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Zapata, Texas - Economic Outlook April 2012

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Zapata, Texas - Economic Outlook April 2012
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Zapata County Economic Profile Maricia Perez Rodriguez, MBA Zapata Economic Development Corp. April 2012
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Page 1: Zapata, Texas - Economic Outlook April 2012

Zapata County Economic Profile Maricia Perez Rodriguez, MBA

Zapata Economic Development Corp.

April 2012

Page 2: Zapata, Texas - Economic Outlook April 2012

•Economic Inventory

•Population Characteristics

•Labor Force Characteristics

•Land Values

•Community Attitudes

•Quality of Life

•Retail Leakage Analysis

Outline

Page 3: Zapata, Texas - Economic Outlook April 2012

Economic Inventory Employment

• Increased 20% over the past year

• Increased 28% over the past 5 years

• Construction and Mining Sectors with greatest growth

Unemployment • 2011 – 8.5% / State Average – 7.9%

• Increased 5.6% from 2007 to 2010

• Began to drop in 2011

R² = 0.4597

0.00%

2.00%

4.00%

6.00%

8.00%

10.00%

12.00%

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Page 4: Zapata, Texas - Economic Outlook April 2012

Economic Inventory Wages

• Home care aides most in demand

• Education field most in demand for bachelor’s degree or above

# of Firms / Size

• Decreased 1% over past 5 years

• Mining Sector greatest LQ

Natural Resources andMining

Construction

Manufacturing

Trade, Transportation andUtilities

Information

Financial Activities

Page 5: Zapata, Texas - Economic Outlook April 2012

• Incomes fall substantially

below TX averages

• Per Capita Income 2010

$12,518 (48% less than TX)

• Income levels increased

around 20% in last 10 years

• Of 2010 population, 38%

below poverty level

Economic Inventory Area Income

Page 6: Zapata, Texas - Economic Outlook April 2012

• Gross sales increasing

• Subject to great volatility and seasonal fluctuation

• 3rd Quarter historically has lowest sales

Economic Inventory Retail Sales

0

10,000,000

20,000,000

30,000,000

40,000,000

50,000,000

60,000,000

70,000,000

80,000,000

Gross Sales

Page 7: Zapata, Texas - Economic Outlook April 2012

Population • Increasing – More Slowly, 9% future growth

Age • Median Age – 28.4, predicted to increase

Race • Hispanic – 93%, White – 6%

Population Characteristics

9,279

12,182

14,018

15,262

7,500

8,500

9,500

10,500

11,500

12,500

13,500

14,500

15,500

16,500

1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020

Year

Po

pu

lati

on

Page 8: Zapata, Texas - Economic Outlook April 2012

Labor Force Characteristics Participation Rates

• Steadily increased in past 5 years (3.7%)

Occupations • Mining – largest sector – 23% of total workforce

Education Attainment • Falls substantially below TX average

• 28% population less than 9th Grade education

• 31% at least H.S. Graduates (increased 13% from 2000)

• Greatest change in Associate Degreed (39% increase)

Location • Greater % of educational attainment

within 30 minutes of Zapata, TX.

Natural Resources

and Mining, 23.4%

Education and Health

Services, 19.9%

Trade, Transportat

ion and Utilities, 18.4%

Construction, 15.1%

Public Administration, 10.6%

Leisure and Hospitality,

6.1%

Page 9: Zapata, Texas - Economic Outlook April 2012

Land Values

• Property values quite low and varied

• Existing home appraised values steadily increasing • Past 5 years increased by 71% to average of $68K in 2011

• Great degree of value difference reflects the varying age,

housing condition, and presence of unimproved lots

• Greater density and better living standards is needed

• Further market analysis needed as well.

Page 10: Zapata, Texas - Economic Outlook April 2012

Community Attitudes Workforce

• Lack of qualified and skilled workforce

Education • Not prepared enough, dropout rate, language barriers, best talent leaves

Comprehensive Planning • Lack of comprehensive planning and policies/regulations to deal with

growth

Local Government • Lack of cooperation / unity

Economic Growth • Lack of retail and recreational venues

Environmental • Prevalent litter problems

Page 11: Zapata, Texas - Economic Outlook April 2012

Quality of Life Housing

• New housing leveled off in 2010, but expected to increase 31% by 2015

• Owner occupied housing will continue to be majority

• Within Zapata, TX, Siesta Shores most dense subdivision

• Median home values increased 71% to $63K in 2011

• Houses valued over $90K had greatest % change overall in 2010

• Houses valued between $175K - $200K increased by 1300%

• Greatest volume of new units were in the range of $125K - $150K

• Cash rent also increasing (51%) – median $317

Page 12: Zapata, Texas - Economic Outlook April 2012

Quality of Life Public Education System

• Spends just above state average per student

• Resources stretched as experience higher demand of children with educational obstacles (over 78% economically disadvantaged, 52% at risk, 17% LEP)

• Low college-readiness and college entrance rates, which significantly lag behind state averages (only 30% college ready and enter)

Page 13: Zapata, Texas - Economic Outlook April 2012

Quality of Life

Crime Rate • Relatively safe place to live

• Total crime rate significantly below state and border county averages

• Lowest violent crime rate of lower Rio Grande border counties

• Problem with property crime - increased 26% in past 5 years

0.0 1000.0 2000.0 3000.0 4000.0 5000.0

Violent Rate

Property Rate

Total Rate

Border

Texas

Zapata County

Page 14: Zapata, Texas - Economic Outlook April 2012

Quality of Life

Outdoor Recreational Opportunities • Fishing

• Hunting

• Birding

• Golfing

• Organized Sports

• Public Parks

• Historic Sightseeing

Page 15: Zapata, Texas - Economic Outlook April 2012

Retail Leakage Analysis

Total Retail Opportunity Gap of $93.5 million dollars! • Indicates Zapata not capturing full market share, and opportunities for

expansion or improvement exist

High Potential for New Establishments include: • Building Material and Supply Dealers

• Pharmacies & Drug Stores

• Specialty Food Stores

• Women’s Clothing Stores

Page 16: Zapata, Texas - Economic Outlook April 2012

Path Going Forward

Effective collaboration and engagement

Long-term planning and investment

Robust, diversified local economy

Page 17: Zapata, Texas - Economic Outlook April 2012

Call to Arms

Let’s Protect our Nest Egg.

Are you in?


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