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Vermont Poll

 When referencing, please credit “VPR Vermont Poll”

HOW THE POLL WAS CONDUCTED 

This poll was conducted by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Inc. of

Washington, D.C., from October 11 through October 13, 2010. A total

of 625 registered Vermont voters were interviewed statewide by

telephone. All indicated they were likely to vote in the November

general election.

Those interviewed were selected by the random variation of the last

four digits of telephone numbers. A cross-section of exchanges was

utilized in order to ensure an accurate reflection of the state.

Quotas were assigned to reflect the voter turn-out by county.

The margin for error, according to standards customarily used by

statisticians, is no more than plus or minus 4 percentage points.

This means that there is a 95 percent probability that the "true"

figure would fall within that range if the entire population were

sampled. The margin for error is higher for any subgroup, such as aregional or gender grouping.

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SAMPLE FIGURES:

Men 307 (49%) Women 318 (51%)

REGION

Chittenden County 155 interviews

Northwest Vermont 175 interviewsNortheast Vermont 90 interviews

Southern Vermont 205 interviews

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Vermont Poll

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REGIONAL GROUPINGS 

 NORTHWEST VERMONT: Voters interviewed in Addison, Franklin, Grand Isle, Lamoille, and Washington Counties.

 NORTHEAST VERMONT: Voters interviewed in Caledonia, Essex, Orange,and Orleans Counties.

SOUTHERN VERMONT: Voters interviewed in Bennington, Rutland, Windham, and Windsor Counties.

STATEWIDE NAME RECOGNITION 

QUESTION: I am going to read a list of names.

Do you recognize the name ________?(IF YES) Do you have a favorable, unfavorable or neutral opinion of

 ________?

RECOGNIZE RECOGNIZE RECOGNIZE DON'TFAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE NEUTRAL RECOGNIZE

U.S. SENATE

Patrick Leahy 61% 23% 15% 1%

Len Britton 19% 7% 29% 45%

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Vermont Poll

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GOVERNOR 

Brian Dubie 47% 31% 18% 4%

Peter Shumlin 41% 37% 17% 5%

U.S. HOUSE

Peter Welch 61% 17% 20% 2%

Paul Beaudry 19% 11% 22% 48%

LT GOVERNOR 

Phil Scott 29% 11% 30% 30%

Steve Howard 19% 5% 32% 44%

SECRETARY OF STATE

Jim Condos 20% 9% 26% 45%

Jason Gibbs 17% 10% 30% 43%

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Vermont Poll

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QUESTION: If the 2010 election for Vermont’s U.S. Senate seat wereheld today, would you vote for:

Patrick Leahy, Democrat 62%Len Britton, Republican 27%Pete Diamondstone, Socialist 1%Cris Ericson, US Marijuana Party 1%Stephen Cain, Independent 1%

Daniel Freilich, Independent 1%Johenry Nunes, Independent -Undecided (NOT READ) 7%

LEAHY BRITTON OTHER UNDECIDED

STATE 62% 27% 4% 7%

REGION LEAHY BRITTON OTHER UNDECIDED

Chittenden County 71% 21% 3% 5%Northwest Vermont 63% 25% 5% 7%

Northeast Vermont 52% 38% 3% 7%

Southern Vermont 59% 29% 4% 8%

SEX LEAHY BRITTON OTHER UNDECIDED

Men 52% 34% 4% 10%

Women 71% 21% 4% 4%

PARTY ID LEAHY BRITTON OTHER UNDECIDED

Democrats 94% 1% 1% 4%

Republicans 29% 63% 3% 5%

Independents 58% 24% 7% 11%

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Vermont Poll

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QUESTION: If the 2010 election for Vermont’s U.S. House seat wereheld  today, would you vote for:

Peter Welch, Democrat 61%Paul Beaudry, Republican 25%Gus Jaccaci, Independent 3%Jane Newton, Socialist 1%

Undecided (NOT READ) 10%

  WELCH BEAUDRY OTHER UNDECIDED

STATE 61% 25% 4% 10%

REGION WELCH BEAUDRY OTHER UNDECIDED

Chittenden County 67% 17% 3% 13%

Northwest Vermont 66% 21% 6% 7%

Northeast Vermont 44% 41% 3% 12%Southern Vermont 59% 29% 3% 9%

SEX WELCH BEAUDRY OTHER UNDECIDED

Men 56% 29% 4% 11%

Women 66% 21% 4% 9%

PARTY ID WELCH BEAUDRY OTHER UNDECIDED

Democrats 92% 1% 2% 5%

Republicans 27% 62% 4% 7%Independents 57% 21% 6% 16%

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Vermont Poll

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DEMOGRAPHICS:

SEX: Male 307 (49%)

Female 318 (51%)

AGE: 18-34 73 (12%)

35-49 176 (28%)50-64 184 (29%)

65+ 191 (31%)

Refused 1

PARTY ID: Democrat 205 (33%)

Republican 162 (26%)

Independent 258 (41%)

REGION: Chittenden County 155 (25%)Northwest VT 175 (28%)

Northeast VT 90 (14%)

Southern VT 205 (33%)