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WL GLOBAL - · PDF filep- in orda to support tbe furtha denlopmcnt and improwmatt of mdbods...

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WL GLOBAL Adaptatioatoclimatc~willbc~cvarif~miti~mtasurcsarc~byParticsto the United Naticru FrPmcwak Cunmh an Clim?tc Change (UNFCCC). 'Ihc ht assessmad report of tbc Pd cm Climate Cbaugc (IPCC) dudcd that an budate d&at of 60% globally of lq-livul- gnscs such as carbar dioxide would be quid to stabilize the dmmpberic mmatmtions at th: prtscnt Icvcl. Aa;ording to tbt 1994 rcport of JPCC Working Group I, "stabni.bim of ~btriccarbandi~~matdcaasidaedkvels~artdtwotirncst0day'~ddbe a!iakd oaly with global anthpo@c anissioas drop to substantially below 1990 kvcls". According to IPCC findinm em stabilizatioa must assume bomc crimatc chaugc. Ilm&orc, a a amout of adaptatim to a dm&g climate will be ~bccssary, cspeciatly in rn and sadom that arc particularly vulnerable to fdimatic tvcnts. Animpduodtrstaadiagdthepotentialimpadsofclimattchangtmsoci~csystansandthc cnviroament will amble countries to rcducc their vulnuability to tbc advcrst cfkts of climatic changes and to idcatitj. a range of -on stmkgics. Climate impad assessment ad measut.co to adapt to climatc cbangtmustbesacllasanintegralpartoflrny~kdevclopmentstratcgy.Tbcysbouldmdp~- day development needs and minimize the ercpcdbd adverse egcds of rapid climate h e . kttensificd Sorts are requid to ahmx d rdk fbtk the ability to anticipate climate change tnpads, aad identify shatrgi~toadapttoclimate~.
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Page 1: WL GLOBAL - · PDF filep- in orda to support tbe furtha denlopmcnt and improwmatt of mdbods fbr climate chgc impactsand~on~Thigsystanaticimprovcmcntcanoalyocarr throU@applicatiwand

W L GLOBAL

A d a p t a t i o a t o c l i m a t c ~ w i l l b c ~ c v a r i f ~ m i t i ~ m t a s u r c s a r c ~ b y P a r t i c s t o the United Naticru FrPmcwak C u n m h an Clim?tc Change (UNFCCC). 'Ihc ht assessmad report of tbc P d cm Climate Cbaugc (IPCC) d u d c d that an b u d a t e d&at of 60% globally of lq-livul- gnscs such as carbar dioxide would be q u i d to stabilize the dmmpberic mmatmtions at th: prtscnt Icvcl. Aa;ording to tbt 1994 rcport of JPCC Working Group I, "stabni.bim of ~ b t r i c c a r b a n d i ~ ~ m a t d c a a s i d a e d k v e l s ~ a r t d t w o t i r n c s t 0 d a y ' ~ d d b e a!iakd oaly with global anthpo@c anissioas drop to substantially below 1990 kvcls". According to IPCC findinm e m stabilizatioa must assume bomc crimatc chaugc. Ilm&orc, a a amout of adaptatim to a dm&g climate will be ~bccssary, cspeciatly in rn and sadom that arc particularly vulnerable to fdimatic tvcnts.

Animpduodtrstaadiagdthepotentialimpadsofclimattchangtmsoci~csystansandthc cnviroament will amble countries to rcducc their vulnuability to tbc advcrst c f k t s of climatic changes and to idcatitj. a range of -on stmkgics. Climate impad assessment a d measut.co to adapt to climatc cbangtmustbesacllasanintegralpartoflrny~kdevclopmentstratcgy.Tbcysbouldmdp~- day development needs and minimize the ercpcdbd adverse egcds of rapid climate h e . kttensificd Sorts are r e q u i d to a h m x d r d k fbtk the ability to anticipate climate change tnpads, aad identify shatrg i~toadapt toc l imate~.

