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SANDIA REPORTSAND2017-5367Unlimited ReleaseMay 2017

Country-Level Climate Uncertaintyfor Risk Assessments: Volume 25 Appendix X – Forecast Sea Ice Age George A. Backus, Thomas S. Lowry, Shannon M. Jones, La Tonya Walker, Barry L. Roberts, Leonard A. Malczynski

Prepared bySandia National LaboratoriesAlbuquerque, New Mexico 87185 and Livermore, California 94550

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SAND2017-5367Unlimited Release

May 2017

Country-Level Climate Uncertaintyfor Risk Assessments: Volume 25Appendix X – Forecast Sea Ice Age

George Backus, Leonard MalczynskiPolicy & Decision Analytics

Thomas Lowry, Shannon Jones, La Tonya WalkerEarth Systems Analysis

Barry RobertsGeotechnology & Engineering

Sandia National LaboratoriesP.O. Box 5800

Albuquerque, New Mexico 87185-MS1137

Abstract

This report uses the CMIP5 series of climate model simulations to produce country-level uncertainty distributions for use in socioeconomic risk assessments of climate change impacts. It provides appropriate probability distributions, by month, for 169 countries and autonomous-areas on temperature, precipitation, maximum temperature, maximum wind speed, humidity, runoff, soil moisture and evaporation for the historical period (1976-2005), and for decadal time periods to 2100. It also provides historical and future distributions for the Arctic region on ice concentration, ice thickness, age of ice, and ice ridging in 15-degree longitude arc segments from the Arctic Circle to 80 degrees latitude, plus two polar semicircular regions from 80 to 90 degrees latitude. The uncertainty is meant to describe the lack of knowledge rather than imprecision in the physical simulation because the emphasis is on unfalsified risk and its use to determine potential socioeconomic impacts. The full report is contained in 27 volumes.

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ACKNOWLEDGMENTS

The authors are grateful to Group 0150 for providing support in preparing this report and for appreciating the potential impact of climate change on international security and on Sandia’s mission.

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CONTENTS

X.1. Introduction..............................................................................................................................7

X.2. Arctic Age of Sea Ice...............................................................................................................9

FIGURES

Figure 1: Gamma Distribution.......................................................................................................10

TABLES

Table 1: Report Volume to Variable-Data Mapping.......................................................................7Table 2: Uncertainty Data..............................................................................................................12

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NOMENCLATURE

CMIP5 Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5DOE Department of EnergySNL Sandia National Laboratoriesm Meters Secondda DayC Degrees CentigradeK Degrees Kelvin kg Kilogramyr Yearm2 Square meters (area)m3 Cubic meters (volume)

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X.1. INTRODUCTION

This volume contains one of the appendices noted in Volume 1. Each appendix details the data for a single variable. The next section describes the basic information needed to interpret the data and then provides the actual data. The data for each variable are contained in separate report volumes as noted in the table below. The report and all appendices are publicly available1 and the data in EXCEL format are available upon request.2

Volume Appendix Description Unit of Measure Time Period1 - Main Text All All2 A Near-Surface Air Temperature K Historical3 B Near-Surface Air Temperature K Forecast4 C Maximum Near-Surface Air Temperature K Historical5 D Maximum Near-Surface Air Temperature K Forecast6 E Minimum Near-Surface Air Temperature K Historical7 F Minimum Near-Surface Air Temperature K Forecast8 G Precipitation m/day Historical9 H Precipitation m/day Forecast10 I Evaporation m/day Historical 11 J Evaporation m/day Forecast12 K Near-Surface Relative Humidity % (monthly

mean)Historical

13 L Near Surface Relative Humidity % (monthly mean)

Forecast

14 M Surface Runoff m3/day Historical15 N Surface Runoff m3/day Forecast16 O Soil Moisture (Upper Column) m3/m3 Historical17 P Soil Moisture (Upper Column) m3/m3 Forecast18 Q Maximum Near-Surface Wind Speed m/day Historical19 R Maximum Near-Surface Wind Speed m/day Forecast20 S Sea Ice Area Fraction m2/m2 Historical21 T Sea Ice Area Fraction m2/m2 Forecast22 U Sea Ice Thickness M Historical23 V Sea Ice Thickness M Forecast24 W Age of Sea Ice day Historical25 X Age of Sea Ice day Forecast26 Y Sea Ice Ridging Rate (m2/day)/m2 Historical27 Z Sea Ice Ridging Rate (m2/day)/m2 Forecast

1 http://www.sandia.gov (https://cfwebprod.sandia.gov/cfdocs/CompResearch/templates/insert/pubs.cfm) 2 Contact Dr. Thomas Lowry, Sandia National Laboratories, [email protected].

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mailto:[email protected]

https://cfwebprod.sandia.gov/cfdocs/CompResearch/templates/insert/pubs.cfm

Table 1: Report Volume to Variable-Data Mapping

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X.2. ARCTIC AGE OF SEA ICE

This appendix contains the uncertainty distribution information on Arctic Age of Sea Ice for the forecast period (CMIP5 output variable name: ageice). The parametrization is for the Gamma distribution. Note that the parameters enable the calculation of the mean, median, and mode values, as well as of the exceedance-probability values. See the main text (Volume 1) for a further description of the variable, and on finding or using the appropriate data. The raw values from the models have been converted to have dimensions of da.

The pages that follow alphabetically cover each country or autonomous-area, with the distribution parameters for a time period, for a specific month. The table shows the centroid (average) year for the time period, should a user, for simulation purposes only, want to create linearly interpolated values between years. Interpolation requires both historical and forecast data for the years through 2015. The data maintain consistency across the historical and forecast time period to allow such interpolations. Although the change between years are closely approximated through linear interpolation, no claim is made here for the legitimacy of this usage for all purposes. So few models reported this variable that the parametrizations lack statistical validity, and as such, the data below are only useful in illustrating potential climate-impact issues. The Age of Sea Ice is not reported for 30W45. This area is dominated by the eastern and western land mass of Greenland with largely seasonal ice.

For forecast data, the values correspond to the average over the (typically) decadal period noted in Columns 6 and 7 of the data table below. For historical data, the values correspond to the average over the 30 year, 1976 to 2005, “historical period” segment from the CMIP5 model runs. Thirty years is typically the averaging time period used to describe the “normal” condition. Because, for example, conventional macroeconomic models do not generally include climate impacts, their results implicitly include the historical normal. Because climatic changes are relatively gradual during the historical period and the first decade of the forecast period, it is generally acceptable, for continuous-simulation purposes, to consider the average as representing a 1990 referent year.

The models used to calculate the distribution are compared in Chapter 2 of Volume 1. Essential information on the functional aspects of the probability distribution are shown on the next page.

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Gamma Distribution: Parameter 1=k , Parameter2=θ

Figure 1: Gamma Distribution3

PDF (x )= 1Γ (k )∗θk

∗xk−1∗e−xθ

CDF (x )=1−Γ (k , xθ )/Γ (k )

Where Γ ( ∙ ) is the Gamma Function and Γ (k , x /θ ) is the Incomplete Gamma Function

Mean=kθ

Median≈ kθ∗3k−0.83 k+0.2

k≥1

Median≈θ∗( 0.391424 k4−1.29095 k3+1.6553 k2−0.0257641 k−0.0367065 )

3 The graphic comes from the Wikimedia commons. For more information, see the Wikipedia entry for the specified distribution in Volume 1, Chapter 5.

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PDF(x)

0.3≤k ≤1 , θ≪1.0

There is no closed-form solution for the median, but many mathematical packages have median calculators (e.g. MATLAB)

Mode=(k−1 )∗θ k≥1Mode=0 k<1

The shape of a Gamma distribution is quite flexible. Note that when k equals one, the gamma distribution becomes an exponential distribution.

The data columns of all the tables first include the country, then the type of distribution, the two parameters that define the distribution (as noted in the Chapter 5 of Volume 1), the standard error on the CDF estimate (the second order uncertainty), the beginning year of the data used to calculate the distribution, the last year of data used to calculate the distribution, the mid-year centroid, the month associated with the uncertainty distribution, and the short, CMIP5 variable name (noted in Table 3 of Volume 1).

As noted in the main text (Volume 1), the most legitimate use of the data is the comparison of a future sampled value to the historical mean or sampled value. The ratio of the forecasted and historical values minus 1 denotes the percentage change from historical values. This value most likely corresponds to the information needed to perform the impact analysis. Alternatively, but somewhat less meaningful, the difference between the numeric value of the forecast and historic values may be required for the impact analysis, for example, those associated with food production or water flow. For an example risk assessment see Backus et al. 2010.4

The Uncertainty Data begin on the next page

4 Backus, George A., Thomas S. Lowry, and Drake E. Warren. "The near-term risk of climate uncertainty among the US states." Climatic Change 116.3-4 (2013): 495-522. http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10584-012-0511-8. See full report for the study at: http://prod.sandia.gov/techlib/access-control.cgi/2010/102052.pdf

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http://prod.sandia.gov/techlib/access-control.cgi/2010/102052.pdfb

http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10584-012-0511-8

Country Distribution Parameter_1 Parameter_2 Std Error Start_Year End_Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic0E15 Gamma 3.623E+00 2.791E+02 1.697E+02 2006 2015 2010 1 ageiceArctic0E15 Gamma 4.289E+00 2.252E+02 1.477E+02 2006 2015 2010 2 ageiceArctic0E15 Gamma 5.395E+00 1.655E+02 1.266E+02 2006 2015 2010 3 ageiceArctic0E15 Gamma 7.265E+00 1.201E+02 1.110E+02 2006 2015 2010 4 ageiceArctic0E15 Gamma 1.343E+01 6.983E+01 9.500E+01 2006 2015 2010 5 ageiceArctic0E15 Gamma 1.999E+01 5.210E+01 9.115E+01 2006 2015 2010 6 ageiceArctic0E15 Gamma 1.261E+01 9.519E+01 1.266E+02 2006 2015 2010 7 ageiceArctic0E15 Gamma 1.092E+01 1.267E+02 1.550E+02 2006 2015 2010 8 ageiceArctic0E15 Gamma 5.241E+00 2.684E+02 2.068E+02 2006 2015 2010 9 ageiceArctic0E15 Gamma 2.664E+00 4.865E+02 2.340E+02 2006 2015 2010 10 ageiceArctic0E15 Gamma 3.015E+00 3.950E+02 2.039E+02 2006 2015 2010 11 ageiceArctic0E15 Gamma 3.330E+00 3.295E+02 1.805E+02 2006 2015 2010 12 ageiceArctic0E15 Gamma 3.190E+00 2.487E+02 1.658E+02 2016 2025 2020 1 ageiceArctic0E15 Gamma 3.740E+00 1.867E+02 1.441E+02 2016 2025 2020 2 ageiceArctic0E15 Gamma 5.719E+00 1.161E+02 1.204E+02 2016 2025 2020 3 ageiceArctic0E15 Gamma 8.438E+00 7.568E+01 9.811E+01 2016 2025 2020 4 ageiceArctic0E15 Gamma 9.649E+00 7.320E+01 1.018E+02 2016 2025 2020 5 ageiceArctic0E15 Gamma 1.623E+01 5.023E+01 9.681E+01 2016 2025 2020 6 ageiceArctic0E15 Gamma 1.559E+01 6.298E+01 1.210E+02 2016 2025 2020 7 ageiceArctic0E15 Gamma 1.852E+01 6.338E+01 1.408E+02 2016 2025 2020 8 ageiceArctic0E15 Gamma 4.220E+00 2.623E+02 2.021E+02 2016 2025 2020 9 ageiceArctic0E15 Gamma 2.920E+00 3.668E+02 2.055E+02 2016 2025 2020 10 ageiceArctic0E15 Gamma 3.652E+00 2.561E+02 1.598E+02 2016 2025 2020 11 ageiceArctic0E15 Gamma 3.073E+00 2.871E+02 1.616E+02 2016 2025 2020 12 ageiceArctic0E15 Gamma 1.855E+00 4.012E+02 1.475E+02 2026 2035 2030 1 ageiceArctic0E15 Gamma 1.947E+00 3.518E+02 1.408E+02 2026 2035 2030 2 ageiceArctic0E15 Gamma 2.287E+00 2.615E+02 1.399E+02 2026 2035 2030 3 ageiceArctic0E15 Gamma 3.124E+00 1.980E+02 1.310E+02 2026 2035 2030 4 ageiceArctic0E15 Gamma 4.067E+00 1.583E+02 1.186E+02 2026 2035 2030 5 ageiceArctic0E15 Gamma 5.243E+00 1.319E+02 1.180E+02 2026 2035 2030 6 ageice

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Country Distribution Parameter_1 Parameter_2 Std Error Start_Year End_Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic0E15 Gamma 5.530E+00 1.388E+02 1.226E+02 2026 2035 2030 7 ageiceArctic0E15 Gamma 8.334E+00 1.067E+02 1.161E+02 2026 2035 2030 8 ageiceArctic0E15 Gamma 1.322E+00 6.125E+02 1.799E+02 2026 2035 2030 9 ageiceArctic0E15 Gamma 1.053E+00 7.745E+02 1.988E+02 2026 2035 2030 10 ageiceArctic0E15 Gamma 1.462E+00 5.597E+02 1.752E+02 2026 2035 2030 11 ageiceArctic0E15 Gamma 1.597E+00 4.614E+02 1.544E+02 2026 2035 2030 12 ageiceArctic0E15 Gamma 1.316E+00 5.221E+02 1.539E+02 2036 2045 2040 1 ageiceArctic0E15 Gamma 1.545E+00 3.831E+02 1.275E+02 2036 2045 2040 2 ageiceArctic0E15 Gamma 1.812E+00 2.847E+02 1.172E+02 2036 2045 2040 3 ageiceArctic0E15 Gamma 2.217E+00 2.233E+02 1.160E+02 2036 2045 2040 4 ageiceArctic0E15 Gamma 2.747E+00 1.981E+02 1.229E+02 2036 2045 2040 5 ageiceArctic0E15 Gamma 3.385E+00 1.752E+02 1.221E+02 2036 2045 2040 6 ageiceArctic0E15 Gamma 3.705E+00 2.017E+02 1.307E+02 2036 2045 2040 7 ageiceArctic0E15 Gamma 3.035E+00 2.748E+02 1.503E+02 2036 2045 2040 8 ageiceArctic0E15 Gamma 6.900E-01 1.140E+03 2.210E+02 2036 2045 2040 9 ageiceArctic0E15 Gamma 7.634E-01 1.081E+03 2.227E+02 2036 2045 2040 10 ageiceArctic0E15 Gamma 9.289E-01 9.095E+02 2.143E+02 2036 2045 2040 11 ageiceArctic0E15 Gamma 1.097E+00 7.244E+02 1.936E+02 2036 2045 2040 12 ageiceArctic0E15 Gamma 1.087E+00 6.428E+02 1.693E+02 2046 2055 2050 1 ageiceArctic0E15 Gamma 1.214E+00 4.685E+02 1.500E+02 2046 2055 2050 2 ageiceArctic0E15 Gamma 1.465E+00 3.282E+02 1.384E+02 2046 2055 2050 3 ageiceArctic0E15 Gamma 2.022E+00 2.150E+02 1.174E+02 2046 2055 2050 4 ageiceArctic0E15 Gamma 2.452E+00 1.916E+02 1.256E+02 2046 2055 2050 5 ageiceArctic0E15 Gamma 2.834E+00 1.885E+02 1.343E+02 2046 2055 2050 6 ageiceArctic0E15 Gamma 3.177E+00 2.083E+02 1.554E+02 2046 2055 2050 7 ageiceArctic0E15 Gamma 2.952E+00 2.546E+02 1.711E+02 2046 2055 2050 8 ageiceArctic0E15 Gamma 9.833E-01 7.677E+02 1.905E+02 2046 2055 2050 9 ageiceArctic0E15 Gamma 5.555E-01 1.404E+03 2.403E+02 2046 2055 2050 10 ageiceArctic0E15 Gamma 8.243E-01 9.409E+02 2.045E+02 2046 2055 2050 11 ageiceArctic0E15 Gamma 9.868E-01 7.350E+02 1.796E+02 2046 2055 2050 12 ageice

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Country Distribution Parameter_1 Parameter_2 Std Error Start_Year End_Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic0E15 Gamma 1.170E+00 3.906E+02 1.106E+02 2056 2065 2060 1 ageiceArctic0E15 Gamma 1.444E+00 2.589E+02 8.172E+01 2056 2065 2060 2 ageiceArctic0E15 Gamma 1.710E+00 1.991E+02 7.219E+01 2056 2065 2060 3 ageiceArctic0E15 Gamma 2.208E+00 1.528E+02 6.716E+01 2056 2065 2060 4 ageiceArctic0E15 Gamma 2.937E+00 1.193E+02 6.142E+01 2056 2065 2060 5 ageiceArctic0E15 Gamma 3.595E+00 1.069E+02 6.298E+01 2056 2065 2060 6 ageiceArctic0E15 Gamma 5.805E+00 7.533E+01 6.775E+01 2056 2065 2060 7 ageiceArctic0E15 Gamma 1.441E+00 3.412E+02 1.058E+02 2056 2065 2060 8 ageiceArctic0E15 Gamma 1.017E-01 5.266E+03 3.156E+02 2056 2065 2060 9 ageiceArctic0E15 Gamma 3.836E-01 1.527E+03 2.405E+02 2056 2065 2060 10 ageiceArctic0E15 Gamma 6.297E-01 8.912E+02 1.740E+02 2056 2065 2060 11 ageiceArctic0E15 Gamma 8.823E-01 5.853E+02 1.330E+02 2056 2065 2060 12 ageiceArctic0E15 Gamma 1.382E+00 2.476E+02 7.508E+01 2066 2075 2070 1 ageiceArctic0E15 Gamma 1.899E+00 1.578E+02 5.978E+01 2066 2075 2070 2 ageiceArctic0E15 Gamma 2.707E+00 8.292E+01 4.535E+01 2066 2075 2070 3 ageiceArctic0E15 Gamma 3.690E+00 6.078E+01 3.948E+01 2066 2075 2070 4 ageiceArctic0E15 Gamma 4.132E+00 6.107E+01 4.611E+01 2066 2075 2070 5 ageiceArctic0E15 Gamma 5.569E+00 5.154E+01 5.001E+01 2066 2075 2070 6 ageiceArctic0E15 Gamma 8.045E+00 4.441E+01 5.828E+01 2066 2075 2070 7 ageiceArctic0E15 Gamma 9.217E-01 3.837E+02 9.074E+01 2066 2075 2070 8 ageiceArctic0E15 Gamma 1.027E-01 3.936E+03 2.091E+02 2066 2075 2070 9 ageiceArctic0E15 Gamma 3.626E-01 1.160E+03 1.505E+02 2066 2075 2070 10 ageiceArctic0E15 Gamma 5.840E-01 7.326E+02 1.301E+02 2066 2075 2070 11 ageiceArctic0E15 Gamma 9.462E-01 3.773E+02 9.074E+01 2066 2075 2070 12 ageiceArctic0E15 Gamma 1.404E+00 1.867E+02 5.895E+01 2076 2085 2080 1 ageiceArctic0E15 Gamma 2.182E+00 9.931E+01 4.352E+01 2076 2085 2080 2 ageiceArctic0E15 Gamma 3.277E+00 5.748E+01 3.662E+01 2076 2085 2080 3 ageiceArctic0E15 Gamma 5.112E+00 3.854E+01 3.232E+01 2076 2085 2080 4 ageiceArctic0E15 Gamma 6.704E+00 3.442E+01 3.260E+01 2076 2085 2080 5 ageiceArctic0E15 Gamma 1.114E+01 2.413E+01 3.067E+01 2076 2085 2080 6 ageice

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Country Distribution Parameter_1 Parameter_2 Std Error Start_Year End_Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic0E15 Gamma 2.881E+00 9.606E+01 4.736E+01 2076 2085 2080 7 ageiceArctic0E15 Gamma 1.041E-01 2.800E+03 1.631E+02 2076 2085 2080 8 ageiceArctic0E15 Gamma 1.037E-01 3.123E+03 1.817E+02 2076 2085 2080 9 ageiceArctic0E15 Gamma 1.038E-01 3.067E+03 1.860E+02 2076 2085 2080 10 ageiceArctic0E15 Gamma 3.493E-01 9.039E+02 1.335E+02 2076 2085 2080 11 ageiceArctic0E15 Gamma 8.085E-01 3.629E+02 7.969E+01 2076 2085 2080 12 ageiceArctic0E15 Gamma 1.555E+00 1.123E+02 3.878E+01 2086 2099 2092 1 ageiceArctic0E15 Gamma 2.646E+00 5.659E+01 3.057E+01 2086 2099 2092 2 ageiceArctic0E15 Gamma 5.591E+00 2.378E+01 2.318E+01 2086 2099 2092 3 ageiceArctic0E15 Gamma 9.412E+00 1.597E+01 1.991E+01 2086 2099 2092 4 ageiceArctic0E15 Gamma 1.214E+01 1.464E+01 2.004E+01 2086 2099 2092 5 ageiceArctic0E15 Gamma 1.821E+01 1.183E+01 2.042E+01 2086 2099 2092 6 ageiceArctic0E15 Gamma 1.068E+01 2.243E+01 2.804E+01 2086 2099 2092 7 ageiceArctic0E15 Gamma 1.052E-01 2.076E+03 1.211E+02 2086 2099 2092 8 ageiceArctic0E15 Gamma 1.052E-01 2.043E+03 1.049E+02 2086 2099 2092 9 ageiceArctic0E15 Gamma 1.051E-01 2.102E+03 1.141E+02 2086 2099 2092 10 ageiceArctic0E15 Gamma 4.304E-01 5.164E+02 7.934E+01 2086 2099 2092 11 ageiceArctic0E15 Gamma 7.786E-01 2.919E+02 6.413E+01 2086 2099 2092 12 ageiceArctic0W15 Gamma 3.486E+00 3.983E+02 2.284E+02 2006 2015 2010 1 ageiceArctic0W15 Gamma 4.108E+00 3.211E+02 2.152E+02 2006 2015 2010 2 ageiceArctic0W15 Gamma 4.508E+00 2.947E+02 2.124E+02 2006 2015 2010 3 ageiceArctic0W15 Gamma 4.744E+00 2.704E+02 2.002E+02 2006 2015 2010 4 ageiceArctic0W15 Gamma 5.302E+00 2.499E+02 1.952E+02 2006 2015 2010 5 ageiceArctic0W15 Gamma 8.588E+00 1.671E+02 1.741E+02 2006 2015 2010 6 ageiceArctic0W15 Gamma 1.590E+01 1.012E+02 1.516E+02 2006 2015 2010 7 ageiceArctic0W15 Gamma 1.508E+01 1.134E+02 1.635E+02 2006 2015 2010 8 ageiceArctic0W15 Gamma 7.608E+00 2.208E+02 2.141E+02 2006 2015 2010 9 ageiceArctic0W15 Gamma 2.103E+00 6.903E+02 2.769E+02 2006 2015 2010 10 ageiceArctic0W15 Gamma 2.300E+00 6.121E+02 2.585E+02 2006 2015 2010 11 ageiceArctic0W15 Gamma 2.703E+00 5.155E+02 2.467E+02 2006 2015 2010 12 ageice

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Country Distribution Parameter_1 Parameter_2 Std Error Start_Year End_Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic0W15 Gamma 2.743E+00 3.955E+02 2.231E+02 2016 2025 2020 1 ageiceArctic0W15 Gamma 3.152E+00 3.260E+02 2.010E+02 2016 2025 2020 2 ageiceArctic0W15 Gamma 4.056E+00 2.445E+02 1.787E+02 2016 2025 2020 3 ageiceArctic0W15 Gamma 4.380E+00 2.310E+02 1.773E+02 2016 2025 2020 4 ageiceArctic0W15 Gamma 4.580E+00 2.357E+02 1.777E+02 2016 2025 2020 5 ageiceArctic0W15 Gamma 6.720E+00 1.704E+02 1.703E+02 2016 2025 2020 6 ageiceArctic0W15 Gamma 1.002E+01 1.272E+02 1.640E+02 2016 2025 2020 7 ageiceArctic0W15 Gamma 1.736E+01 8.140E+01 1.466E+02 2016 2025 2020 8 ageiceArctic0W15 Gamma 3.128E+00 4.047E+02 2.262E+02 2016 2025 2020 9 ageiceArctic0W15 Gamma 2.271E+00 5.226E+02 2.277E+02 2016 2025 2020 10 ageiceArctic0W15 Gamma 2.760E+00 4.079E+02 2.050E+02 2016 2025 2020 11 ageiceArctic0W15 Gamma 2.939E+00 3.720E+02 2.077E+02 2016 2025 2020 12 ageiceArctic0W15 Gamma 1.941E+00 4.597E+02 1.763E+02 2026 2035 2030 1 ageiceArctic0W15 Gamma 2.135E+00 4.109E+02 1.743E+02 2026 2035 2030 2 ageiceArctic0W15 Gamma 2.467E+00 3.393E+02 1.661E+02 2026 2035 2030 3 ageiceArctic0W15 Gamma 2.974E+00 2.795E+02 1.571E+02 2026 2035 2030 4 ageiceArctic0W15 Gamma 3.227E+00 2.699E+02 1.570E+02 2026 2035 2030 5 ageiceArctic0W15 Gamma 4.585E+00 2.022E+02 1.516E+02 2026 2035 2030 6 ageiceArctic0W15 Gamma 6.237E+00 1.623E+02 1.530E+02 2026 2035 2030 7 ageiceArctic0W15 Gamma 9.110E+00 1.207E+02 1.429E+02 2026 2035 2030 8 ageiceArctic0W15 Gamma 2.619E+00 3.874E+02 1.870E+02 2026 2035 2030 9 ageiceArctic0W15 Gamma 8.467E-01 1.073E+03 2.416E+02 2026 2035 2030 10 ageiceArctic0W15 Gamma 1.262E+00 7.057E+02 2.014E+02 2026 2035 2030 11 ageiceArctic0W15 Gamma 1.471E+00 5.771E+02 1.821E+02 2026 2035 2030 12 ageiceArctic0W15 Gamma 1.178E+00 6.861E+02 1.898E+02 2036 2045 2040 1 ageiceArctic0W15 Gamma 1.249E+00 6.208E+02 1.823E+02 2036 2045 2040 2 ageiceArctic0W15 Gamma 1.396E+00 5.354E+02 1.757E+02 2036 2045 2040 3 ageiceArctic0W15 Gamma 1.529E+00 4.895E+02 1.748E+02 2036 2045 2040 4 ageiceArctic0W15 Gamma 1.778E+00 4.287E+02 1.778E+02 2036 2045 2040 5 ageiceArctic0W15 Gamma 2.240E+00 3.693E+02 1.778E+02 2036 2045 2040 6 ageice

16

Country Distribution Parameter_1 Parameter_2 Std Error Start_Year End_Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic0W15 Gamma 2.959E+00 3.076E+02 1.767E+02 2036 2045 2040 7 ageiceArctic0W15 Gamma 3.136E+00 3.077E+02 1.799E+02 2036 2045 2040 8 ageiceArctic0W15 Gamma 8.552E-01 1.029E+03 2.296E+02 2036 2045 2040 9 ageiceArctic0W15 Gamma 5.798E-01 1.501E+03 2.712E+02 2036 2045 2040 10 ageiceArctic0W15 Gamma 8.235E-01 1.055E+03 2.299E+02 2036 2045 2040 11 ageiceArctic0W15 Gamma 1.068E+00 7.878E+02 2.036E+02 2036 2045 2040 12 ageiceArctic0W15 Gamma 1.122E+00 7.019E+02 1.873E+02 2046 2055 2050 1 ageiceArctic0W15 Gamma 1.211E+00 5.951E+02 1.744E+02 2046 2055 2050 2 ageiceArctic0W15 Gamma 1.390E+00 4.873E+02 1.666E+02 2046 2055 2050 3 ageiceArctic0W15 Gamma 1.613E+00 4.060E+02 1.549E+02 2046 2055 2050 4 ageiceArctic0W15 Gamma 1.843E+00 3.737E+02 1.558E+02 2046 2055 2050 5 ageiceArctic0W15 Gamma 2.304E+00 3.253E+02 1.601E+02 2046 2055 2050 6 ageiceArctic0W15 Gamma 3.096E+00 2.711E+02 1.694E+02 2046 2055 2050 7 ageiceArctic0W15 Gamma 2.995E+00 3.031E+02 1.785E+02 2046 2055 2050 8 ageiceArctic0W15 Gamma 8.352E-01 1.023E+03 2.247E+02 2046 2055 2050 9 ageiceArctic0W15 Gamma 5.303E-01 1.610E+03 2.802E+02 2046 2055 2050 10 ageiceArctic0W15 Gamma 7.957E-01 1.057E+03 2.261E+02 2046 2055 2050 11 ageiceArctic0W15 Gamma 9.975E-01 8.049E+02 1.978E+02 2046 2055 2050 12 ageiceArctic0W15 Gamma 1.022E+00 5.826E+02 1.502E+02 2056 2065 2060 1 ageiceArctic0W15 Gamma 1.119E+00 5.049E+02 1.396E+02 2056 2065 2060 2 ageiceArctic0W15 Gamma 1.239E+00 4.281E+02 1.263E+02 2056 2065 2060 3 ageiceArctic0W15 Gamma 1.447E+00 3.645E+02 1.195E+02 2056 2065 2060 4 ageiceArctic0W15 Gamma 1.748E+00 3.054E+02 1.133E+02 2056 2065 2060 5 ageiceArctic0W15 Gamma 2.390E+00 2.320E+02 1.044E+02 2056 2065 2060 6 ageiceArctic0W15 Gamma 3.308E+00 1.855E+02 1.062E+02 2056 2065 2060 7 ageiceArctic0W15 Gamma 2.057E+00 3.206E+02 1.278E+02 2056 2065 2060 8 ageiceArctic0W15 Gamma 1.010E-01 6.488E+03 3.816E+02 2056 2065 2060 9 ageiceArctic0W15 Gamma 3.991E-01 1.777E+03 2.580E+02 2056 2065 2060 10 ageiceArctic0W15 Gamma 5.855E-01 1.149E+03 2.016E+02 2056 2065 2060 11 ageiceArctic0W15 Gamma 7.933E-01 8.259E+02 1.748E+02 2056 2065 2060 12 ageice

17

Country Distribution Parameter_1 Parameter_2 Std Error Start_Year End_Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic0W15 Gamma 1.279E+00 3.145E+02 9.070E+01 2066 2075 2070 1 ageiceArctic0W15 Gamma 1.636E+00 2.202E+02 7.418E+01 2066 2075 2070 2 ageiceArctic0W15 Gamma 1.865E+00 1.792E+02 6.776E+01 2066 2075 2070 3 ageiceArctic0W15 Gamma 2.122E+00 1.582E+02 6.601E+01 2066 2075 2070 4 ageiceArctic0W15 Gamma 2.513E+00 1.427E+02 6.879E+01 2066 2075 2070 5 ageiceArctic0W15 Gamma 3.406E+00 1.177E+02 7.361E+01 2066 2075 2070 6 ageiceArctic0W15 Gamma 4.818E+00 9.803E+01 7.682E+01 2066 2075 2070 7 ageiceArctic0W15 Gamma 3.313E+00 1.534E+02 9.120E+01 2066 2075 2070 8 ageiceArctic0W15 Gamma 1.022E-01 4.688E+03 2.689E+02 2066 2075 2070 9 ageiceArctic0W15 Gamma 4.023E-01 1.217E+03 1.869E+02 2066 2075 2070 10 ageiceArctic0W15 Gamma 5.939E-01 7.861E+02 1.497E+02 2066 2075 2070 11 ageiceArctic0W15 Gamma 9.375E-01 4.402E+02 1.041E+02 2066 2075 2070 12 ageiceArctic0W15 Gamma 1.465E+00 1.662E+02 5.206E+01 2076 2085 2080 1 ageiceArctic0W15 Gamma 2.080E+00 1.090E+02 4.366E+01 2076 2085 2080 2 ageiceArctic0W15 Gamma 2.625E+00 8.663E+01 4.240E+01 2076 2085 2080 3 ageiceArctic0W15 Gamma 3.257E+00 7.211E+01 4.087E+01 2076 2085 2080 4 ageiceArctic0W15 Gamma 3.775E+00 6.885E+01 4.272E+01 2076 2085 2080 5 ageiceArctic0W15 Gamma 7.182E+00 4.243E+01 3.832E+01 2076 2085 2080 6 ageiceArctic0W15 Gamma 4.875E+00 6.893E+01 5.066E+01 2076 2085 2080 7 ageiceArctic0W15 Gamma 9.667E-01 3.405E+02 8.261E+01 2076 2085 2080 8 ageiceArctic0W15 Gamma 1.034E-01 3.359E+03 1.974E+02 2076 2085 2080 9 ageiceArctic0W15 Gamma 1.036E-01 3.183E+03 1.855E+02 2076 2085 2080 10 ageiceArctic0W15 Gamma 5.060E-01 5.232E+02 9.506E+01 2076 2085 2080 11 ageiceArctic0W15 Gamma 9.037E-01 2.689E+02 6.390E+01 2076 2085 2080 12 ageiceArctic0W15 Gamma 1.521E+00 1.198E+02 3.870E+01 2086 2099 2092 1 ageiceArctic0W15 Gamma 2.535E+00 6.454E+01 3.241E+01 2086 2099 2092 2 ageiceArctic0W15 Gamma 4.091E+00 3.915E+01 2.656E+01 2086 2099 2092 3 ageiceArctic0W15 Gamma 4.547E+00 4.024E+01 2.931E+01 2086 2099 2092 4 ageiceArctic0W15 Gamma 5.413E+00 3.777E+01 2.995E+01 2086 2099 2092 5 ageiceArctic0W15 Gamma 1.004E+01 2.448E+01 2.866E+01 2086 2099 2092 6 ageice

18

Country Distribution Parameter_1 Parameter_2 Std Error Start_Year End_Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic0W15 Gamma 1.029E+01 2.657E+01 3.168E+01 2086 2099 2092 7 ageiceArctic0W15 Gamma 1.048E-01 2.329E+03 1.388E+02 2086 2099 2092 8 ageiceArctic0W15 Gamma 1.044E-01 2.595E+03 1.532E+02 2086 2099 2092 9 ageiceArctic0W15 Gamma 1.042E-01 2.740E+03 1.655E+02 2086 2099 2092 10 ageiceArctic0W15 Gamma 4.472E-01 5.084E+02 8.586E+01 2086 2099 2092 11 ageiceArctic0W15 Gamma 8.340E-01 2.311E+02 5.222E+01 2086 2099 2092 12 ageiceArctic105E120 Gamma 5.373E+00 4.577E+01 4.258E+01 2006 2015 2010 1 ageiceArctic105E120 Gamma 8.286E+00 2.904E+01 3.361E+01 2006 2015 2010 2 ageiceArctic105E120 Gamma 1.038E+01 2.488E+01 3.180E+01 2006 2015 2010 3 ageiceArctic105E120 Gamma 1.365E+01 2.032E+01 3.241E+01 2006 2015 2010 4 ageiceArctic105E120 Gamma 1.475E+01 2.101E+01 3.499E+01 2006 2015 2010 5 ageiceArctic105E120 Gamma 1.759E+01 1.966E+01 3.369E+01 2006 2015 2010 6 ageiceArctic105E120 Gamma 1.330E+01 2.927E+01 4.006E+01 2006 2015 2010 7 ageiceArctic105E120 Gamma 1.809E+01 2.320E+01 3.919E+01 2006 2015 2010 8 ageiceArctic105E120 Gamma 8.937E+00 4.572E+01 4.784E+01 2006 2015 2010 9 ageiceArctic105E120 Gamma 2.519E+00 1.124E+02 5.995E+01 2006 2015 2010 10 ageiceArctic105E120 Gamma 2.938E+00 9.709E+01 5.420E+01 2006 2015 2010 11 ageiceArctic105E120 Gamma 3.781E+00 7.082E+01 5.399E+01 2006 2015 2010 12 ageiceArctic105E120 Gamma 1.613E+01 1.072E+01 1.710E+01 2016 2025 2020 1 ageiceArctic105E120 Gamma 4.175E+01 3.823E+00 1.339E+01 2016 2025 2020 2 ageiceArctic105E120 Gamma 1.177E+02 1.474E+00 6.666E+00 2016 2025 2020 3 ageiceArctic105E120 Gamma 1.070E+02 1.853E+00 8.711E+00 2016 2025 2020 4 ageiceArctic105E120 Gamma 5.741E+01 4.201E+00 1.309E+01 2016 2025 2020 5 ageiceArctic105E120 Gamma 6.310E+01 4.388E+00 1.574E+01 2016 2025 2020 6 ageiceArctic105E120 Gamma 2.629E+01 1.218E+01 2.605E+01 2016 2025 2020 7 ageiceArctic105E120 Gamma 3.529E+01 1.014E+01 2.790E+01 2016 2025 2020 8 ageiceArctic105E120 Gamma 4.159E+01 8.229E+00 2.206E+01 2016 2025 2020 9 ageiceArctic105E120 Gamma 2.508E+00 8.461E+01 4.202E+01 2016 2025 2020 10 ageiceArctic105E120 Gamma 4.611E+00 3.880E+01 2.637E+01 2016 2025 2020 11 ageiceArctic105E120 Gamma 6.394E+00 2.896E+01 2.441E+01 2016 2025 2020 12 ageice

