27 44.9%
HOME ATS 3–3 5–2 3–4 2–4 13–13 50.0%
ROAD ATS 1–5 3–3 2–3 3–3 9–14 39.1%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 2–6 5–3 4–4 3–5 14–18 43.8%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 2–2 3–2 1–3 2–2 8–9 47.1%
AS FAVORITE ATS 1–1 2–2 2–2 1–1 6–6 50.0%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 3–7 6–3 3–5 4–6 16–21 43.2%
OVER-UNDER 5–6 5–8 5–6 3–8 18–28 39.1%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring -5.8 T90
Yardage -75.5 103
Turnovers -2 T73
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 18.3 116
Yards/Game 290.7 120
Yds Per Play 4.35 120
Rush Yds/Gm 94.1 118
Pass Yds/Gm 196.6 98
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 24.1 38
Yards/Game 366.2 32
Yds Per Play 5.00 22
Rush Yds/Gm 143.2 35
Pass Yds/Gm 223.0 51
College Top 25Big Ten
Conference USA
MAC
Mountain W
estSEC
Sun BeltIndependents
Pac-12
StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2014 57
>
BAYLOROffense: Starters returning - 5; Defense: Starters returning - 4The Bears lost plenty from last season’s team that won a Big 12 title and a school-record 11 games, but superstar QB Bryce Petty (4,200 pass yds, 32 TD, 3 INT) and electric WR Antwan Goodley (1,339 rec yds, 13 TD) are both back. Top rusher Lache Seastrunk is gone, but RB Shock Linwood (881 rush yds, 6.9 YPC, 8 TD) can fly. The defense is very green, but DEs Shawn Oakman (12.5 TFL) and Jamal Palmer (11 TFL) are a fierce tandem. LB Bryce Hager (71 tackles) is solid, but the rest of the back seven has major question marks.
IOWA STATEOffense: Starters returning - 10; Defense: Starters returning - 5New OC Mark Mangino takes over an offense that scored only 24.8 PPG. But QB Grant Rohach (6.3 YPA, 8 TD, 7 INT) has some weapons in TE E.J. Bibbs (462 rec yds) and WRs Quenton Bundrage (676 rec yds, 9 TD) and USF trans-fer D’Vario Montgomery. RBs Aaron Wimberly (4.0 YPC) and DeVondrick Nealy (3.9 YPC) are mediocre. ISU’s defense is lacking in many areas. LB Jared Brackens (61 tackles) and CB Nigel Tribune (6 PD) shine brightest.
KANSASOffense: Starters returning - 7; Defense: Starters returning - 9Dual-threat sophomore QB Montell Cozart (3.6 YPA, 0 TD, 2 INT) won the starting job and has a true No. 1 receiver in Miami Ohio transfer WR Nick Harwell (3,166 rec yds, 23 TD in 3 years). The ground game could improve with RBs Brandon Bourbon (4.7 YPC, 4 TD) and Darrian Miller (4.8 YPC), but the O-Line is subpar. The defense’s strength lies with CB Dexter McDonald (10 PD), S Isaiah Johnson (5 INT) and LB Ben Heeney (87 tackles, 3 INT).
KANSAS STATEOffense: Starters returning - 6; Defense: Starters returning - 4QB Jake Waters (9.5 YPA, 18 TD, 9 INT) is now the lone starter with Daniel Sams transferring, and Waters will continue to feed WR Tyler Lockett (81 rec, 1,262 yds, 11 TD) early and often. The ground game lacks experience with RB DeMarcus Robinson (5 rush, 20 yds) expected to replace John Hubert. Seven defensive starters left, but DE Ryan Mueller (11.5 sacks) and LB Jonathan Truman (89 tackles) will help guide the youngsters in 2014.
OKLAHOMAOffense: Starters returning - 5; Defense: Starters returning - 9Sophomore QB Trevor Knight (6.1 YPA, 9 TD, 5 INT) earned his starting spot with 348 passing yards and 4 TD versus Alabama in the Sugar Bowl, but doesn’t have any proven receiving options after WR Sterling Shepard (603 rec yds, 7 TD). Highly-recruited Joe Mixon figures to get the bulk of the car-ries. OU’s defensive front seven is outstanding, especially DE Charles Tapper (5.5 sacks, 9 TFL) and LBs Eric Striker (50 tackles, 6.5 sacks) and Dominique Alexander (80 tackles). The young secondary will certainly be tested.
OKLAHOMA STATEOffense: Starters returning - 5; Defense: Starters returning - 4The Cowboys are more confident in improving QB J.W. Walsh (7.0 YPA, 9 TD, 5 INT), who has a pair of exciting receivers in WRs Jhajuan Seales (571 rec yds) and Brandon Sheperd (15.9 yds per rec). The ground game is also in great shape with RB Desmond Roland (811 rush yds, 13 TD). The defense has some holes after seven senior starters left, but returning DE Jimmy Bean (5 sacks, 10 TFL), CB Kevin Peterson and CB Ashton Lampkin are all special.
TCUOffense: Starters returning - 7; Defense: Starters returning - 8New co-OCs Doug Meacham and Sonny Cumbie are installing a fast-paced system, and hope Texas A&M transfer Matt Joeckel (7.9 YPA) will be able to run it successfully. His arrival keeps Trevone Boykin (26 rec) at WR, and the new offense perfectly suits speedy RB B.J. Catalon (5.3 YPC, 6 TD). TCU’s defense is strong with DE Devonte Fields (10 sacks in 2012) now healthy, LB Marcus Mallet (70 tackles) and S Chris Hackett (88 tackles, 3 INT).
TEXASOffense: Starters returning - 6; Defense: Starters returning - 7New Head Coach: Charlie StrongThe biggest question mark to begin the Charlie Strong era is the health status of oft-concussed QB David Ash (8.7 YPA, 7 TD, 2 INT). But this will be a run-first offense with RBs Malcolm Brown (904 rush yds, 9 TD), Jonathan Gray (780 rush yds) and Joe Bergeron (5.0 YPC, 4 TD). Texas’ receiving corps also has great depth. The defense should improve with DE Cedric Reed (10 sacks), LB Jordan Hicks (40 tackles) and star CB Quandre Diggs (10 PD).
TEXAS TECHOffense: Starters returning - 8; Defense: Starters returning - 4After a year of uncertainty, QB Davis Webb (7.5 YPA, 20 TD, 9 INT) is the unquestioned starter behind a mostly intact O-Line. The passing game lost Eric Ward and Jace Amaro, but WR Bradley Marquez (633 rec yds, 6 TD) should flourish as an inside receiver. RB DeAndre Washington (450 rush yds, 4 TD) is a capable back. The team improved its D-Line with JUCO transfers, and ILB V.J. Fehoko transferred from Utah, but this is still a poor defense.
WEST VIRGINIAOffense: Starters returning - 7; Defense: Starters returning - 7Despite having offensive guru Dana Holgorsen as head coach, this WVU offense could struggle again without great skill-position players. QB Clint Trickett (6.9 YPA, 7 TD, 7 INT) should start if his hurt shoulder is OK, and Pittsburgh transfer RB Rushel Shell (641 rush yds in ‘12) should propel the ground game. S Karl Joseph (68 tackles) can hit, and LB Brandon Golson (5 FF, 4 sacks) will play OLB and D-End in new DC Tony Gibson’s 3-4 scheme.
B I G 1 2pREdictEd FiniSh
1. Oklahoma2. Baylor3. TCU4. Oklahoma State5. Kansas State
6. Texas7. Texas Tech8. Iowa State9. West Virginia10. Kansas
ACCBig 12
AAC
58 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2014
>BAYLOR
2011-13 gaME logS
8/319/69/129/2710/410/1110/1811/111/811/2211/2912/6
SOUTHERN METHODISTNORTHWESTERN STATEat Buffaloat Iowa Stateat TexasTCUat West VirginiaKANSASat OklahomaOKLAHOMA STATEvs. Texas Tech*KANSAS STATE
* at Arlington, Texas
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/31 WOFFORD W 69-3 W (-29½) O (66½)9/7 BUFFALO W 70-13 W (-28½) O (67½)9/21 LA MONROE W 70-7 W (-30) O (74½)10/5 W VIRGINIA W 73-42 W (-30) O (69)10/12 at Kansas St W 35-25 L (-17) U (73)10/19 IOWA ST W 71-7 W (-32) O (76)10/26 at Kansas W 59-14 W (-34½) O (65½)11/7 OKLAHOMA W 41-12 W (-17) U (75)11/16 vs Texas Tech W 63-34 W (-28) O (85)11/23 at Oklahoma St L 17-49 L (-7½) U (78)11/30 at TCU W 41-38 L (-14½) O (64)12/7 TEXAS W 30-10 W (-17½) U (71)1/1 vs UCF L 42-52 L (-17) O (74½)
>IOWA STATE
2011-13 gaME logS
8/309/69/139/2710/410/1110/1811/111/811/2211/2912/6
NORTH DAKOTA STATEKANSAS STATEat IowaBAYLORat Oklahoma StateTOLEDOat TexasOKLAHOMAat KansasTEXAS TECHWEST VIRGINIAat TCU
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/31 N IOWA L 20-28 L (-9½) U (48½)9/14 IOWA L 21-27 L (pk) O (46½)9/26 at Tulsa W 38-21 W (+3) O (53)10/3 TEXAS L 30-31 W (+7) O (54½)10/12 at Texas Tech L 35-42 W (+14) O (58½)10/19 at Baylor L 7-71 L (+32) O (76)10/26 OKLAHOMA ST L 27-58 L (+13½) O (56)11/2 at Kansas St L 7-41 L (+17½) U (52½)11/9 TCU L 17-21 W (+7) U (42½)11/16 at Oklahoma L 10-48 L (+22½) O (48½)11/23 KANSAS W 34-0 W (-3½) U (47)11/30 at W Virginia W 52-44 W (+7½) O (53)
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/2 TCU W 50-48 W (+3½) O (53½)9/17 SF AUSTIN W 48-0 W (-30) U (76)9/24 RICE W 56-31 W (-21) O (68½)10/1 at Kansas St L 35-36 L (-3) O (64)10/8 IOWA ST W 49-26 W (-15) O (63½)10/15 at Texas A&M L 28-55 L (+8) O (76)10/29 at Oklahoma St L 24-59 L (+14½) O (82)11/5 MISSOURI W 42-39 W (-2) O (73)11/12 at Kansas W 31-30 L (-20) U (75½)11/19 OKLAHOMA W 45-38 W (+17) O (75)11/26 vs Texas Tech W 66-42 W (-12) O (82½)12/3 TEXAS W 48-24 W (-1½) O (62)12/29 vs Washington W 67-56 W (-8) O (79)
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/2 SMU W 59-24 W (-6½) O (57)9/15 SAM HOUSTON ST W 48-23 L (-29½) 9/21 at LA Monroe W 47-42 L (-8) O (70)9/29 at W Virginia L 63-70 W (+12) O (84)10/13 TCU L 21-49 L (-6) O (68½)10/20 at Texas L 50-56 W (+9½) O (79½)10/27 at Iowa St L 21-35 L (+2½) U (70½)11/3 KANSAS W 41-14 W (-16½) U (69½)11/10 at Oklahoma L 34-42 W (+21) O (74½)11/17 KANSAS ST W 52-24 W (+12) O (75)11/24 vs Texas Tech W 52-45 W (-3) O (80½)12/1 OKLAHOMA ST W 41-34 W (+4) U (87)12/27 vs UCLA W 49-26 W (+3) U (81)
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/3 N IOWA W 20-19 L (-6½) 9/10 IOWA W 44-41 W (+6½) O (44)9/16 at Connecticut W 24-20 W (+4) U (44½)10/1 TEXAS L 14-37 L (+9) O (47)10/8 at Baylor L 26-49 L (+15) O (63½)10/15 at Missouri L 17-52 L (+17½) O (56)10/22 TEXAS A&M L 17-33 W (+22) U (66½)10/29 at Texas Tech W 41-7 W (+15) U (67)11/5 KANSAS W 13-10 L (-14½) U (58)11/18 OKLAHOMA ST W 37-31 W (+26½) U (69½)11/26 at Oklahoma L 6-26 W (+28½) U (57½)12/3 at Kansas St L 23-30 W (+10) O (50½)12/30 vs Rutgers L 13-27 L (-1½) U (46)
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/1 TULSA W 38-23 W (+1½) O (50½)9/8 at Iowa W 9-6 W (+3½) U (48½)9/15 W ILLINOIS W 37-3 L (-34½) 9/29 TEXAS TECH L 13-24 L (+1) U (63½)10/6 at TCU W 37-23 W (+7) O (40½)10/13 KANSAS ST L 21-27 P (+6) U (48½)10/20 at Oklahoma St L 10-31 L (+14) U (57½)10/27 BAYLOR W 35-21 W (-2½) U (70½)11/3 OKLAHOMA L 20-35 L (+13) O (50½)11/10 at Texas L 7-33 L (+10) U (53½)11/17 at Kansas W 51-23 W (-3½) O (45)11/23 W VIRGINIA L 24-31 L (+3) U (65½)12/31 vs Tulsa L 17-31 L (+2) U (50½)
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
big 12
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 7–6 10–3 8–5 11–2 36–16 69.2%
OVERALL ATS 5–8 9–4 9–4 9–4 32–20 61.5%
HOME ATS 2–4 7–0 4–2 7–0 20–6 76.9%
ROAD ATS 3–4 2–4 5–2 2–4 12–14 46.2%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 3–5 5–4 7–2 6–3 21–14 60.0%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 2–3 3–0 2–2 3–1 10–6 62.5%
AS FAVORITE ATS 4–1 7–2 3–3 9–4 23–10 69.7%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 1–6 2–2 6–1 0–0 9–9 50.0%
OVER-UNDER 7–5 11–2 8–4 9–4 35–15 70.0%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring +28.8 2
Yardage +258.5 1
Turnovers +13 T8
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 52.4 1
Yards/Game 618.8 1
Yds Per Play 7.49 3
Rush Yds/Gm 259.7 13
Pass Yds/Gm 359.1 5
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 23.5 36
Yards/Game 360.3 28
Yds Per Play 4.75 9
Rush Yds/Gm 145.4 39
Pass Yds/Gm 214.9 34
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
big 12
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 5–7 6–7 6–7 3–9 20–30 40.0%
OVERALL ATS 5–7 7–6 5–7 6–6 23–26 46.9%
HOME ATS 4–3 3–3 2–4 3–3 12–13 48.0%
ROAD ATS 1–4 4–3 3–3 3–3 11–13 45.8%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 3–5 5–4 3–5 5–4 16–18 47.1%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 2–2 2–2 2–2 1–2 7–8 46.7%
AS FAVORITE ATS 2–2 0–3 2–1 1–1 5–7 41.7%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 3–5 7–3 3–6 5–5 18–19 48.6%
OVER-UNDER 3–8 5–7 4–8 8–4 20–27 42.6%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring -11.2 105
Yardage -100.1 112
Turnovers -1 T68
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 24.8 90
Yards/Game 363.0 97
Yds Per Play 4.82 109
Rush Yds/Gm 143.8 90
Pass Yds/Gm 219.2 78
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 36.0 109
Yards/Game 463.1 106
Yds Per Play 6.05 99
Rush Yds/Gm 224.0 114
Pass Yds/Gm 239.1 76
StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2014 59
>KANSAS
2011-13 gaME logS
9/69/139/209/2710/410/1110/1811/111/811/1511/2211/29
S’EAST MISSOURI STATEat DukeCENTRAL MICHIGANTEXASat West VirginiaOKLAHOMA STATEat Texas Techat BaylorIOWA STATETCUat Oklahomaat Kansas State
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/7 S DAKOTA W 31-14 L (-28½) O (44½)9/14 at Rice L 14-23 L (+5½) U (59)9/21 LOUISIANA TECH W 13-10 L (-10½) U (51)10/5 TEXAS TECH L 16-54 L (+16) O (56½)10/12 at TCU L 17-27 W (+24) U (45)10/19 OKLAHOMA L 19-34 W (+21) O (49)10/26 BAYLOR L 14-59 L (+34½) O (65½)11/2 at Texas L 13-35 W (+26½) U (52)11/9 at Oklahoma St L 6-42 L (+31) U (56½)11/16 W VIRGINIA W 31-19 W (+6½) O (43½)11/23 at Iowa St L 0-34 L (+3½) U (47)11/30 KANSAS ST L 10-31 L (+18) U (52)
>KANSAS STATE
2011-13 gaME logS
8/309/69/189/2710/410/1810/2511/111/811/2011/2912/6
STEPHEN F. AUSTINat Iowa StateAUBURNUTEPTEXAS TECHat OklahomaTEXASOKLAHOMA STATEat TCUat West VirginiaKANSASat Baylor
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/30 N DAKOTA ST L 21-24 L (-13½) U (48)9/7 LA LAFAYETTE W 48-27 W (-12½) O (60½)9/14 MASSACHUSETTS W 37-7 L (-37) U (56½)9/21 at Texas L 21-31 L (+5½) U (60½)10/5 at Oklahoma St L 29-33 W (+13) O (61½)10/12 BAYLOR L 25-35 W (+17) U (73)10/26 W VIRGINIA W 35-12 W (-13) U (52)11/2 IOWA ST W 41-7 W (-17½) U (52½)11/9 at Texas Tech W 49-26 W (+2½) O (62½)11/16 TCU W 33-31 L (-11) O (45)11/23 OKLAHOMA L 31-41 L (-6) O (53½)11/30 at Kansas W 31-10 W (-18) U (52)12/28 vs Michigan W 31-14 W (-7) U (52½)
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/3 MCNEESE ST W 42-24 W (-14) 9/10 N ILLINOIS W 45-42 W (+4) O (63)9/17 at Georgia Tech L 24-66 L (+14½) O (62)10/1 TEXAS TECH L 34-45 L (+6½) O (66)10/8 at Oklahoma St L 28-70 L (+31) O (74)10/15 OKLAHOMA L 17-47 W (+37½) U (70½)10/22 KANSAS ST L 21-59 L (+10½) O (59½)10/29 at Texas L 0-43 L (+27½) U (64½)11/5 at Iowa St L 10-13 W (+14½) U (58)11/12 BAYLOR L 30-31 W (+20) U (75½)11/19 at Texas A&M L 7-61 L (+32) O (65)11/26 vs Missouri L 10-24 W (+26) U (56½)
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/1 S DAKOTA ST W 31-17 L (-22½) 9/8 RICE L 24-25 L (-12½) U (62)9/15 TCU L 6-20 W (+19) U (58½)9/22 at N Illinois L 23-30 P (+7) U (54)10/6 at Kansas St L 16-56 L (+25) O (57)10/13 OKLAHOMA ST L 14-20 W (+26½) U (68)10/20 at Oklahoma L 7-52 L (+34½) O (55½)10/27 TEXAS L 17-21 W (+18) U (59½)11/3 at Baylor L 14-41 L (+16½) U (69½)11/10 at Texas Tech L 34-41 W (+24) O (55½)11/17 IOWA ST L 23-51 L (+3½) O (45)12/1 at W Virginia L 10-59 L (+21½) U (70½)
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/3 E KENTUCKY W 10-7 L (-26) 9/17 KENT ST W 37-0 W (-17½) U (45½)9/24 at Miami W 28-24 W (+12½) O (46)10/1 BAYLOR W 36-35 W (+3) O (64)10/8 MISSOURI W 24-17 W (+3½) U (54)10/15 at Texas Tech W 41-34 W (+3½) O (59½)10/22 at Kansas W 59-21 W (-10½) O (59½)10/29 OKLAHOMA L 17-58 L (+13) O (58)11/5 at Oklahoma St L 45-52 W (+21) O (70½)11/12 TEXAS A&M W 53-50 W (+5½) O (66½)11/19 at Texas W 17-13 W (+7½) U (52½)12/3 IOWA ST W 30-23 L (-10) O (50½)1/6 vs Arkansas L 16-29 L (+9) U (65)
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/1 MISSOURI ST W 51-9 W (-34) 9/8 MIAMI W 52-13 W (-7) O (58)9/15 NORTH TEXAS W 35-21 L (-27½) O (54)9/22 at Oklahoma W 24-19 W (+15½) U (56½)10/6 KANSAS W 56-16 W (-25) O (57)10/13 at Iowa St W 27-21 P (-6) U (48½)10/20 at W Virginia W 55-14 W (+3) U (73)10/27 TEXAS TECH W 55-24 W (-7) O (60½)11/3 OKLAHOMA ST W 44-30 W (-7) O (68½)11/10 at TCU W 23-10 W (-6½) U (57)11/17 at Baylor L 24-52 L (-12) O (75)12/1 TEXAS W 42-24 W (-10½) O (59)1/3 vs Oregon L 17-35 L (+7½) U (74)
ACCCollege Top 25
Big TenConference U
SAM
ACM
ountain West
SECSun Belt
IndependentsPac-12
Big 12A
AC2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
big 12
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 3–9 2–10 1–11 3–9 9–39 18.8%
OVERALL ATS 5–7 6–6 4–7 4–8 19–28 40.4%
HOME ATS 3–4 4–2 3–3 2–5 12–14 46.2%
ROAD ATS 2–3 2–4 1–4 2–3 7–14 33.3%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 3–5 4–5 4–5 4–5 15–20 42.9%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 2–1 2–1 0–2 0–3 4–7 36.4%
AS FAVORITE ATS 1–0 1–0 0–2 0–2 2–4 33.3%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 4–6 5–6 4–5 4–6 17–23 42.5%
OVER-UNDER 6–5 6–5 4–7 5–7 21–24 46.7%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring -16.5 112
Yardage -138.1 118
Turnovers +1 T54
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 15.3 120
Yards/Game 294.5 119
Yds Per Play 4.28 122
Rush Yds/Gm 154.1 78
Pass Yds/Gm 140.4 119
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 31.8 94
Yards/Game 432.6 97
Yds Per Play 5.82 87
Rush Yds/Gm 190.6 90
Pass Yds/Gm 242.0 79
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
big 12
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 7–6 10–3 11–2 8–5 36–16 69.2%
OVERALL ATS 6–7 9–4 9–3 8–5 32–19 62.7%
HOME ATS 2–4 4–3 6–1 4–4 16–12 57.1%
ROAD ATS 4–3 5–1 3–2 4–1 16–7 69.6%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 5–3 7–2 7–1 6–3 25–9 73.5%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 1–4 2–2 2–2 2–2 7–10 41.2%
AS FAVORITE ATS 3–4 2–2 7–2 5–4 17–12 58.6%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 3–3 7–2 2–1 3–1 15–7 68.2%
OVER-UNDER 9–3 8–4 7–5 5–8 29–20 59.2%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring +10.3 34
Yardage +43.8 46
Turnovers 0 T61
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 33.2 37
Yards/Game 402.7 72
Yds Per Play 6.32 28
Rush Yds/Gm 178.0 T54
Pass Yds/Gm 224.7 75
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 22.9 31
Yards/Game 358.8 26
Yds Per Play 5.08 26
Rush Yds/Gm 139.1 27
Pass Yds/Gm 219.8 48
60 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2014
>
OKLAHOMA
2011-13 gaME logS
8/309/69/139/2010/410/1110/1811/111/811/1511/2212/6
LOUISIANA TECHat TulsaTENNESSEEat West Virginiaat TCUvs. Texas*KANSAS STATEat Iowa StateBAYLORat Texas TechKANSASOKLAHOMA STATE
* at Dallas, Texas
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/31 LA MONROE W 34-0 W (-22½) U (60)9/7 W VIRGINIA W 16-7 L (-21) U (53½)9/14 TULSA W 51-20 W (-23) O (51)9/28 at Notre Dame W 35-21 W (-3½) O (50½)10/5 TCU W 20-17 L (-10½) U (47)10/12 vs Texas L 20-36 L (-13½) U (57½)10/19 at Kansas W 34-19 L (-21) O (49)10/26 TEXAS TECH W 38-30 W (-6½) O (59½)11/7 at Baylor L 12-41 L (+17) U (75)11/16 IOWA ST W 48-10 W (-22½) O (48½)11/23 at Kansas St W 41-31 W (+6) O (53½)12/7 at Oklahoma St W 33-24 W (+9½) O (56½)1/2 vs Alabama W 45-31 W (+16½) O (51½)
>OKLAHOMA STATE
2011-13 gaME logS
8/309/69/139/2510/410/1110/1810/2511/111/1511/2212/6
vs. Florida State*MISSOURI STATEUTSATEXAS TECHIOWA STATEat Kansasat TCUWEST VIRGINIAat Kansas StateTEXASat Baylorat Oklahoma
* at Arlington, Texas
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/31 vs Mississippi St W 21-3 W (-12½) U (61½)9/7 at Utsa W 56-35 L (-28) O (59)9/14 LAMAR W 59-3 W (-47) U (65)9/28 at W Virginia L 21-30 L (-19½) U (59½)10/5 KANSAS ST W 33-29 L (-13) O (61½)10/19 TCU W 24-10 W (-6½) U (52)10/26 at Iowa St W 58-27 W (-13½) O (56)11/2 at Texas Tech W 52-34 W (-1½) O (69½)11/9 KANSAS W 42-6 W (-31) U (56½)11/16 at Texas W 38-13 W (-3) U (62½)11/23 BAYLOR W 49-17 W (+7½) U (78)12/7 OKLAHOMA L 24-33 L (-9½) O (56½)1/3 vs Missouri L 31-41 L (-3) O (62)
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/3 TULSA W 47-14 W (-24) U (62½)9/17 at Florida St W 23-13 W (-3½) U (56)9/24 MISSOURI W 38-28 L (-19½) O (56½)10/1 BALL ST W 62-6 W (-40) O (63)10/8 vs Texas W 55-17 W (-10½) O (56)10/15 at Kansas W 47-17 L (-37½) U (70½)10/22 TEXAS TECH L 38-41 L (-29) O (69)10/29 at Kansas St W 58-17 W (-13) O (58)11/5 TEXAS A&M W 41-25 W (-14) U (67)11/19 at Baylor L 38-45 L (-17) O (75)11/26 IOWA ST W 26-6 L (-28½) U (57½)12/3 at Oklahoma St L 10-44 L (+3½) U (71½)12/30 vs Iowa W 31-14 W (-13½) U (58)
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/1 at UTEP W 24-7 L (-29½) U (63)9/8 FLORIDA AM W 69-13 W (-54) 9/22 KANSAS ST L 19-24 L (-15½) U (56½)10/6 at Texas Tech W 41-20 W (-4½) O (57)10/13 vs Texas W 63-21 W (-3) O (54½)10/20 KANSAS W 52-7 W (-34½) O (55½)10/27 NOTRE DAME L 13-30 L (-11) U (47½)11/3 at Iowa St W 35-20 W (-13) O (50½)11/10 BAYLOR W 42-34 L (-21) O (74½)11/17 at W Virginia W 50-49 L (-10½) O (72½)11/24 OKLAHOMA ST W 51-48 L (-6) O (70½)12/1 at TCU W 24-17 W (-6½) U (54)1/4 vs Texas A&M L 13-41 L (+3) U (72½)
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/3 LA LAFAYETTE W 61-34 L (-38) O (62)9/8 ARIZONA W 37-14 W (-14) U (65½)9/17 at Tulsa W 59-33 W (-13½) O (67)9/24 at Texas A&M W 30-29 W (+5) U (68½)10/8 KANSAS W 70-28 W (-31) O (74)10/15 at Texas W 38-26 W (-7) O (63½)10/22 at Missouri W 45-24 W (-6) U (70)10/29 BAYLOR W 59-24 W (-14½) O (82)11/5 KANSAS ST W 52-45 L (-21) O (70½)11/12 at Texas Tech W 66-6 W (-19½) U (79)11/18 at Iowa St L 31-37 L (-26½) U (69½)12/3 OKLAHOMA W 44-10 W (-3½) U (71½)1/2 vs Stanford W 41-38 L (-4½) O (73)
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/1 SAVANNAH ST W 84-0 W (-58) 9/8 at Arizona L 38-59 L (-10) O (70)9/15 LA LAFAYETTE W 65-24 W (-23) O (73½)9/29 TEXAS L 36-41 L (+2) O (63½)10/13 at Kansas W 20-14 L (-26½) U (68)10/20 IOWA ST W 31-10 W (-14) U (57½)10/27 TCU W 36-14 W (-7) U (64)11/3 at Kansas St L 30-44 L (+7) O (68½)11/10 W VIRGINIA W 55-34 W (-11) O (73½)11/17 TEXAS TECH W 59-21 W (-10) O (73)11/24 at Oklahoma L 48-51 W (+6) O (70½)12/1 at Baylor L 34-41 L (-4) U (87)1/1 vs Purdue W 58-14 W (-18) O (69)
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
big 12
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 12–2 10–3 10–3 11–2 43–10 81.1%
OVERALL ATS 8–6 7–6 6–7 8–5 29–24 54.7%
HOME ATS 4–2 3–3 2–4 4–2 13–11 54.2%
ROAD ATS 4–4 4–3 4–3 4–3 16–13 55.2%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 6–3 3–6 5–4 4–5 18–18 50.0%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 2–3 4–0 1–3 4–0 11–6 64.7%
AS FAVORITE ATS 7–6 7–5 6–6 5–4 25–21 54.3%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 1–0 0–1 0–1 3–1 4–3 57.1%
OVER-UNDER 7–7 6–7 7–5 8–5 28–24 53.8%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring +10.8 33
Yardage +72.8 31
Turnovers +8 T21
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 32.8 40
Yards/Game 423.0 52
Yds Per Play 5.84 51
Rush Yds/Gm 223.9 18
Pass Yds/Gm 199.1 92
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 22.1 T22
Yards/Game 350.2 20
Yds Per Play 5.38 53
Rush Yds/Gm 137.6 25
Pass Yds/Gm 212.5 30
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
big 12
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 11–2 12–1 8–5 10–3 41–11 78.8%
OVERALL ATS 10–3 9–4 8–5 8–5 35–17 67.3%
HOME ATS 4–3 4–2 6–1 4–2 18–8 69.2%
ROAD ATS 6–0 5–2 2–4 4–3 17–9 65.4%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 6–2 7–2 5–4 6–3 24–11 68.6%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 4–1 2–2 3–1 2–2 11–6 64.7%
AS FAVORITE ATS 9–2 8–4 7–3 7–5 31–14 68.9%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 1–1 1–0 1–2 1–0 4–3 57.1%
OVER-UNDER 8–5 7–6 8–4 6–7 29–22 56.9%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring +17.5 11
Yardage +63.8 35
Turnovers +15 T5
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 39.1 14
Yards/Game 448.8 37
Yds Per Play 5.91 46
Rush Yds/Gm 171.6 64
Pass Yds/Gm 277.2 29
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 21.6 19
Yards/Game 384.9 53
Yds Per Play 4.77 11
Rush Yds/Gm 142.4 32
Pass Yds/Gm 242.5 80
StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2014 61
>TEXAS
2011-13 gaME logS
8/309/69/139/2710/410/1110/1810/2511/111/811/1511/27
NORTH TEXASBRIGHAM YOUNGUCLAat KansasBAYLORvs. Oklahoma*IOWA STATEat Kansas Stateat Texas TechWEST VIRGINIAat Oklahoma StateTCU
* at Dallas, Texas
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/31 NEW MEXICO ST W 56-7 W (-43) O (53)9/7 at BYU L 21-40 L (-7) O (54½)9/14 OLE MISS L 23-44 L (-2) O (63½)9/21 KANSAS ST W 31-21 W (-5½) U (60½)10/3 at Iowa St W 31-30 L (-7) O (54½)10/12 vs Oklahoma W 36-20 W (+13½) U (57½)10/26 at TCU W 30-7 W (+3) U (48½)11/2 KANSAS W 35-13 L (-26½) U (52)11/9 at W Virginia W 47-40 P (-7) O (55½)11/16 OKLAHOMA ST L 13-38 L (+3) U (62½)11/28 TEXAS TECH W 41-16 W (-5) U (67)12/7 at Baylor L 10-30 L (+17½) U (71)12/30 vs Oregon L 7-30 L (+15½) U (68)
>TCU
2011-13 gaME logS
8/309/139/2710/410/1110/1810/2511/111/811/1511/2712/6
SAMFORDMINNESOTAat Southern MethodistOKLAHOMAat BaylorOKLAHOMA STATETEXAS TECHat West VirginiaKANSAS STATEat Kansasat TexasIOWA STATE
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/31 vs LSU L 27-37 L (+3½) O (47½)9/7 SE LOUISIANA W 38-17 L (-40) O (54½)9/12 at Texas Tech L 10-20 L (-3) U (59½)9/28 SMU W 48-17 W (-17) O (50½)10/5 at Oklahoma L 17-20 W (+10½) U (47)10/12 KANSAS W 27-17 L (-24) U (45)10/19 at Oklahoma St L 10-24 L (+6½) U (52)10/26 TEXAS L 7-30 L (-3) U (48½)11/2 W VIRGINIA L 27-30 L (-10½) O (45)11/9 at Iowa St W 21-17 L (-7) U (42½)11/16 at Kansas St L 31-33 W (+11) O (45)11/30 BAYLOR L 38-41 W (+14½) O (64)
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/3 RICE W 34-9 W (-23½) U (54)9/10 BYU W 17-16 L (-7½) U (48½)9/17 at UCLA W 49-20 W (-4) O (47)10/1 at Iowa St W 37-14 W (-9) O (47)10/8 vs Oklahoma L 17-55 L (+10½) O (56)10/15 OKLAHOMA ST L 26-38 L (+7) O (63½)10/29 KANSAS W 43-0 W (-27½) U (64½)11/5 TEXAS TECH W 52-20 W (-14) O (59½)11/12 at Missouri L 5-17 L (0) U (58)11/19 KANSAS ST L 13-17 L (-7½) U (52½)11/24 at Texas A&M W 27-25 W (+7½) U (53)12/3 at Baylor L 24-48 L (+1½) O (62)12/28 vs California W 21-10 W (-3) U (48)
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/1 WYOMING W 37-17 L (-31) U (54½)9/8 NEW MEXICO W 45-0 W (-39) U (53½)9/15 at Ole Miss W 66-31 W (-10½) O (51)9/29 at Oklahoma St W 41-36 W (-2) O (63½)10/6 W VIRGINIA L 45-48 L (-8) O (73)10/13 vs Oklahoma L 21-63 L (+3) O (54½)10/20 BAYLOR W 56-50 L (-9½) O (79½)10/27 at Kansas W 21-17 L (-18) U (59½)11/3 at Texas Tech W 31-22 W (+6) U (66½)11/10 IOWA ST W 33-7 W (-10) U (53½)11/22 TCU L 13-20 L (-7) U (54½)12/1 at Kansas St L 24-42 L (+10½) O (59)12/29 vs Oregon St W 31-27 W (+3) O (56)
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/2 at Baylor L 48-50 L (-3½) O (53½)9/10 at Air Force W 35-19 W (-1½) O (50½)9/17 LA MONROE W 38-17 L (-28) O (52½)9/24 PORTLAND ST W 55-13 P (-42) O (65½)10/1 SMU L 33-40 L (-13) O (53)10/8 at San Diego st W 27-14 W (-4½) U (56½)10/22 NEW MEXICO W 69-0 W (-44½) O (63½)10/28 vs BYU W 38-28 L (-13) O (55½)11/5 at Wyoming W 31-20 L (-18½) U (55½)11/12 at Boise St W 36-35 W (+16½) O (59½)11/19 COLORADO ST W 34-10 L (-34) U (56)12/3 UNLV W 56-9 W (-39) O (54½)12/21 vs Louisiana Tech W 31-24 L (-9½) O (53)
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/8 GRAMBLING W 56-0 W (-50) 9/15 at Kansas W 20-6 L (-19) U (58½)9/22 VIRGINIA W 27-7 W (-18) U (53)9/29 at SMU W 24-16 L (-13½) U (51½)10/6 IOWA ST L 23-37 L (-7) O (40½)10/13 at Baylor W 49-21 W (+6) O (68½)10/20 TEXAS TECH L 53-56 L (-1½) O (57)10/27 at Oklahoma St L 14-36 L (+7) U (64)11/3 at W Virginia W 39-38 W (+4) O (69½)11/10 KANSAS ST L 10-23 L (+6½) U (57)11/22 at Texas W 20-13 W (+7) U (54½)12/1 OKLAHOMA L 17-24 L (+6½) U (54)12/29 vs Michigan St L 16-17 L (-1½) U (40)
ACCCollege Top 25
Big TenConference U
SAM
ACM
ountain West
SECSun Belt
IndependentsPac-12
Big 12A
AC2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
big 12
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 13–0 11–2 7–6 4–8 35–16 68.6%
OVERALL ATS 7–6 5–7 5–8 4–8 21–29 42.0%
HOME ATS 4–2 2–3 2–4 2–4 10–13 43.5%
ROAD ATS 3–4 3–4 3–4 2–4 11–16 40.7%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 5–3 5–2 3–6 3–6 16–17 48.5%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 2–3 0–5 2–2 1–2 5–12 29.4%
AS FAVORITE ATS 7–6 4–7 2–5 1–6 14–24 36.8%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 0–0 1–0 3–3 3–2 7–5 58.3%
OVER-UNDER 5–7 10–3 4–8 6–6 25–24 51.0%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring -0.2 70
Yardage -11.6 76
Turnovers -2 T73
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 25.1 88
Yards/Game 344.8 106
Yds Per Play 5.03 105
Rush Yds/Gm 118.6 111
Pass Yds/Gm 226.3 74
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 25.3 54
Yards/Game 356.4 24
Yds Per Play 4.83 13
Rush Yds/Gm 130.8 21
Pass Yds/Gm 225.6 58
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
big 12
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 5–7 8–5 9–4 8–5 30–21 58.8%
OVERALL ATS 3–9 7–6 6–7 5–7 21–29 42.0%
HOME ATS 1–6 3–3 2–4 3–3 9–16 36.0%
ROAD ATS 2–3 4–3 4–3 2–4 12–13 48.0%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 2–6 4–5 3–6 4–4 13–21 38.2%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 1–3 3–1 3–1 1–3 8–8 50.0%
AS FAVORITE ATS 2–6 6–2 4–5 3–4 15–17 46.9%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 1–3 1–4 2–2 2–3 6–12 33.3%
OVER-UNDER 4–8 6–7 7–6 5–8 22–29 43.1%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring +3.5 60
Yardage +1.5 70
Turnovers +4 T38
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 29.3 65
Yards/Game 408.7 65
Yds Per Play 5.29 93
Rush Yds/Gm 196.2 36
Pass Yds/Gm 212.5 81
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 25.8 57
Yards/Game 407.2 69
Yds Per Play 5.48 62
Rush Yds/Gm 183.1 84
Pass Yds/Gm 224.2 53
62 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2014
>TEXAS TECH
2011-13 gaME logS
8/309/69/139/2510/410/1110/1810/2511/111/1511/2211/29
CENTRAL ARKANSASat UTEPARKANSASat Oklahoma Stateat Kansas StateWEST VIRGINIAKANSASat TCUTEXASOKLAHOMAat Iowa Statevs. Baylor*
* at Arlington, Texas
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/30 at SMU W 41-23 W (-4) O (59)9/7 SF AUSTIN W 61-13 W (-34½) U (75)9/12 TCU W 20-10 W (+3) U (59½)9/21 TEXAS ST W 33-7 L (-26½) U (56)10/5 at Kansas W 54-16 W (-16) O (56½)10/12 IOWA ST W 42-35 L (-14) O (58½)10/19 at W Virginia W 37-27 W (-4) O (57½)10/26 at Oklahoma L 30-38 L (+6½) O (59½)11/2 OKLAHOMA ST L 34-52 L (+1½) O (69½)11/9 KANSAS ST L 26-49 L (-2½) O (62½)11/16 vs Baylor L 34-63 L (+28) O (85)11/28 at Texas L 16-41 L (+5) U (67)12/30 vs Arizona St W 37-23 W (+17) U (71½)
>WEST V IRG IN IA
2011-13 gaME logS
8/309/69/139/2010/410/1110/1810/2511/111/811/2011/29
vs. Alabama*TOWSONat MarylandOKLAHOMAKANSASat Texas TechBAYLORat Oklahoma StateTCUat TexasKANSAS STATEat Iowa State
* at Atlanta, Georgia
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/31 WILLIAM & MARY W 24-17 L (-31½) U (60)9/7 at Oklahoma L 7-16 W (+21) U (53½)9/14 GEORGIA ST W 41-7 L (-41½) U (55½)9/21 vs Maryland L 0-37 L (+3½) U (54)9/28 OKLAHOMA ST W 30-21 W (+19½) U (59½)10/5 at Baylor L 42-73 L (+30) O (69)10/19 TEXAS TECH L 27-37 L (+4) O (57½)10/26 at Kansas St L 12-35 L (+13) U (52)11/2 at TCU W 30-27 W (+10½) O (45)11/9 TEXAS L 40-47 P (+7) O (55½)11/16 at Kansas L 19-31 L (-6½) O (43½)11/30 IOWA ST L 44-52 L (-7½) O (53)
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/3 TEXAS ST UNIV W 50-10 W (-39½) 9/17 at New Mexico W 59-13 W (-20½) O (54½)9/24 NEVADA W 35-34 L (-16) O (61)10/1 at Kansas W 45-34 W (-6½) O (66)10/8 TEXAS A&M L 40-45 W (+8½) O (72½)10/15 KANSAS ST L 34-41 L (-3½) O (59½)10/22 at Oklahoma W 41-38 W (+29) O (69)10/29 IOWA ST L 7-41 L (-15) U (67)11/5 at Texas L 20-52 L (+14) O (59½)11/12 OKLAHOMA ST L 6-66 L (+19½) U (79)11/19 at Missouri L 27-31 W (+18) U (67)11/26 vs Baylor L 42-66 L (+12) O (82½)
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/1 NORTHWESTERN ST W 44-6 W (-36) 9/8 at Texas St W 58-10 W (-20) O (60)9/15 NEW MEXICO W 49-14 W (-32) U (65½)9/29 at Iowa St W 24-13 W (-1) U (63½)10/6 OKLAHOMA L 20-41 L (+4½) O (57)10/13 W VIRGINIA W 49-14 W (+3) U (75)10/20 at TCU W 56-53 W (+1½) O (57)10/27 at Kansas St L 24-55 L (+7) O (60½)11/3 TEXAS L 22-31 L (-6) U (66½)11/10 KANSAS W 41-34 L (-24) O (55½)11/17 at Oklahoma St L 21-59 L (+10) O (73)11/24 vs Baylor L 45-52 L (+3) O (80½)12/28 vs Minnesota W 34-31 L (-13) O (55½)
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/3 TEXAS ST UNIV W 50-10 W (-39½) 9/17 at New Mexico W 59-13 W (-20½) O (54½)9/24 NEVADA W 35-34 L (-16) O (61)10/1 at Kansas W 45-34 W (-6½) O (66)10/8 TEXAS A&M L 40-45 W (+8½) O (72½)10/15 KANSAS ST L 34-41 L (-3½) O (59½)10/22 at Oklahoma W 41-38 W (+29) O (69)10/29 IOWA ST L 7-41 L (-15) U (67)11/5 at Texas L 20-52 L (+14) O (59½)11/12 OKLAHOMA ST L 6-66 L (+19½) U (79)11/19 at Missouri L 27-31 W (+18) U (67)11/26 vs Baylor L 42-66 L (+12) O (82½)
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/1 MARSHALL W 69-34 W (-26½) O (67½)9/15 vs James Madison W 42-12 L (-35½) 9/22 MARYLAND W 31-21 L (-25½) U (61½)9/29 BAYLOR W 70-63 L (-12) O (84)10/6 at Texas W 48-45 W (+8) O (73)10/13 at Texas Tech L 14-49 L (-3) U (75)10/20 KANSAS ST L 14-55 L (-3) U (73)11/3 TCU L 38-39 L (-4) O (69½)11/10 at Oklahoma St L 34-55 L (+11) O (73½)11/17 OKLAHOMA L 49-50 W (+10½) O (72½)11/23 at Iowa St W 31-24 W (-3) U (65½)12/1 KANSAS W 59-10 W (-21½) U (70½)12/29 vs Syracuse L 14-38 L (-4) U (70)
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
big 12
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 8–5 5–7 8–5 8–5 29–22 56.9%
OVERALL ATS 5–7 6–6 6–7 6–7 23–27 46.0%
HOME ATS 3–3 2–4 3–3 2–4 10–14 41.7%
ROAD ATS 2–4 4–2 3–4 4–3 13–13 50.0%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 2–5 4–5 3–6 3–6 12–22 35.3%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 3–2 2–1 3–1 3–1 11–5 68.8%
AS FAVORITE ATS 4–4 3–3 4–3 4–3 15–13 53.6%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 1–3 3–3 2–4 2–4 8–14 36.4%
OVER-UNDER 6–6 8–3 8–4 8–5 30–18 62.5%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring +5.2 52
Yardage +92.5 23
Turnovers -14 123
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 35.8 T23
Yards/Game 511.0 8
Yds Per Play 5.85 50
Rush Yds/Gm 118.2 112
Pass Yds/Gm 392.8 2
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 30.5 88
Yards/Game 418.5 85
Yds Per Play 5.36 50
Rush Yds/Gm 201.5 99
Pass Yds/Gm 217.1 39
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
big 12
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 9–4 10–3 7–6 4–8 30–21 58.8%
OVERALL ATS 7–6 7–6 5–8 3–8 22–28 44.0%
HOME ATS 4–3 2–5 3–4 1–4 10–16 38.5%
ROAD ATS 3–3 5–1 2–4 2–4 12–12 50.0%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 4–3 4–3 4–5 3–5 15–16 48.4%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 3–3 3–3 1–3 0–3 7–12 36.8%
AS FAVORITE ATS 5–5 5–5 3–7 0–4 13–21 38.2%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 2–0 2–1 2–1 3–4 9–6 60.0%
OVER-UNDER 4–8 9–4 6–6 6–6 25–24 51.0%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring -7.0 94
Yardage -44.0 89
Turnovers -4 T85
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 26.3 79
Yards/Game 411.0 63
Yds Per Play 5.53 70
Rush Yds/Gm 148.7 83
Pass Yds/Gm 262.3 34
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 33.3 T100
Yards/Game 455.0 102
Yds Per Play 5.93 94
Rush Yds/Gm 191.7 91
Pass Yds/Gm 263.3 108
64 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2014
>
ILLINOISOffense: Starters returning - 6; Defense: Starters returning - 8 The Illini won only one Big Ten game last season and allowed 40.8 PPG to their conference foes, but things could get better in a hurry with Oklahoma State transfer QB Wes Lunt (8.5 YPA, 6 TD, 7 INT in 2012) running the offense this season. The strong-armed Lunt should get plenty of protection with an O-Line that returns four starters, but his receiving corps is weak, with WR Martize Barr (246 rec yds) as the top option. The ground game is in good shape though, with versatile RB Josh Ferguson (5.5 YPC, 50 rec, 1,314 total yards, 11 TD). The defense returns nearly everybody, but lost 33% of its pal-try 15-sack total in Jonathan Brown. LB Mason Monheim (97 tackles) and converted safety OLB Earnest Thomas (101 tackles, 7 PD) are the keys to the defense along with CBs V’Angelo Bentley (4 TFL) and Eaton Spence (4 PD).
INDIANAOffense: Starters returning - 7; Defense: Starters returning - 10The Hoosiers scored 46.1 PPG at home last year, but managed less than half of that (23.0 PPG) outside of Bloomington. The June transfer of dual-threat QB Tre Roberson leaves the offense to pocket-passer QB Nate Sudfeld (7.8 YPA, 21 TD, 9 INT). The receiving corps lost a lot, but WR Shane Wynn (11 rec TD) and freshman WR Dominique Booth starred in the spring. RB Tevin Coleman (958 rush yds, 7.3 YPC, 12 TD) is fully healed from knee surgery and eager to run behind an experienced offensive line. New DC Brian Knorr will switch Indiana to the same 3-4 defensive scheme he ran at Wake Forest in effort to improve its dismal 38.8 PPG and 528 total YPG allowed. DE Nick Mangieri (3 sacks) must produce more QB pressure, but LB T.J. Simmons (68 tackles) and CB Tim Bennett (20 PD, 73 tackles) are special players.
IOWAOffense: Starters returning - 6; Defense: Starters returning - 5 This program got back on track last season with eight wins, and now the Hawkeyes look to reach double-digit victories with their four best offensive players returning in RB Mark Weisman (974 rush yds, 8 TD), QB Jake Rudock (6.9 YPA, 18 TD, 13 INT), NFL-ready LT Brandon Scherff and WR Kevonte Martin-Manley (388 rec yds, 5 TD). The 236-pound Weisman is perfect for Kirk Ferentz’s power running scheme, while Rudock threw multiple TD pass-es seven times as a sophomore. Iowa lost All-Conference CB B.J. Lowery and all three starting linebackers, but the cupboard isn’t entirely bare on defense with CB Desmond King (69 tackles, 8 PD) and SS John Lowdermilk (78 tackles) starring in the secondary, and 290-pound DT Louis Trinca-Pasat (9 TFL) and 315-pound DT Carl Davis (4 TFL) clogging up the middle.
MARYLANDOffense: Starters returning - 8; Defense: Starters returning - 9 Maryland is in pretty good shape offensively as it enters the Big Ten with dynamic senior QB C.J. Brown (2,242 pass yds, 13 TD, 7 INT; 576 rush yds, 12 TD) and a host of playmakers. Both of the team’s top wideouts, WRs Stefon Diggs (80 rec YPG, 9 TD career) and Deon Long (70 rec YPG) are back healthy from broken legs, and RB Wes Brown (382 rush yds in 2012) returns from a suspension to help out RB Brandon Ross (776 rush yds, 4 TD) in the backfield. The defense has a couple of key injury returnees in CB Jeremiah Johnson (8 PD in 2012) and LB Yannik Cudjoe-Virgil (3 sacks in 5 games), and will remain tough in the middle with ILBs Cole Farrand (84 tackles) and L.A. Goree (76 tackles). Team sack leader DE Andre Monroe (9.5 sacks, 17 TFL, 42 tackles) also returns to wreak havoc on opposing quarterbacks.
MICHIGANOffense: Starters returning - 7; Defense: Starters returning - 8 New OC Doug Nussmeier left Alabama to hopefully provide a shot in the arm to a Wolverines offense whose O-Line was horrible last year, leading to a poor ground game (126 rush YPG, 3.3 YPC) and indecision by dual-threat QB Devin Gardner (8.6 YPA, 21 TD, 11 INT; 483 rush yds, 11 TD). The senior will have to adjust to his third different OC in his Michigan career with-out graduated top WR Jeremy Gallon. The ground game hopes the return of four starting O-Linemen can help, but the best rusher on the team is underwhelming RB Derrick Green (270 rush yds, 3.3 YPC). The defense is in much better shape with LB Jake Ryan (4.5 TFL in 8 games) returning from a knee injury to anchor a strong linebacking corps. Star CB Ray Taylor (86 tackles, 4 INT, 9 PD) and DE Frank Clark (5.5 sacks) are players on the rise.
MICHIGAN STATEOffense: Starters returning - 7; Defense: Starters returning - 5The Spartans are expected to take a step back after losing so many key players from their 13-win season in 2013, but they still have enough left to challenge for the conference title. Junior QB Connor Cook (7.3 YPA, 22 TD, 6 INT) is coming off a great season, and big things are expected for his future. WRs Tony Lippett (613 rec yds) and Macgarrett Kings Jr. (513 rec yds) do a nice job of getting open, and RB Jeremy Langford (1,422 rush yds, 18 TD) is an excellent runner who may get more action in the passing game. This top-notch defense lost six starters, but is packed with playmakers such as DEs Shilique Calhoun (7.5 sacks, 14 TFL) and Marcus Rush (5 sacks) up front, and S Kurtis Drummond (91 tackles, 4 INT) and CB Trae Waynes (3 INT) in back. The big question is whether the young linebackers will emerge.
BIG TEN EASTERN DIVISION .............. WESTERN DIVISION
pREdictEd FiniSh
1. Ohio State 2. Michigan State 3. Michigan 4. Penn State 5. Maryland 6. Indiana 7. Rutgers
1. Wisconsin2. Nebraska3. Iowa4. Northwestern5. Illinois6. Minnesota7. Purdue
StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2014 65
ACCCollege Top 25
Big 12Conference U
SAM
ACM
ountain West
SECSun Belt
Independents
MINNESOTAOffense: Starters returning - 7; Defense: Starters returning - 7Despite eight wins, Minnesota scored only 25.7 PPG (18.8 PPG in Big Ten). With Philip Nelson gone, QB Mitch Leidner (7.9 YPA, 3 TD, 1 INT) takes over an offense lacking in quality wideouts, but 6-foot-4 TE Maxx Williams (417 rec yds, 5 TD) is a reliable target. The ground game is strong with a vet-eran O-Line creating holes for RB David Cobb (1,202 rush yds, 7 TD). This defense shined in 2013 (22.2 PPG, 25th in FBS), but lost both DT Ra’Shede Hageman and DB Brock Vereen. The Gophers do return DE Theiren Cockran (7.5 sacks), LB Damien Wilson (78 tackles) and a veteran secondary though.
NEBRASKAOffense: Starters returning - 10; Defense: Starters returning - 5The Cornhuskers are looking for more consistency after an up-and-down season with all four losses coming by double-digits. QB Tommy Armstrong (7.4 YPA, 9 TD, 8 INT) is expected to take a leap forward as a sophomore, especially with returning star WR Kenny Bell (577 rec yds, 4 TD). But the offense still revolves around electric RB Ameer Abdullah (6.0 YPC, 1,922 total yds, 11 TD). DE Randy Gregory (10 sacks in final 8 games) ignites the defense, while LB Trevor Roach is back from a foot injury. CB Josh Mitchell (6 PD) and S Corey Cooper (91 tackles) are the leaders of a solid secondary.
NORTHWESTERNOffense: Starters returning - 9; Defense: Starters returning - 7 After a 4-0 start in 2013, Northwestern lost seven straight before its lone Big Ten win over Illinois. The offense could throw more with QB Trevor Siemian (7.2 YPA, 11 TD, 9 INT) under center with returning WRs Christian Jones (668 rec yds) and Tony Jones (630 rec yds). RB Venric Mark (1,366 rush yds, 12 TD in 2012) is back healthy, but his O-Line is green. S Ibraheim Campbell (74 tackles, 4 INT) leads this opportunistic defense, but LBs Chi Chi Ariguzo (106 tackles, 4 INT) and Collin Ellis (77 tackles, 3 INT, 2 TD) are always around the football. DE Ifeadi Odenigbo (5.5 sacks) is a pass rusher on the rise.
OHIO STATEOffense: Starters returning - 5; Defense: Starters returning - 7 The Buckeyes have 24 straight regular-season wins, and bring back Heisman hopeful QB Braxton Miller (2,094 pass yds, 24 TD, 7 INT; 1,068 rush yds, 12 TD). He’ll run an offense that averaged 45.5 PPG (3rd in FBS) and 512 total YPG (8th in FBS) in 2013. Miller has a quick receiving corps to work with, led by WR Devin Smith (660 rec yds, 8 TD). Carlos Hyde is gone, but RBs Ezekiel Elliott (8.7 YPC) and Dontre Wilson (8.1 YPC) are both explosive. OSU’s D-Line is outstanding with three returnees tallying at least seven sacks last year (Noah Spence, Joey Bosa and Michael Bennett). The lineback-ers are strong and CB Doran Grant (10 PD, 3 INT) has All-American potential.
PENN STATEOffense: Starters returning - 7; Defense: Starters returning - 8New Head Coach: James FranklinPSU is not bowl eligible, but there is hope in Happy Valley with James Franklin taking over a program on the upswing. QB Christian Hackenberg (2,955 pass yds, 20 TD, 10 INT) had a huge freshman season and beefed up to better deal with the punishment he’ll take due to a weak O-Line. WR Geno Lewis (234 rec yds, 3 TD) is the top receiver, while RB Zach Zwinak (989 rush yds, 12 TD) leads a stacked backfield. On defense, the line has great depth, but other than stalwarts LB Mike Hull (78 tackles), CB Jordan Lucas (13 PD, 3 INT) and S Ryan Keiser (8 PD, 3 INT), there are some holes to fill.
PURDUEOffense: Starters returning - 8; Defense: Starters returning - 5 In the 2013 calendar year, Purdue was 0-12 versus FBS schools, and was out-scored by 27.3 PPG. QB Danny Etling (6.3 YPA, 10 TD, 7 INT) had a strong true freshman season, but doesn’t have much to throw to besides improving sophomore WR DeAngelo Yancey (546 rec yds) and RB Akeem Hunt (340 rec yds). Hunt averaged only 3.8 YPC with one rushing TD last year. The defense allowed 38.0 PPG and 460 total YPG in 2013. DE Ryan Russell (2 sacks) needs to apply more QB pressure and the linebackers must tackle better. S Taylor Richards (64 tackles) and CB Frankie Williams (2 INT) stand out.
RUTGERSOffense: Starters returning - 9; Defense: Starters returning - 7 New OC Ralph Friedgen has plenty to work with, but must choose either QB Gary Nova (7.1 YPA, 18 TD, 14 INT) or freshman QB Chris Laviano. TE Tyler Kroft (573 rec yds, 4 TD) and WR Leonto Carroo (478 rec yds, 9 TD) are the top targets. The ground game remains strong with RBs Paul James (881 rush yds, 9 TD) and Justin Goodwin (521 rush yds, 5 TD) running behind a completely intact O-Line. New DC Joe Rossi moved star LB Steve Longa (123 tackles, 3 sacks) from MLB to WLB to better use his speed. The D-Line is ordi-nary and the secondary is suspect other than S Lorenzo Waters (62 tackles).
WISCONSINOffense: Starters returning - 5; Defense: Starters returning - 3The Badgers have many new faces, but returning RB Melvin Gordon (1,609 rush yds, 7.8 YPC, 12 TD) could be the FBS top rusher. His running behind a fierce O-Line will take pressure off QB Joel Stave (7.4 YPA, 22 TD, 13 INT) or dual-threat QB Tanner McEvoy. Whoever wins the job will not have an expe-rienced receiver to target. All front-seven starters are gone, including All-American LB Chris Borland, whose spot will be filled by LB Derek Landisch (33 tackles). Freshman DE Alec James is the team’s best pass rusher. The secondary returns three starters, the best being CB Sojourn Shelton (4 INT).
