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Wednesday, May 28, 2008 ------------------------------------ -- Submission to the division of Revenue 2009/10 Financial and Fiscal Commission
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Page 1: Wednesday, May 28, 2008 -------------------------------------- Submission to the division of Revenue 2009/10.

Wednesday, May 28, 2008--------------------------------------

Submission to the division of Revenue 2009/10

Financial and Fiscal Commission

Page 2: Wednesday, May 28, 2008 -------------------------------------- Submission to the division of Revenue 2009/10.

Financial and Fiscal Commission

Outline of Submission

Provincial Fiscal Relations RecommendationsProvincial Fiscal Relations Recommendations Local Government Fiscal Relations RecommendationsLocal Government Fiscal Relations Recommendations IGFR Data Issues IGFR Data Issues

Page 3: Wednesday, May 28, 2008 -------------------------------------- Submission to the division of Revenue 2009/10.

Financial and Fiscal Commission

Provincial Fiscal Relations

Recommendations with respect to EducationEducation Health Health Transport Transport HousingHousing

Page 4: Wednesday, May 28, 2008 -------------------------------------- Submission to the division of Revenue 2009/10.

Financial and Fiscal Commission

Financing Basic Education Introduction Introduction In its annual submission 2004/5, FFC made recommendations on financing of basic education

addressing the provision learner support materials. The study further looks at the growing institutional fragmentation in the provision of learner transport, on request by ScoF in 2007. The study also look at implication of re-ranking of schools on financing of basic education

Objectives Objectives Learner TransportLearner Transport 1.1. To conduct status quo assessment of the provision to the nine provincial departments.To conduct status quo assessment of the provision to the nine provincial departments.2.2. To conduct an assessment of the current legislative and implementation frameworkTo conduct an assessment of the current legislative and implementation framework.

Re – ranking of SchoolsRe – ranking of Schools1.1. To determine the distributional and financial implications of applying the national quintile re ranking To determine the distributional and financial implications of applying the national quintile re ranking

as opposed to the provincial ranking system.as opposed to the provincial ranking system.

Methodology Methodology Survey questionnaire to education and transport departmentsSurvey questionnaire to education and transport departments Analysis based on resource targeting datasets from the provinces which provided details of old and Analysis based on resource targeting datasets from the provinces which provided details of old and

new national re ranking of schools.new national re ranking of schools.

Page 5: Wednesday, May 28, 2008 -------------------------------------- Submission to the division of Revenue 2009/10.

Financial and Fiscal Commission

Financing Basic Education: Learner Transport

Key FindingsKey Findings

No specific national policy dealing with the provision of learner transport No clear definition and division of responsibilities between the departments of

education and transport at national and provincial levels Policies and practises differ depending on the department providing the service Lack of national service delivery norms and standards Criteria used to determine eligible learners for the transport at most 5km with

exceptions Modes of transport differ but at most (buses and taxis) in rural areas it is bakkies and

donkey charts NDoT developing draft policy on learner transport International practises and policies differ:

Developing countries free school transportation provided in order to promote greater access to education

Developed countries learner transport is often

Page 6: Wednesday, May 28, 2008 -------------------------------------- Submission to the division of Revenue 2009/10.

Financial and Fiscal Commission

Financing Basic Education: Learner Transport

Recommendations Recommendations National norms and standards for the provision of learner transport should be

established.― This would be possible once location of the function has been clearly defined

between the national departments of Education and Transport. In the interim all provinces should implement the statutory provisions.

― To ensure that learners are afforded the opportunity of equal access to the right to education

― The Commission notes the problem of learner transport is particularly acute in rural areas.

Provincial Education Departments should be enabled to report on budgets and spending on learner transport, in line with the new economic reporting format stipulated 2008 MTEF Treasury guidelines.

Page 7: Wednesday, May 28, 2008 -------------------------------------- Submission to the division of Revenue 2009/10.

Financial and Fiscal Commission

Financing Basic Education: Re-ranking of Schools

Key FindingsKey Findings Schools and learners have been reassigned to NQ1 and 2.Schools and learners have been reassigned to NQ1 and 2. This implies increased funding allocations.This implies increased funding allocations. National re ranking National re ranking

Require schools in same ward are allocated same poverty scoreRequire schools in same ward are allocated same poverty score Does not reflect poverty distribution /actual needs of the schoolDoes not reflect poverty distribution /actual needs of the school Does not necessarily translate into same outcomeDoes not necessarily translate into same outcome

Recommendations Recommendations Government should review the method used to inform the national quintile ranking

of schools. The method should take into account the socio-economic circumstances of the learners (reflecting poverty and inequality) rather than classifying schools according to wards/ neighbourhood they are located onto.

In order to assess the pro poor impact of school funding norms, the national Department of Education should make publicly available and accessible the funding norms for no fee and fee paying schools, in line with new provisions of the Division of Revenue Bill 2008 requiring indicative allocations by school.