19

Country Distribution Parameter_1 Parameter_2 Std Error Start_Year End_Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic105E120 Gamma 1.034E+01 1.218E+01 1.483E+01 2026 2035 2030 1 ageiceArctic105E120 Gamma 3.649E+01 3.268E+00 8.047E+00 2026 2035 2030 2 ageiceArctic105E120 Gamma 6.440E+01 2.068E+00 8.375E+00 2026 2035 2030 3 ageiceArctic105E120 Gamma 4.353E+01 3.530E+00 1.488E+01 2026 2035 2030 4 ageiceArctic105E120 Gamma 6.867E+01 2.776E+00 1.230E+01 2026 2035 2030 5 ageiceArctic105E120 Gamma 9.493E+01 2.327E+00 1.191E+01 2026 2035 2030 6 ageiceArctic105E120 Gamma 4.171E+01 6.045E+00 1.901E+01 2026 2035 2030 7 ageiceArctic105E120 Gamma 1.033E+02 2.776E+00 1.374E+01 2026 2035 2030 8 ageiceArctic105E120 Gamma 1.393E+02 2.119E+00 1.181E+01 2026 2035 2030 9 ageiceArctic105E120 Gamma 1.803E+00 8.740E+01 3.236E+01 2026 2035 2030 10 ageiceArctic105E120 Gamma 3.077E+00 4.948E+01 2.783E+01 2026 2035 2030 11 ageiceArctic105E120 Gamma 5.445E+00 2.427E+01 2.217E+01 2026 2035 2030 12 ageiceArctic105E120 Gamma 3.218E+00 4.426E+01 3.725E+01 2036 2045 2040 1 ageiceArctic105E120 Gamma 4.402E+00 3.506E+01 3.624E+01 2036 2045 2040 2 ageiceArctic105E120 Gamma 9.006E+00 1.717E+01 2.610E+01 2036 2045 2040 3 ageiceArctic105E120 Gamma 1.033E+01 1.759E+01 3.001E+01 2036 2045 2040 4 ageiceArctic105E120 Gamma 1.760E+01 1.185E+01 2.496E+01 2036 2045 2040 5 ageiceArctic105E120 Gamma 1.995E+01 1.234E+01 2.781E+01 2036 2045 2040 6 ageiceArctic105E120 Gamma 1.117E+01 2.596E+01 4.167E+01 2036 2045 2040 7 ageiceArctic105E120 Gamma 1.467E+01 2.214E+01 4.213E+01 2036 2045 2040 8 ageiceArctic105E120 Gamma 1.044E+01 3.031E+01 4.514E+01 2036 2045 2040 9 ageiceArctic105E120 Gamma 8.038E-01 1.804E+02 4.615E+01 2036 2045 2040 10 ageiceArctic105E120 Gamma 1.157E+00 1.257E+02 5.205E+01 2036 2045 2040 11 ageiceArctic105E120 Gamma 1.660E+00 9.118E+01 5.093E+01 2036 2045 2040 12 ageiceArctic105E120 Gamma 1.131E+01 6.527E+00 1.068E+01 2046 2055 2050 1 ageiceArctic105E120 Gamma 3.448E+01 2.285E+00 5.713E+00 2046 2055 2050 2 ageiceArctic105E120 Gamma 7.724E+01 1.212E+00 5.792E+00 2046 2055 2050 3 ageiceArctic105E120 Gamma 1.152E+02 9.988E-01 5.480E+00 2046 2055 2050 4 ageiceArctic105E120 Gamma 1.095E+02 1.329E+00 7.452E+00 2046 2055 2050 5 ageiceArctic105E120 Gamma 1.287E+02 1.404E+00 8.289E+00 2046 2055 2050 6 ageice

20

Country Distribution Parameter_1 Parameter_2 Std Error Start_Year End_Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic105E120 Gamma 6.711E+01 3.130E+00 1.203E+01 2046 2055 2050 7 ageiceArctic105E120 Gamma 8.024E+01 3.138E+00 1.305E+01 2046 2055 2050 8 ageiceArctic105E120 Gamma 2.974E+00 7.567E+01 3.955E+01 2046 2055 2050 9 ageiceArctic105E120 Gamma 1.051E+00 8.719E+01 2.236E+01 2046 2055 2050 10 ageiceArctic105E120 Gamma 2.861E+00 1.935E+01 1.120E+01 2046 2055 2050 11 ageiceArctic105E120 Gamma 4.813E+00 1.496E+01 1.435E+01 2046 2055 2050 12 ageiceArctic105E120 Gamma 1.687E+01 3.719E+00 6.122E+00 2056 2065 2060 1 ageiceArctic105E120 Gamma 5.677E+01 1.189E+00 4.004E+00 2056 2065 2060 2 ageiceArctic105E120 Gamma 1.141E+02 7.240E-01 3.408E+00 2056 2065 2060 3 ageiceArctic105E120 Gamma 1.160E+02 9.258E-01 4.644E+00 2056 2065 2060 4 ageiceArctic105E120 Gamma 9.846E+01 1.455E+00 5.994E+00 2056 2065 2060 5 ageiceArctic105E120 Gamma 7.680E+01 2.215E+00 8.377E+00 2056 2065 2060 6 ageiceArctic105E120 Gamma 5.099E+01 3.871E+00 1.115E+01 2056 2065 2060 7 ageiceArctic105E120 Gamma 3.913E+01 5.659E+00 1.418E+01 2056 2065 2060 8 ageiceArctic105E120 Gamma 2.159E+00 9.129E+01 3.687E+01 2056 2065 2060 9 ageiceArctic105E120 Gamma 8.122E-01 1.233E+02 2.760E+01 2056 2065 2060 10 ageiceArctic105E120 Gamma 2.201E+00 2.017E+01 9.075E+00 2056 2065 2060 11 ageiceArctic105E120 Gamma 5.488E+00 1.014E+01 8.731E+00 2056 2065 2060 12 ageiceArctic105E120 Gamma 1.126E+01 5.903E+00 8.079E+00 2066 2075 2070 1 ageiceArctic105E120 Gamma 3.499E+01 2.012E+00 5.297E+00 2066 2075 2070 2 ageiceArctic105E120 Gamma 3.572E+01 2.352E+00 7.608E+00 2066 2075 2070 3 ageiceArctic105E120 Gamma 4.132E+01 2.771E+00 9.370E+00 2066 2075 2070 4 ageiceArctic105E120 Gamma 7.285E+01 2.023E+00 7.743E+00 2066 2075 2070 5 ageiceArctic105E120 Gamma 5.041E+01 3.476E+00 1.061E+01 2066 2075 2070 6 ageiceArctic105E120 Gamma 3.587E+01 5.676E+00 1.520E+01 2066 2075 2070 7 ageiceArctic105E120 Gamma 1.752E+01 1.295E+01 2.177E+01 2066 2075 2070 8 ageiceArctic105E120 Gamma 1.237E+00 1.605E+02 4.521E+01 2066 2075 2070 9 ageiceArctic105E120 Gamma 4.892E-01 3.449E+02 6.122E+01 2066 2075 2070 10 ageiceArctic105E120 Gamma 1.653E+00 2.520E+01 8.645E+00 2066 2075 2070 11 ageiceArctic105E120 Gamma 4.013E+00 1.378E+01 8.519E+00 2066 2075 2070 12 ageice

21

Country Distribution Parameter_1 Parameter_2 Std Error Start_Year End_Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic105E120 Gamma 4.876E+00 9.479E+00 7.659E+00 2076 2085 2080 1 ageiceArctic105E120 Gamma 1.030E+01 5.357E+00 6.391E+00 2076 2085 2080 2 ageiceArctic105E120 Gamma 3.034E+01 2.205E+00 4.984E+00 2076 2085 2080 3 ageiceArctic105E120 Gamma 3.619E+01 2.548E+00 6.932E+00 2076 2085 2080 4 ageiceArctic105E120 Gamma 3.154E+01 4.092E+00 1.024E+01 2076 2085 2080 5 ageiceArctic105E120 Gamma 2.789E+01 5.641E+00 1.247E+01 2076 2085 2080 6 ageiceArctic105E120 Gamma 4.830E+01 3.943E+00 1.152E+01 2076 2085 2080 7 ageiceArctic105E120 Gamma 2.055E+00 8.455E+01 3.328E+01 2076 2085 2080 8 ageiceArctic105E120 Gamma 1.061E-01 1.685E+03 1.026E+02 2076 2085 2080 9 ageiceArctic105E120 Gamma 4.055E-01 4.029E+02 5.756E+01 2076 2085 2080 10 ageiceArctic105E120 Gamma 1.921E+00 1.410E+01 5.462E+00 2076 2085 2080 11 ageiceArctic105E120 Gamma 4.410E+00 7.572E+00 5.245E+00 2076 2085 2080 12 ageiceArctic105E120 Gamma 8.983E+00 3.912E+00 4.370E+00 2086 2099 2092 1 ageiceArctic105E120 Gamma 2.521E+01 1.909E+00 3.970E+00 2086 2099 2092 2 ageiceArctic105E120 Gamma 1.080E+02 5.624E-01 2.460E+00 2086 2099 2092 3 ageiceArctic105E120 Gamma 9.135E+01 9.383E-01 3.773E+00 2086 2099 2092 4 ageiceArctic105E120 Gamma 5.683E+01 2.128E+00 6.492E+00 2086 2099 2092 5 ageiceArctic105E120 Gamma 4.497E+01 3.290E+00 9.111E+00 2086 2099 2092 6 ageiceArctic105E120 Gamma 6.889E+01 2.705E+00 9.441E+00 2086 2099 2092 7 ageiceArctic105E120 Gamma 1.186E+00 1.393E+02 3.843E+01 2086 2099 2092 8 ageiceArctic105E120 Gamma 1.061E-01 1.694E+03 1.030E+02 2086 2099 2092 9 ageiceArctic105E120 Gamma 3.319E-01 4.716E+02 6.721E+01 2086 2099 2092 10 ageiceArctic105E120 Gamma 1.443E+00 2.134E+01 6.988E+00 2086 2099 2092 11 ageiceArctic105E120 Gamma 3.832E+00 5.938E+00 4.134E+00 2086 2099 2092 12 ageiceArctic105W120 Gamma 6.250E-01 1.810E+04 3.381E+03 2006 2015 2010 1 ageiceArctic105W120 Gamma 6.364E-01 1.769E+04 3.342E+03 2006 2015 2010 2 ageiceArctic105W120 Gamma 6.467E-01 1.744E+04 3.323E+03 2006 2015 2010 3 ageiceArctic105W120 Gamma 6.563E-01 1.715E+04 3.294E+03 2006 2015 2010 4 ageiceArctic105W120 Gamma 6.682E-01 1.694E+04 3.284E+03 2006 2015 2010 5 ageiceArctic105W120 Gamma 6.856E-01 1.660E+04 3.258E+03 2006 2015 2010 6 ageice

22

Country Distribution Parameter_1 Parameter_2 Std Error Start_Year End_Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic105W120 Gamma 7.010E-01 1.627E+04 3.234E+03 2006 2015 2010 7 ageiceArctic105W120 Gamma 7.213E-01 1.597E+04 3.230E+03 2006 2015 2010 8 ageiceArctic105W120 Gamma 6.915E-01 1.658E+04 3.273E+03 2006 2015 2010 9 ageiceArctic105W120 Gamma 5.983E-01 1.918E+04 3.487E+03 2006 2015 2010 10 ageiceArctic105W120 Gamma 6.029E-01 1.880E+04 3.430E+03 2006 2015 2010 11 ageiceArctic105W120 Gamma 6.122E-01 1.838E+04 3.373E+03 2006 2015 2010 12 ageiceArctic105W120 Gamma 6.114E-01 1.595E+04 2.883E+03 2016 2025 2020 1 ageiceArctic105W120 Gamma 6.243E-01 1.553E+04 2.837E+03 2016 2025 2020 2 ageiceArctic105W120 Gamma 6.383E-01 1.519E+04 2.812E+03 2016 2025 2020 3 ageiceArctic105W120 Gamma 6.491E-01 1.495E+04 2.796E+03 2016 2025 2020 4 ageiceArctic105W120 Gamma 6.639E-01 1.473E+04 2.793E+03 2016 2025 2020 5 ageiceArctic105W120 Gamma 6.864E-01 1.420E+04 2.744E+03 2016 2025 2020 6 ageiceArctic105W120 Gamma 7.002E-01 1.406E+04 2.749E+03 2016 2025 2020 7 ageiceArctic105W120 Gamma 7.228E-01 1.372E+04 2.735E+03 2016 2025 2020 8 ageiceArctic105W120 Gamma 7.153E-01 1.380E+04 2.732E+03 2016 2025 2020 9 ageiceArctic105W120 Gamma 5.580E-01 1.762E+04 3.023E+03 2016 2025 2020 10 ageiceArctic105W120 Gamma 5.694E-01 1.703E+04 2.965E+03 2016 2025 2020 11 ageiceArctic105W120 Gamma 5.864E-01 1.642E+04 2.908E+03 2016 2025 2020 12 ageiceArctic105W120 Gamma 5.400E-01 1.460E+04 2.493E+03 2026 2035 2030 1 ageiceArctic105W120 Gamma 5.680E-01 1.383E+04 2.431E+03 2026 2035 2030 2 ageiceArctic105W120 Gamma 5.927E-01 1.325E+04 2.383E+03 2026 2035 2030 3 ageiceArctic105W120 Gamma 6.133E-01 1.287E+04 2.355E+03 2026 2035 2030 4 ageiceArctic105W120 Gamma 6.339E-01 1.256E+04 2.344E+03 2026 2035 2030 5 ageiceArctic105W120 Gamma 6.618E-01 1.202E+04 2.293E+03 2026 2035 2030 6 ageiceArctic105W120 Gamma 6.803E-01 1.194E+04 2.312E+03 2026 2035 2030 7 ageiceArctic105W120 Gamma 7.103E-01 1.140E+04 2.269E+03 2026 2035 2030 8 ageiceArctic105W120 Gamma 6.831E-01 1.195E+04 2.334E+03 2026 2035 2030 9 ageiceArctic105W120 Gamma 4.631E-01 1.744E+04 2.737E+03 2026 2035 2030 10 ageiceArctic105W120 Gamma 4.790E-01 1.662E+04 2.630E+03 2026 2035 2030 11 ageiceArctic105W120 Gamma 5.087E-01 1.540E+04 2.517E+03 2026 2035 2030 12 ageice

23


24

Country Distribution Parameter_1 Parameter_2 Std Error Start_Year End_Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic105W120 Gamma 7.233E-01 7.023E+03 1.408E+03 2056 2065 2060 7 ageiceArctic105W120 Gamma 7.267E-01 7.300E+03 1.475E+03 2056 2065 2060 8 ageiceArctic105W120 Gamma 4.382E-01 1.175E+04 1.784E+03 2056 2065 2060 9 ageiceArctic105W120 Gamma 3.184E-01 1.591E+04 1.939E+03 2056 2065 2060 10 ageiceArctic105W120 Gamma 3.739E-01 1.309E+04 1.769E+03 2056 2065 2060 11 ageiceArctic105W120 Gamma 4.457E-01 1.039E+04 1.528E+03 2056 2065 2060 12 ageiceArctic105W120 Gamma 5.585E-01 3.912E+03 6.690E+02 2066 2075 2070 1 ageiceArctic105W120 Gamma 6.254E-01 3.412E+03 6.570E+02 2066 2075 2070 2 ageiceArctic105W120 Gamma 6.870E-01 3.069E+03 6.548E+02 2066 2075 2070 3 ageiceArctic105W120 Gamma 7.445E-01 2.839E+03 6.580E+02 2066 2075 2070 4 ageiceArctic105W120 Gamma 8.028E-01 2.663E+03 6.608E+02 2066 2075 2070 5 ageiceArctic105W120 Gamma 8.482E-01 2.627E+03 6.847E+02 2066 2075 2070 6 ageiceArctic105W120 Gamma 8.597E-01 2.915E+03 7.579E+02 2066 2075 2070 7 ageiceArctic105W120 Gamma 8.218E-01 3.405E+03 8.351E+02 2066 2075 2070 8 ageiceArctic105W120 Gamma 9.501E-02 3.113E+04 1.339E+03 2066 2075 2070 9 ageiceArctic105W120 Gamma 3.242E-01 8.433E+03 8.023E+02 2066 2075 2070 10 ageiceArctic105W120 Gamma 3.852E-01 6.020E+03 6.873E+02 2066 2075 2070 11 ageiceArctic105W120 Gamma 4.837E-01 4.300E+03 6.259E+02 2066 2075 2070 12 ageiceArctic105W120 Gamma 9.326E-01 5.587E+02 1.323E+02 2076 2085 2080 1 ageiceArctic105W120 Gamma 1.183E+00 4.369E+02 1.198E+02 2076 2085 2080 2 ageiceArctic105W120 Gamma 1.438E+00 3.652E+02 1.149E+02 2076 2085 2080 3 ageiceArctic105W120 Gamma 1.698E+00 3.184E+02 1.136E+02 2076 2085 2080 4 ageiceArctic105W120 Gamma 1.899E+00 3.068E+02 1.196E+02 2076 2085 2080 5 ageiceArctic105W120 Gamma 1.966E+00 3.163E+02 1.235E+02 2076 2085 2080 6 ageiceArctic105W120 Gamma 1.785E+00 4.702E+02 1.693E+02 2076 2085 2080 7 ageiceArctic105W120 Gamma 1.447E+00 6.630E+02 2.124E+02 2076 2085 2080 8 ageiceArctic105W120 Gamma 9.912E-02 1.092E+04 6.106E+02 2076 2085 2080 9 ageiceArctic105W120 Gamma 3.108E-01 3.382E+03 3.957E+02 2076 2085 2080 10 ageiceArctic105W120 Gamma 4.602E-01 1.264E+03 2.086E+02 2076 2085 2080 11 ageiceArctic105W120 Gamma 6.842E-01 6.724E+02 1.336E+02 2076 2085 2080 12 ageice

25

Country Distribution Parameter_1 Parameter_2 Std Error Start_Year End_Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic105W120 Gamma 1.423E+00 9.322E+01 3.964E+01 2086 2099 2092 1 ageiceArctic105W120 Gamma 2.344E+00 6.376E+01 3.983E+01 2086 2099 2092 2 ageiceArctic105W120 Gamma 3.335E+00 5.115E+01 3.985E+01 2086 2099 2092 3 ageiceArctic105W120 Gamma 4.417E+00 4.380E+01 4.091E+01 2086 2099 2092 4 ageiceArctic105W120 Gamma 5.422E+00 4.112E+01 4.306E+01 2086 2099 2092 5 ageiceArctic105W120 Gamma 4.489E+00 5.615E+01 5.090E+01 2086 2099 2092 6 ageiceArctic105W120 Gamma 5.349E+00 5.978E+01 6.410E+01 2086 2099 2092 7 ageiceArctic105W120 Gamma 1.419E+00 2.449E+02 9.343E+01 2086 2099 2092 8 ageiceArctic105W120 Gamma 1.024E-01 3.761E+03 1.627E+02 2086 2099 2092 9 ageiceArctic105W120 Gamma 1.018E-01 4.041E+03 1.622E+02 2086 2099 2092 10 ageiceArctic105W120 Gamma 4.697E-01 3.366E+02 5.011E+01 2086 2099 2092 11 ageiceArctic105W120 Gamma 7.936E-01 1.474E+02 3.653E+01 2086 2099 2092 12 ageiceArctic120E135 Gamma 2.419E+00 1.606E+02 7.078E+01 2006 2015 2010 1 ageiceArctic120E135 Gamma 3.196E+00 1.165E+02 6.276E+01 2006 2015 2010 2 ageiceArctic120E135 Gamma 3.719E+00 1.026E+02 6.004E+01 2006 2015 2010 3 ageiceArctic120E135 Gamma 4.213E+00 9.651E+01 6.152E+01 2006 2015 2010 4 ageiceArctic120E135 Gamma 4.514E+00 9.942E+01 6.673E+01 2006 2015 2010 5 ageiceArctic120E135 Gamma 5.153E+00 9.374E+01 7.020E+01 2006 2015 2010 6 ageiceArctic120E135 Gamma 4.718E+00 1.154E+02 8.032E+01 2006 2015 2010 7 ageiceArctic120E135 Gamma 5.571E+00 1.067E+02 8.214E+01 2006 2015 2010 8 ageiceArctic120E135 Gamma 5.105E+00 1.159E+02 8.578E+01 2006 2015 2010 9 ageiceArctic120E135 Gamma 1.396E+00 3.226E+02 1.001E+02 2006 2015 2010 10 ageiceArctic120E135 Gamma 1.773E+00 2.426E+02 8.916E+01 2006 2015 2010 11 ageiceArctic120E135 Gamma 1.985E+00 2.043E+02 8.269E+01 2006 2015 2010 12 ageiceArctic120E135 Gamma 2.833E+00 1.056E+02 6.089E+01 2016 2025 2020 1 ageiceArctic120E135 Gamma 4.276E+00 6.478E+01 5.018E+01 2016 2025 2020 2 ageiceArctic120E135 Gamma 5.462E+00 5.221E+01 4.657E+01 2016 2025 2020 3 ageiceArctic120E135 Gamma 7.369E+00 3.977E+01 4.254E+01 2016 2025 2020 4 ageiceArctic120E135 Gamma 6.474E+00 5.381E+01 5.451E+01 2016 2025 2020 5 ageiceArctic120E135 Gamma 7.115E+00 5.446E+01 6.188E+01 2016 2025 2020 6 ageice

26

Country Distribution Parameter_1 Parameter_2 Std Error Start_Year End_Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic120E135 Gamma 6.184E+00 7.163E+01 7.284E+01 2016 2025 2020 7 ageiceArctic120E135 Gamma 7.352E+00 6.660E+01 7.411E+01 2016 2025 2020 8 ageiceArctic120E135 Gamma 6.299E+00 7.779E+01 7.301E+01 2016 2025 2020 9 ageiceArctic120E135 Gamma 1.085E+00 3.227E+02 8.529E+01 2016 2025 2020 10 ageiceArctic120E135 Gamma 1.545E+00 2.120E+02 7.167E+01 2016 2025 2020 11 ageiceArctic120E135 Gamma 1.960E+00 1.605E+02 6.552E+01 2016 2025 2020 12 ageiceArctic120E135 Gamma 4.652E+00 4.113E+01 2.848E+01 2026 2035 2030 1 ageiceArctic120E135 Gamma 8.184E+00 2.256E+01 2.230E+01 2026 2035 2030 2 ageiceArctic120E135 Gamma 1.157E+01 1.709E+01 2.108E+01 2026 2035 2030 3 ageiceArctic120E135 Gamma 1.554E+01 1.383E+01 2.168E+01 2026 2035 2030 4 ageiceArctic120E135 Gamma 1.723E+01 1.417E+01 2.463E+01 2026 2035 2030 5 ageiceArctic120E135 Gamma 2.276E+01 1.206E+01 2.496E+01 2026 2035 2030 6 ageiceArctic120E135 Gamma 1.588E+01 2.013E+01 3.463E+01 2026 2035 2030 7 ageiceArctic120E135 Gamma 2.003E+01 1.750E+01 3.669E+01 2026 2035 2030 8 ageiceArctic120E135 Gamma 1.662E+01 2.113E+01 3.297E+01 2026 2035 2030 9 ageiceArctic120E135 Gamma 1.276E+00 1.513E+02 4.356E+01 2026 2035 2030 10 ageiceArctic120E135 Gamma 2.644E+00 7.155E+01 3.635E+01 2026 2035 2030 11 ageiceArctic120E135 Gamma 3.716E+00 4.938E+01 3.095E+01 2026 2035 2030 12 ageiceArctic120E135 Gamma 1.787E+00 1.280E+02 6.890E+01 2036 2045 2040 1 ageiceArctic120E135 Gamma 2.473E+00 9.280E+01 6.290E+01 2036 2045 2040 2 ageiceArctic120E135 Gamma 3.242E+00 7.474E+01 6.034E+01 2036 2045 2040 3 ageiceArctic120E135 Gamma 4.149E+00 6.352E+01 5.915E+01 2036 2045 2040 4 ageiceArctic120E135 Gamma 4.898E+00 6.086E+01 6.060E+01 2036 2045 2040 5 ageiceArctic120E135 Gamma 6.306E+00 5.263E+01 5.983E+01 2036 2045 2040 6 ageiceArctic120E135 Gamma 5.480E+00 6.947E+01 7.067E+01 2036 2045 2040 7 ageiceArctic120E135 Gamma 7.157E+00 5.745E+01 6.702E+01 2036 2045 2040 8 ageiceArctic120E135 Gamma 3.387E+00 1.186E+02 7.959E+01 2036 2045 2040 9 ageiceArctic120E135 Gamma 6.436E-01 4.216E+02 7.697E+01 2036 2045 2040 10 ageiceArctic120E135 Gamma 9.450E-01 2.613E+02 7.926E+01 2036 2045 2040 11 ageiceArctic120E135 Gamma 1.282E+00 1.900E+02 7.824E+01 2036 2045 2040 12 ageice

27

Country Distribution Parameter_1 Parameter_2 Std Error Start_Year End_Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic120E135 Gamma 3.977E+00 3.257E+01 2.140E+01 2046 2055 2050 1 ageiceArctic120E135 Gamma 6.518E+00 2.058E+01 1.835E+01 2046 2055 2050 2 ageiceArctic120E135 Gamma 1.103E+01 1.314E+01 1.760E+01 2046 2055 2050 3 ageiceArctic120E135 Gamma 1.731E+01 9.209E+00 1.654E+01 2046 2055 2050 4 ageiceArctic120E135 Gamma 1.899E+01 1.005E+01 1.873E+01 2046 2055 2050 5 ageiceArctic120E135 Gamma 1.974E+01 1.189E+01 2.145E+01 2046 2055 2050 6 ageiceArctic120E135 Gamma 1.483E+01 1.895E+01 2.800E+01 2046 2055 2050 7 ageiceArctic120E135 Gamma 1.841E+01 1.735E+01 2.917E+01 2046 2055 2050 8 ageiceArctic120E135 Gamma 2.323E+00 1.262E+02 5.368E+01 2046 2055 2050 9 ageiceArctic120E135 Gamma 6.371E-01 2.375E+02 4.450E+01 2046 2055 2050 10 ageiceArctic120E135 Gamma 1.379E+00 8.005E+01 2.484E+01 2046 2055 2050 11 ageiceArctic120E135 Gamma 2.895E+00 3.863E+01 2.065E+01 2046 2055 2050 12 ageiceArctic120E135 Gamma 1.084E+01 6.807E+00 9.021E+00 2056 2065 2060 1 ageiceArctic120E135 Gamma 1.739E+01 4.984E+00 9.385E+00 2056 2065 2060 2 ageiceArctic120E135 Gamma 2.261E+01 4.616E+00 9.467E+00 2056 2065 2060 3 ageiceArctic120E135 Gamma 2.759E+01 4.639E+00 1.095E+01 2056 2065 2060 4 ageiceArctic120E135 Gamma 2.893E+01 5.515E+00 1.289E+01 2056 2065 2060 5 ageiceArctic120E135 Gamma 3.857E+01 4.982E+00 1.374E+01 2056 2065 2060 6 ageiceArctic120E135 Gamma 3.666E+01 6.165E+00 1.639E+01 2056 2065 2060 7 ageiceArctic120E135 Gamma 7.747E+00 2.996E+01 2.985E+01 2056 2065 2060 8 ageiceArctic120E135 Gamma 2.042E+00 1.084E+02 4.240E+01 2056 2065 2060 9 ageiceArctic120E135 Gamma 5.956E-01 2.034E+02 3.866E+01 2056 2065 2060 10 ageiceArctic120E135 Gamma 1.915E+00 2.527E+01 1.040E+01 2056 2065 2060 11 ageiceArctic120E135 Gamma 5.493E+00 1.111E+01 8.594E+00 2056 2065 2060 12 ageiceArctic120E135 Gamma 6.844E+00 1.172E+01 1.089E+01 2066 2075 2070 1 ageiceArctic120E135 Gamma 9.262E+00 1.008E+01 1.110E+01 2066 2075 2070 2 ageiceArctic120E135 Gamma 1.454E+01 7.592E+00 1.177E+01 2066 2075 2070 3 ageiceArctic120E135 Gamma 2.019E+01 6.722E+00 1.224E+01 2066 2075 2070 4 ageiceArctic120E135 Gamma 2.391E+01 6.923E+00 1.352E+01 2066 2075 2070 5 ageiceArctic120E135 Gamma 3.279E+01 5.950E+00 1.421E+01 2066 2075 2070 6 ageice

28

Country Distribution Parameter_1 Parameter_2 Std Error Start_Year End_Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic120E135 Gamma 3.095E+01 7.215E+00 1.664E+01 2066 2075 2070 7 ageiceArctic120E135 Gamma 2.525E+00 8.350E+01 3.815E+01 2066 2075 2070 8 ageiceArctic120E135 Gamma 1.054E-01 2.006E+03 1.226E+02 2066 2075 2070 9 ageiceArctic120E135 Gamma 4.494E-01 4.312E+02 7.176E+01 2066 2075 2070 10 ageiceArctic120E135 Gamma 1.545E+00 2.707E+01 8.869E+00 2066 2075 2070 11 ageiceArctic120E135 Gamma 3.443E+00 1.795E+01 1.023E+01 2066 2075 2070 12 ageiceArctic120E135 Gamma 7.435E+00 8.196E+00 8.521E+00 2076 2085 2080 1 ageiceArctic120E135 Gamma 1.066E+01 7.048E+00 8.872E+00 2076 2085 2080 2 ageiceArctic120E135 Gamma 1.554E+01 5.869E+00 9.258E+00 2076 2085 2080 3 ageiceArctic120E135 Gamma 1.937E+01 5.969E+00 1.112E+01 2076 2085 2080 4 ageiceArctic120E135 Gamma 2.204E+01 6.636E+00 1.334E+01 2076 2085 2080 5 ageiceArctic120E135 Gamma 2.407E+01 7.251E+00 1.509E+01 2076 2085 2080 6 ageiceArctic120E135 Gamma 3.078E+01 6.792E+00 1.624E+01 2076 2085 2080 7 ageiceArctic120E135 Gamma 1.153E+00 1.609E+02 4.348E+01 2076 2085 2080 8 ageiceArctic120E135 Gamma 1.057E-01 1.865E+03 1.124E+02 2076 2085 2080 9 ageiceArctic120E135 Gamma 3.694E-01 5.091E+02 7.403E+01 2076 2085 2080 10 ageiceArctic120E135 Gamma 1.753E+00 1.732E+01 6.363E+00 2076 2085 2080 11 ageiceArctic120E135 Gamma 3.989E+00 1.011E+01 6.618E+00 2076 2085 2080 12 ageiceArctic120E135 Gamma 8.713E+00 5.509E+00 5.964E+00 2086 2099 2092 1 ageiceArctic120E135 Gamma 1.915E+01 3.425E+00 6.046E+00 2086 2099 2092 2 ageiceArctic120E135 Gamma 2.619E+01 3.102E+00 6.486E+00 2086 2099 2092 3 ageiceArctic120E135 Gamma 3.484E+01 2.935E+00 7.364E+00 2086 2099 2092 4 ageiceArctic120E135 Gamma 3.410E+01 3.934E+00 9.359E+00 2086 2099 2092 5 ageiceArctic120E135 Gamma 2.945E+01 5.485E+00 1.187E+01 2086 2099 2092 6 ageiceArctic120E135 Gamma 2.566E+01 7.458E+00 1.517E+01 2086 2099 2092 7 ageiceArctic120E135 Gamma 1.126E+00 1.566E+02 4.172E+01 2086 2099 2092 8 ageiceArctic120E135 Gamma 1.060E-01 1.714E+03 9.936E+01 2086 2099 2092 9 ageiceArctic120E135 Gamma 3.258E-01 5.454E+02 7.247E+01 2086 2099 2092 10 ageiceArctic120E135 Gamma 1.948E+00 1.031E+01 3.898E+00 2086 2099 2092 11 ageiceArctic120E135 Gamma 3.892E+00 7.361E+00 5.662E+00 2086 2099 2092 12 ageice

29

Country Distribution Parameter_1 Parameter_2 Std Error Start_Year End_Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic120W135 Gamma 1.428E+00 7.484E+02 2.327E+02 2006 2015 2010 1 ageiceArctic120W135 Gamma 1.501E+00 7.224E+02 2.318E+02 2006 2015 2010 2 ageiceArctic120W135 Gamma 1.561E+00 7.074E+02 2.329E+02 2006 2015 2010 3 ageiceArctic120W135 Gamma 1.548E+00 7.110E+02 2.329E+02 2006 2015 2010 4 ageiceArctic120W135 Gamma 1.606E+00 6.972E+02 2.339E+02 2006 2015 2010 5 ageiceArctic120W135 Gamma 1.869E+00 6.194E+02 2.322E+02 2006 2015 2010 6 ageiceArctic120W135 Gamma 2.466E+00 4.866E+02 2.224E+02 2006 2015 2010 7 ageiceArctic120W135 Gamma 3.168E+00 3.958E+02 2.199E+02 2006 2015 2010 8 ageiceArctic120W135 Gamma 2.769E+00 4.512E+02 2.212E+02 2006 2015 2010 9 ageiceArctic120W135 Gamma 1.960E+00 5.941E+02 2.335E+02 2006 2015 2010 10 ageiceArctic120W135 Gamma 1.485E+00 7.206E+02 2.333E+02 2006 2015 2010 11 ageiceArctic120W135 Gamma 1.452E+00 7.160E+02 2.269E+02 2006 2015 2010 12 ageiceArctic120W135 Gamma 2.070E+00 3.447E+02 1.386E+02 2016 2025 2020 1 ageiceArctic120W135 Gamma 2.133E+00 3.465E+02 1.407E+02 2016 2025 2020 2 ageiceArctic120W135 Gamma 2.215E+00 3.441E+02 1.442E+02 2016 2025 2020 3 ageiceArctic120W135 Gamma 2.145E+00 3.558E+02 1.479E+02 2016 2025 2020 4 ageiceArctic120W135 Gamma 2.178E+00 3.581E+02 1.505E+02 2016 2025 2020 5 ageiceArctic120W135 Gamma 2.693E+00 3.026E+02 1.459E+02 2016 2025 2020 6 ageiceArctic120W135 Gamma 3.884E+00 2.262E+02 1.377E+02 2016 2025 2020 7 ageiceArctic120W135 Gamma 6.121E+00 1.554E+02 1.291E+02 2016 2025 2020 8 ageiceArctic120W135 Gamma 4.341E+00 2.093E+02 1.368E+02 2016 2025 2020 9 ageiceArctic120W135 Gamma 2.257E+00 3.268E+02 1.368E+02 2016 2025 2020 10 ageiceArctic120W135 Gamma 1.818E+00 3.803E+02 1.376E+02 2016 2025 2020 11 ageiceArctic120W135 Gamma 1.905E+00 3.563E+02 1.346E+02 2016 2025 2020 12 ageiceArctic120W135 Gamma 1.552E+00 3.342E+02 1.129E+02 2026 2035 2030 1 ageiceArctic120W135 Gamma 1.651E+00 3.363E+02 1.196E+02 2026 2035 2030 2 ageiceArctic120W135 Gamma 1.829E+00 3.129E+02 1.215E+02 2026 2035 2030 3 ageiceArctic120W135 Gamma 1.968E+00 2.976E+02 1.232E+02 2026 2035 2030 4 ageiceArctic120W135 Gamma 2.083E+00 2.915E+02 1.269E+02 2026 2035 2030 5 ageiceArctic120W135 Gamma 2.338E+00 2.861E+02 1.369E+02 2026 2035 2030 6 ageice

30

Country Distribution Parameter_1 Parameter_2 Std Error Start_Year End_Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic120W135 Gamma 2.860E+00 2.557E+02 1.445E+02 2026 2035 2030 7 ageiceArctic120W135 Gamma 4.123E+00 1.951E+02 1.483E+02 2026 2035 2030 8 ageiceArctic120W135 Gamma 2.901E+00 2.722E+02 1.591E+02 2026 2035 2030 9 ageiceArctic120W135 Gamma 1.192E+00 5.206E+02 1.493E+02 2026 2035 2030 10 ageiceArctic120W135 Gamma 1.464E+00 3.265E+02 1.036E+02 2026 2035 2030 11 ageiceArctic120W135 Gamma 1.496E+00 3.149E+02 1.000E+02 2026 2035 2030 12 ageiceArctic120W135 Gamma 1.523E+00 2.918E+02 9.408E+01 2036 2045 2040 1 ageiceArctic120W135 Gamma 1.735E+00 2.658E+02 9.304E+01 2036 2045 2040 2 ageiceArctic120W135 Gamma 1.911E+00 2.533E+02 9.443E+01 2036 2045 2040 3 ageiceArctic120W135 Gamma 2.067E+00 2.480E+02 9.799E+01 2036 2045 2040 4 ageiceArctic120W135 Gamma 2.260E+00 2.369E+02 1.024E+02 2036 2045 2040 5 ageiceArctic120W135 Gamma 2.620E+00 2.198E+02 1.086E+02 2036 2045 2040 6 ageiceArctic120W135 Gamma 3.047E+00 2.073E+02 1.159E+02 2036 2045 2040 7 ageiceArctic120W135 Gamma 3.980E+00 1.762E+02 1.158E+02 2036 2045 2040 8 ageiceArctic120W135 Gamma 4.263E+00 1.710E+02 1.165E+02 2036 2045 2040 9 ageiceArctic120W135 Gamma 1.060E+00 5.063E+02 1.296E+02 2036 2045 2040 10 ageiceArctic120W135 Gamma 1.143E+00 3.675E+02 9.959E+01 2036 2045 2040 11 ageiceArctic120W135 Gamma 1.304E+00 3.160E+02 9.230E+01 2036 2045 2040 12 ageiceArctic120W135 Gamma 1.121E+00 3.719E+02 1.047E+02 2046 2055 2050 1 ageiceArctic120W135 Gamma 1.295E+00 3.385E+02 1.095E+02 2046 2055 2050 2 ageiceArctic120W135 Gamma 1.450E+00 3.212E+02 1.164E+02 2046 2055 2050 3 ageiceArctic120W135 Gamma 1.718E+00 2.725E+02 1.124E+02 2046 2055 2050 4 ageiceArctic120W135 Gamma 1.849E+00 2.677E+02 1.189E+02 2046 2055 2050 5 ageiceArctic120W135 Gamma 2.174E+00 2.498E+02 1.280E+02 2046 2055 2050 6 ageiceArctic120W135 Gamma 2.471E+00 2.499E+02 1.455E+02 2046 2055 2050 7 ageiceArctic120W135 Gamma 2.680E+00 2.616E+02 1.667E+02 2046 2055 2050 8 ageiceArctic120W135 Gamma 1.372E+00 5.020E+02 1.783E+02 2046 2055 2050 9 ageiceArctic120W135 Gamma 4.990E-01 1.169E+03 1.740E+02 2046 2055 2050 10 ageiceArctic120W135 Gamma 7.123E-01 5.983E+02 1.176E+02 2046 2055 2050 11 ageiceArctic120W135 Gamma 8.666E-01 4.546E+02 1.025E+02 2046 2055 2050 12 ageice