Pac-12Big Ten
AAC
oddS to Win BIG TEN EASTERN
oddS to Win
Ohio State 1/1 1/2 Michigan State 5/1 5/2 Michigan 8/1 5/1 Indiana 40/1 20/1 Maryland 100/1 50/1 Rutgers 200/1 100/1 Penn State n/a n/a
BIG TEN WESTERN
Wisconsin 3/1 5/4 Nebraska 7/2 7/4 Iowa 10/1 5/1 Northwestern 30/1 15/1 Illinois 50/1 25/1 Minnesota 20/1 8/1 Purdue 250/1 100/1
66 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2014
>I LL INO IS
2011-13 gaME logS
8/309/69/139/209/2710/410/1110/2511/111/1511/2211/29
YOUNGSTOWN STATEWESTERN KENTUCKYat WashingtonTEXAS STATEat NebraskaPURDUEat WisconsinMINNESOTAat Ohio StateIOWAPENN STATEat Northwestern
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/31 S ILLINOIS W 42-34 L (-16½) O (40½)9/7 CINCINNATI W 45-17 W (+7) O (56½)9/14 vs Washington L 24-34 W (+10½) U (61)9/28 MIAMI OHIO W 50-14 W (-27½) O (49)10/5 at Nebraska L 19-39 L (+8½) U (62½)10/19 WISCONSIN L 32-56 L (+14½) O (55½)10/26 MICHIGAN ST L 3-42 L (+8) U (48)11/2 at Penn St L 17-24 W (+13) U (57½)11/9 at Indiana L 35-52 L (+10) O (81)11/16 OHIO ST L 35-60 W (+33½) O (68)11/23 at Purdue W 20-16 L (-6½) U (55½)11/30 NORTHWESTERN L 34-37 W (+3½) O (59)
>IND IANA
2011-13 gaME logS
8/309/139/209/2710/410/1110/1811/111/811/1511/2211/29
INDIANA STATEat Bowling Greenat MissouriMARYLANDNORTH TEXASat IowaMICHIGAN STATEat MichiganPENN STATEat Rutgersat Ohio StatePURDUE
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/29 INDIANA ST W 73-35 W (-24½) O (55)9/7 NAVY L 35-41 L (-11) O (66½)9/14 BOWLING GREEN W 42-10 W (-2½) U (60½)9/21 MISSOURI L 28-45 L (+3) O (70)10/5 PENN ST W 44-24 W (+3½) O (66)10/12 at Michigan St L 28-42 L (+10) O (53½)10/19 at Michigan L 47-63 L (+8½) O (66½)11/2 MINNESOTA L 39-42 L (-8) O (67½)11/9 ILLINOIS W 52-35 W (-10) O (81)11/16 at Wisconsin L 3-51 L (+27) U (67)11/23 at Ohio St L 14-42 W (+32½) U (78½)11/30 PURDUE W 56-36 L (-20½) O (67)
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/3 ARKANSAS ST W 33-15 L (-19) U (54)9/10 S DAKOTA ST W 56-3 W (-26½) O (50)9/17 ARIZONA ST W 17-14 W (-2½) U (55½)9/24 W MICHIGAN W 23-20 L (-13½) U (51½)10/1 NORTHWESTERN W 38-35 L (-9½) O (54½)10/8 at Indiana W 41-20 W (-14) O (53½)10/15 OHIO ST L 7-17 L (-3) U (44½)10/22 at Purdue L 14-21 L (-3) U (49)10/29 at Penn St L 7-10 W (+4½) U (38½)11/12 MICHIGAN L 14-31 L (+1) U (48)11/19 WISCONSIN L 17-28 W (+14½) U (51)11/26 at Minnesota L 7-27 L (-10) U (44)12/31 vs UCLA W 20-14 W (-3) U (45)
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/1 W MICHIGAN W 24-7 W (-10) U (50½)9/8 at Arizona St L 14-45 L (+6) O (47)9/15 CHARLESTON SOUT W 44-0 W (-42) 9/22 LOUISIANA TECH L 24-52 L (-3) O (57)9/29 PENN ST L 7-35 L (-3) O (41½)10/6 at Wisconsin L 14-31 L (+14½) O (44½)10/13 at Michigan L 0-45 L (+24) U (48)10/27 INDIANA L 17-31 L (-2½) U (58½)11/3 at Ohio St L 22-52 L (+24½) O (50½)11/10 MINNESOTA L 3-17 L (+2½) U (45½)11/17 PURDUE L 17-20 W (+6½) U (49)11/24 at Northwestern L 14-50 L (+18½) O (50)
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/3 vs Ball St L 20-27 L (-4) U (53)9/10 VIRGINIA L 31-34 W (+7) O (55)9/17 S CAROLINA ST W 38-21 W (-16) O (49½)9/24 at North Texas L 21-24 L (-5½) U (56)10/1 PENN ST L 10-16 W (+13½) U (49½)10/8 ILLINOIS L 20-41 L (+14) O (53½)10/15 at Wisconsin L 7-59 L (+38) O (62)10/22 at Iowa L 24-45 W (+23) O (55)10/29 NORTHWESTERN L 38-59 L (+8½) O (63)11/5 at Ohio St L 20-34 W (+27) O (51½)11/19 at Michigan St L 3-55 L (+27) O (53)11/26 PURDUE L 25-33 W (+8½) O (57½)
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/1 INDIANA ST W 24-17 L (-13½) 9/8 at Massachusetts W 45-6 W (-14) O (48½)9/15 BALL ST L 39-41 L (-2½) O (64)9/29 at Northwestern L 29-44 L (+11½) O (60½)10/6 MICHIGAN ST L 27-31 W (+15) O (49)10/13 OHIO ST L 49-52 W (+19) O (64)10/20 at Navy L 30-31 W (+2½) U (63)10/27 at Illinois W 31-17 W (+2½) U (58½)11/3 IOWA W 24-21 W (-2) U (54)11/10 WISCONSIN L 14-62 L (+7½) O (55½)11/17 at Penn St L 22-45 L (+16½) O (56)11/24 at Purdue L 35-56 L (+5½) O (63)
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
big tEn
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 7–6 7–6 2–10 4–8 20–30 40.0%
OVERALL ATS 9–4 6–7 3–9 6–6 24–26 48.0%
HOME ATS 4–2 3–5 3–4 4–3 14–14 50.0%
ROAD ATS 5–2 3–2 0–5 2–3 10–12 45.5%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 6–2 3–5 1–7 3–5 13–19 40.6%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 3–2 3–2 2–2 3–1 11–7 61.1%
AS FAVORITE ATS 5–3 4–6 2–3 1–2 12–14 46.2%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 4–1 2–1 1–6 5–4 12–12 50.0%
OVER-UNDER 7–5 3–10 6–5 7–5 23–25 47.9%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring -5.8 T90
Yardage -54.8 91
Turnovers -10 T114
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 29.7 61
Yards/Game 426.7 46
Yds Per Play 5.91 45
Rush Yds/Gm 139.0 T93
Pass Yds/Gm 287.7 22
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 35.4 T105
Yards/Game 481.5 112
Yds Per Play 6.66 115
Rush Yds/Gm 238.6 118
Pass Yds/Gm 242.9 82
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
big tEn
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 5–7 1–11 4–8 5–7 15–33 31.3%
OVERALL ATS 6–6 6–6 6–6 5–7 23–25 47.9%
HOME ATS 4–2 4–2 3–3 4–4 15–11 57.7%
ROAD ATS 2–4 2–4 3–3 1–3 8–14 36.4%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 4–4 4–4 4–4 3–5 15–17 46.9%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 2–2 2–2 2–2 2–2 8–8 50.0%
AS FAVORITE ATS 2–2 1–2 2–2 3–3 8–9 47.1%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 4–4 5–4 4–4 2–4 15–16 48.4%
OVER-UNDER 6–5 9–3 8–3 9–3 32–14 69.6%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring -0.4 71
Yardage -19.4 77
Turnovers -3 T79
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 38.4 16
Yards/Game 508.5 9
Yds Per Play 6.58 15
Rush Yds/Gm 201.8 30
Pass Yds/Gm 306.7 17
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 38.8 116
Yards/Game 527.9 122
Yds Per Play 6.74 117
Rush Yds/Gm 237.8 117
Pass Yds/Gm 290.2 120
StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2014 67
ACCCollege Top 25
Big 12Conference U
SAM
ACM
ountain West
SECSun Belt
IndependentsPac-12
Big TenA
AC>
IOWA
2011-13 gaME logS
8/309/69/139/209/2710/1110/1811/111/811/1511/2211/28
NORTHERN IOWABALL STATEIOWA STATEat Pittsburghat PurdueINDIANAat MarylandNORTHWESTERNat Minnesotaat IllinoisWISCONSINNEBRASKA
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/31 N ILLINOIS L 27-30 L (-1½) O (53½)9/7 MISSOURI ST W 28-14 L (-26½) T (42)9/14 at Iowa St W 27-21 W (pk) O (46½)9/21 W MICHIGAN W 59-3 W (-16½) O (47)9/28 at Minnesota W 23-7 W (-2½) U (44½)10/5 MICHIGAN ST L 14-26 L (-1½) O (37½)10/19 at Ohio St L 24-34 W (+19) O (54½)10/26 NORTHWESTERN W 17-10 W (-4) U (53)11/2 WISCONSIN L 9-28 L (+8½) U (48½)11/9 at Purdue W 38-14 W (-15½) O (44½)11/23 MICHIGAN W 24-21 L (-6) U (46)11/29 at Nebraska W 38-17 W (+2½) O (47)
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/3 TENNESSEE TECH W 34-7 L (-35½) 9/10 at Iowa St L 41-44 L (-6½) O (44)9/17 PITTSBURGH W 31-27 W (-2½) O (50)9/24 LA MONROE W 45-17 W (-17) O (49½)10/8 at Penn St L 3-13 L (+4) U (45)10/15 NORTHWESTERN W 41-31 W (-6) O (55½)10/22 INDIANA W 45-24 L (-23) O (55)10/29 at Minnesota L 21-22 L (-15) U (53)11/5 MICHIGAN W 24-16 W (+3½) U (58)11/12 MICHIGAN ST L 21-37 L (+2½) O (46½)11/19 at Purdue W 31-21 W (-1½) O (49)11/25 at Nebraska L 7-20 L (+9) U (54)12/30 vs Oklahoma L 14-31 L (+13½) U (58)
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/1 vs N Illinois W 18-17 L (-7½) U (47)9/8 IOWA ST L 6-9 L (-3½) U (48½)9/15 N IOWA W 27-16 L (-12½) 9/22 C MICHIGAN L 31-32 L (-14) O (51)9/29 MINNESOTA W 31-13 W (-6) U (46)10/13 at Michigan St W 19-16 W (+8) U (39)10/20 PENN ST L 14-38 L (-1½) O (42)10/27 at Northwestern L 17-28 L (+4) U (47)11/3 at Indiana L 21-24 L (+2) U (54)11/10 PURDUE L 24-27 L (-5) O (48½)11/17 at Michigan L 17-42 L (+17) O (47)11/23 NEBRASKA L 7-13 W (+14½) U (48½)
>MARYLAND
2011-13 gaME logS
8/309/69/139/209/2710/410/1810/2511/111/1511/2211/29
JAMES MADISONat South FloridaWEST VIRGINIAat Syracuseat IndianaOHIO STATEIOWAat Wisconsinat Penn StateMICHIGAN STATEat MichiganRUTGERS
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/31 FLA INTERNATIONAL W 43-10 W (-21) O (49)9/7 OLD DOMINION W 47-10 W (-20½) U (67½)9/14 at Connecticut W 32-21 W (-4½) O (47)9/21 vs W Virginia W 37-0 W (-3½) U (54)10/5 at Florida St L 0-63 L (+18) O (56½)10/12 VIRGINIA W 27-26 L (-6) O (41)10/19 at Wake Forest L 10-34 L (-4½) U (53)10/26 CLEMSON L 27-40 W (+16½) O (58½)11/9 SYRACUSE L 3-20 L (-6) U (54)11/16 at Virginia Tech W 27-24 W (+14½) O (44½)11/23 BOSTON COLLEGE L 26-29 L (-2) O (52½)11/30 at NC State W 41-21 W (-3) O (50)12/27 vs Marshall L 20-31 L (+2½) U (64)
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/5 MIAMI W 32-24 W (-4) O (44½)9/17 W VIRGINIA L 31-37 L (+1) O (55½)9/24 TEMPLE L 7-38 L (-9½) U (52)10/1 TOWSON W 28-3 L (-26½) U (56)10/8 at Georgia Tech L 16-21 W (+14½) U (63½)10/15 CLEMSON L 45-56 L (+9) O (52½)10/22 at Florida St L 16-41 L (+19½) O (54½)10/29 BOSTON COLLEGE L 17-28 L (-6) U (48½)11/5 VIRGINIA L 13-31 L (+3) U (52½)11/12 vs Notre Dame L 21-45 L (+21) O (57½)11/19 at Wake Forest L 10-31 L (+9½) U (57)11/26 at NC State L 41-56 L (+11) O (54)
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/1 WILLIAM & MARY W 7-6 L (-14½) 9/8 at Temple W 36-27 W (+7½) O (43½)9/15 CONNECTICUT L 21-24 T (+3) O (39)9/22 at W Virginia L 21-31 W (+25½) U (61½)10/6 WAKE FOREST W 19-14 L (-7) U (47½)10/13 at Virginia W 27-20 W (+2) O (44)10/20 NC STATE L 18-20 W (+4) U (44½)10/27 at Boston College L 17-20 L (+2½) U (46)11/3 GEORGIA TECH L 13-33 L (+7½) O (44½)11/10 at Clemson L 10-45 L (+32) U (55½)11/17 FLORIDA ST L 14-41 W (+31½) O (46)11/24 at N Carolina L 38-45 W (+25½) O (53)
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
big tEn
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 8–5 7–6 4–8 8–5 27–24 52.9%
OVERALL ATS 6–6 5–8 3–9 8–5 22–28 44.0%
HOME ATS 4–2 4–3 2–5 2–5 12–15 44.4%
ROAD ATS 2–4 1–5 1–4 6–0 10–13 43.5%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 3–4 3–5 3–5 5–3 14–17 45.2%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 3–2 2–3 0–4 3–2 8–11 42.1%
AS FAVORITE ATS 5–4 4–4 1–6 4–4 14–18 43.8%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 1–1 1–4 2–3 4–1 8–9 47.1%
OVER-UNDER 4–8 7–5 4–7 7–5 22–25 46.8%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring +7.4 41
Yardage +73.9 29
Turnovers -1 T68
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 26.3 T80
Yards/Game 377.0 85
Yds Per Play 5.26 96
Rush Yds/Gm 179.9 50
Pass Yds/Gm 197.1 T95
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 18.9 9
Yards/Game 303.1 6
Yds Per Play 4.58 6
Rush Yds/Gm 128.4 19
Pass Yds/Gm 174.7 9
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
big tEn
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 9–4 2–10 4–8 7–6 22–28 44.0%
OVERALL ATS 9–4 2–10 6–5 7–6 24–25 49.0%
HOME ATS 4–2 1–6 2–3 3–3 10–14 41.7%
ROAD ATS 5–2 1–4 4–2 4–3 14–11 56.0%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 5–3 2–6 4–4 3–5 14–18 43.8%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 4–1 0–4 2–1 4–1 10–7 58.8%
AS FAVORITE ATS 5–1 1–3 0–2 5–4 11–10 52.4%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 4–3 1–7 6–3 2–2 13–15 46.4%
OVER-UNDER 7–4 6–6 6–5 8–5 27–20 57.4%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring +0.8 68
Yardage +22.5 T58
Turnovers -7 T102
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 26.2 84
Yards/Game 396.9 76
Yds Per Play 5.79 55
Rush Yds/Gm 148.4 84
Pass Yds/Gm 248.5 49
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 25.3 55
Yards/Game 374.4 44
Yds Per Play 5.09 29
Rush Yds/Gm 149.3 46
Pass Yds/Gm 225.1 57
68 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2014
>MICHIGAN STATE
2011-13 gaME logS
8/299/69/209/2710/410/1110/1810/2511/811/1511/2211/29
JACKSONVILLE STATEat OregonEASTERN MICHIGANWYOMINGNEBRASKAat Purdueat IndianaMICHIGANOHIO STATEat MarylandRUTGERSat Penn State
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/30 W MICHIGAN W 26-13 L (-27½) U (44)9/7 S FLORIDA W 21-6 L (-21) U (41½)9/14 YOUNGSTOWN ST W 55-17 W (-22½) O (40)9/21 at Notre Dame L 13-17 P (+4) U (43)10/5 at Iowa W 26-14 W (+1½) O (37½)10/12 INDIANA W 42-28 W (-10) O (53½)10/19 PURDUE W 14-0 L (-28) U (44½)10/26 at Illinois W 42-3 W (-8) U (48)11/2 MICHIGAN W 29-6 W (-4) U (44½)11/16 at Nebraska W 41-28 W (-5) O (41)11/23 at Northwestern W 30-6 W (-6) U (41½)11/30 MINNESOTA W 14-3 L (-17) U (42½)12/7 vs Ohio St W 34-24 W (+5½) O (53½)1/1 vs Stanford W 24-20 W (+7½) O (41½)
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/2 YOUNGSTOWN ST W 28-6 L (-34½) U (62)9/10 FLA ATLANTIC W 44-0 W (-31) U (49½)9/17 at Notre Dame L 13-31 L (+6) U (51½)9/24 C MICHIGAN W 45-7 W (-21½) O (49)10/1 at Ohio St W 10-7 W (+3) U (42)10/15 MICHIGAN W 28-14 W (-3) U (47)10/22 WISCONSIN W 37-31 W (+7) O (50½)10/29 at Nebraska L 3-24 L (+4½) U (51)11/5 MINNESOTA W 31-24 L (-27½) O (47½)11/12 at Iowa W 37-21 W (-2½) O (46½)11/19 INDIANA W 55-3 W (-27) O (53)11/26 at Northwestern W 31-17 W (-5½) U (53)12/3 vs Wisconsin L 39-42 W (+9½) O (56)1/2 vs Georgia W 33-30 W (+2) O (48)
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/31 BOISE ST W 17-13 L (-8) U (47)9/8 at C Michigan W 41-7 W (-17½) P (48)9/15 NOTRE DAME L 3-20 L (-4½) U (44)9/22 E MICHIGAN W 23-7 L (-31½) U (47)9/29 OHIO ST L 16-17 L (-3) U (41½)10/6 at Indiana W 31-27 L (-15) O (49)10/13 IOWA L 16-19 L (-8) U (39)10/20 at Michigan L 10-12 W (+8) U (43½)10/27 at Wisconsin W 16-13 W (+5½) U (41)11/3 NEBRASKA L 24-28 L (-1) O (44½)11/17 NORTHWESTERN L 20-23 L (-7) U (47)11/24 at Minnesota W 26-10 W (-7½) U (39)12/29 vs TCU W 17-16 W (+1½) U (40)
>
MICHIGAN
2011-13 gaME logS
8/309/69/139/209/2710/410/1110/2511/111/811/2211/29
APPALACHIAN STATEat Notre DameMIAMI (OH)UTAHMINNESOTAat RutgersPENN STATEat Michigan StateINDIANAat NorthwesternMARYLANDat Ohio State
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/31 C MICHIGAN W 59-9 W (-32½) O (52)9/7 NOTRE DAME W 41-30 W (-4½) O (48)9/14 AKRON W 28-24 L (-35) U (58)9/21 at Connecticut W 24-21 L (-18½) U (51)10/5 MINNESOTA W 42-13 W (-18½) O (50)10/12 at Penn St L 40-43 L (-1) O (51½)10/19 INDIANA W 63-47 W (-8½) O (66½)11/2 at Michigan St L 6-29 L (+4) U (44½)11/9 NEBRASKA L 13-17 L (-6) U (55)11/16 at Northwestern W 27-19 W (+3) U (49)11/23 at Iowa L 21-24 W (+6) U (46)11/30 OHIO ST L 41-42 W (+17) O (57½)12/28 vs Kansas St L 14-31 L (+7) U (52½)
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/3 W MICHIGAN W 34-10 W (-14) U (58½)9/10 NOTRE DAME W 35-31 W (+3½) O (58)9/17 E MICHIGAN W 31-3 L (-30½) U (62½)9/24 SAN DIEGO ST W 28-7 W (-10) U (57)10/1 MINNESOTA W 58-0 W (-21) O (54)10/8 at Northwestern W 42-24 W (-7½) O (60)10/15 at Michigan St L 14-28 L (+3) U (47)10/29 PURDUE W 36-14 W (-14) U (53½)11/5 at Iowa L 16-24 L (-3½) U (58)11/12 at Illinois W 31-14 W (-1) U (48)11/19 NEBRASKA W 45-17 W (-4½) O (52)11/26 OHIO ST W 40-34 L (-9) O (45½)1/3 vs Virginia Tech W 23-20 P (-3) U (52)
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/1 vs Alabama L 14-41 L (+13) O (48½)9/8 AIR FORCE W 31-25 L (-21½) U (58½)9/15 MASSACHUSETTS W 63-13 W (-44½) O (53½)9/22 at Notre Dame L 6-13 L (+6) U (49)10/6 at Purdue W 44-13 W (-3) O (55)10/13 ILLINOIS W 45-0 W (-24) U (48)10/20 MICHIGAN ST W 12-10 L (-8) U (43½)10/27 at Nebraska L 9-23 L (+1) U (59)11/3 at Minnesota W 35-13 W (-8½) O (45)11/10 NORTHWESTERN W 38-31 L (-8½) O (51)11/17 IOWA W 42-17 W (-17) O (47)11/24 at Ohio St L 21-26 L (+3½) U (52)1/1 vs S Carolina L 28-33 W (+5½) O (47½)
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
big tEn
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 7–6 11–2 8–5 7–6 33–19 63.5%
OVERALL ATS 3–10 8–4 6–7 7–6 24–27 47.1%
HOME ATS 2–5 6–2 3–3 5–2 16–12 57.1%
ROAD ATS 1–5 2–2 3–4 2–4 8–15 34.8%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 0–8 5–3 4–4 5–3 14–18 43.8%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 3–2 3–1 2–3 2–3 10–9 52.6%
AS FAVORITE ATS 2–6 7–3 5–3 4–4 18–16 52.9%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 1–4 1–1 1–4 3–2 6–11 35.3%
OVER-UNDER 7–5 5–8 7–6 6–7 25–26 49.0%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring +5.4 51
Yardage +2.0 69
Turnovers +5 T31
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 32.2 46
Yards/Game 373.5 87
Yds Per Play 5.44 77
Rush Yds/Gm 125.7 T103
Pass Yds/Gm 247.8 52
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 26.8 67
Yards/Game 371.5 41
Yds Per Play 5.29 41
Rush Yds/Gm 140.2 29
Pass Yds/Gm 231.3 66
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
big tEn
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 11–2 11–3 7–6 13–1 42–12 77.8%
OVERALL ATS 7–6 10–4 5–8 9–4 31–22 58.5%
HOME ATS 4–3 5–2 0–7 3–4 12–16 42.9%
ROAD ATS 3–3 5–2 5–1 6–0 19–6 76.0%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 5–3 7–2 3–5 7–2 22–12 64.7%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 2–3 3–2 2–3 2–2 9–10 47.4%
AS FAVORITE ATS 5–4 6–2 2–8 6–4 19–18 51.4%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 2–2 4–2 3–0 3–0 12–4 75.0%
OVER-UNDER 6–6 7–7 2–10 6–8 21–31 40.4%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring +16.1 12
Yardage +133.3 11
Turnovers +13 T8
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 29.4 64
Yards/Game 385.5 81
Yds Per Play 5.40 82
Rush Yds/Gm 173.8 59
Pass Yds/Gm 211.7 84
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 13.2 3
Yards/Game 252.2 2
Yds Per Play 4.04 1
Rush Yds/Gm 86.6 2
Pass Yds/Gm 165.6 3
StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2014 69
ACCCollege Top 25
Big 12Conference U
SAM
ACM
ountain West
SECSun Belt
IndependentsPac-12
Big TenA
AC>
MINNESOTA
2011-13 gaME logS
8/289/69/139/209/2710/1110/1810/2511/811/1511/2211/29
EASTERN ILLINOISMIDDLE TENNESSEEat TCUSAN JOSE STATEat MichiganNORTHWESTERNPURDUEat IllinoisIOWAOHIO STATEat Nebraskaat Wisconsin
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 88/29 UNLV W 51-23 W (-13½) O (52½)9/7 at New Mexico st W 44-21 W (-16½) O (52)9/14 W ILLINOIS W 29-12 L (-24) U (47)9/21 SAN JOSE ST W 43-24 W (-4) O (51½)9/28 IOWA L 7-23 L (+2½) U (44½)10/5 at Michigan L 13-42 L (+18½) O (50)10/19 at Northwestern W 20-17 W (+12½) U (51½)10/26 NEBRASKA W 34-23 W (+10) O (52)11/2 at Indiana W 42-39 W (+8) O (67½)11/9 PENN ST W 24-10 W (-3) U (46½)11/23 WISCONSIN L 7-20 W (+15½) U (51)11/30 at Michigan St L 3-14 W (+17) U (42½)12/27 vs Syracuse L 17-21 L (-3½) U (48)
>NEBRASKA
2011-13 gaME logS
8/309/69/139/209/2710/410/1810/2511/111/1511/2211/28
FLORIDA ATLANTICMCNEESE STATEat Fresno StateMIAMI (FL)ILLINOISat Michigan Stateat NorthwesternRUTGERSPURDUEat WisconsinMINNESOTAat Iowa
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/31 WYOMING W 37-34 L (-31) O (64½)9/7 SOUTHERN MISS W 56-13 W (-28) O (60½)9/14 UCLA L 21-41 L (pk) U (70)9/21 S DAKOTA ST W 59-20 W (-20½) O (61)10/5 ILLINOIS W 39-19 W (-8½) U (62½)10/12 at Purdue W 44-7 W (-13) U (57)10/26 at Minnesota L 23-34 L (-10) O (52)11/2 NORTHWESTERN W 27-24 L (-3½) U (58½)11/9 at Michigan W 17-13 W (+6) U (55)11/16 MICHIGAN ST L 28-41 L (+5) O (41)11/23 at Penn St W 23-20 W (pk) U (51)11/29 IOWA L 17-38 L (-2½) O (47)
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/3 at USC L 17-19 W (+24) U (51)9/10 NEW MEXICO ST L 21-28 L (-22½) U (52½)9/17 MIAMI OHIO W 29-23 W (-4) O (43½)9/24 N DAKOTA ST L 24-37 L (-9) O (48½)10/1 at Michigan L 0-58 L (+21) O (54)10/8 at Purdue L 17-45 L (+13½) O (48)10/22 NEBRASKA L 14-41 L (+24) U (58)10/29 IOWA W 22-21 W (+15) U (53)11/5 at Michigan St L 24-31 W (+27½) O (47½)11/12 WISCONSIN L 13-42 W (+29½) U (64)11/19 at Northwestern L 13-28 W (+16½) U (58)11/26 ILLINOIS W 27-7 W (+10) U (44)
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/30 at UNLV W 30-27 L (-9½) O (52½)9/8 NEW HAMPSHIRE W 44-7 W (-12) 9/15 W MICHIGAN W 28-23 W (-3) U (55½)9/22 SYRACUSE W 17-10 W (+3) U (54)9/29 at Iowa L 13-31 L (+6) U (46)10/13 NORTHWESTERN L 13-21 L (+3) U (54)10/20 at Wisconsin L 13-38 L (+17) O (46½)10/27 PURDUE W 44-28 W (+2) O (50)11/3 MICHIGAN L 13-35 L (+8½) O (45)11/10 at Illinois W 17-3 W (-2½) U (45½)11/17 at Nebraska L 14-38 L (+21) P (52)11/24 MICHIGAN ST L 10-26 L (+7½) U (39)12/28 vs Texas Tech L 31-34 W (+13) O (55½)
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/3 CHATTANOOGA W 40-7 L (-38) 9/10 FRESNO ST W 42-29 L (-28) O (53)9/17 WASHINGTON W 51-38 L (-17½) O (53½)9/24 at Wyoming W 38-14 W (-20½) U (56)10/1 at Wisconsin L 17-48 L (+9½) O (55½)10/8 OHIO ST W 34-27 L (-10) O (44)10/22 at Minnesota W 41-14 W (-24) U (58)10/29 MICHIGAN ST W 24-3 W (-4½) U (51)11/5 NORTHWESTERN L 25-28 L (-17½) U (63)11/12 at Penn St W 17-14 P (-3) U (43)11/19 at Michigan L 17-45 L (+4½) O (52)11/25 IOWA W 20-7 W (-9) U (54)1/2 vs S Carolina L 13-30 L (+3) U (45)
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/1 SOUTHERN MISS W 49-20 W (-20½) O (51)9/8 at UCLA L 30-36 L (-3½) O (58)9/15 ARKANSAS ST W 42-13 W (-23½) U (67)9/22 IDAHO ST W 73-7 W (-46) 9/29 WISCONSIN W 30-27 L (-11) O (52)10/6 at Ohio St L 38-63 L (+2½) O (57½)10/20 at Northwestern W 29-28 L (-7) U (62½)10/27 MICHIGAN W 23-9 W (-1) U (59)11/3 at Michigan St W 28-24 W (+1) O (44½)11/10 PENN ST W 32-23 P (-9) O (51)11/17 MINNESOTA W 38-14 W (-21) P (52)11/23 at Iowa W 13-7 L (-14½) U (48½)12/1 vs Wisconsin L 31-70 L (-3) O (51)1/1 vs Georgia L 31-45 L (+9½) O (61½)
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
big tEn
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 3–9 3–9 6–7 8–5 20–30 40.0%
OVERALL ATS 6–5 7–5 6–7 9–4 28–21 57.1%
HOME ATS 2–4 4–3 4–3 5–2 15–12 55.6%
ROAD ATS 4–1 3–2 2–4 4–2 13–9 59.1%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 5–3 5–3 2–6 6–2 18–14 56.3%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 1–2 2–2 4–1 3–2 10–7 58.8%
AS FAVORITE ATS 1–2 1–2 3–1 4–2 9–7 56.3%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 5–3 6–3 3–6 5–2 19–14 57.6%
OVER-UNDER 6–5 5–7 5–6 6–7 22–25 46.8%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring +3.5 59
Yardage -29.9 83
Turnovers +3 T41
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 25.7 85
Yards/Game 343.3 107
Yds Per Play 5.23 97
Rush Yds/Gm 195.2 37
Pass Yds/Gm 148.1 117
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 22.2 25
Yards/Game 373.2 43
Yds Per Play 5.66 75
Rush Yds/Gm 158.2 55
Pass Yds/Gm 215.1 35
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
big tEn
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 10–4 9–4 10–4 9–4 38–16 70.4%
OVERALL ATS 6–8 4–8 6–7 7–6 23–29 44.2%
HOME ATS 2–5 2–5 5–1 3–5 12–16 42.9%
ROAD ATS 4–3 2–3 1–6 4–1 11–13 45.8%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 5–4 3–4 3–5 4–4 15–17 46.9%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 1–4 1–4 3–2 3–2 8–12 40.0%
AS FAVORITE ATS 5–8 4–5 5–5 4–4 18–22 45.0%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 1–0 0–3 1–2 3–2 5–7 41.7%
OVER-UNDER 7–6 5–7 8–4 6–7 26–24 52.0%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring +7.1 T43
Yardage +41.6 47
Turnovers -11 T119
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 31.9 48
Yards/Game 412.4 59
Yds Per Play 5.57 66
Rush Yds/Gm 215.7 19
Pass Yds/Gm 196.7 97
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 24.8 T50
Yards/Game 370.8 40
Yds Per Play 5.21 33
Rush Yds/Gm 156.2 54
Pass Yds/Gm 214.6 33
70 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2014
>OHIO STATE
2011-13 gaME logS
8/309/69/139/2710/410/1810/2511/111/811/1511/2211/29
at NavyVIRGINIA TECHKENT STATECINCINNATIat MarylandRUTGERSat Penn StateILLINOISat Michigan Stateat MinnesotaINDIANAMICHIGAN
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/31 BUFFALO W 40-20 L (-33½) O (56)9/7 SAN DIEGO ST W 42-7 W (-28) U (55)9/14 at California W 52-34 W (-13) O (62½)9/21 FLORIDA AM W 76-0 W (-50) O (57½)9/28 WISCONSIN W 31-24 P (-7) U (55½)10/5 at Northwestern W 40-30 W (-6½) O (61)10/19 IOWA W 34-24 L (-19) O (54½)10/26 PENN ST W 63-14 W (-15) O (57)11/2 at Purdue W 56-0 W (-31½) U (58)11/16 at Illinois W 60-35 L (-33½) O (68)11/23 INDIANA W 42-14 L (-32½) U (78½)11/30 at Michigan W 42-41 L (-17) O (57½)12/7 vs Michigan St L 24-34 L (-5½) O (53½)1/3 vs Clemson L 35-40 L (-2½) O (71½)
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/3 AKRON W 42-0 W (-31) U (46)9/10 TOLEDO W 27-22 L (-17½) U (53)9/17 at Miami L 6-24 L (+2½) U (46)9/24 COLORADO W 37-17 W (-15) O (47½)10/1 MICHIGAN ST L 7-10 L (-3) U (42)10/8 at Nebraska L 27-34 W (+10) O (44)10/15 at Illinois W 17-7 W (+3) U (44½)10/29 WISCONSIN W 33-29 W (+8) O (48)11/5 INDIANA W 34-20 L (-27) O (51½)11/12 at Purdue L 23-26 L (-7½) O (44½)11/19 PENN ST L 14-20 L (-6) U (37½)11/26 at Michigan L 34-40 W (+9) O (45½)1/2 vs Florida L 17-24 L (+2½) U (44)
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/1 MIAMI OHIO W 56-10 W (-25½) O (50½)9/8 UCF W 31-16 L (-16) U (50)9/15 CALIFORNIA W 35-28 L (-17) O (55)9/22 UAB W 29-15 L (-35) U (60½)9/29 at Michigan St W 17-16 W (+3) U (41½)10/6 NEBRASKA W 63-38 W (-2½) O (57½)10/13 at Indiana W 52-49 L (-19) O (64)10/20 PURDUE W 29-22 L (-17) U (58)10/27 at Penn St W 35-23 W (-1) O (51½)11/3 ILLINOIS W 52-22 W (-24½) O (50½)11/17 at Wisconsin W 21-14 W (+1) U (51½)11/24 MICHIGAN W 26-21 W (-3½) U (52)
>
NORTHWESTERN
2011-13 gaME logS
8/309/69/209/2710/410/1110/1811/111/811/1511/2211/29
CALIFORNIANORTHERN ILLINOISWESTERN ILLINOISat Penn StateWISCONSINat MinnesotaNEBRASKAat IowaMICHIGANat Notre Dameat PurdueILLINOIS
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/31 at California W 44-30 W (-5) O (61½)9/7 SYRACUSE W 48-27 W (-17) O (54½)9/14 W MICHIGAN W 38-17 L (-28½) U (57½)9/21 MAINE W 35-21 L (-28) U (57½)10/5 OHIO ST L 30-40 L (+6½) O (61)10/12 at Wisconsin L 6-35 L (+11) U (57½)10/19 MINNESOTA L 17-20 L (-12½) U (51½)10/26 at Iowa L 10-17 L (+4) U (53)11/2 at Nebraska L 24-27 W (+3½) U (58½)11/16 MICHIGAN L 19-27 L (-3) U (49)11/23 MICHIGAN ST L 6-30 L (+6) U (41½)11/30 at Illinois W 37-34 L (-3½) O (59)
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/3 at Boston College W 24-17 W (+5) U (44½)9/10 E ILLINOIS W 42-21 L (-33) O (53½)9/17 at Army L 14-21 L (-5½) U (54)10/1 at Illinois L 35-38 W (+9½) O (54½)10/8 MICHIGAN L 24-42 L (+7½) O (60)10/15 at Iowa L 31-41 L (+6) O (55½)10/22 PENN ST L 24-34 L (+4) O (47)10/29 at Indiana W 59-38 W (-8½) O (63)11/5 at Nebraska W 28-25 W (+17½) U (63)11/12 RICE W 28-6 W (-16½) U (69½)11/19 MINNESOTA W 28-13 L (-16½) U (58)11/26 MICHIGAN ST L 17-31 L (+5½) U (53)12/31 vs Texas A&M L 22-33 L (+9½) U (68½)
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/1 at Syracuse W 42-41 W (+2) O (53½)9/8 VANDERBILT W 23-13 W (+3) U (54½)9/15 BOSTON COLLEGE W 22-13 W (-4) U (55)9/22 S DAKOTA W 38-7 W (-28½) 9/29 INDIANA W 44-29 W (-11½) O (60½)10/6 at Penn St L 28-39 L (+3) O (49)10/13 at Minnesota W 21-13 W (-3) U (54)10/20 NEBRASKA L 28-29 W (+7) U (62½)10/27 IOWA W 28-17 W (-4) U (47)11/10 at Michigan L 31-38 W (+8½) O (51)11/17 at Michigan St W 23-20 W (+7) U (47)11/24 ILLINOIS W 50-14 W (-18½) O (50)1/1 vs Mississippi St W 34-20 W (-2) U (54½)
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
big tEn
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 7–6 6–7 10–3 5–7 28–23 54.9%
OVERALL ATS 4–9 5–8 12–1 3–9 24–27 47.1%
HOME ATS 2–3 1–5 7–0 1–6 11–14 44.0%
ROAD ATS 2–6 4–3 5–1 2–3 13–13 50.0%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 1–7 3–5 7–1 1–7 12–20 37.5%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 3–2 2–3 5–0 2–2 12–7 63.2%
AS FAVORITE ATS 2–5 2–3 7–0 2–5 13–13 50.0%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 2–4 3–5 5–1 1–4 11–14 44.0%
OVER-UNDER 8–4 6–7 5–7 4–8 23–26 46.9%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring -0.9 74
Yardage -23.9 81
Turnovers +3 T41
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 26.2 83
Yards/Game 399.6 74
Yds Per Play 5.39 84
Rush Yds/Gm 172.4 63
Pass Yds/Gm 227.2 71
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 27.1 69
Yards/Game 423.5 89
Yds Per Play 5.46 61
Rush Yds/Gm 167.3 69
Pass Yds/Gm 256.2 101
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
big tEn
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 12–1 6–7 12–0 12–2 42–10 80.8%
OVERALL ATS 10–2 6–7 7–5 6–7 29–21 58.0%
HOME ATS 8–0 3–4 4–4 3–3 18–11 62.1%
ROAD ATS 2–2 3–3 3–1 3–4 11–10 52.4%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 5–2 4–4 6–2 3–5 18–13 58.1%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 5–0 2–3 1–3 3–2 11–8 57.9%
AS FAVORITE ATS 10–2 2–5 5–5 6–7 23–19 54.8%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 0–0 4–2 2–0 0–0 6–2 75.0%
OVER-UNDER 8–5 6–7 6–6 10–4 30–22 57.7%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring +22.9 6
Yardage +134.5 10
Turnovers +5 T31
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 45.5 3
Yards/Game 511.9 7
Yds Per Play 7.15 6
Rush Yds/Gm 308.6 5
Pass Yds/Gm 203.3 90
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 22.6 28
Yards/Game 377.4 47
Yds Per Play 5.28 40
Rush Yds/Gm 109.4 9
Pass Yds/Gm 268.0 112
StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2014 71
>PENN STATE
2011-13 gaME logS
8/309/69/139/209/2710/1110/2511/111/811/1511/2211/29
vs. UCF*AKRONat RutgersMASSACHUSETTSNORTHWESTERNat MichiganOHIO STATEMARYLANDat IndianaTEMPLEat IllinoisMICHIGAN STATE
* at Dublin, Ireland
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/31 vs Syracuse W 23-17 L (-7½) U (51)9/7 E MICHIGAN W 45-7 W (-28) O (49)9/14 UCF L 31-34 L (-4½) O (50)9/21 KENT ST W 34-0 W (-23½) U (54½)10/5 at Indiana L 24-44 L (-3½) O (66)10/12 MICHIGAN W 43-40 W (+1) O (51½)10/26 at Ohio St L 14-63 L (+15) O (57)11/2 ILLINOIS W 24-17 L (-13) U (57½)11/9 at Minnesota L 10-24 L (+3) U (46½)11/16 PURDUE W 45-21 W (-21½) O (48½)11/23 NEBRASKA L 20-23 L (pk) U (51)11/30 at Wisconsin W 31-24 W (+25) O (49½)
ACCCollege Top 25
Big 12Conference U
SAM
ACM
ountain West
SECSun Belt
IndependentsPac-12
Big TenA
AC
>PURDUE
2011-13 gaME logS
8/309/69/139/209/2710/410/1110/1811/111/811/2211/29
WESTERN MICHIGANCENTRAL MICHIGANvs. Notre Dame*SOUTHERN ILLINOISIOWAat IllinoisMICHIGAN STATEat Minnesotaat NebraskaWISCONSINNORTHWESTERNat Indiana
* at Indianapolis, Ind.
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/31 at Cincinnati L 7-42 L (+10½) T (49)9/7 INDIANA ST W 20-14 L (-17½) U (61)9/14 NOTRE DAME L 24-31 W (+17) O (47)9/21 at Wisconsin L 10-41 L (+21½) O (48½)9/28 N ILLINOIS L 24-55 L (+3½) O (59)10/12 NEBRASKA L 7-44 L (+13) U (57)10/19 at Michigan St L 0-14 W (+28) U (44½)11/2 OHIO ST L 0-56 L (+31½) U (58)11/9 IOWA L 14-38 L (+15½) O (44½)11/16 at Penn St L 21-45 L (+21½) O (48½)11/23 ILLINOIS L 16-20 W (+6½) U (55½)11/30 at Indiana L 36-56 W (+20½) O (67)
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/3 INDIANA ST W 41-7 L (-37½) 9/10 ALABAMA L 11-27 L (+10½) U (41½)9/17 at Temple W 14-10 L (-7) U (46)9/24 E MICHIGAN W 34-6 P (-28) U (46½)10/1 at Indiana W 16-10 L (-13½) U (49½)10/8 IOWA W 13-3 W (-4) U (45)10/15 PURDUE W 23-18 L (-12) P (41)10/22 at Northwestern W 34-24 W (-4) O (47)10/29 ILLINOIS W 10-7 L (-4½) U (38½)11/12 NEBRASKA L 14-17 P (+3) U (43)11/19 at Ohio St W 20-14 W (+6) U (37½)11/26 at Wisconsin L 7-45 L (+17) O (49)1/2 vs Houston L 14-30 L (+6½) U (56)
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/1 OHIO U L 14-24 L (-6) U (45)9/8 at Virginia L 16-17 W (+10) U (48)9/15 NAVY W 34-7 W (-6½) U (47½)9/22 TEMPLE W 24-13 W (-6) U (43)9/29 at Illinois W 35-7 W (+3) O (41½)10/6 NORTHWESTERN W 39-28 W (-3) O (49)10/20 at Iowa W 38-14 W (+1½) O (42)10/27 OHIO ST L 23-35 L (+1) O (51½)11/3 at Purdue W 34-9 W (-3½) U (49½)11/10 at Nebraska L 23-32 P (+9) O (51)11/17 INDIANA W 45-22 W (-16½) O (56)11/24 WISCONSIN W 24-21 W (-1) O (44)
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/3 MIDDLE TENN ST W 27-24 L (-15) O (47½)9/10 at Rice L 22-24 L (-2½) U (54)9/17 SE MISSOURI ST W 59-0 W (-27½) O (47)10/1 NOTRE DAME L 10-38 L (+12) P (48)10/8 MINNESOTA W 45-17 W (-13½) O (48)10/15 at Penn St L 18-23 W (+12) P (41)10/22 ILLINOIS W 21-14 W (+3) U (49)10/29 at Michigan L 14-36 L (+14) U (53½)11/5 at Wisconsin L 17-62 L (+27½) O (59)11/12 OHIO ST W 26-23 W (+7½) O (44½)11/19 IOWA L 21-31 L (+1½) O (49)11/26 at Indiana W 33-25 L (-8½) O (57½)12/27 vs W Michigan W 37-32 W (-1½) O (62½)
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/1 E KENTUCKY W 48-6 W (-19½) 9/8 at Notre Dame L 17-20 W (+14) U (53½)9/15 E MICHIGAN W 54-16 W (-23½) O (49½)9/29 MARSHALL W 51-41 L (-17) O (61½)10/6 MICHIGAN L 13-44 L (+3) O (55)10/13 WISCONSIN L 14-38 L (+1½) O (49½)10/20 at Ohio St L 22-29 W (+17) U (58)10/27 at Minnesota L 28-44 L (-2) O (50)11/3 PENN ST L 9-34 L (+3½) U (49½)11/10 at Iowa W 27-24 W (+5) O (48½)11/17 at Illinois W 20-17 L (-6½) U (49)11/24 INDIANA W 56-35 W (-5½) O (63)1/1 vs Oklahoma St L 14-58 L (+18) O (69)
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
big tEn
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 7–6 9–4 8–4 7–5 31–19 62.0%
OVERALL ATS 5–8 3–8 9–2 5–7 22–25 46.8%
HOME ATS 3–4 1–4 5–2 4–3 13–13 50.0%
ROAD ATS 2–4 2–4 4–0 1–4 9–12 42.9%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 4–4 3–4 6–1 3–5 16–14 53.3%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 1–4 0–4 3–1 2–2 6–11 35.3%
AS FAVORITE ATS 4–2 2–5 6–1 3–4 15–12 55.6%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 1–5 1–3 3–1 2–3 7–12 36.8%
OVER-UNDER 7–5 2–9 7–5 7–5 23–24 48.9%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring +2.5 66
Yardage +51.8 45
Turnovers -2 T73
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 28.7 69
Yards/Game 433.2 43
Yds Per Play 5.71 60
Rush Yds/Gm 174.0 58
Pass Yds/Gm 259.2 37
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 26.2 59
Yards/Game 381.3 49
Yds Per Play 5.30 43
Rush Yds/Gm 144.0 37
Pass Yds/Gm 237.3 74
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
big tEn
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 4–8 7–6 6–7 1–11 18–32 36.0%
OVERALL ATS 4–7 6–7 6–7 4–8 20–29 40.8%
HOME ATS 2–5 4–3 3–4 2–5 11–17 39.3%
ROAD ATS 2–2 2–4 3–3 2–3 9–12 42.9%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 4–4 4–4 3–5 3–5 14–18 43.8%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 0–3 2–3 3–2 1–3 6–11 35.3%
AS FAVORITE ATS 1–4 3–3 3–3 0–1 7–11 38.9%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 3–3 3–4 3–4 4–7 13–18 41.9%
OVER-UNDER 5–6 8–3 8–4 6–5 27–18 60.0%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring -23.1 119
Yardage -177.0 123
Turnovers -3 T79
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 14.9 121
Yards/Game 282.9 121
Yds Per Play 4.56 118
Rush Yds/Gm 67.1 124
Pass Yds/Gm 215.8 79
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 38.0 113
Yards/Game 459.9 105
Yds Per Play 6.23 105
Rush Yds/Gm 235.4 116
Pass Yds/Gm 224.5 55
72 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2014
>
WISCONSIN
2011-13 gaME logS
8/309/69/209/2710/410/1110/2511/111/811/1511/2211/29
vs. LSU*WESTERN ILLINOISBOWLING GREENSOUTH FLORIDAat NorthwesternILLINOISMARYLANDat Rutgersat PurdueNEBRASKAat IowaMINNESOTA* at Houston, Texas
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/31 MASSACHUSETTS W 45-0 W (-42) U (53½)9/7 TENNESSEE TECH W 48-0 W (-44) U (59)9/14 at Arizona St L 30-32 W (+7) O (55)9/21 PURDUE W 41-10 W (-21½) O (48½)9/28 at Ohio St L 24-31 P (+7) U (55½)10/12 NORTHWESTERN W 35-6 W (-11) U (57½)10/19 at Illinois W 56-32 W (-14½) O (55½)11/2 at Iowa W 28-9 W (-8½) U (48½)11/9 BYU W 27-17 W (-9) U (55½)11/16 INDIANA W 51-3 W (-27) U (67)11/23 at Minnesota W 20-7 L (-15½) U (51)11/30 PENN ST L 24-31 L (-25) O (49½)
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/1 UNLV W 51-17 L (-36) O (56)9/10 OREGON ST W 35-0 W (-20) U (56½)9/17 vs N Illinois W 49-7 W (-16) U (65)9/24 S DAKOTA W 59-10 W (-46) O (59½)10/1 NEBRASKA W 48-17 W (-9½) O (55½)10/15 INDIANA W 59-7 W (-38) O (62)10/22 at Michigan St L 31-37 L (-7) O (50½)10/29 at Ohio St L 29-33 L (-8) O (48)11/5 PURDUE W 62-17 W (-27½) O (59)11/12 at Minnesota W 42-13 L (-29½) U (64)11/19 at Illinois W 28-17 L (-14½) U (51)11/26 PENN ST W 45-7 W (-17) O (49)12/3 vs Michigan St W 42-39 L (-9½) O (56)1/2 vs Oregon L 38-45 L (+4) O (74)
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/1 N IOWA W 26-21 L (-32½) 9/8 at Oregon St L 7-10 L (-6) U (49)9/15 UTAH ST W 16-14 L (-14) U (51½)9/22 UTEP W 37-26 L (-18) O (50½)9/29 at Nebraska L 27-30 W (+11) O (52)10/6 ILLINOIS W 31-14 W (-14½) O (44½)10/13 at Purdue W 38-14 W (-1½) O (49½)10/20 MINNESOTA W 38-13 W (-17) O (46½)10/27 MICHIGAN ST L 13-16 L (-5½) U (41)11/10 at Indiana W 62-14 W (-7½) O (55½)11/17 OHIO ST L 14-21 L (-1) U (51½)11/24 at Penn St L 21-24 L (+1) O (44)12/1 vs Nebraska W 70-31 W (+3) O (51)1/1 vs Stanford L 14-20 L (+4) U (46½)
>RUTGERS
2011-13 gaME logS
8/289/69/139/209/2710/410/1810/2511/111/1511/2211/29
at Washington StateHOWARDPENN STATEat NavyTULANEMICHIGANat Ohio Stateat NebraskaWISCONSININDIANAat Michigan Stateat Maryland
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/29 at Fresno St L 51-52 W (+10½) O (54½)9/7 NORFOLK ST W 38-0 L (-40) U (45½)9/14 E MICHIGAN W 28-10 L (-28) U (54)9/21 ARKANSAS W 28-24 W (-1½) O (42½)10/5 at SMU W 55-52 P (-3) O (54½)10/10 at Louisville L 10-24 W (+19) U (55½)10/26 HOUSTON L 14-49 L (-6) O (59)11/2 TEMPLE W 23-20 L (-11½) U (57½)11/16 CINCINNATI L 17-52 L (+1) O (54)11/21 at UCF L 17-41 L (+20) U (59)11/30 at Connecticut L 17-28 L (-2) U (47)12/7 S FLORIDA W 31-6 W (-4) U (44)12/28 vs Notre Dame L 16-29 W (+14½) U (53½)
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/1 NC CENTRAL W 48-0 W (-43½) 9/10 at N Carolina L 22-24 W (+9½) U (49½)9/24 OHIO U W 38-26 W (-3½) O (51)10/1 at Syracuse W 19-16 W (+1½) U (50)10/8 PITTSBURGH W 34-10 W (+6½) U (52)10/15 NAVY W 21-20 L (-3) U (54)10/21 at Louisville L 14-16 L (+1) U (41½)10/29 W VIRGINIA L 31-41 L (+6) O (50)11/5 S FLORIDA W 20-17 W (+2) U (49)11/12 vs Army W 27-12 W (-9) U (46)11/19 CINCINNATI W 20-3 W (-1) U (46½)11/26 at Connecticut L 22-40 L (-3½) O (40)12/30 vs Iowa St W 27-13 W (+1½) U (46)
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/1 at Tulane W 24-12 L (-19½) U (48½)9/8 HOWARD W 26-0 L (-42) 9/13 at S Florida W 23-13 W (+7½) U (44½)9/22 at Arkansas W 35-26 W (+8½) O (49½)10/6 CONNECTICUT W 19-3 W (-7½) U (40)10/13 SYRACUSE W 23-15 W (-6½) U (50½)10/20 at Temple W 35-10 W (-3½) O (44½)10/27 KENT ST L 23-35 L (-13½) O (46)11/10 ARMY W 28-7 W (-17) U (53½)11/17 at Cincinnati W 10-3 W (+6½) U (47½)11/24 at Pittsburgh L 6-27 L (+1½) U (43)11/29 LOUISVILLE L 17-20 L (-3½) U (43)12/28 vs Virginia Tech L 10-13 L (-1) U (42)
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
big tEn
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 4–8 9–4 9–4 6–7 28–23 54.9%
OVERALL ATS 3–9 9–4 7–6 5–7 24–26 48.0%
HOME ATS 1–5 5–2 3–3 2–5 11–15 42.3%
ROAD ATS 2–4 4–2 4–3 3–2 13–11 54.2%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 3–4 4–3 5–2 2–5 14–14 50.0%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 0–5 5–1 2–4 3–2 10–12 45.5%
AS FAVORITE ATS 0–4 4–2 4–5 2–5 10–16 38.5%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 3–5 5–2 3–1 3–2 14–10 58.3%
OVER-UNDER 7–4 3–9 3–9 5–8 18–30 37.5%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring -3.2 83
Yardage -47.6 90
Turnovers -12 T121
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 26.5 77
Yards/Game 365.2 96
Yds Per Play 5.29 90
Rush Yds/Gm 129.5 101
Pass Yds/Gm 235.6 64
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 29.8 81
Yards/Game 412.8 74
Yds Per Play 5.68 78
Rush Yds/Gm 100.8 4
Pass Yds/Gm 312.0 122
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
big tEn
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 11–2 11–3 8–6 9–4 39–15 72.2%
OVERALL ATS 8–5 7–7 6–8 9–3 30–23 56.6%
HOME ATS 4–3 6–1 2–5 6–1 18–10 64.3%
ROAD ATS 4–2 1–6 4–3 3–2 12–13 48.0%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 6–2 4–5 6–3 5–2 21–12 63.6%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 2–3 3–2 0–5 4–1 9–11 45.0%
AS FAVORITE ATS 5–5 7–6 4–6 8–2 24–19 55.8%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 3–0 0–1 2–2 1–1 6–4 60.0%
OVER-UNDER 8–4 10–4 8–5 5–8 31–21 59.6%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring +18.5 9
Yardage +175.8 5
Turnovers +1 T54
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 34.8 27
Yards/Game 480.8 18
Yds Per Play 6.85 9
Rush Yds/Gm 283.8 8
Pass Yds/Gm 197.1 T95
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 16.3 6
Yards/Game 305.1 7
Yds Per Play 4.73 8
Rush Yds/Gm 102.5 5
Pass Yds/Gm 202.5 17
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20th Season
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20th Season
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74 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2014
>
CONFERENCE
USApREdictEd FiniSh
1. Marshall 2. Florida Atlantic 3. Western Kentucky 4. Middle Tennessee 5. UAB 6. Fla. International 7. Old Dominion
1. Rice2. Louisiana Tech3. Texas-San Antonio4. North Texas5. UTEP6. Southern Miss
EAST DIVISION WEST DIVISION
FLORIDA ATLANTICOffense: Starters returning - 5; Defense: Starters returning - 5 New Head Coach: Charlie PartridgeFAU was a perfect 4-0 in November under promoted OC Brian Wright, but decided to hire Arkansas assistant Charlie Partridge and keep Wright as the OC. QB Jaquez Johnson (7.3 YPA, 12 TD, 8 INT; 767 rush yds, 10 TD) still has star WR William Dukes (553 rec yds, 6 TD) to force-feed, and the club is high on RB Jay Warren (340 rush yds, 4.8 YPC). New DC Roc Bellantoni will not make major changes to a tough defense (22.2 PPG, 26th in FBS) that brings back most of its top players in DT Brandin Bryant (5 sacks), LB Andrae Kirk (84 tackles), CB D’Joun Smith (6 INT) and SS Damian Parms (77 tackles).
FLORIDA INTERNATIONALOffense: Starters returning - 11; Defense: Starters returning - 7 FIU returns all offensive starters, but that might not be a good thing con-sidering the team scored an FBS-low 9.8 PPG with three shutouts. QB Alex McGough appears to be the best fit for Ron Turner’s pro-style offense, but he doesn’t have polished receivers to throw to. RB Lamarq Caldwell (547 rush yds, 3.8 YPC) will get the most touches on offense. The Panthers also struggled defensively in 2013 (37.0 PPG), and the front seven has several areas of concern. FS Justin Halley (3 INT) leads an adequate secondary.
LOUISIANA TECHOffense: Starters returning - 6; Defense: Starters returning - 6 The Bulldogs went from 51.5 PPG in 2012 to 19.2 PPG last year, and are still unsure if QB Ryan Higgins (6.1 YPA, 6 TD, 13 INT) or Iowa transfer QB Cody Sokol will start. LSU transfer WR Paul Turner will stretch the field while WR Trent Taylor (260 rec yds) works underneath. RB Kenneth Dixon (917 rush yds, 6.1 YPC, 4 TD) is confident his knees are healthy. New DC Manny Diaz’s 4-3 defense will lean on Illinois transfer OLB Houston Bates (3.5 sacks, 11 TFL), LB Mitch Villemez (69 tackles, 3 FF) and CB Adairius Barnes (4 INT).
MARSHALLOffense: Starters returning - 6; Defense: Starters returning - 7The Herd play at a break-neck speed on offense, which perfectly suits star QB Rakeem Cato (3,916 pass yds, 39 TD, 9 INT) and top WR Tommy Shuler (106 rec, 1,165 yds, 10 TD). TE Eric Frohnapfel (2 rec TD) will try to replace departed TE Gator Hoskins, who scored 15 TD, and Marshall will use a three-headed rushing attack. The defense improved greatly in 2013 (22.9 PPG) and the line is still potent with senior DT James Rouse (6 sacks, 14 TFL) and DE Ra’Shawde Myers (4.5 sacks, 51 tackles). LB Evan McKelvey (97 tackles) can sure play, as can CB Darryl Roberts (7 PD) and FS A.J. Leggett (4 INT).
MIDDLE TENNESSEEOffense: Starters returning - 4; Defense: Starters returning - 7 The Blue Raiders earned a bowl bid with 42.6 PPG during a five-game win streak to end the regular season. Either QBs Austin Grammer (4.1 YPA, 1 TD, 2 INT) or freshmen AJ Erdely or Brent Stockstill (son of head coach Rick Stockstill) will start under center. WR Marcus Henry (549 rec yds) is the go-to receiver, while RBs Jordan Parker (745 rush yds, 6 TD) and Reggie Whatley (657 rush yds, 6.5 YPC) are both capable backs. MTSU tied for fifth in FBS in forced turnovers, but needs a better pass rush. LB T.T. Barber (119 tackles, 3 INT, 3 FF) and S Kevin Byard (106 tackles, 5 INT, 2 TD) excel.
NORTH TEXASOffense: Starters returning - 5; Defense: Starters returning - 4 Four returning starters are O-Linemen, which will help QBs Andrew McNulty (5-for-6, 36 yds, 1 INT) and JUCO Josh Greer. A starting QB is TBD. WR Carlos Harris (553 rec yds, 4 TD) is UNT’s only proven wideout, but the ground game of RBs Antoinne Jimmerson (446 rush yds, 7 TD) and Reggie Pegram (338 rush yds, 6 TD) will carry the offense. An excellent Mean Green defense (17.8 PPG, 8th in FBS) lost all but one of its starting front seven, LB Derek Akunne (90 tackles, 4 PD). But the secondary is nearly intact, including CB Kenny Buyers (78 tackles, 3 INT) and S Lairamie Lee (74 tackles, 3 INT).
OLD DOMINIONOffense: Starters returning - 8; Defense: Starters returning - 9 The Monarchs’ enter C-USA with senior QB Taylor Heinicke (4,022 pass yds, 33 TD, 8 INT) and an experienced group of receivers headlined by WRs Larry Pinkard (1,020 rec yds, 9 TD) and Antonio Vaughan (843 rec yds, 9 TD). ODU has rushing depth with RBs Cam Boyd (450 rush yds, 5 TD) and Gerard Johnson (372 rush yds, 5 TD). The club lost only two defensive starters to a unit that allowed 34.0 PPG to a weak 2013 schedule. S Fellonte Misher (95 tackles) and S-turned-LB Andre Simmons (78 tackles) shine brightest.
RICEOffense: Starters returning - 6; Defense: Starters returning - 6Rice promoted OC Larry Edmondson from quarterbacks coach to help QB Driphus Jackson (5-for-16, 50 yds) become a suitable replacement for Taylor McHargue. Jackson will mainly target WRs Jordan Taylor (848 rec yds, 8 TD) and Dennis Parks (508 rec yds). Top RBs Jawon Davis (476 rush yds) and Darik Dillard (396 rush yds) are also solid. The Owls defense was strong in 2013 (24.4 PPG) and returns DT Christian Covington (4 sacks, 11.5 TFL) and LB James Radcliffe (64 tackles, 2 FF). Losing CB Phillip Gaines hurts, but senior CBs Bryce Callahan and Malcolm Hill and both had 3 INT last year.
StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2014 75
ACCCollege Top 25
Big 12Big Ten
MAC
Mountain W
estSEC
Sun BeltIndependents
Pac-12A
ACConference U
SA
SOUTHERN MISSOffense: Starters returning - 8; Defense: Starters returning - 7 QB Nick Mullens (6.4 YPA, 13 TD, 14 INT) reunites with high-school coach and new OC Chip Lindsey from Auburn this season. Mullens’ supporting cast is decent with WR Tyre’oune Holmes (410 rec yds) and RB Jalen Richard (318 rush yds). The defense gets a boost with the returns of three key play-ers who missed most of 2013 in S Jacorius Cotton (41 tackles in 2012), LB Alan Howze (66 tackles in ‘12) and DT Rakeem Nunez-Roches (6 TFL in ‘12).
TEXAS-SAN ANTONIOOffense: Starters returning - 9; Defense: Starters returning - 9UTSA’s entire O-Line returns to its run-oriented offense propelled by RB David Glasco II (496 rush yds, 5.2 YPC, 5 TD). WR Kam Jones (345 rec yds, 302 rush yds, 6 total TD) is the No. 1 wideout for new QB Tucker Carter (190 pass yds, 1 TD, 2 INT), who replaces Eric Soza. The Roadrunners’ 4-2-5 defense is strong throughout with DE Robert Singletary (5 sacks), LB Drew Douglas (70 tackles), S Triston Wade (94 tackles) and CB Bennett Okotcha (10 PD).
UABOffense: Starters returning - 6; Defense: Starters returning - 8New Head Coach: Bill ClarkBill Clark takes over a 2-10 team that will start either JUCO QB Cody Clements or redshirt freshman QB Jeremiah Briscoe. RB Jordan Howard
(881 rush yds, 6.1 YPC) will get the most carries, with the top receivers being star WR Jamarcus Nelson (846 rec yds, 8 TD) and TE Kennard Backman (302 rec yds). Clark’s defense should improve with the healthy return of S Calvin Jones (71 tackles in 2012) joining standout CB Kelton Brackett (8 PD). DE Diaheem Watkins (5.5 sacks) leads a front seven starting to make strides.
UTEPOffense: Starters returning - 9; Defense: Starters returning - 7 QB Jameill Showers (6.7 YPA, 11 TD, 4 INT) will miss top wideout Jordan Leslie who left for BYU, making WR Ian Hamilton (354 rec yds) and TE Eric Tomlinson (304 rec yds) his top targets. RB Aaron Jones (625 rush yds, 4 TD) rumbles behind a beefed-up offensive line. The weak 4-2-5 Miners defense needs DE Roy Robertson-Harris (3.5 sacks), LB Anthony Puente (61 tackles), CB Adrian James (3 PD) and S Dashone Smith (70 tackles) to all step up.
WESTERN KENTUCKYOffense: Starters returning - 7; Defense: Starters returning - 2New Head Coach: Jeff BrohmPromoted OC Jeff Brohm replaces Bobby Petrino in the school’s first C-USA season and he’s happy to have back QB Brandon Doughty (2,857 pass yds, 14 TD, 14 INT) and top WR Willie McNeal (599 rec yds, 5 TD). RB Leon Allen (559 total yds, 6 TD) replaces Antonio Andrews. But only CB Cam Thomas (5 INT, 10 PD) and DE Gavin Rocker (37 tackles, 2 sacks) return on defense. DC Nick Holt will expect a lot of out JUCO transfer -- and son -- LB Nick Holt.
>FLORIDA ATLANT IC
2011-13 gaME logS
8/309/69/139/209/2710/210/1810/2511/111/811/2211/29
at Nebraskaat AlabamaTULSAat WyomingUTSAat Florida InternationalWESTERN KENTUCKYat MarshallUABat North Texasat Middle TennesseeOLD DOMINION
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/30 at Miami L 6-34 W (+31) U (52½)9/5 at E Carolina L 13-31 P (+18) U (57)9/14 at S Florida W 28-10 W (+12) U (45)9/21 MIDDLE TENN ST L 35-42 L (+3) O (49½)9/28 at Rice L 14-18 W (+14½) U (54)10/5 at UAB W 37-23 W (+3½) O (52½)10/12 MARSHALL L 23-24 W (+10) U (56½)10/26 at Auburn L 10-45 L (+22½) O (52)11/2 TULANE W 34-17 W (-3) O (48)11/16 at Southern Miss W 41-7 W (-17½) U (50½)11/23 NEW MEXICO ST W 55-10 W (-23) O (56½)11/29 FLA INTERNATIONAL W 21-6 L (-27½) U (44½)
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/3 at Florida L 3-41 L (+34) U (49)9/10 at Michigan St L 0-44 L (+31) U (49½)9/24 at Auburn L 14-30 W (+31) U (61)10/1 at LA Lafayette L 34-37 W (+7½) O (48½)10/8 at North Texas L 17-31 L (+3) U (49)10/15 W KENTUCKY L 0-20 L (-2) U (43½)10/22 MIDDLE TENN ST L 14-38 L (+4) P (52)11/5 ARKANSAS ST L 21-39 L (+17) O (47)11/12 at FLA International L 7-41 L (+17) O (46½)11/19 at Troy L 7-34 L (+13½) U (50)11/26 UAB W 38-35 W (+3½) O (50)12/3 LA MONROE L 0-26 L (+7) U (47½)
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/31 WAGNER W 7-3 L (-17½) 9/8 at Middle Tenn st L 17-31 L (+7) U (50)9/15 at Georgia L 20-56 W (+42½) O (52½)9/22 at Alabama L 7-40 W (+48) U (57)9/29 NORTH TEXAS L 14-20 W (+7) U (49)10/13 at LA Monroe L 14-35 W (+23½) U (56)10/20 at S Alabama L 34-37 W (+5) O (45)10/27 TROY W 34-27 W (+7½) O (51½)11/3 at Navy L 17-24 W (+17) U (52)11/10 at W Kentucky W 37-28 W (+16) O (49)11/16 FLA INTERNATNL L 24-34 L (0) O (51)12/1 LA LAFAYETTE L 21-35 L (+8½) U (61)
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
conFEREncE uSa
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 4–8 1–11 3–9 6–6 14–34 29.2%
OVERALL ATS 3–9 3–9 8–4 8–3 22–25 46.8%
HOME ATS 1–3 1–4 2–3 3–2 7–12 36.8%
ROAD ATS 2–6 2–5 6–1 5–1 15–13 53.6%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 1–7 1–7 5–3 5–2 12–19 38.7%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 2–2 2–2 3–1 3–1 10–6 62.5%
AS FAVORITE ATS 0–3 0–1 0–1 3–1 3–6 33.3%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 3–6 3–8 8–3 5–2 19–19 50.0%
OVER-UNDER 4–8 4–7 5–6 5–7 18–28 39.1%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring +4.2 58
Yardage +55.3 43
Turnovers -3 T79
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 26.4 78
Yards/Game 381.3 83
Yds Per Play 5.37 85
Rush Yds/Gm 182.9 47
Pass Yds/Gm 198.3 93
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 22.3 26
Yards/Game 325.9 11
Yds Per Play 4.88 16
Rush Yds/Gm 164.4 66
Pass Yds/Gm 161.5 2
76 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2014
>LOUIS IANA TECH
2011-13 gaME logS
8/309/69/119/209/2710/410/1810/2511/111/811/2211/29
at Oklahomaat Louisiana-Lafayetteat North TexasNORTHWESTERN STATEat AuburnUTEPUTSAat Southern MissWESTERN KENTUCKYat UABat Old DominionRICE
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/31 at NC State L 14-40 L (+14½) U (61½)9/7 LAMAR W 27-14 L (-28½) U (63)9/12 TULANE L 15-24 L (-7) U (59)9/21 at Kansas L 10-13 W (+10½) U (51)9/28 vs Army L 16-35 L (-3½) U (53)10/5 at UTEP W 38-35 W (-1½) O (60)10/19 NORTH TEXAS L 13-28 L (+3½) U (52)10/26 at FLA International W 23-7 W (-4½) U (50)11/9 SOUTHERN MISS W 36-13 W (-17) U (53)11/16 at Rice L 14-52 L (+14½) O (50½)11/23 TULSA L 14-24 L (+2½) U (53½)11/30 at Utsa L 10-30 L (+16½) U (53)
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/3 at Southern Miss L 17-19 W (+12) U (51½)9/10 C ARKANSAS W 48-42 L (-17½) O (49)9/17 HOUSTON L 34-35 W (+6) O (67)9/24 at Mississippi St L 20-26 W (+20) U (58)10/1 HAWAII L 26-44 L (-4½) O (58)10/8 at Idaho W 24-11 W (-4) U (55)10/22 at Utah St W 24-17 W (+6) U (57)10/29 SAN JOSE ST W 38-28 W (-7) O (49½)11/5 at Fresno St W 41-21 W (+3½) O (58)11/12 at Ole Miss W 27-7 W (0) U (51)11/19 at Nevada W 24-20 W (+7) U (56)11/26 NEW MEXICO ST W 44-0 W (-23) U (58)12/21 vs TCU L 24-31 W (+9½) O (53)
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/8 at Houston W 56-49 W (-3) O (58½)9/15 RICE W 56-37 L (-21) O (67½)9/22 at Illinois W 52-24 W (+3) O (57)9/29 at Virginia W 44-38 W (-3½) O (60)10/6 UNLV W 58-31 P (-27) O (70)10/13 vs Texas A&M L 57-59 W (+9½) O (77)10/20 IDAHO W 70-28 W (-30) O (73)10/27 at New Mexico st W 28-14 L (-28½) U (76½)11/3 UTSA W 51-27 L (-30) O (72)11/10 at Texas St W 62-55 L (-19½) O (69½)11/17 UTAH ST L 41-48 L (+3) O (73½)11/24 at San Jose st L 43-52 L (+3½) O (76½)
>FLORIDA INTERNAT IONAL
2011-13 gaME logS
8/309/69/139/209/2710/210/1110/1811/111/811/1511/22
BETHUNE-COOKMANWAGNERPITTSBURGHLOUISVILLEat UABFLORIDA ATLANTICat UTSAMARSHALLRICEat Old DominionMIDDLE TENNESSEEat North Texas
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/31 at Maryland L 10-43 L (+21) O (49)9/6 UCF L 0-38 L (+24) U (53)9/14 BET COOK L 13-34 L (+2½) O (46½)9/21 at Louisville L 0-72 L (+41) O (55½)10/5 at Southern Miss W 24-23 W (+15½) U (49)10/12 UAB L 24-27 W (+5½) U (52)10/26 LOUISIANA TECH L 7-23 L (+4½) U (50)11/2 E CAROLINA L 13-34 W (+27) U (50½)11/9 at Middle Tenn st L 0-48 L (+20) U (48½)11/16 at UTEP L 10-33 L (+5½) U (47)11/23 MARSHALL L 10-48 L (+31½) O (56)11/29 at FLA Atlantic L 6-21 W (+27½) U (44½)
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/1 NORTH TEXAS W 41-16 W (-14) O (53½)9/9 at Louisville W 24-17 W (+3) U (48)9/17 UCF W 17-10 W (+6½) U (50)9/24 LA LAFAYETTE L 31-36 L (-16½) O (51)10/1 DUKE L 27-31 L (-3½) U (58½)10/8 at Akron W 27-17 L (-17) U (51½)10/18 at Arkansas St L 16-34 L (+3½) U (54½)10/25 TROY W 23-20 L (-6½) U (55)11/5 at W Kentucky L 9-10 L (-3) U (49½)11/12 FLA ATLANTIC W 41-7 W (-17) O (46½)11/19 at LA Monroe W 28-17 W (+1) U (49½)11/26 at Middle Tenn st W 31-18 W (-8) U (54)12/20 vs Marshall L 10-20 L (-4) U (48½)
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/1 at Duke L 26-46 L (+2½) O (53½)9/8 AKRON W 41-38 L (-24½) O (58)9/15 at UCF L 20-33 W (+14½) O (49½)9/22 LOUISVILLE L 21-28 W (+10½) U (52½)9/29 at LA Lafayette L 20-48 L (+6½) O (54½)10/4 ARKANSAS ST L 20-34 L (+2½) U (56½)10/13 MIDDLE TENN ST L 30-34 L (+1½) O (55½)10/20 at Troy L 37-38 W (+6½) O (57)10/27 W KENTUCKY L 6-14 L (+6) U (51½)11/3 at S Alabama W 28-20 W (-3½) U (52½)11/16 at FLA Atlantic W 34-24 W (0) O (51)11/24 LA MONROE L 17-23 L (+3½) U (61½)
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
conFEREncE uSa
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 7–6 8–5 3–9 1–11 19–31 38.0%
OVERALL ATS 6–6 6–7 5–7 4–8 21–28 42.9%
HOME ATS 2–3 3–3 1–5 2–4 8–15 34.8%
ROAD ATS 4–3 3–4 4–2 2–4 13–13 50.0%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 4–4 4–4 3–5 4–4 15–17 46.9%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 2–2 2–3 2–2 0–4 6–11 35.3%
AS FAVORITE ATS 3–4 3–6 1–1 0–0 7–11 38.9%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 3–2 3–1 4–6 4–8 14–17 45.2%
OVER-UNDER 5–8 3–10 7–5 4–8 19–31 38.0%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring -27.3 124
Yardage -210.7 124
Turnovers -6 T97
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 9.8 T124
Yards/Game 219.0 125
Yds Per Play 3.56 125
Rush Yds/Gm 76.3 122
Pass Yds/Gm 142.8 118
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 37.0 112
Yards/Game 429.7 95
Yds Per Play 6.58 113
Rush Yds/Gm 205.4 100
Pass Yds/Gm 224.3 54
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
conFEREncE uSa
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 5–7 8–5 9–3 4–8 26–23 53.1%
OVERALL ATS 5–7 11–2 5–6 4–8 25–23 52.1%
HOME ATS 3–3 3–2 1–3 1–4 8–12 40.0%
ROAD ATS 2–4 8–0 4–3 3–4 17–11 60.7%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 4–4 6–1 1–5 3–5 14–15 48.3%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 1–3 5–1 4–1 1–3 11–8 57.9%
AS FAVORITE ATS 2–2 3–2 3–4 3–3 11–11 50.0%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 3–4 8–0 2–2 1–5 14–11 56.0%
OVER-UNDER 7–4 6–7 11–1 2–10 26–22 54.2%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring -7.1 95
Yardage -42.1 88
Turnovers -3 T79
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 19.2 112
Yards/Game 366.2 95
Yds Per Play 5.12 101
Rush Yds/Gm 160.2 74
Pass Yds/Gm 206.0 89
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 26.3 61
Yards/Game 408.3 70
Yds Per Play 5.30 42
Rush Yds/Gm 194.8 92
Pass Yds/Gm 213.5 31
StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2014 77
ACCCollege Top 25
Big 12Big Ten
MAC
Mountain W
estSEC
Sun BeltIndependents
Pac-12A
ACConference U
SA>
MARSHALL
2011-13 gaME logS
8/309/69/139/2010/410/1110/1810/2511/811/1511/2211/28
at Miami (OH)RHODE ISLANDOHIOat Akronat Old DominionMIDDLE TENNESSEEat Florida InternationalFLORIDA ATLANTICat Southern MissRICEat UABWESTERN KENTUCKY
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/31 MIAMI OHIO W 52-14 W (-20½) U (68)9/7 GARDNER WEBB W 55-0 W (-41) U (71½)9/14 at Ohio U L 31-34 L (-7½) U (68)9/21 at Virginia Tech L 21-29 P (+8) O (48)10/5 UTSA W 34-10 W (-16½) U (65½)10/12 at FLA Atlantic W 24-23 L (-10) U (56½)10/24 at Middle Tenn st L 49-51 L (-10) O (56½)11/2 SOUTHERN MISS W 61-13 W (-31½) O (59½)11/9 UAB W 56-14 W (-23½) O (68)11/14 at Tulsa W 45-34 L (-13½) O (62½)11/23 at FLA International W 48-10 W (-31½) O (56)11/29 E CAROLINA W 59-28 W (-3) O (68½)12/7 at Rice L 24-41 L (-6½) T (65)12/27 vs Maryland W 31-20 W (-2½) U (64)
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/4 at W Virginia L 13-34 W (+21½) U (52½)9/10 SOUTHERN MISS W 26-20 W (+7½) U (53)9/17 at Ohio U L 7-44 L (+5½) O (48)9/24 VIRGINIA TECH L 10-30 W (+20½) U (46)10/1 at Louisville W 17-13 W (+11) U (46½)10/8 at UCF L 6-16 W (+20) U (42)10/15 RICE W 24-20 L (-5½) U (51½)10/22 at Houston L 28-63 L (+24) O (62)10/29 UAB W 59-14 W (-5) O (52)11/12 at Tulsa L 17-59 L (+19) O (52)11/17 at Memphis W 23-22 L (-13½) U (50½)11/26 E CAROLINA W 34-27 W (-1) O (55½)12/20 vs FLA International W 20-10 W (+4) U (48½)
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/1 at W Virginia L 34-69 L (+26½) O (67½)9/8 W CAROLINA W 52-24 L (-33) 9/15 OHIO U L 24-27 W (+5½) U (66½)9/22 at Rice W 54-51 P (-3) O (71½)9/29 at Purdue L 41-51 W (+17) O (61½)10/6 TULSA L 38-45 L (+3) O (68)10/20 at Southern Miss W 59-24 W (+4) O (65½)10/27 UCF L 17-54 L (+2) O (66½)11/3 MEMPHIS W 38-28 L (-20) O (63½)11/10 at UAB L 31-38 L (-3) U (75)11/17 HOUSTON W 44-41 L (-3½) O (75)11/23 at E Carolina L 59-65 W (+6½) O (71)
>MIDDLE TENNESSEE
2011-13 gaME logS
8/309/69/139/209/2610/410/1110/1811/111/1511/2211/29
SAVANNAH STATEat MinnesotaWESTERN KENTUCKYat Memphisat Old DominionSOUTHERN MISSat MarshallUABBRIGHAM YOUNGat Florida InternationalFLORIDA ATLANTICat UTEP
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/29 W CAROLINA W 45-24 L (-31½) O (60½)9/7 at N Carolina L 20-40 P (+20) U (66½)9/14 MEMPHIS W 17-15 L (-8) U (50½)9/21 at FLA Atlantic W 42-35 W (-3) O (49½)9/27 at BYU L 10-37 L (+23½) U (59)10/5 E CAROLINA L 17-24 W (+8) U (62½)10/12 at North Texas L 7-34 L (+6½) U (54)10/24 MARSHALL W 51-49 W (+10) O (56½)11/2 at UAB W 24-21 L (-3½) U (64)11/9 FLA INTERNATIONAL W 48-0 W (-20) U (48½)11/23 at Southern Miss W 42-21 L (-23½) O (54½)11/30 UTEP W 48-17 W (-24) O (56)12/30 vs Navy L 6-24 L (+7) U (57)
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/3 at Purdue L 24-27 W (+15) O (47½)9/10 GEORGIA TECH L 21-49 L (+13) O (57)9/24 at Troy L 35-38 W (+12½) O (63)10/1 MEMPHIS W 38-31 L (-23) O (57)10/6 W KENTUCKY L 33-36 L (-10½) O (53½)10/22 at FLA Atlantic W 38-14 W (-4) P (52)10/29 LA LAFAYETTE L 20-45 L (-3) O (63)11/5 at Tennessee L 0-24 L (+22) U (54½)11/12 at LA Monroe L 14-42 L (+6½) O (55)11/19 ARKANSAS ST L 19-45 L (+13½) O (58)11/26 FLA INTERNATIONAL L 18-31 L (+8) U (54)12/3 at North Texas L 7-59 L (+4½) O (54)
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/30 MCNEESE ST L 21-27 L (-7) 9/8 FLA ATLANTIC W 31-17 W (-7) U (50)9/15 at Memphis W 48-30 W (-5½) O (54½)9/29 at Georgia Tech W 49-28 W (+24½) O (63½)10/6 LA MONROE L 17-31 L (+3½) U (62½)10/13 at Fla. Internatnl W 34-30 W (-1½) O (55½)10/20 at Mississippi St L 3-45 L (+18½) U (58)10/27 NORTH TEXAS W 38-21 W (-3) O (57)11/1 at W Kentucky W 34-29 W (+9) O (56)11/17 at S Alabama W 20-12 W (-7) U (56)11/24 TROY W 24-21 P (-3) U (69)12/1 at Arkansas St L 0-45 L (+13½) U (64)
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
conFEREncE uSa
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 5–7 7–6 5–7 10–4 27–24 52.9%
OVERALL ATS 4–8 8–5 4–7 8–5 24–25 49.0%
HOME ATS 3–3 4–1 1–5 6–0 14–9 60.9%
ROAD ATS 1–5 4–4 3–2 2–5 10–16 38.5%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 3–5 4–4 2–5 5–4 14–18 43.8%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 1–3 4–1 2–2 3–1 10–7 58.8%
AS FAVORITE ATS 2–3 2–2 0–4 8–5 12–14 46.2%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 2–5 6–3 4–3 0–0 12–11 52.2%
OVER-UNDER 5–6 5–8 9–2 7–6 26–22 54.2%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring +19.2 7
Yardage +131.8 12
Turnovers +3 T41
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 42.1 7
Yards/Game 500.4 12
Yds Per Play 6.41 21
Rush Yds/Gm 205.9 23
Pass Yds/Gm 294.4 20
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 22.9 32
Yards/Game 368.6 35
Yds Per Play 4.90 18
Rush Yds/Gm 160.5 58
Pass Yds/Gm 208.1 24
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
conFEREncE uSa
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 6–7 2–10 8–4 8–5 24–26 48.0%
OVERALL ATS 4–9 3–9 7–4 5–7 19–29 39.6%
HOME ATS 2–4 0–6 2–2 4–2 8–14 36.4%
ROAD ATS 2–5 3–3 5–2 1–5 11–15 42.3%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 4–4 2–6 5–2 5–3 16–15 51.6%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 0–5 1–3 2–2 0–4 3–14 17.6%
AS FAVORITE ATS 3–7 1–3 5–1 3–4 12–15 44.4%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 1–2 2–6 2–3 2–3 7–14 33.3%
OVER-UNDER 3–8 9–2 5–6 5–8 22–24 47.8%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring +2.8 65
Yardage +4.8 65
Turnovers +12 T12
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 29.0 68
Yards/Game 407.5 67
Yds Per Play 5.70 61
Rush Yds/Gm 199.3 31
Pass Yds/Gm 208.2 87
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 26.2 60
Yards/Game 402.7 64
Yds Per Play 5.30 45
Rush Yds/Gm 199.3 97
Pass Yds/Gm 203.4 19
78 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2014
>OLD DOMIN ION
2011-13 gaME logS
8/309/69/139/209/2610/410/1110/2511/111/811/2211/29
HAMPTONat North Carolina StateEASTERN MICHIGANat RiceMIDDLE TENNESSEEMARSHALLat UTEPat Western Kentuckyat VanderbiltFLORIDA INTERNATIONALLOUISIANA TECHat Florida Atlantic
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/31 at E Carolina L 38-52 W (+15) O (75½)9/7 at Maryland L 10-47 L (+20½) U (67½)9/14 HOWARD 76-19 9/21 THE CITADEL 59-58 9/28 ALBANY 66-10 10/5 LIBERTY 21-17 10/19 at Pittsburgh L 24-35 W (+16½) 10/26 at Norfolk St 27-24 11/2 RHODE ISLAND 66-14 11/9 at Idaho W 59-38 W (-14) O (70½)11/16 CAMPBELL 42-14 11/23 at N Carolina L 20-80 L (+17) O (78)
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/3 CAMPBELL W 41-149/10 at Georgia State W 40-179/17 HAMPTON W 45-429/24 at Delaware L 17-2710/1 MASSACHUSETTS W 48-3310/8 at Rhode Island W 31-2310/15 TOWSON L 35-3910/22 at Villanova W 37-1410/29 JAMES MADISON W 23-2011/5 RICHMOND W 42-2811/12 at William & Mary W 35-3111/26 NORFOLK STATE W 35-18 W (-11) U (54½)12/3 at Ga Southern L 48-55 W (+14½) O (65½)
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/1 DUQUENSE W 57-239/8 at Hampton W 45-79/15 CAMPBELL W 70-149/22 NEW HAMPSHIRE W 64-619/29 at Richmond W 45-3710/13 VILLANOVA L 14-3810/20 at Towson W 31-2010/27 DELAWARE W 31-2611/3 GEORGIA STATE W 53-2711/10 WILLIAM & MARY W 41-3111/17 at James Madison W 38-2812/1 COASTAL CAROLINA W 63-3512/8 GA SOUTHERN L 35-49
>NORTH TEXAS
2011-13 gaME logS
8/309/69/119/2010/410/1110/1810/2511/811/1511/2211/29
at TexasSOUTHERN METHODISTLOUISIANA TECHNICHOLLS STATEat Indianaat UABSOUTHERN MISSat RiceFLORIDA ATLANTICat UTEPFLORIDA INTERNATIONALat UTSA
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/31 IDAHO W 40-6 W (-16½) U (55)9/7 at Ohio U L 21-27 L (+3) U (59)9/14 BALL ST W 34-27 W (+3) O (58½)9/21 at Georgia L 21-45 W (+33½) O (64)10/5 at Tulane L 21-24 L (-3) U (53½)10/12 MIDDLE TENN ST W 34-7 W (-6½) U (54)10/19 at Louisiana Tech W 28-13 W (-3½) U (52)10/26 at Southern Miss W 55-14 W (-13) O (50)10/31 RICE W 28-16 W (-2) U (53)11/9 UTEP W 41-7 W (-26½) U (54½)11/23 UTSA L 13-21 L (-9½) U (48½)11/30 at Tulsa W 42-10 W (-5) O (49)1/1 vs UNLV W 36-14 W (-5½) U (53)
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/1 at FLA International L 16-41 L (+14) O (53½)9/10 HOUSTON L 23-48 L (+20½) O (65)9/17 at Alabama L 0-41 W (+47) U (58½)9/24 INDIANA W 24-21 W (+5½) U (56)10/1 at Tulsa L 24-41 W (+23) O (59)10/8 FLA ATLANTIC W 31-17 W (-3) U (49)10/15 at LA Lafayette L 10-30 L (+8½) U (55)10/22 LA MONROE W 38-21 W (+7) O (47)10/29 at Arkansas St L 14-37 L (+17½) U (54)11/12 at Troy W 38-33 W (+8) O (52½)11/19 W KENTUCKY L 21-31 L (+2) O (48)12/3 MIDDLE TENN ST W 59-7 W (-4½) O (54)
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/1 at LSU L 14-41 W (+42) O (52)9/8 TEXAS SOUTHERN W 34-7 L (-32) 9/15 at Kansas St L 21-35 W (+27½) O (54)9/22 TROY L 7-14 L (0) U (58)9/29 at FLA Atlantic W 20-14 L (-7) U (49)10/6 at Houston L 21-44 L (+9½) O (58½)10/16 LA LAFAYETTE W 30-23 W (+4½) U (56)10/27 at Middle Tenn st L 21-38 L (+3) O (57)11/3 ARKANSAS ST L 19-37 L (+4½) U (58½)11/10 S ALABAMA W 24-14 W (-6½) U (49½)11/17 at LA Monroe L 16-42 L (+10) O (57½)11/24 at W Kentucky L 24-25 W (+11½) U (51)
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
conFEREncE uSa
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 3–9 5–7 4–8 9–4 21–28 42.9%
OVERALL ATS 6–6 7–5 5–7 10–3 28–21 57.1%
HOME ATS 2–4 4–2 2–3 5–1 13–10 56.5%
ROAD ATS 4–2 3–3 3–4 5–2 15–11 57.7%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 4–4 4–4 3–5 6–2 17–15 53.1%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 2–2 3–1 2–2 4–1 11–6 64.7%
AS FAVORITE ATS 0–2 2–0 1–2 8–2 11–6 64.7%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 6–4 5–5 4–5 2–1 17–15 53.1%
OVER-UNDER 5–7 7–5 5–6 4–9 21–27 43.8%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring +14.1 19
Yardage +62.2 40
Turnovers +11 T15
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 31.8 49
Yards/Game 410.5 64
Yds Per Play 5.61 64
Rush Yds/Gm 180.7 49
Pass Yds/Gm 229.8 68
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 17.8 8
Yards/Game 348.3 17
Yds Per Play 5.14 31
Rush Yds/Gm 120.5 14
Pass Yds/Gm 227.8 61
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
conFEREncE uSa
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 0–0 10–3 11–2 8–4 29–9 76.3%
OVERALL ATS 0–0 2–0 0–0 3–2 5–2 71.4%
HOME ATS 0–0 1–0 0–0 0–0 1–0 100.0%
ROAD ATS 0–0 1–0 0–0 3–2 4–2 66.7%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 0–0 0–0 0–0 1–0 1–0 100.0%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 0–0 2–0 0–0 2–2 4–2 66.7%
AS FAVORITE ATS 0–0 1–0 0–0 1–0 2–0 100.0%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 0–0 1–0 0–0 2–2 3–2 60.0%
OVER-UNDER 0–0 1–1 0–0 3–1 4–2 66.7%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO.
Scoring +8.3
Yardage +66.8
Turnovers +5
OFFENSE NO.
Points Scored 42.3
Yards/Game 519.0
Yds Per Play 6.77
Rush Yds/Gm 159.6
Pass Yds/Gm 359.4
DEFENSE NO.
Points Allowed 34.0
Yards/Game 452.2
Yds Per Play 6.31
Rush Yds/Gm 196.9
Pass Yds/Gm 255.3
StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2014 79
ACCCollege Top 25
Big 12Big Ten
MAC
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estSEC
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Pac-12A
ACConference U
SA
>SOUTHERN MISSISS IPP I
2011-13 gaME logS
8/309/69/139/209/2710/410/1810/2511/111/811/1311/29
at Mississippi StateALCORN STATEat AlabamaAPPALACHIAN STATERICEat Middle Tennesseeat North TexasLOUISIANA TECHat UTEPMARSHALLat UTSAUAB
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/31 TEXAS ST L 15-22 L (-7) U (55½)9/7 at Nebraska L 13-56 L (+28) O (60½)9/14 at Arkansas L 3-24 W (+24½) U (50)9/28 at Boise St L 7-60 L (+28½) O (57)10/5 FLA INTERNATIONAL L 23-24 L (-15½) U (49)10/19 at E Carolina L 14-55 L (+24) O (55)10/26 NORTH TEXAS L 14-55 L (+13) O (50)11/2 at Marshall L 13-61 L (+31½) O (59½)11/9 at Louisiana Tech L 13-36 L (+17) U (53)11/16 FLA ATLANTIC L 7-41 L (+17½) U (50½)11/23 MIDDLE TENN ST L 21-42 W (+23½) O (54½)11/30 at UAB W 62-27 W (+15) O (63)
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/3 LOUISIANA TECH W 19-17 L (-12) U (51½)9/10 at Marshall L 20-26 L (-7½) U (53)9/17 SE LOUISIANA W 52-6 W (-30½) U (65)9/24 at Virginia W 30-24 W (+3) U (55½)10/1 RICE W 48-24 W (-13½) O (63)10/8 at Navy W 63-35 W (0) O (58½)10/22 SMU W 27-3 W (-3) U (60½)10/29 at UTEP W 31-13 W (-10) U (59½)11/5 at E Carolina W 48-28 W (-9½) O (59½)11/12 UCF W 30-29 L (-10) O (52)11/17 at UAB L 31-34 L (-24) O (61½)11/26 MEMPHIS W 44-7 L (-37½) U (56)12/3 at Houston W 49-28 W (+12) O (73)12/24 vs Nevada W 24-17 P (-7) U (65)
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/1 at Nebraska L 20-49 L (+20½) O (51)9/15 E CAROLINA L 14-24 L (-7) U (56½)9/22 at W Kentucky L 17-42 L (+3) O (47)9/29 LOUISVILLE L 17-21 W (+10½) U (48½)10/6 BOISE ST L 14-40 L (+9½) O (49)10/13 at UCF L 31-38 W (+16½) O (52)10/20 MARSHALL L 24-59 L (-4) O (65½)10/27 at Rice L 17-44 L (+2½) O (58)11/3 UAB L 19-27 L (-4) U (63½)11/10 at SMU L 6-34 L (+15) U (50½)11/17 UTEP L 33-34 W (+3½) O (49)11/24 at Memphis L 24-42 L (+3½) O (49½)
>RICE
2011-13 gaME logS
8/309/139/209/2710/410/1110/2511/111/811/1511/2111/29
at Notre Dameat Texas A&MOLD DOMINIONat Southern MissHAWAIIat ArmyNORTH TEXASat Florida InternationalUTSAat MarshallUTEPat Louisiana Tech
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/31 at Texas A&M L 31-52 W (+28) O (69)9/14 KANSAS W 23-14 W (-5½) U (59)9/21 vs Houston L 26-31 L (+3½) U (63)9/28 FLA ATLANTIC W 18-14 L (-14½) U (54)10/5 at Tulsa W 30-27 W (+3) O (55)10/12 at Utsa W 27-21 W (-1) U (52)10/19 at New Mexico st W 45-19 W (-17½) O (57)10/26 UTEP W 45-7 W (-19) U (58½)10/31 at North Texas L 16-28 L (+2) U (53)11/16 LOUISIANA TECH W 52-14 W (-14½) O (50½)11/21 at UAB W 37-34 L (-17) O (63½)11/30 TULANE W 17-13 L (-9½) U (49)12/7 MARSHALL W 41-24 W (+6½) T (65)12/31 vs Mississippi St L 7-44 L (+7) O (50½)
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/3 at Texas L 9-34 L (+23½) U (54)9/10 PURDUE W 24-22 W (+2½) U (54)9/24 at Baylor L 31-56 L (+21) O (68½)10/1 at Southern Miss L 24-48 L (+13½) O (63)10/8 MEMPHIS W 28-6 W (-20½) U (58½)10/15 at Marshall L 20-24 W (+5½) U (51½)10/22 TULSA L 20-38 L (+10) U (60)10/27 at Houston L 34-73 L (+27) O (73½)11/5 UTEP W 41-37 W (+1½) O (56½)11/12 at Northwestern L 6-28 L (+16½) U (69½)11/19 TULANE W 19-7 L (-14½) U (59)11/26 at SMU L 24-27 W (+13) U (54)
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/30 UCLA L 24-49 L (+16) O (60½)9/8 at Kansas W 25-24 W (+12½) U (62)9/15 at Louisiana Tech L 37-56 W (+21) O (67½)9/22 MARSHALL L 51-54 P (+3) O (71½)9/29 vs Houston L 14-35 L (+9½) U (69)10/6 at Memphis L 10-14 L (-5½) U (60)10/13 UTSA W 34-14 W (-2) U (57½)10/20 at Tulsa L 24-28 W (+19) U (60)10/27 SOUTHERN MISS W 44-17 W (-2½) O (58)11/3 at Tulane W 49-47 L (-6½) O (63½)11/17 SMU W 36-14 W (+3½) U (55½)11/24 at UTEP W 33-24 W (+1) O (56½)12/29 vs Air Force W 33-14 W (-1) U (61)
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
conFEREncE uSa
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 4–8 4–8 7–6 10–4 25–26 49.0%
OVERALL ATS 6–6 5–7 8–4 8–6 27–23 54.0%
HOME ATS 5–2 3–2 3–1 4–2 15–7 68.2%
ROAD ATS 1–4 2–5 5–3 4–4 12–16 42.9%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 4–4 4–4 4–3 5–4 17–15 53.1%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 2–2 1–3 4–1 3–2 10–8 55.6%
AS FAVORITE ATS 0–0 1–1 3–2 5–3 9–6 60.0%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 6–6 4–6 5–2 3–3 18–17 51.4%
OVER-UNDER 7–5 4–8 6–7 6–7 23–27 46.0%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring +5.2 53
Yardage +41.5 T48
Turnovers +7 T23
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 29.6 62
Yards/Game 405.6 69
Yds Per Play 5.43 79
Rush Yds/Gm 227.4 17
Pass Yds/Gm 178.2 105
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 24.4 42
Yards/Game 364.1 30
Yds Per Play 5.33 47
Rush Yds/Gm 161.4 62
Pass Yds/Gm 202.7 18
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
conFEREncE uSa
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 8–5 12–2 0–12 1–11 21–30 41.2%
OVERALL ATS 6–7 8–5 3–9 3–9 20–30 40.0%
HOME ATS 3–3 3–3 2–4 1–4 9–14 39.1%
ROAD ATS 3–4 5–2 1–5 2–5 11–16 40.7%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 5–3 5–4 2–6 2–6 14–19 42.4%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 1–4 3–1 1–3 1–3 6–11 35.3%
AS FAVORITE ATS 5–4 5–5 0–3 0–2 10–14 41.7%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 1–3 3–0 3–6 3–7 10–16 38.5%
OVER-UNDER 9–3 6–8 8–4 7–5 30–20 60.0%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring -24.8 121
Yardage -120.0 115
Turnovers -19 125
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 17.1 119
Yards/Game 315.5 116
Yds Per Play 4.62 117
Rush Yds/Gm 72.9 123
Pass Yds/Gm 242.6 55
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 41.9 119
Yards/Game 435.5 100
Yds Per Play 5.87 90
Rush Yds/Gm 224.6 115
Pass Yds/Gm 210.9 25
80 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2014
>
UAB
2011-13 gaME logS
8/309/69/139/2710/410/1110/1810/2511/111/811/2211/29
TROYat Mississippi StateALABAMA A&MFLORIDA INTERNATIONALat Western KentuckyNORTH TEXASat Middle Tennesseeat Arkansasat Florida AtlanticLOUISIANA TECHMARSHALLat Southern Miss
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/31 at Troy L 31-34 W (+4½) O (62½)9/7 at LSU L 17-56 L (+35) O (59)9/21 NORTHWESTERN ST W 52-28 W (-16) O (65)9/28 at Vanderbilt L 24-52 L (+20) O (57½)10/5 FLA ATLANTIC L 23-37 L (-3½) O (52½)10/12 at FLA International W 27-24 L (-5½) U (52)10/26 at Utsa L 31-52 L (+7½) O (60½)11/2 MIDDLE TENN ST L 21-24 W (+3½) U (64)11/9 at Marshall L 14-56 L (+23½) O (68)11/16 at E Carolina L 14-63 L (+28) O (67½)11/21 RICE L 34-37 W (+17) O (63½)11/30 SOUTHERN MISS L 27-62 L (-15) O (63)
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/10 at Florida L 0-39 L (+24½) U (53½)9/17 TULANE L 10-49 L (-12) O (54)9/24 at E Carolina L 23-28 W (+17) U (65)10/1 at Troy L 23-24 W (+16) U (58½)10/8 MISSISSIPPI ST L 3-21 W (+19½) U (51½)10/15 at Tulsa L 20-37 W (+21) U (58½)10/20 UCF W 26-24 W (+17) O (45)10/29 at Marshall L 14-59 L (+5) O (52)11/5 HOUSTON L 13-56 L (+28) U (76)11/12 at Memphis W 41-35 W (-5) O (53½)11/17 SOUTHERN MISS W 34-31 W (+24) O (61½)11/26 at FLA Atlantic L 35-38 L (-3½) O (50)
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/1 TROY L 29-39 L (+6) O (63)9/15 at S Carolina L 6-49 L (+33) O (54)9/22 at Ohio St L 15-29 W (+35) U (60½)9/29 TULSA L 42-49 W (+13½) O (58)10/6 SE LOUISIANA W 52-3 W (-19½) 10/13 at Houston L 17-39 L (+13) U (67)10/20 E CAROLINA L 35-42 L (+2) O (56)10/27 at Tulane L 45-55 L (-5½) O (59)11/3 at Southern Miss W 27-19 W (+4) U (63½)11/10 MARSHALL W 38-31 W (+3) U (75)11/17 MEMPHIS L 9-46 L (-9) U (56½)11/24 at UCF L 24-49 L (+21½) O (58)
>TEXAS-SAN ANTONIO
2011-13 gaME logS
8/299/49/139/2710/410/1110/1810/2511/811/1311/2211/29
at HoustonARIZONAat Oklahoma Stateat Florida AtlanticNEW MEXICOFLORIDA INTERNATIONALat Louisiana TechUTEPat RiceSOUTHERN MISSat Western KentuckyNORTH TEXAS
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/31 at New Mexico W 21-13 W (+3½) U (54)9/7 OKLAHOMA ST L 35-56 W (+28) O (59)9/14 at Arizona L 13-38 P (+25) U (62½)9/21 at UTEP W 32-13 W (-2½) U (58½)9/28 HOUSTON L 28-59 L (-3) O (62½)10/5 at Marshall L 10-34 L (+16½) U (65½)10/12 RICE L 21-27 L (+1) U (52)10/26 UAB W 52-31 W (-7½) O (60½)11/2 at Tulsa W 34-15 W (+3½) U (53½)11/9 TULANE W 10-7 L (-8½) U (50½)11/23 at North Texas W 21-13 W (+9½) U (48½)11/30 LOUISIANA TECH W 30-10 W (-16½) U (53)
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL
9/3 NORTHEASTERN ST W 31-3
9/10 McMURRY L 21-24
9/17 at Southern Utah L 22-45
9/24 BACONE COLLEGE W 54-7
10/1 at Sam Houston St L 7-22
10/8 SOUTH ALABAMA L 27-30
10/15 at UC Davis L 17-38
10/29 GEORGIA ST W 17-14
11/12 at McNeese St L 21-24
11/19 MINOT ST W 49-7
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/1 at S Alabama W 33-31 W (+4½) O (49)9/8 TEXAS A&M-COMM W 27-16 9/15 at Georgia St W 38-14 W (-7½) 9/22 NW OKLAHOMA ST W 56-3 9/29 at New Mexico st W 35-14 W (-1) U (56½)10/13 at Rice L 14-34 L (+2) U (57½)10/20 SAN JOSE ST L 24-52 L (+12½) O (55)10/27 UTAH ST L 17-48 L (+23½) O (52½)11/3 at Louisiana Tech L 27-51 W (+30) O (72)11/10 MCNEESE ST W 31-24 W (+1) 11/17 at Idaho W 34-27 W (-5) O (56)11/24 TEXAS ST W 38-31 W (+1) O (54½)
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
conFEREncE uSa
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 0–0 4–6 8–4 7–5 19–15 55.9%
OVERALL ATS 0–0 0–0 7–3 7–4 14–7 66.7%
HOME ATS 0–0 0–0 2–2 3–3 5–5 50.0%
ROAD ATS 0–0 0–0 5–1 4–1 9–2 81.8%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 0–0 0–0 4–2 5–3 9–5 64.3%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 0–0 0–0 3–1 2–1 5–2 71.4%
AS FAVORITE ATS 0–0 0–0 3–0 3–2 6–2 75.0%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 0–0 0–0 4–3 4–2 8–5 61.5%
OVER-UNDER 0–0 0–0 6–2 3–9 9–11 45.0%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring -0.8 72
Yardage +41.5 T48
Turnovers -7 T102
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 25.6 86
Yards/Game 417.8 56
Yds Per Play 5.98 43
Rush Yds/Gm 175.4 56
Pass Yds/Gm 242.4 56
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 26.3 62
Yards/Game 376.3 46
Yds Per Play 5.37 51
Rush Yds/Gm 143.1 34
Pass Yds/Gm 233.3 71
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
conFEREncE uSa
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 4–8 3–9 3–9 2–10 12–36 25.0%
OVERALL ATS 5–7 7–5 5–7 4–8 21–27 43.8%
HOME ATS 2–4 3–2 3–3 3–2 11–11 50.0%
ROAD ATS 3–3 4–3 2–4 1–6 10–16 38.5%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 2–6 5–3 3–5 2–6 12–20 37.5%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 3–1 2–2 2–2 2–2 9–7 56.3%
AS FAVORITE ATS 1–5 1–2 1–2 1–3 4–12 25.0%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 4–2 6–3 4–5 3–5 17–15 53.1%
OVER-UNDER 6–6 6–6 6–5 10–2 28–19 59.6%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring -17.5 113
Yardage -104.9 113
Turnovers -6 T97
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 26.3 82
Yards/Game 392.9 79
Yds Per Play 5.84 52
Rush Yds/Gm 178.1 52
Pass Yds/Gm 214.8 80
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 43.8 121
Yards/Game 497.8 118
Yds Per Play 7.21 121
Rush Yds/Gm 221.3 111
Pass Yds/Gm 276.5 117
StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2014 81
>UTEP
2011-13 gaME logS
8/309/69/139/2710/410/1110/2511/111/811/1511/2111/29
at New MexicoTEXAS TECHNEW MEXICO STATEat Kansas Stateat Louisiana TechOLD DOMINIONat UTSASOUTHERN MISSat Western KentuckyNORTH TEXASat RiceMIDDLE TENNESSEE
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/7 NEW MEXICO L 35-42 L (-7) O (50)9/14 at New Mexico st W 42-21 W (-4) O (57½)9/21 UTSA L 13-32 L (+2½) U (58½)9/28 at Colorado St L 42-59 L (+13½) O (51½)10/5 LOUISIANA TECH L 35-38 L (+1½) O (60)10/12 TULSA L 20-34 L (+10) U (65½)10/26 at Rice L 7-45 L (+19) U (58½)11/2 at Texas A&M L 7-57 L (+48) U (78)11/9 at North Texas L 7-41 L (+26½) U (54½)11/16 FLA INTERNATIONAL W 33-10 W (-5½) U (47)11/23 at Tulane L 3-45 L (+16) O (47½)11/30 at Middle Tenn St L 17-48 L (+24) O (56)
ACCCollege Top 25
Big 12Big Ten
MAC
Mountain W
estSEC
Sun BeltIndependents
Pac-12A
ACConference U
SA
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/3 STONY BROOK W 31-24 L (-13) 9/10 at SMU L 17-28 W (+20) U (53½)9/17 at New Mexico st W 16-10 W (+2½) U (49½)9/24 at S Florida L 24-52 W (+30) O (50)9/29 HOUSTON L 42-49 W (+14½) O (64)10/15 at Tulane W 44-7 W (+1) U (57)10/22 COLORADO ST W 31-17 W (-10) U (53½)10/29 SOUTHERN MISS L 13-31 L (+10) U (59½)11/5 at Rice L 37-41 L (-1½) O (56½)11/12 E CAROLINA W 22-17 L (-6) U (57½)11/19 TULSA L 28-57 L (+13) O (56½)11/25 at UCF L 14-31 L (+10½) U (53)
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/1 OKLAHOMA L 7-24 W (+29½) U (63)9/8 at Ole Miss L 10-28 L (+8) U (53)9/15 NEW MEXICO ST W 41-28 L (-14) O (58½)9/22 at Wisconsin L 26-37 W (+18) O (50½)9/29 at E Carolina L 18-28 L (+4) U (48½)10/6 SMU L 0-17 L (-1) U (52)10/11 at Tulsa L 11-33 L (+17) U (58)10/20 TULANE W 24-20 L (-15) U (55)10/27 at Houston L 35-45 W (+14) O (62½)11/10 UCF L 24-31 W (+13½) O (51)11/17 at Southern Miss W 34-33 L (-3½) O (49)11/24 RICE L 24-33 L (-1) O (56½)
>
WESTERN KENTUCKY
2011-13 gaME logS
8/299/69/139/2710/410/1810/2511/111/811/1511/2211/28
BOWLING GREENat Illinoisat Middle Tennesseeat NavyUABat Florida AtlanticOLD DOMINIONat Louisiana TechUTEPARMYUTSAat Marshall
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/31 vs Kentucky W 35-26 W (+6) O (55½)9/7 at Tennessee L 20-52 L (+14½) O (58½)9/14 at S Alabama L 24-31 L (-6½) T (55)9/21 MORGAN ST W 58-17 W (-31½) O (53)9/28 NAVY W 19-7 W (+4) U (59)10/3 at LA Monroe W 31-10 W (-7) U (48½)10/15 LA LAFAYETTE L 20-37 L (-3) U (61½)10/26 TROY L 26-32 L (-10) U (62)11/2 at Georgia St W 44-28 L (-19) O (56½)11/9 at Army W 21-17 L (-5½) U (57)11/23 at Texas St W 38-7 W (-4½) U (50)11/30 ARKANSAS ST W 34-31 L (-6) O (56)
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/1 vs Kentucky L 3-14 W (+18) U (50)9/10 NAVY L 14-40 L (+10) O (52½)9/17 INDIANA ST L 16-44 L (-14) O (57)10/1 ARKANSAS ST L 22-26 W (+11½) U (52½)10/6 at Middle Tenn st W 36-33 W (+10½) O (53½)10/15 at FLA Atlantic W 20-0 W (+2) U (43½)10/22 LA LAFAYETTE W 42-23 W (+3) O (48)10/29 at LA Monroe W 31-28 W (+6) O (48)11/5 FLA INTERNATIONAL W 10-9 W (+3) U (49½)11/12 at LSU L 9-42 W (+42) U (53)11/19 at North Texas W 31-21 W (-2) O (48)11/26 TROY W 41-18 W (-4) O (51)
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/1 AUSTIN PEAY W 49-10 W (-29½) 9/8 at Alabama L 0-35 W (+38) U (52)9/15 at Kentucky W 32-31 W (+6½) O (50)9/22 SOUTHERN MISS W 42-17 W (-3) O (47)9/29 at Arkansas St W 26-13 W (+1½) U (57½)10/11 at Troy W 31-26 W (0) O (54½)10/20 LA MONROE L 42-43 L (-3) O (50½)10/27 at Fla. Internatnl W 14-6 W (-6) U (51½)11/1 MIDDLE TENN ST L 29-34 L (-9) O (56)11/10 FLA ATLANTIC L 28-37 L (-16) O (49)11/17 at LA Lafayette L 27-31 W (+4½) O (57½)11/24 NORTH TEXAS W 25-24 L (-11½) U (51)12/26 vs C Michigan L 21-24 L (-6) U (55½)
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
conFEREncE uSa
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 6–7 5–7 3–9 2–10 16–33 32.7%
OVERALL ATS 5–8 6–6 4–8 2–10 17–32 34.7%
HOME ATS 3–3 2–4 2–4 1–4 8–15 34.8%
ROAD ATS 2–5 4–2 2–4 1–6 9–17 34.6%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 3–5 3–5 2–6 1–7 9–23 28.1%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 2–3 3–1 2–2 1–3 8–9 47.1%
AS FAVORITE ATS 3–2 1–3 0–5 2–1 6–11 35.3%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 2–5 5–3 4–3 0–9 11–20 35.5%
OVER-UNDER 6–6 4–7 6–6 6–6 22–25 46.8%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring -17.6 114
Yardage -120.4 116
Turnovers -6 T97
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 21.8 102
Yards/Game 347.9 105
Yds Per Play 5.05 104
Rush Yds/Gm 184.7 46
Pass Yds/Gm 163.3 112
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 39.3 117
Yards/Game 468.3 109
Yds Per Play 7.43 123
Rush Yds/Gm 247.8 119
Pass Yds/Gm 220.5 49
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
conFEREncE uSa
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 2–10 7–5 7–6 8–4 24–25 49.0%
OVERALL ATS 7–5 10–2 8–5 5–7 30–19 61.2%
HOME ATS 2–3 4–2 2–4 2–3 10–12 45.5%
ROAD ATS 5–2 6–0 6–1 3–4 20–7 74.1%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 5–3 8–0 4–4 2–5 19–12 61.3%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 2–2 2–2 4–1 3–2 11–7 61.1%
AS FAVORITE ATS 0–2 2–1 3–5 3–6 8–14 36.4%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 7–3 8–1 5–0 2–1 22–5 81.5%
OVER-UNDER 5–6 7–5 7–5 5–6 24–22 52.2%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring +6.3 47
Yardage +119.3 13
Turnovers -10 T114
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 30.8 53
Yards/Game 458.5 30
Yds Per Play 6.29 29
Rush Yds/Gm 196.8 34
Pass Yds/Gm 261.7 35
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 24.6 T44
Yards/Game 339.2 14
Yds Per Play 5.33 48
Rush Yds/Gm 161.3 60
Pass Yds/Gm 177.9 10
82 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2014
>
AKRONOffense: Starters returning - 8; Defense: Starters returning - 5The Zips scored just 20.2 PPG (109th in FBS) and lost three O-Linemen, but have key skill players back in QB Kyle Pohl (6.1 YPA, 14 TD, 10 INT), RB Jawon Chisholm (1,079 total yds, 9 TD) and WRs Zach D’Orazio (567 rec yds, 4 TD) and Franshon Bickley (407 rec yds). The defense lost a good chunk, espe-cially up front, but former Ohio State recruit DE Se’Von Pittman could be special. Plenty of hitters remain though, with LBs Jatavis Brown (107 tack-les) and Justin March (80 tackles, 3 INT) and S Johnny Robinson (37 tackles).
BALL STATEOffense: Starters returning - 6; Defense: Starters returning - 6Ball State will miss Keith Wenning, who will be replaced by either sopho-more QB Ozzie Mann (2-for-9, 29 yds, 1 INT) or redshirt freshman QB Jack Milas. Top wideout Willie Snead and his 1,516 yards are also gone, but WR Jordan Williams (1,050 rec yds, 10 TD) is a star. So is RB Jahwan Edwards (1,110 rush yds, 14 TD), who runs behind a strong O-Line. New DC Kevin Kelly (Georgetown head coach) inherits a thin D-Line, but Ball State’s top four tacklers return in OLB Ben Ingle (116 tackles), S Brian Jones (97 tack-les, 6 PD), LB Zack Ryan (92 tackles) and S Dae’Shaun Hurley (83 tackles).
BOWLING GREENOffense: Starters returning - 7; Defense: Starters returning - 6New Head Coach: Dino BabersThe Falcons will play fast and furious under new head man Dino Babers, which suits QB Matt Johnson (3,467 pass yds, 25 TD, 7 INT; 5 rush TD) just fine. Same goes for star RB Travis Greene (1,594 rush yds, 5.7 YPC, 11 TD), who will continue to get in excess of 20 touches per game. The receiv-ing corps is deep, led by WR Ronnie Moore (547 rec yds, 7 TD). The tough BGSU defense (15.9 PPG, 5th in FBS) returns only FS Ryland Ward (81 tack-les, 2 INT, 2 FR) to the secondary. The front seven has plenty of experience though, led by OLB D.J. Lynch (85 tackles) and DT Taylor Royster (3.5 sacks).
BUFFALOOffense: Starters returning - 6; Defense: Starters returning - 4The Bulls don’t have a ton of returnees, but QB Joe Licata (7.0 YPA, 24 TD, 8 INT) comes back to lead an offense that has nobody with more than 200 receiving yards last year. Branden Oliver’s departure thrusts RB Anthone Taylor (399 rush yds, 4.9 YPC, 3 TD) into the featured back role. Khalil Mack is gone from a defense that held visitors to 13.2 PPG, but Buffalo has qual-ity defenders left in NG Kristjan Sokoli (2.5 sacks), LBs Adam Redden (4.5 sacks, 65 tackles) and Lee Skinner (79 tackles) and CB Cortney Lester (3 INT).
CENTRAL MICHIGANOffense: Starters returning - 11; Defense: Starters returning - 8The Chippewas return plenty for sophomore QB Cooper Rush (2,349 pass yds, 7.5 YPA, 15 TD, 15 INT), most notably WRs Titus Davis (1,109 rec yds, 18.2 avg, 8 TD) and Andrew Flory (377 rec yds). RB Saylor Lavallii (807 rush yds, 4.4 YPC, 5 TD) is a quite capable back and has a strong O-Line to cre-ate holes for him. On defense, the 4-2-5 scheme is anchored by LB Justin Cherocci (121 tackles, 4 sacks). DT Jabari Dean is back from a groin injury and should improve a mediocre front four. S Tony Annese (29 tackles, 2 INT, 2 TD) is the biggest playmaker in a solid Central Michigan secondary.
EASTERN MICHIGANOffense: Starters returning - 9; Defense: Starters returning - 6New Head Coach: Chris Creighton The Eagles were awful last year, especially in MAC play where they were 1-7 and outscored by 30.6 PPG. Enter FBS newcomer Chris Creighton to make this a more pass-oriented offense with QB Brogan Roback (5.5 YPA, 4 TD, 5 INT) finding TE Tyreese Russell (594 rec yds) and WR Dustin Creel (593 rec yds, 5 TD). But the team’s best offensive player is still RB Bronson Hill (1,098 rush yds, 5.6 YPC, 5 TD). The EMU defense is atrocious, especially in pass coverage. Junior LB Ike Spearman (82 tackles) is the lone bright spot.
KENT STATEOffense: Starters returning - 7; Defense: Starters returning - 7The Flashes dipped from 11 victories in 2012 to four wins last year, but they expect much more from QB Colin Reardon (6.2 YPA, 12 TD, 9 INT) in his soph-omore season. He’ll once again rely mostly on WR Chris Humphrey (613 rec yds) and TE Casey Pierce (364 rec yds, 5 TD), but the key to this offense is the legs of RB Trayion Durham (913 total yds, 6 TD). The D-Line is thin, but the back seven is stacked with LB Matt Dellinger (78 tackles), LB-turned-safety Jordan Italiano (77 tackles) and star CB Malcom Pennell (3 INT).
MASSACHUSETTSOffense: Starters returning - 7; Defense: Starters returning - 5New Head Coach: Mark WhippleAfter a 1-11 season that included 6.7 PPG away from home, Mark Whipple hopes to turn the program around. He runs a complex offense, but Marshall transfer QB Blake Frohnapfel (8.6 YPA, 5 TD, 2 INT career) is a quick learner, and has Penn State transfer WR Alex Kenney (197 rec yds career) and WR Marken Michel (229 rec yds in ‘12) back in the program. RB Jamal Wilson (368 rush yds) is the top back. The decent defense, led by stud LB Stanley Andre (111 tackles), will switch to a 3-4 under new DC Tom Masella.
MAC EAST DIVISION WEST DIVISION
pREdictEd FiniSh
1. Bowling Green 2. Ohio 3. Buffalo 4. Kent State 5. Akron 6. Miami-Ohio 7. Massachusetts
1. Toledo2. No. Illinois3. C. Michigan4. Ball State5. W. Michigan 6. E. Michigan
StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2014 83
ACCCollege Top 25
Big 12Big Ten
Conference USA
Mountain W
estSEC
Sun BeltIndependents
MIAMI-OHIOOffense: Starters returning - 8; Defense: Starters returning - 7New Head Coach: Chuck MartinThe RedHawks hired Notre Dame OC Chuck Martin as head coach to inject life into a putrid offense (9.8 PPG, 2nd-worst in FBS). Former Irish players -- QB Andrew Hendrix (6.2 YPC, 1 TD, 2 INT career) and TE Alex Welch -- will help, as will WR Dawan Scott (301 rec yds). RB Spencer Treadwell (163 rush yds, 3.1 YPC) is a weak top back. The defense is nothing special despite the presence of LB Kent Kern (98 tackles) and CB Heath Harding (54 tackles).
NORTHERN ILLINOISOffense: Starters returning - 9; Defense: Starters returning - 6The Huskies begin life after Jordan Lynch with QBs Matt McIntosh (9-for-15, 111 yds, 3 TD, 0 INT career), Drew Hare (5-for-9, 153 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT) or Anthony Maddie, a Western Michigan transfer. Strong skill players remain in RBs Cameron Stingily (1,119 rush yds, 9 TD) and Akeem Daniels (706 total yds, 11 TD in 2012) and WRs Da’Ron Brown (752 rec yds, 9 TD) and Tommylee Lewis (86 rec, 715 yds). LBs Jamaal Bass (85 tackles) and Boomer Mays (82 tackles) can play, but the D-Line and secondary both need help.
OHIOOffense: Starters returning - 3; Defense: Starters returning - 7Ohio lost a boatload of offense, including Tyler Tettleton, who will likely
be replaced by dual-threat QB Derrius Vick (21-of-45, 277 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT). He’ll frequently target WR Chase Cochran (689 rec yds, 4 TD). Top RB Daz Patterson (5.6 YPC) can fly, but is only 5-foot-7, 185 pounds. Ohio’s front seven is fierce, led by DE Tarell Basham (7.5 sacks) and LB Ben Russell (88 tackles), but the secondary needs to overcome the loss of two starters.
