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1 DEBORAH WEINSWIG, MANAGING DIRECTOR, FUNG GLOBAL RETAIL & TECHNOLOGY [email protected] US: 917.655.6790 HK: 852.6119.1779 CN: 86.186.1420.3016 Copyright © 2016 The Fung Group. All rights reserved. CHART OF THE WEEK STAT OF THE WEEK DEBORAH WEINSWIG MANAGING DIRECTOR FUNG GLOBAL RETAIL & TECHNOLOGY [email protected] US: 646.839.7017 HK: 852.6119.1779 CHN: 86.186.1420.3016 July 1, 2016 In this week’s note “From the Desk of Deborah Weinswig,” we look at how the UK’s historic decision to leave the EU will affect the UK, the US and the rest of Europe, from our vantage point on the US side of the Pond. Retailers are shifting to hold less inventory in stores, aiming to increase sales by 15% while keeping inventory levels flat or even decreasing them slightly. As consumers increasingly shop online, retailers are working to figure out how to profitably allocate inventory to meet consumers’ needs. Since inventory is one of retailers’ highest costs, holding less of it can free up capital for building online operations or covering wage increases. According to experience-marketing platform Monetate, more than half of online shoppers spend time shopping on different devices before making their purchase. Cross-device reconciliation allows customers to pick up where they left off, even if they switch devices. The total number of smartphones in China is expected to reach 1.4 billion by 2020, with an increase of 34 million mobile phone users, according to research firm Canalys. Chinese consumers are embracing digital devicesincluding smartphones, smarter vehicles, virtual reality devices and Internet-of-Things connected devicesand adoption rates have been boosted by the government’s “Internet Plus” initiative. 10.5% According to market-measurement firm Kantar Worldpanel, German discounters Aldi and Lidl achieved a record combined share of 10.5% of the UK grocery market in the 12 weeks ended June 19, 2016. Aldi’s share was 4.4% and Lidl’s share was 6.1%. Tesco retains the largest market share, at 28.2%, but sales fell for each of the big four grocers. During the period, sales declined by 1.3% at Tesco, by 2.4% at Morrisons, by 1.4% at Sainsbury’s and by 5.9% at Asda. Forecast UK Export Losses Post-Brexit Forecast Losses in UK Total Exports in a Post-Brexit Scenario, by Main EU Market (GBP Bil.) *Free Trade Agreement Source: Euler Hermes, November 30, 2015 (0.2) (0.2) (0.3) (0.5) (0.5) (0.7) (1.0) (1.2) (1.3) (1.9) (0.5) (0.7) (1.1) (1.7) (1.7) (2.4) (3.4) (3.8) (4.3) (6.1) (7) (6) (5) (4) (3) (2) (1) 0 Denmark Poland Sweden Italy Spain Belgium Ireland France Netherlands Germany No FTA* FTA
Transcript
Page 1: Weekly Insights by Fung Global Retail Tech July 1 …...2016/07/01  · combined share of 10.5% of the UK grocery market in the 12 weeks ended June 19, 2016. Aldi’s share was 4.4%

1

July 1, 2016

DEBORAHWEINSWIG,MANAGINGDIRECTOR,FUNGGLOBALRETAIL&[email protected]:917.655.6790HK:852.6119.1779CN:86.186.1420.3016Copyright©2016TheFungGroup.Allrightsreserved.

+5.4%

CHARTOFTHEWEEK

STATOFTHEWEEK

STATOFTHEWEEK

D E B O R A H W EI N S W I G M A N A G I N G D I R E C T O R

F U N G G L O B A L R E T A I L & T E C H N O L O G Y d e b o r a h w e i n s w i g @ f u n g 1 9 3 7 . c o m

U S : 6 4 6 . 8 3 9 . 7 0 1 7 H K : 8 5 2 . 6 1 1 9 . 1 7 7 9

C H N : 8 6 . 1 8 6 . 1 4 2 0 . 3 0 1 6

July 1, 2016 • Inthisweek’snote“FromtheDeskofDeborahWeinswig,”welookathowtheUK’shistoricdecisiontoleavetheEUwillaffecttheUK,theUSandtherestofEurope,fromourvantagepointontheUSsideofthePond.

