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W25 Transit Development Study

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    C o m m u n i t y P l a n n i n g P r o c e s s F i n a l Re p o r t |   A p r i l 2 0 1 5

    w25transitdevelopmentstrategy

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    [01] PREMISEWhy this study? Why now?

    PAGE05

    [02] PROCESSA uniquely Cleveland corridor.PAGE09

    [05] MARKETEconomic Dynamics in the Area

    PAGE69

    [06] BACKGROUNDA: Committee SummariesB: Charrette SummariesC: Photography Credits

    D: Digital ArchivePAGE109

    [03] FINDINGSResults and Recommendations

    PAGE23

    [04] TRANSITAnalysis and DirectionPAGE49

    Content

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      5.1 "Lakeside Flats" Aerial (courtesy Bing Maps)

    premise

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    CLEVELAND NEIGHBORHOOD PROGRESS [ 7]

      7.2 Historic Streetcar 

      7.4 Skylift

      7.5 Housing at Ft. Belvoir (VA)

      7.6 SanFrancisco Public Housing

      7.7 Tremont Hope VI Project

     

    7.1 Corridor Study Area (courtesy Bing Maps) 7.10 Cyclists and Pedestrians Cross W25 at Detroit

    7.9 Historical Trolley Route Map

    7.8 Ohio City Sidewalk 

      7.3 Bikeshare Station

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      9.1 "Industrial Village" Aerial (courtesy Bing Maps)

    PROCESS

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      23.1 "La Villa" Aerial (courtesy Bing Maps)

    FINDINGS

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    [ 30] W25 TRANSIT DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY

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    CLEVELAND NEIGHBORHOOD PROGRESS [31]

      Courtesy Parsons Brinckerhoff

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    centers of community, commerce, and High Priority

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    CLEVELAND NEIGHBORHOOD PROGRESS [33]

      33.8 Market District

      33.7 Metro Health, Old Brooklyn

      33.6 Informal Signage along W25

      33.5 Significant Building

      33.4 Masonic Temple

      33.3 Proposed LJ Minor's Expansion

      33.2 Zoo Entrance

      33.1 West Side Market

    institutional activity. These nodes rangesignificantly in function and form andshould not be confused as eight partsof a whole, but rather as eight uniqueplaces connected by the West 25th Street

    Corridor.

    Area stakeholders, by way of theworking groups, were asked to rank theimmediacy of development need in each.These rankings reflect what each groupfelt were the most important nodes as the question pertained directly to their

    assigned perspective. For example, the housing work group ranked theimportance of immediate  housing development activity in each of the eightnodes, assigning the nodes a score of 1 through 8, with 1 being the most criticaland 8 being the least.

    Each of the working groups had a slightlydifferent ranking (understandable given their differing perspectives and charges),but in the end, the rankings featured ahigh degree of consensus.

    To be clear, a higher ranking simplyindicates more urgency for immediate

    intervention by area stakeholders. Itis not an assessment of popularityor excitement, although potential andopportunity to leverage momentum didplay into the rankings. The eight grouprankings were compiled to determine theconsensus development priority.

    The nodes can be divided into three tiersof development urgency:

    Candidates for immediate andcomprehensive development activity andcommunity intervention:1. La Villa Hispana – 3.252. Lakeview Flats – 3.38

    3. Health Campus – 3.63

    Medium PriorityRelative stable areas that will require thefocus of the community in 3-5 years:4. Old Brooklyn Downtown – 4.385. Brooklyn Centre – 4.576. Industrial Village – 4.71

    Low PriorityNodes with comparative sustainabilityat present, with longer-term interventionpossibilities:7. Market District – 5.008. Zoo Greenway – 5.13

    A consolidated action plan for each of thenodes is detailed in the following sectionalong with specific feedback from eachworking group. These summaries shouldserve as a starting place for criticalcommunity organizing, implementation,and development strategy conversations.

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    [ 34] W25 TRANSIT DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY

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    CLEVELAND NEIGHBORHOOD PROGRESS [35]

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    • Expand ESL Classes and InterpretingServices Focus on Cultural Sensitivity

    • Lincoln West Community Access• Improve Safety at Recreation Sites

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    CLEVELAND NEIGHBORHOOD PROGRESS [37]

      37.8 Aragon Ballroom

    37.6 Courtesy CUDC

      37.5 La Villa Business Leader 

      37.4 HBC Consultation

      37.3 La Villa Storefront

      37.1 "La Villa" Aerial (courtesy Bing Maps)

    Services, Focus on Cultural Sensitivity• Develop/Expand Mentoring Programs• Partner with Churches• Traffic Calming to Ensure Safety (Safe

    Routes to School)

    • Help Julia de Burgos Move to LaVilla Hispana node in long-termstable facility well-suited to theirprogramming/mission

    Housing

    • Develop Mixed-Income Housing• Strategic Demolition, Beginning with

    Lincoln High School• Housing Maintenance Program for

    Qualifying Home Owners• Use Large, School-Adjacent Vacant

    Parcels for Recreation Space• Down Payment Assistance

    Program(s), like Saint Patrick’s• Housing Advocacy & Counseling

    • Plan with Residents• Protect Against Displacement

    Pedestrian

    • Security Issues• Lighting• Improve Vacant Lots• Softer Aesthetic

    • Upgraded Bus Stops & Benches• Safety Issues• Countdown/Audio Crosswalks• Traffic Calming• Crosswalk Visibility/Creativity

    Recreation

    • Renovation of Clark Recreation Center 

    • Wayfinding to Existing Parks (Trent,Roberto Clemente)• Better Connections to Tow Path

    • Improve Safety at Recreation SitesServices

    • Street Lighting• Police Presence• Home Ownership Program

    • Business/Nonprofit Attraction, Dvpmt• Storefront Renovation• Lincoln West Overhaul• Mixed-Income Housing Program• Branding/Gateway Marketing

    Transit

    • Refine Schedule for Regular Intervals

    Between Buses• Articulated Bus Service (Rush Hours)• Explore Feasibility of W25 Circulator • Improved Tech – Real Time Arrival

    Info; Digital Schedules at Stops• Express Service to Major Destinations:

    Steelyard, Zoo, MetroHealth• Steelyard: Address Bike/Ped/Bus

    Connectivity to/within• Investigate Traffic Improvements• Left Turns and Accident Hazards• Left/Right-Turn LED Signs• Peak Hour Restrictions• Talk to Transit Riders to Get their Ideas

    Workforce

    • Foster Cultural/Ethnic Amenities• Create Cultural Destination• Increase ESL Programming• Increase Hispanic, Dual-Language Ed.• Improve Lincoln West High School• Assess Skills to Leverage and Train• Expand HQ Workforce Opportunities• Hotel/Hostel/Bed and Breakfast

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    Workforce

    • Extend Bus Routes North of Detroit

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    CLEVELAND NEIGHBORHOOD PROGRESS [39]

    Extend Bus Routes North of Detroit• Highlight Entertainment Options• Highlight Metroparks• Improve Safety (Lighting, Road

    Surface)

    • Improve Ped/Bike Crossing• Significantly Improve Wayfinding

    39.6 Housing Advertisement

      39.5 Lakeview Terrace

      39.4 Cyclists and Pedestrians Cross W25 at Detroit

    39.3 Area Plan (courtesy CUDC)

      39.1 "Lakeview Flats" Aerial (courtesy Bing Maps)

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    CLEVELAND NEIGHBORHOOD PROGRESS [41]

      41.6 Current MetroHealth Campus  41.4 MetroHealth Campus Vision

      41.3 MetroHealth

      41.1 "Health Campus" Aerial (courtesy Bing Maps) 41.5 MetroHealth Campus Vision

    OLDBROOKLYNDOWNTOWN

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    [ 42] W25 TRANSIT DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY

      42.4 Church Rectory

      42.5 Metro Health, Old Brooklyn

      42.3 Church in Old Brooklyn

    42.7 Area Plan (courtesy CUDC)

      42.6 Significant Building

    Priority: Moderate (#4)

    Overview

    Centered around West 25 St / PearlRd. between Broadview and StateRoads, Downtown Old Brooklyn is thecommercial center of the Old Brooklynneighborhood, which boasts a stablehousing market with a high density offamilies and seniors.

    AssetsThis district, just south of the MetroparksZoo, is anchored by South BrooklynBranch Library and MetroHealth OldBrooklyn Health Center and features anenviable fabric of urban buildings andready, multi-modal access.

    Strengths

    Old Brooklyn’s Downtown is the centerpoint of a tight, stable community with ahigh density of families and seniors. Thecommercial fabric of this node is largelyin-tact and has a distinctive character.The Library and MetroHealth both serveas strong anchors for this node, with the Zoo and Brookside Reservationserving as the northern gateway for theneighborhood. In the future, this area willalso benefit from a connection to the TowPath trail and from the redevelopment of the Henninger site. The area is also theconvergence point for many importantspoke roads and transit routes. Finally, the area has high-performing schools

     that attract and retain families.

