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CHARLES UNIVERSITY IN PRAGUE
FACULTY OF SOCIAL SCIENCES
INSTITUTE OF POLITICAL SCIENCE
Bachelor thesis
2012 Lenka Barbora Olejníková
CHARLES UNIVERSITY IN PRAGUE
FACULTY OF SOCIAL SCIENCES
INSTITUTE OF POLITICAL SCIENCE
Lenka Barbora Olejníková
Democratic Peace in Theory and Practice
Bachelor thesis
Prague 2012
Democratic Peace in Theory and Practice
Author: Lenka Barbora Olejníková
Supervisor: PhDr. Jan Karlas M.A., Ph.D.
Year: 2012
Democratic Peace in Theory and Practice
Bibliographic entry
OLEJNÍKOVÁ, Lenka. Democratic Peace in Theory and Practice. Prague, 2012.
Bachelor thesis (Bc.). Charles University in Prague. Faculty of Social Sciences.
Institute of Political Science. Department of International Relations. Supervisor
PhDr. Jan Karlas M.A., Ph.D.
Abstrakt
Bakalářská práce s názvem „Demokratický mír v teorii a praxi“ usiluje o to,
představit Teorii demokratického míru jako teorii mezinárodních vztahů
s praktickým významem pro současnou politickou praxi. Teorie demokratického
míru bude nejprve analyzována jako součást širší liberální tradice v oboru Teorie
mezinárodních vztahů. Následovat bude výzkum, jakou má Teorie
Demokratického míru přesnou souvislost s používanými nástroji mezinárodní
politiky. Hlavním cílem práce je komplexní analýza povahy Teorie
Demokratického míru s důrazem na její potenciální vliv na běžnou politickou
praxi mezinárodních vztahů.
Abstract
The thesis “Democratic Peace in Theory and Practice” aims to present the
Democratic Peace Theory as an international relations theory with a practical
significance for the political practice. The Democratic Peace Theory will be first
analysed as a part of a broad liberal tradition of International Relations Theory,
and then particular ways of how the theory is empirically related to the
practices of international politics will be examined. The main objective of the
thesis is the analysis of the complex nature of the Democratic Peace Theory
with the emphasis on the potentiality of the theory to have larger political
impact.
Democratic Peace in Theory and Practice
Klíčová slova
Teorie demokratického míru, liberalismus, realismus, konstruktivismus, podporademokracie, liberální intervence, Irák.
Key words
Democratic Peace Theory, liberalism, realism, constructivism, democracypromotion, liberal interventionism, Iraq.
96 901 characters, 51 pages
Democratic Peace in Theory and Practice
Prohlášení:
Prohlašuji, že jsem předkládanou práci zpracovala samostatně a použila jen
uvedené prameny a literaturu. Dále prohlašuji, že tato práce nebyla použita pro
získání jiného titulu. Současně dávám svolení k tomu, aby tato práce byla
zpřístupněna v příslušné knihovně Univerzity Karlovy a prostřednictvím
elektronické databáze vysokoškolských kvalifikačních prací v repositáři
Univerzity Karlovy a používána ke studijním účelům v souladu s autorským
právem.
V Praze dne 18. května 2012 Lenka Barbora Olejníková
Democratic Peace in Theory and Practice
I would like to express my gratitude to my supervisor PhDr. Jan Karlas
M.A., Ph.D. whose patience, advice and guidance were indispensable to
creating this bachelor thesis.-
Democratic Peace in Theory and Practice
Vymezení tématu
Základy fenoménu demokratického míru leží ještě před vznikem oboru
Mezinárodní vztahy, v politické filosofii Immanuela Kanta, konkrétně v jeho
přesvědčení, že republikánský typ vlády představuje základní podmínku pro
naplnění ideje „věčného míru“. V průběhu 70. a 80. let se tato idea
transformovala v rámci liberálního proudu do podoby relevantní teorie
mezinárodních vztahů. Existují dva základní přístupy k Teorii demokratického
míru (TDM). Monadická verze vychází z předpokladu, že demokratické režimy
jsou už ze své podstaty méně bojechtivé a tudíž vedou obecně méně válek než
režimy nedemokratické. Dyadický přístup na druhou stranu tvrdí, že nelze říci, že
by demokracie válčily obecně méně než nedemokracie, ale velmi zřídka, pokud
vůbec válčí mezi sebou (Chan 1997, 61). V následujícím desetiletí byla tato
teorie podrobena tvrdé kritice ze strany zastánců realismu a zároveň byla
důkladně testována teoretiky mezinárodních vztahů. Výsledkem tohoto
testování bylo empirické potvrzení dyadické verze TDM. Dnes je teorie
akademiky více méně uznávána a přijímána. Nadále také zůstává výrazným
tématem debaty v rámci oboru Mírová studia potažmo liberalismu v oboru
Teorie mezinárodních vztahů. Mezi nejznámější autory, zabývající se TDM, patří
například Michael W. Doyle, Steve Chan nebo Nils-Petter Gleditsch, z jejichž
výzkumných prací budu vycházet.
Význam TDM podtrhuje fakt, že byla určitým způsobem reflektována
mezinárodně politickými aktéry a stala se tak součástí zahraničně politické praxe
mnoha států. A to v podobě víry, že podpora demokratizace a šíření
demokratických norem na úrovni jednotlivých státu, povede k celkovému
upevnění spolupráce a míru v mezinárodních vztazích.
Institut Politologických Studií
Projekt bakalářské práce: Demokratický mír: teorie a praxe
Democratic Peace in Theory and Practice
Cíle práce
Tato práce je rozdělena do dvou základních tematických částí a přirozeně
tedy bude obsahovat více dílčích cílů.
Nejprve se budu zabývat samotnou TDM. Mým záměrem je nejen analyzovat
různé přístupy k demokratickému míru, ale také určit význam a místo teorie
v rámci liberalismu a poté se jí pokusit dosadit do kontextu současné debaty
v oboru Teorie mezinárodních vztahů.
V druhé části práce budu zkoumat reálné implikace TDM v mezinárodních
vztazích. Za cíl si kladu zhodnocení vlivu idejí demokratického míru na
mezinárodně politickou realitu. Takovéto zhodnocení významu TDM podle
mého názoru v odborné literatuře chybí a vidím v něm hlavní přidanou hodnotu
této práce.
Výzkumná otázka
Z důvodu několika zkoumaných oblastí považuji za nutné formulovat více
výzkumných otázek. „Jakou pozici zaujímá Teorie demokratického míru v rámci
liberálního přístupu v oboru Teorie mezinárodních vztahů?“ „Jaké jsou konkrétní
dopady TDM na mezinárodně politickou realitu?“ „Přispívá demokratická
intervence k naplnění teze demokratického míru?“
Metoda výzkumu
Jak už bylo řečeno, první část se bude soustředit na rozbor TDM. Pomocí
obsahové analýzy statí publikovaných v odborných periodikách popíši hlavní
názorové proudy a pojetí demokratického míru, a poté se zaměřím na hlavní
body kritiky této teorie z pohledu více teoretických přístupů, zejména ale
z realistického hlediska. Co se týče určení významu TDM v rámci liberalismu,
Democratic Peace in Theory and Practice
budu brát v potaz především výchozí předpoklady institucionalismu,
funkcionalismu a teorie interdependence.
Druhá část práce bude analyzovat použití tezí demokratického míru
v zahraničně politických akcích demokratických států a jejich dopad na
mezinárodní realitu v období po druhé světové válce.
Jako projev TDM v mezinárodní politice zde bude zkoumáno šíření
demokratických norem a podpora demokratických institucí uskutečňované ve
dvou rovinách. Za prvé jsou to nenásilné diplomatické akce demokratických
států na úrovni jednotlivých států a na mezinárodní úrovni, tedy na půdě
Organizace spojených národů a jiných mezinárodních organizací. Druhou rovinu
tvoří cesta násilné demokratizace v podobě vojenských intervencí vedených
liberálními státy ve jménu šíření demokracie a svobody. Gleditsch pro to užívá
termín „demokratický intervencionismus“ (Gleditsch, Nils,Håvard 2007). Cílem
zde není obsáhnout všechny případy demokratických intervencí po roce 1945.
Ale na několika případech v období před a po skončení Studené války analyzovat
následující skutečnosti: motivace intervenujícího státu/ů k intervenci (míra
zdůvodnění ozbrojeného aktu pomocí tezí TDM), charakteristika režimu
intervenovaného státu a následky intervence na něj.
Ze získaných informací se potom pokusím formulovat důsledky použití
demokratické intervence na nedemokratické režimy „přijímajících“ států a míru
uskutečnění demokratizačních motivů intervenujících států.
Výzkum bude rozdělen do dvou časových úseků, kdy hlavní dělicí čarou bude
konec Studené války z důvodu zásadní změny mezinárodní reality po rozpadu
bipolárního systému v mezinárodních vztazích.
Výsledným výstupem by mělo být obecné zhodnocení role Teorie
demokratického míru a použití jejich tezí v mezinárodních vztazích.
Democratic Peace in Theory and Practice
Předpokládaná osnova práce:
1. Cíle a použité metody práce
2. Teorie demokratického míru
2.1. Monadický demokratický mír
2.2. Dyadický demokratický mír
3. Kritika TDM
4. Liberalismus a TDM
5. TDM a jeho role v Teoriích mezinárodních vztahů
6. Ideje TDM v zahraniční politice států
6.1. Nenásilná podpora demokratizace ve světě
6.2. Demokratické intervence
7. Závěr
Democratic Peace in Theory and Practice
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Chan, Steve. 1993. "Democracy and War: Some Thoughts On Future ResearchAgenda." International Interactions 18 (3, 1993): 205-213.
Chan, Steve. 1997. “In Search Of Democratic Peace: Problems and Promise.”Mershon International Studies Review (41:1 May) 59-91.
de Mesquita, Bruce Bueno, Dosna, Georgie W.. 2006. „ Intervention andDemocracy.“ International Organization, 627-649.
Doyle, Michael W. 1986. “Liberalism and World Politics.” American PoliticalScience Review (80:4 December) 1151-1169.
Eriksson, Mikael; Peter Wallensteen & Margareta Sollenberg, 2003. „ArmedConflict, 1989–2002.“ Journal of Peace Research 40(5): 593–607.
Forsythe, David P. 1992. “Democracy, War, and Covert Action.” Journal Of PeaceResearch (29:4 November) 385-3.
Gartzke, Erik, “Preferences and The Democratic Peace,” In: International StudiesQuarterly Jg. 44, Nr. 2, 2000, S. 191-212.
Gates, Scott; Håvard Hegre, Mark Jones & Håvard Strand, 2007. ‘DemocraticWaves? War, New States, and Global Patterns of Democracy, 1800–2000’, paperpresented to the National Political Science Conference, 3–5 january 2007,Trondheim, Norway
Gleditsch, Nils Petter & Håvard Hegre, 1997. „Peace and Democracy: ThreeLevels of Analysis“,Journal of Conflict Resolution 41(2): 283–310.
