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C o m m u n i t y P l a n n i n g P r o c e s s F i n a l Re p o r t | A p r i l 2 0 1 5
w25transitdevelopmentstrategy
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[01] PREMISEWhy this study? Why now?
PAGE05
[02] PROCESSA uniquely Cleveland corridor.PAGE09
[05] MARKETEconomic Dynamics in the Area
PAGE69
[06] BACKGROUNDA: Committee SummariesB: Charrette SummariesC: Photography Credits
D: Digital ArchivePAGE109
[03] FINDINGSResults and Recommendations
PAGE23
[04] TRANSITAnalysis and DirectionPAGE49
Content
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5.1 "Lakeside Flats" Aerial (courtesy Bing Maps)
premise
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CLEVELAND NEIGHBORHOOD PROGRESS [ 7]
7.2 Historic Streetcar
7.4 Skylift
7.5 Housing at Ft. Belvoir (VA)
7.6 SanFrancisco Public Housing
7.7 Tremont Hope VI Project
7.1 Corridor Study Area (courtesy Bing Maps) 7.10 Cyclists and Pedestrians Cross W25 at Detroit
7.9 Historical Trolley Route Map
7.8 Ohio City Sidewalk
7.3 Bikeshare Station
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9.1 "Industrial Village" Aerial (courtesy Bing Maps)
PROCESS
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23.1 "La Villa" Aerial (courtesy Bing Maps)
FINDINGS
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[ 30] W25 TRANSIT DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY
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CLEVELAND NEIGHBORHOOD PROGRESS [31]
Courtesy Parsons Brinckerhoff
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centers of community, commerce, and High Priority
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CLEVELAND NEIGHBORHOOD PROGRESS [33]
33.8 Market District
33.7 Metro Health, Old Brooklyn
33.6 Informal Signage along W25
33.5 Significant Building
33.4 Masonic Temple
33.3 Proposed LJ Minor's Expansion
33.2 Zoo Entrance
33.1 West Side Market
institutional activity. These nodes rangesignificantly in function and form andshould not be confused as eight partsof a whole, but rather as eight uniqueplaces connected by the West 25th Street
Corridor.
Area stakeholders, by way of theworking groups, were asked to rank theimmediacy of development need in each.These rankings reflect what each groupfelt were the most important nodes as the question pertained directly to their
assigned perspective. For example, the housing work group ranked theimportance of immediate housing development activity in each of the eightnodes, assigning the nodes a score of 1 through 8, with 1 being the most criticaland 8 being the least.
Each of the working groups had a slightlydifferent ranking (understandable given their differing perspectives and charges),but in the end, the rankings featured ahigh degree of consensus.
To be clear, a higher ranking simplyindicates more urgency for immediate
intervention by area stakeholders. Itis not an assessment of popularityor excitement, although potential andopportunity to leverage momentum didplay into the rankings. The eight grouprankings were compiled to determine theconsensus development priority.
The nodes can be divided into three tiersof development urgency:
Candidates for immediate andcomprehensive development activity andcommunity intervention:1. La Villa Hispana – 3.252. Lakeview Flats – 3.38
3. Health Campus – 3.63
Medium PriorityRelative stable areas that will require thefocus of the community in 3-5 years:4. Old Brooklyn Downtown – 4.385. Brooklyn Centre – 4.576. Industrial Village – 4.71
Low PriorityNodes with comparative sustainabilityat present, with longer-term interventionpossibilities:7. Market District – 5.008. Zoo Greenway – 5.13
A consolidated action plan for each of thenodes is detailed in the following sectionalong with specific feedback from eachworking group. These summaries shouldserve as a starting place for criticalcommunity organizing, implementation,and development strategy conversations.
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[ 34] W25 TRANSIT DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY
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CLEVELAND NEIGHBORHOOD PROGRESS [35]
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• Expand ESL Classes and InterpretingServices Focus on Cultural Sensitivity
• Lincoln West Community Access• Improve Safety at Recreation Sites
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CLEVELAND NEIGHBORHOOD PROGRESS [37]
37.8 Aragon Ballroom
37.6 Courtesy CUDC
37.5 La Villa Business Leader
37.4 HBC Consultation
37.3 La Villa Storefront
37.1 "La Villa" Aerial (courtesy Bing Maps)
Services, Focus on Cultural Sensitivity• Develop/Expand Mentoring Programs• Partner with Churches• Traffic Calming to Ensure Safety (Safe
Routes to School)
• Help Julia de Burgos Move to LaVilla Hispana node in long-termstable facility well-suited to theirprogramming/mission
Housing
• Develop Mixed-Income Housing• Strategic Demolition, Beginning with
Lincoln High School• Housing Maintenance Program for
Qualifying Home Owners• Use Large, School-Adjacent Vacant
Parcels for Recreation Space• Down Payment Assistance
Program(s), like Saint Patrick’s• Housing Advocacy & Counseling
• Plan with Residents• Protect Against Displacement
Pedestrian
• Security Issues• Lighting• Improve Vacant Lots• Softer Aesthetic
• Upgraded Bus Stops & Benches• Safety Issues• Countdown/Audio Crosswalks• Traffic Calming• Crosswalk Visibility/Creativity
Recreation
• Renovation of Clark Recreation Center
• Wayfinding to Existing Parks (Trent,Roberto Clemente)• Better Connections to Tow Path
• Improve Safety at Recreation SitesServices
• Street Lighting• Police Presence• Home Ownership Program
• Business/Nonprofit Attraction, Dvpmt• Storefront Renovation• Lincoln West Overhaul• Mixed-Income Housing Program• Branding/Gateway Marketing
Transit
• Refine Schedule for Regular Intervals
Between Buses• Articulated Bus Service (Rush Hours)• Explore Feasibility of W25 Circulator • Improved Tech – Real Time Arrival
Info; Digital Schedules at Stops• Express Service to Major Destinations:
Steelyard, Zoo, MetroHealth• Steelyard: Address Bike/Ped/Bus
Connectivity to/within• Investigate Traffic Improvements• Left Turns and Accident Hazards• Left/Right-Turn LED Signs• Peak Hour Restrictions• Talk to Transit Riders to Get their Ideas
Workforce
• Foster Cultural/Ethnic Amenities• Create Cultural Destination• Increase ESL Programming• Increase Hispanic, Dual-Language Ed.• Improve Lincoln West High School• Assess Skills to Leverage and Train• Expand HQ Workforce Opportunities• Hotel/Hostel/Bed and Breakfast
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Workforce
• Extend Bus Routes North of Detroit
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CLEVELAND NEIGHBORHOOD PROGRESS [39]
Extend Bus Routes North of Detroit• Highlight Entertainment Options• Highlight Metroparks• Improve Safety (Lighting, Road
Surface)
• Improve Ped/Bike Crossing• Significantly Improve Wayfinding
39.6 Housing Advertisement
39.5 Lakeview Terrace
39.4 Cyclists and Pedestrians Cross W25 at Detroit
39.3 Area Plan (courtesy CUDC)
39.1 "Lakeview Flats" Aerial (courtesy Bing Maps)
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CLEVELAND NEIGHBORHOOD PROGRESS [41]
41.6 Current MetroHealth Campus 41.4 MetroHealth Campus Vision
41.3 MetroHealth
41.1 "Health Campus" Aerial (courtesy Bing Maps) 41.5 MetroHealth Campus Vision
OLDBROOKLYNDOWNTOWN
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[ 42] W25 TRANSIT DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY
42.4 Church Rectory
42.5 Metro Health, Old Brooklyn
42.3 Church in Old Brooklyn
42.7 Area Plan (courtesy CUDC)
42.6 Significant Building
Priority: Moderate (#4)
Overview
Centered around West 25 St / PearlRd. between Broadview and StateRoads, Downtown Old Brooklyn is thecommercial center of the Old Brooklynneighborhood, which boasts a stablehousing market with a high density offamilies and seniors.
AssetsThis district, just south of the MetroparksZoo, is anchored by South BrooklynBranch Library and MetroHealth OldBrooklyn Health Center and features anenviable fabric of urban buildings andready, multi-modal access.
