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Zions Bank Economic Overview · 3.1% Salt Lake 1.5% Morgan 3.1% Summit 2.1% Daggett -1.4% Utah 3.0%...

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Zions Bank Economic Overview “Achieving Growth in a Murky Economic Environment” Utah Business Coalition Tax Breakfast October 18, 2017
Transcript
Page 1: Zions Bank Economic Overview · 3.1% Salt Lake 1.5% Morgan 3.1% Summit 2.1% Daggett -1.4% Utah 3.0% Wasatch 4.7% Duchesne-2.1% Uintah-3.7% Juab 4.2% Sanpete 2.1% Carbon-0.2% Emery-1.3%

ZionsBankEconomicOverview

“AchievingGrowthinaMurkyEconomicEnvironment”

UtahBusinessCoalitionTaxBreakfast

October18,2017

Page 2: Zions Bank Economic Overview · 3.1% Salt Lake 1.5% Morgan 3.1% Summit 2.1% Daggett -1.4% Utah 3.0% Wasatch 4.7% Duchesne-2.1% Uintah-3.7% Juab 4.2% Sanpete 2.1% Carbon-0.2% Emery-1.3%

National Economic Conditions

Page 3: Zions Bank Economic Overview · 3.1% Salt Lake 1.5% Morgan 3.1% Summit 2.1% Daggett -1.4% Utah 3.0% Wasatch 4.7% Duchesne-2.1% Uintah-3.7% Juab 4.2% Sanpete 2.1% Carbon-0.2% Emery-1.3%

DowBreaks23,000– TheTrumpBump

Source:WallStreetJournal

DowReachesNewHeightsFollowingU.S.PresidentialElection

Page 4: Zions Bank Economic Overview · 3.1% Salt Lake 1.5% Morgan 3.1% Summit 2.1% Daggett -1.4% Utah 3.0% Wasatch 4.7% Duchesne-2.1% Uintah-3.7% Juab 4.2% Sanpete 2.1% Carbon-0.2% Emery-1.3%

BusinessOptimismBoomsPostElection

Source:TradingEconomics,NFIBSmallBusinessOptimismIndex

Page 5: Zions Bank Economic Overview · 3.1% Salt Lake 1.5% Morgan 3.1% Summit 2.1% Daggett -1.4% Utah 3.0% Wasatch 4.7% Duchesne-2.1% Uintah-3.7% Juab 4.2% Sanpete 2.1% Carbon-0.2% Emery-1.3%

CurrentLevelofConsumerConfidenceRemainsHigh

50

60

70

80

90

100

110

120

130

Jun-12

Sep-12

Dec-12

Mar-13

Jun-13

Sep-13

Dec-13

Mar-14

Jun-14

Sep-14

Dec-14

Mar-15

Jun-15

Sep-15

Dec-15

Mar-16

Jun-16

Sep-16

Dec-16

Mar-17

Jun-17

Above110indicateseconomicprosperity

Source:TheConferenceBoard

Page 6: Zions Bank Economic Overview · 3.1% Salt Lake 1.5% Morgan 3.1% Summit 2.1% Daggett -1.4% Utah 3.0% Wasatch 4.7% Duchesne-2.1% Uintah-3.7% Juab 4.2% Sanpete 2.1% Carbon-0.2% Emery-1.3%

Trumponomics•RepealandreplacetheAffordableCareAct• TaxReform• Increasespendingoninfrastructureandmilitary•Reducegovernmentregulations•Renegotiatetradedeals

•Butcantheygetitdone…?

Page 7: Zions Bank Economic Overview · 3.1% Salt Lake 1.5% Morgan 3.1% Summit 2.1% Daggett -1.4% Utah 3.0% Wasatch 4.7% Duchesne-2.1% Uintah-3.7% Juab 4.2% Sanpete 2.1% Carbon-0.2% Emery-1.3%

SeptemberReversed83ConsecutiveMonthsofJobCreationintheUnitedStates

-900

-700

-500

-300

-100

100

300

500

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Employ

men

tCha

ngeinth

ousand

s

8.7MillionJobsLost

16.4 MillionJobsRecovered

Source:BureauofLaborStatistics

Page 8: Zions Bank Economic Overview · 3.1% Salt Lake 1.5% Morgan 3.1% Summit 2.1% Daggett -1.4% Utah 3.0% Wasatch 4.7% Duchesne-2.1% Uintah-3.7% Juab 4.2% Sanpete 2.1% Carbon-0.2% Emery-1.3%

Thou

sand

sCumulativeJobLossbyMonthsofRecession

Source:EulerHermesanalysisofBureauofLaborStatisticsData

Page 9: Zions Bank Economic Overview · 3.1% Salt Lake 1.5% Morgan 3.1% Summit 2.1% Daggett -1.4% Utah 3.0% Wasatch 4.7% Duchesne-2.1% Uintah-3.7% Juab 4.2% Sanpete 2.1% Carbon-0.2% Emery-1.3%

Thou

sand

s

Source:EulerHermesanalysisofBureauofLaborStatisticsData

CumulativeJobLossbyMonthsofRecession

Page 10: Zions Bank Economic Overview · 3.1% Salt Lake 1.5% Morgan 3.1% Summit 2.1% Daggett -1.4% Utah 3.0% Wasatch 4.7% Duchesne-2.1% Uintah-3.7% Juab 4.2% Sanpete 2.1% Carbon-0.2% Emery-1.3%

80

90

100

110

120

130

140

150

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40

Inde

x

PeriodsfromValueScaledto100

2007Recession 2001Recession 1990Recession1981Recession 1980Recession 1973Recession

SlowerRecoverythanPastRecessions

Source:FederalReserveBankofSt.Louis

Page 11: Zions Bank Economic Overview · 3.1% Salt Lake 1.5% Morgan 3.1% Summit 2.1% Daggett -1.4% Utah 3.0% Wasatch 4.7% Duchesne-2.1% Uintah-3.7% Juab 4.2% Sanpete 2.1% Carbon-0.2% Emery-1.3%