Page 8: Wednesday, May 28, 2008 -------------------------------------- Submission to the division of Revenue 2009/10.

Financial and Fiscal Commission

Health- Primary Health Care (PHC)Introduction Introduction FFC has been conducting broader work on impact of infrastructure on outcomes in the social

sector. In its Annual Submission for DoR 2008/9, FFC made recommendations on impact of infrastructure on education outcomes. This study represents the second output of this work, that looks at the impact health infrastructure /delivery facilities (clinics) on health outcomes and an analysis of the performance of clinics, a core component of state’s pro-poor approach to health care is also given.

Objectives Objectives 1. To assess impact of access to infrastructure /delivery facilities (clinics) on health

outcomesMethodologyMethodology a. Literature review (with a particular focus on access to PHC in developing countries b. Probit and multinomial regression analysis

2. Assess fiscal performance of community health clinics. Methodology Methodology

a Budget analysis of the nine provincial health budgets, based on 2007 Provincial b. Budgets and Expenditure Review (PBER

Page 9: Wednesday, May 28, 2008 -------------------------------------- Submission to the division of Revenue 2009/10.

Financial and Fiscal Commission

Fiscal performance of Health clinics

Key FindingsKey Findings In 2006, recorded underspending of over 6 per cent falls within the

cautionary range of the Auditor-General. Currently only aggregate, province-level performance info available –

this limits extent to which institutional performance can be measured, particularly, one is unable to determine performance of particular clinics, whether growth is being driven by increased allocation to urban/rural

clinics whether excessive/marginal growth is the result of under/over-

spending.

Cost-centre approach = possible solution. It allows for greater decentralization and transparency, thus having potential to improve accountability and greater managerial efficiency

Page 10: Wednesday, May 28, 2008 -------------------------------------- Submission to the division of Revenue 2009/10.

Financial and Fiscal Commission

Fiscal performance of Community Health clinics

Recommendation Recommendation

Just as DOR 2008 requires that indicative allocations to schools and hospitals be gazetted with the tabling of provincial budgets, this should be extended to clinics and other PHC facilities as and when they come under provincial control

Page 11: Wednesday, May 28, 2008 -------------------------------------- Submission to the division of Revenue 2009/10.

Financial and Fiscal Commission

Infrastructure Access Impact on health outcomes

Key Findings: In poorer countries/areas where clinic network is under-developed –

Expanding access through provision of more public clinics improves likelihood of treatment Little evidence that more clinics improves health outcomes.

Based on 1993 DHS data, distance from health facility does influence the demand for treatment

But 2006 GHS, shows little evidence that distance from public clinics is a major constraint on getting treatment, therefore

Effect of distance on demand for treatment related to expansion of clinic network post-1994.

Investing in quality of health-care delivers higher returns in terms of health outcomes

In SA a more important factor is quality of health care, which takes into account: Complementary infrastructure (electricity, roads sanitation), Quality of clinical care Maintenance, Equipment of clinics, Staffing and how well staff do their jobs Management of staff and facilities

Page 12: Wednesday, May 28, 2008 -------------------------------------- Submission to the division of Revenue 2009/10.

Financial and Fiscal Commission

Infrastructure Access Impact on health outcomes

Recommendations Recommendations Greater emphasis should be placed on improving the quality of

service provided at clinics and funding the maintenance of existing PHC facilities. A need for construction of clinics in poorly serviced and rural and urban informal settlements still remains

The health component of the Infrastructure Grant to Provinces (IGP) should be aligned to the roll-out of infrastructure through municipal infrastructure grants

Page 13: Wednesday, May 28, 2008 -------------------------------------- Submission to the division of Revenue 2009/10.

Financial and Fiscal Commission

Transport- Road Classification

IntroductionIntroduction In its Annual Submission to the DOR 2006/7, FFC:

― Highlighted the fragmented manner of the delivery and funding of roads infrastructure― Recommended that government, as a matter of urgency, should ensure the development of

criteria and process for classifying all roads and assigning each class of road to the respective sphere of government/category

Objective Objective To determine the progress made so far To asses the extent to which provincial roads identified and earmarked to be

incorporated into the national road (SANRAL) network have in fact been incorporated. To assess budget and spending on road maintenance

MethodologyMethodology Analysis of

― Financial and non-financial information from 2007 Provincial Budget and Expenditure Review.― Data on roads classification from the DoT and the Road Infrastructure Strategic Framework for

South Africa. ― SANRAL Data on earmarked provincial roads; planned to be incorporated into the national

road network.

Page 14: Wednesday, May 28, 2008 -------------------------------------- Submission to the division of Revenue 2009/10.

Financial and Fiscal Commission

Road Classification –Key Findings Classification/reclassification of roads – According to DoT-Classification/reclassification of roads – According to DoT-

Process of classification/reclassification is underway in line with the FFC’s recommendation.

