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Welcome to Charlestonpsc.rtpis.org/documents/Keynotes/2018 Clemson University Power S… · With...

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POWER SYSTEMS CONFERENCE Welcome to Charleston
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Page 1: Welcome to Charlestonpsc.rtpis.org/documents/Keynotes/2018 Clemson University Power S… · With 2200 MW of solar, the highest ramp rate occurs at HE 10:00 at over 1900 MW/hr With

POWER SYSTEMSCONFERENCE

POWER SYSTEMSCONFERENCE

Welcome to Charleston

Page 2: Welcome to Charlestonpsc.rtpis.org/documents/Keynotes/2018 Clemson University Power S… · With 2200 MW of solar, the highest ramp rate occurs at HE 10:00 at over 1900 MW/hr With

POWER SYSTEMSCONFERENCE

POWER SYSTEMSCONFERENCE

It’s A Brave New World !

John S. (Sam) Holeman, IIIDuke Energy

Vice President, Transmission System Planning & Operations

Page 3: Welcome to Charlestonpsc.rtpis.org/documents/Keynotes/2018 Clemson University Power S… · With 2200 MW of solar, the highest ramp rate occurs at HE 10:00 at over 1900 MW/hr With

My Background and History

Sam Holeman – The Perspective of a System Operator/System PlannerObtained Electrical Engineering Degree – Power System EmphasisWorked on Energy Management Systems (EMS)System Operations Support EngineerProfessional Engineer in NC and SCSystem Operator on shiftControl Center ManagerSystem Operations Engineering and Training LeadershipObtained MBA System Planning and Operations Leadership 32 years in pretty much the same job

Yes, I am a dinosaur but not extinct just yet 3

Copyright © 2018 Duke Energy Corporation. All rights reserved.

Page 4: Welcome to Charlestonpsc.rtpis.org/documents/Keynotes/2018 Clemson University Power S… · With 2200 MW of solar, the highest ramp rate occurs at HE 10:00 at over 1900 MW/hr With

About Duke Energy

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• One of the Largest Electric Holding Companies in the United States

• Electric Utility operations in North and South Carolina, Indiana, Ohio, Kentucky and Florida serving 7.5 million customers

• 50,000 MW of regulated generation

• Renewable generation of 2200 MW of Wind and 2845 MW of Solar throughout the United States and growing monthly

Copyright © 2018 Duke Energy Corporation. All rights reserved.

Page 5: Welcome to Charlestonpsc.rtpis.org/documents/Keynotes/2018 Clemson University Power S… · With 2200 MW of solar, the highest ramp rate occurs at HE 10:00 at over 1900 MW/hr With

WABAC Machine - My first day of work

1985

Using the system designed and built in the 1960s and 1970sBill Lee – one of the innovatorsEnd of Nuclear Expansion period

Most complex machine ever built by manEastern Interconnection of North America

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50%48%

2%

Nuclear

Coal

Hydro & Oil

Page 6: Welcome to Charlestonpsc.rtpis.org/documents/Keynotes/2018 Clemson University Power S… · With 2200 MW of solar, the highest ramp rate occurs at HE 10:00 at over 1900 MW/hr With

Does anyone remember the WABAC machine ?

Top 10 Customers All textile companies All headquartered in our service territory Duke Power was formed in part to service this load

System Operations – Energy Management System My first job – System Applications SCADA Alarming Economic Dispatch Load Forecasting – peak load approx. 14,000 MWs

– Summer peaking– Growing 4% to 5% annually

Advanced applications – well sort of….6

Page 7: Welcome to Charlestonpsc.rtpis.org/documents/Keynotes/2018 Clemson University Power S… · With 2200 MW of solar, the highest ramp rate occurs at HE 10:00 at over 1900 MW/hr With

Fast forward to 2018 through the Guardian of Forever….