UnemploymentContinuesLower

3.0%

4.0%

5.0%

6.0%

7.0%

8.0%

9.0%

10.0%

11.0% 19

9519

9619

9719

9819

9920

0020

0120

0220

0320

0420

0520

0620

0720

0820

0920

1020

1120

1220

1320

1420

1520

1620

17

5.0%=FullEmployment

Source:BureauofLaborStatistics

Page 12: Zions Bank Economic Overview · 3.1% Salt Lake 1.5% Morgan 3.1% Summit 2.1% Daggett -1.4% Utah 3.0% Wasatch 4.7% Duchesne-2.1% Uintah-3.7% Juab 4.2% Sanpete 2.1% Carbon-0.2% Emery-1.3%

Wagegrowthhasbeenflatdespiteafallingunemploymentrate

1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9%

10%

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

AnnualWageGrowth UnemploymentRate

FullEmployment=5%

Source:BureauofLaborStatistics

Page 13: Zions Bank Economic Overview · 3.1% Salt Lake 1.5% Morgan 3.1% Summit 2.1% Daggett -1.4% Utah 3.0% Wasatch 4.7% Duchesne-2.1% Uintah-3.7% Juab 4.2% Sanpete 2.1% Carbon-0.2% Emery-1.3%

Laborproductivityhasdeclinedsincestronggrowthduringlate1990’sandearly2000’s

-1.0%

0.0%

1.0%

2.0%

3.0%

4.0%

5.0%

6.0%

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

Realoutputperhour

Percen

tCha

ngefrom

Qua

rterOne

Yea

rAgo

Source:BureauofEconomicAnalysis

Page 14: Zions Bank Economic Overview · 3.1% Salt Lake 1.5% Morgan 3.1% Summit 2.1% Daggett -1.4% Utah 3.0% Wasatch 4.7% Duchesne-2.1% Uintah-3.7% Juab 4.2% Sanpete 2.1% Carbon-0.2% Emery-1.3%

Source:U.S.BureauofLaborStatistics

62%

63%

64%

65%

66%

67%

68%

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

LaborForceParticipationSeeingaSlightRise

Sept:63.1%

Page 15: Zions Bank Economic Overview · 3.1% Salt Lake 1.5% Morgan 3.1% Summit 2.1% Daggett -1.4% Utah 3.0% Wasatch 4.7% Duchesne-2.1% Uintah-3.7% Juab 4.2% Sanpete 2.1% Carbon-0.2% Emery-1.3%

56%

58%

60%

62%

64%

66%

68%

1955

1957

1959

1961

1963

1965

1967

1969

1971

1973

1975

1977

1979

1981

1983

1985

1987

1989

1991

1993

1995

1997

1999

2001

2003

2005

2007

2009

2011

2013

2015

2017

Source:U.S.BureauofLaborStatistics

LaborForceParticipationAmongLowestLevelinAlmost40Years

Sept201763.1%

Mar200067.3%

Apr197863.0%

Page 16: Zions Bank Economic Overview · 3.1% Salt Lake 1.5% Morgan 3.1% Summit 2.1% Daggett -1.4% Utah 3.0% Wasatch 4.7% Duchesne-2.1% Uintah-3.7% Juab 4.2% Sanpete 2.1% Carbon-0.2% Emery-1.3%

BabyBoomersHeadforRetirement

20% 22% 24% 26% 28% 30% 32% 34% 36% 38%

60% 61% 62% 63% 64% 65% 66% 67% 68%

1990

1991

1992

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

U.S.ParticipationRate Age55+ShareofWorkingAgePop

U.S.Partic

ipationRa

teShareof55+

Source:ZionsBankAnalysisofFederalReserveBankofSt.Louis

Page 17: Zions Bank Economic Overview · 3.1% Salt Lake 1.5% Morgan 3.1% Summit 2.1% Daggett -1.4% Utah 3.0% Wasatch 4.7% Duchesne-2.1% Uintah-3.7% Juab 4.2% Sanpete 2.1% Carbon-0.2% Emery-1.3%

Long-TermDeclineoftheTeenageWorkforce

30% 35% 40% 45% 50% 55% 60% 65% 70%

1975

1977

1979

1981

1983

1985

1987

1989

1991

1993

1995

1997

1999

2001

2003

2005

2007

2009

2011

2013

2015

2017

U.S.LaborForceParticipationRate ParticipationRateAges16-19

Source:FederalReserveBankofSt.Louis

Page 18: Zions Bank Economic Overview · 3.1% Salt Lake 1.5% Morgan 3.1% Summit 2.1% Daggett -1.4% Utah 3.0% Wasatch 4.7% Duchesne-2.1% Uintah-3.7% Juab 4.2% Sanpete 2.1% Carbon-0.2% Emery-1.3%

FewerUnemployedWorkersPerJobOpening

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Unemployed/Openings

Source:FederalReserveBankofSt.Louis

July20171.1

Page 19: Zions Bank Economic Overview · 3.1% Salt Lake 1.5% Morgan 3.1% Summit 2.1% Daggett -1.4% Utah 3.0% Wasatch 4.7% Duchesne-2.1% Uintah-3.7% Juab 4.2% Sanpete 2.1% Carbon-0.2% Emery-1.3%

Sources:BureauofLaborStatisticsandBureauofEconomicAnalysis;Note:CoreCPIandCorePCErepresentallitemslessfoodandenergy

0.0%

0.50%

1.0%

1.50%

2.0%

2.50%

3.0%

3.50%20

05

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

Year-overchange

U.S.CoreCPI U.S.CorePCE

CoreCPIvs.CorePCE

AugustCoreCPI1.7%

AugustCorePCE1.3%

Page 20: Zions Bank Economic Overview · 3.1% Salt Lake 1.5% Morgan 3.1% Summit 2.1% Daggett -1.4% Utah 3.0% Wasatch 4.7% Duchesne-2.1% Uintah-3.7% Juab 4.2% Sanpete 2.1% Carbon-0.2% Emery-1.3%

-10%-8%-6%-4%-2%0%2%4%6%8%

10%

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

q1

2018

f

GDPPercentChange

NationalGDPGrowth

Sources:BureauofEconomicAnalysis,State of Utah Revenue Assumptions Working Group; f=forecast

Forecast

Page 21: Zions Bank Economic Overview · 3.1% Salt Lake 1.5% Morgan 3.1% Summit 2.1% Daggett -1.4% Utah 3.0% Wasatch 4.7% Duchesne-2.1% Uintah-3.7% Juab 4.2% Sanpete 2.1% Carbon-0.2% Emery-1.3%