Process of developing guideline was scheduled to be finalised by March 2008. Classification/reclassification will resume soon after finalisation of guidelines and

is expected to be finished in the 2008/09

Incorporation of earmarked provincial roads into SANRALIncorporation of earmarked provincial roads into SANRAL Over the past few years, SANRAL has taken over a number of earmarked

provincial roadsBy end of 2006/07 financial year, 9 247.5 kilometres had already been incorporatedFor Limpopo and Northern Cape, all earmarked provincial roads have already taken

over by SANRAL. This is not the case in other provinces.

Page 15: Wednesday, May 28, 2008 -------------------------------------- Submission to the division of Revenue 2009/10.

Financial and Fiscal Commission

Road Classification –Key Findings

Budget and spending on road maintenanceBudget and spending on road maintenance Persistent overspending between 2003 and 2005 financial years has been

observed in a number of provinces. This may be attributed to under-budgeting or possibly inadequate planning (through the deferral of construction maintenance expenditure to latter periods).

Thus there is a need for provinces to produce adequate non-financial data on the conditions of roads in order to inform construction and maintenance budgets as part of a broader asset management strategy

Page 16: Wednesday, May 28, 2008 -------------------------------------- Submission to the division of Revenue 2009/10.

Financial and Fiscal Commission

Road Classification –Recommendations

The process of classifying roads amongst the national, provincial and The process of classifying roads amongst the national, provincial and municipal spheres of government should be accelerated in line with the municipal spheres of government should be accelerated in line with the classification framework already established.classification framework already established.

The Premier for the provinces with earmarked provincial roads to be The Premier for the provinces with earmarked provincial roads to be incorporated into the national road network should apply for such roads incorporated into the national road network should apply for such roads to be incorporated into the national road network without further delay.to be incorporated into the national road network without further delay.

Page 17: Wednesday, May 28, 2008 -------------------------------------- Submission to the division of Revenue 2009/10.

Financial and Fiscal Commission

Housing Introduction Introduction In its Annual Submission to the DOR 2006/7, FFC recommended that:In its Annual Submission to the DOR 2006/7, FFC recommended that:

In order to address housing delivery bottlenecks and stem underspending, municipalities with capacity, be accredited to administer housing programmes.

Objective Objective To examine progress with the accreditation process To examine progress with the accreditation process To investigate institutional bottlenecks hampering the speed and To investigate institutional bottlenecks hampering the speed and

efficiency of housing deliveryefficiency of housing delivery.

MethodologyMethodology Analysis of

― Financial and non-financial information from 2007 Provincial Budget and Expenditure Review.

― Data relating to accreditation obtained from the NDoH

Page 18: Wednesday, May 28, 2008 -------------------------------------- Submission to the division of Revenue 2009/10.

Financial and Fiscal Commission

Housing –Key Findings The process of transferring funds is bureaucratic and inefficient

Within public housing, the Integrated Housing and Human Settlement Development (IHHSD) grant is the dominant source of funding – comprises over 80% of total provincial housing budgets

The bulk of the IHHSD grant flows to the Housing Development Implementation programme within provincial housing budgets.

Analysis of spending performance of the IHHSD grant and the Housing Development Implementation programme illustrates high underspending which is within the cautionary range of Auditor-General.

This implies that municipalities (the level of government that is responsible for delivery) are not receiving funding timeously or they receive large amounts close to end of financial year (also known as fiscal dumping).

Page 19: Wednesday, May 28, 2008 -------------------------------------- Submission to the division of Revenue 2009/10.

Financial and Fiscal Commission

……Housing –Key Findings Despite historical underspending, projections over the outer years of the 06 MTEF

show strong growth (12% per annum in real terms) for both IHHSD grant and Housing Development Implementation programme - will departments be able to use funds effectively OR will under-spending persist?

Lack of capacity = key reason for poor spending performance – consideration should be given to institutional capacity to spend rapidly growing budgets otherwise underspending may persist

Housing MinMec approved a list of 18 municipalities for accreditation – 11 are at step eight of accreditation process and 8 are at step seven. Implication – thus far NO municipality has been accredited

Slow pace of accreditation has negatively affected some municipalities which in anticipation of receiving accreditation, have already started preparing to take over the function by establishing units and staffing.

Page 20: Wednesday, May 28, 2008 -------------------------------------- Submission to the division of Revenue 2009/10.

Financial and Fiscal Commission

Housing -Recommendations

The FFC reiterates its previous recommendation that the The FFC reiterates its previous recommendation that the accreditation of municipalities with adequate capacity accreditation of municipalities with adequate capacity should be accelerated in line with the framework provision should be accelerated in line with the framework provision of the Integrated Housing and Human Settlement of the Integrated Housing and Human Settlement Development (IHHSD) grant contained in the Division of Development (IHHSD) grant contained in the Division of Revenue Act for 2008 and the Housing Act of 1997Revenue Act for 2008 and the Housing Act of 1997

Page 21: Wednesday, May 28, 2008 -------------------------------------- Submission to the division of Revenue 2009/10.