• Retailers are shifting to hold less inventory in stores, aiming to increasesales by15%while keeping inventory levels flat oreven decreasing themslightly. As consumers increasingly shop online, retailers are working tofigureouthowtoprofitablyallocate inventorytomeetconsumers’needs.Sinceinventoryisoneofretailers’highestcosts,holding lessof itcanfreeupcapitalforbuildingonlineoperationsorcoveringwageincreases.

• According toexperience-marketing platformMonetate,more thanhalfofonline shoppers spend time shoppingondifferentdevices beforemakingtheir purchase. Cross-device reconciliation allows customers to pick upwheretheyleftoff,eveniftheyswitchdevices.

• Thetotalnumberofsmartphones inChina isexpectedtoreach1.4billionby2020,withan increaseof34millionmobilephoneusers, according toresearch firmCanalys.Chineseconsumersareembracingdigitaldevices—including smartphones, smarter vehicles, virtual reality devices andInternet-of-Things connected devices—and adoption rates have beenboostedbythegovernment’s“InternetPlus”initiative.

10.5%• Accordingtomarket-measurementfirmKantarWorldpanel,GermandiscountersAldiandLidlachievedarecordcombinedshareof10.5%oftheUKgrocerymarketinthe12weeksendedJune19,2016.Aldi’ssharewas4.4%andLidl’ssharewas6.1%.

• Tescoretainsthelargestmarketshare,at28.2%,butsalesfellforeachofthebigfourgrocers.Duringtheperiod,salesdeclinedby1.3%atTesco,by2.4%atMorrisons,by1.4%atSainsbury’sandby5.9%atAsda.

ForecastUKExportLossesPost-BrexitForecastLossesinUKTotalExportsinaPost-BrexitScenario,byMainEUMarket(GBPBil.)

*FreeTradeAgreementSource:EulerHermes,November30,2015

(0.2)

(0.2)

(0.3)

(0.5)

(0.5)

(0.7)

(1.0)

(1.2)

(1.3)

(1.9)

(0.5)

(0.7)

(1.1)

(1.7)

(1.7)

(2.4)

(3.4)

(3.8)

(4.3)

(6.1)

(7) (6) (5) (4) (3) (2) (1) 0

Denmark

Poland

Sweden

Italy

Spain

Belgium

Ireland

France

Netherlands

Germany

NoFTA* FTA

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July 1, 2016

DEBORAHWEINSWIG,MANAGINGDIRECTOR,FUNGGLOBALRETAIL&[email protected]:917.655.6790HK:852.6119.1779CN:86.186.1420.3016Copyright©2016TheFungGroup.Allrightsreserved.

FROMTHEDESKOFDEBORAHWEINSWIG

Brexit:TheViewfromThisSideofthePond

On June23,British citizens cast ahistoric vote for theUK to exit the European Union (EU), with the “leave”votes outnumbering the “stay” votes by a margin of52%to48%.

The US has a “special relationship” with the UK andstrong, long-lasting ties with Europe as well, throughNATO and other transatlantic links, and US PresidentBarack Obama issued strongly worded remarks urgingtheUKtoremainintheEU.

By exiting the EU, the UK will be able to increase itscontroloveritsbordersandeconomy,anditwillhavegreaterfreedomtotradewiththerestoftheworldwithouttariffs,butboththeUKandtheEUwillpayapriceforBrexit,aswillothercountries,includingtheUS.

ChallengesfortheUK:UncertaintyregardingthetimingandprocessofwithdrawalfromtheEUislikelytotakeanimmediatetollontheUK’seconomy,currencyandmarkets.SomeeconomistsarepredictingthatthedecisiontoexittheEUcouldthrowtheUK’seconomyintorecessioninthesecondhalfofthisyear,andthereisconsensusthatthefallinthepoundwillraiseinputcostsand,so,consumerpricesinthecomingyears.However,wethinksomesectorswill struggle to pass on higher costs to consumers,meaning that retailerswill have to bear someor all of them.Weakconsumerdemandforapparelandpricewarsingrocerymeanthatthesesectors’marginsarelikelytotakeahit.On thepositive side, a fallingpound shouldboostUKexports, and theattractivenessof the currencyalreadyappearstobedrivingupglobalinterestinUKtourism.