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

Source:U.S.FederalReserve

FederalFundsTargetHasRisenFourTimesintheLastDecade

FederalFundsTargetRate=1.25

Page 22: Zions Bank Economic Overview · 3.1% Salt Lake 1.5% Morgan 3.1% Summit 2.1% Daggett -1.4% Utah 3.0% Wasatch 4.7% Duchesne-2.1% Uintah-3.7% Juab 4.2% Sanpete 2.1% Carbon-0.2% Emery-1.3%

September2017FedProjectionsPointtoHigherRates

Source:BoardofGovernorsoftheFederalReserve

Page 23: Zions Bank Economic Overview · 3.1% Salt Lake 1.5% Morgan 3.1% Summit 2.1% Daggett -1.4% Utah 3.0% Wasatch 4.7% Duchesne-2.1% Uintah-3.7% Juab 4.2% Sanpete 2.1% Carbon-0.2% Emery-1.3%

$0.00T

$0.50T

$1.00T

$1.50T

$2.00T

$2.50T

$3.00T

$3.50T

$4.00T

$4.50T

$5.00T

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017Mortgage-Backed Securities U.S. Treasury Securities Federal Agency Debt Other

QE1 QE2 QE3Recession

ExplosionintheFederalReserve’sBalanceSheet

Source: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

Page 24: Zions Bank Economic Overview · 3.1% Salt Lake 1.5% Morgan 3.1% Summit 2.1% Daggett -1.4% Utah 3.0% Wasatch 4.7% Duchesne-2.1% Uintah-3.7% Juab 4.2% Sanpete 2.1% Carbon-0.2% Emery-1.3%

-1.0%

-0.50%

0.0%

0.50%

1.0%

1.50%

2.0%

2.50%

3.0%

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

Source:FederalReserveBankofSt.Louis

YieldCurveShowingSignsofDistress10-yearminus2-yearspread

Page 25: Zions Bank Economic Overview · 3.1% Salt Lake 1.5% Morgan 3.1% Summit 2.1% Daggett -1.4% Utah 3.0% Wasatch 4.7% Duchesne-2.1% Uintah-3.7% Juab 4.2% Sanpete 2.1% Carbon-0.2% Emery-1.3%

Regional Economic Conditions

Page 26: Zions Bank Economic Overview · 3.1% Salt Lake 1.5% Morgan 3.1% Summit 2.1% Daggett -1.4% Utah 3.0% Wasatch 4.7% Duchesne-2.1% Uintah-3.7% Juab 4.2% Sanpete 2.1% Carbon-0.2% Emery-1.3%

PercentChange:2015to2016U.S.Rate=0.7%

Loss

0.2%to0.6%

1.5%+

0.0%to0.1%

NM0.0%

UT2.0%

AZ1.7%

CA0.7%

NV2.0%

OR1.7%

TX1.6%

OK0.4%

CO1.7%

WA1.8%

ID1.8%

MT1.0%

WY-0.2%

ND0.1%

SD0.9%

MN0.7%

NE0.7%

KS0.3%

IA0.4%

MO0.3%

AR0.3%

LA0.3%

WI0.2%

IL-0.3%

IN0.3%

OH0.1%

FL1.8%

TN 0.9%

KY 0.3%

MS0.0%

AL0.2%

GA1.1%

SC1.4%

NC 1.1%

VA0.5%

WV-0.5%

PA-0.1%

NY0.0%

ME0.2%

AK0.6%

HI0.2%

MA0.4%

VT-0.2%

NH0.4%

RI0.1%

CT-0.2%

NJ0.1%

DE0.8%

MD0.4%

MI0.1%

DC1.6%

KS0.0%

UtahPopulationFastest GrowinginU.S.

Source:U.S.CensusBureau

0.7%to1.4%

Page 27: Zions Bank Economic Overview · 3.1% Salt Lake 1.5% Morgan 3.1% Summit 2.1% Daggett -1.4% Utah 3.0% Wasatch 4.7% Duchesne-2.1% Uintah-3.7% Juab 4.2% Sanpete 2.1% Carbon-0.2% Emery-1.3%

-20000-10000 0100002000030000400005000060000700008000090000

0300,000600,000900,000

1,200,0001,500,0001,800,0002,100,0002,400,0002,700,0003,000,0003,300,0003,600,000

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

2015

NetMigration NaturalIncrease TotalPopulation

34,997

3,051,217

25,412

2017

f20

18f

Sources:U.S.CensusBureau;Datafrom2014onfromStateofUtahRevenueAssumptionsWorkingGroup

TotalPop

ulation

ComponentsofPopulationChange

e=estimate,f=forecast

UtahPopulationandComponentsofChange

Page 28: Zions Bank Economic Overview · 3.1% Salt Lake 1.5% Morgan 3.1% Summit 2.1% Daggett -1.4% Utah 3.0% Wasatch 4.7% Duchesne-2.1% Uintah-3.7% Juab 4.2% Sanpete 2.1% Carbon-0.2% Emery-1.3%

UtahPopulationGrowthRatesByCounty

2015to2016StateAverage=2.0%

Box Elder2.2%

Cache2.2%

Rich1.0%

Weber 1.7%

Tooele3.1%

Salt Lake1.5%

Morgan3.1%

Summit2.1%

Daggett -1.4%

Utah3.0%

Wasatch4.7% Duchesne

-2.1% Uintah-3.7%

Juab4.2%

Sanpete2.1%

Carbon-0.2%

Emery-1.3% Grand

0.9%

Millard0.4%

Piute-2.5%

Garfield-0.1%

Sevier1.6%

Wayne0.0%

San Juan7.6%

Iron3.4%

Beaver1.9%

Washington3.1%

Kane3.0%

Davis 1.9%

Source:U.S.CensusBureau

1.0%to1.7%

0.0%to0.9%

1.8%to2.9%

Loss

3.0%+

Page 29: Zions Bank Economic Overview · 3.1% Salt Lake 1.5% Morgan 3.1% Summit 2.1% Daggett -1.4% Utah 3.0% Wasatch 4.7% Duchesne-2.1% Uintah-3.7% Juab 4.2% Sanpete 2.1% Carbon-0.2% Emery-1.3%