TOLEDOOffense: Starters returning - 7; Defense: Starters returning - 9The Rockets will continue to run a spread offense with new starting QB Logan Woodside (21-of-41, 240 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT). Toledo’s receiving corps is solid with WRs Alonzo Russell (728 rec yds, 6 TD) and Dwight Macon (214 rec yds, 3 TD), and its ground game uses a bruising O-Line to create holes for star RB Kareem Hunt (866 rush yds, 6.3 YPC, 6 TD). The defense is stacked with returnees, including LBs Junior Sylvestre (118 tackles, 5 sacks) and Chase Murdock (109 tackles, 4 sacks) and CB Cheatham Norrils.
WESTERN MICHIGANOffense: Starters returning - 8; Defense: Starters returning - 4WMU was outscored by 18.3 PPG during its 1-11 mark last year. Most start-ing positions are up for grabs, including QBs Zach Terrell (6.4 YPA, 8 TD, 8 INT) and freshman Chance Stewart. The top target remains WR Corey Davis (941 rec yds, 6 TD), and 5-foot-5 RB Dareyon Chance (692 rush yds) will lead the ground game. The questionable defense is strongest in the secondary with S Justin Currie (113 tackles, 3 INT) and CB Donald Celiscar (3 INT).
Pac-12M
ACA
AC
>
AKRON
2011-13 gaME logS
8/289/69/209/2710/410/1110/1810/2511/411/1111/1811/25
HOWARDat Penn StateMARSHALLat PittsburghEASTERN MICHIGANMIAMI (OH)at Ohioat Ball StateBOWLING GREENat BuffaloMASSACHUSETTSat Kent State
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/29 at UCF L 7-38 L (+23½) U (56)9/7 JAMES MADISON W 35-33 L (-3) O (55)9/14 at Michigan L 24-28 W (+35) U (58)9/21 LA LAFAYETTE L 30-35 W (+7) O (63½)9/28 at Bowling Green L 14-31 L (+14) U (54)10/5 OHIO U L 3-43 L (+3) U (56)10/12 at N Illinois L 20-27 W (+24) U (63½)10/19 at Miami Ohio W 24-17 W (-6) U (45½)10/26 BALL ST L 24-42 L (+9½) O (57)11/2 KENT ST W 16-7 W (-1½) U (52)11/16 at Massachusetts W 14-13 L (-6½) U (50½)11/29 TOLEDO W 31-29 W (+11) O (57½)
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/3 at Ohio St L 0-42 L (+31) U (46)9/10 TEMPLE L 3-41 L (+16½) U (48½)9/17 at Cincinnati L 14-59 L (+34) O (57)9/24 VMI W 36-13 W (-13½) O (47½)10/1 at E Michigan L 23-31 P (+8) O (47½)10/8 FLA INTERNATIONAL L 17-27 W (+17) U (51½)10/22 OHIO U L 20-37 L (+14) O (53½)10/29 C MICHIGAN L 22-23 W (+7) U (52½)11/3 at Miami Ohio L 3-35 L (+14) U (49)11/12 KENT ST L 3-35 L (+6) U (39)11/19 at Buffalo L 10-51 L (+10½) O (46½)11/25 at W Michigan L 19-68 L (+28) O (60½)
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/30 UCF L 14-56 L (+24½) O (48½)9/8 at Fla. Internatnl L 38-41 W (+24½) O (58)9/15 MORGAN ST W 66-6 W (-13½) 9/22 at Tennessee L 26-47 W (+32) O (65)9/29 MIAMI OHIO L 49-56 L (+1½) O (57)10/6 BOWLING GREEN L 10-24 L (+5½) U (59½)10/13 at Ohio U L 28-34 W (+18) U (68)10/20 N ILLINOIS L 7-37 L (+17) U (64)10/27 at C Michigan L 14-35 L (+7½) U (65½)11/3 at Kent St L 24-35 W (+18½) U (61)11/10 MASSACHUSETTS L 14-22 L (-14½) U (59)11/20 at Toledo L 23-35 W (+17½) U (62½)
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
Mac
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 1–11 1–11 1–11 5–7 8–40 16.7%
OVERALL ATS 5–7 3–8 6–6 6–6 20–27 42.6%
HOME ATS 2–4 3–3 1–5 3–3 9–15 37.5%
ROAD ATS 3–3 0–5 5–1 3–3 11–12 47.8%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 4–4 1–6 3–5 4–4 12–19 38.7%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 1–3 2–2 3–1 2–2 8–8 50.0%
AS FAVORITE ATS 2–0 1–0 1–1 2–2 6–3 66.7%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 4–6 2–8 5–5 4–4 15–23 39.5%
OVER-UNDER 4–6 6–6 4–7 4–8 18–27 40.0%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring -8.4 100
Yardage -55.0 92
Turnovers -2 T73
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 20.2 109
Yards/Game 342.0 108
Yds Per Play 4.90 108
Rush Yds/Gm 122.6 107
Pass Yds/Gm 219.4 77
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 28.6 T74
Yards/Game 397.0 60
Yds Per Play 5.51 63
Rush Yds/Gm 164.1 64
Pass Yds/Gm 232.9 T67
84 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2014
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BALL STATE
2011-13 gaME logS
8/309/69/139/2010/410/1110/1810/2511/511/1211/2211/28
COLGATEat IowaINDIANA STATEat Toledoat ArmyWESTERN MICHIGANat Central MichiganAKRONNORTHERN ILLINOISat MassachusettsEASTERN MICHIGANat Bowling Green
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/29 ILLINOIS ST W 51-28 W (-13) O (62½)9/7 ARMY W 40-14 W (-10½) U (59½)9/14 at North Texas L 27-34 L (-3) O (58½)9/21 at E Michigan W 51-20 W (-10) O (59)9/28 TOLEDO W 31-24 W (-1) U (67½)10/5 at Virginia W 48-27 W (+3) O (49)10/12 KENT ST W 27-24 L (-13) U (63½)10/19 at W Michigan W 38-17 W (-18½) U (58½)10/26 at Akron W 42-24 W (-9½) O (57)11/6 C MICHIGAN W 44-24 L (-20½) O (58½)11/13 at N Illinois L 27-48 L (+8½) O (72½)11/29 MIAMI OHIO W 55-14 W (-35) O (60½)1/5 vs Arkansas St L 20-23 L (-6) U (65½)
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BOWLING GREEN
2011-13 gaME logS
8/299/69/139/209/2710/410/1110/1811/411/1211/1911/28
at Western KentuckyVIR MILITARY INSTITUTEINDIANAat Wisconsinat MassachusettsBUFFALOat OhioWESTERN MICHIGANat AkronKENT STATEat ToledoBALL STATE
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/29 TULSA W 34-7 W (-2½) U (50)9/7 at Kent St W 41-22 W (-6½) O (43)9/14 at Indiana L 10-42 L (+2½) U (60½)9/21 MURRAY ST W 48-7 W (-26) U (71)9/28 AKRON W 31-14 W (-14) U (54)10/5 MASSACHUSETTS W 28-7 L (-27) U (48½)10/12 at Mississippi St L 20-21 W (+11½) U (52)10/26 TOLEDO L 25-28 L (-4) U (53½)11/5 at Miami Ohio W 45-3 W (-24) T (48)11/12 OHIO U W 49-0 W (-7½) U (52½)11/23 at E Michigan W 58-7 W (-26) O (54½)11/29 at Buffalo W 24-7 W (-3½) U (51½)12/6 vs N Illinois W 47-27 W (+3) O (58½)12/26 vs Pittsburgh L 27-30 L (-6½) O (50)
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/3 vs Indiana W 27-20 W (+4) U (53)9/10 at S Florida L 7-37 L (+20½) U (50½)9/17 BUFFALO W 28-25 L (-4) O (51½)9/24 ARMY W 48-21 W (+4) O (49)10/1 at Oklahoma L 6-62 L (+40) O (63)10/8 TEMPLE L 0-42 L (+9) U (50)10/15 at Ohio U W 23-20 W (+14½) U (57)10/22 C MICHIGAN W 31-27 W (-3) O (55)10/29 at W Michigan L 35-45 W (+11½) O (58)11/5 at E Michigan W 33-31 W (+1½) O (54½)11/15 at N Illinois L 38-41 W (+18) O (71)11/25 TOLEDO L 28-45 L (+14) O (72)
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/30 E MICHIGAN W 37-26 W (-3) O (55½)9/8 at Clemson L 27-52 W (+27) O (67)9/15 at Indiana W 41-39 W (+2½) O (64)9/22 S FLORIDA W 31-27 W (+8) O (57½)9/29 at Kent St L 43-45 L (-2½) O (54½)10/6 N ILLINOIS L 23-35 L (+3) U (65)10/13 W MICHIGAN W 30-24 W (-2½) U (65½)10/20 at C Michigan W 41-30 W (-3) O (64)10/27 at Army W 30-22 W (-3) U (68½)11/6 at Toledo W 34-27 W (+5½) U (70)11/14 OHIO U W 52-27 W (-5½) O (61)11/23 at Miami Ohio W 31-24 L (-8) U (60½)12/21 vs UCF L 17-38 L (+7) U (60)
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/1 at Idaho W 32-15 W (+6) U (53)9/10 MORGAN ST W 58-13 W (-35) O (53½)9/17 WYOMING L 27-28 L (-10) U (55½)9/24 at Miami Ohio W 37-23 W (+4) O (53½)10/1 at W Virginia L 10-55 L (+17½) O (60½)10/8 at W Michigan L 21-45 L (+10½) O (59½)10/15 TOLEDO L 21-28 W (+9) U (62)10/22 TEMPLE W 13-10 W (+12½) U (48½)10/29 at Kent St L 15-27 L (-3½) O (39)11/8 N ILLINOIS L 14-45 L (+6) U (67)11/16 OHIO U L 28-29 W (+7½) U (59½)11/25 at Buffalo W 42-28 W (+3) O (53½)
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/1 at Florida L 14-27 W (+28) U (47)9/8 IDAHO W 21-13 L (-17) U (49½)9/15 at Toledo L 15-27 L (+3) U (61)9/22 at Virginia Tech L 0-37 L (+17) U (47½)9/29 RHODE ISLAND W 48-8 W (-29½) 10/6 at Akron W 24-10 W (-5½) U (59½)10/13 MIAMI OHIO W 37-12 W (-8½) U (53)10/20 at Massachusetts W 24-0 W (-19½) U (50½)10/27 E MICHIGAN W 24-3 W (-14½) U (52)11/7 at Ohio U W 26-14 W (+2½) U (47½)11/17 KENT ST L 24-31 L (-3) O (46½)11/23 vs Buffalo W 21-7 W (-8½) U (42)12/27 vs San Jose St L 20-29 L (+7) O (46)
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
Mac
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 4–8 6–6 9–4 10–3 29–21 58.0%
OVERALL ATS 4–8 7–5 9–4 8–5 28–22 56.0%
HOME ATS 0–6 2–3 4–1 4–2 10–12 45.5%
ROAD ATS 4–2 5–2 5–3 4–3 18–10 64.3%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 3–5 5–3 5–3 5–3 18–14 56.3%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 1–3 2–2 4–1 3–2 10–8 55.6%
AS FAVORITE ATS 0–5 1–1 5–2 7–4 13–12 52.0%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 4–3 6–4 4–2 1–1 15–10 60.0%
OVER-UNDER 6–4 8–4 7–6 8–5 29–19 60.4%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring +13.8 20
Yardage +63.2 36
Turnovers +12 T12
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 38.5 15
Yards/Game 477.1 19
Yds Per Play 6.46 20
Rush Yds/Gm 152.9 80
Pass Yds/Gm 324.2 12
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 24.7 47
Yards/Game 413.8 78
Yds Per Play 5.58 69
Rush Yds/Gm 195.3 93
Pass Yds/Gm 218.5 T44
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
Mac
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 2–10 5–7 8–5 10–4 25–26 49.0%
OVERALL ATS 5–7 7–5 8–5 10–4 30–21 58.8%
HOME ATS 1–4 4–2 3–2 4–2 12–10 54.5%
ROAD ATS 4–3 3–3 5–3 6–2 18–11 62.1%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 2–6 5–3 6–2 7–2 20–13 60.6%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 3–1 2–2 2–3 3–2 10–8 55.6%
AS FAVORITE ATS 0–1 1–2 6–2 8–3 15–8 65.2%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 5–6 6–3 2–3 2–1 15–13 53.6%
OVER-UNDER 6–6 6–6 2–10 4–9 18–31 36.7%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring +18.9 8
Yardage +138.0 9
Turnovers +10 T17
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 34.8 28
Yards/Game 459.4 29
Yds Per Play 6.54 18
Rush Yds/Gm 193.4 39
Pass Yds/Gm 266.1 31
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 15.9 5
Yards/Game 321.4 10
Yds Per Play 5.06 24
Rush Yds/Gm 150.6 47
Pass Yds/Gm 170.9 6
StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2014 85
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AC>
BUFFALO
2011-13 gaME logS
8/309/69/129/209/2710/410/1110/2511/511/1111/1911/28
DUQUESNEat ArmyBAYLORNORFOLK STATEMIAMI (OH)at Bowling Greenat Eastern MichiganCENTRAL MICHIGANat OhioAKRONKENT STATEat Massachusetts
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/31 at Ohio St L 20-40 W (+33½) O (56)9/7 at Baylor L 13-70 L (+28½) O (67½)9/14 STONY BROOK W 26-23 L (-12) O (46)9/28 CONNECTICUT W 41-12 W (+2½) O (48½)10/5 E MICHIGAN W 42-14 W (-13) O (52)10/12 at W Michigan W 33-0 W (-9½) U (48½)10/19 MASSACHUSETTS W 32-3 W (-19½) U (47)10/26 at Kent St W 41-21 W (-3) O (48½)11/5 OHIO U W 30-3 W (-4½) U (54)11/12 at Toledo L 41-51 L (+5½) O (54½)11/19 at Miami Ohio W 44-7 W (-24) O (48½)11/29 BOWLING GREEN L 7-24 L (+3½) U (51½)
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CENTRAL MICHIGAN
2011-13 gaME logS
8/289/69/139/209/2710/410/1110/1810/2511/111/1511/22
CHATTANOOGAat PurdueSYRACUSEat Kansasat ToledoOHIOat Northern IllinoisBALL STATEat Buffaloat Eastern MichiganMIAMI (OH)WESTERN MICHIGAN
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/31 at Michigan L 9-59 L (+32½) O (52)9/7 NEW HAMPSHIRE W 24-21 L (-6½) U (62)9/14 at UNLV L 21-31 L (+7½) T (52)9/21 TOLEDO L 17-38 L (+13) U (57½)9/28 at NC State L 14-48 L (+23½) O (52)10/5 at Miami Ohio W 21-9 W (-2½) U (48)10/12 at Ohio U W 26-23 W (+20) U (51½)10/19 N ILLINOIS L 17-38 L (+14½) U (59)11/6 at Ball St L 24-44 W (+20½) O (58½)11/16 at W Michigan W 27-22 W (-3) U (51½)11/23 MASSACHUSETTS W 37-0 W (-13) U (47)11/29 E MICHIGAN W 42-10 W (-18) U (57½)
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/3 at Pittsburgh L 16-35 W (+30) U (54½)9/10 STONY BROOK W 35-7 W (-7½) U (48)9/17 at Ball St L 25-28 W (+4) O (51½)9/24 CONNECTICUT L 3-17 L (+8½) U (46½)10/1 at Tennessee L 10-41 L (+28½) U (56)10/8 OHIO U W 38-37 W (+9) O (53½)10/15 at Temple L 0-34 L (+22) U (47)10/22 N ILLINOIS L 30-31 W (+14) U (62)10/29 at Miami Ohio L 13-41 L (+5½) O (48½)11/12 at E Michigan L 17-30 L (+3) U (49½)11/19 AKRON W 51-10 W (-10½) O (46½)11/25 BOWLING GREEN L 28-42 L (-3) O (53½)
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/1 at Georgia L 23-45 W (+37½) O (55)9/8 MORGAN ST W 56-34 L (-31½) 9/19 KENT ST L 7-23 L (-3) U (50)9/29 at Connecticut L 17-24 W (+16½) U (44)10/6 at Ohio U L 31-38 W (+14½) O (57)10/13 at N Illinois L 3-45 L (+14) U (56)10/20 PITTSBURGH L 6-20 L (+9½) U (52)10/27 TOLEDO L 20-25 W (+7) U (60½)11/3 MIAMI OHIO W 27-24 P (-3) U (54)11/10 W MICHIGAN W 29-24 W (+3) U (54½)11/17 at Massachusetts W 29-19 L (-12) U (49½)11/23 vs Bowling Green L 7-21 L (+8½) U (42)
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/1 S CAROLINA ST W 21-6 L (-19) 9/10 at Kentucky L 13-27 L (+9½) U (48)9/17 at W Michigan L 14-44 L (+6½) O (51½)9/24 at Michigan St L 7-45 L (+21½) O (49)10/1 N ILLINOIS W 48-41 W (+8) O (61½)10/8 at NC State L 24-38 L (+11) O (54)10/15 E MICHIGAN L 28-35 L (-11) O (50½)10/22 at Ball St L 27-31 L (+3) O (55)10/29 at Akron W 23-22 L (-7) U (52½)11/4 at Kent St L 21-24 L (+2) O (43½)11/10 OHIO U L 28-43 L (+7½) O (59)11/18 TOLEDO L 17-44 L (+14) U (74)
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/30 SE MISSOURI ST W 38-27 L (-27½) 9/8 MICHIGAN ST L 7-41 L (+17½) P (48)9/22 at Iowa W 32-31 W (+14) O (51)9/29 at N Illinois L 24-55 L (+10) O (57)10/6 at Toledo L 35-50 L (+11½) O (64)10/12 NAVY L 13-31 L (-1) U (57)10/20 BALL ST L 30-41 L (+3) O (64)10/27 AKRON W 35-14 W (-7½) U (65½)11/3 W MICHIGAN L 31-42 L (+1½) O (60½)11/10 at E Michigan W 34-31 W (-2½) O (62)11/17 MIAMI OHIO W 30-16 W (-5) U (63)11/23 at Massachusetts W 42-21 W (-10½) O (55½)12/26 vs W Kentucky W 24-21 W (+6) U (55½)
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
Mac
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 2–10 3–9 4–8 8–5 17–32 34.7%
OVERALL ATS 2–10 6–6 5–6 8–5 21–27 43.8%
HOME ATS 1–5 4–2 2–3 4–2 11–12 47.8%
ROAD ATS 1–5 2–4 3–3 4–3 10–15 40.0%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 1–7 4–4 3–4 6–2 14–17 45.2%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 1–3 2–2 2–2 2–3 7–10 41.2%
AS FAVORITE ATS 1–2 2–1 0–3 6–1 9–7 56.3%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 1–8 4–5 5–3 2–4 12–20 37.5%
OVER-UNDER 4–7 5–7 2–9 9–4 20–27 42.6%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring +5.9 49
Yardage +11.9 61
Turnovers +14 7
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 30.3 54
Yards/Game 394.7 78
Yds Per Play 5.32 89
Rush Yds/Gm 167.4 68
Pass Yds/Gm 227.3 70
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 24.4 T40
Yards/Game 382.8 50
Yds Per Play 5.59 71
Rush Yds/Gm 166.6 68
Pass Yds/Gm 216.2 38
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
Mac
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 3–9 3–9 7–6 6–6 19–30 38.8%
OVERALL ATS 6–6 1–11 6–7 6–6 19–30 38.8%
HOME ATS 2–3 1–4 2–5 2–3 7–15 31.8%
ROAD ATS 4–3 0–7 4–2 4–3 12–15 44.4%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 3–5 1–7 4–4 6–2 14–18 43.8%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 3–1 0–4 2–3 0–4 5–12 29.4%
AS FAVORITE ATS 3–3 0–3 4–2 4–1 11–9 55.0%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 3–3 1–8 2–5 3–4 9–20 31.0%
OVER-UNDER 5–6 8–3 7–4 3–8 23–21 52.3%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring -5.3 88
Yardage -64.1 96
Turnovers -5 T93
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 23.3 96
Yards/Game 341.1 110
Yds Per Play 5.41 81
Rush Yds/Gm 132.8 100
Pass Yds/Gm 208.3 86
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 28.6 T74
Yards/Game 405.2 67
Yds Per Play 5.85 89
Rush Yds/Gm 201.3 98
Pass Yds/Gm 203.9 20
86 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2014
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EASTERN MICHIGAN
2011-13 gaME logS
8/309/69/139/2010/410/1110/1810/2511/111/1511/2211/28
MORGAN STATEat Floridaat Old Dominionat Michigan Stateat AkronBUFFALOat MassachusettsNORTHERN ILLINOISCENTRAL MICHIGANat Western Michiganat Ball StateTOLEDO
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/31 HOWARD W 34-24 L (-22) O (57½)9/7 at Penn St L 7-45 L (+28) O (49)9/14 at Rutgers L 10-28 W (+28) U (54)9/21 BALL ST L 20-51 L (+10) O (59)10/5 at Buffalo L 14-42 L (+13) O (52)10/12 at Army L 25-50 L (+10) O (57½)10/19 OHIO U L 28-56 L (+13) O (55)10/26 at N Illinois L 20-59 L (+31½) O (67½)11/2 at Toledo L 16-55 L (+30½) O (66½)11/9 W MICHIGAN W 35-32 W (+2½) O (59)11/23 BOWLING GREEN L 7-58 L (+26) O (54½)11/29 at C Michigan L 10-42 L (+18) U (57½)
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KENT STATE
2011-13 gaME logS
8/309/69/139/2710/410/1110/1810/2511/411/1211/1911/25
OHIOSOUTH ALABAMAat Ohio Stateat Virginiaat Northern IllinoisMASSACHUSETTSARMYat Miami (OH)TOLEDOat Bowling Greenat BuffaloAKRON
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/29 LIBERTY W 17-10 L (-20½) U (54½)9/7 BOWLING GREEN L 22-41 L (+6½) O (43)9/14 at LSU L 13-45 W (+35½) O (54½)9/21 at Penn St L 0-34 L (+23½) U (54½)9/28 at W Michigan W 32-14 W (-2½) U (51)10/5 N ILLINOIS L 24-38 L (+8½) U (64)10/12 at Ball St L 24-27 W (+13) U (63½)10/19 at S Alabama L 21-38 L (+7½) O (55½)10/26 BUFFALO L 21-41 L (+3) O (48½)11/2 at Akron L 7-16 L (+1½) U (52)11/13 MIAMI OHIO W 24-6 L (-19½) U (50)11/19 at Ohio U W 44-13 W (+6) O (53½)
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/4 HOWARD W 41-9 W (-30½) 9/10 ALABAMA ST W 14-7 L (-13½) U (49)9/17 at Michigan L 3-31 W (+30½) U (62½)9/24 at Penn St L 6-34 P (+28) U (46½)10/1 AKRON W 31-23 P (-8) O (47½)10/8 at Toledo L 16-54 L (+20½) O (52)10/15 at C Michigan W 35-28 W (+11) O (50½)10/22 W MICHIGAN W 14-10 W (+13) U (56)11/5 BALL ST L 31-33 L (-1½) O (54½)11/12 BUFFALO W 30-17 W (-3) U (49½)11/19 at Kent St L 22-28 L (+3) O (41½)11/25 at N Illinois L 12-18 W (+17½) U (63½)
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/30 at Ball St L 26-37 L (+3) O (55½)9/8 ILLINOIS ST L 14-31 L (-3) 9/15 at Purdue L 16-54 L (+23½) O (49½)9/22 at Michigan St L 7-23 W (+31½) U (47)10/6 KENT ST L 14-41 L (+3) O (47)10/13 TOLEDO L 47-52 W (+15) O (55)10/20 ARMY W 48-38 W (+2½) O (62)10/27 at Bowling Green L 3-24 L (+14½) U (52)11/1 at Ohio U L 14-45 L (+16) O (58)11/10 C MICHIGAN L 31-34 L (+2½) O (62)11/17 at W Michigan W 29-23 W (+14) U (62½)11/23 N ILLINOIS L 7-49 L (+20½) U (60)
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/3 at Alabama L 7-48 L (+38½) O (49)9/10 LA LAFAYETTE L 12-20 L (-8½) U (52½)9/17 at Kansas St L 0-37 L (+17½) U (45½)9/24 S ALABAMA W 33-25 L (-9) O (40)10/1 at Ohio U L 10-17 W (+16) U (48)10/8 at N Illinois L 10-40 L (+14½) U (53½)10/15 MIAMI OHIO L 3-9 L (+3) U (41)10/29 BOWLING GREEN W 27-15 W (+3½) O (39)11/4 C MICHIGAN W 24-21 W (-2) O (43½)11/12 at Akron W 35-3 W (-6) U (39)11/19 E MICHIGAN W 28-22 W (-3) O (41½)11/25 at Temple L 16-34 L (+16½) O (40)
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/30 TOWSON W 41-21 W (-7) 9/8 at Kentucky L 14-47 L (+6) O (46½)9/19 at Buffalo W 23-7 W (+3) U (50)9/29 BALL ST W 45-43 W (+2½) O (54½)10/6 at E Michigan W 41-14 W (-3) O (47)10/13 at Army W 31-17 W (-1) U (59)10/20 W MICHIGAN W 41-24 W (-3½) O (53½)10/27 at Rutgers W 35-23 W (+13½) O (46)11/3 AKRON W 35-24 L (-18½) U (61)11/10 at Miami Ohio W 48-32 W (-6½) O (57)11/17 at Bowling Green W 31-24 W (+3) O (46½)11/23 OHIO U W 28-6 W (-9) U (60)11/30 vs N Illinois L 37-44 P (+7) O (60)1/6 vs Arkansas St L 13-17 L (+3) U (63½)
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
Mac
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 2–10 6–6 2–10 2–10 12–36 25.0%
OVERALL ATS 5–7 6–4 4–8 2–10 17–29 37.0%
HOME ATS 1–4 3–2 2–4 1–4 7–14 33.3%
ROAD ATS 4–3 3–2 2–4 1–6 10–15 40.0%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 4–4 4–3 2–6 1–7 11–20 35.5%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 1–3 2–1 2–2 1–3 6–9 40.0%
AS FAVORITE ATS 0–0 2–2 0–1 0–1 2–4 33.3%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 5–7 4–2 5–6 2–9 16–24 40.0%
OVER-UNDER 8–4 5–6 7–4 10–2 30–16 65.2%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring -26.3 123
Yardage -174.8 122
Turnovers -12 T121
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 18.8 T113
Yards/Game 336.1 111
Yds Per Play 5.16 99
Rush Yds/Gm 158.0 76
Pass Yds/Gm 178.1 106
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 45.2 123
Yards/Game 510.8 120
Yds Per Play 7.61 124
Rush Yds/Gm 258.3 123
Pass Yds/Gm 252.6 96#
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
Mac
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 5–7 5–7 11–3 4–8 25–25 50.0%
OVERALL ATS 5–7 5–7 10–3 4–8 24–25 49.0%
HOME ATS 3–3 3–3 4–1 0–5 10–12 45.5%
ROAD ATS 2–4 2–4 6–2 4–3 14–13 51.9%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 3–5 5–3 7–1 3–5 18–14 56.3%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 2–2 0–4 3–2 1–3 6–11 35.3%
AS FAVORITE ATS 3–3 3–2 6–1 1–2 13–8 61.9%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 2–4 2–5 5–2 3–6 12–17 41.4%
OVER-UNDER 4–7 6–6 8–5 5–7 23–25 47.9%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring -6.2 92
Yardage -41.0 87
Turnovers -4 T85
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 20.8 105
Yards/Game 368.9 89
Yds Per Play 5.55 68
Rush Yds/Gm 182.4 48
Pass Yds/Gm 186.5 102
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 26.9 68
Yards/Game 409.9 71
Yds Per Play 6.05 98
Rush Yds/Gm 198.8 95
Pass Yds/Gm 211.1 T27
StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2014 87
>MASSACHUSETTS
2011-13 gaME logS
8/309/69/139/209/2710/410/1110/1810/2511/1211/1811/28
BOSTON COLLEGECOLORADOat Vanderbiltat Penn StateBOWLING GREENat Miami (OH)at Kent StateEASTERN MICHIGANat ToledoBALL STATEat AkronBUFFALO
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/31 at Wisconsin L 0-45 L (+42) U (53½)9/7 MAINE L 14-24 L (+3) U (41½)9/14 at Kansas St L 7-37 W (+37) U (56½)9/21 VANDERBILT L 7-24 W (+29) U (54½)10/5 at Bowling Green L 7-28 W (+27) U (48½)10/12 MIAMI OHIO W 17-10 W (-6½) U (46)10/19 at Buffalo L 3-32 L (+19½) U (47)10/26 W MICHIGAN L 30-31 L (-4½) O (46½)11/2 N ILLINOIS L 19-63 L (+27½) O (61)11/16 AKRON L 13-14 W (+6½) U (50½)11/23 at C Michigan L 0-37 L (+13) U (47)11/29 at Ohio U L 23-51 L (+19½) O (52½)
>MIAMI-OH IO
2011-13 gaME logS
8/309/69/139/209/2710/410/1110/1810/2511/111/1511/25
MARSHALLEASTERN KENTUCKYat Michiganat Cincinnatiat BuffaloMASSACHUSETTSat Akronat Northern IllinoisKENT STATEWESTERN MICHIGANat Central MichiganOHIO
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/31 at Marshall L 14-52 L (+20½) U (68)9/7 at Kentucky L 7-41 L (+18) U (55)9/21 CINCINNATI L 0-14 W (+24½) U (55)9/28 at Illinois L 14-50 L (+27½) O (49)10/5 C MICHIGAN L 9-21 L (+2½) U (48)10/12 at Massachusetts L 10-17 L (+6½) U (46)10/19 AKRON L 17-24 L (+6) U (45½)10/26 at Ohio U L 16-41 W (+26) O (50½)11/5 BOWLING GREEN L 3-45 L (+24) T (48)11/13 at Kent St L 6-24 W (+19½) U (50)11/19 BUFFALO L 7-44 L (+24) O (48½)11/29 at Ball St L 14-55 L (+35) O (60½)
ACCCollege Top 25
Big 12Big Ten
Conference USA
Mountain W
estSEC
Sun BeltIndependents
Pac-12M
ACA
AC
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL
9/1 at Holy Cross W 24-16 9/17 RHODE ISLAND W 36-27 9/24 at Boston College L 17-45 L (+12) O (45½)10/1 at Old Dominion L 33-48 10/8 CENTRAL CONN ST W 42-2610/15 at Delaware W 21-10 10/22 NEW HAMPSHIRE L 21-27 10/29 at Richmond W 28-7 11/5 VILLANOVA L 17-35 11/12 at Maine L 21-32 11/19 JAMES MADISON L 17-34
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/30 at Connecticut L 0-37 L (+21) U (47)9/8 INDIANA L 6-45 L (+14) O (48½)9/15 at Michigan L 13-63 L (+44½) O (53½)9/22 at Miami Ohio L 16-27 W (+24) U (50½)9/29 OHIO U L 34-37 W (+23) O (54½)10/6 at W Michigan L 14-52 L (+17) O (56)10/20 BOWLING GREEN L 0-24 L (+19½) U (50½)10/27 at Vanderbilt L 7-49 L (+33) O (50)11/3 at N Illinois L 0-63 L (+35) O (58)11/10 at Akron W 22-14 W (+14½) U (59)11/17 BUFFALO L 19-29 W (+12) U (49½)11/23 C MICHIGAN L 21-42 L (+10½) O (55½)
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/3 at Missouri L 6-17 W (+19½) U (49)9/17 at Minnesota L 23-29 L (+4) O (43½)9/24 BOWLING GREEN L 23-37 L (-4) O (53½)10/1 CINCINNATI L 0-27 L (+16) U (55)10/8 ARMY W 35-28 W (+2) O (49½)10/15 at Kent St W 9-3 W (-3) U (41)10/22 at Toledo L 28-49 L (+16) O (55)10/29 BUFFALO W 41-13 W (-5½) O (48½)11/3 AKRON W 35-3 W (-14) U (49)11/9 at Temple L 21-24 W (+13½) O (44½)11/16 W MICHIGAN L 21-24 L (+1½) U (59½)11/22 at Ohio U L 14-21 W (+9) U (55)
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/1 at Ohio St L 10-56 L (+25½) O (50½)9/8 S ILLINOIS W 30-14 L (-20) 9/15 at Boise St L 12-39 L (+21) U (54)9/22 MASSACHUSETTS W 27-16 L (-24) U (50½)9/29 at Akron W 56-49 W (-1½) O (57)10/6 at Cincinnati L 14-52 L (+19½) O (58)10/13 at Bowling Green L 12-37 L (+8½) U (53)10/27 OHIO U W 23-20 W (+6) U (59½)11/3 at Buffalo L 24-27 P (+3) U (54)11/10 KENT ST L 32-48 L (+6½) O (57)11/17 at C Michigan L 16-30 L (+5) U (63)11/23 BALL ST L 24-31 W (+8) U (60½)
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
Mac
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 6–5 5–6 1–11 1–11 13–33 28.3%
OVERALL ATS 1–0 0–1 4–8 5–7 10–16 38.5%
HOME ATS 0–0 0–0 2–3 3–3 5–6 45.5%
ROAD ATS 1–0 0–1 2–5 2–4 5–10 33.3%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 0–0 0–0 4–4 3–5 7–9 43.8%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 1–0 0–1 0–4 2–2 3–7 30.0%
AS FAVORITE ATS 0–0 0–0 0–0 1–1 1–1 50.0%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 1–0 0–1 4–8 4–6 9–15 37.5%
OVER-UNDER 0–0 1–0 7–5 3–9 11–14 44.0%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring -21.3 117
Yardage -151.7 119
Turnovers -7 T102
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 11.7 123
Yards/Game 281.6 122
Yds Per Play 4.29 121
Rush Yds/Gm 125.2 105
Pass Yds/Gm 156.4 113
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 33.0 98
Yards/Game 433.3 99
Yds Per Play 6.60 114
Rush Yds/Gm 215.5 107
Pass Yds/Gm 217.8 42
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
Mac
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 10–4 4–8 4–8 0–12 18–32 36.0%
OVERALL ATS 9–5 7–5 3–8 3–9 22–27 44.9%
HOME ATS 3–2 3–3 2–3 1–4 9–12 42.9%
ROAD ATS 6–3 4–2 1–5 2–5 13–15 46.4%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 6–3 5–3 3–4 2–6 16–16 50.0%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 3–2 2–2 0–4 1–3 6–11 35.3%
AS FAVORITE ATS 3–2 3–1 1–2 0–0 7–5 58.3%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 6–3 4–4 2–6 3–9 15–22 40.5%
OVER-UNDER 3–11 6–6 4–7 4–7 17–31 35.4%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring -25.9 122
Yardage -258.4 125
Turnovers -3 T79
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 9.8 T124
Yards/Game 225.8 124
Yds Per Play 3.68 124
Rush Yds/Gm 101.6 116
Pass Yds/Gm 124.3 121
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 35.7 107
Yards/Game 484.3 115
Yds Per Play 6.35 108
Rush Yds/Gm 223.3 113
Pass Yds/Gm 260.9 105
88 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2014
>NORTHERN ILL INO IS
2011-13 gaME logS
8/289/69/139/2010/410/1110/1810/2511/511/1111/1811/28
PRESBYTERIANat Northwesternat UNLVat ArkansasKENT STATECENTRAL MICHIGANMIAMI (OH)at Eastern Michiganat Ball StateTOLEDOat Ohioat Western Michigan
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/31 at Iowa W 30-27 W (+1½) O (53½)9/14 at Idaho W 45-35 L (-30) O (63)9/21 E ILLINOIS W 43-39 L (-14½) O (77)9/28 at Purdue W 55-24 W (-3½) O (59)10/5 at Kent St W 38-24 W (-8½) U (64)10/12 AKRON W 27-20 L (-24) U (63½)10/19 at C Michigan W 38-17 W (-14½) U (59)10/26 E MICHIGAN W 59-20 W (-31½) O (67½)11/2 at Massachusetts W 63-19 W (-27½) O (61)11/13 BALL ST W 48-27 W (-8½) O (72½)11/20 at Toledo W 35-17 W (pk) U (72½)11/26 W MICHIGAN W 33-14 L (-35) U (64)12/6 vs Bowling Green L 27-47 L (-3) O (58½)12/26 vs Utah St L 14-21 L (+2½) U (55½)
>
OHIO
2011-13 gaME logS
8/309/69/139/209/2710/410/1110/1810/2511/511/1811/25
at Kent Stateat Kentuckyat MarshallIDAHOEASTERN ILLINOISat Central MichiganBOWLING GREENAKRONat Western MichiganBUFFALONORTHERN ILLINOISat Miami (OH)
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 99/1 at Louisville L 7-49 L (+21) U (58)9/7 NORTH TEXAS W 27-21 W (-3) U (59)9/14 MARSHALL W 34-31 W (+7½) U (68)9/21 AUSTIN PEAY W 38-0 W (-30) U (49)10/5 at Akron W 43-3 W (-3) U (56)10/12 C MICHIGAN L 23-26 L (-20) U (51½)10/19 at E Michigan W 56-28 W (-13) O (55)10/26 MIAMI OHIO W 41-16 L (-26) O (50½)11/5 at Buffalo L 3-30 L (+4½) U (54)11/12 at Bowling Green L 0-49 L (+7½) U (52½)11/19 KENT ST L 13-44 L (-6) O (53½)11/29 MASSACHUSETTS W 51-23 W (-19½) O (52½)12/23 vs E Carolina L 20-37 L (+14) U (63½)
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/3 ARMY W 49-26 W (-10) O (54½)9/10 at Kansas L 42-45 L (-4) O (63)9/17 vs Wisconsin L 7-49 L (+16) U (65)9/24 CAL POLY SLO W 47-30 L (-24) O (69)10/1 at C Michigan L 41-48 L (-8) O (61½)10/8 KENT ST W 40-10 W (-14½) U (53½)10/15 W MICHIGAN W 51-22 W (-1½) O (68½)10/22 at Buffalo W 31-30 L (-14) U (62)11/1 at Toledo W 63-60 W (+9½) O (69½)11/8 at Bowling Green W 45-14 W (-6) U (67)11/15 BALL ST W 41-38 L (-18) O (71)11/25 E MICHIGAN W 18-12 L (-17½) U (63½)12/2 vs Ohio U W 23-20 L (-3½) U (71)1/8 vs Arkansas St W 38-20 W (+1½) U (66)
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/1 vs Iowa L 17-18 W (+7½) U (47)9/8 TENN-MARTIN W 35-7 W (-23½) 9/15 at Army W 41-40 L (-3) O (49)9/22 KANSAS W 30-23 P (-7) U (54)9/29 C MICHIGAN W 55-24 W (-10) O (57)10/6 at Ball St W 35-23 W (-3) U (65)10/13 BUFFALO W 45-3 W (-14) U (56)10/20 at Akron W 37-7 W (-17) U (64)10/27 at W Michigan W 48-34 W (-7½) O (58½)11/3 MASSACHUSETTS W 63-0 W (-35) O (58)11/14 TOLEDO W 31-24 L (-10) U (69½)11/23 at E Michigan W 49-7 W (-20½) U (60)11/30 vs Kent St W 44-37 P (-7) O (60)1/1 vs Florida St L 10-31 L (+14½) U (58)
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/3 at New Mexico st W 44-24 W (-6) O (52)9/10 GARDNER WEBB W 30-0 L (-33) U (53)9/17 MARSHALL W 44-7 W (-5½) O (48)9/24 at Rutgers L 26-38 L (+3½) O (51)10/1 KENT ST W 17-10 L (-16) U (48)10/8 at Buffalo L 37-38 L (-9) O (53½)10/15 BALL ST L 20-23 L (-14½) U (57)10/22 at Akron W 37-20 W (-14) O (53½)11/2 TEMPLE W 35-31 W (+4½) O (46)11/10 at C Michigan W 43-28 W (-7½) O (59)11/16 at Bowling Green W 29-28 L (-7½) U (59½)11/22 MIAMI OHIO W 21-14 L (-9) U (55)12/2 vs N Illinois L 20-23 W (+3½) U (71)12/17 vs Utah St W 24-23 W (0) U (62)
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/1 at Penn St W 24-14 W (+6) U (45)9/8 NEW MEXICO ST W 51-24 W (-21) O (58½)9/15 at Marshall W 27-24 L (-5½) U (66½)9/22 NORFOLK ST W 44-10 W (-32½) 9/29 at Massachusetts W 37-34 L (-23) O (54½)10/6 BUFFALO W 38-31 L (-14½) O (57)10/13 AKRON W 34-28 L (-18) U (68)10/27 at Miami Ohio L 20-23 L (-6) U (59½)11/1 E MICHIGAN W 45-14 W (-16) O (58)11/7 BOWLING GREEN L 14-26 L (-2½) U (47½)11/14 at Ball St L 27-52 L (+5½) O (61)11/23 at Kent St L 6-28 L (+9) U (60)12/28 vs LA Monroe W 45-14 W (+6½) P (59)
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
Mac
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 11–3 11–3 12–2 12–2 46–10 82.1%
OVERALL ATS 10–3 6–8 9–3 8–6 33–20 62.3%
HOME ATS 4–1 3–3 4–1 2–3 13–8 61.9%
ROAD ATS 6–2 3–5 5–2 6–3 20–12 62.5%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 7–1 4–5 7–1 6–3 24–10 70.6%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 3–2 2–3 2–2 2–3 9–10 47.4%
AS FAVORITE ATS 8–2 4–7 7–4 5–6 24–19 55.8%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 2–1 2–1 1–1 2–1 7–4 63.6%
OVER-UNDER 8–5 7–7 5–8 8–6 28–26 51.9%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring +14.6 18
Yardage +104.9 19
Turnovers +13 T8
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 39.6 11
Yards/Game 519.8 5
Yds Per Play 6.78 10
Rush Yds/Gm 297.2 7
Pass Yds/Gm 222.6 76
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 25.1 52
Yards/Game 414.9 79
Yds Per Play 5.44 58
Rush Yds/Gm 151.7 49
Pass Yds/Gm 263.1 107
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
Mac
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 8–5 10–4 9–4 7–6 34–19 64.2%
OVERALL ATS 8–5 7–7 5–8 6–7 26–27 49.1%
HOME ATS 4–2 2–4 3–3 4–3 13–12 52.0%
ROAD ATS 4–3 5–3 2–5 2–4 13–15 46.4%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 6–2 4–5 1–7 3–5 14–19 42.4%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 2–3 3–2 4–1 3–2 12–8 60.0%
AS FAVORITE ATS 5–3 4–6 3–6 5–3 17–18 48.6%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 2–2 3–1 2–2 1–4 8–9 47.1%
OVER-UNDER 6–4 7–7 5–6 4–9 22–26 45.8%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring -0.1 69
Yardage -26.5 82
Turnovers -2 T73
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 27.4 73
Yards/Game 379.4 84
Yds Per Play 5.56 67
Rush Yds/Gm 134.0 99
Pass Yds/Gm 245.4 53
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 27.5 72
Yards/Game 405.8 68
Yds Per Play 5.75 80
Rush Yds/Gm 187.9 86
Pass Yds/Gm 217.9 43
StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2014 89
ACCCollege Top 25
Big 12Big Ten
Conference USA
Mountain W
estSEC
Sun BeltIndependents
Pac-12M
ACA
AC>
TOLEDO
2011-13 gaME logS
8/309/69/129/209/2710/410/1110/2511/411/1111/1911/28
NEW HAMPSHIREMISSOURIat CincinnatiBALL STATECENTRAL MICHIGANat Western Michiganat Iowa StateMASSACHUSETTSat Kent Stateat Northern IllinoisBOWLING GREENat Eastern Michigan
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/31 at Florida L 6-24 W (+23) U (55½)9/7 at Missouri L 23-38 L (+14) U (65½)9/14 E WASHINGTON W 33-21 W (-7) U (74)9/21 at C Michigan W 38-17 W (-13) U (57½)9/28 at Ball St L 24-31 L (+1) U (67½)10/5 W MICHIGAN W 47-20 W (-23½) O (58½)10/19 NAVY W 45-44 L (-9) O (55)10/26 at Bowling Green W 28-25 W (+4) U (53½)11/2 E MICHIGAN W 55-16 W (-30½) O (66½)11/12 BUFFALO W 51-41 W (-5½) O (54½)11/20 N ILLINOIS L 17-35 L (pk) U (72½)11/29 at Akron L 29-31 L (-11) O (57½)
>
WESTERN MICHIGAN
2011-13 gaME logS
8/309/139/209/2710/410/1110/1810/2511/111/1511/2211/28
at Purdueat IdahoMURRAY STATEat Virginia TechTOLEDOat Ball Stateat Bowling GreenOHIOat Miami (OH)EASTERN MICHIGANat Central MichiganNORTHERN ILLINOIS
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/30 at Michigan St L 13-26 W (+27½) U (44)9/7 NICHOLLS ST L 23-27 L (-29½) U (53½)9/14 at Northwestern L 17-38 W (+28½) U (57½)9/21 at Iowa L 3-59 L (+16½) O (47)9/28 KENT ST L 14-32 L (+2½) U (51)10/5 at Toledo L 20-47 L (+23½) O (58½)10/12 BUFFALO L 0-33 L (+9½) U (48½)10/19 BALL ST L 17-38 L (+18½) U (58½)10/26 at Massachusetts W 31-30 W (+4½) O (46½)11/9 at E Michigan L 32-35 L (-2½) O (59)11/16 C MICHIGAN L 22-27 L (+3) U (51½)11/26 at N Illinois L 14-33 W (+35) U (64)
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/1 NEW HAMPSHIRE W 58-22 W (-10½) 9/10 at Ohio St L 22-27 W (+17½) U (53)9/16 BOISE ST L 15-40 L (+20) U (59½)9/24 at Syracuse L 30-33 L (+2) O (56)10/1 at Temple W 36-13 W (+8½) U (54)10/8 E MICHIGAN W 54-16 W (-20½) O (52)10/15 at Bowling Green W 28-21 L (-9) U (62)10/22 MIAMI OHIO W 49-28 W (-16) O (55)11/1 N ILLINOIS L 60-63 L (-9½) O (69½)11/8 W MICHIGAN W 66-63 L (-12) O (71)11/18 at C Michigan W 44-17 W (-14) U (74)11/25 at Ball St W 45-28 W (-14) O (72)12/28 vs Air Force W 42-41 L (-3) O (68½)
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/1 at Arizona L 17-24 W (+10½) U (64)9/8 at Wyoming W 34-31 W (+3½) O (58½)9/15 BOWLING GREEN W 27-15 W (-3) U (61)9/22 COASTAL CAROLINA W 38-28 L (-29) 9/29 at W Michigan W 37-17 W (+1) U (57)10/6 C MICHIGAN W 50-35 W (-11½) O (64)10/13 at E Michigan W 52-47 L (-15) O (55)10/20 CINCINNATI W 29-23 W (+5) U (64½)10/27 at Buffalo W 25-20 L (-7) U (60½)11/6 BALL ST L 27-34 L (-5½) U (70)11/14 at N Illinois L 24-31 W (+10) U (69½)11/20 AKRON W 35-23 L (-17½) U (62½)12/15 vs Utah St L 15-41 L (+10) U (60½)
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/3 at Michigan L 10-34 L (+14) U (58½)9/10 NICHOLLS ST W 38-7 P (-31) U (53½)9/17 C MICHIGAN W 44-14 W (-6½) O (51½)9/24 at Illinois L 20-23 W (+13½) U (51½)10/1 at Connecticut W 38-31 W (+3) O (46½)10/8 BOWLING GREEN W 45-21 W (-10½) O (59½)10/15 at N Illinois L 22-51 L (+1½) O (68½)10/22 at E Michigan L 10-14 L (-13) U (56)10/29 BALL ST W 45-35 L (-11½) O (58)11/8 at Toledo L 63-66 W (+12) O (71)11/16 at Miami Ohio W 24-21 W (-1½) U (59½)11/25 AKRON W 68-19 W (-28) O (60½)12/27 vs Purdue L 32-37 L (+1½) O (62½)
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/1 at Illinois L 7-24 L (+10) U (50½)9/8 E ILLINOIS W 52-21 W (-22½) 9/15 at Minnesota L 23-28 L (+3) U (55½)9/22 CONNECTICUT W 30-24 W (-2) O (44)9/29 TOLEDO L 17-37 L (-1) U (57)10/6 MASSACHUSETTS W 52-14 W (-17) O (56)10/13 at Ball St L 24-30 L (+2½) U (65½)10/20 at Kent St L 24-41 L (+3½) O (53½)10/27 N ILLINOIS L 34-48 L (+7½) O (58½)11/3 at C Michigan W 42-31 W (-1½) O (60½)11/10 at Buffalo L 24-29 L (-3) U (54½)11/17 E MICHIGAN L 23-29 L (-14) U (62½)
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
Mac
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 8–5 9–4 9–4 7–5 33–18 64.7%
OVERALL ATS 7–5 7–6 7–6 7–5 28–22 56.0%
HOME ATS 3–3 3–3 3–3 4–2 13–11 54.2%
ROAD ATS 4–2 4–3 4–3 3–3 15–11 57.7%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 6–2 5–3 4–4 5–3 20–12 62.5%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 1–3 2–3 3–2 2–2 8–10 44.4%
AS FAVORITE ATS 4–2 5–4 2–5 5–2 16–13 55.2%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 3–3 2–2 5–1 2–3 12–9 57.1%
OVER-UNDER 8–5 7–5 3–9 5–7 23–26 46.9%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring +4.4 56
Yardage +25.6 55
Turnovers +4 T38
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 33.0 39
Yards/Game 447.3 39
Yds Per Play 6.37 24
Rush Yds/Gm 240.6 14
Pass Yds/Gm 206.8 88
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 28.6 T74
Yards/Game 421.8 88
Yds Per Play 5.82 86
Rush Yds/Gm 170.4 74
Pass Yds/Gm 251.3 94
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
Mac
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 6–6 7–6 4–8 1–11 18–31 36.7%
OVERALL ATS 5–5 7–5 4–8 4–8 20–26 43.5%
HOME ATS 2–3 3–1 3–3 0–5 8–12 40.0%
ROAD ATS 3–2 4–4 1–5 4–3 12–14 46.2%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 4–3 5–3 2–6 2–6 13–18 41.9%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 1–2 2–2 2–2 2–2 7–8 46.7%
AS FAVORITE ATS 4–2 4–2 4–3 0–2 12–9 57.1%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 1–3 3–3 0–5 4–6 8–17 32.0%
OVER-UNDER 6–5 8–5 5–6 4–8 23–24 48.9%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring -18.3 116
Yardage -92.0 108
Turnovers -8 T109
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 17.2 118
Yards/Game 327.2 112
Yds Per Play 4.75 112
Rush Yds/Gm 116.2 113
Pass Yds/Gm 211.0 85
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 35.4 T105
Yards/Game 419.2 86
Yds Per Play 5.82 85
Rush Yds/Gm 250.0 120
Pass Yds/Gm 169.2 4
90 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2014
>
MWC MOUNTAIN DIVISION WEST DIVISION
pREdictEd FiniSh
1. Boise State 2. Colorado State 3. Utah State 4. Air Force 5. Wyoming 6. New Mexico
1. Fresno State2. Nevada3. San Diego State4. San Jose State5. UNLV6. Hawaii
AIR FORCEOffense: Starters returning - 6; Defense: Starters returning - 7The Falcons moved away from the triple option a bit when QB Nate Romine (54.3% comp., 603 pass yds, 7.4 YPA, 5 TD, 1 INT) stepped in under center. He’ll battle the more athletic QB Kale Pearson (5-for-8, 46 pass yds), recov-ering from knee surgery, for the starting job. RB Jon Lee (429 rush yds, 6.5 YPC) is the most talented back on the roster, but nagging injuries threaten to derail another season for him. RB Broam Hart (469 rush yds, 6 TD) could end up taking on a bigger role running behind a very good Air Force line. Defensively there are going to be issues again. The Falcons surrendered 40.0 PPG and 490.3 YPG of offense, including 250.6 rushing YPG, last year, as their undersized front was pushed around. If top LB Joey Nichol (79 tackles, 7.5 TFL) stays healthy, there’s a chance for slight improvement.
BOISE STATEOffense: Starters returning - 6; Defense: Starters returning - 8New Head Coach: Bryan HarsinChris Petersen left for Washington, leaving the nation’s top mid-major pro-gram in ex-offensive coordinator Bryan Harsin’s hands. QB Grant Hedrick (7.5 YPA, 16 TD, 5 INT) returns, but it’s likely going to be RB Jay Ajayi (1,425 rush yds, 18 TD) doing the heavy lifting as long as the O-Line can get the job done. Boise also has major weapons in WR Matt Miller (88 rec, 1,140 yds, 12 TD) and diminutive playmaking WR Shane Williams-Rhodes (77 rec, 702 yds, 6 TD). The Boise defense is coming off one of its worst seasons in years, allowing more than 400 yards per game (413.4) for the first time since 1997. Though with improvement from sophomore LBs Ben Weaver (89 tackles) and Tanner Vallejo (51 tackles, 5.5 TFL), and a maturing second-ary led by CB Donte Deayon (6 INT, 54 tackles), this fall should go better.
COLORADO STATEOffense: Starters returning - 6; Defense: Starters returning - 7 The Rams lost star RB Kapri Bibbs and his 1,800 total yards and 31 rushing TD to the NFL, but they bring back one of the nation’s most explosive pass-ing offenses. QB Garrett Grayson (3,696 pass yds, 23 TD, 11 INT) and WR Rashard Higgins (68 rec, 837 rec yds, 6 TD) should be even more productive this season as CSU goes more pass-heavy. C Weston Richburg, the leader of the offensive line, will be tougher to replace than Bibbs as the Rams try to rebuild their front five. Converted safety Jasen Oden and redshirt fresh-man RB Bryce Peters will battle to take Bibbs’ spot. ILBs Max Morgan (134 tackles, 6 PD) and Aaron Davis (120 tackles, 3 FF) lead a solid defense that returns most of its starters. The secondary must improve after allowing 33 touchdown passes last year, which was the second-highest total in FBS.
FRESNO STATEOffense: Starters returning - 5; Defense: Starters returning - 8 The Bulldogs scored more than 40 PPG over the past two years, but have little chance at duplicating that success now that QB Derek Carr and top WRs Davante Adams and Isaiah Burse have moved on. Coach Tim DeRuyter plans on waiting until the end of fall to name Carr’s successor, with dual threat Duke transfer QB Brandon Connette (1,212 pass yds, 13 TD, 6 INT; 14 rush TD) and QB Brian Burrell (7-for-12, 51 yds) the leading candidates. Josh Harper (79 rec, 1,011 yds, 13 TD), one of three 1,000-yard receivers last year, returns as the top weapon, while RBs Josh Quezada (807 rush yds, 6 TD) and Marteze Waller (646 rush yds, 7 TD) will be relied upon more to run behind a finesse O-Line. Despite the occasional hiccup, Fresno’s defense is the most talented in the MWC, led by S Derron Smith (87 tackles, 7 INT, 4 sacks), LB Ejiro Ederaine (10 sacks) and NT Tyeler Davison (7.5 TFL).
HAWAIIOffense: Starters returning - 7; Defense: Starters returning - 6The Warriors have one MWC win in two seasons under Norm Chow. Sophomore QB Ikaika Woolsey (11-of-29, 143 yds, 0 TD, 3 INT) emerged this spring as the favorite to start. An erratic passer, his mobility gives Chow’s offense an added dimension. He’ll get help from the running game, especially if RB Joey Iosefa (523 total yds, 5 TD in 4 games) is fully recovered after missing the first half of last year with a foot injury. The ability to con-trol the clock will be key. Their defense ranked ninth-to-last in FBS in yards allowed (494.7). Hawaii hired Utah State linebackers coach Kevin Clune as defensive coordinator, and he has made the switch to a 3-4 to take advan-tage of linebacker depth. They have LBs Jerrol Garcia-Williams (67 tackles), a healthy Julian Gener and UCLA transfer Jeremy Castro to lead that unit.
NEVADAOffense: Starters returning - 8; Defense: Starters returning - 10 Nevada’s pistol offense took a step back in the first year under Brian Polian, due in large part to struggles on the O-Line. They return four starters up front, but lost their best lineman, Joel Bitonio. Still, there should be some progress, and the Wolf Pack’s skill players are very good. QB Cody Fajardo (2,668 pass yds, 13 TD, 3 INT; 626 rush yds, 8 TD) played through nagging injuries for most of last season, but was of the nation’s top dual threats when healthy. WRs Richy Turner (61 rec, 755 yds, 4 TD) and 6-foot-5 Hasaan Henderson (326 rec yds) give him two excellent targets. DE Brock Hekking (9 sacks, 14.5 TFL) leads a solid pass rush, but the Wolf Pack struggled badly against the run last year (258.5 YPG allowed, second-worst in FBS). Shaky play in the secondary will ensure that Nevada will be in shootouts often.
StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2014 91
ACCCollege Top 25
Big TenConference U
SAM
ACSEC
Sun BeltIndependents
Pac-12A
ACM
ountain West
Big 12
NEW MEXICOOffense: Starters returning - 8; Defense: Starters returning - 6Option QB Cole Gautsche (44.9% comp., 8.2 YPA, 639 pass yds; 777 rush yds, 8 TD) will run the Lobos’ pistol offense full-time this year. He’ll presumably make some strides as a passer, but his value is due to his size (6-foot-4, 223 lbs.) and running ability. Three O-Line starters return from the MWC’s top rushing attack. Tailback is a question mark now that Kasey Carrier gradu-ated and RB Crusoe Gongbay (592 rush yds, 6 TD) was suspended indefi-nitely this spring pending investigation into a sexual assault allegation. Speedy RBs Jhurell Pressley (9.4 YPC, 6 TD) and Teriyon Gipson (5.8 YPC, 5 TD) would take on extended roles if Gongbay is out. WR Marquis Bundy (261 rec yds) has a chance to upgrade the passing game with a breakout year. The defense gave up a league-worst 42.8 PPG last year, but could improve from within. LB Dakota Cox (99 tackles) was the team’s leading tackler as a true freshman, and DE Brett Bowers (6 sacks) gives them a pass-rushing presence. The secondary never got it together last year, allowing 30 TD passes with just 4 INT and an FBS-worst 172.8 opponent passer rating.
SAN DIEGO STATEOffense: Starters returning - 6; Defense: Starters returning - 5QB Quinn Kaehler (60% comp., 7.7 YPA, 3,007 yds, 19 TD, 9 INT) is expect-ed to be fully recovered from elbow surgery by the fall. Kaehler replaced Adam Dingwell early last season and went 8-3 as a starter, including wins in five of the Aztecs’ final six games. He and WR Ezell Ruffin (1,136 rec yds) should carry the offense after the departure of top RB Adam Muema. With Muema gone, 5-foot-9 Donnel Pumphrey (752 rush yds, 8 TD) will take a big-ger workload. But at 170 pounds, SDSU will have to find someone to share carries with him. On defense, LB Jake Fely (90 tackles, 7 sacks in 2012) will lead the unit now that he’s fully recovered from a foot injury. Along with LBs Josh Gavert (68 tackles) and Derek Largent (32 tackles), this should be one of the best linebacking corps in the conference. The rest of the defense is full of question marks. The Aztecs use three safeties in their base and must replace Nat Berhe and Eric Pinkins at those spots. They do have experienced CBs J.J. Whittaker (3 INT, 11 PD) and Damontae Kazee (4 FF), who could be tested often considering how weak the pass rush is setting up to be.
