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Vorstand EMF Summer College 2010 Lisbon 13. – 15. September 2010 The impact of the crisis and speculatio n on collective bargaining in Europe
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Page 1: Vorstand EMF Summer College 2010 Lisbon 13. – 15. September 2010 The impact of the crisis and speculation on collective bargaining in Europe.

Vorstand

EMF Summer College 2010

Lisbon 13. – 15. September 2010

The impact of the crisis

and speculation

on collective bargaining in

Europe

Page 2: Vorstand EMF Summer College 2010 Lisbon 13. – 15. September 2010 The impact of the crisis and speculation on collective bargaining in Europe.

Vorstand

IG Metall Vorstand, Funktionsbereich Tarifpolitik2

The impact of the crisis and speculation on collective bargaining in Europe

Current economic situation

Examples of collective bargaining during the crisis

Coordination rule

Page 3: Vorstand EMF Summer College 2010 Lisbon 13. – 15. September 2010 The impact of the crisis and speculation on collective bargaining in Europe.

Vorstand

IG Metall Vorstand, Funktionsbereich Tarifpolitik3

Current economic situation (1)

Starting point of the crisis: burst of the speculative bubble in the real estate market in August 2007.

Trespassing on the financial market, intensification in August 2008: Crash of Lehmann Brothers.

Impact on worldwide investmets impact on production, particular for export-countries.

Some reasons for the crisis:

Crooked distribution, increase of profits and decrease of wages fed the speculative bubble!

Deregulation of the financial markets, „Innovations“ in financial goods.

Imbalances in foreign trade.

Page 4: Vorstand EMF Summer College 2010 Lisbon 13. – 15. September 2010 The impact of the crisis and speculation on collective bargaining in Europe.

Vorstand

IG Metall Vorstand, Funktionsbereich Tarifpolitik4

Forecasts for European metal sectors.

Change in production in %

-15,9

-25,2 -25,4

-12,5

-17,3

-31,1

-23,6

-2,3

2,6

9,3

2,2

-12,3

5,7 4,83,46,1

3,8 3,82,0

4,6 4,2

Structuralsteelwork

MechanicalEngineering

Automotive Domesticappliances

Shipyards Tubes Metal goods

2009 2010 2011

Source: EUROFER, July 2010

Page 5: Vorstand EMF Summer College 2010 Lisbon 13. – 15. September 2010 The impact of the crisis and speculation on collective bargaining in Europe.

Vorstand

IG Metall Vorstand, Funktionsbereich Tarifpolitik5

Current economic situation (2)

Reasons for recovery

Export

Goods-in-stock, low stock level

Stimulus packages

But also risks:

Stimulus packages are running out

Increase in raw material prices

Goods-in-stock cycle

Weak internal markets

Capacity utilisation not at precrisis level investment restraint.

Page 6: Vorstand EMF Summer College 2010 Lisbon 13. – 15. September 2010 The impact of the crisis and speculation on collective bargaining in Europe.

Vorstand

IG Metall Vorstand, Funktionsbereich Tarifpolitik6

Current economic situation (3)

More risks:

No change in regulation!

Recovery leads to „business as usual“

Post-crisis same as Pre-crisis!

Page 7: Vorstand EMF Summer College 2010 Lisbon 13. – 15. September 2010 The impact of the crisis and speculation on collective bargaining in Europe.

Vorstand

IG Metall Vorstand, Funktionsbereich Tarifpolitik7

Collective bargaining during the crisis (1)

Position paper of EMF „Collective Bargaining policy during the crisis

Active wage policy with the objective of a strong increase in real wages and income support.

Secure Employment.

Strenghtening the European coordination of collective bargaining.

Strenghtening European cooperation at company level.

Stabilizing lowest incomes by minimum wages.

Which issues were be achieved?

Page 8: Vorstand EMF Summer College 2010 Lisbon 13. – 15. September 2010 The impact of the crisis and speculation on collective bargaining in Europe.

Vorstand

IG Metall Vorstand, Funktionsbereich Tarifpolitik8

Collective bargaining during the crisis (2)

Increase of 2009 reflects in many cases agreements signed before the outbreak of crisis.