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The United Natiotu Framework Convention on C l W Churge

IIbcUnitadNati0~~F~rk~mmC~~(UNFCCC)whichentabdintofarccoa21 March 1994 prwidts th: main hmmork fw clhatc c b g c dated rescad, assc-4 a d Mopment of rcspoasc shatcgics, including odaptatioa.

Article 4.1 (b) lbquirts P d c s to the Corrvention to fb& a d implancnt national and regional p r o g r a m m # c o a t a i n i n g ~ t o m i t i ~ ~ ~ a n d " m t a s u r # t o ~ ~ a d a p t a t i c m t o c l i m a t c ~ .

Article 4.l(e) indicates that Parties shall "ceopate in pnparing bor tbc impads of climate w e ; dcvdop a n d ~ r a t t a p p r a p r i a t c a n d ~ p l a n s ~ r c o a s t a l z o o c m a n a g a n a d , w a t a r c s a t r c t a n d a ~ ~ and f ir protection and rtbabilitation'of arcas aikkd by drought, dcccrtificafion and floods".

Article 4.1(f) directs the Parties to take climalt colrsidcdons into accoun! in relcvaut social, d c and ~1- policies and actions, and aim to minirizizc the adverse &ids on economy, public bealth and thcmvirommtofmcasurw takentomitigatcoradapttoclimatc~e.ThiSparagraphalsourgesParties to cooperate and promote the exchange of i n f o d o n oa tk acowmic and social amsequcuccs of various rcsponststrategies.

Accordhg to Art. 4.3, &vclopad crnrntry Partics included in Annex I1 "shall provi& nnv and additional finaacial resources to meet tbt a& 111 oosts inawed by dcvcloping country Parties in complying with tbeir obligations un&r An 12.1". a d shall provide financial rtsourcts to meet tbc agrttd full krmmtal custs ifmeasurts d b y Art. 4.1.

Article 4.4 nquks developed wuntry Parties to assist Countria that are particularly vulrrcrable to tbc adverse &.ects of climate cbange in meteiqg tbe costs of adaptation to those adverse &ads.

Amclc 4.8. rdm to the spcci6c needs and conoerns of heloping countries which are highly vulnerable to the adverse ded of &mate c b q c . This kludts the specific abcds and conctnrs of small island countries, countries with low-lying wastal areas, arid and sani-arid areas, arcas liable to forcst decay, arcas liable to drought and demtScation, and amtries with £iagile ecosystems including mountaiwus ccosystns.

In accotdance with Art. 12.1, anmtrics shall include into their natioaal communicatio~ls "a ga~ral description of steps takcn or euvisagcd by the Party to implement th: Gmvdcm".

At its Tenth Scssioq the kncrgwcrnmtntal Negohtbg Committee fir a Fmmmrlc Convention on Climate Change (INUFCCC) firmdated clear guidance to tbe GEF as tk interim opcrating entity of the financial machanism. This agnanent is amtakd in k i s i o a 10/3 of the INUFCCC.

Rtgatdiag programm priorities, tbe Committee concluded that "in tbe initial period unphasis should be placed on ambling activities uodtrtakcn by developing country Parties, such as plamiog, a&gcrmm capacity buildias u*

training,rcscarchandaducatioa,thatwiU~~ i m p l ~ o 4 i n ~ w i m t b e ~ ~ i y C m " .

