10
Work Programme and where next for welfare to work? Kris Krasnowski Director for London, Inclusion [email protected]. uk
Work Programme and where next for welfare to
work?Kris Krasnowski
Director for London, [email protected]
Rich source of information and data on London labour market @ City, Sub-regional and borough level.
Quarterly summary of trends and Annual London Story (due on 10 December)
Visit us @ http://lseo.org.uk/
Work Programme in London
What to expect on 27th November...
Diminishing GDP forecasts...
Source: Office for Budget Responsibility
...and job outcomes that follow GDP...
Source: Inclusion. Analysis of DWP and ONS data
Should lead to lower performance...Stupid!
Expectation that economic malaise will impact on Work Programme job outcomes
Suggests greater agility required in modelling to compensate for impact of changing GDP on performance
Will Work Programme step up to the challenge of vLTU or inactive?
Debatable...
Tougher labour market pushes most disadvantaged further back...
Bread and butter for primes has always been JSA – are existing models capable?
WCA potentially undermining interventions?
Still issues with voluntary referrals via random assignment
Where next for welfare to work?
Competition on performance or price?Local vs. Nationally designed
programmes?UC and in-work conditionality is a
game changer......We are advocating an extension of
mutual obligations to low paid/in-work claimants
Conditions for a better jobs programme?
Join the LSEO for a Work Programme debate
December 2012Date and venue TBC
Visit: http://lseo.org.uk/