SAN JOSE STATEOffense: Starters returning - 5; Defense: Starters returning - 9The Spartans offense is set to take a step back with the departure of QB David Fales, who had back-to-back, 4,000-yard seasons. QBs Blake Jurich (3-for-6, 22 yds, 1 INT) and Joe Gray will battle for the starting job this fall. Top receiver Chandler Jones and his 15 TD is also gone, but WR Tyler Winston (858 rec yds, 5 TD) picked up valuable experience as a true freshman, and should be one of the conference’s top receivers this season. The running game will take on bigger importance this season, though the Spartans must replace three starters on the offensive line. RB Jarrod Lawson (788 rush yds, 4 TD) leads their tailback-by-committee after a strong year as a redshirt freshman. After a disastrous season in which SJSU allowed 35.1 PPG (after allowing 21.3 PPG in 2012), longtime NFL and college assistant Greg Robinson takes over the defense to transition the unit to a 4-3 scheme. He has an anchor for the D-Line in DT Travis Raciti (37 tackles), and star LB Vince Buhagiar (89 tack-les, 3 sacks in 2012) returns after missing last season with a shoulder injury. The secondary has experience, but will miss top corner Bene Benwikere.
UNLVOffense: Starters returning - 9; Defense: Starters returning - 6After finding star QB Caleb Herring in their wide receiver corps last year, the Rebels are once again in search of a signal caller. It will likely be either QB Nick Sherry (4.5 YPA, 3 TD, 5 INT), who was unseated by Herring early last year, or JUCO transfer Blake Decker. The winner of that battle will be throwing to WR Devante Davis (1,290 rec yds, 14 TD), one of the MWC’s top receivers. They’ll also need to fill the opening left by 1,284-yard rusher Tim Cornett’s departure. Five-foot-8 RB Shaquille Murray-Lawrence (418 rush yds, 8.9 YPC) is likely to lead a committee at tailback. Despite the uncer-tainty there, UNLV should be able to run the ball behind an experienced offensive line that should be one of the conference’s best. The defense remains a work in progress. They allowed 215.5 rushing yards per game last year and lost both starting tackles but the Rebels’ linebacking corps is on the rise, as LB Tau Lotulelei (23 tackles) has all-MWC potential. Along with S Peni Vea (108 tackles, 2 INT) stopping the run, this unit should improve.
UTAH STATEOffense: Starters returning - 3; Defense: Starters returning - 4Despite the strong play of true freshman QB Darell Garretson (7.0 YPA, 1,446 yds, 10 TD, 7 INT), the offense will likely be given back to QB Chuckie Keeton (69.4% comp., 7.1 YPA, 1,388 yds, 18 TD, 2 INT). Keeton was considered a darkhorse Heisman contender before a knee injury cut his season short. If healthy, the dual-threat senior will be one of the nation’s best quarter-backs again. He’ll be working behind an offensive line that lost four start-ers, though LT Kevin Whimpey is a good one. RB Joe Hill (252 rush yds in 5 games) is also working back from a knee injury, though the Aggies have quality depth with RBs Kennedy Williams (3.2 YPC) and Rashad Hall. WRs Bruce Natson (59 rec) and Brandon Swindall (6 rec TD) give them strong catch-and-run threats. The Aggies fielded one of the nation’s best defens-es last year, and while there will be a lot of turnover, they still bring back all-MWC LBs Zach Vigil (125 tackles, 3 FF) and Kyler Fackrell (82 tackles, 5 sacks) to lead the way. S Brian Suite (5 INT, 77 tackles) will have to lead an inexperienced secondary that could be Utah State’s Achilles’ heel.
WYOMINGOffense: Starters returning - 8; Defense: Starters returning - 8New Head Coach: Craig BohlThe Cowboys’ offense will undergo wholesale changes under new head man Craig Bohl. Gone is star QB Brett Smith, and with him the spread offense Wyoming utilized under Dave Christensen. Bohl and offensive coor-dinator Brent Vigen have installed a pro-style offense, with senior QB Colby Kirkegaard (21-of-36, 160 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT career) likely to win the compe-tition. The focus of the offense will be the power running game though, and Wyoming has an experienced O-Line and a solid tailback duo in RBs Shaun Wick (979 rush yds, 9 TD) and D.J. May (374 rush yds in 2012), who returns after missing his sophomore year (chest). WR Dominic Rufran (960 rec yds, 8 TD) leads a solid receiving corps. After allowing 36.7 PPG last year, the defense will undergo changes with former North Dakota State assis-tant Steve Stanard’s 4-3 scheme. He has some building blocks in DE Eddie Yarbrough (89 tackles, 6.5 sacks) and rangy LBs Jordan Stanton (133 tack-les, 10 TFL) and Mark Nzeocha (101 tackles, 10 TFL). CB Blair Burns (7 PD) leads a secondary that figures to be one of the weakest in the conference.
92 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2014
>AIR FORCE
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/3 S DAKOTA W 37-20 L (-34) 9/10 TCU L 19-35 L (+1½) O (50½)9/24 TENNESSEE ST W 63-24 L (-40) O (59)10/1 at Navy W 35-34 W (+3) O (53½)10/8 at Notre Dame L 33-59 L (+14) O (55½)10/13 SAN DIEGO ST L 27-41 L (-7) O (58)10/22 at Boise St L 26-37 W (+30) O (62)10/29 at New Mexico W 42-0 W (-28½) U (63)11/5 ARMY W 24-14 L (-16½) U (55)11/12 WYOMING L 17-25 L (-16½) U (57½)11/19 UNLV W 45-17 W (-24) O (55½)11/26 at Colorado St W 45-21 W (-14) O (53)12/28 vs Toledo L 41-42 W (+3) O (68½)
2011-13 gaME logS
8/309/69/139/2710/410/1110/1811/111/811/1511/2111/28
NICHOLLS STATEat Wyomingat Georgia StateBOISE STATENAVYat Utah StateNEW MEXICOat Armyat UNLVNEVADAat San Diego StateCOLORADO STATE
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/1 IDAHO ST W 49-21 L (-31) 9/8 at Michigan L 25-31 W (+21½) U (58½)9/22 at UNLV L 35-38 L (-10½) O (54½)9/29 COLORADO ST W 42-21 W (-14) O (56)10/6 NAVY L 21-28 L (-9½) U (54½)10/13 at Wyoming W 28-27 L (-6) U (59½)10/20 NEW MEXICO W 28-23 L (-10½) U (57½)10/26 NEVADA W 48-31 W (+3½) O (68½)11/3 at Army L 21-41 L (-7) P (62)11/10 at San Diego St L 9-28 L (+6½) U (58)11/16 HAWAII W 21-7 L (-23½) U (59)11/24 at Fresno St L 15-48 L (+16½) O (60½)12/29 vs Rice L 14-33 L (+1) U (61)
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/31 COLGATE W 38-13 L (-25½) U (66½)9/7 UTAH ST L 20-52 L (+7½) O (58)9/13 at Boise St L 20-42 W (+23½) O (58)9/21 WYOMING L 23-56 L (+4) O (65½)9/28 at Nevada L 42-45 W (+11) O (58½)10/5 at Navy L 10-28 L (+13½) U (56)10/10 SAN DIEGO ST L 20-27 L (+3½) U (53)10/26 NOTRE DAME L 10-45 L (+19½) U (55½)11/2 ARMY W 42-28 W (+1) O (54½)11/8 at New Mexico L 37-45 L (+3) O (61)11/21 UNLV L 21-41 L (-2) O (59)11/30 at Colorado St L 13-58 L (+17½) O (62)
>BOISE STATE
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/3 vs Georgia W 35-21 W (-3) O (51½)9/16 at Toledo W 40-15 W (-20) U (59½)9/24 TULSA W 41-21 L (-28) U (63)10/1 NEVADA W 30-10 L (-27½) U (59½)10/7 at Fresno St W 57-7 W (-21) O (58½)10/15 at Colorado St W 63-13 W (-31½) O (53)10/22 AIR FORCE W 37-26 L (-30) O (62)11/5 at UNLV W 48-21 L (-43) O (59)11/12 TCU L 35-36 L (-16½) O (59½)11/19 at San Diego st W 52-35 L (-18½) O (55)11/26 WYOMING W 36-14 L (-32) U (61½)12/3 NEW MEXICO W 45-0 L (-48) U (63)12/22 vs Arizona St W 56-24 W (-14) O (65)
2011-13 gaME logS
8/289/69/139/209/2710/410/1710/2411/811/1511/2211/29
vs. Ole Miss*COLORADO STATEat ConnecticutLOUISIANA-LAFAYETTEat Air Forceat NevadaFRESNO STATEBRIGHAM YOUNGat New MexicoSAN DIEGO STATEat WyomingUTAH STATE* at Atlanta, Georgia
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/31 at Michigan St L 13-17 W (+8) U (47)9/15 MIAMI OHIO W 39-12 W (-21) U (54)9/20 BYU W 7-6 L (-5½) U (50)9/29 at New Mexico W 32-29 L (-23½) O (49)10/6 at Southern Miss W 40-14 W (-9½) O (49)10/13 FRESNO ST W 20-10 W (-7) U (56)10/20 UNLV W 32-7 L (-28) U (56)10/27 at Wyoming W 45-14 W (-16) O (50½)11/3 SAN DIEGO ST L 19-21 L (-16½) U (49½)11/10 at Hawaii W 49-14 W (-28) O (53)11/17 COLORADO ST W 42-14 L (-29) O (49)12/1 at Nevada W 27-21 L (-7½) U (54)12/22 vs Washington W 28-26 L (-4) O (44)
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/31 at Washington L 6-38 L (+3½) U (54)9/7 TENN-MARTIN W 63-14 W (-34½) O (58)9/13 AIR FORCE W 42-20 L (-23½) O (58)9/20 at Fresno St L 40-41 W (+3½) O (69½)9/28 SOUTHERN MISS W 60-7 W (-28½) O (57)10/12 at Utah St W 34-23 W (-4½) O (50½)10/19 NEVADA W 34-17 L (-23½) U (67½)10/25 at BYU L 20-37 L (+6½) U (61)11/2 at Colorado St W 42-30 W (-7) O (59½)11/16 WYOMING W 48-7 W (-23½) U (71)11/23 at San Diego st L 31-34 L (-6) O (56½)11/30 NEW MEXICO W 45-17 L (-38) U (69)12/24 vs Oregon St L 23-38 L (+4½) U (67)
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
Mountain WESt
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 9–4 7–6 6–7 2–10 24–27 47.1%
OVERALL ATS 5–7 6–7 3–10 3–9 17–33 34.0%
HOME ATS 2–3 1–6 2–4 1–6 6–19 24.0%
ROAD ATS 3–4 5–1 1–6 2–3 11–14 44.0%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 2–6 4–3 2–6 2–6 10–21 32.3%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 3–1 2–4 1–4 1–3 7–12 36.8%
AS FAVORITE ATS 3–6 3–5 1–7 0–2 7–20 25.9%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 2–1 3–2 2–3 3–7 10–13 43.5%
OVER-UNDER 3–9 9–3 4–7 8–4 24–23 51.1%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring -15.3 111
Yardage -122.7 117
Turnovers -4 T85
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 24.7 92
Yards/Game 367.6 92
Yds Per Play 5.44 76
Rush Yds/Gm 262.7 12
Pass Yds/Gm 104.9 123
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 40.0 118
Yards/Game 490.3 116
Yds Per Play 6.41 111
Rush Yds/Gm 250.6 121
Pass Yds/Gm 239.7 78
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
Mountain WESt
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 12–1 12–1 11–2 8–5 43–9 82.7%
OVERALL ATS 9–4 5–8 6–7 6–7 26–26 50.0%
HOME ATS 3–3 0–6 2–4 3–3 8–16 33.3%
ROAD ATS 6–1 5–2 4–3 3–4 18–10 64.3%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 5–3 1–6 3–5 4–4 13–18 41.9%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 4–1 4–2 3–2 2–3 13–8 61.9%
AS FAVORITE ATS 8–4 5–8 5–7 5–4 23–23 50.0%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 1–0 0–0 1–0 1–3 3–3 50.0%
OVER-UNDER 5–7 8–5 6–7 7–6 26–25 51.0%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring +12.7 28
Yardage +62.6 37
Turnovers +3 T41
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 37.5 19
Yards/Game 476.0 20
Yds Per Play 6.01 42
Rush Yds/Gm 198.3 33
Pass Yds/Gm 277.7 27
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 24.8 T50
Yards/Game 413.4 76
Yds Per Play 5.25 36
Rush Yds/Gm 164.2 65
Pass Yds/Gm 249.2 90
StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2014 93
ACCCollege Top 25
Big TenConference U
SAM
ACSEC
Sun BeltIndependents
Pac-12A
ACM
ountain West
Big 12>
COLORADO STATE
2011-13 gaME logS
8/299/69/139/2710/410/1110/1810/2511/111/811/2211/28
vs. Colorado*at Boise StateUC DAVISat Boston CollegeTULSAat NevadaUTAH STATEWYOMINGat San Jose StateHAWAIINEW MEXICOat Air Force* at Denver, Colorado
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/1 vs Colorado L 27-41 L (-2½) O (50)9/7 at Tulsa L 27-30 W (+14) O (54½)9/14 CAL POLY SLO W 34-17 W (-6½) 9/21 at Alabama L 6-31 W (+39½) U (54)9/28 UTEP W 59-42 W (-13½) O (51½)10/12 SAN JOSE ST L 27-34 L (-3) T (61)10/19 at Wyoming W 52-22 W (+6½) O (67)10/26 at Hawaii W 35-28 W (-2) O (58)11/2 BOISE ST L 30-42 L (+7) O (59½)11/9 NEVADA W 38-17 W (-8½) U (65½)11/16 at New Mexico W 66-42 W (-6½) O (61)11/23 at Utah St L 0-13 L (+11) U (57)11/30 AIR FORCE W 58-13 W (-17½) O (62)12/21 vs Washington St W 48-45 W (+4) O (64)
>
FRESNO STATE
2011-13 gaME logS
8/309/69/139/209/2610/310/1110/1711/111/811/2211/29
at USCat UtahNEBRASKASOUTHERN UTAHat New MexicoSAN DIEGO STATEat UNLVat Boise StateWYOMINGSAN JOSE STATEat NevadaHAWAII
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/29 RUTGERS W 52-51 L (-10½) O (54½)9/7 CAL POLY SLO W 41-25 L (-28½) U (77)9/20 BOISE ST W 41-40 L (-3½) O (69½)9/28 at Hawaii W 42-37 L (-16½) O (59)10/5 at Idaho W 61-14 W (-27½) O (68)10/19 UNLV W 38-14 L (-25) U (74)10/26 at San Diego st W 35-28 W (-6½) U (65½)11/2 NEVADA W 41-23 L (-21½) U (74½)11/9 at Wyoming W 48-10 W (-7½) U (80½)11/23 NEW MEXICO W 69-28 W (-34½) O (68½)11/29 at San Jose st L 52-62 L (-10½) O (71½)12/7 UTAH ST W 24-17 W (-2½) U (61)12/21 vs USC L 20-45 L (+4½) U (65½)
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/3 at New Mexico W 14-10 L (-6½) U (48)9/10 N COLORADO W 33-14 L (-21) O (41)9/17 vs Colorado L 14-28 L (+7½) U (51)9/24 at Utah St W 35-34 W (+12) O (53)10/1 SAN JOSE ST L 31-38 L (-3½) O (44)10/15 BOISE ST L 13-63 L (+31½) O (53)10/22 at UTEP L 17-31 L (+10) U (53½)10/29 at UNLV L 35-38 L (0) O (48½)11/12 SAN DIEGO ST L 15-18 W (+13½) U (55)11/19 at TCU L 10-34 W (+34) U (56)11/26 AIR FORCE L 21-45 L (+14) O (53)12/3 WYOMING L 19-22 W (+6) U (50)
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/1 vs Colorado W 22-17 W (+6) U (47½)9/8 N DAKOTA ST L 7-22 L (+1½) 9/15 at San Jose st L 20-40 L (+11½) O (48)9/22 UTAH ST L 19-31 L (+11½) U (54)9/29 at Air Force L 21-42 L (+14) O (56)10/6 FRESNO ST L 7-28 L (+17½) U (59½)10/13 at San Diego St L 14-38 L (+22½) U (54)10/27 HAWAII W 42-27 W (-5½) O (51½)11/3 at Wyoming L 31-45 L (+6½) O (52)11/10 UNLV W 33-11 W (+1) U (52½)11/17 at Boise St L 14-42 W (+29) O (49)11/24 NEW MEXICO W 24-20 P (-4) U (53½)
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/3 at California L 21-36 L (+10) O (49)9/10 at Nebraska L 29-42 W (+28) O (53)9/17 N DAKOTA W 27-22 L (-28) U (51)9/24 at Idaho W 48-24 W (0) O (53)10/1 OLE MISS L 28-38 L (-4) O (55)10/7 BOISE ST L 7-57 L (+21) O (58½)10/15 UTAH ST W 31-21 W (+2½) U (62)10/22 at Nevada L 38-45 W (+12) O (58½)11/5 LOUISIANA TECH L 21-41 L (-3½) O (58)11/12 at New Mexico st L 45-48 L (-6½) O (67½)11/19 at Hawaii W 24-21 W (+4½) U (63½)11/26 SAN JOSE ST L 24-27 L (-6½) U (64)12/3 at San Diego st L 28-35 P (+7) O (61)
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/1 WEBER ST W 37-10 W (-21½) 9/8 at Oregon L 25-42 W (+33) U (76)9/15 COLORADO W 69-14 W (-14½) O (56½)9/22 at Tulsa L 26-27 W (+5½) U (66½)9/29 SAN DIEGO ST W 52-40 W (-8) O (61)10/6 at Colorado St W 28-7 W (-17½) U (59½)10/13 at Boise St L 10-20 L (+7) U (56)10/20 WYOMING W 42-14 W (-17) U (60)10/27 at New Mexico W 49-32 W (-15) O (55)11/3 HAWAII W 45-10 W (-32) U (61)11/10 at Nevada W 52-36 W (-3) O (70)11/24 AIR FORCE W 48-15 W (-16½) O (60½)12/24 vs SMU L 10-43 L (-13½) U (62½)
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
Mountain WESt
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 3–9 3–9 4–8 8–6 18–32 36.0%
OVERALL ATS 6–6 4–8 4–7 10–4 24–25 49.0%
HOME ATS 4–1 2–4 2–3 4–2 12–10 54.5%
ROAD ATS 2–5 2–4 2–4 6–2 12–15 44.4%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 5–3 3–4 3–4 5–3 16–14 53.3%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 1–3 1–4 1–3 5–1 8–11 42.1%
AS FAVORITE ATS 2–0 0–3 1–0 6–2 9–5 64.3%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 4–6 4–5 3–7 4–2 15–20 42.9%
OVER-UNDER 6–6 6–6 5–6 9–3 26–21 55.3%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring +6.4 45
Yardage +54.5 44
Turnovers +2 T47
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 36.2 22
Yards/Game 470.8 24
Yds Per Play 6.27 30
Rush Yds/Gm 204.4 27
Pass Yds/Gm 266.4 30
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 29.8 82
Yards/Game 416.3 81
Yds Per Play 5.76 82
Rush Yds/Gm 140.6 30
Pass Yds/Gm 275.7 116
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
Mountain WESt
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 8–5 4–9 9–4 11–2 32–20 61.5%
OVERALL ATS 5–7 5–7 11–2 5–8 26–24 52.0%
HOME ATS 3–3 1–5 6–0 2–5 12–13 48.0%
ROAD ATS 2–4 4–2 5–2 3–3 14–11 56.0%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 3–5 4–3 7–1 4–5 18–14 56.3%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 2–2 1–4 4–1 1–3 8–10 44.4%
AS FAVORITE ATS 2–4 0–5 9–1 5–7 16–17 48.5%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 3–3 5–2 2–1 0–1 10–7 58.8%
OVER-UNDER 7–5 9–4 5–7 6–7 27–23 54.0%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring +13.1 26
Yardage +117.1 14
Turnovers +2 T47
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 43.4 6
Yards/Game 547.8 3
Yds Per Play 6.55 17
Rush Yds/Gm 153.0 79
Pass Yds/Gm 394.8 1
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 30.3 87
Yards/Game 430.8 96
Yds Per Play 5.65 73
Rush Yds/Gm 148.2 T42
Pass Yds/Gm 282.6 119
94 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2014
>HAWAI I
2011-13 gaME logS
8/309/69/139/2010/410/1110/1810/2511/111/811/1511/2211/29
WASHINGTONOREGON STATENORTHERN IOWAat Coloradoat RiceWYOMINGat San Diego StateNEVADAUTAH STATEat Colorado Stateat San Jose StateUNLVat Fresno State
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/29 USC L 13-30 W (+24) U (51)9/7 at Oregon St L 14-33 W (+26½) U (55)9/21 at Nevada L 9-31 L (+6) U (53½)9/28 FRESNO ST L 37-42 W (+16½) O (59)10/5 SAN JOSE ST L 27-37 L (+3) O (57)10/12 at UNLV L 37-39 W (+7½) O (57½)10/26 COLORADO ST L 28-35 L (+2) O (58)11/2 at Utah St L 10-47 L (+24) O (52)11/9 at Navy L 28-42 W (+17) O (55)11/16 SAN DIEGO ST L 21-28 L (+5) U (59)11/23 at Wyoming L 56-59 W (+5½) O (63)11/30 ARMY W 49-42 W (-5½) O (61)
>
NEVADA
2011-13 gaME logS
8/309/59/139/2710/410/1110/1810/2511/111/1511/2211/29
SOUTHERN UTAHWASHINGTON STATEat Arizonaat San Jose StateBOISE STATECOLORADO STATEat Brigham Youngat HawaiiSAN DIEGO STATEat Air ForceFRESNO STATEat UNLV
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/31 at UCLA L 20-58 L (+20½) O (66½)9/7 CAL DAVIS W 36-7 W (-19½) U (60½)9/14 at Florida St L 7-62 L (+35) O (60½)9/21 HAWAII W 31-9 W (-6) U (53½)9/28 AIR FORCE W 45-42 L (-11) O (58½)10/4 at San Diego st L 44-51 L (+6½) O (60½)10/19 at Boise St L 17-34 W (+23½) U (67½)10/26 UNLV L 22-27 L (-6½) U (68)11/2 at Fresno St L 23-41 W (+21½) U (74½)11/9 at Colorado St L 17-38 L (+8½) U (65½)11/16 SAN JOSE ST W 38-16 W (+6½) U (67)11/30 BYU L 23-28 W (+15½) U (67½)
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/3 COLORADO W 34-17 W (-6½) U (54½)9/10 at Washington L 32-40 L (+4) O (51½)9/17 at UNLV L 20-40 L (-17½) O (59)9/24 CAL DAVIS W 56-14 W (-25) O (57)10/1 at Louisiana Tech W 44-26 W (+4½) O (58)10/14 at San Jose st L 27-28 L (-6) U (56)10/22 NEW MEXICO ST W 45-34 L (-23½) O (60½)10/29 at Idaho W 16-14 L (-7) U (55½)11/5 UTAH ST L 31-35 L (-4) O (61)11/12 at Nevada L 28-42 P (+14) O (63)11/19 FRESNO ST L 21-24 L (-4½) U (63½)11/26 TULANE W 35-23 L (-19) O (55½)12/3 BYU L 20-41 L (+8) O (54½)
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/1 at USC L 10-49 W (+44) U (62)9/15 LAMAR W 54-2 W (-36) 9/22 NEVADA L 24-69 L (+7) O (61)9/28 at BYU L 0-47 L (+26) U (49)10/6 at San Diego St L 14-52 L (+19½) O (59)10/13 NEW MEXICO L 23-35 L (0) O (51)10/27 at Colorado St L 27-42 L (+5½) O (51½)11/3 at Fresno St L 10-45 L (+32) U (61)11/10 BOISE ST L 14-49 L (+28) O (53)11/16 at Air Force L 7-21 W (+23½) U (59)11/24 UNLV W 48-10 W (+2½) O (54)12/1 S ALABAMA W 23-7 W (-7) U (52)
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/10 at Oregon L 20-69 L (+27) O (64)9/17 at San Jose st W 17-14 L (-6½) U (53½)9/24 at Texas Tech L 34-35 W (+16) O (61)10/1 at Boise St L 10-30 W (+27½) U (59½)10/8 UNLV W 37-0 W (-21) U (58)10/15 NEW MEXICO W 49-7 W (-30) U (61½)10/22 FRESNO ST W 45-38 L (-12) O (58½)10/29 at New Mexico st W 48-34 L (-14½) O (60½)11/12 HAWAII W 42-28 P (-14) O (63)11/19 LOUISIANA TECH L 20-24 L (-7) U (56)11/26 at Utah St L 17-21 L (-1½) U (64½)12/3 IDAHO W 56-3 W (-18) O (56)12/24 vs Southern Miss L 17-24 P (+7) U (65)
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/1 at California W 31-24 W (+12½) U (56)9/8 S FLORIDA L 31-32 L (0) O (58)9/15 NORTHWESTERN ST W 45-34 L (-34) 9/22 at Hawaii W 69-24 W (-7) O (61)9/29 at Texas St W 34-21 L (-17½) U (63)10/6 WYOMING W 35-28 L (-20) U (68½)10/13 at UNLV W 42-37 L (-11½) O (63)10/20 SAN DIEGO ST L 38-39 L (-7) O (66½)10/26 at Air Force L 31-48 L (-3½) O (68½)11/10 FRESNO ST L 36-52 L (+3) O (70)11/17 at New Mexico W 31-24 L (-10½) U (65)12/1 BOISE ST L 21-27 W (+7½) U (54)12/15 vs Arizona L 48-49 W (+8½) O (79½)
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
Mountain WESt
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 10–4 6–7 3–9 1–11 20–31 39.2%
OVERALL ATS 11–3 3–9 5–7 7–5 26–24 52.0%
HOME ATS 7–1 2–5 3–3 3–3 15–12 55.6%
ROAD ATS 4–2 1–4 2–4 4–2 11–12 47.8%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 7–1 1–5 2–6 3–5 13–17 43.3%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 4–2 2–4 3–1 4–0 13–7 65.0%
AS FAVORITE ATS 7–1 2–7 2–0 1–0 12–8 60.0%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 4–2 1–2 3–7 6–5 14–16 46.7%
OVER-UNDER 6–7 9–4 6–5 8–4 29–20 59.2%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring -11.3 106
Yardage -78.7 106
Turnovers -10 T114
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 27.4 72
Yards/Game 416.0 58
Yds Per Play 5.27 95
Rush Yds/Gm 114.6 114
Pass Yds/Gm 301.4 19
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 38.8 115
Yards/Game 494.7 117
Yds Per Play 5.97 96
Rush Yds/Gm 213.6 T105
Pass Yds/Gm 281.1 118
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
Mountain WESt
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 13–1 7–6 7–6 4–8 31–21 59.6%
OVERALL ATS 7–7 5–6 4–9 6–6 22–28 44.0%
HOME ATS 4–3 3–2 1–5 4–2 12–12 50.0%
ROAD ATS 3–4 2–4 3–4 2–4 10–16 38.5%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 4–4 1–5 2–6 4–4 11–19 36.7%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 3–3 4–1 2–3 2–2 11–9 55.0%
AS FAVORITE ATS 5–7 3–5 1–7 2–2 11–21 34.4%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 2–0 2–1 3–2 4–4 11–7 61.1%
OVER-UNDER 5–8 6–7 7–5 4–8 22–28 44.0%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring -7.5 98
Yardage -76.1 105
Turnovers +7 T23
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 26.9 75
Yards/Game 429.3 45
Yds Per Play 5.29 92
Rush Yds/Gm 179.0 51
Pass Yds/Gm 250.3 46
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 34.4 103
Yards/Game 505.3 119
Yds Per Play 7.12 120
Rush Yds/Gm 258.5 124
Pass Yds/Gm 246.8 87
StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2014 95
ACCCollege Top 25
Big TenConference U
SAM
ACSEC
Sun BeltIndependents
Pac-12A
ACM
ountain West
Big 12
>
SAN D IEGO STATE
2011-13 gaME logS
8/309/69/209/2710/310/1010/1811/111/811/1511/2111/29
NORTHERN ARIZONAat North Carolinaat Oregon StateUNLVat Fresno Stateat New MexicoHAWAIIat NevadaIDAHOat Boise StateAIR FORCESAN JOSE STATE
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/31 E ILLINOIS L 19-40 L (-14) U (66)9/7 at Ohio St L 7-42 L (+28) U (55)9/21 OREGON ST L 30-34 W (+6½) O (54½)9/28 at New Mexico st W 26-16 L (-16½) U (54½)10/4 NEVADA W 51-44 W (-6½) O (60½)10/10 at Air Force W 27-20 W (-3½) U (53)10/26 FRESNO ST L 28-35 L (+6½) U (65½)11/2 NEW MEXICO W 35-30 L (-14½) O (56½)11/9 at San Jose st W 34-30 W (+6½) O (59)11/16 at Hawaii W 28-21 W (-5) U (59)11/23 BOISE ST W 34-31 W (+6) O (56½)11/30 at UNLV L 19-45 L (-3) O (53)12/21 vs Buffalo W 49-24 W (pk) O (48½)
>NEW MEXICO
2011-13 gaME logS
8/309/69/209/2610/410/1010/1811/111/811/1511/2211/29
UTEPARIZONA STATEat New Mexico StateFRESNO STATEat UTSASAN DIEGO STATEat Air Forceat UNLVBOISE STATEat Utah Stateat Colorado StateWYOMING
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/31 UTSA L 13-21 L (-3½) U (54)9/7 at UTEP W 42-35 W (+7) O (50)9/14 at Pittsburgh L 27-49 L (+21½) O (46½)9/28 UNLV L 42-56 L (-1) O (53½)10/5 NEW MEXICO ST W 66-17 W (-12) O (59)10/12 at Wyoming L 31-38 W (+12) U (70)10/19 UTAH ST L 10-45 L (+14) O (51)11/2 at San Diego st L 30-35 W (+14½) O (56½)11/8 AIR FORCE W 45-37 W (-3) O (61)11/16 COLORADO ST L 42-66 L (+6½) O (61)11/23 at Fresno St L 28-69 L (+34½) O (68½)11/30 at Boise St L 17-45 W (+38) U (69)
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/3 CAL POLY SLO W 49-21 W (-25½) 9/10 at Army W 23-20 L (-8½) U (52)9/17 WASHINGTON ST W 42-24 W (-4) O (57)9/24 at Michigan L 7-28 L (+10) U (57)10/8 TCU L 14-27 L (+4½) U (56½)10/13 at Air Force W 41-27 W (+7) O (58)10/29 WYOMING L 27-30 L (-18½) P (57)11/5 NEW MEXICO W 35-7 L (-35) U (57)11/12 at Colorado St W 18-15 L (-13½) U (55)11/19 BOISE ST L 35-52 W (+18½) O (55)11/26 at UNLV W 31-14 W (-16½) U (54½)12/3 FRESNO ST W 35-28 P (-7) O (61)12/17 vs LA Lafayette L 30-32 L (-6) O (60½)
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/1 at Washington L 12-21 W (+15½) U (55½)9/8 ARMY W 42-7 W (-5½) U (50)9/15 N DAKOTA W 49-41 L (-24) 9/22 SAN JOSE ST L 34-38 L (-2) O (54)9/29 at Fresno St L 40-52 L (+8) O (61)10/6 HAWAII W 52-14 W (-19½) O (59)10/13 COLORADO ST W 38-14 W (-22½) U (54)10/20 at Nevada W 39-38 W (+7) O (66½)10/27 UNLV W 24-13 L (-17½) U (58½)11/3 at Boise St W 21-19 W (+16½) U (49½)11/10 AIR FORCE W 28-9 W (-6½) U (58)11/24 at Wyoming W 42-28 W (-7) O (54)12/20 BYU L 6-23 L (+3) U (46)
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/3 COLORADO ST L 10-14 W (+6½) U (48)9/10 at Arkansas L 3-52 L (+37) U (56)9/17 TEXAS TECH L 13-59 L (+20½) O (54½)9/24 SAM HOUSTON ST L 45-48 W (+6½) O (42)10/1 NEW MEXICO ST L 28-42 L (+1) O (54)10/15 at Nevada L 7-49 L (+30) U (61½)10/22 at TCU L 0-69 L (+44½) O (63½)10/29 AIR FORCE L 0-42 L (+28½) U (63)11/5 at San Diego st L 7-35 W (+35) U (57)11/12 UNLV W 21-14 W (+7) U (51)11/19 at Wyoming L 10-31 W (+22) U (50)12/3 at Boise St L 0-45 W (+48) U (63)
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/1 SOUTHERN W 66-21 W (-23½) 9/8 at Texas L 0-45 L (+39) U (53½)9/15 at Texas Tech L 14-49 L (+32) U (65½)9/22 at New Mexico st W 27-14 W (+5) U (56)9/29 BOISE ST L 29-32 W (+23½) O (49)10/6 TEXAS ST W 35-14 W (-3½) U (50)10/13 at Hawaii W 35-23 W (0) O (51)10/20 at Air Force L 23-28 W (+10½) U (57½)10/27 FRESNO ST L 32-49 L (+15) O (55)11/3 at UNLV L 7-35 L (+3) U (54)11/10 WYOMING L 23-28 L (+2½) O (50)11/17 NEVADA L 24-31 W (+10½) U (65)11/24 at Colorado St L 20-24 P (+4) U (53½)
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
Mountain WESt
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 1–11 1–11 4–9 3–9 9–40 18.4%
OVERALL ATS 4–8 6–6 7–5 6–6 23–25 47.9%
HOME ATS 2–4 3–3 4–2 2–4 11–13 45.8%
ROAD ATS 2–4 3–3 3–3 4–2 12–12 50.0%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 3–5 5–2 4–3 4–4 16–14 53.3%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 1–3 1–4 3–2 2–2 7–11 38.9%
AS FAVORITE ATS 0–0 0–0 2–0 2–2 4–2 66.7%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 4–8 6–6 5–5 4–4 19–23 45.2%
OVER-UNDER 9–3 4–8 4–8 9–3 26–22 54.2%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring -10.0 102
Yardage -94.8 109
Turnovers -4 T85
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 32.8 42
Yards/Game 421.8 53
Yds Per Play 6.48 19
Rush Yds/Gm 308.8 4
Pass Yds/Gm 113.0 122
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 42.8 120
Yards/Game 516.6 121
Yds Per Play 7.42 122
Rush Yds/Gm 257.2 122
Pass Yds/Gm 259.4 103
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
Mountain WESt
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 9–4 8–5 9–4 8–5 34–18 65.4%
OVERALL ATS 8–4 5–7 8–5 7–6 28–22 56.0%
HOME ATS 5–2 3–3 4–4 3–3 15–12 55.6%
ROAD ATS 3–2 2–4 4–1 4–3 13–10 56.5%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 3–4 3–4 6–2 5–3 17–13 56.7%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 5–0 2–3 2–3 2–3 11–9 55.0%
AS FAVORITE ATS 4–3 3–5 5–3 3–4 15–15 50.0%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 3–1 2–2 3–2 4–2 12–7 63.2%
OVER-UNDER 5–7 5–6 5–7 7–6 22–26 45.8%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring -1.9 T78
Yardage +38.8 52
Turnovers -11 T119
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 29.8 59
Yards/Game 424.9 51
Yds Per Play 5.68 63
Rush Yds/Gm 166.6 69
Pass Yds/Gm 258.3 38
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 31.7 93
Yards/Game 386.2 54
Yds Per Play 5.26 37
Rush Yds/Gm 131.4 22
Pass Yds/Gm 254.8 100
96 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2014
>UNLV
2011-13 gaME logS
8/299/69/139/209/2710/410/1110/2511/111/811/1511/2211/29
at ArizonaNORTHERN COLORADONORTHERN ILLINOISat Houstonat San Diego Stateat San Jose StateFRESNO STATEat Utah StateNEW MEXICOAIR FORCEat Brigham Youngat HawaiiNEVADA
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/29 at Minnesota L 23-51 L (+13½) O (52½)9/7 ARIZONA L 13-58 L (+14) O (63½)9/14 C MICHIGAN W 31-21 W (-7½) T (52)9/21 W ILLINOIS W 38-7 W (-12½) U (49)9/28 at New Mexico W 56-42 W (+1) O (53½)10/12 HAWAII W 39-37 L (-7½) O (57½)10/19 at Fresno St L 14-38 W (+25) U (74)10/26 at Nevada W 27-22 W (+6½) U (68)11/2 SAN JOSE ST L 24-34 L (+5) U (66½)11/9 UTAH ST L 24-28 W (+16) U (55½)11/21 at Air Force W 41-21 W (+2) O (59)11/30 SAN DIEGO ST W 45-19 W (+3) O (53)1/1 vs North Texas L 14-36 L (+5½) U (53)
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/1 at Wisconsin L 17-51 W (+36) O (56)9/10 at Washington St L 7-59 L (+13½) O (56)9/17 HAWAII W 40-20 W (+17½) O (59)9/24 S UTAH L 16-41 L (-9½) U (63)10/8 at Nevada L 0-37 L (+21) U (58)10/15 at Wyoming L 14-41 L (+10) P (55)10/29 COLORADO ST W 38-35 W (0) O (48½)11/5 BOISE ST L 21-48 W (+43) O (59)11/12 at New Mexico L 14-21 L (-7) U (51)11/19 at Air Force L 17-45 L (+24) O (55½)11/26 SAN DIEGO ST L 14-31 L (+16½) U (54½)12/3 at TCU L 9-56 L (+39) O (54½)
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/30 MINNESOTA L 27-30 W (+9½) O (52½)9/8 N ARIZONA L 14-17 L (-13½) 9/14 WASHINGTON ST L 27-35 W (+9½) O (56)9/22 AIR FORCE W 38-35 W (+10½) O (54½)9/29 at Utah St L 13-35 P (+22) U (56½)10/6 at Louisiana Tech L 31-58 P (+27) O (70)10/13 NEVADA L 37-42 W (+11½) O (63)10/20 at Boise St L 7-32 W (+28) U (56)10/27 at San Diego St L 13-24 W (+17½) U (58½)11/3 NEW MEXICO W 35-7 W (-3) U (54)11/10 at Colorado St L 11-33 L (-1) U (52½)11/17 WYOMING L 23-28 L (+1½) U (53)11/24 at Hawaii L 10-48 L (-2½) O (54)
>SAN JOSE STATE
2011-13 gaME logS
8/289/69/209/2710/410/1810/2511/111/811/1511/2111/29
NORTH DAKOTAat Auburnat MinnesotaNEVADAUNLVat Wyomingat NavyCOLORADO STATEat Fresno StateHAWAIIat Utah Stateat San Diego State
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/29 SACRAMENTO ST W 24-0 W (-20) U (54½)9/7 at Stanford L 13-34 W (+24) U (48½)9/21 at Minnesota L 24-43 L (+4) O (51½)9/27 UTAH ST L 12-40 L (+10½) U (62)10/5 at Hawaii W 37-27 W (-3) O (57)10/12 at Colorado St W 34-27 W (+3) T (61)10/26 WYOMING W 51-44 L (-10½) O (72½)11/2 at UNLV W 34-24 W (-5) U (66½)11/9 SAN DIEGO ST L 30-34 L (-6½) O (59)11/16 at Nevada L 16-38 L (-6½) U (67)11/22 NAVY L 52-58 L (-1½) O (60½)11/29 FRESNO ST W 62-52 W (+10½) O (71½)
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/3 at Stanford L 3-57 L (+30½) O (53)9/10 at UCLA L 17-27 W (+20) U (49½)9/17 NEVADA L 14-17 W (+6½) U (53½)9/24 NEW MEXICO ST W 34-24 L (-10½) O (46)10/1 at Colorado St W 38-31 W (+3½) O (44)10/8 at BYU L 16-29 W (+15) U (52)10/14 HAWAII W 28-27 W (+6) U (56)10/29 at Louisiana Tech L 28-38 L (+7) O (49½)11/5 IDAHO L 29-32 L (-8) O (47)11/12 at Utah St L 33-34 W (+10) O (52)11/19 NAVY W 27-24 W (+6½) U (61)11/26 at Fresno St W 27-24 W (+6½) U (64)
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/31 at Stanford L 17-20 W (+26) U (49½)9/8 CAL DAVIS W 45-13 W (-20) 9/15 COLORADO ST W 40-20 W (-11½) O (48)9/22 at San Diego St W 38-34 W (+2) O (54)9/29 at Navy W 12-0 W (-1½) U (61½)10/13 UTAH ST L 27-49 L (-2½) O (51)10/20 at Utsa W 52-24 W (-12½) O (55)10/27 TEXAS ST W 31-20 L (-19) U (56)11/3 at Idaho W 42-13 W (-21) O (54½)11/10 at New Mexico st W 47-7 W (-20½) O (53½)11/17 BYU W 20-14 W (+3) U (47½)11/24 LOUISIANA TECH W 52-43 W (-3½) O (76½)12/27 vs Bowling Green W 29-20 W (-7) O (46)
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
Mountain WESt
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 1–12 5–7 11–2 6–6 23–27 46.0%
OVERALL ATS 5–8 8–4 11–2 6–6 30–20 60.0%
HOME ATS 2–4 3–2 4–2 2–4 11–12 47.8%
ROAD ATS 3–4 5–2 7–0 4–2 19–8 70.4%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 4–4 4–3 4–2 4–4 16–13 55.2%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 1–4 4–1 7–0 2–2 14–7 66.7%
AS FAVORITE ATS 0–2 0–2 8–2 3–4 11–10 52.4%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 5–5 8–2 3–0 3–2 19–9 67.9%
OVER-UNDER 5–6 6–6 8–4 6–5 25–21 54.3%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring -2.7 81
Yardage +34.0 53
Turnovers -5 T93
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 32.4 44
Yards/Game 493.3 15
Yds Per Play 6.38 23
Rush Yds/Gm 137.3 98
Pass Yds/Gm 355.9 6
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 35.1 104
Yards/Game 459.3 104
Yds Per Play 6.14 103
Rush Yds/Gm 211.7 103
Pass Yds/Gm 247.6 88
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
Mountain WESt
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 2–11 2–10 2–11 7–6 13–38 25.5%
OVERALL ATS 5–8 4–8 7–4 8–5 24–25 49.0%
HOME ATS 5–1 3–2 5–2 4–3 17–8 68.0%
ROAD ATS 0–7 1–6 2–2 4–2 7–17 29.2%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 3–5 2–5 5–3 6–2 16–15 51.6%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 2–3 2–3 2–1 2–3 8–10 44.4%
AS FAVORITE ATS 1–0 0–2 1–3 2–1 4–6 40.0%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 4–8 4–6 6–1 6–4 20–19 51.3%
OVER-UNDER 9–4 7–4 6–6 6–6 28–20 58.3%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring -1.9 T78
Yardage -21.8 79
Turnovers +5 T31
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 29.9 58
Yards/Game 411.4 61
Yds Per Play 5.40 83
Rush Yds/Gm 172.5 62
Pass Yds/Gm 238.8 59
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 31.8 95
Yards/Game 433.2 98
Yds Per Play 5.74 79
Rush Yds/Gm 215.5 108
Pass Yds/Gm 217.7 41
>WYOMING
2011-13 gaME logS
8/309/69/139/209/2710/1110/1810/2511/111/711/2211/29
MONTANAAIR FORCEat OregonFLORIDA ATLANTICat Michigan Stateat HawaiiSAN JOSE STATEat Colorado Stateat Fresno StateUTAH STATEBOISE STATEat New Mexico
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/31 at Nebraska L 34-37 W (+31) O (64½)9/7 IDAHO W 42-10 W (-28½) U (63½)9/14 N COLORADO W 35-7 W (-27½) U (59½)9/21 at Air Force W 56-23 W (-4) O (65½)9/28 at Texas St L 21-42 L (-10½) O (58)10/12 NEW MEXICO W 38-31 L (-12) U (70)10/19 COLORADO ST L 22-52 L (-6½) O (67)10/26 at San Jose st L 44-51 W (+10½) O (72½)11/9 FRESNO ST L 10-48 L (+7½) U (80½)11/16 at Boise St L 7-48 L (+23½) U (71)11/23 HAWAII W 59-56 L (-5½) O (63)11/30 at Utah St L 7-35 L (+24) U (59)
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/3 WEBER ST W 35-32 L (-12½) 9/10 TEXAS ST UNIV W 45-10 W (-20½) U (56½)9/17 at Bowling Green W 28-27 W (+10) U (55½)9/24 NEBRASKA L 14-38 L (+20½) U (56)10/8 at Utah St L 19-63 L (+10½) O (55)10/15 UNLV W 41-14 W (-10) P (55)10/29 at San Diego st W 30-27 W (+18½) P (57)11/5 TCU L 20-31 W (+18½) U (55½)11/12 at Air Force W 25-17 W (+16½) U (57½)11/19 NEW MEXICO W 31-10 L (-22) U (50)11/26 at Boise St L 14-36 W (+32) U (61½)12/3 at Colorado St W 22-19 L (-6) U (50)12/17 vs Temple L 15-37 L (+7) O (51)
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/1 at Texas L 17-37 W (+31) U (54½)9/8 TOLEDO L 31-34 L (-3½) O (58½)9/15 CAL POLY SLO L 22-24 L (-11) 9/22 at Idaho W 40-37 W (+2½) O (52)10/6 at Nevada L 28-35 W (+20) U (68½)10/13 AIR FORCE L 27-28 W (+6) U (59½)10/20 at Fresno St L 14-42 L (+17) U (60)10/27 BOISE ST L 14-45 L (+16) O (50½)11/3 COLORADO ST W 45-31 W (-6½) O (52)11/10 at New Mexico W 28-23 W (-2½) O (50)11/17 at UNLV W 28-23 W (-1½) U (53)11/24 SAN DIEGO ST L 28-42 L (+7) O (54)
>
UTAH STATE
2011-13 gaME logS
8/319/69/139/2010/310/1110/1810/2511/111/711/1511/2111/29
at TennesseeIDAHO STATEWAKE FORESTat Arkansas Stateat Brigham YoungAIR FORCEat Colorado StateUNLVat Hawaiiat WyomingNEW MEXICOSAN JOSE STATEat Boise State
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/29 at Utah L 26-30 L (+1) O (52)9/7 at Air Force W 52-20 W (-7½) O (58)9/14 WEBER ST W 70-6 W (-39) O (64½)9/21 at USC L 14-17 W (+6½) U (50)9/27 at San Jose st W 40-12 W (-10½) U (62)10/4 BYU L 14-31 L (-5½) U (55½)10/12 BOISE ST L 23-34 L (+4½) O (50½)10/19 at New Mexico W 45-10 W (-14) O (51)11/2 HAWAII W 47-10 W (-24) O (52)11/9 at UNLV W 28-24 L (-16) U (55½)11/23 COLORADO ST W 13-0 W (-11) U (57)11/30 WYOMING W 35-7 W (-24) U (59)12/7 at Fresno St L 17-24 L (+2½) U (61)12/26 vs N Illinois W 21-14 W (-2½) U (55½)
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/3 at Auburn L 38-42 W (+24) O (56½)9/10 WEBER ST W 54-17 W (-14) O (61½)9/24 COLORADO ST L 34-35 L (-12) O (53)9/30 at BYU L 24-27 W (+8) U (52½)10/8 WYOMING W 63-19 W (-10½) O (55)10/15 at Fresno St L 21-31 L (-2½) U (62)10/22 LOUISIANA TECH L 17-24 L (-6) U (57)11/5 at Hawaii W 35-31 W (+4) O (61)11/12 SAN JOSE ST W 34-33 L (-10) O (52)11/19 at Idaho W 49-42 P (-7) O (52)11/26 NEVADA W 21-17 W (+1½) U (64½)12/3 at New Mexico st W 24-21 L (-14) U (62)12/17 vs Ohio U L 23-24 L (0) U (62)
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/30 S UTAH W 34-3 W (-21) 9/7 UTAH W 27-20 W (+7) U (50½)9/15 at Wisconsin L 14-16 W (+14) U (51½)9/22 at Colorado St W 31-19 W (-11½) U (54)9/29 UNLV W 35-13 P (-22) U (56½)10/5 at BYU L 3-6 W (+6½) U (45)10/13 at San Jose st W 49-27 W (+2½) O (51)10/20 NEW MEXICO ST W 41-7 W (-29½) U (56½)10/27 at Utsa W 48-17 W (-23½) O (52½)11/3 TEXAS ST W 38-7 W (-26½) U (53)11/17 at Louisiana Tech W 48-41 W (-3) O (73½)11/24 IDAHO W 45-9 L (-37) U (57)12/15 vs Toledo W 41-15 W (-10) U (60½)
StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2014 97
ACCCollege Top 25
Big TenConference U
SAM
ACSEC
Sun BeltIndependents
Pac-12A
ACM
ountain West
Big 12
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
Mountain WESt
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 4–8 7–6 11–2 9–5 31–21 59.6%
OVERALL ATS 5–7 6–6 11–1 9–5 31–19 62.0%
HOME ATS 1–5 3–3 4–1 4–2 12–11 52.2%
ROAD ATS 4–2 3–3 7–0 5–3 19–8 70.4%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 3–5 2–4 5–1 6–3 16–13 55.2%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 2–2 4–2 6–0 3–2 15–6 71.4%
AS FAVORITE ATS 1–3 2–5 7–1 8–2 18–11 62.1%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 4–4 4–1 4–0 1–3 13–8 61.9%
OVER-UNDER 3–7 7–6 3–9 6–8 19–30 38.8%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring +14.7 17
Yardage +80.6 26
Turnovers +10 T17
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 31.8 50
Yards/Game 411.5 60
Yds Per Play 5.37 86
Rush Yds/Gm 178.1 53
Pass Yds/Gm 233.4 66
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 17.1 7
Yards/Game 330.9 12
Yds Per Play 4.55 4
Rush Yds/Gm 106.7 8
Pass Yds/Gm 224.1 52
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
Mountain WESt
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 3–9 8–5 4–8 5–7 20–29 40.8%
OVERALL ATS 5–6 7–6 7–5 5–7 24–24 50.0%
HOME ATS 2–3 3–3 2–4 2–4 9–14 39.1%
ROAD ATS 3–3 4–3 5–1 3–3 15–10 60.0%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 3–4 5–2 5–3 2–6 15–15 50.0%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 2–2 2–4 2–2 3–1 9–9 50.0%
AS FAVORITE ATS 1–2 2–3 3–2 3–4 9–11 45.0%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 4–3 5–3 4–3 2–3 15–12 55.6%
OVER-UNDER 5–6 2–8 6–5 6–6 19–25 43.2%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring -5.4 89
Yardage -9.2 75
Turnovers -4 T85
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 31.3 51
Yards/Game 472.8 22
Yds Per Play 6.15 33
Rush Yds/Gm 190.4 41
Pass Yds/Gm 282.4 24
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 36.7 T110
Yards/Game 482.0 113
Yds Per Play 5.99 97
Rush Yds/Gm 220.2 109
Pass Yds/Gm 261.8 106
98 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2014
>
ARIZONAOffense: Starters returning - 6; Defense: Starters returning - 6Rich Rodriguez will have his third quarterback in three years since coming to Arizona: USC transfer Jesse Scroggins or redshirt freshman Anu Solomon. The team will get top WR Austin Hill (1,364 rec yds, 11 TD in 2012) back after he missed all of 2013 with a knee injury, but must replace All-American RB Ka’Deem Carey. Each of the top competitors for that job—RBs Zach Green, Nick Wilson and Jonathan Haden—has yet to log a carry. They’ll get help from a veteran O-Line that features three-year starting OTs Mickey Baucus and Fabbians Ebbele. After improving to 24.2 PPG allowed (35.3 PPG in 2012), the defense could take a step back. They have little on the defen-sive line and will be led by sophomore LB Scooby Wright (83 tackles, 9 TFL). The secondary is solid, with veteran starters CB Jonathan McKnight (8 PD), S Jared Tevis (83 tackles, 3 FF) and hybrid Tra’Mayne Bondurant (4 INT).
ARIZONA STATEOffense: Starters returning - 7; Defense: Starters returning - 2Todd Graham and the Sun Devils have a backfield loaded with talent, led by QB Taylor Kelly (3,635 pass yds, 28 TD, 12 INT; 608 rush yds, 9 TD) and big WR Jaelen Strong (1,122 rec yds, 7 TD). They lost leading rusher Marion Grice, but RB D.J. Foster (501 rush yds, 653 rec yds, 10 total TD) is more than capable of filling the lead back role. The arrival of Auburn transfer Christian Westerman, a likely immediate starter at guard, helps make up for the loss of two O-Line starters. The defense may not hold up its end of the bargain after losing nine starters, including stars Will Sutton and Carl Bradford. ASU will be relying on an influx of freshman and JUCO players battling it out this fall. S Damarious Randall (71 tackles, 2 FF) anchors a secondary that lost both starting corners, while LB Salamo Fiso (71 tackles, 3 sacks) and freshman D.J. Calhoun will try to hold the linebacking corps together.
CALIFORNIAOffense: Starters returning - 8; Defense: Starters returning - 6The good news is that there’s nowhere to go but up for Sonny Dykes’ pro-gram after a disastrous first season in which they went winless against FBS opponents. QB Jared Goff (60.3% comp., 3,508 yards, 18 TD, 10 INT) returns from a shoulder injury to run the up-tempo offense. The bulk of the offen-sive line returns with more experience, which is good news for an ane-mic running game. RBs Khalfani Muhammad (445 rush yds, 6.0 YPC) and Daniel Lasco (317 rush yds) showed flashes last year. The defense can only get better after an injury-filled year that saw them allow a program-worst 45.9 PPG. New defensive coordinator Art Kaufman will simplify the system and blitz more often to make up for their shortcomings. He gets former top recruits DE Brennan Scarlett and DT Mustafa Jalil back from injury, plus starting safeties Avery Sebastian and Stefan McClure back from injuries.
COLORADOOffense: Starters returning - 7; Defense: Starters returning - 8Even with top weapon Paul Richardson heading to the NFL, sophomore QB Sefo Liufau (7.1 YPA, 12 TD, 8 INT) leads what should be an improving offense. RB Michael Adkins II (535 rush yds, 6 TD) should push for a bigger role after a solid freshman year, giving the Buffs speed to combine with big RB Christian Powell (562 rush yds) behind a developing offensive line. Finding receiver depth beyond WR Nelson Spruce (650 rec yds, 4 TD) will be a challenge though. The defense is still looking for answers after allowing 44.2 PPG in Pac-12 games last year. There is some young talent that could step up. LB Addison Gillam (107 tackles) was the team’s leading tackler as a true freshman and has the speed and athleticism to make all-conference. DT Samson Kafovalu (3 sacks) is solid in the middle of the line, and their secondary should improve due to the raw athleticism among their corners.
OREGONOffense: Starters returning - 9; Defense: Starters returning - 6After a knee injury derailed his Heisman candidacy, QB Marcus Mariota (3,665 pass yds, 31 TD, 4 INT; 715 rush yds, 9 TD) should contend for the trophy. The O-Line returns intact, and the backfield is stacked with talent at tailback. RB Byron Marshall (1,038 rush yds, 14 TD) is the team’s leading rusher, but sophomore RB Thomas Tyner (711 rush yds, 9 TD) is a poten-tial superstar. The one weakness this unit has is at receiver, where Bralon Addison’s spring knee injury means they’ve lost their top four receivers from last year. New defensive coordinator Don Pellum has made it a point to get stronger. Oregon has one of the nation’s best defensive backs in CB Ifo Ekpre-Olomu (84 tackles, 3 INT) and returns both starting ILBs Derrick Malone (105 tackles) and Rodney Hardrick (64 tackles). The more physical approach could be key in avoiding a third straight loss to Stanford.
OREGON STATEOffense: Starters returning - 8; Defense: Starters returning - 6The Beavers will rely on QB Sean Mannion (66.3% comp., 4,662 pass yds, 37 TD, 15 INT) to carry the offense, but their star quarterback will have to do it without top receiver Brandin Cooks, who averaged 133.1 yards per game with 18 TD last year. After WR Richard Mullaney (788 rec yds, 3 TD) and TE Connor Hamlett (364 rec yds, 5 TD), they are thin in terms of passing weapons. Oregon State’s running game was largely non-existent last year, and it lost three starters on an offensive line that will pave the way for RBs Storm Woods (477 rush yds, 6 TD) and Terron Ward (521 rush yds, 5 TD). Defensively, OSU brings back a solid secondary, including All-Pac-12 candi-dates in S Ryan Murphy (74 tackles, 3 INT) and CB Steven Nelson (6 INT). LB Jabral Johnson (94 tackles) leads a quality linebacking corps, but gener-ating a pass rush will be an issue after DE Scott Crichton left for the NFL.
PAC-12 NORTH DIVISION SOUTH DIVISION
pREdictEd FiniSh
1. Oregon 2. Stanford 3. Washington 4. Oregon State 5. Washington St. 6. California
1. UCLA2. USC3. Arizona State4. Arizona5. Colorado6. Utah
StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2014 99
ACCCollege Top 25
Big 12Big Ten
Conference USA
MAC
Mountain W
estSEC
Sun BeltIndependents
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIAOffense: Starters returning - 7; Defense: Starters returning - 8New Head Coach: Steve SarkisianSteve Sarkisian, a former Trojans assistant under Pete Carroll, brings a more up-tempo offense than what the Trojans have run and will take over play-calling duties. Second-year starting QB Cody Kessler (65.4% comp., 8.2 YPA, 2,968 yds, 20 TD, 7 INT) is up for the challenge after a solid 2013. While they’ll miss Marqise Lee, WR Nelson Agholor (918 rec yds, 6 TD) is a bud-ding star as Kessler’s top target, and they have a deep stable of tailbacks led by RB Javorius Allen (785 rush yds, 14 TD). The offensive line will have some new faces to work in, especially with C Marcus Martin moving on to the NFL, but should hold up just fine. The defense is shaping up to be elite, with eight starters returning and stars lining up at every level. DE Leonard Williams (6 sacks, 13.5 TFL), LB Hayes Pullard (94 tackles), CB Josh Shaw (67 tackles, 4 INT) and S Su’a Cravens (4 INT) are potential All-Americans.
STANFORDOffense: Starters returning - 5; Defense: Starters returning - 6It’s going to be more of the same from Stanford, power running and strong defense. QB Kevin Hogan (8.9 YPA, 20 TD, 10 INT) took a step forward as a playmaker last year and sits at 16-3 as a starter, including 10-1 against ranked teams. He has the weapons with big-bodied WR Ty Montgomery (958 rec yds, 10 TD) and deep-threat WRs Devon Cajuste (642 rec yds, 22.9 avg) and Michael Rector (431 rec yds, 30.8 avg). RB Tyler Gaffney and four starting linemen are gone, but the talent is there even if Stanford turns to a committee at tailback. Despite the loss of Shayne Skov and Trent Murphy among others, new DC Lance Anderson has plenty of talent to work with. A healthy DE Henry Anderson (3 sacks) and NT David Parry (5 TFL) are a hand-ful on the defensive line, while the secondary returns both starting cor-ners and an All-America candidate in S Jordan Richards (68 tackles, 3 INT).
UCLAOffense: Starters returning - 8; Defense: Starters returning - 8QB Brett Hundley (66.8% comp., 3,071 pass yds, 24 TD, 9 INT; 748 rush yds, 11 TD) passed on the NFL for a chance to win the Heisman and a national title. The Bruins spread the wealth among their many weapons, with WRs Devin Fuller (471 rec yds, 4 TD) and Thomas Duarte (214 rec yds) as Hundley’s top targets. RB Jordon James (534 rush yds, 5 TD) is ready for a bigger role behind a big offensive line. The defense made major strides over the past two sea-sons, allowing 23.2 PPG last year after giving up 31.4 PPG two seasons ago. And while UCLA will have to replace its best player, OLB Anthony Barr, the club has the talent to be even better. LB Myles Jack (76 tackles, 7 rush TD), a two-way star last season, will focus full time on defense. And they have ris-ing stars in DT Kenny Clark (4 TFL) and CB Fabian Moreau (52 tackles, 4 PD).