Decisioa 10/3 also a m h h an i a g c m a ~ t oa a three stage approach rtgarding adaptatioe It was recognized by tk canmbc that rcquirts sbort, medium and long term s&atcgies, each of which sbould be

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~ f o r c l i m a t r . ~ s t u d i n , i a c l u d i n g ~ d c s c r i ' b a d m t b c I P C C T a c b n i c a l G u i d t l i n t s , a r t ~ p r e l i m i r r P r y d a e a d t o b e f i r r t b t r ~ U N E P i s ~ r t , p r o p o s i n g ~ ~ o r s c W e s p- in orda to support tbe furtha denlopmcnt and improwmatt of mdbods fbr climate c h g c i m p a c t s a n d ~ o n ~ T h i g s y s t a n a t i c i m p r o v c m c n t c a n o a l y o c a r r throU@applicatiwand testing of tbe IPCC guidelines and tbe mdbods rcfinrod to in these guidelines under field &ms in various countries. Various mdhods will, be applied as fir as possible, and tbe results of tbe ahemalive appnracbcs will be evaluated in order to gd a be& u d c m h d q of the applicability and hitation of nrdhods w h used un&r difFermt dxummmu. Ibe urpui~yx gahai in tbc course of thCgC caunt~~ case studies will be an important input for tbe fUrtba refirwment of tbe guidcliaes ad methodologies by tbe IPCC. Tbe country ~ s t u d i e s w i l l b e & a d o u t m d ~ ~ ~ ~ o a a m o n g U N E P , t b c I P C C e x p e r t g r o u p a n d ~ m* As part of the World Climate Impact Assessmrd and Rtspoast Strategies Programm, (WCIRP) a canpaacnt of the intanstiaaally imp- a d ' cacmhkd World Climate Progrsmmc, UNEP has a l r e a h y ~ a ~ o f r e g i a r a l s t u d i ~ o a ~ ' daI a d S O C j ~ c ef&& of climate MMbility a d &age in Brad, Sarth East Asin Indonesia, Malaysia), Viebarn, Namiiia and in tbe Comrnm- of Idqa&mt States. Tbt purpose of these studies was to dcvclop and test a range of asstssmcnt tools ad to provide examples of d i f f i analytid mdbods for climate impact aswmcnt In tk fiammork of its R e g i d Stas Pmpmxm, UNEP has also carrid out a brgc number of r e g i d ~ t r y a n d s i t e s p a c i f i c ~ o f t b e i m p a d S o f c l i m a t e ~ c a d s t a l c v c l r i s e . T h i s U N E P &cacc has d b u t a i to tbe fbnnulstim of tbe IPCC Technical Gui&LiDCs. In p a d e l activities canid out for tbe IPCC and in support fbr tbe UNFCCC, UNEP has conducted other climatt TCW country studies on inmtories of sources ad sinlco of gnenbouse gases ad m tbe costs of mitigating climate c b g c . For tbe project w "Country Case Studies on Sources a d Sinks of G-raahousc Gases", funds have bccn received fhxn tbe GEF pilot phasc.

In the course of tbe last fiw years, a number of ctimate change related cquntry studies havc b#n in i t id . Some of tbse programmes arc organhod and financd bibtcrally. Others, such as tbc UNDP country studits, arc financed thrwgh G p or other rnultihxal sources. UNEP has established close working relations with a number of thtsc prog-. UNEP also assisted in tbe coortiimticm of tbesc various initiativts through tbe "Climate Coamtion I n f b d o o Exchange Programm (CC:INFO)", a project implmtcd and h a n a d joiatly by- adtk UNFCCChtuhSacrdariat.

Throughitsin-bousccxptriclrce,itsclosclinbwiththeIPCC,adwithathcrrtl~programmw,UNEPis well placad to support the firrtba dcvclopmcnt of mdbods and thc imprwaacnt of tbe "IPCC Ttchnical GuidtlincJ fbr kkcsshg CClLnatc Change Impads ad Adaptatimm through a set of dedicated, climate impads related carntry case studies.

