WELCOME!
Transforming the way the world
buys, sells, owns and uses cars
2
AGENDA
3
The Industry & The Way Forward – Sandy Schwartz, President and CEO
The Economy – Jonathan Smoke, Chief Economist
New Vehicle Sales – Charlie Chesbrough, Senior Economist
Used Vehicle Sales – Zo Rahim, Manager of Economic & Industry Insights
A Changing Landscape – Michelle Krebs, Executive Analyst
Outlook and Summer Playlist – Jonathan Smoke, Chief Economist
Q&A
MID-YEAR REVIEW 2020: The Way Forward
Sandy SchwartzPresident and CEO
4
TURNING MASSIVE CHALLENGES INTO MEANINGFUL CHANGE
ACCELERATE DIGITAL ADOPTION TO MEET CONSUMER DEMAND• CREATE THE TOUCHLESS CAR BUYING EXPERIENCE CONSUMERS WANT• NURTURE MEANINGFUL LONG-LASTING SERVICE RELATIONSHIPS• FREE UP TIME AND RESOURCES TO BETTER SERVE CUSTOMERS
REAL-TIME MARKET INSIGHTS TO FUEL YOUR BUSINESS• GAIN AN UNDERSTANDING OF THE MARKET TODAY SINCE THE PANDEMIC• ENABLE DECISION-MAKING FOR YOUR BUSINESS BASED ON INSIGHT• SHARPEN YOUR UNDERSTANDING OF YOUR CUSTOMERS BASED ON
CONSUMER SENTIMENTS GATHERED
BE HUMAN AT YOUR CORE• MAKE CONTINUED SAFETY THE TOP PRIORITY FOR YOUR EMPLOYEES
AND CUSTOMERS• NURTURE RELATIONSHIPS AND DEEPEN CUSTOMER TIES BY
GIVING BACK TO YOUR COMMUNITY• CHOOSE BUSINESS PARTNERS THAT SHARE YOUR VALUES,
COMMITMENT TO COMMUNITY AND VISION
MID-YEAR REVIEW 2020: The Economy
Jonathan SmokeChief Economist
7
Overall Economy GDP Growth / FRBNY
3.1%(Q2 ’19)
-5.0%(Q1 ’20)
-39%(Q2 ’20 F)
Employment Conditions
U3 UnemploymentRate
3.6%(May ’19)
13.3%(May ’20)
Buyer Confidence UofM Consumer Sentiment
100(May ’19)
72.3(May ’20)
Wages EarningsGrowth
3.3%(May ’19)
6.7%(May ’20)
Buyer Ability DisposableIncome Y/Y
4.7%(April ’19)
14.4%(April ’20)
OUR ECONOMY: To V or Not to V, That is the Question
8
Auto Finance FRBNY $139.1 billion(Q1 ’19)
$150.3 billion(Q1 ’20)
Interest Rates Effective Fed Funds Rate
2.39%(May ’19)
0.05%(May ’20)
Borrowing Costs Average New AutoLoan Rate
6.30%(May ’19)
4.56%(May ’20)
Mobility CostsAverage Retail
UnleadedGasoline Price
$2.82(May ’19)
$1.98(May ’20)
OUR ECONOMY: To V or Not to V, That is the Question
9
Dealer Sentiment IndexS E C O N D Q U A R T E R 2 0 2 0
Strong
Weak
How would you describe the current U.S. economy?
55 5557
23
55 5457
29
55 5557
21
Q2 2017 Q3 2017 Q4 2017 Q1 2018 Q2 2018 Q3 2018 Q4 2018 Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Q4 2019 Q1 2020 Q2 2020
Overall Franchise IndependentNote: Scale 1 - 100
Note: New question introduced in Q3 2019
Dealer Sentiment Index Q2 2020 10
Dealer Sentiment IndexS E C O N D Q U A R T E R 2 0 2 0
Strong
Weak
4845 46
4951 51
44
48 49 48 4749
20
54 55 54 55 5659
51 50
5456
51
55
30
46
42 43
4750
48
42
47 4846 46 47
17
Q2 2017 Q3 2017 Q4 2017 Q1 2018 Q2 2018 Q3 2018 Q4 2018 Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Q4 2019 Q1 2020 Q2 2020
Overall Franchise Independent
How would you describe the current market for vehicles in the areas where you operate?
