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0 Youth unemployment and Joblessness challenge in Ghana: Revisiting the Issues A Background Paper for a National Youth Employment Dialogue Prepared by Prof. William Baah-Boateng Department of Economics University of Ghana Abridged Version February 2018
Transcript

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Youth unemployment and Joblessness challenge in

Ghana: Revisiting the Issues

A Background Paper for a National Youth Employment Dialogue

Prepared by

Prof. William Baah-Boateng Department of Economics

University of Ghana

Abridged Version February 2018

i

Table of Contents

1. Introduction ........................................................................................................... 1

2. Stylized Fact about Youth Unemployment ............................................................. 1

3. What Brought About the Current Situation? ........................................................ 3 “Jobless” Growth Argument .................................................................................................................................. 3 Quantity and Quality of Labour Market Inflows .............................................................................................. 4

4. What have been done so far? ................................................................................. 6

5. Issues for Discussion .............................................................................................. 6

1

1. Introduction

▪ Youth unemployment and joblessness remains a major socio-economic and

political problem in Ghana and many other African countries. Ghana’s growth

performance has been quite impressive but this has not translated into the creation

of sufficient jobs for the rapid expansion of the labour force. Indeed, employment

growth over the years has not been matched by an equally fast pace of employment

growth particularly in the formal sector. Employment creation has also not been

sufficient to meet the rising number of labour market entrants. In 2014, about

207,492 jobs were created by non-household enterprises (see GSS, 2015), which

fall short of an estimated 519,539 potential net labor market entrants in the same

year.

▪ While the employment challenge affects the whole labor force, its impact is

particularly severe on the youth whose rates of unemployment or engagement in

vulnerable and informal employment tend to be higher. 1 Essentially, youth

unemployment challenge has often been one of the key issues that dominate the

political discourse during the campaign towards the Presidential and Parliamentary

elections since 1992, but a solution to the problem remains elusive.

▪ The African Centre for Economic Transformation (ACET) in collaboration with

the INCLUDE platform organised two national dialogues on youth employment in

Ghana in 2016. The purpose was to engage the parties in a discussion before the

presidential and parliamentary elections, so that a consensus had been reached on

the labour market challenges. Indeed, “Job creation” became the main issue during

the electioneering campaign to the extent that the main opposition party (which

went on to win the election) titled their Manifesto “Change: An agenda for jobs”.

Employment generation strategy in the document was anchored on industrialisation

linked with modernised agriculture with two key campaign issues – “one district,

one factory”, and “one village, one dam” alongside “planting for food and jobs” to

show the party’s commitment to promoting employment generation of their

government.

2. Stylized Fact about Youth Unemployment ▪ In Ghana, the population aged 15-35 are referred to as youth, which is in line with

the African Union statistical definition of youth. The youth (15-35 years) in Ghana

accounts for about a third (33.5%) of the country’s population with about two-fifth

being children aged below 15 years (Figure 1) and waiting to form the youth

population in the next decade. This group of young people particularly those aged

1 Vulnerable employment is defined as the proportion of own account and contributing family work in total

employment. It is a defined measure of people employed under relatively precarious circumstances indicated

by their status in employment. We use the term “employment challenge” to refer to both unemployment in

particular and joblessness in general as well as engagement in vulnerable employment.

2

15-24 years is mostly new entrants into the market from different levels of

education, with limited or no work experience.

Figure 1: Age Distribution of the population 2000-2015, (%)

Source: Computed from 2010 Population Censuses, GLSS 6, & Labour Force Survey.

▪ Unemployment rates are generally higher among the youth than adults because they

are more vulnerable in times of economic challenges than their older counterparts on

account of labour market constraints such as lower level of education and limited labour

market experience. Youth unemployment rate is higher among youth aged 15-24 than

younger adults aged 25-35 years confirming the general observation that

unemployment rate declines with age.

Figure 2: Youth unemployment rates (%)

Source: Computed from 2010 Population Census, GLSS 6 & Labour Force Survey. GSS

▪ Youth unemployment rate is higher among the educated than the less educated and this

underscores the need to focus on addressing the phenomenon of unemployment among

the educated youth.

