Ali MADANI
Phone: + 33 1 47 78 46 00
Worldwide orthopaedic
market and the Contract
Manufacturing
April 3rd 2013
Ali MADANI Phone: + 33 1 47 78 46 00
2
Worldwide orthopaedic
market and the contract
manufacturing
Table of contents
Worldwide orthopaedic market: dynamics, competition, drivers… Worldwide orthopaedic markets in 2012: hip, knee, trauma, spine, others…
The Worldwide Orthopaedic Market: growth
Worldwide Orthopaedic Market in 2012: competition
Worldwide Orthopaedic Market dynamics
European Orthopaedic Market
Drivers and limiters of the market
Growth forecasts by 2017
Worldwide Orthopaedic Contract Manufacturing II.1. The value chain
II.2. Level of the Contract Manufacturing by type of OEM
II.3. Orthopaedic Contract Manufacturing market
II.4. Contract Manufacturing: competition
II.5. Trends
Take home messages
I
II
III
Ali MADANI Phone: + 33 1 47 78 46 00
3
Worldwide orthopaedic
market and the contract
manufacturing
Worldwide orthopaedic markets in 2012:
~34.5 B$ (+4.5%)
Source: Avicenne research & analysis 2013
18%
22%
4% 23%
17%
13%
2% HIP
KNEE
EXTREMITIES
SPINE
TRAUMA
ORTHOBIOLOGICS
OTHERS
KNEE
7.7 B$ +4.5%
Hip
6.2 B$ +1.5%
SPINE
8 B$ +4%
Ali MADANI Phone: + 33 1 47 78 46 00
4
Worldwide orthopaedic
market and the contract
manufacturing
The Worldwide orthopaedic market: growth
Source: Avicenne research & analysis 2013
2000 - 2010 CAGR 2010 - 2011 Growth 2011 - 2012 Growth
10,4%
13,3%
11,5%
11,4%
0% 5% 10% 15%
HIP
KNEE
SPINE
AVERAGE TotalOrtho
3,0%
5,0%
4,0%
4,9%
0% 2% 4% 6%
HIP
KNEE
SPINE
AVERAGE TotalOrtho
1,5%
4,5%
4,0%
4,5%
0% 2% 4% 6%
HIP
KNEE
SPINE
AVERAGE TotalOrtho
Ali MADANI Phone: + 33 1 47 78 46 00
5
Worldwide orthopaedic
market and the contract
manufacturing
Worldwide implants market in 2012
in value (B$)
Market value (B$)
Source: Avicenne research & analysis 2013
7,7
6,2
8,0
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Knee Hip Spine
55% 23%
22%
Row USA
Europe
54% 23%
23%
Row USA
Europe
76%
13% 11%
Row
USA
Europe
+4.5%
+1.5%
+4%
% Growth 2011-2012
Ali MADANI Phone: + 33 1 47 78 46 00
6
Worldwide orthopaedic
market and the contract
manufacturing
Worldwide implants & Orthobiologic market
in 2012 in value (B$)
Market value (B$)
Source: Avicenne research & analysis 2013
6,2 4,5
1,5 0
2
4
6
8
Trauma & CMF Orthobiologics Extremities
56% 29%
15% Row USA
Europe
70%
21%
9% Row USA
Europe
61% 24%
15%
Row USA
Europe
+6%
+6%
+8%
% Growth 2011-2012
Ali MADANI Phone: + 33 1 47 78 46 00
7
Worldwide orthopaedic
market and the contract
manufacturing
European implants market in 2012
in value (M€)
Market value (M€)
Source: Avicenne research & analysis 2013
1 150 1 300
140 0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
Hip Knee Shoulder
% Growth 2011-2012
11%
24%
21% 13%
12%
19% Germany
UK Italy
Spain
Others France
17%
24%
18%
16%
7% 18% Germany
UK
Italy
Spain
Others France
+2.7% +5.1%
+8.3%
18%
28% 10% 11%
6%
27%
Germany
UK Italy
Spain
Others France
Ali MADANI Phone: + 33 1 47 78 46 00
8
Worldwide orthopaedic
market and the contract
manufacturing
Worldwide orthopaedic market in 2012:
competition
2012 Worldwide Orthopaedic
Market
Source: Avicenne research & analysis 2013
2012 revenues of the Major
Orthopaedic Companies (B$)
Depuy-Synthes
21%
Zimmer 11%
Stryker 14%
Medtronic 10%
Biomet 6%
Smith & Neph
6%
Others 32%
2,0
2,2
3,9
3,3
4,7
7,4
0 10 20
Smith & Nephew
Biomet
Zimmer
Medtronic
Stryker
Depuy-Synthes
Orthopaedic products 2012
Other Medical devices 2012
Ali MADANI Phone: + 33 1 47 78 46 00
9
Worldwide orthopaedic
market and the contract
manufacturing
The challengers gained market shares
Source: Avicenne research & analysis 2013
2011 challengers
2012 challengers
Hip
Knee
Spine
Trauma & CMF
Total Ortho
14%
14%
23%
21%
25% 31%
15%
16%
31%
31%
Ali MADANI Phone: + 33 1 47 78 46 00
10
Worldwide orthopaedic
market and the contract
manufacturing
Majors Vs Challengers: Majors save ranking
& Challengers the growth!