    Challenges

    The auto-centered nature of thestreetscapes in this node make it

    challenging to support and encouragepedestrian-oriented commercialdevelopment – in particular the width of the road, the infrequency of crosswalksand lack pedestrian infrastructure/curbspose challenges to vibrant pedestrianretail. Additionally, the distance from the urban core / Downtown Cleveland

    makes it difficult to attract visitors fromother urban neighborhoods, and the transit waiting environments and wait times make it less friendly to transitriders. Finally, there is a need to increasepedestrian, bike and transit connectivityfrom this node north to the Zoo and toother centers of activity along the corridor.

    Working Group Recommendations

    Recommended that initial focus ison activating pedestrian-orientedcommercial development, implementationof streetscape improvements withincreased pedestrian and bike amenities,and establishing a more pleasant anddirect connection from Downtown OldBrooklyn to the Zoo for non-auto users.

      42.1 "Downtown Old Brooklyn" Aerial (courtesy Bing Maps)

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    INDUSTRIALVILLAGE

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    [ 44] W25 TRANSIT DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY

    44.6 Area Plan (courtesy CUDC)

      44.7 Voss Industries in Ohio City44.5 Voss Industries

      44.4 LJ Minor's Signage

      44.3 Proposed LJ Minor's Expansion

      44.1 "Industrial Village" Aerial (courtesy Bing Maps)

    Priority: Moderate (#6)

    Overview

    Centered around intersection of West 25St and Queen Ave, the Industrial Villageis situated between the Red Line Rapid train tracks and I-90, is anchored by the Nestle/LJ Minor site and includesresidential pockets on either side of W25as well as Scranton Elementary School atScranton & Barber Ave.

    Assets

    • Scranton Elementary

    Strengths

    The Industrial Village node is dominatedby the thriving Nestle / LJ Minor plant,but is also home to the tight-night Barber-Vega-Queen residential community to the West of W25, as well as theScranton Elementary School to the Eastof W25. This node features good transitdowntown, pockets of residential density,and proximity to strong districts (MarketDistrict, La Villa Hispana, Tremont).

    Challenges

    There is a need for infrastructureinvestments for automobile, transit, bikeand pedestrian users of W25. There is aneed for beautification (green & screen) to reduce perceptions of blight andlack of safety. The location of ScrantonElementary is also problematic given the relationship to the highway. There is

    also a need for workforce training andaffordable childcare to facilitate increased

    access to the employment opportunitiesin the area.

    Working Group RecommendationsStreetscape and infrastructureinvestments are needed along W25 toimprove pedestrian and transit experience.It is also recommended that alternatelocations for Scranton Elementary areexplored to improve the integration andpedestrian access to that educational

    facility. Finally, any expansions of theindustrial development in the area need to be conscientious of adjacencies withresidential neighborhoods. Integration of this area with strong neighboring nodes to the north and south would also bebeneficial.

     MARKETDISTRICT

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    CLEVELAND NEIGHBORHOOD PROGRESS [45]

      45.3 W25 RTA Station

      45.4 Ohio City Farm Stand

    45.2 Area Plan (courtesy CUDC)

      45.7 Market Square, Ohio City

      45.6 Saint Ignatius

      45.5 Market District

      45.1 "Market District" Aerial (courtesy Bing Maps)

    Priority: Low (#7)

    Overview

    Centered around intersection of West 25St and Lorain Ave. and anchored by theWest Side Market, the Market District isa hub of commercial activity for the NearWest Side that has regional attraction.

    AssetsHome to major employment anchors

    Lutheran Hospital, West Side Market,and Voss Industries, this district ischaracterized by dense, mixed usedevelopment, quality transit service, highdensity public housing, and connectivity to Downtown Cleveland and the Flats.• St. Ignatius High School• Dunbar Elementary• Near West Intergenerational School• Garrett Morgan School of Science• Orchard Elementary• Horizon Science Academy• Carnegie West Library• Fairview Park • Market Square Park • Lutheran Hospital• Ohio City Farm• Glass Bubble Project• Saint Wendelin’s Parish• Franklin Circle Church

    Strengths

    This node benefits from strong, multi-modal connections to Downtown and theFlats as well as diversity and density of

    employment opportunities (3rd largestemployment center behind Downtown

    and University Circle). Additionally, thisnode is home to several strong schoolsand is recognized as a regional destination

    for food and street-level retail. There isstrong market demand for residential,retail and office space at this node.

    Challenges

    There is significant congestion at thisnode for multiple modes of transportationand there is a need for improved bike

    infrastructure. There is also a needfor affordable, quality education andaccompanying after-school programmingin the arts. Although this node benefitsfrom proximity to waterfront amenities, there is a need for better wayfinding andpedestrian access to these amenities.Finally, there is a need for affordable childcare and workforce training programs thatcan broaden access to the employmentopportunities at this node.

    Working Group Recommendations

    The challenges of this node fall largelywithin the mission and capacity of thearea CDC, Ohio City Inc.

    ZOOGREENWAY

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    [ 46] W25 TRANSIT DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY

    46.5 Area Plan (courtesy CUDC)

      46.4 Zoo Promenade

      46.3 Elephant Paddock 

      46.2 Zoo Entrance

      46.1 "Zoo Greenway" Aerial (courtesy Bing Maps)

    Priority: Low (#8)

    Overview

    Centered around intersection of West25 St / Pearl Rd. and Wildlife Way, thisnode is anchored by the Metroparks Zoowhich occupies much of the Big CreekValley and is home to the Metroparksadministrative offices.

    Assets

    • Metroparks Zoo• Calgary Park, future development ofHenniger site

    Strengths

    The Metroparks Zoo is the major assetfor this node and serves as a regionaldestination with important connections to Brookside Reservation, the future TowPath trail and redeveloped Henniger site.

    Challenges

    The major challenge for this node ismaking the Metroparks Zoo accessible to transit and bike users, and to make thisregional destination more connected toand supportive of the Brooklyn Centreand Old Brooklyn Downtown commercialfabric.

    Working Group Recommendations

    The challenges of this node fall within the mission and capacity of existingorganizations Metroparks Zoo, BikeCleveland and RTA. It is recommended

     that the Metroparks work closely with these agencies and area CDCs to increase

     transit and bike access to the zoo, and to better leverage the zoo visitation forsupport neighborhood retail.

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    CLEVELAND NEIGHBORHOOD PROGRESS [47]

    THIS PAGE INTENTIONALLY LEFT BLANK

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      49.1 "Brooklyn Center" Aerial (courtesy Bing Maps)

    TRANSIT

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    [ 50]  W25 TRANSIT DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY

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    PARSONS BRINCKERHOFF & MICHAEL BAKER INTERNATIONAL [51]

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    West 5

    th

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    period and 30 minutes during the midday along this segment of the route. Stockyards, West Boulevard, and Cudell. Some major destinations along the

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    [ 54]  W25 TRANSIT DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY

    The route serves the cities of Cleveland, Parma, and Parma Heights. Within

     the City of Cleveland, the route serves the neighborhoods of Ohio City, Clark-

    Fulton, Old Brooklyn, and Brooklyn. Destinations served by the route include

    Downtown Cleveland, Lutheran Hospital, the West Side Market, the Cleveland

    MetroParks Zoo, Pearl Brook Shopping Center (79A only), Parma Community

    General Hospital (79A only), and the Shoppes at Parma (79A only).

    Route 81 – Tremont/Storer

    Route 81 operates between Downtown Cleveland (East 3rd and Rockwell) and

     the West Boulevard/Cudell Rapid Station. Route 81 is the primary routeconnecting the Tremont neighborhood to Downtown Cleveland and provides

     the only connection for this corridor, and indeed for the entire West Side of

    Cleveland, to the Steelyard Commons shopping complex. The serves

    provides a number of other unique connections, tracing a circuitous

    alignment throughout the city’s near west side neighborhoods.

    The route operates along Superior Avenue/Detroit Road, West 25 th  Street,

    Lorain Road, Abbey Avenue, Jefferson Avenue, West 7 th  Street, Professor

    Avenue, Starkweather Avenue, West 14 th  Street, Steelyard Drive, Clark

    Avenue, Scranton Road, Southpoint Drive, West 25 th  Street, Fulton Road,

    Storer Avenue, West 65 th Street, Denison Avenue, Ridge Road, Clinton Road,

    West Boulevard, West 98 th  Street, and Detroit Avenue, serving the West

    Boulevard/Cudell Rapid Station.

