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Wylie ISD: Where Are we Now

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Wylie ISD: Where Are We Now 2015-2016 SCHOOL YEAR
Transcript

Wylie ISD: Where

Are We Now2015-2016 SCHOOL YEAR

2

DISTRICT ENROLLMENT PROJECTIONS (PK-12)

Cumulative Growth – Moderate Scenario

3 Year = +1,356 (3.1% avg. annual growth)

5 Year = +2,119 (2.8% avg. annual growth)

10 Year = +3,773 (2.4% avg. annual growth)

Five new principals, new Assistant

Superintendent for C&I

31 new teaching positions

Convocation 2015

Welcome back!!!

CURRENT ENROLLMENT

Day 9 September 3, 2015

TOTAL

AKIN BIRM COX DODD GROVES HARTM SMITH TIBB WATKINS WHITT DaIS DrIS HIS BJHS CJHS MJHS WEHS WHS ACHIEVE JJAEP TOTAL

Early Enroll Speech / LEAP 11 0 2 0 0 25 0 5 2 45

BAU 0 5 6 2 2 15

Life Skills (Self Contained) 9 13 0 6 0 5 5 6 11 8 63

Transition to Life Program 5 5

PPCD (Early Childhood) 45 45

Pre-Kindergarten 61 88 149

PreK-Bilingual 35 35

Head Start 0 0

Kindergarten 92 89 118 105 124 72 105 126 101 102 1,034

First 101 106 137 111 120 65 93 122 132 107 1,094

Second 88 95 130 109 127 60 140 149 117 105 1,120

Third 86 105 137 123 133 36 132 119 123 139 1,133

Fourth 97 107 124 121 147 58 137 135 120 124 1,170

Fifth 363 461 341 1,165

Sixth 368 415 355 1,138

Seventh 342 408 348 1 1,099

Eighth 357 360 321 2 1,040

Ninth 548 659 16 1,223

Tenth 456 556 33 1,045

Eleventh 425 558 44 1,027

Twelfth 392 469 23 884

Thirteenth 0

Total 545 515 648 575 651 484 607 666 598 585 731 876 713 699 768 669 1,831 2,242 126 0 14,529

Projected 518 529 637 531 632 523 557 592 591 533 740 829 691 687 752 664 1,862 2,243 141 14,252

Difference 27 -14 11 44 19 -39 50 74 7 52 -9 47 22 12 16 5 -31 -1 -15 0

Keeping pace: WHS

Keeping pace: Cooper/Draper

Keeping pace: Shaffer Stadium

Keeping pace: Bush Elementary

Keeping pace: Bush Elementary

Technology

Keeping pace: What’s next?

Work will start soon at Davis and McMillan,

additional classrooms, tennis courts and

orchestra room

Harrison, Burnett and Hartman “refresh”

Wylie East HS IMPAC building

New digital marquees at all campuses

NO NEW CAMPUSES

How we know all this?

Demographics!!!

Key Highlights

20,852

56,74563,958

2000 2010 2015E

OVERALL POPULATION

7,039

18,164

20,322

0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000

TOTAL HOUSEHOLDS

2015E

2010

2000

2.95

3.12 3.14

2.80

2.90

3.00

3.10

3.20

2000 2010 2015E

AVERAGE HOUSEHOLD SIZE

0.0%

5.0%

10.0%

15.0%

20.0%

0 -

4

5 -

9

10

- 1

4

15

- 2

4

25

- 3

4

35

- 4

4

45

- 5

4

55

- 6

4

65

- 7

4

75

- 8

4

85

+

AGE DISTRIBUTION

2010

2015E

0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0%

<$15K$15K - $24K$25K - $34K$35K - $49K$50K - $74K$75K - $99K

$100K - $149K$150K - $199K

$200K+

HOUSEHOLD INCOME

13,278

14,391

12,500

13,000

13,500

14,000

14,500

2010 2015E

SCHOOL AGE POPULATION (AGE 5-17)

17

WYLIE ISD DEMOGRAPHICS PROFILE: 2015 UPDATE

Source: U.S. Census Bureau & Esri

WISD’s overall population is

estimated to have increased by

7,213 people since 2010 Census

(+12.7%)

WISD estimated to have added

2,158 new HH’s since 2010

(+11.9%)

WISD population and HH growth

rates mirror 2015 estimates for

Collin County

WISD’s median age has increased

to 33.4, and the avg. HH size has

climbed to 3.14; Collin County’s

2015 median age = 35.8 and avg.

HH size = 2.76

WISD student age population is

22.5% of total pop. (Collin Co. =

20.5%)

Student Age per HH in WISD =

0.71 vs. 0.57 in Collin Co.