Source:U.S.CensusBureauandUniversityofUtahKem C.GardnerPolicyInstitute

Utah’sPopulationContinuestoGrow

0

1,000,000

2,000,000

3,000,000

4,000,000

5,000,000

6,000,000

7,000,000

1900

1910

1920

1930

1940

1950

1960

1970

1980

1990

2000

2010

2020

2030

2040

2050

2060

1900-2060

Page 30: Zions Bank Economic Overview · 3.1% Salt Lake 1.5% Morgan 3.1% Summit 2.1% Daggett -1.4% Utah 3.0% Wasatch 4.7% Duchesne-2.1% Uintah-3.7% Juab 4.2% Sanpete 2.1% Carbon-0.2% Emery-1.3%

Utahhasthe4th highest employmentgrowthinthenation

NM1.1%

UT2.6%

AZ1.3%

CA1.6%

NV3.0%

OR2.3%

TX2.5%

OK1.2%

CO1.8%

WA2.1%

ID2.2%

MT1.6%

WY-0.9%

ND1.3%

SD0.8%

MN1.5%

NE1.3%

KS-0.6%

IA1.1%

MO1.8%

AR1.9%

WI0.96

IL0.4%

IN1.0%

OH1.0%

FL2.6%

TN 1.8%

KY1.6%

MS0.6%

AL1.4%

GA2.7%

SC1.7%

NC 1.6%

VA1.5%

WV0.1%

PA1.0%

NY1.4%

ME1.0%

AK0.1%

HI0.6%

MA1.6%

VT0.6%

NH2.1%

RI1.9%

CT0.4%

NJ0.9%

DE0.6%

MD2.3%

MI1.4%

DC1.7%

1.6%to1.9%

2.0%+

1.0%to1.5%

0.0%to0.9%

PercentChangeinEmploymentforStates:August2016toAugust2017U.S.Rate=1.4%

Loss

Note:SeasonallyAdjustedSource:BureauofLaborStatistics

LA1.2%

Page 31: Zions Bank Economic Overview · 3.1% Salt Lake 1.5% Morgan 3.1% Summit 2.1% Daggett -1.4% Utah 3.0% Wasatch 4.7% Duchesne-2.1% Uintah-3.7% Juab 4.2% Sanpete 2.1% Carbon-0.2% Emery-1.3%

800

900

1,000

1,100

1,200

1,300

1,400

1,50019

9519

9619

9719

9819

9920

0020

0120

0220

0320

0420

0520

0620

0720

0820

0920

1020

1120

1220

1320

1420

1520

1620

17

Thou

sand

sofE

mployee

s

TotalNonfarmEmployment

Lossof92,000jobsfrom2007-2009

Gainof299,000jobsfromlowin

2009

Source:U.S.BureauofLaborStatistics,TotalnonfarmseasonallyadjustedNote:Numbersroundedtonearestthousand

UtahTotalEmploymentatNewHighs

Page 32: Zions Bank Economic Overview · 3.1% Salt Lake 1.5% Morgan 3.1% Summit 2.1% Daggett -1.4% Utah 3.0% Wasatch 4.7% Duchesne-2.1% Uintah-3.7% Juab 4.2% Sanpete 2.1% Carbon-0.2% Emery-1.3%

2.0% 3.5%

2.0% 3.3%

5.0% 2.2%

-5.0% 2.4% 2.5%

6.2% -8.0%

-13% -8% -3% 2% 7% 12%

GovernmentOtherServices

Leisure&HospitalityEd.&HealthServ.Prof.&Bus.Serv.FinancialActivity

InformationTrade,Trans.,Utilities

ManufacturingConstruction

Ntl.Res.&Mining

PercentChangeinUtahEmploymentbyIndustry:August2016toAugust2017

Total:2.8%

UtahIndustriesSeeingGrowth

Source:UtahDepartmentofWorkforceServices

Page 33: Zions Bank Economic Overview · 3.1% Salt Lake 1.5% Morgan 3.1% Summit 2.1% Daggett -1.4% Utah 3.0% Wasatch 4.7% Duchesne-2.1% Uintah-3.7% Juab 4.2% Sanpete 2.1% Carbon-0.2% Emery-1.3%

4,500

1,400

2,900

6,100

10,300

1,800-1,900

6,500

3,100

5,900

-700

-3,000 -1,000 1,000 3,000 5,000 7,000 9,000 11,000

Government

OtherServices

Leisure&Hospitality

Ed.&HealthServ.

Prof.&Bus.Serv.

FinancialActivity

Information

Trade,Trans.,Utilities

Manufacturing

Construction

Ntl.Res.&Mining

Total:39,900

UtahIndustriesSeeingGrowthTotalChangeinUtahEmploymentbyIndustry:August2016toAugust2017

Source:UtahDepartmentofWorkforceServices

Page 34: Zions Bank Economic Overview · 3.1% Salt Lake 1.5% Morgan 3.1% Summit 2.1% Daggett -1.4% Utah 3.0% Wasatch 4.7% Duchesne-2.1% Uintah-3.7% Juab 4.2% Sanpete 2.1% Carbon-0.2% Emery-1.3%

UtahEmploymentChangeRatesByCounty

August2016toAugust2017StateRate=2.8%

Source:UtahDepartmentofWorkforceServices;Notseasonallyadjusted

1.0%to3.2%

0.0%to0.9%

5.0%+

3.3%to4.9%

Loss

Box Elder 2.4% Cache2.7% Rich

-1.4%Weber 2.1%

Tooele1.2%

Salt Lake2.7%

Morgan3.0%

Daggett -1.8%

Utah5.7%

Wasatch3.5% Duchesne

3.3% Uintah0.6%

Juab1.1%

Sanpete1.3%

Carbon-1.3%

Emery-3.3% Grand

2.7%

Millard2.1%

Piute4.2%

Garfield2.6%

Sevier2.7%

Wayne1.7%

San Juan1.7%

Iron4.6%

Beaver3.0%

Washington4.9%

Kane3.2%

Da1is 4.0%

Summit2.2%

Page 35: Zions Bank Economic Overview · 3.1% Salt Lake 1.5% Morgan 3.1% Summit 2.1% Daggett -1.4% Utah 3.0% Wasatch 4.7% Duchesne-2.1% Uintah-3.7% Juab 4.2% Sanpete 2.1% Carbon-0.2% Emery-1.3%

