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Volume InformationSource: Journal of the American Statistical Association, Vol. 25, No. 169 (Mar., 1930), pp. 1-9Published by: American Statistical AssociationStable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/2278488 .

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INDEX OF THE

JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN STATISTICAL ASSOCIATION

VOLUME XXV Nos. 169- 172

and 169A (Proceedings)

1930



CONTENTS (Note: The asterisk (*) after the page number designates page reference in the Proceedings Sup-

plement, 169 A)

ARTICLES AND FEATURED NOTES Agricultural Season, The 1929 . . . . . . A. B. GENUNG . . . . 58* Agriculture in the Post-War Decade . . . L. H. BEAN . . . . . . 155* Agriculture, The Census of .W. J. AUSTIN . . . . . 130* Agronomic Experiments, Some Applications

of Statistical Methods to . . . . . . F. D. RICHEY . . . . . 269 Errata ..... . . . . . . . . F. D. RICHEY .... . 468

American Statistical Association, Composi- tion of the . . . . . . . . . . . . . S. A. RICE and

M. GREEN . . . . . . 198 Annual Meeting, The Program for the 1930. M. C. RORTY . . . . . 328 Apparatus for Graphic Portrayal of Series of

Products or Quotients Without Compu- tation, An . . . . . . . .. . . . . E. SIBLEY .... . . 460

Average of Two Index Numbers, Relation Between the Arithmetic and Geometric R. VON HUHN . . . . 76

British Statistics and Statisticians Today . . H. HOTELLING . . . . 186 Brokers' Loans and the Pyramiding of Credit C. SNYDER . . . . . . 88* Building Situation, The . . . . . . . . . T. S. HOLDEN . . . . . 64* Causation, Measuring Joint . . . . . . . A. T. COURT . . . . . 245 Census Data, Making Use of . . . . . . . C. L. FRY . . . . . . 129 Center of Population, A Mistaken Conception

of the . . . . . . . . . . . . . . W. C. EELLS . . . . . 33 Center of Population and Point of Minimum

Travel, Editor's Note on the. . . . . . . . . . . . 447 China, and Its Increase since 1650, A Western-

er's Effort to Estimate the Population of W. F. WILLCOX . . . . 255 Consumer Demand, Some Developments in

the Techniques of Studying . . . . . . W. C. WAITE .140* Contingency, On the Theory of

I and III . . . . . . . . . . . . . K. PEARSON . . 320, 327 II . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . J. A. HARRIS,

A. E. TRELOAR and M. WILDER . . . . . 323

Corporate Earnings and Stock Prices . . . R. C. EFFINGER . . . . 80* Corporation Accounting Data from the Stand-

point of the Investor . . . . . . . . . L. H. HANEY . . . . . 7* Corporation Statistics, Federal. . . . . E. D. DURAND . . 23*

Discussion . . . . . . . . . . J. F. EBERSOLE . . . . 28* Corporation Statistics, Needs of Investors

with Respect to. . . . . . . . . H. G. PARKER . . . 13* Corporation Statistics, Problems in the Utili-

zation and Interpretation of . . . . G. P. WATKINS . . 18* Correlation, Illustration of the Application

of a Coefficient Measuring . . . . . . J. A. HARRIS and B. GUNSTAD 305

Correlation to Problems in Acreage and Yield Variations, Application of a Simplified Method of . . . . . . . . . . . . . L. H. BEAN . . . . . . 428

Credit Developments in 1929 . . . . . . . E. A. GOLDENWEISER 69* Determination in Testing the Economic Va-

lidity of Correlation Results, The Use of Coefficients of Net . . . . . . . . . R. J. WATKINS . . . . 191



4

Distribution, The Census of . . . . . . . R. J. McFALL . . . . . 125* Economic Forecasts, Appraisal of . . . . . S. L. ANDREW and

H. M. FLINN 36* Discussion ........... . D. TUCKER .41* Discussion ........... . A. W. MARGET 45* Discussion ..... . . . . . . . J. G. THO'MPSON . . . . 47*

Economic Forecasts, Evaluation of . . . . G. V. Cox . . . . . . 31* Employment, Effect of Concentration of In-

dustry on Seasonal Variation of . . . . A. G. MAIA1ER . . . . . 41 Employment-Unemployment Surveys, Sources

of Incomparability and Error in . . . . H. HOGG . . 284 Europe Ten Years After the War . . . . . MA. NADLER . . . . . . 170*

Discussion . . . . . . . . . . . . R. B. WARREN . . . . 174* Fertility According to Social Class, Differ-

ential . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . E. SYDENSTRICKER and F. W. NOTESTEIN . . . 9

