WHAT FUNDERS NEED TO KNOW

Commissioned by JumpStart Tulsa

Prepared by the Community Service CouncilMarch 2012

EIGHT SOURCES …… Lack of mass employment with living wage for

unskilled/low-skilled persons and growing income insecurities contributing widespread consumer debt

Growing workforce shortage Rapid aging of the population Growing challenges to healthy lifestyles

and access to quality health care Continued cultural and ethnic changes Changing environmental conditions

and water insecurities Uncertainty of future energy supply Growing challenges to American culture and

identity

Dem

ogra

phic

s

THREE TRENDS……

Demographic disparity Education and employment gap Fraying of the safety net for

everyone

Dem

ogra

phic

s

Dem

ogra

phic

s

Prepared by the Community Service Council of Greater Tulsa

Population Trends for Total Population and Under Age 5Tusla County, 1980 through 2030

Source: US Census Bureau, 1980, 1990 & 2000 Censuses; Population Estimates Program.

1980 1990 2000 2008(est.)

2010(proj.)

2020(proj.)

2030(proj.)

0

100,000

200,000

300,000

400,000

500,000

600,000

700,000

Under age 5 36,714 38,835 41,434 48,035 40,733 41,651 41,573Total Population 470,593 503,341 563,299 591,982 598,876 631,433 658,541

Prepared by the Community Service Council of Greater Tulsa

Population Trends and Projections by Age GroupTulsa County, 1970 - 2030

Source: US Census Bureau, 1970, 1980, 1990, & 2000 Censuses; US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division, Population Projections, 2000 - 2030.

6.3

6.6

6.8

7.4

7.7

7.7

8.5

16.6

17.1

18.2

18.9

18.4

19.8

25.9

9.2

9.7

10.1

10

10.1

13.5

10.7

47.8

50.5

52.5

51.9

52.2

49.1

46.2

17.5

14.1

10.6

10.4

10.4

9

8.1

2030

2020

2010

2000

1990

1980

1970

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Percent of population0-4 5-17 18-24 25-64 65-84 85+

1.9

1.4

1.2

.9

.6

Pr o

ject

i ons 2.5

2.1

Dem

ogra

phic

s

Prepared by the Community Service Council of Greater Tulsa

Dem

ogra

phic

sRace Comparison for Total Population and Children under 5

Oklahoma and Tulsa County, 2010

Source: US Census Bureau, 2010 Census.

59.3%

8.2%11.0%

1.6%

19.8%54.9%

12.6%

7.3%2.5%

22.8%

72.2%

7.4%

8.6%

1.7%

10.1%69.2%

10.7%

6.0%

2.3%

11.7%

White Black American Indian Asian Other/2+ races

Oklahoma Tulsa County

Under 5

Total Population

N = 591,982

N = 48,035N = 266,547

N = 3,642,361

Hispanic16.8%

Hispanic20.6%

Hispanic8.9%

Hispanic11.0%

Prepared by the Community Service Council of Greater Tulsa

Living Arrangements of Related Children Under 18Tulsa County, 1970, 1980, 1990, 2000 & 2005-07 Estimates

Source: US Census Bureau, 1970, 1980, 1990, and 2000 Censuses; US Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2005-07.

Married Couple Male-headed Female-headed Other relatives0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100% 1970 1980 1990 2000 2005-07 est.

1970 82% 1% 11% 4%1980 74% 2% 16% 6%1990 71% 3% 18% 5%2000 65% 5% 21% 7%

2005-07 est. 61% 6% 25% 8%

Children living with 1 or both parents

Dem

ogra

phic

s

Ratio of Income to Poverty LevelPercentage of Total Population and Children

Tulsa County, 2005-09

Source: US Census Bureau, 2005-09 American Community Survey.

