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What The Economy Means To
Nevada Voters 50+
What The Economy Means To
Nevada Voters 50+Key findings from survey conducted July 2012 for
HARTRESEARCHA S S O T E SC I A
What the Economy Means to Nevada Voters 50+ – July 2012 – Hart Research/GS Strategy for AARP2
Methodology
Statewide telephone survey conducted in Nevada July 10 to 16, 2012, among registered voters age 50 and over
Total sample sizes:
408 voters age 50 and over (MOE = ±4.9 percentage points), including
122 “Boomers” – non-retired voters age 50 to 64 (MOE = ±8.9 percentage points)
264 age 50+ Retired voters (MOE = ±6.0 percentage points)
What the Economy Means to Nevada Voters 50+ – July 2012 – Hart Research/GS Strategy for AARP3
Overview
Non-retired Boomers in Nevada feel great economic anxiety across party lines. This is reflected in a new “Anxiety Index” that measures their worries on such issues as prices rising faster than incomes, health expenses, and retirement security. They also feel that political gridlock negatively affects their economic circumstances.
A major driver of economic anxiety is concern over retirement security: 67% believe they will have to delay retirement, 53% worry they won't have a comfortable retirement, and 46% don't think they'll ever be able to retire. This insecurity leads Boomers to conclude that Medicare and Social Security have become even more important for their future.
What the Economy Means to Nevada Voters 50+ – July 2012 – Hart Research/GS Strategy for AARP4
Overview (continued)
This anxiety underscores the importance of strengthening Medicare and Social Security for current and future generations. Voters 50+ believe the next president and Congress will need to act to strengthen Medicare and Social Security for the future, and that both parties will have to come together to find a solution.
50+ voters in Nevada want to know where the candidates stand on Medicare, Social Security, and other vital issues. But they report that the candidates have done a poor job explaining their plans on priority issues, including strengthening Social Security (74%), strengthening Medicare (66%), reducing the budget deficit (72%), and taxes (62%).
What the Economy Means to Nevada Voters 50+ – July 2012 – Hart Research/GS Strategy for AARP5
Nevada 50+ Voters’ Financial Outlook:
Dissatisfied & Anxious
What the Economy Means to Nevada Voters 50+ – July 2012 – Hart Research/GS Strategy for AARP6
Three In Four See National Economy In “Bad” Condition
How would you rate the condition of the national economy these days?
Very good 1%
75%
24%
Bad
Nevada voters age 50/over
Good
Verybad47%
What the Economy Means to Nevada Voters 50+ – July 2012 – Hart Research/GS Strategy for AARP7
Nevada Voters 50+ Fairly Satisfied With Their Personal Financial Situation, Though Boomers Less So
16%26%
20%14%
How satisfied are you with your own financial situation today?
Very satisfied Somewhat satisfied Somewhat dissatisfied Very dissatisfied
30%
69%
48%51%
RetireesBoomers
What the Economy Means to Nevada Voters 50+ – July 2012 – Hart Research/GS Strategy for AARP8
However, Nevada Voters 50+ Are Worried About Reaching Financial Goals
36%
57%
38%
52%
Looking ahead to the next five years or so, how do you feel about being able to achieve your economic and financial goals?
Hopeful/confident Worried/concerned
RetireesBoomers
What the Economy Means to Nevada Voters 50+ – July 2012 – Hart Research/GS Strategy for AARP9
20%
23%
24%
26%
30%
34%
51%
55%
56%
71%
Nevada 50+ Voters’ Financial Worries
Prices rising faster than my income
Not having financial security in retirement
Having to pay too much in taxes
Having health expenses I cannot afford
Not being able to retire when I want for financial
reasonsHaving to take care of
aging parent/relative
Not being able to afford education for self/children
Not being able to keep up with mortgage/rent
Not being able to get full-time job with benefits
Having more credit card debt than I can handle
Nevada voters age 50/over who say they worry very/somewhat often about each
What the Economy Means to Nevada Voters 50+ – July 2012 – Hart Research/GS Strategy for AARP10
Anxiety Index
For each one of the top five economic concerns about which they say they are worried, voters are assigned 20 points. A minimum score of 0 reflects no economic anxiety, while a maximum score of 100 indicates a great deal of economic anxiety.
The five components of the Anxiety Index are:
“I am worried about…”
Prices rising faster than my income
Not having enough financial security in retirement
Having to pay too much in taxes
Not being able to retire when I want for financial reasons
Having health expenses I cannot afford
What the Economy Means to Nevada Voters 50+ – July 2012 – Hart Research/GS Strategy for AARP11
46%
60%
52%
65%
50%
64%
17%
65%
71%
71%
Components Of The Anxiety Index
Prices rising faster than my income
Not being able to retire when I want for
financial reasons
Having to pay too much in taxes
Not having financial security in retirement
Having health expenses I cannot afford
Nevada voters who worry very/somewhat often about this: Boomers Retirees
37% of Nevada Boomers are worried about not being able to find a full-time job with benefits.