Therewillbeother,unspecifiedcostsandbenefits,too.LondonisthefinancialhubofEuropeanddrawstalentfromacrossthecontinent.FinancialservicesfirmscouldhavetomoveresourcestootherEuropeancapitals,andabraindrainof talent could result.After theexit,which is a coupleof years away,UK companies couldbenefit fromnolonger needing to invest the time and expense necessary to complywith EU regulations aswell as from theUKresettingitsowntariffsatamorecompetitivelevel.

Challenges for the rest of Europe: Economists also predict that the UK’s decision is likely to create a drag onEuropeanGDPgrowth,thoughtheycannotagreeonhowmuchitwillbeaffected.CitiexpectsEUandeurozoneGDPtotakeahitof100–150basispointsoverthenextthreeyears,butBarclaysseeseurozoneGDPbeingimpactedby140basispointsin2017alone.Ireland,Germany,theNetherlandsandBelgiumarelikelytobehitthehardest,giventheclosenessoftheirtradingtieswiththeUK.ThefallinthepoundwillmakeexportsfromtheUKcheaper,whichmeanstheycouldtakesharefromcontinentalsuppliers.Furtherahead,aftertheexit,boththeEUandtheUKmayface additional costs due to the reintroduction of taxes and tariffs on the transfer of goods and services acrossborders,andconsumersmaylosetheabilitytocomparepricesforgoodsacrosscountries.

Challenges for theUS:TheUKwastheUS’sseventh-largesttradingpartner in2013,accordingtothemostrecentdataprovidedbytheUSCensusBureau,withtotalimportsandexportsamountingto2.6%oftotaltrade.Lookingatother large EU trading partners, Germanywas fifth, with 4.2% of total trade; Francewas eighth, with 2.0%; theNetherlandswas13th,with1.6%;andItalywas15th,with1.4%.Ifthepoundfalls,theUSwillbenefitfromcheaperimportsfromtheUK.ThemostexposedUSretailers,basedonUKsalesasapercentageoftotalsales,areWalmart(11.1%ofsales),WalgreensBootsAlliance(8.9%),Amazon(8.4%)andApple(5.0%).Inthenearterm,theseretailersfacethechallengeofcurrencyfluctuations.And,oncetheUKhaslefttheEU,theymayfaceadditionalcosts,astheywillhavetoreallocateresourcestoservethenew,separateUKmarket.ExposuretotheEUoutsidetheUKisalsoarisk,giventhat“Brexitcontagion”threatensthecohesivenessoftheEU.

Theupshot:Despiterecentmarketgyrations,theseparationprocesswilloccurslowlyoverseveralyears.Thismeansthat,despitetheeuphoriaamongthe“leave”voters,therewillbelittleimmediate,tangiblechangetotraderules,andcompaniesandconsumerswillhaveample time toadjustandposition themselves foraUK-freeEU. It is stillpossiblethattheEUandtheUKwillarriveatsomekindofbusiness-friendlypoliticalandeconomicarrangementthatminimizestheeffectsof theexiton international trade.Thenear-term impactprimarilydependsontheextenttowhichthedecisionwillhiteconomicgrowthandhowbusinesseswillbeaffectedbyasharplydevaluedpound.Witheconomistsdivided,itislargelyacaseofwaitandsee.

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July 1, 2016

DEBORAHWEINSWIG,MANAGINGDIRECTOR,FUNGGLOBALRETAIL&[email protected]:917.655.6790HK:852.6119.1779CN:86.186.1420.3016Copyright©2016TheFungGroup.Allrightsreserved.

USRETAILEARNINGS

Source:Companyreports

USRETAIL&TECHHEADLINESHowFashionBrandsAreStartingtoDesignLikeTechCompanies(June24)FastCompany• LululemonandMinistryofSupplyareamongtheretailnamesthatareembracingthelabconcept

totestdesignsandfabricsbeforetheyofficiallyenterthemarket.Thismethodallowsretailerstostaymoreintouchwithconsumersandcontinuethedesignprocessafteraproducthitsstores.