Gleditsch, Nils Petter & Håvard Hegre, 2007. „Demmocratic Jihad? MilitaryIntervention and Democracy“ World Bank Policy Research Working Paper 4242.
Gleditsch, Nils-Petter. 1992. “Focus On: Democracy and Peace.” Journal OfPeace Research (29:4) 369-376.
Haas, Michael. 1995. “When Democracies Fight One Another: Just What Is ThePunishment For Disobeying The Law?” Paper Presented To The Annual
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Convention Of The American Political Science Association, Chicago, Il, 1Septemberhttp://www.prio.no/page/preview/preview/9429/49378.html
Jaggers, Keith and Ted Robert Gurr (1996) ‘Tracking Democracy’s Third Wavewiththe Polity III Data’, Journal of Peace Research 32: 469–82.
Jervis, Robert (2002) ‘Theories of War in an Era of Leading-Power Peace’,AmericanPolitical Science Review 96(1): 1–14.
Kegley, Charles W. Jr. and Margaret Hermann. 1995. “Military Intervention andThe Democratic Peace.” International Interactions (21:1) 1-21.
Kegley, Charles W. Jr. and Margaret Hermann. 1996. “How Democracies UseIntervention: A Neglected Dimension In The Studies Of The Democratic Peace.”Journal Of Peace Research (33:3 August) 309-322.
Kegley, Charles W. Jr., and Margaret Hermann.1997. “Putting MilitaryIntervention Into The Democratic Peace.” Comparative Political Studies (30) 78-107.
Lektzian, David, Souva, Mark. 2009. „A Komparative Tudory Test of DemocraticPeace Arguments, 1946-2000.“ Journal of Peace Research (46:1), 17-37.
MacMillan, John. 2003. „Betone the Separate Democratic Peace.“ Journal OfPeace Research (40:2) 233-243.
Maoz, Zeev, and Bruce Russett. 1993. “Normative and Structural Causes Of TheDemocratic Peace, 1946-1986.” American Political Science Review (87:3September) 624-638.
Maoz, Zeev, and Nasrin Abdolali. "Regime Types and International Conflict,1816-1976." Journal of Conflict Resolution (March 1989), Pp. 3-35.
Meernik, James, 1996. „United States Military Intervention and the Promotionof Democrac.“ Journal of Peace Research 33(4): 391–401.
NATO (2004) Briefing: Bringing peace and stability to the Balkans.http://www.nato.int/docu/briefing/balkans/html_en/balkans07.html
Owen, John 1994. “How Liberalism Produces Democratic Peace.” InternationalSecurity (19:2 Fall) 87-125.
Democratic Peace in Theory and Practice
Pickering, Jeffrey, J., 1999. „The Structural Shape of Force: InterstateIntervention in the Zones of Peace and Turmoil, 1946–1996.“ InternationalInteraction 25(4): 363–391.
Ray, James L., 1995. Democracy and International Conflict: An Evaluation of theDemocratic Peace Proposition. Columbia, SC: University of South Carolina Press.
Reuveny, Rafael and Quan Li (2003) ‘The Joint Democracy–Dyadic ConflictNexus: A Simultaneous Equations Model’, International Studies Quarterly 47(3):325–46.
Risse-Kappen, Thomas. 1995. “Democratic Peace–Warlike Democracies? ASocial Constructivist Interpretation Of The Liberal Argument.” European JournalOf International Relations (1:4 December) 491-518.
Rousseau, David L., Christopher Gelpi, Dan Reiter, and Paul Huth. 1996.“Assessing The Dyadic Nature Of The Democratic Peace." American PoliticalScience Review 90/3 (September) 512-533.
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Rummel, R.J. "Libertarianism, Violence Within States, and The PolarityPrinciple," Comparative Politics 16 (July 1984b): 443-62.Russett, Bruce, 1993. „Grasping the Democratic Peace: Principles for a Post-ColdWar World“. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press
Russett, Bruce, and John Oneal. 2001. Triangulating Peace: Democracy,Interdependence, and International Organizations. New York, NY: W. W. Norton& Co.
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Democratic Peace in Theory and Practice
Contents:
1. Introduction...............................................................................................1
2. Democratic peace in theory...................................................................... 3
2.1. The Democratic Peace Theory as a part of Liberalism........................4
2.2. Democratic peace in Immanuel Kant’s philosophy.............................8
2.3. The democratic peace proposition..................................................... 10
2.3.1. The monadic hypothesis........................................................... 12
2.3.2. The dyadic hypothesis...............................................................14
2.4. The Democratic Peace Theory and its critics...................................... 21
3. Democratic peace in practice.................................................................... 27
3.1. Implications of the democratic peace............................................... 29
3.1.1. Non-military democracy promotion............................. .......... 30
3.1.2. Military democracy promotion.............................................. 32
3.1.2.1. Humanitarian interventions - the case of Kosovo
and Libya............................................................................. 35
3.1.2.2. The invasion of Iraq....................................................... 38
3.2. Democratic peace and democracy promotion practices.................... 40
3.3. From theory to practice...................................................................... 41
4. Conclusion........................................................................................... 43
5. Bibliography......................................................................................... 46
Democratic Peace in Theory and Practice
1
1. Introduction
Since the articulation of the core assumptions in the 1980s the
Democratic Peace Theory (DPT) has become a prominent field of study
within the liberal tradition of International Relations Theory (IRT). The
emblematic statement - “Democracies do not fight each other” - has
reached almost pop-cultural popularity with the general public and
democratic policy makers.
The perception of democracies as inherently more peace-prone seems to
become firmly embedded in the political discourse, and political actions of
western democracies. The democracy promotion practices have become
common foreign policy tools of democracies, and international
organisations with explicit reference to the prospect of peace that
democratisation brings. The connection between democracy promotion and
the DPT is apparent as the former follows the inherent logic of the latter.
The DP scholarship has been predominantly concerned with establishing
and explaining peace amongst democracies. However, coercive forms of
democracy promotion, particularly military intervention has proven to be
linked to the DP research. It is the invasion in Iraq that seemed to call the
whole DP scholarship into question when the DPT was explicitly articulated
as the theoretical foundation for the justification of the invasion.
The main objective of the thesis is to present the DPT as an international
relations theory with a practical significance for the political practice. The
DPT will be first analysed as a part of a broad liberal tradition of IRT, and
then particular ways of how the DPT is empirically related to the practices of
international politics will be examined.
Democratic Peace in Theory and Practice
2
The analysis of the complex nature of the DPT with the emphasis on the
potentiality of the DPT to have larger political impact is the main
contribution of the thesis to the field of IRT.
Particular questions which my research addresses are: “How is the DPT
translated into political practice?” and “To what extent are the DP ideas
used for war-waging purposes?”
The method applied in the thesis is the analysis of the content of original
literature. The method is largely descriptive, yet necessary for the scope of
the thesis. The range of the literature used is broad; qualitative and
quantitative analyses theoretically covering the core arguments of both,
proponents, and critics of the DPT; democracy promotion practices;
democratic war involvement, case studies focused on interventions in
Kosovo, Libya, and Iraq; and relation between theory and practice.
The thesis consists of two main parts, which focuses on different sides of
the DPT – theoretical and practical.
The first part presents the theoretical underpinning of the DPT. The aim
is, however, not to give an exhaustingly thorough overview of the DP
research but rather to offer a coherent analysis of the core arguments that
constitute the DP scholarship. The essential literature of the most influential
DP theorists will be used for this purpose; e.g. Immanuel Kant (as the author
of the philosophical roots of the theory), Michael Doyle, Joseph Rummel,
Bruce Russett, and John Owen.
Furthermore, the main critical arguments will be presented, originating
from other IRT approaches – realism, and social constructivism.
After setting the theoretical grounds of the DPT, the focus will be shifted
to the second part of the thesis; analysing the practical political significance
of the theory. The link between the DPT and the democracy promotion
practices will be explicated by further analysing the types of practices’. The
Democratic Peace in Theory and Practice
3
democracy promotion practices are divided into two categories; non-
military, and military practices. Special attention is dedicated to the latter,
examining the use of military interventions in the name of liberal aims,
including democratisation.
Two cases of humanitarian interventions, only in a general overview, will
then be presented in order to demonstrate democratisation as part of post-
conflict reconstruction within the invaded country. The intervention in Iraq
will be presented separately as a single case of democratic intervention with
the main goal to impose democratic regime by force through the misuse of
the assumptions of the DP research.
The second chapter ends with an analysis of the theoretical debate
among the DP scholars over the general implications of the IR theories for
political practice.
2. Democratic peace in theory
Michael W. Doyle states that “liberal states are different. They are
indeed peaceful” (Doyle 1986, 1151). It was he who drew the most
attention to formulating of the democratic peace proposition in the early
1980s. His articles “Kant, Liberal Legacies and Foreign Affairs” (1983) and
“Liberalism and the World Politics” (1986) are regarded as the seminal
works for the newly established Democratic Peace Theory that became one
of the most dynamic, tested, supported and criticised strands of liberal
international theory in the post war era. Bruce Russett claims that “this is
one of the strongest nontrivial and nontautological generalizations that can
be made about international relations” (Russett 1990, 123).
In this chapter I trace the emergence of the Democratic Peace Theory
within the realm of Liberalism, analyze its key features and assumptions and
Democratic Peace in Theory and Practice
4
outline the main arguments that have been made by realist and other
opponents of the theory.
2.1. The Democratic Peace Theory as a part of Liberalism
Liberalism1 represents, besides Realism and Marxism, one of the
dominant traditions in political thought and international relations theory.
There is a literature, commonly associated with Liberalism, that covers over
three centuries whose authors had been mainly political philosophers,
thinkers and political economists. After the First World War and the
emergence of the discipline of International Relations2, International
Relations Theory (IRT) as a separate academic field of study began to take
shape. Emphasis was placed on formulating an autonomous theory of
international politics by drawing a distinction between the international and
other realms of social reality (Smith 1995, 9).
Liberalism does not provide any single theory; it is rather regarded as
multifaceted and complex. However, by following the literature it is possible
to identify the core assumptions about international reality; the individual
as the main actor, possibility of international cooperation and belief in
progress in international relations.
Liberalism considers individuals as the relevant and fundamental actors
of politics (Keohane 1990, 174, Moravcsik 1992, 6, Zacher and Matthew
1995, 118). Society comes prior to politics and the state since individuals
having their own interests and identities form social groups and
organisations to pursue their social and political goals (Moravcsik 1992, 7).
Interactions of such social aggregations determine state policies and the
1 Liberalism is used in terms of liberal international theory and it does not refer to liberalpolitical thinking before establishing of the discipline of International Relations.2 The formal establishment of International relations is usually dated back to the foundation ofthe first Department of International Politics – the Woodrow Wilson Chair at Aberystwyth in1919, followed by the London School of Economics in 1923 andinstitutions like Royal Institute of Foreign Affairs in London or Council on Foreign Relations inNew York.