Financial and Fiscal Commission

Local Government Fiscal Relations

Recommendations with respect to Strategy forStrategy for Local Government RevenueLocal Government Revenue Restructuring of the Electricity Industry Restructuring of the Electricity Industry Public Transport in relation to world cup 2010Public Transport in relation to world cup 2010

Page 22: Wednesday, May 28, 2008 -------------------------------------- Submission to the division of Revenue 2009/10.

Financial and Fiscal Commission

Strategy for Local Government RevenueIntroduction Introduction In the Annual Submission to the DOR 2007/08, FFC undertook to:In the Annual Submission to the DOR 2007/08, FFC undertook to:

― Conduct broader assessment of the local government fiscal framework Conduct broader assessment of the local government fiscal framework ― Explore other potentially viable revenue sources for local governmentExplore other potentially viable revenue sources for local government

Objective Objective Identify a basket of potential revenue sources for local government level that Identify a basket of potential revenue sources for local government level that

comply withcomply with ― Constitutional provisions- s229Constitutional provisions- s229― Municipal Fiscal Powers and Functions ActMunicipal Fiscal Powers and Functions Act― Meet criteria of a good local government taxMeet criteria of a good local government tax

MethodologyMethodology― Literature review of internationally accepted options for local government Literature review of internationally accepted options for local government

sourcessources― Municipal SurveyMunicipal Survey

Page 23: Wednesday, May 28, 2008 -------------------------------------- Submission to the division of Revenue 2009/10.

Financial and Fiscal Commission

Criteria for Local Government Revenue New revenue sources must New revenue sources must

― Meet criteria for good taxes: Meet criteria for good taxes: Fairness, Efficiency, Economy and Fairness, Efficiency, Economy and Adequacy Adequacy

― Offer potential to strengthen local independenceOffer potential to strengthen local independence― Be suitable for local collection.Be suitable for local collection.― Be in line with the national macro economic limitsBe in line with the national macro economic limits.

Emphasis must be on importance of “own revenue” for local Emphasis must be on importance of “own revenue” for local government to enhancegovernment to enhance ― Fiscal Autonomy/IndependenceFiscal Autonomy/Independence― AccountabilityAccountability

Page 24: Wednesday, May 28, 2008 -------------------------------------- Submission to the division of Revenue 2009/10.

Financial and Fiscal Commission

Recommendations: Local Government Revenue

Reforms to fiscal framework of local government should not compromise Reforms to fiscal framework of local government should not compromise the fiscal autonomy of municipalitiesthe fiscal autonomy of municipalities

The replacement for RSC levy which formed a significant source of The replacement for RSC levy which formed a significant source of municipal revenue source should be a tax that:municipal revenue source should be a tax that:― Enhances the fiscal autonomy and discretion of local governments;― Strengthens the accountability of local government regarding the

administration and use of proposed tax base;― Yields an adequate and buoyant revenue stream for municipalities in

the face of cyclical instability; and― Does not disturb macroeconomic balance

Page 25: Wednesday, May 28, 2008 -------------------------------------- Submission to the division of Revenue 2009/10.

Financial and Fiscal Commission

Restructuring of the Electricity IndustryIntroductionIntroduction In the Annual submission for DOR 2002/03, FFC Recommended that

Municipalities to be compensated for all losses related to the transfer of electricity distribution to REDs.

Electricity restructuring process has occurred at a slow pace due to incompleteness of the necessary legislation as well as misalignment of existing legislation such as

RED Establishment Bill; Asset Transfer Framework; National Cross Subsidy Framework

Objective Objective Investigate extent to which the process of electricity distribution industry (EDI)

restructuring has/not progressed since its conceptualisation in the late 1990s Make further inputs into the process

Assess and make recommendations on the Constitutional and Legislative issues impacting on the restructuring process Impact of these issues on the intergovernmental fiscal system particularly on Local

Government fiscal framework

Page 26: Wednesday, May 28, 2008 -------------------------------------- Submission to the division of Revenue 2009/10.

Financial and Fiscal Commission

EDI- Key Findings

Constitutional IssuesConstitutional IssuesConstitution assigns function to reticulate electricity to

municipalities Constitutional implications of removing electricity as a function of

Local Government?

Legislative IssuesLegislative IssuesDelay in finalising legislation has led to uncertainty among

stakeholders in the electricity distribution industry Maintenance backlogs estimated at R5 bn accumulated over the

past 10 years Municipalities’ reluctance to be part of the REDS

Page 27: Wednesday, May 28, 2008 -------------------------------------- Submission to the division of Revenue 2009/10.