Source: annual company reports May 2012
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
18%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40%
WW
Ort
ho
20
11
mar
ket
shar
es
(%)
Revenues CAGR 2009-2011 (%)
Legende
500 M $
Ali MADANI Phone: + 33 1 47 78 46 00
11
Worldwide orthopaedic
market and the contract
manufacturing
Challengers growing Vs majors
Source: Avicenne research & analysis 2013
Majors Challengers
Product standardization Multiplication of customized
Product range reduction Product range Extension
Sale channels cost cutting Attracting new sale forces
More centralized services Local and high level services
Ali MADANI Phone: + 33 1 47 78 46 00
12
Worldwide orthopaedic
market and the contract
manufacturing
European hip, knee & shoulder markets
Source: Avicenne research & analysis 2013
HIP KNEE SHOULDER
European Market 2012 in M€ - 14 countries
1 150 M€ 23% of WW
market
1 300 M€ 23% of WW
market
140 M€ 20% of WW
market
Growth per year 2011/2012
+2.7% +5.1% +8.3%
Europe
Ali MADANI Phone: + 33 1 47 78 46 00
13
Worldwide orthopaedic
market and the contract
manufacturing
Market Drivers
Source: Avicenne research & analysis 2013
Demographic & Economic
Impact 1: Population
Impact 2: Inhabitants > 65 years
Impact 3: Health expenses
Impact 4: Obesity
New products & innovation and revision
Impact 1: Mix Product impact
Ali MADANI Phone: + 33 1 47 78 46 00
14
Worldwide orthopaedic
market and the contract
manufacturing
Drivers & limiters: Population ageing and product mix evolution have been the major
historical drivers. Going forward, they should remain the major
growth contributors
Source: Avicenne research & analysis 2013
Driver Argument Impact
Past Future
Price
Price
Reimbursement trends, Competition, clients pressure and public/private mix lead to some price decrease
- - -
Product mix
Materials The increasing use of higher technology implants (ceramic combinations, cementless products) has a positive impact on the product mix + +
Fixation
New products, new kinematics, new surgeries, new materials & new instruments
New products, new surgical approaches, new ancillaries and instruments increase the product mix ++ ++
Ali MADANI Phone: + 33 1 47 78 46 00
15
Worldwide orthopaedic
market and the contract
manufacturing
Product Mix pulls the market
Substitution of cemented by cementless or hybrid products should continue with a positive mix impact: example of hip in Italy (% of THP in volume)
Source: European Orthopaedic Market 2012-2017, Avicenne report
% of Mobile cup in partial hip implants in Italy: mobile cup price is more than two times higher than the standard partial hip
11% 7%
74% 83%
15% 10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%20
03
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
Cemented Cementless Hybrid
35%
65%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
200
4
200
5
200
6
200
7
200
8
200
9
201
0
201
1
201
2
Ali MADANI Phone: + 33 1 47 78 46 00
16
Worldwide orthopaedic
market and the contract
manufacturing
Hip erosion price and the growth factors:
example of France
The volume & mix impact balancing price erosion
(*) Excluding currency growth impact
Source: European Orthopaedic Market 2012-2017, Avicenne report
2,5%
0,4%
-2,6%
0.3%
-3% -2% -1% 0% 1% 2% 3%
Compound annual Volume growth 2012/2017
Compound annual Mix product impact 2012/2017
Compound annual price erosion 2012/2017
Compound annual Value growth* 2012/2017
Volume growth is the main factor to balance the price
erosion. The hip mix growth factor is no more a
leading factor
1
2
3
Ali MADANI Phone: + 33 1 47 78 46 00
17
Worldwide orthopaedic
market and the contract
manufacturing
The market limiters
Source: Avicenne research & analysis 2013
Reimbursement Impact 1: Price decrease
Impact 2: Longer Time to market
Buying Groups
Impact 1: Price decrease
Impact 2: More Low-end products demand
Certification Impact 1: Time to market
Impact 2: Higher development Cost
Ali MADANI Phone: + 33 1 47 78 46 00
18
Worldwide orthopaedic
market and the contract
manufacturing
The orthopaedic sale channels
Three main sale channels co-existing, buying groups dominating
in some countries
Source: Avicenne research & analysis 2013
Sales representative