Note: Scale 1 - 100
Dealer Sentiment Index Q2 2020 11
Dealer Sentiment IndexS E C O N D Q U A R T E R 2 0 2 0
Strong
Weak
What do you expect the market for vehicles in your area to look like 3 months from now?
55
5253
70
5657
49
63
55
51 51
63
45
64
57 57
73
69
61
54
62 62
57
54
66
57
5251
52
70
52
55
47
63
52
4951
61
40
Q2 2017 Q3 2017 Q4 2017 Q1 2018 Q2 2018 Q3 2018 Q4 2018 Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Q4 2019 Q1 2020 Q2 2020
Overall Franchise IndependentNote: Scale 1 - 100
Dealer Sentiment Index Q2 2020 12
Dealer Sentiment IndexS E C O N D Q U A R T E R 2 0 2 0
Good
Poor
How would you describe the current new-vehicle sales environment?
57 57
61
65
59 6057
53 54 55 56 57
39
57 57
61
65
59 6057
53 54 55 56 57
39
Q2 2017 Q3 2017 Q4 2017 Q1 2018 Q2 2018 Q3 2018 Q4 2018 Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Q4 2019 Q1 2020 Q2 2020
Overall FranchiseNote: Scale 1 - 100
Dealer Sentiment Index Q2 2020 13
Dealer Sentiment IndexS E C O N D Q U A R T E R 2 0 2 0
How would you describe the current used-vehicle sales environment?
5557
55 56 5557
5153
56 5553 53
26
7068 67
6972 72
6866
72 73
66
72
43
5053
51 5250
52
4648
5149 49
47
20
Q2 2017 Q3 2017 Q4 2017 Q1 2018 Q2 2018 Q3 2018 Q4 2018 Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Q4 2019 Q1 2020 Q2 2020
Overall Franchise IndependentNote: Scale 1 - 100
Good
Poor
Dealer Sentiment Index Q2 2020 14
MID-YEAR REVIEW 2020: New Vehicle Sales
Charlie ChesbroughSenior Economist
15
16Source: Cox Automotive/vAuto
Source: Cox Automotive analysis of IHS-Markit vehicle registrations data
COVID-19 MARKET IMPACT: New vs Used
-60%
-50%
-40%
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
2020
-01-
06
2020
-01-
13
2020
-01-
20
2020
-01-
27
2020
-02-
03
2020
-02-
10
2020
-02-
17
2020
-02-
24
2020
-03-
02
2020
-03-
09
2020
-03-
16
2020
-03-
23
2020
-03-
30
2020
-04-
06
2020
-04-
13
2020
-04-
20
2020
-04-
27
2020
-05-
04
2020
-05-
11
2020
-05-
18
2020
-05-
25
2020
-06-
01
2020
-06-
08
2020
-06-
15
YOY Change Weekly Retail Sales
YOY New YOY Used
Based on 30-day sales, market bottomed week of April 20; Used now showing YOY gains while New still contracting
17Source: Cox Automotive June Forecast, BEA Vehicle Sales
Supply constraints may limit market gains this month, especially pickups
Source: Cox Automotive analysis of IHS-Markit vehicle registrations data
12.6
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
Jun-
2018
Aug-
2018
Oct
-201
8
Dec
-201
8
Feb-
2019
Apr-2
019
Jun-
2019
Aug-
2019
Oct
-201
9
Dec
-201
9
Feb-
2020
Apr-2
020
Jun-
2020
Total Car Light Truck
Monthly Light Vehicle Sales SAAR (millions)
FORECAST: June Improves, But Not Much
18Source: Cox Automotive/IHS registrations as of May 1, 2020
Source: Cox Automotive analysis of IHS-Markit vehicle registrations data
-70.0%-60.0%-50.0%-40.0%-30.0%-20.0%-10.0%
0.0%10.0%
Jan Feb Mar Apr
Sales Change 2019 vs 2020
RetailFleetRetail Lease
