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IR - 11 Feb 2015 1 11 February 2015 Yara International ASA Fourth quarter results 2014
Transcript

IR - 11 Feb 2015

1

11 February 2015

Yara International ASA

Fourth quarter results 2014

IR - 11 Feb 2015

2

Strong result driven by higher margins

Margins benefit from lower European gas prices and stronger US dollar

Continued volume and margin growth in Brazil

Further growth in Latin America with OFD and Galvani acquisitions

Proposed dividend NOK 13 per share, 47% of net income

Summary fourth quarter

IR - 11 Feb 2015

3

10.02

7.73

12.42 11.84

10.54 9.82

9.25

7.67

8.04

6.69

5.66

0.23

6.40

8.26

6.18 6.74

Earnings per share*

*Average number of shares for 4Q 2014: 275.8 million (4Q 2013: 277.2 million).

NOK 41.99 37.31 20.67 27.59

Annual 2011 2012 2013

EPS excluding currency and

special items

2014

IR - 11 Feb 2015

4

Strong returns through the cycle

14.1 % 14.4 % 14.1 %

16.1 %

22.8 %

8.5 %

17.4 %

20.9 %

17.3 %

12.6 % 13.3 %

2004 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14

Ex special items Long-term target

1) Cash Return on Gross Investment= (EBITDA-tax)/Gross accumulated investments

2) Net interest bearing debt / book value of equity end of period

CROGI1 (12 months rolling average)

IR - 11 Feb 2015

5

35%

12%

2011

23%

17%

6%

2010

19%

18%

1%

2009

41%

2014

53%

47%

6%

2013

64%

48%

16%

2012

47%

18%

30%

2005

48%

23%

25%

2004

32%

25%

7%

34%

6%

2008

21%

16%

5%

2007

26%

19%

7%

2006

48%

Proposed dividend NOK 13 per share

Dividends Share buy backs Target range 40-45%

Share of net income

IR - 11 Feb 2015

6

Continued strong fertilizer demand

Stable urea prices; continued curtailments in China, Ukraine and Egypt

Western Europe nitrogen fertilizer industry deliveries 3% lower; season-to-

date slightly ahead

Higher phosphate prices and upgrading margins than last year

Strong demand for value-added fertilizer products

Industrial: continued demand growth for environmental solutions but

weaker TAN market

Market development

IR - 11 Feb 2015

7

Price incentives needed to keep up with

consumption growth

Source: USDA

300

600

900

1,200

1,500

1,800

2,100

2,400

2,700

3,000

2000 1990 1980 1970 1960

mill. tonnes

+2.1%

2010

Production Consumption

280

260

240

220

200

180

160

140

120

100

80

60

40

2015 2010 2005 2000 1995 1990

+5.9%

FAO price index (2002-2004=100) Grain consumption and production

Source: FAO

‘14

IR - 11 Feb 2015

8

Production curtailments in Ukraine and Egypt

impact Black sea urea price

Source: IFA

910

-49%

2014

1,871

961

2013

3,663

2,194

1,469

Ukraine Egypt

Jan–Sep urea exports, kt

-20

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

Premium

(USD/t)

Jan-

15

Oct-

14

Jul-

14

Apr-

14

Jan-

14

Oct-

13

Jul-

13

Price

(USD/t)

Black Sea vs China FOB China FOB Black Sea

Urea price

IR - 11 Feb 2015

9

Brazil - the fastest growing fertilizer market

Sources: FAO, Conab/ Market Intelligence Brazil, ANDA

Soybean

Corn 1st

Wheat

Yield evolution ( tons / hectare)

90’s 00’s 10’s

Brazil fertilizer industry deliveries

8.2 10.8

16.4

20.2

24.5

32.2

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

CAGR (1990-2014)