Strengths
Old Brooklyn’s Downtown is the centerpoint of a tight, stable community with ahigh density of families and seniors. Thecommercial fabric of this node is largelyin-tact and has a distinctive character.The Library and MetroHealth both serveas strong anchors for this node, with the Zoo and Brookside Reservationserving as the northern gateway for theneighborhood. In the future, this area willalso benefit from a connection to the TowPath trail and from the redevelopment of the Henninger site. The area is also theconvergence point for many importantspoke roads and transit routes. Finally, the area has high-performing schools
that attract and retain families.
Challenges
The auto-centered nature of thestreetscapes in this node make it
challenging to support and encouragepedestrian-oriented commercialdevelopment – in particular the width of the road, the infrequency of crosswalksand lack pedestrian infrastructure/curbspose challenges to vibrant pedestrianretail. Additionally, the distance from the urban core / Downtown Cleveland
makes it difficult to attract visitors fromother urban neighborhoods, and the transit waiting environments and wait times make it less friendly to transitriders. Finally, there is a need to increasepedestrian, bike and transit connectivityfrom this node north to the Zoo and toother centers of activity along the corridor.
Working Group Recommendations
Recommended that initial focus ison activating pedestrian-orientedcommercial development, implementationof streetscape improvements withincreased pedestrian and bike amenities,and establishing a more pleasant anddirect connection from Downtown OldBrooklyn to the Zoo for non-auto users.
42.1 "Downtown Old Brooklyn" Aerial (courtesy Bing Maps)
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INDUSTRIALVILLAGE
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[ 44] W25 TRANSIT DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY
44.6 Area Plan (courtesy CUDC)
44.7 Voss Industries in Ohio City44.5 Voss Industries
44.4 LJ Minor's Signage
44.3 Proposed LJ Minor's Expansion
44.1 "Industrial Village" Aerial (courtesy Bing Maps)
Priority: Moderate (#6)
Overview
Centered around intersection of West 25St and Queen Ave, the Industrial Villageis situated between the Red Line Rapid train tracks and I-90, is anchored by the Nestle/LJ Minor site and includesresidential pockets on either side of W25as well as Scranton Elementary School atScranton & Barber Ave.
Assets
• Scranton Elementary
Strengths
The Industrial Village node is dominatedby the thriving Nestle / LJ Minor plant,but is also home to the tight-night Barber-Vega-Queen residential community to the West of W25, as well as theScranton Elementary School to the Eastof W25. This node features good transitdowntown, pockets of residential density,and proximity to strong districts (MarketDistrict, La Villa Hispana, Tremont).
Challenges
There is a need for infrastructureinvestments for automobile, transit, bikeand pedestrian users of W25. There is aneed for beautification (green & screen) to reduce perceptions of blight andlack of safety. The location of ScrantonElementary is also problematic given the relationship to the highway. There is
also a need for workforce training andaffordable childcare to facilitate increased
access to the employment opportunitiesin the area.
Working Group RecommendationsStreetscape and infrastructureinvestments are needed along W25 toimprove pedestrian and transit experience.It is also recommended that alternatelocations for Scranton Elementary areexplored to improve the integration andpedestrian access to that educational
facility. Finally, any expansions of theindustrial development in the area need to be conscientious of adjacencies withresidential neighborhoods. Integration of this area with strong neighboring nodes to the north and south would also bebeneficial.
MARKETDISTRICT
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CLEVELAND NEIGHBORHOOD PROGRESS [45]
45.3 W25 RTA Station
45.4 Ohio City Farm Stand
45.2 Area Plan (courtesy CUDC)
45.7 Market Square, Ohio City
45.6 Saint Ignatius
45.5 Market District
45.1 "Market District" Aerial (courtesy Bing Maps)
Priority: Low (#7)
Overview
Centered around intersection of West 25St and Lorain Ave. and anchored by theWest Side Market, the Market District isa hub of commercial activity for the NearWest Side that has regional attraction.
AssetsHome to major employment anchors
Lutheran Hospital, West Side Market,and Voss Industries, this district ischaracterized by dense, mixed usedevelopment, quality transit service, highdensity public housing, and connectivity to Downtown Cleveland and the Flats.• St. Ignatius High School• Dunbar Elementary• Near West Intergenerational School• Garrett Morgan School of Science• Orchard Elementary• Horizon Science Academy• Carnegie West Library• Fairview Park • Market Square Park • Lutheran Hospital• Ohio City Farm• Glass Bubble Project• Saint Wendelin’s Parish• Franklin Circle Church
Strengths
This node benefits from strong, multi-modal connections to Downtown and theFlats as well as diversity and density of
employment opportunities (3rd largestemployment center behind Downtown
and University Circle). Additionally, thisnode is home to several strong schoolsand is recognized as a regional destination
for food and street-level retail. There isstrong market demand for residential,retail and office space at this node.
Challenges
There is significant congestion at thisnode for multiple modes of transportationand there is a need for improved bike
infrastructure. There is also a needfor affordable, quality education andaccompanying after-school programmingin the arts. Although this node benefitsfrom proximity to waterfront amenities, there is a need for better wayfinding andpedestrian access to these amenities.Finally, there is a need for affordable childcare and workforce training programs thatcan broaden access to the employmentopportunities at this node.
Working Group Recommendations
The challenges of this node fall largelywithin the mission and capacity of thearea CDC, Ohio City Inc.
ZOOGREENWAY
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[ 46] W25 TRANSIT DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY
46.5 Area Plan (courtesy CUDC)
46.4 Zoo Promenade
46.3 Elephant Paddock
46.2 Zoo Entrance
46.1 "Zoo Greenway" Aerial (courtesy Bing Maps)
Priority: Low (#8)
Overview
Centered around intersection of West25 St / Pearl Rd. and Wildlife Way, thisnode is anchored by the Metroparks Zoowhich occupies much of the Big CreekValley and is home to the Metroparksadministrative offices.
Assets
• Metroparks Zoo• Calgary Park, future development ofHenniger site
Strengths
The Metroparks Zoo is the major assetfor this node and serves as a regionaldestination with important connections to Brookside Reservation, the future TowPath trail and redeveloped Henniger site.
Challenges
The major challenge for this node ismaking the Metroparks Zoo accessible to transit and bike users, and to make thisregional destination more connected toand supportive of the Brooklyn Centreand Old Brooklyn Downtown commercialfabric.
Working Group Recommendations
The challenges of this node fall within the mission and capacity of existingorganizations Metroparks Zoo, BikeCleveland and RTA. It is recommended
that the Metroparks work closely with these agencies and area CDCs to increase
transit and bike access to the zoo, and to better leverage the zoo visitation forsupport neighborhood retail.
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CLEVELAND NEIGHBORHOOD PROGRESS [47]
THIS PAGE INTENTIONALLY LEFT BLANK
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49.1 "Brooklyn Center" Aerial (courtesy Bing Maps)
TRANSIT
Exis
This
ting Condition
section of the rep
ort reviews the existing transit servi es of the Clevela d
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[ 50] W25 TRANSIT DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY
This
RTA
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45A, 51, 79A/79
nal two routes (undary of the co
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This backgrou
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in the corridor.
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Figure 1: West 2
ly, no RTA route
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Study Area and B
ate in any of th
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e neighborhoods
West
As a
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main arterial for t
ridor Transit Ana
he RTA network,
alysis
TA operates a n
mber of bus rout s Composite headways for the corridor in
rease slightly during the off-peak
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PARSONS BRINCKERHOFF & MICHAEL BAKER INTERNATIONAL [51]
alon
and
dow(Stat
conv
bus
seg
West
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bus
25 th
City
Lorai
West 25 th Street
orain (Route 22)
town, adding to te) and 35 (Broa
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routes contribute
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and Lorain, this h
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Figure
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2: Composite He
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Figure 3:
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oit Avenue to D
that a rider, onaiting on W. 25 th
off-peak.
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main routes is p
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ng Superior Ave
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minutes between
d, as shown in
o more than 15orain Avenue and
od
ovided below to
West 25 th Street
nd St. Clair) and
ue/Detroit Road,
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West 5
th
Street Corridor Transit Analysis
period and 30 minutes during the midday along this segment of the route. Stockyards, West Boulevard, and Cudell. Some major destinations along the
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[ 54] W25 TRANSIT DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY
The route serves the cities of Cleveland, Parma, and Parma Heights. Within
the City of Cleveland, the route serves the neighborhoods of Ohio City, Clark-
Fulton, Old Brooklyn, and Brooklyn. Destinations served by the route include
Downtown Cleveland, Lutheran Hospital, the West Side Market, the Cleveland
MetroParks Zoo, Pearl Brook Shopping Center (79A only), Parma Community
General Hospital (79A only), and the Shoppes at Parma (79A only).
