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Week 12 S2013

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    Economics for Business and

    Management

    Week 12

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    Review

    Name 3 macroeconomic goals

    What are some problems associated with

    calculating GDP?

    Who is included in the labor force? Who is not

    included?

    What are the four types of unemployment?

    What is inflation?

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    Review

    What is the difference between GDP and GNP?

    What makes calculating unemployment

    difficult?

    What is a business cycle?

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    Review

    What is AD?

    Why is AD downward sloping?

    What causes shifts in AD?

    What is AS?

    Why is AS upward sloping?

    What causes changes in long run potential AS? What ONLY shifts short run AS?

    What is the macroeconomic equilibrium?

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    Assignment #6 Q1

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    Assignment #6 Q2

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    Review

    What is a recessionary gap?

    What is an inflationary gap?

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    Assignment #6 Q3&Q4

    4. Using the AD/AS model, draw the economywhen it is experiencing a recessionary gap

    (recession). Remember to label the axis and any

    lines you may draw.5. Using the AD/AS model, draw the economy

    when it is experiencing an inflationary gap

    (inflation). Remember to label the axis and anylines you may draw.

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    Course Project Reminder

    Final Paper 5% of course due July 23

    (TODAY)

    Via digital dropbox ONLY

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    Schedule

    WEEK CLASS DATE TOPICS COVERED

    10 9-Jul Chapters 8&9

    11 16-Jul Chapter 10/ Quiz #2

    12 23-Jul Chapter 11&12

    13 30-Jul Chapters 12&13/ Quiz #314 6-Aug Chapter 14 / Review

    15 August 12-17 Finals week

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    Chapter 11

    Automatic Stabilizers

    Multiplier Effect

    Budget Surplus and Deficits

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    What are Automatic Stabilizers?

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    Automatic Stabilizers

    Automatic stabilizers are built-in measuressuch as taxes and transfer payments to lessenthe effects of the business cycle.

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    Automatic Stabilizers

    During a recessionary period:

    The government earns less revenue

    Pays more EI and Welfare

    During an expansionary period:

    The government earns more tax revenue

    Fewer people demand EI or welfare

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    What is the multiplier effect?

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    The Multiplier Effect

    The multiplier effect is the magnified impact

    of a spending change on AD.

    An initial spending change produces income and

    part of this new income becomes new spending.

    This process is repeated with each spending round

    smaller than the last.

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    The Multiplier Effect

    Determined by the marginal propensity to

    consume (MPC)

    The larger the MPC, the larger the multiplier

    effect.

    What is MPC?

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    MPC

    Marginal propensity to consume (MPC) is the

    fraction of additional disposable income that a

    household consumes rather than saves.

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    The Multiplier Effect

    We can calculate the multiplier and find the

    total impact of an initial change by:

    multiplier = 1/(1-MPC)

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    Ex. Multiplier

    Every $1 in government spending results in

    $.67 in consumer spending (MPC = .67)

    Multiplier = 1/(1-MPC)

    Multiplier = 1/(1-.67) = 1/.33 = 3 ~

    Meaning: If government spending increased by $100million it would result in a total increase in spending

    of $300 million (the initial $100 million resulted in an

    additional $200 million in consumer spending)

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    The Multiplier Effect

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    The Multiplier

    The Federal government spends $2 billion to

    construct new highways, what would be the

    resulting change in AD?

    If MPC were 1/3

    If MPC were 1/2

    If MPC were 2/3

    Multiplier = 1/(1-MPC)

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    The Multiplier

    The Federal government buys $2 billion worth of oil what

    would be the resulting change in AD?

    If MPC were 1/3

    Multiplier = 1/(1- 1/3) = 1.5Change in AD = 2 billion * 1.5 = 3 billion

    Increase in consumption = 3 billion 2 billion = 1 billion

    If MPC were If MPC were 2/3

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    Practice

    T/F When the govt increases spending, the

    ultimate increase in total purchases (AD) will

    be greater than the initial increase.

    T/F The multiplier is smaller when the MPC is

    smaller.

    T/F The multiplier process is instantaneous

    T/F Savings and money spent on imports

    reduce the size of the multiplier.

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    What are Stabilization Policies?

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    Stabilization Policies

    Stabilization policy is government policy

    designed to lessen the effects of the business

    cycle.

    Can be expansionary or contractionary.

    Expansionary policy attempts to reduce unemployment

    and stimulate output.

    Contractionary policy attempt to stabilize prices and

    reduce output.