Democratic Peace in Theory and Practice
5
state is perceived as a collective actor. World politics from the liberal point
of view is a conjunction of domestic and transnational activities of non-state
actors along with actions of states (Keohane 1990, 174).
Interest in explanations of international cooperation is often taken as a
distinctive characteristic of liberals. Cooperation among states is most
desirable as it maximises the benefits of international interactions and
increases economic efficiency. It is driven by states’ mutual interests that
are derived from interests of individuals and then shaped by international
system (Zacher and Matthew 1995, 109-110, 117). Factors facilitating the
possibility of international cooperation such as international trade and
commerce, international law, international institutions, or shared political
norms and institutions can be recognised as objects of study.
Liberals believe “in at least the possibility of cumulative progress”
(Keohane 1990, 174) towards greater human freedom in terms of general
improvement of the conditions of humankind. It is not just international
relations that are progressing over time. Interests of states are changing as
interests and relations between individuals and aggregations of individuals
evolve. The driving force of international progress is the process of
modernisation that began with the scientific and liberal intellectual
revolution in the eighteenth century. Various aspects of modernisation -
liberal democracy, commercial and military international
interdependencies, cognitive progress, international sociological
integration, and international institutions - are the driving forces of
transformation of international relations. Liberal scholars differ in what
element of modernisation they stress the importance of in terms of the
extent of the effect on international relations (Zacher and Matthew 1995,
110, 116-117). Belief in progress also represents the main dividing line
between liberalism and realism as realism perceives history as being cyclical
Democratic Peace in Theory and Practice
6
(Waever 2005, 17). Increasing cooperation among states is seen as a feature
and effect of the transformation of international relations.
As mentioned above, Liberalism does not represent a coherent
theoretical school. Instead, several strands of liberal international theory3
can be recognised; strands sharing the central assumptions and
differentiating in what aspects they focus and built their hypothesis on.
Following the listed facets of modernisation, six main post-war liberal
strands can be distinguished; Republican, Commercial, Military, Cognitive,
Sociological and Institutional4. Three of these strands, Commercial,
Institutional and Republican, are commonly agreed as being classical since
they are rooted in liberal political thought whereas the others are mostly
products of the twentieth century. All of them, however, are not
inconsistent with each other; they are rather interrelated and non-
competitive as they explore distinct aspects of international reality (Zacher
and Matthew 1995, 120-122, 139-140).
Commercial liberalism affirms the impact of economic exchanges on
international relations and the actions of states are based on economic
interests. The consequences of trade are regarded in positive terms as
unconstrained private economic activities that have the ability to generate
mutual gains in terms of increasing greater economic welfare. The desire for
economic welfare can then reduce the willingness of a society to get
involved in war. This assumption rests on classic liberal economic theory
that posits that free trade and commercial capitalism have pacifying effects
3 I use the term liberal international theory as a general term which encompasses varioustheories of international relations that share the core liberal assumptions and thus can beregarded as liberal. I do not refer in any case to an Andrew Moravcsik’s Liberal internationaltheory.4 I follow the Zacher and Matthew list of the main liberal strands but there is no generalagreement on such a list. Different authors distinguish different strands of Liberalism whichthey sometimes label with different names. For example, Moravcsik and Keohane use a termRegulatory liberalism instead of Institutional liberalism.
Democratic Peace in Theory and Practice
7
worldwide (Keohane 1990, 174, Moravcsik 1992, 25-26, Zacher and
Matthew 1995, 124). Perception of the impact of international commerce
has significantly changed during the twentieth century. Instead of stressing
the causal relationship between international free trade and peace, most of
the post-war commercial liberals5 have focused on the effect of economic
interdependence as the basis for international cooperation. “Power and
Interdependence” (1977) by Joseph Nye and Robert Keohan, in which the
concept of complex interdependence is set forth, is of crucial importance
for the further development of this area.
International institutions as independent variables are the primary focus
of Institutional liberalism that was established in response to a growing
number of international institutions and regimes in the last century. The
establishment and development of institutions is dependent on the extent
to which states share the same interests, values and beliefs. Institutions are
believed to have a positive impact on international reality by “improving the
quality of information, reducing transaction costs, facilitating tradeoffs
among issue-areas, facilitating enforcement of accords, and enhancing
states’ ethical concerns” (Zacher and Matthew 1995, 136). Key figures of
Institutional liberalism are David Mitrany (Functionalism), Ernst Haas
(Neofunctionalism), John G. Ruggie and Robert Keohane (neo-liberal
institutionalism).
For Republican Liberalism, liberal democracy constitutes the key element
of the transformation of international relations. Liberal democracy is
considered as an independent variable for growing cooperation and gradual
pacification of international relations. The apparent absence of war
between democracies has become known as ‘democratic peace’ (DP) and
according to Jack Levy “it comes as close as anything we have to an
5 Richard Cooper, Edward Morse, Richard Rosecrance and M.C. Webb amongst others.
Democratic Peace in Theory and Practice
8
empirical law in international relations”6. Regime type analysis was
recognised as the main contribution of Republican liberalism to the field of
IRT. It takes into account such variables as “representative institutions,
elites and leadership dynamics, and executive-legislative relations”
(Moravcsik 2008, 235). The Democratic Peace Theory (DPT) has unarguably
breathed a new life into liberal international theory.
2.2. Democratic peace in Immanuel Kant’s philosophy
As it was already mentioned in the beginning of the chapter, the
formulation of the democratic peace proposition took place in the 1980s. It
was related to rediscovering and reinterpreting the political philosophy of
Immanuel Kant which itself is more than two hundred years old but yet still
current.
Kant was concerned with defining the circumstances under which
perpetual peace among states and nations would be possible. He described
such circumstances in quite a short essay entitled “Towards Perpetual
Peace: A Philosophical Sketch” and consists of several parts; preliminary
articles, definitive articles and supplements that all together create a
metaphorical treaty by which acceptance of perpetual peace would be
established once and for all. Democratic peace proponents are, however,
concerned mainly with the definitive articles that appear to be closely
related to today’s notion of liberal democracy.
Before setting out the three definitive articles, Kant outlines the general
conditions of international relations using the Hobbesian concept of the
state of nature, i.e. a state without external authority or laws which is
6 Jack S. Levy (1989) “Domestic Politics and War”. In: Robert I. Rotberg and Theodore K. Rabb(eds.). The Origin and Prevention of Major Wars. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. p.88.
Democratic Peace in Theory and Practice
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defined as a state of war. “Hence the state of peace must be established”
(Kant 1795 [2006], 72-73). Kant recognises only two forms of government;
despotic and republican and the latter is acknowledged as the only one with
potential to eventually lead to perpetual peace. A republican form of
government requires a representative system based on the separation of
executive and legislative power. Citizens of a republic are seen as subjects
to the common legislation under which all are equal. A republic is
guaranteed by a republican constitution whose fundamental principle is the
freedom of all people as human beings with freedom defined in a negative
manner. The peace-proneness of republics lies in an assumption that
citizens being the subjects of legislation would have to give the government
their consent to enter the war with other states which becomes very
unlikely as they are the ones who suffer the consequences of war (Kant
1795 [2006], 74-78).
In the second definitive article, federalism is identified as the
fundamental principle of international law. Drawing a parallel between
people and states, Kant calls for the creation of a ‘federation of peace. Such
a federation would secure maintaining the freedom and peaceful relations
among states that, constrained by their own civil constitutions, would
remain at peace with one another. The federation would “gradually
encompass all states and thereby lead to perpetual peace” (Kant 1795
[2006], 78-80).
Perpetual peace must also be supplemented with a cosmopolitan right
that says that everyone should be treated with hospitality when being on
another’ territory as all humans have the same right of common possession
of the surface of the earth (Kant 1795 [2006], 82-85).
Michael W. Doyle in his 1983 articles brought Kant’s proposition of
perpetual peace back to life when he took Kant’s premises and applied
Democratic Peace in Theory and Practice
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them to contemporary international relations. He claimed that pacification
is the fundamental principle characterising relations among liberal states.
There is a ‘zone of peace’, similar to ‘federation of peace’, that has been
gradually established among liberal states since the beginning of the
eighteen century. There is thereby a prospect of global peace as the number
of liberal states has been constantly growing (Doyle 1986, 1155-1156).
2.3. The democratic peace proposition
The central assumption made by Doyle is that democracies rarely if ever
go to war with one another and liberalism was recognised as a possible
source of this peacefulness. Doyle was not the first one who argued for the
idea of democratic peace, e.g. Dean Babst in “A Force for peace” (1972),
Melvin Small and David Singer in their study “The War-proneness of
Democratic Regimes” (1976) and especially Rudolph Rummel in the article
“Libertarianism and International Violence” (1983) made a similar
assumption when linking regime type to propensity to a war-like foreign
policy. It was Doyle, however, who drew the most attention of international
scholars to the new phenomenon. A series of intense debates followed and
the DPT became the most discussed liberal international theory of the
1990s.
Even though this field of study is generally called the Democratic Peace
Theory, in fact no single coherent theory covering the whole field has been
set forth. There is rather a set of hypotheses and theoretical assumptions
about the DP proposition. The main dividing line in the DP scholarship lies
between the monadic and dyadic versions of the DPT. The difference can be
summarised with one simple question: are democratic states more peaceful
Democratic Peace in Theory and Practice
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than non-democratic states in general or are democracies peace-prone only
to each other?
Another distinction is created by different recognition of what accounts
for causal logic of the democratic peace, e.g. norms, institutions, or
information to name the most conventional ones. Moreover, a term ‘liberal
peace’ can be found instead of democratic peace in the DP literature as
some scholars refer to liberal states rather than to democracies. The use of
both terms can be a little bit tricky. In terms of the contemporary form of
liberal democracy, both the concept of liberalism and democracy are
necessarily bound together. Michael Doyle describes a liberal state as a
state with certain liberal norms and institutions using basically the same
characteristics as Bruce Russet or John Owen when defining democracy, i.e.
a voting right for a substantial proportion of citizens, representative
government elected in free competitive elections, the guarantee of
fundamental human rights and free-market economic liberties (Russet
1994, 14-16; Owen 1994, 89).
Nonetheless, a large number of countries going through democratic
transition became recently stuck somewhere in the middle of the process;
they managed to adopt democratic institutions but failed to implement
liberal norms7. These semi-democratic regimes are not perceived as fully
embedded democracies and are not included in democratic peace research.
But a problem occurs when researchers examine the peace proneness of
democratic states before the 20th century as almost all of the earlier states’
political systems are not able to meet today’s democratic standards.
Analysis might then differ in the democratic or war measurements used and
so do their conclusions8. Theorists also differ in what aspects of democracy
7 Larry Daimond calls such political systems electoral democracies whereas Fareed Zakariauses term illiberal democracies.8 For example Bruce Russett re-examines some alleged wars between democracies andconcludes that all of them do not meet at least one of criteria he set for democracy and war
Democratic Peace in Theory and Practice
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they take into account regarding democratic peace. Bruce Russet (1994, 15)
for instance leaves out civil rights and economic liberties as defining
qualities and thus lowers the standards for a state to be recognised as a
democracy. Owen (1994, 89) defines a liberal democracy as a state with a
dominant liberal ideology and with a citizenry that has control over war
decisions.