5,9%

mill. tonnes

2014

Further 40% upside in fertilizer consumption if US

fertilizer standards are applied on current land area

3.02.52.2

5.03.52.5

3.62.82.4

Best practice

3.0

10.0

7.2

IR - 11 Feb 2015

10

Growth in Latin-America strengthens Yara’s

competitive edge

• Scale in logistics

• Scale in raw material sourcing

• Cash crop market - untapped potential for Yara’s

differentiated products and crop nutrition programs

Brazil also complements Yara’s fertilizer season exposure

enhancing the flexibility in our business model

• Operational excellence

PotentialFurther potential

IR - 11 Feb 2015

11

Brazil performing well; significant Bunge

synergies realized

NOK million

334

1,076

52

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1,000

1,100 8

7

6

5

4

3

2

1

0

2014

7.9

2013

5.2

2012

3.3

Yara Brazil performance

mill. tonnes

Deliveries EBITDA

Realized synergies

Realized 2014

55

30%

20%

50%

Business case

2014

44

45%

10%

45%

Fixed costs Logistics Sourcing

USD million

IR - 11 Feb 2015

12

Increased end-user interaction in Brazil

45%

Cooperatives 25%

Agroindustry 20%

10% Retailer

GROWERS

Knowledge

Crop focus

Product portfolio

Application competence

IR - 11 Feb 2015

13

Angico

(Irecé)

L.E.M.

Lagamar

Paulínia

Angico

L.E.M.

Paulínia

Santa

Quiteria1

Salitre

AS-IS

Fertilizer plants

Phosphate mines

Galvani expansions further improve scale

and cost position

End-products

(mainly SSP)

Phoshate rock

Lagamar

1.0

L.E.M.

Paulinia 0.5 Angico Paulinia

2.0 Santa Q.

2.2

L.E.M.

Salitre

Santa Q.

End-products

(mainly SSP)

Phosphate rock

Angico

Salitre

Future operations (~2018)

mt mt

• Salitre project and Angico expansion will triple phosphate rock production and reduce opex

level signficantly

• Salitre project investment decision during H2 2015 with start-up ~2 years later

• Yara’s share of indicated capex for the projects ~USD 550 mill.

Self-sufficiency

on phosphate

rock

Phosphate rock

surplus

IR - 11 Feb 2015

14

p-rock, sulphur

Yara value chain presence in Brazil

Yara’s presence

~1 mt Premium products

~2mt bulk straights

N, P, K for blends

Raw material/end-product production outside Brazil

Rio Grande port Domestic raw

material production

Rock upgrade, SSP production

Blending and bagging

Sales & marketing

~5 mt blends

~2 mt bagged straights

Third party

~0.4mt

Galvani1:

~0.8mt SSP

~50%

~20%

<1%

Share of

contribution

~0.5mt p-rock ~1mt SSP ~10%2

1) On 100%-basis. 2) Adjusted for Yara’s 60%-ownership

~3mt

~20%

IR - 11 Feb 2015

15

Yara serves rest of Latin America with an

extensive product range and geographical reach

0.2

1.0

2.4

Combined

1.4

Other

0.3

Costa

Rica

0.1

Argentina Peru

0.3

Mexico

0.5

Colombia

1.0

2014, mill. tonnes

Yara OFD

0.3

0.3

0.2

0.3

Combined

2.4

0.7

0.4

0.4

1.0

OFD

1.4

0.4

0.1

0.2

0.7

Yara

1.0

NPK Blends Nitrates Other

Volume per geography Volume per product group

2014, mill. tonnes

IR - 11 Feb 2015

16

Earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and

amortization (EBITDA)

4,281

3,455

5,444

4,982

4,310

4,966

4,103

3,591

4,184 4,039

3,318

1,858

3,591

4,227 3,964

4,625

2011 2013 2012 2014

NOK

millions 18,163 16,970 13,399 16,407

Annual

EBITDA excluding special

items NOK millions

IR - 11 Feb 2015

17

EBITDA development

246

1 347

726

491 339600

4,625

EBITDA

4Q14

Currency Other Special

items

Gas & oil

costs in

Europe

Volume & mix Price/margin EBITDA

4Q13

1,858

NOK millions

IR - 11 Feb 2015

18

Improved Downstream and Upstream earnings

718

1,211

306 235

1,002

3,434

Downstream Industrial Upstream

EBITDA excluding special items

4Q13 4Q14

EBITDA

(NOK millions)