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
100%
Retail2020 Fleet2020 Lease2020
Market Share by Channel
JanFebMarApr
Retail Fleet Retail LeaseJan 3.6% -3.2% 4.3%Feb -0.1% 0.5% -3.7%Mar -36.2% -40.3% -42.5%Apr -42.0% -69.1% -58.8%YTD -20.2% -28.2% -26.9%
Retail Fleet LeaseJan 77.6% 22.4% 30.2%Feb 74.7% 25.3% 30.9%Mar 77.9% 22.1% 28.4%Apr 87.2% 12.8% 21.1%YTD 78.5% 21.5% 28.2%
CHANGING CHANNELS: Retail Gains, Fleet DropsFleet likely to remain suppressed through the year, and 0% offers will be tough competition for retail leasing
19Source: Cox Automotive/Kelley Blue Book
* Data is a combination of Cox Automotive estimates and actual data
Source: Cox Automotive analysis of IHS-Markit vehicle registrations data
OEM June 2019 June 2020 Change Q2 2019 Q2 2020 Change H1 2019 H1 2020 ChangeGM 253,000* 175,000 -31.0% 744,316 488,774 -34.3% 1,409,321 1,105,206 -21.6%Ford 218,000* 150,000 -31.4% 644,498 424,366 -34.2% 1,231,454 938,980 -23.8%Toyota 202,352 155,000 -23.4% 608,392 404,749 -33.5% 1,152,108 900,496 -21.8%FCA 206,000* 135,000 -34.5% 597,685 362,291 -39.4% 1,096,040 809,059 -26.2%Honda 135,901 110,000 -19.1% 407,208 288,728 -29.1% 776,995 587,513 -24.4%Hyundai Kia 122,507 105,000 -14.3% 359,413 276,265 -23.1% 648,111 549,040 -15.3%Nissan 123,504 70,000 -43.3% 351,185 181,352 -48.4% 717,036 438,958 -38.8%Subaru 61,512 50,000 -18.7% 182,772 132,608 -27.4% 339,526 263,199 -22.5%VW 56,339 40,000 -29.0% 167,294 109,831 -34.3% 316,305 238,267 -24.7%Mazda 22,828 20,000 -12.4% 67,722 55,873 -17.5% 138,555 123,543 -10.8%Daimler 29,275 18,000 -38.5% 85,039 50,236 -40.9% 163,917 119,006 -27.4%BMW 34,862 17,000 -51.2% 91,230 45,208 -50.4% 174,023 109,900 -36.8%Tesla 25,700 10,000 -61.1% 53,975 24,350 -54.9% 83,875 80,550 -4.0%Mitsubishi 12,317 4,000 -67.5% 29,030 10,902 -62.4% 71,100 46,465 -34.6%Tata 8,485 5,000 -41.1% 27,155 15,272 -43.8% 62,405 44,604 -28.5%Volvo 9,934 6,000 -39.6% 28,062 18,866 -32.8% 50,120 38,351 -23.5%NATION 1,523,786 1,070,000 -29.8% 4,444,976 2,889,671 -35.0% 8,430,891 6,393,137 -24.2%
FORECAST: A Tale of Product, Geography, Incentives & Supply
20Source: Cox Automotive VMA Database
Nation -45%
Pennsylvania -72%New York -63%California -56%
Texas -31%
Arkansas -12%Oklahoma -17%S Dakota -19%
Hardest hit COVID-19 states also suffered huge market declines as shutdowns and concern varied across the country
VIRUS IMPACT: State-Level Sales Loss
21• Source: Cox Automotive VMA Database
Pennsylvania -2.2%New York -2.1%California -2.0%
Florida +1.3
Texas +2.4%
Largest southern states gain significant market share, impacting Brand and Segment performance
VIRUS IMPACT: State-Level Market Share Changes
22• Source: Cox Automotive VMA Database
Pennsylvania +2.1California +1.6%New York +1.3%
Florida -1.5%Texas -1.7%
Since May 1, hardest hit states gaining lost ground as pace of rebound rises
VIRUS IMPACT: Market Share Changing Again In Recovery Phase
23Source: Kelley Blue Book Vehicle Sales