UtahUnemployment12th lowestintheNationAugust2017U.S.Rate=4.4%

HI2.6%

NH2.7%

NM6.3%

UT3.5%

AZ5.0%

CA5.1%

NV4.9%

OR4.1%

TX4.2%

OK4.5%

CO2.4%

WA4.6%

ID2.9%

MT3.9%

WY4.0%

ND2.3%

SD3.3%

MN3.8%

NE2.8%

KS3.9%

IA3.3%

MO4.0%

AR3.5%

LA5.2%

WI3.4%

IL5.0%

IN3.5%

OH5.4%

FL4.0%

TN 3.3%

KY5.4%

MS5.3%

AL4.2%

GA4.7%

SC4.0%

NC 4.1%

VA3.8%

WV5.0%

PA4.9%

NY4.8%

ME3.8%

AK7.2%

MA4.2%

VT3.0%

RI4.3%

CT4.8%

NJ4.5%

DE4.9%

MD3.9%

MI3.9%

DC6.4%

Source:BureauofLaborStatistics

6.0%+

5.5%to5.9%

4.8%to5.4%

4.0%to4.7%

3.9%orless

Page 36: Zions Bank Economic Overview · 3.1% Salt Lake 1.5% Morgan 3.1% Summit 2.1% Daggett -1.4% Utah 3.0% Wasatch 4.7% Duchesne-2.1% Uintah-3.7% Juab 4.2% Sanpete 2.1% Carbon-0.2% Emery-1.3%

UtahUnemployment

RatesByCounty

August2017

StateRate=3.5%

Source:UtahDepartmentofWorkforceServices

4.0%to5.9%

6.0%to6.9%

3.1%orlower

3.2%to3.9%

7.0%+

Box Elder3.4%

Cache2.9%

Rich3.3%

Tooele3.8%

Morgan3.1%

Summit3.2%

Utah3.0%

Wasatch3.5% Duchesne

5.6% Uintah6.0%

Juab3.6%

Sanpete4.1%

Carbon5.3%

Emery5.6% Grand

5.4%

Millard3.5%

Piute5.6%

Garfield7.6%

Sevier4.1%

Wayne7.8%

San Juan7.1%

Iron4.1%

Beaver3.8%

Washington3.6%

Kane3.5%

Daggett 5.9%Davis3.2%

Salt Lake3.2%

Weber 3.8%

Page 37: Zions Bank Economic Overview · 3.1% Salt Lake 1.5% Morgan 3.1% Summit 2.1% Daggett -1.4% Utah 3.0% Wasatch 4.7% Duchesne-2.1% Uintah-3.7% Juab 4.2% Sanpete 2.1% Carbon-0.2% Emery-1.3%

Source:BureauofEconomicAnalysis

PercentChangeinPersonalIncome:2016Q1–2017Q1U.S.=3.7%;UT=4.9%ID= 4.9% NH

3.1%

NM2.2%

UT4.9%

AZ3.8%

CA4.8%

NV4.8%

OR3.8%

TX3.2%

OK1.2%

CO4.4%

WA4.9%

ID4.9%

MT3.7%

WY-0.5%

ND1.0%

SD2.5%

MN3.6%

NE1.2%

KS2.5%

IA1.9%

MO3.5%

AR3.1%

LA3.0%

WI3.1%

IL2.2%

IN4.0%

OH3.6%

FL4.6%

TN 4.4%

3.82.6%

MS2.4%

AL3.2%

GA3.8%

SC4.6%

NC 4.4%

VA4.4%

WV1.9%

PA3.9 %

NY3.0%

ME2.9%

AK1.6%

HI3.0%

MA3.8%

VT1.6%

RI3.0%

CT2.5%

NJ3.5%

DE3.6%

MD4.9%

MI4.4%

DC4.4%

3.6%to3.9%2.0%to3.5%

4.0%ormore

0.0%to1.9%Decrease

Utah,Idaho,andWashingtonTiedforHighest PersonalIncomeGrowthintheCountry

Page 38: Zions Bank Economic Overview · 3.1% Salt Lake 1.5% Morgan 3.1% Summit 2.1% Daggett -1.4% Utah 3.0% Wasatch 4.7% Duchesne-2.1% Uintah-3.7% Juab 4.2% Sanpete 2.1% Carbon-0.2% Emery-1.3%

Source:U.S.CPIfromNationalBureauofLaborStatisticsandWasatchFrontCPIfromCiceroGroup

-1.0% -0.5% 0.0% 0.5% 1.0% 1.5% 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5%

Aug-11

Dec-11

Apr-12

Aug-12

Dec-12

Apr-13

Aug-13

Dec-13

Apr-14

Aug-14

Dec-14

Apr-15

Aug-15

Dec-15

Apr-16

Aug-16

Dec-16

Apr-17

Aug-17

UnitedStatesCPI:+1.9%

ZionsBankWasatchFrontCPI:+3.4%

ConsumerPriceIndexYearlyGrowthUnitedStatesvs.WasatchFront

Page 39: Zions Bank Economic Overview · 3.1% Salt Lake 1.5% Morgan 3.1% Summit 2.1% Daggett -1.4% Utah 3.0% Wasatch 4.7% Duchesne-2.1% Uintah-3.7% Juab 4.2% Sanpete 2.1% Carbon-0.2% Emery-1.3%

Sources:StateofUtahRevenueAssumptionsWorkingGroup,Moody’sEconomy.com,IHSGlobalInsights e=estimatef=forecast

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

RetailSales

HomePrices

PersonalIncome

UnemploymentRate

NonfarmEmployment

Population

2015 2016e 2017f 2018f

UtahEconomicIndicators2015-2018f

Page 40: Zions Bank Economic Overview · 3.1% Salt Lake 1.5% Morgan 3.1% Summit 2.1% Daggett -1.4% Utah 3.0% Wasatch 4.7% Duchesne-2.1% Uintah-3.7% Juab 4.2% Sanpete 2.1% Carbon-0.2% Emery-1.3%

US and Utah Tax System

Page 41: Zions Bank Economic Overview · 3.1% Salt Lake 1.5% Morgan 3.1% Summit 2.1% Daggett -1.4% Utah 3.0% Wasatch 4.7% Duchesne-2.1% Uintah-3.7% Juab 4.2% Sanpete 2.1% Carbon-0.2% Emery-1.3%