• Inthisprocessoftestingandprototyping,consumerfeedbackiskey,especiallyforsmallercompaniesthatcanswiftlyadjusttomeettheircustomers’needs.Socialmediaanddirect-to-consumermodelshavealsochangedhowretailersinteractwithconsumers.

TheSnapchatEffect:FashionDesignersAreMakingtheEphemeralFab(June29)Glossy• Inthefashionindustry,designersandbrandsareusingSnapchatastheycompetetowinover

customerswithbehind-the-sceneslooksatcollectionsandevents.Afavoredplatformamongteens,SnapchathasseenitsnumberofviewsincreasefourfoldsinceMay2015;itnowgarnersupto8billionviewsperday.

• Whilethefashionindustryhashistoricallybeenastepbehindintermsofadoptingthelatesttechtrends,digitallynativebrandshavefoundparticularsuccesswithSnapchat.Theseyounger,moredigitallysavvybrands,suchasRebeccaMinkoffandKateSpade,arehelpingpavethewayformoreestablishedheritagebrandsonthedisappearing-messageapp.

RetailersRethinkInventoryStrategies(June27)TheWallStreetJournal• Retailersareshiftingtoholdlessinventoryinstores,aimingtoincreasesalesby15%while

keepinginventorylevelsflatorevendecreasingthemslightly.Asconsumersincreasinglyshoponline,retailersareworkingtofigureouthowtoprofitablyallocateinventorytomeetconsumers’needs.

• Sinceinventoryisoneofretailers’highestcosts,holdinglessofitcanfreeupcapitalforbuildingonlineoperationsorcoveringwageincreases.Additionally,byputtingmoreinventoryondisplay,retailerscanavoidfrustratingconsumers,whodonotliketobepresentedwithbareshelves.

HowE-CommerceShoppersActuallyShop(June28)Women’sWearDaily• Lessthanhalfofcustomerpurchasesaremadewithinthefirsthourofbrowsing,soretailersare

turningto“cross-devicereconciliation”tomakethesale.Accordingtoexperience-marketingplatformMonetate,morethanhalfofonlineshoppersspendtimeshoppingondifferentdevicesbeforemakingtheirpurchase.

• Cross-devicereconciliationallowscustomerstopickupwheretheyleftoff,eveniftheyswitchdevices.Andwhileconsumersareincreasinglyshoppingonmobiledevices,Monetateadvises

Company

Revenues($Mil.) ChangeYoY GrossMargin(%) ChangeNetIncome($

Mil.) ChangeYoY StoreFleetEOP

Period 2016 2015 (%) 2016 2015 (BP) 2016 2015 (%) 2016 2015

Nike 4QEMay 8,244 7,779 6.0 45.9 46.2 (26) 846 865 (2.2) 919 832

WEINSWIG’SWATCHING

Thisweek,theUSFungGlobalRetail&TechnologyteamattendedthePIApparel2016conferenceinNewYorkCity.

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July 1, 2016

DEBORAHWEINSWIG,MANAGINGDIRECTOR,FUNGGLOBALRETAIL&[email protected]:917.655.6790HK:852.6119.1779CN:86.186.1420.3016Copyright©2016TheFungGroup.Allrightsreserved.

retailerstocontinuefocusingondesktops,astheaverageordervalueis46%higherondesktopsthanonmobiledevices.

EUROPERETAILEARNINGS

Company

Revenues(USDMil.)

ChangeinUSD(%)

ChangeinReportingCurrency

(%)Gross

Margin(%)Change(bps)

NetIncome(USDMil.)

