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WWRP CASNEW PROJECTS Polar Prediction project – The Commission concurred with the Executive...

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WWRP CAS NEW PROJECTS Polar Prediction project – “The Commission concurred with the Executive Council Panel of Experts on Polar Observations, Research and Services on the requirement for effective collaboration and therefore recommended that any efforts to develop a future prediction system include outcomes from the IPY-THORPEX cluster of projects and from the planned THORPEX Legacy Project” Sub-seasonal to Seasonal Prediction – “….the Commission requested the JSCs of the WWRP and the WCRP and also the THORPEX ICSC to set up an appropriate collaborative structure to carry out an international research initiative on sub-seasonal to seasonal forecasting. It recommended that this is closely coordinated with the present existing CBS infrastructure for long-range forecasting (with centres producing long-range forecasts and regional climate centres) and with the future developments in WMO climate service delivery and the
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Page 1: WWRP CASNEW PROJECTS Polar Prediction project – The Commission concurred with the Executive Council Panel of Experts on Polar Observations, Research and.

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CAS NEW PROJECTSPolar Prediction project – “The Commission concurred with the Executive Council Panel of Experts on Polar Observations, Research and Services on the requirement for effective collaboration and therefore recommended that any efforts to develop a future prediction system include outcomes from the IPY-THORPEX cluster of projects and from the planned THORPEX Legacy Project”

Sub-seasonal to Seasonal Prediction – “….the Commission requested the JSCs of the WWRP and the WCRP and also the THORPEX ICSC to set up an appropriate collaborative structure to carry out an international research initiative on sub-seasonal to seasonal forecasting. It recommended that this is closely coordinated with the present existing CBS infrastructure for long-range forecasting (with centres producing long-range forecasts and regional climate centres) and with the future developments in WMO climate service delivery and the Global Framework for Climate Services called for in the High-Level Declaration of WCC-3.”

Page 2: WWRP CASNEW PROJECTS Polar Prediction project – The Commission concurred with the Executive Council Panel of Experts on Polar Observations, Research and.

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POLAR WORKSHOP Write up and publish the recommendations and presentations and provide to:

EC-PORS (October 2010)WGNE (October 2010)WCRP Bergen meeting (October 2010)WWRP/THORPEX/WCRP Seasonal Workshop (December 2010)WWRP/JSC (January 2011)WCRP/JSC (Late winter 2010/11)THORPEX ICSC (Spring 2011)WGNE Conference on ParametrizationWCRP Open Science Conference (2011)

Page 3: WWRP CASNEW PROJECTS Polar Prediction project – The Commission concurred with the Executive Council Panel of Experts on Polar Observations, Research and.

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Pieter Brueghel the Elder

POLAR PREDICTION RESEARCH

First source of inspiration

POLAR PREDICTION

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Page 5: WWRP CASNEW PROJECTS Polar Prediction project – The Commission concurred with the Executive Council Panel of Experts on Polar Observations, Research and.

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ECMWF DatabaseMay ‘08 – Apr ’10

(relevant not just to YOTC)

Research Focus MJO & Convectively Coupled

Equatorial WavesITCZ, Easterly Waves,TCsTrop-ExtraTrop Interaction

Monsoon Intraseasonal VariabilityDiurnal Cycle

International Collaboration and

Integration of Models and

Observations

Page 6: WWRP CASNEW PROJECTS Polar Prediction project – The Commission concurred with the Executive Council Panel of Experts on Polar Observations, Research and.

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This ‘observing system’ views the atmosphere in a variety of ways – each providing different information in a coincident way

The golden age of Earth observations A-TRAIN constellation of satellites “CloudSat” and “CALIPSO”

Page 7: WWRP CASNEW PROJECTS Polar Prediction project – The Commission concurred with the Executive Council Panel of Experts on Polar Observations, Research and.

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Jan Bruegel the Younger

POLAR PREDICTION RESEARCH

Second source of inspiration

Joint Project supported by WWRP, WCRP and THORPEX similar to the YOTC project?Project Office (at NCAR & funded by NSF & NOAA for YOTC for example – need volunteer)Steering Group? (size?)Implementation Plan? - utilizing the existing groups

Sub-projects (observations; modelling; ...........

Modus Operandi – workshops; science meetings ............Timetable ; Met services


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