Situation in 2010: Wage cuts in the public sector in Ireland and Greece.

Example for other European countries and sectors?

Page 9: Vorstand EMF Summer College 2010 Lisbon 13. – 15. September 2010 The impact of the crisis and speculation on collective bargaining in Europe.

Vorstand

IG Metall Vorstand, Funktionsbereich Tarifpolitik9

First half of 2010: Agreements in European Metal Industry (Extracts) (1)

Netherlands• 01.02.2010 till 01.05.2011•Wage increase 0.5 % (01.07.2010), 1.15 % (01.01.2011)• Several qualitative elements (training, working conditions, pensions, age-

aware personnel policy, …)

Germany• 01.05.2010 till 31.03.2011 former pay scale tables, lump sum of 320 €• 01.04.2011 till 31.03.2012 wage increase: 2.7 %• Instruments of job securement, qualification.

Denmark•Wage formation via decentralized local negotiations.• Improved regulations on pensions, holidays, apprentices, equal

opportunities, health, redundancies, TAW and implementation of Second common demand.

Page 10: Vorstand EMF Summer College 2010 Lisbon 13. – 15. September 2010 The impact of the crisis and speculation on collective bargaining in Europe.

Vorstand

IG Metall Vorstand, Funktionsbereich Tarifpolitik10

First half of 2010: Agreements in European Metal Industry (Extracts) (2)

Sweden• 01.04.2010 till 31.01.2012 (22 months).•Wage increase 0,9 % (01.06.2010), 2,3 % (01.06.2011)• Measures according to the crisis (reduced working hours, obstacle for

TAW.

Norway• Total value of the agreement is estimated to reach 3 %.

Resume

Moderate wage increase. Neither wage decrease nor wage freeze.

Long duration.

Instruments of job security.

Qualitative elements.

Page 11: Vorstand EMF Summer College 2010 Lisbon 13. – 15. September 2010 The impact of the crisis and speculation on collective bargaining in Europe.

Vorstand

IG Metall Vorstand, Funktionsbereich Tarifpolitik11

First collective bargaining campaign in the recovery in Germany: Steel Industry

Demands:•Wage increase of 6 % for 12 months.• Collective agreement on equal pay for equal work for agency workers.• Further development of the collective agreement of demografic change.

After sucessful crisis management - now recovery management - share of the expected profits!

Page 12: Vorstand EMF Summer College 2010 Lisbon 13. – 15. September 2010 The impact of the crisis and speculation on collective bargaining in Europe.

Vorstand

IG Metall Vorstand, Funktionsbereich Tarifpolitik12

Coordination rule (1)

„The key point of reference and criterion for trade union wage policy in all countries must be to offset the rate of inflation and to ensure that workers‘ income retain a balanced participation in productivity gains.

The commitment to safeguard purchasing power and to reach a balanced participation in productivity gains is the new European coordination rule for co-ordinated collective bargaining in the metal sector all over Europe.“ (EMF Collective Bargaining Conference – Frankfurt, 9/10. December 1998)

The idea behind the coordination rule: No wage dumping!

Page 13: Vorstand EMF Summer College 2010 Lisbon 13. – 15. September 2010 The impact of the crisis and speculation on collective bargaining in Europe.

Vorstand

IG Metall Vorstand, Funktionsbereich Tarifpolitik13

Development of collectivly agreed wages in European Metal and Electrical Industries 2000 – 2008. VOWA minus inflation (in %)