Total population Under 18 Under 6 6-170%

25%

50%

75%

Percentage of population

Below 100% Below 185% Below 200%

Below 100% 19.8% 22.2% 26.8% 19.6%Below 185% 41.6% 42.1% 47.9% 38.7%Below 200% 45.4% 45.4% 51.1% 42.1%

EC

ON

OM

ICS

& E

MP

LOY

ME

NT

Family of Three, Tulsa County, 2010*

Source: Oklahoma Association of Community Action Agencies and the Oklahoma Asset Building Coalition, December 2009, The Self-Sufficiency Standard for Oklahoma 2009; 2009 HHS Poverty Guidelines, Federal Register, Vol. 74, No. 14, January 23, 2009, p. 4200; Oklahoma State Dept. of Human Services; U.S. Census Bureau, 2006-08 American Community Survey.

$73,324

$52,870

$36,832

$10,309$15,312 $18,310

$33,874

$21,551

WelfareWage

MinimumWage

PovertyWage

185% PovertyWage

Median FamilyIncome

(2006-08 ACS)

$0

$20,000

$40,000

$60,000

$80,000Annual Wage

Self-Sufficiency Wage = $39,978 ($18.93/hr)

Comparison of Wages: Self-Sufficiency, Welfare, Minimum, Poverty, 185% of Poverty, and Median Family Income

($4.88/hr) ($7.25/hr) ($8.67/hr) ($16.04/hr)

Notes: For the self-sufficiency wage, family of three consists of one adult, one preschooler and one schoolage child. Hourly wages given assume full-time, year-round employment. The 2009 poverty guidelines are being used until at least March 1, 2010. Welfare wage is the combined value of TANF, SNAP, & WIC.

Married-couple families w/ children <18($34.72/hr)

All families w/ children <18

Male-headed families w/ children <18

Female-headed families w/ children <18

($17.44/hr)

($25.03/hr)

($10.20/hr)

Econ

omic

s &

Em

ploy

men

t

Prepared by the Community Service Council of Greater Tulsa

Participation in Public Assistance ProgramsNumber of Participants and Percentage of Population Participating

Tulsa County, 2011

Source: Oklahoma Dept. of Human Services, Statistical Bulletin, June 2011; Oklahoma State Dept. of Education, Low Income Report for 2010-11; US Census Bureau, 2010 Census; Oklahoma State Department of Health-WIC Service, Caseload Report, August 2011.

129,750

73,002

4,152

9,972

4,231

87,852

2,533

31,732

4,946

21.5%

44.9%

47.1%

22.3%

9.5%

14.6%

1.6%

52.8%

8.2%

Soonercare Total (185%/100%) (8/11)

Soonercare <19 (185%) (8/11)

WIC Infants (185%) (8/11)

WIC age 1-5 (185%) (8/11)

Child Care Subsidy <5 (185%) 6/11)

SNAP Total (130%) (6/11)

TANF <18 (50%) (6/11)

Elem. School Free Lunch (130%)(SY 2010-11)

Elem. School Reduced Lunch (185%)(SY 2010-11)

050,000100,000150,000

Number of Participants

0% 20% 40% 60%

Percent of Population

Econ

omic

s &

Em

ploy

men

t

Prepared by the Community Service Council of Greater Tulsa

Educational Attainment for Persons Age 25 & OlderTulsa County, 2006-08 Estimates

Source: US Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2006-08.

15.1%

33%

22.8%

6.7%

15.1%

5.1%

1.4%

0.8%

Less than high school

High school graduate

Some college

Associate degree

Bachelor's degree

Master's degree

Professional school degree

Doctorate degree

0% 10% 20% 30% 40%Percent of persons 25+

Econ

omic

s &

Em

ploy

men

t

Prepared by the Community Service Council of Greater Tulsa

Unemployment RatesTulsa County and Tulsa MSA, 1990 - 2011

Source: U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 July2011

0.0

1.0

2.0

3.0

4.0

5.0

6.0

7.0

8.0

9.0

10.0

Tulsa Co. 4.3 5.1 5.6 6.1 5.4 4.0 3.3 3.4 3.2 3.4 2.8 3.3 5.0 6.0 4.9 4.2 3.9 3.8 3.6 6.8 7.6 6.2Tulsa MSA 4.8 5.7 6.0 6.4 5.8 4.4 3.6 3.7 3.6 3.5 2.9 3.4 5.0 6.1 5.1 4.4 4.0 3.9 3.7 7.1 7.9 6.4