Less fleet activity and geographic closures affecting market – along with 0% financing
Source: Cox Automotive analysis of IHS-Markit vehicle registrations data
-40%
-35%
-30%
-25%
-20%
-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
NissanRogue
FordEscape
HondaAccord
ChevroletEquinox
ToyotaCamry
HondaCivic
HondaCR-V
ToyotaCorolla
NATION JeepGrand
Cherokee
Ford F-Series
RamPickup
ToyotaTacoma
ToyotaRAV4
ChevroletSilverado
Sales Change (YTD2019 vs YTD2020)
LARGE VOLUME PRODUCTS: Pickups Outperforming
24Source: Kelley Blue Book Vehicle Sales
Hyundai-Kia gaining from SUVs, GM from Trucks, while Nissan losing from collapse of Rental Fleet activity
Source: Cox Automotive analysis of IHS-Markit vehicle registrations data
-2.0%
-1.5%
-1.0%
-0.5%
0.0%
0.5%
1.0%
Nissan FC
ABMW
Mitsub
ishi
Daimler Ta
ta
Honda
VWVolv
oFo
rd
Subaru
Tesla
Mazda
Toyo
ta GM
Hyund
ai Kia
Market Share Change (H1 2019 vs H1 2020)
MARKET SHARE: Many Changes, Many Causes
25Source: vAuto /Cox Automotive VMA Database
2,000,000
2,200,000
2,400,000
2,600,000
2,800,000
3,000,000
3,200,000
3,400,000
3,600,000
2019
-06-
17
2019
-07-
15
2019
-08-
12
2019
-09-
09
2019
-10-
07
2019
-11-
04
2019
-12-
02
2019
-12-
30
2020
-01-
27
2020
-02-
24
2020
-03-
23
2020
-04-
20
2020
-05-
18
2020
-06-
15
Available Supply Last 12 Months
With plants starting to open, and sales pace improving, available supply dropping quickly
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
2019
-06-
17
2019
-07-
15
2019
-08-
12
2019
-09-
09
2019
-10-
07
2019
-11-
04
2019
-12-
02
2019
-12-
30
2020
-01-
27
2020
-02-
24
2020
-03-
23
2020
-04-
20
2020
-05-
18
2020
-06-
15
Days’ Supply Last 12 Months
INDUSTY INVENTORY: The Next Recovery Hurdle
26Source: Cox Automotive VMA Database
0.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.0
70.0
80.0
90.0
100.0
Che
vrol
et
Ford
GM
C
Hon
da
Hyu
ndai
Jeep Kia
Maz
da
Nis
san
Ram
Sub
aru
Toyo
ta
Vol
ksw
agen
NA
TIO
N
Days’ Supply
Toyota, Subaru, GMC low on inventory, Nissan, Ford highest
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
12.0%
14.0%
16.0%
Che
vrol
et
Ford
GM
C
Hon
da
Hyu
ndai
Jeep Kia
Maz
da
Nis
san
Ram
Sub
aru
Toyo
ta
Vol
ksw
agen
NA
TIO
N
Old Model Year Inventory Share
BRAND INVENTORY: Supply Varies Significantly
27Source: Cox Automotive VMA Database
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
Compact C
ar
Compact S
UV/Cros
sove
r
Full-size
Pick
up Truck
Full-size
SUV/C
rosso
ver
Hybrid
/Alternati
ve Energ
y Car
Mid-siz
e Car
Mid-siz
e Pick
up Truck
Mid-siz
e SUV/C
rosso
ver
Subco
mpact
SUV/Cross
over
NATION
Days’ Supply
Subcompact CUV and Hybrids lagging other products; Pickups have most old product but likely not a problem
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
12.0%
14.0%
Compact C
ar
Compact S
UV/Cros
sove
r
Full-size
Pick
up Truck
Full-size
SUV/C
rosso
ver
Hybrid
/Alternati
ve Energ
y Car
Mid-siz
e Car
Mid-siz
e Pick
up Truck
