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i
CUSTOMERS’ PERCEPTIONS AND USAGE OF ONLINE
RETAILING SERVICES IN NAIROBI COUNTY, KENYA
BY
PETER M. MWENCHA
D86/CTY/21719/2010
A THESIS SUBMITTED TO THE SCHOOL OF BUSINESS IN
FULFILLMENT OF THE REQUIREMENT FOR THE AWARD OF
DOCTOR OF PHILOSOPHY DEGREE IN BUSINESS
ADMINISTRATION OF KENYATTA UNIVERSITY
JULY, 2015
i
EFFECT OF CUSTOMER PERCEPTIONS ON THE USAGE OF
ONLINE RETAILING SERVICES IN NAIROBI COUNTY, KENYA
BY
PETER M. MWENCHA
BA (IR) UNITED STATES INTERNATIONAL UNIVERSITY (2008)
MBA (MARKETING) KENYA METHODIST UNIVERSITY (2010)
A DISSERTATION SUBMITTED TO THE SCHOOL OF BUSINESS
IN PARTIAL FULFILMENT OF THE REQUIREMENT FOR THE
AWARD OF DOCTOR OF PHILOSOPHY DEGREE IN BUSINESS
ADMINISTRATION OF KENYATTA UNIVERSITY
JUNE, 2013
ii
DECLARATION
This thesis is my original work and has not been presented for any award in any other
university. No part of this thesis should be reproduced without the authority of the
author and/or Kenyatta University.
Signature: ________________________________ Date: __________________
Mwencha, Peter Misiani
Business Administration Department
We confirm that the work reported in this research thesis was carried out by the
candidate under our supervision as the appointed university supervisors.
Signature: ________________________________ Date: ___________________
Dr. Muathe, SMA (PhD)
Department of Business Administration,
School of Business,
Kenyatta University
Signature: _______________________________ Date: ___________________
Prof. Kuria Thuo, J. (PhD)
School of Business
Gretsa University
iii
DEDICATION
To my parents, my father Samuel Mwencha and my late mother Mary Mwencha, My
uncles Amb. Erastus Mwencha, Hon. Henry Obwocha and Stephen Mwencha, my
Aunts Mary Mwencha, Dolline Obwocha, Victoria Sagero, Getrude Sagero and
Millicent Bochere, my elder brother Mogaka Mwencha, my sister Evelyne Kerubo, my
younger brothers Charles Mokaya and Henry Orenge, friends Peter Muendo, Belinda
Maina, Sheridan Muruka, Anthony Riri, Evelyne Kamau, Davies and Milda Kinyua as
well as my cousins Mogaka and Kinya Mwencha, Patrick, Norah and Maurice Masenge
for their love, encouragement and unwavering support.
iv
ACKNOWLEDGEMENT
I wish to acknowledge several individuals who contributed both directly and indirectly
towards the completion of this study. It has been a long, difficult but rewarding
endeavor which would not have been possible without their encouragement and
support.
First and foremost, I am most grateful to my first supervisor, Dr. Muathe, SMA (Ph.D)
who was of great assistance to me at all stages of this study. His guidance,
encouragement as well as patience throughout the course of this study were
indispensable. I would also like to thank my second supervisor, Prof. J. Kuria Thuo, for
his insightful suggestions and meticulous supervision at each and every stage. I would
also like to express my gratitude to the faculty at Kenyatta University School of
Business, in particular, Dr. Ambrose Jagongo (Ph.D), Dr. David Nzuki (Ph.D), Dr.
James Kilika (Ph.D) and Dr. Samuel Maina (Ph.D) for being accessible and helpful
whenever I needed clarifications regarding the thesis.
Second, I also acknowledge the support of my colleagues in the PhD program, in
particular, Dr. Stanley Karanja (Ph.D), Dr. Reuben Njuguna (Ph.D), Dr. Siaw
Frimpong (Ph.D), Dr. Jedidah Muli (Ph.D) and Dr. Rebecca Mensah (Ph.D). Stanley
was always keeping tabs on my progress, Njuguna was a good sounding board for
ideas, Frimpong was welcome company during the long hours in the library, Jedidah
provided me with numerous research tips and Rebecca was an excellent motivator.
Third, I would also like to thank my family and friends for their moral and in-kind
support during the course of this study as well as for bearing the inconvenience that
comes with such a winding undertaking. I am truly indebted to them.
Fourth, there are other people who contributed towards the completion of this study but
could not be mentioned here. They know themselves. I am grateful for all their
contributions and I sincerely thank them all for the part they played.
Last but not least, I give thanks to God almighty for giving me good health and for
sustaining me throughout the entire period of working on this document.
v
TABLE OF CONTENTS
Page
Title....................................................................................................................................... i
Declaration.......................................................................................................................... ii
Dedication ..........................................................................................................................iii
Acknowledgements .......................................................................................................... iv
Table of contents ................................................................................................................ v
List of tables....................................................................................................................... ix
List of figures .................................................................................................................... xii
Operational definition of terms .....................................................................................xiii
Abbreviations and acronyms ......................................................................................... xvi
Abstract ..........................................................................................................................xviii
CHAPTER ONE: INTRODUCTION ............................................................................. 1
1.1 Background of the Study ..................................................................................... ..1
1.1.1 Usage of Online Retailing Services ........................................................................ 4
1.1.2 Customers‘ Perceptions of Online Retailing........................................................... 6
1.1.3 Online Retailing Services in Kenya ........................................................................ 8
1.2 Statement of the Problem ...................................................................................... 9
1.3 Research Objectives ............................................................................................ 11
1.4 Research Hypotheses........................................................................................... 12
1.5 Significance of the Study .................................................................................... 13
1.6 Scope of the Study .............................................................................................. 14
1.7 Limitations of the Study...................................................................................... 15
1.8 Organization of the Study ................................................................................... 16
CHAPTER TWO : LITERATURE REVIEW .............................................................. 18
2.1 Introduction ......................................................................................................... 18
vi
Page
2.2 Theoretical Review of E-Commerce Usage ........................................................ 18
2.2.1 Behavioral Model of System Usage ................................................................ 18
2.2.2 Innovation Diffusion Theory ............................................................................ 21
2.2.3 Expectation-Confirmation Theory .................................................................... 23
2.2.4 Perceived Risk Theory ...................................................................................... 25
2.2.5 Theory of Consumption Values ......................................................................... 27
2.3 Empirical Literature Review ............................................................................... 29
2.3.1 Usage of Online Retailing Services ................................................................... 29
2.3.2 Antecedent Role of Customer Perceptions ........................................................ 32
2.3.3 Mediating Role of Customer Satisfaction .......................................................... 39
2.3.4 Moderating Effect of Demographic Factors ...................................................... 44
2.4 Summary of Empirical Literature and Research Gaps ....................................... 45
2.5 Conceptual Framework ....................................................................................... 47
CHAPTER THREE : RESEARCH METHODOLOGY ............................................. 51
3.1 Introduction ......................................................................................................... 51
3.2 Research Philosophy ........................................................................................... 51
3.3 Research Design .................................................................................................. 52
3.4 The Empirical Model .......................................................................................... 53
3.4.1 The Direct Effects Model .................................................................................... 53
3.4.2 The Mediated Effects Model ............................................................................... 56
3.4.3 The Interaction Effects Model ............................................................................. 57
3.5 Operationalization and Measurement of Study Variables................................... 58
3.6 The Study Area.................................................................................................... 60
3.7 Target Population ................................................................................................ 61
3.8 Sampling Design and Procedure ......................................................................... 62
vii
Page
3.8.1 Sampling Technique ........................................................................................... 63
3.8.2 Sample Size Determination ............................................................................... 65
3.9 Data Collection Instrument ................................................................................. 66
3.9.1 Self Administered Questionnaire ....................................................................... 67
3.9.2 Key Informant Interview .................................................................................. 67
3.9.3 Validity of Data Collection Instruments ............................................................ 68
3.9.4 Reliability of Data Collection Instruments ........................................................ 70
3.10 Data Collection Procedures ................................................................................. 72
3.11 Data Analysis and Presentation ........................................................................... 76
3.12 Ethical Issues ....................................................................................................... 83
CHAPTER FOUR: RESEARCH FINDINGS AND DISCUSSIONS ......................... 85
4.1 Introduction ......................................................................................................... 85
4.2 Descriptive Data Analysis ................................................................................... 85
4.2.1 Response Rate.................................................................................................... 85
4.2.2 Sample Demographic Characteristics ................................................................ 86
4.2.3 Customer Perceptions of Online Retailing Users .............................................. 88
4.2.4 Usage of Online Retailing Services .................................................................... 90
4.2.5 Customer Satisfaction of Online Retailing Users .............................................. 90
4.3 Regression Analysis and Test of Hypotheses ..................................................... 91
4.3.1 Diagnostic Tests ................................................................................................ 92
4.3.2 Test of Hypotheses ............................................................................................ 95
4.3.2 Summary of Research Hypotheses .................................................................. 102
4.4 Content Analysis ............................................................................................... 103
4.4.1 Interview Participants ..................................................................................... 103
4.3.2 Key Themes ..................................................................................................... 104
viii
Page
CHAPTER FIVE: SUMMARY, CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS110
5.1 Introduction ....................................................................................................... 110
5.2 Summary ........................................................................................................... 110
5.3 Conclusions ....................................................................................................... 113
5.4 Policy Implications ............................................................................................ 115
5.5 Contributions of the study to knowledge .......................................................... 117
5.6 Suggestions for further study ............................................................................ 119
REFERENCES ............................................................................................................... 120
APPENDICES ................................................................................................................ 145
Appendix 1: Supplementary Statistical Analyses ........................................................... 145
Appendix 2: List of Online Retailing Firms in Nairobi, Kenya ...................................... 154
Appendix 3: Data Collection Instruments........................................................................ 155
a). Cover Letter....................................................................................................... 155
b). Questionnaire .................................................................................................... 156
c). Interview Guide ................................................................................................. 159
Appendix 4: Research Authorization ............................................................................... 162
a). Clearance Letter ................................................................................................ 162
b). Research Permit................................................................................................. 163
Appendix 5: Code Book ................................................................................................. .164
a). Codebook for Quantitative Data Analysis ....................................................... 164
b). Codebook for Qualitative Data Analysis .......................................................... 165
c). Summary of Major Themes............................................................................... 166
Appendix 6: Summary of Empirical Review & Research Gaps ..................................... .168
ix
LIST OF TABLES
Page
Table 3.1: Operationalization and Measurement of Study Variables ................................ 59
Table 3.2: Distribution of Target Population ..................................................................... 62
Table 3.3: Sampling Frame & Sample Distribution Table ................................................ 66
Table 3.4: Reliability of Questionnaire Items ................................................................... 71
Table 3.5: Inferential Data Analysis Techniques ............................................................... 78
Table 4.1: Distribution of Responses ................................................................................. 86
Table 4.2: Demographic Characteristics of the Sample..................................................... 87
Table 4.3: Descriptive Statistics Results for Customers‘ Perceptions ............................... 88
Table 4.4: Descriptive Statistics Results for Individual Perceptual Indicators ................. 89
Table 4.5: Descriptive Statistics Results for Customer Satisfaction.................................. 90
Table 4.6: Descriptive Statistics Results for Usage of Online Retail Services .................. 90
Table 4.7: Results of Collinearity Statistics ....................................................................... 93
Table 4.8: Results of Kolmogorov-Smirnov Normality Test ........................................... 94
Table 4.9: Results of Logit Regression Analysis ............................................................... 95
Table 4.10: Results of of Simple Linear Regression Analysis ......................................... 97
Table 4.11: Summary of Hypotheses Test ...................................................................... 102
Table 4.12: Distribution of Interview Participants ......................................................... 103
Table A.1: Reliability Output - Usefulness .................................................................... 145
Table A.2: Reliability Output - Compatibility ............................................................... 145
Table A.3: Reliability Output - Ease-of-Use ................................................................. 145
Table A.4: Reliability Output - Financial Risk ............................................................... 145
Table A.5: Reliability Output - Performance Risk ........................................................ 145
Table A.6: Reliability Output - Personal Risk ............................................................... 146
Table A.7: Reliability Output - Monetary Value ............................................................ 146
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Page
Table A.8: Reliability Output - Convenience Value ...................................................... 146
Table A.9: Reliability Output - Social Value .................................................................. 146
Table A.10: Reliability Output - Emotional Value ......................................................... 146
Table A.11: Reliability Output - Level of Satisfaction ................................................... 147
Table A.12: Correlation Matrix for the Three Predictor Variables ................................. 147
Table A.13: Collinearity Output showing Tolerance and VIF ........................................ 147
Table A.14: Hosmer and Lemeshow Test for the Main Effects Model ........................... 147
Table A.15: Normality Test for Predictor Variables ....................................................... 148
Table A.16: Dependent Variable Encoding for Predictor Variables ............................... 148
Table A.17: Model Summary for Logistic Regression of Direct Effects Model ............ 148
Table A.18: Classification Table for Direct Effects Model ............................................ 149
Table A.19: Case processing summary for Direct Effects Model .................................. 149
Table A.20: Logistic Regression Results for Direct Effects Model ............................... 149
Table A.21: Model Summary for Linear Regression Results for the Relationship
between Customers‘ Perceptions and Customer Satisfaction ..................... 150
Table A.22: ANOVA (F-Test) for Linear Regression Results of the Relationship
between Customers‘ Perceptions and Customer Satisfaction .................... 150
Table A.23: Linear Regression Results of Relationship between Customers‘ Perceptions
and Customer Satisfaction ........................................................................... 150
Table A.24: Dependent Variable Encoding for Logistic Regression of Relationship
between Customer Satisfaction and Usage ................................................. 151
Table A.25: Classification Table: Logistic Regression of Relationship between
Customer Satisfaction and Usage ................................................................ 151
Table A.26: Case Processing Summary for Logistic Regression of the Relationship
between Customer Satisfaction and Usage ................................................. 151
xi
Page
Table A.27: Model Summary for Logistic Regression of Relationship between
Customer Satisfaction and Usage .............................................................. 152
Table A.28: Logistic Regression Results of the Relationship between Customer
Satisfaction and Usage ............................................................................... 152
Table A.29: Case Processing Summary for Moderated Effects Model .......................... 152
Table A.30: Dependent Variable Encoding for Moderated Effects Model .................... 152
Table A.31: Moderated Effects Model Summary ........................................................... 153
Table A.32: Classification Table for Moderated Effects Regression ............................. 153
Table A.33: Logistic Regression Results for Moderated Effects Model ........................ 153
xii
LIST OF FIGURES
Page
Figure 2.1 : Behavioral Model of System Usage .............................................................. 19
Figure 2.2 : Diffusion of Innovation Theory ..................................................................... 21
Figure 2.3 : Expectations-Confirmation theory ................................................................. 24
Figure 2.4 : Perceived Risk Theory ................................................................................... 26
Figure 2.5 : Theory of Consumption Value ....................................................................... 28
Figure 2.6 : Conceptual Framework .................................................................................. 48
xiii
OPERATIONAL DEFINITION OF TERMS
Active users Individuals that have used a particular online retailing
service at least once in the last three months.
Adoption The acceptance (initial use) of an online retailing service
B2C E-Commerce The direct activity between businesses and consumers
through which consumers fulfill their needs (e.g.
information, products or services) using information and
communications technology applications such as the
internet.
C2C E-Commerce The direct activity amongst consumers through which
they fulfill their needs (e.g. information, products or
services) using information and communications
technology applications such as the internet.
Compatibility The degree to which using a particular online retailing
service is perceived as being consistent with the existing
values, needs and past experiences of the potential user.
Constructs Abstractions (theoretical concepts) that cannot be
observed directly but are useful in interpreting empirical
data and in theory building.
Customers’ Perceptions The subjective opinions/beliefs/judgments of an
individual vis-à-vis an online retailing service based on
prior use experience.
Customer Satisfaction The customer‘s overall positive evaluation of the online
retailing service following initial usage or based on all
prior interactions/encounters and experiences with the
online retailing service.
Data triangulation The collecting of study data over different times or from
different sources.
Demographic Variables Personal characteristics/attributes of a consumer that tend
to remain static throughout an individual‘s life time, or
evolve slowly over time. This includes age, gender, race,
education, income, lifestyle, etc.
E-commerce The use of electronic communications and digital
information processing technology in business
xiv
transactions for value creation between organizations,
between organizations and individuals as well as between
individuals.
Inactive users Individuals that have not used a particular online retailing
service at least once in the last three months.
Innovation An idea, practice or object that is perceived as new by an
individual.
Market Development Possible ways of increasing and sustaining the usage of
online retailing services.
Market Prospects Economic/business potential of the online retailing sub-
sector.
Member Checking Verifying the credibility of constructions of the key
informant interview participants.
Methodical triangulation The use of a combination of methods such as document
analysis, interviews and surveys in a study.
Moderating variable A third variable that modifies the strength or direction of
a causal relationship.
Monetary value The customer‘s evaluation of the total financial cost of
the online retailing service (including the price paid)
relative to the benefits received.
Null hypothesis A statement that contradicts the assumed result/outcome
of the study.
Online retailing The selling and buying of goods/services through the
internet.
Operational definition The definition that ascribes meaning to a construct by
specifying operations that the researcher must perform to
measure or manipulate the construct.
Perception A subjective opinion/belief/judgment of an individual
vis-à-vis an online retailing service.
Perceived risk The transaction-related risks that consumers face as a
result of using online retailing services.
Perceived value The consumer‘s evaluation of the benefits of online
retailing usage.
Post-adoption behavior The various adoption outcomes, use behaviors, and
feature extension behaviors made by an individual after
xv
an online retailing service has been implemented, made
accessible to the user, and applied by the user in
accomplishing his/her online shopping activities.
Prevailing Attitudes Opinions, thoughts and feelings regarding online retailing
services.
Psychographics A customer‘s inner feelings and predisposition to behave
in a certain way.
Pure play online firms Firms that provide their services only via online/internet
channels e.g. internet retailing.
Retailer An entity that sells products and services directly to the
final consumers for their personal use, be it online,
offline or both.
Theory A set of interrelated constructs/variables that present a
systematic view of a phenomenon by specifying
relationships among the variables, with the purpose of
explaining the phenomenon.
Usage The utilization of one or more features of an online
retailing service by registered users within a certain
timeframe.
Usage Diversity The types/nature and extent of usage/utilization of online
retailing services
Usage Drivers Determinants of online retailing usage
Variable A construct that can assume different values and scores.
Variable respecification A procedure in which the existing data are modified to
create new variables, or in which a large number of
variables are collapsed into fewer variables in line with
the study‘s objectives.
xvi
ABBREVIATIONS AND ACRONYMS
ANOVA Analysis of Variance
B2B Business-to-Business
B2C Business-to-Consumer
BMSU Behavioural Model of System Usage
CA Communications Authority
CCK Communication Commission of Kenya
CS Customer Satisfaction
COFEK Consumer Federation of Kenya
CUI Continued Usage Intention
C2C Business-to-Consumer
DOI Diffusion of Innovation
DV Dependent Variable
E-COMMERCE Electronic Commerce
ECM Expectations Confirmation Model
ECT Expectations (Dis) Confirmation Theory
IS Information Systems
IT Information Technology
IV Independent Variable
ICT Information and Communication Technology
IDT Innovation Diffusion Theory
KS Kolmogorov Smirnov Test
LOGIT Logistic Regression
MIS Management Information Systems
xvii
NACOSTI National Commission for Science, Technology and Innovation
PCI Perceived Characteristics of Using an Innovation
PEOU Perceived Ease of Use
PERVAL Perceived Value Scale
PR Perceived Risk
PU Perceived Usefulness
PV Perceived Value
RR Response Rate
SERVQUAL Service Quality
SCT Social Cognitive Theory
SEM Structural Equation Modelling
SNS Social Networking Sites
SPSS Statistical Package for Social Sciences
TAM Technology Adoption Model
TRA Theory of Reasoned Action
TCV Theory of Consumption Values
US United States
UN-HABITAT United Nations Human Settlements Programme
UTAUT Unified Theory of Acceptance and Use of Technology
VIF Variance Inflation Factor
xviii
ABSTRACT
In spite of the huge increase in internet usage in Kenya over the past years, the usage of
online retailing services in Kenya is still very low, thereby posing an existential threat
to the service providers. To induce more initial users to continue using these services,
there is need to establish what affects their continued usage. Individual factors, in
particular customer perceptions, have been shown by both the information systems (IS)
as well as the marketing fields to have significant effect on sustained use of online
retailing services. This study therefore sought to establish the effect of customer
perceptions on the usage of online retailing services in Nairobi County, Kenya. Its
objectives were to establish whether there is a relationship between perceived attributes
and usage of online retailing services, to determine whether there is a relationship
between perceived risk and usage of online retailing services, to analyse whether there
is a relationship between perceived value and usage of online retailing services, to
evaluate whether customer satisfaction has a mediating effect on the relationship
between customer perceptions and usage of online retailing services and to establish
whether customer demographics have a moderating effect on the relationship between
customer perceptions and usage of online retailing services. The study employed a
descriptive, cross-sectional, survey design and explanatory design. The target
population was 6 online retailing firms and the respondents for this study were the
18,147 registered users of these six online retailing firms in Nairobi County, Kenya. A
sample of 391 respondents was selected using multi-stage sampling methods including
purposive, stratified and simple random sampling. Primary data was collected using a
self-administered structured questionnaire and an interview guide, while secondary data
was collected through document review. Questionnaire responses were analyzed using
descriptive and inferential statistics which involved both linear and logistic regression
analysis. Figures and tables were used to present the data. Data from key informant
interviews was analyzed using content analysis technique to complement the
quantitative data. The results showed that consumer perceptions have a significant
effect on the usage of online retailing services. The study also found that customer
satisfaction does have a mediating effect on the customer perception – usage
relationship. Furthermore, the research established that demographic factors do not
have a significant moderating effect on the customer perception - usage relationship.
The findings of this study underscore the importance of customer perceptions and
customer satisfaction in enhancing the likelihood of success of online retailing services.
Consequently, the study recommends that online retailers should enhance service
features/attributes as a way of ensuring success of their services by taking into
consideration customer-specific needs by personalizing the website to make it more
useful, compatible with customer requirements and easy to use for users. In addition,
online retailing service providers need to build trust amongst their users regarding
online purchasing. Further, online retailers should design and deliver a unique value
proposition that has both functional as well as hedonistic appeals. Online retailers
should also have an effective customer satisfaction strategy for purposes of customer
retention. Moreover, it is imperative for online retailing firms to have a good
understanding of their target customers, since this will not only help in determining the
appropriate customer engagement strategies but also how to enhance the long-term
usage of their services. On the government‘s part, the study recommends the tackling
the barriers to online shopping usage primarily through legislation. Since usage also
hinges on trust, the government could license a suitable entity to oversee online
consumer protection to address users‘ concerns.
1
CHAPTER ONE
INTRODUCTION
1.1 Background of the Study
The commercial use of the Internet has grown tremendously over the last two decades,
and is characterized by a proliferation of various online-based electronic commerce (e-
commerce) services. One of these services is online retailing, which has been described
using a number of different terms (Mottner, Thelen & Karande, 2002). It has been
referred to as internet retailing, e-retailing, or e-tailing (Anderson, 2000), as part of
interactive home shopping (Alba, Lynch, Weitz & Janisqewski, 1997), and by the
broader terms electronic commerce (Daniel & Klimis, 1999) and e-commerce (Boscheck,
1998).
According to the Australian Government Productivity Commission (AGPC), online
retailing can take several forms: i) as ‗pure play‘ services in which businesses provide
online-only services in particular retail categories, ii) as brick-and-click (multi-channel)
establishments where online activities are combined with bricks-and-mortar operations,
iii) as online marketplaces where buyers and sellers interact on an electronic trading
platform provided by a third-party and iv) as manufacturer-owned websites where
products are sold directly to customers, thus by-passing middlemen (2011).
The late 1990s heralded the coming of age of online retailing, with the unprecedented
growth in reported sales surpassing triple digit growth (United States Census Bureau,
2004), though it slowed considerably due the failure of e-commerce firms in 2000
(Rohm & Swaminathan, 2004). Nonetheless, the U.S. Commerce Department has been
reporting annual e-commerce statistics since 1999, signifying the importance of this sub-
sector to the world‘s largest economy (Haynes & Taylor, 2006).
2
Due to its huge popularity, online retailing has had a significant impact on several market
segments such as travel, consumer electronics, hobby goods, and media goods across the
globe (Weltevrenden & Boschma, 2008). Consequently, online retailing has evolved into
an established marketing channel in its own right within the consumer marketplace
(Doherty & Ellis-Chadwick, 2010).
In terms of size, the U.S. is the largest market, and is expected to reach $278.9 billion in
sales in 2015 (Forrester, 2011a). In Europe, the second largest market, the number of
online buyers is expected to grow from 157 million to 205 million by 2015; total sales
are forecast to reach 133.6 billion Euros (Forrester, 2011b). Africa is also gradually
embracing online retailing, with countries like South Africa and Egypt ahead of the rest.
In South Africa for instance, 51% of those with access to the internet are shopping
online, according to a 2011 MasterCard Worldwide survey (Kermeliotis, 2011).