Econ

omic

s &

Em

ploy

men

t

Child

Indi

cato

rs

Prepared by the Community Service Council of Greater Tulsa

Summary of Risk Factors for InfantsTulsa County and Oklahoma, 2008

Source: Oklahoma State Department of Health, Vital Statistics.

12.1%

43.9%

8%

23.2%

7%

1.8%

31.5%

17.6%

12.2%

13.7%

42.3%

5.4%

21.4%

6.9%

1.4%

34.8%

20.5%

11%

Teen mother(age 15-19)

Unmarried mother

Poor prenatal care(3rd trimester/no care)

Mother w/ <12th gradeeducation

Low birthweight(1500-2499 grams)

Very low birthweight(<1500 grams)

Short birth spacing(<24 mos. apart)

Very short birth spacing(<18 mos. apart)

Premature(<37 weeks gest.)

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%Percent of Births

Tulsa Co.Oklahoma

Tulsa County births: 9,530 Oklahoma births: 54,753

Prepared by the Community Service Council of Greater Tulsa

Infant Mortality RatesTulsa County and Oklahoma, 1980 through 2007

Source: Oklahoma State Department of Health

1980

1981

1982

1983

1984

1985

1986

1987

1988

1989

1990

1991

1992

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

0

5

10

15Number of infant deaths per 1,000 live births

Tulsa County Oklahoma

Tulsa County 10.412.3 1010.7 9.810.7 9.9 8.8 10.4 9.5 9 9.2 8.3 10.3 9.7 9.3 9.1 6.9 6.9 7.1 9 7 8.8 7.5 6.6 8.2 8.7 9.4Oklahoma 12.311.411.910.310.210.6 9.9 9.2 8.7 8.1 9 9.3 8.4 8.5 8.4 8.3 8.4 7.4 8.5 8.5 8.4 7.2 8.1 7.8 7.9 8.1 8 8.6

From 2003 through 2007, there was an average of 77 infant deaths per year in Tulsa County, for a rate of 8.1 per 1,000 live births. In Oklahoma, the average was 425 infant deaths, for a rate of 8.1.

“Healthy People 2010” goal = 5 per 1,000

Child

Indi

cato

rs

Prepared by the Community Service Council of Greater Tulsa

Average Daily Membership and Percentage of Children Enrolled in Special Education, by School District

Tulsa County County, School Year 2008-09

Source: Oklahoma State Department of Education, Education Oversight Board, Office of Accountability, Profiles 2009 Reports.

Berryhill Bixby BrokenArrow

Collinsville Glenpool Jenks Keystone Liberty Owasso SandSprings

Skiatook Sperry Tulsa Union0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000ADM

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%Percent in Special Education

ADM % Spec. Ed.

ADM 1,230 4,623 16,193 2,544 2,379 9,982 423 594 8,698 5,431 2,525 1,280 41,195 14,658% Spec. Ed. 8.5% 14.4% 14.4% 11.8% 12.9% 14.8% 16.3% 18.2% 11% 13.5% 13.1% 12.3% 14.6% 10%

Tulsa County total ADM = 111,755; percentage in special education = 13.4%

Child

Indi

cato

rs

Prepared by the Community Service Council of Greater Tulsa

DHS Licensed Child Care Services Provided to Children Under Age 5, by Age

Tulsa County, October 2001 - October, 2010

Source: Oklahoma Department of Human Services, Monthly Statistical Bulletins.

