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Wind Subgroup Update 2018-2019 29 April – 3 May 2019, Palais des Nations, Geneva
Wind Subgroup Update2018-2019
29 April – 3 May 2019, Palais des Nations, Geneva
The Wind Sub-Group: Who is Who?
Wind Energy: what to expect?
Delivering the Specifications: Timeline and status
What went well?
What were our challenges?
What’s next?
Agenda
2
Introducing the Wind Sub-GroupWho is Who?
3
# Name Current Position Years of professional experience
Current Sector
Location
1 Chris Freear Principal at Ethical Power Consulting 20+ Consulting New Zealand
2 Daran Rife Head of Mesoscal Modelling DNV GL USA
3 Gorkem Teneler Researcher/consulting engineer: Managing Partner at Verk Energy Technologies Ltd
7 Industry Turkey
4 Holger Matthiesen Managing Director E.ON Climate & Renewables Services GmbH
20 Industry Germany
5 James F. Manwell Prof. Mechanical and Industrial Engineering, University of Massachusetts Amherst (USA)
35 Academia USA
6 James Primrose Head of Portfolio BP Industry UK
7 Markus Klingbeil (Chair)
Global Senior Resource Consultant, Shell 20 Industry USA
8 Peter Eecen Programme Development Manager at ECN Wind Energy
19 Research Netherlands
9 Sathyajith Mathew Deputy Director, Institute of Applied Data Analytics, University of Brunei
25 Academia Norway
10 Taylor Geer Service Line Manager DNV GL Consulting USA
11 Tom Lefeber Team Lead, Shell 15 Industry Oman
Source: GE.com
Offshore turbines, 12 MW , 260m high, 220m rotor diameter
Power increase
X 1000
An old technology has come a long way
4
Onshore, 1888, USA12 kW , 18m high, 17m rotor diameter
Source: Robert W. Righter (1996)
Source: Kinderdijk.com
Source: Lourdes Cardenal
Wind Energy and Global Power GenerationSource: World Energy Outlook by IEA 2018
5
1 000
2 000
3 000
4 000
5 000
2010 2020 2030 2040
GW
Solar PV
Wind
GasHydro
CoalOther renewables
Oil
NuclearBattery storage
Total Power Generation Capacity (GW) in theIEA’s Sustainable Development Scenario
800
2100
Today Sustainable Development
Scenario 2040
+260%
GW
Wind Power under Construction until 2020Source: World Energy Outlook by IEA 2018
6
Global Wind Farm capacity under construction or expected by 2020 by region
80
40
25
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
North America
Asia Pacific
Central & South America
Europe
5 5
Africa
29%
20%19%
16%
10%
5%
Gas
Solar
Hydro
WindCoal
Nuclear
Global power capacity under construction or expected by 2020 by source: Total (all sources) = ~800 GW
= ~160 GW additionally expected by 2020
Wind power trends – annual average power capacity additions: 2010-2017: ~ 47 GW/year2018-2020: ~ 53 GW/year
Recent large wind farm projects
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Gansu, China, 7.9 GW
Alta Wind Energy Center, USA, 1.5 GW London Array, UK, 0.6 GW
Gemini, Netherlands, 0.6 GW
Delivering the Wind SpecificationsTimeline and status
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Established Wind Sub-Group established and agreed Terms of Reference for delivering Wind Specifications
Q4 2017Teleconferences & first draft of Wind Specifications
Q2-Q3 2018Review process (TAG, EGRM)
Q4 2018
From Terms of Reference for Wind Sub-Group (Q4 2017):
“The purpose of the Wind Subgroup is to produce the Wind Specifications by early 2019.”
Current status: final draft submitted to EGRM-10
Q1 2019
Diverse group of experts convened
The creative phase:
three lively teleconferences
many email exchanges, and
generation of one early draft (version 1) with several constructive reviews, leading to final draft (version 7) in about 7 months
Wind Sub-Group could leverage excellent work already done by other sub-groups (e.g. Geothermal, Bio-Energy, Solar)
Leads from other Sub-Groups shared their experiences (positive & negative) very openly and constructively
ToR timeline delivered
Delivering the Wind SpecificationsWhat went well?
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Key questions we grappled with during many discussions:
Do we understand the purpose of the UNFC and who should use it?
Why is classification really necessary for a renewable/infinite resource?
Why apply a finite, project based principle to an infinite resource? Does this not limit the potential resource quantities artificially?
Is there an appropriate F-subcategory for undefined (generic) projects using existing technology?
Group participation varied throughout the delivery process
Recommendation to UNFC: addition of sub-category F4.4 (undefined projects using existing technologies)
Delivering the Wind SpecificationsWhat were our challenges?
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What next?
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60 day public comment period
Q2-Q3 2019Incorporation of public comments
Q3 2019
EGRM acceptance and issue of Specifications for Public Comment?
May 2019
NOWReal life case studies & applications
Q4 2019 +
Suggestions for real life case studies?
Questions & Comments
Thank you
Markus Klingbeil
Chair, Wind Sub-Group
Shell
29 April – 3 May 2019, Palais des Nations, Geneva