Financial and Fiscal Commission

EDI- Recommendations Government should address potential loss of a crucial

revenue source for local government resulting from the establishment of REDs

The restructuring process to factor in current reforms to the fiscal framework of local government

There is a need to finalize legislation in respect of:― The transfer of assets― The national pricing framework― The establishment of the REDs

Page 28: Wednesday, May 28, 2008 -------------------------------------- Submission to the division of Revenue 2009/10.

Financial and Fiscal Commission

Electricity Prices & South African Economy

Key Issues South Africa currently experiencing significant electricity supply

problems. There is an urgent need for government to tackle the ongoing electricity crisis as this is central for growth, household wellbeing and employment.

Electricity pricing and capital injection are the central tools at authorities’ disposal What will be the likely consequences?

Implications for the division of revenue, in particular for Local Government Free basic electricity Roll out of (electricity) indigent policies Disruption to budget consultation and approval due to MFMA prescriptions around tariff or

rate setting

Page 29: Wednesday, May 28, 2008 -------------------------------------- Submission to the division of Revenue 2009/10.

Financial and Fiscal Commission

Modeling Work on the Key Issues Two simulation models

Input Output Model coupled with Income and Expenditure Survey CGE Model

These simulation models are intended to provide policy makers with guidance on the key issues;

It is difficult to describe the models fully using theory alone; the details are in the GAMS and Excel simulation model – one needs to use it to get a ‘feel’ for how it works.

Page 30: Wednesday, May 28, 2008 -------------------------------------- Submission to the division of Revenue 2009/10.

Financial and Fiscal Commission

Sector Contribution to GDP

TradeInsurance

Real estateTransport services

Activities/ servicesCommunications

Petroleum productsother miningAgriculture

Business activitiesBeverages and tabacco

ElectricityHealth and social w orkGold Accommodation

BuildingsOther construction

Motor vehiclesCoal Iron and steel

Non-ferrous metalsPublishing

Wearing apparelPlasticMotor vehicle partsFabricated metal

General Government

0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16%

Page 31: Wednesday, May 28, 2008 -------------------------------------- Submission to the division of Revenue 2009/10.

Financial and Fiscal Commission

Shares of electricity in total household expenditure

South Africa

Quintile 1 1.9 Quintile 2 2.9 Quintile 3 3.4 Quintile 4 4.2 Quintile 5 3.4

All 3.5

Electricity expenditures represent on average 3.5% of total expenditures

Lowest quintile households have low electricity intensity High quintile households allocate the highest shares towards

electricity

Page 32: Wednesday, May 28, 2008 -------------------------------------- Submission to the division of Revenue 2009/10.

Financial and Fiscal Commission

Two Policy Simulations

Electricity Pricing: What If Electricity Tariffs Increased By 20% Or By

100%

Electricity Infrastructure: What if electricity capital expenditure were to

increase by 5%?

Page 33: Wednesday, May 28, 2008 -------------------------------------- Submission to the division of Revenue 2009/10.

Financial and Fiscal Commission

Electricity pricing: Mesoeconomic effects

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100% increase 20% increase

A 100% (20%) leads to a 1.1%(0.2%) increase in purchaser cost Highest incidence:

Non-ferrous metals, Gold, Treated Metals, Water and Trade Sectors experiencing increases below the average:

Most Basic foodstuffs, Textiles and Footwear and Agriculture and agricultural oriented

Page 34: Wednesday, May 28, 2008 -------------------------------------- Submission to the division of Revenue 2009/10.

Financial and Fiscal Commission

Household Impact: Welfare

South Africa

Simulation 20% 100%

Quintile 1 -0.4 -1.6

Quintile 2 -0.5 -2.0

Quintile 3 -0.7 -2.4

Quintile 4 -0.8 -3.0

Quintile 5 -0.7 -2.6

All -0.7 -2.6

A 100% (20%) tariff increase reduces welfare by 2.6% (0.7%) Welfare falls the least for poorest 2 quintiles Urban households experience greater declines of welfare

Page 35: Wednesday, May 28, 2008 -------------------------------------- Submission to the division of Revenue 2009/10.

Financial and Fiscal Commission

Capital spending: Macroeconomic Results

Variation (%) Real Exchange Rate -0.24 Imports 0.18 Exports 0.22 Unemployment rate* -0.17 Average wage -0.04 Return to capital -0.28 Consumer price index -0.12 Consumption -0.16 Saving 0.5 Investment average price 0.02 Investment 0.43 Gross domestic production 0.19

Page 36: Wednesday, May 28, 2008 -------------------------------------- Submission to the division of Revenue 2009/10.

Financial and Fiscal Commission

Recommendations Government should work with the National Energy Regulator of

South Africa to put in place a financing framework that deals effectively with electricity pricing. Such a framework should capture the scarcity of the resource in a pricing environment that reflects costs, efficiency, stability and, eventually, externalities.