    Route 81 operates 24 hours a day, 7 days a week. On weekdays andSaturdays, the route operates at 30 minute headways during peak times and

     the midday, and 60 minutes during evenings and late night. On Sundays, the

    route operates at 45 minute headways during the day and at 60 minutes

    during evenings and late night.

    The route operates wholly within the City of Cleveland and serves the

    neighborhoods of Ohio City, Tremont, Clark-Fulton, Detroit-Shoreway, the

    route include Downtown Cleveland, Lakeview Terrace, Lutheran Hospital, the

    West Side Market, Steelyard Commons, and the MetroHealth Hospital.

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    PARSONS BRINCKERHOFF & MICHAEL BAKER INTERNATIONAL [55]

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    2011

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    sho

    Janu

    Rout

    nine routes hig

    ases in ridership

    outes have experie greatest increas

    e last three year 

    d. The other rout

    year to year but

    . The exception t

    ase in ridership

    and 2012.

     Figure 4:

    irst quarter of 20

    n in Figure 5, all

    ary 2014 to Marc

    es 20, 22, 26, an

    lighted in the p

    ver the past few

    nced increases ies are apparent i

      ending in 2013

    es have all exper 

    ave seen an over 

     this, however, is

    between 2010 an

     RTA Historical B

    4 saw strong rid

    of the routes ha

    h 2014. Some of

    d 81. Route 21

    revious sections

    years. As shown

    ridership from 2 Route 20 which

    with almost one

    ienced small fluct

    all increase in rid

     Route 22, which

    d 2013 despite

     s Ridership 2010

    rship gains amo

    e seen an increa

     the biggest incre

    as experienced o

    have experienc

    in Figure 4, most

    10 to 2013. Sohas seen increas

    million passenge

    uations in ridersh

    rship from 2010

    has seen an over 

    odest increases

     2013 

    g all the routes.

    e in ridership fro

    ses can be seen

    nly slight growth

    d

    of

    es

    rs

    ip

     to

    ll

    in

    s

    m

    in

    in

    service

    Fixed

    The RT

    Street/ 

    Avenue

    in the

    Downt

    Winder 

     to Clev

    made

     the Fla

    Height

    The Re

    15 min

    and operates onl

     Figure 5:

    Route Service

    A Rapid Red Lin

    hio City Rapid

    and Abbey Aven

    Ohio City neighb

    wn Cleveland a

    mere Station in E

    eland Hopkins Int

     t Tower City/Publ

     ts – East Bank,

    .

    d Line operates e

    ute headways fro

     during weekday

    TA Historical Bu

     – Heavy Rail

    serves the W. 2

     tation located o

    e, near the inters

    orhood. The Re

    nd further east

    ast Cleveland. To

    ernational Airport

    lic Square to RTA

      Browns Stadiu

    very day from 3:1

     the start of the

     and daylight hou

     Ridership Q1 20

    5 th Street Corrido

      Gehring Avenu

    ection of Lorain a

      Line offers on

     to University Cir 

     the west it offers

    . Additionally, co

    ’s Green and Blu

    , eastern Clevel

    7 AM to 1:38 A

    day to 8:00 PM, f

    rs.

    14

    at the West 25 th 

    between Lorain

    d West 25 Street

    -seat service to

    cle and Stokes-

    one seat service

    nections can be

    light rail lines to

    land and Shaker

    and operates at

    rom which time it

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    West

     

    and I

    dem

    t 5

    th

     Street Corr

    -71. This differen

    graphic differen

    ridor Transit Ana

    e in household si

    ces between th

    alysis

    zes between the t

    two areas wit

    o area reflects t

    h low-to-modera

    e

    te

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    [ 58]  W25 TRANSIT DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY

    dem

    inco

    Clar 

    and

    refle

    hous

    mark 

    famil

    high

    Theacce

    Base

     the

    curr 

    25 th 

    area

    andawa

     throu

    City

    supp

    graphic differen

    e households,

    Avenue, and m

    hildless househo

     ts a common

    eholds occupyin

    ets, including ma

    y houses, rather

    r-priced markets.

    population densitpted thresholds a

    d on the map an

    orridor itself wou

    ntly enjoys. The

    Street is that it i

     south and west t

    ensest employm. However, witho

    gh traffic of buse

     through the area,

    ort such a high le

    ces between th

    any with childre

    re affluent house

    lds, north of Clar 

    phenomenon in

    larger residenc

    ny one-and two-

     than condominiu

     

    ies presented asociated with tra

     the calculated p

    ld not be able to

    rimary reason fo

      the most conv

    o connect to dow

    ent center in the r ut the proximity

    s traveling from a

      the West 25 th  S

    el of transit servi

      two areas, wit

    n, concentrated i

    holds, including

    and particularly

    lower-priced ho

    s than they mig

    erson household

    ms or apartment

    ove were combisit modes and pr 

    pulation densities

    support the level

     the high level of

    nient route for b

    ntown Cleveland,

    egion and is locatf downtown Clev

     large portion of t

    reet corridor, on

    e based on its re

    h low-to-modera

      the area south

    any single pers

    orth of I-90. It al

    using markets,

    ht in higher-pric

     occupying singl

    s as they might

    ned with generalesented in Figure

    shown in Figure

    of transit service

    service along We

    ses traveling fro

    which is the large

    ed a short distaneland and the pa

    he west side of t

    its own, could n

    idential density.

     te

    of

    n

    o

    of

    d

    e-

    in

    ly9.

    9,

    it

    st

    m

    st

    es

    e

    ot

     Figure 8: Average Household Size (2010)

    West

     

    t 5

    th

     Street Corrridor Transit Anaalysis

    Zero C

    Conce

    r Households

    tration of zero car households is a good indicat

    r of high transit

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    PARSONS BRINCKERHOFF & MICHAEL BAKER INTERNATIONAL [59]

     Figure 9: Population Density and  ransit Mode Thre holds (2010) 

    Conce

    propen

    and w

    home.

    need o

     throug

    access

    househ

    The ne

    concen

    The ne

    have a

    having

    25 th  St

    public

    report

    is alsowithout

    Overall,

    reporti

    RTA’s

    Road,

    residen

    bus ro

    service

    service

     tration of zero c

    sity since having

    lking or cycling,

    An area with a l

    f good transit se

    out the corridor

     to an automobile

    olds (greater than

    ighborhoods of C

     tration of househ

    ighborhoods to t

    number of area

    zero access to an

    eet and the Wes

    housing propertie

    aving no access

    home to a num access to an aut

      the existing RT

    g a high proporti

    routes along We

    Clark Avenue,

     ts’ travel needs.

     tes may have m

    in parts of the co

    span, provides m

    ar households is

    zero access to a

    may be the prim

    rge percentage

    rvice. As shown

    how a high perc

    . In fact, a numb

     50 percent) as h

    lark-Fulton and

    lds with no acce

    e north and east

      with the fewes

     automobile. Ho

     t Bank of the Flat

    s, also show a l

     to an automobile.

    ber of areas withmobile.

    A service runs

    on of households

    st 25 th  Street, P

    orain Road, an

    esidents without

    ore issues, parti

    rridor. Route 81,

    uch of the transit

    a good indicat

     automobile sug

    ry means of tran

    f zero car hous

    in Figure 10, a

    ntage of househ

    r of areas report

    aving no access

    rooklyn Centre s

    s to an automobil

      including Ohio

    number of hou

    ever, the areas to

    s, which is hom

    rge proportion of

    The neighborhoo

      25 to 50 perce

    djacent to man

     with no access t

    arl Road, State

    d Detroit Avenu

    cars living in area

    ularly given the l

    with its circuitous

    service available i

    r of high transit

    ests that transit,

    sportation for the

    holds is likely in

    number of areas

    lds that have no

     that a majority of

    o an automobile.

    how the greatest

    e.

    ity and Tremont

    eholds reporting

     the east of West

     to a number of

    households that

    d of Old Brooklyn

    nt of households

    of these areas

    o an automobile.

    Road, Broadview

    support these

    s farther from the

    ack of east-west

    routing and long

    n these areas.