Route 81 – Tremont/Storer
Route 81 operates between Downtown Cleveland (East 3rd and Rockwell) and
the West Boulevard/Cudell Rapid Station. Route 81 is the primary routeconnecting the Tremont neighborhood to Downtown Cleveland and provides
the only connection for this corridor, and indeed for the entire West Side of
Cleveland, to the Steelyard Commons shopping complex. The serves
provides a number of other unique connections, tracing a circuitous
alignment throughout the city’s near west side neighborhoods.
The route operates along Superior Avenue/Detroit Road, West 25 th Street,
Lorain Road, Abbey Avenue, Jefferson Avenue, West 7 th Street, Professor
Avenue, Starkweather Avenue, West 14 th Street, Steelyard Drive, Clark
Avenue, Scranton Road, Southpoint Drive, West 25 th Street, Fulton Road,
Storer Avenue, West 65 th Street, Denison Avenue, Ridge Road, Clinton Road,
West Boulevard, West 98 th Street, and Detroit Avenue, serving the West
Boulevard/Cudell Rapid Station.
Route 81 operates 24 hours a day, 7 days a week. On weekdays andSaturdays, the route operates at 30 minute headways during peak times and
the midday, and 60 minutes during evenings and late night. On Sundays, the
route operates at 45 minute headways during the day and at 60 minutes
during evenings and late night.
The route operates wholly within the City of Cleveland and serves the
neighborhoods of Ohio City, Tremont, Clark-Fulton, Detroit-Shoreway, the
route include Downtown Cleveland, Lakeview Terrace, Lutheran Hospital, the
West Side Market, Steelyard Commons, and the MetroHealth Hospital.
West
Fix
t 5
th
Street Corr
d-Route Servi
ridor Transit Ana
e – Bus Perfo
alysis
mance
ridershi
i
p during this peri
d l
od as the operati
d i kd
n of Route 21 is
d d li h h
limited to hourly
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PARSONS BRINCKERHOFF & MICHAEL BAKER INTERNATIONAL [55]
The
incre
the r of th
in th
carri
from
201
decr
2011
The f
sho
Janu
Rout
nine routes hig
ases in ridership
outes have experie greatest increas
e last three year
d. The other rout
year to year but
. The exception t
ase in ridership
and 2012.
Figure 4:
irst quarter of 20
n in Figure 5, all
ary 2014 to Marc
es 20, 22, 26, an
lighted in the p
ver the past few
nced increases ies are apparent i
ending in 2013
es have all exper
ave seen an over
this, however, is
between 2010 an
RTA Historical B
4 saw strong rid
of the routes ha
h 2014. Some of
d 81. Route 21
revious sections
years. As shown
ridership from 2 Route 20 which
with almost one
ienced small fluct
all increase in rid
Route 22, which
d 2013 despite
s Ridership 2010
rship gains amo
e seen an increa
the biggest incre
as experienced o
have experienc
in Figure 4, most
10 to 2013. Sohas seen increas
million passenge
uations in ridersh
rship from 2010
has seen an over
odest increases
2013
g all the routes.
e in ridership fro
ses can be seen
nly slight growth
d
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Figure 5:
Route Service
A Rapid Red Lin
hio City Rapid
and Abbey Aven
Ohio City neighb
wn Cleveland a
mere Station in E
eland Hopkins Int
t Tower City/Publ
ts – East Bank,
.
d Line operates e
ute headways fro
during weekday
TA Historical Bu
– Heavy Rail
serves the W. 2
tation located o
e, near the inters
orhood. The Re
nd further east
ast Cleveland. To
ernational Airport
lic Square to RTA
Browns Stadiu
very day from 3:1
the start of the
and daylight hou
Ridership Q1 20
5 th Street Corrido
Gehring Avenu
ection of Lorain a
Line offers on
to University Cir
the west it offers
. Additionally, co
’s Green and Blu
, eastern Clevel
7 AM to 1:38 A
day to 8:00 PM, f
rs.
14
at the West 25 th
between Lorain
d West 25 Street
-seat service to
cle and Stokes-
one seat service
nections can be
light rail lines to
land and Shaker
and operates at
rom which time it
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West
and I
dem
t 5
th
Street Corr
-71. This differen
graphic differen
ridor Transit Ana
e in household si
ces between th
alysis
zes between the t
two areas wit
o area reflects t
h low-to-modera
e
te
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[ 58] W25 TRANSIT DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY
dem
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Theacce
Base
the
curr
25 th
area
andawa
throu
City
supp
graphic differen
e households,
Avenue, and m
hildless househo
ts a common
eholds occupyin
ets, including ma
y houses, rather
r-priced markets.
population densitpted thresholds a
d on the map an
orridor itself wou
ntly enjoys. The
Street is that it i
south and west t
ensest employm. However, witho
gh traffic of buse
through the area,
ort such a high le
ces between th
any with childre
re affluent house
lds, north of Clar
phenomenon in
larger residenc
ny one-and two-
than condominiu
ies presented asociated with tra
the calculated p
ld not be able to
rimary reason fo
the most conv
o connect to dow
ent center in the r ut the proximity
s traveling from a
the West 25 th S
el of transit servi
two areas, wit
n, concentrated i
holds, including
and particularly
lower-priced ho
s than they mig
erson household
ms or apartment
ove were combisit modes and pr
pulation densities
support the level
the high level of
nient route for b
ntown Cleveland,
egion and is locatf downtown Clev
large portion of t
reet corridor, on
e based on its re
h low-to-modera
the area south
any single pers
orth of I-90. It al
using markets,
ht in higher-pric
occupying singl
s as they might
ned with generalesented in Figure
shown in Figure
of transit service
service along We
ses traveling fro
which is the large
ed a short distaneland and the pa
he west side of t
its own, could n
idential density.
te
of
n
o
of
d
e-
in
ly9.
9,
it
st
m
st
es
e
ot
Figure 8: Average Household Size (2010)
West
t 5
th
Street Corrridor Transit Anaalysis
Zero C
Conce
r Households
tration of zero car households is a good indicat
r of high transit
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PARSONS BRINCKERHOFF & MICHAEL BAKER INTERNATIONAL [59]
Figure 9: Population Density and ransit Mode Thre holds (2010)
Conce
propen
and w
home.
need o
throug
access
househ
The ne
concen
The ne
have a
having
25 th St
public
report
is alsowithout
Overall,
reporti
RTA’s
Road,
residen
bus ro
service
service
tration of zero c
sity since having
lking or cycling,
An area with a l
f good transit se
out the corridor
to an automobile
olds (greater than
ighborhoods of C
tration of househ
ighborhoods to t
number of area
zero access to an
eet and the Wes
housing propertie
aving no access
home to a num access to an aut
the existing RT
g a high proporti
routes along We
Clark Avenue,
ts’ travel needs.
tes may have m
in parts of the co
span, provides m
ar households is
zero access to a
may be the prim
rge percentage
rvice. As shown
how a high perc
. In fact, a numb
50 percent) as h
lark-Fulton and
lds with no acce
e north and east
with the fewes
automobile. Ho
t Bank of the Flat
s, also show a l
to an automobile.
ber of areas withmobile.
A service runs
on of households
st 25 th Street, P
orain Road, an
esidents without
ore issues, parti
rridor. Route 81,
uch of the transit
a good indicat
automobile sug
ry means of tran
f zero car hous
in Figure 10, a
ntage of househ
r of areas report
aving no access
rooklyn Centre s
s to an automobil
including Ohio
number of hou
ever, the areas to
s, which is hom
rge proportion of
The neighborhoo
25 to 50 perce
djacent to man
with no access t
arl Road, State
d Detroit Avenu
cars living in area
ularly given the l
with its circuitous
service available i
r of high transit
ests that transit,
sportation for the
holds is likely in
number of areas
lds that have no
that a majority of
o an automobile.
how the greatest
e.
ity and Tremont
eholds reporting
the east of West
to a number of
households that
d of Old Brooklyn
nt of households
of these areas
o an automobile.