Tbt objective of this project is to enable countries to develop and ovry out studies of tbe possl'ble socio- d c a n d 1 i m p a c t s o f c t i m a t e d u n p L t o i ~ p a r t i ~ y ~ l c a r c a s a n d s c d o ~ ~ , and to elaborate integratad and appropriate plans fir adapmion to ctimatc c h g c , as rapired under the

14-

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.htemadea(i411~a.lbir~pm~sslll~~to~thteoopcntimandsslllanbh'~ ~ s h r d y p r o g ~ t o ~ t i u o o g h ~ ~ ~ w r a t i v e w r k o a ~ l o g i d ~ , c s p o c i a l l y in the fiJd ofawssiq impads ofclimate change and q a w .

A ampdive rnalygis of relevant climatt impacts studies canicd out by various p- and ~~~~bcdartat~beginniasoftbcpmjodThiswilliocludc~cs~cbastbtcarntryirtuCty p ~ o f t b c A s i a n ~ ~ ~ t b G u s C O l m h y s t u d i e s P r o g r a m m c , a n d t b c U N E P s t u d i c s Qatuadcrtbc~koftbcRtgidSeasProgrammGandtbcWCIRP.ThisPnaysiswillfioatsmtbG impads ofsucbstudiesozltbcpticyaaddecis im~proctssofGaichofthe~ci~ &a and of tbc mctbods applid

County Sekction

Thc countries participating in this country case studicr progmilc will represcat a broad raage of E&on such as tbe major biogeographical rcgicms, sociaemortic stmcturcs and cultud bdcgmmb. 'Ibc scl~mof~wilIbtbasedoatbcdtocnsurcancquiCable~hicbalaact,andtbGdto cnsurc a r e p d m mix of d e s including cimidtration of Eictors such as, s h , type of c a m m y , biogeugraphical region, land use and specific vulnerability to climatic mats. Idtally tea couatries an D#dcd to ensure fully-npmattative amrage. .The case studies progtammc will be carried out in two p h a s e s . P h a s e ~ ~ ~ ' b o d i r r t h i s p m j a d , w i l l ~ w i t h f w ~ t r i e s , w h i c h h a v t a k t a d y s o m c ~~withclim?rtr?impact~esandwbcrcaccrtainamountof~datad~:i~~~tifictcchnical capacity arc available.

Phase IIwuntrycasestudies will &rtaftcrsucccssfutimpW~ofPhasc I and as sooaas d c i c n t funds anavaihbletocanyout addit id country case studies. It wilI involve couatries which have less cxperiam in climate related couDtry studies and which arc k l y to need more tim for tkir intend P"?=-YP"==.

UNEP had &ttsuhtiorn. with a number of pmpcdvc countries to ddaminc their intmst and w i h p c w to be involved in the -try case studies. Requests fbr assistance on studies of vulncrabii to climate change received directly by UNEP or through CC:INFO wcrc also takcn into consideration. Antigua and Barbuda, &en* Bcain, Bangladts4 Camerooa, Costa Rica, Cuba, Ecuador, Estwia, Ethiopia, Lithuania, Pakistaa, Setlcga, Uganda, UAxkktm d V d bavc submitted f o n d quests to participate in the country cast study programme. Experts h r n most of these @cs participated in the 1993 prc-pmjact workshop. Some of tbse quests wcrc already submittai in mid 1993 and stveral of t&se countries have meanwhile raceived fids fbr clima!c impad studies from o t k sources such as b i i r a l programmes or UNDP.

' I b e s t l ~ m o f P h s s c I ~ u w a s r n a d e b a s a d ~ t b c ~ o o a t i m r i n g ~ o f t b e ~ t o participate in tbc country shrdy programme, taking into ooasidaafioa asptds such as studica h a n a d through otkr sourcts, availability of som in axmy q d s c a d trcpcricncc in climate nbted studies and thcndto~arcprsGntativemtcof~~~.Itwasdcbdadtosclcc~oaccarntryfirom~ofthc fbur regioas, eligible for GEF fbdbg Mca, Mi Latin Amaica, and Eastcm Europe. Antigua and Barbuda, Cammm, Esbnia, and Pakistan will participate in Phase I of tbc prog~ammc.