What the Economy Means to Nevada Voters 50+ – July 2012 – Hart Research/GS Strategy for AARP12
Nevada Boomers Have Higher Rating On Anxiety Index
RetireesBoomers
Mean Anxiety Index Score
65
47
What the Economy Means to Nevada Voters 50+ – July 2012 – Hart Research/GS Strategy for AARP13
27%
68%
Two-Thirds Of Nevada Boomers Expect To Delay Retirement
Do you think you will end up delaying your retirement to save more money in order to be able to live comfortably in retirement?
Will probably have to delay retirement
Will not
Boomers
What the Economy Means to Nevada Voters 50+ – July 2012 – Hart Research/GS Strategy for AARP14
Fewer Than Half Of Nevada Boomers Believe They Will Ever Be Able To Retire
How confident are you that you will be able to retire at some point?
49% 49%
Confident Just somewhat/not confident
Veryconfident
27%
Not at allconfident
32%
Boomers
What the Economy Means to Nevada Voters 50+ – July 2012 – Hart Research/GS Strategy for AARP15
Nevada Boomers Voice Little Confidence They Will Have Secure Retirement
How confident are you that you will have enough money to live comfortably throughout your retirement years?
34%
65%
Confident
Very13%
Not at allconfident
38%
53%46%
Confident
Veryconfident
25%Not at allconfident
16%
Boomers Retirees
Just somewhat/not confident
Just somewhat/not confident
What the Economy Means to Nevada Voters 50+ – July 2012 – Hart Research/GS Strategy for AARP16
Nevada 50+ Voters' Satisfaction WithRetirement Savings
How satisfied are you with the amount of money you are saving or have saved for retirement?
56%
39%45%
49%
Satisfied Dissatisfied Satisfied Dissatisfied
Very 10%
Verydissatisfied
31%
Boomers Retirees
Verysatisfied
22%
Verydissatisfied
22%
What the Economy Means to Nevada Voters 50+ – July 2012 – Hart Research/GS Strategy for AARP17
68%
29%
Two-Thirds Of Nevada Boomers Plan To Rely On Social Security & Medicare Even More Due To Downturn
“As a result of the recent economic downturn, I am planning to rely even more on Social Security and Medicare to provide economic and health care security in retirement.”
Boomers
DisagreeAgree
MenWomen
Non-college graduates
Agree*
66%72%
79%
*Among all Nevada voters 50+
What the Economy Means to Nevada Voters 50+ – July 2012 – Hart Research/GS Strategy for AARP18
Nevada 50+ Voters And The 2012 Election
What the Economy Means to Nevada Voters 50+ – July 2012 – Hart Research/GS Strategy for AARP19
Overview
Nevada voters 50+ are searching for information, but candidates aren't delivering.
Social Security and Medicare remain voting issues of central importance to these voters because of their economic anxiety.
Voters 50+ are looking for bipartisan solutions for strengthening Social Security and Medicare.
What the Economy Means to Nevada Voters 50+ – July 2012 – Hart Research/GS Strategy for AARP20
Nevada 50+ Voters Affected By Economic Downturn And Political Gridlock
44% 45%
My personal economic circumstances have been negatively affected by:
76%Negatively affected:
Some/a little
A great deal
78%
Political Gridlock in WashingtonEconomic Downturn of Past 4 Years
What the Economy Means to Nevada Voters 50+ – July 2012 – Hart Research/GS Strategy for AARP21
6%
51% 43%
Lukewarm Approval For President Obama, High Disapproval For Congress
Job Approval of Barack ObamaNevada voters age 50/over
ApproveDisapprove
-8
Not sure
8%84%
8%
Job Approval of CongressNevada voters age 50/over
Approve
Disapprove
-76
Not sure
Boomers
47%47%
6%
even
Boomers6%
88%
6%-82
What the Economy Means to Nevada Voters 50+ – July 2012 – Hart Research/GS Strategy for AARP22
8%
46% 46%
Nevada 50+ Voters' Presidential Preference
Presidential Trial HeatVoters age 50/over
Barack Obama
Not sure
Mitt Romney
includes 2% leaning Romney
includes 1% leaning Obama
even
What the Economy Means to Nevada Voters 50+ – July 2012 – Hart Research/GS Strategy for AARP23
Nevada 50+ Voters' Presidential Preference, Among Key Subgroups
Obamavoters
46%
50%45%
40%
39%53%
52%42%
Romneyvoters
46%
41%48%
52%
53%40%
44%49%
Differential:Obama – Romney
All voters age 50/over
BoomersRetirees
Whites
MenWomen
Confidence in Retirement: Confident Not confident
Even
+9-3
-12
-14+13
+8-7
What the Economy Means to Nevada Voters 50+ – July 2012 – Hart Research/GS Strategy for AARP24
11%
33%
13%12%
31%
Preference In Nevada Senate Race
Trial Heat for U.S. SenateVoters age 50/over
Shelley Berkley
Not sure
-4
Leaning Berkley
Dean Heller
Leaning Heller
42% BERKLEY
46% HELLER
What the Economy Means to Nevada Voters 50+ – July 2012 – Hart Research/GS Strategy for AARP25
50+ Voters Say It's Hard To Find Objective, Reliable Information About Candidates
How easy/hard is it to find objective and reliable information about the record and positions of candidates running for office this November?