UTAHOffense: Starters returning - 6; Defense: Starters returning - 5The career of QB Travis Wilson (7.7 YPA, 16 TD, 16 INT) seemed to be over when he was diagnosed with a condition that leaves him prone to head injuries. But he was cleared to play in the spring and could reclaim his start-ing job over Oklahoma transfer Kendal Thompson (4-for-13, 64 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT). The winner will operate new OC Dave Christensen’s up-tempo spread offense. WR Dres Anderson (1,002 rec yds, 7 TD) emerged as a go-to receiver last year, and the Utes get back 6-foot-3 WR Kenneth Scott (360 rec yds in 2012), who missed 2013 with an ankle injury. Utah’s pass rush was excel-lent last year, but lost Trevor Reilly (graduation) and Jacoby Hale (injury) who combined for 15 sacks. DE Nate Orchard (3.5 sacks, 3 FF) and, if healthy, Hale (6.5 sacks) would form a solid pass-rushing combo. S Brian Blechen (8 INT career) comes back from a knee injury to lead a solid secondary.
WASHINGTONOffense: Starters returning - 7; Defense: Starters returning - 5New Head Coach: Chris PetersenEx-Boise coach Petersen will have a new quarterback under center. QB Cyler Miles (6.9 YPA, 4 TD, 2 INT) is the favorite, but he missed all of spring prac-tice after an arrest during a Seahawks Super Bowl celebration (no crimi-nal charges were filed). Bruising RB Dwayne Washington (332 rush yds, 7.1 YPC) figures to step in for departed Bishop Sankey and runs behind an established O-Line. WR Kasen Williams (421 rec yds) is working his way back from a leg injury, and WR Demore’ea Stringfellow (259 rec yds) remains suspended from the Super Bowl incident, leaving little depth behind top WR Jaydon Mickens (688 rec yds, 5 TD). The defense is more settled, with DE Hau’oli Kikaha (13 sacks, 3 FF) and 330-pound DT Danny Shelton (59 tackles) anchoring the front four and hybrid DB/LB Shaq Thompson (78 total tack-les) patrolling the middle of the field. But this is a very green secondary.
WASHINGTON STATEOffense: Starters returning - 8; Defense: Starters returning - 6Mike Leach’s Air Raid offense is taking hold in Pullman. QB Connor Halliday (62.9% comp., 4,597 pass yds, 34 TD, 22 INT) showed steady development last year, increasing his completion percentage by 10 points and throwing 16 TD with only 5 INT over his final five games. He’ll once again be among the FBS leaders in pass attempts, and has a couple of potential stars in WRs Gabe Marks (807 rec yds, 7 TD) and River Cracraft (614 rec yds). The loss of three starters on the offensive line is a concern. The defense is still a work in progress, and was usually under heavy pressure due to the offense’s quick possessions and turnovers. The Cougars D gave up 32.5 PPG last year, but also forced 30 turnovers. DT Xavier Cooper (5 sacks, 13.5 TFL) anchors a solid D-Line, but the secondary will sorely miss S Deone Bucannon.
Pac-12A
AC
oddS to Win PAC-12 NORTH
oddS to Win
Oregon 5/4 2/5 Stanford 5/1 3/1 Washington 15/1 8/1 Washington State 20/1 12/1 Oregon State 25/1 15/1 California 100/1 60/1
PAC-12 SOUTH
UCLA 3/1 5/4 USC 5/1 2/1 Arizona State 5/1 2/1 Arizona 20/1 8/1 Utah 50/1 20/1 Colorado 100/1 40/1
100 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2014
>ARIZONA
2011-13 gaME logS
8/299/49/139/2010/210/1110/2511/111/811/1511/2211/28
UNLVat UTSANEVADACALIFORNIAat OregonUSCat Washington Stateat UCLACOLORADOWASHINGTONat UtahARIZONA STATE
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/30 N ARIZONA W 35-0 W (-33½) U (63)9/7 at UNLV W 58-13 W (-14) O (63½)9/14 UTSA W 38-13 P (-25) U (62½)9/28 at Washington L 13-31 L (+8½) U (60½)10/10 at USC L 31-38 L (+5½) O (48½)10/19 UTAH W 35-24 W (-3½) U (61½)10/26 at Colorado W 44-20 W (-13) O (59)11/2 at California W 33-28 L (-14½) U (67½)11/9 UCLA L 26-31 L (-2) U (60)11/16 WASHINGTON ST L 17-24 L (-11) U (63)11/23 OREGON W 42-16 W (+19½) U (68½)11/30 at Arizona St L 21-58 L (+10) O (61)12/31 vs Boston College W 42-19 W (-7) O (57½)
>ARIZONA STATE
2011-13 gaME logS
8/289/69/139/2510/410/1810/2511/111/811/1511/2211/28
WEBER STATEat New Mexicoat ColoradoUCLAat USCSTANFORDat WashingtonUTAHNOTRE DAMEat Oregon StateWASHINGTON STATEat Arizona
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/5 SACRAMENTO ST W 55-0 W (-38) O (51½)9/14 WISCONSIN W 32-30 L (-7) O (55)9/21 at Stanford L 28-42 L (+6½) O (51½)9/28 USC W 62-41 W (-3) O (48½)10/5 vs Notre Dame L 34-37 L (-7) O (63½)10/12 COLORADO W 54-13 W (-28½) U (68)10/19 WASHINGTON W 53-24 W (-3½) O (67½)10/31 at Washington St W 55-21 W (-10½) O (69)11/9 at Utah W 20-19 L (-7) U (63½)11/16 OREGON ST W 30-17 L (-13½) U (65½)11/23 at UCLA W 38-33 W (-3) O (60½)11/30 ARIZONA W 58-21 W (-10) O (61)12/7 STANFORD L 14-38 L (-3) U (52½)
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/3 N ARIZONA W 41-10 W (-28) 9/8 at Oklahoma St L 14-37 L (+14) U (65½)9/17 STANFORD L 10-37 L (+9½) U (56)9/24 OREGON L 31-56 L (+15½) O (65)10/1 at USC L 41-48 W (+13) O (57)10/8 at Oregon St L 27-37 L (-1) O (59½)10/20 UCLA W 48-12 W (-4½) U (62)10/29 at Washington L 31-42 L (+3½) O (71½)11/5 UTAH L 21-34 L (-4½) O (52)11/12 at Colorado L 29-48 L (-10) O (59)11/19 at Arizona St W 31-27 W (+10) U (68½)11/26 LA LAFAYETTE W 45-37 L (-14) O (64½)
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/1 TOLEDO W 24-17 L (-10½) U (64)9/8 OKLAHOMA ST W 59-38 W (+10) O (70)9/15 S CAROLINA ST W 56-0 W (-34½) 9/22 at Oregon L 0-49 L (+20) U (78½)9/29 OREGON ST L 35-38 L (-2½) O (58)10/6 at Stanford L 48-54 W (+10) O (55)10/20 WASHINGTON W 52-17 W (-9) O (65½)10/27 USC W 39-36 W (+5) O (67½)11/3 at UCLA L 10-66 L (+3) O (72½)11/10 COLORADO W 56-31 L (-29) O (64)11/17 at Utah W 34-24 W (+3) U (63)11/23 ARIZONA ST L 34-41 L (-2½) O (71½)12/15 vs Nevada W 49-48 L (-8½) O (79½)
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/1 CAL DAVIS W 48-14 L (-37½) 9/9 MISSOURI W 37-30 L (-10) O (50½)9/17 at Illinois L 14-17 L (+2½) U (55½)9/24 USC W 43-22 W (-2½) O (54)10/1 OREGON ST W 35-20 L (-17½) O (54½)10/8 at Utah W 35-14 W (-3) P (49)10/15 at Oregon L 27-41 P (+14) O (66)10/29 COLORADO W 48-14 W (-32½) O (56½)11/5 at UCLA L 28-29 L (-8½) O (56½)11/12 at Washington St L 27-37 L (-12) O (59½)11/19 ARIZONA L 27-31 L (-10) U (68½)11/25 CALIFORNIA L 38-47 L (-6) O (56)12/22 vs Boise St L 24-56 L (+14) O (65)
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/30 N ARIZONA W 63-6 W (-24) 9/8 ILLINOIS W 45-14 W (-6) O (47)9/15 at Missouri L 20-24 P (+4) U (60½)9/22 UTAH W 37-7 W (-7) U (50)9/29 at California W 27-17 W (-2½) U (58)10/11 at Colorado W 51-17 W (-22) O (56)10/18 OREGON L 21-43 L (+8½) U (68½)10/27 UCLA L 43-45 L (-6½) O (58½)11/3 at Oregon St L 26-36 L (+3) O (56)11/10 at USC L 17-38 L (+10) U (64)11/17 WASHINGTON ST W 46-7 W (-22½) U (60½)11/23 at Arizona W 41-34 W (+2½) O (71½)12/29 vs Navy W 62-28 W (-12) O (55)
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
pac-12
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 7–6 4–8 8–5 8–5 27–24 52.9%
OVERALL ATS 5–7 4–8 6–7 6–6 21–28 42.9%
HOME ATS 3–4 2–4 4–4 3–2 12–14 46.2%
ROAD ATS 2–3 2–4 2–3 3–4 9–14 39.1%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 2–6 3–6 4–5 3–6 12–23 34.3%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 3–1 1–2 2–2 3–0 9–5 64.3%
AS FAVORITE ATS 4–5 2–4 2–5 5–3 13–17 43.3%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 1–2 2–4 4–2 1–3 8–11 42.1%
OVER-UNDER 7–5 7–4 9–3 5–8 28–20 58.3%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring +9.2 35
Yardage +57.4 42
Turnovers +4 T38
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 33.5 36
Yards/Game 458.5 31
Yds Per Play 5.79 57
Rush Yds/Gm 264.9 11
Pass Yds/Gm 193.5 99
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 24.2 39
Yards/Game 401.1 63
Yds Per Play 5.26 38
Rush Yds/Gm 167.8 70
Pass Yds/Gm 233.2 70
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
pac-12
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 6–6 6–7 8–5 10–4 30–22 57.7%
OVERALL ATS 9–3 3–9 8–4 7–7 27–23 54.0%
HOME ATS 5–1 2–5 4–2 5–3 16–11 59.3%
ROAD ATS 4–2 1–4 4–2 2–4 11–12 47.8%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 7–2 3–5 5–4 6–4 21–15 58.3%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 2–1 0–4 3–0 1–3 6–8 42.9%
AS FAVORITE ATS 3–1 3–7 7–1 7–6 20–15 57.1%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 5–2 0–2 1–3 0–1 6–8 42.9%
OVER-UNDER 6–4 9–2 6–6 9–5 30–17 63.8%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring +13.1 27
Yardage +84.9 25
Turnovers +15 T5
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 39.7 10
Yards/Game 457.3 32
Yds Per Play 5.81 53
Rush Yds/Gm 191.4 40
Pass Yds/Gm 265.9 32
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 26.6 T64
Yards/Game 372.4 42
Yds Per Play 5.53 68
Rush Yds/Gm 137.6 26
Pass Yds/Gm 234.7 72
StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2014 101
ACCCollege Top 25
Big 12Big Ten
Conference USA
MAC
Mountain W
estSEC
Sun BeltIndependents
Pac-12A
AC>
CAL IFORNIA
2011-13 gaME logS
8/309/69/209/2710/410/1110/1810/2411/111/1311/2211/29
at NorthwesternSACRAMENTO STATEat ArizonaCOLORADOat Washington StateWASHINGTONUCLAOREGONat Oregon Stateat USCSTANFORDBRIGHAM YOUNG
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/31 NORTHWESTERN L 30-44 L (+5) O (61½)9/7 PORTLAND ST W 37-30 L (-31) O (66)9/14 OHIO ST L 34-52 L (+13) O (62½)9/28 at Oregon L 16-55 L (+38½) U (81½)10/5 WASHINGTON ST L 22-44 L (+2½) T (66)10/12 at UCLA L 10-37 L (+26½) U (72½)10/19 OREGON ST L 17-49 L (+11½) U (70)10/26 at Washington L 17-41 W (+28) U (66½)11/2 ARIZONA L 28-33 W (+14½) U (67½)11/9 USC L 28-62 L (+19) O (57)11/16 at Colorado L 24-41 L (pk) U (66½)11/23 at Stanford L 13-63 L (+31) O (59½)
>COLORADO
2011-13 gaME logS
8/299/69/139/209/2710/410/1810/2511/111/811/2211/29
vs. Colorado State*at MassachusettsARIZONA STATEHAWAIIat CaliforniaOREGON STATEat USCUCLAWASHINGTONat Arizonaat OregonUTAH* at Denver, Colorado
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/1 vs Colorado St W 41-27 W (+2½) O (50)9/7 C ARKANSAS W 38-24 W (-13½) U (64½)9/28 at Oregon St L 17-44 L (+10½) O (54½)10/5 OREGON L 16-57 L (+37½) O (69)10/12 at Arizona St L 13-54 L (+28½) U (68)10/19 CHARLESTON SOUT W 43-10 W (-27) 10/26 ARIZONA L 20-44 L (+13) O (59)11/2 at UCLA L 23-45 W (+30) O (59)11/9 at Washington L 7-59 L (+30) O (64)11/16 CALIFORNIA W 41-24 W (pk) U (66½)11/23 USC L 29-47 W (+18½) O (54)11/30 at Utah L 17-24 W (+16½) U (56)
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/3 FRESNO ST W 36-21 W (-10) O (49)9/10 at Colorado W 36-33 L (-6) O (48½)9/17 PRESBYTERIAN W 63-12 W (-42½) O (58)9/24 at Washington L 23-31 L (-1½) U (59)10/6 at Oregon L 15-43 L (+24) U (66)10/13 USC L 9-30 L (+3) U (58)10/22 UTAH W 34-10 W (-1½) U (46½)10/29 at UCLA L 14-31 L (-4) U (51½)11/5 WASHINGTON ST W 30-7 W (-8½) U (55½)11/12 OREGON ST W 23-6 W (-8) U (52)11/19 at Stanford L 28-31 W (+17½) O (56½)11/25 at Arizona St W 47-38 W (+6) O (56)12/28 vs Texas L 10-21 L (+3) U (48)
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/1 NEVADA L 24-31 L (-12½) U (56)9/8 S UTAH W 50-31 L (-36½) 9/15 at Ohio St L 28-35 W (+17) O (55)9/22 at USC L 9-27 L (+16) U (56½)9/29 ARIZONA ST L 17-27 L (+2½) U (58)10/6 UCLA W 43-17 W (+2½) O (55½)10/13 at Washington St W 31-17 W (-7) U (55)10/20 STANFORD L 3-21 L (+1) U (47)10/27 at Utah L 27-49 L (+2) O (45)11/2 WASHINGTON L 13-21 L (-4) U (51½)11/10 OREGON L 17-59 L (+32½) O (67½)11/17 at Oregon St L 14-62 L (+16) O (48½)
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/3 at Hawaii L 17-34 L (+6½) U (54½)9/10 CALIFORNIA L 33-36 W (+6) O (48½)9/17 vs Colorado St W 28-14 W (-7½) U (51)9/24 at Ohio St L 17-37 L (+15) O (47½)10/1 WASHINGTON ST L 27-31 L (-3½) U (60)10/8 at Stanford L 7-48 L (+28½) U (61½)10/15 at Washington L 24-52 L (+17½) O (57)10/22 OREGON L 2-45 L (+30½) U (64½)10/29 at Arizona St L 14-48 L (+32½) O (56½)11/4 USC L 17-42 L (+19½) O (57½)11/12 ARIZONA W 48-29 W (+10) O (59)11/19 at UCLA L 6-45 L (+11½) U (55½)11/25 at Utah W 17-14 W (+22½) U (48½)
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/1 vs Colorado St L 17-22 L (-6) U (47½)9/8 SACRAMENTO ST L 28-30 L (-21½) 9/15 at Fresno St L 14-69 L (+14½) O (56½)9/22 at Washington St W 35-34 W (+18½) O (59½)9/29 UCLA L 14-42 L (+17½) U (58½)10/11 ARIZONA ST L 17-51 L (+22) O (56)10/20 at USC L 6-50 L (+39) U (57½)10/27 at Oregon L 14-70 L (+47) O (67½)11/3 STANFORD L 0-48 L (+27½) U (52)11/10 at Arizona L 31-56 W (+29) O (64)11/17 WASHINGTON L 3-38 L (+20) U (54½)11/23 UTAH L 35-42 W (+23½) O (50)
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
pac-12
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 5–7 7–6 3–9 1–11 16–33 32.7%
OVERALL ATS 6–6 7–6 3–9 2–10 18–31 36.7%
HOME ATS 5–2 5–1 1–6 1–6 12–15 44.4%
ROAD ATS 1–4 2–5 2–3 1–4 6–16 27.3%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 4–5 5–5 2–7 2–7 13–24 35.1%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 2–1 2–1 1–2 0–3 5–7 41.7%
AS FAVORITE ATS 3–3 5–3 1–3 0–1 9–10 47.4%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 2–3 2–3 2–6 2–9 8–21 27.6%
OVER-UNDER 5–6 5–8 5–6 5–6 20–26 43.5%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring -22.9 118
Yardage -76.0 104
Turnovers -15 124
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 23.0 97
Yards/Game 453.6 34
Yds Per Play 5.21 98
Rush Yds/Gm 122.2 108
Pass Yds/Gm 331.4 10
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 45.9 124
Yards/Game 529.6 124
Yds Per Play 7.08 119
Rush Yds/Gm 188.6 87
Pass Yds/Gm 341.0 125
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
pac-12
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 5–7 3–10 1–11 4–8 13–36 26.5%
OVERALL ATS 5–6 4–9 3–9 7–5 19–29 39.6%
HOME ATS 4–1 2–3 1–5 4–2 11–11 50.0%
ROAD ATS 1–5 2–6 2–4 3–3 8–18 30.8%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 2–5 3–7 3–6 4–5 12–23 34.3%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 3–1 1–2 0–3 3–0 7–6 53.8%
AS FAVORITE ATS 2–1 1–1 0–2 1–1 4–5 44.4%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 3–5 3–8 3–7 5–5 14–25 35.9%
OVER-UNDER 6–6 6–7 6–5 7–4 25–22 53.2%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring -12.8 T107
Yardage -98.1 111
Turnovers -3 T79
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 25.4 87
Yards/Game 369.9 88
Yds Per Play 5.34 88
Rush Yds/Gm 120.8 109
Pass Yds/Gm 249.1 48
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 38.3 114
Yards/Game 468.0 108
Yds Per Play 6.08 101
Rush Yds/Gm 208.5 102
Pass Yds/Gm 259.5 104
102 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2014
>OREGON
2011-13 gaME logS
8/309/69/139/2010/210/1110/1810/2411/111/811/2211/29
SOUTH DAKOTAMICHIGAN STATEWYOMINGat Washington StateARIZONAat UCLAWASHINGTONat CaliforniaSTANFORDat UtahCOLORADOat Oregon State
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/31 NICHOLLS ST W 66-3 W (-59½) O (66½)9/7 at Virginia W 59-10 W (-26) O (59½)9/14 TENNESSEE W 59-14 W (-28) O (68)9/28 CALIFORNIA W 55-16 W (-38½) U (81½)10/5 at Colorado W 57-16 W (-37½) O (69)10/12 at Washington W 45-24 W (-11) U (75½)10/19 WASHINGTON ST W 62-38 L (-40) O (71½)10/26 UCLA W 42-14 W (-23½) U (74)11/7 at Stanford L 20-26 L (-10) U (60)11/16 UTAH W 44-21 L (-28½) O (63½)11/23 at Arizona L 16-42 L (-19½) U (68½)11/29 OREGON ST W 36-35 L (-24) O (69)12/30 vs Texas W 30-7 W (-15½) U (68)
>OREGON STATE
2011-13 gaME logS
8/309/69/209/2710/410/1610/2511/111/811/1511/2211/29
PORTLAND STATEat HawaiiSAN DIEGO STATEat USCat ColoradoUTAHat StanfordCALIFORNIAWASHINGTON STATEARIZONA STATEat WashingtonOREGON
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/31 E WASHINGTON L 46-49 L (-27) O (57½)9/7 HAWAII W 33-14 L (-26½) U (55)9/14 at Utah W 51-48 W (+3½) O (54)9/21 at San Diego st W 34-30 L (-6½) O (54½)9/28 COLORADO W 44-17 W (-10½) O (54½)10/12 at Washington St W 52-24 W (-2½) O (62)10/19 at California W 49-17 W (-11½) U (70)10/26 STANFORD L 12-20 L (+4) U (55½)11/1 USC L 14-31 L (-5½) U (51)11/16 at Arizona St L 17-30 W (+13½) U (65½)11/23 WASHINGTON L 27-69 L (-2½) O (59)11/29 at Oregon L 35-36 W (+24) O (69)12/24 vs Boise St W 38-23 W (-4½) U (67)
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/3 vs LSU L 27-40 L (-3½) O (54)9/10 NEVADA W 69-20 W (-27) O (64)9/17 MISSOURI ST W 56-7 L (-57) U (69½)9/24 at Arizona W 56-31 W (-15½) O (65)10/6 CALIFORNIA W 43-15 W (-24) U (66)10/15 ARIZONA ST W 41-27 P (-14) O (66)10/22 at Colorado W 45-2 W (-30½) U (64½)10/29 WASHINGTON ST W 43-28 L (-37½) O (70½)11/5 at Washington W 34-17 W (-16½) U (76½)11/12 at Stanford W 53-30 W (+2½) O (71)11/19 USC L 35-38 L (-15) O (70½)11/26 OREGON ST W 49-21 W (-27½) O (64½)12/2 UCLA W 49-31 L (-31) O (67)1/2 vs Wisconsin W 45-38 W (-4) O (74)
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/1 ARKANSAS ST W 57-34 L (-37½) O (70)9/8 FRESNO ST W 42-25 L (-33) U (76)9/15 TENNESSEE TECH W 63-14 L (-53½) 9/22 ARIZONA W 49-0 W (-20) U (78½)9/29 vs Washington St W 51-26 L (-31) O (72½)10/6 WASHINGTON W 52-21 W (-25½) O (62½)10/18 at Arizona St W 43-21 W (-8½) U (68½)10/27 COLORADO W 70-14 W (-47) O (67½)11/3 at USC W 62-51 W (-8½) O (72½)11/10 at California W 59-17 W (-32½) O (67½)11/17 STANFORD L 14-17 L (-18½) U (67½)11/24 at Oregon St W 48-24 W (-12) O (66½)1/3 vs Kansas St W 35-17 W (-7½) U (74)
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/3 SACRAMENTO ST L 28-29 L (-23½) 9/10 at Wisconsin L 0-35 L (+20) U (56½)9/24 UCLA L 19-27 L (-4) U (52½)10/1 at Arizona St L 20-35 W (+17½) O (54½)10/8 ARIZONA W 37-27 W (+1) O (59½)10/15 BYU L 28-38 L (-3½) O (51½)10/22 vs Washington St W 44-21 W (+3) O (56)10/29 at Utah L 8-27 L (+5½) U (49)11/5 STANFORD L 13-38 L (+20) U (61½)11/12 at California L 6-23 L (+8) U (52)11/19 WASHINGTON W 38-21 W (+1) O (57½)11/26 at Oregon L 21-49 L (+27½) O (64½)
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/8 WISCONSIN W 10-7 W (+6) U (49)9/22 at UCLA W 27-20 W (+8) U (52½)9/29 at Arizona W 38-35 W (+2½) O (58)10/6 WASHINGTON ST W 19-6 L (-15) U (59½)10/13 at BYU W 42-24 W (+5½) O (38½)10/20 UTAH W 21-7 W (-10) U (46½)10/27 at Washington L 17-20 L (-3) U (49)11/3 ARIZONA ST W 36-26 W (-3) O (56)11/10 at Stanford L 23-27 L (+3½) O (44)11/17 CALIFORNIA W 62-14 W (-16) O (48½)11/24 OREGON L 24-48 L (+12) O (66½)12/1 NICHOLLS ST W 77-3 W (-50) 12/29 vs Texas L 27-31 L (-3) O (56)
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
pac-12
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 12–1 12–2 12–1 11–2 47–6 88.7%
OVERALL ATS 7–6 8–5 8–5 8–5 31–21 59.6%
HOME ATS 4–2 3–4 3–4 4–3 14–13 51.9%
ROAD ATS 3–4 5–1 5–1 4–2 17–8 68.0%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 4–5 6–3 7–2 4–5 21–15 58.3%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 3–1 2–2 1–3 4–0 10–6 62.5%
AS FAVORITE ATS 7–6 7–5 8–5 8–5 30–21 58.8%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 0–0 1–0 0–0 0–0 1–0 100.0%
OVER-UNDER 8–4 10–4 7–5 7–6 32–19 62.7%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring +25.0 3
Yardage +194.9 4
Turnovers +10 T17
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 45.5 4
Yards/Game 565.0 2
Yds Per Play 7.55 2
Rush Yds/Gm 273.5 9
Pass Yds/Gm 291.5 21
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 20.5 13
Yards/Game 370.1 37
Yds Per Play 4.62 7
Rush Yds/Gm 165.5 67
Pass Yds/Gm 204.5 21
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
pac-12
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 5–7 3–9 9–4 7–6 24–26 48.0%
OVERALL ATS 7–5 4–8 8–5 7–6 26–24 52.0%
HOME ATS 3–3 2–4 5–2 1–5 11–14 44.0%
ROAD ATS 4–2 2–4 3–3 6–1 15–10 60.0%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 5–4 4–5 5–4 6–3 20–16 55.6%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 2–1 0–3 3–1 1–3 6–8 42.9%
AS FAVORITE ATS 2–3 0–3 4–3 4–5 10–14 41.7%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 5–2 4–5 4–2 3–1 16–10 61.5%
OVER-UNDER 6–6 6–5 7–5 7–6 26–22 54.2%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring +3.4 62
Yardage +30.4 54
Turnovers +3 T41
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 34.8 29
Yards/Game 467.0 26
Yds Per Play 6.19 32
Rush Yds/Gm 94.4 117
Pass Yds/Gm 372.6 3
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 31.4 91
Yards/Game 436.6 101
Yds Per Play 6.14 104
Rush Yds/Gm 190.3 89
Pass Yds/Gm 246.3 86
StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2014 103
ACCCollege Top 25
Big 12Big Ten
Conference USA
MAC
Mountain W
estSEC
Sun BeltIndependents
Pac-12A
AC>
SOUTHERN CAL IFORNIA
2011-13 gaME logS
8/309/69/139/2710/410/1110/1810/2511/111/1311/2211/29
FRESNO STATEat Stanfordat Boston CollegeOREGON STATEARIZONA STATEat ArizonaCOLORADOat Utahat Washington StateCALIFORNIAat UCLANOTRE DAME
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/29 at Hawaii W 30-13 L (-24) U (51)9/7 WASHINGTON ST L 7-10 L (-16) U (53½)9/14 BOSTON COLLEGE W 35-7 W (-16) O (41½)9/21 UTAH ST W 17-14 L (-6½) U (50)9/28 at Arizona St L 41-62 L (+3) O (48½)10/10 ARIZONA W 38-31 W (-5½) O (48½)10/19 at Notre Dame L 10-14 L (+2) U (51)10/26 UTAH W 19-3 W (-4½) U (51)11/1 at Oregon St W 31-14 W (+5½) U (51)11/9 at California W 62-28 W (-19) O (57)11/16 STANFORD W 20-17 W (+4) U (44½)11/23 at Colorado W 47-29 L (-18½) O (54)11/30 UCLA L 14-35 L (-4) U (52½)
>
STANFORD
2011-13 gaME logS
8/309/69/139/2710/410/1010/1810/2511/111/1511/2211/28
UC DAVISUSCARMYat Washingtonat Notre DameWASHINGTON STATEat Arizona StateOREGON STATEat OregonUTAHat Californiaat UCLA
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/7 SAN JOSE ST W 34-13 L (-24) U (48½)9/14 at Army W 34-20 L (-30½) O (48½)9/21 ARIZONA ST W 42-28 W (-6½) O (51½)9/28 vs Washington St W 55-17 W (-8½) O (47)10/5 WASHINGTON W 31-28 L (-9) O (52½)10/12 at Utah L 21-27 L (-7½) U (53)10/19 UCLA W 24-10 W (-4) U (54½)10/26 at Oregon St W 20-12 W (-4) U (55½)11/7 OREGON W 26-20 W (+10) U (60)11/16 at USC L 17-20 L (-4) U (44½)11/23 CALIFORNIA W 63-13 W (-31) O (59½)11/30 NOTRE DAME W 27-20 L (-16½) U (50)12/7 at Arizona St W 38-14 W (+3) U (52½)1/1 vs Michigan St L 20-24 L (-7½) O (41½)
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/3 MINNESOTA W 19-17 L (-24) U (51)9/10 UTAH W 23-14 W (-7½) U (51)9/17 SYRACUSE W 38-17 W (-17) O (50)9/24 at Arizona St L 22-43 L (+2½) O (54)10/1 ARIZONA W 48-41 L (-13) O (57)10/13 at California W 30-9 W (-3) U (58)10/22 at Notre Dame W 31-17 W (+10) U (57)10/29 STANFORD L 48-56 P (+8) O (62½)11/4 at Colorado W 42-17 W (-19½) O (57½)11/12 WASHINGTON W 40-17 W (-12½) U (64)11/19 at Oregon W 38-35 W (+15) O (70½)11/26 UCLA W 50-0 W (-16) U (56)
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/1 HAWAII W 49-10 L (-44) U (62)9/8 vs Syracuse W 42-29 L (-24½) O (62½)9/15 at Stanford L 14-21 L (-9½) U (56)9/22 CALIFORNIA W 27-9 W (-16) U (56½)10/4 at Utah W 38-28 L (-14) O (50)10/13 at Washington W 24-14 L (-14½) U (55½)10/20 COLORADO W 50-6 W (-39) U (57½)10/27 at Arizona L 36-39 L (-5) O (67½)11/3 OREGON L 51-62 L (+8½) O (72½)11/10 ARIZONA ST W 38-17 W (-10) U (64)11/17 at UCLA L 28-38 L (-5) O (65)11/24 NOTRE DAME L 13-22 L (+4) U (45)12/31 vs Georgia Tech L 7-21 L (-7) U (63½)
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/3 SAN JOSE ST W 57-3 W (-30½) O (53)9/10 at Duke W 44-14 W (-20½) U (62)9/17 at Arizona W 37-10 W (-9½) U (56)10/1 UCLA W 45-19 W (-23) O (57)10/8 COLORADO W 48-7 W (-28½) U (61½)10/15 at Washington St W 44-14 W (-20) U (64½)10/22 WASHINGTON W 65-21 W (-18) O (66)10/29 at USC W 56-48 P (-8) O (62½)11/5 at Oregon St W 38-13 W (-20) U (61½)11/12 OREGON L 30-53 L (-2½) O (71)11/19 CALIFORNIA W 31-28 L (-17½) O (56½)11/26 NOTRE DAME W 28-14 W (-7) U (60)1/2 vs Oklahoma St L 38-41 W (+4½) O (73)
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/31 SAN JOSE ST W 20-17 L (-26) U (49½)9/8 DUKE W 50-13 W (-16) O (55)9/15 USC W 21-14 W (+9½) U (56)9/27 at Washington L 13-17 L (-7) U (48½)10/6 ARIZONA W 54-48 L (-10) O (55)10/13 at Notre Dame L 13-20 W (+9) U (42)10/20 at California W 21-3 W (-1) U (47)10/27 WASHINGTON ST W 24-17 L (-25) U (51)11/3 at Colorado W 48-0 W (-27½) U (52)11/10 OREGON ST W 27-23 W (-3½) O (44)11/17 at Oregon W 17-14 W (+18½) U (67½)11/24 at UCLA W 35-17 W (-3) O (50)11/30 UCLA W 27-24 L (-8½) O (47)1/1 vs Wisconsin W 20-14 W (-4) U (46½)
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
pac-12
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 8–5 10–2 7–6 10–4 35–17 67.3%
OVERALL ATS 5–7 8–3 3–10 7–7 23–27 46.0%
HOME ATS 1–5 4–2 3–3 4–3 12–13 48.0%
ROAD ATS 4–2 4–1 0–7 3–4 11–14 44.0%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 5–4 6–2 3–6 5–4 19–16 54.3%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 0–3 2–1 0–4 2–3 4–11 26.7%
AS FAVORITE ATS 3–6 6–2 3–8 5–5 17–21 44.7%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 2–1 2–1 0–2 2–2 6–6 50.0%
OVER-UNDER 7–6 6–6 5–8 5–9 23–29 44.2%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring +8.5 37
Yardage +64.7 34
Turnovers +5 T31
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 29.7 60
Yards/Game 399.9 73
Yds Per Play 6.06 38
Rush Yds/Gm 172.8 60
Pass Yds/Gm 227.1 72
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 21.2 16
Yards/Game 335.2 13
Yds Per Play 4.98 21
Rush Yds/Gm 120.6 15
Pass Yds/Gm 214.6 32
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
pac-12
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 12–1 11–2 12–2 11–3 46–8 85.2%
OVERALL ATS 8–5 10–2 9–5 7–7 34–19 64.2%
HOME ATS 3–3 5–2 3–4 4–3 15–12 55.6%
ROAD ATS 5–2 5–0 6–1 3–4 19–7 73.1%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 5–4 6–2 6–4 7–3 24–13 64.9%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 3–0 4–0 3–1 0–4 10–5 66.7%
AS FAVORITE ATS 8–3 9–2 6–5 5–7 28–17 62.2%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 0–1 1–0 3–0 2–0 6–1 85.7%
OVER-UNDER 6–6 7–6 5–9 6–8 24–29 45.3%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring +13.3 25
Yardage +62.2 39
Turnovers 0 T61
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 32.3 45
Yards/Game 405.4 70
Yds Per Play 6.34 27
Rush Yds/Gm 207.4 22
Pass Yds/Gm 197.9 94
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 19.0 10
Yards/Game 343.1 16
Yds Per Play 4.86 15
Rush Yds/Gm 89.4 3
Pass Yds/Gm 253.8 98
104 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2014
>UCLA
2011-13 gaME logS
8/309/69/139/2510/410/1110/1810/2511/111/811/2211/28
at VirginiaMEMPHISat Texasat Arizona StateUTAHOREGONat Californiaat ColoradoARIZONAat WashingtonUSCSTANFORD
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/31 NEVADA W 58-20 W (-20½) O (66½)9/14 at Nebraska W 41-21 W (pk) U (70)9/21 NEW MEXICO ST W 59-13 W (-44) O (66)10/3 at Utah W 34-27 W (-4½) U (65)10/12 CALIFORNIA W 37-10 W (-26½) U (72½)10/19 at Stanford L 10-24 L (+4) U (54½)10/26 at Oregon L 14-42 L (+23½) U (74)11/2 COLORADO W 45-23 L (-30) O (59)11/9 at Arizona W 31-26 W (+2) U (60)11/15 WASHINGTON W 41-31 W (-2½) O (60)11/23 ARIZONA ST L 33-38 L (+3) O (60½)11/30 at USC W 35-14 W (+4) U (52½)
>UTAH
2011-13 gaME logS
8/289/69/209/2710/410/1610/2511/111/811/1511/2211/29
IDAHO STATEFRESNO STATEat MichiganWASHINGTON STATEat UCLAat Oregon StateUSCat Arizona StateOREGONat StanfordARIZONAat Colorado
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/29 UTAH ST W 30-26 W (-1) O (52)9/7 WEBER ST W 70-7 W (-27½) O (48½)9/14 OREGON ST L 48-51 L (-3½) O (54)9/21 at BYU W 20-13 W (+7) U (60½)10/3 UCLA L 27-34 L (+4½) U (65)10/12 STANFORD W 27-21 W (+7½) U (53)10/19 at Arizona L 24-35 L (+3½) U (61½)10/26 at USC L 3-19 L (+4½) U (51)11/9 ARIZONA ST L 19-20 W (+7) U (63½)11/16 at Oregon L 21-44 W (+28½) O (63½)11/23 at Washington St L 37-49 L (+2) O (51½)11/30 COLORADO W 24-17 L (-16½) U (56)
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/3 at Houston L 34-38 L (+1½) O (59½)9/10 SAN JOSE ST W 27-17 L (-20) U (49½)9/17 TEXAS L 20-49 L (+4) O (47)9/24 at Oregon St W 27-19 W (+4) U (52½)10/1 at Stanford L 19-45 L (+23) O (57)10/8 WASHINGTON ST W 28-25 L (-4) U (59)10/20 at Arizona L 12-48 L (+4½) U (62)10/29 CALIFORNIA W 31-14 W (+4) U (51½)11/5 ARIZONA ST W 29-28 W (+8½) O (56½)11/12 at Utah L 6-31 L (+7) U (45½)11/19 COLORADO W 45-6 W (-11½) U (55½)11/26 at USC L 0-50 L (+16) U (56)12/2 at Oregon L 31-49 W (+31) O (67)12/31 vs Illinois L 14-20 L (+3) U (45)
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/30 at Rice W 49-24 W (-16) O (60½)9/8 NEBRASKA W 36-30 W (+3½) O (58)9/15 HOUSTON W 37-6 W (-17½) U (75)9/22 OREGON ST L 20-27 L (-8) U (52½)9/29 at Colorado W 42-14 W (-17½) U (58½)10/6 at California L 17-43 L (-2½) O (55½)10/13 UTAH W 21-14 L (-9½) U (51½)10/27 at Arizona St W 45-43 W (+6½) O (58½)11/3 ARIZONA W 66-10 W (-3) O (72½)11/10 at Washington St W 44-36 L (-16) O (62)11/17 USC W 38-28 W (+5) O (65)11/24 STANFORD L 17-35 L (+3) O (50)11/30 at Stanford L 24-27 W (+8½) O (47)12/27 vs Baylor L 26-49 L (-3) U (81)
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/1 MONTANA ST W 27-10 L (-29½) 9/10 at USC L 14-23 L (+7½) U (51)9/17 at BYU W 54-10 W (+4) O (44½)10/1 WASHINGTON L 14-31 L (-10) U (55½)10/8 ARIZONA ST L 14-35 L (+3) P (49)10/15 at Pittsburgh W 26-14 W (+6) U (45½)10/22 at California L 10-34 L (+1½) U (46½)10/29 OREGON ST W 27-8 W (-5½) U (49)11/5 at Arizona W 34-21 W (+4½) O (52)11/12 UCLA W 31-6 W (-7) U (45½)11/19 at Washington St W 30-27 L (-4) O (49)11/25 COLORADO L 14-17 L (-22½) U (48½)12/31 vs Georgia Tech W 30-27 W (+1½) O (49)
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/30 N COLORADO W 41-0 L (-43) 9/7 at Utah St L 20-27 L (-7) U (50½)9/15 BYU W 24-21 W (+3½) P (45)9/22 at Arizona St L 7-37 L (+7) U (50)10/4 USC L 28-38 W (+14) O (50)10/13 at UCLA L 14-21 W (+9½) U (51½)10/20 at Oregon St L 7-21 L (+10) U (46½)10/27 CALIFORNIA W 49-27 W (-2) O (45)11/3 WASHINGTON ST W 49-6 W (-10½) O (49)11/10 at Washington L 15-34 L (-1) O (47)11/17 ARIZONA L 24-34 L (-3) U (63)11/23 at Colorado W 42-35 L (-23½) O (50)
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
pac-12
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 4–8 6–8 9–5 10–3 29–24 54.7%
OVERALL ATS 3–8 5–9 8–6 9–4 25–27 48.1%
HOME ATS 2–3 3–3 4–3 4–2 13–11 54.2%
ROAD ATS 1–5 2–6 4–3 5–2 12–16 42.9%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 1–7 5–5 5–5 5–4 16–21 43.2%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 2–1 0–4 3–1 4–0 9–6 60.0%
AS FAVORITE ATS 0–1 1–2 4–5 6–1 11–9 55.0%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 3–7 4–7 4–1 3–3 14–18 43.8%
OVER-UNDER 6–6 5–9 9–5 6–7 26–27 49.1%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring +13.8 T22
Yardage +61.4 41
Turnovers +10 T17
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 36.9 20
Yards/Game 448.5 38
Yds Per Play 6.10 35
Rush Yds/Gm 196.6 35
Pass Yds/Gm 251.8 44
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 23.2 35
Yards/Game 387.1 55
Yds Per Play 5.08 28
Rush Yds/Gm 169.5 72
Pass Yds/Gm 217.6 40
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
pac-12
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 10–3 8–5 5–7 5–7 28–22 56.0%
OVERALL ATS 7–5 6–7 5–7 6–6 24–25 49.0%
HOME ATS 3–2 2–4 4–2 4–3 13–11 54.2%
ROAD ATS 4–3 4–3 1–5 2–3 11–14 44.0%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 5–3 3–6 4–5 3–6 15–20 42.9%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 2–2 3–1 1–2 3–0 9–5 64.3%
AS FAVORITE ATS 7–3 2–4 2–5 2–2 13–14 48.1%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 0–2 4–3 3–2 4–4 11–11 50.0%
OVER-UNDER 7–6 4–7 5–5 5–7 21–25 45.7%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring +1.2 67
Yardage -1.1 72
Turnovers -10 T114
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 29.2 66
Yards/Game 396.6 77
Yds Per Play 5.51 73
Rush Yds/Gm 160.3 72
Pass Yds/Gm 236.3 62
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 28.0 73
Yards/Game 397.7 61
Yds Per Play 5.38 52
Rush Yds/Gm 130.3 20
Pass Yds/Gm 267.3 111
StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2014 105
ACCCollege Top 25
Big 12Big Ten
Conference USA
MAC
Mountain W
estSEC
Sun BeltIndependents
Pac-12A
AC>
WASHINGTON
2011-13 gaME logS
8/309/69/139/209/2710/1110/1810/2511/111/811/1511/2211/29
at HawaiiEASTERN WASHINGTONILLINOISGEORGIA STATESTANFORDat Californiaat OregonARIZONA STATEat ColoradoUCLAat ArizonaOREGON STATEat Washington State
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/31 BOISE ST W 38-6 W (-3½) U (54)9/14 vs Illinois W 34-24 L (-10½) U (61)9/21 IDAHO ST W 56-0 W (-49) O (53)9/28 ARIZONA W 31-13 W (-8½) U (60½)10/5 at Stanford L 28-31 W (+9) O (52½)10/12 OREGON L 24-45 L (+11) U (75½)10/19 at Arizona St L 24-53 L (+3½) O (67½)10/26 CALIFORNIA W 41-17 L (-28) U (66½)11/9 COLORADO W 59-7 W (-30) O (64)11/15 at UCLA L 31-41 L (+2½) O (60)11/23 at Oregon St W 69-27 W (+2½) O (59)11/29 WASHINGTON ST W 27-17 L (-17) U (66½)12/27 vs BYU W 31-16 W (-6) U (65½)
>
WASHINGTON STATE
2011-13 gaME logS
8/289/59/139/209/2710/410/1010/2511/111/811/2211/29
RUTGERSat NevadaPORTLAND STATEOREGONat UtahCALIFORNIAat StanfordARIZONAUSCat Oregon Stateat Arizona StateWASHINGTON
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/31 at Auburn L 24-31 W (+14) U (60)9/7 at USC W 10-7 W (+16) U (53½)9/14 S UTAH W 48-10 W (-21) O (48)9/21 IDAHO W 42-0 W (-31½) U (57)9/28 vs Stanford L 17-55 L (+8½) O (47)10/5 at California W 44-22 W (-2½) T (66)10/12 OREGON ST L 24-52 L (+2½) O (62)10/19 at Oregon L 38-62 W (+40) O (71½)10/31 ARIZONA ST L 21-55 L (+10½) O (69)11/16 at Arizona W 24-17 W (+11) U (63)11/23 UTAH W 49-37 W (-2) O (51½)11/29 at Washington L 17-27 W (+17) U (66½)
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/3 E WASHINGTON W 30-27 L (-16½) 9/10 HAWAII W 40-32 W (-4) O (51½)9/17 at Nebraska L 38-51 W (+17½) O (53½)9/24 CALIFORNIA W 31-23 W (+1½) U (59)10/1 at Utah W 31-14 W (+10) U (55½)10/15 COLORADO W 52-24 W (-17½) O (57)10/22 at Stanford L 21-65 L (+18) O (66)10/29 ARIZONA W 42-31 W (-3½) O (71½)11/5 OREGON L 17-34 L (+16½) U (76½)11/12 at USC L 17-40 L (+12½) U (64)11/19 at Oregon St L 21-38 L (-1) O (57½)11/26 vs Washington St W 38-21 W (-8½) U (61½)12/29 vs Baylor L 56-67 L (+8) O (79)
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/1 SAN DIEGO ST W 21-12 L (-15½) U (55½)9/8 at LSU L 3-41 L (+22½) U (53)9/15 PORTLAND ST W 52-13 W (-31½) 9/27 STANFORD W 17-13 W (+7) U (48½)10/6 at Oregon L 21-52 L (+25½) O (62½)10/13 USC L 14-24 W (+14½) U (55½)10/20 at Arizona L 17-52 L (+9) O (65½)10/27 OREGON ST W 20-17 W (+3) U (49)11/2 at California W 21-13 W (+4) U (51½)11/10 UTAH W 34-15 W (+1) O (47)11/17 at Colorado W 38-3 W (-20) U (54½)11/23 at Washington St L 28-31 L (-14) O (51)12/22 vs Boise St L 26-28 W (+4) O (44)
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/3 IDAHO ST W 64-21 W (-29½) 9/10 UNLV W 59-7 W (-13½) O (56)9/17 at San Diego st L 24-42 L (+4) O (57)10/1 at Colorado W 31-27 W (+3½) U (60)10/8 at UCLA L 25-28 W (+4) U (59)10/15 STANFORD L 14-44 L (+20) U (64½)10/22 vs Oregon St L 21-44 L (-3) O (56)10/29 at Oregon L 28-43 W (+37½) O (70½)11/5 at California L 7-30 L (+8½) U (55½)11/12 ARIZONA ST W 37-27 W (+12) O (59½)11/19 UTAH L 27-30 W (+4) O (49)11/26 vs Washington L 21-38 L (+8½) U (61½)
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/30 at BYU L 6-30 L (+13) U (66)9/8 E WASHINGTON W 24-20 L (-19½) 9/14 at UNLV W 35-27 L (-9½) O (56)9/22 COLORADO L 34-35 L (-18½) O (59½)9/29 vs Oregon L 26-51 W (+31) O (72½)10/6 at Oregon St L 6-19 W (+15) U (59½)10/13 CALIFORNIA L 17-31 L (+7) U (55)10/27 at Stanford L 17-24 W (+25) U (51)11/3 at Utah L 6-49 L (+10½) O (49)11/10 UCLA L 36-44 W (+16) O (62)11/17 at Arizona St L 7-46 L (+22½) U (60½)11/23 WASHINGTON W 31-28 W (+14) O (51)
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
pac-12
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 7–6 7–6 7–6 9–4 30–22 57.7%
OVERALL ATS 7–6 7–6 8–5 7–6 29–23 55.8%
HOME ATS 2–4 4–2 5–1 4–3 15–10 60.0%
ROAD ATS 5–2 3–4 3–4 3–3 14–13 51.9%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 5–4 5–4 6–3 4–5 20–16 55.6%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 2–2 2–2 2–2 3–1 9–7 56.3%
AS FAVORITE ATS 3–2 4–2 2–2 5–3 14–9 60.9%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 4–4 3–4 6–3 2–3 15–14 51.7%
OVER-UNDER 7–6 7–5 5–7 6–7 25–25 50.0%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring +15.1 15
Yardage +110.8 17
Turnovers +7 T23
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 37.9 18
Yards/Game 499.3 13
Yds Per Play 6.35 26
Rush Yds/Gm 239.0 15
Pass Yds/Gm 260.3 36
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 22.8 T29
Yards/Game 388.5 56
Yds Per Play 4.98 20
Rush Yds/Gm 161.3 61
Pass Yds/Gm 227.2 59
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
pac-12
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 2–10 4–8 3–9 6–7 15–34 30.6%
OVERALL ATS 7–5 7–5 5–7 9–4 28–21 57.1%
HOME ATS 3–3 4–1 2–3 3–2 12–9 57.1%
ROAD ATS 4–2 3–4 3–4 6–2 16–12 57.1%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 6–3 5–4 5–4 6–3 22–14 61.1%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 1–2 2–1 0–3 3–1 6–7 46.2%
AS FAVORITE ATS 0–1 2–1 0–3 4–1 6–6 50.0%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 7–4 5–4 5–4 5–3 22–15 59.5%
OVER-UNDER 6–5 6–5 6–5 7–5 25–20 55.6%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring -1.5 76
Yardage -36.6 85
Turnovers -5 T93
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 31.0 52
Yards/Game 421.4 54
Yds Per Play 5.48 75
Rush Yds/Gm 53.4 125
Pass Yds/Gm 368.0 4
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 32.5 97
Yards/Game 458.0 103
Yds Per Play 5.92 92
Rush Yds/Gm 187.2 85
Pass Yds/Gm 270.8 114
106 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2014
>
ALABAMAOffense: Starters returning - 7; Defense: Starters returning - 5The Tide will replace AJ McCarron with either former Florida State back-up QB Jacob Coker (6.9 YPA, 0 TD, 1 INT), a classic pocket passer, or dual-threat senior QB Blake Sims (5.8 YPA, 2 TD, 0 INT), a former running back. Regardless, Bama will lean heavily on the ground game with RBs T.J. Yeldon (1,235 rush yds, 14 TD) and bruiser Derrick Henry (382 rush yds, 10.9 YPC). The Tide also bring back WR Amari Cooper (736 rec yds, 4 TD), one of the nation’s top deep threats. The defense lost a lot of talent, but as usual, has a plethora of young stars ready to step up. Sophomore DE A’Shawn Robinson (5.5 sacks) and ILB Trey DePriest (65 tackles) are potential stars. All-America candidate S Landon Collins (70 tackles) is the only returning starter in the secondary, but CB Eddie Jackson can shut down receivers.
ARKANSASOffense: Starters returning - 7; Defense: Starters returning - 6 Bret Bielema’s first year was predictably rough, but the pieces are there for a solid improvement in Year 2. Bielema’s run-first offense will be led by RB Alex Collins (1,026 rush yds, 5.4 YPC), the second Razorback ever to hit 1,000 yards as a freshman, and RB Jonathan Williams (900 rush yds, 6.0 YPC). QB Brandon Allen (6.0 YPA, 13 TD, 10 INT) had a shaky first year as a starter but should improve, especially if his shoulder is fully healthy. Robb Smith is their fourth defensive coordinator in four years, and he inherits a group that will likely struggle. DE Trey Flowers (5 sacks, 13.5 TFL, 3 FF) is a bright spot and should lead a solid pass rush. The secondary is experienced with CBs Tevin Mitchel, Carroll Washington and Will Hines (11 PD com-bined), but short on talent. Linebacker also continues to be a trouble spot.
AUBURNOffense: Starters returning - 8; Defense: Starters returning - 6The Tigers lost their two best players in RB Tre Mason and OT Greg Robinson, but Gus Malzahn has more than enough talent to make up for it. QB Nick Marshall (1,976 pass yds, 1,068 rush yds, 26 total TD) is a rising superstar, and Malzahn plans on airing it out more this season. He has an outstanding top receiver in WR Sammie Coates (902 rec yds, 21.5 avg, 7 TD). They also have the talent to replace Mason between senior RBs Corey Grant (647 rush yds, 9.8 YPC, 6 TD) and Cameron Artis-Payne (610 rush yds, 6.7 YPC, 6 TD), and five-star recruit RB Roc Thomas. Defensively, DE Carl Lawson (4 sacks) is poised to take over for Dee Ford as Auburn’s top pass-rushing threat after an impressive freshman season. LBs Cassanova McKinzy (75 tackles, 8 TFL) and Kris Frost (59 tackles, 6 TFL) lead a solid linebacking corps.
FLORIDAOffense: Starters returning - 7; Defense: Starters returning - 6The Gators’ first step to recovering from a nightmare 2013 season will be getting QB Jeff Driskel (7.8 YPA, 2 TD, 3 INT) on track. He should be fully recovered from a broken leg suffered last September, and has former Duke assistant Kurt Roper’s shotgun-heavy system to make Driskel more comfort-able. Speedy sophomore RB Kelvin Taylor (508 rush yds, 4 TD) has a chance to emerge as a star to pair with leading RB Mack Brown (543 rush yds, 4 TD) in the backfield. While the offense imploded last season, the defense held its own and returns plenty of talent. DE Dante Fowler Jr. (3.5 sacks, 3 FF) is being counted on to upgrade the pass rush, while CB Vernon Hargreaves III (3 INT) leads a secondary short on experience, but long on talent. LB Michael Taylor (62 tackles) should keep the run defense on track.
GEORGIAOffense: Starters returning - 5; Defense: Starters returning - 9The Bulldogs are poised for big things as long as Heisman candidate RB Todd Gurley (1,430 total yds, 16 TD before a torn ACL) stays healthy. QB Hutson Mason (8.8 YPA, 5 TD, 3 INT) picked up valuable experience in two starts after Aaron Murray tore his ACL. He also gets to work with top receiv-er Malcolm Mitchell, who tore his ACL in last year’s opener. Georgia was young and inexperienced on defense last year, but they’re loaded with raw talent for new defensive coordinator Jeremy Pruitt to mold. ILB Ramik Wilson (133 tackles, 4 sacks) will anchor the defense, with OLB Jordan Jenkins (5 sacks) poised to become a star. Pruitt oversaw an elite secondary at Florida State, and that’s where the Bulldogs need the most work after S Josh Harvey-Clemons was dismissed, and CB Tray Matthews transferred.
KENTUCKYOffense: Starters returning - 8; Defense: Starters returning - 8Neal Brown brought the Air Raid offense to Lexington, and improved QB play will allow UK to soar in 2014. Sophomore QB Patrick Towles (5.8 YPA in 2012), a former four-star recruit, has the edge over freshmen QBs Drew Barker and Reese Phillips. The Wildcats should be able to run behind a veteran O-Line and talented backs, including RB Jojo Kemp (482 rush yds, 3 TD) and Nebraska transfer RB Braylon Heard (6.0 YPC in career). DC Mark Stoops brings back the bulk of last year’s unit, one that was overmatched at times but has some raw talent. The pass-rush duo of DEs Za’Darius Smith (6 sacks) and Alvin Dupree (7 sacks, 2 FF) could be one of the SEC’s best, and the return of CB J.D. Harmon from academic suspension bolsters the secondary. Replacing MLB Avery Williamson will be a challenge.
SECSEc EaSt - oddS to Win
SEC EAST
1. South Carolina 5/2 4/5 2. Florida 5/1 2/1 3. Georgia 13/2 3/1 4. Tennessee 15/1 6/1 5. Missouri 20/1 8/1 6. Kentucky 80/1 30/1 7. Vanderbilt 250/1 100/1
SEc WESt - oddS to Win SEC WEST
1. Alabama 5/4 5/6 2. LSU 5/2 2/1 3. Auburn 5/1 7/2 4. Mississippi 12/1 8/1 5. Mississippi St. 25/1 15/1 6. Texas A&M 25/1 15/1 7. Arkansas 70/1 50/1
StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2014 107
ACCCollege Top 25
Big 12Big Ten
Conference USA
MAC
Mountain W
estSun Belt
Independents
LSUOffense: Starters returning - 5; Defense: Starters returning - 7While the offensive line should be one of the nation’s best, the Tigers will have to replace starters at quarterback, running back, and two receiver spots. Dual-threat QB Anthony Jennings (6.2 YPA, 3 total TD) was able to replace Zach Mettenberger, who tore his ACL last November. True freshman QB Brandon Harris, another athletic signal caller, could win the starting job. They might lean on top recruit RB Leonard Fournette to carry the rush-ing load early on. The LSU defense is young but has a chance to be one of the nation’s best once again. DEs Jermauria Rasco (4 sacks, 56 tackles) and Danielle Hunter (3 sacks, 57 tackles) have shown flashes of being a dominant pass-rush tandem. Also, CBs Tre’Davious White (55 tackles) and Rashard Robinson (3 PD) both have shutdown potential in the secondary.
MISSISSIPPIOffense: Starters returning - 6; Defense: Starters returning - 9The Rebels could ride their defense to SEC West contention. Their front four includes a healthy DE C.J. Johnson (6.5 sacks in 2012) and DT Robert Nkemdiche (2 sacks), the nation’s top recruit in 2013. They return All-American S Cody Prewitt (6 INT) while S Anthony Alford and hybrid Tony Conner (66 tackles) are two of the best athletes in the conference. A big year for the defense would take the pressure off erratic junior QB Bo Wallace (3,346 pass yds, 18 TD, 10 INT; 355 rush yds, 6 TD), who has solid weapons, including reigning SEC freshman of the year WR Laquon Treadwell (608 rec yds, 5 TD). Ole Miss also brings back top two RBs Jaylen Walton (523 rush yds) and I’Tavius Mathers (563 rush yds). On the O-Line, they have a ris-ing star in LT Laremy Tunsil and get LG Aaron Morris back from a torn ACL.
MISSISSIPPI STATEOffense: Starters returning - 8; Defense: Starters returning - 8Dual-threat QB Dak Prescott (1,940 pass yds, 10 TD, 829 rush yds, 13 TD) has the starting job all to himself this year. If he can avoid injuries, he should emerge as one of the SEC’s top playmakers. He showed plenty of chemis-try with WR Jameon Lewis (923 rec yds, 5 TD), who went for 220 yards in the Bulldogs’ Liberty Bowl win over Rice. RB Josh Robinson (459 rush yds, 5.9 YPC) is poised for a breakout year if a rebuilt offensive line holds up in front of him. LB Benardrick McKinney (70 tackles, 3.5 sacks) anchors a strong run defense. MSU’s pass rush is lacking, but has the kind of quality cover corners in CBs Taveze Calhoun (3 INT), Jamerson Love (3 INT) and Will Redmond (23 tackles) to hold opposing passing games in check.
MISSOURIOffense: Starters returning - 5; Defense: Starters returning - 4Missouri reloads after last year’s run to the SEC title game. Injuries to James Franklin allowed Gary Pinkel to break in QB Maty Mauk (8.1 YPA, 11 TD, 2 INT), who thrived as a downfield thrower. He’ll have to establish chemistry with a new receiving corps. L’Damian Washington (NFL) and Dorial Green-Beckham (dismissed from team) are gone, leaving WRs Bud Sasser (361 rec yds) and Jimmie Hunt (253 rec yds) as Mauk’s likely top targets. The run game should remain strong with RBs Russell Hansbrough (685 rush yds, 6.0 YPC) and Marcus Murphy (601 rush yds, 6.5 YPC, 9 TD) carrying the load. Defensively, the pass rush remains fierce with DEs Markus Golden (6.5 sacks) and Shane Ray (4.5 sacks, 2 FF) emerging as stars. A big question is whether Mizzou can keep taking the ball away (+16 TO margin last year).
SOUTH CAROLINAOffense: Starters returning - 8; Defense: Starters returning - 6If the Gamecocks are going to be in the SEC title game hunt, it’s going to be because of RB Mike Davis (1,535 total yds, 11 TD). The scat back emerged as a star last year and will be leaned on to carry the offense now that QB Connor Shaw is gone. QB Dylan Thompson (8.8 YPA, 4 TD, 3 INT) replaces Shaw. Thompson is more of a classic pocket passer, so much in the Spurrier mold that the ol’ ball coach rotated him in for Shaw at times the past two seasons. He and Davis will benefit from one of the nation’s best offen-sive lines. The defense will have a much different look now that Jadeveon Clowney is no longer there. LB Skai Moore (4 INT, 56 tackles) leads a solid linebacking corps, but the Gamecocks are thin at cornerback and have no heir apparent to Clowney and departed DT Kelcy Quarles.