IR - 11 Feb 2015

19

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

4Q11 2Q12 4Q12 2Q13 4Q13 2Q14 4Q14

USD/t

Nitrogen upgrading margins1 (monthly publication prices)

Urea CFR CAN (46% N) NH3 CFR (46% N)

Value

above gas

Value above

ammonia

Nitrate

premium

above urea

Yara EU gas cost *20

Improved European margins;

stable nitrate premium

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

4Q11 2Q12 4Q12 2Q13 4Q13 2Q14 4Q14

European nitrate premium2 (quarterly Yara realized)

2) Yara European realized nitrate prices compared with urea

publication prices with one month time lag. All numbers in USD

per ton of CAN equivalents. 1) All prices in urea equivalents

IR - 11 Feb 2015

20

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

4Q10 2Q11 4Q11 2Q12 4Q12 2Q13 4Q13 2Q14 4Q14

USD/t

Phosphate upgrading margins

DAP, fob USG

Rock, fob NA *1.4

Value above

raw material

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

4Q12 1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14

USD/t

NPK premium over blend1

NH3, fob Black Sea *0.22

DAP, fob Morocco

MOP, cfr NWE

Urea, fob Black sea

Higher commodity phosphate margins and

solid NPK premiums

Weighted average global

premium above blend cost

1) Export NPK plants, average grade 19-10-13, net of

transport and handling cost.

Nitrate premium

IR - 11 Feb 2015

21

(36)

(660)

(891)

(726)

(1,300)

(700)

(1,400)

(1,200)

(1,000)

(800)

(600)

(400)

(200)

0

1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15

NOK millions

February 2015 estimate*

Lower natural gas cost in Europe

Source: Yara, World Bank, Platts

*Dotted lines denote forward prices as of 3 February 2015

Yara European gas & oil cost

Actual for quarter

Change in European energy cost

4.0

5.0

6.0

7.0

8.0

9.0

10.0

11.0

12.0

1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15

USD/ MMBtu

Zeebrugge (1-month lag) Yara Europe

IR - 11 Feb 2015

22

Net interest-bearing debt development

3,957

1,907

2,909

1,595

2,584

1,561

4,963

OFD Net

operating

capital

change

Dividends

from equity-

accounted

investees

297

Cash

earnings*

Ned debt

Sep 14

Other Net debt

Dec 14

FX loss

351

Share buy

backs &

redemption

193

Investments

net

Galvani

11,808

* Operating income plus depreciation and amortization, minus tax paid, net gain/loss on disposals, net interest expense and bank charges

NOK millions

IR - 11 Feb 2015

23

Urea + USD 10/t

... of which pure urea

… of which UAN

Compound NPK premium + USD 10/t

Hub gas Europe + USD 0.1/MMbtu

Parameter

EBITDA

(MUSD)

1

2

3

4

Operating income

(MUSD)

EPS

(USD)

CAN price + USD 10/t

… of which pure nitrates

… of which NPK

7

33

39

38

58

96

51

-16

51

7

44

62

102

40

54

-18

0.13

0.15

0.02

0.11

0.17

0.28

0.16

-0.05

Price sensitivities linked to capacities

Ammonia + USD 10/t 5

Phosphate rock + USD 10/t 6

9

15 15 0.04

0.03 7

IR - 11 Feb 2015

24

Revenues and raw material costs are both USD-driven

Fixed cost base in EUR (~40%), NOK (~20%), BRL (~15%) and USD/other (~25%)

Yara benefits from a stronger USD

Impact of 10% appreciation vs. NOK1

3.0

3.0

-

-

-0.3

-0.5

-0.4 USD

Combined -1.2

BRL

EUR -0.5

2.6

1.8

-0.3

4.2

-0.8

-1.7

6.7

Translation impact

on gross profit

(NOK bn) Fixed costs

(NOK bn)

EBITDA

(NOK bn)

EPS

(NOK)3

13.4

-0.6

-0.8

14.7 22%

4%

7%

% appreciation

in FX vs NOK

Impact on EPS

(NOK)

“Run-rate” vs. 2014-average2

Note: Currency gain/loss on USD debt reported in P&L statement will vary

NOK vs. FX

1) Compared with 2014 average FX-rates. Assumed long-term effects (approx. one year +)

2) Run-rate=market as of 3 Feb 2015.