31

Country Distribution Parameter_1 Parameter_2 Std Error Start_Year End_Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic120W135 Gamma 1.558E+00 1.433E+02 4.726E+01 2056 2065 2060 1 ageiceArctic120W135 Gamma 1.907E+00 1.256E+02 4.905E+01 2056 2065 2060 2 ageiceArctic120W135 Gamma 2.470E+00 1.023E+02 4.716E+01 2056 2065 2060 3 ageiceArctic120W135 Gamma 3.150E+00 8.311E+01 4.389E+01 2056 2065 2060 4 ageiceArctic120W135 Gamma 3.670E+00 7.778E+01 4.582E+01 2056 2065 2060 5 ageiceArctic120W135 Gamma 4.619E+00 7.027E+01 4.749E+01 2056 2065 2060 6 ageiceArctic120W135 Gamma 6.181E+00 6.006E+01 5.071E+01 2056 2065 2060 7 ageiceArctic120W135 Gamma 7.542E+00 5.528E+01 5.258E+01 2056 2065 2060 8 ageiceArctic120W135 Gamma 9.146E-01 4.291E+02 1.019E+02 2056 2065 2060 9 ageiceArctic120W135 Gamma 5.039E-01 6.343E+02 1.087E+02 2056 2065 2060 10 ageiceArctic120W135 Gamma 8.190E-01 2.342E+02 5.289E+01 2056 2065 2060 11 ageiceArctic120W135 Gamma 1.227E+00 1.456E+02 4.083E+01 2056 2065 2060 12 ageiceArctic120W135 Gamma 1.468E+00 1.509E+02 4.929E+01 2066 2075 2070 1 ageiceArctic120W135 Gamma 1.716E+00 1.499E+02 5.774E+01 2066 2075 2070 2 ageiceArctic120W135 Gamma 2.129E+00 1.250E+02 5.651E+01 2066 2075 2070 3 ageiceArctic120W135 Gamma 2.578E+00 1.062E+02 5.085E+01 2066 2075 2070 4 ageiceArctic120W135 Gamma 2.610E+00 1.229E+02 6.209E+01 2066 2075 2070 5 ageiceArctic120W135 Gamma 3.465E+00 1.081E+02 6.331E+01 2066 2075 2070 6 ageiceArctic120W135 Gamma 3.177E+00 1.661E+02 9.710E+01 2066 2075 2070 7 ageiceArctic120W135 Gamma 2.028E+00 3.103E+02 1.433E+02 2066 2075 2070 8 ageiceArctic120W135 Gamma 1.006E-01 6.690E+03 3.184E+02 2066 2075 2070 9 ageiceArctic120W135 Gamma 2.632E-01 2.438E+03 2.189E+02 2066 2075 2070 10 ageiceArctic120W135 Gamma 5.742E-01 4.862E+02 8.142E+01 2066 2075 2070 11 ageiceArctic120W135 Gamma 9.867E-01 2.062E+02 5.036E+01 2066 2075 2070 12 ageiceArctic120W135 Gamma 2.730E+00 2.918E+01 1.884E+01 2076 2085 2080 1 ageiceArctic120W135 Gamma 3.845E+00 2.631E+01 2.144E+01 2076 2085 2080 2 ageiceArctic120W135 Gamma 4.829E+00 2.550E+01 2.386E+01 2076 2085 2080 3 ageiceArctic120W135 Gamma 5.747E+00 2.513E+01 2.557E+01 2076 2085 2080 4 ageiceArctic120W135 Gamma 6.362E+00 2.721E+01 2.983E+01 2076 2085 2080 5 ageiceArctic120W135 Gamma 8.872E+00 2.308E+01 3.092E+01 2076 2085 2080 6 ageice

32

Country Distribution Parameter_1 Parameter_2 Std Error Start_Year End_Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic120W135 Gamma 1.114E+01 2.316E+01 3.651E+01 2076 2085 2080 7 ageiceArctic120W135 Gamma 1.458E+00 1.805E+02 6.059E+01 2076 2085 2080 8 ageiceArctic120W135 Gamma 1.037E-01 2.936E+03 1.479E+02 2076 2085 2080 9 ageiceArctic120W135 Gamma 1.037E-01 3.006E+03 1.554E+02 2076 2085 2080 10 ageiceArctic120W135 Gamma 5.517E-01 2.150E+02 3.944E+01 2076 2085 2080 11 ageiceArctic120W135 Gamma 1.400E+00 4.503E+01 1.546E+01 2076 2085 2080 12 ageiceArctic120W135 Gamma 3.130E+00 1.650E+01 9.077E+00 2086 2099 2092 1 ageiceArctic120W135 Gamma 6.735E+00 1.056E+01 9.914E+00 2086 2099 2092 2 ageiceArctic120W135 Gamma 7.871E+00 1.188E+01 1.197E+01 2086 2099 2092 3 ageiceArctic120W135 Gamma 8.841E+00 1.286E+01 1.367E+01 2086 2099 2092 4 ageiceArctic120W135 Gamma 1.057E+01 1.350E+01 1.565E+01 2086 2099 2092 5 ageiceArctic120W135 Gamma 1.572E+01 1.115E+01 1.706E+01 2086 2099 2092 6 ageiceArctic120W135 Gamma 1.792E+01 1.219E+01 2.197E+01 2086 2099 2092 7 ageiceArctic120W135 Gamma 9.770E-01 2.059E+02 5.029E+01 2086 2099 2092 8 ageiceArctic120W135 Gamma 1.053E-01 2.066E+03 1.224E+02 2086 2099 2092 9 ageiceArctic120W135 Gamma 1.049E-01 2.244E+03 1.325E+02 2086 2099 2092 10 ageiceArctic120W135 Gamma 1.077E-01 1.113E+03 6.090E+01 2086 2099 2092 11 ageiceArctic120W135 Gamma 1.348E+00 2.389E+01 7.104E+00 2086 2099 2092 12 ageiceArctic135E150 Gamma 1.606E+00 3.819E+02 1.299E+02 2006 2015 2010 1 ageiceArctic135E150 Gamma 1.935E+00 3.048E+02 1.169E+02 2006 2015 2010 2 ageiceArctic135E150 Gamma 2.171E+00 2.720E+02 1.136E+02 2006 2015 2010 3 ageiceArctic135E150 Gamma 2.478E+00 2.410E+02 1.108E+02 2006 2015 2010 4 ageiceArctic135E150 Gamma 2.595E+00 2.553E+02 1.207E+02 2006 2015 2010 5 ageiceArctic135E150 Gamma 2.928E+00 2.394E+02 1.254E+02 2006 2015 2010 6 ageiceArctic135E150 Gamma 3.053E+00 2.510E+02 1.336E+02 2006 2015 2010 7 ageiceArctic135E150 Gamma 3.611E+00 2.201E+02 1.316E+02 2006 2015 2010 8 ageiceArctic135E150 Gamma 3.430E+00 2.296E+02 1.346E+02 2006 2015 2010 9 ageiceArctic135E150 Gamma 1.209E+00 5.437E+02 1.513E+02 2006 2015 2010 10 ageiceArctic135E150 Gamma 1.299E+00 4.874E+02 1.428E+02 2006 2015 2010 11 ageiceArctic135E150 Gamma 1.458E+00 4.225E+02 1.343E+02 2006 2015 2010 12 ageice

33

Country Distribution Parameter_1 Parameter_2 Std Error Start_Year End_Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic135E150 Gamma 1.645E+00 3.008E+02 1.225E+02 2016 2025 2020 1 ageiceArctic135E150 Gamma 2.025E+00 2.318E+02 1.116E+02 2016 2025 2020 2 ageiceArctic135E150 Gamma 2.405E+00 1.952E+02 1.058E+02 2016 2025 2020 3 ageiceArctic135E150 Gamma 2.778E+00 1.704E+02 1.057E+02 2016 2025 2020 4 ageiceArctic135E150 Gamma 2.802E+00 1.874E+02 1.214E+02 2016 2025 2020 5 ageiceArctic135E150 Gamma 3.163E+00 1.798E+02 1.292E+02 2016 2025 2020 6 ageiceArctic135E150 Gamma 3.117E+00 2.029E+02 1.429E+02 2016 2025 2020 7 ageiceArctic135E150 Gamma 3.732E+00 1.792E+02 1.400E+02 2016 2025 2020 8 ageiceArctic135E150 Gamma 3.821E+00 1.751E+02 1.356E+02 2016 2025 2020 9 ageiceArctic135E150 Gamma 9.500E-01 5.655E+02 1.400E+02 2016 2025 2020 10 ageiceArctic135E150 Gamma 1.158E+00 4.478E+02 1.347E+02 2016 2025 2020 11 ageiceArctic135E150 Gamma 1.307E+00 3.855E+02 1.310E+02 2016 2025 2020 12 ageiceArctic135E150 Gamma 3.802E+00 6.134E+01 4.368E+01 2026 2035 2030 1 ageiceArctic135E150 Gamma 5.461E+00 4.242E+01 3.892E+01 2026 2035 2030 2 ageiceArctic135E150 Gamma 7.062E+00 3.464E+01 3.787E+01 2026 2035 2030 3 ageiceArctic135E150 Gamma 8.690E+00 3.000E+01 3.908E+01 2026 2035 2030 4 ageiceArctic135E150 Gamma 8.589E+00 3.389E+01 4.653E+01 2026 2035 2030 5 ageiceArctic135E150 Gamma 1.097E+01 2.985E+01 4.759E+01 2026 2035 2030 6 ageiceArctic135E150 Gamma 8.828E+00 4.329E+01 6.318E+01 2026 2035 2030 7 ageiceArctic135E150 Gamma 1.080E+01 3.850E+01 6.329E+01 2026 2035 2030 8 ageiceArctic135E150 Gamma 8.442E+00 4.933E+01 6.262E+01 2026 2035 2030 9 ageiceArctic135E150 Gamma 1.487E+00 1.759E+02 6.220E+01 2026 2035 2030 10 ageiceArctic135E150 Gamma 1.975E+00 1.184E+02 5.768E+01 2026 2035 2030 11 ageiceArctic135E150 Gamma 2.797E+00 8.247E+01 4.957E+01 2026 2035 2030 12 ageiceArctic135E150 Gamma 1.574E+00 1.959E+02 8.426E+01 2036 2045 2040 1 ageiceArctic135E150 Gamma 2.006E+00 1.554E+02 8.204E+01 2036 2045 2040 2 ageiceArctic135E150 Gamma 2.533E+00 1.260E+02 7.866E+01 2036 2045 2040 3 ageiceArctic135E150 Gamma 3.138E+00 1.068E+02 7.553E+01 2036 2045 2040 4 ageiceArctic135E150 Gamma 3.696E+00 9.970E+01 7.528E+01 2036 2045 2040 5 ageiceArctic135E150 Gamma 4.645E+00 8.861E+01 7.566E+01 2036 2045 2040 6 ageice

34

Country Distribution Parameter_1 Parameter_2 Std Error Start_Year End_Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic135E150 Gamma 4.944E+00 9.286E+01 8.167E+01 2036 2045 2040 7 ageiceArctic135E150 Gamma 5.400E+00 9.185E+01 8.827E+01 2036 2045 2040 8 ageiceArctic135E150 Gamma 3.438E+00 1.437E+02 9.821E+01 2036 2045 2040 9 ageiceArctic135E150 Gamma 7.473E-01 4.984E+02 1.014E+02 2036 2045 2040 10 ageiceArctic135E150 Gamma 9.037E-01 3.756E+02 9.550E+01 2036 2045 2040 11 ageiceArctic135E150 Gamma 1.145E+00 2.964E+02 9.655E+01 2036 2045 2040 12 ageiceArctic135E150 Gamma 2.014E+00 1.094E+02 4.344E+01 2046 2055 2050 1 ageiceArctic135E150 Gamma 2.880E+00 7.600E+01 3.921E+01 2046 2055 2050 2 ageiceArctic135E150 Gamma 4.265E+00 5.125E+01 3.432E+01 2046 2055 2050 3 ageiceArctic135E150 Gamma 5.537E+00 4.251E+01 3.308E+01 2046 2055 2050 4 ageiceArctic135E150 Gamma 6.340E+00 4.254E+01 3.692E+01 2046 2055 2050 5 ageiceArctic135E150 Gamma 7.973E+00 3.873E+01 4.061E+01 2046 2055 2050 6 ageiceArctic135E150 Gamma 6.710E+00 5.657E+01 4.950E+01 2046 2055 2050 7 ageiceArctic135E150 Gamma 8.121E+00 5.079E+01 5.107E+01 2046 2055 2050 8 ageiceArctic135E150 Gamma 1.739E+00 2.214E+02 7.978E+01 2046 2055 2050 9 ageiceArctic135E150 Gamma 6.163E-01 4.096E+02 8.169E+01 2046 2055 2050 10 ageiceArctic135E150 Gamma 9.198E-01 2.163E+02 5.076E+01 2046 2055 2050 11 ageiceArctic135E150 Gamma 1.577E+00 1.219E+02 4.068E+01 2046 2055 2050 12 ageiceArctic135E150 Gamma 5.825E+00 1.517E+01 1.208E+01 2056 2065 2060 1 ageiceArctic135E150 Gamma 1.110E+01 9.080E+00 1.120E+01 2056 2065 2060 2 ageiceArctic135E150 Gamma 1.566E+01 7.631E+00 1.123E+01 2056 2065 2060 3 ageiceArctic135E150 Gamma 2.092E+01 6.743E+00 1.206E+01 2056 2065 2060 4 ageiceArctic135E150 Gamma 2.388E+01 7.216E+00 1.362E+01 2056 2065 2060 5 ageiceArctic135E150 Gamma 3.875E+01 5.325E+00 1.347E+01 2056 2065 2060 6 ageiceArctic135E150 Gamma 3.222E+01 7.368E+00 1.724E+01 2056 2065 2060 7 ageiceArctic135E150 Gamma 1.184E+01 2.172E+01 2.720E+01 2056 2065 2060 8 ageiceArctic135E150 Gamma 2.830E+00 8.888E+01 4.312E+01 2056 2065 2060 9 ageiceArctic135E150 Gamma 1.698E+00 9.261E+01 3.276E+01 2056 2065 2060 10 ageiceArctic135E150 Gamma 1.468E+00 3.942E+01 1.239E+01 2056 2065 2060 11 ageiceArctic135E150 Gamma 3.110E+00 2.268E+01 1.175E+01 2056 2065 2060 12 ageice

35

Country Distribution Parameter_1 Parameter_2 Std Error Start_Year End_Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic135E150 Gamma 3.930E+00 2.268E+01 1.684E+01 2066 2075 2070 1 ageiceArctic135E150 Gamma 6.663E+00 1.522E+01 1.489E+01 2066 2075 2070 2 ageiceArctic135E150 Gamma 1.211E+01 9.738E+00 1.341E+01 2066 2075 2070 3 ageiceArctic135E150 Gamma 1.835E+01 7.618E+00 1.325E+01 2066 2075 2070 4 ageiceArctic135E150 Gamma 2.384E+01 7.147E+00 1.407E+01 2066 2075 2070 5 ageiceArctic135E150 Gamma 3.288E+01 6.186E+00 1.484E+01 2066 2075 2070 6 ageiceArctic135E150 Gamma 2.522E+01 9.368E+00 1.978E+01 2066 2075 2070 7 ageiceArctic135E150 Gamma 1.924E+01 1.402E+01 2.577E+01 2066 2075 2070 8 ageiceArctic135E150 Gamma 1.717E+00 1.456E+02 5.095E+01 2066 2075 2070 9 ageiceArctic135E150 Gamma 3.623E-01 5.544E+02 7.795E+01 2066 2075 2070 10 ageiceArctic135E150 Gamma 8.399E-01 6.218E+01 1.525E+01 2066 2075 2070 11 ageiceArctic135E150 Gamma 1.892E+00 3.563E+01 1.621E+01 2066 2075 2070 12 ageiceArctic135E150 Gamma 5.610E+00 1.164E+01 1.071E+01 2076 2085 2080 1 ageiceArctic135E150 Gamma 9.279E+00 8.868E+00 1.060E+01 2076 2085 2080 2 ageiceArctic135E150 Gamma 1.372E+01 7.273E+00 1.102E+01 2076 2085 2080 3 ageiceArctic135E150 Gamma 1.792E+01 6.875E+00 1.259E+01 2076 2085 2080 4 ageiceArctic135E150 Gamma 2.236E+01 6.882E+00 1.423E+01 2076 2085 2080 5 ageiceArctic135E150 Gamma 2.518E+01 7.259E+00 1.602E+01 2076 2085 2080 6 ageiceArctic135E150 Gamma 3.008E+01 7.265E+00 1.812E+01 2076 2085 2080 7 ageiceArctic135E150 Gamma 5.462E+00 4.002E+01 3.246E+01 2076 2085 2080 8 ageiceArctic135E150 Gamma 1.055E-01 1.940E+03 1.157E+02 2076 2085 2080 9 ageiceArctic135E150 Gamma 1.058E-01 1.823E+03 1.099E+02 2076 2085 2080 10 ageiceArctic135E150 Gamma 1.301E+00 2.297E+01 8.433E+00 2076 2085 2080 11 ageiceArctic135E150 Gamma 2.436E+00 1.740E+01 9.470E+00 2076 2085 2080 12 ageiceArctic135E150 Gamma 5.962E+00 8.330E+00 7.414E+00 2086 2099 2092 1 ageiceArctic135E150 Gamma 1.184E+01 5.909E+00 7.854E+00 2086 2099 2092 2 ageiceArctic135E150 Gamma 1.402E+01 6.453E+00 9.470E+00 2086 2099 2092 3 ageiceArctic135E150 Gamma 1.944E+01 5.778E+00 1.028E+01 2086 2099 2092 4 ageiceArctic135E150 Gamma 2.607E+01 5.365E+00 1.107E+01 2086 2099 2092 5 ageiceArctic135E150 Gamma 2.481E+01 6.756E+00 1.350E+01 2086 2099 2092 6 ageice

36

Country Distribution Parameter_1 Parameter_2 Std Error Start_Year End_Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic135E150 Gamma 4.128E+01 4.916E+00 1.349E+01 2086 2099 2092 7 ageiceArctic135E150 Gamma 1.062E-01 1.631E+03 9.722E+01 2086 2099 2092 8 ageiceArctic135E150 Gamma 1.059E-01 1.758E+03 9.981E+01 2086 2099 2092 9 ageiceArctic135E150 Gamma 1.060E-01 1.643E+03 8.571E+01 2086 2099 2092 10 ageiceArctic135E150 Gamma 1.039E+00 2.175E+01 5.687E+00 2086 2099 2092 11 ageiceArctic135E150 Gamma 2.745E+00 9.826E+00 5.706E+00 2086 2099 2092 12 ageiceArctic135W150 Gamma 2.094E+00 4.103E+02 1.719E+02 2006 2015 2010 1 ageiceArctic135W150 Gamma 2.126E+00 4.228E+02 1.837E+02 2006 2015 2010 2 ageiceArctic135W150 Gamma 2.218E+00 4.178E+02 1.899E+02 2006 2015 2010 3 ageiceArctic135W150 Gamma 2.363E+00 3.859E+02 1.833E+02 2006 2015 2010 4 ageiceArctic135W150 Gamma 2.556E+00 3.471E+02 1.737E+02 2006 2015 2010 5 ageiceArctic135W150 Gamma 2.718E+00 3.341E+02 1.811E+02 2006 2015 2010 6 ageiceArctic135W150 Gamma 3.325E+00 2.733E+02 1.717E+02 2006 2015 2010 7 ageiceArctic135W150 Gamma 4.815E+00 1.945E+02 1.655E+02 2006 2015 2010 8 ageiceArctic135W150 Gamma 4.341E+00 2.127E+02 1.681E+02 2006 2015 2010 9 ageiceArctic135W150 Gamma 2.980E+00 2.868E+02 1.664E+02 2006 2015 2010 10 ageiceArctic135W150 Gamma 2.359E+00 3.368E+02 1.527E+02 2006 2015 2010 11 ageiceArctic135W150 Gamma 2.405E+00 3.198E+02 1.440E+02 2006 2015 2010 12 ageiceArctic135W150 Gamma 2.770E+00 2.464E+02 1.318E+02 2016 2025 2020 1 ageiceArctic135W150 Gamma 2.900E+00 2.437E+02 1.351E+02 2016 2025 2020 2 ageiceArctic135W150 Gamma 2.966E+00 2.488E+02 1.394E+02 2016 2025 2020 3 ageiceArctic135W150 Gamma 3.155E+00 2.306E+02 1.369E+02 2016 2025 2020 4 ageiceArctic135W150 Gamma 3.326E+00 2.177E+02 1.302E+02 2016 2025 2020 5 ageiceArctic135W150 Gamma 3.916E+00 1.836E+02 1.250E+02 2016 2025 2020 6 ageiceArctic135W150 Gamma 4.816E+00 1.562E+02 1.199E+02 2016 2025 2020 7 ageiceArctic135W150 Gamma 6.767E+00 1.243E+02 1.192E+02 2016 2025 2020 8 ageiceArctic135W150 Gamma 4.469E+00 1.870E+02 1.328E+02 2016 2025 2020 9 ageiceArctic135W150 Gamma 2.601E+00 2.690E+02 1.271E+02 2016 2025 2020 10 ageiceArctic135W150 Gamma 2.221E+00 2.937E+02 1.274E+02 2016 2025 2020 11 ageiceArctic135W150 Gamma 2.462E+00 2.652E+02 1.275E+02 2016 2025 2020 12 ageice

37


38

Country Distribution Parameter_1 Parameter_2 Std Error Start_Year End_Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic135W150 Gamma 2.466E+00 2.488E+02 1.400E+02 2046 2055 2050 7 ageiceArctic135W150 Gamma 2.666E+00 2.657E+02 1.571E+02 2046 2055 2050 8 ageiceArctic135W150 Gamma 9.410E-01 7.366E+02 1.818E+02 2046 2055 2050 9 ageiceArctic135W150 Gamma 5.339E-01 1.071E+03 1.683E+02 2046 2055 2050 10 ageiceArctic135W150 Gamma 7.543E-01 5.318E+02 1.086E+02 2046 2055 2050 11 ageiceArctic135W150 Gamma 1.021E+00 3.626E+02 9.112E+01 2046 2055 2050 12 ageiceArctic135W150 Gamma 2.188E+00 7.952E+01 3.430E+01 2056 2065 2060 1 ageiceArctic135W150 Gamma 2.726E+00 7.112E+01 3.505E+01 2056 2065 2060 2 ageiceArctic135W150 Gamma 3.420E+00 6.409E+01 3.604E+01 2056 2065 2060 3 ageiceArctic135W150 Gamma 4.772E+00 4.855E+01 3.514E+01 2056 2065 2060 4 ageiceArctic135W150 Gamma 6.425E+00 3.820E+01 3.360E+01 2056 2065 2060 5 ageiceArctic135W150 Gamma 8.013E+00 3.391E+01 3.355E+01 2056 2065 2060 6 ageiceArctic135W150 Gamma 8.904E+00 3.554E+01 3.720E+01 2056 2065 2060 7 ageiceArctic135W150 Gamma 7.967E+00 4.638E+01 4.556E+01 2056 2065 2060 8 ageiceArctic135W150 Gamma 9.573E-01 3.612E+02 8.753E+01 2056 2065 2060 9 ageiceArctic135W150 Gamma 4.072E-01 6.644E+02 1.048E+02 2056 2065 2060 10 ageiceArctic135W150 Gamma 8.522E-01 1.567E+02 3.521E+01 2056 2065 2060 11 ageiceArctic135W150 Gamma 1.621E+00 7.778E+01 2.688E+01 2056 2065 2060 12 ageiceArctic135W150 Gamma 2.406E+00 5.765E+01 2.597E+01 2066 2075 2070 1 ageiceArctic135W150 Gamma 2.775E+00 6.211E+01 2.974E+01 2066 2075 2070 2 ageiceArctic135W150 Gamma 3.204E+00 6.450E+01 3.495E+01 2066 2075 2070 3 ageiceArctic135W150 Gamma 3.870E+00 6.040E+01 3.947E+01 2066 2075 2070 4 ageiceArctic135W150 Gamma 4.698E+00 5.424E+01 4.076E+01 2066 2075 2070 5 ageiceArctic135W150 Gamma 5.114E+00 5.988E+01 4.799E+01 2066 2075 2070 6 ageiceArctic135W150 Gamma 4.808E+00 8.028E+01 6.680E+01 2066 2075 2070 7 ageiceArctic135W150 Gamma 2.262E+00 2.103E+02 1.096E+02 2066 2075 2070 8 ageiceArctic135W150 Gamma 1.020E-01 4.647E+03 2.292E+02 2066 2075 2070 9 ageiceArctic135W150 Gamma 2.712E-01 1.747E+03 1.574E+02 2066 2075 2070 10 ageiceArctic135W150 Gamma 6.639E-01 2.295E+02 4.629E+01 2066 2075 2070 11 ageiceArctic135W150 Gamma 1.374E+00 7.850E+01 2.403E+01 2066 2075 2070 12 ageice

39

Country Distribution Parameter_1 Parameter_2 Std Error Start_Year End_Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic135W150 Gamma 3.888E+00 1.728E+01 1.278E+01 2076 2085 2080 1 ageiceArctic135W150 Gamma 5.149E+00 1.808E+01 1.918E+01 2076 2085 2080 2 ageiceArctic135W150 Gamma 5.691E+00 2.063E+01 2.184E+01 2076 2085 2080 3 ageiceArctic135W150 Gamma 7.817E+00 1.783E+01 2.285E+01 2076 2085 2080 4 ageiceArctic135W150 Gamma 9.929E+00 1.631E+01 2.386E+01 2076 2085 2080 5 ageiceArctic135W150 Gamma 1.042E+01 1.783E+01 2.536E+01 2076 2085 2080 6 ageiceArctic135W150 Gamma 1.686E+01 1.429E+01 2.830E+01 2076 2085 2080 7 ageiceArctic135W150 Gamma 1.050E-01 2.198E+03 1.193E+02 2076 2085 2080 8 ageiceArctic135W150 Gamma 1.042E-01 2.636E+03 1.413E+02 2076 2085 2080 9 ageiceArctic135W150 Gamma 1.040E-01 2.848E+03 1.540E+02 2076 2085 2080 10 ageiceArctic135W150 Gamma 3.974E-01 3.097E+02 4.141E+01 2076 2085 2080 11 ageiceArctic135W150 Gamma 1.340E+00 3.865E+01 1.154E+01 2076 2085 2080 12 ageiceArctic135W150 Gamma 3.358E+00 1.255E+01 8.091E+00 2086 2099 2092 1 ageiceArctic135W150 Gamma 1.009E+01 6.243E+00 8.302E+00 2086 2099 2092 2 ageiceArctic135W150 Gamma 1.400E+01 6.172E+00 9.272E+00 2086 2099 2092 3 ageiceArctic135W150 Gamma 1.723E+01 6.381E+00 1.052E+01 2086 2099 2092 4 ageiceArctic135W150 Gamma 2.047E+01 6.683E+00 1.177E+01 2086 2099 2092 5 ageiceArctic135W150 Gamma 1.754E+01 9.239E+00 1.559E+01 2086 2099 2092 6 ageiceArctic135W150 Gamma 1.715E+01 1.139E+01 1.911E+01 2086 2099 2092 7 ageiceArctic135W150 Gamma 1.061E-01 1.668E+03 9.978E+01 2086 2099 2092 8 ageiceArctic135W150 Gamma 1.056E-01 1.901E+03 1.146E+02 2086 2099 2092 9 ageiceArctic135W150 Gamma 1.052E-01 2.122E+03 1.279E+02 2086 2099 2092 10 ageiceArctic135W150 Gamma 1.063E-01 1.576E+03 9.048E+01 2086 2099 2092 11 ageiceArctic135W150 Gamma 1.011E+00 2.918E+01 8.529E+00 2086 2099 2092 12 ageiceArctic150E165 Gamma 1.286E+00 6.556E+02 1.894E+02 2006 2015 2010 1 ageiceArctic150E165 Gamma 1.503E+00 5.399E+02 1.731E+02 2006 2015 2010 2 ageiceArctic150E165 Gamma 1.685E+00 4.822E+02 1.695E+02 2006 2015 2010 3 ageiceArctic150E165 Gamma 1.931E+00 4.204E+02 1.594E+02 2006 2015 2010 4 ageiceArctic150E165 Gamma 2.085E+00 4.077E+02 1.663E+02 2006 2015 2010 5 ageiceArctic150E165 Gamma 2.350E+00 3.707E+02 1.662E+02 2006 2015 2010 6 ageice

40

Country Distribution Parameter_1 Parameter_2 Std Error Start_Year End_Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic150E165 Gamma 2.352E+00 4.020E+02 1.827E+02 2006 2015 2010 7 ageiceArctic150E165 Gamma 2.472E+00 4.086E+02 1.891E+02 2006 2015 2010 8 ageiceArctic150E165 Gamma 2.485E+00 4.112E+02 1.886E+02 2006 2015 2010 9 ageiceArctic150E165 Gamma 9.713E-01 8.992E+02 2.197E+02 2006 2015 2010 10 ageiceArctic150E165 Gamma 1.061E+00 7.922E+02 2.044E+02 2006 2015 2010 11 ageiceArctic150E165 Gamma 1.183E+00 7.069E+02 1.936E+02 2006 2015 2010 12 ageiceArctic150E165 Gamma 1.328E+00 5.149E+02 1.846E+02 2016 2025 2020 1 ageiceArctic150E165 Gamma 1.520E+00 4.440E+02 1.808E+02 2016 2025 2020 2 ageiceArctic150E165 Gamma 1.775E+00 3.722E+02 1.711E+02 2016 2025 2020 3 ageiceArctic150E165 Gamma 1.989E+00 3.315E+02 1.714E+02 2016 2025 2020 4 ageiceArctic150E165 Gamma 2.137E+00 3.217E+02 1.831E+02 2016 2025 2020 5 ageiceArctic150E165 Gamma 2.326E+00 3.108E+02 1.931E+02 2016 2025 2020 6 ageiceArctic150E165 Gamma 2.203E+00 3.570E+02 2.138E+02 2016 2025 2020 7 ageiceArctic150E165 Gamma 2.497E+00 3.319E+02 2.190E+02 2016 2025 2020 8 ageiceArctic150E165 Gamma 2.596E+00 3.252E+02 2.164E+02 2016 2025 2020 9 ageiceArctic150E165 Gamma 8.262E-01 8.533E+02 2.027E+02 2016 2025 2020 10 ageiceArctic150E165 Gamma 9.448E-01 7.406E+02 2.073E+02 2016 2025 2020 11 ageiceArctic150E165 Gamma 1.077E+00 6.416E+02 2.060E+02 2016 2025 2020 12 ageiceArctic150E165 Gamma 1.972E+00 1.688E+02 9.317E+01 2026 2035 2030 1 ageiceArctic150E165 Gamma 2.584E+00 1.258E+02 8.563E+01 2026 2035 2030 2 ageiceArctic150E165 Gamma 3.676E+00 8.497E+01 7.134E+01 2026 2035 2030 3 ageiceArctic150E165 Gamma 4.113E+00 8.292E+01 7.683E+01 2026 2035 2030 4 ageiceArctic150E165 Gamma 4.223E+00 8.944E+01 8.785E+01 2026 2035 2030 5 ageiceArctic150E165 Gamma 5.397E+00 7.412E+01 8.404E+01 2026 2035 2030 6 ageiceArctic150E165 Gamma 5.060E+00 8.965E+01 9.736E+01 2026 2035 2030 7 ageiceArctic150E165 Gamma 5.051E+00 1.023E+02 1.128E+02 2026 2035 2030 8 ageiceArctic150E165 Gamma 4.751E+00 1.118E+02 1.118E+02 2026 2035 2030 9 ageiceArctic150E165 Gamma 1.152E+00 3.048E+02 9.150E+01 2026 2035 2030 10 ageiceArctic150E165 Gamma 1.405E+00 2.206E+02 8.878E+01 2026 2035 2030 11 ageiceArctic150E165 Gamma 1.709E+00 1.945E+02 8.860E+01 2026 2035 2030 12 ageice

41

Country Distribution Parameter_1 Parameter_2 Std Error Start_Year End_Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic150E165 Gamma 1.340E+00 3.206E+02 1.091E+02 2036 2045 2040 1 ageiceArctic150E165 Gamma 1.664E+00 2.595E+02 1.064E+02 2036 2045 2040 2 ageiceArctic150E165 Gamma 1.990E+00 2.223E+02 1.095E+02 2036 2045 2040 3 ageiceArctic150E165 Gamma 2.481E+00 1.807E+02 1.019E+02 2036 2045 2040 4 ageiceArctic150E165 Gamma 2.967E+00 1.588E+02 1.008E+02 2036 2045 2040 5 ageiceArctic150E165 Gamma 3.617E+00 1.369E+02 9.884E+01 2036 2045 2040 6 ageiceArctic150E165 Gamma 3.681E+00 1.523E+02 1.051E+02 2036 2045 2040 7 ageiceArctic150E165 Gamma 3.855E+00 1.604E+02 1.199E+02 2036 2045 2040 8 ageiceArctic150E165 Gamma 2.225E+00 2.793E+02 1.407E+02 2036 2045 2040 9 ageiceArctic150E165 Gamma 5.889E-01 8.673E+02 1.483E+02 2036 2045 2040 10 ageiceArctic150E165 Gamma 7.554E-01 6.074E+02 1.262E+02 2036 2045 2040 11 ageiceArctic150E165 Gamma 1.008E+00 4.535E+02 1.205E+02 2036 2045 2040 12 ageiceArctic150E165 Gamma 1.247E+00 3.228E+02 9.261E+01 2046 2055 2050 1 ageiceArctic150E165 Gamma 1.669E+00 2.250E+02 8.161E+01 2046 2055 2050 2 ageiceArctic150E165 Gamma 2.205E+00 1.638E+02 7.407E+01 2046 2055 2050 3 ageiceArctic150E165 Gamma 2.784E+00 1.331E+02 7.144E+01 2046 2055 2050 4 ageiceArctic150E165 Gamma 3.215E+00 1.260E+02 7.903E+01 2046 2055 2050 5 ageiceArctic150E165 Gamma 3.659E+00 1.214E+02 8.559E+01 2046 2055 2050 6 ageiceArctic150E165 Gamma 3.367E+00 1.517E+02 1.002E+02 2046 2055 2050 7 ageiceArctic150E165 Gamma 3.810E+00 1.514E+02 1.066E+02 2046 2055 2050 8 ageiceArctic150E165 Gamma 1.370E+00 3.814E+02 1.198E+02 2046 2055 2050 9 ageiceArctic150E165 Gamma 5.914E-01 6.741E+02 1.230E+02 2046 2055 2050 10 ageiceArctic150E165 Gamma 7.050E-01 5.048E+02 9.878E+01 2046 2055 2050 11 ageiceArctic150E165 Gamma 9.934E-01 3.817E+02 9.492E+01 2046 2055 2050 12 ageiceArctic150E165 Gamma 3.449E+00 3.434E+01 2.136E+01 2056 2065 2060 1 ageiceArctic150E165 Gamma 6.462E+00 1.963E+01 1.840E+01 2056 2065 2060 2 ageiceArctic150E165 Gamma 9.292E+00 1.585E+01 1.984E+01 2056 2065 2060 3 ageiceArctic150E165 Gamma 1.573E+01 1.048E+01 1.742E+01 2056 2065 2060 4 ageiceArctic150E165 Gamma 2.042E+01 9.489E+00 1.939E+01 2056 2065 2060 5 ageiceArctic150E165 Gamma 2.112E+01 1.075E+01 2.306E+01 2056 2065 2060 6 ageice