October2001

October2002

October2003

October2004

October2005

October2006

October2007

October2008

October2009

October2010

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

Age <1 530 648 709 696 758 739 622 586 604 532Age 1 1,010 1,012 1,029 1,128 1,019 1,016 989 909 882 941Age 2 1,098 1,182 1,162 1,201 1,158 1,106 1,067 1,039 1,020 1,022Age 3 1,117 1,111 1,168 1,234 1,145 1,080 1,076 1,052 1,014 1,043Age 4 975 1,020 989 1,150 1,019 931 961 893 870 859

Child

Indi

cato

rs

Prepared by the Community Service Council of Greater Tulsa

Child Deaths Due to AbuseOklahoma, Fiscal Years 1978 - 2007

Source: Oklahoma Dept. of Human Services, Children & Family Services Division.

75

12 13

1821

16 16

24

31

2325

18

38

2023

3134

29

4245

47 48

3835

27

51

40

32

39

1978

1979

1980

1981

1982

1983

1984

1985

1986

1987

1988

1989

1990

1991

1992

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Child

Indi

cato

rs

CHILD ABUSE & NEGLECT In Tulsa County in FY 2009, there were 3,933 reports of child abuse

and/or neglect accepted for investigation or assessment. 6,583 children were involved in these reports (duplicated count).

1,248 children were confirmed victims of child abuse and/or neglect. 89 were abused, 992 were neglected, 167 were victims of both abuse and neglect.

Eight of every 1,000 children in Tulsa County are victims of abuse and/or neglect. In Oklahoma, the rate is 10 of every 1,000 children.

Oklahoma ranks #35 in the nation in the rate of children who are victims of abuse and/or neglect.

Parents make up 73.7% of all perpetrators, followed by “no relation” at 6.9%, step-parents at 5.9%, and grandparents at 3.5%.

Substance abuse is a major contributing factor to child neglect.

Prepared by the Community Service Council of Greater Tulsa

Child

Indi

cato

rs

Prepared by the Community Service Council of Greater Tulsa

Source: Centers for Disease Control, Youth Risk Behavior Surveillance System; Oklahoma State Department of Health, OK2SHARE.

47.8%

22%

9.9%

22.2%

26.5%

17.5%

30.6%

40.5%

18.7%

7.1%

18.4%

28.6%

12.3%

25.8%

43.1%

15.9%

5.5%

19.1%

23.2%

13.3%

26.8%

39%

17.2%

4.8%

16.8%

22.6%

11%

23.1%

44.7%

19.7%

4.4%

22.3%

20%

10.5%

29.1%

Alcohol

Marijuana

Methamphetamine

Offered/sold/givenillegal drugs at school

Smoked cigarettesduring past month

Drove after drinkingalcohol in past month

Rode with drinkingdriver in past month

0% 20%40%60%80%100%

2003 Oklahoma2005 Oklahoma2007 Oklahoma2009 Oklahoma2007 US

Youth Risk Behavior Survey:Summary of Alcohol, Other Drug & Tobacco Use

High School Students, Oklahoma, 2003 through 2009, and U.S., 2007

Used once or more during past 30 days...

Ever used...

Note: National 2009 YRBSS data have not yet been released.

Child

Indi

cato

rs

Prepared by the Community Service Council of Greater Tulsa

Source: Centers for Disease Control, Youth Risk Behavior Surveillance System; Oklahoma State Department of Health, OK2SHARE.

50%

5.8%

64.3%

17.7%

7%

14.2%

49.3%

6.5%

61.7%

16.4%

7.9%

15.9%

38.2%

50.9%

5.8%

59.6%

16.7%

5.9%

15.2%

49.6%

51.1%

4.7%

56.7%

22.7%

7%

16.4%

47.4%

47.8%

7.1%

61.5%

16%

6.9%

15.8%

34.7%

Ever hadsexual intercourse

Had sex before age 13

Used condom last time

Used birth controlpills last time

Attempted suicidein past year

Overweight(according to BMI)