Kenya is showing strong growth potential, as it was the fastest growing Internet market
in Africa in 2011 (yStats.com, 2012) with its internet population rising by about 19% to
stand at 14.032 million users in 2012 from 12.5 million in 2011 (Communications
Commission of Kenya (CCK), 2012). A recent survey of 1700 individuals found that
18% to 24% of the respondents purchase music, movies and e-books online, thus
signaling the growth of online shopping in Kenya (Juma, 2010). This upward trend has
been aided by the increasing number of young people who prefer to access information
via their mobile phones, coupled with the declining prices of internet connectivity costs
as well as the high uptake of mobile payment services. This has created an opportunity
for online trading platforms such as N-Soko, OLX, Jumia and Rupu, among others
(Okuttah, 2014).
3
Notwithstanding the significant growth in internet usage in Kenya over the past few
years, the online shopping market is still quite small even by regional standards. Reports
indicate that the Communications Authority (CA) estimates the value of e-commerce in
Kenya at Sh4.3 billion, in comparison to South Africa‘s Sh54 billion, Egypt‘s Sh17
billion and Morocco‘s Sh. 9.6 billion (Okuttah, 2014).
This disproportionately low online retailing usage situation is corroborated by Nakumatt,
the leading supermarket chain in Kenya and East Africa, which insists that it has felt no
impact from online retailing. The company decries the fact that despite its presence on
online retail services, it was seeing little benefit if any there from. According to the retail
chain‘s analysis, ―online shopping is yet to take root in East Africa and still commands
less than 1 percent of turnover. We therefore cannot attest to having been affected by
online shopping‖ (Consumer Federation of Kenya (COFEK), 2013).
In the long run, this low usage of online retailing services poses a problem for investors
on how to monetize and sustain their investments in these platforms (Okuttah, 2014),
since low usage may result in the service provider incurring undesirable costs of
maintaining the loss-making service. Continued lossmaking may eventually lead to
closure of the service (Cooper & Zmud, 1990; Bhattacherjee, 2001a), as was evident
during the closure of the online retail service provider Kalahari.co.ke in 2011, the
Kenyan arm of the South African based firm Naspers. According to Naspers, ―the
performance of the service had been below expectations since the launch of the service in
2009 and reaching profitability was not a reasonable near-term prospect‖
(Bizcommunity, 2011).
4
Past studies have established that the success of e-retailers hinges more profoundly on
the continued use of the system than on initial adoption (Parthasarathy & Bhattacherjee,
1998; Shih & Venkatesh, 2004; Limayem, Hirt & Cheung, 2007). In view of the current
state-of-affairs, and given the growing importance online retailing, this study sought to
understand the predictors of online retailing service usage by consumers in Kenya.
1.1.1 Usage of Online Retailing Services
Usage behavior is an important concept in both the information systems (IS) and
marketing fields, due to the necessity of service providers to increase the uptake of their
services and sustain their usage at levels that are economically viable for them to
continue providing the service. For this reason, both researchers as well as practitioners
have sought to understand system usage behavior, in particular, what influences it
(Lucas, 1975; Schewe, 1976; Swanson, 1988; Taylor & Todd, 1995b; Bhattacherjee,
2001a; Hong, Thong, & Tam, 2006).
However, a review of usage literature shows that it is a complex construct with multiple
conceptualizations (Burton-Jones & Straub, 2006). For instance, Bhattacherjee (2001a)
divided IS usage into two stages: initial adoption and continuous usage, while Liu (2007)
postulated that the use of online shopping services is likely to move from partial usage
(i.e. information search only) to full usage (i.e. completing the entire transaction process
online) during post-adoption use. As such, the context within which it is used is
important in determining its relevant measures and dimensions. In the context of this
research, the usage of online retailing services is examined at the individual level of
analysis (i.e. the consumer use context) as a post-adoption phenomenon that is also
referred to as continued use. Therefore, usage serves as the dependent variable in the
research model conceptualized for this study.
5
The usage construct in this study is derived from the Behavioral Model of System Usage
(BMSU), an early IS model by Schewe (1976) that relates user attitudes to end-user
system usage behavior as well as the Expectation-Confirmation Theory (ECT), a
marketing theory by Oliver (1980; 2010) and its related Expectation (Dis) Confirmation
Model (ECM) by Bhattacherjee (2001a) which adapted the ECT to IS context. ECT is
the dominant theoretical lens used to explain IT continuance/discontinuance behaviors
(Bhattacherjee & Barfar, 2011). Due to the similarity between re-purchasing products or
services in a consumer context and the continued use of technology, the ECM posits an
equivalent relationship in the continued technology usage context (Bhattacherjee,
2001a).
Given the empirical support for the impact of continued usage on the IT system success,
establishing what that affect customers‘ usage behavior (either to continue or to
discontinue usage of an IT) is of importance (Hong et al, 2006). Accordingly, research in
IT continuance has examined different factors and/or processes that motivate continued
usage or discontinuance of IT products or services, following their initial acceptance
(Bhattacherjee & Barfar, 2011).
In essence, continued usage of IS can be influenced by individual/psychological,
system/technical and organizational factors (Bajaja & Nidumolu, 1998). However, this
study restricts itself to examining individual psychological factors, specifically the
antecedent role of customers‘ perceptions on usage of online retailing services, coupled
with the mediating role of satisfaction on the perception-usage relationship. This is in
line with a study conducted by Lucas (1975), which ascertained that the use of an IS is
dependent on user attitudes and perceptions.
6
It is important to note that as opposed to organizational IS usage, individuals use IS such
as online retailing services not only for utilitarian purposes, but also for hedonic
purposes (Monsuwé, Dellaert & De Ruyter, 2004; Bridges & Florsheim, 2008; Ozen &
Kodaz, 2012). Therefore, the affective aspect of online shopping is just as important as
the cognitive aspect and therefore needs to be taken into consideration when seeking to
establish what affects the usage of online retailing services (Ozen & Kodaz, 2012).
1.1.2 Customers’ Perceptions of Online Retailing
Perceptions are essentially mental maps made by people to give them a meaningful
picture of the world on which they can base their decisions (Berelson & Steiner, 1964).
Perception occurs when stimuli are registered by one of the five human senses: vision,
hearing, taste, smell and touch (Hoyer & MacInni, 2008) via a process of sensing,
selecting, and interpreting stimuli in the external, physical world into the internal, mental
world (Wilkie, 1994). This perceptual process leads to a response, which is either overt
(actions) or covert (motivations, attitudes, and feelings) or both.
From a consumer behavior perspective, perceptions are an attempt by a consumer to
obtain and process information about a market situation with a purpose to make himself
aware of the market and market offerings – market events, marketers, products/services,
advertisement, physical environment of the market outlet and so on (Sahaf, 2008).
Consumers establish and continuously update their perceptions about the alternative
products/services that they are considering and based on those perceptions, they
determine their attitudes towards the products (preferences).
7
The selection and interpretation of stimuli is highly subjective and is based on what the
consumer expects to see in light of previous experience, on the number of plausible
explanations he or she can envision, on motives and interests at the time of perception,
and on the clarity of the stimulus itself. Due to the way people view, experience and
remember things, two people may have differing perceptions of the same stimulus item
(e.g. a product or service). This makes perceptions a confusing and complex
phenomenon (Schiffman & Kanuk, 2010).
Perception has strategy implications for marketers because consumers make decisions
based on what they perceive rather than on the basis of objective reality. As a result,
marketers have realised that understanding the perceptual process of consumers helps
them to design better ways to help customers perceive their products and services
favorably, especially since products and services that are perceived distinctly and
favorably have a much better chance of being purchased than products or services with
unclear or unfavorable images (Schiffman & Kanuk, 2010).
Similarly, researchers in IS have over the years sought to establish how potential users‘
perceptions of an IT innovation influences its adoption (Tornatzky & Klein, 1982; Moore
& Benbasat, 1991) and continued usage (Lucas, 1975; Schewe, 1976; Parthasarathy &
Bhattacherjee, 1998; Bhattacherjee, 2001b; Venkatesh, Morris, Davis & Davis, 2003).
For this reason, organizations interested in influencing usage of their services need to
better understand their customers‘ perceptions (Schewe, 1976; Bhattacherjee, 2001a;
Bhattacherjee & Barfar, 2011). Consequently, the customer perception construct serves
as the independent variable in this study and has theoretical foundations from three
perceptual constructs identified in literature as playing an antecedent role via-a-vis online
retailing usage. These are: - perceived attributes, perceived risk and perceived value.
8
1.1.3 Online Retailing Services in Kenya
In the last decade, Kenya has undergone a transformation in its information and
communication technology (ICT) sector which has also had significant impact on
Kenya‘s social and economic structures (World Bank (WB), 2010). The ICT sector‘s
growth has outperformed every other sector, expanding by 23 percent annually during
this time and is now six times its size at the beginning of the decade (Ibid). This
remarkable growth has been characterized by introduction of various e-commerce
products and services into the market, which target Kenya‘s rapidly growing internet
population that stood at 14.032 million users in 2012 (CCK, 2012).
One of these innovative services is online retailing (or e-tailing), a subset of e-commerce
where firms provide a platform for the purchase and sale of goods between consumers
and sellers via the Internet (AGPC, 2011). Online retailing in Kenya is a beneficiary of
the growing use of the internet by both businesses and consumers. A survey of 1700
individuals found that 18% to 24% of the respondents purchase music, movies and e-
books online (Juma, 2010), while reports indicate that the Communications Authority
(CA) estimates the value of e-commerce in Kenya at Sh4.3 billion (Okuttah, 2014).
There are currently several online retailing firms in Kenya, majority of which are located
in Nairobi. They include Ravenzo, Jumia, Mzoori.com, Rupu.com, OLX.com, amongst
others. However, the usage of these services by consumers has not been commensurate
with business projections, resulting in the closure of some of them (e.g. Kalahari.co.ke).
There is therefore need to gain an increased understanding of what affects the use of
these online retailing services at the individual context. For this reason, the online
consumer context and more specifically, their usage of online retailing services in
Nairobi, Kenya, is presented as the main context of this study.
9
1.2 Statement of the Problem
The remarkable growth in the Kenyan ICT sector in the last decade has been
characterized by a surge in e-commerce activities, with several online services and
applications being introduced into the market (World Bank, 2010). However, while the
adoption of these online services is generally high, the conversion rate of the initial
adopters to long-term users is very low, as noted by Magutu, Mwangi, Nyaoga, Ondimu,
Kagu, Mutai, Kilonzo & Nthenya (2011).
This low usage of these online services by consumers poses a financial sustainability
problem for service providers, who may incur undesirable costs of maintaining the loss-
making online service. Consequently, continued loss-making may eventually lead to
closure of the online service, resulting in waste of effort to develop the service
(Bhattacherjee & Parthasarathy, 1998). This has been the case in Kenya, where the
failure of several online retailing firms – the latest being Kalahari.co.ke - has been
largely attributed to financial losses as a result of low usage by consumers.
The poor usage of online retailing services in Kenya is also attested to by Nakumatt, the
leading supermarket chain in Kenya and East Africa, which claims that it has felt no
impact from e-commerce. The company decries the fact that despite its presence on
online retail services, it was seeing little benefit if any there from, maintaining that
online shopping is yet to take root in East Africa going by current turnover (COFEK,
2013). This low uptake of online retailing services in Kenya therefore signifies the need
to understand what affects consumers‘ sustained usage of online retail services as a way
of increasing the chances of success of these services in Kenya.
10
Past studies (Bajaj & Nidumolu, 1998; Liu & Forsythe, 2009; Bhattacherjee & Barfar,
2011) have thus sought to establish the determinants of online retailing services usage. In
these studies, individual psychological factors - in particular customer perceptions - have
been shown to have a significant effect on the usage (Whyte, Bytheway & Edwards,
1997; DeLone & McLean, 2003; Venkatesh et al., 2003).
A review of empirical literature in this area reveals the different types of customer
perceptions and their relationship with usage. For instance, a study by Smith, (2008)
showed that perceived attributes do affect online retailing usage. On the other hand,
perceived risk has been established as having a significant effect on usage of e-
commerce (Yildirim & Cengel, 2012). Likewise, perceived value has been established as
one of the key factors affecting repeat usage in the online retailing context (Chen &
Dubinsky, 2003; Hu & Chuang, 2012). However, no prior study has combined these
three perceptions in the online retailing usage context. This study therefore contributes to
knowledge in this area by doing so.
Customer satisfaction with an online retailing service also has an effect on its subsequent
usage, as customers may discontinue usage due to unsatisfactory trial outcomes or usage
experiences (Rogers, 1995; 2010; Bhattacherjee, 2001a; 2001b). Due to the similarity
between re-purchasing products/services in a consumer context and the continued use of
technology, an equivalent relationship in the continued technology usage context is
posited. Moreover, satisfaction has also been shown to be affected by customer
perception of their initial use experiences with an IT (Bhattacherjee, 2001a; 2001b). In
other words, customer satisfaction has a mediating role on the relationship between
customer perception and usage. There‘s therefore need to understand this mediating role
11
of customer satisfaction, particularly in the online retailing context in Kenya. This study
therefore sought to fill this gap in extant research.
Further, the profile of consumers has also been shown to be of importance in
understanding their continued usage of online services (Bhattacherjee & Parthasarathy,
1998). However, most IS studies have concentrated on user psychographic factors,
ignoring demographic factors. To enhance the explanatory capacity of the proposed
model, the moderating role of customer demographic factors was incorporated.
Therefore, this research empirically examined the moderating role of three demographic
characteristics - age, income and education level - on the relationship between customer
perceptions and usage of online retailing services in Kenya.
1.3 Research Objectives
1.3.1 General Objective
The main objective of this study was to investigate the relationship between consumers‘
perceptions and usage of online retailing services in Nairobi County, Kenya.
1.3.2 Specific Objectives
i. To establish the relationship between perceived attributes and usage of online
retailing services in Nairobi County, Kenya.
ii. To analyse the relationship between perceived risk and usage of online retailing
services in Nairobi County, Kenya.
iii. To determine the relationship between perceived value and usage of online
retailing services in Nairobi County, Kenya.
12
iv. To assess the relationship between customers‘ perceptions and customer
satisfaction with online retailing services in Nairobi County, Kenya.
v. To establish the relationship between customer satisfaction and usage of online
retailing services in Nairobi County, Kenya.
vi. To establish the moderating effect of customer demographics on the relationship
between customer perceptions and usage of online retailing services in Nairobi
County, Kenya.
1.4 Research Hypotheses
i. H01: There‘s no relationship between perceived attributes and usage of online
retailing services in Nairobi County, Kenya.
ii. H02: There‘s no relationship between perceived risk and usage of online retailing
services in Nairobi County, Kenya.
iii. H03: There‘s no relationship between perceived value and usage of online
retailing services in Nairobi County, Kenya.
iv. H04: There‘s no relationship between customers‘ perceptions and customer
satisfaction with online retailing services in Nairobi County, Kenya.
v. H05: There‘s no relationship between customer satisfaction and usage of online
retailing services in Nairobi County, Kenya.
vi. H06: Customer demographics have no moderating effect on the relationship
between customer perceptions and usage of online retailing services in
Nairobi County, Kenya.
13
1.5 Significance of the Study
This study shall be of significance in the following ways:
1.5.1 Policy Significance
The findings will assist e-commerce stakeholders including service providers and the
government in designing policies that are geared towards enhancing sustained use of
online retailing services in Kenya. This will reduce the possibility of failure arising from
low usage as it will enable online retailing companies to provide their services
sustainably.
1.5.2 Practical Significance
The outcome of this study shall also be of significance to e-commerce practitioners in
particular the managers who are responsible for developing and implementing strategies
aimed at achieving a viable customer base. It is therefore important for online retailing
firms to have a good understanding of their target customers, since this will not only help
in determining the appropriate customer engagement strategies but also how to increase
the long-term usage of their services.
1.5.3 Theoretical Significance
The academic value of this study is two-fold: First, the conceptual and empirical insights
stemming from this study can be used to develop new knowledge, thereby helping both
broaden and deepen researchers‘ understanding of consumer technology usage behavior,
in particular, with regards to the online retailing context. Second, the study provides
researchers with a rigorous and methodologically sound way of how to integrate
quantitative and qualitative methods in order to contribute to a rich and comprehensive
study.
14
1.6 Scope of the Study
In line with Mottner, Thelen and Karande (2002), this research focused on online
services that sell products and services to the end user or consumer, also known as
Business-to-Consumer (B2C) e-commerce. This differs significantly from Business-to-
Business (B2B) e-commerce, which was not addressed in this study.
Seeing that the study focused on online retailing service providers in Nairobi, Kenya, it
therefore restricted itself to online retailing services that are provided exclusively via the
online channel (i.e. pure play and e-marketplace services). Due to the unique Kenyan
context, results of this study will only be inferred to Kenyan online retailers, thus
limiting their generalizability to other sectors and countries.
Further, the study‘s sampling pool was restricted to registered users of online retailing
services, majority of who were highly educated and more conversant with internet use
for shopping than the wider population of Kenyans. Therefore, to generalize the results
for the larger population, it is suggested that in future, research should expand the scope
of the current study by using a sample of both users and non-users of online shopping
services.
The current study only considered individual aspects (i.e. customer perceptions,
satisfaction and demographics) that affect online retailing usage, despite there being
other usage determinants such as organizational and environmental factors, not to
mention other psychological factors like motivation and learning (Kotler & Armstrong,
2000). Due to the subjective nature of perceptions, the study should be repeated with a
different sample to ensure the validity of its findings.
15
1.7 Limitations of the Study
Several limitations in this mixed-methods study are worth noting: First, quantitative data
for this study was collected using a survey questionnaire and therefore suffers from
biases such as non-response inherent in most survey-based research. To address this
concern, the quantitative survey method was supplemented by qualitative key informant
interviews for integration/triangulation in line with Bryman (2006).
The second limitation had to do with the sampling frame which poses a major challenge
to internet surveys (Simsek, Veiga & Lubatkin, 2005). According to Wilson (2006), it is
unlikely that the sampling frame/list will match the population of interest exactly, which
will result in sampling frame error. This is compounded by the fact that few master
directories exist that lists individuals (and their email addresses) from a particular
population that has access to the internet, and the few that do exist may be seriously
flawed. To reduce sample frame error, Wilson (2006) recommends adding a number of
lists together to create the sample frame. For the current study, several lists of online
retailing service providers were amalgamated in order to form the study population from
which final sampling frame was derived. They include the Kenya ICT Board Tandaa
Grant Applicants list, the Kenya Postel Directories list of E-Commerce service providers
amongst others.
The third limitation regards the lack of representativeness arising from non-response.
Internet surveys studies suffer from a lack of representativeness, which has to do with the
extent to which the sample represents the population from which it was drawn.
Representativeness may prove difficult to achieve using internet surveys for some
population, particularly those where a large percentage of its members dislike the
experience of participating in electronic surveys for various reasons (Simsek et al., 2005)
16
resulting in non-response problem. One way of reducing the number of non-responses in
online surveys is to repeat the contact one or more times (Kumar, Aaker & Day, 2002).
In this study, respondents were sent two reminders via e-mail to solicit their
participation, as recommended by Nulty (2008).
The fourth limitation concerned the nature of the study‘s respondents. The respondents
of this study reside in Nairobi County, the capital city of Kenya, which is more
cosmopolitan and urbanized in comparison to the rest of the country. This makes it rather
difficult to generalize the results to the rest of the country. Overall however, these
limitations are not believed to have necessarily compromised the eventual findings.
1.8 Organization of the Study
This thesis is divided into five chapters. Chapter one, the introduction, consists of the
research problem, research questions and hypotheses. The significance, scope and
limitations were also outlined, finishing with the organization of the study.
Chapter two builds a theoretical foundation upon which the research is based by
reviewing the relevant literature. The theoretical frame of reference of the study and links
to relevant empirical discussions are presented. Also, the key concepts used in this study,
i.e. customers‘ perceptions, customer satisfaction, usage and customer characteristics are
discussed and presented as a conceptual framework. Finally, gaps within the literature
are identified and linked to the research problem of this study.
Chapter three details the research methodology employed in this study and outlines the
empirical research methods used. It covers research issues and hypothesis development,
research design, model specification, data collection, scale development, sample
17
selection and size, research timing, data analysis, research validity and reliability as well
as ethical issues.
Chapter four presents the findings of the study along with their discussion. It comprises
data collection details as captured using the research questionnaire and other sources of
secondary data as well as the analysis of those findings which are presented in the form
of tables, figures, charts and narratives.
Chapter five provides a summary and discussion of the main findings of the study. It also
outlines the conclusions, recommendations of the study, its contribution to knowledge as
well as suggestions for further study.
18
CHAPTER TWO
LITERATURE REVIEW
2.1 Introduction
This chapter reviews the theoretical as well as empirical literature on online retailing
usage by customers. It begins with a review of five theories and models popular in IS and
consumer behaviour, followed by an empirical review of the literature regarding the
main concepts used in this study, i.e. customers‘ perceptions, customer satisfaction,
usage and customer characteristics, which are then presented as a conceptual framework.
Finally, a summary of relevant literature is conducted and subsequently gaps within the
literature are identified and linked to the research problem of this study.
2.2 Theoretical Review
This study is underpinned by four theories and one model commonly used in explaining
technology adoption and usage behavior. These are (i) Behavioral model of system usage
(BMSU), (ii) Innovation diffusion theory (IDT), (iii) Expectation-confirmation theory
(ECT), (iv) Perceived risk theory (PRT) and (v) Theory of consumption values (TCV).
Amongst these, the BMSU and ECT are the dominant theoretical lenses used in this
study.
2.2.1 Behavioral Model of System Usage
The Behavioral model of system usage (BMSU) is an early IS theory that was advanced
by Schewe (1976) to explain end-user system usage behavior in organizational contexts.
The parsimonious model attempted to predict system usage from perceptual, attitudinal
and exogenous variables. It was developed in response to the need to explore how
individual psychological factors and other behavioral aspects of the system user affect
19
MIS usage. Till then, attention to computer usage in the literature had focused on
technical aspects of computer based information systems.
The attitudinal model can be reduced to four sets of variables: (1) perceptions of the MIS
(system dimensions), (2) exogenous variables outside the MIS such as the perceived
support and influence of IT personnel that normally may affect an individual‘s attitudes
toward the system and system usage, (3) attitudes toward the MIS and (4) system usage
(Schewe, 1976). The model was used to explore the relationships between MIS users'
perceptions of their computer system, perceived variables exogenous to the system,
attitudes, and system usage. In this study, the online retailing usage construct as well as
the customer satisfaction construct (attitudes toward the MIS) are drawn from the
BMSU.
Figure 2.1: Behavioral model of system usage Source: Schewe (1976).
Beliefs
A. About MIS
Dimensions
B. About MIS related
objects,
atmosphere, and
significant others
System
Usage
Evaluative
Process
Perceptual
Processes
Attitude
towards
use of the
MIS
Constraints
Beliefs
A. About MIS
Dimensions
B. About MIS related
objects, atmosphere
and significant others
20
The model presumed that a favorable attitude toward the use of an information system is
central to obtaining high system use. However, the study by Schewe (1976) revealed that
attitudes do not appear to determine individual usage behavior. This can be attributed to
the fact that the study was conducted in an organizational setting and it is possible that
there were constraints which intervene to override the influence of attitudes on behavior.
While it does appear to show a direct relationship between usage and perceptions,
Schewe (1976) found no significant relationship between system use and user
satisfaction (Robey, 1979). This is corroborated in a study Mawhinney (1990), which
found no relationship between user satisfaction and system use. Similarly, Lawrence and
Low (1993) did not find this relationship to be significant.
IS researchers have not employed the BMSU as widely as other models in studies of
continued use of IS by end-users. As such, empirical studies based on the BMSU have
been confined to its traditional organizational context, thus limiting its usefulness in
explaining IS usage behaviors in the consumer context. Perhaps, its low explanatory
powers and factor inconsistencies may be due to the exclusion of important moderating
variables reflecting individual differences, as argued by Sun and Zhang (2006). Its
parsimonious nature implies that other variables that may be influencing system usage
were not included in the model.
The main limitation of the model is that it was developed to explain individual MIS
usage in the organizational context, which is generally perceived as mandatory (Shewe,
1976). This study therefore sought to extend its use in an individual context. To address
its other shortcoming, the model was enhanced by incorporating additional perceptual
factors as antecedents to usage in this study. Moreover, customer demographics were
also included in this study as moderating factors to account for the interaction effect.
21
2.2.2 Innovation Diffusion Theory
Grounded in sociology, the Innovation Diffusion Theory (IDT) by Rogers (1962; 1995;
2003) is one of the first models to be employed in technology adoption research. It has
been used since the 1960s to study a variety of innovations, ranging from agricultural
tools to organizational innovation (Tornatzky & Klein, 1982). IDT describes how
innovations (ideas, practices and technology) are spread into a social system network
resulting in institutionalization of the innovation by incorporating it in routine practice/
continued usage (Murray, 2009). Based on this approach, Internet shopping is regarded
as an innovation, which like other innovations takes time to spread through the social
system (Alba, Lynch, Weitz & Janisqewski, 1997; Verhoef & Langerak, 2001).
Figure 2.2: Diffusion of innovation Theory
Source: Rogers (1995)
22
The IDT focuses on the utility of an innovation - conceptualized as its perceived
characteristics (attributes) - and posits that the rate of adoption is partially determined by
the perceived attributes (or characteristics) of the innovation, and proposes several
attributes potentially important across diverse innovation adoption domains. According
to Rogers (1962; 1995; 2003), these perceived attributes (or core constructs) of this
model include relative advantage, compatibility, complexity, trialability and
observability.