Road, Broadview
support these
s farther from the
ack of east-west
routing and long
n these areas.
West
t 5
th
Street Corrridor Transit Anaalysis
Activit
Activity
Centers
centers are locat
ions that are attr ctions, not just f
r local residents,
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[ 60] W25 TRANSIT DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY
Figure 10: Zero Car Hou eholds (2008-2012)
Activity
but als
employ
grocer
or con
centers
lower i
locatio
and so
Identifyimport
are pla
transit
identifi
employ
A majo
25 th Str
the loc
centers
These
leading
govern
attracti
Additio
of the
bus ro
transp
The rel
centers are locat
o that attract tra
ment centers, sc
stores, shopping
entrations of me
for public transit,
ncome, elderly, di
s of concentratio
ial services, and
ing and mappinnt step in analyzi
es that attract tr
system. Activity
d include school
ment centers, CM
rity of the major
eet Corridor with
al community. O
include Pearl Ro
re all served by o
to Downtown Cle
ental center, a
ns in the immedi
nally, the CMHA p
orridor in the Ohi
tes that serve b
rt the residents th
atively poor transi
ions that are attr
elers to the are
ools and college
centers and mall
dical offices and
it is also importa
isabled, and tran
ns of public and
senior centers.
the locationsng a corridor’s tra
nsit trips and pla
centers in the W
s and libraries,
HA properties, an
ctivity centers lie
the exception of s
ther major arteri
ad, Lorain Avenu
ne or a number of
veland which is t
nd contains the
ate area.
roperties that are
City neighborho
th West 25 th Str
ere throughout th
t connectivity bet
ctions, not just f
from outside.
, retail and entert
s, tourist attractio
services. When i
nt to identify locat
it dependent peo
subsidized housi
of various activitnsit operating en
important roles i
est 25 th Street C
hopping centres,
d tourist attraction
within close prox
chools and librari
ls that host a n
, Detroit Road, a
RTA services dis
e region’s largest
largest concent
clustered around t
d are well served
eet and Detroit A
Greater Clevelan
een the corridor
r local residents,
hey can include
ainment districts,
ns, and hospitals
entifying activity
ions important to
ple, including the
g, governmental
y centers is anironment as they
n the ridership of
orridor that were
hospitals, major
s (Figure 11).
imity to the West
s as these serve
mber of activity
nd Clark Avenue.
cussed above, all
employment and
ration of tourist
he northeast side
by the numerous
enue which can
d area.
and the adjacent
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69.1 "Zoo Greenway" Aerial (courtesy Google)
MARKET
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2014 West 25th Street Housing Demand Analysis
West 25th Street Corridor
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4WARD PLANNING, INC. [ 71]
4WARD PLANNING INC. 1
West 25 Street Corridor
Housing Demand Analysis
POPULATION & HOUSEHOLDS 7
RETAIL SPENDING 16
HOUSING 20
LABOR MARKET 11
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 2
APPENDIX 36
November 2014
LIMITING CONDITIONS & CONTACT INFORMATION 39
72
76
80
85
89
105
70
2014 West 25th Street Housing Demand Analysis
Executive Summary Methodology
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[ 72] W25 TRANSIT DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY
4WARD PLANNING INC. 3
y gy
Population andHouseholds
•Population and household trends are derived from data provided by Esri’s CommunityAnalyst (provides current year estimates and projections based on Census data).Current and near-term (next five years) population and household growth is derived fromthe Census data.
Labor Market
•Existing employment data is collected via Esri’s Community Analyst for the Corridor.Total industry trend data for the County is provided by the U.S. Census’s QuarterlyWorkforce Indicators (QWI). Data on local large employers (those with over 50employees) is collected via InfoFree. Data on primary jobs (a job that is the largestsource of income for an individual) and earnings, and commuting was provided by theU.S. Census’s OnTheMap application, a web-based mapping and reporting application,based on 2002 to 2011 LEHD Origin Destination Employment Statistics (LODES) data,that shows where workers are employed and where they live.
Retail•Retail real estate inventory and trends are derived from data provided by Esri’s
Community Analyst and the Directory of Major Malls Inc.
Housing
•Housing inventory and trend data are derived from Esri’s Community Analyst. Housingpipeline data was collected via U.S. Bureau of the Census Building Permit Estimates.Residential development activity data for the Corridor is collected from pipeline dataprovided by the Cleveland Neighborhood Progress and interviews with local developers.Data on cost-burdened households - those paying more than 30 percent per month onhousing, is provided by the Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD).Affordable rent for the County is provided by HUD for 50 and 80 percent of Area Median
Income (AMI) and compared to average asking rent data collected via Trulia andPadmapper. Home price data by neighborhood is collected via Trulia, while sale pricetrend data for the Corridor is collected via Loopnet. Near-term housing needs (next tenyears) was estimated based on existing residential real estate inventory and projectionsprovided by Esri, and demand drivers informed by local real estate trends. Residentialconstruction costs data for Cleveland is provided by RSMeans Online and assumesstandard union labor.
2014 West 25th Street Housing Demand Analysis
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Geographies
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4WARD PLANNING, INC. [ 73]
4WARD PLANNING INC. 4
Legend:
Corridor (1/4-mile buffer)
Travel Shed (2 miles from Corridor buffer)
Primary Market Area (10-min drive contour)
Cuyahoga County
4ward Planning
examined historical and
forecasted socio-
economic, retailleakage/surplus, labor
market trends (for 2010,
2014, and 2019) to
comparatively analyze
the West 25th Street
Corridor (including
sections), the PrimaryMarket Area (a 10-
minute drive from three
major corridor
intersections), the Trade
Area (two-mile buffer
from the Corridor), andCuyahoga County.
LOCAL MARKET AREAS
North
Central
South
CORRIDOR SECTIONS
I-71
I-90
2014 West 25th Street Housing Demand Analysis
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Key Trends
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[ 74] W25 TRANSIT DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY
4WARD PLANNING INC. 5
Source: US Census Bureau; Esri; 4ward
Planning Inc., 2014
North
Central
South
CORRIDOR SECTIONS
I-71
I-90
2014 2019 Proj. Change
Corridor (North)
Population: 4,352 4,286 -1.5%
Households: 2,343 2,338 -0.2%
Household Size: 1.70 1.68 -1.2%
Households with Person Over 65 Years: 8.9% 10.9% 22.5%
Median Household Income: $15,075 $15,524 3.0%
Percent of Household Incomes >$75,000: 11.0% 15.6% 41.8%Percent Vacant Housing Units: 13.7% 14.8% 8.0%
Median Home Value: $109,722 $152,857 39.3%
Corridor (Central)
Population: 4,465 4,348 -2.6%
Households: 1,665 1,627 -2.3%
Household Size: 2.55 2.54 -0.4%Households with Person Over 65 Years: 11.0% 13.1% 19.1%
Median Household Income: $19,637 $21,583 9.9%
Percent of Household Incomes >$75,000: 5% 8% 49.0%
Percent Vacant Housing Units: 23.2% 25.0% 7.8%
Median Home Value: $65,331 $65,284 -0.1%
Corridor (South)
Population: 3,849 3,761 -2.3%
Households: 1,620 1,589 -1.9%
Household Size: 2.34 2.33 -0.4%
Households with Person Over 65 Years: 11.5% 13.8% 20.0%
Median Household Income: $26,801 $30,144 12.5%
Percent of Household Incomes >$75,000: 7.8% 11.3% 44.9%
Percent Vacant Housing Units: 19.3% 20.3% 5.2%
Median Home Value: $73,248 $77,437 5.7%
2014 West 25th Street Housing Demand Analysis
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Key Implications
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4WARD PLANNING, INC. [ 75]
4WARD PLANNING INC. 6
Housing•Many area households face high housing costs
relative to their incomes.
•Despite flat population and household growth,demand for quality workforce housing isstrong, due to pent-up worker demand fromthose commuting from outside the Corridor.
Population & Households•The population of the Corridor and surrounding
area is aging, and non-family householdformation is increasing. These trends haveimportant implications for housing markets, asnon-family and empty nester householdstypically demand smaller units in higher-density areas.