ComponentsofFederalTaxReform• IndividualIncomeTaxes

• Reducefromseventofourtaxbrackets• Doublestandarddeduction– to$24,000formarriedcouples• Increasechildtaxcredit• Eliminatestateandlocaltaxdeduction• Eliminatepersonalexemptions• RepealtheAlternativeMinimumTax– forearners$200kto$1m• Repealtheestatetax– forthosewithnetworthabove$5.5m

• CorporateTaxes• Cutcorporateratefrom35%to20%• Cutratesforsmallbusinessesandpass-throughbusinesses• Switchto“territorialsystem”– whereoverseasprofitstoUScompaniesnolongersubjecttoUStaxes

5/18/173:25AM 41

Page 42: Zions Bank Economic Overview · 3.1% Salt Lake 1.5% Morgan 3.1% Summit 2.1% Daggett -1.4% Utah 3.0% Wasatch 4.7% Duchesne-2.1% Uintah-3.7% Juab 4.2% Sanpete 2.1% Carbon-0.2% Emery-1.3%

Tax Fundamentals

Page 43: Zions Bank Economic Overview · 3.1% Salt Lake 1.5% Morgan 3.1% Summit 2.1% Daggett -1.4% Utah 3.0% Wasatch 4.7% Duchesne-2.1% Uintah-3.7% Juab 4.2% Sanpete 2.1% Carbon-0.2% Emery-1.3%

WhyShouldWeLookatUtahTaxes?

• Oureconomyischangingbutourtaxsystemisnot• We’renolongertaxingwhatpeopleareconsuming• Growthratesinthreemajortaxsystemsarediverging• Increasedrelianceononetaxsystemisleadingtogreatervolatility• Revenuewon’tsupportcurrent“lifestyle”inthelong-run• Complexitycannotbeaddressedthroughcitizeninitiative

• Solution:BroadentheBaseandLowertheRate

5/18/173:25AM 43

Page 44: Zions Bank Economic Overview · 3.1% Salt Lake 1.5% Morgan 3.1% Summit 2.1% Daggett -1.4% Utah 3.0% Wasatch 4.7% Duchesne-2.1% Uintah-3.7% Juab 4.2% Sanpete 2.1% Carbon-0.2% Emery-1.3%
Page 45: Zions Bank Economic Overview · 3.1% Salt Lake 1.5% Morgan 3.1% Summit 2.1% Daggett -1.4% Utah 3.0% Wasatch 4.7% Duchesne-2.1% Uintah-3.7% Juab 4.2% Sanpete 2.1% Carbon-0.2% Emery-1.3%

FutureChallenges• Growing(andAging)Population

• InfrastructureNeeds• Roads• Water• Corrections

• Healthcare• Medicaid

5/18/173:25AM 45

Page 46: Zions Bank Economic Overview · 3.1% Salt Lake 1.5% Morgan 3.1% Summit 2.1% Daggett -1.4% Utah 3.0% Wasatch 4.7% Duchesne-2.1% Uintah-3.7% Juab 4.2% Sanpete 2.1% Carbon-0.2% Emery-1.3%

DesigningaTaxSystem

If you had a blank sheet of paper – if you could start over – what criteria would you use to design the state’s tax system?

Page 47: Zions Bank Economic Overview · 3.1% Salt Lake 1.5% Morgan 3.1% Summit 2.1% Daggett -1.4% Utah 3.0% Wasatch 4.7% Duchesne-2.1% Uintah-3.7% Juab 4.2% Sanpete 2.1% Carbon-0.2% Emery-1.3%

Utah’sTreesofTaxationTransparent

Revenue sufficient

Efficient

Equitable

Simple

Page 48: Zions Bank Economic Overview · 3.1% Salt Lake 1.5% Morgan 3.1% Summit 2.1% Daggett -1.4% Utah 3.0% Wasatch 4.7% Duchesne-2.1% Uintah-3.7% Juab 4.2% Sanpete 2.1% Carbon-0.2% Emery-1.3%
Page 49: Zions Bank Economic Overview · 3.1% Salt Lake 1.5% Morgan 3.1% Summit 2.1% Daggett -1.4% Utah 3.0% Wasatch 4.7% Duchesne-2.1% Uintah-3.7% Juab 4.2% Sanpete 2.1% Carbon-0.2% Emery-1.3%

TheThree-LeggedStoolofTaxation

Property TaxSales Tax

Income Tax

Page 50: Zions Bank Economic Overview · 3.1% Salt Lake 1.5% Morgan 3.1% Summit 2.1% Daggett -1.4% Utah 3.0% Wasatch 4.7% Duchesne-2.1% Uintah-3.7% Juab 4.2% Sanpete 2.1% Carbon-0.2% Emery-1.3%
Page 51: Zions Bank Economic Overview · 3.1% Salt Lake 1.5% Morgan 3.1% Summit 2.1% Daggett -1.4% Utah 3.0% Wasatch 4.7% Duchesne-2.1% Uintah-3.7% Juab 4.2% Sanpete 2.1% Carbon-0.2% Emery-1.3%

HistoryofUtah’sTaxes

Source: Utah Foundation

1849 – Property Tax 1896 – Statehood 1923 – Motor Fuel Tax1931 – Income Tax1933 – Sales Tax1937 – Use Tax1937 – Severance Tax1959 – Revision of the Tax System2007 – Last Round of Tax Reform

Page 52: Zions Bank Economic Overview · 3.1% Salt Lake 1.5% Morgan 3.1% Summit 2.1% Daggett -1.4% Utah 3.0% Wasatch 4.7% Duchesne-2.1% Uintah-3.7% Juab 4.2% Sanpete 2.1% Carbon-0.2% Emery-1.3%
Page 53: Zions Bank Economic Overview · 3.1% Salt Lake 1.5% Morgan 3.1% Summit 2.1% Daggett -1.4% Utah 3.0% Wasatch 4.7% Duchesne-2.1% Uintah-3.7% Juab 4.2% Sanpete 2.1% Carbon-0.2% Emery-1.3%

Utah’sStrongEconomyistheResultofTaxReform

Page 54: Zions Bank Economic Overview · 3.1% Salt Lake 1.5% Morgan 3.1% Summit 2.1% Daggett -1.4% Utah 3.0% Wasatch 4.7% Duchesne-2.1% Uintah-3.7% Juab 4.2% Sanpete 2.1% Carbon-0.2% Emery-1.3%