0

20

40

60

80

100

2010 2013 2015

38.3 39.4 39.9

20.0 19.1 16.1

17.0 15.3 17.4

24.7 26.2 26.6

Adults (36+)

Young Adults (25-35)

Youth (15-24)

Children (0-14)

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

2010 2013 2015

11.710.9

15.3

6.24.9

7.8 Youth (15-24)

Youth (25-35)

3

Figure 4: Unemployment rates by education and age in 2015

Source: Computed from 2015Labour Force Survey. GSS

▪ Higher unemployment rates are reported among educated young people who graduated

in social science, agriculture and humanities and lower among those with degrees in

education and STEM. Lower educated youth unemployment rates are reported among

those with skills in STEM such as engineering, science, mathematics, computer science

and health science. In contrast, those who graduate in social science, business,

humanity and arts and general programs do not find it easy in securing jobs after school

as reflected in their high unemployment rates.

Figure 5: Graduate youth unemployment rates by programme of study in 2015

Source: Computed from 2015Labour Force Survey. GSS

3. What Brought About the Current Situation?

“Jobless” Growth Argument Generally the pattern and distribution of employment growth mirrors activities in the

real sector of the economy since demand for labour is a derived demand. However,

05

10152025303540

No edu JHS or less Secondary Postsecondary

Bachelors+

15-24 5.8 15.6 24.1 6.1 38.7

25-29 9.8 7.5 12.8 11.4 17.7

30-35 4.4 6.3 13.3 7.7 5.3

Un

em

plo

ym

en

t ra

tes

(%)

0.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

1.9

6.47.4 8.1

9.8

13.214.9

17.218.9

4

employment growth has not kept pace with the speed of economic growth over the last

few decades. The widening gap between national output and employment, as depicted

in Figure 6, is an indication of the slow growth of jobs relative to economic growth.

The slow response of jobs to strong economic growth has been linked to the sources of

economic growth over the years. Ghana’s growth has generally emanated from sectors

that do not generate sufficient jobs. Manufacturing and agriculture known to have high

labor absorption are the sectors that have been the poor performing sectors in terms of

growth. In contrast, the extractive sector (mining and oil) and financial intermediation

considered to have low labor absorption have been the key drivers of growth

culminating in low employment response to economic growth in the country.

Figure 6: Employment and GDP growth trends 2000-2013

Source: Computed by the authors from National Accounts, 2000 and 2010, Population

Censuses, and GLSS 3, 4, 5, and 6.

Quantity and Quality of Labour Market Inflows ▪ The skillset of net inflows into the labor market has implication for the potential status

of the new entrants in the market as unemployed or employed in formal or informal

settings. Educational output, which constitutes potential gross labor market entrants

from secondary and tertiary educational institutions has seen rapid rise from 112,900 in

2011 to 324,100 in 2017 after a continuous drop from 147,200 in 20092 (Figure 7). On

average, gross inflows into the labor market from secondary school level including

TVET account for 70 per cent with inflows from tertiary level accounting for the

remaining 30 per cent.

Figure 7: Total Potential inflows from Education & Training into the Labor Market

2 The drop in secondary school output in 2010 and 2011 was as a result of 4 years, which means that many

of those expected to have graduated from SHS3 in 2010 proceeded to SHS4 and graduated in 2011. Many

wrote exams in 2010 and didn’t go to SHS4 and that accounted for the reduction in 2011. The subsequent

reversal to 3 years double the output in 2012 and accounted for the shock into the system

0.0

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

10.0

12.0

0.0

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

10.0

12.0

14.0

16.0

To

tal

em

plo

ym

en

t (i

n m

illi

on

s)

Gro

wth

Ra

te (

%)

Growth of GDP and Employment

Total employment GDP Employment

5

Source: Computed from Graduate Output, NCTE and EMIS Data

▪ Very few graduates enter the labor market with skills and knowledge in science,

technology, engineering and mathematics (STEM) that are relatively in high

demand in the labor market. Available data suggests that the country continues to

churn out more graduates in humanities as against STEM, which is important for

the country’s economic transformation.