Retail Spending•Low-incomes, housing cost burdens, and slack labor
market conditions will likely suppress retail demandin the near term for Corridor residents.
•The Corridor has the opportunity, however, to benefitfrom an uptick of professionals in the surroundingarea, in addition to promoting walkable,
neighborhood-centered retail activities.
Labor Market•There remains a considerable amount of slack
in the local and regional labor market, despitemild improvements since the worst of thedownturn. This trend is likely to suppress wagegrowth in the near term.
What i mplications
do the key findings have for the West 25th Street Corridor?
Should current trends continue holding
all other factors constant?
OpportunityChallenge
Neutral
2014 West 25th Street Housing Demand Analysis
POPULATION & HOUSEHOLDS Key Findings
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[ 76] W25 TRANSIT DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY
4WARD PLANNING INC. 7
Declining population and householdsU.S. Census data and Esri estimates indicate that all three geographies studied have experienced declines in both total population
and number of households in recent years. Going forward, the Corridor, PMA, and County are projected to continue to lose
population through 2019, at a rate of 0.35 to 0.46 percent per year.
Small household sizesHousehold size in the Corridor is fairly small, at 2.2 persons per household, which represents only a modest decline from 2010.
The PMA and County also exhibit small household sizes, at 2.2 and 2.3 respectively, and are also declining modestly. It is common
for urban areas, such as the W. 25th Street Corridor, to have lower-than-average household size, as the housing stock may not be
conducive or desirable for families or larger households.
Non-family and younger householdsConsistent with national trends, non-family households in each geography are growing, while family households are declining. Non-
family households will continue to drive housing demand in the Corridor due to the growing employment needs of nearby large
institutions such as Metro Health. Further, the empty nester age cohort (age 55 to 74) , representing approximately 19 percent of
the population, is the only age cohort exhibiting growth.
Relatively low household incomes
At just over $20,000, the median household income along the Corridor is less than half that of Cuyahoga County households
($42,589) and one-third less than PMA households ($30,305). Fewer than 10 percent of households earn more than $75,000 per
year, and nearly three-quarters of the Corridor’s households earn less than $35,000 per year. Consequently, successful housing
development will require attracting a share of the area’s higher income households into the area (e.g., working professionals).
2014 West 25th Street Housing Demand Analysis
POPULATION & HOUSEHOLDS Change
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4WARD PLANNING, INC. [ 77]
4WARD PLANNING INC. 8
-0.85
-0.43-0.35
-1.14
-0.48-0.37
-0.53-0.65
-0.46
2000-2010 2010-2014 2014-2019
Cuyahoga County Primary Market Area Corridor
2014 2014-2019
Populatio Households Pop Chang HH Chang
Corridor 14,899 6,476 (273) (74)
Primary Market Area 350,208 133,007 (4,555) (1,230)Cuyahoga County 1,393,979 541,402 (17,636) (4,859)
From 2000 to 2014, each
geography experienced a
slight decline in population
and households, a trend
expected to continue through2019, albeit at a slower rate.
Source: Esri, 4ward Planning, Inc.
Population Growth Trends and Projections
2014 West 25th Street Housing Demand Analysis
POPULATION & HOUSEHOLDS Age & Household Size
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[ 78] W25 TRANSIT DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY
4WARD PLANNING INC. 9
-10.0%
-5.0%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
18%
Pre-School-AgeChildren
Grade School-Age Children
High School andCollege-Age
Young Workforceand Grads
Early StageFamilies
Late StageFamilies
Young EmptyNesters
Older EmptyNesters
Mostly Retired
% C h a n g e
% o f T o t a l P o p u l a t i o n
2010 2014 % Change (2010 - 2014)
-1.2
-1.3
-1.0
0.00
1.2
1.3
1.0
0.00
CORRIDOR
PRIMARY MARKET AREA
CUYAHOGA COUNTY
0
Family HHs Non-Family HHs
Median Age
(2014)
HH Size
(2014)
Corridor 33.8 2.2
Primary Market Area 36.0 2.2Cuyahoga County 41.0 2.3
Household Change by Type(2010-2014)
Corridor Household Change by Age Cohort (2010-2014)
Source: Esri
Within the Corridor,
household size is fairly
small (2.2 persons) and the
empty
nester
(age 55 to
74) cohort, is the only cohortcurrently exhibiting growth.
2014 West 25th Street Housing Demand Analysis
POPULATION & HOUSEHOLDS Household Income
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4WARD PLANNING, INC. [ 79]
4WARD PLANNING INC. 10
-8% -6% -4% -2% 0% 2% 4%
< $35,000
$35K TO $74.9K
$75K TO $99.9K
$100K TO $149.9K
>$149.9K
Cuyahoga County Primary Market Area Corridor
While incomes are,
generally, increasing within
all geographies, the median
household income along the
Corridor ($20,185) is
less than half ofCuyahoga County ($42,589)
and one-third less than the
PMA ($30,305).
Corridor Household Change by Income (2014-2019)
Corridor Households by Income (2014)Median HH
Income (2014)
% Change
(2014-2019)
Corridor $20,185 13%
Primary Market Area $30,305 19%Cuyahoga County $42,589 21%67%
24%
4%
3%
2%
< $35,000
$35K to $74.9K
$75K to $99.9K
$100K to $149.9K
>$149.9K Primary Market Area
Corridor
Source: Esri
2014 West 25th Street Housing Demand Analysis
LABOR MARKET Key Findings
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[ 80] W25 TRANSIT DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY
4WARD PLANNING INC. 11
Weak wage and salary pressures.
Cleveland’s unemployment rate remains considerably high, relative to pre-crisis norms; while the rate of unemployment has
begun to trend downward, there is relatively low pressure on wage rates and salaries – and, thus, a somewhat constrained
apartment rental and home buying market. As the job market improves (tightens) and wages and salaries rise, greater support
for new residential construction will ensue.
Largest employers are established.Ninety percent of businesses that employ 50 or more workers within the two-mile labor shed have been operating for more than
10 years, with none of them operating for less than three years. The lack of young firms, particularly those that hire many
workers, suggests that increased access to entrepreneurship for Corridor residents, particularly in labor-intensive sectors, could
be a valuable contribution to economic development within the area.
Net job inflow
Both the West 25th Street Corridor and the two-mile Travel Shed are characterized by a net job inflow, meaning that more
workers commute into the geography than leave to work elsewhere. Less than 10 percent of persons who work within the two-
mile radius of the West 25th Street Corridor also reside in the area.
Growth in healthcare, decline in manufacturingAlready the largest industry by employment in all study areas, Health Care and Social Assistance is expected to further expand
through 2020, with nearly 41,000 jobs in Cleveland, alone. Manufacturing is expected to experience employment declines. Both
of these trends are a continuation of those since 2007.
2014 West 25th Street Housing Demand Analysis
LABOR MARKET Employment
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4WARD PLANNING, INC. [ 81]
4WARD PLANNING INC. 12
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
140,000
160,000
Health Care and SocialAssistance
Manufacturing Retail Trade Accommodation andFood Services
Educational Services Administrative andSupport and WasteManagement and
Remediation Services
Professional, Scientific,and Technical Services
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
0
0
0
Total Industries by Total Employment: Cuyahoga County
From 2007 to 2012, Cuyahoga County experienced the greatest employment
growth in the Health Care and Social Assistance industries, andemployment declines in Manufacturing. Further, the healthcare sector is likely
to remain the region’s dominant industry and source of employment growth for
the foreseeable future – and a strong contributor to housing demand.
Source: US Census Bureau; QWI
2014 West 25th Street Housing Demand Analysis
LABOR MARKET Large Local Employers
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[ 82] W25 TRANSIT DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY
4WARD PLANNING INC. 13
0 1 2 3 4
Advertising-Agencies & Counselors
Aluminum Wholesale
Ambulance Services
Cancer Treatment Centers
Christmas Trees
Clubs
Concessionaires
County Government Offices
Frozen Specialties - Mfg
Fund Raising Counselors & Organizations
Home Centers
Home Health Care Services
Mailing Lists
Non-Profit Organizations
Office Supplies
Police Departments
Restaurants
Sewer Contractors
United States Postal Service
Blood Banks & Centers
Chemicals & Allied Products - Wholesale
Commercial Printing-Lithographic
State Government-Public Health Programs
General Contractors
Hospitals
Public Elementary & Secondary Schools
Number of Businesses
3 to 5 Years
5%6 to 9 Years
5%
10 or More Years90%
50 to 9950%
100 to24942%
500 to9992%
1,000 to4,999
3%
5,000 to9,999
3%There are 38 large
employers (employing
more than 50 employees)within the two-mile radius of
the Corridor.