41%
51%
Hard
Nevada voters age 50/over
Easy
Veryhard24%
Very easy19%
Obama voters
Uncommitted
Romney voters
Hard tofind reliableinformation
49%
60%
51%
What the Economy Means to Nevada Voters 50+ – July 2012 – Hart Research/GS Strategy for AARP26
30%59%
28%62%
29%62%
27%62%
23%66%
18%72%
17%74%
Candidates Not Doing Good Job Explaining Their Plans For Addressing Key Problems
Strengthening/reforming Social Security
Reducing the budget deficit
Strengthening and reforming Medicare
Improving public education
Strengthening the economy/creating jobs
Taxes
Improving health care
How good a job have the presidential candidates done explaining their plans on these issues?
Very/fairly good jobNot so good/poor job
Nevada voters age 50/over
What the Economy Means to Nevada Voters 50+ – July 2012 – Hart Research/GS Strategy for AARP27
12%
26%
13%20%
Limited Confidence In Social Security Among Nevada 50+ Voters
How confident are you that Social Security will be there for you and for future generations?
Boomers Retirees
Very confident Somewhat confident Not very confident Not at all confident
42%
58%
45%
54%
What the Economy Means to Nevada Voters 50+ – July 2012 – Hart Research/GS Strategy for AARP28
81%
5%
79%
4%
Strengthening Social Security Is Critical For Economic Security
“The next president and Congress need to strengthen Social Security so that it is able to provide retirement security for future generations.”
Nevada voters age 50/over
94%
“Social Security is critical to the economic security of seniors.”
Somewhat agree DisagreeStrongly agree
94%
Obama votersUncommittedRomney voters
MenWomen
Strongly agree87%77%72%
77%81%
Total agree97%93%92%
93%95%
Obama votersUncommittedRomney voters
MenWomen
Strongly agree87%84%75%
78%85%
Total agree96%95%92%
91%97%
Nevada voters age 50/over
What the Economy Means to Nevada Voters 50+ – July 2012 – Hart Research/GS Strategy for AARP29
55%
55%
33%
54%
52%
49%
52%
Broad Interest In Candidates' Plans For Social Security
All Nevada voters age 50/over
Boomers
Retirees
Democrats
Independents
Republicans
Whites
How helpful would learning the candidates' plans on strengthening and reforming Social Security be in your presidential vote decision?
Very helpful Fairly helpful
66%
65%
70%
50%
67%
69%
68%
What the Economy Means to Nevada Voters 50+ – July 2012 – Hart Research/GS Strategy for AARP30
13%22%
11%19%
Nevada 50+ Voters Are Divided On Medicare's Future
How confident are you that Medicare will be there for you and for future generations?
Boomers Retirees
Very confident Somewhat confident Not very confident Not at all confident
49% 49% 47% 50%
What the Economy Means to Nevada Voters 50+ – July 2012 – Hart Research/GS Strategy for AARP31
80%
6%
78%
5%
Strong Commitment To Medicare Among 50+ Voters In Nevada
“Medicare is critical to maintaining the health of seniors.”
Voters age 50/over
92%
“The next president and Congress need to strengthen Medicare so that it is able to provide health coverage in retirement for future generations.”
Somewhat agree DisagreeStrongly agree
93%
Voters age 50/over
Obama votersUncommittedRomney voters
MenWomen
Strongly agree85%81%75%
76%84%
Total agree94%90%91%
90%94%
Obama votersUncommittedRomney voters
MenWomen
Strongly agree84%71%71%
72%83%
Total agree96%95%88%
88%96%
What the Economy Means to Nevada Voters 50+ – July 2012 – Hart Research/GS Strategy for AARP32
50%
49%
37%
56%
52%
45%
50%
Broad Interest In Candidates' Plans For Medicare
How helpful would learning the candidates' plans on strengthening and reforming Medicare be in your presidential vote decision?
Very helpful Fairly helpful
All Nevada voters age 50/over
Boomers
Retirees
Democrats
Independents
Republicans
Whites
64%
64%
71%
52%
61%
64%
64%
What the Economy Means to Nevada Voters 50+ – July 2012 – Hart Research/GS Strategy for AARP33
84%
5%
90%81% 78%
91%78%
Nevada 50+ Voters Looking For Bipartisan Solution For Social Security And Medicare “Finding a long-term solution for Social Security and Medicare is too big a problem for either party to fix. Instead, Republicans and Democrats need to come together to find a solution to strengthen Social Security and Medicare for future generations.”
Voters age 50/over Demo-crats
Strongly agree Somewhat agree Disagree
93% 97%
86%
Inde-pendents
Repub-licans
Obamavoters
Romneyvoters
90%97%
88%
What The Economy Means To
Nevada Voters 50+
What The Economy Means To
Nevada Voters 50+Key findings from survey conducted July 2012 for
HARTRESEARCHA S S O T E SC I A