Date post: | 28-Dec-2015 |
Category: |
Documents |
Upload: | spencer-ferguson |
View: | 224 times |
Download: | 0 times |
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
INTERNATIONAL INTERNATIONAL
SECURITY STUDY ON SECURITY STUDY ON
TAIWAN TAIWAN CaptCapt
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
FIRST – What do these countries have in common?
Taiwan Chinese Taipei Republic of China (ROC)
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
Causes of War and tension between ROC and Peoples Republic of China (PRC) (Mainland China) Timeline Contextual elements
US Involvement National Security Strategy (NSS) & Taiwan Relations Act Instruments of Power (IOP)
Forecast and Recommendations IOP International Community
OVERVIEW
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
Timeline [1927 – 1949], Cause of War (CoW) or Contextual Element (CE) (source: PBS-Online/WGBH/Nixon’s-China Game “Timeline of US-China Relations”) 1927 Political CoW…Chinese Civil War between Chiang
Kai-shek’s Nationalist Party (or Kuomintang (KMT)) & Mao Tse-tung’s Communist Party of China (CPC)
1928 KMT controls China’s capitol & major cities – recognized as China’s official government by international community
1930 Political CE…US (aligned with KMT) & USSR (aligned with CPS) come to China’s aid
1937 – 1949 World War II & 2d Sino-Japanese War
Causes of War & Contextual Elements
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
Timeline [1949] Cause of War (CoW) or Contextual Element (CE) (source: PBS-Online/WGBH/Nixon’s-China Game “Timeline of US-China Relations”)
CoW & CE Con’t
1949 Political CoW & CE…CPC aided by USSR & weapons from Japanese take Beijing
KMT forced to island of Taiwan Mao Tse-tung’s CPC renames China PRCPRC (CPC) vs. ROC (KMT)
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
Timeline [1971] Cause of War (CoW) or Contextual Element (CE) (source: PBS-Online/WGBH/Nixon’s-China Game “Timeline of US-China Relations”)
1971 Political & Int. CE…ROC loses seat on UN to PRC Communism vs. Capitalism Israel vs. Muslim States USSR/China relations (+/-)
CoW & CE Con’t
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
Timeline [2000] Cause of War (CoW) or Contextual Element (CE) (source: PBS-Online/WGBH/Nixon’s-China Game “Timeline of US-China Relations”)
CoW & CE Con’t
2000 Political & Security CoW…ROC’s Chen Shui-bian’s Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) Presidential election
Publishes “White Paper on China Policy for 21st Century” … outlines four pillars for Taiwan security (“White Paper on China Policy for 21st Century”, www.taiwandocuments.org, 30 Nov 1999)
PRC enacts “Anti-Accession Law” in response …2008 deadline
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
IAW 2002 National Security Strategy and Taiwan Relations Act of 1979 US Objectives are: Promote Democracy and free trade Provide security to Taiwan
US Involvement
US using military IOP – Trumen Eisenhower Reagan Bush Clinton
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
US Involvement Con’t
US using diplomatic IOP – Arms Sales Status (i.e. “Almost Sovereign”, Formal)
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
US Involvement Con’t
US using economic IOP – Direct until 1971 Indirect (i.e. WTO member, Favored Nation status)
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
Forecast & Recommendations Republic of China will win its sovereignty US Stay the Course (Diplomatic, Military and Economic
IOP) Diplomatic IOP
Continue diplomatic
pressure on China Continue Arms Sales (“Bush Defends Taiwan Arms
Sales”, BBC News online,
25 Apr 2001)
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
Forecast & Recommendations Con’t
Economic trade continues global interdependence Military intervention International Community Continue Pressure
Through International
Events like Olympics United Nations (www.
Taiwandocuments.org)