Caudcs which had c x p d intcrst in participating in tbc UNEP country study p~~~ but have ~ e l # X i d f U n d s ~ o t b c r s o u r e e s t o c a r r y a u t ~ a n d a d a p t a t i m ~ u a s w e ~ r u a t b e r ~~CanyingautshrdicaonvulnaabilitytoclimatcchangeartinvitedtoopopcratewithUNEPon

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~ & d u p c c r . ' ~ b i r w i l l ~ ~ l y m ~ ~ t o ~ ~ ~ d o d ~ o ~ d r y ~ r ; i t b a climate bpacts canparent such as the camtry s h u h planned in Argeotina, Costa Rica, Ethiopia, Uganda and the Maldives. Joint wtksbqs with tbcse carntrics and otkx comtim carrying out chm!c impact ~ & v r r r i a r s d b a p ~ o g r a n r m c s a r e p ~ t o c w s i d e r ~ I o g i d ~ . ~ w a y s d s h a r i n g t b ~ ~ i n ~ ~ o f t b c a m f r y ~ ~ ~ , s u c h a s e x c h a n g t o f ~ a D d ~ Prnagtk-

. . providing ta9mial SSdiSfSlllOG will be QCPIOC~~ in tb O O U ~ ~ C ofthe i m p M m of the m v c projects. Close ampcm!ia~ will also be cstablisbal with atba ongoing UNDP projads a d ambling advitics.

Tbt cumtry studies will fillow thc g d hmcwoxic provided by tfrc "IPCC Technical Guidelines for Asstssing Climate Changc hpacts and Adaptatioas". Tbc gui&iaw provide an analytical artlinc that

' comprisesawmbaofstcps:

(1) Dcfkitia~ ofthe problein; (2) Stlactiaaoftbcmcchod; (3) Testingtbcmdbod; (4) SclcctiaI ofscamri05; (5) Assessaent of biophysical lad sot-c impacts; (6) &scmn& of aubamom adjustmats; (7) IArrntificaticm and evaluatiorl of adaptatioo !?htcgies.

A range of mctt~& u W e d at cad step. Tbt IPCC Guidelines give just a geacral dcscriptioa of the approacbs and methods, thus instructicms cm tbcir applidoa are mccwuy. Tbtsc imtmctioa highlight tbc following issues and artas:

(a) DchitiCms of - thc goah of the ass- - tbc study arca a d the exposure unit; - timcb0riUrafbrthetbedy;and o datanocdsanddataavdability.

Application of mdhods for v such as - -oa; - knpad projections, such as biophysical, ocaomic and iDtegratcd systems models; - empirical analog studies, rmch as historical event analogies, historical trend analysis, and rcgidanalogics f b r p w a n d futun climar,

0 tbttsting0ftkmdbodsin~'bilitystudics; - data acquisition and canpilatioa; and 0 modcltcsting.

Selcctioa and application of scararios iacauding o establishmmt of tb present day M o a ; o scktim o f t i m b h and evlluatioa of limas ofpredictability d o o m p a n b ~ , - pmjacti011 of ' glandsociouxnxmictrcndsintbabsawxofclimatc~;

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March

JdyIAug Final n a t i d wdsbop in cach country fix the country team Pad tbt btitulirn providingtrehnical~pol icymaGrnPaddbcr~asapprapriatctodisarss tbcintcgrnticmoftkresultsoftkstudyintotbcaatidrtspwscstratcgy.

~ d w o r l c n b a p o f ~ h c o u n t r y t c a m s , I P C C e r r p t r ~ s a n d e x p t r t s ~ r m a t b a c a u n t r y s t u d y t c a m s t o d i s c u s s ~ o a s f b r ~ f u r t h e r i m p ~ o f mthoas and guicklks.