3) 25% tax rate

EBIT

(NOK bn)

2.5

-0.3

-0.8

1.4

6.30 7.69

8.38 8.69

2.67 2.85

2014

avg.

3 Feb

2015

IR - 11 Feb 2015

25

Price and currency assumptions for run-

rate earnings scenario

Parameter 2014 averageCurrent market

(3 Feb 2015)

Ammonia fob Black Sea (USD/t) 496 410

Urea prilled fob Black Sea (USD/t) 318 315

CAN CIF Germany, USD/t 329 311

Phos rock fob North Africa (USD/t) 118 120

DAP fob USG (USD/t) 473 483

Zeebrugge natural gas (USD/MMBtu) 8.1 7.1

Henry hub natural gas (USD/MMBtu) 4.4 2.8

Yara’s European energy price (USD/MMBtu) 9.1 7.6

NOK/USD 6.30 7.69

EUR/USD 1.33 1.13

BRL/USD 2.35 2.69

IR - 11 Feb 2015

26

Primarily lower CAN

price (USD18/t)

Increase in run-rate earnings driven by

currency and energy

51

8

13

2

Annual run-rate

EPS (NOK)1

45

Other Price

7

OFD &

Galvani

1

Energy cost Currency 2014 EPS

(NOK) excl.

special items

31

NOK per share

1) Based on market prices as of 3 Feb 2015. Excludes TAN Pilbara (start-up in 2H 2015)

Primarily lower

ammonia price

(USD86/t)

Primarily lower EU gas

price (USD1.5/mmbtu)

IR - 11 Feb 2015

27

NOK bn

1.0

0.9

M&A4 Production 2017

20.7

Production

20142

Committed

growth3

18.8

Capex plan Production growth 2014-2017

2) Finished fertilizer and industrial products, excl. bulk blends

3) Committed projects only. TAN Pilbara: 160 kt (net 90kt),

Porsgrunn: 250kt, Glomfjord: 185kt, Uusikapunki: 250kt,

Köping: 90kt

4) Full-year impact vs. 2014 of Galvani (60% of ~1 mill.-

tonnes) and OFD: ~400kt higher than 2014

CAPEX guidance

mt

0.7

2017

7.6

1.3

6.2

1.5

1.9

0.2

5.3

2016

10.4

5.3

1.3

2.2

5.2

1.3

2015

10.2

0.3

2014

12.6

4.2

1.5

1.3

Uusikapunki 0.4 - -

TAN Pilbara 0.6 - -

Köping 0.3 0.9 0.3

Porsgrunn 0.6 1.2 0.3

Total 1.9 2.1 0.7

M&A

Cost&capacity improvements

Committed growth

Ammonia vessels

2015 Maintenance (average 2014 FX)

Normalized maintenance capex

Maintenance (FX change impact)

Committed growth (NOKbn)1

1) Yara’s share of capex

IR - 11 Feb 2015

28

Incentives for fertilizer application remain supportive. Continued grain

production growth required to keep up with consumption growth

Strong US dollar improves competitiveness of European farmers and

nitrogen producers

Strong European order book at start of first quarter

China to remain swing producer – anthracite coal prices and RMB/USD

exchange rate are key for global nitrogen commodity prices

Expected further gas cost reduction of NOK 1.3 billion in Europe in first

quarter and NOK 0.7 billion in second quarter 2015

Prospects

IR - 11 Feb 2015

29

Additional information

IR - 11 Feb 2015

30

0.75

0.49

0.20

0.07

-0.04

0.05

0.63

0.38

0.22

0.08

0.01

0.06

0.57

0.32

0.12 0.06 0.06

0.08

0.56

0.27

0.12

0.02

0.06

0.17

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Debt/equity ratio

Net interest-bearing debt / equity ratio (end of period)