Utah’s Conditions

Page 55: Zions Bank Economic Overview · 3.1% Salt Lake 1.5% Morgan 3.1% Summit 2.1% Daggett -1.4% Utah 3.0% Wasatch 4.7% Duchesne-2.1% Uintah-3.7% Juab 4.2% Sanpete 2.1% Carbon-0.2% Emery-1.3%

UtahEmploymentbyIndustryasaShareofTotalStateEmployment

Government26%

Farm5%

Mining3%

Construction4%

Manufacturing12%

Transportation &public utilities

5%

Trade20%

Finance, insurance, and real estate

6%

Services 17%

Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis

SIC Industry1969 2001

Government 15%

Farm1% Mining

1% Construction

7%

Manufacturing10%

Transportation & public utilities

5%

Trade 21%

Finance, insurance, and real estate

10%

Services31%

Page 56: Zions Bank Economic Overview · 3.1% Salt Lake 1.5% Morgan 3.1% Summit 2.1% Daggett -1.4% Utah 3.0% Wasatch 4.7% Duchesne-2.1% Uintah-3.7% Juab 4.2% Sanpete 2.1% Carbon-0.2% Emery-1.3%

M ining2%

C o nstruct io n7%

M anufacturing8%

T rade, T rans., Ut ilit ies

17%

Info rmatio n2%

F inancial A ct ivity

10%

P ro fessio nal & B usiness

Services13%

Educatio n & H ealth

Services11%

Leisure & H o spitality

9%Other Services

6%

Go vernment15%

M ining1%

C o nstruct io n6%

M anufacturing8%

Info rmatio n1%

P ro fessio nal & B usiness

Services16%

Educatio n & H ealth

Services24%

Leisure & H o spitality

7%Other Services

5%

Go vernment11%

F inancial A ct ivity

8%

T rade, T rans., Ut ilit ies

13%

Achangingeconomy…

Source: 2005 Baseline Projections, Utah Governor’s Office of Management and Budget

NAICS Industry2005 2050

Page 57: Zions Bank Economic Overview · 3.1% Salt Lake 1.5% Morgan 3.1% Summit 2.1% Daggett -1.4% Utah 3.0% Wasatch 4.7% Duchesne-2.1% Uintah-3.7% Juab 4.2% Sanpete 2.1% Carbon-0.2% Emery-1.3%

ConsumptionisShifting

Page 58: Zions Bank Economic Overview · 3.1% Salt Lake 1.5% Morgan 3.1% Summit 2.1% Daggett -1.4% Utah 3.0% Wasatch 4.7% Duchesne-2.1% Uintah-3.7% Juab 4.2% Sanpete 2.1% Carbon-0.2% Emery-1.3%
Page 59: Zions Bank Economic Overview · 3.1% Salt Lake 1.5% Morgan 3.1% Summit 2.1% Daggett -1.4% Utah 3.0% Wasatch 4.7% Duchesne-2.1% Uintah-3.7% Juab 4.2% Sanpete 2.1% Carbon-0.2% Emery-1.3%

Property Tax

Sales Tax

Income Tax

This can lead to an unbalanced stool.

Page 60: Zions Bank Economic Overview · 3.1% Salt Lake 1.5% Morgan 3.1% Summit 2.1% Daggett -1.4% Utah 3.0% Wasatch 4.7% Duchesne-2.1% Uintah-3.7% Juab 4.2% Sanpete 2.1% Carbon-0.2% Emery-1.3%

GeneralPatternforTotalNonagriculturalWages

1980 1985 1990 1995 2000

0

2

4

6

8

Percentage

(inflation added)Pe

rcen

tage

Cha

nge

Page 61: Zions Bank Economic Overview · 3.1% Salt Lake 1.5% Morgan 3.1% Summit 2.1% Daggett -1.4% Utah 3.0% Wasatch 4.7% Duchesne-2.1% Uintah-3.7% Juab 4.2% Sanpete 2.1% Carbon-0.2% Emery-1.3%

PropertyTax

Page 62: Zions Bank Economic Overview · 3.1% Salt Lake 1.5% Morgan 3.1% Summit 2.1% Daggett -1.4% Utah 3.0% Wasatch 4.7% Duchesne-2.1% Uintah-3.7% Juab 4.2% Sanpete 2.1% Carbon-0.2% Emery-1.3%

SalesandUseTax

Page 63: Zions Bank Economic Overview · 3.1% Salt Lake 1.5% Morgan 3.1% Summit 2.1% Daggett -1.4% Utah 3.0% Wasatch 4.7% Duchesne-2.1% Uintah-3.7% Juab 4.2% Sanpete 2.1% Carbon-0.2% Emery-1.3%

IndividualIncomeTax

Page 64: Zions Bank Economic Overview · 3.1% Salt Lake 1.5% Morgan 3.1% Summit 2.1% Daggett -1.4% Utah 3.0% Wasatch 4.7% Duchesne-2.1% Uintah-3.7% Juab 4.2% Sanpete 2.1% Carbon-0.2% Emery-1.3%

CorporateIncomeTax

Page 65: Zions Bank Economic Overview · 3.1% Salt Lake 1.5% Morgan 3.1% Summit 2.1% Daggett -1.4% Utah 3.0% Wasatch 4.7% Duchesne-2.1% Uintah-3.7% Juab 4.2% Sanpete 2.1% Carbon-0.2% Emery-1.3%

65

IncreasedVolatilityinTaxCollections

Sources:CensusBureau,BEA,Moody’sAnalytics

Standarddeviationofannual%change

Page 66: Zions Bank Economic Overview · 3.1% Salt Lake 1.5% Morgan 3.1% Summit 2.1% Daggett -1.4% Utah 3.0% Wasatch 4.7% Duchesne-2.1% Uintah-3.7% Juab 4.2% Sanpete 2.1% Carbon-0.2% Emery-1.3%
Page 67: Zions Bank Economic Overview · 3.1% Salt Lake 1.5% Morgan 3.1% Summit 2.1% Daggett -1.4% Utah 3.0% Wasatch 4.7% Duchesne-2.1% Uintah-3.7% Juab 4.2% Sanpete 2.1% Carbon-0.2% Emery-1.3%

Year-OverPercentChangeinUtah’sSales&UseTaxBase

(0.15)

(0.10)

(0.05)