Given that reforms in electricity pricing structure will, in essence, necessitate an increase in electricity prices, such higher electricity prices will adversely impact on poor households with access to electricity as well as raise the cost to government of extending basic access to electricity for poor households. As such, government will need to increase annual funding for the rollout of services under the free basic electricity programme.

Page 37: Wednesday, May 28, 2008 -------------------------------------- Submission to the division of Revenue 2009/10.

Financial and Fiscal Commission

Recommendations For greater efficiency of resource allocation, technological innovation

and increased investment in renewable energy sources, government will need to increase funding resources set aside for such purposes and incentives with a view to establishing and implementing a framework that: Encourages new forms of electricity generation technologies to

enter the market; Expands opportunities to consumers to access such forms of

energy; Allows non-utility developers equal market opportunity to

compete with established providers; and Incorporates financial incentives to expand production and

distribution capacity, and effect savings through improving end-user efficiency.

Page 38: Wednesday, May 28, 2008 -------------------------------------- Submission to the division of Revenue 2009/10.

Financial and Fiscal Commission

Public Transport- 2010 FIFA World Cup

Introduction Introduction Follow-up on FFC’s 2008/9 submission on assessment of macro impacts of

government’s financing of 2010 World Cup, where Govt. responded to positively to this FFC recommendations

ObjectiveObjective Assess the impact of government’s transport infrastructure spending for 2010 World Cup

― Examine opportunity costs of government’s 2010 transport spending, in order to evaluate overall transport infrastructure strategy

Evaluate contribution to the economy of Public transport infrastructure funding― Funding focuses on 2010 FIFA World Cup expenditures

Work out the macroeconomic, sectoral and household effects; Derive implications for public transport infrastructure funding

Page 39: Wednesday, May 28, 2008 -------------------------------------- Submission to the division of Revenue 2009/10.

Financial and Fiscal Commission

Transport- 2010 FIFA World Cup

Methodology Methodology Unit expansion in infrastructure spend is run through a transport focused

SAM― Novel feature of SAM

Elaborate disaggregation of public transport sector into its subcategories used Elaborate disaggregation of public transport sector into its subcategories used for analysisfor analysis

Allows for elaborate analysis of how increased infrastructure spend affects sub-Allows for elaborate analysis of how increased infrastructure spend affects sub-sectors and units of the South African economysectors and units of the South African economy

Allows for an evaluation of the impact of public transport infrastructure spend on Allows for an evaluation of the impact of public transport infrastructure spend on economic growth, poverty reduction and equityeconomic growth, poverty reduction and equity

Page 40: Wednesday, May 28, 2008 -------------------------------------- Submission to the division of Revenue 2009/10.

Financial and Fiscal Commission

Findings- Transport 2010 FIFA World Cup Road Transport

― has highest linkages of all the transport sectors when it comes to domestic production and supply

Rail Transport ― Second largest individual transport sector

Transport Support Services ― Quite high value added and household income multipliers.

Transport Via Pipeline ― Highest multiplier of all transport subsectors with respect to value added, especially

capital income Air Transport and Water Transport have low multipliers Transport infrastructure spend tends to be regressive

― Middle income households benefit the most from transport demand injection― Richest households gain more than poorest households

Page 41: Wednesday, May 28, 2008 -------------------------------------- Submission to the division of Revenue 2009/10.

Financial and Fiscal Commission Transport- 2010 FIFA World Cup –Recommendation

1

Be cautious about expecting too much from 2010 public transport infrastructure spending impacts. On their own, they are unlikely to make significant impacts on equity

and efficiency constraints Performance targets set as conditions to grant financing this

transport should reflect modest benefitsCaution needs to be exercised regarding huge infrastructure

expenditures for public transportWhy? Transport Infrastructure does not promote high economic

development relative to other uses of public fundsThus such expenditures could crowd out other investments with higher

private and social returns.

Page 42: Wednesday, May 28, 2008 -------------------------------------- Submission to the division of Revenue 2009/10.

Financial and Fiscal Commission

Transport- 2010 FIFA World Cup –Recommendation

Link the spending on public transport Infrastructure for 2010 to broader host city development plans. This will require that A more resourced public transport infrastructure and system grant continue after

2010 World Cup That projects selected for funding under this arrangement be selected on the

basis of full appraisal of environmental and social costs/benefits.

Funding mechanisms to cover maintenance costs of constructed 2010 facilities should be developed (Rephrase according to submission)

Page 43: Wednesday, May 28, 2008 -------------------------------------- Submission to the division of Revenue 2009/10.

Financial and Fiscal Commission

IGFR Data Issues Recommendations with respect to

Provincial Government Data Provincial Government Data Local Government Data Local Government Data

Page 44: Wednesday, May 28, 2008 -------------------------------------- Submission to the division of Revenue 2009/10.