    West

     

    t 5

    th

     Street Corrridor Transit Anaalysis

    Activit

    Activity

     Centers

    centers are locat

    ions that are attr ctions, not just f

    r local residents,

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    [ 60]  W25 TRANSIT DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY

     Figure 10: Zero Car Hou eholds (2008-2012) 

    Activity

    but als

    employ

    grocer 

    or con

    centers

    lower i

    locatio

    and so

    Identifyimport

    are pla

     transit

    identifi

    employ

    A majo

    25 th Str 

     the loc

    centers

    These

    leading

    govern

    attracti

    Additio

    of the

    bus ro

     transp

    The rel

    centers are locat

    o that attract tra

    ment centers, sc

     stores, shopping

    entrations of me

     for public transit,

    ncome, elderly, di

    s of concentratio

    ial services, and

    ing and mappinnt step in analyzi

    es that attract tr 

    system. Activity

    d include school

    ment centers, CM

    rity of the major

    eet Corridor with

    al community. O

     include Pearl Ro

    re all served by o

     to Downtown Cle

    ental center, a

    ns in the immedi

    nally, the CMHA p

    orridor in the Ohi

     tes that serve b

    rt the residents th

    atively poor transi

    ions that are attr 

    elers to the are

    ools and college

     centers and mall

    dical offices and

    it is also importa

    isabled, and tran

    ns of public and

    senior centers.

     the locationsng a corridor’s tra

    nsit trips and pla

    centers in the W

    s and libraries,

    HA properties, an

    ctivity centers lie

     the exception of s

     ther major arteri

    ad, Lorain Avenu

    ne or a number of

    veland which is t

    nd contains the

    ate area.

    roperties that are

    City neighborho

     th West 25 th  Str 

    ere throughout th

     t connectivity bet

    ctions, not just f

      from outside.

    , retail and entert

    s, tourist attractio

    services. When i

    nt to identify locat

    it dependent peo

    subsidized housi

    of various activitnsit operating en

     important roles i

    est 25 th  Street C

    hopping centres,

    d tourist attraction

    within close prox 

    chools and librari

    ls that host a n

    , Detroit Road, a

     RTA services dis

    e region’s largest

    largest concent

    clustered around t

    d are well served

    eet and Detroit A

     Greater Clevelan

    een the corridor

    r local residents,

    hey can include

    ainment districts,

    ns, and hospitals

    entifying activity

    ions important to

    ple, including the

    g, governmental

    y centers is anironment as they

    n the ridership of

    orridor that were

    hospitals, major

    s (Figure 11).

    imity to the West

    s as these serve

    mber of activity

    nd Clark Avenue.

    cussed above, all

    employment and

    ration of tourist

    he northeast side

    by the numerous

    enue which can

    d area.

    and the adjacent

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      69.1 "Zoo Greenway" Aerial (courtesy Google)

    MARKET

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    2014 West 25th Street Housing Demand Analysis

    West 25th Street Corridor

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    4WARD PLANNING, INC. [ 71]

    4WARD PLANNING INC.   1

    West 25 Street Corridor

    Housing Demand Analysis

    POPULATION & HOUSEHOLDS 7

    RETAIL SPENDING 16

    HOUSING 20

    LABOR MARKET 11

    EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 2

    APPENDIX 36

    November 2014

    LIMITING CONDITIONS & CONTACT INFORMATION 39

    72

    76

    80

    85

    89

    105

    70

    2014 West 25th Street Housing Demand Analysis

    Executive Summary Methodology

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    [ 72] W25 TRANSIT DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY

    4WARD PLANNING INC.   3

    y gy

    Population andHouseholds

    •Population and household trends are derived from data provided by Esri’s CommunityAnalyst (provides current year estimates and projections based on Census data).Current and near-term (next five years) population and household growth is derived fromthe Census data.

    Labor Market

    •Existing employment data is collected via Esri’s Community Analyst for the Corridor.Total industry trend data for the County is provided by the U.S. Census’s QuarterlyWorkforce Indicators (QWI). Data on local large employers (those with over 50employees) is collected via InfoFree. Data on primary jobs (a job that is the largestsource of income for an individual) and earnings, and commuting was provided by theU.S. Census’s OnTheMap application, a web-based mapping and reporting application,based on 2002 to 2011 LEHD Origin Destination Employment Statistics (LODES) data,that shows where workers are employed and where they live.

    Retail•Retail real estate inventory and trends are derived from data provided by Esri’s

    Community Analyst and the Directory of Major Malls Inc.

    Housing

    •Housing inventory and trend data are derived from Esri’s Community Analyst. Housingpipeline data was collected via U.S. Bureau of the Census Building Permit Estimates.Residential development activity data for the Corridor is collected from pipeline dataprovided by the Cleveland Neighborhood Progress and interviews with local developers.Data on cost-burdened households - those paying more than 30 percent per month onhousing, is provided by the Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD).Affordable rent for the County is provided by HUD for 50 and 80 percent of Area Median

    Income (AMI) and compared to average asking rent data collected via Trulia andPadmapper. Home price data by neighborhood is collected via Trulia, while sale pricetrend data for the Corridor is collected via Loopnet. Near-term housing needs (next tenyears) was estimated based on existing residential real estate inventory and projectionsprovided by Esri, and demand drivers informed by local real estate trends. Residentialconstruction costs data for Cleveland is provided by RSMeans Online and assumesstandard union labor.

    2014 West 25th Street Housing Demand Analysis

    EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Geographies

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    4WARD PLANNING, INC. [ 73]

    4WARD PLANNING INC.   4

    Legend:

    Corridor (1/4-mile buffer)

    Travel Shed (2 miles from Corridor buffer)

    Primary Market Area (10-min drive contour)

    Cuyahoga County

    4ward Planning

    examined historical and

    forecasted socio-

    economic, retailleakage/surplus, labor

    market trends (for 2010,

    2014, and 2019) to

    comparatively analyze

    the West 25th Street

    Corridor (including

    sections), the PrimaryMarket Area (a 10-

    minute drive from three

    major corridor

    intersections), the Trade

    Area (two-mile buffer

    from the Corridor), andCuyahoga County.

    LOCAL MARKET AREAS

    North

    Central

    South

    CORRIDOR SECTIONS

    I-71

    I-90

    2014 West 25th Street Housing Demand Analysis

    EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Key Trends

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    [ 74] W25 TRANSIT DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY

    4WARD PLANNING INC.   5

    Source: US Census Bureau; Esri; 4ward

    Planning Inc., 2014

    North

    Central

    South

    CORRIDOR SECTIONS

    I-71

    I-90

    2014 2019   Proj. Change

    Corridor (North)

    Population: 4,352 4,286 -1.5%

    Households: 2,343 2,338 -0.2%

    Household Size:   1.70 1.68 -1.2%

    Households with Person Over 65 Years:   8.9% 10.9% 22.5%

    Median Household Income: $15,075 $15,524 3.0%

    Percent of Household Incomes >$75,000: 11.0% 15.6% 41.8%Percent Vacant Housing Units: 13.7% 14.8% 8.0%

    Median Home Value: $109,722 $152,857 39.3%

    Corridor (Central)

    Population: 4,465 4,348 -2.6%

    Households: 1,665 1,627 -2.3%

    Household Size:   2.55 2.54 -0.4%Households with Person Over 65 Years: 11.0% 13.1% 19.1%

    Median Household Income: $19,637 $21,583 9.9%

    Percent of Household Incomes >$75,000: 5% 8% 49.0%

    Percent Vacant Housing Units: 23.2% 25.0% 7.8%

    Median Home Value: $65,331 $65,284 -0.1%

    Corridor (South)

    Population: 3,849 3,761 -2.3%

    Households: 1,620 1,589 -1.9%

    Household Size:   2.34 2.33 -0.4%

    Households with Person Over 65 Years: 11.5% 13.8% 20.0%

    Median Household Income: $26,801 $30,144 12.5%

    Percent of Household Incomes >$75,000: 7.8% 11.3% 44.9%

    Percent Vacant Housing Units: 19.3% 20.3% 5.2%

    Median Home Value: $73,248 $77,437 5.7%

    2014 West 25th Street Housing Demand Analysis

    EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Key Implications

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    4WARD PLANNING, INC. [ 75]

    4WARD PLANNING INC.   6

    Housing•Many area households face high housing costs

    relative to their incomes.

    •Despite flat population and household growth,demand for quality workforce housing isstrong, due to pent-up worker demand fromthose commuting from outside the Corridor.

    Population & Households•The population of the Corridor and surrounding

    area is aging, and non-family householdformation is increasing. These trends haveimportant implications for housing markets, asnon-family and empty nester householdstypically demand smaller units in higher-density areas.

    Retail Spending•Low-incomes, housing cost burdens, and slack labor

    market conditions will likely suppress retail demandin the near term for Corridor residents.

    •The Corridor has the opportunity, however, to benefitfrom an uptick of professionals in the surroundingarea, in addition to promoting walkable,

    neighborhood-centered retail activities.

    Labor Market•There remains a considerable amount of slack

    in the local and regional labor market, despitemild improvements since the worst of thedownturn. This trend is likely to suppress wagegrowth in the near term.

    What i mplications

    do the key findings have for the West 25th Street Corridor?

    Should current trends continue holding

    all other factors constant?

