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WACC - P&G.pdf

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  • 8/9/2019 WACC - P&G.pdf

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    WACC

    Procter&Gamble:CostofCapital

  • 8/9/2019 WACC - P&G.pdf

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    WhyP&Gs

    WACC?

    Largeclientwantedtoenterhouseholdproductsandcompete

    withP&G

    detergents,

    soaps,

    cleansers,

    and

    personal

    care

    Cost

    of

    capital

    of

    the

    client

    not

    feasible

    due

    to

    Highlydiversifiedconglomerateunrelatedbusiness

    OverallWACC

    not

    useful

    for

    existing

    subsidiaries

    OverallWACCnotusefulfornew

    business

    consumerproducts

    Laundry

    and

    cleaning

    products

    35%

    Personal

    care

    products

    49%

    Foodand

    beverage

    s

    15%

    Pulpand

    chemicals

    1%

    Sales

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    NeedforWACC

    Evaluate

    /

    reevaluate

    thenew andexistinginvestmentsrespectively

    Earnmorethanhurdle

    rate

    Comparedifferentwaysoffinancingits

    operations

    Keyvariableforvaluationmodels

    Ko=(ke*we)

    +(kd*(1

    t)*we)

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    Costof

    Debt?

    Interest bearing debt on Books 3,331

    Interest Expenses - 1989 391

    Traded Coupon issues 8.25%

    YTM (close to Aaa 9.22%) 9.18% Why not 9.22%?

    Year to maturity 15

    Bond price 92.25 Exhibit 1 Panel D

    1989 Dec 1990 Jan 1990 Feb

    US Treasury Bonds

    5-Year 7.75 8.12 8.42

    10-Year 7.84 8.21 8.47

    30-Year 7.90 8.26 8.50Corporate Bonds by Moody's Rating

    Aaa 8.86 8.99 9.22

    Aa 9.11 9.27 9.45

    A 9.39 9.54 9.75

    Baa 9.82 9.94 10.14

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    Costof

    Debt?

    Interest bearing debt on Books 3,331

    Interest Expenses - 1989 391

    Traded Coupon issues 8.25%

    YTM (close to Aaa 9.22%) 9.18% Why not 9.22%?