« company » employees
Less expensive than other channels
Positive effect to push the « company» sales strategy
Negative impact for “company "working capital
Agents
Commercial interface with the surgeon
Very strong relationship between agent & surgeon
Do not buy stocks and instruments
Do not invoice the clinics & hospitals
Gain commission (% of sales)
Negative impact for “company” working capital
Distributors
Buy stocks and instruments
Discount on catalogue prices (-30% to -40%)
Invoice the clinics and hospitals
Positive impact for “company” working capital
Ali MADANI Phone: + 33 1 47 78 46 00
19
Worldwide orthopaedic
market and the contract
manufacturing
The market limiters
Group purchasing developments in Germany drove the implant
prices down… It now serves as a model in lot of other European
countries
Source: Avicenne research & analysis 2013
Group purchasing was a success in
Germany…
For example the basic knee (fixed tibial plate - cemented) is priced at 1 350 €, for some tenders Depuy proposed 900 € for this basic product. Zimmer had in his customer portfolio the “Endoclinic and DAM Group” for 4 hospitals, with 10 000 knee and hip sales per year! Average price for the knee for this customer is much less than 1 000 €.
…it was much less successful in France and Italy
Some private hospital groups in France like “Vitalia or Générale de Santé” are trying to centralize their implant purchasing, but it is only the beginning. The discounted price was only a few % lower and those hospitals have to share these savings with the “French Caisse d’Assurance Maladie”. The surgeon name reputation is considered as product marketing showcase of the private hospitals, which are making what is necessary to keep their surgeons. Hence they are not focusing on implants price reduction. In Italy, purchasing groups make less than 10% of the total orthopaedic market value per year and growing slowly.
Ali MADANI Phone: + 33 1 47 78 46 00
20
Worldwide orthopaedic
market and the contract
manufacturing
Worldwide Orthopaedic Contract
Manufacturing
Orthopaedic Contract Manufacturing market
Contract Manufacturing market value chain
Orthopaedic Contract Manufacturing rates
Contract Manufacturing market
Competition & Size
Heavy trends
II
Ali MADANI Phone: + 33 1 47 78 46 00
21
Worldwide orthopaedic
market and the contract
manufacturing
Contract manufacturing market value chain
Hospitals &
Clinics
Orthopaedic companies
OEM
Revenues in 2012:
34.5 B$
6 majors Few 100 challengers
Implants
1.7 B$
Instruments
1.0 B$
Cases & Trays
0.4 B$
Co
ntr
act
M
anu
fact
ure
rs
Ali MADANI Phone: + 33 1 47 78 46 00
22
Worldwide orthopaedic
market and the contract
manufacturing
Orthopaedic Contract Manufacturing rates
Contract Manufacturing rate
for IMPLANTS
MPS: Marking-Packaging-Sterilization
Source: Avicenne research & analysis 2013
Contract Manufacturing rate
for INSTRUMENTS
HIGH
HIGH
LOW
LOW
HIGH
ALMOST 100%
MEDIUM
0 2 4 6
Forging
Casting
Machining
Finishing
Coating
Sintering
MPS
Contract Manufacturing Rate
VERY HIGH
VERY HIGH
VERY HIGH
VERY HIGH
HIGH
2,2 2,4 2,6 2,8 3 3,2
Forging
Casting
Machining
Finishing
MPS
Contract Manufacturing Rate
Ali MADANI Phone: + 33 1 47 78 46 00
23
Worldwide orthopaedic
market and the contract
manufacturing
Contract Manufacturing market:2005-2012
3 Billion US$ in 2012
Contract Manufacturing market showing a cycle (M$)
Source: Avicenne research & analysis 2013
715 805 905 1005 880 930 1000 970
295 325
360 400
350 370 390 378
950 1065
1200 1345
1400 1480
1600 1664
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Instruments Cases & trays Implants
CAGR : 6.3 %
Ali MADANI Phone: + 33 1 47 78 46 00
24
Worldwide orthopaedic
market and the contract
manufacturing
The Orthopaedic suppliers are relatively small,
compared to OEM
Major OEM revenues: M US$
Source: Avicenne research & analysis 2013
Contract manufacturers
revenues: M US$
0 100 200 300 400 500
2,0
2,2
3,9
3,3
4,7
7,4
0 5 10 15 20
Smith & Nephew
Biomet
Zimmer
Medtronic
Stryker
Depuy-Synthes X 10
X 100
Ali MADANI Phone: + 33 1 47 78 46 00
25
Worldwide orthopaedic
market and the contract
manufacturing
How an OEM chooses its Contract
Manufacturers: what are the main criterias?