Large Employers: Travel Shed (2014) Large Employers by Year Established
Large Employers by Size
Source: InfoFreeNote: Large employers are considered those with over 50 employees.
Ninety percent oflarge employers are f airly
established, operating for
more than 10 years.
2014 West 25th Street Housing Demand Analysis
LABOR MARKET Primary Jobs and Earnings
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4WARD PLANNING, INC. [ 83]
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2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
More than $40k 28% 31% 32% 34% 37% 39% 42% 40% 43% 46%
Between $15k - $40k 48% 46% 44% 42% 41% 39% 38% 39% 39% 37%
Less than $15k 24% 24% 24% 24% 22% 22% 20% 21% 18% 17%
Primary Jobs 11,387 11,054 10,518 10,609 10,650 10,781 10,477 9,306 9,965 9,883
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
P r i m a r y J o b s
P e r c e n t W o r k e r s
17% 15% 20%
37% 33%36%
46% 52% 44%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Corridor Travel Shed Cuyahoga County
P e r c e n t W o r k e r s
More than $40k Between $15k - $40k Less than $15k
Earnings Comparison (2011)
Travel Shed
Workers ByEarnings
Employment Primary Jobs per Job Change(2002-2011)(2011) Jobs Sq. Mi.
Corridor 9,883 4,412 (1,504)
Travel Shed 136,055 1,984 (21,453)CuyahogaCounty
668,654 1,463 (33,352)
Source: U.S.Census Bureau, OnTheMap
Note A primary job is the largest source of income for an individual.
2014 West 25th Street Housing Demand Analysis
LABOR MARKET Commuting
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[ 84] W25 TRANSIT DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY
4WARD PLANNING INC. 15Source: On the Map, U.S Census Bureau, MetroHealth Housing Survey, 2012
2.2%
9.6%
60.8%
Corridor
Travel Shed
Cuyahoga County
9,662
122,947
262,235
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Corridor
Travel Shed
Cuyahoga County
Percent of Total
Employed in Area, Live Outside
Live AND Employed in Area
Live in Area, Employed Outside
12%
44%39%
38%32%
15%17%
Owner occupied Renter occupied
No Vehicles 1 Vehicles 2 Vehicles 3+ Vehicles
CorLess than 10 percent ofpersons who work within the two-
mile radius of the West 25th
Street Corridor also reside in the
area.
Vehicles per Corridor Home (2012)
Commuting Patterns (2011)
Percent Workers AlsoLiving in Geography (2011)
Approximately 9,662 persons are
employed within the Corridor
but reside outside theCorridor, representing
potential pent-up
housing demand.
rridor
2014 West 25th Street Housing Demand Analysis
RETAIL SPENDING Key Findings
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4WARD PLANNING, INC. [ 85]
4WARD PLANNING INC. 16
Below-average spending, but….
In 2013, the average household within the West 25th Street Corridor spent less than half (46 percent) the national average
household expenditures on retail goods and dining out. By comparison, households within the 10-minute drive time PMA and
Cuyahoga County spent more (58 and 83 percent of the national household average expenditures on retail goods and dining out,
respectively). However, it should be noted that low- and moderate-income households tend to spend nearly 100 percent of their
discretionary incomes on goods and services (a much higher percentage than for upper income households).
Over 2.7 million square feet of major shopping center space
While the Corridor contains few shopping destinations within its boundaries, there is over 2.7 million square feet of major shopping
center space located within the PMA. Immediately adjacent to the Corridor is the Steelyard Commons, with approximately 900,000
square feet of GLA. Anchored by a Walmart Supercenter, Target, Home Depot, and Burlington Coat Factory, Steelyard Commons has
much retail to offer residents within the Corridor and its surrounding area.
New retail development should target neighborhood-oriented goods and services
Based on the above observations, retail development and business recruitment within the corridor should be focused on small,
authentic businesses (e.g., eateries, craft stores and personal services). Further, many of these types of businesses lend
themselves to being started and operated by local entrepreneurs, who will possess a strong understanding of community needs
and wants.
2014 West 25th Street Housing Demand Analysis
RETAIL SPENDING Household Retail Spending
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50
48
33
46
46
49
48
46
63
61
42
61
59
62
61
58
88
86
58
88
87
88
88
83
FOOD AT HOME
FOOD AWAY FROM
HOME
APPAREL ANDSERVICES
ENTERTAINMENT ANDRECREATION
PERSONAL CAREPRODUCTS &
SERVICES
HOUSING
TRANSPORTATION
AVERAGE
Corridor Drive Time Area Cuyahoga County
In 2013, retail spending in all geographies
was significantly less than the nationalaverage (which is 100) and lowest in the
West 25th Street Corridor.
$10,283$13,015
$4,895
$6,320$2,531
$3,200
$1,533
$1,943
$1,495
$1,955
CORRIDOR DRIVE TIME AREA
PERSONAL CAREPRODUCTS &SERVICES
APPAREL AND
SERVICES
ENTERTAINMENT AND
RECREATION
FOOD AWAY FROMHOME
FOOD AT HOME
TRANSPORTATION
HOUSING
Household Retail Spending Potential Index (2013)
Source: EsriNote: The Retail Spending Potential Index represents the amount a household spends
relative to a national average of 100, based on U.S. Consumer Expenditure data.
Household Retail Spending
2014 West 25th Street Housing Demand Analysis
RETAIL SPENDING Retail Stores
l S l
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-
-
2
3
6
1
7
7
2
18
59
7
48
100
100
80
73
72
57
53
45
37
33(23)
(43)
(45)
(60) (40) (20) - 20 40 60 80 100
HOME FURNISHINGS STORES
JEWELRY, LUGGAGE & LEATHER GOODS STORES
BLDG MATERIALS, GARDEN EQUIP. & SUPPLY STORES
ELECTRONICS & APPLIANCE STORESGENERAL MERCHANDISE STORES
BEER, WINE & LIQUOR STORES
CLOTHING & CLOTHING ACCESSORIES STORES
SPORTING GOODS, HOBBY, BOOK & MUSIC STORES
FURNITURE & HOME FURNISHINGS STORES
MISCELLANEOUS STORE RETAILERS
FOOD & BEVERAGE STORES
HEALTH & PERSONAL CARE STORES
FOOD SERVICES & DRINKING PLACES
(Surplus)/Leakage
Stores
There is, on net, sales
leakage in most retail
categories, as a large
share of local residents
purchase retail goods
and services outside thecorridor.
Retail Surplusand Leakage Retail
Businesses
Retail Retail (+) Surplus
(2013, $ Millions) Potential Sales (-) Leakage
Corridor 147 $92 $83 -$9
Drive Time Area 1,863 $2,426 $2,297 -$129Cuyahoga County 7,112 $14,022 $10,648 -$3,374
Source: EsriSurplus Leakage
Retail Store
Capture (2014)
2014 West 25th Street Housing Demand Analysis
RETAIL SPENDING Major Shopping Centers
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While the Corridor does not contain any major shopping
centers within its boundaries, very nearby is the Steelyard
Commons, with approximately 900,000 square feet of
Gross Leasable Area (GLA). Further,
Over 2.7 million Square Feet of major shopping center
space is located within the 10-minute drive time PMA –indicating little need for additional large scale retail within
the corridor.
Major Shopping Center GLA (Sqft)
Steelyard Commons 900,000The Galleria at Erieview 138,000
The Flats East Bank 300,000Tower City Center 375,000
Ridge Park Square 562,842Midtown Plaza 239,226Garfield Commons 244,592
Total in PMA 2,759,660
Source: Directory of Major Malls, Inc.