42

Country Distribution Parameter_1 Parameter_2 Std Error Start_Year End_Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic150E165 Gamma 1.555E+01 1.718E+01 3.109E+01 2056 2065 2060 7 ageiceArctic150E165 Gamma 8.339E+00 3.486E+01 4.099E+01 2056 2065 2060 8 ageiceArctic150E165 Gamma 5.286E+00 5.627E+01 4.579E+01 2056 2065 2060 9 ageiceArctic150E165 Gamma 1.744E+00 1.159E+02 4.147E+01 2056 2065 2060 10 ageiceArctic150E165 Gamma 1.423E+00 5.496E+01 1.806E+01 2056 2065 2060 11 ageiceArctic150E165 Gamma 2.283E+00 3.966E+01 1.755E+01 2056 2065 2060 12 ageiceArctic150E165 Gamma 3.693E+00 2.337E+01 1.664E+01 2066 2075 2070 1 ageiceArctic150E165 Gamma 6.005E+00 1.748E+01 1.634E+01 2066 2075 2070 2 ageiceArctic150E165 Gamma 1.057E+01 1.193E+01 1.471E+01 2066 2075 2070 3 ageiceArctic150E165 Gamma 1.844E+01 8.119E+00 1.325E+01 2066 2075 2070 4 ageiceArctic150E165 Gamma 2.665E+01 6.680E+00 1.382E+01 2066 2075 2070 5 ageiceArctic150E165 Gamma 2.567E+01 7.991E+00 1.722E+01 2066 2075 2070 6 ageiceArctic150E165 Gamma 2.116E+01 1.157E+01 2.225E+01 2066 2075 2070 7 ageiceArctic150E165 Gamma 1.657E+01 1.704E+01 2.860E+01 2066 2075 2070 8 ageiceArctic150E165 Gamma 1.667E+00 1.559E+02 5.409E+01 2066 2075 2070 9 ageiceArctic150E165 Gamma 3.564E-01 6.395E+02 9.292E+01 2066 2075 2070 10 ageiceArctic150E165 Gamma 6.974E-01 8.205E+01 1.717E+01 2066 2075 2070 11 ageiceArctic150E165 Gamma 1.621E+00 4.089E+01 1.690E+01 2066 2075 2070 12 ageiceArctic150E165 Gamma 4.011E+00 1.582E+01 1.167E+01 2076 2085 2080 1 ageiceArctic150E165 Gamma 7.022E+00 1.167E+01 1.263E+01 2076 2085 2080 2 ageiceArctic150E165 Gamma 1.195E+01 8.491E+00 1.286E+01 2076 2085 2080 3 ageiceArctic150E165 Gamma 1.788E+01 7.060E+00 1.416E+01 2076 2085 2080 4 ageiceArctic150E165 Gamma 2.472E+01 6.360E+00 1.477E+01 2076 2085 2080 5 ageiceArctic150E165 Gamma 1.944E+01 9.238E+00 1.774E+01 2076 2085 2080 6 ageiceArctic150E165 Gamma 2.468E+01 8.782E+00 1.969E+01 2076 2085 2080 7 ageiceArctic150E165 Gamma 2.562E+00 8.152E+01 3.889E+01 2076 2085 2080 8 ageiceArctic150E165 Gamma 1.054E-01 2.005E+03 1.166E+02 2076 2085 2080 9 ageiceArctic150E165 Gamma 1.054E-01 1.986E+03 1.198E+02 2076 2085 2080 10 ageiceArctic150E165 Gamma 5.175E-01 6.855E+01 1.228E+01 2076 2085 2080 11 ageiceArctic150E165 Gamma 1.717E+00 2.332E+01 1.001E+01 2076 2085 2080 12 ageice

43

Country Distribution Parameter_1 Parameter_2 Std Error Start_Year End_Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic150E165 Gamma 4.655E+00 9.213E+00 6.367E+00 2086 2099 2092 1 ageiceArctic150E165 Gamma 9.914E+00 6.372E+00 7.299E+00 2086 2099 2092 2 ageiceArctic150E165 Gamma 1.545E+01 5.408E+00 7.944E+00 2086 2099 2092 3 ageiceArctic150E165 Gamma 2.198E+01 4.948E+00 8.848E+00 2086 2099 2092 4 ageiceArctic150E165 Gamma 2.897E+01 4.770E+00 1.050E+01 2086 2099 2092 5 ageiceArctic150E165 Gamma 2.560E+01 6.345E+00 1.282E+01 2086 2099 2092 6 ageiceArctic150E165 Gamma 4.059E+01 4.921E+00 1.284E+01 2086 2099 2092 7 ageiceArctic150E165 Gamma 1.062E-01 1.637E+03 9.958E+01 2086 2099 2092 8 ageiceArctic150E165 Gamma 1.056E-01 1.889E+03 1.134E+02 2086 2099 2092 9 ageiceArctic150E165 Gamma 1.056E-01 1.912E+03 1.099E+02 2086 2099 2092 10 ageiceArctic150E165 Gamma 1.128E-01 3.450E+02 2.117E+01 2086 2099 2092 11 ageiceArctic150E165 Gamma 2.299E+00 9.877E+00 4.354E+00 2086 2099 2092 12 ageiceArctic150W165 Gamma 2.242E+00 3.914E+02 1.788E+02 2006 2015 2010 1 ageiceArctic150W165 Gamma 2.302E+00 3.938E+02 1.882E+02 2006 2015 2010 2 ageiceArctic150W165 Gamma 2.463E+00 3.695E+02 1.915E+02 2006 2015 2010 3 ageiceArctic150W165 Gamma 2.749E+00 3.134E+02 1.805E+02 2006 2015 2010 4 ageiceArctic150W165 Gamma 3.215E+00 2.497E+02 1.634E+02 2006 2015 2010 5 ageiceArctic150W165 Gamma 3.534E+00 2.241E+02 1.642E+02 2006 2015 2010 6 ageiceArctic150W165 Gamma 3.658E+00 2.247E+02 1.632E+02 2006 2015 2010 7 ageiceArctic150W165 Gamma 4.362E+00 2.112E+02 1.703E+02 2006 2015 2010 8 ageiceArctic150W165 Gamma 4.013E+00 2.373E+02 1.757E+02 2006 2015 2010 9 ageiceArctic150W165 Gamma 2.155E+00 4.260E+02 1.902E+02 2006 2015 2010 10 ageiceArctic150W165 Gamma 2.357E+00 3.477E+02 1.610E+02 2006 2015 2010 11 ageiceArctic150W165 Gamma 2.339E+00 3.395E+02 1.537E+02 2006 2015 2010 12 ageiceArctic150W165 Gamma 2.814E+00 2.394E+02 1.225E+02 2016 2025 2020 1 ageiceArctic150W165 Gamma 3.107E+00 2.186E+02 1.180E+02 2016 2025 2020 2 ageiceArctic150W165 Gamma 3.414E+00 1.981E+02 1.100E+02 2016 2025 2020 3 ageiceArctic150W165 Gamma 4.126E+00 1.534E+02 9.699E+01 2016 2025 2020 4 ageiceArctic150W165 Gamma 4.498E+00 1.420E+02 9.557E+01 2016 2025 2020 5 ageiceArctic150W165 Gamma 5.529E+00 1.132E+02 8.663E+01 2016 2025 2020 6 ageice

44

Country Distribution Parameter_1 Parameter_2 Std Error Start_Year End_Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic150W165 Gamma 5.512E+00 1.199E+02 9.324E+01 2016 2025 2020 7 ageiceArctic150W165 Gamma 6.149E+00 1.249E+02 1.117E+02 2016 2025 2020 8 ageiceArctic150W165 Gamma 3.486E+00 2.321E+02 1.404E+02 2016 2025 2020 9 ageiceArctic150W165 Gamma 2.086E+00 3.470E+02 1.404E+02 2016 2025 2020 10 ageiceArctic150W165 Gamma 2.233E+00 2.879E+02 1.227E+02 2016 2025 2020 11 ageiceArctic150W165 Gamma 2.423E+00 2.607E+02 1.245E+02 2016 2025 2020 12 ageiceArctic150W165 Gamma 2.462E+00 1.742E+02 8.318E+01 2026 2035 2030 1 ageiceArctic150W165 Gamma 2.623E+00 1.787E+02 8.981E+01 2026 2035 2030 2 ageiceArctic150W165 Gamma 2.855E+00 1.751E+02 9.234E+01 2026 2035 2030 3 ageiceArctic150W165 Gamma 3.600E+00 1.340E+02 8.151E+01 2026 2035 2030 4 ageiceArctic150W165 Gamma 4.645E+00 1.003E+02 6.913E+01 2026 2035 2030 5 ageiceArctic150W165 Gamma 5.369E+00 8.902E+01 6.988E+01 2026 2035 2030 6 ageiceArctic150W165 Gamma 5.389E+00 9.419E+01 7.348E+01 2026 2035 2030 7 ageiceArctic150W165 Gamma 7.115E+00 8.415E+01 8.042E+01 2026 2035 2030 8 ageiceArctic150W165 Gamma 3.096E+00 2.025E+02 1.079E+02 2026 2035 2030 9 ageiceArctic150W165 Gamma 1.341E+00 3.811E+02 1.136E+02 2026 2035 2030 10 ageiceArctic150W165 Gamma 1.905E+00 2.253E+02 8.667E+01 2026 2035 2030 11 ageiceArctic150W165 Gamma 2.431E+00 1.584E+02 7.818E+01 2026 2035 2030 12 ageiceArctic150W165 Gamma 1.443E+00 3.296E+02 1.300E+02 2036 2045 2040 1 ageiceArctic150W165 Gamma 1.753E+00 2.736E+02 1.173E+02 2036 2045 2040 2 ageiceArctic150W165 Gamma 1.952E+00 2.598E+02 1.236E+02 2036 2045 2040 3 ageiceArctic150W165 Gamma 2.296E+00 2.196E+02 1.191E+02 2036 2045 2040 4 ageiceArctic150W165 Gamma 2.841E+00 1.741E+02 1.067E+02 2036 2045 2040 5 ageiceArctic150W165 Gamma 3.596E+00 1.356E+02 9.312E+01 2036 2045 2040 6 ageiceArctic150W165 Gamma 3.438E+00 1.573E+02 1.033E+02 2036 2045 2040 7 ageiceArctic150W165 Gamma 3.219E+00 2.030E+02 1.368E+02 2036 2045 2040 8 ageiceArctic150W165 Gamma 2.808E+00 2.493E+02 1.404E+02 2036 2045 2040 9 ageiceArctic150W165 Gamma 9.402E-01 6.337E+02 1.505E+02 2036 2045 2040 10 ageiceArctic150W165 Gamma 1.131E+00 4.218E+02 1.178E+02 2036 2045 2040 11 ageiceArctic150W165 Gamma 1.382E+00 3.068E+02 1.106E+02 2036 2045 2040 12 ageice

45

Country Distribution Parameter_1 Parameter_2 Std Error Start_Year End_Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic150W165 Gamma 1.267E+00 3.399E+02 9.718E+01 2046 2055 2050 1 ageiceArctic150W165 Gamma 1.411E+00 3.230E+02 9.881E+01 2046 2055 2050 2 ageiceArctic150W165 Gamma 1.579E+00 3.165E+02 1.046E+02 2046 2055 2050 3 ageiceArctic150W165 Gamma 1.873E+00 2.753E+02 1.021E+02 2046 2055 2050 4 ageiceArctic150W165 Gamma 2.306E+00 2.191E+02 9.579E+01 2046 2055 2050 5 ageiceArctic150W165 Gamma 2.486E+00 2.126E+02 9.893E+01 2046 2055 2050 6 ageiceArctic150W165 Gamma 2.444E+00 2.535E+02 1.145E+02 2046 2055 2050 7 ageiceArctic150W165 Gamma 2.294E+00 3.362E+02 1.434E+02 2046 2055 2050 8 ageiceArctic150W165 Gamma 8.090E-01 9.894E+02 2.179E+02 2046 2055 2050 9 ageiceArctic150W165 Gamma 4.949E-01 1.440E+03 2.317E+02 2046 2055 2050 10 ageiceArctic150W165 Gamma 6.544E-01 8.056E+02 1.491E+02 2046 2055 2050 11 ageiceArctic150W165 Gamma 1.013E+00 3.905E+02 9.685E+01 2046 2055 2050 12 ageiceArctic150W165 Gamma 2.104E+00 7.641E+01 3.331E+01 2056 2065 2060 1 ageiceArctic150W165 Gamma 2.948E+00 6.064E+01 3.127E+01 2056 2065 2060 2 ageiceArctic150W165 Gamma 3.923E+00 5.102E+01 3.120E+01 2056 2065 2060 3 ageiceArctic150W165 Gamma 5.804E+00 3.615E+01 3.036E+01 2056 2065 2060 4 ageiceArctic150W165 Gamma 7.828E+00 2.910E+01 3.066E+01 2056 2065 2060 5 ageiceArctic150W165 Gamma 9.325E+00 2.653E+01 3.133E+01 2056 2065 2060 6 ageiceArctic150W165 Gamma 9.631E+00 3.056E+01 3.774E+01 2056 2065 2060 7 ageiceArctic150W165 Gamma 3.048E+00 1.119E+02 6.310E+01 2056 2065 2060 8 ageiceArctic150W165 Gamma 9.414E-01 3.649E+02 8.647E+01 2056 2065 2060 9 ageiceArctic150W165 Gamma 3.364E-01 8.399E+02 1.167E+02 2056 2065 2060 10 ageiceArctic150W165 Gamma 7.992E-01 1.759E+02 3.736E+01 2056 2065 2060 11 ageiceArctic150W165 Gamma 1.534E+00 7.577E+01 2.593E+01 2056 2065 2060 12 ageiceArctic150W165 Gamma 2.381E+00 4.957E+01 2.719E+01 2066 2075 2070 1 ageiceArctic150W165 Gamma 3.019E+00 4.680E+01 2.931E+01 2066 2075 2070 2 ageiceArctic150W165 Gamma 3.722E+00 4.667E+01 3.063E+01 2066 2075 2070 3 ageiceArctic150W165 Gamma 5.152E+00 3.798E+01 2.942E+01 2066 2075 2070 4 ageiceArctic150W165 Gamma 6.524E+00 3.387E+01 3.004E+01 2066 2075 2070 5 ageiceArctic150W165 Gamma 7.398E+00 3.438E+01 3.222E+01 2066 2075 2070 6 ageice

46

Country Distribution Parameter_1 Parameter_2 Std Error Start_Year End_Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic150W165 Gamma 5.979E+00 5.699E+01 4.833E+01 2066 2075 2070 7 ageiceArctic150W165 Gamma 8.352E-01 4.522E+02 9.971E+01 2066 2075 2070 8 ageiceArctic150W165 Gamma 1.025E-01 4.274E+03 2.388E+02 2066 2075 2070 9 ageiceArctic150W165 Gamma 1.023E-01 4.376E+03 2.352E+02 2066 2075 2070 10 ageiceArctic150W165 Gamma 5.638E-01 3.115E+02 5.752E+01 2066 2075 2070 11 ageiceArctic150W165 Gamma 1.241E+00 8.403E+01 2.459E+01 2066 2075 2070 12 ageiceArctic150W165 Gamma 3.631E+00 1.571E+01 1.064E+01 2076 2085 2080 1 ageiceArctic150W165 Gamma 5.887E+00 1.448E+01 1.568E+01 2076 2085 2080 2 ageiceArctic150W165 Gamma 6.902E+00 1.553E+01 1.732E+01 2076 2085 2080 3 ageiceArctic150W165 Gamma 9.706E+00 1.325E+01 1.860E+01 2076 2085 2080 4 ageiceArctic150W165 Gamma 1.157E+01 1.329E+01 2.098E+01 2076 2085 2080 5 ageiceArctic150W165 Gamma 1.096E+01 1.616E+01 2.323E+01 2076 2085 2080 6 ageiceArctic150W165 Gamma 1.843E+01 1.269E+01 2.610E+01 2076 2085 2080 7 ageiceArctic150W165 Gamma 1.052E-01 2.067E+03 1.126E+02 2076 2085 2080 8 ageiceArctic150W165 Gamma 1.046E-01 2.394E+03 1.312E+02 2076 2085 2080 9 ageiceArctic150W165 Gamma 1.044E-01 2.537E+03 1.421E+02 2076 2085 2080 10 ageiceArctic150W165 Gamma 3.666E-01 3.212E+02 4.024E+01 2076 2085 2080 11 ageiceArctic150W165 Gamma 1.100E+00 4.728E+01 1.255E+01 2076 2085 2080 12 ageiceArctic150W165 Gamma 2.662E+00 1.430E+01 7.539E+00 2086 2099 2092 1 ageiceArctic150W165 Gamma 8.719E+00 6.409E+00 6.922E+00 2086 2099 2092 2 ageiceArctic150W165 Gamma 1.444E+01 5.639E+00 7.954E+00 2086 2099 2092 3 ageiceArctic150W165 Gamma 2.077E+01 5.041E+00 8.943E+00 2086 2099 2092 4 ageiceArctic150W165 Gamma 2.413E+01 5.407E+00 1.069E+01 2086 2099 2092 5 ageiceArctic150W165 Gamma 2.336E+01 6.663E+00 1.234E+01 2086 2099 2092 6 ageiceArctic150W165 Gamma 1.211E+01 1.487E+01 1.859E+01 2086 2099 2092 7 ageiceArctic150W165 Gamma 1.063E-01 1.606E+03 9.875E+01 2086 2099 2092 8 ageiceArctic150W165 Gamma 1.057E-01 1.843E+03 1.133E+02 2086 2099 2092 9 ageiceArctic150W165 Gamma 1.054E-01 1.974E+03 1.163E+02 2086 2099 2092 10 ageiceArctic150W165 Gamma 1.071E-01 1.285E+03 7.282E+01 2086 2099 2092 11 ageiceArctic150W165 Gamma 6.886E-01 3.982E+01 7.631E+00 2086 2099 2092 12 ageice

47


48

Country Distribution Parameter_1 Parameter_2 Std Error Start_Year End_Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic15E30 Gamma 3.350E+00 1.531E+02 9.730E+01 2026 2035 2030 7 ageiceArctic15E30 Gamma 2.870E+00 1.967E+02 1.084E+02 2026 2035 2030 8 ageiceArctic15E30 Gamma 8.561E-01 6.396E+02 1.431E+02 2026 2035 2030 9 ageiceArctic15E30 Gamma 7.980E-01 6.882E+02 1.485E+02 2026 2035 2030 10 ageiceArctic15E30 Gamma 1.026E+00 4.417E+02 1.172E+02 2026 2035 2030 11 ageiceArctic15E30 Gamma 1.193E+00 3.299E+02 1.158E+02 2026 2035 2030 12 ageiceArctic15E30 Gamma 1.829E+00 1.297E+02 5.530E+01 2036 2045 2040 1 ageiceArctic15E30 Gamma 2.333E+00 9.488E+01 4.912E+01 2036 2045 2040 2 ageiceArctic15E30 Gamma 2.526E+00 9.355E+01 5.621E+01 2036 2045 2040 3 ageiceArctic15E30 Gamma 2.897E+00 8.391E+01 5.663E+01 2036 2045 2040 4 ageiceArctic15E30 Gamma 3.565E+00 7.989E+01 6.122E+01 2036 2045 2040 5 ageiceArctic15E30 Gamma 5.024E+00 6.596E+01 6.081E+01 2036 2045 2040 6 ageiceArctic15E30 Gamma 4.348E+00 8.692E+01 6.950E+01 2036 2045 2040 7 ageiceArctic15E30 Gamma 1.563E+00 2.528E+02 8.767E+01 2036 2045 2040 8 ageiceArctic15E30 Gamma 1.027E-01 3.991E+03 2.146E+02 2036 2045 2040 9 ageiceArctic15E30 Gamma 4.427E-01 9.857E+02 1.556E+02 2036 2045 2040 10 ageiceArctic15E30 Gamma 8.263E-01 4.401E+02 9.562E+01 2036 2045 2040 11 ageiceArctic15E30 Gamma 1.068E+00 2.752E+02 7.795E+01 2036 2045 2040 12 ageiceArctic15E30 Gamma 1.079E+00 2.237E+02 8.723E+01 2046 2055 2050 1 ageiceArctic15E30 Gamma 1.240E+00 1.794E+02 8.496E+01 2046 2055 2050 2 ageiceArctic15E30 Gamma 1.364E+00 1.605E+02 8.274E+01 2046 2055 2050 3 ageiceArctic15E30 Gamma 1.638E+00 1.524E+02 8.574E+01 2046 2055 2050 4 ageiceArctic15E30 Gamma 2.078E+00 1.388E+02 8.951E+01 2046 2055 2050 5 ageiceArctic15E30 Gamma 2.727E+00 1.251E+02 9.719E+01 2046 2055 2050 6 ageiceArctic15E30 Gamma 3.518E+00 1.116E+02 1.003E+02 2046 2055 2050 7 ageiceArctic15E30 Gamma 1.472E+00 2.685E+02 1.049E+02 2046 2055 2050 8 ageiceArctic15E30 Gamma 1.024E-01 4.030E+03 1.894E+02 2046 2055 2050 9 ageiceArctic15E30 Gamma 3.825E-01 1.103E+03 1.355E+02 2046 2055 2050 10 ageiceArctic15E30 Gamma 6.579E-01 5.451E+02 1.010E+02 2046 2055 2050 11 ageiceArctic15E30 Gamma 8.111E-01 3.186E+02 9.287E+01 2046 2055 2050 12 ageice

49

Country Distribution Parameter_1 Parameter_2 Std Error Start_Year End_Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic15E30 Gamma 1.144E+00 1.185E+02 4.620E+01 2056 2065 2060 1 ageiceArctic15E30 Gamma 1.462E+00 9.706E+01 4.807E+01 2056 2065 2060 2 ageiceArctic15E30 Gamma 1.764E+00 8.562E+01 4.965E+01 2056 2065 2060 3 ageiceArctic15E30 Gamma 2.257E+00 7.388E+01 4.826E+01 2056 2065 2060 4 ageiceArctic15E30 Gamma 3.015E+00 6.420E+01 4.728E+01 2056 2065 2060 5 ageiceArctic15E30 Gamma 6.153E+00 3.830E+01 4.528E+01 2056 2065 2060 6 ageiceArctic15E30 Gamma 2.004E+00 1.194E+02 5.363E+01 2056 2065 2060 7 ageiceArctic15E30 Gamma 9.851E-01 2.775E+02 6.790E+01 2056 2065 2060 8 ageiceArctic15E30 Gamma 1.047E-01 2.414E+03 1.468E+02 2056 2065 2060 9 ageiceArctic15E30 Gamma 1.035E-01 3.279E+03 1.845E+02 2056 2065 2060 10 ageiceArctic15E30 Gamma 4.738E-01 4.666E+02 7.586E+01 2056 2065 2060 11 ageiceArctic15E30 Gamma 9.483E-01 1.198E+02 3.264E+01 2056 2065 2060 12 ageiceArctic15E30 Gamma 2.683E+00 1.796E+01 1.109E+01 2066 2075 2070 1 ageiceArctic15E30 Gamma 1.005E+01 4.842E+00 5.599E+00 2066 2075 2070 2 ageiceArctic15E30 Gamma 1.774E+01 3.386E+00 5.600E+00 2066 2075 2070 3 ageiceArctic15E30 Gamma 1.278E+01 6.662E+00 9.527E+00 2066 2075 2070 4 ageiceArctic15E30 Gamma 9.714E+00 1.259E+01 1.531E+01 2066 2075 2070 5 ageiceArctic15E30 Gamma 2.526E+01 6.476E+00 1.461E+01 2066 2075 2070 6 ageiceArctic15E30 Gamma 7.322E+00 2.574E+01 2.685E+01 2066 2075 2070 7 ageiceArctic15E30 Gamma 1.051E-01 1.949E+03 9.014E+01 2066 2075 2070 8 ageiceArctic15E30 Gamma 1.046E-01 2.296E+03 1.113E+02 2066 2075 2070 9 ageiceArctic15E30 Gamma 1.047E-01 2.088E+03 9.281E+01 2066 2075 2070 10 ageiceArctic15E30 Gamma 1.053E-01 2.044E+03 1.221E+02 2066 2075 2070 11 ageiceArctic15E30 Gamma 1.223E+00 6.261E+01 2.212E+01 2066 2075 2070 12 ageiceArctic15E30 Gamma 2.053E+00 2.798E+01 1.661E+01 2076 2085 2080 1 ageiceArctic15E30 Gamma 3.736E+00 1.466E+01 1.342E+01 2076 2085 2080 2 ageiceArctic15E30 Gamma 3.859E+00 1.329E+01 9.375E+00 2076 2085 2080 3 ageiceArctic15E30 Gamma 6.204E+00 1.311E+01 1.171E+01 2076 2085 2080 4 ageiceArctic15E30 Gamma 5.665E+00 2.014E+01 1.738E+01 2076 2085 2080 5 ageiceArctic15E30 Gamma 1.949E+00 6.767E+01 2.714E+01 2076 2085 2080 6 ageice

50

Country Distribution Parameter_1 Parameter_2 Std Error Start_Year End_Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic15E30 Gamma 1.266E+00 1.348E+02 3.904E+01 2076 2085 2080 7 ageiceArctic15E30 Gamma 1.058E-01 1.778E+03 1.023E+02 2076 2085 2080 8 ageiceArctic15E30 Gamma 1.059E-01 1.411E+03 5.723E+01 2076 2085 2080 9 ageiceArctic15E30 Gamma 1.061E-01 1.070E+03 3.641E+01 2076 2085 2080 10 ageiceArctic15E30 Gamma 1.067E-01 1.200E+03 5.015E+01 2076 2085 2080 11 ageiceArctic15E30 Gamma 1.103E-01 5.021E+02 2.051E+01 2076 2085 2080 12 ageiceArctic15E30 Gamma 5.371E+00 5.692E+00 6.222E+00 2086 2099 2092 1 ageiceArctic15E30 Gamma 1.979E+01 1.582E+00 2.845E+00 2086 2099 2092 2 ageiceArctic15E30 Gamma 5.414E+00 7.363E+00 5.693E+00 2086 2099 2092 3 ageiceArctic15E30 Gamma 5.298E+00 1.163E+01 8.971E+00 2086 2099 2092 4 ageiceArctic15E30 Gamma 7.887E+00 1.219E+01 1.180E+01 2086 2099 2092 5 ageiceArctic15E30 Gamma 1.459E+01 9.052E+00 1.273E+01 2086 2099 2092 6 ageiceArctic15E30 Gamma 1.076E-01 1.154E+03 7.088E+01 2086 2099 2092 7 ageiceArctic15E30 Gamma 1.071E-01 1.114E+03 4.828E+01 2086 2099 2092 8 ageiceArctic15E30 Gamma 1.079E-01 8.212E+02 3.148E+01 2086 2099 2092 9 ageiceArctic15E30 Gamma 1.100E-01 4.726E+02 1.709E+01 2086 2099 2092 10 ageiceArctic15E30 Gamma 1.104E-01 5.852E+02 3.445E+01 2086 2099 2092 11 ageiceArctic15E30 Gamma 1.171E-01 1.264E+02 6.018E+00 2086 2099 2092 12 ageiceArctic15W30 Gamma 1.301E+00 1.074E+03 3.131E+02 2006 2015 2010 1 ageiceArctic15W30 Gamma 1.368E+00 9.681E+02 2.912E+02 2006 2015 2010 2 ageiceArctic15W30 Gamma 1.446E+00 8.754E+02 2.729E+02 2006 2015 2010 3 ageiceArctic15W30 Gamma 1.470E+00 8.622E+02 2.710E+02 2006 2015 2010 4 ageiceArctic15W30 Gamma 1.462E+00 9.297E+02 2.909E+02 2006 2015 2010 5 ageiceArctic15W30 Gamma 1.938E+00 7.683E+02 2.895E+02 2006 2015 2010 6 ageiceArctic15W30 Gamma 5.696E+00 3.065E+02 2.463E+02 2006 2015 2010 7 ageiceArctic15W30 Gamma 7.515E+00 2.473E+02 2.423E+02 2006 2015 2010 8 ageiceArctic15W30 Gamma 6.972E+00 2.618E+02 2.446E+02 2006 2015 2010 9 ageiceArctic15W30 Gamma 1.257E+00 1.233E+03 3.508E+02 2006 2015 2010 10 ageiceArctic15W30 Gamma 1.286E+00 1.140E+03 3.294E+02 2006 2015 2010 11 ageiceArctic15W30 Gamma 1.188E+00 1.195E+03 3.284E+02 2006 2015 2010 12 ageice

51

Country Distribution Parameter_1 Parameter_2 Std Error Start_Year End_Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic15W30 Gamma 1.267E+00 8.499E+02 2.431E+02 2016 2025 2020 1 ageiceArctic15W30 Gamma 1.321E+00 7.954E+02 2.334E+02 2016 2025 2020 2 ageiceArctic15W30 Gamma 1.414E+00 7.143E+02 2.196E+02 2016 2025 2020 3 ageiceArctic15W30 Gamma 1.527E+00 6.716E+02 2.166E+02 2016 2025 2020 4 ageiceArctic15W30 Gamma 1.526E+00 7.269E+02 2.339E+02 2016 2025 2020 5 ageiceArctic15W30 Gamma 1.915E+00 6.458E+02 2.415E+02 2016 2025 2020 6 ageiceArctic15W30 Gamma 4.608E+00 3.141E+02 2.180E+02 2016 2025 2020 7 ageiceArctic15W30 Gamma 8.366E+00 1.912E+02 1.981E+02 2016 2025 2020 8 ageiceArctic15W30 Gamma 3.557E+00 4.144E+02 2.417E+02 2016 2025 2020 9 ageiceArctic15W30 Gamma 1.133E+00 1.120E+03 2.987E+02 2016 2025 2020 10 ageiceArctic15W30 Gamma 1.301E+00 9.215E+02 2.682E+02 2016 2025 2020 11 ageiceArctic15W30 Gamma 1.255E+00 8.870E+02 2.526E+02 2016 2025 2020 12 ageiceArctic15W30 Gamma 1.179E+00 6.998E+02 1.920E+02 2026 2035 2030 1 ageiceArctic15W30 Gamma 1.235E+00 6.619E+02 1.865E+02 2026 2035 2030 2 ageiceArctic15W30 Gamma 1.380E+00 5.646E+02 1.704E+02 2026 2035 2030 3 ageiceArctic15W30 Gamma 1.440E+00 5.562E+02 1.727E+02 2026 2035 2030 4 ageiceArctic15W30 Gamma 1.407E+00 6.364E+02 1.944E+02 2026 2035 2030 5 ageiceArctic15W30 Gamma 1.876E+00 5.253E+02 1.946E+02 2026 2035 2030 6 ageiceArctic15W30 Gamma 3.256E+00 3.421E+02 1.882E+02 2026 2035 2030 7 ageiceArctic15W30 Gamma 4.709E+00 2.590E+02 1.842E+02 2026 2035 2030 8 ageiceArctic15W30 Gamma 2.079E+00 5.469E+02 2.160E+02 2026 2035 2030 9 ageiceArctic15W30 Gamma 5.793E-01 1.703E+03 3.251E+02 2026 2035 2030 10 ageiceArctic15W30 Gamma 8.084E-01 1.111E+03 2.503E+02 2026 2035 2030 11 ageiceArctic15W30 Gamma 9.446E-01 9.040E+02 2.182E+02 2026 2035 2030 12 ageiceArctic15W30 Gamma 9.067E-01 7.625E+02 1.815E+02 2036 2045 2040 1 ageiceArctic15W30 Gamma 9.513E-01 6.872E+02 1.677E+02 2036 2045 2040 2 ageiceArctic15W30 Gamma 1.040E+00 6.119E+02 1.558E+02 2036 2045 2040 3 ageiceArctic15W30 Gamma 1.100E+00 6.023E+02 1.575E+02 2036 2045 2040 4 ageiceArctic15W30 Gamma 1.135E+00 6.846E+02 1.827E+02 2036 2045 2040 5 ageiceArctic15W30 Gamma 1.447E+00 6.088E+02 1.919E+02 2036 2045 2040 6 ageice

52

Country Distribution Parameter_1 Parameter_2 Std Error Start_Year End_Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic15W30 Gamma 2.154E+00 4.676E+02 1.984E+02 2036 2045 2040 7 ageiceArctic15W30 Gamma 1.008E+00 9.996E+02 2.476E+02 2036 2045 2040 8 ageiceArctic15W30 Gamma 9.943E-02 1.004E+04 5.750E+02 2036 2045 2040 9 ageiceArctic15W30 Gamma 4.634E-01 1.848E+03 3.026E+02 2036 2045 2040 10 ageiceArctic15W30 Gamma 5.739E-01 1.353E+03 2.495E+02 2036 2045 2040 11 ageiceArctic15W30 Gamma 7.831E-01 9.505E+02 2.067E+02 2036 2045 2040 12 ageiceArctic15W30 Gamma 9.659E-01 6.461E+02 1.578E+02 2046 2055 2050 1 ageiceArctic15W30 Gamma 1.002E+00 5.959E+02 1.482E+02 2046 2055 2050 2 ageiceArctic15W30 Gamma 1.077E+00 5.371E+02 1.407E+02 2046 2055 2050 3 ageiceArctic15W30 Gamma 1.178E+00 4.953E+02 1.357E+02 2046 2055 2050 4 ageiceArctic15W30 Gamma 1.236E+00 5.548E+02 1.564E+02 2046 2055 2050 5 ageiceArctic15W30 Gamma 1.560E+00 5.170E+02 1.688E+02 2046 2055 2050 6 ageiceArctic15W30 Gamma 2.636E+00 3.571E+02 1.683E+02 2046 2055 2050 7 ageiceArctic15W30 Gamma 1.380E+00 6.901E+02 2.083E+02 2046 2055 2050 8 ageiceArctic15W30 Gamma 9.971E-02 9.308E+03 5.520E+02 2046 2055 2050 9 ageiceArctic15W30 Gamma 4.640E-01 1.778E+03 3.088E+02 2046 2055 2050 10 ageiceArctic15W30 Gamma 6.314E-01 1.186E+03 2.351E+02 2046 2055 2050 11 ageiceArctic15W30 Gamma 8.378E-01 8.005E+02 1.844E+02 2046 2055 2050 12 ageiceArctic15W30 Gamma 8.910E-01 6.323E+02 1.463E+02 2056 2065 2060 1 ageiceArctic15W30 Gamma 9.968E-01 4.948E+02 1.251E+02 2056 2065 2060 2 ageiceArctic15W30 Gamma 1.055E+00 4.510E+02 1.181E+02 2056 2065 2060 3 ageiceArctic15W30 Gamma 1.176E+00 4.156E+02 1.162E+02 2056 2065 2060 4 ageiceArctic15W30 Gamma 1.232E+00 4.735E+02 1.365E+02 2056 2065 2060 5 ageiceArctic15W30 Gamma 1.583E+00 4.278E+02 1.496E+02 2056 2065 2060 6 ageiceArctic15W30 Gamma 2.282E+00 3.389E+02 1.587E+02 2056 2065 2060 7 ageiceArctic15W30 Gamma 8.890E-01 8.773E+02 2.001E+02 2056 2065 2060 8 ageiceArctic15W30 Gamma 1.001E-01 8.051E+03 4.349E+02 2056 2065 2060 9 ageiceArctic15W30 Gamma 4.051E-01 1.803E+03 2.510E+02 2056 2065 2060 10 ageiceArctic15W30 Gamma 5.343E-01 1.132E+03 1.901E+02 2056 2065 2060 11 ageiceArctic15W30 Gamma 7.304E-01 7.976E+02 1.597E+02 2056 2065 2060 12 ageice

53

Country Distribution Parameter_1 Parameter_2 Std Error Start_Year End_Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic15W30 Gamma 1.141E+00 2.898E+02 7.769E+01 2066 2075 2070 1 ageiceArctic15W30 Gamma 1.329E+00 2.391E+02 7.424E+01 2066 2075 2070 2 ageiceArctic15W30 Gamma 1.534E+00 1.914E+02 6.459E+01 2066 2075 2070 3 ageiceArctic15W30 Gamma 1.644E+00 1.915E+02 6.698E+01 2066 2075 2070 4 ageiceArctic15W30 Gamma 1.628E+00 2.478E+02 8.421E+01 2066 2075 2070 5 ageiceArctic15W30 Gamma 2.073E+00 2.369E+02 9.557E+01 2066 2075 2070 6 ageiceArctic15W30 Gamma 3.497E+00 1.642E+02 9.793E+01 2066 2075 2070 7 ageiceArctic15W30 Gamma 1.361E+00 4.140E+02 1.244E+02 2066 2075 2070 8 ageiceArctic15W30 Gamma 1.014E-01 5.761E+03 3.394E+02 2066 2075 2070 9 ageiceArctic15W30 Gamma 4.054E-01 1.241E+03 1.933E+02 2066 2075 2070 10 ageiceArctic15W30 Gamma 5.580E-01 6.783E+02 1.288E+02 2066 2075 2070 11 ageiceArctic15W30 Gamma 8.684E-01 3.616E+02 8.450E+01 2066 2075 2070 12 ageiceArctic15W30 Gamma 1.520E+00 1.063E+02 3.458E+01 2076 2085 2080 1 ageiceArctic15W30 Gamma 2.257E+00 6.429E+01 2.859E+01 2076 2085 2080 2 ageiceArctic15W30 Gamma 2.820E+00 5.199E+01 2.670E+01 2076 2085 2080 3 ageiceArctic15W30 Gamma 2.825E+00 6.075E+01 2.991E+01 2076 2085 2080 4 ageiceArctic15W30 Gamma 2.833E+00 8.143E+01 3.957E+01 2076 2085 2080 5 ageiceArctic15W30 Gamma 5.257E+00 5.748E+01 4.328E+01 2076 2085 2080 6 ageiceArctic15W30 Gamma 3.584E+00 8.953E+01 5.145E+01 2076 2085 2080 7 ageiceArctic15W30 Gamma 9.903E-01 3.113E+02 7.769E+01 2076 2085 2080 8 ageiceArctic15W30 Gamma 1.036E-01 3.233E+03 1.946E+02 2076 2085 2080 9 ageiceArctic15W30 Gamma 1.042E-01 2.699E+03 1.565E+02 2076 2085 2080 10 ageiceArctic15W30 Gamma 5.187E-01 3.465E+02 6.216E+01 2076 2085 2080 11 ageiceArctic15W30 Gamma 9.199E-01 1.689E+02 3.982E+01 2076 2085 2080 12 ageiceArctic15W30 Gamma 1.691E+00 7.100E+01 2.497E+01 2086 2099 2092 1 ageiceArctic15W30 Gamma 2.798E+00 4.219E+01 2.066E+01 2086 2099 2092 2 ageiceArctic15W30 Gamma 4.471E+00 2.478E+01 1.670E+01 2086 2099 2092 3 ageiceArctic15W30 Gamma 4.283E+00 3.141E+01 2.039E+01 2086 2099 2092 4 ageiceArctic15W30 Gamma 3.537E+00 5.477E+01 3.142E+01 2086 2099 2092 5 ageiceArctic15W30 Gamma 6.992E+00 3.700E+01 3.348E+01 2086 2099 2092 6 ageice

