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Voting Trends in Lowell, MA

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An “Impressionist” Snapshot of Lowell’s 2012 - 2014 Turnout “Lowell Votes” Public Meeting April 1, 2015 Slides by Christopher Glenn Hayes, [email protected] Note: All data is approximate, intended to create an order-of-magnitude snapshot of voting behavior in Lowell, MA
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Page 1: Voting Trends in Lowell, MA

An “Impressionist” Snapshot of Lowell’s 2012 - 2014 Turnout

“Lowell Votes” Public MeetingApril 1, 2015

Slides by Christopher Glenn Hayes, [email protected]: All data is approximate, intended to create an order-of-magnitude snapshot of voting behavior in Lowell, MA

Page 2: Voting Trends in Lowell, MA

Voting Age Population82,856

0102030405060708090

Voting Age Population

(2013)

Registered Voters (2014)

2012 2014 2013

Thou

sand

sChart Title

Source: United States Census Bureau. “S0101 : Age and Sex.” 2009 – 2013 American Community Survey.Note: Voting Age Population includes all residents age 18+, including noncitizens and others not eligible to vote.

Page 3: Voting Trends in Lowell, MA

Registered Voters57,686

70% of V.A.P.0

102030405060708090

Voting Age Population

(2013)

Registered Voters (2014)

2012 2014 2013

Thou

sand

sChart Title

Source: Lowell Election and Census Office. “2014 Voter List” Excel Table.

Page 4: Voting Trends in Lowell, MA

Last Presidential32,928

40% of V.A.P.0

102030405060708090

Voting Age Population

(2013)

Registered Voters (2014)

2012 2014 2013

Thou

sand

sChart Title

Source: Lowell Election and Census Office. “11_6_2012” 2012 Federal General Election Voter List, Excel Table.

Page 5: Voting Trends in Lowell, MA

0102030405060708090

Voting Age Population

(2013)

Registered Voters (2014)

2012 2014 2013

Thou

sand

sChart Title

Last Midterm20,910

25% of V.A.P.

Source: Lowell Election and Census Office. “11_4_14” 2014 State General Election Voter List, Excel Table.

Page 6: Voting Trends in Lowell, MA

0102030405060708090

Voting Age Population

(2013)

Registered Voters (2014)

2012 2014 2013

Thou

sand

sChart Title

Last Local11,526

14% of V.A.P.

20% of registered voters, 35% of 2012 turnout

Source: Lowell Election and Census Office. “11-5-2013” 2013 Municipal General Election Voter List, Excel Table.

Page 7: Voting Trends in Lowell, MA

14%

11%

28%

19% 19%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

Lowell Worcester Lawrence Cambridge Medford

Plan ECouncil - Manager

Plan E*Council - Manager

Plan BStrong Mayor

Plan ECouncil - Manager

SpecialStrong Mayor

2013 Election Turnout as % of V.A.P.

V.A.P. Source: United States Census Bureau. “S0101 : Age and Sex.” 2009 – 2013 American Community Survey.Turnout Sources: Election Offices of each municipality. “Ballots Cast” in each municipality’s 2013 local election.

* Special Charter Modified Plan E

Page 8: Voting Trends in Lowell, MA

Registered Voters as % of V.A.P.

10-313%

11-332%

1-353%

1-277%1-1

22%

2-330%

7-219%

2-219%

2-15% 9-3

24%

9-234%9-1

22%5-218%

5-329%

4-317%4-2

17%3-321%

7-315%

7-115%

5-123%6-3

37%

8-115%

8-230%

3-122%

11-235%

11-124%

10-127%

6-234%

6-131%

3-218%

10-214%

8-350%

4-127%

¯

0 1 20.5Miles

Registered5.1% - 15%

15.1% - 19.5%

19.6% - 23.9%

24% - 36.6%

36.7% - 77.2%

Turnout: Lowell Election and Census Office. “2014 Voter List” Excel Table, geocoded.V.A.P.: MassGIS. “PL94-171 P3 Redistricting data.” 2010 Redistricting Data.

Page 9: Voting Trends in Lowell, MA

2012 Voters as % of V.A.P.

10-326%

11-351%

1-369%

1-298%1-1

38%

2-345%

7-229%

2-237%

2-118% 9-3

41%

9-251%9-1

40%5-234%

5-346%

4-330%4-2

29%3-331%

7-327%

7-126%

5-137%6-3

61%

8-141%

8-244%

3-135%

11-254%

11-138%

10-143%

6-254%

6-146%

3-230%

10-226%

8-365%

4-140%

¯

0 1 20.5Miles

2012 Vote18% - 27%

28% - 35%

36% - 46%

47% - 69%

70% - 98%

Turnout: Lowell Election and Census Office. “11_6_2012” Excel Table, geocoded.V.A.P.: MassGIS. “PL94-171 P3 Redistricting data.” 2010 Redistricting Data.Note: 44 voters unable to be geocoded and not represented on map.

Page 10: Voting Trends in Lowell, MA

2013 Voters as % of V.A.P.

10-36%

11-318%

1-337%

1-252%1-1

12%

2-312%

7-29%

2-29%

2-14% 9-3

13%

9-218%9-1

10%5-29%

5-314%

4-38%4-2

10%3-311%

7-39%

7-18%

5-111%6-3

23%

8-113%

8-216%

3-112%

11-216%

11-113%

10-113%

6-219%

6-116%

3-29%

10-28%

8-331%

4-117%

¯

0 1 20.5Miles

2013 Vote4% - 6%

7% - 10%

11% - 14%

15% - 23%

24% - 52%

Turnout: Lowell Election and Census Office. “11-5-2013” Excel Table, geocoded.V.A.P.: MassGIS. “PL94-171 P3 Redistricting data.” 2010 Redistricting Data.Note: 14 voters unable to be geocoded and not represented on map.

Page 11: Voting Trends in Lowell, MA

2013 Voters as % of 2012 Voters

10-3

11-3

1-3

1-21-12-3

7-2

2-2

2-1

9-3

9-29-15-2

5-3

4-34-23-3

7-3

7-1

5-16-3

8-1

8-2

3-1

11-2

11-110-1

6-2

6-1

3-2

10-2

8-3

4-1

¯

0 1 20.5Miles

2013 Vote21% - 26%

27% - 31%

32% - 33%

34% - 43%

44% - 53%

2013 Turnout: Lowell Election and Census Office. “11-5-2013” Excel Table, geocoded.2012 Turnout: Lowell Election and Census Office. “11_6_2012” Excel Table, geocoded.Note: 58 voters unable to be geocoded and not represented on map.

Page 12: Voting Trends in Lowell, MA

33%

8%11% 12% 12%

19%

8%

20%

14%9%

16%

0%5%

10%15%20%25%30%35%

2013 Turnout by Ward as % of V.A.P.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

V.A.P. Source: MassGIS. “PL94-171 P3 Redistricting data.” 2010 Redistricting Data.Turnout Source: Lowell Election and Census Office. “2013 - Lowell City Elections” 2013 Lowell Municipal Election Results.


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