YoY%Change

StoreFleetEOP

Period 2016 2015

2016 2015

2016 2015

2016 2015

Ocado1HEMay15,2016 848 775 9.5 15.1 34.1 33.6 49 12.5 11.0 13.6 N/A N/A

DixonsCarphone*

FYEApr30,2016 14,636 13,239 10.6 18.0 N/A N/A N/A 242.0 155.6 55.5 2,243 2,308

*FY16wasthe12monthsendedApril30,2016;FY15wasthe13monthsendedMay2,2015.CarphoneWarehouseandDixonsRetailmergedonAugust6,2014,sotheFY15resultsareproforma.Source:Companyreports

EUROPERETAILHEADLINESH&M’sNetSalesRisebyLessthanPlannedintheSecondQuarterof2016(June22)Companypressrelease• H&MreportedthatgroupsalesincludingVATgrewby5%inlocalcurrenciesduringthesecond

quarterendedMay31,2016.Inreportingcurrency,salesincludingVATincreasedby2%,toSEK54.3billion(US$6.6billion).Thegroup’sprofitaftertaxfortheperiodwasSEK5.4million(US$0.65million).

• Thecompanycommentedthatcoldspringweatherinmanyofitsmarketsweighedonsales—whichwerebelowthecompany’splan—whileprofitwasaffectedbyhigherpurchasingcostsduetothestrengthoftheUSdollar,increasedmarkdownsandthecostofthecompany’slong-terminvestments.

TescoReportsItsSecondStraightQuarterofUKComparableSalesGrowth(June23)Companypressrelease• Tescoreportedgroupcomparablesalesgrowthof0.9%forthefirstquarterofitsfiscalyear2017.

UKcompsincreasedby0.3%,whileinternationalcompswereup3.0%.ThisisthesecondsuccessivequarterofUKcomparablesalesgrowthfortheretailer,signalingthatitsrecoveryismakingsteadyprogress.

• Tescoisrefocusingitsbusinessonitscoregroceryoperations.TheretailerannouncedthesaleoftheHarris+HoolecoffeeshopchainonJune23,2016.EarlierinJune,itannouncedthesaleoftheGirafferestaurantchain,DobbiesGardenCentresanditscontrollingstakeinKipainTurkey.

SchwarzGrouptoInvestinStoreRevampinGermany(June23)RetailWeek• SchwarzGroup,theownerofLidlandKaufland,announcedaplantoinvest€6.5billion(US$7.4

billion)instorerevampsforthetwochainsinGermanyinordertoregainsomeofthemarketshareithaslosttorivals.

• Morethan€3.0billion(US$3.4billion)ofthetotalwillbeusedtorefurbish3,200LidlstoresinGermanyinanefforttoimprovetheshoppingexperience.

PoundlandRejectsTakeoverOfferfromSteinhoff(June24)Companypressrelease• AccordingtoastatementreleasedbySteinhoffonJune24,PoundlandhasrejectedSteinhoff’s

proposalregardingacashtakeoveroffer.

• SteinhoffcommentedthatitisconsideringitspositionfollowingPoundland’srejectionoftheproposal.Earlierthisyear,Steinhoffattempted,unsuccessfully,toacquireHomeRetailGroupandDarty.

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July 1, 2016

DEBORAHWEINSWIG,MANAGINGDIRECTOR,FUNGGLOBALRETAIL&[email protected]:917.655.6790HK:852.6119.1779CN:86.186.1420.3016Copyright©2016TheFungGroup.Allrightsreserved.

OcadoGainsMarketShareDespiteIncreasingCompetition(June28)Companypressrelease• Ocadoreportedanincreaseinrevenueof15.1%,to£584.2million(US$844.9million),forthe

firsthalfoffiscalyear2016.Profitbeforetaxincreasedto£8.5million(US$12.3million)fortheperiod,comparedwith£7.2million(US$10.4million)inthefirsthalfof2015.

• Ocadocommentedthatitsincreasingscaleandoperationalefficiencieswillenableittogrowprofit—albeitataslowerrate—andgainshareinonlinegrocery,despitethemarketremainingcompetitive.

ASIATECHHEADLINESUberChinaRepositionsItselfasanAll-in-OneSolutionsProvider(June27)TechCrunch• Thisyear,UberChinawillpromotetwonewofferingsthroughoutChina,UberLIFEandUber+

Travel.UberLIFEprovidesuserswithadigitalmagazinethatcoverssports,arts,playsandotherlocalevents.Uber+Travelaimstoimproveusers’travelexperience.