First Moment Correlation . . . . . . . . G. R. DAVIES . . . 413 Food Composition Studies, Statistical An-

alysis in . . . . . . . . . . . . . . C. CHATFIELD . . 153* Forecasts for 1930 . . . . . . . . . . . P. CLAY . . . . . . . 97* Foreign Trade of 1929, The . . . . . . . . E. D. DURAND . . . . 51* "Ideal" Formula for "General Purpose" In-

dex Numbers . . . . . . . . . . . . F. G. PERRY and A. G. SILVERMAN 63

Index Number Which Shall Meet Certain of Fisher's Tests, Necessary and Sufficient Conditions Regarding the Form of an . R. FRISCH . . . . . . 397

Indexes, Wholesale Commodity Price . . . I. FISHER . . . . . . . 308 International Statistical Institute, The Eight-

eenth Biennial Session of the . . . . . W. F. WILLCOX . . . . 69 Interpolation, Note on . . . . . . . . . J. K. WISNIEWSKI . . . 203 Investment Companies, The R6le of . . . L. R. ROBINSON . . . 83* Investment Values, Measuring . . . . . . M. C. RORTY . . . . . 100* Italy, Concentration of Statistical Services in G. ZABIELLO . 80 Labor Since 1920, American . . . . . . . L. WOLMAN . . . . . . 158* Manufactures Derived from Census Data,

1927, Index of Production of . . . . . A. JoY . . . . . . . . 453 Manufactures, The Census of . . . . . . L. BEALES . . . . . . 121* Mathematics and Statistics . . . . . . . E. B. WILSON . . . . 1 Multiple Correlation Analysis of Economic

Statistical Series, Generalized . . . . . M. SASULY . . . . . . 146* National Income in 1929, A Hasty Estimate

of the . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . W . I. KING . . . . . . 73* Nomograms for Correcting Simple and Mul-

tiple Correlation Coefficients . . . . . H. D. GRIFFIN . . . . 316 Population, The Census of . . . . . . . . L. E. TRUESDELL . . . 113* Price-Earnings Ratios, Certain Aspects of the

Interpretation of . . . . . . . . . . AN. 0. JOHNSON and J. T. SHIRER . . 106*

Discussion ...... .. .. . . . L. D. EDIE . ... . 110* Product-Moment Coefficient and the Char-

acter of the Marginal Distributions, The G. A. BAKER . . . . . 387 Production and Prices in 1929 . . . . . . J. L. SNIDER . . . . . 56* Scales for Family Measurement . . . . . . F. M. WILLIAMS . . 135* Seasonal Variation for Secular Trend, Adjust-

ing Indexes of . . . . . . . . . . . . E. H. WELCH . . . . 440 Security Prices . . . . . . . . . . . . . J. F. HUGHES . . . . . 76*



5

Standard,Error of a Forecast from a Curve, The. . . ... H SCHULTZ ..... . 139

Statistics, Present Condition and Future Prog- ress of . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . C. GINI . . . . . . . 295

Stock Market Panic in 1929, The . . . . . I. FiSHER . . . . . . . 93* Stock Price Indexes of tle New York Curb

Exchlan_ge . . . . . . . . . . . L. KuVIN . . . . . . . 51 Timne Series Data, The Simiplest Symmiletrical

Expression for Rate of Change of . . M. SASULY . . . . . . 72 Turnover Rates, A Method of Adjustiing . . T. A. VEENSTRA . . . 407 Unemployment as a Census Problem . . . C. E. PERSONS . . . . 117* Wages of Domestic Labor in Chicago, 1890-

1929 .... ... .... ... A. C. HANSON and P. H. DOUGLAS . . . 47

Wholesale Price Level, Recent Changes in Our . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . M. A. COPELAND . . 164*

SHORT NOTES Annual Meeting, Program of . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1* Annual Business Meeting, Miinutes of the Ninety-first . . . . . . . . 177*

Report of the Secretary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 180* " " Treasurer . . .181*

Auditing Committee . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 184* Editor . ..184* Coimmittee on Governmental Labor Statistics . . . 185* Joint Advisory Coimmittee to the Director of the

Census . .192* " oiConmmittee on Institutional Statistics . . . . . . . 194*

Cominittee oIn the Encyclopaedia of the Social Sciences 195* Comm-ittee on Social Statistics . . . . . . . . . . 196*

Coinm ittees for 1930 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 197* "Balance of Births and Deaths , A Reply to