These attributes were later refined by Moore and Benbasat (1991) in their perceived
characteristics of using an innovation (PCI) model for the IS context to study individual
technology acceptance into relative advantage, compatibility, ease of use (instead of
complexity), image, result demonstrability and visibility (instead of observability), and
voluntariness of use. Another related model is the technology adoption model (TAM),
whose two constructs, perceived usefulness and perceived ease of use, are quite similar
to the IDT constructs - perceived relative advantage and perceived complexity (Davis,
1989; Al-Gahtani, 2001). Consequently, in this study, the perceived attributes construct
(perceived usefulness, perceived compatibility and perceived ease of use) is drawn from
the IDT, the related PCI model and TAM.
Empirical MIS studies based on the IDT have largely supported its predictive power
(Fichman & Kemerer, 1999; Chircu & Kaufmann, 2000). For instance, an online
shopping study of Dutch households by Verhoef and Langerak (2001) which explored
the impact of relative advantage, compatibility, and complexity on e-shopping found that
consumers‘ perceptions of relative advantage and compatibility positively influenced
their intention to adopt online grocery shopping. Also, results obtained by Hansen (2005)
23
suggest that perceived complexity, perceived compatibility, and perceived relative
advantage highly influence consumers‘ adoption of online grocery buying.
However, the theory has its limitations, the major one being that while it explains the
formation of a favorable attitude toward a particular innovation, it does not provide
further analysis of the attitude evolving into the adoption behavior (Chen, Gillenson &
Sherrell, 2002).
2.2.3 Expectation-Confirmation Theory
The Expectation-Confirmation Theory (ECT) or Expectations Disconfirmation Theory
(EDT) is a marketing theory that was first developed by Oliver (1977; 1980; 2010) and
later refined by Churchill and Suprenant (1982). The theory focuses on the post-purchase
behavior of individuals. It is a widely used in the consumer behavior literature,
particularly in explaining consumer satisfaction and repeat purchase. According to this
theory, a customer‘s initial expectations, combined with perceived product/service
performance (confirmation), lead to post-purchase satisfaction. In addition, the positive
or negative (dis)confirmation between expectations and performance mediates the effect
on satisfaction (Oliver 1977; 1980; Churchill & Suprenant, 1982; Oliver, 2010).
The ECT was adapted to the IS context by Bhattacherjee (2001a), who constructed and
empirically validated the Expectation-Confirmation Model (ECM) based on the ECT to
predict IS continued usage in a consumer context. It lays emphasis on a user‘s
psychological motivations that materialize post initial adoption of IS. According to the
model, users‘ intention to continue to use an IS are dependent on three antecedent
constructs: user satisfaction, user confirmation, and post-adoption expectations (or
perceived usefulness).
24
Bhattacherjee (2001a) describes the process by which IS users reach a continued use
decision is as follows. First, users form a conception of perceived usefulness after using
a particular IS for a period of time. Second, users compare the performance of the IS to
the perception of usefulness (so as to determine to what extent their perception of
usefulness about that IS has been confirmed). If the user finds that the product/service is
as useful as he/she perceived, confirmation is formed and the user forms a notion of
satisfaction. Finally, satisfied users are more likely to continue the usage of that IS
whereas dissatisfied users intend to discontinue the service (Bhattacherjee (2001a, as
cited in Hossain & Quaddus, 2012).
Notable use of the ECT has been made in an effort to better understand end-user
satisfaction with IS and consumer-oriented online services (Bhattacherjee, 2001a; Nevo
& Furneau, 2009). One of the key streams of IS research uses ECT to explain the
adoption and continued use of IS and relies on the premise that these behaviors are result
from users‘ satisfaction. For example, Wixom and Todd (2005) applied ECT to the study
Figure 2.3: Expectations-Confirmation Theory Source: Oliver (1977; 1980).
Expectations
Repurchase
Intention
Disconfirmation
Perceived
Performance
Satisfaction
25
of usage intentions in the context of data warehousing while Bhattacherjee (2001a) used
it to study continuance intentions among online banking users (Nevo & Furneau, 2009).
In this study, the customer satisfaction construct as well as the usage construct are drawn
from the ECT (Oliver, 1980; 2010) and the related ECM by Bhattacherjee (2001b).
Satisfaction is characterized by ECT as either an outcome state following the
consumption experience or more widely as an evaluative process encompassing the
entire consumption experience (Yi, 1990). With regards to continued usage, due to the
similarity between re-purchasing products/services in a consumer context and the
continued use of technology by consumers, ECT posits an equivalent relationship in the
continued online usage context (Bhattacherjee, 2001a; 2001b).
According to Bhattacherjee and Barfar (2011), ECT has been criticized by Ortiz de
Guinea and Marcus (2009) for one of its underlying premise that views IT continuance
as an intentional, reasoned or purposeful behavior; this ignores the role of emotions and
habit. To address this shortcoming, emotional value has been incorporated in this study
as an antecedent to usage.
2.2.4 Perceived Risk Theory
The Perceived Risk Theory was first introduced by Bauer (1960) to explain consumer
behavior. According to this theory, consumers perceive risk because they face
uncertainty and potentially undesirable consequences as a result of purchase or usage of
products/services. This means that the more risk consumers perceive, the less likely they
will purchase/use a product or service (Bhatnagar, Misra & Rao, 2000). The perceived
risk construct in this study is derived from the perceived risk theory and adapted to the
online retailing context.
26
The core constructs of the theory have been decomposed by researchers into several
perceived risk dimensions. For instance, Cunningham (1967) conceptualized six
dimensions of perceived risk: performance, financial, opportunity/time, safety, social,
and psychological risk, while Jacoby and Kaplan (1976) came-up with six components of
consumers‘ perceived purchase risk: Performance Risk, Financial Risk, Physical Risk,
Convenience Risk, Social Risk, Psychological Risk. Bhatnagar et al. (2000) have argued
that two types of risk exist when buying over the internet; product risk and financial risk.
These risks are thought to be present in every choice situation but in varying degrees,
depending upon the particular nature of the decision (Taylor, 1974). Moreover, different
individuals have different levels of risk tolerance or aversion (Bhatnagar et al., 2000).
Figure 2.4: The six dimensions of perceived risk Source: Cunningham (1976).
Performance Risk
Financial Risk
Perceived
Risk
Opportunity/Time
Risk
Safety Risk
Social Risk
Psychological Risk
27
Perceived risk has been applied in various studies of the consumer technology use
context. For instance, an early study of telephone shopping by Cox and Rich (1964)
found that consumers perceive higher risks in new innovative channels. In the e-
commerce context, perceived risk has been applied in studies such as internet banking
adoption (Tan & Teo, 2000), usage of e-commerce services (Liebermann & Stashevsky,
2002) continued usage of internet banking (El-Kasheir, Ashour & Yacout, 2009), online
consumers‘ purchasing behavior (Zhang, Tan, Xu & Tan, 2012) amongst others.
2.2.5 Theory of Consumption Value
The Theory of Consumption Values (TCV) is a consumer behavior theory that was
developed by Sheth, Newman and Gross (1991a; 1991b). Over the years, TCV has
evolved into a popular marketing theory and has been widely applied in various contexts,
including IS. The theory focuses on explaining why consumers choose to use or not to
use a specific product or service, arguing that consumer decisions are made based on
perceived value.
The TCV has five core constructs which are conceptualized as five different types of
values (functional value, social value, epistemic value, and emotional value, and
conditional value) that underlie consumer choice behavior. A particular choice may be
determined by one value or influenced by several values (Sheth et al., 1991a; 1991b). In
this study, the perceived value construct is drawn from the TCV by Sheth et al. (1991a;
1991b) and adapted to the online retailing context.
28
Kalafatis, Ledden and Mathioudakis (n.d.) re-specified three fundamental propositions
that underpin the TCV: (1) consumer choice is a function of multiple consumption
values; (2) the values make differential contributions in the choice situation, and (3) the
values are independent of each other. Thus, all or any of the consumption values can
influence a decision and can contribute additively and incrementally to choice;
consumers weight the values differently in specific buying situations, and are usually
willing to trade-off one value in order to obtain more of another.
TCV‘s strong point is its analytical strength, which helps practitioners to understand
consumer decision making. This enables them to develop practical strategies that address
real market conditions (Gimpel, 2011). TCV has been used in several IS studies on
technology adoption decisions (Kim, Lee & Kim, 2008).
Figure 2.5: The five values influencing consumer choice behavior Source: Sheth, Newman, and Gross (1991b).
Consumer Choice Behavior
Epistemic Value
Conditional Value
Functional Value
Emotional Value
Social Value
29
However, the theory‘s main limitation is due to the fact that it applies only in cases of
individual, voluntary and rational or systematic decision situations (Sheth et al., 1991a,
1991b); therefore, it cannot be used to predict the behaviour of two or more individuals
and is thus restricted to individual end-user/consumer acceptance contexts.
2.3 Empirical Literature Review
The empirical review is made up of related literature regarding the hypothesized
relationships between the various study constructs: i) customers‘ perceptions, ii) usage,
iii) customer satisfaction and iv) customer demographic characteristics. These
relationships are discussed in the following sections.
2.3.1 Usage of Online Retailing Services by Consumers
A review of usage literature shows that it is a complex construct with multiple
conceptualizations (Burton-Jones & Straub, 2006). As such, the context within which it
is used is important in determining its relevant measures and dimensions. In this
research, the usage of online retailing services is studied at the individual level (i.e. the
consumer context) as a post-adoption phenomenon that is also referred to as continued
use. Therefore, usage serves as the dependent variable in line with Bhattacherjee and
Barfar (2011), who argue that the goal of IT continuance research (or IT post-adoption
research) is to predict actual behaviors (and not intentions). In their opinion, continuance
research should operationalize and measure IT usage behavior rather than end at
intention.
According to Turner, Kitchenham, Brereton, Charters and Budgen (2010), the actual
usage of information technology can be measured using both objective and subjective
forms. Objective measures are usually generated from logs of usage generated by the
30
software itself. In comparison with objective measures of actual usage, subjective
measures of usage are based on the individual opinion that is usually established using a
questionnaire. Examples of subjective measures of technology use include self-reported
usage measures of the frequency or intensity of using the technology in question, in line
with Legris, Ingham and Collerette (2003).
Consequently, for this study, usage of online retailing services shall be measured
objectively, instead of through perceptual measures such as use intentions and self-
reported use. Usage behavior shall be obtained from system log records in line with
Venkatesh et al. (2003) who in their longitudinal study captured system data from four
organizations over a six-month period and measured actual usage behavior over a six
month period as duration of use via system logs.
While there are several factors that affect usage behaviour, this study restricts itself to
examining the antecedent role of customers‘ perceptions on usage of online retailing
services, in line with extant research that has established the significant relationship
between perceptions and system usage. Some of the earliest studies were carried out by
Lucas (1975) and Schewe (1976). For Lucas, who carried out an extensive MIS user
behavior study, favorable user attitude and perceptions of IS lead to high levels of use of
the same. On the contrary, Schewe established that user satisfaction is not associated
with IS usage.
Bhattacherjee (2001b) carried out an empirical analysis of the antecedents of continued
usage of an e-commerce service. The study developed a model of B2B e-commerce
continuance behaviour which was empirically tested in a survey of online brokerage
users. The study found that consumers' continuance intention is determined by their
31
satisfaction with initial service use as well as its perceived usefulness. However, it only
used the ECT as its basis and thus lacked moderating variables. By employing
continuance intention as the DV, the study also failed to assess actual usage.
In another study, DeLone and McLean (2004) adapted their updated model of IS success
to an e-commerce context through an extensive review of relevant literature. According
to the model, e-commerce usage is directly influenced by satisfaction with the e-
commerce system. The major weakness of their study was its conceptual nature since it
failed to undertake empirical testing of the proposed relationships between the six
dimensions. Instead, two case studies were used to demonstrate how the model can be
used to guide the identification and specification of e-commerce success metrics.
Barnett, Kellermanns, Pearson and Pearson (2006-2007) replicated and extended the
landmark study of technology acceptance and use conducted by Straub, Limayem and
Karahanna-Evaristo (1995). The study empirically examined the TAM and clarified
conceptual ambiguities that had hampered system usage research. It found that perceived
ease of use was a significant predictor of objective system use, while perceived
usefulness was a significant predictor for self-reported usage behavior. The study‘s key
weakness was its basis on the TAM, which is more suited for initial usage context.
Bhattacherjee, Perols and Sanford (2008) conceptually extended the IT continuance
model by adding continuance behavior as the DV instead of BI. Data for the study was
collected via a longitudinal survey of document management system usage among
administrators and staff personnel at a governmental agency in Ukraine. However, the
study failed to demonstrate the strong intention-behavior association in the IT
continuance context, since intention explained only 26% of the variance in continuance
32
behavior. It therefore called for additional constructs that may be able to predict
continuance behavior better.
Petter, DeLone and McLean (2008) carried out a meta-analysis where they summarized
empirical studies that have investigated the relationship between satisfaction and usage
constructs. They classified the level of support for the relationship as strong, moderate,
or mixed in order to summarize the empirical results across all studies. According to
their analysis, 17 of 21 studies showed a positive, moderate support for the satisfaction-
use relationship, 1 showed a positive mixed, while the rest (3) showed no support at all.
However, this study failed to address the relationship between customer perceptions and
usage.
A recent study by Ramayah and Lee (2012) investigated the role of the users‘
satisfaction in influencing e-learning success by empirically establishing the impact of
satisfaction on e-learning usage among students in a public university in Malaysia. The
study employed an adaption of the DeLone and McLean‘s (2002, 2003) extended model,
and analyzed the response data using the structural equation modelling (SEM) method.
The findings of the study supported the hypothesis that user satisfaction is positively
related to usage continuance. However, since it was based on the Delone and McLean
model (2003), the study fails to address the role of moderating variables in the
perception-usage relationship.
2.3.2 Antecedent Role of Customers’ Perceptions on Online Retailing Service
Usage
To induce more initial adopters to continue using their services, service providers have to
establish what motivates consumers to return repeatedly. One of the factors found in
33
prior consumer technology adoption studies to influence continued use is the customers‘
perceptions (Venkatesh & Davis, 2000; Venkatesh et al., 2003). In general, one of the
ways in which perceptions towards e-commerce are determined is through the user‘s past
online experiences (Im, Kim & Han, 2008); these perceptions subsequently go on to
influence consumers‘ purchase decisions (Osman, Yin-Fah & Hooi-Choo, 2010). In this
study, the customer perception construct serves as the independent variable and has
theoretical foundations from three perceptual constructs identified in literature as playing
an antecedent role via-a-vis usage of online retailing services. These are perceived
attributes, perceived risk and perceived value.
2.3.2.1 Relationship between Perceived Attributes and Usage of Online Retailing
Services
Perceived attributes have been found to influence consumer behavior vis-à-vis
technology use. The antecedent role of perceived attributes/characteristics of an
innovation on its adoption was first suggested by Rogers (1962) and was later refined by
Moore and Benbasat (1991) in the context of individual IS usage. A review of literature
reveals several conceptualizations of the perceived attributes construct. In this study, it
has three dimensions (perceived usefulness, perceived compatibility and perceived ease
of use) drawn from work on the TAM (Davis, 1989), DOI (Rogers, 1995), PCI (Moore &
Benbasat, 1991).
Usefulness of an online retailing service enhances consumer shopping activities and
consists of aspects such as the relevance of information, the breadth of offerings amongst
other things. Compatibility has to do with the fit between the individual current
circumstances (e.g. experience, values, needs, and habits) and the features of the online
retailing service. A lack of compatibility hampers the adoption of innovations (Rogers,
34
1995). Ease-of-use relates to the simplicity with which consumers can operate an online
retailing system to perform shopping activities such as browsing, communicating and
carrying out actual transaction such as ordering and payment. It is the polar opposite of
complexity.
A review of prior literature reveals different usage outcomes based on the antecedent role
of the perceived attributes of an IS. For instance, Parthasarathy and Bhattacherjee (1998)
empirically examined usage in the online service context and found that the perceived
service attributes such as usefulness and compatibility determine usage behavior.
Moreover, Bhattacherjee‘s (2001b) empirical analysis of the antecedents of e-commerce
service continuance demonstrated that perceived usefulness is a key determinant of
customer‘s continued usage intention (CUI). This study‘s main weaknesses are its
employment of the ECT as its sole basis as well as its lack of moderating variables. It
also used continuance intention as the DV, which has been criticized as being weakly
correlated with actual use.
A study by Saeed and Abdinnour-Helm (2008) examined the effects of IS characteristics
and perceived usefulness on post-adoption usage of information systems. The context
was that of a web-based student information system that students use to manage their
academic work. Data was collected from 1032 respondents and used to empirically test
the model. The results showed that perceived IS usefulness is a good predictor of post-
adoption usage. However, despite testing for the moderating role of gender and
experience, it failed to examine the moderating effect of age, income and education level
on model relationships.
35
El- Kasheir et al. (2009) empirically established factors affecting continued usage of
internet banking among Egyptian customers. The study, which was based on several
intentional models and employed a sample of users of internet banking services, found
perceived ease-of-use to be the strongest predictor of intentions to continue usage of
internet banking services. This study‘s main weakness was its use of continued intention
instead of actual usage as the DV since it has been criticized as being a poor proxy for
actual use.
2.3.2.2 Relationship between Perceived Risk and Usage of Online Shopping Services
Perceived risk is a subjective consumer behavior concept that relates to the uncertainty
and consequences associated with a consumer‘s action. A perception of risk with regards
to a particular activity/transaction (e.g. purchasing or using a product or service)
dissuades a consumer from taking further action in that regard (Bhatnagar et al., 2000).
The notion of perceived risk as a key antecedent to consumer behavior has been
established in prior research. For instance, Sharma, Durand and Gur-Arie (1981) showed
that the willingness to purchase products is inversely related to the amount of perceived
risk associated with a purchase decision.
By and large, perceived risk is conceptualized as a multi-dimensional construct in several
studies (Cox & Rich, 1964; Jacoby & Kaplan, 1972; Bettman, 1973; Bhatnagar et al.,
2000, Zhang et al., 2012). In this study, the perceived risk construct has three dimensions
that have been derived from a review of relevant literature. These are i) financial risk
(Jacoby & Kaplan, 1972; Bettman, 1973, Bhatnagar et al., 2000), ii) performance risk
(Jacoby & Kaplan, 1972; Bettman, 1973) and iii) personal/privacy risks drawn from
work by Jarvenpaa and Todd (1997).
36
Financial risk has to do with the potential financial loss a consumer is likely to incur as a
result of overpaying (being overcharged) or due to fraud (Bhatnagar et al., 2000)
whereby what is paid for is not received. Consumers assume financial risk when paying
for products/services electronically e.g. in online shopping or electronic auctions.
Performance risk has to do with concerns that the online service or the desired (or even
paid for) product will not function as expected. For consumers who provide personal
information during online transactions, the risk of having this information compromised
through identity theft and credit card information going to the hands of hackers
comprises personal/privacy risk. For many shoppers, online retail raises concerns about
privacy and security. These concerns have often been cited as potential barriers to online
retail (Forsythe & Shi, 2003; Shim et al., 2001).
Moreover, in the online retailing context, the intangible nature of online transactions
poses a risk for consumers, impeding further use of online purchasing services
(Bhatnagar et al., 2000; Hansen, 2007). Previous research on its antecedent role also
suggests that perceived risk negatively impacts internet shopping. For instance,
Liebermann and Stashevsky (2002) investigated the role of perceived risks as barriers to
e-commerce usage in Israel amongst both users and non-users. The study, which
employed a cross-sectional design and had a sample of 465 employed adults, only considered
barriers to e-commerce usage, which were mapped as perceived risk components. The model
was tested empirically against field data and showed that Internet credit card stealing and
supplying personal information (i.e. privacy risk) affects both current and future e-commerce
usage.
37
However, an empirical study by El-Kasheir et al. (2009) on factors affecting continued
usage of internet banking among Egyptian bank customers established that that perceived
risk had no relationship with customer continued intention to use the service. Data was
collected from 65 respondents using mall interception technique and multiple regression
analysis was used to test the research hypothesis. This study‘s main weaknesses was its
employment of mall interception to collect data as well as its use of continued intention
instead of actual usage, since it has been criticized as being a poor proxy for actual use.
In the context of B2C e-commerce, a study by Zhang et al. (2012) on the dimensions of
consumers‘ perceived risk and their influences on online consumers‘ purchasing
behavior demonstrated five independent dimensions (perceived health risk, perceived
quality risk, perceived time risk, perceived delivery risk and perceived after-sale risk)
which affect significantly online consumers‘ purchasing behavior. The results also
showed that the other three dimensions - perceived privacy risk, perceived social risk and
perceived economic risk - are the less relevant factors.
2.3.2.3 Relationship between Perceived Value and the Usage of Online Retailing
Services
Perceived value is a broad and abstract concept comprised of various components
(Bolton & Drew, 1991) that refers to the benefits ascribed to the purchase/use of a
product or service. It‘s a widely used business concept that aggregates perceptions about
product/service benefits and tradeoffs and is thus considered as the pivot in relationship
marketing and customer loyalty (Casalo, Flavian & Guinaliu, 2008). Therefore,
understanding consumers‘ value perceptions of their online experience is crucial in
enhancing the use of internet as an alternative marketing channel (Andrews et al., 2007).
Accordingly, it has attracted a lot of attention from both marketing and IS fields as a
significant determinant of consumers‘ decision-making behavior in various contexts,
including usage of online retailing services.
38
Prior studies contend that perceived value is a complex construct that is multi-
dimensional in nature (e.g. Sheth et al., 1991b; Sánchez-Fernández & Iniesta-Bonillo,
2007). Accordingly, the perceived values construct in this study has four dimensions
drawn from relevant literature, namely i) monetary value, ii) convenience value, iii)
social value and iv) emotional value.
Monetary value derives from the customer‘s evaluation of the total financial cost of
using the online retailing service (including the price paid) relative to the benefits
received. Convenience value pertains to the perceived ease with which users are able to
find information and/or products on the online retailing service, pay and, have them
delivered as expected by the consumer (i.e. minimization of the overall shopping effort),
while social value is derived from the collective/group significance ascribed to the use of
the e-commerce by an individual. According to the concept, usage of online retailing
services should be congruent with the norms of a consumer‘s friends or associates. On
the other hand, emotional value is related to various affective states induced by usage of
online retailing services. These can be positive (e.g., confidence or excitement) or
negative (e.g., fear or anger).
Similarly, consumers in the online shopping context also have diverse perception of
value, as argued by Hu and Chuang (2012) in their study of the relationship between
value perception and loyalty (re-purchase) intention toward an e-retailer website in
Taiwan. SEM was used to test the data from 243 students and 418 workers. The findings
concluded that utilitarian value is more important than hedonic value in terms of
influencing loyalty intention for online shopping. The study thus recommended the use
39
of various website elements and attributes as a way of offering either more hedonic or
more utilitarian value to online buyers in order to attract and retain more visitors.
Yen (2011) carried out an empirical study on the impact of perceived value on continued
usage intention in social networking sites (SNS) amongst savvy Facebook users in
Taiwan. Mediated regression analysis was used to analyze data from 205 respondents.
The findings revealed that PV, including information value, sociable value, and hedonic
value, has a positive impact on CUI. This study‘s limitation is due to the fact that it only
considered three ―get‖ values for measuring PV, ignoring ―give‖ components such as
monetary value.
It would therefore be expected that if an individual perceived an e-commerce system to
have a high value, (s)he would be more willing to try (accept) and use it. Therefore,
identifying and delivering value for potential customers is crucial for e-commerce
service providers in order to induce continued use of their services by consumers.
2.3.3 Mediating Role of Customer Satisfaction on the Relationship between
Customer Perceptions and Usage of Online Retailing
Customer satisfaction is another multi-attribute concept that is originally based on a
study by Katz (1960) explaining the role of attitudes in shaping social behaviour.
According to the study, the underlying dimensions of attitude include: affect (feelings),
behaviour (actions), and cognitions (learning and beliefs). It has evolved into a widely
used business concept that aggregates customer evaluations about a product/service.
Consequently, understanding of what creates a satisfying customer experience has
become crucial, more so due to its role in influencing repeat customers behavior (e.g.
repurchase, continued usage).
40
While customer satisfaction has been a popular topic in marketing practice and IS
research, it is also one of the most controversial concepts due to its multiple
conceptualizations and meanings. Despite many attempts to measure and explain
customer satisfaction, there still does not appear to be a consensus regarding its
definition. This lack of a clear and broadly accepted conceptual and operation definition,
has resulted in the arbitrary development of satisfaction measurement instruments, and
conclusions about interactions with other constructs are problematic (Caruana, 2002).
For this study, customer satisfaction is used a post-initial usage evaluation and is treated
as a mediating variable influencing the relationship between customer perceptions and
continued usage of online retailing services. The customer satisfaction construct in this
study is drawn from the ECT (Oliver, 1977; 1980, 2010) and related ECM by
Bhattacherjee (2001a) which adapted the ECT to the IS context. IS researchers have
made notable use of ECT in an effort to better understand end-user satisfaction with
information systems and related services. In this regard, prior studies use ECT to explain
the adoption and continued use of IS and rely on the premise that these behaviors are the
result of user satisfaction (Bhattacherjee, 2001a; Nevo & Furneaux, 2009; Hossain &
Quaddus, 2012).