N w Country study reports and h a l project report available.

exprtsjiom other country study team to participate ar appropriate

'Zbc total &hated costs of this project arc US S 2,000.000. Thc average estimated costs per country study will be betweGa US S 300.000 ad 400.000. Funds will be provided as a grant limn GEF to thc governments of Aatigua d Barbuda, Came- Estonia and Pakistan, which will tbea trsrnsfk tk fuads to tbc institutioasdtsignatcdbytkgovcromenttocarryouttbccountrycascstudics. USS 240.000anraquired for technical assistance to the country teams and fix mctbodology work. USS 250.000 will be spcnt for ~ r k s b o p s ~ s t b a i n g g r o u ~ ~ .

'Ibc~ozsc~eswillbecarricdautin~dtvcloping~~adinooccauntrywithaaccoaomy in traasitim. Countries with #.aoomics in transitim arc eligible to receive GEF firads outside tbe Financial Machanism of tbc UNFCCC. According to tk workplan submitkd by the go- of Estoaia the amount of fuDds which will be spent under this project outside the F i i a l Machanism of the UNFCCC is USS 320.000.

For reasons of methodology dcvtlopmcrd and rdkmcut a broad pgraphical camage of the amtty case studies is maM. Tbcnforc a saowd phase of m u t r y case studies is p land. A counterpart contribution for additional anmtxy case studies of DICK 6,000.000 have bem pledged by the cimammt of Denmark mcotly. A cuntribution of SFR 40.000 has bam rmcival fiom tbc Govanmcnt of Switocrland.

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Tbe project will be implaxmtal by UNEP as an h t m a l project. A project w-oxdhtor will be A2pigmtcd to abhkkr the proje to provide the nccewy linkages bCfWbeLl UNEP, tbc IPCC expert group, participating couIltrics a d otha d m orgdzaiioas, to distribute @&by and associatad tahical materials, workboob, sofhaxe dc. suitable fix appli& nationally and to assist in tbe OL-M of umkhps ad m d i q s . Tbe projcd ooordinator will also auurc tbe nuxssaq coordinaliori with associated UNEPprognrmmcssuchrstbcWCIRP,the~dSarsProgramme,andWCC.

A Steering Graup will be de@ukd, coasisting of r e p ~ v c s from UNEP, UNDP, tbc GEF Scmhrht , tbcUNFcCCIntaimSaactariaf'dotfrerrclcvPntwbodiu,d~fir#1tbcIPCC;tbcScicntific Advisory Committae (SAC) ofthe WCIRP, s c i d Witutions providing technical assistance a d h n IiWraI ccnmtry shdy programmes:

E o c b ~ c u c l b r d y w i n b e s s n i d o u t b y a ~ t a m d n p c r ~ ~ d d m n t ~ ~ r r dcsi~bytbcgovcmment.ExistingdatanbtadtocIimatcvariabilityandtbcvulncrabilitydtbc cavironmcnt sad society to cfimafic events, as well u p r o k s i d and support pvsonntl fiom participabiag cauntrieswillbcnrr#yryiapUtS.

Contrads with compdcnt s c i d c institutioa~ or ooasuhants will be arranged to provide tbchnioll assistance tothe~~~irrvolvedintbccountrycasestudiesaadtoprovi&tbeovtrallguidanctwithrespacttotbc ~ctaskdtcstiaggui&~aadmdhods.Institutioaswithanintcmatidyrccognizcd~~in climate impacts studies such as tbe Internatid Institute for Applied Systans Analysis, Austria ( M A ) ; tk Iastitutc fbr Eaviroamental Studies' at F m University Amsterdam; tbc National C h t t r for Atmospheric Rmcad (En- aad Societal Impads Group) Boulder, Colorado; the Center f i r inkmatid Chute and Energy Research - Oslo (CICERO), Nonvas the Asian Institute for Technology; and tbe Pdsdam Institute for Ctimatc Impacts Rescad, Gtrmany will be invited to tcndcr their proposals. T k "IPCC Technical Gui&lhs for hcss ing Climate Change Impacts and Adaptation" and tbc handbook onmtthods~chis~tly~ingdtvelopbdbyUNEPwill~tmasguidaacctocarryouttbc~~~~trycasc studies. A wr.atinuous inkradon bcbwa the IPCC expert group and the experts that arc involvcd in the country case studits will be naxssq to camre that the expcricncc from the application of the guidelines in the awtq context can be incorporated in tbc furtkr rcfiDancnt of tbe guidtlincs. Regular medings and w o ~ s h a l l p r w i d e t h e ~ r t c f o r t h i s ~ c m .