    OpportunityChallenge

    Neutral

    2014 West 25th Street Housing Demand Analysis

    POPULATION & HOUSEHOLDS Key Findings

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    [ 76]  W25 TRANSIT DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY

    4WARD PLANNING INC.   7

    Declining population and householdsU.S. Census data and Esri estimates indicate that all three geographies studied have experienced declines in both total population

    and number of households in recent years. Going forward, the Corridor, PMA, and County are projected to continue to lose

    population through 2019, at a rate of 0.35 to 0.46 percent per year.

    Small household sizesHousehold size in the Corridor is fairly small, at 2.2 persons per household, which represents only a modest decline from 2010.

    The PMA and County also exhibit small household sizes, at 2.2 and 2.3 respectively, and are also declining modestly. It is common

    for urban areas, such as the W. 25th Street Corridor, to have lower-than-average household size, as the housing stock may not be

    conducive or desirable for families or larger households.

    Non-family and younger householdsConsistent with national trends, non-family households in each geography are growing, while family households are declining. Non-

    family households will continue to drive housing demand in the Corridor due to the growing employment needs of nearby large

    institutions such as Metro Health. Further, the empty nester age cohort (age 55 to 74) , representing approximately 19 percent of

    the population, is the only age cohort exhibiting growth.

    Relatively low household incomes

    At just over $20,000, the median household income along the Corridor is less than half that of Cuyahoga County households

    ($42,589) and one-third less than PMA households ($30,305). Fewer than 10 percent of households earn more than $75,000 per

    year, and nearly three-quarters of the Corridor’s households earn less than $35,000 per year. Consequently, successful housing

    development will require attracting a share of the area’s higher income households into the area (e.g., working professionals).

    2014 West 25th Street Housing Demand Analysis

    POPULATION & HOUSEHOLDS Change

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    4WARD PLANNING, INC. [ 77]

    4WARD PLANNING INC.   8

    -0.85

    -0.43-0.35

    -1.14

    -0.48-0.37

    -0.53-0.65

    -0.46

    2000-2010 2010-2014 2014-2019

    Cuyahoga County Primary Market Area Corridor

    2014 2014-2019  

    Populatio Households Pop Chang HH Chang   

    Corridor 14,899 6,476 (273) (74)

    Primary Market Area 350,208 133,007 (4,555) (1,230)Cuyahoga County 1,393,979 541,402 (17,636) (4,859)

    From 2000 to 2014, each

    geography experienced a

    slight decline in population

    and households, a trend

    expected to continue through2019, albeit at a slower rate.

    Source: Esri, 4ward Planning, Inc.

    Population Growth Trends and Projections

    2014 West 25th Street Housing Demand Analysis

    POPULATION & HOUSEHOLDS Age & Household Size

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    [ 78] W25 TRANSIT DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY

    4WARD PLANNING INC.   9

    -10.0%

    -5.0%

    0.0%

    5.0%

    10.0%

    15.0%

    20.0%

    0%

    2%

    4%

    6%

    8%

    10%

    12%

    14%

    16%

    18%

    Pre-School-AgeChildren

    Grade School-Age Children

    High School andCollege-Age

     Young Workforceand Grads

    Early StageFamilies

    Late StageFamilies

     Young EmptyNesters

    Older EmptyNesters

    Mostly Retired

       %   C   h   a   n   g   e

       %   o   f   T   o   t   a   l   P   o   p  u   l   a   t   i   o   n

    2010 2014 % Change (2010 - 2014)

    -1.2

    -1.3

    -1.0

    0.00

    1.2

    1.3

    1.0

    0.00

    CORRIDOR

    PRIMARY MARKET AREA

    CUYAHOGA COUNTY 

    0

    Family HHs Non-Family HHs

    Median Age

    (2014)

    HH Size

    (2014)

    Corridor 33.8 2.2

    Primary Market Area 36.0 2.2Cuyahoga County 41.0 2.3

    Household Change by Type(2010-2014)

    Corridor Household Change by Age Cohort (2010-2014)

    Source: Esri

    Within the Corridor,

    household size is fairly

    small (2.2 persons) and the

    empty

    nester

    (age 55 to

    74) cohort, is the only cohortcurrently exhibiting growth.

    2014 West 25th Street Housing Demand Analysis

    POPULATION & HOUSEHOLDS Household Income

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    4WARD PLANNING, INC. [ 79]

    4WARD PLANNING INC.   10

    -8% -6% -4% -2% 0% 2% 4%

    < $35,000

    $35K TO $74.9K

    $75K TO $99.9K

    $100K TO $149.9K

    >$149.9K

    Cuyahoga County Primary Market Area Corridor

    While incomes are,

    generally, increasing within

    all geographies, the median

    household income along the

    Corridor ($20,185) is

    less than half ofCuyahoga County ($42,589)

    and one-third less than the

    PMA ($30,305).

    Corridor Household Change by Income (2014-2019)

    Corridor Households by Income (2014)Median HH 

    Income (2014)

    % Change

    (2014-2019)

    Corridor $20,185 13%

    Primary Market Area $30,305 19%Cuyahoga County $42,589 21%67%

    24%

    4%

    3%

    2%

    < $35,000

    $35K to $74.9K

    $75K to $99.9K

    $100K to $149.9K

    >$149.9K Primary Market Area

    Corridor

    Source: Esri

    2014 West 25th Street Housing Demand Analysis

    LABOR MARKET Key Findings

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    [ 80]  W25 TRANSIT DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY

    4WARD PLANNING INC.   11

    Weak wage and salary pressures.

    Cleveland’s unemployment rate remains considerably high, relative to pre-crisis norms; while the rate of unemployment has

    begun to trend downward, there is relatively low pressure on wage rates and salaries – and, thus, a somewhat constrained

    apartment rental and home buying market. As the job market improves (tightens) and wages and salaries rise, greater support

    for new residential construction will ensue.

    Largest employers are established.Ninety percent of businesses that employ 50 or more workers within the two-mile labor shed have been operating for more than

    10 years, with none of them operating for less than three years. The lack of young firms, particularly those that hire many

    workers, suggests that increased access to entrepreneurship for Corridor residents, particularly in labor-intensive sectors, could

    be a valuable contribution to economic development within the area.

    Net job inflow

    Both the West 25th Street Corridor and the two-mile Travel Shed are characterized by a net job inflow, meaning that more

    workers commute into the geography than leave to work elsewhere. Less than 10 percent of persons who work within the two-

    mile radius of the West 25th Street Corridor also reside in the area.

    Growth in healthcare, decline in manufacturingAlready the largest industry by employment in all study areas, Health Care and Social Assistance is expected to further expand

    through 2020, with nearly 41,000 jobs in Cleveland, alone. Manufacturing is expected to experience employment declines. Both

    of these trends are a continuation of those since 2007.

    2014 West 25th Street Housing Demand Analysis

    LABOR MARKET Employment

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    0

    20,000

    40,000

    60,000

    80,000

    100,000

    120,000

    140,000

    160,000

    Health Care and SocialAssistance

    Manufacturing Retail Trade Accommodation andFood Services

    Educational Services Administrative andSupport and WasteManagement and

    Remediation Services

    Professional, Scientific,and Technical Services

    2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

    0

    0

    0

    Total Industries by Total Employment: Cuyahoga County

    From 2007 to 2012, Cuyahoga County experienced the greatest employment

    growth in the Health Care and Social Assistance industries, andemployment declines in Manufacturing. Further, the healthcare sector is likely

    to remain the region’s dominant industry and source of employment growth for

    the foreseeable future – and a strong contributor to housing demand.

    Source: US Census Bureau; QWI

    2014 West 25th Street Housing Demand Analysis

    LABOR MARKET Large Local Employers

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    4WARD PLANNING INC.   13

    0 1 2 3 4

    Advertising-Agencies & Counselors

    Aluminum Wholesale

    Ambulance Services

    Cancer Treatment Centers

    Christmas Trees

    Clubs

    Concessionaires

    County Government Offices

    Frozen Specialties - Mfg 

    Fund Raising Counselors & Organizations

    Home Centers

    Home Health Care Services

    Mailing Lists

    Non-Profit Organizations

    Office Supplies

    Police Departments

    Restaurants

    Sewer Contractors

    United States Postal Service

    Blood Banks & Centers

    Chemicals & Allied Products - Wholesale

    Commercial Printing-Lithographic

    State Government-Public Health Programs

    General Contractors

    Hospitals

    Public Elementary & Secondary Schools

    Number of Businesses

    3 to 5 Years

    5%6 to 9 Years

    5%

    10 or More Years90%

    50 to 9950%

    100 to24942%

    500 to9992%

    1,000 to4,999

    3%

    5,000 to9,999

    3%There are 38 large

    employers (employing

    more than 50 employees)within the two-mile radius of

    the Corridor.