In the service context, customer satisfaction can be viewed from the i) transactional
and/or ii) cumulative/relational orientations/perspective. In earlier studies, satisfaction
has been defined from transactional perspective (e.g. Oliver, 1980; 1993), where it is
based on a one time, specific post-purchase evaluative judgment of a service encounter.
However the conceptualization of satisfaction as a customer‘s overall/cumulative
41
assessment/evaluation construct based on purchase and consumption experiences over a
time period (Bitner & Hubbert, 1994) has become more dominant in research.
In terms of the diagnostic and predictive value of satisfaction measurement, cumulative
satisfaction is more useful and reliable determinant of long-term use than transaction-
specific in that it is based on series of purchase and consumption occasions rather than
just one occasion of transaction. This is also the case in the IS context, where satisfaction
is often regarded as the basis of system usage continuance, while dissatisfaction may
cause users to discontinue the system use (Bhattacherjee, 2001a; Nevo & Furneaux,
2009). Therefore, this study employs the cumulative approach to conceptualize
satisfaction which is evaluated from the time of registration with the e-commerce
service.
Giese and Cote (2000) reviewed relevant satisfaction literature with the view of
identifying its conceptual domain. They defined the customer as the ultimate user of a
product/service and came to the conclusion that satisfaction was comprised of three basic
components, (i) a response (cognitive or emotional) pertaining to (ii) a particular focus
(expectations, product, consumption experience, etc.) determined at (iii) a particular time
(after consumption, after choice, based on accumulated experience, etc).
The mediating role of customer satisfaction in the service context was demonstrated by
Bolton and Lemon (1999), who developed and empirically tested a dynamic model of
customers‘ usage of services, where usage was employed as both an antecedent and
consequence of satisfaction. The aim of the study was to identify causal links among
customer‘s prior usage, satisfaction evaluations, and subsequent usage. The study was
significant in that it provided an in-depth examination of the dynamic relationship
42
between customer satisfaction and customer usage. According to its findings, customers
who have high levels of cumulative satisfaction with a continuously provided service in
the current time period will have higher usage levels of the service in a subsequent time
period.
Bhattacherjee (2001b) carried out an empirical analysis of the antecedents of electronic
commerce service continuance. The study examined the key drivers of consumers'
intention to continue using B2B electronic commerce services using multiple theoretical,
synthetic perspectives to develop a model of continuance behaviour which was
empirically tested using a field survey of online brokerage users. The study found that
consumers' continuance intention is determined by their satisfaction with initial service
use as well as their perceived usefulness of service use.
Devraj, Fan and Kohli (2002) carried out a study on the antecedents of B2C e-commerce
satisfaction where they developed and empirically tested a model for consumer
satisfaction with the e-commerce channel using constructs from TAM, TCA and
SERVQUAL. Subjects purchased similar products through conventional as well as EC
channels and reported their experiences in a survey after each transaction. The findings
of the study demonstrated the influence of perceived ease of use and perceived
usefulness on satisfaction in the B2C e-commerce context.
DeLone and McLean (2003; 2004) conceptually extended the DeLone and McLean IS
Success Model (1992) to measure e-commerce success. The mediating role of customer
satisfaction was put forward in their study, where they proposed that ease of use
influences user satisfaction which subsequently directly influences usage of e-commerce
services.
43
A study by Serenko, Turel and Yol (2006) in the mobile phone services established that
customer satisfaction was influenced by perceived value. With regards to the C2C
context of e-commerce, Jones and Leonard (2007) carried out an empirical study which
was aimed at establishing the factors that impact satisfaction in C2C e-commerce.
According to the study‘s findings, TAM, TCA, and SERVQUAL all impact satisfaction
in C2C e-commerce. On the other hand, Ortiz de Guinea and Marcus (2009) noted that
satisfaction may drive IT usage directly.
Chen, Mocker, Preston and Teubner (2010) investigated the confirmation of expectations
and satisfaction with the internet shopping context of e-commerce in Taiwan by
integrating various theories (ECT, SCT, and TAM) and testing the research hypotheses
using empirical data that was collected from a sample of 342 responses. The results
suggest that satisfaction is influenced by perceived usefulness, and that both satisfaction
and perceived usefulness determined consumer‘s repurchase intention.
The mediation effect of end-user satisfaction on the relationship between PV and CUI
was established in an empirical study by Yen (2011) on the impact of perceived value on
continued usage intention in social networking sites (SNS) amongst savvy Facebook
users in Taiwan. Mediated regression analysis was used to analyze response data from
205 users. The findings revealed that the mediation effect of end-user satisfaction is only
significant to social value and hedonic value but not information value. This study
however didn‘t consider/ignored ―give‖ components such as monetary value.
As evidenced in the literature, customer satisfaction is critical for retaining current
users/customers. As a result, a fundamental understanding of the role of customer
44
satisfaction is of great importance in e-commerce. This study therefore seeks to establish
whether customer satisfaction has a mediating effect on the customer perception-e-
commerce usage relationship among consumers in Kenya.
2.3.4 Moderating Effect of Customer Demographic Characteristics on the
Relationship between Customer Perceptions and Usage of Online Retailing
Services
Explaining repurchase intention (in this case continued usage) using satisfaction alone
may not suffice (Capraro, Broniarczyk & Srivastava, 2003) since it has been reported
that only 15–35% of satisfied customers return (Reichheld, 1996). It is therefore
important to examine the role of potential moderators in attaining a better understanding
continued system use in the online context. Of particular interest to this study is the
moderating role of demographic factors.
The employment of moderators may potentially increase the predictive validity of a
model under investigation, and explain the inconsistent findings in various disciplines
(Judge & Bono, 2001). For this reason, moderator variables have enjoyed a surge of
popularity in the marketing literature in recent years, and scholars have acknowledged
their importance for predicting consumer behaviour (Baron & Kenny, 1986; Sharma et
al., 1981). The importance of moderators arises from their ability to enhance
understanding of the relationship between relevant independent variables and dependent
variables, as well as seemingly established relationships (Walsh, Evanschitzky &
Wunderlich, 2008).
In the IS context, Sun and Zhang (2006) argue that low explanatory powers and factor
inconsistencies of IS models may be due to the exclusion of important moderating
variables reflecting individual differences. Several studies have therefore called for the
45
inclusion of individual characteristics into the study of individual technology acceptance
and use (e.g. Venkatesh et al., 2003). In view of that, customer demographic factors will
serve as the moderating variables of this study.
According to Hoffman, Novak and Schlosser (2000), key elements of a consumers‘
demographic profile that have been found to influence their online behaviour include
variables such as income, education, age. Moreover, age, income, education offer
significant information regarding the demographic characteristics of the targeted
population. For this reason, these three variables have been included in previous studies
that examined the usage of various information systems, including online retailing
services. This study shall therefore seek to establish the moderating role of 3
demographic measures (i.e. age, income and educational level) on the relationship
between customer perceptions and usage of online retailing services.
Previous online purchasing research has examined the three demographic characteristics.
For instance, Bhatanager et al. (2000) examined the moderating effect of age amongst
other demographic factors (gender, marital status and years on the internet) in a previous
study on how risk, convenience and demographics affect internet shopping behavior.
They found mixed results on the moderating effect of age on internet shopping behavior.
Other online purchasing studies report that e-commerce purchasers are younger, more
educated and have higher income than non online purchasers (Ratchford, Talukdar &
Lee, 2001).
In the context of mobile phone services, an empirical investigation into the moderating
roles of demographic variables, namely age, income, and gender, in forming perceptions
and behavioral outcomes with was carried out by Serenko et al. (2006). Structural
46
equation modeling techniques and split-sample approach for moderation analysis were
applied to a dataset of 1,253 mobile phone users in the U.S. While age and income were
found to have a significant effect on several of the model‘s relationships, the study
proposed that gender has a very limited effect on the examined relationships in the
mobile services context. However, the study didn‘t go as far as to examine the customer
perception – usage relationship.
However, a study by El-Kasheir et al. (2009) that empirically established factors
affecting continued usage of internet banking among Egyptian bank customers found that
demographic variables such as age, gender, marital status, education level and income
level had no relationship with customer continued intention to use the service. Analysis
of variance (ANOVA) was used to test the research hypothesis that differences in the
demographic characteristics of the bank customers can affect their continued intention to
use internet banking. It main weakness was its use of mall interception techniques of data
collection, which is prone to selection bias.
More recently, Hernández, Jiménez and José Martín (2011) conducted a study on
whether age, gender and income really moderate online shopping behaviour. The study‘s
aim was to establish if individuals‘ socioeconomic characteristics – age, gender and
income – influence their online shopping behaviour. The individuals sampled were
experienced e-shoppers i.e. individuals who often make purchases on the internet. The
results showed that socioeconomic variables moderate neither the influence of previous
use nor the perceptions of e-commerce; in short, they do not condition the behaviour of
the experienced e-shopper.
47
The conflicting outcomes of various studies point to the need for more research in this
important area. Therefore, this study seeks to establish the moderating influence of
customer characteristics on the perception-usage link in online retailing services.
2.4 Summary of Empirical Literature and Research Gaps
This section contains a summary of literature reviewed regarding usage of online
retailing services and research gaps. Appendix 6 presents a summary of the empirical
reviews as well as the important research gaps that have been identified in this section of
the study.
2.5 Conceptual Framework
The conceptual framework for this study is made up of various consumer behavior and
technology adoption constructs, their variables, indicators and is based on the premise
that customer perceptions have an effect on usage of online retailing services but this
effect is mediated by customer satisfaction and moderated by demographic factors as
described in the empirical literature review in the previous section. The framework is a
graphical representation of how these constructs of interest are interconnected and is
depicted in Figure 2.1.
The presumed interrelationships amongst the study‘s constructs are organized into three
sub-models. The first proposed relationship models the main effects of the predictor
variable (customer perceptions) on the criterion variable (usage of online retailing
services). Since the customer perception variable is made up of three constructs
(perceived attributes, perceived risk and perceived value), the study proposes that each of
them has a direct effect on the DV (usage of online retailing services).
48
CUSTOMER PERCEPTIONS
Figure 2.6: Schematic Diagram Source: Researcher (2013).
ONLINE RETAILING
SERVICE USAGE
- Active Use
- Inactive Use
DEMOGRAPHIC FACTORS
- Age
- Income
- Education level
CUSTOMER
SATISFACTION
- Level of Satisfaction
Perceived Attributes
- Usefulness
- Compatibility
- Ease of Use
Perceived Risk
- Financial risk
- Performance risk
- Personal (Privacy)
risk
Perceived Value
- Monetary value
- Convenience value
- Social value
- Emotional value
H3
H2
H1
H6
H5
H4
INDEPENDENT
VARIABLE
MEDIATING
VARIABLE
MODERATING
VARIABLE
DEPENDENT
VARIABLE
49
The second relationship is mediation effect model of customer satisfaction on the
relationship between the predictor and criterion variables. The main concern of
mediators is how cognitive mechanisms operate. In short, mediation ―explain[s] how
external physical events take on internal psychological significance‖ (Baron & Kenny,
1986). As argued by Wu and Zumbo (2008), mediators have dual roles — an outcome
variable (effects) of the independent variable and an independent variable (causes) that
occur before the dependent variable. In this case, it proposed that customer perception
has a direct effect on customer satisfaction, and subsequently, customer satisfaction has a
significant effect on usage of online retailing services.
The mediation effects model for this study is based on Spencer, Zanna and Fong (2005)
concept of ―experimental-causal-chain design‖, whereby the mediator typically functions
like a DV for the manipulated IV and in the same way, the mediator is subsequently
manipulated to act like an IV for the outcome variable (usage). According to this
concept, a researcher conducts two separate manipulated experiments; one aims to
establish the causal relationship of X on M, and the other aims to establish the causal
relationship of M on Y. They point out that the strength of this design is that by
manipulating both the independent variable and the mediator, one can make strong
inferences about the causal chain of events in psychological processes.
The third relationship models the interaction effect of the moderating variable (customer
demographics) on the relationship between the predictor and criterion variables.
According to Wu and Zumbo (2008) a moderator‘s function is to explain the strength
and direction of the causal effect of the IV on the DV. It thus serves as a supplementary
50
variable for improving a hypothesized bi-variate causal relationship, and less as a causal
variable responsible for the outcome effect. In regard to causal order, a moderator
variable is prior to the dependent variable and has no causal relationship with the
independent variable (figure 2.1). In short, moderation specifies various conditions under
which the direction and/or strength of the relationship varies (Baron & Kenny, 1986).
For this study, three demographic factors — age, income and education level — are
conceptualized as having a moderating effect on the customer perception – usage
relationship.
51
CHAPTER THREE
RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
3.1 Introduction
This chapter presents the research methodology. It includes the research design,
empirical model of the study, target population, sampling and sample size, data
collection instruments. In addition, the techniques that were employed in analyzing data
as well as the ethical issues arising from the study are outlined.
3.2 Research Philosophy
The philosophical perspective grounds the methodological logic and criteria for a
research study (Crotty, 2003). For this study, the philosophical foundation employed
was pragmatism, a practical substitute to positivism and anti-positivism (Goldkuhl,
2004). This is because pragmatism does not restrict one‘s choice to between positivism
and interpretivism insofar as methods, logic and epistemology are concerned (Creswell,
2003; Pansiri, 2006).
Essentially, pragmatism presupposes that objectivist and subjectivist perspectives are
not mutually exclusive. Hence, a mixture of ontology, epistemology and axiology is
acceptable to interrogating social phenomena - of importance is what works best to
address the research problem. Pragmatist researchers thus prefer to use both
quantitative and qualitative data as this allows for better grasp of social reality
(Wahyuni, 2012). Instead of laying emphasis on methods, the research problem is
considered as the most important issue; this frees researchers to choose the methods,
techniques and procedures of research that best meet their needs and purposes
(Creswell, 2003).
52
In practical terms, pragmatism embraces the two extremes:- quantitative methods
espoused by positivism/post-positivism and qualitative methods espoused by
interpretivist proponents (Pansiri, 2006). For this reason, pragmatism is regarded as the
basis of mixed-method research (Tashakkori & Teddlie, 1998; Teddlie & Tashakkori,
2003) popular in the social and behavioural sciences (Maxcy, 2003; Pansiri, 2006).
Consequently, this study employed a similar pragmatic approach. As a result of the
pragmatic approach adopted by the study, both method and data triangulation were
achieved through the use of qualitative as well as quantitative methods of data
collection. In this study, survey served as the main quantitative data collection method,
supplemented by key informant interview as the qualitative data collection method, in
line with Bryman (2006).
3.3 The Research Design
According to Sekaran and Bougie (2010), the research design addresses important
issues relating to a research study such as purpose of the study, location of the study,
type of investigation, extent of researcher interference, time horizon and the unit of
analysis. In view of this, this study adopted a mixed design made of descriptive –
specifically cross-sectional survey design – and explanatory research design (Saunders,
Lewis & Thornhill, 2009) to establish the relationship between customers‘ perceptions
and the usage of online retailing services in Nairobi, Kenya.
Descriptive design involves assessing the study phenomena without the ability to
control or manipulate variables, and thus require the researcher(s) to collect data and
determine relationships without inferring causality (Swanson & Holton, 2005).
Saunders et al. (2009) argue that descriptive studies should be regarded as a means to
53
an end and not an end in itself. Consequently, this study employed description prior to
delving into explanation of phenomena.
Explanatory research design serves to test hypotheses derived from the theory and thus
test causality between the independent and dependent variable (Saunders et al., 2009).
The explanatory approach of the study which followed tested the causal relationships
between the variables to determine their significance.
3.4 The Empirical Model
The model used in this study is based on the premise that customer perceptions have an
effect on usage of online retailing services but this effect is mediated by customer
satisfaction and moderated by demographic factors. These causal relationships between
the study‘s variables were organized into three sub-models that are explained in the
following section:
3.4.1 The Direct Effects Model
The first sub-model was the direct-effects model, whose relationship is the direct effect
of the predictor variable (customers‘ perceptions) on the criterion variable (usage of
online retailing services). Since the customer perception variable was made up of three
constructs (perceived attributes, perceived risk and perceived value), the study
presumed that each of them has a direct effect on the DV (usage of online retailing
services).
The direct effect model was empirically analyzed using the logistic regression (Logit)
analysis method, a statistical technique of modeling the non-linear relationship between
continuous IVs and dichotomous dependent variables (Liou, 2008). Logistic regression
has become an important statistical procedure employed in various social and
54
behavioral studies (Moosbrugger et al., in press) to estimate the coefficients of a
probabilistic model involving a set of independent variables that best predict the value
of the dependent variable. A positive coefficient increases the probability, while a
negative value decreases the predicted probability of the outcome being in either of the
two dependent categories (Mazzarol, 1998).
Logit analysis was deemed suitable for this study because of the binary/dichotomous
nature of the dependent variable y (usage), which can have either of two values
representing different outcomes categories: the value 1 which denotes active user with a
probability of P, or the value 0 which denotes inactive user with a probability of 1 - P.
The empirical model estimated the conditional probability that the dependent variable
is either one or the other. This is illustrated in the Equation 1, where Pi is the
conditional probability of observing whatever value of y is observed for a given
observation.
……………………………. (1)
The formula for the probability itself is equation 2 shown below
(2)
Whereby:
y = The dichotomous dependent variable
y = Estimated regression equation = B0 + B1X1 + B2X2 +…+ BkXk + ε1
P (y = 1) = The conditional probability of an individual being classified as belonging to
either of two outcome categories: 1 or 0
).....(B -1
.....B
)1(22110
22110
kk
kk
XBXBXBe
XBXBXBe
yP
55
e = Exponential, the quantity 2.1828+, the base for natural logarithms X1 - Xk
B0 = Intercept Term
B1- k = Logistic regression coefficients for predictor variables
X1 - Xk = Predictor variables
ε1= Error Term
Consequently, the logistic regression model that was used to establish the direct effects
of the predictor variables on the criterion variable is expressed as:
………. (3)
Whereby:
y = The dichotomous DV (usage of online retailing services) with 1 (active user) or 0
(inactive user).
y = Estimated regression equation = B0 + B1X1 + B2X2 + B3X3 + ε1
P (y = 1) = The conditional probability of an individual being classified as belonging to
either of two outcome categories: 1 (active user) or 0 (inactive user).
e = Exponential, the quantity 2.1828+, the base for natural logarithms X1, X2, and X3
B0 = Intercept Term
B1- 3 = Logistic regression coefficients for predictor variables
X1 = Perceived Attributes
X2 = Perceived Risk
X3 = Perceived Value
ε1= Error Term
3322110B)1(logit XBXBXByP
56
It is noted that the left hand side of the equation is not the dependent variable, y, itself;
but the so-called ‗log odds‘ or ‗logit‘ of y.
3.4.2 The Mediated Effect Model
The second relationship in the conceptual research model is the mediation effect of
customer satisfaction on the relationship between the predictor and criterion variables.
The mediation effect of customer satisfaction (M) on the relationship between the
predictor and criterion variables was obtained from two regression equations (4 & 5) in
line with Spencer et al., (2005). The first equation (Equation 4) used simple linear
regression, a data analysis technique for identifying underlying correlations among data
in research (Nimon, 2010). Equation 4 is illustrated below:
M = B0 + B1P1 + ε1 ………....................................................................………..…..... (4)
Where:
M = Customer Satisfaction (Dependent variable)
B0 = Constant
B1 = Linear regression coefficients
P1 = Customer Perceptions (Composite Value)
ε1= Error Term
In equation 5, the mediating variable, customer satisfaction (M) was re-conceptualized
as an independent variable affecting usage. The effect of customer satisfaction on usage
was established using Equation 5, a binary logistic regression shown below.
Logit [ p ( y = 1) ] = B0 + B1M + ε1 ….............…………...………..………..…..... (5)
57
Where:
Y= Online Retailing Service Usage
P (y = 1) = Probability of belonging to either 1 or 0
B1 = Logistic regression coefficient
M = Customer Satisfaction (Mediating Variable)
ε1= Error Term
Equations 4 and 5 represent simple cases of correlational and are thus useful for making
statements about the relationship between two variables. Neither is useful for
establishing evidence of causality; to do this, one must also attempt to establish proper
time order and to control for potentially confounding variables.
3.4.3 The Interaction Effect Model
The third relationship modeled the interaction effect of the moderating variable
(demographic factors) on the relationship between the independent variable (customer
perceptions) and the dependent variable (usage). For this study, three demographic
factors — age, income and education level — were conceptualized as a composite
value Z. This was obtained using a logistic regression equation. In order to do this,
three data computation procedures were performed. First, a composite value (CPER) of
the IV (customer perceptions) was derived. Second, the moderating variable Z
(demographic factors) was also computed as a continuous composite value (DEMF) of
the three demographic factors (age, income and level of education) employed in the
study. Third, the researcher computed a new variable to represent the interaction; this is
called CPERDEMF; it is obtained by forming the product CPER × DEMF.
Subsequently, a logistic regression was performed using CPER, DEMF, and
CPERDEMF as predictors of usage.
58
Accordingly, the interaction effect of the moderating variable Z (demographic factors)
on the relationship between the predictor and criterion variables was obtained using the
following logistic regression equation:
Logit [ p (y=1) ] = B0 + B1P1 + B2Z + B3(P.Z) + ε1 …….………………………. (6)
Where:
Y = Usage of online retailing services
p (y = 1) = Probability of belonging to either 1 or 0
B1- 3 = Logistic regression coefficients
P1 = Customer Perceptions (Composite Value)
Z = Moderating Variable (Customer Demographics)
PZ = Interaction Effect
ε1= Error Term
In total, three empirical models were estimated. The first model (equations 1, 2 & 3)
reported the results for the direct effects only, while the second model (equations 4 &
5) introduced the mediation effects of the mediating variable M, whereas the third
model (equation 6) captured the interaction effects of the moderating variable Z on the
IV-DV relationship.
3.5 Operationalisation and Measurement of Study Variables
This section defined the criterion, predictor, mediating and moderating variables used
to operationalize this study as well as the measures used in their assessment. Table 3.1
presents a summary of the different variables, their indicators, their operational
definitions and instruments used to assess each of the variables.
59
Table 3.1 Operationalization and Measurement of Study Variables
Predictor Variable
Variable Indicator Nature Operationalisation Measure Question
No.
Hypothesized
direction
Online
Retailing
Service
Usage
Continued
Usage
Criterion/
Dependent
Variable (DV)
The current utilization
of one or more features
of e-commerce services
by registered users of
online retailing firms.
1 item, Binary,
1 = Active Usage,
0 = Inactive use;
(Venkatesh et al.,
2003)
N/A
_
Perceived
Attributes
Usefulness
Independent
Variable (IV)
The degree to which
consumers believe that
using an e-commerce
service will enhance
their activities.
4 items; 7 point
Likert scale.
Davis 1989; Davis
et al., 1989)
B1-B4
Positive
Compatibility
Independent
Variable (IV)
The degree to which
using an e-commerce
service is perceived as
being consistent with
the values, needs, and
habits of potential user.
4 items; 7 point
Likert scale
(Moore &
Benbasat, 1991)
B5-B8
Positive
Ease-of-Use
Independent
Variable (IV)
The degree to which an
e-commerce system is
perceived as relatively
easy to understand and
use.
6 items; 7 point
Likert scale
(Davis 1989;
Davis et al., 1989;
Forsythe et al.,
2006)
B9-B14
Positive
Perceived
Risk
Financial risk Independent
Variable (IV)
The degree of anxiety
regarding the perceived
financial loss as a result
of e-commerce usage.
3 items; 7 point
Likert scale
Zhang et al.,
(2012); Forsythe
et al. (2006)
B15-B17
Negative
Performance
risk
Independent
Variable (IV)
The level of uncertainty
regarding the perceived
performance of an e-
commerce system.
5 items; 7 point
Likert scale.
Forsythe et al.
(2006)
B18-B22
Negative
Personal risk Independent
Variable (IV)
The level of anxiety
regarding the perceived
compromise/insecurity
of personal information
as a result of e-
commerce usage.
3 items; 7 point
Likert scale
Forsythe et al.
(2006); Tan
(1999)
B23-B25
Negative
Perceived
Value
Monetary
value
Independent
Variable (IV)
The financial utility
derived from e-
commerce usage
4 items; 7 point
Likert scale;
(Sweeney &
Soutar, 2001)
B26-B29
Positive
Convenience
Value
Independent
Variable (IV)
The time, place and
execution utility
derived from usage of
5 items; 7 point
Likert scale;
(Chang et al.,
2012; Mosavi &
Ghaedi, 2012)
B30-B34
Positive
60
the e-commerce system
Social value Independent
Variable (IV)
The perceived
favorability/ approval
derived from one‘s
social milieu regarding
e-commerce usage
5 items; 7 point
Likert scale
(Tan,1999;
Sweeney &
Soutar, 2001)
B35-B39
Positive
Emotional
value
Independent
Variable (IV)
The utility derived from
the feelings or affective
states that an e-
commerce service
generates
7 items; 7 point
Likert scale
(Thompson et al.,
1991; Compeau &
Higgins 1995b;
Compeau et al.