Dr. Lotka's Review of . . . . . . . . R. R. KuCZYNSKI . . 84 Rejoinder . . . . . . . . . . . A. J. LOTKA .85

Bank Mergers, Meeting on . . . . . . . . W. I. KING . . . . . . 86 Business Cycle? Meeting on Is There A . W. I. KING . . . . . . 207 Census Bureau, Progress of Work in the . J. A. HILL . . . 90,344,468 Employmilent, Meeting on Cyclical Variations

in .W............... . W. I. KING .339 Forecasts, A Method of Appraising Short-

Term .............. . R. B. KING ..... . 333 Industries, The Importance of an Index of

Specific Relative Growth of. . W. L. VALK . . . . . . 82 Institution in the Making, An . . . . . . F. S. CHAPIN . . . . . 464 Merchandise Distribution, Meeting on Better

Data on . . V . . . . . . . . . . . W . 1. KING . . . . . . 336 Mexicans in Chicago and the Calumet Region,

EmploymIient of . . . . . . . . . . . P. S. TAYLOR . . . . 206 Railroads and American Prosperity, Meeting

on . . .V. I. KING .. 210 Social Science Research Council, Awards of the . . . . . . . . . . . . 334 "Variate Difference Mlethod of Seasonal

Variation," Comment on .V. S. VON SZELISKI 83 Whither Prices? Meeting on..V . . . I. KING . . . . . . 465

REVIEWS OF BOOKS Achinstein: Buying Power of Labor and Post

War Cycles . . . . . . . . . . . . . H. GLASSER . . . . . . 498



6

Actuarial Society of America and the Associa- tion of Life Insurance Medical Directors: Joint Occupation Study . . . . . . . W. 0. MENGE ..... 382

Bailey: A Summary of Advanced Statistical Methods .I.t... . . . . . . . . . R. W. BURGESS . . . 504

Bauer: Mathematics Preparatory to Statis- tics and Finance . . . . . . . . . . tR. VON HUHN . . . . 125

Bennett: Farm Cost Studies in the United States . . ... . .. . . . . . J. VINER . . . . . . . 111

Bowers: Is It Safe to Work? . . . . . . . J. B. ANDREWS . . . . 503 Brissenden: Earnings of Factory Workers,

1899 to 1927 . . . . . . . . . . . . A. ACHINSTEIN . . . . 370 Carroll: Unemployment Insurance in Germany A. HEWES . . . . . . 114 Commission Internationale pour la Revision

Decenniale des Nomenclatures Interna- tionales des Maladies . . . . . . . . E. V. KOPF . . . . . 379

Cox: An Appraisal of American Business Fore- casts ..... . . . . . . . . . . . E. C. BRATT ..... 383

Croxton, see Williams Crum: Corporate Earning Power . . . . . G. SOULE . . . . . . . 375 Davis: The Farm Export Debenture Plan . L. H. BEAN . . . . . . 493 Dewhurst: Employmeint Fluctuations in Penn-

sylvania 1921 to 1927 . . . . . . . . R. J. WATKINS . . . . 229 Douglas: Real Wages in the United States . M. W. LATIMER . . . . 479 Fisher, I: The Stock Market Crash-And After L. H. SLOAN .487 Fisher, R. A.: Statistical Methods for Re-

search Workers . . . . . . . . . . . H. HOTELLING . . . 381 Florence: The Statistical Method in Econom-

ics and Political Science . . . . . . . E. B. WILSON . . . 238 Frain: An Examination of Earnings in Certain

Standard Machine-Tool Operations in Philadelphia ...... . . .... G. R. FRIEDMAN . . . 242

Hahn: Die Statistische Analyse der Konjunk- turschwingungen . . . ..... .. S. KUZNETS . . . . . . 372

Hall: An Approach to Definite Forecasting . T. O. YNTEMA . 495 Heller Committee, University of California:

The Dependent Aged in San Francisco . I. M. RUBINOW . . 123 Hersch: Seasonal Unemployment in the Build-

ing Industry in Certain European Coun- tries . .. . . .... .. S. KUZNETS . . . . . . 486

Hill: Women in Gainful Occupations, 1870 to 1920 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . N. R. DEARDORFF . . . 366

Holt: The Bureau of the Census . . . . . . W. L. THORP ... 502 Holtzclaw, see Lovitt Holzinger and Mitchell: Exercise Manual in

Statistics .... . ...... . F. E. CROXTON . . 241 Hurd: Origin, Birthplace, Nationality and