Load is low growth/flat to declining

Nuclear in a standstillVC Summer in South CarolinaVogtle in Georgia

Environmental concerns about carbon emissions andby-products from coal combustion

Natural gas supply increases and diversifies

Cost of renewable technology down, supply up

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Page 8: Welcome to Charlestonpsc.rtpis.org/documents/Keynotes/2018 Clemson University Power S… · With 2200 MW of solar, the highest ramp rate occurs at HE 10:00 at over 1900 MW/hr With

Fast forward to 2018 – Live Long and Prosper….

Very few textile customers left with significant load

High Tech/Data Center/Bitcoin Customers

Low Tolerance for interruptions/transients

Desire to be good environmental stewards

Energy Control Centers (ECCs)

State of the art visualization and situational awareness tools

Using and depending on advance power system applications daily

Engineers on shift 8

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National Perspective: Solar Irradiance

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National Perspective: Solar projects

Page 11: Welcome to Charlestonpsc.rtpis.org/documents/Keynotes/2018 Clemson University Power S… · With 2200 MW of solar, the highest ramp rate occurs at HE 10:00 at over 1900 MW/hr With

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Estimated Solar Projections in Carolinas

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

8000

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024

MW (A

C)

Copyright © 2018 Duke Energy Corporation. All rights reserved.

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Variability and Intermittency

12Copyright © 2018 Duke Energy Corporation. All rights reserved.

Page 13: Welcome to Charlestonpsc.rtpis.org/documents/Keynotes/2018 Clemson University Power S… · With 2200 MW of solar, the highest ramp rate occurs at HE 10:00 at over 1900 MW/hr With

Ramp Rates in Winter Load Shape

With 2200 MW of solar, the highest ramp rate occurs at HE 10:00 at over 1900 MW/hr

With 2200 MW of solar, the evening ramp rate from 14:00 ‐16:00 more than triples to 1250 MW/hr

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High risk ofdeficit energy

High risk ofexcess energy

1100 MW/hr

400 MW/hr

1900 MW/hr1250 MW/hr

Copyright © 2018 Duke Energy Corporation. All rights reserved.

Page 14: Welcome to Charlestonpsc.rtpis.org/documents/Keynotes/2018 Clemson University Power S… · With 2200 MW of solar, the highest ramp rate occurs at HE 10:00 at over 1900 MW/hr With

Lowest Reliability Operating Level (LROL)

Management of Operational Excess Energy due to Must-take Solar

14Copyright © 2018 Duke Energy Corporation. All rights reserved.

Page 15: Welcome to Charlestonpsc.rtpis.org/documents/Keynotes/2018 Clemson University Power S… · With 2200 MW of solar, the highest ramp rate occurs at HE 10:00 at over 1900 MW/hr With

Supply and Demand Balance Impact on Frequency

Goal – stay balanced Balanced measured by ACE – Area Control

Error (MW) All BAs drive interconnection frequency At Interconnection level More demand than supply – frequency drops More supply than demand – frequency rises

15Copyright © 2018 Duke Energy Corporation. All rights reserved.

Page 16: Welcome to Charlestonpsc.rtpis.org/documents/Keynotes/2018 Clemson University Power S… · With 2200 MW of solar, the highest ramp rate occurs at HE 10:00 at over 1900 MW/hr With

Lynn Good current President and CEO of Duke Energy

What is our purpose at Duke Energy?

Why does Duke Energy Exist?

16Copyright © 2018 Duke Energy Corporation. All rights reserved.

Page 17: Welcome to Charlestonpsc.rtpis.org/documents/Keynotes/2018 Clemson University Power S… · With 2200 MW of solar, the highest ramp rate occurs at HE 10:00 at over 1900 MW/hr With

Lynn Good current President and CEO of Duke Energy

To power the lives of our customers and the vitality of our communities!

17Copyright © 2018 Duke Energy Corporation. All rights reserved.

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My Motivation

Page 19: Welcome to Charlestonpsc.rtpis.org/documents/Keynotes/2018 Clemson University Power S… · With 2200 MW of solar, the highest ramp rate occurs at HE 10:00 at over 1900 MW/hr With

Conclusion from a System Operator

Renewables are here to stay…

Let’s learn how to operate the system with them.

19Copyright © 2018 Duke Energy Corporation. All rights reserved.

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Q&A

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