1999, Sweeney &
Soutar, 2001)
B40-B46
Positive
Customer
Satisfaction
Level of
Satisfaction
Mediating
Variable (MV)
The level of satisfaction
with the e-commerce
system
4 item, 5 point
Categorical scale
(Westbrook,
1980; Oliver &
Bearden, 1983;
Oliver &
Westbrook, 1982;
Swan et al, 1981)
Ordinal
C1- C5 Positive
Demographic
Factors
Age Moderating
Variable (MV) Age group
1 item; Ordinal
(Venkatesh et al.,
2003) A1. Negative
Income Moderating
Variable (MV) Level of Income
1 item; Ordinal
(Hernández,2011) A2. Positive
Education Moderating
Variable (MV) Level of Education 1 item; Ordinal A3. Positive
Source: Researcher (2013)
3.6 The Study Area
The area of study was Nairobi County in Kenya. Nairobi, one of the 47 counties in the
country, is unique in that it serves as the capital city of Kenya (Institute of Economic
Affairs (IEA), 2011). It is the largest city in East Africa, with a population of over three
million. Nairobi is also an international, regional, national and local hub for commerce,
transport, regional cooperation and economic development, connecting eastern, central
and southern African countries (United Nations Human Settlements Programme (UN-
HABITAT), 2006).
61
As the capital of the country and the seat of national government, the city generates
over 45% of the national gross domestic product (GDP) and is thus a major contributor
to the Kenya‘s economy. It provides employment for its residents and commuters from
its environs, employing 25% of Kenyans and 43% of the country‘s urban workers (UN-
HABITAT, 2006). At present, the city is growing faster than ever as it develops into a
regional economic center with the potential to become Africa‘s next major business hub
(IBM, 2012).
The rationale for choosing Nairobi County as the area of study was three-fold. First,
Nairobi is a cosmopolitan and urbanized area in comparison to the rest of the country.
Second, there are several local as well as international firms that offer e-commerce
services. Third, the primary target market for most of these firms is Nairobi and its
environs (i.e. the Nairobi Metropolitan Area), given that the bulk of internet users in
Kenya reside in Nairobi.
3.7 Target Population
The target population for the study was made up of online retailing firms in Nairobi,
Kenya. To arrive at the number of online retailers in Nairobi, the researcher relied on
Kenya ICT Board (2012) records and Kenya Postel Directories (2012), which show that
there are 25 registered online retailing firms in Nairobi, Kenya (see Appendix 2).
However, the accessible ones were 6, which formed the target population for this study.
Accordingly, the respondents for this study were the 18,147 registered users drawn
from these six online retailing firms in Nairobi, Kenya. This included 12 key
informants who are regarded as expert sources of information (Marshall, 1996). They
included owners/CEOs, senior managers and employees of these online retailers as well
62
as consultants who were identified with the help of the online retailing firms as being
particularly knowledgeable and accessible.
Table 3.2: Distribution of Target Population
No
Target
Population
No. of
Respondents
Usage Category
1.
Firm 1 4868
Active Users 1022
Inactive Users 3846
2.
Firm 2 931
Active Users 111
Inactive Users 820
3.
Firm 3 6470
Active Users 2076
Inactive Users 4394
4.
Firm 4 1909
Active Users 278
Inactive Users 1631
5.
Firm 5 1447
Active Users 138
Inactive Users 1309
6.
Firm 6 2522
Active Users 363
Inactive Users 2159
Total 6 18,147 Total 18,147
Source: Kenya ICT Board (2012); Kenya Postel Directories (2012)
The distribution of six online retailing firms and their respective numbers of registered
users is illustrated in Table 3.2, whereby the users are categorized into usage categories
(active and inactive users).
3.8 Sampling Design and Procedure
Sampling design and procedure for this study concerned the sampling techniques used
in the study to determine a representative sample from the general population. These
are explained in the following sections.
63
3.8.1 Sampling Technique
The study employed both probability and non-probability sampling techniques to draw
samples from the target population. To achieve this, the study used the nested sampling
approach which involves using sample members selected for one stage of the study as a
sampling frame for choosing a subset/sample for an ensuing stage of the study (Collins,
Onwuegbuzie & Jiao, 2007). In this study, sampling for the questionnaire phase
preceded that of the interview, thus providing a sampling frame for the smaller, more
focused qualitative phase. In total, the sampling frame for this study was made up of
the 18, 147 registered members (active and in-active users) of six online retailing firms
in Nairobi, Kenya. This is illustrated in Table 3.3.
Stratified random sampling, a probability sampling technique, was used to select the
sample from the 18, 147 respondents. Stratified random sampling was employed
because the sampling frame was not homogeneous since the sample contained sub-
groups thereby necessitating a fair representation of these sub-groups in the sample size
(Ahuja, 2005). This technique ensures that observations from all relevant strata are
included in the sample (Lemm, 2010). Stratified sampling also guarantees that every
possible sample matches the population distribution on strata-defining characteristics
(Mallet, 2006).
To this end, proportional stratification technique was initially employed to select the
elements from the respective strata. In proportional stratified sampling, the population
is divided into groups or strata. Samples are then selected by strata, in proportion to
strata sizes (Mallet, 2006). A sample with proportionate stratification is chosen such
that the distribution of observations in each stratum of the sample is the same as the
distribution of observations in each stratum within the population (Lemm,
64
2010). Proportionate stratification uses the same fraction (multiplier) for each subgroup
(Latham, 2007) to insure representation of all sub-groups. The sampling fraction, which
refers to the size of the sample stratum divided by the size of the population stratum
(n/N), is equivalent for all strata (Lemm, 2010). This is illustrated in Table 3.3.
Subsequently, a sample was randomly drawn from each strata and categories using
random sampling method. In simple random sampling, every possible combination of
population elements is equally likely to be selected (Mallet, 2006), thereby eliminating
possible bias. For this study, a computerized random number generator was used to
select the respondents out of the whole population. This was aimed at eliminating bias
in the sample selection.
Non-probability sampling was used to select participants for the key informant
interview using the stratified purposeful sampling scheme from among those who
participated in the questionnaire-based survey. In this technique, the sampling frame is
initially separated into strata to obtain fairly smaller homogeneous groups from which a
purposeful sample is selected from each stratum (Collins et al., 2007).
For this study, there were 6 strata which were based on the number of online retailing
firms that participated in the study. The sample of key informants was purposively
selected from each stratum and consisted of the registered users of these firms who had
expressed an interest in participating in a follow-up interview.
Potential key informants were identified with the help of representatives of the online
retailing firms and thereafter contacted by the researcher. The basis for selection was (i)
their level of activity on the website, (ii) having adequate information about online
retailing and (iii) willingness to participating in a follow-up interview. Campbell (1955)
65
recommended that key informants should (1) take up roles that make them conversant
with the researched focus and (2) be available to share their insights with the
researcher. They are however not considered as representing the sampled units
statistically (John & Reve, 2001). For that reason, selection of potential key informants
was based on their correspondence with the selection criteria enumerated by Campbell
(1955).
3.8.2 Sample Size Determination
The sample size was determined using Yamane‘s (1967) formula for calculating the
sample size since it is relevant to studies where probability sampling is used. According
to the formula, n is the sample size, N is the population size and e is the margin of
error. A 95% confidence level and e = 0.05 were assumed for the equation in this study.
n = N
1 + N (e)2
For this study, N = 18,147 and ε = 0.05. At 95% confidence level, this translated to a
sample size of 391 respondents out of a target population of 18, 147.
n = 18,147 = 391.37 ~ 391
1 + 18,147 (0.05*0.05)
Selection into the sample was based on two key parameters of interest. First, to be
considered for this study, individuals must have been registered users of the selected
online retailing firms. Second, the selected individuals comprised those who are
registered on the service for more than three months. Table 3.3 shows the sampling
frame as well as the distribution of users sampled from the respective online retailing
firms.
66
Table 3.3: Sampling Frame and Sample Distribution
Strata Population Proportionate Sample
Size Category Frequency Multiplier Category Frequency
1. Firm 1 4868
Active Users 1022
0.0215
Active Users 22
Inactive Users 3846 Inactive Users 83
2. Firm 2 931
Active Users 111
0.0215
Active Users 3
Inactive Users 820 Inactive Users 18
3. Firm 3 6470
Active Users 2076
0.0215
Active Users 45
Inactive Users 4394 Inactive Users 94
4. Firm 4 1909
Active Users 278
0.0215
Active Users 6
Inactive Users 1631 Inactive Users 35
5. Firm 5 1447
Active Users 138
0.0215
Active Users 3
Inactive Users 1309 Inactive Users 28
6. Firm 6 2522
Active Users 363
0.0215
Active Users 8
Inactive Users 2159 Inactive Users 46
Total 18147 Total 18,147 0.0215 Total 391
Source: Researcher (2013)
3.9 Data Collection Instruments
Both primary and secondary data was collected in this study. Primary data was
collected using a mixed-mode approach with the help of two instruments: (i) a self-
administered questionnaire and (ii) an interview guide for key informants. The
questionnaire was used to collect quantitative data while the interview guide was used
for qualitative data collection. Mixed-mode approach has several advantages.
According to De Leeuw (2005), it is an affordable option that compensates for the
flaws inherent in each individual mode, it can provide more choice and flexibility for
respondents, while improving timeliness and minimizing non-response and non-
response bias. Furthermore, it is also more efficient as compared to other alternatives.
67
3.9.1 Self-Administered Questionnaire
In essence, the questionnaire was composed of three different sections (A, B and C) and
it consisted of 54 questions that were close-ended with ordered responses. The
measures were adopted from previous studies (Swan et al., 1981; Oliver & Westbrook,
1982; Oliver & Bearden, 1983; Thompson et al., 1991; Compeau & Higgins 1995b;
Compeau et al. 1999, Sweeney & Soutar, 2001; Venkatesh et al., 2003); Hernández et
al., 2011) and reworded to suit the context of the current study. The measures were
organized based on the research questions and specific objectives. Each scale item was
modelled as a reflective indicator of its hypothesized latent construct
The survey questionnaire was marked because the respondents were divided into two
groups (active users and inactive users) depending on whether or not one was using
online retailing service at the time of the survey. Depending on the usage, the
respondent was presented with a corresponding survey questionnaire. A sample of the
final questionnaire is shown in Appendix 3B of this thesis.
3.9.2 Key Informant Interview Guide
The key informant interview was a follow-up to the questionnaire survey. Therefore,
qualitative data was collected using the key informant technique with the help of an
interview guide (Appendix 3C).
For this study, the interview guide was composed of 9 questions that were open-ended.
Some of the measures were adopted from previous studies as well as the findings of the
quantitative study, and some additional open questions to elicit more information if
possible so as to suit the research questions and specific objectives. A sample of the
final interview guide is available in Appendix 3C of this thesis.
68
The first category of questions (questions 1 – 5) was based on the two variables
(satisfaction and usage). The second category (questions 6 & 7) explored 9 constructs
namely: usefulness, convenience, ease of use, financial risk, performance risk, privacy
risk, monetary value, convenience value and social value. The questions were aimed at
ascertaining if the variables do affect the satisfaction and usage of online retailing
services. The third category (questions 8 & 9) contained provocative questions that
were meant to elicit more information that was required regarding the state of the
online retailing sector in Kenya as a whole.
In addition to the primary data, secondary data was collected from a variety of both
print and online sources including published reports, book chapters, sectoral directories
and trade publications such as industry magazines and newsletters.
3.9.3 Validity of the Data Collection Instruments
Validity of the questionnaire was assessed using both criterion-related and content
validity. Criterion-related validity was demonstrated through the questionnaire items
which were derived from measures validated in prior research (Nunnally & Bernstein,
2004; Cooper & Schindler, 2008) and standardized and adapted to the context of this
study as is indicated in Table 3.1. Content validity was achieved using a panel of five
experts in the field who were asked to give their views and suggestions on how to
improve the questionnaire (Nunnally & Bernstein, 2004; Cooper & Schindler, 2008).
The five experts evaluated the questionnaire and found that the questions were relevant
to the study variables.
69
In addition, the questionnaire was pilot-tested on 30 selected respondents who are
online retailing users and who were subsequently excluded in the main survey. Pilot-
testing of the questionnaire was conducted before the actual research so as to get an
indication of the expected responses with a view to identifying ambiguous and unclear
questions as well as to detect possible weaknesses in the design and instrumentation as
suggested by Cooper and Schindler (2008).
Some of the pre-testers voiced their concerns regarding the length of the questionnaire,
wondering whether respondents‘ attention could be maintained. Notwithstanding these
concerns regarding the number of items, all were found to be relevant and therefore
none was deleted. However, some items relating to convenience value, social value and
level of satisfaction had to be improved due to their perceived similarity. An example
of this questionnaire can be found in Appendix 3B.
For the key informant technique, the main threats to validity or credibility that were
identified were addressed through the methods recommended by Creswell and Miller
(2000). These methods include triangulation, peer review/debriefing and member
checking.
The first techniques that was employed in enhancing validity of the qualitative study
was the use of multi-method strategies for data collection and analysis (method and
data triangulation) as recommended by Easterby-Smith et al. (2002). It was realized
through the use of a combination of qualitative as well as quantitative methods of data
collection including document analysis, surveys and interviews. Gray (2004) affirms
that triangulation is a practical means of strengthening of a study since its aids in
overcoming the major flaws of the respective methods employed.
70
The other technique used was peer review or debriefing, which is described by
Creswell and Miller (2000) as ―the review of the data and research process by someone
who is familiar with the research or the phenomenon being explored.‖ For this study,
the two supervisors, two e-commerce managers as well as two IT consultants were
engaged as peer reviewers. Before the interviews were carried out, the reviews were
asked to evaluate the interview guide so as to ensure that the questions were clear,
relevant and comprehensive. Some changes regarding the logical flow and choice of
respondents were made to the initial sample based on the feedback received. During the
thematic analysis, they were also asked to assess the proposed categories, themes and
interpretations so as to improve the grasp of the study‘s findings by ensuring that it
provides a rational and practical account of the phenomena.
The final technique through which the validity of findings was established is member
checking. Member checking is a process for obtaining feedback from a few key
informants in which collected data is ‗played back‘ to the informant to check for
perceived accuracy and reactions (Cho & Trent, 2006). It occurs throughout the
research process. For this study, the researcher sent research participants a copy of the
documented interview to confirm that it reflected their perspective of the subject
matter. After the thematic analysis, the researcher prepared a brief summary of the
findings and shared it with the available key informants.
3.9.4 Reliability of the Data Collection Instruments
For this study, Cronbach‘s Alpha coefficient (α) statistical procedure was used to
assess reliability of the quantitative measures as recommended by Mugenda and
Mugenda (2003). As a rule of thumb, reliability of 0.7 and above is recommended for
most research purposes to denote the research instrument as reliable (Roberts, Priest &
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Traynor, 2006). Using this cut-off value, all but one of the measures in the
questionnaire exhibited internal consistency by having Cronbach‘s alpha values greater
than 0.7. The single variable that did not meet this cut-off is social value, which had a
Cronbach‘s alpha value of 0.538. However, the Cronbach‘s Alpha for social value does
meet the guidelines suggested by Hair, Anderson, Tatham and Black (2006), who
recommended reliability level of 0.5 and above.
Table 3.4 Reliability of Questionnaire Items
Factor Measure Number of Items Reliability
(Cronbach‘s
alpha)
Perceived Attributes
Usefulness 4 items (B1 – B4) 0.954
Compatibility 4 items (B5 – B8) 0.954
Ease-of-Use 4 items (B9 – B14) 0.950
Perceived Risk
Financial Risk 3 items (B15 – B17) 0.801
Performance Risk 5 items (B18 – B22) 0.702
Personal Risk 3 items (B23 – B25) 0.885
Perceived Value
Monetary Value 4 items (B26 – B29) 0.839
Convenience Value 5 items (B30 – B34) 0.954
Social Value 5 items (B35 – B39) 0.538
Emotional Value 7 items ( B 40 – B46) 0.975
Customer Satisfaction Level of Satisfaction 5 items (C1 – C5) 0.941
Source of data: Survey (2013)
As a result, this variable was not excluded in the data analysis in spite of its weak
reliability, meaning that all the item-to-total correlation values exceeded the 0.50 cut-
off value suggested by Hair et al. (2006). The remaining ten variables had an alpha
value of 0.7 and above indicating that they were reliable as indicated by Roberts et al.
(2006).
72
For the key informant interviews, the main threats to reliability/dependability were the
lack of standardization of the interview processs, the choice of informants/ informant
bias as well as interviewee/participant bias (Saunders et al., 2009).
One of the techniques used by the researcher to build reliability with regards to
interview standardization was usage of an interview schedule to guide the interview
process. The researcher also outlined the procedures employed in the study, especially
the data gathering procedures and processes. This will enable future researchers to
replicate the work, and perhaps arrive at similar outcomes (Shenton, 2004).
Informant bias resulting from the sort of entities that were approached and agreed to
participate in the interview was overcome through the sampling approach that was used
(Saunders et al., 2009) as well as the criteria used to select interview participants which
stipulated the nature of persons identified as informants (LeCompte & Goetz, 1982).
Interviewee or response bias may result from the interview participants saying what
they thought their superiors required them to say out of fear of losing their job. One of
the ways through which it was addressed was by ensuring that the interviews were
anonymous. Further to this, the responses were presented in a way that they could not
be linked to a specific organization or individual so as to jeopardize participants‘
anonymity (Elfving & Sundqvis, 2011).
3.10 Data Collection Procedures
To begin with, the researcher received a letter of introduction from Kenyatta University
Graduate School to facilitate the study. Afterwards, a research permit approving the
researcher to conduct the research was sought from the National Commission for
73
Science, Technology and Innovation (NACOSTI). In addition, the authorization and
consent to collect information from study respondents was sought and granted from the
management of the sampled online retailing firms before administering the
questionnaire to the respondents.
Consequently, primary data was collected using two methods: a cross-sectional, mixed-
mode survey of users of online retailing services in Nairobi, Kenya for quantitative data
that was supplemented with in-depth interviews of key informants for qualitative data;
secondary data was collected via a review of existing literature and data from relevant
print and online sources.
3.10.1 Quantitative Data Collection Procedures
Quantitative data collection began by contacting respondents via e-mail and telephone
to inform them of the nature and objective of the study as well as to solicit their
participation in the survey. To ensure maximum response, the questionnaire was
administered using a mixed-mode method, as recommended by De Leeuw (2005).
Despite the fact that there have been reservations regarding mixed-mode methods of
questionnaire administration, it seems not to have a statistically significant effect on
findings (De Leeuw & Hox 2011).
To begin with, the questionnaire was sent to respondents via e-mail as an attachment to
the selected respondents. This method was preferred as it was cheaper and allowed for
faster data collection (Cooper & Schindler, 2008). Emailing ensures significant cost
savings in terms of postage and paper materials can be made (Phellas, Bloch & Seale,
2012). It has also been shown to be useful in surveying individuals who may be
unwilling to participate in personal or phone interviews, but who might respond to an
email survey when it is convenient to them (Simsek et al., 2005).
74
Each questionnaire was sent with a covering letter (Annexure 3A) from the researcher
explaining the purpose of the study and soliciting their participation. The questionnaire
was marked so as to differentiate between active and inactive users. It included a brief
introduction that explained the purpose of the study as well as solicited the recipients‘
participation. After the questionnaire had been distributed, email reminders were sent at
a weekly interval to those who did not respond so as to try and ensure that higher
response rates were achieved. Rogelberg & Stanton (2007) found that higher response
rates result in findings which have greater credibility among key stakeholders.
In order to increase the survey response rate (RR), the e-mail questionnaires were
followed-up with a self-administered questionnaire that was delivered to non-
respondents using the drop-and-pick method as recommended in previous studies
(Rojas-Méndez & Davies, n.d., Ibeh et al., 2004), whereby respondents are contacted in
person and asked to fill in a questionnaire at their most convenient time. Picking up the
completed questionnaires was scheduled at a specified time as recommended by Paxson
(1992). This allowed for personal contact with the respondent and provided the
opportunity to explain the purpose of the survey and thereby increase the motivation to
respond. The respondent may also seek clarifications during such instances, thus
improving the quality of the data that is collected (Phellas et al., 2012).
The drop-and-pick method was preferred because it reduces non-response bias through
reduction of non-coverage, non-contact or refusal to participate (Paxson, 1992). On
average, two follow-ups were made before the questionnaires were ready to be picked
for analysis.
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3.10.2 Qualitative Data Collection Procedures
On the other hand, qualitative data collection was conducted using key informant
interviews with the help of an interview guide that was developed by the researcher
based upon the findings from the quantitative data analysis and the literature review
that had been carried out previously. It is a useful data collection technique (Homburg,
Klarmann, Reimann & Schilke, 2012), that can either be used on its own or in
combination with other methods (Marshall, 1996). One of the advantages of using the
key informant technique is in connection with the quality of data that can be collected
in considerably short period of time (Lincoln & Guba, 1985).
The researcher conducted interviews where a set of questions based on themes arising
from the literature review as well as the quantitative data analysis were asked; it
included some previously formulated open-ended questions aimed at eliciting pertinent
information as recommended by Creswell (2003). Following Marshall‘s (1996)
suggestion, subjects who were identified with the help of the participating firms were
invited to participate through the official cover letter (Appendix 3A) that was prepared
and delivered at their offices. Those who responded positively by expressing were later
contacted via telephone to arrange a convenient date and place for the interview.
The face-to-face interviews took the researcher about 40 minutes to conduct and were
held at the respondents‘ office for the sake of their convenience. The interview
schedule was delivered prior to the actual interview to give them ample time to prepare.
The interview tried to capture respondents‘ explicit and implicit knowledge of the
subject matter and participants were free to deviate; the interviewer intervened only to
clarify issues or move on to a new theme. The sample interview schedule is in
Appendix 3C.
76
The interview guide was composed of 9 open-ended questions that allowed for
interviewees‘ comments. The questions – which were adopted from previous studies -
explored the same themes as in the questionnaire and were reworded to suit the context
of the current study. They were organized based on the research objective, specific
objectives as well as research hypotheses (H1 - H6).
The method used for recording interviews for documentation and later analysis was
note taking whereby the researcher took down detailed notes so as to ensure that
insightful comments and details are not forgotten or lost. At the end of the interview,
the interviewer reviewed the notes for legibility and coherence. Where this was not the
case, the interviewer asked the respondent to clarify his/her remarks. In took close to 10
weeks to collect the required data for the study.
3.11 Data Analysis and Presentation
Due to the mixed-method that was used to collect data, the study employed a sequential
technique to analyse and present the data. This involves sequential analysis of
quantitative and qualitative data, whereby the initial results of the analysis of the first
data set are used to inform the analysis of the second set of data (United States Agency
for International Development (USAID), 2013). The section below expounds further.
3.11.1 Quantitative Data Analysis
Quantitative data was analysed using both descriptive and inferential statistics.
Descriptive statistics that were used include frequency of the distribution, mean and
standard deviation. Descriptive data analysis prepares the data for further inferential
analysis. Inferential statistics in this study involved conducting both logistic and linear
regression analysis of the response data to test the causality of the IV and DV.
77
Prior to the analysis, the data collected during the research was coded and entered into
SPSS to create a dataset for analysis. Afterwards, variable re-specification was
undertaken by collapsing the response data into fewer variables in line with the specific
research objectives/questions. All the research variables were then defined and label in
a codebook, as recommended by O‘Neill (2009). Appendix 5A illustrates the codebook
listing all the variables included for the statistical analysis, as well as their labels and
the codes ascribed to each answer category given.
Before regression analysis, diagnostic tests comprising multi-collinearity and normality
test were carried out so as to establish if the independent variables (IVs) in the study
model are inter-related. Multi-collinearity arises when two or more independent
variables are highly correlated with each other (De Fusco, 2007). For this study, the
collinearity test was conducted using correlation analysis, tolerance and variance
inflation factor analysis. Normality was also tested for the linear regression equation
using the Kolmogorov-Smirnov (KS) test. According to Ul-Islam (2011), a key goal in
linear regression in checking for normality is to ensure that the t-statistic is giving us
the correct message that whether the independent variable is a significant explanatory
variable or not. All the above analysis were done using SPSS version 19.
The variables, tested hypotheses, regression models as well as the expected outcomes
are summarized in Table 3.5. In additionally, diagnostics tests were carried out on both
the logit and linear regression models to evaluate their (i) overall significance/fit and
(ii) significance of predictor variables. These tests included a multi-collinearity test,
goodness-of-fit test and a normality test. SPSS software was used to perform both
diagnostic tests and the regressions. Tables, figures and narratives were used to present
the data.
78
Table 3.5: Inferential Data Analysis Techniques
Hypothesis Hypothesis Test Statistical Model Expected Outcome
Hypothesis 1:
H0:Perceived attributes
does not have a significant
positive influence on usage
of online retailing services
X 0: β = 0
X 0: β ≠ 0
Reject H0 if p < 0.05,
otherwise fail to reject the H 0
Where:
Y = Usage of online retailing services
P (y = 1)= Probability of belonging to either 1 or 0
β1- 3 = Logistic regression coefficients
X1 = Perceived Attributes
X2 = Perceived Risk
X3 = Perceived Value
ε1= Error Term
If the regressed B1 coefficient for
the B1X1 product term is
statistically significant (i.e. p <
0.05), this is interpreted as
evidence of X1 having a
significant effect on Y.