It is the discrepancies in the definitions of democracy and the lack of
normalised measures of democracy that have been frequently criticised for
attempting to define democracy in a way that would safeguard the
proposition.
Nevertheless, the quantitative studies focused on hypotheses testing
usually use widely accepted databases such as the Polity database or the
Freedom House index9 to measure the democratic character of a country.
2.3.1. The monadic hypothesis
If Michael Doyle is perceived by many as “the father” of the dyadic
hypothesis, it is Joseph Rummel who has the same role when it comes to
the monadic version of the DTP. In his 1983 article “Libertarianism and
International Violence”, Rummel states that liberal states are peace prone
especially in relations with other liberal states but they tend to act in a more
peaceful manner even when facing states with different types of domestic
political systems. He builds his argument on a classical liberal assumption
that the developed society of a liberal state constrained by a system of
checks and balances would not be willing to bear the high costs of war. Such
a society would give support to a government to enter a war with another
(Russett 1994, 16-23). In case of the War of 1812 between the US and Great Britain, JohnOwen finds Britain liberal but undemocratic until the 1832 Great Reform Act, while theConfederacy during the American Civil War (1861-1865) was democratic but illiberal (Owen1994, 102).9 See Maoz and Russett (1992), Benoit (1996), Lektzian and Souva (2009)
Democratic Peace in Theory and Practice
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state only when “aroused by an emotionally unifying issue” (Rummel 1983,
27-28).
Rummel’s article was published in the same year as Doyle’s two part
article “Kant, Liberal Legacies and Foreign Affairs” but, unlike Doyle’s dyadic
proposition, the monadic position did not gain more general acceptance.
Another proponent of the hypothesis, John MacMillan, argues that there
are two main reasons for that. First, many of statistical studies confirmed
the Doyle’s hypothesis finding that democratic states went to war with non-
democratic states as frequently as non-democratic states did with each
other. That was for many a confirmation strong enough to assume that
democracies are as war prone as non-democracies. Secondly, he finds the
dyadic hypothesis to be the more internally sophisticated of the two
positions. While Rummel avoids explaining war involvement of democratic
states by either neglecting the issue (1983) or regarding it as a defence
against violence initiated by others (1979, 1997), proponents of the dyadic
position developed an explanatory mechanism clarifying the circumstances
under which democracies would and would not engage in war (MacMillan
2003, 234).
MacMillan, however, points out that the statistical evidence supporting
the monadic hypothesis has been growing as theorists turned from
‘frequency’ of war involvement as the only variable to other indicators of
war proneness such as willingness to go to war or circumstances of war
involvement (Macmillan 2003, 235).
Kenneth Benoit’s quantitative analysis statistically supports the monadic
proposition. His conclusion is that “democracies were significantly less
likely, on average, to be involved in international wars during the 1960s and
1970s than less-free states” (Benoit 1996, 654) and he thus confirms that
democracies do have broader pacifying effects on state behaviour in
international relations. He argues that the lack of previous significant
Democratic Peace in Theory and Practice
14
statistical findings was caused by shortcomings of the statistical techniques
used rather than by the data itself.
MacMillan also tries to disqualify the second reason for the
predominance of the dyadic position by accusing the theorists of failing to
explain why democratic peace proneness applies only to relations with
other democracies. He points out that the primary focus of research had
been on explaining solely the nature of dyadic units, i.e. democratic-to-
democratic state relationships rather than the characteristics of
democracies as such and thereby neglected the monadic factors (MacMillan
2003, 237). He examines some normative and institutional explanations
made by proponents of the dyadic proposition; Bruce Russet, Spencer
Weart, John Owen and Bueno de Mesquita, and finds all of them insufficient
to offer a solid theoretical foundation for the dyadic position. He concludes
that “these theories are flawed through internal problems, lack of
systematic verification, distortions of the liberal political-philosophical
tradition or high incidence of counter-examples” (Macmillan 2003, 241). He
states that ‘separate peace’ among liberal states is only a part of a broader
democratic pacifism (MacMillan 2003, 233).
Many researches seem to support this broader democratic pacifism by
noting that democratic states demonstrate a lower propensity to initiate a
violent conflict (Rousseau et al. 1996, 512-513; Rioux 1998, 282; Gleditsch
and Heger 1997, 295; Schultz 2001, 137).
2.3.2. The dyadic hypothesis
The core claim of the hypothesis states that democracies rarely use force
to resolve disputes with each other but they are as conflict-prone in
relations with non-democracies as non-democratic regimes among
themselves (Doyle 1986; Russett 1994; Maoz and Abdolali 1989; Maoz and
Russett 1993; Owen 1994; Ray 1995, Kegley and Hermann 1995) Numerous
Democratic Peace in Theory and Practice
15
studies validated this claim and some of them even strengthened it claiming
that, except for a few questionable cases, democracies virtually never fight
each other (Chan 1997, 62). Due to enormous academic interest in empirical
testing of the dyadic hypothesis it became “the most replicated research
program in the modern study of international politics” (Maoz 1996, 162).
The nature of the dyadic hypothesis requires that factors be found that
would account for democracies to be both, peaceful towards each other,
and at the same time war-prone in relations with non-democratic regimes.
In this section, I look closer at the work of some of the most influential
democratic peace scholars and the explanatory mechanisms they use.
Michael Doyle in reply to one critic of his work10 summarised his
arguments and built up ‘the three pillars of liberal peace’ which are also the
three causal mechanisms of his explanation. The pillars are drawn from
Kant’s three ‘definitive articles’, each of them containing a source of liberal
peace; constitutional, international and cosmopolitan (Doyle 1986, 1159-
1162).
First, it is republican representation, (liberal structures), second, an
ideological commitment to fundamental human rights (liberal norms), and
third, transnational interdependence (liberal interests) that together, “and
only together”, sustain conditions for liberal peace (Doyle 2005, 463).
The first institutional pillar is built upon representative democratic
government the features of which have already been described above. Such
a political system allows for a rotation of elites that, under a threat of
electoral defeat, avoid any dangerous policies. Separation of powers and
public opinion further prevent elites from implementing policies that would
10It was a reply to a Sebastian Rosato’s article “The Flawed Logic of Democratic Peace Theory”
(2003)
Democratic Peace in Theory and Practice
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“violate the obvious and fundamental [liberal] interests of the public”
(Doyle 2005, 464).
The foreign policy decision-making process is transparent, respecting the
democratic commitments of a government and controlled by public. A
liberal state thus provides for ‘effective signalling’ and foreign decision
makers can thus be assured that the behaviour of the state is credible and
quite predictable (Doyle 2005, 464).
The second, normative pillar according to Doyle holds out “the prospect
of respect”. Liberal states hold a great deal of respect domestically for the
equal rights of all individuals, and internationally for foreign people’s lives
that are accurately perceived through publicity and effective
communication. However, this respect applies only to other liberal states.
Resting on the same liberal principles, they are seen as trustworthy and just
whereas non-liberal countries, which seem to be in “a state of aggression
with their own people”, are perceived as unjust and cannot be trusted.
Although both of the presumptions can be accurate, Doyle admits that they
also may be self-fulfilling (Doyle 2005, 464).
The third and last pillar links economic interdependence with the
normative commitments of liberal state providing commercial incentives to
promote peace. Doyle notes that close economic ties can only exist under
conditions of mutual security so various forms of alliances usually follow
(Doyle 2005, 465).
The very same characteristics, that combined all together create grounds
for liberal peace, also create conditions for ‘liberal imprudence’. Doyle uses
the realistic description of international relations being in a state of anarchy
from which liberal states have managed to escape only through the
establishing dyads of ‘separate peace’. In some of these dyads, war has not
occurred since 1815 (Doyle 1986, 1156-1157). But in liberal-to-non-liberal
Democratic Peace in Theory and Practice
17
state dyads the prevalent feature of the relationship is insecurity and
distrust, a solid foundation for a potential conflict (Doyle 2005, 465).
Bruce Russett explores and explicates only two of Doyle’s explanations;
liberal culture/norms and liberal structures/institutions.
The normative argument states that the state’s foreign policy is an
externalisation of its domestic norms and culture. If the political system is
democratic and liberal then the underlying characteristic of political culture
is the peaceful exchange of power through regulated political competition
respecting “the rights and continued existence of opponents” (Russett 1994,
35). Democracies therefore naturally incline to cooperation and nonviolence
even in their international behaviour. Since other states are expected to
follow the same pattern, democracies will suppose that other democracies’
behaviour will be led by the same norms of peaceful conflict resolution. The
domestic norms of non-democratic regime, however, rest on the use or at
least threat to use violence. Hence their international behaviour is expected
to be of the same kind. Therefore democracies, careful in interactions with
non-democracies, are willing to adopt the norms of its non-democratic
opponent if the application of democratic norms would jeopardize their
security. Russett finds a direct linkage between stability of democracy and
the strength of influence of liberal norms on a state’s behaviour; the more
stable the democracy is, the more influence democratic norms have on its
behaviour. If two democracies resort to the use of force against each other
after all, at least one of them is very likely politically unstable (Russet 1994,
35; Maoz and Russet 1993, 625).
Peace among democracies may also be facilitated by democratic
institutions. The structural model holds that democratic leadership
decisions and behaviour are constrained by public opinion, a legislature, and
key interest groups. It takes a significant amount of time to mobilise their
support for waging war which allows non-violent conflict resolution
Democratic Peace in Theory and Practice
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processes to take place. Furthermore, other states do not have to fear
surprise attack. Nevertheless, non-democracies are not constraint by any of
these structures and can engage in quick surprising mobilisation and
escalation of a conflict. Democracies often happen to be in a no-choice
situation so they may rather initiate war by themselves than risk
unexpected attack. Russett adds concessions as another issue over which
large-scale violence can be initiated. Since non-democratic leaders are
aware of the democratic constraints, they might try to take advantage of
them, and demand greater concessions over the conflict issue. (Russet
1994, 40; Maoz and Russet 1993, 626).
These explanatory models were tested by Maoz and Russet (1993) who
came to the conclusion that both liberal norms, and democratic institutions
provide relevant explanations supported by large sets of data. Both the
normative, and structural model reduce conflict involvement by
democracies and further conflict escalation, although statistical support for
the normative argument appears to be more robust. Structural constraints
avert escalation of conflict to war but they do not prevent democracies
from engaging in low-level conflicts. Statistical evidence in support of the
normative model, however, shows that democratic norms help to avert
even the emergence of conflicts among democracies (Maoz and Russet
1993, 634-36). In the light of these findings, Russet draws another
conclusion. If the democratic peace logic based on the normative argument
is right, it might have profound implications for the international system
and the prospect of global peace. As the number of democratic countries in
the world has substantially increased after “the third wave of
democratisation”, and if this trend continues, democratic norms and
principles might replace the realist ones (e.g. anarchy, security dilemma of
states) that have so far dominated the world order, and consequently
Democratic Peace in Theory and Practice
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change the character of the whole international system into one that is
more peaceful (Russett 1994 24-25, Maoz and Russett 1993, 637).