• UberChinaisrepositioningitself,movingfromcar-hailingapptoall-in-onesolutionsprovider,aserviceforwhichthereishighdemandintheChinesemarket.Thecompany’svisionistoprovidecomprehensivesolutionsfortransportation,foodandentertainment.

ChinatoSee1.4BillionSmartphonesinUseby2020(June28)ZDNet• ThetotalnumberofsmartphonesinChinaisexpectedtoreach1.4billionby2020,withan

increaseof34millionmobilephoneusers,accordingtoresearchfirmCanalys.

• Chineseconsumersareembracingdigitaldevices—includingsmartphones,smartervehicles,virtualrealitydevicesandInternet-of-Thingsconnecteddevices—andadoptionrateshavebeenboostedbythegovernment’s“InternetPlus”initiative.

XiaomiWillGoPublicin2025(June28)TechinAsia• Xiaomiwillgopublicin2025,onceitsbusinessmodelhasmaturedandconsumershavebecome

loyaltoitsproducts,accordingtoLeiJun,thecompany’sCEO.

• XiaomiwantstodevelopintoaretailchainmuchlikeJapan’sMuji,whichsellsavarietyofproducts.Xiaomihasbeenbuildingitsnetworkofretailstores,sellingsmartphones,smartlamps,dronesandscooters,sinceitsestablishmentin2010.

Singapore’sFundnelCooperateswithBANSEA(June27)e27.co• Singapore’scollaborativeinvestmentplatform,Fundnel,hasformedapartnershipwiththe

BusinessAngelNetworkofSoutheastAsia(BANSEA)tobuildanearly-stageinvestmentvehicle.

• BANSEAwasestablishedin2001topromotethedevelopmentoftheangel-investingcommunityinSoutheastAsiaandFundnelisanonlinefundraisingplatformthatconnectsinvestorsandprivatecompanies,includingstartups.Underthepartnership,FundnelcantapintoBANSEA’sextensivenetworktofindindustryexpertstoleadthefundingofdealsontheplatform.

India’sGovernmentAbolishesthe“AngelInvestmentTax”(June27)ZDNet• TheIndiangovernmenthasabolishedthe“angelinvestmenttax”oninvestorswhofundstartups.

Themoveismeanttohelpstartupsraisemorecapitaltocoverdailyoperations.

• However,manystartupswillhaveadifficulttimemeetingthetermsandconditionsoftheamendedtaxlaw.Tobecomeeligibleforthebenefits,startupsmustbelessthanfiveyearsoldandhaveanannualturnoveroflessthan25crorerupees.

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July 1, 2016

DEBORAHWEINSWIG,MANAGINGDIRECTOR,FUNGGLOBALRETAIL&[email protected]:917.655.6790HK:852.6119.1779CN:86.186.1420.3016Copyright©2016TheFungGroup.Allrightsreserved.

LATAMRETAILHEADLINESElcatexofHondurastoInvest$500MillioninSyntheticFabricsPlant(June27)WWD.com• GrupoElcatex,basedinSanPedroSula,Honduras,issettoinvest$500milliontobuildanew

syntheticsandstretchapparelfactoryandanewtextilesindustrialpark,andtoboostitsrenewableenergycapacitytofeedfuturefacilities.

• ThefirmisanintegralpartoftheHonduras20/20developmentplan,whichaimstodoublethecountry’stextileexportsinthenextfiveyears.Constructionofthenew,$120-millionplantwillbegininlate2016,anditisplannedtoopeninthesecondhalfof2017.

PanamaInauguratesExpandedCanal(June26)WSJ.com• TheexpandedPanamaCanalformallyopenedonSunday;the$5.4-billionprojectdoubledthe

waterway’scapacityandtooknineyearstocomplete.ThecanalnowincludesnewlocksonboththeAtlanticandPacificsidesthatarewideranddeeperthantheoriginals.

• ChinesemerchantshipCoscoShippingPanama,namedinhonoroftheproject,reachedthelocksonthePacificsideafterenteringfromtheAtlanticside.

HighDollarDrivesGapandBananaRepublictoLeaveColombia(June24)AméricaRetail• Amidliquidationsanddeepdiscounts,AmericanbrandsGapandBananaRepublicaresaying

good-byetoColombiaduetoboththedevaluationofthepesoagainsttheUSdollarandrisinginflation.