Financial and Fiscal Commission

Provincial Data Issues – Education Provincial Data Issues – Education

Education –No fee schools Key FindingsKey Findings

Although data on the number of schools by household income quintile are available through government gazettes, etc, budget allocations are still not reflected across the nine provinces.

The 2008 DOR requires that this information be gazetted per school with the tabling of the budget.

Currently, however, no distinction is made between fee paying or no-fee schools

Recommendation Recommendation In order to assess the pro-poor impact of school funding norms , the department of

education should make publicly available and accessible the funding norms of no-fee paying schools, in line with new provisions of the Division of Revenue 2008 requiring indicative allocations by school.

Page 45: Wednesday, May 28, 2008 -------------------------------------- Submission to the division of Revenue 2009/10.

Financial and Fiscal Commission

Provincial Data Issues – EducationProvincial Data Issues – Education

Education - Learner TransportEducation - Learner Transport Key FindingKey Finding

While budget guidelines state that budgets and expenditure information on learner transport should be recorded under the goods and services component, this information is only available in the provincial budget and expenditure databases of two provinces, namely Mpumalanga and the Western Cape

RecommendationRecommendation Provincial Education Departments should be enabled to report on budgets and

spending on learner transport, in line with the new economic reporting format.

Page 46: Wednesday, May 28, 2008 -------------------------------------- Submission to the division of Revenue 2009/10.

Financial and Fiscal Commission

Provincial Data Issues – HealthProvincial Data Issues – Health

Key FindingsKey Findings

Section 2(c)(iv) of the National Health Act of 2003 makes reference to, “…protecting, respecting, promoting and fulfilling…” the rights of, “…vulnerable groups such as women, children, older persons and persons with disabilities”.

The Conditional HIV/AIDS Grant section of Division of Revenue Act (DoRA) 2008 mentions that outcome data regarding availability, affordability and accessibility of health facilities for TB and HIV/AIDS should be collected.

The indicators referred to in bullets 1and 2, have been identified internationally and nationally as necessary for evaluating service delivery in health and quality of health care and should be collected.

Page 47: Wednesday, May 28, 2008 -------------------------------------- Submission to the division of Revenue 2009/10.

Financial and Fiscal Commission

Provincial Data Issues – HealthProvincial Data Issues – Health

Recommendations Recommendations

The FFC therefore recommends that Health data for vulnerable groups such as the proportion of women with access to antenatal care, the availability, affordability and accessibility of health facilities for TB, HIV/AIDS, children, older persons and persons with disabilities should be collected and improved using the South African Statistical Quality Assurance Framework (SASQAF).

Page 48: Wednesday, May 28, 2008 -------------------------------------- Submission to the division of Revenue 2009/10.

Financial and Fiscal Commission

Provincial Data Issues – Public Works & TransportProvincial Data Issues – Public Works & Transport

Key FindingsKey Findings Community Based / Expanded Public Works programme

Currently the DoRA (2008) specifies the following outcome measures for the Infrastructure Grant to Provinces:Number of job opportunities created and the average length of employment for

labour intensive projectsNumber of persons participating in the training programs under the expanded

public works programmeKm of access roads constructed and maintained as part of the EPWPLevels of Job creation, which is assumed to play an important role in reducing

the levels of unemployment among vulnerable groups such as women, youth and disabled persons as targeted by the EPWP

Page 49: Wednesday, May 28, 2008 -------------------------------------- Submission to the division of Revenue 2009/10.

Financial and Fiscal Commission

Provincial Data Issues – Public Works & TransportProvincial Data Issues – Public Works & Transport

Recommendations Recommendations

The FFC therefore recommends that reporting for vulnerable groups such as women, youth and people with disabilities should be included in the reporting of the outcomes measures for all conditional infrastructure grants to provinces and municipalities

Page 50: Wednesday, May 28, 2008 -------------------------------------- Submission to the division of Revenue 2009/10.

Financial and Fiscal Commission

Provincial Data Issues – Housing Data issues as they relate to housing focus on Data issues as they relate to housing focus on

Compliance with DORA reporting requirements for the Integrated Housing and Human Settlement Development (IHHSD) grant

Impact of the structure of the provincial departments within which the provincial housing function which is located on reporting of budget, output and outcomes

Key FindingsKey Findings Not all departments are complying with the DORA requirements. Data gaps in the current reporting system that need to be attended to:

― Houses under construction/completed: Currently reported as a combined indicator - difficult to assess impact and efficiency of housing interventions

― Properties transferred to occupiers: This is necessary to assess changes in asset poverty, a key concern of the Breaking New Ground (BNG) Policy

― Average construction time: Establishing norms for construction time of houses will aid assessment of efficiency and help to identify problem projects.

― Women-headed households― Number of employment opportunities created, is required in terms of DoR, but not

reported on by all provinces

Page 51: Wednesday, May 28, 2008 -------------------------------------- Submission to the division of Revenue 2009/10.