Language of the Canadian People . . . N. CARPENTER . . 491 Industrial Relations Section, Princeton Uni-

versity: The Labor Banking Movement in the United States . . . . . . . . . J. G. ROLPH. .. 120

Jaff6, see Ogburn Kelley: Crossroads in the Mind of Man . C. SPEARMAN ... 107

Scientific Method . . . . . . . . R. E. CHADDOCK . . . 236 King: The National Income and Its Pur-

chasing Power . . . . . . . . . . W. A. PATON ... 363 The Small Loan Situation in New Jer-

sey ....... . . .. . . . J. G. ROLPH ..... 381



7

Kirkpatrick: The Farmer's Standard of Liv- ing ..... . . . . . . . . . . . A. H. HANSEN ... . 233

Kohn: Zdklady Teorie Statistick6 Metody V P. TIMOSHENKO . 373 Lang, see Schnackel League of Nations, Economic and Financial

Section: Production and Trade, 1923 to 1928-29 ..... . . . . . . . . . A. Joy ..... . . . 499

Lewinski: Money Credit and Prices . . . M. A. COPELAND . . . 377 Lippincott: Economic Resources and Indus-

tries of the World . . . . . . . . . . J. E. ORCHARD . . . . 488 Lovitt and Holtzclaw: Statistics . . . . . . H. L. RIETZ . . . . 119 Lyon: Hand-to-Mouth Buying . . . . . . J. W. HARRIMAN . . 235 Mitchell, see Holzinger Mlynarski: Gold and Central Banks . . . R. WVARREN . . . . . 118 Moore: Handbook of Financial Mathematics R. VoN HUHN . . . . 241 Mudgett: Statistical Tables and Graphs . . D. H. DAVENPORT . . 495 National Bureau of Economic Research: Re-

cent Economic Changes in the United States ..... . . . . . . . . . . A. 1IARGET ..... . 104

National Industrial Conference Board: The Cost of Living in Twelve Industrial

Cities. . . ... M. LEVEN . .. 122 The Five Day Week in Manufacturing

Industries . . . . . . . . . . . H. L. FRAIN . . . . . . 240 Nystrom: Economic Principles of Consump-

tion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . H. KYRK . . . . . . . 239 Ogburn and Jaff6: The Economic Develop-

ment of Post-War France . . . . . . J. W. ANGELL . . . . . 232 Rhyne: Some Southern Cotton Mill Workers

and Their Villages . . . . . . . . . . &MITCHELL ... 500 Rowe: Wages in Practice and Theory . . P. H. DOUGLAS . . . . 117 Schmidt: Mechanics of Accounting . . . . R. VON HUHN ... 125 Schnackel and Lang: Accounting by Machine

Methods . . . . . . . . . . . . . . T. 0. YNTEMA . . . . 126 Smart: The Economics of the Coal Industry . I. LUBIN . . . . . . . 496 Snider: Business Statistics . . . . . . . . H. V. ROELSE ... 126 Tewksbury: Introduction to Statistical Meth-

ods for Research Workers . . . . . . R. W. BURGESS . . . . 504 Tydings: Before and After Prohibition . . . H. FELDMAN . . . . . 497 Virlogeux: Quelques Aspects de l'Rvolution

des Prix au Siecle Dernier et en Notre Tenmps . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . F. C. MILLS . . . . . 231

Walker: Studies in the History of Statistical Method . . . . . . . . . . . . . . J. R. MINER . . . . . 113

Williams, M. H.: Investment Trusts in Amer- ica . . H. K. HERWITZ . . 128

Williams, P., and Croxton: Corporation Con- tributions to Organized Community Wel- fare Services . . . . . . . . . . . . M. TAYLOR . . . . . . 489

Woodward: Profits in Insurance Stocks in America ..... . . . . . . . . . H. K. HERWITZ . .. . 128

MISCELLANEOUS NOTES Pages 93, 213, 347, 471.



8

CONTRIBUTORS Leading articles are marked (A); featured notes (N); short notes (n); reviews

(R); and annual meeting papers in the Proceedings volume (P).