John Owen in his 1994 article refines existing theories and combines the
normative and structural into one causal mechanism. Democratic
institutional structures and liberal norms taken separately, as Russett did,
are insufficient to explain the logic of democratic peace. Liberal ideology,
however, is the starting point of his theory.
Liberals believe in freedom and equal right to pursuit self-preservation
and material well-being of all individuals and peace is a necessary condition
for that. Hence all individuals share the same interest, to maintain peace.
Liberal ideology thus defines domestic and foreign policies that incline to
peaceful conflict resolution and shapes democratic institutions, designed to
foster freedom and the rights of the citizen (Owen 1994, 89).
Domestic structures are supposed to express liberal preferences in
foreign policy. Even in a situation when current leaders do not share liberal
ideology, instead they may prefer political realism or pure pragmatism, and
their behaviour thus might lead to rockier relations with other states,
domestic structures will constrain them to actually use force against fellow
democracies (Owen 1994, 90, 99).
Liberal ideas, however, have a two-sided effect on foreign policy.
Towards other liberal democracies they lead to cooperation and
accommodation; whereas, when dealing with illiberal counterparts, they
call for caution and sometimes even for war. Liberals believe that states like
themselves share the same norms and interests and thereby are naturally
perceived as trustworthy and pacific. On the other hand states without a
predominant liberal ideology might be dangerous as “they seek other ends,
such as conquest and plunder” (Owen 1994, 89). In this regard Owen
stresses the importance of perception. In order to not to resort to the use of
force liberal democracy must believe its opponent is liberal. He
Democratic Peace in Theory and Practice
20
demonstrates it on some alleged wars between democracies (e.g. the War
of 1812) where at least one side did not perceive the other as a democracy.
(Owen 1994, 108).
Noticeably, all the three scholars made similar assumptions about
democratic norms and institutions. While shared norms and values facilitate
mutual cooperation, democratic institutions work in a way to constrain
democracies from fighting each other.
The normative and structural explanatory models are the most common
and distinct ones although more kinds of explanations underlying different
aspects were established. The informational argument holds that costly
signals are transmitted at a high level between democratic institutions,
which lowers the level of hostility in their relations (Lektzian and Souva
2009, 21-23). Another argument stands that democracies are satisfied
powers and hence they tend to favour maintaining a liberal international
order, and not challenging the status quo (Chan 1997, 78). Some DP
theorists adopted a rationalist approach11 that takes into account such
factors as elite perception and calculation or expected utility formulation.
Democratic leaders are believed to make decisions depending on the
incentives and disincentives certain behaviour would bring, e.g. high costs
of war, popularity and re-election of the leaders, etc. (Chan 1997, 79-82).
Comparing the two main approaches to the DP, the dyadic hypothesis
has gained much more attention and adherents than the monadic
11 For example: Bruce Bueno de Mesquita and David Lalman (1992) War and Reason: Domesticand International Imperatives. New Haven: Yale University Press; Bruce Bueno de Mesquitaand Randolph M. Siverson (1995) War and the Survival of Political Leaders: A ComparativeStudy of Regime Types and Political Accountability. American Political Science Review (89) p.841-853; James D. Fearon (1995) Rationalist Explanations for War. International Organization(49) p. 379-414.
Democratic Peace in Theory and Practice
21
hypothesis, and it is usually the one that is referred to when the DPT is
discussed.
The monadic hypothesis, however, experienced growing support during the
end of the 1990s, when a number of the DP theorists confirmed the
negative effect of democracy on the initiation of crisis. But this growth was
stopped, and even reversed by the US invasion of Iraq, since aggressive
expansionist foreign policy of one of the oldest democracies seemed to be
in contrast to the monadic arguments. Although the research on monadic
peace remains narrower in comparison to the dyadic peace research, the
hypothesis has not vanished, and it is still a subject to DP research.12
2.4. The Democratic Peace Theory and its critics
Despite the overwhelming number of statistical studies favouring the
democratic peace proposition, a strong criticism has been drawn from other
theoretical approaches of international relations, mainly Realism. Social
constructivists contributed their own explanation of the phenomenon to the
debate and questions about democratic peace-proneness have also been
raised by other liberals.
The debate over the DPT represents another part in the ongoing
theoretical struggle between Realism and Liberalism, the two classical
traditions of international relations theory. The DPT has been naturally most
criticised from the realist positions given the fact that it undermines some
of the essential realist assumptions about international reality. The
existence of the democratic peace challenges especially two tenets of
12 See Souva, Mark and Brandon Prins (2006) The Liberal Peace Revisited: The Role ofDemocracy, Dependence, and Development in Militarized Interstate Dispute Initiation, 1950–1999. International Interactions 32(2): 183-200; Quackenbush, Stephen (2006) Evaluating theMonadic Democratic Peace. Conference Papers -- Midwestern Political Science Association,Annual Meeting, p1, 0p. Available at<http://web.missouri.edu/~marbnd/Research/monadic%20democratic%20peace-CMPS%20final.pdf>
Democratic Peace in Theory and Practice
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Realism13; (1) realist negative approach to a prospect of international peace
and (2) realist emphasis of systemic factors as decisive for explaining
international politics (Lynn-Jones 1996, Page x).
Pessimism about lasting international peace originates from the realist
recognition of anarchy as the defining characteristic of international politics.
In the anarchical system war is always a very real possibility as “fear and
distrust of other states is the normal state of affairs” (Layne 1994, 11). Since
survival and security are the first and foremost concerns of the state (Barša
et al. 2009, 33), in international interactions “a democratic state will
respond no differently to democratic rivals than to non-democratic” (Layne
1994, 12). In a world where states are always prepared for the possibility of
war, no one can count on remaining in peace indefinitely.
Structural realism14 holds that international system, defined by its
structure, consists from functionally similar units, states (Nye 1988, 241).
The nation states are seen as the main actors of international relations
(Morgenthau [1954] 1960, 60); Waltz 1979, 94-95) whose behaviour is,
however, always constrained by the unchanging structure of the
international system and their positions in the structure, determining the
distribution of power among them (Layne 1994, 12). Systemic factors (e.g.
anarchy, variations in the distribution of power, etc.) thereby are of primary
importance in explaining outcomes of international politics. A state’s regime
type or other internal characteristics are irrelevant for international
outcomes. “Even if states change internally, the structure of the
international system remains the same” (Layne 1994, 12)
13 For thorough explications of realist theories see Hans J. Morgenthau (1948) Politics AmongNations: The Struggle for Power and Peace. New York: Knopf; Kenneth N. Waltz (1979) Theoryof International Politics. Reading, Mass.: Addison-Wesley; or Michael E. Brown, Sean M. Lynn-Jones, and Steven Miller, eds. (1995) The Perils of Anarchy: Contemporary Realism andInternational Security. Cambridge, Mass.: The MIT Press.14 See Kenneth N. Waltz (1979) Theory of International Politics and John J.Mearsheimer.(2001) The Tragedy of Great Power Politics.
Democratic Peace in Theory and Practice
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For better clarity, I divide a vast number of realist criticisms of the
democratic peace proposition into two categories; criticisms articulated by
offensive and defensive realists.
Offensive realists, such as Mearsheimer, believe that states should be
striving to maximise their power as much as they can to ensure their own
survival (Mearsheimer 2010, 75). The insecurity in the anarchical
international system gives states strong incentives for using force which
makes war a very likely scenario. Critiques coming from offensive realists
refuse to acknowledge the democratic peace, usually regarding it as not
statistically significant and causally wrong.
Christopher Layne in “Kant or Cant: The Myth of the Democratic Peace”
denies the democratic proposition after testing the normative argument on
crisis behaviour of democracies in four historical cases; the 1861 “Trent
Affair” between the United States and Great Britain, the 1895-96 U.S.-
British Venezuela crisis, the 1898 Fashoda Crisis between France and Great
Britain, and the 1923 Ruhr crisis between France and Germany. The
behaviour Layne indicates in all listed cases is far from what he expected if
democratic norms had a significant influence on state foreign policy. Instead
of accommodating behaviour, he observes actions based on calculations of
national interests, strategic concerns, and ultimatums, i.e. behaviour
predicted by Realism. Realism thus provides a better and “more compelling
explanation of why war was avoided” (Layne 1994, 38). Another argument
raised by Layne is that persuasive statistical findings underlying the DPT are
spurious as (1) there was a small number of democracies before 1945, (2)
the probability of being involved in war is statistically very small for any
dyad of states regardless of their regime types since war is a rare
phenomena itself, and (3) only dyads appropriate for the democratic peace
testing should be included in research, i.e. dyads having both, opportunity
and reason for going to war (Layne 1994, 39). Layne concludes his article
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24
stating that not just democratic peace is a myth but also that the DPT is
dangerous for foreign policy implications. The United States cannot afford
to have its foreign policy “shaped by theoretical approaches that are based
on wishful thinking” (Layne 1994, 49).
A similar argument about the statistical insignificance of the democratic
peace has been made also by John Mearsheimer (1990, 50-51), and David
Spiro (1994, 51).
Another strong objection has been made about the subjectivity of the
democracy definition when used by statesmen. Ido Oren claims that the
democratic peace proposition is ‘ahistorical’; researchers overlook the fact
that democratic values and their perception have changed over time (Oren
1995, 147). He accuses democracies of behaving in an opportunistic manner
when they adjust the notion of democracy so that their allies would fit the
description of it. In Oren’s own words, “the reason we [the U.S. as a
democracy] do not fight ‘our kind’ is not that ‘likeness’ has a great effect on
war propensity, but rather that we from time to time subtly redefine our
kind to keep our self-image consistent with our friends’ attributes and
inconsistent with those of our adversaries” (Oren 1995, 147).
Defensive realists like Kenneth Waltz or Charles Glaser15 argue that
instead of overexpansion, states should rather seek to gain the “appropriate
amount of power” (Waltz 1979, 40). In contrast to offensive realists, they
recognise peace and cooperation as likely features of an international
system and therefore they acknowledge that the separate peace between
democracies may exist. But peace is possible only as long as the conditions
of the international system favour its occurrence. So it is systemic factors
not democracy that are behind the democratic peace (Lynn-Jones 1996,
Page xi).
15 Charles L. Glaser (1994) Realists as Optimists: Cooperation as Self-Help. InternationalSecurity 19(3):50-90.
Democratic Peace in Theory and Practice
25
An example of this approach is found in Farber’s and Gowa’s studies
“Polities and Peace” (1995). They assess the empirical and theoretical
foundations of democratic peace and state that, according to their research,
the democratic peace applies only to the post-war world after 1945 and
systemic variables, the common interests in particular, rather than a
common polity type are responsible for preventing states from going to war
(Farber and Gowa 1995, 145-146).