Financial and Fiscal Commission

Provincial Data Issues – Housing Provincial Data Issues – Housing

…………..Key Findings Cont’..Key Findings Cont’ Not all provide budget, output and outcomes data at

subprogramme levelThis makes it impossible to analyse housing programme

implementation and performance

Page 52: Wednesday, May 28, 2008 -------------------------------------- Submission to the division of Revenue 2009/10.

Financial and Fiscal Commission

Provincial Data Issues – HousingProvincial Data Issues – Housing

RecommendationsRecommendations All provincial departments receiving the IHHSD grant should comply with the measurable All provincial departments receiving the IHHSD grant should comply with the measurable

outputs-related to reporting requirements detailed in the housing conditional grant outputs-related to reporting requirements detailed in the housing conditional grant framework and published in the DoR Act annually. To enable measurement of housing framework and published in the DoR Act annually. To enable measurement of housing delivery, the following should be reported on:delivery, the following should be reported on:

Number of houses completed separate from those under constructionNumber of houses completed separate from those under construction Proportion and number of these houses completed that are occupiedProportion and number of these houses completed that are occupied Proportion and number of these properties that have been transferred to their Proportion and number of these properties that have been transferred to their

occupiersoccupiers Value of these houses and norms regarding average construction timeValue of these houses and norms regarding average construction time

All provincial departments assigned the housing function should provide financial and All provincial departments assigned the housing function should provide financial and non-financial output and impact data to a sub-programme level, so that data can be non-financial output and impact data to a sub-programme level, so that data can be analysed for every component of the housing subsidy programme (e.g. Project-based, analysed for every component of the housing subsidy programme (e.g. Project-based, People’s Housing Process, Social housing, Rural housing).People’s Housing Process, Social housing, Rural housing).

Page 53: Wednesday, May 28, 2008 -------------------------------------- Submission to the division of Revenue 2009/10.

Financial and Fiscal Commission

Local Government Data Issues Local Government Data Issues Introduction Introduction Local Government data is incomparable, unreliable and often inaccurate There is a general lack of coordination for data collection from Local Government Municipalities suffer from survey fatigue

National organs of state (225 questionnaires a year) excluding provincial requests 60% of questionnaires do not get completed.

Objectives Objectives Identify processes to

Improve data collection and coordination at LG level Improve resultant data quality and reliability

Methodology Methodology Review of supporting relevant literature Analysis of financial and non financial questionnaires sent to municipalities

Page 54: Wednesday, May 28, 2008 -------------------------------------- Submission to the division of Revenue 2009/10.

Financial and Fiscal Commission

Local Government Data - Elimination of Duplication Local Government Data - Elimination of Duplication

Key findingsKey findings Initial analysis indicates that out of ………..

35% of Non Financial Questions are duplicated. 66% of Financial questions are duplicated

Need to reduce survey fatigue by eliminating Data Request Duplication A process required to determine if highlighted questionnaires are

duplicated. If duplication exists, stakeholder must identify methods to share data collection

instruments

RecommendationRecommendation National and provincial government departments, agencies and other

organs of state should eliminate duplicate data requests submitted to municipalities

Page 55: Wednesday, May 28, 2008 -------------------------------------- Submission to the division of Revenue 2009/10.

Financial and Fiscal Commission

Local Government Data – Common Definitions Local Government Data – Common Definitions

Key findingsKey findings Stakeholders need to reach agreements on the terms and definitions in use

Must consider the purpose of collection Definitions need to be understood Different departments aggregate similar line items differently Eg: Rates and General Services have different components in Treasury and Stats SA

collections

Some legislative definitions are open to interpretation Eg: Definition of Municipal Health Services (no definition until 2004)

RecommendationRecommendation Uniform definitions should be established between national and provincial organs of

state and municipalities with careful consideration given to the purpose of collecting and producing statistics. The interpretation should reflect the purpose and mandate of the department collecting the data and be concurrent with the legislation which guides those organs of state

Page 56: Wednesday, May 28, 2008 -------------------------------------- Submission to the division of Revenue 2009/10.

Financial and Fiscal Commission

Local Government Data – Local Government Data – Establish a National Coordinating Body

Key findingsKey findings A Coordinating Body would provide the FORMAL means for completing

the tasks necessary for Reform. Such tasks would be: Assist stakeholder to reach agreements for rationalising data collection National organs of state must be ensured that their data requirements will be

addressed All questionnaires must be evaluated, an environment for this to occur is required

RecommendationRecommendation The FFC recommends that a national coordinating body be established to

coordinate and rationalize the data collection activities of local governments. The national coordinating body should recommend and implement data collection standards according to the South African Statistical Quality Assessment Framework principles.

Page 57: Wednesday, May 28, 2008 -------------------------------------- Submission to the division of Revenue 2009/10.

Financial and Fiscal Commission

STRATEGY TO ENHANCE LOCAL GOVERNMENT REVENUE

Thank you Thank you


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