Achinstein, A., 370 (R) Andrew, S. L., 36* (P) Andrews, J. B., 503 (R) Angell, J. W., 232 (R) Austin, W. J., 130* (P) Baker, G. A., 387 (A) Beales, L., 121* (P) Bean, L. H., 155* (P), 428 (A), 493 (R) Bratt, E. C., 383 (R) Burgess, R. W., 504 (R) Carpenter, N., 491 (R) Chaddock, R. E., 236 (R) Chapin, F. S., 464 (n) Chatfield, C., 153* (P) Clay, P., 97* (P) Copeland, M. A., 164* (P), 377 (R) Court, A. T., 245 (A) Cox, G. V., 31* (P) Croxton, F. E., 241 (R) Davenport, D. H., 495 (R) Davies, G. R., 413 (A) Deardorff, N. RI., 366 (R) Douglas, P. H., 47 (A), 117 (R) Durand, E. D., 23* (P), 51* (P) Ebersole, J. F., 28* (P) Edie, L. D., 110* (P) Eells, W. C., 33 (A) Effinger, R. C., 80* (P) Feldman, H., 497 (R) Fisher, I., 93* (P), 308 (N) Flinn, H. M., 36* (P) Frain, H. L., 240 (R) Fredman, G. R., 242 (H) Frisch, H., 397 (A) Fry, C. L., 129 (A) Genung, A. B., 58* (P) Gini, C., 295 (A) Glasser, H., 498 (R) Goldenweiser, E. A., 69* (P) Green, M., 198 (N) Griffin, H. D., 316 (N) Gunstad, B., 305 (N) Haney, L. H., 7* (P) Hansen, A. H., 233 (R) Hanson, A. C., 47 (A) Harriman, J. W., 235 (H) Harris, J. A., 305 (N), 323 (N) Herwitz, H. K., 128 (R) HeWes, A., 114 (R) Hill, J. A. 90 (n), 344 (n), 468 (n) Hogg, M. H., 284 (A) Holden, T. S., 64* (P) Hotelling, H., 186 (A), 381 (R) Hughes, J. F., 76* (P)

Johnson, N. O., 106* (P) Joy, A., 453 (N), 499 (R) King, R. B1. 333 (n) King, WX. I., 73* (P), 86 (n), 207 (n),

210 (n), 336 (n), 339 (n), 465 (n) Kopf, E. WX., 379 (R) Kuczynski, R. R., 84 (n) Kuivin, L., 51 (A) Kuznets, S., 372 (R), 486 (R) Kyrk, H., 239 (R) Latimer, M. WV., 479 (R) Leven, M., 122 (R) Lotka, A. J., 85 (n) Lubin, I., 496 (R) McFall, RI. J., 125* (P) Maher, A. G., 41 (A) Marget, A. W., 45* (P), 104 (R) Menge, W. O., 382 (R) Mills, F. C., 231 (R) Miner, J. R., 113 (R) Mitchell, B., 500 (R) Nadler, M., 170* (P) Notestein, F. W., 9 (A) Orchard, J. E., 488 (R) Parker, H. G., 13* (P) Paton, W. A., 363 (R) Pearson, K., 320 (N), 327 (N) Perry, F. G., 63 (A) Persons, C. E., 117* (P) Rice, S. A., 198 (N) Richey, F. D., 269 (A), 468 (n) Rietz, H. L., 119 (R) Robinson, L. R., 83* (P) Roelse, H. V.,7 126 (R) Rolph, J. G., 120 (R), 381 (R) Rorty, M. C., 100* (P), 328 (N) Rubinow, I. M., 123 (R) Sasuly, M., 72 (N) 146* (P) Schultz, H., 139 (A) Shirer, J. T., 106* (P) Sibley, E., 460 (N) Silverman, A. G., 63 (A) Sloan, L. H., 487 (R) Snider, J. L., 56* (P) Snyder, C., 88* (P) Soule, G., 375 (R) Spearman, C., 107 (R) Sydenstricker, E., 9 (A) Taylor, M., 489 (R) Taylor, P. S., 206 (n) Thompson, J. G., 47* (P) Timoshenko, V. P., 373 (R) Thorp, W. L., 502 (R) Treloar, A. E., 323 (N)



9

Truesdell, L. E., 113* (P) Tucker, D., 41* (P) Valk, W. L., 82 (n) Veenstra, T. A., 407 (A) Viner, J., 111 (R) von Huhn, R., 76 (N), 125 (R), 241 (R) von Szeliski, V. S., 83 (n) Waite, W. C., 140* (P) Warren, R. B., 118 (R), 174* (P) Watkins, G. P., 18* (P)

Watkins, R. J., 191 (A), 229 (R) Welch, E. H., 440 (A) Wilder, M., 323 (N) Willcox, W. F., 69 (N), 255 (A) Williams, F. M., 135* (P) Wilson, E. B., 1 (A), 238 (R) Wisniewski, J. K., 203 (N) Wolman, L., 158* (P) Yntema, T. 0., 126 (R), 495 (R) Zabiello, G., 80 (N)



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