    Large Employers: Travel Shed (2014) Large Employers by Year Established

    Large Employers by Size

    Source: InfoFreeNote: Large employers are considered those with over 50 employees.

    Ninety percent oflarge employers are f airly

    established, operating for

    more than 10 years.

    2014 West 25th Street Housing Demand Analysis

    LABOR MARKET Primary Jobs and Earnings

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    2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

     More than $40k 28% 31% 32% 34% 37% 39% 42% 40% 43% 46%

     Between $15k - $40k 48% 46% 44% 42% 41% 39% 38% 39% 39% 37%

     Less than $15k 24% 24% 24% 24% 22% 22% 20% 21% 18% 17%

    Primary Jobs 11,387 11,054 10,518 10,609 10,650 10,781 10,477 9,306 9,965 9,883

    0

    2,000

    4,000

    6,000

    8,000

    10,000

    12,000

    0%

    20%

    40%

    60%

    80%

    100%

       P   r   i   m   a   r  y   J   o   b   s

       P   e   r   c   e   n   t   W   o   r   k   e   r   s

    17% 15% 20%

    37% 33%36%

    46% 52% 44%

    0%

    20%

    40%

    60%

    80%

    100%

     Corridor Travel Shed Cuyahoga County

       P   e   r   c   e   n   t   W   o   r   k   e   r   s

     More than $40k Between $15k - $40k Less than $15k

    Earnings Comparison (2011)

    Travel Shed

    Workers ByEarnings

    Employment  Primary Jobs per    Job Change(2002-2011)(2011)  Jobs Sq. Mi.

    Corridor 9,883 4,412 (1,504)

    Travel Shed 136,055 1,984 (21,453)CuyahogaCounty

    668,654 1,463 (33,352)

    Source: U.S.Census Bureau, OnTheMap

    Note A primary job is the largest source of income for an individual.

    2014 West 25th Street Housing Demand Analysis

    LABOR MARKET Commuting

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    [ 84] W25 TRANSIT DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY

    4WARD PLANNING INC.   15Source: On the Map, U.S Census Bureau, MetroHealth Housing Survey, 2012

    2.2%

    9.6%

    60.8%

    Corridor

    Travel Shed

    Cuyahoga County

    9,662

    122,947

    262,235

    0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

    Corridor

    Travel Shed

    Cuyahoga County

    Percent of Total

    Employed in Area, Live Outside

    Live AND Employed in Area

    Live in Area, Employed Outside

    12%

    44%39%

    38%32%

    15%17%

    Owner occupied Renter occupied

    No Vehicles 1 Vehicles 2 Vehicles 3+ Vehicles

    CorLess than 10 percent ofpersons who work within the two-

    mile radius of the West 25th

    Street Corridor also reside in the

    area.

    Vehicles per Corridor Home (2012)

    Commuting Patterns (2011)

    Percent Workers AlsoLiving in Geography (2011)

    Approximately 9,662 persons are

    employed within the Corridor

    but reside outside theCorridor, representing

    potential pent-up

    housing demand.

    rridor 

    2014 West 25th Street Housing Demand Analysis

    RETAIL SPENDING Key Findings

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    Below-average spending, but….

    In 2013, the average household within the West 25th Street Corridor spent less than half (46 percent) the national average

    household expenditures on retail goods and dining out. By comparison, households within the 10-minute drive time PMA and

    Cuyahoga County spent more (58 and 83 percent of the national household average expenditures on retail goods and dining out,

    respectively). However, it should be noted that low- and moderate-income households tend to spend nearly 100 percent of their

    discretionary incomes on goods and services (a much higher percentage than for upper income households).

    Over 2.7 million square feet of major shopping center space

    While the Corridor contains few shopping destinations within its boundaries, there is over 2.7 million square feet of major shopping

    center space located within the PMA. Immediately adjacent to the Corridor is the Steelyard Commons, with approximately 900,000

    square feet of GLA. Anchored by a Walmart Supercenter, Target, Home Depot, and Burlington Coat Factory, Steelyard Commons has

    much retail to offer residents within the Corridor and its surrounding area.

    New retail development should target neighborhood-oriented goods and services

    Based on the above observations, retail development and business recruitment within the corridor should be focused on small,

    authentic businesses (e.g., eateries, craft stores and personal services). Further, many of these types of businesses lend

    themselves to being started and operated by local entrepreneurs, who will possess a strong understanding of community needs

    and wants.

    2014 West 25th Street Housing Demand Analysis

    RETAIL SPENDING Household Retail Spending

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    4WARD PLANNING INC.   17

    50

    48

    33

    46

    46

    49

    48

    46

    63

    61

    42

    61

    59

    62

    61

    58

    88

    86

    58

    88

    87

    88

    88

    83

    FOOD AT HOME

    FOOD AWAY FROM

    HOME

    APPAREL ANDSERVICES

    ENTERTAINMENT ANDRECREATION

    PERSONAL CAREPRODUCTS &

    SERVICES

    HOUSING

    TRANSPORTATION

    AVERAGE

    Corridor Drive Time Area Cuyahoga County

    In 2013, retail spending in all geographies

    was significantly less than the nationalaverage (which is 100) and lowest in the

    West 25th Street Corridor.

    $10,283$13,015

    $4,895

    $6,320$2,531

    $3,200

    $1,533

    $1,943

    $1,495

    $1,955

    CORRIDOR DRIVE TIME AREA

    PERSONAL CAREPRODUCTS &SERVICES

    APPAREL AND

    SERVICES

    ENTERTAINMENT AND

    RECREATION

    FOOD AWAY FROMHOME

    FOOD AT HOME

    TRANSPORTATION

    HOUSING

    Household Retail Spending Potential Index (2013)

    Source: EsriNote: The Retail Spending Potential Index represents the amount a household spends

    relative to a national average of 100, based on U.S. Consumer Expenditure data.

    Household Retail Spending

    2014 West 25th Street Housing Demand Analysis

    RETAIL SPENDING Retail Stores

    l S l

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    -

    -

    18

    59

    48

    100

    100

    80

    73

    72

    57

    53

    45

    37

    33(23)

    (43)

    (45)

     (60) (40) (20) - 20 40 60 80 100

    HOME FURNISHINGS STORES

    JEWELRY, LUGGAGE & LEATHER GOODS STORES

    BLDG MATERIALS, GARDEN EQUIP. & SUPPLY STORES

    ELECTRONICS & APPLIANCE STORESGENERAL MERCHANDISE STORES

    BEER, WINE & LIQUOR STORES

    CLOTHING & CLOTHING ACCESSORIES STORES

    SPORTING GOODS, HOBBY, BOOK & MUSIC STORES

    FURNITURE & HOME FURNISHINGS STORES

    MISCELLANEOUS STORE RETAILERS

    FOOD & BEVERAGE STORES

    HEALTH & PERSONAL CARE STORES

    FOOD SERVICES & DRINKING PLACES

    (Surplus)/Leakage

    Stores

    There is, on net, sales

    leakage in most retail

    categories, as a large

    share of local residents

    purchase retail goods

    and services outside thecorridor.

    Retail Surplusand Leakage   Retail

    Businesses

    Retail Retail (+) Surplus

    (2013, $ Millions)   Potential Sales (-) Leakage

    Corridor 147 $92 $83 -$9

    Drive Time Area 1,863 $2,426 $2,297 -$129Cuyahoga County 7,112 $14,022 $10,648 -$3,374

    Source: EsriSurplus Leakage

    Retail Store

    Capture (2014)

    2014 West 25th Street Housing Demand Analysis

    RETAIL SPENDING Major Shopping Centers

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    While the Corridor does not contain any major shopping

    centers within its boundaries, very nearby is the Steelyard

    Commons, with approximately 900,000 square feet of

    Gross Leasable Area (GLA). Further,

    Over 2.7 million Square Feet of major shopping center

    space is located within the 10-minute drive time PMA –indicating little need for additional large scale retail within

    the corridor.

    Major Shopping Center GLA (Sqft)

    Steelyard Commons 900,000The Galleria at Erieview 138,000

    The Flats East Bank 300,000Tower City Center 375,000

    Ridge Park Square 562,842Midtown Plaza 239,226Garfield Commons 244,592

    Total in PMA   2,759,660

    Source: Directory of Major Malls, Inc.

    North

    Central

    South

    2014 West 25th Street Housing Demand Analysis

    HOUSING Key Findings

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    Relatively diverse housing unit structure

    The West 25th Street Corridor is the only study geography in which single-family detached homes do not represent the majority of

    housing units. Further, the Corridor has the highest percentage of multi-family structures, with 50 or more units representing 16

    percent of total housing stock, compared to 11 and nine percent of total housing stock for the PMA and Cuyahoga County,

    respectively.