From the social constructivist perspective, democratic peace emerges
from perceptual and interaction processes that states undergo when
defining and thus creating their enemies and allies (Risse-Kappen 1995,
491). Thomas Risse-Kappen reinterprets the normative argument and
asserts that the attitudes and behaviour of states are to a large extent
derived from the domestic political structures of their counterparts (Risse-
Kappen 1995, 492). The peaceful relations of democracies are constructed
on the presumption of a predisposition of a democracy towards peaceful
behaviour due to the internal decision-making processes (Risse-Kappen
1995, 513). At the same time, the recognition that autocratic domestic
processes can be violent and oppressive leads democracies “to behavioural
patterns that confirm the presumption of enmity” (Risse-Kappen 1995, 514).
Anna Geis et al. in “Democratic Wars” (2006) has raised some compelling
questions about the existing research and theoretical underpinnings of the
theory. Quantitative research of the DPT has generated a large amount of
data but a coherent theory has not yet been set forth. Statistical data
establish correlations based on behavioural regularities, not a cause-effect
chain. Several hypotheses with supposed causal mechanisms that have
been formulated over the last twenty years of research have been
confirmed by statistical findings. However, statistics can affirm hypotheses
only in a probabilistic way. What seems to be problematic is that
Democratic Peace in Theory and Practice
26
“probabilistic formulations which rely on statistical findings have a
propensity to self-immunization” (Geis et al. 2006, 4-5). Furthermore, it is
argued that probabilistic approaches and large generalisations that have
been made about the democratic peace conceal significant differentiation in
democratic behaviour towards peace and war. Democracies cannot be
treated as a monolithic group with the same patterns of behaviour since
some democracies are involved in war and military actions on a frequent
basis, other democracies appear to be in a long-term peaceful relations with
all other states and the rest are somewhere in the middle (Geis et al. 2006,
5-6). According to Anna et al. further research should be shifted from
explaining democratic peacefulness to democratic war involvement, an
unexplored area of the democratic peace.
When reviewing the democratic peace literature one cannot fail to notice
the wide acceptance of realist concepts of international reality in order to
overcome them by liberal means. By realist concepts I mean the following
assumptions; the state as the main actor, anarchy as the original state of
international relations, war as a natural feature of politics, and peace as a
deviation that needs to be explained. Although states are not seen as the
main actors since the citizenry is the subject of both, domestic and foreign
politics in a democratic system, it is only states and interstate wars that are
taken into account. The so called new wars, intrastate wars, extrastate wars,
and substate or inter-communal wars (Chojnacki 2006, 17), and military
interventions are entirely dismissed from the classic democratic peace
research.
Last but not least, the question has been raised about the democratic
peace proposition becoming a common part of political discourse of
western statesmen and “serving as the ideological underpinning of a self-
righteous foreign policy” (Geis et al. 2006, 8). The disconcerting matter of
Democratic Peace in Theory and Practice
27
(mis)using democratic peace arguments for ‘justifiable’ use of military force
is the main concern of the next chapter.
3.Democratic peace in practice
The previous chapter has shown the extent of the democratic peace
scholarship. The compelling thesis has soon become very popular within
International Relations Theory - virtually all liberal theorists of the 1990s
subscribed under it, and the DPT seemed to withstand all realist attacks.
Democracy has gained an enormous significance during the last century;
as a political system it has become largely wide-spread, and as a value,
democracy seems to be supported throughout the world, regardless of
ethnicity, religion, or world region (McFaul 2004, 152). The DPT constitutes
a part of this ‘movement’ of democracy. The DP scholarship contributed to
the general recognition of importance of democracy, and furthermore
imparted a flavour of scientific verification to it. More importantly, with the
rise of democracy, the DP scholarship has gained a practical significance for
international political practice.
The assumption of inherent peacefulness of democracies has significantly
shaped the character of the post-Cold War world politics. The U.S.
establishment, the European Union member states, the UN, NATO and
various human rights organisations explicitly refer to it and moreover,
democracy promotion practises has been drawn on this assumption.
The post-Cold War U.S. foreign policy is the most striking demonstration
of the growing practical significance of the democratic peace proposition.
“Democracies don’t attack each other” therefore “the best strategy to
ensure our security and to build durable peace is to support the advance of
democracy elsewhere” declared President Bill Clinton in his 1994 State of
Democratic Peace in Theory and Practice
28
the Union address, and made democratisation the pillar of his foreign policy
(Owen 1994, 87). Ten years later, President George W. Bush held a speech
in the same spirit. “America is a Nation with a mission, and that mission
comes from our most basic beliefs. We have no desire to dominate, no
ambitions of empire. Our aim is a democratic peace -- a peace founded
upon the dignity and rights of every man and woman. America acts in this
cause with friends and allies at our side, yet we understand our special
calling: This great Republic will lead the cause of freedom” (Bush 2004).
Those are the words that Georg W. Bush used when explaining necessity to
invade Iraq.
The invasion had important consequences for the DP scholarship. The
misuse of the DP thesis for the US warlike foreign policy has stirred up a
serious debate among scholars about the role of the DPT in the US foreign
policy, and responsibility of the theorists for outcomes of the invasion.
Serious concern has been expressed about consequences that the DPT can
have when used as a manual for political action.
The aim of this chapter is to examine more closely the extent, and nature
of implications of the DPT for political practice.
Firstly, I will examine the connection between democracy and democracy
promotion practices in order to highlight the growing significance of both in
international politics. Democracy promotion is further indicated as the main
implication of the DPT for political practice. Secondly, the democracy
promotion practices will be analysed to show the role they have in
international relations. Peaceful, and military types of practices are further
presented with a focus on the latter ones. Democratic interventionism will
then be analysed in order to identify to what extent the DP scholarship may
serve as a normative justification for the use of force.
Democratic Peace in Theory and Practice
29
The three most recent cases of liberal interventions will be presented;
Kosovo and Libya as representative cases of humanitarian interventions,
and Iraq as an example of coercive democratisation. The range of the thesis
does not allow the full-scope analysis of the interventions. That is why the
focus will be predominantly placed on the core motivations and outcomes
of the interventions with the aim to identify whether there is a linkage
between forced democratisation, the DPT, and peace.
The chapter will be ended with the theoretical analysis of the possible
impact that IR theories might have on the political practice.
3.1. Implications of the democratic peace
There has been a significant growth in the number of democratic regimes
in the international system after 1945, further accelerated by the end of the
Cold War. Following the Polity data IV, during the period from 1946 to 2011,
the proportion of democracies increased from 28% to 58%, while there was
a drop in the number of autocracies, from 27% to a mere 13%, and also of
anocracies,16 from 45% to 29% (Marshall and Cole 2011, 11-12). According
to these findings it is “for the first time in human history that the global
system is predominantly comprised of independent states and populated by
democratic regimes” (Marshall and Cole 2011, 11-12)17. Out of all three
regime types, democracy proved to be the most resilient to regime
transition. While some states keep changing the regime type, fewer leave
the democratic category. If this pattern is steady, eventually the democratic
16 Anocracy is incoherent category defining states that are neither fully democratic nor fullyautocratic with mixed traits from both categories and have instable or ineffective politicalinstitutions and leadership.17 These findings might be questionable since it is the choice, and the definition of measuredqualities determining the outcomes. Freedom House database analyses the level of freedomin the world by measuring civil and political liberties while Polity Data IV focuses only onpolitical institutions and processes. That is why conclusions of Freedom House vary; there wasonly 45% (87) of free countries, 31% (60) of partly free countries, and 24% (47) of not freecountries in the world in 2011 (Freedom House 2012, 24). Freedom House data indicates an11% higher rate of not free countries and 13% lower rate of free countries in comparison todemocracies and autocracies by Polity Data IV.
Democratic Peace in Theory and Practice
30
category might encompass most of, maybe even all of the countries
(Gleditsch et al. 2007, 9).
What is important with regards to world politics is that most of the
leading countries18 in the world are presently democracies, and their
political practices have a crucial impact on the rest of the world’s countries,
and the international system as a whole. The direct linkage between
democracy and peace recognised by the DP scholarship helped to
established democracy promotion as a common feature of international
politics. The idea of democracy promotion also follows the inherent logic of
the DP proposition which implies a prospect of worldwide inter-state peace
once democracy is the predominant political regime of the international
system.
Since democracy promotion gained a prominent status, related political
practices started to have a major impact on international relations. There is
a broad range of democracy promotion practices which can vary
enormously specifically in relation to one thing– if military means are used
or not.
3.1.1. Non-military democracy promotion
In the eyes of democratic politicians democracy promotion very often
equals peace promotion. Democratisation has been predominantly
perceived as a ‘one-way ticket’ to more peaceful domestic political order
and external relations of a state. However, empirical studies on this matter
are rather ambiguous. On the one hand there are empirical findings
confirming the presupposed peaceful impact of democratisation. Michael
Ward and Kristian Gleditsch introduced findings that the process of
democratisation reduces the probability of a country to be involved in war
as both, a target, and an initiator by approximately one half (Ward and
18In a sense of the most politically and economically influential
Democratic Peace in Theory and Practice
31
Gleditsch 1998, 59). On the other hand, Mansfield and Snyder warned
against enthusiastic approach to democratic regime transition as they claim
that states that have recently undergone democratic transition are much
more war-prone than states that have not gone through any regime change
(Mansfield and Snyder 1995, 8). Also Russett argued that well established
democracies are more stable, and less likely to resort to the use of force
(Russet 1994, 35).
Peaceful democracy promotion practices include various kinds of
assistance that would help build a nation’s capacity for democratic
governance, e.g. the most common practice is free election assistance. Such
activities can be carried either by national governments, but there is always
a question of impartiality, or by various intergovernmental organisations
(IGOs), e.g. the United Nations (UN), the European Union (EU), or the
Organization of American States (OAS). The IGOs usually provide states with
monitoring, supervising, organising, and legitimizing free elections. The
actual effect of their judgment is quite substantial since it can decide if a
government or political leader will be recognised as legitimate by the
international community.
In a situation when a dictator seizes power from a fairly elected
government, the IGOs can isolate or remove a dictator (Russett 2005, 402).
The OAS helped to prevent or reverse military coups in Paraguay (1996),
Ecuador (2000), and Venezuela (2002). Moreover, the IGOs have the right
and ability to impose variety of economic and political sanctions on a
government that gained power in an undemocratic manner or that violated
severely human, or/and political rights of its citizens. This has happened in
the case of Burma, Syria, Sudan, Belarus, etc.
Democratic Peace in Theory and Practice
32
3.1.2. Military democracy promotion
While democracies rarely initiate war, they do get involved very often in
ongoing wars, and usually end up on the winning side19 (Gleditsch et al.
2007, 11). The democratic involvement in large-scale wars is, however, not
as frequent as the use of military intervention, often pursuit for the purpose
of human rights protection, or/and democracy promotion. Intervention can
be carried out for various self-interested reasons, however, the
humanitarian interventions have become prevalent.