Hypothesis 2:
H0:Perceived risk does not
have a significant negative
influence on usage of
online retailing services
X 0: β = 0
X 0: β ≠ 0
Reject H0 if p < 0.05,
otherwise fail to reject the H 0
Where:
Y = Usage of online retailing services
P (y = 1)= Probability of belonging to either 1 or 0
β1- 3 = Logistic regression coefficients
X1 = Perceived Attributes
X2 = Perceived Risk
X3 = Perceived Value
ε1= Error Term
If the regressed B2 coefficient for
the B2X2 product term is
statistically significant (i.e. p <
0.05), this is interpreted as
evidence of X2 having a
significant effect on Y.
3322110B)1(logit XBXBXByP
3322110B)1(logit XBXBXByP
79
Hypothesis 3:
H0:Perceived value does
not have a significant
positive effect on usage of
online retailing services
X 0: β = 0
X 0: β ≠ 0
Reject H0 if p < 0.05,
otherwise fail to reject the H 0
Where:
Y = Usage of online retailing services
P (y = 1)= Probability of belonging to either 1 or 0
β1- 3 = Logistic regression coefficients
X1 = Perceived Attributes
X2 = Perceived Risk
X3 = Perceived Value
ε1= Error Term
If the regressed B3 coefficient for
the B3X3 product term is
statistically significant (i.e. p <
0.05), this is interpreted as
evidence of X3 having a
significant effect on Y.
Hypothesis 4:
H0:Customer perception
does not have a significant
influence on customer
satisfaction with online
retailing services
X 0: β = 0
X 0: β ≠ 0
Reject H0 if p < 0.05,
otherwise fail to reject the H 0
M = β0 + β1P1 + ε1
Where:
Y= M = Customer Satisfaction
β0 = Constant
β1 = Linear regression coefficient
P1 = Customer Perceptions (Composite Value)
ε1= Error Term
If the regressed B1 coefficient for
the B1P1 product term is
statistically significant (i.e. p <
0.05), this is interpreted as
evidence of P1 having a
significant effect on Y (M).
3322110B)1(logit XBXBXByP
80
Hypothesis 5:
H0:Customer satisfaction
does not have a significant
influence on usage of
online retailing services
X 0: β = 0
X 0: β ≠ 0
Reject H0 if p < 0.05,
otherwise fail to reject the H 0
Logit [ P (y = 1) ] = β0 + β1M + ε1
Where:
Y= Usage of online retailing services
P (y = 1)= Probability of belonging to either 1 or 0
β1 = Logistic regression coefficient M = Mediating Variable (Customer Satisfaction)
ε1= Error Term
If the B1 coefficient for the B1M
product term in the regression is
statistically significant (i.e. p <
0.05), this is interpreted as
evidence of M having a significant
effect on Y.
Hypothesis 6:
H0:Demographic factors do
not have a significant
influence on the
relationship between
customer perceptions and
usage of online retailing
services
X 0: β = 0
X 0: β ≠ 0
Reject H0 if p < 0.05,
otherwise fail to reject the H 0
Where:
Y = Usage of online retailing services
P (y = 1)= Probability of belonging to either 1 or 0
β1-3 = Logistic regression coefficients
P1 = Customer Perceptions (Composite Value) Z = Moderating Variable (Customer Demographics)
PZ = Interaction Effect
ε1= Error Term
If the regressed B3 coefficient for
the PZ product term is statistically
significant (i.e. p < 0.05), this is
interpreted as a significant
interaction between P 1 & Z as
predictors of Y.
.
PZBZBPByP 3210B)1(logit
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3.11.2 Qualitative Data Analysis
To correspond to the sequential approach and to complement the quantitative findings,
directed content analysis technique was used to manually analyze qualitative data from
twelve key informant interview transcripts. Directed content analysis allows for the use
of key concepts/variables identified from prior quantitative research as initial coding
categories in a qualitative study (Potter & Levine-Donnerstein, 1999). These coding
categories are then operationalized using definitions that are based on the theoretical
review (Hsieh & Shannon, 2005).
Accordingly, pre-determined codes were adopted from seven previous ones used for
quantitative data analysis (usage, perceived attributes, perceived risk, perceived value,
customer perceptions, customer satisfaction and demographic factors). In addition,
another three new codes (industry prospects, challenges/problems and policy
recommendations) that were developed by the researcher based on the literature review
formed part of total code categories. Through the inductive coding method, these
initial/preliminary codes were used to group/cluster raw data from the transcripts for
further analysis so as to make meaning and draw insights for further analysis (Ary,
Jacobs & Sorensen, 2010).
As put forward by Hsieh and Shannon (2005), data that did not fall into these pre-
determined codes was isolated and later analyzed to ascertain if they represent a new
category or a subcategory of an existing code. Appendix 5B illustrates the codebook for
the qualitative data analysis, including the codes and their respective
description/operationalization.
82
Once coding of the transcripts was completed and all items with a particular code
placed together, the sets of items were reviewed to ensure that they belonged together
since some may fall in more than one category. At this stage, the researcher also started
considering how the codes could be merged into broader categories (Ary et al., 2010).
Thematic coding methods were considered as they are often used for reducing text data
into convenient summary categories or themes used to draw conclusions about a sample
(Krippendorff, 1980; Weber, 1990; Jackson & Trochim, 2002). These methods are
mostly used with denser types of text, such as in-depth interview transcripts where
richer context can result in the identification of repeated themes (Jackson & Trochim,
2002).
In line with the constant comparative method (Ary et al., 2010), the clustered data
underwent thematic analysis whereby similar data was further labeled and analyzed so
as to create meaning and thereafter merged into broader categories or emerging themes.
Here, the researcher relied on a combination of qualitative analysis methods to
determine and classify the themes as suggested by Ryan & Bernard (2003). They entail
the use of observational techniques such as identifying and sorting of words and key
phrases, and checking for repetition, similarity and differences in expressions or
statements
After sorting the data into broad categories, the researcher carried out further analysis
of the various categories to determine whether some could be merged into themes (Ary
et al., 2010). Consequently, additional thematic analysis of the transcripts was carried
out manually in order to establish the key themes. In this study, the interview
information was sorted into five broad themes: (i) usage diversity, (ii) prevailing
attitudes, (iii) usage drivers, (iv) market development and (v) market prospects.
83
Appendix 5C shows the codebook for the thematic analysis, as well as the definitions
given to each concept and significant statements attributed to respondents regarding
each thematic area.
3.12 Ethical Issues
The main ethical issues in this study revolved around confidentiality, honesty among
respondents/participants and data collection in general. As far as possible, the
researcher addressed these key ethical concerns.
To begin with, confidentiality mainly concerned the identity of online retailing
services/companies (as well as that of their customers who served as respondents). All
six online retailing firms granted the researcher access to their customers, but preferred
not to be identified by name given the highly competitive and developing nature of the
online retailing industry, compelling the researcher to describe the firms in a general
manner. Moreover, since the respondents did not want their identities disclosed, care
was taken to guarantee anonymity of the research participants.
The second confidentiality issue is ensuring the anonymity of the interviewee in
relation to the disclosed information: Some of the information shared by the
interviewee during the interview could jeopardize his or her position. There‘s therefore
need to protect respondents by non-disclosure of their identity and from those whose
interests conflict with those of the interviewee (DiCicco-Bloom & Crabtree, 2006).
Also, honesty among the research participants was necessary for the success of this
study. For this reason, the researcher insisted on honesty on the part of all of the
respondents. This was not to be taken for granted since not all participants may have
84
been aware of what constitutes ethical behavior. According to Zickmund & Babin,
(2010), honest cooperation is the main obligation of the research participant.
In terms of data collection, the researcher sought permission from the purposively
selected online retailing companies as well as notified all potential respondents
beforehand regarding the nature and objective of the study. This was also aimed at
encouraging participation.
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CHAPTER FOUR
RESEARCH FINDINGS AND DISCUSSION
4.1 Introduction
This chapter comprises of data collection details as captured using the research
questionnaire, key informant interview guide and documentary sources of secondary
data as well as the analysis of those findings. Questionnaire feedback was analyzed
using both descriptive and inferential statistics and has been summarized and presented
in the form of tables, charts and narratives. On the other hand, interview feedback and
documentary evidence were analyzed using content analysis and presented in narrative
form.
4.2 Descriptive Data Analysis
Descriptive statistics provide a summary of the characteristics of response data
(Wilson, 2006). The descriptive statistics that were used for analysis of the key
variables in this study include frequency of the distribution (in terms of counts and
percentages) as well as measures of central tendencies (mean) and dispersion (standard
deviation).
4.2.1 Response rates
From three hundred and ninety one (391) respondents who are registered as users of 6
online retailing services in Nairobi County, Kenya, two hundred and eighty-seven (287)
were able to participate in the study by completing and returning the questionnaire.
However, a number of these questionnaires (34) were poorly/improperly filled, while
another 13 arrived too late, necessitating their exclusion from the study. Ultimately, the
final respondents amounted to 240, equivalent to a 61.38% response rate. This is
depicted in Table 4.1.
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Table 4.1: Distribution of responses
Strata
Stratified Sample Response
Proportionate
Sample Category Frequency Frequency Percentage
1. Firm 1 105
Active Users 22 23 7.69
Inactive Users 83 39 18.97
2. Firm 2 21
Active Users 3 6 1.02
Inactive Users 18 8 2.56
3. Firm 3 139
Active Users 45 40 16.42
Inactive Users 94 46 21.02
4. Firm 4 41
Active Users 6 8 1.02
Inactive Users 35 15 7.18
5. Firm 5 31
Active Users 3 1 0.52
Inactive Users 28 15 7.69
6. Firm 6 54
Active Users 8 12 2.05
Inactive Users 46 27 13.85
Total 391 Total 391 240 100
Source: Survey Data (2014)
While there is still no consensus on what percentage of response rate should be
acceptable for reporting and analysis in research, the rule of thumb is the higher the
better (Rojas-Méndez & Davies, n.d.). Accordingly, Babbie (1990) argued that ―a
response rate of at least 50 percent is generally considered adequate for analysis and
reporting, a response rate of at least 60 percent is considered good, and a response rate
of 70 percent or more is very good‖. More recently, Rubin and Babbie (2011)
suggested that a 50 percent response rate is considered adequate for reporting and
analysis. This means that the response data was more than adequate for analysis and
reporting.
4.2.2 Demographic Characteristics of Online Retail Users
Table 4.2 shows a summary of the demographic characteristics of the respondents
based on Section A of the questionnaire.
87
Table 4.2: Demographic characteristics of the sample (n = 240)
Variable Category Frequency Percentage
Age 18-23 Years
24-29 Years
30-35 Years
36-41 Years
42-47 Years
48 years and above
Total
30
105
77
24
4
0
240
12.5
43.8
32.1
10.0
1.7
0
100.0
Level of Education High School Cert.
Diploma
Bachelor‘s Degree
Masters‘ Degree
Doctorate
Professional
Other
Total
1
37
139
51
8
3
1
240
0.4
15.4
57.9
21.3
3.3
1.3
0.4
100
Monthly Income Less than KSh 24,999
KSh25,000 – 49,999
KSh50,000 – 74,999
KSh75,000 – 99,999
KSh100,000 – 124,999
KSh125,000 & above
Total
31
45
54
43
32
35
240
12.9
18.8
22.5
17.9
13.3
14.6
100.0
Source: Survey data (2014)
In terms of the respondents‘ (n=240) ages, the majority (43.8 %) were between 24 – 29
years while the minority (1.7 %) were between 42 – 47 years of age. None were older
than 48 years of age. When it comes to education, a majority of the respondents (57.9
%) have a Bachelor‘s degree, followed by 51 (21.3 %) who have a Master‘s degree and
37 (15.4 %) who have a diploma. Only 1 (0.4 %) had a high school certificate, while 3
(1.3 %) had a professional qualification. With regards to the monthly income of the
respondents, the majority (22.5%) earned between KSh 50,000 – 74,999, whereas the
minority (12.9 %) had a monthly income of less than KSh 24,999 per month.
88
Taken as a whole, the demographic information showed that the respondents are
predominantly young, relatively well educated and with relatively high levels of
income. These findings concur with past studies regarding online population (Bellman
et al., 1999) and e-shoppers in particular, which established that the online shoppers are
generally younger, with high level of income and more educated (Li et al., 1999;
Vrechopoulos et al., 2001; Dholakia & Uusitalo, 2002).
4.2.3 Customer Perceptions of Online Retail Users
The key customer perception variables of interest to this study were perceived attributes
(PATT), perceived risk (PRSK) and perceived value (PVAL) as well as the composite
variable customer perceptions (CPER). Table 4.3 provides a summary of the
descriptive statistics for the three predictor variables as well as that of the composite
variable.
Table 4.3: Descriptive Statistics Results for Customers’ Perceptions
Variable Measure Statistic
PATT Mean 4.3899
Std. Deviation 1.54140
PRSK Mean 4.1256
Std. Deviation 1.27855
PVAL Mean 4.2589
Std. Deviation 1.16118
CPER Mean 4.2585
Std. Deviation .62906
Source: Survey data (2014)
The results indicate that perceived attribute had the highest mean score (4.389), closely
followed by perceived value (4.258) and perceived risk (4.125). This high value
concurs with several studies have empirically established that the perceived attributes is
a key element in usage behavior of online services (Parthasarathy & Bhattacherjee,
1998; Bhattacherjee, 2001b). The mean score of the customer perception variables was
also reasonably high (4.26).
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On the other hand, the standard deviation for perceived attributes (1.54) is the largest,
followed by perceived risk (1.28) and perceived value (1.16). According to Rumsey
(2011) a large standard deviation isn‘t necessarily a bad thing; it just reflects a large
amount of variation in the data set that is being studied. This indicates that the
responses for perceived attributes are further away from the mean than those of
perceived value.
Descriptive statistics (mean and sum) of to the 10 individual perceptual indicators we
also carried out in order to establish the overall emphasis placed by respondents on
each. This is presented in Table 4.4.
Table 4.4: Descriptive Statistics Results for Individual Perceptual Indicators
No. Variable Mean Sum Rank
1. Usefulness (USFL) 4.25 825.25 4
2. Compatibility (CMPT) 4.19 813.00 5
3. Ease-of-Use (EOUS) 4.17 809.17 6
4. Financial Risk (FINR) 3.87 754.00 9
5. Performance Risk (PRFR) 4.09 793.60 7
6. Personal Risk (PRSR) 4.86 943.67 2
7. Monetary Value (MOVL) 4.29 832.25 3
8. Convenience Value (COVL) 5.11 992.00 1
9. Social Value (SOVL) 2.89 560.60 10
10. Emotional Value (EMVL) 4.02 780.29 8
Source: Survey data (2014)
The results reveal that convenience value (COVL) had the highest scores (sum =
992.00; mean = 5.11) for an individual indicator, implying that consumers placed the
utmost importance on the convenience of using online retailing services. This is
corroborated in a study by Robinson, Riley, Rettie and Rolls-Wilson (2007) which
established that the key motivation for online shopping is the convenience of round-the-
clock shopping and having the items delivered at one‘s door step. On the opposite end,
social value had the lowest scores (sum = 560.60; mean = 2.89).
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4.2.4 Customer Satisfaction of Online Retail Users
In addition, the study assessed the customer satisfaction of users of online retailing
services. Table 4.5 provides a summary of the results of the descriptive statistics for the
customer satisfaction variable.
Table 4.5: Descriptive Statistics Results for Customer Satisfaction
Variable Measure Statistic
CSAT N 240
Mean 3.1650
Std. Deviation 1.0866
Source: Survey data (2014)
The results in Table 4.5 indicate that customer satisfaction had a mean score of 3.165.
This moderate value could imply that users are not very enthusiastic about the online
retailing services. This is a cause for concern since customers‘ overall satisfaction is an
indication of how well customers like their experience with using the website, and it is
probably the best indication of their willingness to return to the site again if they are to
make another purchase in the category (Jiang & Rosenbloom, 2005). With regards to
the standard deviation, the value was 1.087.
4.2.5 Usage of Online Retailing Services
The study also assessed the usage of online retailing services. Table 4.6 provides a
summary of the results of the descriptive statistics for the usage variable.
Table 4.6: Descriptive Statistics Results for Usage of Online Retailing Services
Variable Category Frequency Percentage
USAGE Active User 129 53.8
Inactive User 111 46.3
Total 240 100.00
Source: Survey data (2014)
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The study results in Table 4.6 reveal that the number of active users of online retailing
services who responded was 129 (53.8 %), which was moderately higher than the
number of respondents making up inactive users, who amounted to 111 respondents
(46.3 %). This points to a fairly representative number/level of respondents who
participated in the study, making it generalizable as argued in the problem statement.
4.3 Regression Analysis and Test of Hypotheses
The previous section dealt with descriptive statistics regarding the customer perceptions
affecting usage of online retailing services in Nairobi County, Kenya. However, in
order to empirically test the study‘s premise - that there is a relationship between
customers‘ perceptions and the usage of online retailing services but this relationship is
mediated by customer satisfaction and moderated by demographic factors - inferential
statistics using logistic and linear regression methods was conducted as appropriate at
95 percent confidence level ( = 0.05) on the response data.
Both linear and logistic regressions analyze the relationship between independent
variable(s) and an independent variable. On its part, linear regression analyzes linear
relationships, which require a continuous numerical dependent variable (such as
customer satisfaction in this study) that follows a normal distribution. In contrast,
logistic regressions require binary dependent variable (i.e. usage in this study), which
are coded 0/1 and indicate if a condition is or is not present, or if an event did or did not
occur (Sweet & Grace-Martin, 2010).
Therefore, the first technique - logistic regression analysis – was used in the first model
(equations 1, 2 and 3 in Chapter 3) to empirically analyze the response data for
purposes of establishing the main effects of the predictor variables on the criterion
variable as a way of estimating the conditional probability of being either an active or
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inactive user. In addition, it was used in the third model (equation 6) to establish the
moderating effect of variable Z on the IV-DV relationship. The second regression
method - binary linear regression - was carried out on the second model (equations 4)
so as to establish the effect of customer perceptions on customer satisfaction (M).
4.3.1 Diagnostic Tests
However, before subjecting the data to regression analysis, diagnostic tests were first
carried out on the collected data to establish if it conformed to the requisite
assumptions. The first diagnostic test was the multicollinearity test, which was done so
as to establish if the three IV‘s (perceived attributes, perceived risk and perceived
value) are inter-related or not. For this study, the collinearity tests were conducted
using correlation analysis, tolerance and variance inflation factor (VIF) analysis. Table
A.12 shows the correlation matrix for the three predictor variables.
According to DeFusco (2007), multi-collinearity arises when two or more independent
variables are highly correlated with each other. It is important to note that there is no
consensus in extant literature on the acceptable correlation value/level between two
variables, but Cooper and Schindler (2008) recommend a correlation value of 0.8 or
greater to denote multicollinearity between two IVs (The IV - constant value is ignored,
since collinearity among the predictors is what is under investigation). As is evident in
the correlation matrix (Table A.12), there is no correlation value of IVs that is greater
than 0.8; the highest correlation value of IVs is 0.519. We can therefore conclude that
the correlation between the predictor variables in the model was not significant to
warrant dropping any of them.
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Besides bivariate correlation, the study also employed tolerance and variance inflation
factor (VIF) analysis to determine the multicollinearity. This is illustrated in Table 4.7
and Table A.13 in the appendix.
Table 4.7: Results of Collinearity Statistics
Variable Tolerance VIF
Perceived attributes (PATT) 0.261 3.826
Perceived risk (PRSK) 0.468 2.135
Perceived value (PVAL) 0.348 2.877
Source: Survey data (2014)
Results of the study reveal no multicollinearity problem for the three IVs: perceived
attributes, perceived risk, and perceived value. This is due to the fact that the tolerance
values for the three variables are greater than 0.1, while the VIF values are all lesser
than 10, which show that there is no collinearity amongst the three predictors (Field,
2005). Consequently, all three variables were retained in current research model and
used in the regression analysis.
Another diagnostic test that was carried out is the goodness-of-fit test. In logistic
regression, goodness-of-fit tests for proposed models are commonly used to describe
how well a proposed model fits a set of observations (Wu, 2010). There are different
goodness-of-fit tests all of which have pros and cons. In this study, the Hosmer-
Lemeshow (H&L) test was used. The H&L test for goodness-of-fit is a statistical
measure that shows how good a model fits the data. According to the test, if the
significance measure of the model is less than 0.05, the model doesn‘t fit the data very
well. It is significant if it is larger than 0.05. Table 4.8 presents the significance value of
the H&L Test (1.0) for the logistic regression of the main effects model, which is
greater than the required 0.05, meaning that the model does fit the data very well.
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For the linear regression (equation 4), the overall fit of the model was assessed using
the F-test, in line with Doane and Seward (2009). Since the p-value ˂ = 0.05, the
null hypothesis that the proposed linear regression model doesn‘t fit the data very well
was rejected, implying that the model is statistically significant and therefore useful in
predicting customer satisfaction.
Also, a diagnostic test to ascertain the normality of the customer perceptions (CPER)
distribution was undertaken. Normality is an important assumption of many statistical
procedures such as t-tests, linear regression analysis, discriminant analysis and
ANOVA (Razali & Wa, 2011). This study used the formal normality test, specifically
the 1-sample Kolmogorov-Smirnov (KS), to test for evidence of the normality of the
customer perceptions distribution, in line with Razali and Wa (2011). The outcome of
the test as is shown in Table 4.8 as well as Table A.15 in the appendix. According to
the KS test, if the significant value is less than 0.05, there is a significant difference
between the population and sample, implying that the data is not normally distributed.
Table 4.8: Results of Kolmogorov-Smirnov Normality Test
Predictor Variable Significant Value
Perceived Attributes (PATT) .000
Perceived Risk (PRSK) .000
Perceived Value (PVAL) .000
Customer Perceptions (CPER) .200
Source: Survey data (2014)
The study results in Table 4.8 show that while the KS test significant-values for the
three predictors was 0.000, the overall KS test p-value (.200) for the composite
customer perceptions distribution was greater than the significant level (p = 0.05), thus
implying that the customer perception variable data is normally distributed. This
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means that the customer perception distribution satisfies the assumptions of equal
variance and normality.
Since the assumptions of the two regression models are reasonably satisfied, the
researcher proceeded to perform inference for the regression models.
4.3.2 Test of Hypotheses
After the successful conducting the preliminary diagnostic tests and confirming that the
data complied with the requisite assumptions, regression analysis was performed on the
data to test the hypotheses. The relevant hypotheses tests are presented in the sections
4.2.3.1. – 4.2.3.6 and the results are summarized in Tables 4.9 and 4.10..
Table 4.9: Results of Logit Regression Analysis
Variable β t = β/S.E Wald P-Value
Perceived Attributes (PATT) 6.006 2.903 8.429 0.004
Perceived Risk (PRSK) -1.834 -2.148 4.618 0.032
Perceived Value (PVAL) 2.329 2.149 4.621 0.032
Customer Satisfaction (CSAT) 5.171 6.488 42.056 0.000
Interaction Term (CPERDEMF) -0.196 -0.374 0.141 0.708
Observations (n) 240
Nagelkerke R Squared (Main Effects) 0.974
Classification Rate(Main Effects) 98.8%
Hosmer and Lemeshow (Main Effects) (8 df) 0.097 1.0
Nagelkerke R Squared (Equation 5) 0.874
Classification Rate(Equation 5) 95 %
Nagelkerke R Squared (Equation 6) 0.616
Classification Rate(Equation 6) 81.3%
Dependent variable is Usage (USAGE)
Note * p≤ 0.05
Source: Survey data (2014)
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To begin with, logistic regression analysis was used in the first model (see equations 1,
2 and 3 in chapter 3) for purposes of establishing the direct effects of the predictor
variables on the criterion variable as a way of estimating the conditional probability of
someone being either an active or inactive user. In addition, it was used in the third
model (equation 6) to establish the moderating effect of variable Z on the IV-DV
relationship. The results are summarized in Table 4.9
For the logistic regression model summary, the coefficient of determination (R2) was
estimated using the Nagelkerke‘s R2, a supplementary goodness-of-fit measure
recommended by Pallant (2007). Table 4.8 shows that it was 0.974 for the main effects
and 0.874 for equation 5, indicating a very strong relationship between the IVs and the
DV. This means that about 97.4% and 87.4% of the variation in the outcome variable is
explained by the independent variable.
Additionally, the Wald statistic, was used to determine the ―significance‖ of the
contribution of each variable in the model, in line with Chan (2004), whereby, the
higher the value, the more ―important‖ it is. The relevant hypotheses tests that were
conducted to assess the significance of the Wald statistic tested the null hypothesis at
95% confidence level wherein the acceptability level of the hypothesis test was =
0.05, as recommended by Burns and Burns (2009). The relevant hypotheses tests are
presented in the sections.
The second regression method - simple linear regression - was used out on the second
model (equation 4) so as to establish the effect of customer perceptions on customer
satisfaction (M). The relevant results are summarized in Table 4.10.