• SuperiorBrandsHoldingownsthebrandsforCentralandSouthAmerica,andithasmadethedecisiontostepbackacrosstheregion.StoresarealsosettocloseinCostaRica,asbrandssuchasForever21andZarascalebackaswell.

BrazilianRetailerTheBeautyBoxPlansFurtherExpansionin2016(June27)PremiumBeautyNews• TheBeautyBoxcombinesitsownbrandswithinternationalcosmetics,fragranceandaccessories

brands.ThecompanyisownedbyBrazil’sBoticárioGroupandisinitsfourthyearofoperation.Itcurrentlyhass37storesacrossfivestates.

• Thechainhasplanstoopenanadditional15pointsofsalein2016,andtocontinueinvestingheavilyinitse-commerceplatforminordertomaintainasoundomni-channelapproach.

LatinAmerica’sChronicInefficiencyCouldDriveMoreO2OCommerceGrowth(June25)TechCrunch• BrazilleadsO2OcommercesectorgrowthinLatinAmerica,withappssuchasRapiddoandLoggi

growingquicklytoprovideon-demandmotorbikedeliveryservicesintraffic-plaguedRiodeJaneiroandothercities.

• Amidastrugglingeconomy,Braziliansaresearchingformoreformsofemployment;thus,appssuchasDogHero,adog-sittinganddog-walkingapp,arebecomingverypopular.

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July 1, 2016

DEBORAHWEINSWIG,MANAGINGDIRECTOR,FUNGGLOBALRETAIL&[email protected]:917.655.6790HK:852.6119.1779CN:86.186.1420.3016Copyright©2016TheFungGroup.Allrightsreserved.

EARNINGSCALENDAR

E=estimated

Company

EarningsReleasePeriod Date

Sales(Mil.) EPS

CurrencyConsensusTY LYActual ConsensusTY LYActualAlimentationCouche-Tard(ATD-B.TO) 4Q16 Jul5(E) 8,297 7,286 0.39 0.26 USD

Prada(1913.HK) 1Q17 Jul5(E) 781 828 0.02 0.02 EUR

WalgreensBootsAlliance(WBA) 3Q16 Jul6 29,717 28,795 1.13 1.29 USD

FastRetailing(9983.JP) 3Q16 Jul14 423 398 180 271 JPY

SuperGroup(SGP.L) FY16 Jul14 583 487 0.69 0.60 GBPeBay(EBAY) 2Q16 Jul20(E) 2,172 4,379 0.42 0.59 USDAmazon(AMZN) 2Q16 Jul21(E) 29,573 23,185 2.47 0.19 USDIconixBrandGroup(ICON) 2Q16 Jul20(E) 95 96 0.21 0.32 USD

Amazon(AMZN) 2Q16 Jul21(E) 29,545 23,185 2.45 0.19 USD

Skechers(SKX) 2Q16 Jul21(E) 894 801 0.53 0.52 USD

UnderArmour(UA) 2Q16 Jul21(E) 1,000 784 0.04 0.03 USD

Unilever(ULVR.L) 1H16 Jul21 26,671 26,991 0.94 0.91 EUR

VFCorp.(VFC) 2Q16 Jul22 2,528 2,514 0.34 0.40 USD

Baidu(BIDU) 2Q16 Jul25(E) 18,811 16,575 9.01 1.02 CNY

Kimberly-Clark(KMB) 2Q16 Jul25 4,567 4,643 1.47 1.40 USD

LuxotticaGroup(LUX) 1H16 Jul25 4,852 4,753 1.16 0.82 EUR

Apple(AAPL) 3Q16 Jul26 42,140 49,605 1.40 1.85 USD

SuperValu(SVU) 1Q17 Jul26(E) 5,300 5,407 0.22 0.24 USD

ExpressScripts(ESRX) 2Q16 Jul26(E) 25,410 25,454 1.58 1.04 USD

Hanesbrands(HBI) 2Q16 Jul27(E) 1,531 1,522 0.53 0.50 USD

Facebook(FB) 2Q16 Jul27(E) 6,002 4,042 0.81 0.25 USD

Loblaw(L.TO) 2Q16 Jul27 10,817 10,535 0.94 0.50 CAD

SimonPropertyGroup(SPG) 2Q16 Jul27 1,347 1,349 2.62 2.63 USD

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July 1, 2016

DEBORAHWEINSWIG,MANAGINGDIRECTOR,FUNGGLOBALRETAIL&[email protected]:917.655.6790HK:852.6119.1779CN:86.186.1420.3016Copyright©2016TheFungGroup.Allrightsreserved.