In this section I would like to take a closer look at the democratic
interventions used, besides protection of human lives as a way to promote
democracy; particularly at the interventions in Kosovo (1999), Iraq (2003),
and Libya (2011) in terms of their justification and outcomes.
Intervention has become a regular, and quite popular tool of foreign
policy after 1945 as a low-scale alternative to war. Interventions per se do
not meet standards of interstate war20 so they have not been included in
the conventional DP research, however, as many scholars pointed out
intervention is usually considered by its targets as an act of war, and it often
serves as an opening act of actual war (Kegley and Hermann 1996, 309-310).
When analysing the intervention behaviour, democracies prove to be the
most frequent interveners while non-democracies are most often targets of
interventions (Gleditsch et al. 2007, 23).
The importance (not the frequency) of the use of intervention has
increased with the end of the Cold War along with utilisation of liberal ideas
for its justification; promotion of democracy, peace-keeping, help in
humanitarian crisis, or protection of civilians before their own governments
19 That applies to almost all major wars since the beginning of the 20th century; the two WorldWars, the Korean War, the Gulf War of 1991, the Kosovo War in 1999, the 2001 war inAfghanistan and the Iraq War of 2003.20 Russett defines interstate war as “large-scale institutionally organised lethal violence” withthe threshold of one thousand battle casualties (Russett 1994, 12).
Democratic Peace in Theory and Practice
33
(Kegley and Hermann 1996, 316). This is generally called liberal
interventionism.
Liberal interventions can be carried out unilaterally by a democratic
state, or multilaterally by an IGO, e.g. the UN, the EU, or an alliance such as
NATO. The US, however, has a key role in this field since majority of military
interventions were initiated by the US government. This is hardly surprising
as it results from the hegemonic position of the US after the Second World
War that has been further strengthened by dissolution of the Soviet Union,
and American symbolic victory of the Cold War21. This is why the U.S.
military interventionism is at the forefront of scholars’ attention.
It seems to be difficult to distinguish liberal universalistic motivations
from the self-interested ones in case of intervention carried out by great
powers (Gleditsch et al. 2007, 14). Distinction between universalism and
self-interest seems to blur in the rhetoric of the US establishment in terms
of a conviction “what is good for us is good for the world”.22
Nevertheless the attention in this thesis is placed on the proclaimed
motivations, aims, and subsequent effects of intervention on a target state.
The connection between intervention and democratisation has been the
main concern of many empirical studies, however, their results are not
clear-cut, and does not allow to make any major conclusions.
James Meernik who examined the period of democratic interventions
from 1948 to 1990, concludes that most of the targeted states retained
their current political regime after the intervention. However, according to
his findings when compared to countries that have not undergone any
intervention, intervened states tend to experience more likely the
democratic growth in the future (Meernik 1996, 400).
21 It has been subject of many debates to what extent the US actually contributed to thedissolution of the Soviet Union, and the end of the Cold War as it was rather a conjunction ofseveral economic and political factors. But more importantly, the US, and democracy as apolitical system showed the greater viability than their communist counterparts.22 See Bush’s statements in the beginning of this chapter
Democratic Peace in Theory and Practice
34
Nils Gleditsch et al. concluded his empirical analysis on the democratic
use of intervention between the years 1946 and 1996 arguing that military
intervention leads to destabilisation of the regime of the target country, and
regime change is likely to take place. If the intervener is democratic then the
change is likely to go in a democratic direction. However, the democratic
improvement appears to be only in the first year after the intervention. In
the long run they do not find any strong connection (Gleditsch et al. 2007,
40-41).
A study of Mark Peceny (1999) examined ninety U.S. military
interventions from 1898 to 1992. Out of those ninety interventions twenty
nine had the explicit goal to support “pro-liberalization policies” (Peceny
1999, 199). Only thirteen states became really more democratic after the
intervention, and almost all of them retained the same level of democracy
also ten years thereafter (Peceny 1999, 199-200).
Whereas listed studies give partial support to positive relationship
between intervention and democracy promotion, the works of Hermann
and Kegley on the one side and the findings of Bueno de Mesquita and
Downs on the other draw contradictory conclusions.
Margaret Hermann and Charles Kegley23 give strong support to the
military democracy promotion stating that “interventions by democracies
intended to promote democracy have generally led to an increase in the
democraticness of those targets’ political regimes” (Hermann and Kegley
2001, 242). Bueno de Mesquita and George Downs (2006) analysed three
specific types of interveners – democratic, non-democratic, and the UN –
between 1946 and 2001. Presented evidence suggests that democratisation
is rarely achieved by external military intervention and in fact, interventions
23 Kegley, Charles W., Jr. and Margaret G. Hermann (1997) A Peace Dividend? Democracies‘Military Interventions and Their External Political Consequences. Coooperation and Conflict32(4): 339-369.Hermann, Margaret G and Charles W. Kegley, Jr. (1998) The U.S. Use of Military InterventionTo Promote Democracy: Evaluating the Records. International Interactions 24(2): 91-114.
Democratic Peace in Theory and Practice
35
do not do much to promote democracy at all (Bueno de Mesquita and
Downs 2006, 647).
The findings of the presented quantitative studies differ in their
conclusions. Nonetheless, the same pattern of limited democratisation of a
targeted country emerges in the most of them, however the viability, and
quality of imposed democracy stay rather unclear.
Now, I will have a look at the three major international interventions of
the post-cold war era; the Kosovo War, the Iraq War, and the Libyan civil
war. By the general overview of the interventions in Kosovo and Libya, I
would like to demonstrate the typical cases of humanitarian interventions
where democratisation as such is not the primary goal but comes
consequently as a part of post-conflict reconstruction strategy.
The invasion of Iraq accounts for something quite different than
humanitarian intervention; eventually it was presented as a project of
forced democratisation, however, the true motives and aims of the US
establishment still remains controversial. The invasion will be analysed in
terms of used justifications, and their relevance to the intervention.
3.1.2.1. Humanitarian interventions – the case of Kosovo and Libya
Both, the international intervention in Kosovo in 1999 and Libya in 2011
were directed against domestic authoritarian regimes that were using
extreme military means to suppress their own citizens, and thus committing
a large violation of human rights.
The military intervention in Kosovo against the Milosevic authoritarian
regime of Serbia (former Yugoslavia) was carried out by NATO after a year
of ongoing war in the area with a long history of ethnic violence. The explicit
goal of the operation was to “halt a humanitarian catastrophe and restore
stability” (NATO 2004).
Democratic Peace in Theory and Practice
36
The Alliance’s air campaign led to quick withdrawal of Serbian forces from
Kosovo, and shortly after its defeat the Milosevic regime collapsed. Only a
few months after the intervention had begun was international civilian
administration of the area (UNMIK) established under a United Nations
mandate. In addition, the multinational peacekeeping mission (the Kosovo
Force, KFOR) was introduced to secure fragile peace that was occasionally
disrupted by the occurrence of ethnic violence. Both, the process and the
outcomes were celebrated as a great success of NATO, and western
democracies. The intervention followed by transitional UN administration
brought stability to Kosovo and consequently helped to stabilize south-
eastern Europe. The whole process graduated in 2008 when Kosovo
declared independence. The example of Kosovo set the standard of
humanitarian intervention – was dedicated to humanitarian purposes and
eventually led also to democratisation of the country.
In Libya, a wide civil uprising against Muhammar al-Qaddafi erupted in
February 2011, and was seen as another act in Arab spring that will follow
the successful path of similar uprisings in Tunisia and Egypt. Neverthless,
Qaddafi used all the power he had to suppress the uprising, and responded
with a brutal crackdown on Libyan citizens.
Reaction of international community was swift; the UN Security Council
imposed economic and political sanctions followed by a no-fly zone over
Libya, and the Arab League suspended Libya from its sessions. In
consequence to incessant violence, the humanitarian intervention was
authorised by the UN allowing UN member to “take all the necessary
measures to protect civilians and civilian-populated areas under threat of
attack in the Libyan Arab Jamahiriya, including Benghazi, while excluding a
foreign occupation force of any form on any part of Libyan territory” (Fisher
Democratic Peace in Theory and Practice
37
and Biggar 2011, 699). The international intervention24 under NATO
command conducted an air campaign to protect civilians and also provided
the time and space necessary for opposition forces to eventually overthrow
Qaddafi. The National Transitional Council officially took up power over the
country in October 2011 and Libya is recently undergoing democratic
regime transition.
When comparing the two interventions, certain similarities and
distinctions are apparent. Both were lead by an alliance of democratic
countries against non-democratic regimes in order to protect lives of the
foreign people. Both operations were quick and successful. As a
consequence, interventions initiated the process of democratic transition; in
Kosovo this was largely due to the UN activities, but in Libya the result and
outcomes are not yet obvious.
However, interventions gained a different international status as the
intervention in Kosovo was called illegal as it did not gain the authorisation
of the UN Security Council. By contrast, the intervention in Libya gained the
authorisation and international support even from the Arab League
countries very quickly without its legitimacy once being questioned. While
in the case of Kosovo, some doubts remain about the legitimacy. The
intervention in Libya has been hailed as a model intervention, and
consequently restored the trust in international interventions after the US
failure in Iraq. The shift towards broader international cooperation is
apparent.
24 There were 18 countries involved in the intervention; fourteen NATO members and fourArab state partners; Jordan, Morocco, the United Arab Emirates, and Qatar.
Democratic Peace in Theory and Practice
38
3.1.2.2. The invasion of Iraq
The US invasion of Iraq in 2003 was the most controversial foreign policy
decision in the post-Cold War era. Much of the controversy derives from the
fact that George W. Bush and his administration failed to provide a
sufficient, and coherent explanation of the leading cause for them to enter
into this war. A set of entirely different explanations were articulated in
order to justify violation of Iraqi sovereignty and large-scale war. First, the
US Intelligence brought to light evidence that Iraq possesses weapons of
mass destruction (WMDs), and that Sadam Hussein can possibly provide
support for Al Qaeda. Sadam Hussein, and his regime were proclaimed to be
of a great danger to the US, and George W. Bush called for a pre-emptive
strike.
The concept of pre-emptive war derives from the conditions of the Cold
War; the US were under constant threat of an imminent nuclear attack
against which they could not effectively defend themselves (Russett 2005,
396). But such conditions never applied to Iraq. Even nuclear-armed Iraq
would not pose a serious threat to the US, at least not a threat that could
not be contained by deterrence (Hinnebusch 2007, 209). The Bush
establishment took a Cold War concept out of context, applied it under
wrong conditions, completely dismissed the doctrine of deterrence, and did
not offer a single logical explanation. Robert Jervis argued that the only
thing that would make the deterrence strategy seem inadequate for this
purpose was “the overweening confidence of the Bush administration to
dominate and overthrow any regime it disliked” (Hinnebusch 2007, 209).