54

Country Distribution Parameter_1 Parameter_2 Std Error Start_Year End_Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic15W30 Gamma 1.560E+00 1.587E+02 5.172E+01 2086 2099 2092 7 ageiceArctic15W30 Gamma 1.046E-01 2.428E+03 1.477E+02 2086 2099 2092 8 ageiceArctic15W30 Gamma 1.042E-01 2.724E+03 1.664E+02 2086 2099 2092 9 ageiceArctic15W30 Gamma 1.046E-01 2.456E+03 1.483E+02 2086 2099 2092 10 ageiceArctic15W30 Gamma 4.838E-01 3.065E+02 5.317E+01 2086 2099 2092 11 ageiceArctic15W30 Gamma 9.970E-01 1.061E+02 2.645E+01 2086 2099 2092 12 ageiceArctic165E180 Gamma 1.245E+00 7.779E+02 2.294E+02 2006 2015 2010 1 ageiceArctic165E180 Gamma 1.393E+00 6.969E+02 2.215E+02 2006 2015 2010 2 ageiceArctic165E180 Gamma 1.561E+00 6.091E+02 2.112E+02 2006 2015 2010 3 ageiceArctic165E180 Gamma 1.780E+00 5.222E+02 1.961E+02 2006 2015 2010 4 ageiceArctic165E180 Gamma 1.989E+00 4.619E+02 1.903E+02 2006 2015 2010 5 ageiceArctic165E180 Gamma 2.222E+00 4.162E+02 1.925E+02 2006 2015 2010 6 ageiceArctic165E180 Gamma 2.215E+00 4.500E+02 2.097E+02 2006 2015 2010 7 ageiceArctic165E180 Gamma 2.317E+00 4.704E+02 2.154E+02 2006 2015 2010 8 ageiceArctic165E180 Gamma 2.148E+00 5.088E+02 2.209E+02 2006 2015 2010 9 ageiceArctic165E180 Gamma 1.048E+00 9.449E+02 2.398E+02 2006 2015 2010 10 ageiceArctic165E180 Gamma 1.065E+00 9.240E+02 2.372E+02 2006 2015 2010 11 ageiceArctic165E180 Gamma 1.165E+00 8.358E+02 2.300E+02 2006 2015 2010 12 ageiceArctic165E180 Gamma 1.202E+00 6.460E+02 2.047E+02 2016 2025 2020 1 ageiceArctic165E180 Gamma 1.337E+00 5.890E+02 2.107E+02 2016 2025 2020 2 ageiceArctic165E180 Gamma 1.524E+00 5.099E+02 2.054E+02 2016 2025 2020 3 ageiceArctic165E180 Gamma 1.700E+00 4.534E+02 2.074E+02 2016 2025 2020 4 ageiceArctic165E180 Gamma 1.944E+00 3.870E+02 2.008E+02 2016 2025 2020 5 ageiceArctic165E180 Gamma 2.148E+00 3.534E+02 2.058E+02 2016 2025 2020 6 ageiceArctic165E180 Gamma 2.150E+00 3.729E+02 2.213E+02 2016 2025 2020 7 ageiceArctic165E180 Gamma 2.327E+00 3.728E+02 2.375E+02 2016 2025 2020 8 ageiceArctic165E180 Gamma 2.137E+00 4.019E+02 2.342E+02 2016 2025 2020 9 ageiceArctic165E180 Gamma 7.809E-01 9.447E+02 2.099E+02 2016 2025 2020 10 ageiceArctic165E180 Gamma 8.670E-01 8.390E+02 2.126E+02 2016 2025 2020 11 ageiceArctic165E180 Gamma 1.035E+00 7.130E+02 2.143E+02 2016 2025 2020 12 ageice

55

Country Distribution Parameter_1 Parameter_2 Std Error Start_Year End_Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic165E180 Gamma 1.439E+00 2.762E+02 1.213E+02 2026 2035 2030 1 ageiceArctic165E180 Gamma 1.773E+00 2.303E+02 1.166E+02 2026 2035 2030 2 ageiceArctic165E180 Gamma 2.167E+00 1.939E+02 1.115E+02 2026 2035 2030 3 ageiceArctic165E180 Gamma 2.706E+00 1.579E+02 1.037E+02 2026 2035 2030 4 ageiceArctic165E180 Gamma 3.474E+00 1.226E+02 9.551E+01 2026 2035 2030 5 ageiceArctic165E180 Gamma 4.542E+00 9.260E+01 8.923E+01 2026 2035 2030 6 ageiceArctic165E180 Gamma 4.378E+00 1.054E+02 1.009E+02 2026 2035 2030 7 ageiceArctic165E180 Gamma 4.481E+00 1.200E+02 1.164E+02 2026 2035 2030 8 ageiceArctic165E180 Gamma 3.313E+00 1.720E+02 1.329E+02 2026 2035 2030 9 ageiceArctic165E180 Gamma 7.892E-01 5.279E+02 1.132E+02 2026 2035 2030 10 ageiceArctic165E180 Gamma 9.888E-01 3.581E+02 9.940E+01 2026 2035 2030 11 ageiceArctic165E180 Gamma 1.380E+00 2.533E+02 9.852E+01 2026 2035 2030 12 ageiceArctic165E180 Gamma 1.273E+00 3.536E+02 1.078E+02 2036 2045 2040 1 ageiceArctic165E180 Gamma 1.608E+00 2.800E+02 1.040E+02 2036 2045 2040 2 ageiceArctic165E180 Gamma 1.913E+00 2.451E+02 1.079E+02 2036 2045 2040 3 ageiceArctic165E180 Gamma 2.283E+00 2.090E+02 1.076E+02 2036 2045 2040 4 ageiceArctic165E180 Gamma 2.786E+00 1.719E+02 1.045E+02 2036 2045 2040 5 ageiceArctic165E180 Gamma 3.362E+00 1.462E+02 1.040E+02 2036 2045 2040 6 ageiceArctic165E180 Gamma 3.145E+00 1.779E+02 1.216E+02 2036 2045 2040 7 ageiceArctic165E180 Gamma 3.238E+00 1.974E+02 1.411E+02 2036 2045 2040 8 ageiceArctic165E180 Gamma 1.295E+00 4.783E+02 1.501E+02 2036 2045 2040 9 ageiceArctic165E180 Gamma 5.255E-01 9.449E+02 1.524E+02 2036 2045 2040 10 ageiceArctic165E180 Gamma 7.094E-01 6.656E+02 1.303E+02 2036 2045 2040 11 ageiceArctic165E180 Gamma 9.724E-01 4.885E+02 1.214E+02 2036 2045 2040 12 ageiceArctic165E180 Gamma 1.068E+00 4.663E+02 1.226E+02 2046 2055 2050 1 ageiceArctic165E180 Gamma 1.306E+00 3.828E+02 1.161E+02 2046 2055 2050 2 ageiceArctic165E180 Gamma 1.550E+00 3.286E+02 1.194E+02 2046 2055 2050 3 ageiceArctic165E180 Gamma 1.866E+00 2.727E+02 1.196E+02 2046 2055 2050 4 ageiceArctic165E180 Gamma 2.197E+00 2.310E+02 1.244E+02 2046 2055 2050 5 ageiceArctic165E180 Gamma 2.362E+00 2.257E+02 1.312E+02 2046 2055 2050 6 ageice

56

Country Distribution Parameter_1 Parameter_2 Std Error Start_Year End_Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic165E180 Gamma 2.329E+00 2.605E+02 1.405E+02 2046 2055 2050 7 ageiceArctic165E180 Gamma 2.258E+00 3.005E+02 1.476E+02 2046 2055 2050 8 ageiceArctic165E180 Gamma 9.558E-01 6.773E+02 1.620E+02 2046 2055 2050 9 ageiceArctic165E180 Gamma 4.241E-01 1.313E+03 1.946E+02 2046 2055 2050 10 ageiceArctic165E180 Gamma 5.645E-01 8.284E+02 1.367E+02 2046 2055 2050 11 ageiceArctic165E180 Gamma 8.262E-01 5.718E+02 1.252E+02 2046 2055 2050 12 ageiceArctic165E180 Gamma 1.852E+00 8.801E+01 3.914E+01 2056 2065 2060 1 ageiceArctic165E180 Gamma 2.699E+00 6.589E+01 3.947E+01 2056 2065 2060 2 ageiceArctic165E180 Gamma 3.762E+00 5.258E+01 4.111E+01 2056 2065 2060 3 ageiceArctic165E180 Gamma 5.567E+00 3.771E+01 3.845E+01 2056 2065 2060 4 ageiceArctic165E180 Gamma 7.032E+00 3.363E+01 4.037E+01 2056 2065 2060 5 ageiceArctic165E180 Gamma 8.468E+00 3.084E+01 4.184E+01 2056 2065 2060 6 ageiceArctic165E180 Gamma 7.749E+00 3.951E+01 5.081E+01 2056 2065 2060 7 ageiceArctic165E180 Gamma 4.063E+00 8.045E+01 6.258E+01 2056 2065 2060 8 ageiceArctic165E180 Gamma 1.497E+00 2.133E+02 7.236E+01 2056 2065 2060 9 ageiceArctic165E180 Gamma 1.750E+00 1.689E+02 6.422E+01 2056 2065 2060 10 ageiceArctic165E180 Gamma 7.770E-01 1.476E+02 3.124E+01 2056 2065 2060 11 ageiceArctic165E180 Gamma 1.279E+00 9.259E+01 2.894E+01 2056 2065 2060 12 ageiceArctic165E180 Gamma 2.694E+00 3.369E+01 1.846E+01 2066 2075 2070 1 ageiceArctic165E180 Gamma 4.291E+00 2.674E+01 1.978E+01 2066 2075 2070 2 ageiceArctic165E180 Gamma 6.097E+00 2.295E+01 2.077E+01 2066 2075 2070 3 ageiceArctic165E180 Gamma 1.039E+01 1.527E+01 1.915E+01 2066 2075 2070 4 ageiceArctic165E180 Gamma 1.534E+01 1.188E+01 1.911E+01 2066 2075 2070 5 ageiceArctic165E180 Gamma 1.543E+01 1.311E+01 2.166E+01 2066 2075 2070 6 ageiceArctic165E180 Gamma 1.354E+01 1.849E+01 2.981E+01 2066 2075 2070 7 ageiceArctic165E180 Gamma 2.780E+00 9.601E+01 4.926E+01 2066 2075 2070 8 ageiceArctic165E180 Gamma 1.042E-01 2.647E+03 1.448E+02 2066 2075 2070 9 ageiceArctic165E180 Gamma 1.042E-01 2.720E+03 1.556E+02 2066 2075 2070 10 ageiceArctic165E180 Gamma 6.259E-01 1.530E+02 2.753E+01 2066 2075 2070 11 ageiceArctic165E180 Gamma 1.281E+00 5.103E+01 1.716E+01 2066 2075 2070 12 ageice

57

Country Distribution Parameter_1 Parameter_2 Std Error Start_Year End_Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic165E180 Gamma 2.767E+00 2.100E+01 1.225E+01 2076 2085 2080 1 ageiceArctic165E180 Gamma 5.406E+00 1.515E+01 1.403E+01 2076 2085 2080 2 ageiceArctic165E180 Gamma 8.889E+00 1.171E+01 1.434E+01 2076 2085 2080 3 ageiceArctic165E180 Gamma 1.243E+01 1.047E+01 1.633E+01 2076 2085 2080 4 ageiceArctic165E180 Gamma 1.669E+01 9.378E+00 1.734E+01 2076 2085 2080 5 ageiceArctic165E180 Gamma 1.302E+01 1.360E+01 2.038E+01 2076 2085 2080 6 ageiceArctic165E180 Gamma 2.068E+01 1.077E+01 2.216E+01 2076 2085 2080 7 ageiceArctic165E180 Gamma 1.120E+00 1.819E+02 4.815E+01 2076 2085 2080 8 ageiceArctic165E180 Gamma 1.051E-01 2.120E+03 1.216E+02 2076 2085 2080 9 ageiceArctic165E180 Gamma 1.051E-01 2.182E+03 1.297E+02 2076 2085 2080 10 ageiceArctic165E180 Gamma 3.590E-01 2.191E+02 2.406E+01 2076 2085 2080 11 ageiceArctic165E180 Gamma 1.346E+00 2.825E+01 1.024E+01 2076 2085 2080 12 ageiceArctic165E180 Gamma 3.280E+00 1.153E+01 6.395E+00 2086 2099 2092 1 ageiceArctic165E180 Gamma 6.369E+00 9.241E+00 7.925E+00 2086 2099 2092 2 ageiceArctic165E180 Gamma 9.387E+00 8.901E+00 9.651E+00 2086 2099 2092 3 ageiceArctic165E180 Gamma 1.527E+01 7.163E+00 1.042E+01 2086 2099 2092 4 ageiceArctic165E180 Gamma 2.133E+01 6.446E+00 1.156E+01 2086 2099 2092 5 ageiceArctic165E180 Gamma 2.276E+01 7.133E+00 1.330E+01 2086 2099 2092 6 ageiceArctic165E180 Gamma 4.645E+01 4.290E+00 1.168E+01 2086 2099 2092 7 ageiceArctic165E180 Gamma 1.063E-01 1.606E+03 9.884E+01 2086 2099 2092 8 ageiceArctic165E180 Gamma 1.059E-01 1.738E+03 1.008E+02 2086 2099 2092 9 ageiceArctic165E180 Gamma 1.055E-01 1.929E+03 1.132E+02 2086 2099 2092 10 ageiceArctic165E180 Gamma 1.090E-01 8.199E+02 4.726E+01 2086 2099 2092 11 ageiceArctic165E180 Gamma 1.858E+00 1.122E+01 4.147E+00 2086 2099 2092 12 ageiceArctic165W180 Gamma 1.804E+00 4.782E+02 1.878E+02 2006 2015 2010 1 ageiceArctic165W180 Gamma 1.911E+00 4.670E+02 1.947E+02 2006 2015 2010 2 ageiceArctic165W180 Gamma 2.050E+00 4.357E+02 2.030E+02 2006 2015 2010 3 ageiceArctic165W180 Gamma 2.346E+00 3.648E+02 1.857E+02 2006 2015 2010 4 ageiceArctic165W180 Gamma 2.634E+00 3.109E+02 1.799E+02 2006 2015 2010 5 ageiceArctic165W180 Gamma 2.834E+00 2.913E+02 1.857E+02 2006 2015 2010 6 ageice

58


59

Country Distribution Parameter_1 Parameter_2 Std Error Start_Year End_Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic165W180 Gamma 1.411E+00 3.131E+02 1.168E+02 2036 2045 2040 1 ageiceArctic165W180 Gamma 1.806E+00 2.325E+02 1.024E+02 2036 2045 2040 2 ageiceArctic165W180 Gamma 2.039E+00 2.209E+02 1.113E+02 2036 2045 2040 3 ageiceArctic165W180 Gamma 2.345E+00 1.987E+02 1.141E+02 2036 2045 2040 4 ageiceArctic165W180 Gamma 2.864E+00 1.636E+02 1.075E+02 2036 2045 2040 5 ageiceArctic165W180 Gamma 3.565E+00 1.313E+02 9.767E+01 2036 2045 2040 6 ageiceArctic165W180 Gamma 3.245E+00 1.595E+02 1.092E+02 2036 2045 2040 7 ageiceArctic165W180 Gamma 3.220E+00 1.940E+02 1.405E+02 2036 2045 2040 8 ageiceArctic165W180 Gamma 1.832E+00 3.458E+02 1.432E+02 2036 2045 2040 9 ageiceArctic165W180 Gamma 7.441E-01 7.515E+02 1.522E+02 2036 2045 2040 10 ageiceArctic165W180 Gamma 9.473E-01 4.968E+02 1.251E+02 2036 2045 2040 11 ageiceArctic165W180 Gamma 1.093E+00 4.076E+02 1.243E+02 2036 2045 2040 12 ageiceArctic165W180 Gamma 1.090E+00 4.296E+02 1.144E+02 2046 2055 2050 1 ageiceArctic165W180 Gamma 1.260E+00 3.855E+02 1.136E+02 2046 2055 2050 2 ageiceArctic165W180 Gamma 1.514E+00 3.285E+02 1.145E+02 2046 2055 2050 3 ageiceArctic165W180 Gamma 1.728E+00 3.055E+02 1.234E+02 2046 2055 2050 4 ageiceArctic165W180 Gamma 2.098E+00 2.482E+02 1.186E+02 2046 2055 2050 5 ageiceArctic165W180 Gamma 2.279E+00 2.392E+02 1.201E+02 2046 2055 2050 6 ageiceArctic165W180 Gamma 2.172E+00 2.899E+02 1.342E+02 2046 2055 2050 7 ageiceArctic165W180 Gamma 2.259E+00 3.354E+02 1.515E+02 2046 2055 2050 8 ageiceArctic165W180 Gamma 8.962E-01 8.749E+02 2.022E+02 2046 2055 2050 9 ageiceArctic165W180 Gamma 4.967E-01 1.438E+03 2.464E+02 2046 2055 2050 10 ageiceArctic165W180 Gamma 6.498E-01 8.053E+02 1.583E+02 2046 2055 2050 11 ageiceArctic165W180 Gamma 8.751E-01 4.833E+02 1.091E+02 2046 2055 2050 12 ageiceArctic165W180 Gamma 1.756E+00 9.115E+01 3.799E+01 2056 2065 2060 1 ageiceArctic165W180 Gamma 2.510E+00 7.111E+01 3.834E+01 2056 2065 2060 2 ageiceArctic165W180 Gamma 3.692E+00 5.286E+01 3.613E+01 2056 2065 2060 3 ageiceArctic165W180 Gamma 5.087E+00 4.179E+01 3.714E+01 2056 2065 2060 4 ageiceArctic165W180 Gamma 7.287E+00 3.138E+01 3.513E+01 2056 2065 2060 5 ageiceArctic165W180 Gamma 8.308E+00 2.999E+01 3.601E+01 2056 2065 2060 6 ageice

60

Country Distribution Parameter_1 Parameter_2 Std Error Start_Year End_Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic165W180 Gamma 8.394E+00 3.583E+01 4.276E+01 2056 2065 2060 7 ageiceArctic165W180 Gamma 2.978E+00 1.136E+02 6.391E+01 2056 2065 2060 8 ageiceArctic165W180 Gamma 9.242E-01 3.744E+02 8.757E+01 2056 2065 2060 9 ageiceArctic165W180 Gamma 3.293E-01 8.834E+02 1.169E+02 2056 2065 2060 10 ageiceArctic165W180 Gamma 7.341E-01 1.911E+02 3.842E+01 2056 2065 2060 11 ageiceArctic165W180 Gamma 1.308E+00 8.646E+01 2.733E+01 2056 2065 2060 12 ageiceArctic165W180 Gamma 2.129E+00 5.033E+01 2.452E+01 2066 2075 2070 1 ageiceArctic165W180 Gamma 3.549E+00 3.490E+01 2.405E+01 2066 2075 2070 2 ageiceArctic165W180 Gamma 4.474E+00 3.334E+01 2.574E+01 2066 2075 2070 3 ageiceArctic165W180 Gamma 7.118E+00 2.326E+01 2.347E+01 2066 2075 2070 4 ageiceArctic165W180 Gamma 9.342E+00 2.042E+01 2.349E+01 2066 2075 2070 5 ageiceArctic165W180 Gamma 1.021E+01 2.106E+01 2.506E+01 2066 2075 2070 6 ageiceArctic165W180 Gamma 8.647E+00 3.304E+01 3.444E+01 2066 2075 2070 7 ageiceArctic165W180 Gamma 2.199E+00 1.473E+02 6.087E+01 2066 2075 2070 8 ageiceArctic165W180 Gamma 1.034E-01 3.359E+03 1.958E+02 2066 2075 2070 9 ageiceArctic165W180 Gamma 1.032E-01 3.510E+03 2.099E+02 2066 2075 2070 10 ageiceArctic165W180 Gamma 5.137E-01 2.938E+02 4.845E+01 2066 2075 2070 11 ageiceArctic165W180 Gamma 1.114E+00 8.043E+01 2.340E+01 2066 2075 2070 12 ageiceArctic165W180 Gamma 2.752E+00 1.909E+01 1.104E+01 2076 2085 2080 1 ageiceArctic165W180 Gamma 5.150E+00 1.505E+01 1.442E+01 2076 2085 2080 2 ageiceArctic165W180 Gamma 7.375E+00 1.384E+01 1.583E+01 2076 2085 2080 3 ageiceArctic165W180 Gamma 9.817E+00 1.305E+01 1.770E+01 2076 2085 2080 4 ageiceArctic165W180 Gamma 1.304E+01 1.162E+01 1.780E+01 2076 2085 2080 5 ageiceArctic165W180 Gamma 1.150E+01 1.512E+01 2.071E+01 2076 2085 2080 6 ageiceArctic165W180 Gamma 1.792E+01 1.254E+01 2.372E+01 2076 2085 2080 7 ageiceArctic165W180 Gamma 1.055E-01 1.931E+03 1.094E+02 2076 2085 2080 8 ageiceArctic165W180 Gamma 1.049E-01 2.229E+03 1.272E+02 2076 2085 2080 9 ageiceArctic165W180 Gamma 1.048E-01 2.333E+03 1.371E+02 2076 2085 2080 10 ageiceArctic165W180 Gamma 3.390E-01 3.597E+02 4.205E+01 2076 2085 2080 11 ageiceArctic165W180 Gamma 1.134E+00 3.501E+01 9.451E+00 2076 2085 2080 12 ageice

61

Country Distribution Parameter_1 Parameter_2 Std Error Start_Year End_Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic165W180 Gamma 3.030E+00 1.087E+01 5.561E+00 2086 2099 2092 1 ageiceArctic165W180 Gamma 6.458E+00 7.945E+00 7.089E+00 2086 2099 2092 2 ageiceArctic165W180 Gamma 1.130E+01 7.093E+00 8.776E+00 2086 2099 2092 3 ageiceArctic165W180 Gamma 1.905E+01 5.564E+00 9.338E+00 2086 2099 2092 4 ageiceArctic165W180 Gamma 2.684E+01 4.873E+00 1.026E+01 2086 2099 2092 5 ageiceArctic165W180 Gamma 2.490E+01 6.292E+00 1.235E+01 2086 2099 2092 6 ageiceArctic165W180 Gamma 2.549E+01 7.407E+00 1.494E+01 2086 2099 2092 7 ageiceArctic165W180 Gamma 1.063E-01 1.595E+03 9.722E+01 2086 2099 2092 8 ageiceArctic165W180 Gamma 1.059E-01 1.739E+03 1.016E+02 2086 2099 2092 9 ageiceArctic165W180 Gamma 1.056E-01 1.853E+03 1.032E+02 2086 2099 2092 10 ageiceArctic165W180 Gamma 1.069E-01 1.359E+03 7.956E+01 2086 2099 2092 11 ageiceArctic165W180 Gamma 1.190E+00 1.781E+01 4.936E+00 2086 2099 2092 12 ageiceArctic30E45 Gamma 6.968E+00 4.189E+01 4.005E+01 2006 2015 2010 1 ageiceArctic30E45 Gamma 8.166E+00 2.883E+01 3.116E+01 2006 2015 2010 2 ageiceArctic30E45 Gamma 8.938E+00 2.269E+01 2.428E+01 2006 2015 2010 3 ageiceArctic30E45 Gamma 1.018E+01 2.179E+01 2.523E+01 2006 2015 2010 4 ageiceArctic30E45 Gamma 1.045E+01 2.629E+01 3.475E+01 2006 2015 2010 5 ageiceArctic30E45 Gamma 1.172E+01 2.946E+01 4.390E+01 2006 2015 2010 6 ageiceArctic30E45 Gamma 6.257E+00 7.672E+01 7.494E+01 2006 2015 2010 7 ageiceArctic30E45 Gamma 5.695E+00 1.134E+02 9.287E+01 2006 2015 2010 8 ageiceArctic30E45 Gamma 5.566E+00 1.253E+02 9.868E+01 2006 2015 2010 9 ageiceArctic30E45 Gamma 2.069E+00 2.582E+02 1.018E+02 2006 2015 2010 10 ageiceArctic30E45 Gamma 3.324E+00 1.270E+02 7.055E+01 2006 2015 2010 11 ageiceArctic30E45 Gamma 5.096E+00 6.858E+01 5.595E+01 2006 2015 2010 12 ageiceArctic30E45 Gamma 1.388E+01 1.175E+01 2.316E+01 2016 2025 2020 1 ageiceArctic30E45 Gamma 3.551E+01 3.673E+00 1.224E+01 2016 2025 2020 2 ageiceArctic30E45 Gamma 4.892E+01 2.825E+00 9.432E+00 2016 2025 2020 3 ageiceArctic30E45 Gamma 2.657E+01 6.903E+00 1.429E+01 2016 2025 2020 4 ageiceArctic30E45 Gamma 2.226E+01 1.043E+01 1.960E+01 2016 2025 2020 5 ageiceArctic30E45 Gamma 1.522E+01 1.996E+01 2.880E+01 2016 2025 2020 6 ageice

62

Country Distribution Parameter_1 Parameter_2 Std Error Start_Year End_Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic30E45 Gamma 1.342E+01 2.812E+01 3.765E+01 2016 2025 2020 7 ageiceArctic30E45 Gamma 1.824E+01 2.663E+01 4.448E+01 2016 2025 2020 8 ageiceArctic30E45 Gamma 7.641E+00 6.414E+01 6.260E+01 2016 2025 2020 9 ageiceArctic30E45 Gamma 1.894E+00 1.991E+02 7.396E+01 2016 2025 2020 10 ageiceArctic30E45 Gamma 2.837E+00 1.080E+02 5.482E+01 2016 2025 2020 11 ageiceArctic30E45 Gamma 5.784E+00 3.431E+01 3.745E+01 2016 2025 2020 12 ageiceArctic30E45 Gamma 1.938E+00 1.257E+02 7.037E+01 2026 2035 2030 1 ageiceArctic30E45 Gamma 1.857E+00 1.129E+02 5.680E+01 2026 2035 2030 2 ageiceArctic30E45 Gamma 2.185E+00 9.198E+01 5.497E+01 2026 2035 2030 3 ageiceArctic30E45 Gamma 2.691E+00 8.289E+01 5.433E+01 2026 2035 2030 4 ageiceArctic30E45 Gamma 3.128E+00 8.732E+01 5.973E+01 2026 2035 2030 5 ageiceArctic30E45 Gamma 3.571E+00 8.915E+01 6.098E+01 2026 2035 2030 6 ageiceArctic30E45 Gamma 3.478E+00 1.177E+02 7.584E+01 2026 2035 2030 7 ageiceArctic30E45 Gamma 2.466E+00 1.891E+02 9.398E+01 2026 2035 2030 8 ageiceArctic30E45 Gamma 8.343E-01 5.637E+02 1.234E+02 2026 2035 2030 9 ageiceArctic30E45 Gamma 8.099E-01 5.255E+02 1.130E+02 2026 2035 2030 10 ageiceArctic30E45 Gamma 1.251E+00 2.350E+02 8.043E+01 2026 2035 2030 11 ageiceArctic30E45 Gamma 1.604E+00 1.542E+02 7.298E+01 2026 2035 2030 12 ageiceArctic30E45 Gamma 9.925E+00 9.452E+00 1.059E+01 2036 2045 2040 1 ageiceArctic30E45 Gamma 1.687E+01 5.207E+00 8.410E+00 2036 2045 2040 2 ageiceArctic30E45 Gamma 1.878E+01 4.880E+00 1.205E+01 2036 2045 2040 3 ageiceArctic30E45 Gamma 1.382E+01 9.087E+00 1.712E+01 2036 2045 2040 4 ageiceArctic30E45 Gamma 8.983E+00 2.037E+01 2.717E+01 2036 2045 2040 5 ageiceArctic30E45 Gamma 6.791E+00 3.644E+01 3.881E+01 2036 2045 2040 6 ageiceArctic30E45 Gamma 4.425E+00 7.345E+01 5.824E+01 2036 2045 2040 7 ageiceArctic30E45 Gamma 2.097E+00 1.764E+02 8.131E+01 2036 2045 2040 8 ageiceArctic30E45 Gamma 1.030E-01 3.563E+03 1.769E+02 2036 2045 2040 9 ageiceArctic30E45 Gamma 4.189E-01 8.979E+02 1.253E+02 2036 2045 2040 10 ageiceArctic30E45 Gamma 7.733E-01 3.701E+02 7.746E+01 2036 2045 2040 11 ageiceArctic30E45 Gamma 1.487E+00 1.221E+02 4.470E+01 2036 2045 2040 12 ageice

63

Country Distribution Parameter_1 Parameter_2 Std Error Start_Year End_Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic30E45 Gamma 1.726E+00 1.103E+02 4.927E+01 2046 2055 2050 1 ageiceArctic30E45 Gamma 1.735E+00 8.704E+01 5.359E+01 2046 2055 2050 2 ageiceArctic30E45 Gamma 2.056E+00 7.135E+01 5.305E+01 2046 2055 2050 3 ageiceArctic30E45 Gamma 2.454E+00 8.559E+01 6.233E+01 2046 2055 2050 4 ageiceArctic30E45 Gamma 2.966E+00 8.340E+01 6.406E+01 2046 2055 2050 5 ageiceArctic30E45 Gamma 3.213E+00 9.573E+01 7.868E+01 2046 2055 2050 6 ageiceArctic30E45 Gamma 3.912E+00 9.161E+01 8.502E+01 2046 2055 2050 7 ageiceArctic30E45 Gamma 1.622E+00 2.044E+02 8.902E+01 2046 2055 2050 8 ageiceArctic30E45 Gamma 1.029E-01 3.605E+03 1.736E+02 2046 2055 2050 9 ageiceArctic30E45 Gamma 3.707E-01 1.036E+03 1.319E+02 2046 2055 2050 10 ageiceArctic30E45 Gamma 6.188E-01 4.532E+02 8.094E+01 2046 2055 2050 11 ageiceArctic30E45 Gamma 9.884E-01 2.439E+02 7.128E+01 2046 2055 2050 12 ageiceArctic30E45 Gamma 1.454E+00 6.611E+01 2.968E+01 2056 2065 2060 1 ageiceArctic30E45 Gamma 2.091E+00 5.127E+01 3.411E+01 2056 2065 2060 2 ageiceArctic30E45 Gamma 2.977E+00 3.825E+01 2.960E+01 2056 2065 2060 3 ageiceArctic30E45 Gamma 4.124E+00 3.439E+01 2.860E+01 2056 2065 2060 4 ageiceArctic30E45 Gamma 4.524E+00 4.251E+01 3.918E+01 2056 2065 2060 5 ageiceArctic30E45 Gamma 6.666E+00 3.391E+01 3.866E+01 2056 2065 2060 6 ageiceArctic30E45 Gamma 2.087E+00 1.107E+02 4.878E+01 2056 2065 2060 7 ageiceArctic30E45 Gamma 1.051E-01 2.148E+03 1.231E+02 2056 2065 2060 8 ageiceArctic30E45 Gamma 1.050E-01 2.190E+03 1.188E+02 2056 2065 2060 9 ageiceArctic30E45 Gamma 1.048E-01 2.305E+03 1.348E+02 2056 2065 2060 10 ageiceArctic30E45 Gamma 4.405E-01 5.674E+02 8.949E+01 2056 2065 2060 11 ageiceArctic30E45 Gamma 7.123E-01 2.577E+02 5.269E+01 2056 2065 2060 12 ageiceArctic30E45 Gamma 1.527E+00 7.019E+01 2.674E+01 2066 2075 2070 1 ageiceArctic30E45 Gamma 4.121E+00 1.899E+01 1.692E+01 2066 2075 2070 2 ageiceArctic30E45 Gamma 2.268E+01 3.245E+00 5.961E+00 2066 2075 2070 3 ageiceArctic30E45 Gamma 2.279E+01 4.270E+00 8.653E+00 2066 2075 2070 4 ageiceArctic30E45 Gamma 2.298E+01 5.813E+00 1.163E+01 2066 2075 2070 5 ageiceArctic30E45 Gamma 1.752E+01 9.234E+00 1.547E+01 2066 2075 2070 6 ageice

64

Country Distribution Parameter_1 Parameter_2 Std Error Start_Year End_Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic30E45 Gamma 4.058E+00 4.379E+01 2.922E+01 2066 2075 2070 7 ageiceArctic30E45 Gamma 1.058E-01 1.705E+03 8.676E+01 2066 2075 2070 8 ageiceArctic30E45 Gamma 1.053E-01 2.017E+03 1.096E+02 2066 2075 2070 9 ageiceArctic30E45 Gamma 1.053E-01 1.932E+03 9.777E+01 2066 2075 2070 10 ageiceArctic30E45 Gamma 1.048E-01 2.240E+03 1.177E+02 2066 2075 2070 11 ageiceArctic30E45 Gamma 8.129E-01 1.933E+02 4.169E+01 2066 2075 2070 12 ageiceArctic30E45 Gamma 1.296E+00 7.330E+01 2.128E+01 2076 2085 2080 1 ageiceArctic30E45 Gamma 4.252E+00 1.287E+01 9.935E+00 2076 2085 2080 2 ageiceArctic30E45 Gamma 6.608E+00 1.032E+01 1.043E+01 2076 2085 2080 3 ageiceArctic30E45 Gamma 8.571E+00 1.136E+01 1.410E+01 2076 2085 2080 4 ageiceArctic30E45 Gamma 7.993E+00 1.664E+01 2.067E+01 2076 2085 2080 5 ageiceArctic30E45 Gamma 1.835E+00 7.903E+01 3.243E+01 2076 2085 2080 6 ageiceArctic30E45 Gamma 1.066E-01 1.311E+03 5.894E+01 2076 2085 2080 7 ageiceArctic30E45 Gamma 1.064E-01 1.282E+03 5.323E+01 2076 2085 2080 8 ageiceArctic30E45 Gamma 1.059E-01 1.203E+03 4.289E+01 2076 2085 2080 9 ageiceArctic30E45 Gamma 1.064E-01 9.915E+02 3.363E+01 2076 2085 2080 10 ageiceArctic30E45 Gamma 1.076E-01 1.006E+03 4.492E+01 2076 2085 2080 11 ageiceArctic30E45 Gamma 1.068E-01 9.911E+02 3.574E+01 2076 2085 2080 12 ageiceArctic30E45 Gamma 4.527E-01 1.947E+02 3.293E+01 2086 2099 2092 1 ageiceArctic30E45 Gamma 2.470E+00 1.868E+01 8.686E+00 2086 2099 2092 2 ageiceArctic30E45 Gamma 4.148E+01 1.370E+00 4.005E+00 2086 2099 2092 3 ageiceArctic30E45 Gamma 4.084E+01 2.124E+00 6.363E+00 2086 2099 2092 4 ageiceArctic30E45 Gamma 2.920E+01 4.106E+00 9.939E+00 2086 2099 2092 5 ageiceArctic30E45 Gamma 3.968E+00 3.346E+01 2.124E+01 2086 2099 2092 6 ageiceArctic30E45 Gamma 1.078E-01 1.089E+03 6.243E+01 2086 2099 2092 7 ageiceArctic30E45 Gamma 1.085E-01 8.769E+02 4.323E+01 2086 2099 2092 8 ageiceArctic30E45 Gamma 1.092E-01 6.443E+02 2.666E+01 2086 2099 2092 9 ageiceArctic30E45 Gamma 1.117E-01 3.674E+02 1.517E+01 2086 2099 2092 10 ageiceArctic30E45 Gamma 1.114E-01 3.858E+02 1.564E+01 2086 2099 2092 11 ageiceArctic30E45 Gamma 1.096E-01 7.174E+02 4.315E+01 2086 2099 2092 12 ageice

