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Your Trading Partner Around The World Phenol Capacity Expansions and Trade Flow Impacts The 2 nd ICIS Asian Phenol-Acetone Conference Presented By Roger Van Baal October 30, 2012
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Page 1: Your Trading Partner Around The World Phenol Capacity ... › assets › Presentation-Phenol... · Phenol and Acetone Pricing •Typically in the West phenol prices related to benzene

Your Trading Partner

Around The World

Phenol Capacity Expansions

and Trade Flow Impacts

The 2nd ICIS Asian Phenol-Acetone Conference

Presented By Roger Van Baal

October 30, 2012

Page 2: Your Trading Partner Around The World Phenol Capacity ... › assets › Presentation-Phenol... · Phenol and Acetone Pricing •Typically in the West phenol prices related to benzene

About Integra

• Global Petrochemical Trading Company

• Founded in 1989 in Europe

• Three main Hubs » Singapore, Brussels, Houston

• Satellite offices » Brazil, South Korea, China, Saudi, India

• Wide product portfolio

» Olefins, Aromatics, Intermediates, Chlor alkali

• Turnover > US $1.5 Billion

Page 3: Your Trading Partner Around The World Phenol Capacity ... › assets › Presentation-Phenol... · Phenol and Acetone Pricing •Typically in the West phenol prices related to benzene

2011 Global Phenol Trade Flows

Page 4: Your Trading Partner Around The World Phenol Capacity ... › assets › Presentation-Phenol... · Phenol and Acetone Pricing •Typically in the West phenol prices related to benzene

Phenol Capacity Expansions and

Trade Flow Impacts

• Raw Material

Impacts

• Changes in

Global Capacity

and Demand

• Trade Flow

Developments

Page 5: Your Trading Partner Around The World Phenol Capacity ... › assets › Presentation-Phenol... · Phenol and Acetone Pricing •Typically in the West phenol prices related to benzene

Phenol and Acetone Pricing

• Typically in the West phenol prices

related to benzene

• Strong phenol demand from

polycarbonate leads to long acetone

• Phenol pricing has to take account

of propylene costs which can’t be

recovered from acetone

• Acetone trade flows impacted…

Page 6: Your Trading Partner Around The World Phenol Capacity ... › assets › Presentation-Phenol... · Phenol and Acetone Pricing •Typically in the West phenol prices related to benzene

Asia Phenol Disconnects from

Benzene

Phenol Spot Delta Benzene Spot

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

Jan-2008 Jan-2009 Jan-2010 Jan-2011 Jan-2012

Dollars Per Metric Ton

Page 7: Your Trading Partner Around The World Phenol Capacity ... › assets › Presentation-Phenol... · Phenol and Acetone Pricing •Typically in the West phenol prices related to benzene

2011 2016

Phenol Capacity By Regions

Million Metric Tons

2

4

6

8

0

Source: IHS Chemical

Page 8: Your Trading Partner Around The World Phenol Capacity ... › assets › Presentation-Phenol... · Phenol and Acetone Pricing •Typically in the West phenol prices related to benzene

World Phenol Growth Rate

Percent

-6

-4

-2

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Demand Capacity

Source: IHS Chemical

Page 9: Your Trading Partner Around The World Phenol Capacity ... › assets › Presentation-Phenol... · Phenol and Acetone Pricing •Typically in the West phenol prices related to benzene

Conclusions

• Phenol markets

getting longer with

huge capacity

increases in China

• Global trade flows

will be impacted as

NE Asia becomes

more self sufficient

on Phenol

Page 10: Your Trading Partner Around The World Phenol Capacity ... › assets › Presentation-Phenol... · Phenol and Acetone Pricing •Typically in the West phenol prices related to benzene

Contact Us • If you would like to know more, we are

contactable at

Houston

Adrian Beale

Tel: +1-713-224-2088

Mob: +1-281-413-3628

Email: [email protected]

Europe

Peter Johansen

Tel: +32-2-354-6862

Mob: +32- 478-383802

Email: [email protected]

Singapore

Bhargav Vyas

Tel: +65-6220-9895

Mob: +65-9729-8573

Email: [email protected]


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