    Demand for affordable housing outstrips supplyAccording to U.S. Census data, half of all renters within the Corridor’s associated ZIP codes are cost-burdened, meaning they pay

    more than 30 percent of their incomes on housing (rent or mortgage payments, and heating). Further, lower-income households

    are far more likely to be cost-burdened, which is particularly relevant for the West 25th Street corridor, given its large share of lower-

    income households.

    Increasing residential development activity

    While still well below pre-crisis levels, residential permit activity within Cleveland has picked up in recent years, suggesting growing

    confidence on the housing market, especially for multi-family rental units. Within the West 25th Street Corridor, there are 112 new

    units currently being planned within the North and Central sections of the Corridor – a favorable indication for additional private

    sector investment to occur within the Corridor in the near term.

    Strong housing demand for new unitsBased on pent-up demand, commuter patterns, and turnover of the current housing stock due to age, a supply and demand

    analysis indicates there is a demand for approximately 3,000 additional housing units in the West 25th Street Corridor over the

    next the next 10 years. Based on analysis of the area housing market, we estimate future demand will be equally divided between

    for sale and rental units (50/50).

    2014 West 25th Street Housing Demand Analysis

    HOUSING Supply/Demand Assumptions

    Key Assumptions Underpinning the Growth Scenarios for 10 Minute Drive Contour

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    Key Assumptions Underpinning the Growth Scenarios for 10-Minute Drive Contour

    Net Household Formation Increases by zero percent per Annum under the Flat Growth scenario and -0.2

    percent under the Negative Growth scenario from 2014 to 2024The negative annual household growth assumption is based on Esri household projections from 2014 to 2019. A zero growth

    assumption is utilized for comparison purposes, as the rate of household decline has been slowing in recent years.

    Number Employed within the 10-Minute Drive Contour Increases from 206,876 in 2014, to 228,520 by 2024This estimate is based on a modest average annual growth rate of one percent over 2014 base employment numbers.

    90 Percent of Those Working in the Study Area Live ElsewhereNearly nine out of every 10 of people working in the two-mile Travel Shed do not also live there.

    Ten Percent of Those Working in the Study Area but Living Elsewhere Represent Pent-Up DemandBased on a conservative estimate of existing pent-up demand preferences, it is assumed one in 10 workers would trade their

    commute if there were adequate housing choice in the study area. This is based on the supposition that an employer assisted

    housing (EAH) program policy aimed at promoting live-near-work housing could offer incentives that would be implemented.

    Seven Percent of the Study Area’s Current Housing Stock is Physically Obsolescent and UnmarketableJust over 60 percent of the study area’s housing stock was built before 1940, increasing the incidence of physical obsolescence.

    1.75 Percent of the Study Area’s Remaining Housing Stock Becomes Obsolescent, AnnuallyAll housing stock gradually wears out over time and, on average, 1.75 out of every 100 units becomes obsolescent, annually.

    Study Area will Maintain an Annual Housing Vacancy Rate of Approximately 17 PercentThe study area’s annual vacancy rate will remain relatively high, based on existing and projected conditions.

    2014 West 25th Street Housing Demand Analysis

    HOUSING Inventory

    Housing Tenure & Vacancy Trends

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    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    60%

    Single Family Duplex 3-4 units 5 to 9 units 10 to 19 units 20 to 49 units 50 or more Mobile home

    Corridor (North) Corridor (Central) Corridor (South)

    25%

    44%

    40%

    37%

    75%

    55%

    60%

    63%

    CORRIDOR (NORTH)

    CORRIDOR (CENTRAL)

    CORRIDOR (SOUTH)

    TOTAL CORRIDOR

    Single Family Multfamily

    17%

    23%

    28%

    23%

    70%

    54%

    53%

    59%

    14%

    23%

    19%

    18%

    Owner Occupied Units

    Renter Occupied Units

    Vacant UnitsHousing Type and Tenure (2012)

    Source: Esri, American Community Survey

    Housing (2014) Units Percent  

    Corridor (North) 2,714 39%

    Corridor (Central) 2,168 31%

    Corridor (South) 2,007 29%Total Corridor 6,889 100%

    Housing Tenure & Vacancy Trends

    54 585

    9 58

    32

    26 23 2314 17 18 19

    2000 2010 2014 2019

    Renter-occupied Owner-occupied Vacant

    2014 West 25th Street Housing Demand Analysis

    Housing Comparison by

    HOUSING Residential Pipeline

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    4WARD PLANNING INC.   23

    51

    69

    65

    61

    15

    15

    17

    15

    11

    15

    12

    16

    CORRIDOR (NORTH)

    CORRIDOR (CENTRAL)

    CORRIDOR (SOUTH)

    TOTAL CORRIDOR

    Before 1940 1940 to 1959 1960 to 1979 1980 to 1999 2000 or Later

    2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

    Five or More Family 25 40 45 40 40 30 30 40 88 88 -

    Three and Four Family 46 46 39 22 9 6 6 3 6 6 -

    Two Family 12 12 10 2 - - - - - - 70

    Single Family 374 345 253 184 109 87 91 86 132 132 195

    Total 457 443 347 248 158 123 127 129 226 226 265

     -

     50

     100

     150

     200

     250 300

     350

     400

     450

     500

       U   n   i   t   s

    61 percent of the homeswithin the Corridor are older

    homes, built before 1940.

    Housing Comparison by Year Structure Built, 2012

    Residential Building

    Permits: Cleveland*

    Source: U.S. Bureau of the Census Building Permit Estimates*2014 data represent cumulative permits as of September 2014.

    2014 West 25th Street Housing Demand Analysis

    HOUSING Major Residential Development

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    $0

    $500

    $1,000

    $1,500

    $2,000

    $2,500

    $3,000

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    120

    140

    1-Bdr 2-Bdr Studio 1-Bdr 2-Bdr 1-Bdr 2-Bdr

    Lofts at Lion Mills Uptown Hazel 8

       R   e   n   t   R   a   n   g   e

       U   n   i   t   s

    Units Min Rent Max Rent

    Market Rate - University CircleAffordable - Corridor

    58%42%

    66%

    34%

    100 percentof all new units in Uptown

    and Hazel 8 apartments in

    University Circle have been

    leased. The majority are1-bedroom apartments.

    Recent Development Projects

    Name Type Location Status Units

    Lofts at Lion Mills Apartments Corridor 1Q 2016* 36

    Duck Island Townhomes Corridor Design Review 6

    Uptown Apartments University Circle 100% Leased 157

    Hazel 8 Apartments University Circle 100% Leased 59

    11%

    77%

    11%Studio 1-Bdr 2-Bdr

    Source: Ohio Housing Finance Agency, 2014 Low Income Housing Tax Credit Proposal, Phone interviews with leasing offices

    *If awarded tax credits

    2014 West 25th Street Housing Demand Analysis

    HOUSING Corridor Residential Pipeline

    1 n u

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    # Name   Units Type

    1 Vacant Residential NA Land (4+ Acres)2 New Construction 9 Townhomes

    3 Wagner Awning Building 50 Market Rate Rental

    New Construction 12 For Sale Homes

    4 Former St. Michaels School 15 Market Rate Rental

    5 Metro Lofts Apartments 21 Condos

    6 New Construction 5 Townhomes

    TOTAL 112

    Source: Email correspondence with Tremont West Development Corporation, 2014

    12

    3

    4

    5-6

    112

    new

    units

    are currently being planned along the

    Corridor, representing both ownership and

    rental opportunities. All of these proposed

    units are located within the North and Central

    sections of the Corridor, within a mile of the

    MetroHeatlh Medical Center.

    North

    Central

    2014 West 25th Street Housing Demand Analysis

    HOUSING Affordability

    Cost-Burdened Households by Income (2012)*

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    50 percent of all renters

    in the Corridor were cost-

    burdened in 2012.

       7   8   %

       5   6   %

       3   4   %

       5   %

       1   %

       8   2   %

       5   4

       %

       1   9   %

       7   %

       2   %

       8   5   %

       5   5

       %

       2   8   %

       1   4   %

       5   %

    LESS THAN$20,000

    $20,000 TO$34,999

    $35,000 TO$49,999

    $50,000 TO$74,999

    $75,000 ORMORE

    Corridor ZIP Codes Cleveland Cuyahoga County

    50%

    53%

    48%

    36%

    34%

    28%

    CORRIDOR ZIP CODES

    CLEVELAND

    CUYAHOGA COUNTY 

    Owner-occupied Renter-occupied

    Cost Burdened Households by Income (2012)

    ...By Income ...By Tenure

    Sources: American Community Survey, HUD, Trulia, Paddmapper

    * Includes census tracts that intersect the Corridor buffer.

