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Why Not Look Only at Model Output?

Date post: 13-Feb-2016
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Why Not Look Only at Model Output?. Good Web Site to Explore VV. http://www.twisterdata.com/. Comparison of Various Forms of the Q-G Omega Equation. Classic (Two terms: differential vorticity advection, Laplacian of the thermal wind) - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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Why Not Look Only at Model Output?
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Page 1: Why Not Look Only at Model Output?

Why Not Look Only at Model Output?

Page 2: Why Not Look Only at Model Output?
Page 3: Why Not Look Only at Model Output?
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Page 5: Why Not Look Only at Model Output?

Good Web Site to Explore VV

http://www.twisterdata.com/

Page 6: Why Not Look Only at Model Output?

Comparison of Various Forms of the Q-G Omega Equation

Classic (Two terms: differential vorticity advection, Laplacian of the thermal wind)

• The result is the difference between two large terms resulting in large truncation error.

• Cannot estimate reliably from vorticity advection at a single level or from warm advection alone.

• Using at a single level, best done at 500 hPa for strong events. Really need a 3D solution for an accurate answer.

Trenberth/Sutcliffe formulation (advection of absolute vorticity by the thermal wind) is more accurate since no cancellation problem.

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Q-Vector approach is the best in many ways

• No cancellation problems• Includes deformation term• Provides insights into the lower branch of the ageostrophic circulation forced by the geostrophic forcing• Provides insights into frontogenesis•Allows rapid and intuitive graphical interpretation

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QG Diagnostics Online

Classic approach:http://www.mmm.ucar.edu/people/tomjr/files/realtime/qg_diag/Omeg700Tot-NorAmer/res.html

Sutcliffe-Trenberth:http://www.mmm.ucar.edu/people/tomjr/files/realtime/qg_diag/OmegSutTren700Tot-NorAmer/res.html

Q-vector http://www.mmm.ucar.edu/people/tomjr/files/realtime/qg_diag/OmegQvec700Tot-NorAmer/res.html

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Vertical Motion

• Can be as the complex sum of:• QG motions (relatively large scale and smooth)

• Orographic forcing

• Convective forcing

• Gravity waves and other small-scale stuff

• QG diagnostics helpful for seeing the big picture

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Jet Streak Vertical Motions

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For unusually straight jets, it might be reasonable

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But usually there is much more going on, so be VERY careful in application of simple jet streak

modelGarp example…


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