Majors: criterias to choose its
Contract Manufacturers in
instruments
Source: Avicenne research & analysis 2013
Challengers: criterias to
choose its Contract
Manufacturers in instruments
0
5
10
15
20
Level ofquality
Design andconception
services
Co-industrializ
ation
Productioncapacity
Price
Delay &Services
Customizedinstrument
services
Specificskills &
know how
0
5
10
15
20
Level ofquality
Design andconception
services
Co-industrializ
ation
Productioncapacity
Price
Delay &Services
Customizedinstrument
services
Specificskills &
know how
Level of quality: 1- finishing & adjustment 2–esthetic 3- simplicity 4- hand held
Co-industrialization: re-thinking production process and functional sizing
Ali MADANI Phone: + 33 1 47 78 46 00
26
Worldwide orthopaedic
market and the contract
manufacturing
Heavy trends: Majors OEM are waiting for strategic partnerships and long term
collaboration to outsource more and more
OEM are looking for Contract Manufacturers who recognizing
mutual interdependency and targeting common goals
Source: Avicenne research & analysis 2013
Reliability
Robust supply Chain
Sharing risks
Long term Planning
Services
Common Improvements
Value added partnership
Strategic partnership
Long-term partnership
Ali MADANI Phone: + 33 1 47 78 46 00
27
Worldwide orthopaedic
market and the contract
manufacturing
Forecasts for the worldwide orthopaedic
market
Worldwide orthopaedic market: CAGR 2012/2017 de +7 %
Source: Avicenne research & analysis 2013
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
20
10
20
11
20
12
20
13
20
14
20
15
20
16
20
17
34.6
48.5 CAGR 2012-2017:
HIP: +4 %
KNEE: +7 %
EXTREMITIES: +14 %
SPINE: +8.0 %
TRAUMA: +6.0 %
ORTHOBIO.: +7.5 %
CAGR : 10.3%
CAGR : 7%
Ali MADANI Phone: + 33 1 47 78 46 00
28
Worldwide orthopaedic
market and the contract
manufacturing
The life cycle of the orthopaedic products:
growth forecasts by 2017
Hip and knee are more mature than extremities and spine
Source: Avicenne research & analysis 2013
1980 1990 2000
Mar
ket
Time
HIP CAGR 12-17: +4%
Mar
ket
Time
KNEE CAGR 12-17: +7%
Mar
ket
Time
SPINE CAGR 12-17: +8%
Entrance in the mass market M
arke
t
Time
EXTREMITIES CAGR 12-17: +14%
Ali MADANI Phone: + 33 1 47 78 46 00
29
Worldwide orthopaedic
market and the contract
manufacturing
Take home messages (1/2)
1. Worldwide orthopaedic market continues its growth with a CAGR of 7% by 2012 to 2017.
2. Highest growth for orthopaedic implants would be on those following markets: shoulders, extremities… and in countries like Japan, China, India, Brazil,...
3. The Challengers Vs Majors: usually a double digits growth for the dynamic challengers… Majors are losing market shares but maintain margin.