Mid-siz
e SUV/C
rosso
ver
Subco
mpact
SUV/Cross
over
NATION
Old Model Year Inventory Share
SEGMENT INVENTORY: Trucks In Tight Supply
28Source: Cox Automotive/Kelley Blue Book Data CY2019
Source: Cox Automotive analysis of IHS-Markit vehicle registrations data
Average Purchase APR%
ACURA
AUDI
BMW
BUICKCADILLAC
CHEVROLET
CHRYSLER
DODGE
FIAT
FORD
GENESIS
GMC
HONDA
HYUNDAI
INFINITI
JAGUAR
JEEP
KIA
LAND ROVER
LEXUS
LINCOLN
MAZDAMERCEDES-BENZMINI
MITSUBISHI
NISSAN
PORSCHE
RAM
SUBARU
TESLA
TOYOTAVOLKSWAGEN
VOLVO
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
$20,000 $30,000 $40,000 $50,000 $60,000 $70,000 $80,000 $90,000 $100,000
Average Transaction Price
In a recession, consumers seek value, lower prices; lenders seek better FICO, lower risk
Consumers seek value, lower prices
Lend
ers
seek
bet
ter
FIC
O, l
ower
risk
CONSUMERS UNDER PRESSURE: Brand Vulnerability
29Source: Cox Automotive/Kelley Blue Book Data CY2019
Source: Cox Automotive analysis of IHS-Markit vehicle registrations data
Average Purchase APR%
Average Transaction Price
In a recession, consumers seek value, lower prices; lenders seek better FICO, lower risk
Consumers seek value, lower prices
Lend
ers
seek
bet
ter
FIC
O, l
ower
risk
CONSUMERS UNDER PRESSURE: Segment Vulnerability
Compact Car
Compact SUV
Electric VehicleEntry-level Luxury Car
Full-size Car
Full-Size Pick Up
Full-Size SUV High Performance Car
High-end Luxury CarHybrid/Alternative Energy CarLuxury Car
Luxury Compact SUV Luxury Full-Size SUVLuxury Mid-Size SUV
Luxury Subcompact SUV
Mid-size Car
Mid-Size PickupMid-Size SUV
Minivan
Sports Car
Subcompact Car
Subcompact SUV
Van
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
$15,000 $25,000 $35,000 $45,000 $55,000 $65,000 $75,000 $85,000 $95,000 $105,000 $115,000
30
33%
35%
37%
39%
41%
43%
45%
47%
0
5,000,000
10,000,000
15,000,000
20,000,000
25,000,000
30,000,000
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
New Vehicle Deliveries Used MY0-4 Registrations Used Share
Source: Cox Automotive/Kelley Blue Book, IHS registrations
New light vehicle + used MY0-4 uncovers full market potential – “self-competition” increasing
New and Used MY0-4 Vehicle Sales
Source: Cox Automotive analysis of IHS-Markit vehicle registrations data
Estimate
“Gently” Used Share
POTENTIAL MARKET: Value In Used Will Compete With New
MID-YEAR REVIEW 2020: Used Vehicle Sales
Zo RahimManager, Economic & Industry Insights
31
USED SALES: Recovery
32
15.0
20.0
25.0
30.0
35.0
40.0
45.0
January February March April May June July August September October November December
Total Used SAAR
2019 2020
Source: Cox Automotive
MID-JUNE MANHEIM INDEX: Sees Strong Increase
33
125.8
146.1
90
95
100
105
110
115
120
125
130
135
140
145
150
Jan-95 Jan-98 Jan-01 Jan-04 Jan-07 Jan-10 Jan-13 Jan-16 Jan-19
January 1995 = 100
Source: Cox Automotive
WHOLESALE PRICES: Are Now At Highest Point
34
86%
88%
90%
92%
94%
96%
98%
100%
102%
104%
106%