EVENTCALENDAR

Event Location Date(s)

FungGlobalPresenting/Attending

PerformanceMarketingInsights:Europe Amsterdam,Netherlands Jul4–5 ICSCEuropeanRetailPropertySchool Prague,CzechRepublic Jul4–6 BrazilianRetailFair PortoAlegre,Brazil Jul6–8 AppPromotionSummit London,UK Jul7 FortuneBrainstormTech Aspen,CO Jul11–13 WearableTechnologiesConference SanFrancisco,CA Jul12–13 InnovationEnterpriseDigitalPublishingInnovationSummit NewYork,NY Jul13–14 RILAOmnichannelLeadersCouncil NewYork,NY Jul13–14 √ICSCMichiganIdeaExchangeandP3RetailProgram Novi,MI Jul14 ICSCNorthAmericanResearchTaskForceSummerMeeting NewYork,NY Jul14–15 √ProjectSOLE NewYork,NY Jul17–19 CasualConnectUSA2016 SanFrancisco,CA Jul18–20 Shop.orgDigitalExperienceWorkshop RanchoPalosVerdes,CA Jul18–20 WearablesTechCon2016 SanJose,CA Jul18–20 LatinAmericanElectronicsShow SãoPaulo,Brazil Jul18–21 ICSCNewEnglandConference&DealMaking Boston,MA Jul19–21 AAFATraceabilityWorkshop Austin,TX Jul20 OnlineRetailerSydney Sydney,Australia Jul20–21 Comic-Con SanDiego,CA Jul21–24 FórumE-CommerceBrasil SãoPaulo,Brazil Jul26–27 ColombiamodaFashion&Sourcing Medellín,Colombia Jul26–28 BlackHatUSA LasVegas,NV Jul30–Aug4 NACDSTotalStoreExpo Boston,MA Aug6–9 √NRFTech SanDiego,CA Aug7–9 ICSCMOCIAL+MarketingAdvertising&SponsorshipinaDigitalAge SanFrancisco,CA Aug10–12 eCommerceDayBuenosAires BuenosAires,Argentina Aug11 MAGIC LasVegas,NV Aug15–17 √StoreBrands’Innovation&CollaborationSummit Orlando,FL Aug15–17 ICSCFloridaConference&DealMaking Orlando,FL Aug21–23 LATAMRetailShow2016Congress&Expo SãoPaulo,Brazil Aug23–25 InnovationEnterpriseWearableTechinSportSummit SanFrancisco,CA Aug24–25

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July 1, 2016

DEBORAHWEINSWIG,MANAGINGDIRECTOR,FUNGGLOBALRETAIL&[email protected]:917.655.6790HK:852.6119.1779CN:86.186.1420.3016Copyright©2016TheFungGroup.Allrightsreserved.

DeborahWeinswig,CPAManagingDirectorFungGlobalRetail&TechnologyNewYork:917.655.6790HongKong:852.6119.1779China:86.186.1420.3016deborahweinswig@fung1937.comAmandaByrneMarketingAssociate

RachaelDimitResearchAssociate

JohnHarmon,CFASeniorAnalyst

AragornHoResearchAssociate

JohnMercerSeniorAnalyst

KirilPopovSeniorAnalyst

StevenWinnickResearchAssociate

HONGKONG:10thFloor,LiFungTower888CheungShaWanRoad,KowloonHongKongTel:85223002470NEWYORK:1359Broadway,9thFloorNewYork,NY10018Tel:6468397017LONDON:242–246MaryleboneRoadLondon,NW16JQUnitedKingdomTel:44(0)2076168988FBICGROUP.COM


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