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

Belgien 0,5 3,2 1,6 1,0 1,48 0,0 0,1 0,65 1,08 1,74

Dänemark 1,4 1,8 1,5 1,6 1,7 1,6 2,6 4,1 1,6

Deutschland 1,9 0,5 2,7 2,1 1,6 0,7 1,3 1,0 0,7 3,57

Finnland 0,8 0,0 0,7 1,4 1,3 0,8 1,3 2,62 -0,1

Griechenland 2,1 1,3 -0,9 0,6 0,0

Italien -1,4 -0,6 -0,9 -0,5 0,1 1,7

Niederlande 1,5 -0,1 -1,7 1,1 2,3 0,3 0,1 0,4 3,0 4,9

Norwegen 2,3 2,1 2,0 1,9 1,3 4,68 2,2 2,23

Österreich*) 1,5 0,6 0,9 1,1 0,5 1,6 0,92 1,38

Schweden 1,8 1,1 1,0 -0,9 1,0 1,5 1,3 1,82 0,2 2,5

Schweiz 1,2 1,6 1,1 0,7 1,5 0,1 2,1

Slowakei**) -3,1 -2,5 -0,9 4,81 1,1 -0,6

Tschechische Republik***)

10,01 0,3 3,8 3,0 0,05 2,75 2,52

Frankreich (SMIC) -0,5 1,4 2,2 0,2 3,0 3,9 3,6 1,4 -1,1 3,1

keine Angaben *) Österreich Metallindustrie und Bergbau

**) Slowakei Metallverarbeitendes Gewerbe ***) Tschechische Republik Elektroindustrie

IA = Inflationsausgleich (VOWA - HIVP)

Page 14: Vorstand EMF Summer College 2010 Lisbon 13. – 15. September 2010 The impact of the crisis and speculation on collective bargaining in Europe.

Vorstand

IG Metall Vorstand, Funktionsbereich Tarifpolitik14

Development of collectivly agreed wages in European Metal and Electrical Industries 2000 – 2008. VOWA minus inflation rate minus productivity increase. (in %)

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

Belgien -1,4 3,97 0,6 -0,02 -0,2 0,46 -1,9 -0,3 1,14 2,24

Dänemark -0,9 1,6 -0,1 0,3 -0,65 -0,15 1,4 2,73 4,05

Deutschland 0,8 0,1 1,9 1,1 0,4 -0,6 -0,8 0,2 0,66 5,52

Finnland -2,0 0,4 -0,65 -0,8 -1,2 -0,4 -0,1 -0,46 1,42

Griechenland -2,1 -3,1 -4,7 -1,6 -1,6

Italien -2,7 -0,45 0,05 -0,3 -0,8 0,7

Niederlande -0,1 -1,55 -0,5 0,85 0,25 -1,75 -0,7 2,56 7,04

Norwegen 0,1 -0,1 0,1 1,1 0,5 5,28 3,62 3,22

Österreich*) -0,4 0,5 -0,46 – 0,6 -0,7 -0,2 -0,7 1,3

Schweden -0,1 0,1 -0,9 -1,0 -1,7 -0,5 -1,4 2,37 -1,38 3,63

Schweiz 1,7 0,3 -0,6 -1,0 0,58 6,71

Slowakei -10,4 -6,3 -3,0 -1,58 -2,86 0,05

Tschechische Republik 6,31 -8,0 -3,0 -1,6 -4,61 0,3 3,29

Frankreich (SMIC) -0,3 1,5 2,4 0,9 1,5 -0,9 4,1

keine Angaben *) Österreich Metallindustrie und Bergbau

**) Slowakei Metallverarbeitendes Gewerbe ***) Tschechische Republik Elektroindustrie

ABPW = Ausgewogene Beteiligung am Produktivitätswachstum (IA minus Entwicklung der Arbeitsproduktivität)

Page 15: Vorstand EMF Summer College 2010 Lisbon 13. – 15. September 2010 The impact of the crisis and speculation on collective bargaining in Europe.

Vorstand

IG Metall Vorstand, Funktionsbereich Tarifpolitik15

Coordination rule (4): Open flanks

Coverage of collective agreements.

Opening clauses, temporary deviations.

Precarious work.

Difference between effective wages and collective wage agreements (negative wage drift).

Page 16: Vorstand EMF Summer College 2010 Lisbon 13. – 15. September 2010 The impact of the crisis and speculation on collective bargaining in Europe.

Vorstand

IG Metall Vorstand, Funktionsbereich Tarifpolitik16

Employees covered by collective agreementsManufacturing industry (West-Germany) in %

74,0

5,9

20,2

60,0

8,0

32,0

67,0

58,0

10,0

33,0

60,0

regional coll. agreement company agreement without coll. agreement without CA but CA-oriented

1998

0

2007

2009

Source: IAB Betriebspanel

The year 2009 is not exactly comparable to former years due to a change in the statistical database.

