Wisconsin Statewide Model

July 26,2006

Travel Forecasting & Analysis Section

Forecasts for Project Development & Design Major Projects and Statewide Corridors System-wide forecasts to Calculate Level-of-Service in Metamanager Statewide Model development for Multi-Modal Planning

VMT Estimation and Forecasting Output to FHWA for Program $ Apportionment Output to DNR for Environmental Air Quality Analysis Output to State Patrol & DTID for Fatality Rate Calculations

Origin & Destination Studies for Local Cost Share

Statewide Modeling Context

• Systems View

• Synchronization

• Applications

Wisconsin Statewide Model

 

Wisconsin Network Zone

Wisconsin MPO Models

Wisconsin Regional Models

Regional Model

NorthWest Wisconsin

MPO Model

EauClaire / Chippewa Falls

System View

Statewide Model

Regional Model

MPO Model

System Feedback

Statewide Model

Regional Model

MPO Model

Statewide Model Completed October 2004

Statewide Model Provides AADT Estimates to MPO Model

System Feedback

Statewide Model

Regional Model

MPO Model

MPO Model Completed December 2004

MPO Model Provides AADT Estimates back to Statewide Model

Synchronized Models

Synchronized Models Provides AADT Estimates to Region

Statewide Model

Regional Model

MPO Model

Regional Model Completed December 2005

Traffic Analysis Forecasting Information System

Produces and Warehouses AADT Estimates for Analysis

TAFIS

Provide Overrides Capability of Historical Based Forecasts

Regional

Statewide

MPO

TAFIS

Systems Interaction

Source Data for:-WisDOT’s Metamanager System- WisDOT’s Corridor Management- Traffic Impact Analysis

Traffic Analysis Forecasting Information System (TAFIS)

• SAS-based forecasts utilizing historic data

• Produces and warehouses AADT estimatesfor analysis

• Utilizes Box-Cox regression methodfor Interstate, US and Wisconsin State highways

TAFIS Example

Madison, Dane CountyMadison, Dane County

Station Station LocationLocation

Model Application Outputs

• Conceptual Planning ( Alternatives Testing)

• Input into Paramics ( Design)

• Planned Projects within each MPO (Long Range Transportation Plan)

I- 94

Design Concepts I-94 (St. Croix County)

Principles

• Partnership with Consultants

• More robust AADT Estimates

• Realistic Design

• Anticipate Emerging Growth

Urban Travel Models

Sub Consultant

Prime

Sub Consultant

MPO & RPC’s

Wisconsin Statewide Model

Thank you

Questions