    Year to maturity 15

    Bond price 92.25 Exhibit 1 Panel D

    1989 Dec 1990 Jan 1990 Feb

    US Treasury Bonds

    5-Year 7.75 8.12 8.42

    10-Year 7.84 8.21 8.47

    30-Year 7.90 8.26 8.50Corporate Bonds by Moody's Rating

    Aaa 8.86 8.99 9.22

    Aa 9.11 9.27 9.45

    A 9.39 9.54 9.75

    Baa 9.82 9.94 10.14

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    Costof

    Equity

    Past 10 Years Past 5 Years Estimated Next 5 Years

    Sales 7.60 10.20 8.00Earnings 7.00 5.90 15.50

    Dividends 6.50 4.60 11.00

    Gorwth Rate

    1989 Dec 1990 Jan 1990 Feb

    US Treasury Bonds

    5-Year 7.75 8.12 8.42

    10-Year 7.84 8.21 8.47

    30-Year 7.90 8.26 8.50

    Corporate Bonds by Moody's Rating

    Aaa 8.86 8.99 9.22

    Aa 9.11 9.27 9.45

    A 9.39 9.54 9.75

    Baa 9.82 9.94 10.14

    1989 Dec 1990 Jan 1990 Feb

    Money Market Rates

    CP (3 Months) 8.32 8.16 8.22

    Eurodollar Deposits ( 3 Months) 8.39 8.22 8.24

    US Treasury Bills

    3 Months 7.63 7.64 7.74

    1 - Year 7.21 7.38 7.55Prime rate charged by Banks 10.50 10.11 10.00

    1988 1989

    Current stock price 126.25

    No. of shares (Millions) 170

    Market Cap (Millions) 21462.5

    Book Value of Equity 6337 7076

    Book Value of Debt 3364 3331

    Market Value Weight of Equity 86.57%

    Book Value Weight of Equity 67.99%

    Traget Value Weight of Equity 65%

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    Costof

    Equity

    Past 10 Years Past 5 Years Estimated Next 5 Years

    Sales 7.60 10.20 8.00Earnings 7.00 5.90 15.50

    Dividends 6.50 4.60 11.00

    Gorwth Rate

    1989 Dec 1990 Jan 1990 Feb

    US Treasury Bonds

    5-Year 7.75 8.12 8.42

    10-Year 7.84 8.21 8.47

    30-Year 7.90 8.26 8.50

    Corporate Bonds by Moody's Rating

    Aaa 8.86 8.99 9.22

    Aa 9.11 9.27 9.45

    A 9.39 9.54 9.75

    Baa 9.82 9.94 10.14

    1989 Dec 1990 Jan 1990 Feb

    Money Market Rates

    CP (3 Months) 8.32 8.16 8.22

    Eurodollar Deposits ( 3 Months) 8.39 8.22 8.24

    US Treasury Bills

    3 Months 7.63 7.64 7.74

    1 - Year 7.21 7.38 7.55Prime rate charged by Banks 10.50 10.11 10.00

    1988 1989

    Current stock price 126.25

    No. of shares (Millions) 170

    Market Cap (Millions) 21462.5

    Book Value of Equity 6337 7076

    Book Value of Debt 3364 3331

    Market Value Weight of Equity 86.57%

    Book Value Weight of Equity 67.99%

    Traget Value Weight of Equity 65%

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    ke=Rf+

    (Rm Rf)

    *LongTerm

    vs.Short

    Term

    *TopDown

    vs.Bottom

    Up*Leveredvs.

    Unlevered

    *GMvs.

    AM

    NonTradedAssets?

    PrivateFirms?

    Reconstitutionof

    firms?

    Ifnegative?*Current?

    Historical?

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    Ko=(ke*we)

    +(kd*(1

    t)*we)

    Marketvs.

    Bookvs.

    Target

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    Leveredand

    Unlevered

    Beta

    E

    D*t)-1(+1

    =

    ]ED*t)-1(+1[=

    LU

    UL

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    Effectof

    Leverage

    on

    Beta

    11

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    CreditRating

    and

    Key

    Financial

    Ratios

    AAA AA A BBB BB B

    EBIT interest coverage (x) 23.4 13.3 6.3 3.9 2.2 1

    Funds from operations/total debt (%) 214.2 65.7 42.2 30.6 19.7 10.4

    Free operating cash flow/total debt (%) 156.6 33.6 22.3 12.8 7.3 1.5

    Return on capital (%) 35 26.6 18.1 13.1 11.5 8

    Operating income/sales (%) 23.4 24 18.1 15.5 15.4 14.7LT debt/capital (%) -1.1 21.1 33.8 40.3 53.6 72.6

    Total-debt/capital, incl. Short-term debt (%) 5 35.9 42.6 47 57.7 75.1

    Non-Investment GradeInvestment GradeKey Industrial Financial Ratios by Credit Rating

    12

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    So,WhatistheWACCforP&G?

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    EffectiveTax

    Rate

    2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005

    ITC 30.60% 30.57% 30.74% 31.38% 32.49% 32.37% 31.75% 31.24% 30.67% 27.61%

    HUL 23.09% 23.42% 22.42% 21.49% 21.90% 16.80% 17.28% 15.18% 13.28% 19.37%

    UBL 24.56% 23.38% 27.08% 31.52% 32.59% 48.10% 45.57% 51.40% 56.70% 29.85%

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    IsWACCofP&GandClient

    comparable?

    P&Ghasa

    dominantmarket

    shareclientisanewentrants

    Smallin

    size

    to

    matchtheP&G

    IssuesofLeverageDifferences

    IssuesofBusinessRisk


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