4. Concentration in the orthopaedic market is continuing: we predict more acquisitions and mergers.
5. Concentration in the Contract Manufacturing market is continuing: the target is the critical size to be able to supply more services, more production capacity, more quality services and share more risks…
6. Today OEM do not find a large range of offers from their Contract Manufacturers. As soon as the OEM find the right supplier he starts to outsource.
Worldwide orthopaedic
market and the contract
manufacturing
Ali MADANI Phone: + 33 1 47 78 46 00
30
Worldwide orthopaedic
market and the contract
manufacturing
Take home messages (2/2)
7. OEM and particularly Majors are waiting for extend partnerships with their suppliers: common product improvements, long term planning of developments and productions.
8. OEM looking for partners with robust supply chain.
9. Majors OEM sold their facilities to Contract Manufacturers, we are expecting this trend for the future.
10.If China is becoming the new investment place for manufacturing generic instruments in short and mid term, we do not think the main part of implants and customized instruments will switch from Europe or US to BRICS countries.
11.OEMs need structured suppliers ready to:
Deliver within shorter time frames and enable flexibility.
Be efficient in terms of less waste and thus reducing manufacturing costs.
Share with them more responsibility and risk concerning regulatory constraints.
Ali MADANI Phone: + 33 1 47 78 46 00
31
Worldwide orthopaedic
market and the contract
manufacturing
THANK you!
Ali MADANI Phone: + 33 1 47 78 46 00
32
Worldwide orthopaedic
market and the contract
manufacturing
Annexe: AVICENNE marketing reports
First publication in 1993
Yearly up-date
Hip, knee, shoulder
Based on +80 interviews
650 pages & 800 graphs detail the European Market in Germany, France, Italy, Spain, UK, and other countries
Available immediately
“European Orthopaedics Market”
April 2012 13rd edition
Première publication en 2000
Publication annuelle
Système universels, cages…
70 interviews d’acteurs dans le domaine du rachis
400 pages & 300 graphs détaillant le marché européen du rachis en Allemagne, UK, France, Italie, Espagne, Belgique et Suisse
Available immediately
Les 100 plus importants sous-traitants européens de l’orthopédie
Analyse détaillée par fiche individuelle
L’évolution des revenus sur plusieurs années, activités et savoir faire, principaux clients, principaux actionnaires, détails dans l’orthopédie…
Comparaison avec les sous-traitants majors américains
Available immediately
4 segments surveillés : hanche, genou, trauma et biomatériaux
Publication du bulletin de veille tous les 2 mois
50 brevets présentés par numéro de façon claire et avec schéma
Ces éléments permettent :
D’identifier les tendances en matière de R&D
De connaitre les choix technologiques du concurrent
Available immediately
“Trends, Developments & Dynamics of the European Spine Market”
Sept. 2011 6th edition
“European Orthopaedic Contract Manufacturing detailed analysis and Profiles”
Feb. 2012 edition
“Orthopaedic patent watch”
Yearly edition
Ali MADANI Phone: + 33 1 47 78 46 00
33
Worldwide orthopaedic
market and the contract
manufacturing
Orthopaedic Contract Manufacturing
competitor response: concentration by
acquisition
Greatbatch
1977 Unique Instruments
1992 Stealth Technologies
2001 HY-VAC
2003 Stro Met Inc
2004 Unique Design
2005 Bio-Vac
2005 Bio-Coat
2006 McDee
2007 Anzon
2007 Keller
2007 MPS
2008 Azary
1977 Wilson Greatbatch
1998 Hittman Materials
1998 Medical Components
2001 Sierra-KD
2002 Globe Tool
2002 Manufacturing
2004 NanoGram
2007 Biomec Inc
2007 Enpath Medical
2007 Intellisensing
2007 Ouan Emerteq
2007 EAC
2008 PRECIMED
2008 Depuy Facilities
Orchid
2006 Everest Metal
2007 Clamonta
2008 DePuy OEM Bedford
Facility
Symmetry
2007 TNCO
2003
Symmety
2003 Mettis Ortho
2006 Riley Medical
2007 SSI/UCA
Merger
Sandvik
2007 Doncasters
2007 JKB Medical Tech
2008 Medtronic Memphis
Facilities
2008 Eurocut
Lisi Medical
2007 Seignol
2007 Hugueny
2007 Jeropa USA
2010
Stryker Herouville Facilities
2008 INTERMED
2011 Surgical Instruments Codman & Shurtleff