TENNESSEEOffense: Starters returning - 5; Defense: Starters returning - 5The Vols offense will have a much different look in Butch Jones’ second sea-son. They lost all five linemen and have an uninspired competition between QBs Justin Worley (6.3 YPA, 10 TD, 8 INT) and Joshua Dobbs (5.7 YPA, 2 TD, 6 INT). The winner of that battle will have plenty of weapons at receiver, including potential breakout star WR Marquez North (38 rec, 496 yds), top recruit Josh Malone and JUCO transfer Von Pearson. The defense, especial-ly in the secondary, will undergo wholesale changes after opponents ran past them for most of last season. The potential emergence of DE Corey Vereen (13 tackles) would be a big help to the lackluster pass defense. The linebacking corps is solid, led by LB A.J. Johnson (106 tackles, 8.5 TFL).
TEXAS A&MOffense: Starters returning - 6; Defense: Starters returning - 7There’s no chance the Aggies will be able to replace Johnny Manziel’s play-making. Either sophomore QB Kenny Hill (16-for-22, 183 yds, 1 TD) or true freshman QB Kyle Allen will run their offense. But it will likely be RB Trey Williams (407 rush yds, 6 TD) becoming the focal point of the offense, espe-cially with Mike Evans also playing on Sundays now. WR Malcome Kennedy (658 rec yards, 7 TD) returns, though sophomore WR Ricky Seals-Jones (3 rec, 84 yds) has the upside to be the new No. 1. The O-Line is excellent, with LT Cedric Ogbuehi capably filling Jake Matthews’ shoes. The Aggies allowed an SEC-worst 222.3 rushing YPG, and they’ll likely struggle again after dis-missing DT Isaiah Golden and LB Darian Claiborne. In the secondary, A&M is short on talent aside from shutdown CB Deshazor Everett (73 tackles).
VANDERBILTOffense: Starters returning - 7; Defense: Starters returning - 3New Head Coach: Derek MasonWith the lack of a clear-cut favorite at quarterback, new coach Derek Mason will likely rely on the running game similar to the Stanford program he left. Five-foot-7 RB Jerron Seymour (716 rush yds, 14 TD) and RB Brian Kimbrow (341 rush yds) will likely see heavy workloads. QB Patton Robinette (7.3 YPA, 4 TD, 5 INT) will battle redshirt freshman QB Johnny McCrary and LSU transfer QB Stephen Rivers (0-for-2 career) to start, but the receiving corps is barren after the departures of Jordan Matthews and Jonathan Krause, who combined for 74% of Vandy’s receiving yards. Mason will convert the Commodores to a 3-4 front in this transitional year for the defense. They do have an anchor for the D-Line though, with NT Vince Taylor (18 tackles).
Pac-12SEC
AAC
108 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2014
>ALABAMA
2011-13 gaME logS
8/309/69/139/2010/410/1110/1810/2511/811/1511/2211/29
vs. West Virginia*FLORIDA ATLANTICSOUTHERN MISSFLORIDAat Ole Missat ArkansasTEXAS A&Mat Tennesseeat LSUMISSISSIPPI STATEWESTERN CAROLINAAUBURN* at Atlanta, Georgia
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/31 vs Virginia Tech W 35-10 W (-21) U (45½)9/14 at Texas A&M W 49-42 L (-8) O (63)9/21 COLORADO ST W 31-6 L (-39½) U (54)9/28 OLE MISS W 25-0 W (-14) U (54)10/5 GEORGIA ST W 45-3 L (-53½) U (59)10/12 at Kentucky W 48-7 W (-26½) O (51½)10/19 ARKANSAS W 52-0 W (-30) O (48½)10/26 TENNESSEE W 45-10 W (-28) O (50)11/9 LSU W 38-17 W (-14) T (55)11/16 at Mississippi St W 20-7 L (-22½) U (52½)11/23 CHATTANOOGA W 49-0 W (-48) U (52)11/30 at Auburn L 28-34 L (-10) O (52½)
>ARKANSAS
2011-13 gaME logS
8/309/69/139/209/2710/1110/1810/2511/111/1511/2211/28
at AuburnNICHOLLS STATEat Texas TechNORTHERN ILLINOISvs. Texas A&M*ALABAMAGEORGIAUABat Mississippi StateLSUOLE MISSat Missouri* at Arlington, Texas
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/31 LA LAFAYETTE W 34-14 W (-10) U (55½)9/7 SAMFORD W 31-21 L (-32½) O (49)9/14 SOUTHERN MISS W 24-3 L (-24½) U (50)9/21 at Rutgers L 24-28 L (+1½) O (42½)9/28 TEXAS A&M L 33-45 W (+13) O (66)10/5 at Florida L 10-30 L (+12½) U (40½)10/12 S CAROLINA L 7-52 L (+5) O (50)10/19 at Alabama L 0-52 L (+30) O (48½)11/2 AUBURN L 17-35 L (+9½) U (54)11/9 at Ole Miss L 24-34 W (+17) O (55)11/23 MISSISSIPPI ST L 17-24 L (+3) U (48½)11/29 at LSU L 27-31 W (+28) O (55½)
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/3 KENT ST W 48-7 W (-38½) O (49)9/10 at Penn St W 27-11 W (-10½) U (41½)9/17 NORTH TEXAS W 41-0 L (-47) U (58½)9/24 ARKANSAS W 38-14 W (-12½) O (50½)10/1 at Florida W 38-10 W (-4) O (43)10/8 VANDERBILT W 34-0 W (-29) U (44)10/15 at Ole Miss W 52-7 W (-27½) O (45½)10/22 TENNESSEE W 37-6 W (-29½) U (47)11/5 LSU L 6-9 L (-5½) U (41½)11/12 at Mississippi St W 24-7 L (-18) U (44½)11/19 GA SOUTHERN W 45-21 L (-43) O (54)11/26 at Auburn W 42-14 W (-21½) O (45)1/9 vs LSU W 21-0 W (-2½) U (42)
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/1 vs Michigan W 41-14 W (-13) O (48½)9/8 W KENTUCKY W 35-0 L (-38) U (52)9/15 at Arkansas W 52-0 W (-20) O (49)9/22 FLA ATLANTIC W 40-7 L (-48) U (57)9/29 OLE MISS W 33-14 L (-31½) U (52½)10/13 at Missouri W 42-10 W (-21) O (41)10/20 at Tennessee W 44-13 W (-19) O (54)10/27 MISSISSIPPI ST W 38-7 W (-21½) O (44½)11/3 at LSU W 21-17 L (-7) U (38½)11/10 TEXAS A&M L 24-29 L (-13½) U (55½)11/17 W CAROLINA W 49-0 L (-56) 11/24 AUBURN W 49-0 W (-34) O (46)
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/3 MISSOURI ST W 51-7 W (-42) 9/10 NEW MEXICO W 52-3 W (-37) U (56)9/17 TROY W 38-28 L (-23) O (62)9/24 at Alabama L 14-38 L (+12½) O (50½)10/1 vs Texas A&M W 42-38 W (+2½) O (62)10/8 AUBURN W 38-14 W (-10) U (64½)10/22 at Ole Miss W 29-24 L (-15½) U (58½)10/29 at Vanderbilt W 31-28 L (-8) O (53½)11/5 S CAROLINA W 44-28 W (-4½) O (51)11/12 TENNESSEE W 49-7 W (-16½) O (53½)11/19 MISSISSIPPI ST W 44-17 W (-13) O (54)11/25 at LSU L 17-41 L (+11) O (53½)1/6 vs Kansas St W 29-16 W (-9) U (65)
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/1 JACKSONVILLE ST W 49-24 L (-40½) 9/8 LA MONROE L 31-34 L (-30) O (61½)9/15 ALABAMA L 0-52 L (+20) O (49)9/22 RUTGERS L 26-35 L (-8½) O (49½)9/29 at Texas A&M L 10-58 L (+13) O (65)10/6 at Auburn W 24-7 W (+7) U (55½)10/13 KENTUCKY W 49-7 W (-17) O (54½)10/27 OLE MISS L 27-30 L (-6½) U (63)11/3 TULSA W 19-15 L (-9) U (63)11/10 at S Carolina L 20-38 L (+13½) O (51½)11/17 at Mississippi St L 14-45 L (+5) O (55)11/23 LSU L 13-20 W (+12) U (52)
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
SEc
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 10–3 12–1 13–1 11–2 46–7 86.8%
OVERALL ATS 8–5 9–4 7–7 7–6 31–22 58.5%
HOME ATS 5–2 4–3 2–5 5–2 16–12 57.1%
ROAD ATS 3–3 5–1 5–2 2–4 15–10 60.0%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 3–5 7–2 5–4 5–3 20–14 58.8%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 5–0 2–2 2–3 2–3 11–8 57.9%
AS FAVORITE ATS 8–5 9–4 7–7 7–6 31–22 58.5%
AS UNDERDOG ATS [NO GAMES AS AN UNDERDOG THE PAST FOUR YEARS]
OVER-UNDER 4–7 6–7 8–5 6–6 24–25 49.0%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring +24.2 4
Yardage +167.5 6
Turnovers +2 T47
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 38.2 17
Yards/Game 454.1 33
Yds Per Play 7.15 5
Rush Yds/Gm 205.6 25
Pass Yds/Gm 248.5 50
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 13.9 4
Yards/Game 286.5 5
Yds Per Play 4.83 14
Rush Yds/Gm 106.2 7
Pass Yds/Gm 180.3 11
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
SEc
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 10–3 11–2 4–8 3–9 28–22 56.0%
OVERALL ATS 9–4 8–5 3–9 4–8 24–26 48.0%
HOME ATS 5–2 6–1 2–6 2–5 15–14 51.7%
ROAD ATS 4–2 2–4 1–3 2–3 9–12 42.9%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 7–1 4–4 3–5 3–5 17–15 53.1%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 2–3 4–1 0–4 1–3 7–11 38.9%
AS FAVORITE ATS 6–1 7–3 1–5 1–2 15–11 57.7%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 3–2 1–2 2–4 3–6 9–14 39.1%
OVER-UNDER 7–5 8–4 7–4 7–5 29–18 61.7%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring -10.1 103
Yardage -56.3 93
Turnovers -9 113
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 20.7 106
Yards/Game 357.2 100
Yds Per Play 5.53 69
Rush Yds/Gm 208.7 21
Pass Yds/Gm 148.5 116
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 30.8 89
Yards/Game 413.4 77
Yds Per Play 6.09 102
Rush Yds/Gm 178.4 79
Pass Yds/Gm 235.0 73
StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2014 109
>AUBURN
2011-13 gaME logS
8/309/69/189/2710/410/1110/2511/111/811/1511/2211/29
ARKANSASSAN JOSE STATEat Kansas StateLOUISIANA TECHLSUat Mississippi StateSOUTH CAROLINAat Ole MissTEXAS A&Mat GeorgiaSAMFORDat Alabama
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/31 WASHINGTON ST W 31-24 L (-14) U (60)9/7 ARKANSAS ST W 38-9 W (-10½) U (60½)9/14 MISSISSIPPI ST W 24-20 L (-6½) U (50½)9/21 at LSU L 21-35 W (+17) O (54)10/5 OLE MISS W 30-22 W (+2) U (58)10/12 W CAROLINA W 62-3 W (-41½) O (56½)10/19 at Texas A&M W 45-41 W (+12½) O (72)10/26 FLA ATLANTIC W 45-10 W (-22½) O (52)11/2 at Arkansas W 35-17 W (-9½) U (54)11/9 at Tennessee W 55-23 W (-7½) O (57)11/16 GEORGIA W 43-38 W (-3) O (65½)11/30 ALABAMA W 34-28 W (+10) O (52½)
>
FLORIDA
2011-13 gaME logS
8/309/69/139/2010/410/1110/1811/111/811/1511/2211/29
IDAHOEASTERN MICHIGANKENTUCKYat Alabamaat TennesseeLSUMISSOURIvs. Georgia*at VanderbiltSOUTH CAROLINAEASTERN KENTUCKYat Florida State* at Jacksonville, Florida
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/31 TOLEDO W 24-6 L (-23) U (55½)9/7 at Miami L 16-21 L (-3) U (47)9/21 TENNESSEE W 31-17 L (-16) O (47½)9/28 at Kentucky W 24-7 W (-11) U (46½)10/5 ARKANSAS W 30-10 W (-12½) U (40½)10/12 at LSU L 6-17 L (+8) U (48½)10/19 at Missouri L 17-36 L (-3) O (44½)11/2 vs Georgia L 20-23 W (+3½) U (46)11/9 VANDERBILT L 17-34 L (-13) O (41)11/16 at S Carolina L 14-19 W (+15½) U (41½)11/23 GA SOUTHERN L 20-26 L (-28½) O (44)11/30 FLORIDA ST L 7-37 L (+27½) U (50)
ACCCollege Top 25
Big 12Big Ten
Conference USA
MAC
Mountain W
estSun Belt
IndependentsPac-12
SECA
AC
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/3 UTAH ST W 42-38 L (-24) O (56½)9/10 MISSISSIPPI ST W 41-34 W (+5) O (57)9/17 at Clemson L 24-38 L (+5) O (57½)9/24 FLA ATLANTIC W 30-14 L (-31) U (61)10/1 at S Carolina W 16-13 W (+10½) U (58½)10/8 at Arkansas L 14-38 L (+10) U (64½)10/15 FLORIDA W 17-6 W (+3) U (50)10/22 at LSU L 10-45 L (+20½) O (47)10/29 OLE MISS W 41-23 W (-12) O (51)11/12 at Georgia L 7-45 L (+11½) U (56)11/19 SAMFORD W 35-16 L (-30½) U (57½)11/26 ALABAMA L 14-42 L (+21½) O (45)12/31 vs Virginia W 43-24 W (-3) O (49½)
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/1 vs Clemson L 19-26 L (+2) U (54½)9/8 at Mississippi St L 10-28 L (+3) U (48½)9/15 LA MONROE W 31-28 L (-14½) O (53)9/22 LSU L 10-12 W (+18) U (45)10/6 ARKANSAS L 7-24 L (-7) U (55½)10/13 at Ole Miss L 20-41 L (+4) O (49)10/20 at Vanderbilt L 13-17 W (+6) U (45½)10/27 TEXAS A&M L 21-63 L (+14) O (54)11/3 NEW MEXICO ST W 42-7 W (-24) O (48½)11/10 GEORGIA L 0-38 L (+16) U (52)11/17 ALABAMA A&M W 51-7 W (-30½) 11/24 at Alabama L 0-49 L (+34) O (46)
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/3 FLA ATLANTIC W 41-3 W (-34) U (49)9/10 UAB W 39-0 W (-24½) U (53½)9/17 TENNESSEE W 33-23 W (-9½) O (51½)9/24 at Kentucky W 48-10 W (-17½) O (44½)10/1 ALABAMA L 10-38 L (+4) O (43)10/8 at LSU L 11-41 L (+14) O (41)10/15 at Auburn L 6-17 L (-3) U (50)10/29 vs Georgia L 20-24 L (+3½) U (46½)11/5 VANDERBILT W 26-21 L (-12½) O (44)11/12 at S Carolina L 12-17 L (+2½) U (40)11/19 FURMAN W 54-32 L (-32½) O (48½)11/26 FLORIDA ST L 7-21 L (+3) U (45)1/2 vs Ohio St W 24-17 W (-2½) U (44)
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/1 BOWLING GREEN W 27-14 L (-28) U (47)9/8 at Texas A&M W 20-17 W (-1) U (49½)9/15 at Tennessee W 37-20 W (+3) O (47½)9/22 KENTUCKY W 38-0 W (-23½) U (52)10/6 LSU W 14-6 W (+1½) U (41½)10/13 at Vanderbilt W 31-17 W (-9½) O (39)10/20 S CAROLINA W 44-11 W (-3) O (41½)10/27 vs Georgia L 9-17 L (-6) U (45)11/3 MISSOURI W 14-7 L (-17½) U (41)11/10 LA LAFAYETTE W 27-20 L (-27) U (50½)11/17 JACKSONVILLE ST W 23-0 L (-37½) 11/24 at Florida St W 37-26 W (+7) O (39½)1/2 vs Louisville L 23-33 L (-14) O (47½)
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
SEc
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 14–0 8–5 3–9 12–2 37–16 69.8%
OVERALL ATS 10–4 5–8 4–8 12–2 31–22 58.5%
HOME ATS 5–3 3–4 3–4 6–2 17–13 56.7%
ROAD ATS 5–1 2–4 1–4 6–0 14–9 60.9%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 8–1 4–4 2–6 8–1 22–12 64.7%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 2–2 1–4 2–2 4–1 9–9 50.0%
AS FAVORITE ATS 8–4 2–3 2–2 6–2 18–11 62.1%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 2–0 3–5 2–6 6–0 13–11 54.2%
OVER-UNDER 7–6 7–6 5–6 8–6 27–24 52.9%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring +14.8 16
Yardage +80.6 27
Turnovers 0 T61
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 39.5 12
Yards/Game 501.3 11
Yds Per Play 6.92 8
Rush Yds/Gm 328.3 1
Pass Yds/Gm 173.0 108
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 24.7 48
Yards/Game 420.7 87
Yds Per Play 5.96 95
Rush Yds/Gm 162.1 63
Pass Yds/Gm 258.6 102
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
SEc
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 8–5 7–6 11–2 4–8 30–21 58.8%
OVERALL ATS 7–6 5–8 7–6 4–8 23–28 45.1%
HOME ATS 3–4 3–4 3–4 1–5 10–17 37.0%
ROAD ATS 4–2 2–4 4–2 3–3 13–11 54.2%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 4–4 2–6 6–2 4–4 16–16 50.0%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 3–2 3–2 1–4 0–4 7–12 36.8%
AS FAVORITE ATS 7–4 5–3 4–6 2–6 18–19 48.6%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 0–2 0–5 3–0 2–2 5–9 35.7%
OVER-UNDER 7–5 6–7 5–7 4–8 22–27 44.9%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring -2.3 80
Yardage +2.4 68
Turnovers -2 T73
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 18.8 T113
Yards/Game 316.7 115
Yds Per Play 4.79 110
Rush Yds/Gm 145.8 88
Pass Yds/Gm 170.9 109
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 21.1 15
Yards/Game 314.3 8
Yds Per Play 5.30 44
Rush Yds/Gm 142.4 33
Pass Yds/Gm 171.8 7
110 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2014
>GEORGIA
2011-13 gaME logS
8/309/139/209/2710/410/1110/1811/111/811/1511/2211/29
CLEMSONat South CarolinaTROYTENNESSEEVANDERBILTat Missouriat Arkansasvs. Florida*at KentuckyAUBURNCHARLESTON SOUTHERNGEORGIA TECH* at Jacksonville, Florida
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/31 at Clemson L 35-38 L (-1½) O (72)9/7 S CAROLINA W 41-30 W (-3) O (55½)9/21 NORTH TEXAS W 45-21 L (-33½) O (64)9/28 LSU W 44-41 P (-3) O (63)10/5 at Tennessee W 34-31 L (-13½) T (65)10/12 MISSOURI L 26-41 L (-7) O (65½)10/19 at Vanderbilt L 27-31 L (-6½) U (63½)11/2 vs Florida W 23-20 L (-3½) U (46)11/9 APPALACHIAN ST W 45-6 L (-39½) U (62½)11/16 at Auburn L 38-43 L (+3) O (65½)11/23 KENTUCKY W 59-17 W (-27) O (61½)11/30 at Georgia Tech W 41-34 W (-2½) O (58)
>KENTUCKY
2011-13 gaME logS
8/309/69/139/2710/410/1110/1810/2511/111/811/1511/29
TENNESSEE-MARTINOHIOat FloridaVANDERBILTSOUTH CAROLINALOUISIANA-MONROEat LSUMISSISSIPPI STATEat MissouriGEORGIAat Tennesseeat Louisville
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/31 vs W Kentucky L 26-35 L (-6) O (55½)9/7 MIAMI OHIO W 41-7 W (-18) U (55)9/14 LOUISVILLE L 13-27 L (+11) U (58)9/28 FLORIDA L 7-24 L (+11) U (46½)10/5 at S Carolina L 28-35 W (+22) O (53½)10/12 ALABAMA L 7-48 L (+26½) O (51½)10/24 at Mississippi St L 22-28 W (+12) U (54½)11/2 ALABAMA ST W 48-14 W (-27½) U (63)11/9 MISSOURI L 17-48 L (+14½) O (55)11/16 at Vanderbilt L 6-22 L (+11) U (51½)11/23 at Georgia L 17-59 L (+27) O (61½)11/30 TENNESSEE L 14-27 L (+3½) U (52½)
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/3 vs Boise St L 21-35 L (+3) O (51½)9/10 S CAROLINA L 42-45 L (+2½) O (51)9/17 COASTAL CAROLINA W 59-0 W (-39½) O (56)9/24 at Ole Miss W 27-13 W (-9½) U (54)10/1 MISSISSIPPI ST W 24-10 W (-7) U (52)10/8 at Tennessee W 20-12 W (-2½) U (54½)10/15 at Vanderbilt W 33-28 L (-13) O (42)10/29 vs Florida W 24-20 W (-3½) U (46½)11/5 NEW MEXICO ST W 63-16 W (-34½) O (57½)11/12 AUBURN W 45-7 W (-11½) U (56)11/19 KENTUCKY W 19-10 L (-30½) U (50½)11/26 at Georgia Tech W 31-17 W (-4½) U (53)12/3 vs LSU L 10-42 L (+11½) O (46½)1/2 vs Michigan St L 30-33 L (-2) O (48)
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/1 BUFFALO W 45-23 L (-37½) O (55)9/8 at Missouri W 41-20 W (-1) O (52½)9/15 FLA ATLANTIC W 56-20 L (-42½) O (52½)9/22 VANDERBILT W 48-3 W (-14½) O (49½)9/29 TENNESSEE W 51-44 L (-14) O (60)10/6 at S Carolina L 7-35 L (+1) U (55½)10/20 at Kentucky W 29-24 L (-26) U (57)10/27 vs Florida W 17-9 W (+6) U (45)11/3 OLE MISS W 37-10 W (-13½) U (62½)11/10 at Auburn W 38-0 W (-16) U (52)11/17 GA SOUTHERN W 45-14 L (-34½) 11/24 GEORGIA TECH W 42-10 W (-14½) U (64)12/1 vs Alabama L 28-32 W (+8½) O (48)1/1 vs Nebraska W 45-31 W (-9½) O (61½)
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/1 vs W Kentucky W 14-3 L (-18) U (50)9/10 C MICHIGAN W 27-13 W (-9½) U (48)9/17 LOUISVILLE L 17-24 L (-4) P (41)9/24 FLORIDA L 10-48 L (+17½) O (44½)10/1 at LSU L 7-35 W (+29½) U (45½)10/8 at S Carolina L 3-54 L (+21) O (43)10/22 JACKSONVILLE ST W 38-14 W (-12½) O (50)10/29 MISSISSIPPI ST L 16-28 L (+10½) O (41½)11/5 OLE MISS W 30-13 W (+2½) U (44)11/12 at Vanderbilt L 8-38 L (+13) O (44½)11/19 at Georgia L 10-19 W (+30½) U (50½)11/26 TENNESSEE W 10-7 W (+6) U (42½)
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/2 at Louisville L 14-32 L (+14) O (43)9/8 KENT ST W 47-14 W (-6) O (46½)9/15 W KENTUCKY L 31-32 L (-6½) O (50)9/22 at Florida L 0-38 L (+23½) U (52)9/29 S CAROLINA L 17-38 L (+20) O (51½)10/6 MISSISSIPPI ST L 14-27 L (+10) U (48½)10/13 at Arkansas L 7-49 L (+17) O (54½)10/20 GEORGIA L 24-29 W (+26) U (57)10/27 at Missouri L 10-33 L (+14) U (48½)11/3 VANDERBILT L 0-40 L (+6½) U (46)11/17 SAMFORD W 34-3 W (-14) 11/24 at Tennessee L 17-37 L (+14) U (61)
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
SEc
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 6–7 10–4 12–2 8–5 36–18 66.7%
OVERALL ATS 5–8 8–6 8–6 3–9 24–29 45.3%
HOME ATS 4–2 4–2 3–4 2–3 13–11 54.2%
ROAD ATS 1–6 4–4 5–2 1–6 11–18 37.9%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 3–5 5–4 6–3 2–5 16–17 48.5%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 2–3 3–2 2–3 1–4 8–12 40.0%
AS FAVORITE ATS 5–4 8–3 6–5 3–8 22–20 52.4%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 0–4 0–3 2–1 0–1 2–9 18.2%
OVER-UNDER 8–4 7–7 7–6 8–4 30–21 58.8%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring +7.7 40
Yardage +108.6 18
Turnovers -7 T102
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 36.7 21
Yards/Game 484.2 17
Yds Per Play 6.66 13
Rush Yds/Gm 169.9 66
Pass Yds/Gm 314.2 15
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 29.0 T79
Yards/Game 375.5 45
Yds Per Play 5.41 55
Rush Yds/Gm 148.2 T42
Pass Yds/Gm 227.4 60
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
SEc
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 6–7 5–7 2–10 2–10 15–34 30.6%
OVERALL ATS 6–7 6–6 3–9 4–8 19–30 38.8%
HOME ATS 5–2 4–3 3–4 2–5 14–14 50.0%
ROAD ATS 1–5 2–3 0–5 2–3 5–16 23.8%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 3–5 4–4 1–7 2–6 10–22 31.3%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 3–2 2–2 2–2 2–2 9–8 52.9%
AS FAVORITE ATS 4–1 2–2 2–1 2–1 10–5 66.7%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 2–6 4–4 1–8 2–7 9–25 26.5%
OVER-UNDER 8–4 5–6 5–6 5–7 23–23 50.0%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring -10.7 104
Yardage -86.0 107
Turnovers 0 T61
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 20.5 108
Yards/Game 341.2 109
Yds Per Play 5.29 91
Rush Yds/Gm 147.9 86
Pass Yds/Gm 193.3 100
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 31.2 90
Yards/Game 427.2 92
Yds Per Play 6.26 106
Rush Yds/Gm 197.3 94
Pass Yds/Gm 229.8 64
StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2014 111
>LSU
2011-13 gaME logS
8/309/69/139/209/2710/410/1110/1810/2511/811/1511/27
vs. Wisconsin*SAM HOUSTON STATELOUISIANA-MONROEMISSISSIPPI STATENEW MEXICO STATEat Auburnat FloridaKENTUCKYOLE MISSALABAMAat Arkansasat Texas A&M* at Houston, Texas
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/31 vs TCU W 37-27 W (-3½) O (47½)9/7 UAB W 56-17 W (-35) O (59)9/14 KENT ST W 45-13 L (-35½) O (54½)9/21 AUBURN W 35-21 L (-17) O (54)9/28 at Georgia L 41-44 P (+3) O (63)10/5 at Mississippi St W 59-26 W (-6½) O (54)10/12 FLORIDA W 17-6 W (-8) U (48½)10/19 at Ole Miss L 24-27 L (-9½) U (59½)10/26 FURMAN W 48-16 L (-46½) O (56½)11/9 at Alabama L 17-38 L (+14) T (55)11/23 TEXAS A&M W 34-10 W (-3) U (74)11/29 ARKANSAS W 31-27 L (-28) O (55½)1/1 vs Iowa W 21-14 L (-7½) U (48)
>
MISSISSIPP I
2011-13 gaME logS
8/289/69/139/2710/410/1110/1810/2511/111/811/2211/29
vs. Boise State*at VanderbiltLOUISIANA-LAFAYETTEMEMPHISALABAMAat Texas A&MTENNESSEEat LSUAUBURNPRESBYTERIANat ArkansasMISSISSIPPI STATE* at Atlanta, Georgia
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/29 at Vanderbilt W 39-35 W (-3) O (52½)9/7 SE MISSOURI ST W 31-13 L (-49½) U (61)9/14 at Texas W 44-23 W (+2) O (63½)9/28 at Alabama L 0-25 L (+14) U (54)10/5 at Auburn L 22-30 L (-2) U (58)10/12 TEXAS A&M L 38-41 W (+7) O (78)10/19 LSU W 27-24 W (+9½) U (59½)10/26 IDAHO W 59-14 W (-41½) O (58½)11/9 ARKANSAS W 34-24 L (-17) O (55)11/16 TROY W 51-21 W (-28) O (69½)11/23 MISSOURI L 10-24 L (+1) U (58½)11/28 at Mississippi St L 10-17 L (-4) U (53½)12/30 vs Georgia Tech W 25-17 W (-2½) U (55½)
ACCCollege Top 25
Big 12Big Ten
Conference USA
MAC
Mountain W
estSun Belt
IndependentsPac-12
SECA
AC
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/3 vs Oregon W 40-27 W (+3½) O (54)9/10 NORTHWESTERN ST W 49-3 L (-50) U (56)9/15 at Mississippi St W 19-6 W (-3½) U (48)9/24 at W Virginia W 47-21 W (-6) O (47)10/1 KENTUCKY W 35-7 L (-29½) U (45½)10/8 FLORIDA W 41-11 W (-14) O (41)10/15 at Tennessee W 38-7 W (-16) P (45)10/22 AUBURN W 45-10 W (-20½) O (47)11/5 at Alabama W 9-6 W (+5½) U (41½)11/12 W KENTUCKY W 42-9 L (-42) U (53)11/19 at Ole Miss W 52-3 W (-32) O (47½)11/25 ARKANSAS W 41-17 W (-11) O (53½)12/3 vs Georgia W 42-10 W (-11½) O (46½)1/9 vs Alabama L 0-21 L (+2½) U (42)
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/1 NORTH TEXAS W 41-14 L (-42) O (52)9/8 WASHINGTON W 41-3 W (-22½) U (53)9/15 IDAHO W 63-14 W (-42) O (52)9/22 at Auburn W 12-10 L (-18) U (45)9/29 TOWSON W 38-22 L (-43½) 10/6 at Florida L 6-14 L (-1½) U (41½)10/13 S CAROLINA W 23-21 L (-3) O (37½)10/20 at Texas A&M W 24-19 W (-4) U (52)11/3 ALABAMA L 17-21 W (+7) U (38½)11/10 MISSISSIPPI ST W 37-17 W (-14½) O (43½)11/17 OLE MISS W 41-35 L (-19) O (47½)11/23 at Arkansas W 20-13 L (-12) U (52)12/31 vs Clemson L 24-25 L (-5½) U (58)
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/3 BYU L 13-14 W (+2) U (54)9/10 S ILLINOIS W 42-24 L (-20½) O (58½)9/17 at Vanderbilt L 7-30 L (-2½) U (47)9/24 GEORGIA L 13-27 L (+9½) U (54)10/1 at Fresno St W 38-28 W (+4) O (55)10/15 ALABAMA L 7-52 L (+27½) O (45½)10/22 ARKANSAS L 24-29 W (+15½) U (58½)10/29 at Auburn L 23-41 L (+12) O (51)11/5 at Kentucky L 13-30 L (-2½) U (44)11/12 LOUISIANA TECH L 7-27 L (0) U (51)11/19 LSU L 3-52 L (+32) O (47½)11/26 at Mississippi St L 3-31 L (+17) U (46½)
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/1 C ARKANSAS W 49-27 W (-20) 9/8 UTEP W 28-10 W (-8) U (53)9/15 TEXAS L 31-66 L (+10½) O (51)9/22 at Tulane W 39-0 W (-17) U (53)9/29 at Alabama L 14-33 W (+31½) U (52½)10/6 TEXAS A&M L 27-30 W (+12½) U (64½)10/13 AUBURN W 41-20 W (-4) O (49)10/27 at Arkansas W 30-27 W (+6½) U (63)11/3 at Georgia L 10-37 L (+13½) U (62½)11/10 VANDERBILT L 26-27 L (-3) O (50½)11/17 at LSU L 35-41 W (+19) O (47½)11/24 MISSISSIPPI ST W 41-24 W (+1) O (53½)1/5 vs Pittsburgh W 38-17 W (-4) O (54)
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
SEc
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 11–2 13–1 10–3 10–3 44–9 83.0%
OVERALL ATS 6–7 10–4 5–8 5–7 26–26 50.0%
HOME ATS 3–4 3–3 4–4 3–4 13–15 46.4%
ROAD ATS 3–3 7–1 1–4 2–3 13–11 54.2%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 4–4 8–2 3–5 3–4 18–15 54.5%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 2–3 2–2 2–3 2–3 8–11 42.1%
AS FAVORITE ATS 4–4 8–3 4–8 5–6 21–21 50.0%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 2–2 2–1 1–0 0–1 5–4 55.6%
OVER-UNDER 5–6 7–6 5–7 8–4 25–23 52.1%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring +13.8 T22
Yardage +112.6 16
Turnovers 0 T61
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 35.8 T23
Yards/Game 453.3 35
Yds Per Play 6.94 7
Rush Yds/Gm 202.3 29
Pass Yds/Gm 251.0 45
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 22.0 21
Yards/Game 340.7 15
Yds Per Play 5.08 27
Rush Yds/Gm 143.2 36
Pass Yds/Gm 197.5 13
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
SEc
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 4–8 2–10 7–6 8–5 21–29 42.0%
OVERALL ATS 4–8 3–9 10–3 7–6 24–26 48.0%
HOME ATS 2–5 2–5 5–2 4–3 13–15 46.4%
ROAD ATS 2–3 1–4 5–1 3–3 11–11 50.0%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 3–5 1–7 6–2 3–5 13–19 40.6%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 1–3 2–2 4–1 4–1 11–7 61.1%
AS FAVORITE ATS 2–3 0–3 5–1 4–4 11–11 50.0%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 2–4 3–6 5–2 3–2 13–14 48.1%
OVER-UNDER 7–4 5–7 6–6 6–7 24–24 50.0%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring +6.3 46
Yardage +102.8 20
Turnovers +1 T54
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 30.0 57
Yards/Game 473.3 21
Yds Per Play 6.04 39
Rush Yds/Gm 190.0 42
Pass Yds/Gm 283.3 23
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 23.7 37
Yards/Game 370.5 38
Yds Per Play 5.25 35
Rush Yds/Gm 154.9 52
Pass Yds/Gm 215.5 36
112 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2014
>MISSISSIPP I STATE
2011-13 gaME logS
8/309/69/139/2010/410/1110/2511/111/811/1511/2211/29
SOUTHERN MISSUABat South Alabamaat LSUTEXAS A&MAUBURNat KentuckyARKANSASTENNESSEE-MARTINat AlabamaVANDERBILTat Ole Miss
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/31 vs Oklahoma St L 3-21 L (+12½) U (61½)9/7 ALCORN ST W 51-7 W (-41½) O (53½)9/14 at Auburn L 20-24 W (+6½) U (50½)9/21 TROY W 62-7 W (-13) O (58½)10/5 LSU L 26-59 L (+6½) O (54)10/12 BOWLING GREEN W 21-20 L (-11½) U (52)10/24 KENTUCKY W 28-22 L (-12) U (54½)11/2 at S Carolina L 16-34 L (+13) U (52)11/9 at Texas A&M L 41-51 W (+19½) O (69)11/16 ALABAMA L 7-20 W (+22½) U (52½)11/23 at Arkansas W 24-17 W (-3) U (48½)11/28 OLE MISS W 17-10 W (+4) U (53½)12/31 vs Rice W 44-7 W (-7) O (50½)
>
MISSOURI
2011-13 gaME logS
8/309/69/139/209/2710/1110/1810/2511/111/1511/2211/28
SOUTH DAKOTA STATEat ToledoUCFINDIANAat South CarolinaGEORGIAat FloridaVANDERBILTKENTUCKYat Texas A&Mat TennesseeARKANSAS
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/31 MURRAY ST W 58-14 W (-39) O (69½)9/7 TOLEDO W 38-23 W (-14) U (65½)9/21 at Indiana W 45-28 W (-3) O (70)9/28 ARKANSAS ST W 41-19 L (-23) U (62)10/5 at Vanderbilt W 51-28 W (-2½) O (56)10/12 at Georgia W 41-26 W (+7) O (65½)10/19 FLORIDA W 36-17 W (+3) O (44½)10/26 S CAROLINA L 24-27 L (-3) U (53½)11/2 TENNESSEE W 31-3 W (-11) U (54½)11/9 at Kentucky W 48-17 W (-14½) O (55)11/23 at Ole Miss W 24-10 W (-1) U (58½)11/30 TEXAS A&M W 28-21 W (-4) U (72½)12/7 vs Auburn L 42-59 L (-2½) O (59½)1/3 vs Oklahoma St W 41-31 W (+3) O (62)
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/1 at Memphis W 59-14 W (-31) O (50½)9/10 at Auburn L 34-41 L (-5) O (57)9/15 LSU L 6-19 L (+3½) U (48)9/24 LOUISIANA TECH W 26-20 L (-20) U (58)10/1 at Georgia L 10-24 L (+7) U (52)10/8 at UAB W 21-3 L (-19½) U (51½)10/15 S CAROLINA L 12-14 W (+3½) U (46½)10/29 at Kentucky W 28-16 W (-10½) O (41½)11/5 TENN-MARTIN W 55-17 W (-33½) O (54½)11/12 ALABAMA L 7-24 W (+18) U (44½)11/19 at Arkansas L 17-44 L (+13) O (54)11/26 OLE MISS W 31-3 W (-17) U (46½)12/30 vs Wake Forest W 23-17 L (-7) U (49)
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/1 JACKSON ST W 56-9 W (-38) 9/8 AUBURN W 28-10 W (-3) U (48½)9/15 at Troy W 30-24 L (-15) U (59)9/22 S ALABAMA W 30-10 L (-31½) U (49)10/6 at Kentucky W 27-14 W (-10) U (48½)10/13 TENNESSEE W 41-31 W (-3) O (56)10/20 MIDDLE TENN ST W 45-3 W (-18½) U (58)10/27 at Alabama L 7-38 L (+21½) O (44½)11/3 TEXAS A&M L 13-38 L (+6) U (61)11/10 at LSU L 17-37 L (+14½) O (43½)11/17 ARKANSAS W 45-14 W (-5) O (55)11/24 at Ole Miss L 24-41 L (-1) O (53½)1/1 vs Northwestern L 20-34 L (+2) U (54½)
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/3 MIAMI OHIO W 17-6 L (-19½) U (49)9/9 at Arizona St L 30-37 W (+10) O (50½)9/17 W ILLINOIS W 69-0 W (-30½) O (46½)9/24 at Oklahoma L 28-38 W (+19½) O (56½)10/8 at Kansas St L 17-24 L (-3½) U (54)10/15 IOWA ST W 52-17 W (-17½) O (56)10/22 OKLAHOMA ST L 24-45 L (+6) U (70)10/29 at Texas A&M W 38-31 W (+10) O (64)11/5 at Baylor L 39-42 L (+2) O (73)11/12 TEXAS W 17-5 W (0) U (58)11/19 TEXAS TECH W 31-27 L (-18) U (67)11/26 vs Kansas W 24-10 L (-26) U (56½)12/26 vs N Carolina W 41-24 W (-4½) O (54)
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/1 SE LOUISIANA W 62-10 W (-43½) 9/8 GEORGIA L 20-41 L (+1) O (52½)9/15 ARIZONA ST W 24-20 P (-4) U (60½)9/22 at S Carolina L 10-31 L (+10) U (47½)9/29 at UCF W 21-16 W (+2) U (48½)10/6 VANDERBILT L 15-19 L (-7) U (45)10/13 ALABAMA L 10-42 L (+21) O (41)10/27 KENTUCKY W 33-10 W (-14) U (48½)11/3 at Florida L 7-14 W (+17½) U (41)11/10 at Tennessee W 51-48 W (+3½) O (60½)11/17 SYRACUSE L 27-31 L (-6) O (55)11/24 at Texas A&M L 29-59 L (+23) O (59½)
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
SEc
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 9–4 7–6 8–5 7–6 31–21 59.6%
OVERALL ATS 7–6 6–7 6–7 8–5 27–25 51.9%
HOME ATS 3–4 4–2 5–2 4–3 16–11 59.3%
ROAD ATS 4–2 2–5 1–5 4–2 11–14 44.0%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 4–4 4–4 4–4 5–3 17–15 53.1%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 3–2 2–3 2–3 3–2 10–10 50.0%
AS FAVORITE ATS 6–1 4–4 6–3 4–2 20–10 66.7%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 1–4 2–3 0–4 4–3 7–14 33.3%
OVER-UNDER 4–8 5–8 5–7 5–8 19–31 38.0%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring +4.7 55
Yardage +85.1 24
Turnovers +7 T23
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 27.7 T70
Yards/Game 434.4 42
Yds Per Play 5.91 47
Rush Yds/Gm 189.9 43
Pass Yds/Gm 244.5 54
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 23.0 33
Yards/Game 349.3 18
Yds Per Play 5.45 59
Rush Yds/Gm 144.2 38
Pass Yds/Gm 205.2 22
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
SEc
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 10–3 8–5 5–7 12–2 35–17 67.3%
OVERALL ATS 7–6 7–6 5–6 11–3 30–21 58.8%
HOME ATS 4–2 3–3 2–4 5–2 14–11 56.0%
ROAD ATS 3–4 4–3 3–2 6–1 16–10 61.5%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 5–3 4–5 3–5 7–2 19–15 55.9%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 2–3 3–1 2–1 4–1 11–6 64.7%
AS FAVORITE ATS 5–5 3–4 2–2 8–3 18–14 56.3%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 2–1 4–2 3–4 3–0 12–7 63.2%
OVER-UNDER 4–8 7–6 5–6 8–6 24–26 48.0%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring +16.1 13
Yardage +73.0 30
Turnovers +16 4
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 39.1 13
Yards/Game 490.7 16
Yds Per Play 6.59 14
Rush Yds/Gm 237.9 16
Pass Yds/Gm 252.9 42
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 23.1 34
Yards/Game 417.7 82
Yds Per Play 5.41 56
Rush Yds/Gm 152.9 50
Pass Yds/Gm 264.8 109
StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2014 113
ACCCollege Top 25
Big 12Big Ten
Conference USA
MAC
Mountain W
estSun Belt
IndependentsPac-12
SECA
AC
>
TENNESSEE
2011-13 gaME logS
8/319/69/139/2710/410/1110/1810/2511/111/1511/2211/29
UTAH STATEARKANSAS STATEat Oklahomaat GeorgiaFLORIDACHATTANOOGAat Ole MissALABAMAat South CarolinaKENTUCKYMISSOURIat Vanderbilt
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/31 AUSTIN PEAY W 45-0 L (-51) U (67½)9/7 W KENTUCKY W 52-20 W (-14½) O (58½)9/14 at Oregon L 14-59 L (+28) O (68)9/21 at Florida L 17-31 W (+16) O (47½)9/28 S ALABAMA W 31-24 L (-16) T (55)10/5 GEORGIA L 31-34 W (+13½) T (65)10/19 S CAROLINA W 23-21 W (+7½) U (54½)10/26 at Alabama L 10-45 L (+28) O (50)11/2 at Missouri L 3-31 L (+11) U (54½)11/9 AUBURN L 23-55 L (+7½) O (57)11/23 VANDERBILT L 10-14 L (-3) U (48½)11/30 at Kentucky W 27-14 W (-3½) U (52½)
>SOUTH CAROL INA
2011-13 gaME logS
8/289/69/139/209/2710/410/1810/2511/111/1511/2211/29
TEXAS A&MEAST CAROLINAGEORGIAat VanderbiltMISSOURIat KentuckyFURMANat AuburnTENNESSEEat FloridaSOUTH ALABAMAat Clemson
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/29 N CAROLINA W 27-10 W (-11) U (56)9/7 at Georgia L 30-41 L (+3) O (55½)9/14 VANDERBILT W 35-25 L (-10½) O (48½)9/28 at UCF W 28-25 L (-7) U (53½)10/5 KENTUCKY W 35-28 L (-22) O (53½)10/12 at Arkansas W 52-7 W (-5) O (50)10/19 at Tennessee L 21-23 L (-7½) U (54½)10/26 at Missouri W 27-24 W (+3) U (53½)11/2 MISSISSIPPI ST W 34-16 W (-13) U (52)11/16 FLORIDA W 19-14 L (-15½) U (41½)11/23 COASTAL CAROLINA W 70-10 W (-34½) O (68½)11/30 CLEMSON W 31-17 W (-2) U (63)1/1 vs Wisconsin W 34-24 W (pk) O (51½)
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/3 MONTANA W 42-16 P (-26) 9/10 CINCINNATI W 45-23 W (-3½) O (56½)9/17 at Florida L 23-33 L (+9½) O (51½)10/1 BUFFALO W 41-10 W (-28½) U (56)10/8 GEORGIA L 12-20 L (+2½) U (54½)10/15 LSU L 7-38 L (+16) P (45)10/22 at Alabama L 6-37 L (+29½) U (47)10/29 S CAROLINA L 3-14 L (+3½) U (44½)11/5 MIDDLE TENN ST W 24-0 W (-22) U (54½)11/12 at Arkansas L 7-49 L (+16½) O (53½)11/19 VANDERBILT W 27-21 W (-1½) O (46)11/26 at Kentucky L 7-10 L (-6) U (42½)
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/31 vs NC State W 35-21 W (-3) O (52½)9/8 GEORGIA ST W 51-13 L (-46) 9/15 FLORIDA L 20-37 L (-3) O (47½)9/22 AKRON W 47-26 L (-32) O (65)9/29 at Georgia L 44-51 W (+14) O (60)10/13 at Mississippi St L 31-41 L (+3) O (56)10/20 ALABAMA L 13-44 L (+19) O (54)10/27 at S Carolina L 35-38 W (+13½) O (55)11/3 TROY W 55-48 L (-18½) O (69)11/10 MISSOURI L 48-51 L (-3½) O (60½)11/17 at Vanderbilt L 18-41 L (+2½) U (61½)11/24 KENTUCKY W 37-17 W (-14) U (61)
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/3 vs E Carolina W 56-37 L (-21) O (59½)9/10 at Georgia W 45-42 W (-2½) O (51)9/17 NAVY W 24-21 L (-15) U (59½)9/24 VANDERBILT W 21-3 W (-15) U (49½)10/1 AUBURN L 13-16 L (-10½) U (58½)10/8 KENTUCKY W 54-3 W (-21) O (43)10/15 at Mississippi St W 14-12 L (-3½) U (46½)10/29 at Tennessee W 14-3 W (-3½) U (44½)11/5 at Arkansas L 28-44 L (+4½) O (51)11/12 FLORIDA W 17-12 W (-2½) U (40)11/19 THE CITADEL W 41-20 L (-39½) O (50)11/26 CLEMSON W 34-13 W (-3) U (50½)1/2 vs Nebraska W 30-13 W (-3) U (45)
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/30 at Vanderbilt W 17-13 L (-6½) U (44½)9/8 E CAROLINA W 48-10 W (-21) O (50)9/15 UAB W 49-6 W (-33) O (54)9/22 MISSOURI W 31-10 W (-10) U (47½)9/29 at Kentucky W 38-17 W (-20) O (51½)10/6 GEORGIA W 35-7 W (-1) U (55½)10/13 at LSU L 21-23 W (+3) O (37½)10/20 at Florida L 11-44 L (+3) O (41½)10/27 TENNESSEE W 38-35 L (-13½) O (55)11/10 ARKANSAS W 38-20 W (-13½) O (51½)11/17 WOFFORD W 24-7 L (-30) 11/24 at Clemson W 27-17 W (+6½) U (60½)1/1 vs Michigan W 33-28 L (-5½) O (47½)
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
SEc
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 9–5 11–2 11–2 11–2 42–11 79.2%
OVERALL ATS 7–7 7–6 8–5 7–6 29–24 54.7%
HOME ATS 4–3 4–3 5–2 4–3 17–11 60.7%
ROAD ATS 3–4 3–3 3–3 3–3 12–13 48.0%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 4–5 5–3 5–3 3–5 17–16 51.5%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 3–2 2–3 3–2 4–1 12–8 60.0%
AS FAVORITE ATS 5–5 7–5 6–4 5–5 23–19 54.8%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 2–2 0–1 2–1 2–1 6–5 54.5%
OVER-UNDER 8–5 5–8 8–4 6–7 27–24 52.9%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring +13.8 21
Yardage +102.3 21
Turnovers +13 T8
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 34.1 32
Yards/Game 452.3 36
Yds Per Play 6.39 22
Rush Yds/Gm 198.5 32
Pass Yds/Gm 253.8 40
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 20.3 12
Yards/Game 350.0 19
Yds Per Play 5.46 60
Rush Yds/Gm 153.8 51
Pass Yds/Gm 196.2 12
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
SEc
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 6–7 5–7 5–7 5–7 21–28 42.9%
OVERALL ATS 7–6 4–7 4–8 5–7 20–28 41.7%
HOME ATS 3–4 4–3 1–6 3–4 11–17 39.3%
ROAD ATS 4–2 0–4 3–2 2–3 9–11 45.0%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 5–3 1–7 3–5 4–4 13–19 40.6%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 2–3 3–0 1–3 1–3 7–9 43.8%
AS FAVORITE ATS 4–2 4–1 2–5 2–3 12–11 52.2%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 2–4 0–6 2–3 3–4 7–17 29.2%
OVER-UNDER 9–3 4–6 9–2 5–5 27–16 62.8%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring -5.2 87
Yardage -65.1 97
Turnovers +1 T54
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 23.8 95
Yards/Game 353.3 104
Yds Per Play 5.27 94
Rush Yds/Gm 188.4 44
Pass Yds/Gm 164.9 111
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 29.0 T79
Yards/Game 418.4 84
Yds Per Play 6.07 100
Rush Yds/Gm 207.3 101
Pass Yds/Gm 211.1 T27
114 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2014
>TEXAS A&M
2011-13 gaME logS
8/289/69/139/209/2710/410/1110/1811/111/811/1511/27
at South CarolinaLAMARRICEat Southern Methodistvs. Arkansas*at Mississippi StateOLE MISSat AlabamaLOUISIANA-MONROEat AuburnMISSOURILSU* at Arlington, Texas
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/31 RICE W 52-31 L (-28) O (69)9/7 SAM HOUSTON ST W 65-28 W (-35½) O (78½)9/14 ALABAMA L 42-49 W (+8) O (63)9/21 SMU W 42-13 W (-27½) U (81)9/28 at Arkansas W 45-33 L (-13) O (66)10/12 at Ole Miss W 41-38 L (-7) O (78)10/19 AUBURN L 41-45 L (-12½) O (72)10/26 VANDERBILT W 56-24 W (-17½) O (69½)11/2 UTEP W 57-7 W (-48) U (78)11/9 MISSISSIPPI ST W 51-41 L (-19½) O (69)11/23 at LSU L 10-34 L (+3) U (74)11/30 at Missouri L 21-28 L (+4) U (72½)12/31 vs Duke W 52-48 L (-14) O (76)
>
VANDERBILT
2011-13 gaME logS
8/289/69/139/209/2710/410/1110/2511/111/811/2211/29
TEMPLEOLE MISSMASSACHUSETTSSOUTH CAROLINAat Kentuckyat GeorgiaCHARLESTON SOUTHERNat MissouriOLD DOMINIONFLORIDAat Mississippi StateTENNESSEE
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/29 OLE MISS L 35-39 L (+3) O (52½)9/7 AUSTIN PEAY W 38-3 L (-47) U (55)9/14 at S Carolina L 25-35 W (+10½) O (48½)9/21 at Massachusetts W 24-7 L (-29) U (54½)9/28 UAB W 52-24 W (-20) O (57½)10/5 MISSOURI L 28-51 L (+2½) O (56)10/19 GEORGIA W 31-27 W (+6½) U (63½)10/26 at Texas A&M L 24-56 L (+17½) O (69½)11/9 at Florida W 34-17 W (+13) O (41)11/16 KENTUCKY W 22-6 W (-11) U (51½)11/23 at Tennessee W 14-10 W (+3) U (48½)11/30 WAKE FOREST W 23-21 L (-14) O (43)1/4 vs Houston W 41-24 W (-1½) O (53)
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/4 SMU W 46-14 W (-14½) O (55)9/17 IDAHO W 37-7 L (-36½) U (60)9/24 OKLAHOMA ST L 29-30 L (-5) U (68½)10/1 vs Arkansas L 38-42 L (-2½) O (62)10/8 at Texas Tech W 45-40 L (-8½) O (72½)10/15 BAYLOR W 55-28 W (-8) O (76)10/22 at Iowa St W 33-17 L (-22) U (66½)10/29 MISSOURI L 31-38 L (-10) O (64)11/5 at Oklahoma L 25-41 L (+14) U (67)11/12 at Kansas St L 50-53 L (-5½) O (66½)11/19 KANSAS W 61-7 W (-32) O (65)11/24 TEXAS L 25-27 L (-7½) U (53)12/31 vs Northwestern W 33-22 W (-9½) U (68½)
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/8 FLORIDA L 17-20 L (+1) U (49½)9/15 at SMU W 48-3 W (-10) U (60½)9/22 S CAROLINA ST W 70-14 W (-45) 9/29 ARKANSAS W 58-10 W (-13) O (65)10/6 at Ole Miss W 30-27 L (-12½) U (64½)10/13 vs Louisiana Tech W 59-57 L (-9½) O (77)10/20 LSU L 19-24 L (+4) U (52)10/27 at Auburn W 63-21 W (-14) O (54)11/3 at Mississippi St W 38-13 W (-6) U (61)11/10 at Alabama W 29-24 W (+13½) U (55½)11/17 SAM HOUSTON ST W 47-28 L (-38) 11/24 MISSOURI W 59-29 W (-23) O (59½)1/4 vs Oklahoma W 41-13 W (-3) U (72½)
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/3 ELON W 45-14 W (-15) 9/10 CONNECTICUT W 24-21 W (-1½) U (46)9/17 OLE MISS W 30-7 W (+2½) U (47)9/24 at S Carolina L 3-21 L (+15) U (49½)10/8 at Alabama L 0-34 L (+29) U (44)10/15 GEORGIA L 28-33 W (+13) O (42)10/22 ARMY W 44-21 W (-12) O (47)10/29 ARKANSAS L 28-31 W (+8) O (53½)11/5 at Florida L 21-26 W (+12½) O (44)11/12 KENTUCKY W 38-8 W (-13) O (44½)11/19 at Tennessee L 21-27 L (+1½) O (46)11/26 at Wake Forest W 41-7 W (+1) U (49½)12/31 vs Cincinnati L 24-31 L (-2) O (50½)
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/30 S CAROLINA L 13-17 W (+6½) U (44½)9/8 at Northwestern L 13-23 L (-3) U (54½)9/15 PRESBYTERIAN W 58-0 W (-39½) 9/22 at Georgia L 3-48 L (+14½) O (49½)10/6 at Missouri W 19-15 W (+7) U (45)10/13 FLORIDA L 17-31 L (+9½) O (39)10/20 AUBURN W 17-13 L (-6) U (45½)10/27 MASSACHUSETTS W 49-7 W (-33) O (50)11/3 at Kentucky W 40-0 W (-6½) U (46)11/10 at Ole Miss W 27-26 W (+3) O (50½)11/17 TENNESSEE W 41-18 W (-2½) U (61½)11/24 at Wake Forest W 55-21 W (-13) O (47)12/31 vs NC State W 38-24 W (-7½) O (54)
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
SEc
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 9–4 7–6 11–2 9–4 36–16 69.2%
OVERALL ATS 8–5 4–9 8–5 5–8 25–27 48.1%
HOME ATS 5–2 3–4 3–3 5–3 16–12 57.1%
ROAD ATS 3–3 1–5 5–2 0–5 9–15 37.5%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 6–2 2–7 5–3 2–6 15–18 45.5%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 1–3 2–2 3–2 3–2 9–9 50.0%
AS FAVORITE ATS 5–2 4–8 7–3 3–7 19–20 48.7%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 2–3 0–1 1–2 1–2 4–8 33.3%
OVER-UNDER 6–6 7–6 4–7 9–4 26–23 53.1%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring +12.0 30
Yardage +62.6 38
Turnovers +1 T54
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 44.2 5
Yards/Game 538.4 4
Yds Per Play 7.34 4
Rush Yds/Gm 185.1 45
Pass Yds/Gm 353.3 7
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 32.2 96
Yards/Game 475.8 111
Yds Per Play 6.36 109
Rush Yds/Gm 222.3 112
Pass Yds/Gm 253.5 97
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
SEc
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 2–10 6–7 9–4 9–4 26–25 51.0%
OVERALL ATS 3–9 9–4 9–4 7–6 28–23 54.9%
HOME ATS 2–5 7–0 4–2 3–4 16–11 59.3%
ROAD ATS 1–4 2–4 5–2 4–2 12–12 50.0%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 1–7 5–3 5–3 5–3 16–16 50.0%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 2–2 4–1 4–1 2–3 12–7 63.2%
AS FAVORITE ATS 1–1 4–1 6–2 3–3 14–7 66.7%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 2–8 5–3 3–2 4–3 14–16 46.7%
OVER-UNDER 6–6 7–5 6–6 8–5 27–22 55.1%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring +5.5 50
Yardage +11.8 62
Turnovers +6 T29
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 30.1 56
Yards/Game 366.5 94
Yds Per Play 5.41 80
Rush Yds/Gm 139.0 T93
Pass Yds/Gm 227.5 69
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 24.6 46
Yards/Game 354.8 23
Yds Per Play 5.07 25
Rush Yds/Gm 147.8 41
Pass Yds/Gm 206.9 23
116 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2014
>
APPALACHIAN STATEOffense: Starters returning - 8; Defense: Starters returning - 8The FCS powerhouse had a rough 4-8 final year in the NCAA’s lower division. Second-year coach (and longtime ASU assistant) Scott Satterfield has his work cut out for him. QB Kameron Bryant (71.2% comp., 14 TD, 4 INT) isn’t as mobile as some of Satterfield’s former stars, but he’s accurate. Defense is the problem. ASU allowed 27.8 PPG last season, 71st among 126 teams at the FCS level, and was bottom-20 in rushing yards allowed (220.3).
ARKANSAS STATEOffense: Starters returning - 4; Defense: Starters returning - 8New Head Coach: Blake AndersonQB Fredi Knighton (4.5 YPA, 2 TD; 344 rush yds, 5 TD) likely retains the start-ing job he earned late last year. The undersized dual threat should thrive in Blake Anderson’s up-tempo system. RB Michael Gordon (960 total yds, 11 TD), WR J.D. McKissic (662 rec yds) and TE Darion Griswold (312 rec yds) are solid weapons. The defense will miss stud DT Ryan Carrethers, but LB Qushaun Lee (134 tackles) anchors an improving 4-2-5 defensive scheme.
GEORGIA SOUTHERNOffense: Starters returning - 8; Defense: Starters returning - 8New Head Coach: Willie FritzThe Eagles move to FBS with a new look. The arrival of Willie Fritz signals that they will move away from the triple-option offense they used under Jeff Monken. Fritz ran a spread option at Sam Houston State, and he’ll trust QB Kevin Ellison (9.6 YPA, 2 TD, 3 INT) to throw more than his 79 passes as a freshman starter. While Fritz retained defensive coordinator Jack Curtis, it’s an undersized unit that’s short on talent in the front seven.
GEORGIA STATEOffense: Starters returning - 5; Defense: Starters returning - 5The Panthers had a nightmarish FBS debut, losing all 12 games in 2013. QB Ronnie Bell (6.9 YPA, 15 TD, 11 INT), an Ohio transfer, looks to build on a decent first season as a starter. He’ll need sophomore WR Robert Davis (711 rec yds) to make a big leap with top target Albert Wilson gone. The defense will likely be overmatched again. LB Joseph Peterson (103 tackles) is a rock in the front seven, but GSU still surrendered 221.2 rush YPG last year.
IDAHOOffense: Starters returning - 8; Defense: Starters returning - 7Idaho moves to the Sun Belt after a one-win season as an FBS Independent. The offense (18.2 PPG) has a chance to improve. The Vandals have a veteran O-Line and redshirt freshman QB Matt Linehan appears to be an upgrade at the position. The defense will likely be overmatched, especially in the secondary. The Vandals were rotating offensive players by the end of last season, when they allowed an FBS-high 46.8 PPG, including 40 TD passes.