65

Country Distribution Parameter_1 Parameter_2 Std Error Start_Year End_Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic30W45 Gamma 0.000E+00 0.000E+00 NaN 2006 2015 2010 1 ageiceArctic30W45 Gamma 0.000E+00 0.000E+00 NaN 2006 2015 2010 2 ageiceArctic30W45 Gamma 0.000E+00 0.000E+00 NaN 2006 2015 2010 3 ageiceArctic30W45 Gamma 0.000E+00 0.000E+00 NaN 2006 2015 2010 4 ageiceArctic30W45 Gamma 0.000E+00 0.000E+00 NaN 2006 2015 2010 5 ageiceArctic30W45 Gamma 0.000E+00 0.000E+00 NaN 2006 2015 2010 6 ageiceArctic30W45 Gamma 0.000E+00 0.000E+00 NaN 2006 2015 2010 7 ageiceArctic30W45 Gamma 0.000E+00 0.000E+00 NaN 2006 2015 2010 8 ageiceArctic30W45 Gamma 0.000E+00 0.000E+00 NaN 2006 2015 2010 9 ageiceArctic30W45 Gamma 0.000E+00 0.000E+00 NaN 2006 2015 2010 10 ageiceArctic30W45 Gamma 0.000E+00 0.000E+00 NaN 2006 2015 2010 11 ageiceArctic30W45 Gamma 0.000E+00 0.000E+00 NaN 2006 2015 2010 12 ageiceArctic30W45 Gamma 0.000E+00 0.000E+00 NaN 2016 2025 2020 1 ageiceArctic30W45 Gamma 0.000E+00 0.000E+00 NaN 2016 2025 2020 2 ageiceArctic30W45 Gamma 0.000E+00 0.000E+00 NaN 2016 2025 2020 3 ageiceArctic30W45 Gamma 0.000E+00 0.000E+00 NaN 2016 2025 2020 4 ageiceArctic30W45 Gamma 0.000E+00 0.000E+00 NaN 2016 2025 2020 5 ageiceArctic30W45 Gamma 0.000E+00 0.000E+00 NaN 2016 2025 2020 6 ageiceArctic30W45 Gamma 0.000E+00 0.000E+00 NaN 2016 2025 2020 7 ageiceArctic30W45 Gamma 0.000E+00 0.000E+00 NaN 2016 2025 2020 8 ageiceArctic30W45 Gamma 0.000E+00 0.000E+00 NaN 2016 2025 2020 9 ageiceArctic30W45 Gamma 0.000E+00 0.000E+00 NaN 2016 2025 2020 10 ageiceArctic30W45 Gamma 0.000E+00 0.000E+00 NaN 2016 2025 2020 11 ageiceArctic30W45 Gamma 0.000E+00 0.000E+00 NaN 2016 2025 2020 12 ageiceArctic30W45 Gamma 0.000E+00 0.000E+00 NaN 2026 2035 2030 1 ageiceArctic30W45 Gamma 0.000E+00 0.000E+00 NaN 2026 2035 2030 2 ageiceArctic30W45 Gamma 0.000E+00 0.000E+00 NaN 2026 2035 2030 3 ageiceArctic30W45 Gamma 0.000E+00 0.000E+00 NaN 2026 2035 2030 4 ageiceArctic30W45 Gamma 0.000E+00 0.000E+00 NaN 2026 2035 2030 5 ageiceArctic30W45 Gamma 0.000E+00 0.000E+00 NaN 2026 2035 2030 6 ageice

66


67


68

Country Distribution Parameter_1 Parameter_2 Std Error Start_Year End_Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic30W45 Gamma 0.000E+00 0.000E+00 NaN 2076 2085 2080 7 ageiceArctic30W45 Gamma 0.000E+00 0.000E+00 NaN 2076 2085 2080 8 ageiceArctic30W45 Gamma 0.000E+00 0.000E+00 NaN 2076 2085 2080 9 ageiceArctic30W45 Gamma 0.000E+00 0.000E+00 NaN 2076 2085 2080 10 ageiceArctic30W45 Gamma 0.000E+00 0.000E+00 NaN 2076 2085 2080 11 ageiceArctic30W45 Gamma 0.000E+00 0.000E+00 NaN 2076 2085 2080 12 ageiceArctic30W45 Gamma 0.000E+00 0.000E+00 NaN 2086 2099 2092 1 ageiceArctic30W45 Gamma 0.000E+00 0.000E+00 NaN 2086 2099 2092 2 ageiceArctic30W45 Gamma 0.000E+00 0.000E+00 NaN 2086 2099 2092 3 ageiceArctic30W45 Gamma 0.000E+00 0.000E+00 NaN 2086 2099 2092 4 ageiceArctic30W45 Gamma 0.000E+00 0.000E+00 NaN 2086 2099 2092 5 ageiceArctic30W45 Gamma 0.000E+00 0.000E+00 NaN 2086 2099 2092 6 ageiceArctic30W45 Gamma 0.000E+00 0.000E+00 NaN 2086 2099 2092 7 ageiceArctic30W45 Gamma 0.000E+00 0.000E+00 NaN 2086 2099 2092 8 ageiceArctic30W45 Gamma 0.000E+00 0.000E+00 NaN 2086 2099 2092 9 ageiceArctic30W45 Gamma 0.000E+00 0.000E+00 NaN 2086 2099 2092 10 ageiceArctic30W45 Gamma 0.000E+00 0.000E+00 NaN 2086 2099 2092 11 ageiceArctic30W45 Gamma 0.000E+00 0.000E+00 NaN 2086 2099 2092 12 ageiceArctic45E60 Gamma 2.045E+01 4.515E+00 8.054E+00 2006 2015 2010 1 ageiceArctic45E60 Gamma 1.632E+01 5.774E+00 1.002E+01 2006 2015 2010 2 ageiceArctic45E60 Gamma 2.153E+01 4.649E+00 9.351E+00 2006 2015 2010 3 ageiceArctic45E60 Gamma 2.506E+01 4.753E+00 1.114E+01 2006 2015 2010 4 ageiceArctic45E60 Gamma 2.515E+01 6.348E+00 1.364E+01 2006 2015 2010 5 ageiceArctic45E60 Gamma 4.443E+01 4.629E+00 1.324E+01 2006 2015 2010 6 ageiceArctic45E60 Gamma 3.680E+01 7.209E+00 1.896E+01 2006 2015 2010 7 ageiceArctic45E60 Gamma 2.688E+01 1.447E+01 3.372E+01 2006 2015 2010 8 ageiceArctic45E60 Gamma 2.666E+01 1.780E+01 3.615E+01 2006 2015 2010 9 ageiceArctic45E60 Gamma 2.328E+00 1.377E+02 6.131E+01 2006 2015 2010 10 ageiceArctic45E60 Gamma 4.533E+00 4.020E+01 3.371E+01 2006 2015 2010 11 ageiceArctic45E60 Gamma 9.737E+00 1.183E+01 1.696E+01 2006 2015 2010 12 ageice

69

Country Distribution Parameter_1 Parameter_2 Std Error Start_Year End_Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic45E60 Gamma 9.039E+01 7.924E-01 4.484E+00 2016 2025 2020 1 ageiceArctic45E60 Gamma 1.372E+04 5.237E-03 2.785E-01 2016 2025 2020 2 ageiceArctic45E60 Gamma 2.220E+03 3.964E-02 9.922E-01 2016 2025 2020 3 ageiceArctic45E60 Gamma 1.690E+02 6.980E-01 4.568E+00 2016 2025 2020 4 ageiceArctic45E60 Gamma 6.775E+01 2.274E+00 8.674E+00 2016 2025 2020 5 ageiceArctic45E60 Gamma 7.390E+01 2.665E+00 9.906E+00 2016 2025 2020 6 ageiceArctic45E60 Gamma 4.167E+01 5.938E+00 1.585E+01 2016 2025 2020 7 ageiceArctic45E60 Gamma 5.830E+01 5.542E+00 1.833E+01 2016 2025 2020 8 ageiceArctic45E60 Gamma 1.499E+01 2.401E+01 3.473E+01 2016 2025 2020 9 ageiceArctic45E60 Gamma 1.691E+00 1.653E+02 5.683E+01 2016 2025 2020 10 ageiceArctic45E60 Gamma 3.162E+00 5.366E+01 2.888E+01 2016 2025 2020 11 ageiceArctic45E60 Gamma 1.478E+01 5.253E+00 1.161E+01 2016 2025 2020 12 ageiceArctic45E60 Gamma 3.482E+00 2.707E+01 2.292E+01 2026 2035 2030 1 ageiceArctic45E60 Gamma 8.089E+00 9.922E+00 1.186E+01 2026 2035 2030 2 ageiceArctic45E60 Gamma 6.387E+00 1.453E+01 1.844E+01 2026 2035 2030 3 ageiceArctic45E60 Gamma 7.969E+00 1.476E+01 1.934E+01 2026 2035 2030 4 ageiceArctic45E60 Gamma 8.266E+00 1.851E+01 2.429E+01 2026 2035 2030 5 ageiceArctic45E60 Gamma 1.381E+01 1.395E+01 2.468E+01 2026 2035 2030 6 ageiceArctic45E60 Gamma 1.082E+01 2.289E+01 3.398E+01 2026 2035 2030 7 ageiceArctic45E60 Gamma 9.147E+00 3.656E+01 4.625E+01 2026 2035 2030 8 ageiceArctic45E60 Gamma 9.856E-01 3.445E+02 8.399E+01 2026 2035 2030 9 ageiceArctic45E60 Gamma 8.046E-01 3.865E+02 8.396E+01 2026 2035 2030 10 ageiceArctic45E60 Gamma 1.225E+00 1.489E+02 4.195E+01 2026 2035 2030 11 ageiceArctic45E60 Gamma 2.983E+00 3.564E+01 2.288E+01 2026 2035 2030 12 ageiceArctic45E60 Gamma 1.672E+01 3.025E+00 5.689E+00 2036 2045 2040 1 ageiceArctic45E60 Gamma 7.121E+01 7.250E-01 2.880E+00 2036 2045 2040 2 ageiceArctic45E60 Gamma 4.826E+01 1.400E+00 4.210E+00 2036 2045 2040 3 ageiceArctic45E60 Gamma 2.901E+01 3.100E+00 7.022E+00 2036 2045 2040 4 ageiceArctic45E60 Gamma 1.952E+01 6.345E+00 1.172E+01 2036 2045 2040 5 ageiceArctic45E60 Gamma 3.327E+01 5.130E+00 1.353E+01 2036 2045 2040 6 ageice

70

Country Distribution Parameter_1 Parameter_2 Std Error Start_Year End_Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic45E60 Gamma 1.894E+01 1.214E+01 2.460E+01 2036 2045 2040 7 ageiceArctic45E60 Gamma 6.067E+00 4.919E+01 5.270E+01 2036 2045 2040 8 ageiceArctic45E60 Gamma 1.041E-01 2.642E+03 1.330E+02 2036 2045 2040 9 ageiceArctic45E60 Gamma 4.368E-01 6.340E+02 9.163E+01 2036 2045 2040 10 ageiceArctic45E60 Gamma 7.711E-01 2.582E+02 5.355E+01 2036 2045 2040 11 ageiceArctic45E60 Gamma 2.167E+00 3.950E+01 1.670E+01 2036 2045 2040 12 ageiceArctic45E60 Gamma 3.390E+00 1.910E+01 1.599E+01 2046 2055 2050 1 ageiceArctic45E60 Gamma 3.868E+00 1.760E+01 1.832E+01 2046 2055 2050 2 ageiceArctic45E60 Gamma 5.568E+00 1.419E+01 1.845E+01 2046 2055 2050 3 ageiceArctic45E60 Gamma 5.811E+00 1.915E+01 2.328E+01 2046 2055 2050 4 ageiceArctic45E60 Gamma 8.263E+00 1.757E+01 2.488E+01 2046 2055 2050 5 ageiceArctic45E60 Gamma 1.204E+01 1.546E+01 2.780E+01 2046 2055 2050 6 ageiceArctic45E60 Gamma 1.241E+01 1.929E+01 3.463E+01 2046 2055 2050 7 ageiceArctic45E60 Gamma 1.710E+00 1.303E+02 4.945E+01 2046 2055 2050 8 ageiceArctic45E60 Gamma 1.050E-01 2.171E+03 1.156E+02 2046 2055 2050 9 ageiceArctic45E60 Gamma 3.438E-01 7.607E+02 9.475E+01 2046 2055 2050 10 ageiceArctic45E60 Gamma 6.202E-01 3.197E+02 5.997E+01 2046 2055 2050 11 ageiceArctic45E60 Gamma 1.219E+00 8.813E+01 2.708E+01 2046 2055 2050 12 ageiceArctic45E60 Gamma 2.451E+00 1.893E+01 1.136E+01 2056 2065 2060 1 ageiceArctic45E60 Gamma 4.478E+00 1.205E+01 1.264E+01 2056 2065 2060 2 ageiceArctic45E60 Gamma 1.064E+01 6.082E+00 9.291E+00 2056 2065 2060 3 ageiceArctic45E60 Gamma 1.053E+01 8.707E+00 1.217E+01 2056 2065 2060 4 ageiceArctic45E60 Gamma 1.279E+01 1.002E+01 1.592E+01 2056 2065 2060 5 ageiceArctic45E60 Gamma 2.795E+01 5.877E+00 1.495E+01 2056 2065 2060 6 ageiceArctic45E60 Gamma 9.288E+00 2.080E+01 2.593E+01 2056 2065 2060 7 ageiceArctic45E60 Gamma 1.060E-01 1.721E+03 9.995E+01 2056 2065 2060 8 ageiceArctic45E60 Gamma 1.053E-01 2.028E+03 1.176E+02 2056 2065 2060 9 ageiceArctic45E60 Gamma 1.048E-01 2.323E+03 1.319E+02 2056 2065 2060 10 ageiceArctic45E60 Gamma 3.205E-01 5.497E+02 7.433E+01 2056 2065 2060 11 ageiceArctic45E60 Gamma 1.069E+00 5.933E+01 1.542E+01 2056 2065 2060 12 ageice

71

Country Distribution Parameter_1 Parameter_2 Std Error Start_Year End_Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic45E60 Gamma 3.771E+00 1.070E+01 6.744E+00 2066 2075 2070 1 ageiceArctic45E60 Gamma 1.613E+01 2.333E+00 3.957E+00 2066 2075 2070 2 ageiceArctic45E60 Gamma 1.700E+01 3.338E+00 5.722E+00 2066 2075 2070 3 ageiceArctic45E60 Gamma 1.891E+01 4.345E+00 7.557E+00 2066 2075 2070 4 ageiceArctic45E60 Gamma 3.307E+01 3.490E+00 8.062E+00 2066 2075 2070 5 ageiceArctic45E60 Gamma 5.771E+01 2.633E+00 8.182E+00 2066 2075 2070 6 ageiceArctic45E60 Gamma 8.164E+00 2.082E+01 2.049E+01 2066 2075 2070 7 ageiceArctic45E60 Gamma 1.064E-01 1.572E+03 9.588E+01 2066 2075 2070 8 ageiceArctic45E60 Gamma 1.058E-01 1.797E+03 1.096E+02 2066 2075 2070 9 ageiceArctic45E60 Gamma 1.055E-01 1.932E+03 1.157E+02 2066 2075 2070 10 ageiceArctic45E60 Gamma 1.061E-01 1.669E+03 1.008E+02 2066 2075 2070 11 ageiceArctic45E60 Gamma 7.896E-01 8.855E+01 1.932E+01 2066 2075 2070 12 ageiceArctic45E60 Gamma 1.417E+00 2.298E+01 8.311E+00 2076 2085 2080 1 ageiceArctic45E60 Gamma 4.097E+00 8.761E+00 6.761E+00 2076 2085 2080 2 ageiceArctic45E60 Gamma 7.428E+00 6.615E+00 6.523E+00 2076 2085 2080 3 ageiceArctic45E60 Gamma 8.636E+00 8.811E+00 9.448E+00 2076 2085 2080 4 ageiceArctic45E60 Gamma 1.448E+01 7.482E+00 1.155E+01 2076 2085 2080 5 ageiceArctic45E60 Gamma 1.617E+01 8.781E+00 1.526E+01 2076 2085 2080 6 ageiceArctic45E60 Gamma 1.094E+00 1.265E+02 3.315E+01 2076 2085 2080 7 ageiceArctic45E60 Gamma 1.066E-01 1.476E+03 8.393E+01 2076 2085 2080 8 ageiceArctic45E60 Gamma 1.063E-01 1.574E+03 9.451E+01 2076 2085 2080 9 ageiceArctic45E60 Gamma 1.059E-01 1.740E+03 1.055E+02 2076 2085 2080 10 ageiceArctic45E60 Gamma 1.074E-01 1.081E+03 4.993E+01 2076 2085 2080 11 ageiceArctic45E60 Gamma 5.038E-01 1.200E+02 1.944E+01 2076 2085 2080 12 ageiceArctic45E60 Gamma 1.845E+00 1.646E+01 8.621E+00 2086 2099 2092 1 ageiceArctic45E60 Gamma 8.608E+00 3.384E+00 4.109E+00 2086 2099 2092 2 ageiceArctic45E60 Gamma 1.398E+01 3.256E+00 4.883E+00 2086 2099 2092 3 ageiceArctic45E60 Gamma 1.214E+01 5.915E+00 7.867E+00 2086 2099 2092 4 ageiceArctic45E60 Gamma 3.851E+01 2.820E+00 7.375E+00 2086 2099 2092 5 ageiceArctic45E60 Gamma 3.641E+00 3.324E+01 1.970E+01 2086 2099 2092 6 ageice

72

Country Distribution Parameter_1 Parameter_2 Std Error Start_Year End_Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic45E60 Gamma 1.869E+00 7.932E+01 2.961E+01 2086 2099 2092 7 ageiceArctic45E60 Gamma 1.075E-01 1.167E+03 6.507E+01 2086 2099 2092 8 ageiceArctic45E60 Gamma 1.090E-01 8.175E+02 5.005E+01 2086 2099 2092 9 ageiceArctic45E60 Gamma 1.101E-01 6.253E+02 3.452E+01 2086 2099 2092 10 ageiceArctic45E60 Gamma 1.098E-01 4.686E+02 1.622E+01 2086 2099 2092 11 ageiceArctic45E60 Gamma 6.148E-01 1.102E+02 2.113E+01 2086 2099 2092 12 ageiceArctic45W60 Gamma 1.487E+01 8.254E+00 1.352E+01 2006 2015 2010 1 ageiceArctic45W60 Gamma 3.538E+01 3.827E+00 1.049E+01 2006 2015 2010 2 ageiceArctic45W60 Gamma 4.454E+01 3.453E+00 1.269E+01 2006 2015 2010 3 ageiceArctic45W60 Gamma 9.278E+01 1.862E+00 9.002E+00 2006 2015 2010 4 ageiceArctic45W60 Gamma 4.288E+01 4.734E+00 1.328E+01 2006 2015 2010 5 ageiceArctic45W60 Gamma 6.717E+00 4.037E+01 3.565E+01 2006 2015 2010 6 ageiceArctic45W60 Gamma 4.037E+00 1.274E+02 9.106E+01 2006 2015 2010 7 ageiceArctic45W60 Gamma 1.006E-01 7.283E+03 4.151E+02 2006 2015 2010 8 ageiceArctic45W60 Gamma 9.943E-02 1.007E+04 5.977E+02 2006 2015 2010 9 ageiceArctic45W60 Gamma 3.460E-01 1.423E+03 1.633E+02 2006 2015 2010 10 ageiceArctic45W60 Gamma 1.903E+00 4.207E+01 1.701E+01 2006 2015 2010 11 ageiceArctic45W60 Gamma 5.796E+00 1.800E+01 1.484E+01 2006 2015 2010 12 ageiceArctic45W60 Gamma 3.792E+01 3.143E+00 7.953E+00 2016 2025 2020 1 ageiceArctic45W60 Gamma 4.400E+01 3.173E+00 9.766E+00 2016 2025 2020 2 ageiceArctic45W60 Gamma 6.988E+01 2.288E+00 9.739E+00 2016 2025 2020 3 ageiceArctic45W60 Gamma 8.094E+01 2.183E+00 1.015E+01 2016 2025 2020 4 ageiceArctic45W60 Gamma 3.614E+01 5.894E+00 1.645E+01 2016 2025 2020 5 ageiceArctic45W60 Gamma 7.061E+00 4.147E+01 3.860E+01 2016 2025 2020 6 ageiceArctic45W60 Gamma 4.689E+00 1.175E+02 1.014E+02 2016 2025 2020 7 ageiceArctic45W60 Gamma 1.002E-01 7.710E+03 3.845E+02 2016 2025 2020 8 ageiceArctic45W60 Gamma 9.920E-02 1.063E+04 5.807E+02 2016 2025 2020 9 ageiceArctic45W60 Gamma 2.847E-01 2.333E+03 2.541E+02 2016 2025 2020 10 ageiceArctic45W60 Gamma 1.499E+00 4.517E+01 1.435E+01 2016 2025 2020 11 ageiceArctic45W60 Gamma 8.115E+00 1.101E+01 1.144E+01 2016 2025 2020 12 ageice

73

Country Distribution Parameter_1 Parameter_2 Std Error Start_Year End_Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic45W60 Gamma 1.607E+01 5.808E+00 9.462E+00 2026 2035 2030 1 ageiceArctic45W60 Gamma 2.232E+01 5.186E+00 9.373E+00 2026 2035 2030 2 ageiceArctic45W60 Gamma 3.354E+01 4.223E+00 9.885E+00 2026 2035 2030 3 ageiceArctic45W60 Gamma 3.723E+01 4.489E+00 1.103E+01 2026 2035 2030 4 ageiceArctic45W60 Gamma 2.191E+01 9.149E+00 1.781E+01 2026 2035 2030 5 ageiceArctic45W60 Gamma 5.654E+00 5.407E+01 4.356E+01 2026 2035 2030 6 ageiceArctic45W60 Gamma 3.454E+00 1.381E+02 9.175E+01 2026 2035 2030 7 ageiceArctic45W60 Gamma 1.014E-01 5.764E+03 3.141E+02 2026 2035 2030 8 ageiceArctic45W60 Gamma 1.004E-01 7.595E+03 4.206E+02 2026 2035 2030 9 ageiceArctic45W60 Gamma 2.898E-01 1.015E+03 1.269E+02 2026 2035 2030 10 ageiceArctic45W60 Gamma 1.045E+00 5.094E+01 1.292E+01 2026 2035 2030 11 ageiceArctic45W60 Gamma 4.148E+00 1.742E+01 1.140E+01 2026 2035 2030 12 ageiceArctic45W60 Gamma 3.209E+01 2.774E+00 6.352E+00 2036 2045 2040 1 ageiceArctic45W60 Gamma 5.921E+01 1.827E+00 6.742E+00 2036 2045 2040 2 ageiceArctic45W60 Gamma 9.179E+01 1.424E+00 6.584E+00 2036 2045 2040 3 ageiceArctic45W60 Gamma 8.231E+01 1.894E+00 7.815E+00 2036 2045 2040 4 ageiceArctic45W60 Gamma 3.170E+01 6.206E+00 1.392E+01 2036 2045 2040 5 ageiceArctic45W60 Gamma 6.664E+00 4.535E+01 4.200E+01 2036 2045 2040 6 ageiceArctic45W60 Gamma 3.060E+00 1.570E+02 8.407E+01 2036 2045 2040 7 ageiceArctic45W60 Gamma 1.012E-01 5.963E+03 3.215E+02 2036 2045 2040 8 ageiceArctic45W60 Gamma 1.003E-01 7.836E+03 4.457E+02 2036 2045 2040 9 ageiceArctic45W60 Gamma 1.013E-01 5.866E+03 3.314E+02 2036 2045 2040 10 ageiceArctic45W60 Gamma 1.212E+00 2.284E+01 6.897E+00 2036 2045 2040 11 ageiceArctic45W60 Gamma 5.682E+00 1.002E+01 8.208E+00 2036 2045 2040 12 ageiceArctic45W60 Gamma 1.665E+01 4.404E+00 6.940E+00 2046 2055 2050 1 ageiceArctic45W60 Gamma 1.325E+01 7.878E+00 1.278E+01 2046 2055 2050 2 ageiceArctic45W60 Gamma 1.350E+01 9.832E+00 1.378E+01 2046 2055 2050 3 ageiceArctic45W60 Gamma 1.688E+01 9.030E+00 1.422E+01 2046 2055 2050 4 ageiceArctic45W60 Gamma 1.046E+01 1.858E+01 2.305E+01 2046 2055 2050 5 ageiceArctic45W60 Gamma 3.425E+00 9.463E+01 6.013E+01 2046 2055 2050 6 ageice

74

Country Distribution Parameter_1 Parameter_2 Std Error Start_Year End_Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic45W60 Gamma 2.630E+00 2.032E+02 1.032E+02 2046 2055 2050 7 ageiceArctic45W60 Gamma 1.010E-01 6.148E+03 3.154E+02 2046 2055 2050 8 ageiceArctic45W60 Gamma 1.005E-01 7.165E+03 3.654E+02 2046 2055 2050 9 ageiceArctic45W60 Gamma 1.010E-01 5.106E+03 2.092E+02 2046 2055 2050 10 ageiceArctic45W60 Gamma 1.044E+00 2.411E+01 7.007E+00 2046 2055 2050 11 ageiceArctic45W60 Gamma 4.303E+00 1.053E+01 7.538E+00 2046 2055 2050 12 ageiceArctic45W60 Gamma 3.711E+00 2.493E+01 1.879E+01 2056 2065 2060 1 ageiceArctic45W60 Gamma 5.840E+00 2.050E+01 2.124E+01 2056 2065 2060 2 ageiceArctic45W60 Gamma 6.784E+00 2.144E+01 2.515E+01 2056 2065 2060 3 ageiceArctic45W60 Gamma 9.090E+00 1.831E+01 2.443E+01 2056 2065 2060 4 ageiceArctic45W60 Gamma 9.445E+00 2.147E+01 2.770E+01 2056 2065 2060 5 ageiceArctic45W60 Gamma 4.095E+00 8.200E+01 6.305E+01 2056 2065 2060 6 ageiceArctic45W60 Gamma 1.153E+00 3.826E+02 1.071E+02 2056 2065 2060 7 ageiceArctic45W60 Gamma 1.014E-01 5.457E+03 2.769E+02 2056 2065 2060 8 ageiceArctic45W60 Gamma 1.010E-01 6.278E+03 3.362E+02 2056 2065 2060 9 ageiceArctic45W60 Gamma 1.028E-01 4.006E+03 2.403E+02 2056 2065 2060 10 ageiceArctic45W60 Gamma 5.207E-01 3.827E+01 6.157E+00 2056 2065 2060 11 ageiceArctic45W60 Gamma 1.965E+00 2.721E+01 1.355E+01 2056 2065 2060 12 ageiceArctic45W60 Gamma 4.349E+00 1.929E+01 1.415E+01 2066 2075 2070 1 ageiceArctic45W60 Gamma 6.244E+00 1.762E+01 1.861E+01 2066 2075 2070 2 ageiceArctic45W60 Gamma 7.640E+00 1.781E+01 1.869E+01 2066 2075 2070 3 ageiceArctic45W60 Gamma 9.311E+00 1.684E+01 1.992E+01 2066 2075 2070 4 ageiceArctic45W60 Gamma 7.424E+00 2.811E+01 2.822E+01 2066 2075 2070 5 ageiceArctic45W60 Gamma 4.226E+00 7.768E+01 5.136E+01 2066 2075 2070 6 ageiceArctic45W60 Gamma 1.406E+00 3.058E+02 9.672E+01 2066 2075 2070 7 ageiceArctic45W60 Gamma 1.011E-01 5.723E+03 2.671E+02 2066 2075 2070 8 ageiceArctic45W60 Gamma 1.007E-01 6.373E+03 2.944E+02 2066 2075 2070 9 ageiceArctic45W60 Gamma 1.031E-01 3.593E+03 2.033E+02 2066 2075 2070 10 ageiceArctic45W60 Gamma 3.994E-01 1.851E+02 2.284E+01 2066 2075 2070 11 ageiceArctic45W60 Gamma 1.632E+00 3.018E+01 1.087E+01 2066 2075 2070 12 ageice

75

Country Distribution Parameter_1 Parameter_2 Std Error Start_Year End_Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic45W60 Gamma 1.474E+01 3.483E+00 5.023E+00 2076 2085 2080 1 ageiceArctic45W60 Gamma 3.365E+01 2.205E+00 5.088E+00 2076 2085 2080 2 ageiceArctic45W60 Gamma 2.304E+01 4.440E+00 9.031E+00 2076 2085 2080 3 ageiceArctic45W60 Gamma 2.042E+01 6.378E+00 1.232E+01 2076 2085 2080 4 ageiceArctic45W60 Gamma 1.532E+01 1.089E+01 1.775E+01 2076 2085 2080 5 ageiceArctic45W60 Gamma 8.427E+00 2.845E+01 3.290E+01 2076 2085 2080 6 ageiceArctic45W60 Gamma 2.394E+00 1.230E+02 6.019E+01 2076 2085 2080 7 ageiceArctic45W60 Gamma 1.030E-01 3.457E+03 1.669E+02 2076 2085 2080 8 ageiceArctic45W60 Gamma 1.037E-01 2.493E+03 1.007E+02 2076 2085 2080 9 ageiceArctic45W60 Gamma 1.087E-01 8.128E+02 3.844E+01 2076 2085 2080 10 ageiceArctic45W60 Gamma 1.169E+00 6.823E+00 2.427E+00 2076 2085 2080 11 ageiceArctic45W60 Gamma 4.535E+00 5.093E+00 3.402E+00 2076 2085 2080 12 ageiceArctic45W60 Gamma 5.613E+00 8.414E+00 7.180E+00 2086 2099 2092 1 ageiceArctic45W60 Gamma 1.357E+01 5.183E+00 7.671E+00 2086 2099 2092 2 ageiceArctic45W60 Gamma 1.479E+01 7.078E+00 1.022E+01 2086 2099 2092 3 ageiceArctic45W60 Gamma 1.980E+01 6.476E+00 1.147E+01 2086 2099 2092 4 ageiceArctic45W60 Gamma 1.932E+01 8.260E+00 1.369E+01 2086 2099 2092 5 ageiceArctic45W60 Gamma 1.074E+01 1.919E+01 2.245E+01 2086 2099 2092 6 ageiceArctic45W60 Gamma 1.056E-01 1.902E+03 1.150E+02 2086 2099 2092 7 ageiceArctic45W60 Gamma 1.050E-01 2.129E+03 1.126E+02 2086 2099 2092 8 ageiceArctic45W60 Gamma 1.066E-01 1.468E+03 8.237E+01 2086 2099 2092 9 ageiceArctic45W60 Gamma 1.104E-01 5.819E+02 3.299E+01 2086 2099 2092 10 ageiceArctic45W60 Gamma 1.167E-01 1.269E+02 5.283E+00 2086 2099 2092 11 ageiceArctic45W60 Gamma 1.821E+00 1.109E+01 4.642E+00 2086 2099 2092 12 ageiceArctic60E75 Gamma 6.940E+00 1.314E+01 1.604E+01 2006 2015 2010 1 ageiceArctic60E75 Gamma 1.232E+01 8.271E+00 1.382E+01 2006 2015 2010 2 ageiceArctic60E75 Gamma 1.944E+01 6.145E+00 1.343E+01 2006 2015 2010 3 ageiceArctic60E75 Gamma 3.373E+01 4.220E+00 1.204E+01 2006 2015 2010 4 ageiceArctic60E75 Gamma 3.701E+01 4.633E+00 1.418E+01 2006 2015 2010 5 ageiceArctic60E75 Gamma 3.721E+01 5.480E+00 1.647E+01 2006 2015 2010 6 ageice

76

Country Distribution Parameter_1 Parameter_2 Std Error Start_Year End_Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic60E75 Gamma 1.990E+01 1.173E+01 2.236E+01 2006 2015 2010 7 ageiceArctic60E75 Gamma 4.715E+01 6.137E+00 1.931E+01 2006 2015 2010 8 ageiceArctic60E75 Gamma 1.086E+02 3.043E+00 1.501E+01 2006 2015 2010 9 ageiceArctic60E75 Gamma 1.519E+00 1.093E+02 3.575E+01 2006 2015 2010 10 ageiceArctic60E75 Gamma 2.125E+00 4.276E+01 1.895E+01 2006 2015 2010 11 ageiceArctic60E75 Gamma 4.592E+00 1.937E+01 1.630E+01 2006 2015 2010 12 ageiceArctic60E75 Gamma 8.321E+01 9.541E-01 3.844E+00 2016 2025 2020 1 ageiceArctic60E75 Gamma 1.366E+03 6.229E-02 1.232E+00 2016 2025 2020 2 ageiceArctic60E75 Gamma 1.007E+03 1.025E-01 1.536E+00 2016 2025 2020 3 ageiceArctic60E75 Gamma 1.359E+03 9.575E-02 2.288E+00 2016 2025 2020 4 ageiceArctic60E75 Gamma 3.784E+02 4.263E-01 4.339E+00 2016 2025 2020 5 ageiceArctic60E75 Gamma 1.902E+02 1.011E+00 6.368E+00 2016 2025 2020 6 ageiceArctic60E75 Gamma 4.361E+01 5.082E+00 1.351E+01 2016 2025 2020 7 ageiceArctic60E75 Gamma 9.940E+01 2.733E+00 1.159E+01 2016 2025 2020 8 ageiceArctic60E75 Gamma 6.893E+01 4.400E+00 1.578E+01 2016 2025 2020 9 ageiceArctic60E75 Gamma 1.861E+00 8.459E+01 3.153E+01 2016 2025 2020 10 ageiceArctic60E75 Gamma 5.092E+00 1.485E+01 1.097E+01 2016 2025 2020 11 ageiceArctic60E75 Gamma 2.032E+01 3.368E+00 6.979E+00 2016 2025 2020 12 ageiceArctic60E75 Gamma 7.577E+00 9.691E+00 1.293E+01 2026 2035 2030 1 ageiceArctic60E75 Gamma 2.083E+01 3.785E+00 9.121E+00 2026 2035 2030 2 ageiceArctic60E75 Gamma 3.033E+01 3.190E+00 1.013E+01 2026 2035 2030 3 ageiceArctic60E75 Gamma 4.192E+01 2.883E+00 1.050E+01 2026 2035 2030 4 ageiceArctic60E75 Gamma 4.769E+01 3.203E+00 1.169E+01 2026 2035 2030 5 ageiceArctic60E75 Gamma 4.125E+01 4.480E+00 1.433E+01 2026 2035 2030 6 ageiceArctic60E75 Gamma 2.265E+01 9.495E+00 2.117E+01 2026 2035 2030 7 ageiceArctic60E75 Gamma 4.365E+01 6.011E+00 1.970E+01 2026 2035 2030 8 ageiceArctic60E75 Gamma 1.802E+00 1.291E+02 4.683E+01 2026 2035 2030 9 ageiceArctic60E75 Gamma 6.939E-01 2.560E+02 5.236E+01 2026 2035 2030 10 ageiceArctic60E75 Gamma 1.300E+00 4.839E+01 1.760E+01 2026 2035 2030 11 ageiceArctic60E75 Gamma 3.919E+00 1.601E+01 1.314E+01 2026 2035 2030 12 ageice

77

Country Distribution Parameter_1 Parameter_2 Std Error Start_Year End_Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic60E75 Gamma 7.003E+01 6.786E-01 2.852E+00 2036 2045 2040 1 ageiceArctic60E75 Gamma 9.474E+01 6.650E-01 3.603E+00 2036 2045 2040 2 ageiceArctic60E75 Gamma 9.301E+01 8.815E-01 4.607E+00 2036 2045 2040 3 ageiceArctic60E75 Gamma 1.067E+02 1.012E+00 5.377E+00 2036 2045 2040 4 ageiceArctic60E75 Gamma 9.393E+01 1.476E+00 7.019E+00 2036 2045 2040 5 ageiceArctic60E75 Gamma 6.127E+01 2.755E+00 9.948E+00 2036 2045 2040 6 ageiceArctic60E75 Gamma 4.210E+01 4.711E+00 1.360E+01 2036 2045 2040 7 ageiceArctic60E75 Gamma 1.513E+01 1.472E+01 2.330E+01 2036 2045 2040 8 ageiceArctic60E75 Gamma 1.054E-01 1.974E+03 1.139E+02 2036 2045 2040 9 ageiceArctic60E75 Gamma 4.333E-01 4.883E+02 7.854E+01 2036 2045 2040 10 ageiceArctic60E75 Gamma 9.471E-01 7.829E+01 1.874E+01 2036 2045 2040 11 ageiceArctic60E75 Gamma 6.904E+00 5.463E+00 5.687E+00 2036 2045 2040 12 ageiceArctic60E75 Gamma 7.070E+00 6.403E+00 8.963E+00 2046 2055 2050 1 ageiceArctic60E75 Gamma 1.720E+01 3.150E+00 7.729E+00 2046 2055 2050 2 ageiceArctic60E75 Gamma 4.537E+01 1.552E+00 5.724E+00 2046 2055 2050 3 ageiceArctic60E75 Gamma 3.231E+01 3.048E+00 8.789E+00 2046 2055 2050 4 ageiceArctic60E75 Gamma 2.654E+01 5.052E+00 1.269E+01 2046 2055 2050 5 ageiceArctic60E75 Gamma 3.552E+01 4.488E+00 1.246E+01 2046 2055 2050 6 ageiceArctic60E75 Gamma 5.271E+01 3.689E+00 1.279E+01 2046 2055 2050 7 ageiceArctic60E75 Gamma 9.562E-01 1.842E+02 4.437E+01 2046 2055 2050 8 ageiceArctic60E75 Gamma 1.057E-01 1.865E+03 1.101E+02 2046 2055 2050 9 ageiceArctic60E75 Gamma 1.056E-01 1.917E+03 1.127E+02 2046 2055 2050 10 ageiceArctic60E75 Gamma 7.294E-01 1.028E+02 2.059E+01 2046 2055 2050 11 ageiceArctic60E75 Gamma 2.428E+00 1.743E+01 1.033E+01 2046 2055 2050 12 ageiceArctic60E75 Gamma 8.920E+00 3.948E+00 5.419E+00 2056 2065 2060 1 ageiceArctic60E75 Gamma 2.320E+01 2.060E+00 5.080E+00 2056 2065 2060 2 ageiceArctic60E75 Gamma 3.770E+01 1.751E+00 5.105E+00 2056 2065 2060 3 ageiceArctic60E75 Gamma 3.424E+01 2.676E+00 7.335E+00 2056 2065 2060 4 ageiceArctic60E75 Gamma 3.664E+01 3.389E+00 8.961E+00 2056 2065 2060 5 ageiceArctic60E75 Gamma 4.770E+01 3.220E+00 9.610E+00 2056 2065 2060 6 ageice