IR - 11 Feb 2015

31

5,256 5,179

4,763

6,104 6,284

6,017

4,742

3,496

4,882

5,210 5,216

4,791

5,129

4,759

5,474

4,914

5,296

4,970 4,834

4,239

5,437 5,253

5,013 5,044

5,297

6,342

5,884

6,146

6,389 6,496

6,848

6,585

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

Europe Outside Europe Total

Fertilizer deliveries

Kilotons

2010 2007 2008 2009 2011 2012 2013 2014

IR - 11 Feb 2015

32

Yara 4Q fertilizer sales by market and product

2,398 2,152

773 607

215

2,267

2,667

766 477 408

Europe Latin America Asia North America Africa

4Q13 4Q14

1,133 1,210 1,389 1,429

554

247 183

1,224 1,184 1,464 1,426

851

233 203

NPK compounds NPK blends Nitrate Urea Other products UAN CN

Kilotons

IR - 11 Feb 2015

33

Industrial deliveries

895876867

843

896

837860

816

511

438455

382432

374368343

314356342

313337346342

304

3Q14 2Q14 1Q14 4Q13 3Q13 2Q13 1Q13 4Q14

Other Environmental products Industrial N-chemicals

Kilotons

IR - 11 Feb 2015

34

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14

Europe North America ROW % of total Industrial deliveries

Air1 deliveries

Kilotons

IR - 11 Feb 2015

35

500

600

700

800

900

1,000

1,100

1,200

1,300

1,400

4Q10 4Q11 4Q12 4Q13 4Q14

NPK and nitrate deliveries

Kilotons

500

700

900

1,100

1,300

1,500

1,700

4Q10 4Q11 4Q12 4Q13 4Q14

Yara-produced nitrate deliveries

Kilotons

Yara-produced compound NPK deliveries

IR - 11 Feb 2015

36

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

4,500

5,000

Kilotons

Urea Nitrates NPK CN UAN SSP - based fertilizer

2013 2010 2011 2012 2014

Yara production volume*

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

Kilotons

2014

* Including share of equity-accounted investees

Finished fertilizer and industrial products Ammonia

2013 2010 2011 2012

IR - 11 Feb 2015

37

-

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

Kilotons Finished fertilizer

Urea Nitrates Compound NPK Other

Yara stocks

Bunge Fertilizer

included from 3Q 2013

IR - 11 Feb 2015

38

4.0 4.4

4.0

2.8

3.7

5.2

4.6

3.9 3.8

2.7 2.8

4.8

5.7

8.2 8.0 8.0 8.1

6.9

6.1 6.5

5.9 5.6 4.7

6.6

9.2

9.4

10.6

9.7

7.6

7.0

8.2

6.8 6.7

6.6

7.6

10.7 11.0 11.4 11.3

9.2

7.5

8.5

7.7

7.1

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15

US gas price (Henry Hub) Yara Global Zeebrugge day ahead Yara Europe

Energy cost

USD per MMBtu

Source: Yara, World Bank, Platts

Yearly averages 2009 – 2010, quarterly averages for 2011-15 with forward prices* for 4Q14 and 1Q15

*Dotted lines denote forward prices as of 3 February 2015

IR - 11 Feb 2015

39

Net income from equity-accounted investees

-67

-143

32

137

16

-47

85

210

Other Lifeco GrowHow UK Qafco

NOK millions

4Q14

4Q13

Tringen is from 2014 classified as “Joint operations” in line with IFRS 11, and is not any longer included as equity-accounted investee. 2013 has been restated accordingly.