Figure 8: Graduate output from Public universities by major program

Source: Computed from Graduate Output, NCTE

▪ There is a widely held view that government’s commitment to promoting TVET in

the country is very low, and it is evident in the low funding of TVET. In 2012, the

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Tertiary 35.0 38.0 41.2 45.3 53.7 55.2 60.2 67.9 69.1 72.7

Secplus 94.7 109.3 96.6 67.6 104.6 122.2 123.9 175.1 209.8 251.4

Total 129.6 147.2 137.8 112.9 158.3 177.4 184.1 242.9 278.9 324.1

0.0

50.0

100.0

150.0

200.0

250.0

300.0

350.0

Ou

tpu

t '0

00

Educational output potentially for the labor market

2011 2012 2013 2014

Health Science 3.4 2.5 5.6 2.8

Applied Science 17.6 14.5 13.8 12.9

Bus. Architect & Planning 9.3 6.9 11.6 14.6

Arts/Soc. Science 34.9 22.9 22.5 34.0

Education 34.9 53.2 46.3 35.7

0.010.020.030.040.050.060.070.080.090.0

100.0

Un

iver

sity

ou

tpu

t b

y p

rogr

am

(%)

Graduate output from Public universities by major program

6

total estimate spent on TVET accounted for only 2.9% of the total education budget,

compared to 22.8% for primary, 17.0% for JHS, and 18.5% for SHS. In addition,

there are negative perceptions about TVET in Ghana, to the extent that many people

see it as a dumping ground for those unable to advance through the grammar

education system, from JHS to SHS through to the university. A significant

proportion of current TVET trainees, particularly in the informal sector (primarily

apprenticeships), are therefore labeled as school dropouts, which impacts on the

self-esteem and external perceptions of trainees’ abilities.

4. What have been done so far? Since 2002, government has initiated direct job creation interventions to address youth

unemployment challenges. Notable among them are

- Skill Training and Employment Placement (STEP) programme (2002-2004)

initiated in response to the revelation of the existence of about one million

unemployed people based on a registration exercise of the unemployed in 2001

- National Youth Employment Programme (NYEP), now Youth Employment

Agency (YEA) initiated in 2006 to provide opportunities for young people

regardless of their level of education to work temporarily and acquire skills to

facilitate their transition into permanent work.

- Youth Enterprise Support (YES), now National Entrepreneurship and Innovation

Plan (NEIP) launched in 2014 to give young Ghanaians an opportunity to display

their talents and entrepreneurial skills, as well as challenge them to start new

businesses and employ other youth.

The New Patriotic Party (NPP) government took the reigns of government in January 2017

after winning the 2016 Presidential election with the promise to addressing job creation

challenges and thus solve youth unemployment problem. Some key policy statements

related to job creation have been made since the inauguration of the government, most of

which were outlined in the Manifesto. These are

- One district one factory which is an industrialisation drive to creating productive

employment for the youth

- Planting for food and job – job creation initiative through agriculture transformation

- One village, one dam to ensure all year round agriculture activity and sustainable

job creation in agriculture particularly in the Northern part of the country;

- Nation Builders Corps to create employment for 100,000 graduates in 2018.

5. Issues for Discussion The country is indeed confronted with high unemployment and joblessness among the

youth, which needs to be tackled head-on. Some policy efforts have been made over the

years and the fact that the problem still persists is an indication that the country needs to

do much more than what has been done. In finding solution to the problem of

unemployment and joblessness, it is important that we interrogate and appreciate a number

of issues;

- Should the country be concerned about “jobs” or “employment”?

7

- What are the constraints of job creation or employment generation in the country?

- Relevance of the country’s education system within the framework of fast changing

labour market as a result of technological advancement and what must be done;

- TVET and job creation: How do we make it work?

- Assessment of government’s job creation initiatives – planting for food and jobs;

one district, one factory; one village one dam.

- Implications of the free Senior High School policy for the labour market in terms

of youth joblessness in the immediate future and in the long term?

- Constraints of employment and labour market statistics: The way forward


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