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Table 4.10: Results of Simple Linear Regression Analysis
Variable β S.E. t = β/S.E P-Value Customer Perceptions (CPER) 1.258 0.077 16.337 0.000
Observations (n) 240
R-Squared (Equation 4) - 0.531
Adjusted R-Squared (Equation 4) 0.529
F-Stat (Equation 4) (1 df) 269.024 0.000
Dependent variable is Customer Satisfaction (CSAT)
Note * p≤ 0.05
Source: Survey data (2014)
For the simple linear regression model summary (equation 4), the adjusted R-Squared
(R2) value was 0.531, meaning that about 53% of the variation in the DV can be
explained by the model. The adjusted R2 is important as it helps to discourage
overfitting of the model (Doane & Seward, 2011).
4.3.2.1 Hypothesis 1: Relationship between Perceived Attributes and Usage of
Online Retailing Services
For the main effects model, the first hypothesis to be tested regarded the relationship
between perceived attributes and usage of online retailing services.
H01: There‘s no relationship between perceived attributes and usage of online
retailing services in Nairobi County, Kenya.
As revealed in Table 4.9, the null hypothesis which proposes that there‘s no
relationship between perceived attributes and usage of online retailing services was
rejected since β ≠ 0 and p-value = 0.004. This is consistent with past research by
Adams, Nelson and Todd (1992), which empirically established perceived attributes
such as usefulness and ease-of-use are important determinants of system use and
Parthasarathy and Bhattacherjee (1998) which established that the perceived attributes
of an online service such as usefulness and compatibility determine usage behavior.
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Similarly, Bhattacherjee‘s (2001b) empirical study of the antecedents of e-commerce
service continued usage demonstrated that perceived usefulness is a key determinant of
customer‘s continued usage intention (CUI). This can be interpreted that usage depends
on cognitive beliefs (i.e. perceptions) about attributes of online retailing services.
4.3.2.2 Hypothesis 2: Relationship between Perceived Risk and Usage of Online
Retailing Services
For the second predictor variable of the main effects model, perceived risk, the
hypotheses that was tested at 95% confidence level acceptability level = 0.05 is as
follows:
H02: There‘s no relationship between perceived risk and usage of online retailing
services in Nairobi County, Kenya.
The research findings depicted in Table 4.9 show that for perceived risk (PRSK), β = -
1.834 and p-value = 0.032. Hence, the null hypothesis for H2 is rejected since β ≠ 0 and
p-value < = 0.05. However, the study‘s findings show that perceived risk has a
significant negative effect on usage. The result concurs with the findings of previous
studies (Jarvenpaa & Tractinsky, 1999; Bhatnagar et al., 2000; Lee et al., 2000;
Forsythe, Chuanlan, Shannon & Gardner, 2006; Barnes., Bauer, Neumann & Huber,
2007) that perceived risk is negatively associated with online shopping. It also parallels
a more recent study by Liu and Forsythe (2010) who argued that risk is often a barrier
to online transactions. This simply means that the greater the perceived risk, the less
likely consumer are to use online retailing services in the future.
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4.3.2.3 Hypothesis 3: Relationship between Perceived Value and Usage of Online
Retailing Services
The relationship between perceived value and usage was tested using the following
hypothesis:
H03: There‘s no relationship between perceived value and usage of online retailing
services in Nairobi County, Kenya.
The study results reveal in Table 4.9 that for perceived value (PVAL), β = 2.329 and p-
value = 0.032. Therefore, the null hypothesis was rejected since β ≠ 0 and p-value < .
This means that perceived value has a statistically significant effect on the usage of
online retailing services. The findings of the study are consistent with the previous
research which established that perceived customer value is a significant determinant of
online transaction behavior (Chew, Shingi & Ahmad, 2006). As pointed out by Abadi,
Hafshejani and Zadeh (2011), users will perceive online shopping to be valuable when
they see colleagues, friends and family members use it and get a recommendation of
using it from them. Accordingly, the researcher did not drop any of the three IVs from
the model since their effect was significant based on the Wald statistic.
4.3.2.4 Hypothesis 4: Relationship between Customers’ Perceptions and Customer
Satisfaction with Online Retailing Services
The fourth hypothesis to be tested regarded the relationship between customers‘
perceptions and customer satisfaction with online retailing services.
H04: There‘s no relationship between customers‘ perceptions and customer
satisfaction with online retailing services in Nairobi County, Kenya.
The study results in Table 4.10 reveal that for the cumulative customer perceptions
(CPER), β = 1.258 and p-value = 0.000. Consequently, the null hypothesis was rejected
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since β ≠ 0 and p-value < , meaning that customer perceptions have a statistically
significant effect on customer satisfaction with online retailing services. This outcome
lends support to the findings of Bolton and Drew (1994) that empirically established
that customer perceptions have a significant positive relationship with customer
satisfaction in the service context. More importantly however, it corroborates studies
(Westbrook and Oliver, 1981) that advanced the notion that satisfaction may comprise
of both emotional (i.e. perceived value) and cognitive (i.e. perceived attributes,
perceived risk) determinants. This is in line with Sing (1991) who argued that customer
satisfaction can be understood as a collection of multiple satisfactions with various
objects that constitute the service system.
4.3.2.5 Hypothesis 5: Relationship between Customer Satisfaction and Usage of
Online Retailing Services
The fifth hypothesis sought to assess the relationship between customer satisfaction and
usage.
H05: There‘s no relationship between customer satisfaction and usage of online
retailing services in Nairobi County, Kenya.
According to Table 4.9, for customer satisfaction (CSAT), β = 5.171 and p = 0.000.
Since p = 0.000 < α = 0.05, the null hypothesis was rejected, meaning that customer
satisfaction has a statistically significant effect on usage. This outcome is in line with
an earlier studies by Baroudi, Olson and Ives (1986), who argued that user satisfaction
could lead to system usage, and Bhattacherjee (2001a), according to whom, satisfied
users tend to continue using an IS, while dissatisfied users tend to discontinue IS usage
and/or switch to an alternative. It also corroborates a study by Ortiz de Guinea and
Marcus (2009) which established that satisfaction drives IT usage directly and
relationship marketing literature which relates satisfied consumers with repeated
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purchases/usage and loyalty (Martin & Camarero, 2009). Table A.28 presents the
output for the logistic regression for customer satisfaction and usage.
4.3.2.6 Hypothesis 6: Moderating Effect of Demographic Factors on the
Relationship between Customer Perceptions and Usage of Online Retailing
Services
The sixth and final hypothesis sought to test the moderating effects of demographic
factors and is as follows:
H06: Demographic factors do not have a moderating effect on the relationship
between customer perceptions and usage of online retailing services in Nairobi
County, Kenya.
As revealed in Table 4.9, for the interaction variable (CPERDEMF): β = - 0.196 and p
= 0.708, implying that the interaction term is not statistically significant. We thus fail
to reject the null hypothesis which proposes that demographic factors have no
significant moderating effect on the usage of online retailing services in Nairobi,
Kenya. The insignificant moderating effect of demographic factors on perceptions is
not surprising, since it is in line with several past technology adoption and usage
studies (Szajna, 1996; Gefen & Straub, 1997; Gefen & Keil, 1998; Hernandez et al.,
2011). The results also confirm the findings by Bellman et al. (1999), who argue that
while demographics appear to influence initial use of the Internet, its effect seems to
disappear once people are online on a regular basis. In other words, the behaviour of
experienced users is not identical to that of an individual during their initial
employment of the IT/IS in question (Gefen, Karahanna & Straub, 2003; Yu, Ha, Choi
& Rho, 2005), since the experience acquired modifies the effect of the variables
considered. This implies that that once an individual becomes familiar with the IT/IS
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(in our case online shopping), the experience acquired may nullify the importance of
their socio-economic characteristics (Sun & Zhang, 2006). In conclusion, this can be
interpreted that demographic factors do not influence the usage behaviour of the
experienced online shopper.
4.3.3 Summary of the Test of Hypotheses
The results of the hypothesized relationships are summarized in Table 4.11.
Table 4.11: Summary of Hypotheses Tests
Hypothesis
Causal
Relationship
Outcome of
Hypothesis Test
H01: There‘s no relationship between
perceived attributes and usage of
online retailing services
Perceived attributes Usage
Rejected Ho
H02: There‘s no relationship between
perceived risk and usage of online
retailing services
Perceived risk Usage
Rejected Ho
H03: There‘s no relationship between
perceived value and usage of
online retailing services
Perceived value Usage
Rejected Ho
H04: There‘s no relationship between
customers‘ perceptions and
customer satisfaction with online
retailing services
Customer perceptions
Customer Satisfaction
Rejected Ho
H5: There‘s no relationship between
customer satisfaction and usage of
online retailing services
Customer satisfaction Usage
Rejected Ho
H6: Demographic factors do not have a
moderating effect on the
relationship between customer
perceptions and usage of online
retailing services
Demographic factors
(Customer perceptions
Usage)
Failed to reject Ho
Source: Survey data (2014)
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As presented in the table, all but one of causal relationships between the constructs
postulated by our model is well supported. The study found support for H1-H5.
However, the results failed to support H6, that demographic factors have a moderating
effect on the relationship between customer perceptions and usage of online shopping
services.
4.4 Content Analysis
This section presents findings for the qualitative analysis of data collected during the
key informants interviews aimed at providing an in-depth perspective of the effects of
customer perceptions on online retailing usage in Kenya. The findings are summarized
into five major themes and are presented in the form of narratives.
4.4.1 Interview Participants
From each of the six online retailing firms that agreed to participate in the study, the
researcher identified two individuals who were deemed eligible to serve as key
informants and who agreed to participate in the semi-structured interviews. In total, the
researcher conducted twelve (12) in-depth semi-structured interviews with key
decision-makers in each firm. These individuals were selected due to their influential
roles/occupations within the firms. The distribution of interviewees is depicted in Table
4.12.
Table 4.12: Distribution of interview participants
Role/Occupation Number of Interviewees
1. Online retailing entrepreneurs/owners 2
2. Consultants working for the online retailing firms 2
3. Managers of the online retailing firms 7
4. Employees of the online retailing firms 1
Total 12
Source: Survey data (2014)
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4.4.2 Key Themes
The key informant interview findings gave an in-depth perspective regarding the effect
of customer perceptions on online retailing usage in Kenya. The findings largely
complemented those found in the quantitative analysis, with no major contradictions.
They are summarized in the following section based on the five major themes that were
developed via directed content analysis as outlined in Chapter 3.
4.4.2.1 Theme No 1: Usage Diversity
The findings revealed that usage of online retailing services is quite prevalent in Kenya,
as all the respondents admitted that they have used local online retailing services before
to buy and sell goods and services. It was interesting to note the multi-faceted/diverse
usage behaviour of respondents: while some used the websites primarily for price
comparison (researching), others went further and used them for purchasing items such
as books, electronics (television sets and mobile phones) as well as tickets for events.
As one participant stated, ―I used Jumia to look at the price range of a laptop that would
fit my budget as well as look at the specifications of that laptop‖. Another interviewee
reported that ―… I was looking for products I wanted to purchase [but] I was also
selling some goods on OLX‖. Another respondent reported used Mzoori.com,
Rupu.com, Jumia and OLX ―to look for products for purchase and was also selling
some goods on OLX‖. Interestingly, a majority disclosed that they have used online
retailing services within the last three months.
However, one response that stood out was from someone who had not shopped online
for more than three months. As that participant explained, ―…I only use online
retailing stores when I am seeking to buy high cost items because I get an opportunity
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to compare prices across different e-commerce stores. I do not do this frequently that‘s
why I cannot do this (use the websites) every now and then…‖. When asked whether
there are any goods they wouldn‘t purchase online, one respondent cited electronics,
clothes and furniture (especially sofas). According to the respondent, ―I want to see and
feel and test (them) before purchasing‖. Other mentioned food as another item that they
wouldn‘t purchase online ―due to its perishability‖.
4.4.2.2 Theme No 2: Prevailing Attitudes
There were a number of interesting responses which highlighted the mixed opinions,
thoughts and feelings regarding online retailing in Kenya. For instance, when asked
―how satisfied (or dissatisfied) are you with local online retailing services in Kenya?‖,
the respondents were roughly split in the middle as some replied in the affirmative
while others were negative.
Those respondents who did not have a favorable attitude attributed their negative
attitudes to a variety of factors including product availability, delays in delivery, issue
with payment modes, mistakes during delivery and poor customer service. According
to one owner-manager, ―the inconsistency in product availability coupled with the lack
of accurate information on some websites has made online users form a negative
impression towards online retailing services‖. This point was emphasized by another
dissatisfied respondent who stated that ―quite a number of online retailers cannot
guarantee proper inventory management – you order an item online but you cannot
have it (delivered) because it is out of stock‖.
Moreover, one employee remarked that ―I‘m very dissatisfied. I have not been able to
purchase anything because what‘s available is not within my budget range‖. Yet
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another respondent who is an owner added that ―I‘m somewhat satisfied…however, it
can be quite costly to roll out‖.
On the other hand, one of the owners who responded in the affirmative asserted that ―I
am very satisfied…we have come a long way in terms of e-commerce in Kenya‖.
Another respondent added by saying ―I‘m very satisfied with online retailing in Kenya
because of how fast it is growing and the convenience it brings‖. Another like-minded
respondent remarked that ―It‘s starting to be more and more appreciated as people
become busy with fast/complicated lifestyles‖.
4.4.2.3 Theme No 3: Usage Drivers
The study also identified several determinants of online retailing usage based on the
interview responses. Overall, the interview findings indicated that convenience, product
"assortment/variety, price (i.e. deals & discounts) and credibility are the most important
drivers of online retailing usage. All respondents agreed that when these aspects are
missing, it becomes difficult to enhance or even sustain usage of a service.
Further, the participants agreed that their convenience value is very high. As one
stated, ―online retailing provides convenience as buyers get whatever they purchase
without moving…‖ while another remarked that ―online shopping experience takes
away the headache associated with traditional in-store shopping. They [online retailing
websites] are very convenient for price comparison purposes‖. As one participant
stated, ―I loved the convenience of getting the television set delivered to my doorstep
without leaving the comfort of my house!‖.
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Another important driver was usefulness. One interviewee agreed that online retailing
services ―are very useful for price comparison‖ while another remarked that ―online
retailing is quite useful as it helps one purchase products after viewing a variety without
having to waste time walking around‖. Ease of use was another driver. ―The websites
and mobile apps are generally very easy to use‖. According to the respondent, one
reason for this is ―modern payment methods such as M-pesa which make it easy to
transact though it comes with some level of risk which most Kenyans are aware of and
have found ways to overcome‖.
Indeed, the growth in electronic payment services such as credit cards and mobile
money offered reliable and flexible payment options which have also contributed the
growth of adoption and usage of online retailing. Majority of respondents confirmed
that M-pesa is the main mode used for payment when shopping online because it
reduces financial risk which has made many shy off from shopping online. One of the
consultants interviewed confirmed this by stating that ―Mpesa is easy to use unlike
credit cards which can be abused after the purchase‖. As one senior employee in one of
the online retailing firms put it: ―There is a chance of personal details getting in the
wrong hands, especially for those using visa cards to make payments‖. The respondent
also indicated the performance risk involved by saying that ―there are chances that
delivery does not occur as promised e.g. delivery within 24 hours turns to delivery after
72 hours‖.
With regards to social value, one owner remarked that ―Online retailing provides a
platform where people can be able to comment or review their experiences or
products/services. That way shopping decisions are made based on that [social
value]…‖.
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4.4.2.4 Theme No 4: Market Development
While the respondents attested to the accelerated pace of change in how consumers are
shopping online, most acknowledged that the sector was growing at a slower pace than
expected and that more needs to be done to develop the sector in Kenya. In this regard,
they suggested several possible strategies that could be employed in order to increase
uptake and sustain the usage of online retailing services in Kenya.
One respondent who works as an internal consultant for one of the online retailing
firms had three key recommendations: ―Increase the product range and ensure that
products are always in stock; delivery to homes would increase the convenience of this
value chain; ensure that the regulatory frameworks for protecting customers privacy are
enhanced and there is judicial recourse if these are compromised‖. One owner
recommended that online retailers should ―build trust; avail a variety of products; offer
good prices for products; avail all information on one page; offer return policies; offer
cash on delivery and offer warranties‖. Another added that ―there‘s need for more
regulation from government to reduce the risks associated with online shopping‖.
Moreover, one consultant cited the need for ―data privacy laws to protect consumers‘
sensitive data‖.
This example also shows that companies cannot ignore the risks that users face when
using their services as ignoring them carries significant reputational risk through word-
of-mouth as a result of negative customer experience. The consensus was that stringent
regulation of e-commerce was a necessary component for the sector‘s growth.
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4.4.2.5 Theme No 5: Market Prospects
Last but not least, the respondents gave an analysis of the economic/business potential
of the online retailing industry in Kenya. Generally, Kenya is seen as a regional leader
in e-commerce and online retailing in particular, the current challenges
notwithstanding. As it turns out, most respondents affirmed that the current online
retailing activity in Kenya is a pretty strong indicator of its potential to drive online
sales in the near future.
For the most part, the consensus was that the prospects for online retailing in Kenya are
bright and going by recent developments and trends, it may soon become a viable sales
channel. As one respondent remarked, ―it is growing at a very fast pace compared to
the rest of the region‖. This was supported by another respondent who added that
―online shopping as a trend is picking up and has a bright future. This is because more
internet users are turning to online shopping especially due to its convenience‖.
Moreover, another respondent noted that ―online retailing is gaining momentum; while
we have already achieved good progress, a lot more needs to be done to ensure security
while transacting, product variety and value added services‖. Last but not least was one
consultant who added that ―online shopping is an industry that is growing in Kenya and
people are beginning to embrace it. A few things need to be worked on and it will turn
into a lucrative industry‖.
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CHAPTER FIVE
SUMMARY, CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATIONS
5.1 Introduction
This chapter presents a summary and discussion of the main findings of the study with
respect to each study objective. Also, conclusions based on the findings are made,
followed by recommendations of the study as well as suggestions for further study
which are proposed at the end of this chapter. Every attempt was made to represent the
facts with completeness and clarity.
5.2 Summary
In the last decade, Kenya has undergone a transformation in its ICT sector, which
outperformed every other sector during this time. This remarkable growth has been
characterized by introduction of various e-commerce services such as online retailing
into the market, which target Kenya‘s rapidly growing internet population. However,
this huge increase in internet usage in Kenya during this period has not been matched
by a corresponding usage of online retailing services. Reports indicate that the usage of
online retailing services in Kenya is still very low, thereby posing an existential threat
to the service providers due to the financial sustainability problem of maintaining the
loss-making online services. Consequently, continued loss-making may eventually lead
to closure of the online service, resulting in waste of effort to develop the service.
Stakeholders are therefore keen to establish the reasons as to why customers use online
retailing services, especially the continued usage or post-adoption use.
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Accordingly, research in IT continuance has examined different factors and/or
processes that motivate continued usage or discontinuance of IT products or services,
following their initial acceptance. Studies show that continued usage of IS can be
influenced by individual/psychological, system/technical and organizational factors.
However, this study restricted itself to examining individual psychological factors,
specifically the antecedent role of customer perceptions on usage of online retailing
services, coupled with the mediating role of satisfaction on the perception-usage
relationship.
Accordingly, the general objective of this online consumer behaviour study was to
empirically determine the relationship between customer perceptions and the usage of
online retailing services in Nairobi County, Kenya. It proposed a research framework
which blended online consumer behavior and technology adoption constructs, their
variables, indicators and the presumed relationships among them as described in the
empirical literature.
This mixed method study made use of a descriptive, specifically cross-sectional, survey
design and explanatory, correlational design. Quantitative data was collected by use of
a self-reporting questionnaire that was administered to selected respondents, who are
individuals registered as users of 6 online retailing services in Nairobi County, Kenya.
On the other hand, qualitative data was collected using a semi-structured interview
guide and analysis of relevant records and documents.
Questionnaire responses were analyzed using descriptive and inferential statistics;
descriptive statistics that were used to summarize the data include frequencies, means
and standard deviations. Inferential statistics, which involved both linear and logistic
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regression analysis, was employed to infer the relationship between the study variables.
The model specification was tested using multi-collinearity test, goodness-of-fit test
and normality test. Tables, charts and narratives were used to present the data.
Results of the quantitative analysis that was presented in the previous chapter reveal
that five out of the six causal relationships between the constructs postulated by the
research model are well supported by the study‘s findings. Those variables that had a
positive association with usage are perceived attributes, perceived value and customer
satisfaction, while customer perception had a positive effect on customer satisfaction.
On the other hand, perceived risk had a significant negative effect on usage. However,
the study established that demographic factors do not have a significant moderating
effect on the relationship between customer perceptions and usage of online retailing
services.
Qualitative data from twelve semi-structured key informant interview transcripts was
manually analyzed using the directed content analysis technique into initial coding
categories. Subsequently, the researcher carried out further thematic analysis of the
various categories which were then merged into themes. Its findings complemented
those found in the quantitative analysis, with no major contradictions. Based on the
content analysis, 5 key themes were identified as providing meaningful insight into the
usage of online retailing services context in the Kenyan context. These are usage
diversity, prevailing attitudes, usage drivers, market development and market prospects.
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5.3 Conclusions
Several important conclusions can be drawn from the findings of this study. These are
categorized into six main areas in line with the objectives of the study. These
conclusions are detailed in the following section.
For one, the current study has shown that perceived attributes is a key factor motivating
the usage of online retailing services in Kenya. This finding underscores the
significance of perceived website functionality vis-a-vis online customer decision-
making behavior and is consistent with earlier studies which empirically examined
post-adoption usage in the online service context.
The results have also drawn attention to the role of perceived risk as a stumbling block
to online retailing usage in Kenya. It is evident from the study that perceived risk plays
a key role in determining continued usage of online retailing services, albeit a negative
one. This is consistent with previous research which shows that customer risk
perceptions are negatively associated with usage of online retailing stores as consumers
are only willing to purchase product/service from an online vendor that is perceived as
low risk. In short, the greater the perceived risk, the less likely consumer are to use
online retailing services in the future. Therefore, reducing such risk is crucial to online
vendors‘ success.
In addition, the study conclusively established that perceived value is positively
associated with usage. This concurs with previous studies which established that
perceived customer value is an important determinant of online transactions behavior. It
is also evident that customer perceived value in online retailing is analogous to offline
context. This means that online shoppers opt for and repatronize online retailers who
offer superior customer value in the same way as in traditional stores.
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Furthermore, the findings conclusively reveal that taken as a whole, customer
perceptions also have a significant effect on customer satisfaction with online retailing
services. This is consistent with past studies according to which people form attitudes
(e.g. satisfaction) towards products/services based on four underlying reasons:
utilitarian function (perceived attributes), value-expressive function (perceived value),
ego-defensive function (risk perceptions), and knowledge function (awareness
of/experience with the product/service).
Similarly, the findings reveal that there is a relationship between customer satisfaction
and usage of online retailing services, supporting earlier studies which argued that user
satisfaction has an influence on system usage. This implies that when a system‘s use
fulfills user need, the resultant user satisfaction with the system is expected to result in
its greater use. On the other hand, if system usage does not meet user expectations,
satisfaction will decrease thus limiting further use. Such dissatisfied users may
discontinue system usage altogether and seek other alternatives
On the contrary, demographic factors have no relationship between customer
perceptions and usage of online retailing services. This suggests that the explanatory
power of the study model is not in any way enhanced by taking into account the
moderating effect of the user demographic factors, as has been established in previous
post-adoption studies.
5.4 Policy Implications
The empirical findings of this study have implications for practitioners as well as policy
makers who want to enhance the likelihood of success of new online retailing services.
These recommendations are outlined in the following section.
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5.4.1 Implications for Practitioners
In view of the significance of perceived attributes, online retailers should enhance their
service features/attributes as a way of ensuring success of their services. Therefore, the
design of the online retailing services should take into consideration customer-specific
needs by personalizing the website to make it more useful, compatible with customer
requirements and easy to use for users with various levels of computer skills. Further,
providers should differentiate themselves by offering attractive features that are highly
regarded by target customers in addition to developing a user-friendly website that
provides needed menu options and functionalities. Moreover, e-retailers should come
up with a strategy for raising awareness of the relative advantages of online retailing
services vis-à-vis other alternatives (e.g. offline shopping) as people are more likely to
use such services when they perceive that advantages outweigh disadvantages.
There‘s need for online retailing service providers to reduce the risk perception
amongst their users regarding online purchasing. Ignoring it could lead to significant
reputational damage as a result of negative customer experience. One effective strategy
for mitigating risk perception is reassuring users of safety of their transactions using
website elements that assure users of the security and privacy of their information such
as mandatory verification of users coupled with offering various secure methods of
payment. Another strategy is instituting strict data protection policies that guarantee the
privacy of personal information. Also, having security seal icons, offering extensive
user information and getting the endorsement of credible third parties will help in
building trust in the services.
Without a doubt, online retailers should design and deliver a unique value proposition
that has both functional as well as hedonistic appeals. Functional value can be in terms
116
of convenience which is typified by reduced response time, minimized customer effort,
and quick completion of transactions, while monetary/price value can be achieved via
price comparison and/or offering lower prices than offline channels. Hedonistic appeal
can be achieved through appealing to the user‘s emotional value chiefly through the
website design.