78

Country Distribution Parameter_1 Parameter_2 Std Error Start_Year End_Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic60E75 Gamma 6.846E+01 2.779E+00 1.050E+01 2056 2065 2060 7 ageiceArctic60E75 Gamma 1.156E+00 1.516E+02 4.102E+01 2056 2065 2060 8 ageiceArctic60E75 Gamma 1.055E-01 1.931E+03 1.114E+02 2056 2065 2060 9 ageiceArctic60E75 Gamma 1.054E-01 1.979E+03 1.203E+02 2056 2065 2060 10 ageiceArctic60E75 Gamma 5.134E-01 1.811E+02 2.990E+01 2056 2065 2060 11 ageiceArctic60E75 Gamma 2.864E+00 9.277E+00 5.818E+00 2056 2065 2060 12 ageiceArctic60E75 Gamma 1.797E+01 1.741E+00 3.134E+00 2066 2075 2070 1 ageiceArctic60E75 Gamma 5.733E+01 7.452E-01 2.583E+00 2066 2075 2070 2 ageiceArctic60E75 Gamma 3.731E+01 1.682E+00 4.114E+00 2066 2075 2070 3 ageiceArctic60E75 Gamma 3.279E+01 2.731E+00 6.254E+00 2066 2075 2070 4 ageiceArctic60E75 Gamma 3.335E+01 3.601E+00 8.255E+00 2066 2075 2070 5 ageiceArctic60E75 Gamma 4.716E+01 3.209E+00 8.862E+00 2066 2075 2070 6 ageiceArctic60E75 Gamma 4.797E+01 3.796E+00 1.076E+01 2066 2075 2070 7 ageiceArctic60E75 Gamma 1.065E-01 1.532E+03 9.431E+01 2066 2075 2070 8 ageiceArctic60E75 Gamma 1.058E-01 1.801E+03 1.104E+02 2066 2075 2070 9 ageiceArctic60E75 Gamma 1.053E-01 2.062E+03 1.246E+02 2066 2075 2070 10 ageiceArctic60E75 Gamma 3.995E-01 2.966E+02 4.618E+01 2066 2075 2070 11 ageiceArctic60E75 Gamma 2.245E+00 1.328E+01 5.647E+00 2066 2075 2070 12 ageiceArctic60E75 Gamma 7.941E+00 3.396E+00 3.635E+00 2076 2085 2080 1 ageiceArctic60E75 Gamma 1.810E+01 2.102E+00 3.422E+00 2076 2085 2080 2 ageiceArctic60E75 Gamma 2.577E+01 2.142E+00 4.484E+00 2076 2085 2080 3 ageiceArctic60E75 Gamma 1.941E+01 4.156E+00 7.158E+00 2076 2085 2080 4 ageiceArctic60E75 Gamma 1.922E+01 5.742E+00 1.008E+01 2076 2085 2080 5 ageiceArctic60E75 Gamma 4.598E+01 3.151E+00 9.219E+00 2076 2085 2080 6 ageiceArctic60E75 Gamma 9.953E+00 1.653E+01 1.904E+01 2076 2085 2080 7 ageiceArctic60E75 Gamma 1.064E-01 1.548E+03 9.457E+01 2076 2085 2080 8 ageiceArctic60E75 Gamma 1.059E-01 1.764E+03 1.042E+02 2076 2085 2080 9 ageiceArctic60E75 Gamma 1.057E-01 1.837E+03 1.107E+02 2076 2085 2080 10 ageiceArctic60E75 Gamma 1.079E-01 1.064E+03 6.136E+01 2076 2085 2080 11 ageiceArctic60E75 Gamma 1.168E+00 2.812E+01 8.732E+00 2076 2085 2080 12 ageice

79

Country Distribution Parameter_1 Parameter_2 Std Error Start_Year End_Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic60E75 Gamma 1.075E+01 2.487E+00 3.305E+00 2086 2099 2092 1 ageiceArctic60E75 Gamma 2.730E+02 1.188E-01 8.832E-01 2086 2099 2092 2 ageiceArctic60E75 Gamma 1.166E+02 4.352E-01 2.160E+00 2086 2099 2092 3 ageiceArctic60E75 Gamma 5.249E+01 1.454E+00 4.368E+00 2086 2099 2092 4 ageiceArctic60E75 Gamma 4.420E+01 2.455E+00 6.589E+00 2086 2099 2092 5 ageiceArctic60E75 Gamma 7.420E+01 1.898E+00 6.715E+00 2086 2099 2092 6 ageiceArctic60E75 Gamma 1.722E+01 9.978E+00 1.650E+01 2086 2099 2092 7 ageiceArctic60E75 Gamma 1.070E-01 1.313E+03 7.387E+01 2086 2099 2092 8 ageiceArctic60E75 Gamma 1.075E-01 1.178E+03 7.250E+01 2086 2099 2092 9 ageiceArctic60E75 Gamma 1.096E-01 7.218E+02 4.459E+01 2086 2099 2092 10 ageiceArctic60E75 Gamma 4.041E-01 1.783E+02 2.856E+01 2086 2099 2092 11 ageiceArctic60E75 Gamma 2.201E+00 1.023E+01 5.684E+00 2086 2099 2092 12 ageiceArctic60W75 Gamma 2.685E+00 2.058E+02 9.658E+01 2006 2015 2010 1 ageiceArctic60W75 Gamma 3.026E+00 1.797E+02 9.137E+01 2006 2015 2010 2 ageiceArctic60W75 Gamma 3.429E+00 1.577E+02 8.724E+01 2006 2015 2010 3 ageiceArctic60W75 Gamma 3.525E+00 1.634E+02 9.349E+01 2006 2015 2010 4 ageiceArctic60W75 Gamma 3.287E+00 1.980E+02 1.084E+02 2006 2015 2010 5 ageiceArctic60W75 Gamma 2.505E+00 3.283E+02 1.490E+02 2006 2015 2010 6 ageiceArctic60W75 Gamma 2.011E+00 5.735E+02 2.267E+02 2006 2015 2010 7 ageiceArctic60W75 Gamma 3.854E+00 3.986E+02 2.536E+02 2006 2015 2010 8 ageiceArctic60W75 Gamma 3.413E+00 4.693E+02 2.768E+02 2006 2015 2010 9 ageiceArctic60W75 Gamma 2.330E+00 3.667E+02 1.629E+02 2006 2015 2010 10 ageiceArctic60W75 Gamma 1.867E+00 3.302E+02 1.216E+02 2006 2015 2010 11 ageiceArctic60W75 Gamma 2.333E+00 2.473E+02 1.054E+02 2006 2015 2010 12 ageiceArctic60W75 Gamma 2.314E+00 2.053E+02 8.824E+01 2016 2025 2020 1 ageiceArctic60W75 Gamma 2.716E+00 1.721E+02 8.270E+01 2016 2025 2020 2 ageiceArctic60W75 Gamma 3.038E+00 1.562E+02 8.157E+01 2016 2025 2020 3 ageiceArctic60W75 Gamma 3.151E+00 1.606E+02 8.662E+01 2016 2025 2020 4 ageiceArctic60W75 Gamma 3.049E+00 1.890E+02 1.000E+02 2016 2025 2020 5 ageiceArctic60W75 Gamma 2.300E+00 3.187E+02 1.412E+02 2016 2025 2020 6 ageice

80


81

Country Distribution Parameter_1 Parameter_2 Std Error Start_Year End_Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic60W75 Gamma 1.967E+00 1.691E+02 7.299E+01 2046 2055 2050 1 ageiceArctic60W75 Gamma 2.286E+00 1.398E+02 6.840E+01 2046 2055 2050 2 ageiceArctic60W75 Gamma 2.753E+00 1.176E+02 6.471E+01 2046 2055 2050 3 ageiceArctic60W75 Gamma 3.088E+00 1.121E+02 6.675E+01 2046 2055 2050 4 ageiceArctic60W75 Gamma 3.079E+00 1.299E+02 7.772E+01 2046 2055 2050 5 ageiceArctic60W75 Gamma 2.288E+00 2.324E+02 1.091E+02 2046 2055 2050 6 ageiceArctic60W75 Gamma 2.253E+00 3.367E+02 1.539E+02 2046 2055 2050 7 ageiceArctic60W75 Gamma 3.047E+00 3.085E+02 1.793E+02 2046 2055 2050 8 ageiceArctic60W75 Gamma 1.101E+00 8.980E+02 2.369E+02 2046 2055 2050 9 ageiceArctic60W75 Gamma 1.085E+00 6.651E+02 1.729E+02 2046 2055 2050 10 ageiceArctic60W75 Gamma 1.209E+00 2.973E+02 8.730E+01 2046 2055 2050 11 ageiceArctic60W75 Gamma 1.512E+00 2.258E+02 7.779E+01 2046 2055 2050 12 ageiceArctic60W75 Gamma 1.378E+00 2.273E+02 7.809E+01 2056 2065 2060 1 ageiceArctic60W75 Gamma 1.690E+00 1.811E+02 7.484E+01 2056 2065 2060 2 ageiceArctic60W75 Gamma 1.968E+00 1.543E+02 7.160E+01 2056 2065 2060 3 ageiceArctic60W75 Gamma 2.292E+00 1.416E+02 7.371E+01 2056 2065 2060 4 ageiceArctic60W75 Gamma 2.344E+00 1.617E+02 8.436E+01 2056 2065 2060 5 ageiceArctic60W75 Gamma 2.040E+00 2.445E+02 1.100E+02 2056 2065 2060 6 ageiceArctic60W75 Gamma 2.323E+00 3.043E+02 1.567E+02 2056 2065 2060 7 ageiceArctic60W75 Gamma 2.350E+00 4.041E+02 1.882E+02 2056 2065 2060 8 ageiceArctic60W75 Gamma 3.955E-01 2.299E+03 3.344E+02 2056 2065 2060 9 ageiceArctic60W75 Gamma 5.956E-01 1.189E+03 2.256E+02 2056 2065 2060 10 ageiceArctic60W75 Gamma 8.023E-01 4.747E+02 1.022E+02 2056 2065 2060 11 ageiceArctic60W75 Gamma 9.448E-01 3.700E+02 9.123E+01 2056 2065 2060 12 ageiceArctic60W75 Gamma 1.330E+00 2.404E+02 7.174E+01 2066 2075 2070 1 ageiceArctic60W75 Gamma 1.689E+00 1.805E+02 6.629E+01 2066 2075 2070 2 ageiceArctic60W75 Gamma 1.916E+00 1.596E+02 6.616E+01 2066 2075 2070 3 ageiceArctic60W75 Gamma 2.249E+00 1.449E+02 6.795E+01 2066 2075 2070 4 ageiceArctic60W75 Gamma 2.263E+00 1.722E+02 8.287E+01 2066 2075 2070 5 ageiceArctic60W75 Gamma 1.805E+00 2.930E+02 1.248E+02 2066 2075 2070 6 ageice

82

Country Distribution Parameter_1 Parameter_2 Std Error Start_Year End_Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic60W75 Gamma 2.045E+00 3.645E+02 1.743E+02 2066 2075 2070 7 ageiceArctic60W75 Gamma 2.200E+00 4.373E+02 2.131E+02 2066 2075 2070 8 ageiceArctic60W75 Gamma 3.334E-01 3.880E+03 5.585E+02 2066 2075 2070 9 ageiceArctic60W75 Gamma 5.119E-01 2.512E+03 4.335E+02 2066 2075 2070 10 ageiceArctic60W75 Gamma 8.121E-01 5.215E+02 1.124E+02 2066 2075 2070 11 ageiceArctic60W75 Gamma 9.133E-01 3.623E+02 8.474E+01 2066 2075 2070 12 ageiceArctic60W75 Gamma 2.676E+00 5.695E+01 3.226E+01 2076 2085 2080 1 ageiceArctic60W75 Gamma 3.379E+00 4.878E+01 3.249E+01 2076 2085 2080 2 ageiceArctic60W75 Gamma 3.902E+00 4.547E+01 3.297E+01 2076 2085 2080 3 ageiceArctic60W75 Gamma 4.621E+00 4.327E+01 3.496E+01 2076 2085 2080 4 ageiceArctic60W75 Gamma 4.723E+00 5.029E+01 4.033E+01 2076 2085 2080 5 ageiceArctic60W75 Gamma 3.759E+00 8.107E+01 5.771E+01 2076 2085 2080 6 ageiceArctic60W75 Gamma 5.383E+00 7.327E+01 7.178E+01 2076 2085 2080 7 ageiceArctic60W75 Gamma 6.871E+00 6.822E+01 7.648E+01 2076 2085 2080 8 ageiceArctic60W75 Gamma 3.027E-01 1.342E+03 1.527E+02 2076 2085 2080 9 ageiceArctic60W75 Gamma 6.410E-01 5.423E+02 9.916E+01 2076 2085 2080 10 ageiceArctic60W75 Gamma 1.138E+00 1.329E+02 3.868E+01 2076 2085 2080 11 ageiceArctic60W75 Gamma 1.726E+00 7.410E+01 2.942E+01 2076 2085 2080 12 ageiceArctic60W75 Gamma 3.051E+00 3.464E+01 1.769E+01 2086 2099 2092 1 ageiceArctic60W75 Gamma 4.837E+00 2.606E+01 1.838E+01 2086 2099 2092 2 ageiceArctic60W75 Gamma 5.804E+00 2.485E+01 1.992E+01 2086 2099 2092 3 ageiceArctic60W75 Gamma 6.466E+00 2.586E+01 2.231E+01 2086 2099 2092 4 ageiceArctic60W75 Gamma 6.574E+00 3.039E+01 2.657E+01 2086 2099 2092 5 ageiceArctic60W75 Gamma 6.721E+00 3.739E+01 3.388E+01 2086 2099 2092 6 ageiceArctic60W75 Gamma 1.295E+01 2.438E+01 3.283E+01 2086 2099 2092 7 ageiceArctic60W75 Gamma 2.979E+00 1.042E+02 5.275E+01 2086 2099 2092 8 ageiceArctic60W75 Gamma 1.041E-01 2.786E+03 1.685E+02 2086 2099 2092 9 ageiceArctic60W75 Gamma 6.395E-01 3.955E+02 7.748E+01 2086 2099 2092 10 ageiceArctic60W75 Gamma 1.608E+00 6.439E+01 2.377E+01 2086 2099 2092 11 ageiceArctic60W75 Gamma 2.121E+00 4.026E+01 1.627E+01 2086 2099 2092 12 ageice

83

Country Distribution Parameter_1 Parameter_2 Std Error Start_Year End_Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic75E90 Gamma 4.600E+00 2.241E+01 2.180E+01 2006 2015 2010 1 ageiceArctic75E90 Gamma 7.670E+00 1.454E+01 1.923E+01 2006 2015 2010 2 ageiceArctic75E90 Gamma 1.033E+01 1.219E+01 1.883E+01 2006 2015 2010 3 ageiceArctic75E90 Gamma 1.380E+01 1.042E+01 1.865E+01 2006 2015 2010 4 ageiceArctic75E90 Gamma 1.357E+01 1.294E+01 2.346E+01 2006 2015 2010 5 ageiceArctic75E90 Gamma 1.658E+01 1.267E+01 2.583E+01 2006 2015 2010 6 ageiceArctic75E90 Gamma 1.570E+01 1.604E+01 3.009E+01 2006 2015 2010 7 ageiceArctic75E90 Gamma 1.948E+01 1.514E+01 3.100E+01 2006 2015 2010 8 ageiceArctic75E90 Gamma 1.551E+01 1.972E+01 3.423E+01 2006 2015 2010 9 ageiceArctic75E90 Gamma 1.112E+00 1.255E+02 3.497E+01 2006 2015 2010 10 ageiceArctic75E90 Gamma 1.665E+00 6.827E+01 2.815E+01 2006 2015 2010 11 ageiceArctic75E90 Gamma 3.007E+00 3.498E+01 2.466E+01 2006 2015 2010 12 ageiceArctic75E90 Gamma 3.028E+01 2.927E+00 7.788E+00 2016 2025 2020 1 ageiceArctic75E90 Gamma 1.377E+02 6.810E-01 4.358E+00 2016 2025 2020 2 ageiceArctic75E90 Gamma 3.865E+02 2.780E-01 2.750E+00 2016 2025 2020 3 ageiceArctic75E90 Gamma 1.241E+02 1.081E+00 5.945E+00 2016 2025 2020 4 ageiceArctic75E90 Gamma 9.513E+01 1.676E+00 7.110E+00 2016 2025 2020 5 ageiceArctic75E90 Gamma 1.050E+02 1.819E+00 9.579E+00 2016 2025 2020 6 ageiceArctic75E90 Gamma 5.447E+01 4.262E+00 1.677E+01 2016 2025 2020 7 ageiceArctic75E90 Gamma 1.051E+02 2.576E+00 1.410E+01 2016 2025 2020 8 ageiceArctic75E90 Gamma 2.887E+01 9.716E+00 2.184E+01 2016 2025 2020 9 ageiceArctic75E90 Gamma 1.807E+00 6.905E+01 2.481E+01 2016 2025 2020 10 ageiceArctic75E90 Gamma 5.894E+00 1.295E+01 1.115E+01 2016 2025 2020 11 ageiceArctic75E90 Gamma 1.182E+01 6.706E+00 9.628E+00 2016 2025 2020 12 ageiceArctic75E90 Gamma 8.520E+00 8.563E+00 1.176E+01 2026 2035 2030 1 ageiceArctic75E90 Gamma 1.528E+01 5.478E+00 1.098E+01 2026 2035 2030 2 ageiceArctic75E90 Gamma 2.622E+01 3.773E+00 9.429E+00 2026 2035 2030 3 ageiceArctic75E90 Gamma 3.237E+01 3.727E+00 1.050E+01 2026 2035 2030 4 ageiceArctic75E90 Gamma 3.050E+01 4.904E+00 1.260E+01 2026 2035 2030 5 ageiceArctic75E90 Gamma 3.782E+01 4.820E+00 1.437E+01 2026 2035 2030 6 ageice

84

Country Distribution Parameter_1 Parameter_2 Std Error Start_Year End_Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic75E90 Gamma 2.932E+01 7.554E+00 1.872E+01 2026 2035 2030 7 ageiceArctic75E90 Gamma 2.461E+01 1.041E+01 2.216E+01 2026 2035 2030 8 ageiceArctic75E90 Gamma 1.281E+00 1.737E+02 5.004E+01 2026 2035 2030 9 ageiceArctic75E90 Gamma 5.919E-01 2.037E+02 3.819E+01 2026 2035 2030 10 ageiceArctic75E90 Gamma 1.311E+00 4.652E+01 1.943E+01 2026 2035 2030 11 ageiceArctic75E90 Gamma 3.938E+00 1.558E+01 1.404E+01 2026 2035 2030 12 ageiceArctic75E90 Gamma 1.804E+01 2.927E+00 6.166E+00 2036 2045 2040 1 ageiceArctic75E90 Gamma 2.038E+01 3.376E+00 7.126E+00 2036 2045 2040 2 ageiceArctic75E90 Gamma 2.334E+01 3.647E+00 7.877E+00 2036 2045 2040 3 ageiceArctic75E90 Gamma 2.681E+01 3.941E+00 9.410E+00 2036 2045 2040 4 ageiceArctic75E90 Gamma 2.978E+01 4.424E+00 1.082E+01 2036 2045 2040 5 ageiceArctic75E90 Gamma 4.606E+01 3.571E+00 1.058E+01 2036 2045 2040 6 ageiceArctic75E90 Gamma 5.628E+01 3.587E+00 1.220E+01 2036 2045 2040 7 ageiceArctic75E90 Gamma 1.416E+01 1.566E+01 2.393E+01 2036 2045 2040 8 ageiceArctic75E90 Gamma 1.057E-01 1.859E+03 1.093E+02 2036 2045 2040 9 ageiceArctic75E90 Gamma 4.629E-01 3.317E+02 5.063E+01 2036 2045 2040 10 ageiceArctic75E90 Gamma 1.641E+00 1.794E+01 8.266E+00 2036 2045 2040 11 ageiceArctic75E90 Gamma 4.959E+00 8.307E+00 9.080E+00 2036 2045 2040 12 ageiceArctic75E90 Gamma 1.186E+01 3.954E+00 6.989E+00 2046 2055 2050 1 ageiceArctic75E90 Gamma 1.849E+01 3.168E+00 6.429E+00 2046 2055 2050 2 ageiceArctic75E90 Gamma 2.938E+01 2.580E+00 6.456E+00 2046 2055 2050 3 ageiceArctic75E90 Gamma 3.962E+01 2.471E+00 7.326E+00 2046 2055 2050 4 ageiceArctic75E90 Gamma 3.345E+01 3.806E+00 9.902E+00 2046 2055 2050 5 ageiceArctic75E90 Gamma 5.205E+01 3.059E+00 9.599E+00 2046 2055 2050 6 ageiceArctic75E90 Gamma 5.101E+01 3.848E+00 1.188E+01 2046 2055 2050 7 ageiceArctic75E90 Gamma 8.587E+00 2.413E+01 2.597E+01 2046 2055 2050 8 ageiceArctic75E90 Gamma 1.057E-01 1.830E+03 1.077E+02 2046 2055 2050 9 ageiceArctic75E90 Gamma 1.066E-01 1.442E+03 7.558E+01 2046 2055 2050 10 ageiceArctic75E90 Gamma 1.329E+00 2.515E+01 7.466E+00 2046 2055 2050 11 ageiceArctic75E90 Gamma 5.422E+00 5.759E+00 6.592E+00 2046 2055 2050 12 ageice

85

Country Distribution Parameter_1 Parameter_2 Std Error Start_Year End_Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic75E90 Gamma 1.401E+01 2.893E+00 4.199E+00 2056 2065 2060 1 ageiceArctic75E90 Gamma 2.816E+01 1.895E+00 4.163E+00 2056 2065 2060 2 ageiceArctic75E90 Gamma 3.837E+01 1.754E+00 4.657E+00 2056 2065 2060 3 ageiceArctic75E90 Gamma 3.581E+01 2.495E+00 5.904E+00 2056 2065 2060 4 ageiceArctic75E90 Gamma 2.800E+01 4.169E+00 8.639E+00 2056 2065 2060 5 ageiceArctic75E90 Gamma 5.602E+01 2.680E+00 8.284E+00 2056 2065 2060 6 ageiceArctic75E90 Gamma 3.100E+01 5.859E+00 1.361E+01 2056 2065 2060 7 ageiceArctic75E90 Gamma 1.858E+00 9.696E+01 3.575E+01 2056 2065 2060 8 ageiceArctic75E90 Gamma 1.058E-01 1.798E+03 1.083E+02 2056 2065 2060 9 ageiceArctic75E90 Gamma 1.056E-01 1.886E+03 1.138E+02 2056 2065 2060 10 ageiceArctic75E90 Gamma 1.026E+00 2.860E+01 7.745E+00 2056 2065 2060 11 ageiceArctic75E90 Gamma 5.937E+00 4.070E+00 3.296E+00 2056 2065 2060 12 ageiceArctic75E90 Gamma 2.073E+01 1.744E+00 3.214E+00 2066 2075 2070 1 ageiceArctic75E90 Gamma 3.061E+01 1.618E+00 3.656E+00 2066 2075 2070 2 ageiceArctic75E90 Gamma 2.394E+01 2.716E+00 5.162E+00 2066 2075 2070 3 ageiceArctic75E90 Gamma 2.028E+01 4.285E+00 7.505E+00 2066 2075 2070 4 ageiceArctic75E90 Gamma 1.744E+01 6.506E+00 1.015E+01 2066 2075 2070 5 ageiceArctic75E90 Gamma 4.784E+01 3.106E+00 8.962E+00 2066 2075 2070 6 ageiceArctic75E90 Gamma 2.647E+01 6.651E+00 1.320E+01 2066 2075 2070 7 ageiceArctic75E90 Gamma 1.072E+00 1.552E+02 4.055E+01 2066 2075 2070 8 ageiceArctic75E90 Gamma 1.059E-01 1.742E+03 1.071E+02 2066 2075 2070 9 ageiceArctic75E90 Gamma 1.056E-01 1.883E+03 1.127E+02 2066 2075 2070 10 ageiceArctic75E90 Gamma 6.004E-01 5.827E+01 1.023E+01 2066 2075 2070 11 ageiceArctic75E90 Gamma 5.252E+00 3.931E+00 3.042E+00 2066 2075 2070 12 ageiceArctic75E90 Gamma 7.536E+00 4.063E+00 4.158E+00 2076 2085 2080 1 ageiceArctic75E90 Gamma 2.002E+01 2.208E+00 3.986E+00 2076 2085 2080 2 ageiceArctic75E90 Gamma 1.855E+01 3.148E+00 5.319E+00 2076 2085 2080 3 ageiceArctic75E90 Gamma 1.434E+01 5.539E+00 7.751E+00 2076 2085 2080 4 ageiceArctic75E90 Gamma 1.426E+01 7.622E+00 1.088E+01 2076 2085 2080 5 ageiceArctic75E90 Gamma 4.598E+01 3.197E+00 9.054E+00 2076 2085 2080 6 ageice

86

Country Distribution Parameter_1 Parameter_2 Std Error Start_Year End_Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic75E90 Gamma 1.129E+00 1.221E+02 3.281E+01 2076 2085 2080 7 ageiceArctic75E90 Gamma 1.065E-01 1.501E+03 9.207E+01 2076 2085 2080 8 ageiceArctic75E90 Gamma 1.062E-01 1.630E+03 9.423E+01 2076 2085 2080 9 ageiceArctic75E90 Gamma 1.064E-01 1.554E+03 8.808E+01 2076 2085 2080 10 ageiceArctic75E90 Gamma 1.104E-01 5.392E+02 2.572E+01 2076 2085 2080 11 ageiceArctic75E90 Gamma 2.345E+00 6.831E+00 2.914E+00 2076 2085 2080 12 ageiceArctic75E90 Gamma 2.515E+01 1.007E+00 2.197E+00 2086 2099 2092 1 ageiceArctic75E90 Gamma 8.334E+01 4.711E-01 2.040E+00 2086 2099 2092 2 ageiceArctic75E90 Gamma 8.182E+01 6.702E-01 2.718E+00 2086 2099 2092 3 ageiceArctic75E90 Gamma 4.729E+01 1.590E+00 4.457E+00 2086 2099 2092 4 ageiceArctic75E90 Gamma 3.204E+01 3.278E+00 7.476E+00 2086 2099 2092 5 ageiceArctic75E90 Gamma 1.309E+02 1.090E+00 5.535E+00 2086 2099 2092 6 ageiceArctic75E90 Gamma 6.664E+00 2.294E+01 1.993E+01 2086 2099 2092 7 ageiceArctic75E90 Gamma 1.067E-01 1.430E+03 8.780E+01 2086 2099 2092 8 ageiceArctic75E90 Gamma 1.082E-01 9.708E+02 5.180E+01 2086 2099 2092 9 ageiceArctic75E90 Gamma 1.099E-01 6.529E+02 3.678E+01 2086 2099 2092 10 ageiceArctic75E90 Gamma 4.267E-01 6.979E+01 8.915E+00 2086 2099 2092 11 ageiceArctic75E90 Gamma 7.753E+00 1.481E+00 1.886E+00 2086 2099 2092 12 ageiceArctic75W90 Gamma 5.492E-01 1.174E+04 2.130E+03 2006 2015 2010 1 ageiceArctic75W90 Gamma 5.724E-01 1.122E+04 2.075E+03 2006 2015 2010 2 ageiceArctic75W90 Gamma 5.980E-01 1.074E+04 2.024E+03 2006 2015 2010 3 ageiceArctic75W90 Gamma 6.227E-01 1.041E+04 1.997E+03 2006 2015 2010 4 ageiceArctic75W90 Gamma 6.405E-01 1.059E+04 2.061E+03 2006 2015 2010 5 ageiceArctic75W90 Gamma 6.560E-01 1.091E+04 2.179E+03 2006 2015 2010 6 ageiceArctic75W90 Gamma 6.551E-01 1.173E+04 2.379E+03 2006 2015 2010 7 ageiceArctic75W90 Gamma 7.105E-01 1.167E+04 2.454E+03 2006 2015 2010 8 ageiceArctic75W90 Gamma 6.751E-01 1.082E+04 2.215E+03 2006 2015 2010 9 ageiceArctic75W90 Gamma 5.115E-01 1.318E+04 2.333E+03 2006 2015 2010 10 ageiceArctic75W90 Gamma 5.088E-01 1.292E+04 2.264E+03 2006 2015 2010 11 ageiceArctic75W90 Gamma 5.238E-01 1.244E+04 2.208E+03 2006 2015 2010 12 ageice

87


88


89

Country Distribution Parameter_1 Parameter_2 Std Error Start_Year End_Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic75W90 Gamma 5.853E-01 3.791E+03 6.783E+02 2066 2075 2070 1 ageiceArctic75W90 Gamma 6.209E-01 3.498E+03 6.432E+02 2066 2075 2070 2 ageiceArctic75W90 Gamma 6.719E-01 3.202E+03 6.153E+02 2066 2075 2070 3 ageiceArctic75W90 Gamma 7.330E-01 2.975E+03 6.025E+02 2066 2075 2070 4 ageiceArctic75W90 Gamma 7.817E-01 2.955E+03 6.260E+02 2066 2075 2070 5 ageiceArctic75W90 Gamma 7.866E-01 3.195E+03 6.881E+02 2066 2075 2070 6 ageiceArctic75W90 Gamma 8.027E-01 3.992E+03 8.591E+02 2066 2075 2070 7 ageiceArctic75W90 Gamma 8.296E-01 5.164E+03 1.125E+03 2066 2075 2070 8 ageiceArctic75W90 Gamma 2.634E-01 1.624E+04 1.662E+03 2066 2075 2070 9 ageiceArctic75W90 Gamma 3.993E-01 6.681E+03 1.020E+03 2066 2075 2070 10 ageiceArctic75W90 Gamma 4.662E-01 4.651E+03 7.244E+02 2066 2075 2070 11 ageiceArctic75W90 Gamma 5.431E-01 3.715E+03 6.294E+02 2066 2075 2070 12 ageiceArctic75W90 Gamma 1.031E+00 4.895E+02 1.240E+02 2076 2085 2080 1 ageiceArctic75W90 Gamma 1.138E+00 4.446E+02 1.216E+02 2076 2085 2080 2 ageiceArctic75W90 Gamma 1.298E+00 3.924E+02 1.191E+02 2076 2085 2080 3 ageiceArctic75W90 Gamma 1.495E+00 3.579E+02 1.219E+02 2076 2085 2080 4 ageiceArctic75W90 Gamma 1.611E+00 3.731E+02 1.347E+02 2076 2085 2080 5 ageiceArctic75W90 Gamma 1.562E+00 4.321E+02 1.514E+02 2076 2085 2080 6 ageiceArctic75W90 Gamma 1.790E+00 4.464E+02 1.648E+02 2076 2085 2080 7 ageiceArctic75W90 Gamma 2.081E+00 4.375E+02 1.722E+02 2076 2085 2080 8 ageiceArctic75W90 Gamma 2.607E-01 3.056E+03 3.490E+02 2076 2085 2080 9 ageiceArctic75W90 Gamma 5.096E-01 1.188E+03 1.953E+02 2076 2085 2080 10 ageiceArctic75W90 Gamma 6.889E-01 6.904E+02 1.323E+02 2076 2085 2080 11 ageiceArctic75W90 Gamma 8.860E-01 5.150E+02 1.189E+02 2076 2085 2080 12 ageiceArctic75W90 Gamma 9.448E-01 3.320E+02 1.106E+02 2086 2099 2092 1 ageiceArctic75W90 Gamma 1.094E+00 2.992E+02 1.139E+02 2086 2099 2092 2 ageiceArctic75W90 Gamma 1.220E+00 2.778E+02 1.162E+02 2086 2099 2092 3 ageiceArctic75W90 Gamma 1.418E+00 2.499E+02 1.179E+02 2086 2099 2092 4 ageiceArctic75W90 Gamma 1.602E+00 2.488E+02 1.250E+02 2086 2099 2092 5 ageiceArctic75W90 Gamma 1.675E+00 2.706E+02 1.319E+02 2086 2099 2092 6 ageice

90

Country Distribution Parameter_1 Parameter_2 Std Error Start_Year End_Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic75W90 Gamma 2.413E+00 2.191E+02 1.378E+02 2086 2099 2092 7 ageiceArctic75W90 Gamma 1.515E+00 3.462E+02 1.385E+02 2086 2099 2092 8 ageiceArctic75W90 Gamma 1.016E-01 4.812E+03 2.189E+02 2086 2099 2092 9 ageiceArctic75W90 Gamma 4.920E-01 8.121E+02 1.205E+02 2086 2099 2092 10 ageiceArctic75W90 Gamma 6.310E-01 4.696E+02 1.011E+02 2086 2099 2092 11 ageiceArctic75W90 Gamma 7.634E-01 3.838E+02 1.033E+02 2086 2099 2092 12 ageiceArctic90E105 Gamma 4.389E+00 3.688E+01 3.273E+01 2006 2015 2010 1 ageiceArctic90E105 Gamma 6.910E+00 2.464E+01 2.888E+01 2006 2015 2010 2 ageiceArctic90E105 Gamma 8.517E+00 2.111E+01 2.855E+01 2006 2015 2010 3 ageiceArctic90E105 Gamma 9.577E+00 2.008E+01 2.768E+01 2006 2015 2010 4 ageiceArctic90E105 Gamma 9.575E+00 2.353E+01 3.186E+01 2006 2015 2010 5 ageiceArctic90E105 Gamma 1.206E+01 2.194E+01 3.413E+01 2006 2015 2010 6 ageiceArctic90E105 Gamma 1.654E+01 1.916E+01 3.459E+01 2006 2015 2010 7 ageiceArctic90E105 Gamma 2.981E+01 1.227E+01 3.330E+01 2006 2015 2010 8 ageiceArctic90E105 Gamma 1.742E+01 1.997E+01 3.982E+01 2006 2015 2010 9 ageiceArctic90E105 Gamma 2.035E+00 8.053E+01 3.727E+01 2006 2015 2010 10 ageiceArctic90E105 Gamma 2.218E+00 6.881E+01 3.882E+01 2006 2015 2010 11 ageiceArctic90E105 Gamma 3.225E+00 4.815E+01 3.622E+01 2006 2015 2010 12 ageiceArctic90E105 Gamma 1.745E+01 7.029E+00 1.450E+01 2016 2025 2020 1 ageiceArctic90E105 Gamma 2.555E+01 5.155E+00 1.472E+01 2016 2025 2020 2 ageiceArctic90E105 Gamma 3.390E+01 4.238E+00 1.412E+01 2016 2025 2020 3 ageiceArctic90E105 Gamma 2.896E+01 5.649E+00 1.673E+01 2016 2025 2020 4 ageiceArctic90E105 Gamma 2.407E+01 7.977E+00 1.934E+01 2016 2025 2020 5 ageiceArctic90E105 Gamma 2.605E+01 8.764E+00 2.381E+01 2016 2025 2020 6 ageiceArctic90E105 Gamma 3.194E+01 8.704E+00 2.755E+01 2016 2025 2020 7 ageiceArctic90E105 Gamma 7.916E+01 4.099E+00 2.023E+01 2016 2025 2020 8 ageiceArctic90E105 Gamma 7.374E+01 4.443E+00 2.124E+01 2016 2025 2020 9 ageiceArctic90E105 Gamma 4.043E+00 3.859E+01 2.774E+01 2016 2025 2020 10 ageiceArctic90E105 Gamma 6.519E+00 1.668E+01 1.418E+01 2016 2025 2020 11 ageiceArctic90E105 Gamma 9.011E+00 1.283E+01 1.379E+01 2016 2025 2020 12 ageice

91


92

Country Distribution Parameter_1 Parameter_2 Std Error Start_Year End_Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic90E105 Gamma 4.014E+01 5.607E+00 1.554E+01 2046 2055 2050 7 ageiceArctic90E105 Gamma 5.631E+01 4.629E+00 1.539E+01 2046 2055 2050 8 ageiceArctic90E105 Gamma 1.926E+00 1.167E+02 4.464E+01 2046 2055 2050 9 ageiceArctic90E105 Gamma 5.919E-01 2.152E+02 3.807E+01 2046 2055 2050 10 ageiceArctic90E105 Gamma 2.080E+00 1.417E+01 6.575E+00 2046 2055 2050 11 ageiceArctic90E105 Gamma 4.770E+00 9.364E+00 7.724E+00 2046 2055 2050 12 ageiceArctic90E105 Gamma 1.610E+01 3.112E+00 4.641E+00 2056 2065 2060 1 ageiceArctic90E105 Gamma 3.552E+01 1.864E+00 4.421E+00 2056 2065 2060 2 ageiceArctic90E105 Gamma 4.478E+01 1.839E+00 5.429E+00 2056 2065 2060 3 ageiceArctic90E105 Gamma 3.634E+01 2.785E+00 7.185E+00 2056 2065 2060 4 ageiceArctic90E105 Gamma 1.957E+01 6.657E+00 1.198E+01 2056 2065 2060 5 ageiceArctic90E105 Gamma 4.780E+01 3.525E+00 1.086E+01 2056 2065 2060 6 ageiceArctic90E105 Gamma 5.974E+01 3.428E+00 1.257E+01 2056 2065 2060 7 ageiceArctic90E105 Gamma 2.517E+01 9.041E+00 1.921E+01 2056 2065 2060 8 ageiceArctic90E105 Gamma 1.252E+00 1.564E+02 4.454E+01 2056 2065 2060 9 ageiceArctic90E105 Gamma 7.744E-01 2.378E+02 5.210E+01 2056 2065 2060 10 ageiceArctic90E105 Gamma 1.785E+00 1.365E+01 4.923E+00 2056 2065 2060 11 ageiceArctic90E105 Gamma 5.276E+00 5.999E+00 4.606E+00 2056 2065 2060 12 ageiceArctic90E105 Gamma 1.133E+01 3.964E+00 4.884E+00 2066 2075 2070 1 ageiceArctic90E105 Gamma 2.392E+01 2.456E+00 4.733E+00 2066 2075 2070 2 ageiceArctic90E105 Gamma 3.021E+01 2.404E+00 5.306E+00 2066 2075 2070 3 ageiceArctic90E105 Gamma 2.102E+01 4.202E+00 7.930E+00 2066 2075 2070 4 ageiceArctic90E105 Gamma 1.391E+01 8.453E+00 1.201E+01 2066 2075 2070 5 ageiceArctic90E105 Gamma 4.811E+01 3.230E+00 9.733E+00 2066 2075 2070 6 ageiceArctic90E105 Gamma 1.016E+02 1.899E+00 8.341E+00 2066 2075 2070 7 ageiceArctic90E105 Gamma 5.418E+00 3.594E+01 2.711E+01 2066 2075 2070 8 ageiceArctic90E105 Gamma 1.059E-01 1.757E+03 1.063E+02 2066 2075 2070 9 ageiceArctic90E105 Gamma 3.311E-01 5.642E+02 8.072E+01 2066 2075 2070 10 ageiceArctic90E105 Gamma 1.923E+00 8.065E+00 3.266E+00 2066 2075 2070 11 ageiceArctic90E105 Gamma 3.990E+00 6.788E+00 4.267E+00 2066 2075 2070 12 ageice