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51
MY 2017 Retail and Wholesale Price Indices (wk1=100)2019 Retail Index 2020 Retail Index 2019 Wholesale Index 2020 Wholesale Index
Source: Cox Automotive
USED INVENTORY: Down
35
0.0 Days
20.0 Days
40.0 Days
60.0 Days
80.0 Days
100.0 Days
120.0 Days
140.0 Days
160.0 Days01
/08/
2001
/11/
2001
/14/
2001
/17/
2001
/20/
2001
/23/
2001
/26/
2001
/29/
2002
/01/
2002
/04/
2002
/07/
2002
/10/
2002
/13/
2002
/16/
2002
/19/
2002
/22/
2002
/25/
2002
/28/
2003
/02/
2003
/05/
2003
/08/
2003
/11/
2003
/14/
2003
/17/
2003
/20/
2003
/23/
2003
/26/
2003
/29/
2004
/01/
2004
/04/
2004
/07/
2004
/10/
2004
/13/
2004
/16/
2004
/19/
2004
/22/
2004
/25/
2004
/28/
2005
/01/
2005
/04/
2005
/07/
2005
/10/
2005
/13/
2005
/16/
2005
/19/
2005
/22/
2005
/25/
2005
/28/
2005
/31/
2006
/03/
2006
/06/
2006
/09/
2006
/12/
2006
/15/
2006
/18/
2006
/21/
20
Inve
ntor
y Da
ys' S
uppl
yDays Supply Wholesale Inventory and Retail Inventory
Rolling 7 Day Supply Retail Rolling 7 day Supply Wholesale
Source: Cox Automotive
CPO SALES: Rebound
36
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
Jan-20 Feb-20 Mar-20 Apr-20 May-20
Units
Source: Cox Automotive Analysis of Motor Intelligence
MID-YEAR REVIEW 2020: A Changing Landscape
Michelle KrebsExecutive Analyst
37
Source: 2020 Cox Automotive COVID-19 Consumer Impact Study 38
Delaying Vehicle Purchase/Lease*
↑↑
7%17%
28%35% 34% 33% 34% 34% 31% 27%
37% 36%
Mar5-6
Mar13-14
Mar20-22
Mar27-28
Apr3-4
Apr10-11
Apr17-18
Apr24-25
May1-3
May15-16
May29-30
June12-13
Anticipated Delay in Vehicle Purchase**
(among those planning to delay purchase)
32%14% 18% 10% 8%
17% 24%11% 5% 10%
5%
11% 10%4% 5%
13% 2%
4% 10% 7%
32%43% 40%
36% 41%
39%37%
29% 36%43%
30% 31% 33%49% 46%
32% 37%56% 49%
41%
Mar20-22
Mar27-28
Apr3-4
Apr10-11
Apr17-18
Apr24-25
May1-3
May15-16
May29-30
June12-13
Not sure 6+ months 3-6 months Up to 2 months
*Among 6-month auto intenders
↑
Q10. Have you done, or do you think you will do any of the following because of the coronavirus? *Note: Added “have done” in Wave 4 Q17a1. How do you anticipate the coronavirus will change the timing of when you purchase or lease a vehicle, if at all?
**Among 6-month auto intenders who will delay purchasing/leasing a vehicle
Factors At Work• General uncertainty in the market• Civil unrest• Continued unemployment concerns• Potential for a 2nd wave
A CHAOTIC ENVIRONMENT: An Uptick in Purchase Delays
Source: 2020 Cox Automotive COVID-19 Consumer Impact Study39
Delaying Vehicle Service/Repair*(% consumers that said “Yes”)
↑↑
5%13%
29%37% 40% 37% 32% 32% 32% 28% 25% 25%
Mar5-6
Mar13-14
Mar20-22
Mar27-28
Apr3-4
Apr10-11
Apr17-18
Apr24-25
May1-3
May15-16
May29-30
June12-13
↑ ↑
Q10. Have you done, or do you think you will do any of the following because of the coronavirus? *Note: Added “have done” in Wave 4Q18b. What type(s) of vehicle service/maintenance have you delayed or plan to delay?