IR - 11 Feb 2015

40

Currency exposure affecting P&L

At the beginning of the first quarter 2015

1. The US dollar debt generating p&l exposure was USD 1,500 million

• Kept as hedge of future earnings and to finance inventories in emerging markets

• Around 50% towards BRL with the rest mainly towards other emerging market

currencies and EUR

• The debt level in emerging markets will fluctuate with fertilizer seasons

2. Additional p&l exposure from internal currency positions vs. NOK

• Payables mainly CAD (250 million)

• Receivables mainly EUR (575 million)

IR - 11 Feb 2015

41

Stable nitrogen deliveries so far this season

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

3.5

4.0

4.5

2H10 2H11 2H12 2H13 2H14

Production Net imports

Source: Yara estimate for fertilizer deliveries to selected West European countries.

Total nitrogen deliveries based on TFI, US Trade Commission, Blue-Johnson and Yara estimates

0.0

1.0

2.0

3.0

4.0

5.0

6.0

7.0

8.0

9.0

10.0

2H10 2H11 2H12 2H13 2H14

Production Net imports

Western Europe USA

+7% +2%

Million tons N Million tons N

IR - 11 Feb 2015

42

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2

Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun

Index June 2007=1

14/15 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14

Source: Fertilizers Europe

European producers nitrate stocks

IR - 11 Feb 2015

43

Source: CRU urea update December 2014 (September 2014 in brackets) . Consumption data source is IFA.

Year Driving regions Urea capacity growth relative

to nitrogen capacity

Excluding China Excluding China

2014 Indonesia 20%

Egypt 14% 1.1% (1.5%)

2015 Algeria 18%

Saudi Arabia 16% 2.6% (2.1%)

2016 USA 30%

Algeria 14% 3.1% (2.3%)

2017 Nigeria 32%

USA 24% 2.2% (2.2%)

2018 Nigeria 52%

Russia 16% 1.3% (1.3%)

Gross annual addition 2014-2018 ~2.1%

Assumed annual closures ~0.5%

Net annual addition 2014-2018 ~1.6%

Trend consumption growth from 2002 2.1%

Projected nitrogen capacity additions outside

China

IR - 11 Feb 2015

44

36.1

7.0

29.1 26.7

9.4

36.1

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

Pro

du

ctio

n

Expo

rt

Do

me

stic

Do

me

stic

Expo

rt

Pro

du

ctio

n

Million tons

0.0

1.0

2.0

3.0

4.0

5.0

6.0

7.0

Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun

Million tons

13/14

Source: BOABC, CFMW

12/13

Production stable, increased exports

Chinese urea production Domestic urea balance

Jul-Dec 13/14 Jul-Dec 14/15

-8% 14/15

IR - 11 Feb 2015

45

-200

-100

0

100

200

300

400

500

Jan-07Jul-07Jan-08Jul-08Jan-09Jul-09Jan-10Jul-10Jan-11Jul-11Jan-12Jul-12Jan-13Jul-13Jan-14Jul-14Jan-15

Thousand contracts

Source: US Commodity Futures Trading Commission

Non-commercials’ net long position in corn

IR - 11 Feb 2015

46

Key value drivers – quarterly averages

314 338

299 320 315

354

414

358 358 355

4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14

Urea prilled fob Black Sea (USD/t)/Urea granular fob Egypt (dotted line, USD/t)

291

345 354

309 310

4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14

CAN cif Germany (USD/t)

3.8

5.2

4.6

3.9 3.8

4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14

US gas price Henry Hub (USD/MMBtu)

10.7 9.7

7.6 7.0

8.2

4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14

Zeebrugge day ahead (USD/MMBtu)

6.1 6.1 6.0

6.3

6.9

4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14

NOK/USD exchange rate

417 438 485 488

572

4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14

Ammonia fob Black Sea (USD/t)

Source: Fertilizer Market Publications, CERA, World Bank, Norges Bank

IR - 11 Feb 2015

47

10-year fertilizer prices – monthly averages

Source: Average of international publications

0

200

400

600

800

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

USD/t Urea prilled fob Black Sea/Urea granular fob Egypt

Average prices 2005 - 2014

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

USD/t DAP fob US Gulf/MOP granular fob Vancouver

0

100

200

300

400

500

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

USD/t CAN cif Germany

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

USD/t Ammonia fob Black Sea


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