Policy Theory vs. Reality
March 2017 • Lockton Companies
Lockton Health Reform Advisory Practice
WHY TAXING HEALTH INSURANCE IS
BAD POLICY
Taxing Employees on Health Insurance Threatens the Group Market
Reducing the income tax exclusion for employer-provided insurance increases taxes on employees or forces employers to increase employee out-of-pocket costs, or both.
Employees most likely to opt out of coverage are the healthiest and youngest employees. Those remaining will be the heaviest users, skewing the group plan’s risk profile.
Threats to the Group Market Could Shift Enormous Costs to the Government
Over 177 million Americans receive health insurance through an employer.1
Employers pay more than $668 billion annually2 to insure their employees, more than the federal government spends on Medicare. This amounts to, on average, $5,306 toward the premium for employee-only coverage and $12,865 for family coverage.3 Of those enrolled in group plans today, 43 percent would qualify for Medicaid or ACA-like tax credits, if not for their group plan.4
Average Amount Employers Pay in Premium Costs
100%
0%Employee
OnlyFamily
$5,306
$12,86582.5%
71%
43+57y43%Percent of Current Group Plan Enrollees Who
Would Qualify for Medicaid or ACA Subsidies
L O C K T O N C O M P A N I E S
Other Revenue Streams Are Already in Place
According to the Congressional Budget Office (CBO), taxing health insurance on premiums above the 75th percentile of average group premium costs would generate $174 billion from 2020 to 2026.5 A tax on premiums above the 90th percentile yields considerably less.6 Other larger revenue streams, unrelated to health insurance, already exist under the ACA.
Taxing Employees Won’t Lead to Higher Wages or Reduce Healthcare Consumption
Imposing taxes on insurance premiums merely forces employers to reduce premium costs by imposing higher deductibles and slashing benefits. Despite rosy policy arguments, employers won’t increase wages to compensate for benefit cuts. Of Lockton survey respondents, 67 percent said they definitely would not or probably would not increase wages to offset health insurance cuts; 27 percent were unsure what they’d do. Fewer than 6 percent would definitely or probably increase wages.7
Nor will taxing health insurance reduce healthcare consumption. More than 80 percent of medical claim costs are incurred by only 13 percent of plan enrollees. These, the sickest of the sick, will consume the care they need no matter what their deductible or other out-of-pocket cost.8
Where Costs Are Generated
13+87y 13% of Group Plan Enrollees
18+82yGenerateof Claim Costs82%The problem isn’t how employers provide insurance; the problem is with the general
health of Americans. And employers are far more engaged in combating health risks
than the individual health insurance market.
POLICY THEORY VS. REALITY
Lockton Health Reform Advisory Practice
How likely is your company to give additional wages to make up for the
reduction in benefits?7
1+6+51+16+26+A
We probably would increase wages.
5.7%
We would definitely increase wages. .25%
I am not sure. 27%
We probably would NOT increase wages.
51%
We definitely would NOT increase wages.
16%
807 respondents
Promoting Health
Eighty-three percent of employers offer on-site biometric screenings, weight loss programs, hypertension management programs, or other workplace wellness programs.
Wellness programs achieve demonstrable results. For example, prenatal care programs alone save, on average, $1,200 per enrollee.9
Promoting Appropriate Utilization
Employers drive appropriate care through plan design, transparency tools, nurse helplines, telemedicine, preventive care promotion, and on-site clinics.
Promoting Efficient Healthcare Delivery
Employers work to ensure they have the most cost-effective program, continuously evaluating vendor partners, healthcare funding methods, pharmacy management, and reference-based pricing.
Employers With a Culture of Health Report
Employees are satisfied with their job experience
Employees take responsibility for their health
Employees know how to navigate the healthcare system
64%with a culture
of health
17%without a culture
of health
53%with a culture
of health
10%without a culture
of health
39%with a culture
of health
9%without a culture
of health
Source: Optum 2016: The five keys to building a culture of health
83+17y83%Employers That Offer Some Form
of Wellness Program9
86+35 Employers not implementing cost-savings programs
3.5% Employers implementing cost-savings programs10
Increase in Healthcare Costs
8.6%
Employer-Provided vs. Individual Market
Healthcare Cost Increases
Lockton Employers
Individual Market
4.63%
15.53%
POLICY THEORY VS. REALITY
EMPLOYERS MANAGE HEALTHCARE COSTS
BETTER THAN THE INDIVIDUAL MARKETEmployers provide health insurance to 177 million Americans and manage costs better than the individual market by promoting:
Appropriate
Utilization
Efficient
Healthcare
Delivery
Health
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1See https://www.census.gov/content/dam/Census/library/publications/2016/demo/p60-257.pdf
2US Bureau of Economic Analysis, Table 6.11D https://www.bea.gov/iTable/iTable.cfm?ReqID=9&step=1#reqid=9&step=3&isuri=1&903=219
3http://files.kff.org/attachment/Report-Employer-Health-Benefits-2016-Annual-Survey, p. 1
4U.S. census 2016 Annual Social and Economic Supplement to the Current Population Survey
4S&P Health Care Cost Index
5Options for Reducing the Deficit: 2017-26 (Dec. 2016), p. 274
6A “straightline” reduction in lieu of interpolation yields an estimate of $70 billion in net revenue
7Lockton survey of its insured and self-insured businesses
8Analysis of Lockton’s Infolock data on its self-insured clients
9SCIO Health Analytics Case Study.
1032014–2015 Lockton Infolock® data.