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    Stabilization Policies

    Govt can use fiscal or monetary policy.

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    Monetary Policy

    Government manipulation of the available

    money supply within the economy.

    Money Supply

    Interest Rates

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    Fiscal Policy

    The use of government spending and/or taxes

    to alter AD

    /G (

    GovtSpending)

    / T (Taxes)

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    Fiscal Policy

    Fiscal Stimulus

    Fiscal Austerity

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    Fiscal Policy

    Fiscal Stimulus G (Govt Spending)

    T (Taxes)

    (Keynesian Economics)

    Fiscal Austerity G (Govt Spending)

    T (Taxes)

    Federal deficits

    Why would a government follow these

    policies?

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    Benefits/Drawbacks of Fiscal

    Policy?

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    Benefits of Fiscal Policy

    Regional focus target affected areas

    Straight-forward impact on output

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    Difficulty with Fiscal Policy

    Delays time lags

    Political visibility

    Public debt

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    Political visibility

    Politicians must consider voters when making

    decisions:

    Taxes

    Spending

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    Practice

    What are automatic stabilizers?

    What is the multiplier effect?

    What is MPC?

    What is good about fiscal policy?

    What makes fiscal policy difficult?

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    Government Revenue

    How does the Govt make money?

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    What if the Govt spends more

    than its revenue?

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    Budget Deficit

    When government spending exceeds tax

    revenues for a given fiscal year.

    NOT the same as the TRADE DEFICIT

    The opposite is a budget surplus: When

    revenues are greater than spending

    Does Canada have a budget deficit or surplus?

    How much?

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    Budget Deficits

    2013 Budget of the Canadian FederalGovernment:

    Total Revenue C$263.9 billion

    Total Expenditures C$282.6 billion

    Resulting in C$18.7 billion deficit

    http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/politics/budget/infographic-the-visual-

    summary-of-the-2013-budget/article10012488/

    http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/politics/budget/infographic-the-visual-summary-of-the-2013-budget/article10012488/http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/politics/budget/infographic-the-visual-summary-of-the-2013-budget/article10012488/http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/politics/budget/infographic-the-visual-summary-of-the-2013-budget/article10012488/http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/politics/budget/infographic-the-visual-summary-of-the-2013-budget/article10012488/http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/politics/budget/infographic-the-visual-summary-of-the-2013-budget/article10012488/http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/politics/budget/infographic-the-visual-summary-of-the-2013-budget/article10012488/http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/politics/budget/infographic-the-visual-summary-of-the-2013-budget/article10012488/http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/politics/budget/infographic-the-visual-summary-of-the-2013-budget/article10012488/http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/politics/budget/infographic-the-visual-summary-of-the-2013-budget/article10012488/http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/politics/budget/infographic-the-visual-summary-of-the-2013-budget/article10012488/http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/politics/budget/infographic-the-visual-summary-of-the-2013-budget/article10012488/http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/politics/budget/infographic-the-visual-summary-of-the-2013-budget/article10012488/http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/politics/budget/infographic-the-visual-summary-of-the-2013-budget/article10012488/http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/politics/budget/infographic-the-visual-summary-of-the-2013-budget/article10012488/http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/politics/budget/infographic-the-visual-summary-of-the-2013-budget/article10012488/http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/politics/budget/infographic-the-visual-summary-of-the-2013-budget/article10012488/http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/politics/budget/infographic-the-visual-summary-of-the-2013-budget/article10012488/http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/politics/budget/infographic-the-visual-summary-of-the-2013-budget/article10012488/
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    Why Have a Deficit?

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    The Federal Government Debt

    Budget Deficits

    Due to a weaker economy and increases in

    government spending on priority areas such ashealth, education, transport and defence.

    Provide the government with the flexibility to

    respond to changing economic circumstances.

    May run deficits in response to:

    War

    natural disaster

    economic downturn

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    The Federal Government Debt

    Financing a Budget Deficit

    The budget deficit is financed by issuing debt.