59% of WISD HH’s earn more than

$75K per year (Collin Co. = 61%)

Median = $84,469

Median Age 2015 = 33.4

23.4% 22.5%

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

40,000

45,000

50,000

55,000

60,000

An

nu

al R

ate

Starts

Closings

Lot Deliveries

DFW NEW HOME MARKET: STARTS, CLOSINGS & LOT DELIVERIES

Start = Foundation started Closing = Visibly occupied

18

Year-Over-Year Change

Annual Starts +8.8%

Annual Closings +10.9%

Annual Starts: 25,878

Annual Closings: 22,565

19

WYLIE ISD

ANNUAL NEW HOME CONSTRUCTION

Annual Change

559 Starts: +43.7% (+170 homes)388 Closings: +17.6% (+58 homes)

Annual pace of new home starts is up 43.7% year-over-year to 559 homes

First time the annual pace has been over 500 units since 1Q09

District closings increase 17.6% year-over-year (highest annual total in 4 years)

Developers deliver almost 800 new lots in the district over the past 12 months

*Start = foundation started

Closing = visibly occupied

home

Rank District

Total Starts

3Q14-2Q15

Total Closings

3Q14-2Q15 ESC Region

1 Frisco 2,871 2,603 10

2 Denton 1,790 1,657 11

3 Prosper 1,721 1,421 10

4 Northwest 1,189 1,122 11

5 Keller 1,041 993 11

6 Lewisville 1,210 933 11

7 Eagle Mtn.-Saginaw 965 870 11

8 Rockwall 718 688 10

9 Little Elm 981 613 11

10 Allen 515 591 10

11 McKinney 530 583 10

12 Mansfield 605 491 11

13 Crowley 558 465 11

14 Plano 532 462 10

15 Forney 444 440 10

16 Midlothian 484 431 10

17 Garland 402 427 10

18 H.E.B. 430 408 11

19 Wylie 559 388 10

20 Burleson 434 359 11

20

DFW SCHOOL DISTRICT RANKINGS

BY NEW HOME CLOSINGS 3Q14-2Q15

• Wylie ISD moves up

to 11th in total

annual starts and 19th

in total annual

closings among 82

DFW school districts

1. Woodbridge (Sachse) 96 91 Whitt

2. Wylie Lakes 58 45 Akin

3. Kreymer Estates 47 42 Akin

4. Maxwell Creek North 37 40 Tibbals

5. Gables at North Hill 36 40 Tibbals

6. Parkwood Ranch 42 31 Whitt

7. Bozman Farms 51 28 Watkins

8. Braddock Place 40 23 Watkins

9. Seis Lagos 3 13 Smith

10. Parkside 58 11 Dodd

*Builders at Inspiration start 36 homes as of 6/30/15

21

WYLIE ISD TOP PRODUCING NEW HOME SUBDIVISIONS

Elementary

Zone

Total

Starts

3Q14-2Q15

Total

Closings

3Q14-2Q15

22

WYLIE ISD NEW HOME CONSTRUCTION ACTIVITY BY

ELEMENTARY ATTENDANCE ZONE

Whitt zone sees 31% of new home closings over the past 12 months,

remains the most active attendance zone followed by Akin and Tibbals

23

WYLIE ISD NEW HOME CONSTRUCTION ACTIVITY BY

INTERMEDIATE/JUNIOR HS ATTENDANCE ZONE

24

WYLIE ISD NEW HOME CONSTRUCTION ACTIVITY BY

HIGH SCHOOL ATTENDANCE ZONE

High School Enrollment

Campus2015-

16

2016-

17

2017-

18

2018-

19

2019-

20

2020-

21

Wylie HS

Student

Enrollment

2243 2336 2386 2391 2396 2400

Wylie East HS

Student

Enrollment

1838 1884 1956 2036 2123 2298

26

WYLIE ISD NEW HOME ACTIVITY BY PRICE RANGE

2Q15 Median Price = $356,710 15% increase over 2Q14

69% of new homes started

over the past year are located

in subdivisions with average

base pricing between $300K &

$500K

DFW Median New Home Price

= $297,215

27

WYLIE ISD

SF RESIDENTIAL LOT INVENTORY

BY ELEMENTARY ATTENDANCE ZONE

ATTENDANCE

ZONE

ANNUAL

STARTS

3Q14-2Q15

VACANT

DEVELOPED

LOTS

REMAINING

PLANNED

SINGLE

FAMILY

LOTS

PLANNED

MF UNITS

AKIN 105 38 845 0

BIRMINGHAM 2 15 104 158

COX 1 43 53 0

DODD 58 29 0 0

GROVES 21 55 0 0

HARTMAN 0 0 230 0

SMITH 44 203 1,275 252

TIBBALS 73 35 82 0

WATKINS 117 211 1,245 0

WHITT 138 220 248 0

TOTAL 559 849 4,082 410

Wylie ISD is a “Destination District”

as parents move into our

communities we serve to attend

our schools. As they come, we will

be ready to serve them, it’s the

Wylie Way!


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