*Among vehicle owners**Among those who would delay vehicle service
95% are delaying vehicle maintenance
52% are delaying vehicle repair
Types of Vehicle Service/Repair Being Delayed**
A CHAOTIC ENVIRONMENT: Flattened the Decline in Service Delays
Source: 2020 Cox Automotive COVID-19 Consumer Impact Study
40
Q24. How, if at all, is your dealership currently selling vehicles?Q14. Does your dealership currently have a digital retailing solution in place?
% of dealers are going beyond just conducting business in their
physical location
% of dealers with Digital Retailing solutions in place*
77% / 45%
64%
79%74%
80%75%
81%77%
45%
52% 50% 50% 47% 44% 45%
4/10 4/17 4/24 5/1 5/15 5/29 6/12
81% / 78%
Franchise / Independent87%84%
89% 90%
82%
88%
81%
75% 75%78%
86%84% 82%
78%
4/10 4/17 4/24 5/1 5/15 5/29 6/12
Source: 2020 Cox Automotive COVID-19 Consumer Impact Study
(Franchise) (Independent) (Franchise) (Independent)
A CHAOTIC ENVIRONMENT: A Peak in Digital Retailing Activity
Source: 2020 Cox Automotive COVID-19 Consumer Impact Study 41
Q11c. Overall, how did your recent vehicle purchase experience compare to the last time you purchased a vehicle? Q11d. Why was your recent vehicle purchase experience better than the last time you purchased a vehicle?
58% 35% 6%
Much/somewhat better
About the same
Somewhat worse
How was it better: Consumer Voice
- “It was way faster and easy.”
- “Because of the coronavirus I believe the whole process was faster and the dealership was certainly less crowded.”
How this experience compared to past experiences?
A CHAOTIC ENVIRONMENT: Changes the Buying Experience
63%
56% 56% 55%53%
Top reason dealers plan to continue with Digital Retailing
Makes my dealership
more efficient
Great Customer
Experience
Optimizes BusinessProcess
Long-term Strategy
Customers Will Want
DIGITAL RETAIL KEY INDICATORS: Year-Over-Year Growth
190% 207% 186%
662%
Product Page Views Started Deals Pencil Deals Submitted Deals
Increase in Volume
Source: Internal Consumer Use Data, Cox Automotive Product Analytics
May 2019 vs May 2020
42
MID-YEAR REVIEW 2020: Outlook and Summer Playlist
Jonathan SmokeResident DJ
43
MANHEIM USED VEHICLE VALUE
INDEX
+2.3%
NEW LEASE VOLUME
3.4M
1.3M
2.0MCPO SALES
FLEET SALES24%LEASE
PENETRATION
LEASE MATURITIES4.1M
2020FORECASTS
12.9MNEW SALES
34.1MUSED SALES
18.0MUSED RETAIL SALES
44
LOOKING AHEAD: Our Summer Playlist
Sunday Best by Surfaces
A Salute To Dealer Optimism, Innovation
And Resiliency
Break My Heart by Dua Lipa
Risk Of New Outbreaks In Many States
Cruel Summer by Taylor Swift
A Rocky Road Ahead with Everything from
Unemployment to Election Politics
Be a Light by Thomas Rhett et al
Because It’s The Right Thing To Do
45
Q&A
46
Thank You!
47
Contact Information:
Dara HailesManager, Public RelationsCox [email protected]
Mark SchirmerDirector, Public RelationsCox [email protected]
For additional content from Cox Automotive, visit the Newsroom at http://www.coxautoinc.com/newsroom and sign up for From the Newsroom, our biweekly newsletter: http://eepurl.com/gHs8OH