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1 Matthew Hopkinson, LDC 1st Welsh Retail Summit Hosted by #LDCInsights Professor Ian Rees Jones, University of Cardiff Dr Scott Orford, University of Cardiff
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Matthew Hopkinson, LDC
1st Welsh Retail Summit
Hosted by #LDCInsights
Professor Ian Rees Jones, University of Cardiff
Dr Scott Orford, University of Cardiff
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1st Welsh Retail Summit
The Local Data Company
27th January 2016
A report by LDC and the Wales Institute of Economic and Social Research Data and Methods (WISERD)
Tweet with us: #LDCInsights
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FAILURES CLOSURES OPENINGS
Change Afoot!
#LDCInsights
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Retail sales – 2010-2015
#LDCInsightsSource: BDO High Street Tracker
-5
-102010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Overall Lifestyle Fashion Homeware
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0
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Retail sales – non-store 2010-2015
#LDCInsightsSource: BDO High Street Tracker
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40
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30
25
20
15
10
5
02010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
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UK Consumer Confidence 2010-2015
#LDCInsightsSource: HM Treasury
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0
-5
-10
-15
-20
-25
-30
-352010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
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Methodology• 7,000+ locations• Field visited• 60,000 visits a month
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What do we do?
Gap AnalysisImpartial
Evidence based research
Portfolio Analysis
Openings & Closures
Persistent vacancy
Retail Parks
Shopping Centres
Health Scores
Diversity IndicesFootfall
Catchment Profiles
AnalyticsNationwide
Vacancy rates
InsightKnowledge
#LDCInsights
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7,000LOCATIONS TRACKED
NATIONWIDECOVERAGE
554,096BUSINESSES TRACKED
850TOWNS
1,124RETAIL PARKS
897SHOPPING CENTRES
#LDCInsights
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7,000LOCATIONS TRACKED
WELSHCOVERAGE
34,022BUSINESSES TRACKED
169TOWNS
77RETAIL PARKS
30SHOPPING CENTRES
#LDCInsights
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GB OVERVIEW
Presented by Matthew Hopkinson
#LDCInsights
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GB and national vacancy rates by location type
#LDCInsights
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Store Closures 2007-2015
#LDCInsightsSource: Centre for Retail Research
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Shopper Behaviour
#LDCInsightsSource: ONS
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GB Openings & Closures H1 2015
#LDCInsightsSource: Local Data Company
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GB Openings & Closures by classification
#LDCInsightsSource: Local Data Company
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GB Openings & Closures by business type
#LDCInsightsSource: Local Data Company
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Net change by outlet
#LDCInsightsSource: Local Data Company
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Convenience stores growth since 2012
#LDCInsightsSource: Local Data Company
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Top 10 Categories By Churn Across GB
#LDCInsightsSource: Local Data Company
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Fastest risers H1 2015
#LDCInsightsSource: Local Data Company
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Fastest risers H1 2015 GB
#LDCInsightsSource: Local Data Company
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Fastest fallers H1 2015
#LDCInsightsSource: Local Data Company
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Fastest fallers H1 2015 GB
#LDCInsightsSource: Local Data Company
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Openings & Closures by region/nation
#LDCInsightsSource: Local Data Company
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% Net change by region/nation
#LDCInsightsSource: Local Data Company
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Unemployment rate (%)
#LDCInsights
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Income levels
#LDCInsights
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House prices to median income
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RETAILING IN WELSH TOWNS AND CITIES
Presented by Dr. Scott Orford
#LDCInsights
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Welsh cities- percentage change in retail stock in the last 12 months
#LDCInsights#LDCInsights
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Top 5 Welsh towns by retail vacancy rates (vacant retail unit divided total retail units) in 2015
#LDCInsights
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Bottom 5 Welsh towns by retail vacancy rates (vacant retail unit divided total retail units) in 2015
#LDCInsights
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Welsh cities retail vacancy rates (vacant retail unit divided total retail units) in 2015
#LDCInsights
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Worst performing Welsh towns by the change in vacancy rates in the last three years (2012-2015)
#LDCInsights
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Best performing Welsh towns by the change in vacancy rates in the last three years (2012-2015)
#LDCInsights
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Top 5 Welsh towns by persistent vacancy (% total units vacant for over 3 years) in 2015
#LDCInsights
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Bottom 5 Welsh towns by persistent vacancy (% total units vacant for over 3 years) in 2015
#LDCInsights
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Welsh cities persistent vacancy (% total units vacant for over 3 years) in 2015
#LDCInsights
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Top 5 Welsh towns by percentage of charity shops (% total units occupied by a charity shop) in 2015
#LDCInsights
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Bottom 5 Welsh towns by percentage of charity shops (% total units occupied by a charity shop) in 2015
#LDCInsights
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Welsh cities by percentage of charity shops (% total units occupied by a charity shop) in 2015
#LDCInsights
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Top 10 Welsh towns according to their BMG Index 2015 (BMG as a percentage of total premises)
BMG= Booze, Money and Gambling#LDCInsights
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Bottom 10 Welsh towns according to their BMG Index 2015 (BMG as a percentage of total premises)
BMG= Booze, Money and Gambling#LDCInsights
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Bottom 5 Welsh towns according to their BMG Index 2015 (BMG as a percentage of total premises)
BMG= Booze, Money and Gambling#LDCInsights
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Retail vacancy rates by regions
#LDCInsights
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Relationship between deprivation and retail vacancy in 2015
#LDCInsights
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Relationship between deprivation and retail vacancy in 2015
#LDCInsights
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Relationship between percentage of households with no access to a car and retail vacancy in 2015
#LDCInsights
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Relationship between percentage of households who own their own home and retail vacancy in 2015
#LDCInsights
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Relationship between percentage of unemployed population and retail vacancy in 2015
#LDCInsights
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Relationship between percentage of population in higher managerial occupation and retail vacancy in 2015
#LDCInsights
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Relationship between percentage of semi-routine and routine occupations vacancy in 2015
#LDCInsights
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Change in retail vacancy between 2012 and 2015 by regions in Wales
#LDCInsights
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Settlement typology and retail vacancy 2015- any patterns?
#LDCInsights
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Settlement typology and percentage of Independent retailers 2015
#LDCInsights
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Matthew Hopkinson, LDC
1st Welsh Retail Summit
Hosted by #LDCInsights
Professor Ian Rees Jones, University of Cardiff
Dr Scott Orford, University of Cardiff