    Cuyahoga County Affordable Rents (30% of household income)

    50% of AMI 80% of AMI Avg. Asking Rent Range (Oct 2014)

    1-Person HH $566 $905 $360-$479 Studio/1 Bdr2-Person HH $646 $1,035 $500-$755 1 Bdr - 2 Bdr

    3-Person HH $728 $1,164 $630-$755 2 Bdr - 3 Bdr

    4-Person HH $808 $1,293 $755 3 Bdr

    2014 West 25th Street Housing Demand Analysis

    HOUSING Home Values

    Altho gh a erage home al es in

    10 Y 5 Y Y O Y

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    Although average home values in

    Cleveland have fallen significantly over

    the past decade, average values

    have risen by two and 15 percent,respectively, over the past year. Except

    for Clark Fulton, Corridor neighborhoods

    have experienced a year-over-year

    increase in single-family home values.

    $30,000

    $50,000

    $70,000

    $90,000

    $110,000

    $130,000

    $150,000

    Sep 2004 Sep 2005 Sep 2006 Sep 2007 Sep 2008 Sep 2009 Sep 2010 Sep 2011 Sep 2012 Sep 2013 Sep 2014

    Cleveland (SF) Clark FultonOhio City Old Brooklyn

    Tremont Cleveland (Condo)

    10 Year

    Change

    5 Year

    Change

    Y-O-Y

    Change Sep-14

    Clark Fulton $41,200 -34% -29% -7%

    Ohio City $62,600 1% -5% 7%

    Old Brooklyn $67,800 -33% -12% 5%

    Tremont $73,800 5% 13% 21%Cleveland (SF) $54,100 -33% -16% 2%

    Cleveland (Condo) $119,300 -9% -2% 15%

    Home Value Trends by Type & Neighborhood

    Source: TruliaNote: No condo data available for selected neighborhoods.

    2014 West 25th Street Housing Demand Analysis

    HOUSING Sale Price Trends

    Median Sales Price: Cleveland

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    $0

    $10,000

    $20,000

    $30,000

    $40,000

    $50,000

    $60,000

    $70,000

    2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

       P   r   i   c   e   p   e   r   U   n   i   t

     Year Listed

    Garden/Low-Rise Duplex/Triplex/Fourplex Mid/High-Rise

    Median Sale Price: Cleveland

    Jul-Oct '14 Y-O-Y 

    1 Bdr $82,700 -4.4%

    2 Bdr $96,000 54.8%

    3 Bdr $64,000 20.0%

    4 Bdr $89,000 2.5%

    All $79,250 13.2%

    Multifamily Asking Sale Price Trends: Cleveland

    Source: Trulia, Loopnet, as of Oct 2014

    2014 West 25th Street Housing Demand Analysis

    HOUSING Employer Housing Needs and Opportunities

    Interview with MetroHealth Representatives

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    [ 98] W25 TRANSIT DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY

    4WARD PLANNING INC.  29

    Source: MetroHealth Housing Survey, 2012

    • Demand for Local, Quality Workforce Housing. According toMetroHealth representatives, the supply and quality of workforce housing near

    the hospital (affordable for-sale and rental) is inadequate in the eyes of manyhospital employees. A recent housing survey confirms that many more

    employees would move to the area if better housing stock existed near

    the hospital. Hospital staff also recognize that quality workforce

    housing is essential in attracting and retaining employees

    (a key recruitment issue), and enabling staff to quickly respond in

    potential emergencies at the hospital (a resiliency issue).

    • Joint-Development Opportunities: The hospital is in the process ofexpanding and redeveloping its campus facilities, and is also interested in

    improving the local supply of workforce housing. MetroHealth is open toexploring the relocation of existing administrative offices into a mixed-use

     joint-development within the corridor, accommodating upper floor residential

    and ground-floor retail space.

    l

    ar

    more

    near

    2014 West 25th Street Housing Demand Analysis

    HOUSING Pent-Up Housing Demand Preference

    Housing Preference by Type: Metro Health Employees (2012)Apartment 6%

    MultifamilyHome 3%

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    4WARD PLANNING, INC. [ 99]

    4WARD PLANNING INC.   30Source: MetroHealth Housing Survey, 2012

    SingleFamily58%

    Condo/Townhome

    33%

    Apartment 6% Home 3%

    1-2Bdrm,22%

    3-4

    Bdrm,78%Security

    andParking 

    56%

    Cost ofHousing 

    27%

    NeighborhoodConveniences

    9%

    Proximity toCulture 7%

    FurnishedLiving 1%

    82% 62%

    18%38%

    A LL RE SP ON DE NTS C UR RE NT CO RR IDO RRESID ENT S

    Own Rent

    58 percent of MetroHealth employees who

    responded to a 2012

    housing survey felt that a

    single-family home wouldbest suit their lifestyles if

    they could live closer to the

    W 25th /Pearl Rd corridor.

    78 percent of MetroHealth employeespreferred a larger-sized

    home with containing 

    3- to 4-bedrooms.

    Security and parking isranked the most important

    housing amenity, with

    cost of housing as the

    second most important

    consideration.

    2014 West 25th Street Housing Demand Analysis

    HOUSING Pent-Up Housing Demand Preference

    MetroHealth MedicalR id b ZIP C d

    Interest in Living Closer to WorkMetro Health Employees (2012):

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    [ 100] W25 TRANSIT DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY

    4WARD PLANNING INC.   31

    30 percent of MetroHealth employees who

    responded to a 2012housing survey preferred

    to live closer to work.

    Residents by ZIP Code

    Source: MetroHealth Housing Survey 2012, Interview with Government Relations and Community Affairs staff, 2014

    Currently, there are 750 medical residents

    participating in MetroHealth’s one- to six-year residencyprograms, with approximately 44 percent residing within ZIP

    codes located outside of the Corridor. Many of these residents

    are under 30 and likely prefer short-term rental

    housing. It is likely that a large share of these

    professionals, who reside outside the immediate area

    represent pent-up housing demand, as manywould likely prefer to live closer to the hospital

    if quality rental housing were available.

    44109

    MetroHealth

    Medical Center

    44144

    4410244113

    Outside Corridor Zip codes

    o ese res en s

    ntal

    e

    iate area

    tal

    No,70%

     Yes30%

    Metro Health Employees (2012):

       2   8   7

       1   3   4

       1   4   7

       1   8   2

    44109 44113 44102 44144

    2014 West 25th Street Housing Demand Analysis

    HOUSING Single-Family Demand

    Projected Single-Family Housing Demand and Corridor Capture1 5191 540 15 400) Net SF Demand in PMA (Flat Growth) Net SF Demand in PMA (Neg Growth)

    50% Net Housing Demand in PMA

    10% Capture in Corridor

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    4WARD PLANNING, INC. [ 101]

    4WARD PLANNING INC.   32Source: 4ward Planning Inc.

    0% 0%

    25%

    45%30%

    STUD IO 1 BD R 2 BDR 3 BD R 4+ BD R

    75%

    25%

    OWN ER REN TER

    1,519

    1,421

    1,495

    1,360

     1,380

     1,400

     1,420

     1,440

     1,460

     1,480

     1,500

     1,520

     1,540

    2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024

     13,600

     13,800

     14,000

     14,200

     14,400

     14,600

     14,800

     15,000

     15,200

     15,400

       S   F   H   o  u

       s   i   n   g   C   a   p   t  u   r   e   (   C   o   r   r   i   d   o   r   )

       N   e   t   S   F

       D   e   m   a   n   d   (   P   M   A   )

    Net SF Demand in PMA (Flat Growth) Net SF Demand in PMA (Neg. Growth)

    Corridor SF Capture (5%, Flat Growth) Corridor SF Capture (5%, Neg Growth)

    Single-Family Demand Capture Assumptions: Corridor

    …by Bedroom Type …by Tenure …by Income Category

    40%45%

    15%

    H I G H( $ 7 5 K + )

    L O W - M O D( $ 3 5 - $ 7 4 . 9 K )

    V E R Y L O W( > $ 3 5 K )

    “Very Low equates to roughly 120% of the Area (County) Median

    Family Income ($62,200) as defined by

    U.S. HUD.”

    2014 West 25th Street Housing Demand Analysis

    1 5191 540 15 400

    Projected Multifamily Housing Demand and Corridor Capture

    HOUSING Multifamily Demand

    50% Net Housing Demand in PMA

    10% Capture in Corridor

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    [ 102] W25 TRANSIT DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY

    4WARD PLANNING INC.   33

    25%

    55%

    20%

    H I G H($75K+)

    LOW-MOD( $ 3 5 - $ 7 4 . 9 K )

    VERY LOW( > $ 3 5 K )

    25%

    75%

    OWN ER RENTER

    5%

    35% 35%

    25%

    0%STU DIO 1 BDR 2 BD R 3 BDR 4+ BDR

    1,421

    1,519

    1,495

    1,360


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