Physical activity for60 min/day 5 of past 7 days

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

2003 Oklahoma2005 Oklahoma2007 Oklahoma2009 Oklahoma2007 US

Youth Risk Behavior Survey:Summary of Sexual Behaviors, Suicide & Physical Health

High School Students, Oklahoma, 2003 through 2009, and U.S., 2007

Note: National 2009 YRBSS data have not yet been released.

na

Child

Indi

cato

rs

Prepared by the Community Service Council of Greater Tulsa

Health StatusOklahoma and United States, 1996 - 2009

Source: United Health Foundation, “America’s Health Rankings.“

'96 '97 '98 '99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '090%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

Per

c ent

adu

lts re

por ti

ng fa

ir or

poo

r hea

lth

0

10

20

30

40

50

State rank

Oklahoma Rank US

Oklahoma 13.1% 14% 13.4% 12.6% 17.4% 15.3% 19.6% 17.7% 17.8% 19.7% 18.7% 20.2% 19.2% 18.7%Rank 26 32 28 25 42 34 45 41 41 44 42 46 43 42

US 12.9% 12.9% 12.8% 12.6% 13% 13.9% 14% 14.7% 14.7% 14.9% 14.8% 14.7% 14.9% 14.4%

Child

Indi

cato

rs

Prepared by the Community Service Council of Greater Tulsa

Prevalence of ObesityOklahoma and United States, 1990 - 2009

Source: United Health Foundation, “America’s Health Rankings.“

'90 '91 '92 '93 '94 '95 '96 '97 '98 '99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '090%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

Per

c ent

of p

opul

atio

n es

tima t

ed to

be

obes

e

0

10

20

30

40

50

State rank

Oklahoma Rank US

Child

Indi

cato

rs

Prepared by the Community Service Council of Greater Tulsa

Prevalence of SmokingOklahoma and United States, 1990 - 2009

Source: United Health Foundation, “America’s Health Rankings.“

'90 '91 '92 '93 '94 '95 '96 '97 '98 '99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '090%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

Per

c ent

of p

opul

atio

n ov

er 1

8 th

at s

mok

e re

g ula

rly

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

State rank

Oklahoma Rank US

Child

Indi

cato

rs

Prepared by the Community Service Council of Greater Tulsa

Health Insurance Status, by AgeOklahoma, 2007-2008

Source: Kaiser Family Foundation.

1,714,100 (48.5%)

156,600 (4.4%)505,000 (14.3%)

590,500 (16.7%)

564,700 (16.0%)

456,300 (47.0%)

38,900 (4.0%)

337,000 (34.7%)

38,600 (4.0%)101,000 (10.4%)

1,255,500 (60.6%)

114,800 (5.5%)

146,300 (7.1%)

96,800 (4.7%)

457,500 (22.1%)

2,300 (0.5%)2,900 (0.6%)21,700 (4.4%)

455,100 (93.2%)

6,200 (1.3%)

Employer Individual Medicaid Medicare/Other Public Uninsured

Total Population Under Age 19

Age 19-64 Age 65 & over

Child

Indi

cato

rs

Prepared by the Community Service Council of Greater Tulsa

Oklahoma’s Prison PopulationFiscal Years 1950 - 2008

Source: Oklahoma Department of Corrections.

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2008

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000Prison population

Cri

me

& In

carc

erat

ion

Oklahoma's Rankings in Health Outcomes, 2010According to United Health Foundation's State Health Rankings

Source: United Health Foundation, “America’s Health Rankings.“

#48

#46

#21

#44

#48

#40

#46

#46

Poor mental health days

Poor physical health days

Geographic disparity

Infant mortality

Cardiovascular deaths

Cancer deaths

Premature death

All Health Outcomes

#0 #10 #20 #30 #40 #50

1990 2010

Ranking: 1=best, 50=worst

Oklahoma’s overall health ranking for 2010 is # 46

HE

AL

TH

IN

DIC

AT

OR

S

54% met demand

35% anticipate meeting demand

…IN SUMMARY