. . Fkagmmg that there arc scvtral climate cwatry study initiatives under way, o tpnkai and fitoded bilaterally or by intendona1 organizations, working relations with t k Qoors, orpnkdons and tbc camtries participating in t . programmes will be cstablisbcd iu orckr to aim fbr the applicatim of c o a r i s t c n t a p p ~ a d m d h o d s a a d t o t x c h a n g t i n f o d m a b o u t t b c ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ d i f f i ~ e s ~inthecauseofcarry ingautc l imat t impadsandadaptat io11~~s tudies .

Th:"IPCCT~ollGui&~~AsscssingClimateChangeImpactoand~~~~"arcpartof~ IPCC Spacia Report to tbe fiirst Chhmcc of tbc Parties to the UNFCCC and may be mxmmdd orr a prchnbry basis as guidclks for the dtvtlopmcnt of national programmw. Thc main task of tbc cwntry casestudies istofurtbcrtheuadcrstandingof~tsofc~changeimpads andadapb!ioosandto

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'Ibeprojadwill~lish~~of~dtrq#tstoarryarttbecamtrycasertudies.'Ibesc tcamswillworkind~~~~anwith~natioaal~riticsd~asappropriatc.'Ibcywill caapcratc with t h e dwpd with tbc firmulatim a d imphatafim of tbc natimal programmes rapid utdcrtb UNFCCC.

Tbc workshops p l a d uada this project and tbe #on with other a n u d ~ ~ studies p~~ wiU h a tbc dhmh i i oa of improved methods f ir assessing climate changt impacts and adaptations, 00~1tn'bute to capacity bddiq , a d provi& an important "put for the further development of speci.6~ training prog- oa mdhods. Thcst worksbops will also provi& a basis to Editah cooptration of countries in pnparing for adaptation, as required under the W C C C .

'Ibc outputs ofthis project will cuxtribute to future stdies of the impacts of climate change and possible adapkiiaa options carried out citkr with GEF fhds or with f h d s h n tbc rtspcctive country. The mh&logit9 dcvdopcd and dined in tbe of this project will be applicable to these future studies and ~ i l i t a t c t b c i r i m p 1 ~ a ~ T b c t c a m s o f ~ c x p a t s fimrcouatricsparticipatinginthisprojactmay be called u p to provide trainiag a d assistance to other developing anmtq Partics which are planning climatcknpacrsstudies.

No universal risks are involved in the projod.

Tbc project will provide a set of tools f i r anmtricovatries to asscss tbe impacts of climate change; the specific vulnerability of particular sectors a d w h i c a l anas to climatic events; and to evaluate approptiak adaptation slrategies. Cwatrits using thtse tools will be able to identify appropriate adaptation measur# that will be intcgrakd into susCainable ckvclopmmt policies and plans. Thc availability of improved mctbods and guidelines and the cxpuim~~ g b d by national experts in this projad will ficilitate tbc dmlopmtnt of other country-driven projects and strattgics. Rislcs and unctrtainties rcgadng prepamtion for adaptation to the adverse effcds of rapid climatc change will be reduced. Tk r c s u b q improved undcrstaDding of vulnerability to climatic cvcots d of the possible impacts of climate change will be an important input to long tenn iwstmcnt planuing such as irrigatiaa scbancs, coastal prutec&ioa, a d hydrogowa scbancs, as well as for agriculture and forestry policies.