North
Central
South
2014 West 25th Street Housing Demand Analysis
HOUSING Key Findings
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Relatively diverse housing unit structure
The West 25th Street Corridor is the only study geography in which single-family detached homes do not represent the majority of
housing units. Further, the Corridor has the highest percentage of multi-family structures, with 50 or more units representing 16
percent of total housing stock, compared to 11 and nine percent of total housing stock for the PMA and Cuyahoga County,
respectively.
Demand for affordable housing outstrips supplyAccording to U.S. Census data, half of all renters within the Corridor’s associated ZIP codes are cost-burdened, meaning they pay
more than 30 percent of their incomes on housing (rent or mortgage payments, and heating). Further, lower-income households
are far more likely to be cost-burdened, which is particularly relevant for the West 25th Street corridor, given its large share of lower-
income households.
Increasing residential development activity
While still well below pre-crisis levels, residential permit activity within Cleveland has picked up in recent years, suggesting growing
confidence on the housing market, especially for multi-family rental units. Within the West 25th Street Corridor, there are 112 new
units currently being planned within the North and Central sections of the Corridor – a favorable indication for additional private
sector investment to occur within the Corridor in the near term.
Strong housing demand for new unitsBased on pent-up demand, commuter patterns, and turnover of the current housing stock due to age, a supply and demand
analysis indicates there is a demand for approximately 3,000 additional housing units in the West 25th Street Corridor over the
next the next 10 years. Based on analysis of the area housing market, we estimate future demand will be equally divided between
for sale and rental units (50/50).
2014 West 25th Street Housing Demand Analysis
HOUSING Supply/Demand Assumptions
Key Assumptions Underpinning the Growth Scenarios for 10 Minute Drive Contour
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Key Assumptions Underpinning the Growth Scenarios for 10-Minute Drive Contour
Net Household Formation Increases by zero percent per Annum under the Flat Growth scenario and -0.2
percent under the Negative Growth scenario from 2014 to 2024The negative annual household growth assumption is based on Esri household projections from 2014 to 2019. A zero growth
assumption is utilized for comparison purposes, as the rate of household decline has been slowing in recent years.
Number Employed within the 10-Minute Drive Contour Increases from 206,876 in 2014, to 228,520 by 2024This estimate is based on a modest average annual growth rate of one percent over 2014 base employment numbers.
90 Percent of Those Working in the Study Area Live ElsewhereNearly nine out of every 10 of people working in the two-mile Travel Shed do not also live there.
Ten Percent of Those Working in the Study Area but Living Elsewhere Represent Pent-Up DemandBased on a conservative estimate of existing pent-up demand preferences, it is assumed one in 10 workers would trade their
commute if there were adequate housing choice in the study area. This is based on the supposition that an employer assisted
housing (EAH) program policy aimed at promoting live-near-work housing could offer incentives that would be implemented.
Seven Percent of the Study Area’s Current Housing Stock is Physically Obsolescent and UnmarketableJust over 60 percent of the study area’s housing stock was built before 1940, increasing the incidence of physical obsolescence.
1.75 Percent of the Study Area’s Remaining Housing Stock Becomes Obsolescent, AnnuallyAll housing stock gradually wears out over time and, on average, 1.75 out of every 100 units becomes obsolescent, annually.
Study Area will Maintain an Annual Housing Vacancy Rate of Approximately 17 PercentThe study area’s annual vacancy rate will remain relatively high, based on existing and projected conditions.
2014 West 25th Street Housing Demand Analysis
HOUSING Inventory
Housing Tenure & Vacancy Trends
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0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
Single Family Duplex 3-4 units 5 to 9 units 10 to 19 units 20 to 49 units 50 or more Mobile home
Corridor (North) Corridor (Central) Corridor (South)
25%
44%
40%
37%
75%
55%
60%
63%
CORRIDOR (NORTH)
CORRIDOR (CENTRAL)
CORRIDOR (SOUTH)
TOTAL CORRIDOR
Single Family Multfamily
17%
23%
28%
23%
70%
54%
53%
59%
14%
23%
19%
18%
Owner Occupied Units
Renter Occupied Units
Vacant UnitsHousing Type and Tenure (2012)
Source: Esri, American Community Survey
Housing (2014) Units Percent
Corridor (North) 2,714 39%
Corridor (Central) 2,168 31%
Corridor (South) 2,007 29%Total Corridor 6,889 100%
Housing Tenure & Vacancy Trends
54 585
9 58
32
26 23 2314 17 18 19
2000 2010 2014 2019
Renter-occupied Owner-occupied Vacant
2014 West 25th Street Housing Demand Analysis
Housing Comparison by
HOUSING Residential Pipeline
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[ 92] W25 TRANSIT DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY
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51
69
65
61
15
15
17
15
11
9
15
12
16
8
CORRIDOR (NORTH)
CORRIDOR (CENTRAL)
CORRIDOR (SOUTH)
TOTAL CORRIDOR
Before 1940 1940 to 1959 1960 to 1979 1980 to 1999 2000 or Later
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Five or More Family 25 40 45 40 40 30 30 40 88 88 -
Three and Four Family 46 46 39 22 9 6 6 3 6 6 -
Two Family 12 12 10 2 - - - - - - 70
Single Family 374 345 253 184 109 87 91 86 132 132 195
Total 457 443 347 248 158 123 127 129 226 226 265
-
50
100
150
200
250 300
350
400
450
500
U n i t s
61 percent of the homeswithin the Corridor are older
homes, built before 1940.
Housing Comparison by Year Structure Built, 2012
Residential Building
Permits: Cleveland*
Source: U.S. Bureau of the Census Building Permit Estimates*2014 data represent cumulative permits as of September 2014.
2014 West 25th Street Housing Demand Analysis
HOUSING Major Residential Development
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$0
$500
$1,000
$1,500
$2,000
$2,500
$3,000
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
1-Bdr 2-Bdr Studio 1-Bdr 2-Bdr 1-Bdr 2-Bdr
Lofts at Lion Mills Uptown Hazel 8
R e n t R a n g e
U n i t s
Units Min Rent Max Rent
Market Rate - University CircleAffordable - Corridor
58%42%
66%
34%
100 percentof all new units in Uptown
and Hazel 8 apartments in
University Circle have been
leased. The majority are1-bedroom apartments.
Recent Development Projects
Name Type Location Status Units
Lofts at Lion Mills Apartments Corridor 1Q 2016* 36
Duck Island Townhomes Corridor Design Review 6
Uptown Apartments University Circle 100% Leased 157
Hazel 8 Apartments University Circle 100% Leased 59
11%
77%
11%Studio 1-Bdr 2-Bdr
Source: Ohio Housing Finance Agency, 2014 Low Income Housing Tax Credit Proposal, Phone interviews with leasing offices
*If awarded tax credits
2014 West 25th Street Housing Demand Analysis
HOUSING Corridor Residential Pipeline
1 n u
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[ 94] W25 TRANSIT DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY
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# Name Units Type
1 Vacant Residential NA Land (4+ Acres)2 New Construction 9 Townhomes
3 Wagner Awning Building 50 Market Rate Rental
New Construction 12 For Sale Homes
4 Former St. Michaels School 15 Market Rate Rental
5 Metro Lofts Apartments 21 Condos
6 New Construction 5 Townhomes
TOTAL 112
Source: Email correspondence with Tremont West Development Corporation, 2014
12
3
4
5-6
112
new
units
are currently being planned along the
Corridor, representing both ownership and
rental opportunities. All of these proposed
units are located within the North and Central
sections of the Corridor, within a mile of the
MetroHeatlh Medical Center.
North
Central
2014 West 25th Street Housing Demand Analysis
HOUSING Affordability
Cost-Burdened Households by Income (2012)*
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50 percent of all renters
in the Corridor were cost-
burdened in 2012.
7 8 %
5 6 %
3 4 %
5 %
1 %
8 2 %
5 4
%
1 9 %
7 %
2 %
8 5 %
5 5
%
2 8 %
1 4 %
5 %
LESS THAN$20,000
$20,000 TO$34,999
$35,000 TO$49,999
$50,000 TO$74,999
$75,000 ORMORE
Corridor ZIP Codes Cleveland Cuyahoga County
50%
53%
48%
36%
34%
28%
CORRIDOR ZIP CODES
CLEVELAND
CUYAHOGA COUNTY
Owner-occupied Renter-occupied
Cost Burdened Households by Income (2012)
...By Income ...By Tenure
Sources: American Community Survey, HUD, Trulia, Paddmapper
* Includes census tracts that intersect the Corridor buffer.
