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what does REMI say? sm
Understanding the Sustainability of Jobs from
Federal SpendingPresented by REMI
Frederick Treyz, CEORod Motamedi, Associate Economist
what does REMI say? sm
Overview
• Introduction
• Example issues
• Simulation
what does REMI say? sm
Patterns of Government Spending
• Providing public goods
• Borrowing to fund large investment projects– Canals, dams, interstates, university system,
internet
• Borrowing for short-term job creation
what does REMI say? sm
Health Care
• Current issues– Rising costs, lower health results, expenditures
• Possible long-term benefits– Improved productivity, longer work life
• Example policy variables– Labor productivity, consumer price/spending,
participation rates, government spending (state and federal)
what does REMI say? sm
Transportation
• Current issues– Deteriorating infrastructure, new livability
standards
• Possible long-term benefits– Better access, household savings, regional
attractiveness
• Example policy variables– Labor/commodity access, consumer spending,
employment, amenity
what does REMI say? sm
Education
• Current issues– Falling graduation rates, subpar international
ranking
• Possible long-term benefits– Increased productivity and innovation
• Example policy variables– Productivity, employment/output, amenity
what does REMI say? sm
Housing
• Current issues– Aging housing stock, blighted neighborhoods,
sprawl
• Possible long-term benefits– Consumer savings, efficiency in public services,
regional attractiveness
• Example policy variables– Consumer/government spending, amenity,
housing price
what does REMI say? sm
Energy and Environment
• Current issues– New focus on renewable energy sources and
efficiency
• Possible long-term benefits– Lower energy costs, energy independence
• Example policy variables– Consumer spending, production/fuel costs,
demand, imports and self-supply
what does REMI say? sm
Structural Model
what does REMI say? sm
New Economic Geography Model Structure
what does REMI say? sm
Weatherization
• DOE regional spending formula– Low income population, energy expenditures,
local climate
• DOE inputs: – $6,500/house investment– 32% energy savings/house
what does REMI say? sm
Weatherization Assumptions
• Increased demand for construction
• 1/3 free ridership
• No benefit deterioration in first 10 years
• All benefits spent on other goods– Real income increases for recipients– Energy suppliers’ real income decreases
what does REMI say? sm
Sample Results: Weatherization
what does REMI say? sm
[Model Demonstration]
what does REMI say? sm
Contact Us
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TEL: 413.549.1169FAX: 413.549.1038
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700 12th St. NW, Suite 700Washington, DC 20005
TEL: 202.904.2490
www.remi.com [email protected]