Page 17: Vorstand EMF Summer College 2010 Lisbon 13. – 15. September 2010 The impact of the crisis and speculation on collective bargaining in Europe.

Vorstand

IG Metall Vorstand, Funktionsbereich Tarifpolitik17

Employees covered by collective agreements Manufacturing industry (East-Germany) in %

40,0

10,8

49,2

25,0

17,0

59,057,0

25,0

15,0

61,0

48,0

regional coll. agreement company agreement witout coll. agreement without CA but CA-oriented

1998

0

2007

2009

Source: IAB Betriebspanel

The year 2009 is not exactly comparable to former years due to a change in the statistical database.

Page 18: Vorstand EMF Summer College 2010 Lisbon 13. – 15. September 2010 The impact of the crisis and speculation on collective bargaining in Europe.

Vorstand

IG Metall Vorstand, Funktionsbereich Tarifpolitik18

Cases of temporary and conditional deviation from collective agreement

Actually exist 855 cases – Status 07.05.2010

855

07.05.2010

Page 19: Vorstand EMF Summer College 2010 Lisbon 13. – 15. September 2010 The impact of the crisis and speculation on collective bargaining in Europe.

Vorstand

IG Metall Vorstand, Funktionsbereich Tarifpolitik19

Temporary deviation: what IG Metall conceded...(2004 – 07.05.2010)

495

602561

46

315

446

798

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1000

Page 20: Vorstand EMF Summer College 2010 Lisbon 13. – 15. September 2010 The impact of the crisis and speculation on collective bargaining in Europe.

Vorstand

IG Metall Vorstand, Funktionsbereich Tarifpolitik20

Temporary deviation:...what we got in exchange

in %

54

1512

4 5

61

23 23

8

17

72

2931

11

24

76

25

36

8

27

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

Ausschluß Kündigungen Standort-Sicherung

Investition Produkte/Innovation

Ausbildung

in 2004 in 2005 in 2006 in 2007

Page 21: Vorstand EMF Summer College 2010 Lisbon 13. – 15. September 2010 The impact of the crisis and speculation on collective bargaining in Europe.

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IG Metall Vorstand, Funktionsbereich Tarifpolitik21

Temporary Agency Work in Europe

Source: IAB Betriebspanel

Country Number of workers*2007

Rates of change2004-2007 (%)

Belgien 95.465 (382.188) 27,1 (17,39)Dänemark 20.600 -12,4Deutschland 614.000 53,6Finnland 28.000 100

Frankreich 637.901 11,9Griechenland 8.172 133,3Großbritannien 1.196.000 (8,7)

Irland 35.000 40Italien (594.744) (48)Luxemburg (8.003) (45,8)

Niederlande 233.000 48,4Norwegen 24.982 8,6Österreich 59.262 34,3

Polen 60.000 93,5Portugal (103.400**) (10,9***)Rumänien (c. 25.000) n.a.Schweden 59.400 69,7

Slowakei* 10.828 n.a.Slowenien (4.874) (99,3)Spanien 160.000 4,6

Tschechische Republik 35.000 n.a.Ungarn 55.000 4,4

Page 22: Vorstand EMF Summer College 2010 Lisbon 13. – 15. September 2010 The impact of the crisis and speculation on collective bargaining in Europe.

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IG Metall Vorstand, Funktionsbereich Tarifpolitik22

Coordination rule (5)

Problems during the crisis: • Very moderate inflation and negative productivity.• Pressure on trade unions, weaker position.

Reaction of trade unions: secure income and jobs!

Do we have an alternative to the coordination rule?

Page 23: Vorstand EMF Summer College 2010 Lisbon 13. – 15. September 2010 The impact of the crisis and speculation on collective bargaining in Europe.

Vorstand

Collective Bargaining Department / European Wage PolicyUwe Fink, Tel.: +49/69/6693-2151, [email protected]

Thanks for your attention!


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