LOUISIANA-LAFAYETTEOffense: Starters returning - 8; Defense: Starters returning - 9 The Ragin’ Cajuns figure to be the class of the Sun Belt again. They return a stacked backfield with QB Terrance Broadway (9.1 YPA, 27 total TD) and RBs Alonzo Harris (942 rush yds, 14 TD) and Elijah McGuire (863 rush yds, 8 TD), plus an O-Line with four starters back. ULL was shaky defensively last year, allowing 29.0 PPG over their final six games due to a toothless pass rush.
LOUISIANA-MONROEOffense: Starters returning - 5; Defense: Starters returning - 9Former Colorado State and NC State starter Pete Thomas (6.7 YPA, 4 TD, 9 INT) steps in at QB and has a solid target in WR Rashon Ceaser (964 yards), but the tandem of RBs Centarius Donald (433 rush yds, 4 TD) and converted WR Tyler Cain will likely carry the load. A veteran defense bodes well for the Warhawks, though their lack of a pass rush cost them late last year.
NEW MEXICO STATEOffense: Starters returning - 8; Defense: Starters returning - 3The Aggies lost the two best players from a two-win team—WR Austin Franklin and QB Andrew McDonald. JUCO transfer QB Tyler Rogers likely takes over under center, though sophomore RB Xavier Hall (5.1 YPC) could be the focus. Veteran coach Larry Coyer takes over as defensive coordina-tor. He inherits a group that allowed an NCAA-worst 550 total YPG last year.
SOUTH ALABAMAOffense: Starters returning - 8; Defense: Starters returning - 6Six-foot-5 dual-threat QB Brandon Bridge (6.0 YPA, 4.6 YPC) has plenty of weaponry with WR Shavarez Smith (940 rec yds, 6 TD), TE Wes Saxton (635 rec yds) and Alabama transfer WRs Marvin Shinn and Josh Magee. The bulk of a quality secondary returns. DE Pat Moore (5.5 sacks) must step up.
TEXAS STATEOffense: Starters returning - 8; Defense: Starters returning - 3Dennis Franchione will go up-tempo on offense with sophomore dual threat QB Tyler Jones (7.1 YPA, 8 TD, 5 INT) taking over. He’ll get plenty of help from RB Robert Lowe (945 rush yds, 5.8 YPC, 9 TD). LB David Mayo (89 tackles) leads the defense. The secondary and pass rush could be lacking though.
TROYOffense: Starters returning - 5; Defense: Starters returning - 5RBs Brandon Burks (675 rush yds) and Jordan Chunn (14 TD), and WR Bryan Holmes (16.9 rec avg, 7 TD) lead Troy’s offense. Ex-No. 3 QB Dallas Tidwell (12-of-16, 137 yds, 2 TD) and redshirt freshman QB Brandon Silvers are potential starters. Aside from LBs Mark Wilson and Wayland Coleman-Dancer, Troy will rely on a JUCO influx to improve its 35.9 PPG allowed.
pREdictEd FiniSh1. La.-Lafayette2. La.-Monroe3. Arkansas State4. South Alabama5. Troy6. Texas State
7. Idaho8. Georgia Southern9. New Mexico State10. Georgia State11. Appalachian St.SUN BELT
College Top 25Big 12
Big TenConference U
SAM
ACM
ountain West
SECIndependents
Pac-12A
ACSun Belt
StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2014 117
>APPALACHIAN STATE
2011-13 gaME logS
8/309/2010/410/1811/111/811/1511/2211/29
at Michiganat Southern MissSOUTH ALABAMAat TroyGEORGIA STATELOUISIANA-MONROEat Arkansas Stateat Louisiana-LafayetteIDAHO
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/31 at Montana L 6-309/7 NO CAROLINA A&T L 21-249/21 at Elon W 31-219/28 CHARLESTON SO L 24-2710/5 at The Citadel L 28-3110/12 SAMFORD L 10-3410/19 at Furman L 10-2710/26 GA SOUTHERN W 38-1411/2 CHATTANOOGA L 28-3511/9 at Georgia L 6-45 W (+40) U (62½)11/16 at Wofford W 33-2111/23 WESTERN CAROLINA W 48-27
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/3 at Virginia Tech L 13-66 L (+26) O (60)9/10 NO. CAROLINA A&T W 58-69/17 SAVANNAH STATE W 41-69/24 CHATTANOOGA W 14-1210/1 at Wofford L 14-2810/15 at The Citadel W 49-4210/22 SAMFORD W 35-1710/29 GA SOUTHERN W 24-1711/5 at Furman L 10-2011/12 WESTERN CAROLINA W 46-1411/19 at Elon W 28-2412/3 MAINE L 12-34
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/1 at East Carolina L 13-35 L (+14½)9/8 MONTANA W 35-27 9/15 THE CITADEL L 28-529/22 at Chattanooga W 34-179/29 COASTAL CAROLINA W 55-1410/6 ELON W 35-2310/13 at Samford W 28-2510/20 WOFFORD L 28-3810/27 at Western Carolina W 38-2711/3 at Ga Southern W 31-2811/10 FURMAN W 33-2812/1 ILLINOIS STATE L 37-38
>ARKANSAS STATE
2011-13 gaME logS
8/309/69/139/2010/410/1110/2111/111/811/1511/2011/29
MONTANA STATEat Tennesseeat Miami (FL)UTAH STATELOUISIANA-MONROEat Georgia Stateat Louisiana-Lafayetteat IdahoSOUTH ALABAMAAPPALACHIAN STATEat Texas StateNEW MEXICO STATE
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/31 AK-PINE BLUFF W 62-11 W (-25½) O (50½)9/7 at Auburn L 9-38 L (+10½) U (60½)9/12 TROY W 41-34 W (-6) O (68)9/21 at Memphis L 7-31 L (-3) U (52½)9/28 at Missouri L 19-41 W (+23) U (62)10/12 IDAHO W 48-24 L (-27½) O (62½)10/22 LA LAFAYETTE L 7-23 L (-1½) U (69)11/2 at S Alabama W 17-16 W (+3) U (64)11/9 at LA Monroe W 42-14 W (+3) O (55)11/16 TEXAS ST W 38-21 W (-7½) O (51½)11/23 GEORGIA ST W 35-33 L (-24) O (58)11/30 at W Kentucky L 31-34 W (+6) O (56)1/5 vs Ball St W 23-20 W (+6) U (65½)
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/3 at Illinois L 15-33 W (+19) U (54)9/10 MEMPHIS W 47-3 W (-18) U (55½)9/17 at Virginia Tech L 7-26 W (+24) U (53)9/24 C ARKANSAS W 53-24 W (-19½) O (53½)10/1 at W Kentucky W 26-22 L (-11½) U (52½)10/8 at LA Monroe W 24-19 W (-2½) U (55)10/18 FLA INTERNATIONAL W 34-16 W (-3½) U (54½)10/29 NORTH TEXAS W 37-14 W (-17½) U (54)11/5 at FLA Atlantic W 39-21 W (-17) O (47)11/12 LA LAFAYETTE W 30-21 L (-11) U (56½)11/19 at Middle Tenn st W 45-19 W (-13½) O (58)12/3 TROY W 45-14 W (-17½) O (57)1/8 vs N Illinois L 20-38 L (-1½) U (66)
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/1 at Oregon L 34-57 W (+37½) O (70)9/8 MEMPHIS W 33-28 L (-23½) O (60)9/15 at Nebraska L 13-42 L (+23½) U (67)9/22 ALCORN ST W 56-0 W (-39½) 9/29 W KENTUCKY L 13-26 L (-1½) U (57½)10/4 at Fla. Internatnl W 34-20 W (-2½) U (56½)10/13 S ALABAMA W 36-29 L (-20½) O (51½)10/23 at LA Lafayette W 50-27 W (+3½) O (62)11/3 at North Texas W 37-19 W (-4½) U (58½)11/8 LA MONROE W 45-23 W (-7½) O (59½)11/17 at Troy W 41-34 W (-3) O (68)12/1 MIDDLE TENN ST W 45-0 W (-13½) U (64)1/6 vs Kent St W 17-13 W (-3) U (63½)
2014 SchEdulE
Sun bElt
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO.
Scoring -4.4
Yardage +9.3
Turnovers +1
OFFENSE NO.
Points Scored 23.6
Yards/Game 409.8
Yds Per Play 5.82
Rush Yds/Gm 138.0
Pass Yds/Gm 271.8
DEFENSE NO.
Points Allowed 28.0
Yards/Game 400.5
Yds Per Play 5.76
Rush Yds/Gm 220.3
Pass Yds/Gm 180.3
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
Sun bElt
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 4–8 10–3 10–3 8–5 32–19 62.7%
OVERALL ATS 7–5 10–3 9–4 8–5 34–17 66.7%
HOME ATS 3–2 5–1 3–3 3–3 14–9 60.9%
ROAD ATS 4–3 5–2 6–1 5–2 20–8 71.4%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 5–3 6–2 6–2 5–2 22–9 71.0%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 2–2 4–1 3–2 3–3 12–8 60.0%
AS FAVORITE ATS 3–1 8–3 7–3 3–4 21–11 65.6%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 4–4 2–0 2–1 5–1 13–6 68.4%
OVER-UNDER 7–5 4–9 6–6 7–6 24–26 48.0%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring +3.0 64
Yardage -5.3 73
Turnovers +7 T23
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 29.2 67
Yards/Game 407.8 66
Yds Per Play 5.60 65
Rush Yds/Gm 205.7 24
Pass Yds/Gm 202.1 91
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 26.2 58
Yards/Game 413.1 75
Yds Per Play 5.78 84
Rush Yds/Gm 180.2 81
Pass Yds/Gm 232.9 69
AAC
no Situational REcoRdS: appalachian StatE haS plaYEd onlY onE linEd gaME in Each oF thE paSt thREE SEaSonS.
118 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2014
>GEORGIA SOUTHERN
2011-13 gaME logS
8/309/139/2010/410/1110/2510/3011/811/1511/29
at North Carolina Stateat Georgia Techat South Alabamaat New Mexico StateIDAHOat Georgia StateTROYat Texas Stateat NavyLOUISIANA-MONROE
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL
8/31 SAVANNAH STATE W 77-99/7 SAINT FRANCIS (PA) W 59-179/14 at Wofford L 20-309/28 CHATTANOOGA W 23-2110/5 at Samford L 34-4410/12 THE CITADEL W 28-2110/26 at Appalachian St L 14-3811/2 FURMAN L 14-1611/9 WESTERN CAROLINA W 35-1911/16 at Elon W 38-2011/23 at Florida W 26-20 W (+28) O (44)
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/3 at Samford W 31-179/10 TUSCULUM W 62-219/24 WESTERN CAROLINA W 52-2010/1 at Elon W 41-1410/8 CHATTANOOGA W 28-2710/15 FURMAN W 50-2010/22 PRESBYTERIAN W 48-1410/29 at Appalachian St L 17-2411/5 THE CITADEL W 14-1211/12 at Wofford W 31-1011/19 at Alabama L 21-45 W (+42½) O (54)12/3 OLD DOMINION W 55-4812/10 MAINE W 35-2312/17 at North Dakota St L 7-35
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/1 JACKSONVILLE W 58-09/8 at The Citadel L 21-23 9/22 ELON W 26-239/29 SAMFORD W 35-1610/6 at Western Carolina W 45-1310/13 WOFFORD W 17-910/20 FURMAN W 38-1710/27 at Chattanooga W 39-3111/3 APPALACHIAN ST L 28-3111/10 HOWARD W 69-2611/17 at Georgia L 14-45 W (+32)12/1 CENTRAL ARKANSAS W 24-1612/8 at Old Dominion W 49-3512/14 at North Dakota St L 20-23
>
GEORGIA STATE
2011-13 gaME logS
8/279/69/139/2010/410/1110/1810/2511/111/811/2211/29
ABILENE CHRISTIANNEW MEXICO STATEAIR FORCEat Washingtonat Louisiana-LafayetteARKANSAS STATEat South AlabamaGEORGIA SOUTHERNat Appalachian Stateat Troyat ClemsonTEXAS STATE
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/30 SAMFORD L 21-31 P (+10) O (49)9/7 CHATTANOOGA L 14-42 L (+5) O (50½)9/14 at W Virginia L 7-41 W (+41½) U (55½)9/21 JACKSONVILLE ST L 26-32 W (+9½) O (53½)10/5 at Alabama L 3-45 W (+53½) U (59)10/12 TROY L 28-35 W (+15) O (62)10/19 at Texas St L 17-24 W (+16) U (50)10/26 at LA Monroe L 10-38 L (+16½) U (52)11/2 W KENTUCKY L 28-44 W (+19) O (56½)11/16 LA LAFAYETTE L 21-35 W (+20½) U (59½)11/23 at Arkansas St L 33-35 W (+24) O (58)11/30 S ALABAMA L 17-38 L (+8) U (60½)
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL
9/2 CLARK ATLANTA W 41-79/10 OLD DOMINION L 17-409/17 at Jacksonville State L 21-379/24 at Houston L 0-56 L (+40½)10/8 MURRAY STATE L 24-4810/15 at So. Carolina St L 13-2310/22 SOUTH ALABAMA W 27-2010/29 at Tex-San Antonio L 14-1711/5 ST. FRANCIS (IL) L 27-3011/12 at West Alabama L 23-3011/19 CAMPBELL W 42-35
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL
8/30 SO. CAROLINA ST L 6-339/8 at Tennessee L 13-51 W (+45)9/15 TEX-SAN ANTONIO L 14-38 L (+7½)9/22 RICHMOND L 14-359/29 at William & Mary L 3-3510/6 NEW HAMPSHIRE L 21-4410/13 at Rhode Island W 41-710/20 VILLANOVA L 24-4910/27 at James Madison L 21-2811/3 OLD DOMINION L 27-5311/10 at Maine L 7-51
2014 SchEdulE
Sun bElt
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO.
Scoring +11.9
Yardage +91.0
Turnovers -5
OFFENSE NO.
Points Scored 35.1
Yards/Game 451.5
Yds Per Play 6.82
Rush Yds/Gm 360.4
Pass Yds/Gm 91.1
DEFENSE NO.
Points Allowed 23.2
Yards/Game 360.5
Yds Per Play 5.59
Rush Yds/Gm 160.4
Pass Yds/Gm 200.1
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
Sun bElt
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 0–1 3–7 1–10 0–12 4–30 11.8%
OVERALL ATS 0–1 0–1 1–1 8–3 9–6 60.0%
HOME ATS 0–0 0–0 0–1 4–2 4–3 57.1%
ROAD ATS 0–1 0–1 1–0 4–1 5–3 62.5%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 0–0 0–0 0–0 5–2 5–2 71.4%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 0–1 0–1 1–1 3–1 4–4 50.0%
AS FAVORITE ATS [NO GAMES AS A FAVORITE THE PAST FOUR YEARS]
AS UNDERDOG ATS 0–1 0–1 1–1 8–3 9–6 60.0%
OVER-UNDER 0–0 0–1 0–0 6–6 6–7 46.2%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring -17.9 115
Yardage -111.3 114
Turnovers -7 T102
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 18.8 115
Yards/Game 355.3 103
Yds Per Play 5.37 87
Rush Yds/Gm 102.3 115
Pass Yds/Gm 253.0 41
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 36.7 T110
Yards/Game 466.5 107
Yds Per Play 6.30 107
Rush Yds/Gm 221.3 110
Pass Yds/Gm 245.3 85
no Situational REcoRdS: gEoRgia SouthERn haS plaYEd onlY onE linEd gaME in Each oF thE paSt thREE SEaSonS.
StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2014 119
>IDAHO
2011-13 gaME logS
8/309/69/139/209/2710/410/1110/1811/111/811/1511/29
at Floridaat Louisiana-MonroeWESTERN MICHIGANat OhioSOUTH ALABAMAat Texas Stateat Georgia SouthernNEW MEXICO STATEARKANSAS STATEat San Diego StateTROYat Appalachian State
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/31 at North Texas L 6-40 L (+16½) U (55)9/7 at Wyoming L 10-42 L (+28½) U (63½)9/14 N ILLINOIS L 35-45 W (+30) O (63)9/21 at Washington St L 0-42 L (+31½) U (57)9/28 TEMPLE W 26-24 W (+7½) U (57½)10/5 FRESNO ST L 14-61 L (+27½) O (68)10/12 at Arkansas St L 24-48 W (+27½) O (62½)10/26 at Ole Miss L 14-59 L (+41½) O (58½)11/2 TEXAS ST L 21-37 L (+11) O (49½)11/9 OLD DOMINION L 38-59 L (+14) O (70½)11/23 at Florida St L 14-80 L (+59) O (70)11/30 at New Mexico st L 16-24 L (+2½) U (64)
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/1 BOWLING GREEN L 15-32 L (-6) U (53)9/10 N DAKOTA W 44-14 9/17 at Texas A&M L 7-37 W (+36½) U (60)9/24 FRESNO ST L 24-48 L (0) O (53)10/1 at Virginia L 20-21 W (+16) U (53)10/8 LOUISIANA TECH L 11-24 L (+4) U (55)10/15 at New Mexico st L 24-31 L (-1) O (50)10/29 HAWAII L 14-16 W (+7) U (55½)11/5 at San Jose st W 32-29 W (+8) O (47)11/12 at BYU L 7-42 L (+22) O (48)11/19 UTAH ST L 42-49 P (+7) O (52)12/3 at Nevada L 3-56 L (+18) O (56)
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/30 E WASHINGTON L 3-20 L (-4½) 9/8 at Bowling Green L 13-21 W (+17) U (49½)9/15 at LSU L 14-63 L (+42) O (52)9/22 WYOMING L 37-40 L (-2½) O (52)9/29 at N Carolina L 0-66 L (+27) O (60)10/6 NEW MEXICO ST W 26-18 L (-8½) U (55)10/13 at Texas St L 7-38 L (+1½) U (54½)10/20 at Louisiana Tech L 28-70 L (+30) O (73)11/3 SAN JOSE ST L 13-42 L (+21) O (54½)11/10 at BYU L 13-52 W (+40½) O (50½)11/17 UTSA L 27-34 L (+5) O (56)11/24 at Utah St L 9-45 W (+37) U (57)
>LOUIS IANA-LAFAYETTE
2011-13 gaME logS
8/309/69/139/2010/410/1410/2111/111/811/1511/2211/29
SOUTHERN UNIVERSITYLOUISIANA TECHat Ole Missat Boise StateGEORGIA STATEat Texas StateARKANSAS STATESOUTH ALABAMAat New Mexico Stateat Louisiana-MonroeAPPALACHIAN STATEat Troy
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/31 at Arkansas L 14-34 L (+10) U (55½)9/7 at Kansas St L 27-48 L (+12½) O (60½)9/14 NICHOLLS ST W 70-7 W (-26) O (59)9/21 at Akron W 35-30 L (-7) O (63½)10/5 TEXAS ST W 48-24 W (-10½) O (54½)10/15 at W Kentucky W 37-20 W (+3) U (61½)10/22 at Arkansas St W 23-7 W (+1½) U (69)11/2 NEW MEXICO ST W 49-35 L (-32½) O (67½)11/7 TROY W 41-36 L (-14) O (67½)11/16 at Georgia St W 35-21 L (-20½) U (59½)11/30 LA MONROE L 28-31 L (-18) O (56½)12/7 at S Alabama L 8-30 L (+3) U (59½)12/21 TULANE W 24-21 W (pk) U (50½)
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/3 at Oklahoma St L 34-61 W (+38) O (62)9/10 at Kent St W 20-12 W (+8½) U (52½)9/17 NICHOLLS ST W 38-21 L (-21½) O (54½)9/24 at FLA International W 36-31 W (+16½) O (51)10/1 FLA ATLANTIC W 37-34 L (-7½) O (48½)10/8 TROY W 31-17 W (+6) U (59)10/15 NORTH TEXAS W 30-10 W (-8½) U (55)10/22 at W Kentucky L 23-42 L (-3) O (48)10/29 at Middle Tenn st W 45-20 W (+3) O (63)11/5 LA MONROE W 36-35 L (-5) O (55½)11/12 at Arkansas St L 21-30 W (+11) U (56½)11/26 at Arizona L 37-45 W (+14) O (64½)12/17 vs San Diego st W 32-30 W (+6) O (60½)
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/1 LAMAR W 40-0 W (-35) 9/8 at Troy W 37-24 W (-1½) U (62)9/15 at Oklahoma St L 24-65 L (+23) O (73½)9/29 FLA INTERNATNL W 48-20 W (-6½) O (54½)10/6 TULANE W 41-13 L (-31) P (54)10/16 at North Texas L 23-30 L (-4½) U (56)10/23 ARKANSAS ST L 27-50 L (-3½) O (62)11/3 at LA Monroe W 40-24 W (+9) O (60)11/10 at Florida L 20-27 W (+27) U (50½)11/17 W KENTUCKY W 31-27 L (-4½) O (57½)11/24 S ALABAMA W 52-30 W (-18) O (56)12/1 at FLA Atlantic W 35-21 W (-8½) U (61)12/22 vs E Carolina W 43-34 W (-6½) O (70)
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
Sun bElt
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 6–7 2–10 1–11 1–11 10–39 20.4%
OVERALL ATS 6–7 4–6 3–9 3–9 16–31 34.0%
HOME ATS 2–4 1–3 0–5 2–3 5–15 25.0%
ROAD ATS 4–3 3–3 3–4 1–6 11–16 40.7%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 2–6 2–4 1–5 0–2 5–17 22.7%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 4–1 2–2 2–4 3–7 11–14 44.0%
AS FAVORITE ATS 3–4 0–2 0–3 0–0 3–9 25.0%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 3–3 4–4 3–6 3–9 13–22 37.1%
OVER-UNDER 4–8 6–5 7–4 7–5 24–22 52.2%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring -28.6 125
Yardage -161.1 120
Turnovers -8 T109
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 18.2 117
Yards/Game 368.3 91
Yds Per Play 4.78 111
Rush Yds/Gm 137.5 97
Pass Yds/Gm 230.8 67
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 46.8 125
Yards/Game 529.4 123
Yds Per Play 6.93 118
Rush Yds/Gm 213.6 T105
Pass Yds/Gm 315.8 124
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
Sun bElt
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 3–9 9–4 9–4 9–4 30–21 58.8%
OVERALL ATS 7–5 9–4 8–5 5–8 29–22 56.9%
HOME ATS 1–4 2–3 3–3 3–3 9–13 40.9%
ROAD ATS 6–1 7–1 5–2 2–5 20–9 69.0%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 5–3 5–3 5–3 3–4 18–13 58.1%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 2–2 4–1 3–2 2–4 11–9 55.0%
AS FAVORITE ATS 1–1 1–4 6–4 2–5 10–14 41.7%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 6–4 8–0 2–1 3–3 19–8 70.4%
OVER-UNDER 7–5 9–4 7–4 7–6 30–19 61.2%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring +7.3 42
Yardage +23.2 56
Turnovers +1 T54
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 33.8 34
Yards/Game 416.8 57
Yds Per Play 6.14 34
Rush Yds/Gm 204.5 26
Pass Yds/Gm 212.2 82
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 26.5 63
Yards/Game 393.5 57
Yds Per Play 5.76 83
Rush Yds/Gm 150.7 48
Pass Yds/Gm 242.8 81
College Top 25Big 12
Big TenConference U
SAM
ACM
ountain West
SECIndependents
Pac-12A
ACSun Belt
AAC
120 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2014
>LOUIS IANA-MONROE
2011-13 gaME logS
8/289/69/139/2710/410/1110/2511/111/811/1511/2211/29
WAKE FORESTIDAHOat LSUTROYat Arkansas Stateat KentuckyTEXAS STATEat Texas A&Mat Appalachian StateLOUISIANA-LAFAYETTEat New Mexico Stateat Georgia Southern
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/31 at Oklahoma L 0-34 L (+22½) U (60)9/7 GRAMBLING W 48-10 L (-47) O (55½)9/14 at Wake Forest W 21-19 W (pk) U (49)9/21 at Baylor L 7-70 L (+30) O (74½)9/28 TULANE L 14-31 L (-12) U (54½)10/3 W KENTUCKY L 10-31 L (+7) U (48½)10/12 at Texas St W 21-14 W (+6) U (44½)10/26 GEORGIA ST W 38-10 W (-16½) U (52)10/31 at Troy W 49-37 W (+3) O (60½)11/9 ARKANSAS ST L 14-42 L (-3) O (55)11/23 at S Alabama L 14-36 L (+3½) U (56½)11/30 at LA Lafayette W 31-28 W (+18) O (56½)
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/3 at Florida St L 0-34 L (+30½) U (54)9/10 GRAMBLING W 35-7 () 9/17 at TCU L 17-38 W (+28) O (52½)9/24 at Iowa L 17-45 L (+17) O (49½)10/8 ARKANSAS ST L 19-24 L (+2½) U (55)10/15 at Troy W 38-10 W (+6½) U (58½)10/22 at North Texas L 21-38 L (-7) O (47)10/29 W KENTUCKY L 28-31 L (-6) O (48)11/5 at LA Lafayette L 35-36 W (+5) O (55½)11/12 MIDDLE TENN ST W 42-14 W (-6½) O (55)11/19 FLA INTERNATIONAL L 17-28 L (-1) U (49½)12/3 at FLA Atlantic W 26-0 W (-7) U (47½)
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/8 at Arkansas W 34-31 W (+30) O (61½)9/15 at Auburn L 28-31 W (+14½) O (53)9/21 BAYLOR L 42-47 W (+8) O (70)9/29 at Tulane W 63-10 W (-20) O (52)10/6 at Middle Tenn st W 31-17 W (-3½) U (62½)10/13 FLA ATLANTIC W 35-14 L (-23½) U (56)10/20 at W Kentucky W 43-42 W (+3) O (50½)10/27 S ALABAMA W 38-24 L (-22½) O (54)11/3 LA LAFAYETTE L 24-40 L (-9) O (60)11/8 at Arkansas St L 23-45 L (+7½) O (59½)11/17 NORTH TEXAS W 42-16 W (-10) O (57½)11/24 at Fla. Internatnl W 23-17 W (-3½) U (61½)12/28 vs Ohio U L 14-45 L (-6½) P (59)
>NEW MEXICO STATE
2011-13 gaME logS
8/289/69/139/209/2710/410/1110/1811/111/811/2211/29
CAL POLYat Georgia Stateat UTEPNEW MEXICOat LSUGEORGIA SOUTHERNat Troyat IdahoTEXAS STATELOUISIANA-LAFAYETTELOUISIANA-MONROEat Arkansas State
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/31 at Texas L 7-56 L (+43) O (53)9/7 MINNESOTA L 21-44 L (+16½) O (52)9/14 UTEP L 21-42 L (+4) O (57½)9/21 at UCLA L 13-59 L (+44) O (66)9/28 SAN DIEGO ST L 16-26 W (+16½) U (54½)10/5 at New Mexico L 17-66 L (+12) O (59)10/19 RICE L 19-45 L (+17½) O (57)10/26 ABILENE CHRISTIAN 34-29 11/2 at LA Lafayette L 35-49 W (+32½) O (67½)11/9 BOSTON COLLEGE L 34-48 W (+25) O (61½)11/23 at FLA Atlantic L 10-55 L (+23) O (56½)11/30 IDAHO W 24-16 W (-2½) U (64)
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/3 OHIO U L 24-44 L (+6) O (52)9/10 at Minnesota W 28-21 W (+22½) U (52½)9/17 UTEP L 10-16 L (-2½) U (49½)9/24 at San Jose st L 24-34 W (+10½) O (46)10/1 at New Mexico W 42-28 W (-1) O (54)10/15 IDAHO W 31-24 W (+1) O (50)10/22 at Hawaii L 34-45 W (+23½) O (60½)10/29 NEVADA L 34-48 W (+14½) O (60½)11/5 at Georgia L 16-63 L (+34½) O (57½)11/12 FRESNO ST W 48-45 W (+6½) O (67½)11/19 at BYU L 7-42 L (+23) U (61)11/26 at Louisiana Tech L 0-44 L (+23) U (58)12/3 UTAH ST L 21-24 W (+14) U (62)
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/30 SACRAMENTO ST W 49-19 W (-7½) 9/8 at Ohio U L 24-51 L (+21) O (58½)9/15 at UTEP L 28-41 W (+14) O (58½)9/22 NEW MEXICO L 14-27 L (-5) U (56)9/29 UTSA L 14-35 L (+1) U (56½)10/6 at Idaho L 18-26 W (+8½) U (55)10/20 at Utah St L 7-41 L (+29½) U (56½)10/27 LOUISIANA TECH L 14-28 W (+28½) U (76½)11/3 at Auburn L 7-42 L (+24) O (48½)11/10 SAN JOSE ST L 7-47 L (+20½) O (53½)11/24 BYU L 14-50 L (+26) O (48)12/1 at Texas St L 28-66 L (+13½) O (56½)
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
Sun bElt
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 5–7 4–8 8–5 6–6 23–26 46.9%
OVERALL ATS 6–6 5–6 8–5 5–7 24–24 50.0%
HOME ATS 3–2 1–3 2–3 1–4 7–12 36.8%
ROAD ATS 3–4 4–3 6–2 4–3 17–12 58.6%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 5–3 4–4 4–4 4–3 17–14 54.8%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 1–3 1–2 4–1 1–4 7–10 41.2%
AS FAVORITE ATS 1–2 2–3 4–4 1–3 8–12 40.0%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 5–4 3–3 4–1 4–4 16–12 57.1%
OVER-UNDER 5–6 6–5 9–3 5–7 25–21 54.3%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring -7.9 99
Yardage -66.5 99
Turnovers -4 T85
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 22.3 101
Yards/Game 360.3 99
Yds Per Play 5.03 106
Rush Yds/Gm 122.8 106
Pass Yds/Gm 237.5 60
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 30.2 T84
Yards/Game 426.8 91
Yds Per Play 5.82 88
Rush Yds/Gm 189.3 88
Pass Yds/Gm 237.6 75
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
Sun bElt
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 2–10 4–9 1–11 2–10 9–40 18.4%
OVERALL ATS 4–8 8–5 4–8 4–7 20–28 41.7%
HOME ATS 1–5 4–2 2–4 3–3 10–14 41.7%
ROAD ATS 3–3 4–3 2–4 1–4 10–14 41.7%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 4–4 6–1 2–4 1–0 13–9 59.1%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 0–4 2–4 2–4 3–7 7–19 26.9%
AS FAVORITE ATS 0–1 1–1 1–1 1–0 3–3 50.0%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 4–7 7–4 3–7 3–7 17–25 40.5%
OVER-UNDER 5–7 8–5 6–5 9–2 28–19 59.6%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring -23.7 120
Yardage -164.3 121
Turnovers -6 T97
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 20.9 104
Yards/Game 385.2 82
Yds Per Play 5.43 78
Rush Yds/Gm 144.3 89
Pass Yds/Gm 240.9 57
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 44.6 122
Yards/Game 549.5 125
Yds Per Play 7.65 125
Rush Yds/Gm 299.5 125
Pass Yds/Gm 250.0 93
StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2014 121
>SOUTH ALABAMA
2011-13 gaME logS
9/69/139/209/2710/410/1810/2411/111/811/1511/2211/28
at Kent StateMISSISSIPPI STATEGEORGIA SOUTHERNat Idahoat Appalachian StateGEORGIA STATETROYat Louisiana-Lafayetteat Arkansas StateTEXAS STATEat South CarolinaNAVY
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/29 S UTAH L 21-22 L (-14) U (54½)9/7 at Tulane W 41-39 W (+4½) O (48)9/14 W KENTUCKY W 31-24 W (+6½) T (55)9/28 at Tennessee L 24-31 W (+16) T (55)10/5 at Troy L 33-34 W (+3) O (62½)10/19 KENT ST W 38-21 W (-7½) O (55½)10/26 at Texas St L 31-33 L (-3) O (50)11/2 ARKANSAS ST L 16-17 L (-3) U (64)11/16 at Navy L 14-42 L (+6½) U (58½)11/23 LA MONROE W 36-14 W (-3½) U (56½)11/30 at Georgia St W 38-17 W (-8) U (60½)12/7 LA LAFAYETTE W 30-8 W (-3) U (59½)
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL
9/1 WEST ALABAMA W 20-10
9/10 LAMAR W 30-8
9/17 at NC State L 13-35 W (+27½) U (50½)
9/24 at Kent St L 25-33 W (+9) O (41)
10/8 at Tex-San Antonio W 30-27
10/15 TENN-MARTIN W 33-30
10/22 at Georgia St L 20-27
10/29 HENDERSON ST W 28-3
11/3 MISS VALLEY ST W 35-3
11/19 CAL POLY L 10-41
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/1 UTSA L 31-33 L (-4½) O (49)9/8 NICHOLLS ST W 9-3 L (-14) 9/15 at NC State L 7-31 W (+29½) U (50)9/22 at Mississippi St L 10-30 W (+31½) U (49)9/29 TROY L 10-31 L (+7) U (51)10/13 at Arkansas St L 29-36 W (+20½) O (51½)10/20 FLA ATLANTIC W 37-34 L (-5) O (45)10/27 at LA Monroe L 24-38 W (+22½) O (54)11/3 FLA INTERNATNL L 20-28 L (+3½) U (52½)11/10 at North Texas L 14-24 L (+6½) U (49½)11/17 MIDDLE TENN ST L 12-20 L (+7) U (56)11/24 at LA Lafayette L 30-52 L (+18) O (56)12/1 at Hawaii L 7-23 L (+7) U (52)
>TEXAS STATE
2011-13 gaME logS
8/309/139/209/2710/410/1410/2511/111/811/1511/2011/29
ARKANSAS-PINE BLUFFNAVYat Illinoisat TulsaIDAHOLOUISIANA-LAFAYETTEat Louisiana-Monroeat New Mexico StateGEORGIA SOUTHERNat South AlabamaARKANSAS STATEat Georgia State
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/31 at Southern Miss W 22-15 W (+7) U (55½)9/7 PRAIRIE VIEW W 28-3 L (-31) U (55½)9/21 at Texas Tech L 7-33 W (+26½) U (56)9/28 WYOMING W 42-21 W (+10½) O (58)10/5 at LA Lafayette L 24-48 L (+10½) O (54½)10/12 LA MONROE L 14-21 L (-6) U (44½)10/19 GEORGIA ST W 24-17 L (-16) U (50)10/26 S ALABAMA W 33-31 W (+3) O (50)11/2 at Idaho W 37-21 W (-11) O (49½)11/16 at Arkansas St L 21-38 L (+7½) O (51½)11/23 W KENTUCKY L 7-38 L (+4½) U (50)11/29 at Troy L 28-42 L (+8½) O (57)
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/3 at Texas Tech L 10-50 L (+39½) U (70)9/10 at Wyoming L 10-45 L (+14) U (56½)9/17 TARLETON ST W 38-28 9/24 at SFA W 35-26 10/1 NICHOLLS W 38-12 10/8 at McNeese St W 21-14 10/15 LAMAR W 46-21 10/22 at SE Louisiana L 28-38 10/29 NORTHWESTERN ST L 10-23 11/5 PRAIRIE VIEW A&M W 34-26 11/12 at Central Arkansas L 22-23 11/19 SAM HOUSTON ST L 14-36
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/1 at Houston W 30-13 W (+34½) U (59½)9/8 TEXAS TECH L 10-58 L (+20) O (60)9/22 SF AUSTIN W 41-37 W (-3) 9/29 NEVADA L 21-34 W (+17½) U (63)10/6 at New Mexico L 14-35 L (+3½) U (50)10/13 IDAHO W 38-7 W (-1½) U (54½)10/27 at San Jose st L 20-31 W (+19) U (56)11/3 at Utah St L 7-38 L (+26½) U (53)11/10 LOUISIANA TECH L 55-62 W (+19½) O (69½)11/17 at Navy L 10-21 W (+12) U (56½)11/24 at Utsa L 31-38 L (-1) O (54½)12/1 NEW MEXICO ST W 66-28 W (-13½) O (56½)
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
Sun bElt
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 0–0 6–4 2–11 6–6 14–21 40.0%
OVERALL ATS 0–0 2–0 4–9 8–4 14–13 51.9%
HOME ATS 0–0 0–0 0–6 4–2 4–8 33.3%
ROAD ATS 0–0 2–0 4–3 4–2 10–5 66.7%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 0–0 0–0 2–6 5–2 7–8 46.7%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 0–0 2–0 2–3 3–2 7–5 58.3%
AS FAVORITE ATS 0–0 0–0 0–3 4–3 4–6 40.0%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 0–0 2–0 4–6 4–1 10–7 58.8%
OVER-UNDER 0–0 1–1 5–7 4–6 10–14 41.7%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring +4.3 57
Yardage +41.3 50
Turnovers +5 T31
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 29.4 63
Yards/Game 425.5 50
Yds Per Play 5.79 56
Rush Yds/Gm 172.8 61
Pass Yds/Gm 252.8 43
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 25.2 53
Yards/Game 384.3 51
Yds Per Play 5.62 72
Rush Yds/Gm 159.7 56
Pass Yds/Gm 224.6 56
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
Sun bElt
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 4–7 6–6 4–8 6–6 20–27 42.6%
OVERALL ATS 0–1 0–2 8–4 5–7 13–14 48.1%
HOME ATS 0–0 0–0 5–1 2–4 7–5 58.3%
ROAD ATS 0–1 0–2 3–3 3–3 6–9 40.0%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 0–0 0–0 4–2 1–6 5–8 38.5%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 0–1 0–2 3–2 4–1 7–6 53.8%
AS FAVORITE ATS 0–0 0–0 3–1 1–3 4–4 50.0%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 0–0 0–0 5–3 4–4 9–7 56.3%
OVER-UNDER 0–0 0–1 4–7 6–6 10–14 41.7%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring -3.4 84
Yardage -70.4 100
Turnovers +2 T47
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 23.9 94
Yards/Game 326.3 113
Yds Per Play 5.08 103
Rush Yds/Gm 171.5 65
Pass Yds/Gm 154.8 115
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 27.3 71
Yards/Game 396.7 59
Yds Per Play 5.41 54
Rush Yds/Gm 147.4 40
Pass Yds/Gm 249.3 91
College Top 25Big 12
Big TenConference U
SAM
ACM
ountain West
SECIndependents
Pac-12A
ACSun Belt
AAC
122 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2014
>TROY
2011-13 gaME logS
8/309/69/139/209/2710/1110/1810/2410/3011/811/1511/29
at UABDUKEABILENE CHRISTIANat Georgiaat Louisiana-MonroeNEW MEXICO STATEAPPALACHIAN STATEat South Alabamaat Georgia SouthernGEORGIA STATEat IdahoLOUISIANA-LAFAYETTE
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/31 UAB W 34-31 L (-4½) O (62½)9/7 SAVANNAH ST W 66-3 W (-51½) O (61)9/12 at Arkansas St L 34-41 L (+6) O (68)9/21 at Mississippi St L 7-62 L (+13) O (58½)9/28 at Duke L 31-38 W (+13½) O (67)10/5 S ALABAMA W 34-33 L (-3) O (62½)10/12 at Georgia St W 35-28 L (-15) O (62)10/26 at W Kentucky W 32-26 W (+10) U (62)10/31 LA MONROE L 37-49 L (-3) O (60½)11/7 at LA Lafayette L 36-41 W (+14) O (67½)11/16 at Ole Miss L 21-51 L (+28) O (69½)11/29 TEXAS ST W 42-28 W (-8½) O (57)
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/3 at Clemson L 19-43 L (+15) O (53½)9/17 at Arkansas L 28-38 W (+23) O (62)9/24 MIDDLE TENN ST W 38-35 L (-12½) O (63)10/1 UAB W 24-23 L (-16) U (58½)10/8 at LA Lafayette L 17-31 L (-6) U (59)10/15 LA MONROE L 10-38 L (-6½) U (58½)10/25 at FLA International L 20-23 W (+6½) U (55)11/5 at Navy L 14-42 L (+8½) U (61½)11/12 NORTH TEXAS L 33-38 L (-8) O (52½)11/19 FLA ATLANTIC W 34-7 W (-13½) U (50)11/26 at W Kentucky L 18-41 L (+4) O (51)12/3 at Arkansas St L 14-45 L (+17½) O (57)
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/1 at UAB W 39-29 W (-6) O (63)9/8 LA LAFAYETTE L 24-37 L (+1½) U (62)9/15 MISSISSIPPI ST L 24-30 W (+15) U (59)9/22 at North Texas W 14-7 W (0) U (58)9/29 at S Alabama W 31-10 W (-7) U (51)10/11 W KENTUCKY L 26-31 L (0) O (54½)10/20 FLA INTERNATNL W 38-37 L (-6½) O (57)10/27 at FLA Atlantic L 27-34 L (-7½) O (51½)11/3 at Tennessee L 48-55 W (+18½) O (69)11/10 NAVY W 41-31 W (+3) O (60½)11/17 ARKANSAS ST L 34-41 L (+3) O (68)11/24 at Middle Tenn st L 21-24 P (+3) U (69)
>
ARMYOffense: Starters returning - 9; Defense: Starters returning - 8New Head Coach: Jeff MonkenEx-Georgia Southern coach Jeff Monken brings his version of the triple option. QB Angel Santiago (6.4 YPA; 593 rush yds, 10 TD) is more mobile, but A.J. Schurr (7.8 YPA, 3.1 YPC) is a better passer. RB Raymond Maples (2,612 career rush yds) got a fifth season of eligibility and joins RB Terry Baggett (1,113 rush yds). The subpar 3-4 defense is especially thin at linebacker.
BRIGHAM YOUNGOffense: Starters returning - 8; Defense: Starters returning - 5QB Taysom Hill (2,938 pass yds, 1,344 rush yds) should improve in Year 2 of Robert Anae’s up-tempo offense. BYU returns RB Jamaal Williams (1,233 rush yds), but must replace top WR Cody Hoffman. The front seven is solid despite the loss of LB Kyle Van Noy. The returns of CBs Jordan Johnson and Trent Trammell (missed all of ’13 with torn ACLs) solidify the secondary.
NAVYOffense: Starters returning - 8; Defense: Starters returning - 7QB Keenan Reynolds (8.3 YPA; 1,346 rush yds, 31 TD) has run Navy’s triple option nearly to perfection, and there’s no reason to expect a decline in 2014 with three solid fullbacks and four O-Line starters back. Defensively, Navy lost a lot up the middle with starters at both ILB and safety spots. LB Jordan Drake (43 tackles) could shift inside to anchor the 3-4 alignment.
NOTRE DAMEOffense: Starters returning - 6; Defense: Starters returning - 5QB Everett Golson (7.6 YPA in 2012) returns from academic suspension to battle redshirt freshman dual-threat QB Malik Zaire for the starting job. Either will be an upgrade over Tommy Rees. New defensive coordinator Brian VanGorder oversees a rebuilt, but talented unit. LB Jaylon Smith (67 tackles) will anchor the run defense, while sophomore S Max Redfield and S Austin Collinsworth (3 INT) could be the top safety tandem in FBS.
INDEPENDENTS
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
Sun bElt
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 8–5 3–9 5–7 6–6 22–27 44.9%
OVERALL ATS 5–8 3–9 6–5 5–7 19–29 39.6%
HOME ATS 1–4 1–4 2–4 2–3 6–15 28.6%
ROAD ATS 4–4 2–5 4–1 3–4 13–14 48.1%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 3–5 2–6 2–5 3–4 10–20 33.3%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 2–3 1–3 4–0 2–3 9–9 50.0%
AS FAVORITE ATS 3–7 1–5 2–2 2–4 8–18 30.8%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 2–1 2–4 4–3 3–3 11–11 50.0%
OVER-UNDER 7–6 6–6 7–5 11–1 31–18 63.3%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring -1.8 77
Yardage -19.9 78
Turnovers -8 T109
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 34.1 31
Yards/Game 463.3 27
Yds Per Play 6.04 40
Rush Yds/Gm 141.0 91
Pass Yds/Gm 322.3 13
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 35.9 108
Yards/Game 483.2 114
Yds Per Play 6.67 116
Rush Yds/Gm 169.6 73
Pass Yds/Gm 313.6 123
StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2014 123
>ARMY
2011-13 gaME logS
9/69/139/209/2710/410/1110/1811/111/811/1511/2212/13
BUFFALOat Stanfordat Wake Forestat YaleBALL STATERICEat Kent StateAIR FORCEvs. Connecticut*at Western KentuckyFORDHAMvs. Navy (at Baltimore)* at Yankee Stadium
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/30 MORGAN ST W 28-12 L (-33½) U (55)9/7 at Ball St L 14-40 L (+10½) U (59½)9/14 STANFORD L 20-34 W (+30½) O (48½)9/21 WAKE FOREST L 11-25 L (+1½) U (48)9/28 vs Louisiana Tech W 35-16 W (+3½) U (53)10/5 at Boston College L 27-48 L (+12½) O (50½)10/12 E MICHIGAN W 50-25 W (-10) O (57½)10/19 at Temple L 14-33 L (-1) U (60)11/2 at Air Force L 28-42 L (-1) O (54½)11/9 W KENTUCKY L 17-21 W (+5½) U (57)11/30 at Hawaii L 42-49 L (+5½) O (61)12/14 vs Navy L 7-34 L (+13½) U (50)
>
BRIGHAM YOUNG
2011-13 gaME logS
8/299/69/119/2010/310/910/1810/2411/111/1511/2211/29
at Connecticutat TexasHOUSTONVIRGINIAUTAH STATEat UCFNEVADAat Boise Stateat Middle TennesseeUNLVSAVANNAH STATEat California
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/31 at Virginia L 16-19 L (-3) U (48½)9/7 TEXAS W 40-21 W (+7) O (54½)9/21 UTAH L 13-20 L (-7) U (60½)9/27 MIDDLE TENN ST W 37-10 W (-23½) U (59)10/4 at Utah St W 31-14 W (+5½) U (55½)10/12 GEORGIA TECH W 38-20 W (-7) O (55)10/19 at Houston W 47-46 L (-10) O (65)10/25 BOISE ST W 37-20 W (-6½) U (61)11/9 at Wisconsin L 17-27 L (+9) U (55½)11/16 IDAHO ST W 59-13 W (-45) 11/23 at Notre Dame L 13-23 L (-3) U (53)11/30 at Nevada W 28-23 L (-15½) U (67½)12/27 vs Washington L 16-31 L (+6) U (65½)
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/3 at N Illinois L 26-49 L (+10) O (54½)9/10 SAN DIEGO ST L 20-23 W (+8½) U (52)9/17 NORTHWESTERN W 21-14 W (+5½) U (54)9/24 at Ball St L 21-48 L (-4) O (49)10/1 TULANE W 45-6 W (-7) U (53½)10/8 at Miami Ohio L 28-35 L (-2) O (49½)10/22 at Vanderbilt L 21-44 L (+12) O (47)10/29 FORDHAM W 55-0 W (-29) O (51½)11/5 at Air Force L 14-24 W (+16½) U (55)11/12 vs Rutgers L 12-27 L (+9) U (46)11/19 at Temple L 14-42 L (+11) O (47)12/10 vs Navy L 21-27 W (+7) U (56)
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/8 at San Diego St L 7-42 L (+5½) U (50)9/15 N ILLINOIS L 40-41 W (+3) O (49)9/22 at Wake Forest L 37-49 L (+7) O (54½)9/29 STONY BROOK L 3-23 L (-9½) 10/6 BOSTON COLLEGE W 34-31 W (+7) O (56½)10/13 KENT ST L 17-31 L (+1) U (59)10/20 at E Michigan L 38-48 L (-2½) O (62)10/27 BALL ST L 22-30 L (+3) U (68½)11/3 AIR FORCE W 41-21 W (+7) P (62)11/10 at Rutgers L 7-28 L (+17) U (53½)11/17 TEMPLE L 32-63 L (-3½) O (57½)12/8 vs Navy L 13-17 W (+7) U (55½)
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/3 at Ole Miss W 14-13 L (-2) U (54)9/10 at Texas L 16-17 W (+7½) U (48½)9/17 UTAH L 10-54 L (-4) O (44½)9/23 UCF W 24-17 W (-1½) U (44)9/30 UTAH ST W 27-24 L (-8) U (52½)10/8 SAN JOSE ST W 29-16 L (-15) U (52)10/15 at Oregon St W 38-28 W (+3½) O (51½)10/22 IDAHO ST W 56-3 W (-43) O (52)10/28 vs TCU L 28-38 W (+13) O (55½)11/12 IDAHO W 42-7 W (-22) O (48)11/19 NEW MEXICO ST W 42-7 W (-23) U (61)12/3 at Hawaii W 41-20 W (-8) O (54½)12/30 vs Tulsa W 24-21 W (+2½) U (59½)
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/30 WASHINGTON ST W 30-6 W (-13) U (66)9/8 WEBER ST W 45-13 L (-38) 9/15 at Utah L 21-24 L (-3½) P (45)9/20 at Boise St L 6-7 W (+5½) U (50)9/28 HAWAII W 47-0 W (-26) U (49)10/5 UTAH ST W 6-3 L (-6½) U (45)10/13 OREGON ST L 24-42 L (-5½) O (38½)10/20 at Notre Dame L 14-17 W (+12) U (41)10/27 at Georgia Tech W 41-17 W (+1½) O (50½)11/10 IDAHO W 52-13 L (-40½) O (50½)11/17 at San Jose st L 14-20 L (-3) U (47½)11/24 at New Mexico st W 50-14 W (-26) O (48)12/20 at San Diego St W 23-6 W (-3) U (46)
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
indEpEndEntS
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 7–6 3–9 2–10 3–9 15–34 30.6%
OVERALL ATS 6–7 6–6 4–8 4–8 20–29 40.8%
HOME ATS 1–4 4–0 3–4 3–2 11–10 52.4%
ROAD ATS 5–3 2–6 1–4 1–6 9–19 32.1%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 0–2 1–0 1–0 0–1 2–3 40.0%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 6–5 5–6 3–8 4–7 18–26 40.9%
AS FAVORITE ATS 1–2 2–2 0–3 1–3 4–10 28.6%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 5–4 4–4 4–5 3–5 16–18 47.1%
OVER-UNDER 8–4 6–6 5–5 5–7 24–22 52.2%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring -7.2 96
Yardage -23.5 80
Turnovers -1 T68
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 24.4 93
Yards/Game 387.3 80
Yds Per Play 5.49 74
Rush Yds/Gm 309.8 3
Pass Yds/Gm 77.6 125
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 31.6 92
Yards/Game 410.8 72
Yds Per Play 6.55 112
Rush Yds/Gm 213.3 104
Pass Yds/Gm 197.5 14
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
indEpEndEntS
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 7–6 10–3 8–5 8–5 33–19 63.5%
OVERALL ATS 8–5 9–4 7–6 6–7 30–22 57.7%
HOME ATS 4–2 4–3 2–4 5–1 15–10 60.0%
ROAD ATS 4–3 5–1 5–2 1–6 15–12 55.6%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 6–2 0–0 1–0 0–1 7–3 70.0%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 2–3 9–4 6–6 6–6 23–19 54.8%
AS FAVORITE ATS 4–2 5–4 4–6 4–5 17–17 50.0%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 4–3 4–0 3–0 2–2 13–5 72.2%
OVER-UNDER 4–9 6–7 4–7 3–9 17–32 34.7%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring +8.1 39
Yardage +114.8 15
Turnovers +2 T47
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 30.2 55
Yards/Game 493.6 14
Yds Per Play 5.78 58
Rush Yds/Gm 267.3 10
Pass Yds/Gm 226.3 73
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 22.1 T22
Yards/Game 378.8 48
Yds Per Play 4.79 12
Rush Yds/Gm 159.9 57
Pass Yds/Gm 218.9 46
College Top 25Big 12
Big TenConference U
SAM
ACM
ountain West
SECSun Belt
Pac-12A
ACA
ACIndependents
124 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2014
>NAVY
2011-13 gaME logS
8/309/69/139/209/2710/410/1110/2511/111/1511/2812/13
OHIO STATEat Templeat Texas StateRUTGERSWESTERN KENTUCKYat Air ForceVIR. MILITARY INSTITUTESAN JOSE STATENOTRE DAMEGEORGIA SOUTHERNat South Alabamavs. Army (at Baltimore)
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/7 at Indiana W 41-35 W (+11) O (66½)9/14 DELAWARE W 51-7 W (-16½) U (61½)9/28 at W Kentucky L 7-19 L (-4) U (59)10/5 AIR FORCE W 28-10 W (-13½) U (56)10/12 at Duke L 7-35 L (+4) U (57)10/19 at Toledo L 44-45 W (+9) O (55)10/26 PITTSBURGH W 24-21 W (+4½) U (51)11/2 at Notre Dame L 34-38 W (+16½) O (49)11/9 HAWAII W 42-28 L (-17) O (55)11/16 S ALABAMA W 42-14 W (-6½) U (58½)11/22 at San Jose st W 58-52 W (+1½) O (60½)12/14 vs Army W 34-7 W (-13½) U (50)12/30 vs Middle Tenn st W 24-6 W (-7) U (57)
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/3 DELAWARE W 40-17 W (-7½) 9/10 at W Kentucky W 40-14 W (-10) O (52½)9/17 at S Carolina L 21-24 W (+15) U (59½)10/1 AIR FORCE L 34-35 L (-3) O (53½)10/8 SOUTHERN MISS L 35-63 L (0) O (58½)10/15 at Rutgers L 20-21 W (+3) U (54)10/22 E CAROLINA L 35-38 L (-13) O (66½)10/29 at Notre Dame L 14-56 L (+23) O (61½)11/5 TROY W 42-14 W (-8½) U (61½)11/12 at SMU W 24-17 W (+8½) U (58½)11/19 at San Jose st L 24-27 L (-6½) U (61)12/10 vs Army W 27-21 L (-7) U (56)
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/1 vs Notre Dame L 10-50 L (+14½) O (51½)9/15 at Penn St L 7-34 L (+6½) U (47½)9/22 VMI W 41-3 W (-37½) 9/29 SAN JOSE ST L 0-12 L (+1½) U (61½)10/6 at Air Force W 28-21 W (+9½) U (54½)10/12 at C Michigan W 31-13 W (+1) U (57)10/20 INDIANA W 31-30 L (-2½) U (63)10/27 at E Carolina W 56-28 W (+3) O (47½)11/3 FLA ATLANTIC W 24-17 L (-17) U (52)11/10 at Troy L 31-41 L (-3) O (60½)11/17 TEXAS ST W 21-10 L (-12) U (56½)12/8 vs Army W 17-13 L (-7) U (55½)12/29 vs Arizona St L 28-62 L (+12) O (55)
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NOTRE DAME
2011-13 gaME logS
8/309/69/139/2710/410/1110/1811/111/811/1511/2211/29
RICEMICHIGANvs. Purdue at Indianapolisvs. Syracuse*STANFORDNORTH CAROLINAat Florida Stateat Navyat Arizona StateNORTHWESTERNLOUISVILLEat USC* at East Rutherford, N.J.
2013 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 8/31 TEMPLE W 28-6 L (-28) U (53)9/7 at Michigan L 30-41 L (+4½) O (48)9/14 at Purdue W 31-24 L (-17) O (47)9/21 MICHIGAN ST W 17-13 P (-4) U (43)9/28 OKLAHOMA L 21-35 L (+3½) O (50½)10/5 vs Arizona St W 37-34 W (+7) O (63½)10/19 USC W 14-10 W (-2) U (51)10/26 at Air Force W 45-10 W (-19½) U (55½)11/2 NAVY W 38-34 L (-16½) O (49)11/9 at Pittsburgh L 21-28 L (-5) U (51)11/23 BYU W 23-13 W (+3) U (53)11/30 at Stanford L 20-27 W (+16½) U (50)12/28 vs Rutgers W 29-16 L (-14½) U (53½)
2011 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/3 S FLORIDA L 20-23 L (-10½) U (46)9/10 at Michigan L 31-35 L (-3½) O (58)9/17 MICHIGAN ST W 31-13 W (-6) U (51½)9/24 at Pittsburgh W 15-12 L (-6½) U (56½)10/1 at Purdue W 38-10 W (-12) P (48)10/8 AIR FORCE W 59-33 W (-14) O (55½)10/22 USC L 17-31 L (-10) U (57)10/29 NAVY W 56-14 W (-23) O (61½)11/5 at Wake Forest W 24-17 L (-13) U (57½)11/12 vs Maryland W 45-21 W (-21) O (57½)11/19 BOSTON COLLEGE W 16-14 L (-24) U (46½)11/26 at Stanford L 14-28 L (+7) U (60)12/29 vs Florida St L 14-18 L (+3) U (47½)
2012 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/1 vs Navy W 50-10 W (-14½) O (51½)9/8 PURDUE W 20-17 L (-14) U (53½)9/15 at Michigan St W 20-3 W (+4½) U (44)9/22 MICHIGAN W 13-6 W (-6) U (49)10/6 vs Miami W 41-3 W (-16½) U (55½)10/13 STANFORD W 20-13 L (-9) U (42)10/20 BYU W 17-14 L (-12) U (41)10/27 at Oklahoma W 30-13 W (+11) U (47½)11/3 PITTSBURGH W 29-26 L (-16½) O (47½)11/10 at Boston College W 21-6 L (-20) U (49)11/17 WAKE FOREST W 38-0 W (-23½) U (42)11/24 at USC W 22-13 W (-4) U (45)1/7 vs Alabama L 14-42 L (+10) O (39½)
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
indEpEndEntS
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 9–4 5–7 8–5 9–4 31–20 60.8%
OVERALL ATS 7–6 6–6 4–9 10–3 27–24 52.9%
HOME ATS 2–3 2–3 1–4 4–1 9–11 45.0%
ROAD ATS 5–3 4–3 3–5 6–2 18–13 58.1%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 2–0 0–2 0–2 2–0 4–4 50.0%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 5–6 6–4 4–7 8–3 23–20 53.5%
AS FAVORITE ATS 4–5 3–4 1–5 5–2 13–16 44.8%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 3–1 3–2 3–4 5–1 14–8 63.6%
OVER-UNDER 6–6 5–6 4–8 5–8 20–28 41.7%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring +9.2 36
Yardage +16.5 60
Turnovers +12 T12
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 33.5 35
Yards/Game 411.3 62
Yds Per Play 5.81 54
Rush Yds/Gm 325.4 2
Pass Yds/Gm 85.9 124
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 24.4 T40
Yards/Game 394.8 58
Yds Per Play 5.65 74
Rush Yds/Gm 178.8 80
Pass Yds/Gm 215.9 37
2014 SchEdulE Situational REcoRdS
indEpEndEntS
ScEnaRio 2010 2011 2012 2013 4-YR tot 4-YEaR %
STRAIGHT UP 8–5 8–5 12–1 9–4 37–15 71.2%
OVERALL ATS 6–4 5–8 7–6 5–7 23–25 47.9%
HOME ATS 1–3 3–3 2–4 2–3 8–13 38.1%
ROAD ATS 5–1 2–5 5–2 3–4 15–12 55.6%
VS CONFERENCE ATS 1–1 1–0 1–1 1–1 4–3 57.1%
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 5–3 4–8 6–5 4–6 19–22 46.3%
AS FAVORITE ATS 2–3 5–6 5–5 2–5 14–19 42.4%
AS UNDERDOG ATS 4–1 0–2 2–1 3–2 9–6 60.0%
OVER-UNDER 4–9 4–8 3–10 5–8 16–35 31.4%
2013 StatS/RanKDIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK
Scoring +4.8 54
Yardage +40.0 51
Turnovers 0 T61
OFFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 27.2 74
Yards/Game 406.2 68
Yds Per Play 6.08 37
Rush Yds/Gm 151.3 81
Pass Yds/Gm 254.8 39
DEFENSE NO. RANK
Points Scored 22.4 27
Yards/Game 366.2 31
Yds Per Play 5.12 30
Rush Yds/Gm 168.0 71
Pass Yds/Gm 198.2 15