93

Country Distribution Parameter_1 Parameter_2 Std Error Start_Year End_Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic90E105 Gamma 5.111E+00 7.912E+00 6.165E+00 2076 2085 2080 1 ageiceArctic90E105 Gamma 1.153E+01 4.765E+00 6.083E+00 2076 2085 2080 2 ageiceArctic90E105 Gamma 1.187E+01 5.991E+00 7.924E+00 2076 2085 2080 3 ageiceArctic90E105 Gamma 1.241E+01 7.254E+00 9.633E+00 2076 2085 2080 4 ageiceArctic90E105 Gamma 1.076E+01 1.130E+01 1.374E+01 2076 2085 2080 5 ageiceArctic90E105 Gamma 2.897E+01 5.516E+00 1.231E+01 2076 2085 2080 6 ageiceArctic90E105 Gamma 1.721E+01 1.077E+01 1.723E+01 2076 2085 2080 7 ageiceArctic90E105 Gamma 1.064E-01 1.549E+03 9.435E+01 2076 2085 2080 8 ageiceArctic90E105 Gamma 1.060E-01 1.719E+03 1.045E+02 2076 2085 2080 9 ageiceArctic90E105 Gamma 1.058E-01 1.813E+03 1.077E+02 2076 2085 2080 10 ageiceArctic90E105 Gamma 1.119E-01 4.225E+02 2.616E+01 2076 2085 2080 11 ageiceArctic90E105 Gamma 2.649E+00 7.591E+00 3.797E+00 2076 2085 2080 12 ageiceArctic90E105 Gamma 9.588E+00 3.186E+00 3.507E+00 2086 2099 2092 1 ageiceArctic90E105 Gamma 1.758E+01 2.635E+00 4.131E+00 2086 2099 2092 2 ageiceArctic90E105 Gamma 2.254E+01 2.792E+00 5.355E+00 2086 2099 2092 3 ageiceArctic90E105 Gamma 2.451E+01 3.300E+00 6.727E+00 2086 2099 2092 4 ageiceArctic90E105 Gamma 1.838E+01 6.138E+00 1.037E+01 2086 2099 2092 5 ageiceArctic90E105 Gamma 3.826E+01 3.908E+00 1.001E+01 2086 2099 2092 6 ageiceArctic90E105 Gamma 3.672E+00 4.144E+01 2.425E+01 2086 2099 2092 7 ageiceArctic90E105 Gamma 1.069E-01 1.372E+03 8.023E+01 2086 2099 2092 8 ageiceArctic90E105 Gamma 1.065E-01 1.530E+03 9.107E+01 2086 2099 2092 9 ageiceArctic90E105 Gamma 1.066E-01 1.443E+03 8.005E+01 2086 2099 2092 10 ageiceArctic90E105 Gamma 5.274E-01 5.708E+01 9.523E+00 2086 2099 2092 11 ageiceArctic90E105 Gamma 3.993E+00 3.635E+00 2.466E+00 2086 2099 2092 12 ageiceArctic90W105 Gamma 5.743E-01 1.864E+04 3.517E+03 2006 2015 2010 1 ageiceArctic90W105 Gamma 5.920E-01 1.806E+04 3.458E+03 2006 2015 2010 2 ageiceArctic90W105 Gamma 6.087E-01 1.754E+04 3.401E+03 2006 2015 2010 3 ageiceArctic90W105 Gamma 6.250E-01 1.708E+04 3.354E+03 2006 2015 2010 4 ageiceArctic90W105 Gamma 6.422E-01 1.668E+04 3.322E+03 2006 2015 2010 5 ageiceArctic90W105 Gamma 6.613E-01 1.628E+04 3.287E+03 2006 2015 2010 6 ageice

94


95


96

Country Distribution Parameter_1 Parameter_2 Std Error Start_Year End_Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic90W105 Gamma 7.720E-01 5.533E+03 1.215E+03 2056 2065 2060 7 ageiceArctic90W105 Gamma 7.836E-01 5.681E+03 1.267E+03 2056 2065 2060 8 ageiceArctic90W105 Gamma 4.500E-01 1.044E+04 1.711E+03 2056 2065 2060 9 ageiceArctic90W105 Gamma 3.356E-01 1.302E+04 1.834E+03 2056 2065 2060 10 ageiceArctic90W105 Gamma 3.843E-01 1.020E+04 1.551E+03 2056 2065 2060 11 ageiceArctic90W105 Gamma 4.532E-01 8.517E+03 1.423E+03 2056 2065 2060 12 ageiceArctic90W105 Gamma 5.858E-01 4.117E+03 7.821E+02 2066 2075 2070 1 ageiceArctic90W105 Gamma 6.635E-01 3.599E+03 7.243E+02 2066 2075 2070 2 ageiceArctic90W105 Gamma 7.355E-01 3.244E+03 6.856E+02 2066 2075 2070 3 ageiceArctic90W105 Gamma 8.039E-01 2.989E+03 6.610E+02 2066 2075 2070 4 ageiceArctic90W105 Gamma 8.696E-01 2.790E+03 6.417E+02 2066 2075 2070 5 ageiceArctic90W105 Gamma 9.081E-01 2.770E+03 6.504E+02 2066 2075 2070 6 ageiceArctic90W105 Gamma 9.086E-01 3.073E+03 7.240E+02 2066 2075 2070 7 ageiceArctic90W105 Gamma 8.743E-01 3.455E+03 8.112E+02 2066 2075 2070 8 ageiceArctic90W105 Gamma 9.527E-02 3.520E+04 2.097E+03 2066 2075 2070 9 ageiceArctic90W105 Gamma 3.406E-01 9.561E+03 1.386E+03 2066 2075 2070 10 ageiceArctic90W105 Gamma 4.034E-01 6.094E+03 9.474E+02 2066 2075 2070 11 ageiceArctic90W105 Gamma 4.936E-01 4.755E+03 8.168E+02 2066 2075 2070 12 ageiceArctic90W105 Gamma 6.504E-01 2.226E+03 4.389E+02 2076 2085 2080 1 ageiceArctic90W105 Gamma 7.618E-01 1.878E+03 3.981E+02 2076 2085 2080 2 ageiceArctic90W105 Gamma 8.631E-01 1.655E+03 3.742E+02 2076 2085 2080 3 ageiceArctic90W105 Gamma 9.654E-01 1.491E+03 3.595E+02 2076 2085 2080 4 ageiceArctic90W105 Gamma 1.061E+00 1.386E+03 3.542E+02 2076 2085 2080 5 ageiceArctic90W105 Gamma 1.062E+00 1.465E+03 3.750E+02 2076 2085 2080 6 ageiceArctic90W105 Gamma 1.057E+00 1.793E+03 4.593E+02 2076 2085 2080 7 ageiceArctic90W105 Gamma 7.499E-01 2.852E+03 5.865E+02 2076 2085 2080 8 ageiceArctic90W105 Gamma 9.584E-02 2.814E+04 1.431E+03 2076 2085 2080 9 ageiceArctic90W105 Gamma 3.270E-01 7.968E+03 9.686E+02 2076 2085 2080 10 ageiceArctic90W105 Gamma 4.305E-01 3.338E+03 5.221E+02 2076 2085 2080 11 ageiceArctic90W105 Gamma 5.211E-01 2.549E+03 4.295E+02 2076 2085 2080 12 ageice

97

Country Distribution Parameter_1 Parameter_2 Std Error Start_Year End_Year Mid-Year Month VariableArctic90W105 Gamma 4.895E-01 1.277E+03 2.458E+02 2086 2099 2092 1 ageiceArctic90W105 Gamma 5.919E-01 1.080E+03 2.625E+02 2086 2099 2092 2 ageiceArctic90W105 Gamma 6.842E-01 9.613E+02 2.741E+02 2086 2099 2092 3 ageiceArctic90W105 Gamma 7.775E-01 8.742E+02 2.841E+02 2086 2099 2092 4 ageiceArctic90W105 Gamma 8.655E-01 8.189E+02 2.942E+02 2086 2099 2092 5 ageiceArctic90W105 Gamma 8.746E-01 8.487E+02 3.023E+02 2086 2099 2092 6 ageiceArctic90W105 Gamma 9.637E-01 8.894E+02 3.514E+02 2086 2099 2092 7 ageiceArctic90W105 Gamma 4.943E-01 1.933E+03 3.395E+02 2086 2099 2092 8 ageiceArctic90W105 Gamma 9.514E-02 1.312E+04 4.417E+02 2086 2099 2092 9 ageiceArctic90W105 Gamma 2.395E-01 5.463E+03 2.887E+02 2086 2099 2092 10 ageiceArctic90W105 Gamma 2.974E-01 2.631E+03 2.394E+02 2086 2099 2092 11 ageiceArctic90W105 Gamma 3.814E-01 1.623E+03 2.215E+02 2086 2099 2092 12 ageiceEastArctic80_90 Gamma 2.058E+00 4.640E+02 1.878E+02 2006 2015 2010 1 ageiceEastArctic80_90 Gamma 2.273E+00 4.033E+02 1.736E+02 2006 2015 2010 2 ageiceEastArctic80_90 Gamma 2.468E+00 3.677E+02 1.688E+02 2006 2015 2010 3 ageiceEastArctic80_90 Gamma 2.609E+00 3.586E+02 1.678E+02 2006 2015 2010 4 ageiceEastArctic80_90 Gamma 2.687E+00 3.654E+02 1.749E+02 2006 2015 2010 5 ageiceEastArctic80_90 Gamma 2.838E+00 3.585E+02 1.796E+02 2006 2015 2010 6 ageiceEastArctic80_90 Gamma 2.869E+00 3.857E+02 1.921E+02 2006 2015 2010 7 ageiceEastArctic80_90 Gamma 2.859E+00 3.946E+02 1.997E+02 2006 2015 2010 8 ageiceEastArctic80_90 Gamma 2.472E+00 4.374E+02 2.023E+02 2006 2015 2010 9 ageiceEastArctic80_90 Gamma 2.063E+00 5.034E+02 2.028E+02 2006 2015 2010 10 ageiceEastArctic80_90 Gamma 1.944E+00 5.243E+02 2.017E+02 2006 2015 2010 11 ageiceEastArctic80_90 Gamma 1.871E+00 5.287E+02 1.982E+02 2006 2015 2010 12 ageiceEastArctic80_90 Gamma 2.664E+00 2.673E+02 1.507E+02 2016 2025 2020 1 ageiceEastArctic80_90 Gamma 3.079E+00 2.204E+02 1.409E+02 2016 2025 2020 2 ageiceEastArctic80_90 Gamma 3.448E+00 1.953E+02 1.359E+02 2016 2025 2020 3 ageiceEastArctic80_90 Gamma 3.406E+00 2.146E+02 1.462E+02 2016 2025 2020 4 ageiceEastArctic80_90 Gamma 3.554E+00 2.154E+02 1.506E+02 2016 2025 2020 5 ageiceEastArctic80_90 Gamma 3.633E+00 2.210E+02 1.610E+02 2016 2025 2020 6 ageice

98

Country Distribution Parameter_1 Parameter_2 Std Error Start_Year End_Year Mid-Year Month VariableEastArctic80_90 Gamma 3.876E+00 2.207E+02 1.689E+02 2016 2025 2020 7 ageiceEastArctic80_90 Gamma 3.939E+00 2.262E+02 1.735E+02 2016 2025 2020 8 ageiceEastArctic80_90 Gamma 3.236E+00 2.650E+02 1.742E+02 2016 2025 2020 9 ageiceEastArctic80_90 Gamma 2.537E+00 3.277E+02 1.752E+02 2016 2025 2020 10 ageiceEastArctic80_90 Gamma 2.483E+00 3.184E+02 1.659E+02 2016 2025 2020 11 ageiceEastArctic80_90 Gamma 2.342E+00 3.176E+02 1.602E+02 2016 2025 2020 12 ageiceEastArctic80_90 Gamma 2.296E+00 2.276E+02 1.037E+02 2026 2035 2030 1 ageiceEastArctic80_90 Gamma 2.804E+00 1.744E+02 9.570E+01 2026 2035 2030 2 ageiceEastArctic80_90 Gamma 3.245E+00 1.516E+02 9.247E+01 2026 2035 2030 3 ageiceEastArctic80_90 Gamma 3.535E+00 1.474E+02 9.636E+01 2026 2035 2030 4 ageiceEastArctic80_90 Gamma 3.760E+00 1.480E+02 1.016E+02 2026 2035 2030 5 ageiceEastArctic80_90 Gamma 4.174E+00 1.406E+02 1.016E+02 2026 2035 2030 6 ageiceEastArctic80_90 Gamma 4.286E+00 1.510E+02 1.121E+02 2026 2035 2030 7 ageiceEastArctic80_90 Gamma 4.745E+00 1.429E+02 1.094E+02 2026 2035 2030 8 ageiceEastArctic80_90 Gamma 2.810E+00 2.235E+02 1.147E+02 2026 2035 2030 9 ageiceEastArctic80_90 Gamma 1.705E+00 3.419E+02 1.213E+02 2026 2035 2030 10 ageiceEastArctic80_90 Gamma 1.843E+00 3.095E+02 1.177E+02 2026 2035 2030 11 ageiceEastArctic80_90 Gamma 1.990E+00 2.720E+02 1.081E+02 2026 2035 2030 12 ageiceEastArctic80_90 Gamma 1.365E+00 4.046E+02 1.373E+02 2036 2045 2040 1 ageiceEastArctic80_90 Gamma 1.567E+00 3.470E+02 1.375E+02 2036 2045 2040 2 ageiceEastArctic80_90 Gamma 1.814E+00 2.935E+02 1.366E+02 2036 2045 2040 3 ageiceEastArctic80_90 Gamma 2.043E+00 2.726E+02 1.400E+02 2036 2045 2040 4 ageiceEastArctic80_90 Gamma 2.227E+00 2.692E+02 1.467E+02 2036 2045 2040 5 ageiceEastArctic80_90 Gamma 2.426E+00 2.642E+02 1.532E+02 2036 2045 2040 6 ageiceEastArctic80_90 Gamma 2.564E+00 2.711E+02 1.631E+02 2036 2045 2040 7 ageiceEastArctic80_90 Gamma 2.832E+00 2.607E+02 1.667E+02 2036 2045 2040 8 ageiceEastArctic80_90 Gamma 2.146E+00 3.324E+02 1.688E+02 2036 2045 2040 9 ageiceEastArctic80_90 Gamma 8.000E-01 7.852E+02 1.699E+02 2036 2045 2040 10 ageiceEastArctic80_90 Gamma 9.699E-01 6.491E+02 1.668E+02 2036 2045 2040 11 ageiceEastArctic80_90 Gamma 1.139E+00 5.350E+02 1.592E+02 2036 2045 2040 12 ageice

99

Country Distribution Parameter_1 Parameter_2 Std Error Start_Year End_Year Mid-Year Month VariableEastArctic80_90 Gamma 1.392E+00 3.180E+02 1.006E+02 2046 2055 2050 1 ageiceEastArctic80_90 Gamma 1.724E+00 2.399E+02 8.975E+01 2046 2055 2050 2 ageiceEastArctic80_90 Gamma 2.133E+00 1.954E+02 8.474E+01 2046 2055 2050 3 ageiceEastArctic80_90 Gamma 2.391E+00 1.914E+02 8.954E+01 2046 2055 2050 4 ageiceEastArctic80_90 Gamma 2.697E+00 1.846E+02 8.995E+01 2046 2055 2050 5 ageiceEastArctic80_90 Gamma 3.159E+00 1.635E+02 8.952E+01 2046 2055 2050 6 ageiceEastArctic80_90 Gamma 3.231E+00 1.798E+02 1.016E+02 2046 2055 2050 7 ageiceEastArctic80_90 Gamma 3.685E+00 1.708E+02 1.041E+02 2046 2055 2050 8 ageiceEastArctic80_90 Gamma 2.290E+00 2.584E+02 1.099E+02 2046 2055 2050 9 ageiceEastArctic80_90 Gamma 6.152E-01 8.085E+02 1.579E+02 2046 2055 2050 10 ageiceEastArctic80_90 Gamma 8.774E-01 5.395E+02 1.226E+02 2046 2055 2050 11 ageiceEastArctic80_90 Gamma 1.167E+00 3.958E+02 1.088E+02 2046 2055 2050 12 ageiceEastArctic80_90 Gamma 1.944E+00 1.122E+02 4.336E+01 2056 2065 2060 1 ageiceEastArctic80_90 Gamma 2.714E+00 7.892E+01 3.839E+01 2056 2065 2060 2 ageiceEastArctic80_90 Gamma 3.790E+00 5.794E+01 3.569E+01 2056 2065 2060 3 ageiceEastArctic80_90 Gamma 4.821E+00 5.026E+01 3.558E+01 2056 2065 2060 4 ageiceEastArctic80_90 Gamma 6.008E+00 4.449E+01 3.615E+01 2056 2065 2060 5 ageiceEastArctic80_90 Gamma 7.117E+00 4.128E+01 3.712E+01 2056 2065 2060 6 ageiceEastArctic80_90 Gamma 7.275E+00 4.779E+01 4.355E+01 2056 2065 2060 7 ageiceEastArctic80_90 Gamma 8.369E+00 4.859E+01 4.852E+01 2056 2065 2060 8 ageiceEastArctic80_90 Gamma 1.662E+00 2.078E+02 7.059E+01 2056 2065 2060 9 ageiceEastArctic80_90 Gamma 5.706E-01 4.721E+02 8.741E+01 2056 2065 2060 10 ageiceEastArctic80_90 Gamma 8.652E-01 2.747E+02 6.272E+01 2056 2065 2060 11 ageiceEastArctic80_90 Gamma 1.404E+00 1.531E+02 4.672E+01 2056 2065 2060 12 ageiceEastArctic80_90 Gamma 2.347E+00 6.618E+01 3.290E+01 2066 2075 2070 1 ageiceEastArctic80_90 Gamma 3.238E+00 4.869E+01 3.004E+01 2066 2075 2070 2 ageiceEastArctic80_90 Gamma 4.520E+00 3.739E+01 3.039E+01 2066 2075 2070 3 ageiceEastArctic80_90 Gamma 5.714E+00 3.437E+01 3.249E+01 2066 2075 2070 4 ageiceEastArctic80_90 Gamma 6.856E+00 3.374E+01 3.514E+01 2066 2075 2070 5 ageiceEastArctic80_90 Gamma 7.463E+00 3.495E+01 3.822E+01 2066 2075 2070 6 ageice

100

Country Distribution Parameter_1 Parameter_2 Std Error Start_Year End_Year Mid-Year Month VariableEastArctic80_90 Gamma 7.111E+00 4.338E+01 4.545E+01 2066 2075 2070 7 ageiceEastArctic80_90 Gamma 5.263E+00 6.878E+01 5.812E+01 2066 2075 2070 8 ageiceEastArctic80_90 Gamma 1.038E-01 3.010E+03 1.753E+02 2066 2075 2070 9 ageiceEastArctic80_90 Gamma 4.709E-01 4.654E+02 7.681E+01 2066 2075 2070 10 ageiceEastArctic80_90 Gamma 7.249E-01 2.220E+02 4.437E+01 2066 2075 2070 11 ageiceEastArctic80_90 Gamma 1.333E+00 1.120E+02 3.426E+01 2066 2075 2070 12 ageiceEastArctic80_90 Gamma 2.342E+00 4.472E+01 2.180E+01 2076 2085 2080 1 ageiceEastArctic80_90 Gamma 4.273E+00 2.661E+01 1.916E+01 2076 2085 2080 2 ageiceEastArctic80_90 Gamma 5.219E+00 2.483E+01 2.029E+01 2076 2085 2080 3 ageiceEastArctic80_90 Gamma 6.072E+00 2.588E+01 2.356E+01 2076 2085 2080 4 ageiceEastArctic80_90 Gamma 7.718E+00 2.446E+01 2.601E+01 2076 2085 2080 5 ageiceEastArctic80_90 Gamma 8.153E+00 2.628E+01 2.938E+01 2076 2085 2080 6 ageiceEastArctic80_90 Gamma 1.067E+01 2.480E+01 3.364E+01 2076 2085 2080 7 ageiceEastArctic80_90 Gamma 1.487E+00 1.768E+02 5.746E+01 2076 2085 2080 8 ageiceEastArctic80_90 Gamma 1.045E-01 2.486E+03 1.412E+02 2076 2085 2080 9 ageiceEastArctic80_90 Gamma 1.056E-01 1.878E+03 1.097E+02 2076 2085 2080 10 ageiceEastArctic80_90 Gamma 6.909E-01 1.612E+02 3.127E+01 2076 2085 2080 11 ageiceEastArctic80_90 Gamma 1.161E+00 7.982E+01 2.232E+01 2076 2085 2080 12 ageiceEastArctic80_90 Gamma 3.181E+00 1.861E+01 1.111E+01 2086 2099 2092 1 ageiceEastArctic80_90 Gamma 7.130E+00 1.058E+01 1.091E+01 2086 2099 2092 2 ageiceEastArctic80_90 Gamma 1.007E+01 9.747E+00 1.229E+01 2086 2099 2092 3 ageiceEastArctic80_90 Gamma 1.178E+01 1.055E+01 1.437E+01 2086 2099 2092 4 ageiceEastArctic80_90 Gamma 1.410E+01 1.080E+01 1.618E+01 2086 2099 2092 5 ageiceEastArctic80_90 Gamma 1.449E+01 1.241E+01 1.885E+01 2086 2099 2092 6 ageiceEastArctic80_90 Gamma 1.894E+01 1.138E+01 2.048E+01 2086 2099 2092 7 ageiceEastArctic80_90 Gamma 1.058E-01 1.790E+03 1.064E+02 2086 2099 2092 8 ageiceEastArctic80_90 Gamma 1.054E-01 2.002E+03 1.196E+02 2086 2099 2092 9 ageiceEastArctic80_90 Gamma 1.057E-01 1.867E+03 1.085E+02 2086 2099 2092 10 ageiceEastArctic80_90 Gamma 6.400E-01 1.468E+02 2.853E+01 2086 2099 2092 11 ageiceEastArctic80_90 Gamma 1.284E+00 3.685E+01 1.161E+01 2086 2099 2092 12 ageice

101

Country Distribution Parameter_1 Parameter_2 Std Error Start_Year End_Year Mid-Year Month VariableWestArctic80_90 Gamma 2.032E+00 7.945E+02 3.099E+02 2006 2015 2010 1 ageiceWestArctic80_90 Gamma 2.123E+00 7.528E+02 3.029E+02 2006 2015 2010 2 ageiceWestArctic80_90 Gamma 2.227E+00 7.132E+02 2.958E+02 2006 2015 2010 3 ageiceWestArctic80_90 Gamma 2.302E+00 6.909E+02 2.938E+02 2006 2015 2010 4 ageiceWestArctic80_90 Gamma 2.359E+00 6.870E+02 2.982E+02 2006 2015 2010 5 ageiceWestArctic80_90 Gamma 2.469E+00 6.662E+02 2.988E+02 2006 2015 2010 6 ageiceWestArctic80_90 Gamma 2.640E+00 6.470E+02 3.056E+02 2006 2015 2010 7 ageiceWestArctic80_90 Gamma 2.633E+00 6.593E+02 3.104E+02 2006 2015 2010 8 ageiceWestArctic80_90 Gamma 2.375E+00 7.186E+02 3.137E+02 2006 2015 2010 9 ageiceWestArctic80_90 Gamma 2.216E+00 7.528E+02 3.133E+02 2006 2015 2010 10 ageiceWestArctic80_90 Gamma 2.003E+00 8.185E+02 3.178E+02 2006 2015 2010 11 ageiceWestArctic80_90 Gamma 1.969E+00 8.169E+02 3.131E+02 2006 2015 2010 12 ageiceWestArctic80_90 Gamma 2.384E+00 5.637E+02 2.447E+02 2016 2025 2020 1 ageiceWestArctic80_90 Gamma 2.524E+00 5.243E+02 2.362E+02 2016 2025 2020 2 ageiceWestArctic80_90 Gamma 2.658E+00 4.943E+02 2.317E+02 2016 2025 2020 3 ageiceWestArctic80_90 Gamma 2.715E+00 4.921E+02 2.325E+02 2016 2025 2020 4 ageiceWestArctic80_90 Gamma 2.820E+00 4.813E+02 2.334E+02 2016 2025 2020 5 ageiceWestArctic80_90 Gamma 2.952E+00 4.662E+02 2.332E+02 2016 2025 2020 6 ageiceWestArctic80_90 Gamma 3.231E+00 4.416E+02 2.350E+02 2016 2025 2020 7 ageiceWestArctic80_90 Gamma 3.257E+00 4.491E+02 2.430E+02 2016 2025 2020 8 ageiceWestArctic80_90 Gamma 2.821E+00 5.046E+02 2.475E+02 2016 2025 2020 9 ageiceWestArctic80_90 Gamma 2.614E+00 5.422E+02 2.523E+02 2016 2025 2020 10 ageiceWestArctic80_90 Gamma 2.409E+00 5.838E+02 2.546E+02 2016 2025 2020 11 ageiceWestArctic80_90 Gamma 2.237E+00 6.103E+02 2.531E+02 2016 2025 2020 12 ageiceWestArctic80_90 Gamma 2.115E+00 4.753E+02 1.944E+02 2026 2035 2030 1 ageiceWestArctic80_90 Gamma 2.341E+00 4.193E+02 1.858E+02 2026 2035 2030 2 ageiceWestArctic80_90 Gamma 2.547E+00 3.829E+02 1.818E+02 2026 2035 2030 3 ageiceWestArctic80_90 Gamma 2.687E+00 3.682E+02 1.812E+02 2026 2035 2030 4 ageiceWestArctic80_90 Gamma 2.826E+00 3.574E+02 1.829E+02 2026 2035 2030 5 ageiceWestArctic80_90 Gamma 3.012E+00 3.446E+02 1.850E+02 2026 2035 2030 6 ageice

102

Country Distribution Parameter_1 Parameter_2 Std Error Start_Year End_Year Mid-Year Month VariableWestArctic80_90 Gamma 3.253E+00 3.384E+02 1.951E+02 2026 2035 2030 7 ageiceWestArctic80_90 Gamma 3.436E+00 3.324E+02 1.972E+02 2026 2035 2030 8 ageiceWestArctic80_90 Gamma 2.190E+00 4.941E+02 2.064E+02 2026 2035 2030 9 ageiceWestArctic80_90 Gamma 1.918E+00 5.531E+02 2.092E+02 2026 2035 2030 10 ageiceWestArctic80_90 Gamma 1.915E+00 5.464E+02 2.070E+02 2026 2035 2030 11 ageiceWestArctic80_90 Gamma 1.944E+00 5.214E+02 2.001E+02 2026 2035 2030 12 ageiceWestArctic80_90 Gamma 1.405E+00 6.716E+02 2.089E+02 2036 2045 2040 1 ageiceWestArctic80_90 Gamma 1.555E+00 6.078E+02 2.049E+02 2036 2045 2040 2 ageiceWestArctic80_90 Gamma 1.711E+00 5.512E+02 2.023E+02 2036 2045 2040 3 ageiceWestArctic80_90 Gamma 1.884E+00 5.015E+02 1.977E+02 2036 2045 2040 4 ageiceWestArctic80_90 Gamma 2.033E+00 4.768E+02 1.996E+02 2036 2045 2040 5 ageiceWestArctic80_90 Gamma 2.198E+00 4.524E+02 2.031E+02 2036 2045 2040 6 ageiceWestArctic80_90 Gamma 2.384E+00 4.368E+02 2.101E+02 2036 2045 2040 7 ageiceWestArctic80_90 Gamma 2.458E+00 4.445E+02 2.175E+02 2036 2045 2040 8 ageiceWestArctic80_90 Gamma 1.695E+00 6.141E+02 2.235E+02 2036 2045 2040 9 ageiceWestArctic80_90 Gamma 1.027E+00 9.531E+02 2.390E+02 2036 2045 2040 10 ageiceWestArctic80_90 Gamma 1.165E+00 8.376E+02 2.286E+02 2036 2045 2040 11 ageiceWestArctic80_90 Gamma 1.246E+00 7.644E+02 2.188E+02 2036 2045 2040 12 ageiceWestArctic80_90 Gamma 1.112E+00 7.857E+02 2.089E+02 2046 2055 2050 1 ageiceWestArctic80_90 Gamma 1.271E+00 6.794E+02 1.948E+02 2046 2055 2050 2 ageiceWestArctic80_90 Gamma 1.451E+00 5.886E+02 1.833E+02 2046 2055 2050 3 ageiceWestArctic80_90 Gamma 1.602E+00 5.482E+02 1.817E+02 2046 2055 2050 4 ageiceWestArctic80_90 Gamma 1.737E+00 5.248E+02 1.832E+02 2046 2055 2050 5 ageiceWestArctic80_90 Gamma 1.937E+00 4.805E+02 1.808E+02 2046 2055 2050 6 ageiceWestArctic80_90 Gamma 2.096E+00 4.744E+02 1.892E+02 2046 2055 2050 7 ageiceWestArctic80_90 Gamma 2.204E+00 4.675E+02 1.932E+02 2046 2055 2050 8 ageiceWestArctic80_90 Gamma 1.373E+00 7.164E+02 2.156E+02 2046 2055 2050 9 ageiceWestArctic80_90 Gamma 6.642E-01 1.380E+03 2.787E+02 2046 2055 2050 10 ageiceWestArctic80_90 Gamma 8.324E-01 1.076E+03 2.439E+02 2046 2055 2050 11 ageiceWestArctic80_90 Gamma 9.841E-01 9.074E+02 2.258E+02 2046 2055 2050 12 ageice

103

Country Distribution Parameter_1 Parameter_2 Std Error Start_Year End_Year Mid-Year Month VariableWestArctic80_90 Gamma 1.115E+00 5.083E+02 1.379E+02 2056 2065 2060 1 ageiceWestArctic80_90 Gamma 1.340E+00 4.114E+02 1.279E+02 2056 2065 2060 2 ageiceWestArctic80_90 Gamma 1.622E+00 3.404E+02 1.243E+02 2056 2065 2060 3 ageiceWestArctic80_90 Gamma 1.914E+00 2.954E+02 1.229E+02 2056 2065 2060 4 ageiceWestArctic80_90 Gamma 2.175E+00 2.708E+02 1.241E+02 2056 2065 2060 5 ageiceWestArctic80_90 Gamma 2.505E+00 2.450E+02 1.233E+02 2056 2065 2060 6 ageiceWestArctic80_90 Gamma 2.516E+00 2.816E+02 1.367E+02 2056 2065 2060 7 ageiceWestArctic80_90 Gamma 2.578E+00 3.103E+02 1.471E+02 2056 2065 2060 8 ageiceWestArctic80_90 Gamma 1.285E+00 5.476E+02 1.580E+02 2056 2065 2060 9 ageiceWestArctic80_90 Gamma 5.308E-01 1.135E+03 1.916E+02 2056 2065 2060 10 ageiceWestArctic80_90 Gamma 7.086E-01 8.259E+02 1.629E+02 2056 2065 2060 11 ageiceWestArctic80_90 Gamma 9.696E-01 5.734E+02 1.384E+02 2056 2065 2060 12 ageiceWestArctic80_90 Gamma 1.254E+00 3.438E+02 1.005E+02 2066 2075 2070 1 ageiceWestArctic80_90 Gamma 1.498E+00 2.809E+02 9.391E+01 2066 2075 2070 2 ageiceWestArctic80_90 Gamma 1.888E+00 2.245E+02 8.882E+01 2066 2075 2070 3 ageiceWestArctic80_90 Gamma 2.255E+00 1.985E+02 9.111E+01 2066 2075 2070 4 ageiceWestArctic80_90 Gamma 2.675E+00 1.759E+02 9.023E+01 2066 2075 2070 5 ageiceWestArctic80_90 Gamma 3.127E+00 1.587E+02 9.017E+01 2066 2075 2070 6 ageiceWestArctic80_90 Gamma 2.717E+00 2.239E+02 1.200E+02 2066 2075 2070 7 ageiceWestArctic80_90 Gamma 2.479E+00 3.084E+02 1.641E+02 2066 2075 2070 8 ageiceWestArctic80_90 Gamma 8.148E-01 8.500E+02 1.830E+02 2066 2075 2070 9 ageiceWestArctic80_90 Gamma 5.080E-01 1.014E+03 1.591E+02 2066 2075 2070 10 ageiceWestArctic80_90 Gamma 6.487E-01 6.847E+02 1.265E+02 2066 2075 2070 11 ageiceWestArctic80_90 Gamma 9.387E-01 4.645E+02 1.110E+02 2066 2075 2070 12 ageiceWestArctic80_90 Gamma 1.860E+00 9.387E+01 3.877E+01 2076 2085 2080 1 ageiceWestArctic80_90 Gamma 2.559E+00 7.366E+01 3.933E+01 2076 2085 2080 2 ageiceWestArctic80_90 Gamma 3.254E+00 6.256E+01 3.990E+01 2076 2085 2080 3 ageiceWestArctic80_90 Gamma 4.024E+00 5.665E+01 4.194E+01 2076 2085 2080 4 ageiceWestArctic80_90 Gamma 4.962E+00 5.140E+01 4.394E+01 2076 2085 2080 5 ageiceWestArctic80_90 Gamma 4.724E+00 5.897E+01 4.863E+01 2076 2085 2080 6 ageice

104

Country Distribution Parameter_1 Parameter_2 Std Error Start_Year End_Year Mid-Year Month VariableWestArctic80_90 Gamma 5.282E+00 6.295E+01 5.577E+01 2076 2085 2080 7 ageiceWestArctic80_90 Gamma 9.704E+00 4.155E+01 5.876E+01 2076 2085 2080 8 ageiceWestArctic80_90 Gamma 2.972E-01 1.112E+03 1.299E+02 2076 2085 2080 9 ageiceWestArctic80_90 Gamma 6.110E-01 3.582E+02 6.892E+01 2076 2085 2080 10 ageiceWestArctic80_90 Gamma 8.322E-01 1.815E+02 3.969E+01 2076 2085 2080 11 ageiceWestArctic80_90 Gamma 1.105E+00 1.385E+02 3.737E+01 2076 2085 2080 12 ageiceWestArctic80_90 Gamma 2.580E+00 3.908E+01 1.832E+01 2086 2099 2092 1 ageiceWestArctic80_90 Gamma 4.785E+00 2.500E+01 1.806E+01 2086 2099 2092 2 ageiceWestArctic80_90 Gamma 6.224E+00 2.246E+01 1.922E+01 2086 2099 2092 3 ageiceWestArctic80_90 Gamma 7.770E+00 2.069E+01 2.027E+01 2086 2099 2092 4 ageiceWestArctic80_90 Gamma 9.476E+00 1.974E+01 2.192E+01 2086 2099 2092 5 ageiceWestArctic80_90 Gamma 8.155E+00 2.550E+01 2.541E+01 2086 2099 2092 6 ageiceWestArctic80_90 Gamma 1.370E+01 1.863E+01 2.522E+01 2086 2099 2092 7 ageiceWestArctic80_90 Gamma 6.933E+00 3.990E+01 3.528E+01 2086 2099 2092 8 ageiceWestArctic80_90 Gamma 1.047E-01 2.370E+03 1.447E+02 2086 2099 2092 9 ageiceWestArctic80_90 Gamma 5.975E-01 3.228E+02 5.943E+01 2086 2099 2092 10 ageiceWestArctic80_90 Gamma 9.992E-01 8.598E+01 2.149E+01 2086 2099 2092 11 ageiceWestArctic80_90 Gamma 1.248E+00 6.529E+01 1.852E+01 2086 2099 2092 12 ageice

105

Distribution

1 MS0159 Thomas R. Nelson 0159 (electronic copy)1 MS0159 Howard Passell 0159 (electronic copy)1 MS0159 Elizabeth Kistin-Keller 0159 (electronic copy)1 MS0159 Drake Warren 0159 (electronic copy)1 MS0159 Leonard Malczynski 0159 (electronic copy)1 MS0159 Nancy Hayden 0159 (electronic copy)1 MS0701 Peter Davies 6900 (electronic copy)1 MS0734 Jasper Hardesty 6913 (electronic copy)1 MS0750 Lori Parrott 6913 (electronic copy)1 MS0899 Technical Library 9536 (electronic copy)1 MS1137 Thomas Lowry 6926 (electronic copy)1 MS1137 La Tonya Walker 6926 (electronic copy)

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