    The federal government issues bonds

    What is Canadas debt?

    http://www.debtclock.ca/

    What country has the most debt?http://www.economist.com/content/global_debt_clock

    http://www.debtclock.ca/http://www.usdebtclock.org/http://www.economist.com/content/global_debt_clockhttp://www.economist.com/content/global_debt_clockhttp://www.usdebtclock.org/http://www.debtclock.ca/
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    Debt to GDP ratio

    Italy 119.7%

    Greece 157%

    U.S. 105.6%

    Canada 81%

    India 67.5%

    China 15%Brazil 63.8%

    Debt figures are derived from national definitions and therefore may vary from

    country to country.

    http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748703789104576272891515344726.html

    http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748703789104576272891515344726.htmlhttp://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748703789104576272891515344726.htmlhttp://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748703789104576272891515344726.htmlhttp://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748703789104576272891515344726.htmlhttp://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748703789104576272891515344726.html
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    The Federal Government Debt

    Budget Surpluses

    Policymakers must decide what to do with a

    surplus: Pay down the government debt

    Cut taxes

    Use for improvements in education, health

    care, and R&D, leading to greater economic

    growth

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    The Federal Government Debt

    Government Debt

    Is debt ok?

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    Debt

    In a recession, tax revenues fall, and money is

    needed for social programs (EI)

    BUT deficits during hard times should be

    balanced by surpluses during good times.

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    Debt

    How much debt is too much?

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    Debt

    It depends

    Can the government pay off its debt in the future?

    Developed countries can sustain higher levels of

    debt.

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    Debt

    If debt is too large:

    Default

    Austerity

    Why do countries/people continue to hold USdebt?

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    European Economic Problems

    Greece

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    Greece Problem

    National debt - 300 billion ($413.6 billion)

    Debt is 141% of GDP (2010)

    Unemployment 18.4% (youth rate 43.5%)

    Solution

    50% write-down of debt (53.5% reduction) 110 billion bailout (2010)

    130 billion bailout (2012)

    Cut spending by 1.5% of GDP, cut minimum wage and

    holiday bonuses, tax increases

    The goal to cut the Greek government's debt from 160% of GDP to

    120% of GDP by 2020.

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    Italy

    Problem

    National Debt 1.927 trillion

    Debt is 121% of GDP

    Average annual growth (15yrs) - 0.75%

    Interest on debt (2.7% - short term, 6%+ LR)

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    Italy (ECB/Germanys Concerns)

    bailing out Italy will simply encourages

    reckless spending

    printing money will stoke inflation

    if Italy failed to repay the rescue loans, it couldleave the ECB itself in need of a bailout, and

    that could destroy its independence.

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    Practice

    T/F The government can use fiscal policy tostimulate the economy out of a recession.

    T/F When tax revenues are greater than

    government spending a deficit exists. T/F An increase in taxes would stimulate the

    economy.

    T/F Sometimes fiscal policy can destabilize theeconomy

    T/F Time lags are a problem in the

    implementation of fiscal policy.

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    Practice

    Budget surpluses exist when:a. government spending exceeds its tax revenues.

    b. government tax revenues exceed its spending.

    c. government spending equals its tax revenues.

    When taxes are increased, disposable income ____, and

    hence consumption ____.

    Fiscal policy refers to the government manipulation of what?During a recession, government transfer payments

    automatically ____ and tax revenue automatically ____.

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    Practice

    What is a contractionary gap?

    What action can the govt take to correct this gap?

    What is an expansionary gap?

    What action can the govt take to correct this gap?

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    Assignment #6 Q5&Q6

    5. What is aggregate demand? What are the

    two reasons the aggregate demand curve is

    downward sloping?

    6.Compare/Contrast the advantages and

    disadvantages of Monetary and Fiscal policy?

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    Chapter 12

    Functions of Money

    Demand and supply for money

    Money multiplier

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    What are the functions of money?

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    The Functions of Money

    There are three main functions that money

    performs:

    a means of exchange

    a measure of value

    a store of purchasing power

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    Functions of Money

    1. Medium of Exchange

    The primary function of money.

    To facilitate transactions and lower transaction

    costs.

    Alternative to barter the direct exchange of

    goods and services without the use of money.

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    Functions of Money

    2. Measure of Value

    Common ruler" for comparing the values of

    diverse goods and services.

    Lowers information costs of making

    transactions.

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    Functions of Money

    3. Store of Purchasing Power

    A means of efficiently saving things of value.

    Money is cheaper and easier to store than

    other goods.

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    Facebook Credits

    10 cents/credit

    Buy premium content inside games and

    applications

    Could a gigantic nonsovereign like Facebook

    someday launch a real currency to compete

    with the dollar, euro, yen, and the like?

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    Facebook Credits

    Measure of Value? YesCredits offer a system-wide pricing scheme for

    app vendors across countries

    Store of Value? No

    Cant convert into something else of value (gold)

    Medium of Exchange? No

    Microsoft wont accept them

    Facebook banned the use of Credits as

    payment for tangible goods


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