' I b e ~ c a s c ~ t 9 ~ a d o u t u a d c r t h i s p r o j c c t w i l l a t s o p m v i & a n i m p o ~ i a p u t t o t b c d d conununicatioa to be prepared in accord- with tbc unAn tbC UNFCCC of tbe ~ V E

&ts.

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BUDGET

BUDGETITEM

calmtry-& natidwo-

c a l m b r s ( U a s s i s t a D c c t o m )

Carsultants(mtbods& sptcific upp port) -- Stbcr inghp & Participation in otkr ~0-s

Pmj- Coo* UNEP

Travel

-mi!- Evaluatioa

Commnrlicariw

TOTAL

1995

700,000

100,000

30,000

w)oo

~ ~ , c @ o

10,000

woo 935,000

1996

700,000

100,000

10,000

125,000

25,000

35,000

=,000

15,000

15,000

10,000

u'0o

1,065,000

TOTAL

~ , ~ , 0 0 0

200,000

400

125,000

50,000

75,000

50,000

15,000

10,000

10,000

2,m,000

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COUNTRY ~ A S E ~ T U D I E B O N ~ T E ~ C E ~ A C I ' S AND ADAPTATIONS

Tbe project has a very hprbnt gaal, but it needs more elaboration rqadhg the mampjmt steps in project dewlap- docatiaa of ~ h t b t i d r q o m i i i and iattrnatioaal review of tbe finrlina. ' T b Dbtd fbr i n t m d d wonhation of a climate impacts project was anphasizcd and it was mammdcd that tk project be implanentbd as part of tbe World C l b Impad and Rtspansc Stmkgies Programme W'CJRp).

On country sclcdioq tbc Ilccd to have wuntzics with diffkrcot mi-c conditions and clima!cs was rcanphasized. ItwasracanmeDdedthatanistaadstatcpalticipateintbecasestlldies. Tkncadfbrcltar guidaaceoa~1ogical~ , tspacia l lyoascenar ioseladionwassfmsai . T h i s ~ w a s a s o raised by STAP. l'k technical rcvicw proposed that the -rial of adaptation measures to mitigate climate changt bc examid. 'Ibt rationale for UNEP acting as programme manager needs clarification, and possible parbxrs fbr project implanentatioa were proposad.

- malcc tbc project a part of the WCIRP; - establish a review procadurc with experts outside UNEP, whid includes tk Scientific Advisory Gmdtke (SAC) of WCIRP, to carry out a mid-tcnn revim and a review at the ad of the project; - tbc payment to countries must dcpeDd on tbe contribution given by countries t h d v c s ; - tbc selection of -0s has to involve experts of climate diaguostics and climate modelling.

AGENCY RESPONSE

Tk project document prcsentbd to the GEF Council reflects tbc suggcstioas and recommcndatioas raised intbttbchnicalreview. 'IkprojectwiIlbcimplanentsdaspartoftkWCIRP. EjrptrtsfromSACas well as other cldcrna uqmts will form a St- Group to provide guidance on project implantotation and tvaluatioa. Tbe Dccd for oountry contributions, tbe rolc of country teams and institutions providing technical assistance, as well as the inwlvemmt of IPCC and otbcr experts in tbe stladion of metbods and scenarios arc sjtclkd out mort c l d y . The speci6c d b u t i o a of each owntry will be ddenniDbd on a casc-by-casc beis, taking fuUy into wnsi&ra!ioa tk cunmcnts of& rcvimtr. Tbc selected amtries arc ooe fkm tach of tbc four e a r s eligible for GEF fuDdiag - M c a , Asia, Latin America and Eastern Europe-and~rcprcscntdi&reatclimatcsandsoci~cooaditioos. Orreislaodcountrywill participate in lhc amthy case studies. Following the &ion of GEFOP, tk training campoaeat will bc dcnlopod at a later stage.


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