Cuyahoga County Affordable Rents (30% of household income)
50% of AMI 80% of AMI Avg. Asking Rent Range (Oct 2014)
1-Person HH $566 $905 $360-$479 Studio/1 Bdr2-Person HH $646 $1,035 $500-$755 1 Bdr - 2 Bdr
3-Person HH $728 $1,164 $630-$755 2 Bdr - 3 Bdr
4-Person HH $808 $1,293 $755 3 Bdr
2014 West 25th Street Housing Demand Analysis
HOUSING Home Values
Altho gh a erage home al es in
10 Y 5 Y Y O Y
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[ 96] W25 TRANSIT DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY
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Although average home values in
Cleveland have fallen significantly over
the past decade, average values
have risen by two and 15 percent,respectively, over the past year. Except
for Clark Fulton, Corridor neighborhoods
have experienced a year-over-year
increase in single-family home values.
$30,000
$50,000
$70,000
$90,000
$110,000
$130,000
$150,000
Sep 2004 Sep 2005 Sep 2006 Sep 2007 Sep 2008 Sep 2009 Sep 2010 Sep 2011 Sep 2012 Sep 2013 Sep 2014
Cleveland (SF) Clark FultonOhio City Old Brooklyn
Tremont Cleveland (Condo)
10 Year
Change
5 Year
Change
Y-O-Y
Change Sep-14
Clark Fulton $41,200 -34% -29% -7%
Ohio City $62,600 1% -5% 7%
Old Brooklyn $67,800 -33% -12% 5%
Tremont $73,800 5% 13% 21%Cleveland (SF) $54,100 -33% -16% 2%
Cleveland (Condo) $119,300 -9% -2% 15%
Home Value Trends by Type & Neighborhood
Source: TruliaNote: No condo data available for selected neighborhoods.
2014 West 25th Street Housing Demand Analysis
HOUSING Sale Price Trends
Median Sales Price: Cleveland
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$0
$10,000
$20,000
$30,000
$40,000
$50,000
$60,000
$70,000
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
P r i c e p e r U n i t
Year Listed
Garden/Low-Rise Duplex/Triplex/Fourplex Mid/High-Rise
Median Sale Price: Cleveland
Jul-Oct '14 Y-O-Y
1 Bdr $82,700 -4.4%
2 Bdr $96,000 54.8%
3 Bdr $64,000 20.0%
4 Bdr $89,000 2.5%
All $79,250 13.2%
Multifamily Asking Sale Price Trends: Cleveland
Source: Trulia, Loopnet, as of Oct 2014
2014 West 25th Street Housing Demand Analysis
HOUSING Employer Housing Needs and Opportunities
Interview with MetroHealth Representatives
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[ 98] W25 TRANSIT DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY
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Source: MetroHealth Housing Survey, 2012
• Demand for Local, Quality Workforce Housing. According toMetroHealth representatives, the supply and quality of workforce housing near
the hospital (affordable for-sale and rental) is inadequate in the eyes of manyhospital employees. A recent housing survey confirms that many more
employees would move to the area if better housing stock existed near
the hospital. Hospital staff also recognize that quality workforce
housing is essential in attracting and retaining employees
(a key recruitment issue), and enabling staff to quickly respond in
potential emergencies at the hospital (a resiliency issue).
• Joint-Development Opportunities: The hospital is in the process ofexpanding and redeveloping its campus facilities, and is also interested in
improving the local supply of workforce housing. MetroHealth is open toexploring the relocation of existing administrative offices into a mixed-use
joint-development within the corridor, accommodating upper floor residential
and ground-floor retail space.
l
ar
more
near
2014 West 25th Street Housing Demand Analysis
HOUSING Pent-Up Housing Demand Preference
Housing Preference by Type: Metro Health Employees (2012)Apartment 6%
MultifamilyHome 3%
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4WARD PLANNING, INC. [ 99]
4WARD PLANNING INC. 30Source: MetroHealth Housing Survey, 2012
SingleFamily58%
Condo/Townhome
33%
Apartment 6% Home 3%
1-2Bdrm,22%
3-4
Bdrm,78%Security
andParking
56%
Cost ofHousing
27%
NeighborhoodConveniences
9%
Proximity toCulture 7%
FurnishedLiving 1%
82% 62%
18%38%
A LL RE SP ON DE NTS C UR RE NT CO RR IDO RRESID ENT S
Own Rent
58 percent of MetroHealth employees who
responded to a 2012
housing survey felt that a
single-family home wouldbest suit their lifestyles if
they could live closer to the
W 25th /Pearl Rd corridor.
78 percent of MetroHealth employeespreferred a larger-sized
home with containing
3- to 4-bedrooms.
Security and parking isranked the most important
housing amenity, with
cost of housing as the
second most important
consideration.
2014 West 25th Street Housing Demand Analysis
HOUSING Pent-Up Housing Demand Preference
MetroHealth MedicalR id b ZIP C d
Interest in Living Closer to WorkMetro Health Employees (2012):
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[ 100] W25 TRANSIT DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY
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30 percent of MetroHealth employees who
responded to a 2012housing survey preferred
to live closer to work.
Residents by ZIP Code
Source: MetroHealth Housing Survey 2012, Interview with Government Relations and Community Affairs staff, 2014
Currently, there are 750 medical residents
participating in MetroHealth’s one- to six-year residencyprograms, with approximately 44 percent residing within ZIP
codes located outside of the Corridor. Many of these residents
are under 30 and likely prefer short-term rental
housing. It is likely that a large share of these
professionals, who reside outside the immediate area
represent pent-up housing demand, as manywould likely prefer to live closer to the hospital
if quality rental housing were available.
44109
MetroHealth
Medical Center
44144
4410244113
Outside Corridor Zip codes
o ese res en s
ntal
e
iate area
tal
No,70%
Yes30%
Metro Health Employees (2012):
2 8 7
1 3 4
1 4 7
1 8 2
44109 44113 44102 44144
2014 West 25th Street Housing Demand Analysis
HOUSING Single-Family Demand
Projected Single-Family Housing Demand and Corridor Capture1 5191 540 15 400) Net SF Demand in PMA (Flat Growth) Net SF Demand in PMA (Neg Growth)
50% Net Housing Demand in PMA
10% Capture in Corridor
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4WARD PLANNING, INC. [ 101]
4WARD PLANNING INC. 32Source: 4ward Planning Inc.
0% 0%
25%
45%30%
STUD IO 1 BD R 2 BDR 3 BD R 4+ BD R
75%
25%
OWN ER REN TER
1,519
1,421
1,495
1,360
1,380
1,400
1,420
1,440
1,460
1,480
1,500
1,520
1,540
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
13,600
13,800
14,000
14,200
14,400
14,600
14,800
15,000
15,200
15,400
S F H o u
s i n g C a p t u r e ( C o r r i d o r )
N e t S F
D e m a n d ( P M A )
Net SF Demand in PMA (Flat Growth) Net SF Demand in PMA (Neg. Growth)
Corridor SF Capture (5%, Flat Growth) Corridor SF Capture (5%, Neg Growth)
Single-Family Demand Capture Assumptions: Corridor
…by Bedroom Type …by Tenure …by Income Category
40%45%
15%
H I G H( $ 7 5 K + )
L O W - M O D( $ 3 5 - $ 7 4 . 9 K )
V E R Y L O W( > $ 3 5 K )
“Very Low equates to roughly 120% of the Area (County) Median
Family Income ($62,200) as defined by
U.S. HUD.”
2014 West 25th Street Housing Demand Analysis
1 5191 540 15 400
Projected Multifamily Housing Demand and Corridor Capture
HOUSING Multifamily Demand
50% Net Housing Demand in PMA
10% Capture in Corridor
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4WARD PLANNING INC. 33
25%
55%
20%
H I G H($75K+)
LOW-MOD( $ 3 5 - $ 7 4 . 9 K )
VERY LOW( > $ 3 5 K )
25%
75%
OWN ER RENTER
5%
35% 35%
25%
0%STU DIO 1 BDR 2 BD R 3 BDR 4+ BDR
1,421
1,519
1,495
1,360