0.00

0.05

0.10

0.15

0.2019

78.4

1979

.419

80.4

1981

.419

82.4

1983

.419

84.4

1985

.419

86.4

1987

.419

88.4

1989

.419

90.4

1991

.419

92.4

1993

.419

94.4

1995

.419

96.4

1997

.419

98.4

1999

.420

00.4

2001

.420

02.3

2003

.420

04.4

2005

.420

06.4

2007

.420

08.4

2009

.420

10.4

2011

.420

12.4

Page 68: Zions Bank Economic Overview · 3.1% Salt Lake 1.5% Morgan 3.1% Summit 2.1% Daggett -1.4% Utah 3.0% Wasatch 4.7% Duchesne-2.1% Uintah-3.7% Juab 4.2% Sanpete 2.1% Carbon-0.2% Emery-1.3%
Page 69: Zions Bank Economic Overview · 3.1% Salt Lake 1.5% Morgan 3.1% Summit 2.1% Daggett -1.4% Utah 3.0% Wasatch 4.7% Duchesne-2.1% Uintah-3.7% Juab 4.2% Sanpete 2.1% Carbon-0.2% Emery-1.3%
Page 70: Zions Bank Economic Overview · 3.1% Salt Lake 1.5% Morgan 3.1% Summit 2.1% Daggett -1.4% Utah 3.0% Wasatch 4.7% Duchesne-2.1% Uintah-3.7% Juab 4.2% Sanpete 2.1% Carbon-0.2% Emery-1.3%

StateandLocalSales&Use,IndividualIncome,andPropertyTaxRevenues

FY1970toFY2014

$0.0

$0.5

$1.0

$1.5

$2.0

$2.5

$3.0

$3.519

7019

7219

7419

7619

7819

8019

8219

8419

8619

8819

9019

9219

9419

9619

9820

0020

0220

0420

0620

0820

1020

1220

14

Billion

s

IndividualIncomeTax

SalesandUse- StateandLocal

Property

Page 71: Zions Bank Economic Overview · 3.1% Salt Lake 1.5% Morgan 3.1% Summit 2.1% Daggett -1.4% Utah 3.0% Wasatch 4.7% Duchesne-2.1% Uintah-3.7% Juab 4.2% Sanpete 2.1% Carbon-0.2% Emery-1.3%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80%

SalesTaxBaseasa%ofUtahGDPSalesTaxBaseasa%ofUtahPersonalIncome

Sales&UseTaxBaseGrossTaxableSalesasa%ofGDPandPersonalIncome

Overthelongterm,thesalesandusetaxbaseisgraduallydecliningrelativetotheeconomyasawhole.

Page 72: Zions Bank Economic Overview · 3.1% Salt Lake 1.5% Morgan 3.1% Summit 2.1% Daggett -1.4% Utah 3.0% Wasatch 4.7% Duchesne-2.1% Uintah-3.7% Juab 4.2% Sanpete 2.1% Carbon-0.2% Emery-1.3%
Page 73: Zions Bank Economic Overview · 3.1% Salt Lake 1.5% Morgan 3.1% Summit 2.1% Daggett -1.4% Utah 3.0% Wasatch 4.7% Duchesne-2.1% Uintah-3.7% Juab 4.2% Sanpete 2.1% Carbon-0.2% Emery-1.3%
Page 74: Zions Bank Economic Overview · 3.1% Salt Lake 1.5% Morgan 3.1% Summit 2.1% Daggett -1.4% Utah 3.0% Wasatch 4.7% Duchesne-2.1% Uintah-3.7% Juab 4.2% Sanpete 2.1% Carbon-0.2% Emery-1.3%

Changingpurchasingpatterns• Goodsbecomingrelativelycheaper• Agingpopulation• Moreservicesarebeingpurchased• Costofmedicalservicesoutpacinginflation• Sharingeconomy

Remotetransactions

Technologicalchange• Digitizationofgoods(software,books,music)

Legislatedexemptions

Sources: “E-Commerce in the Context of Declining State Sales Tax Bases”Donald Bruce & William Fox. National Tax Journal. Vol. LII No. 4, Part 3.

Whyisthebaseshrinking?

Page 75: Zions Bank Economic Overview · 3.1% Salt Lake 1.5% Morgan 3.1% Summit 2.1% Daggett -1.4% Utah 3.0% Wasatch 4.7% Duchesne-2.1% Uintah-3.7% Juab 4.2% Sanpete 2.1% Carbon-0.2% Emery-1.3%

TaxReformOptions• Salestaxonfood• LocalOptionSalesandUseTaxes• Exemptions• Earmarking• TransportationFunding• ExpandingTaxesonServices• BetterEnforcementofUseTaxonRemotePurchases• SingleSalesFactoronCorporateTaxes• Increasedemphasisofuserfees• Reducetaxesonbusinessinputs• Focusontaxingfinalconsumption• Earnedincometaxcredit

Page 76: Zions Bank Economic Overview · 3.1% Salt Lake 1.5% Morgan 3.1% Summit 2.1% Daggett -1.4% Utah 3.0% Wasatch 4.7% Duchesne-2.1% Uintah-3.7% Juab 4.2% Sanpete 2.1% Carbon-0.2% Emery-1.3%

BenefitsofReform

• Increasedstability• Reducedrisk• Greatercertainty• GreaterabilitytofundneededgovernmentprogramsintheGeneralFund

Page 77: Zions Bank Economic Overview · 3.1% Salt Lake 1.5% Morgan 3.1% Summit 2.1% Daggett -1.4% Utah 3.0% Wasatch 4.7% Duchesne-2.1% Uintah-3.7% Juab 4.2% Sanpete 2.1% Carbon-0.2% Emery-1.3%
Page 78: Zions Bank Economic Overview · 3.1% Salt Lake 1.5% Morgan 3.1% Summit 2.1% Daggett -1.4% Utah 3.0% Wasatch 4.7% Duchesne-2.1% Uintah-3.7% Juab 4.2% Sanpete 2.1% Carbon-0.2% Emery-1.3%

RobertSpendloveEconomicandPublicPolicyOfficer

Email:[email protected]:801-560-5394

ZionsBank,ADivisionofZB,N.A.MemberFDIC.

Contentisofferedforinformationalpurposesonlyandshouldnotbeconstruedastax,legal,financialorbusinessadvice.Pleasecontactaprofessionalaboutyourspecificneedsandadvice.Contentmaycontaintrademarksortradenamesownedbypartieswhoarenot affiliated

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