An intergovernmental coalition under the US lead was established and
launched an attack on Iraq without the UN authorisation. As ex-weapon
inspectors and Iraq specialist expected, the WMDs have never been found.
A new justification of the invasion had to be found, one with completely
different logic, as it was obvious that Iraq posed little threat to the US (and
Democratic Peace in Theory and Practice
39
some argue that it must have been clear to the establishment even before
the attack). That is when democratic peace argument emerged on the scene
as a post hoc justification.25 Virtually all DP theorists opposed the war as
well as most of the realists who would not accept foreign policy based on
the DP ideas26 (Russett 2005, 397).
Both, pre-emptive war and the democratic peace argument seemed to be
unconvincing as their use was not coherent with either of the concepts.
Various additional explanations were introduced by journalists and
academics but analysis of the true motives and causes of the invasion of
Iraq is beyond the scope of this thesis27.
The consequences of the invasion are indeed unfortunate. The
occupation of Iraq suffered from large inconsistencies in strategy, and
unremitting domestic resistance. The country has become largely unstable,
racked by the insurgency, and sectarian killing, and Iraq was close to civilian
war. In 2006 many observers and journalists proclaimed the US defeat and
called for redefining of the mission or complete withdrawal of American
troops from the country28. It is worth noting that the Iraq War has become
extremely unpopular with public in the US, and worldwide, and was
generally ascribed to the US imperial ambitions.
After the overthrow of Sadam Hussein the US aimed to establish
legitimate democratically elected government which they could gradually
hand power over. This succeeded in 2011. By the end of 2011 the last US
troops were withdrawn from Iraq and the Barack Obama government
25 See quotation of a part of Bush’s speech in the beginning of the chapter26 See Christopher Layne in the chapter 2.427 For further explanations see Raymon Hinnebush (2007) The US Invasion of Iraq:Explanations and Implications. Critique: Critical Middle Eastern Studies 16(3): 209-228; orCharles-Philippe David (2010) How Not to do Post-invasion: Lessons Learned from USDecision-making in Iraq (2002-2008). Defense & Security Analysis 26(1): 31-63.28 For example see Fareed Zakaria and Michael Hastings (2006) Rethinking Iraq: The WayForward. Newsweek 158(19). Available at:http://www.thedailybeast.com/newsweek/2006/11/05/rethinking-iraq-the-way-forward.html
Democratic Peace in Theory and Practice
40
officially ended the US mission. Iraq remains politically highly unstable with
a weak central government, and the security situation has been deteriorating
as violence among deeply divided society has been further escalated by Al
Qaeda attacks.
3.2. Democratic peace and democracy promotion practices
In this section I would like to address the question of compatibility of the
DPT with democracy promotion practices.
The findings and formulations of the DP research as described in the
previous chapter are compatible only with limited and non-coercive forms
of democracy promotion. This is what virtually all DP theorists have
advocated (Hobson 2011, 173).
But the DPT in any of its forms does not appear to apply for coercive
forms of democracy promotion. In fact, coercive democratisation is at odds
with the nature of the research, and intentions of the researches; most of
the DP theorists explicitly do not support forced regime change. Russett
himself called the justification of the Iraq War a perversion of the DP
‘creation’ (Russet 2005, 395-396).
Imposed democratisation is supported by scholars only as a part of the
‘consequent responsibility’ in the defeated country, like it happened in
Kosovo, or Afghanistan after 2001. Consequent democratisation, and
stabilisation also serve as a way a way how to avoid future wars (Russett
2005, 405; Rummel 2005).
A question has also been raised about the responsibility of DP theorists
for consequences of political practices drawn upon their findings. Most of
the DP researchers reached a conclusion that theorists are not, and cannot
be directly responsible for decisions of policy-makers. However, some
Democratic Peace in Theory and Practice
41
scholars point to certain aspects of the DP research that makes it vulnerable
to its misuse for political ends.
First, it is the ‘normative overload’ some scholars point to. A fair number
of studies favouring the normative perspective have been focused on one-
sided embracing of the peace-bringing nature of democracy. For instance
Nils Petre Gleditsch stated that “the importance of democracy lies in it
being a near-perfect sufficient condition for peace” (Gleditsch 1995, 297).
Democracy and democratic states were to some extent idealised and a little
attention was paid to ‘the dark side of DP’; when, how, and what kind of
military violence democracies do use (Geis 2011, 167; Hobson 2011, 173).
Second, the findings of the dyadic hypothesis that democracies are war-
prone in their relations to non-democracies, and their further theorisation,
can make the theory more vulnerable to its political exploitation in a sense
that the use of force against non-democracies can more easily be defended.
For example, Michael Doyle in his work keeps arguing for the existence of
liberal incentives for conflicts in relations between liberal and non-liberal
societies (Doyle 1986, 1156-1157; Doyle 2005, 465).
The debate over the impact of the DP research on the invasion of Iraq has
initiated a more general debate about possible implications, and influence
of the IR theories on the political sphere.
3.3. From theory to practice
Mainstream objectivist conception of science (and social science) claims
that subject and object of study are detached from each other. Regarding
the IRT it follows that IR theories describe the nature and outcomes of
international relations without affecting either of them (Bürger and
Villumsen 2007, 417). However, the DPT has proved otherwise, and
seemingly narrowed the gap between academia and political sphere.
Democratic Peace in Theory and Practice
42
The use of the DP proposition as the main justification, and proclaimed
motivation for coercive democratisation of Iraq raised concerns about
consequences that the DPT can have when used as a manual for political
action. It also initiated a more general debate whether IR theories have
implications for political outcomes, and whether IR theorists are to some
extent responsible for them.
From liberal perspective, John Owen argues that subject and object are
never completely separate in social science, and academic discourse can
have an impact on political discourse and vice-versa (Owen 2011, 162).
Postructuralism denies the division of the theory and the practices of IR into
two separate spheres entirely and states that “IR theories co-constitute and
theorists contribute to the constitution of the world they study” (Bürger and
Villumsen 2007, 418). According to Ish-Shalom, collapse of the dichotomy of
subject and object undermines the illusory objectivity of the social sciences
(Ish-Shalom 2006, 588). He offers an interesting explanatory model of how
theory is being translated into practice. It is not theory per se that affects
political reality but it is social perception and political articulation of theory
that drives political action. He formulates a concept of theory as a
hermeneutical mechanism with hermeneutics understood as a process of
interpreting reality. The three stage process of the mechanism goes from
formulating theoretical constructs, transforming them into public
conventions and then into political convictions (Ish-Shalom 2006, 566).
Theories are perceived as theoretical constructs that read and interpret
political concepts. So they do not simply explain but define political
concepts by attaching meaning to them (Ish-Shalom 2006, 569). To be able
to affect political action, theoretical constructs need to be comprehended
and adopted by public, i.e. to be transformed into public conventions. The
last stage involves human agents – political entrepreneurs - who transform
public conventions into political convictions that can be used for political
Democratic Peace in Theory and Practice
43
action (Ish-Shalom 2006, 572). During the process theory is being narrowed,
simplified, and adjusted to political needs. A complex theory becomes a set
of rigid assertions which are interpreted as whole facts.
The loss of its probabilistic nature is the most troublesome aspect of the
translation of theory into political practice. For the DPT it means that wide-
range research of DP with different methodological underpinnings and
explanatory models is dismissed and it is treated as a coherent and
consensual theory instead (Geis 2011, 166). Even if the DPT really was
coherent and consensual, as John Owen points out, social science “abstracts
from the complexity of the world and isolates a few conditions thought to
have causal power. The world it depicts is simple and coherent” but
nonetheless the real world “resists conforming to our abstract models”
(Owen 2011, 159). So implications of theory for practice will always be
limited.
4. Conclusion
The thesis has assessed the DPT from both, the theoretical, and the
practical perspective. The main objective was to offer a complex analysis of
the DP scholarship with special focus on the practical significance of the DP
proposition for foreign policy decisions of democratic states and practices of
the international politics.
In regard to the scope of the thesis, I set two research questions at the
beginning of my work. I would like to address these questions in order to
analyse if some light was shed on them or not.
The first question was concerned about the ways the DPT is translated into
political practice:
Democratic Peace in Theory and Practice
44
As was demonstrated by the speeches of the US presidents, the DP ideas
and assumptions have become a part of the mindsets of political leaders of
western democracies. It seems that the DPT has transformed into a few
simple axioms used for political ends; democracies never fight each other
hence the more democracies the more peace in the world. If democracies
go to war it is for liberal reasons, i.e. defend and promote freedom and
human rights, and they fight against ‘real threats’ – authoritarians who pose
a serious danger to democratic states and their citizens. That is a common
depiction of the democratic peace that greatly resonates with the general
public, and is articulated by policy-makers of western democracies when
facing an international crisis.
Through the general recognition of the simplified, and narrowed DP
arguments, the democracy promotion practices gained ‘scientific’ support
for further acceptance, and embedding of the practices as common political
tools for democratic governments and international organisations.
The use of the DPT to back up the democracy promotion practices can be
questionable since no DP theorist, except for a few exceptions, makes
explicit predictions about the spread of peace that would be related to the
spread of democracy. This is implied only by the inherent logic of the
theory. Nevertheless, it is the democracy promotion practices that
constitute the main implications of the DPT for the practice of democratic
states and international organisations.
The second research question was related to the extent the DP ideas
might be exploited for war-waging purposes:
Even though democracy promotion is usually a part of majority of liberal
interventions, democratisation imposed by force is not usually the primary
goal. The two presented cases of humanitarian interventions; intervention
in Kosovo and Libya cannot serve for drawing any larger generalisation,
Democratic Peace in Theory and Practice
45
however, they were chosen as representative examples to demonstrate the
common motivations and processes of such interventions. Democratic
transition usually comes second in the case that the autocrats oppressing
their own people are overthrown as a consequence of the intervention.
Democratisation is then a part of a larger strategy for recovering and
stabilising of the targeted country.
The only case when the DP research was misused for political purposes,
was the US invasion of Iraq in 2003. The articulation of the primary aim of
democratic peace by the Bush administration was served after the invasion,
when the first used justification was proven to be hollow. The exploitation
of the DPT did not discredit the DPT as such, however, it has pointed to
certain weaknesses in theoretical underpinning, and presentation of the
findings of the DP scholarship.
With regards to the US foreign policy, I agree with the conclusion made
by John Owen (2011), that the Iraq War was an extreme example of the
liberal tradition of the US foreign policy, rather than the pure effect of the
DPT. However, the cited quotation, and the statements of the DP scholars
show that the DP research did partially contribute to the normative
justification of the invasion.
As a solution, more moderate, critical, and self-reflective research agenda
should be introduced, “exploring the highly complex relationship between
democracy, violence, and peace which would illuminate both sides of the
‘Janus face’ of liberal democracies” (Geis 2011, 165).
The thesis has demonstrated that DP research remains the prominent
field of study of IRT with a large potential for further research; particularly
the relationship between democracy, war involvement, and
democratisation should be more closely examined.
Democratic Peace in Theory and Practice
46
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