Further to this, online retailers should have an effective customer satisfaction strategy
for purposes of customer retention since satisfied customers will continue using the
system in the long run, while dissatisfied users may discontinue system usage
altogether and seek other alternatives. Some of the ways that retailers can deal with this
issue effectively include the establishment of customer relationship management
sections to handle complaints and service recovery, having service agents online with
whom they can chat real time when they have a question or require assistance, as well
as providing comprehensive and easily accessible self-service information that is easy-
to-read and understand.
Indeed, it is imperative for online retailing firms to have a good understanding of their
target customers‘ needs, wants and demands, since this will not only help in
determining the appropriate customer acquisition strategies but also how to enhance the
long-term usage of their services. One approach that online retailers can employ is by
establishing and growing strategic partnerships with a range of brands that are highly
sought after by their users. This will address the challenge of product variety and
availability.
5.4.2 Implications for Government
Online retailing offers a novel way to connect Kenya to global markets while creating
the much needed jobs for the economy. Owing to this, it behooves the Government to
117
embrace, nurture and facilitate e-commerce usage in Kenya in order to spur further
growth in this area.
However, for online retailing to meet the high expectations of users, investors and other
stakeholders, the government should urgently address the current bottlenecks
hampering online shopping usage in Kenya. For instance, there‘s need for legislation
that will address e-commerce users‘ security and privacy concerns with a view to
ensuring that organizations respect and protect consumers‘ privacy rights while at the
same time offering legal recourse for the victims of fraud and other crimes arising from
online activities.
Also, as part of its online consumer protection framework, the government - in
consultation with industry stakeholders - should expedite the development of online
consumer protection guidelines for e-commerce users. If need be, a quasi-independent
multi-sectorial entity could be tasked with overseeing such a program as is the case in
other countries.
5.5 Contribution of the Study to Knowledge
The results of this study contribute to new knowledge in several ways. Most
importantly, this study makes up for the dearth of empirical research on online
shopping behavior of consumers in Kenya, specifically with regards to the relationship
between customers‘ perceptions and the usage of online retailing services.
Further, the study provides a suitable consumer decision making model that is useful in
predicting why individuals continue or discontinue usage of online retailing services.
118
The results of this study have ascertained the usefulness of the non-linear logistic
regression model in explaining usage as a dichotomous dependent variable.
Moreover, this study fills the apparent methodology gap in current online consumer
behavior literature by employing a rigorous and methodologically sound mixed-method
research design in which both qualitative and quantitative approaches are integrated to
contribute to a rich and comprehensive study. It therefore provides future scholars with
a useful framework of how to incorporate both quantitative and qualitative methods in
their online consumer research projects.
Undoubtedly, the study also theoretically contributes to new knowledge with its
conceptualization of how customer satisfaction mediates the relationship between
customers‘ perceptions and usage and by subsequently empirically validating its
mediating role on the relationship between customer perception and usage in online
retailing services.
In practical terms, the study findings regarding to the dual role played by customer
satisfaction could of help to practitioners in the online retailing field when designing
their usage as well as customer retention strategies since online shoppers who are
satisfied with online retailers are likely to recommend the online retailer to someone
and consider the retailer to be their first choice for future transactions. In contrast,
online shoppers who are dissatisfied are likely to switch to competitors in case they
experienced a problem with an online retailer, or to complain to other customers.
119
5.6 Suggestions for Further Study
This study primarily sought to establish the relationship between individual perceptual
factors and usage of online retailing services, ignoring other determinants such as
organizational and environmental factors. Owing to this omission, future studies should
incorporate these missing factors as a way of enhancing the validity of the current
model. Another area for future study regards the design of the research model; the
insignificance of the moderating variable in this study underscores the need to
undertake further research to explore the efficacy of other variables in the research
model as a way of improving its statistical significance. Perhaps future studies could
incorporate additional moderating variables such as psychographic factors in analyzing
the usage of online retailing services.
120
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APPENDICES
APPENDIX 1: SUPPLEMENTARY STATISTICAL ANALYSES (SPSS
OUTPUT RESULTS)
Table A.1: Reliability Output for Usefulness (4 items: B1 – B4)
Cronbach's
Alpha
Cronbach's Alpha Based on
Standardized Items N of Items
.954 .958 4
Source: Survey data (2013)
Table A.2: Reliability Output for Compatibility (4 items: B5 – B8)
Cronbach's
Alpha
Cronbach's Alpha Based on
Standardized Items N of Items
.954 .955 4
Source: Survey data (2013)
Table A.3: Reliability Output Ease-of-Use (6 items: B9 – B14)
Cronbach's
Alpha
Cronbach's Alpha Based on
Standardized Items N of Items
.950 .951 6
Source: Survey data (2013)
Table A.4: Reliability Output Financial Risk (3 items: B15 – B17)
Cronbach's
Alpha
Cronbach's Alpha Based on
Standardized Items N of Items
.801 .802 3
Source: Survey data (2013)
Table A.5: Reliability Output Performance Risk (5 items: B18 – B22)
Reliability Statistics
Cronbach's
Alpha
Cronbach's Alpha Based on
Standardized Items N of Items
.702 .702 5
Source: Survey data (2013)
144
Table A.6: Reliability Output Personal Risk (3 items: B23 – B25)
Cronbach's
Alpha
Cronbach's Alpha Based on
Standardized Items N of Items
.885 .893 3
Source: Survey data (2013)
Table A.7: Reliability Output Monetary Value (4 items: B26 – B29)
Cronbach's
Alpha
Cronbach's Alpha Based on
Standardized Items N of Items
.839 .839 4
Source: Survey data (2013)
Table A.8: Reliability Output Convenience Value (5 items: B30 – B34)
Cronbach's
Alpha
Cronbach's Alpha Based on
Standardized Items N of Items
.954 .955 5
Source: Survey data (2013)
Table A.9: Reliability Output Social Value (5 items: B35 – B39)
Cronbach's
Alpha
Cronbach's Alpha Based on
Standardized Items N of Items
.538 .829 5
Source: Survey data (2013)
Table A.10: Reliability Output Emotional Value (7 items: B40 – B46)
Cronbach's
Alpha
Cronbach's Alpha Based on
Standardized Items N of Items
.975 .975 7
Source: Survey data (2013)
145
Table A.11: Reliability Output Level of Satisfaction (5 items: C1 – C5)
Cronbach's
Alpha
Cronbach's Alpha Based on
Standardized Items N of Items
.941 .943 5
Source: Survey data (2013)
Table A.12: Correlation Matrix of the three Predictor Variables
Constant PATT PRSK PVAL
Step 1 Constant 1.000 -.906 -.001 -.742
PATT -.873 1.000 -.259 .494
PRSK .178 -.519 1.000 -.134
PVAL -.767 .491 -.189 1.000
Source: Survey data (2014)
Table A.13: Collinearity Output for Tolerance and VIF
Coefficientsa
Model Collinearity Statistics
Tolerance VIF
1
PATT .261 3.826
PRSK .468 2.135
PVAL .348 2.877
a. Dependent Variable: CSAT
Source: Survey data (2014)
Table A.14: Hosmer and Lemeshow Test for the Direct Effects Model
Hosmer and Lemeshow Test
Step Chi-square df Sig.
1 .097 8 1.000
Source: Survey data (2014)
146
Table A.15: Test of Normality for Predictor Variables
Tests of Normality
Kolmogorov-Smirnov
a Shapiro-Wilk
Statistic df Sig. Statistic df Sig.
PATT .110 240 .000 .927 240 .000
PRSK .100 240 .000 .964 240 .000
PVAL .091 240 .000 .957 240 .000
CPER .043 240 .200* .986 240 .017
a. Lilliefors Significance Correction
*. This is a lower bound of the true significance.
Source: Survey data (2014)
Table A.16: Dependent variable Encoding for Direct Effects Model
Dependent Variable Encoding
Original Value Internal Value
0 0
1 1
Source: Survey data (2014)
Table A.17: Model Summary for Logistic Regression for Direct Effects Model
Model Summary
Step -2 Log likelihood Cox & Snell R Square Nagelkerke R Square
1 17.617a .729 .974
a. Estimation terminated at iteration number 11 because parameter estimates changed by less than .001.
Source: Survey data (2014)
147
Table A.18: Classification Table for the Direct Effects Model
Classification Tablea
Observed
Predicted
USAGE Percentage
Correct 0 1
Step 1 USAGE 0 110 1 99.1
1 2 127 98.4
Overall Percentage 98.8
a. The cut value is .500
Source: Survey data (2014)
Table A.19: Case processing summary for Direct Effects Logistic Regression
Case Processing Summary
Unweighted Casesa N Percent
Selected Cases
Included in Analysis 240 98.8
Missing Cases 3 1.2
Total 243 100.0
Unselected Cases 0 .0
Total 243 100.0
a. If weight is in effect, see classification table for the total number of cases.
Source: Survey data (2014)
Table A.20: Logistic Regression Results for the Direct Effects Model
Variables in the Equation
B S.E. Wald df Sig. Exp(B)
Step 1a
PATT 6.006 2.069 8.429 1 .004 405.759
PRSK -1.834 .854 4.618 1 .032 .160
PVAL 2.329 1.084 4.621 1 .032 10.269
Constant -27.845 10.471 7.071 1 .008 .000
a. Variable(s) entered on step 1: PATT, PRSK, PVAL.
Source: Survey data (2014)
148
Table A.21: Model summary for Linear Regression Results for the Relationship
between Customers’ Perceptions and Customer Satisfaction
Model R R Square Adjusted R Square
Std. Error of the
Estimate
1 .728a .531 .529 .74603
a. Predictors: (Constant), CPER
Source: Survey data (2014)
Table A.22: ANOVA (F-Test) for Linear Regression Results of the Relationship
between Customers’ Perceptions and Customer Satisfaction
ANOVAa
Model Sum of Squares df Mean Square F Sig.
1
Regression 149.726 1 149.726 269.024 .000b
Residual 132.460 238 .557
Total 282.186 239
a. Dependent Variable: CSAT
b. Predictors: (Constant), CPER
Table A.23: Linear Regression Results of the Relationship between Customers’
Perceptions and Customer Satisfaction
Coefficientsa
Model Unstandardized Coefficients Standardized
Coefficients
t Sig.
B Std. Error Beta
1 (Constant) -2.193 .330 -6.642 .000
CPER 1.258 .077 .728 16.402 .000
a. Dependent Variable: CSAT
Source: Survey data (2014)
149
Table A.24: Dependent Variable Encoding for Logistic Regression of the
Relationship between Customer Satisfaction and Usage
Dependent Variable Encoding
Original Value Internal Value
0 0
1 1
Source: Survey Data (2014)
Table A.25: Classification table: Logistic Regression of the Relationship between
Customer Satisfaction and Usage
Classification Tablea
Observed
Predicted
USAGE Percentage
Correct 0 1
Step 1 USAGE 0 106 5 95.5
1 7 122 94.6
Overall Percentage 95.0
a. The cut value is .500
Source: Survey data (2014)
Table A.26: Case Processing Summary for Logistic Regression of the Relationship
between Customer Satisfaction and Usage
Case Processing Summary
Unweighted Casesa N Percent
Selected Cases
Included in Analysis 240 98.8
Missing Cases 3 1.2
Total 243 100.0
Unselected Cases 0 .0
Total 243 100.0
a. If weight is in effect, see classification table for the total number of cases.
Source: Survey data (2014)
150
Table A.27: Model Summary for Logistic Regression of Relationship between
Customer Satisfaction and Usage of Online Retailing Services
Model Summary
Step -2 Log likelihood Cox & Snell R Square Nagelkerke R Square
1 76.227a .655 .874
a. Estimation terminated at iteration number 8 because parameter estimates changed by less than .001.
Source: Survey data (2014)
Table A.28: Logistic Regression Results for Relationship between Customer
Satisfaction and Usage of Online Retailing Services
Variables in the Equation
B S.E. Wald df Sig. Exp(B)
Step 1a
CSAT 5.171 .797 42.056 1 .000 176.063
Constant -16.593 2.626 39.925 1 .000 .000
a. Variable(s) entered on step 1: CSAT.
Source: Survey data (2014)
Table A.29: Case Processing Summary for Moderated Effects Model
Case Processing Summary
Unweighted Casesa N Percent
Selected Cases
Included in Analysis 240 98.8
Missing Cases 3 1.2
Total 243 100.0
Unselected Cases 0 .0
Total 243 100.0
a. If weight is in effect, see classification table for the total number of cases.
Source: Survey Data (2014)
Table A.30: Dependent variable encoding for moderation effects model
Dependent Variable Encoding
Original Value Internal Value
0 0
1 1
Source: Survey Data (2014)
151
Table A.31: Moderation Effects Model Summary
Model Summary
Step -2 Log likelihood Cox & Snell R Square Nagelkerke R Square
1 183.125a .461 .616
a. Estimation terminated at iteration number 6 because parameter estimates changed by less than .001. Source: Survey Data (2014)
Table A.32: Classification table for moderation effects regression
Classification Tablea
Observed
Predicted
USAGE
Percentage Correct 0 1
Step 1 USAGE 0 85 26 76.6
1 19 110 85.3
Overall Percentage 81.3
a. The cut value is .500
Source: Survey data (2014)
Table A.33: Logistic Regression Results for Moderation Effects Model
Variables in the Equation
B S.E. Wald df Sig. Exp(B)
Step 1a
CPER 4.587 1.698 7.302 1 .007 98.235
DEMF .534 2.187 .060 1 .807 1.707
CPERDEMF -.196 .523 .141 1 .708 .822
Constant -18.356 7.070 6.742 1 .009 .000
a. Variable(s) entered on step 1: CPER, DEMF, CPERDEMF.
Source: Survey data (2014)
152
APPENDIX 2: LIST OF ONLINE RETAILING FIRMS IN NAIROBI, KENYA
NO. NAME
1. Area254.co.ke
2. BuyRentKenya.com
3. Buyandsell.co.ke
4. Cars.co.ke
5. Cheki
6. DailyShark.co.ke
7. Digitalduka
8. DukaWala.com
9. Kenyacarbazaar.com
10. Kilakitu.co.ke
11. Maduqa.com
12. MamaMikes
13. Mimi.co.ke
14. Mottiz.com
15. Mzoori.com
16. N-Soko
17. OLX (formerly Dealfish)
18. PataUza
19. PigiaMe
20. Rupu.com
21. Ravenzo
22. Sokobay.com
23. UzaNunua
24. Jumia
25. Zetu
Source: Kenya ICT Board (2012); Postel Directory (2012), others.
153
APPENDIX 3: DATA COLLECTION INSTRUMENTS
APPENDIX 3A: COVER LETTER
Peter Misiani Mwencha
P.O. Box 53553-00200 Nairobi,
Kenya.
Dear Respondent,
RE : PARTICIPATION IN ACADEMIC SURVEY/INTERVIEW:
I am a student pursuing a Doctor of Philosophy degree in Business Administration at
Kenyatta University, Nairobi Campus. Part of the requirements of this course is to
submit a research thesis on a topic of interest to me. To this end, I am currently
conducting a study on the Effect of Customer Perceptions on the Usage of Online
Retailing Services in Nairobi County, Kenya. I will therefore be most grateful if you
could take time off your busy schedule to respond to the questions in the attached
questionnaire or to make yourself available for a brief interview so as to enable me carry
out this research. This is only an academic exercise and you are assured of anonymity
and confidentiality.
Thank you in advance for your cooperation.
Kind regards,
Peter Misiani Mwencha
Admission Number: D86/CTY/21719/2010
154
APPENDIX 3B: QUESTIONNAIRE
KENYATTA UNIVERSITY
School of Business
Effects of Customer Perceptions on the Usage of Online Retailing Services in
Nairobi County, Kenya
Dear Sir/Madam
The purpose of this questionnaire is to collect information on the effects of customer
perceptions on the usage of electronic commerce services in online retailing firms in
Nairobi County, Kenya as part of a study for the award of PhD at Kenyatta University. I
will be most grateful if you could take time off your busy schedule to respond to the
questions. This is only an academic exercise and you are assured of anonymity and
confidentiality. Thank you.
SECTION A. CUSTOMER DEMOGRAPHIC FACTORS
First things first: Tell us a bit about yourself. Please respond to each item by choosing the
response that best describes you.
1.
2.
3.
Age:
18- 23 24 - 29 30 – 35
36 - 41 42 - 47 48 years & above
Highest Level of Education:
High School Certificate Diploma Bachelor‘s Degree
Masters Degree Doctorate Professional
Other
Monthly income (gross): Below KSh 24,999 KSh 25,000-49,999
KSh 50,000-74,999 KSh 75,000-99,999
Ksh 100,000-KSh 124,999 Ksh 125,000 & above
155
SECTION B. CUSTOMER PERCEPTION MEASURES
Please indicate the extent to which you disagree or agree with each of the following
statements by marking with a cross (X) in the appropriate block provided. Please use
the following seven-point rating scale ranging from 1 = “strongly disagree” to 7 =
“strongly agree”.
CUSTOMER PERCEPTIONS Value Label
Variable Label 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Perceived Attributes
1. The system enables me to accomplish what I want more
quickly
2. The system makes me more effective
3. The system makes it easier to do what I want
4. I find the system useful
5. The e-commerce service fits my image well.
6. Using the system is compatible with all aspects of my
lifestyle.
7. I think that using the system fits well with the way I like to
do things.
8. Using the system fits into my lifestyle.
9. I find the system to be clear and understandable.
10. It‘s easy to get the system to do what I want it to do
11. It‘s easy to find what is being sought
12. The system has no hassles
13. Learning to operate the system is easy for me.
14. Overall, I believe that the system is easy to use.
Perceived Risk
15. This service costs more than conventional methods
16. I might be overcharged for using this service
17. I might not receive the product/service that I paid for
18. Inability to touch and feel the item worries me
19. One can't examine the actual product
20. It‘s not easy to get what I want
21. Information takes too long to come up/load
22. The e-commerce service failed to perform to my
satisfaction
23. My credit card number may not be secure
24. My personal information may be sold to advertisers
25. My personal information may not be securely kept
Perceived Value
26. This e-commerce service is reasonably priced.
27. This e-commerce service is competitively priced
28. This e-commerce service offers value-for-money
29. Using this e-commerce service is economical
30. I can use this e-commerce service anytime
31. I can use this e-commerce service anyplace
32. This e-commerce service is convenient for me to use
156
33. I feel that the e-commerce service is convenient for me
34. I value the convenience of using this e-commerce service
35. This service would help me feel acceptable by others
36. This service would improve the way I am perceived
37. Using this service would make a good impression on others
38. My friends and relatives think more highly of me for using
this service.
39. This service would give its user social approval
40. I enjoy using the system.
41. Some aspects of the system make me want to use it
42. I feel relaxed about using the system
43. Using the system makes me feel good
44. Using the system gives me pleasure
45. Using the system is fun
46. It‘s exciting to use the e-commerce service
SECTION C. CUSTOMER SATISFACTION MEASURES
Please indicate the extent to which you are satisfied with the e-commerce system by
marking with a cross (X) on one of the five blocks provided below the position which
most closely reflects your satisfaction with the service.
Thank you very much for your time.
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
How satisfied were you with the online retailing service initially?
Very Dissatisfied Slightly Dissatisfied Neither
Somewhat Satisfied Very Satisfied
To what extent does this online retailer meet your needs? Extremely well Pleased Satisfied
Mixed Extremely poorly
My experience with this online retailer was very satisfactory Strong Yes Yes Neutral
No Strong No
Overall, I am _ with the service?
Delighted Pleased Satisfied
Mixed Mostly Dissatisfied
If I could do it all over again, I would still use this service?
Strong Yes Yes Neutral
No Strong No
157
APPENDIX 3C: KEY INFORMANT INTERVIEW GUIDE
KENYATTA UNIVERSITY
School of Business
Effects of Customer Perceptions on the Usage of Online Retailing Services in
Nairobi County, Kenya
Dear respondent,
The purpose of this interview is to collect information from key informants on the effects
of customer perceptions on the usage of online retailing services in Nairobi County,
Kenya as part of a study for the award of PhD at Kenyatta University. I will be most
grateful if you could take time off your busy schedule to make yourself available briefly to
answer the questions in this interview guide. This is only an academic exercise and you are
assured of anonymity and confidentiality. Thank you.
Yours sincerely,
Peter M. Mwencha
D86/CTY/21719/2010
School of Business
Kenyatta University
Working Guide/Manual on Qualitative Information
Kindly answer the following questions as truthfully and comprehensively as possible.
1. Have you used any local online retailing website(s) before? [Yes]) [No]
a. If yes, give examples and explain what you used the website(s) for? __________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
b. If yes, what factors attracted you to use the online retailing website(s)?
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________
158
c. If yes, have you used the website(s) within the last three months? [Yes] [No]
d. If no, explain why not? ______________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
2. Are there any products you wouldn‘t buy online? Give examples and please explain why?
________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
3. What issues/concerns do you have regarding online retailing services?
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
4. Which payment method(s) would you prefer (or use) when shopping online? Explain why?
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
5. How satisfied (or dissatisfied) are you with local online retailing services? Give reasons
why.
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
6. Please comment on the following aspects regarding online retailing services in Kenya:
a. Usefulness:____________________________________________________________
______________________________________________________________________
b. Convenience:___________________________________________________________
______________________________________________________________________
c. Ease of Use: _________________________________________________________
______________________________________________________________________
159
d. Financial Risk: _________________________________________________________
______________________________________________________________________
e. Performance Risk: ______________________________________________________
______________________________________________________________________
f. Privacy Risk: __________________________________________________________
______________________________________________________________________
g. Monetary Value: _______________________________________________________
______________________________________________________________________
h. Convenience Value: _____________________________________________________
______________________________________________________________________
i. Social Value: __________________________________________________________
______________________________________________________________________
7. What problems/difficulties/challenges do people encounter when using these websites?
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
8. Give practical suggestions and policy recommendations that would enhance the usage of
online retailing services in Kenya?
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
9. What is your overall assessment of online shopping in the Kenyan context?
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________
Thank you very much for your time and attention.
162
APPENDIX 5: CODEBOOK
APPENDIX 5A: CODE BOOK FOR QUANTITATIVE DATA ANALYSIS
Variable SPSS Variable Name
1. Usage USAGE
2. Perceived Attributes PATT
3. Perceived Risk PRSK
4. Perceived Value PVAL
5. Customer Perceptions CPER
6. Customer Satisfaction CSAT
7. Demographic Factors DEMF
8.
Interaction Term between Customer Perception
and Demographic Factors
CPERDEMF
Source: Survey data (2013)
163
APPENDIX 5B: CODE BOOK FOR QUALITATIVE DATA ANALYSIS
Code/Variable Operational Definition
1. Usage
The utilization of one or more features of an online
retailing service by registered users within a certain
timeframe. It could be browsing or actual purchase.
2. Perceived Attributes Users‘ perceptions regarding the online retailing
service‘s functional features, properties and qualities.
3. Perceived Risk The transaction-related risks that consumers face as a
result of using online retailing services.
4. Perceived Value The consumer‘s evaluation of the benefits of online
retailing usage.
5. Customer Perceptions
The subjective opinions/beliefs/judgments of an
individual regarding an online retailing service based
on prior use experience.
6.
Customer Satisfaction
The customer‘s overall positive evaluation of the
online retailing service following initial usage or
based on all prior interactions/encounters and
experiences with the online retailing service.
7.
Demographic Factors
Are any personal characteristics/attributes of
consumers that tend to remain static throughout an
individual‘s life time, or evolve slowly over time.
This includes age, gender, race, education, income,
lifestyle, etc.
8.
Industry Prospects
Forecasts/predictions regarding future developments
of the online retailing industry. Could be poor or
bright.
9. Challenges/Problems
A hindrance/barrier to online retailing industry
growth or development
10. Policy
Recommendations
Written policy advice prepared for decision makers
regarding a specific issue.
Source: Survey data (2014)
164
APPENDIX 5C: SUMMARY OF MAJOR THEMES
Theme Description/Operational
Definition Examples of Significant Statements
1. Usage Diversity Types/nature and extent of
usage/utilization of online retailing
services
I used Jumia to look at the price range of a laptop that would fit my
budget as well as look at the specifications of that laptop.
I was looking for products I wanted to purchase [but] I was also
selling some goods on OLX.
I used Mzoori.com, Rupu.com, Jumia and OLX to look for products
for purchase and was also selling some goods on OLX.
I only use online retailing stores when I am seeking to buy high cost
items because I get an opportunity to compare prices across different
e-commerce stores. I do not do this frequently that‘s why I cannot do
this (use the websites) every now and then…
2. Prevailing Attitudes Opinions, thoughts and feelings
regarding online retailing services
The inconsistency in product availability coupled with the lack of
accurate information on some websites has made online users form a
negative impression towards online retailing services.
Quite a number of online retailers cannot guarantee proper inventory
management – you order an item online but you cannot have it
(delivered) because it is out of stock.
I‘m very dissatisfied. I have not been able to purchase anything
because what‘s available is not within my budget range.
I‘m somewhat satisfied…however, it can be quite costly to roll out.
I‘m very satisfied with online retailing in Kenya because of how fast
it is growing and the convenience it brings.
3. Usage Drivers
Determinants of online retailing usage
Online retailing is quite useful at it helps one purchase products after
viewing a variety without having to waste time walking around.
It‘s very convenient as it allows one to purchase by just clicking and
having the product delivered at one‘s doorstep.
Payment methods such as cash and m-pesa. They are both easy to
165
pay on delivery as there‘s no risk of losing money and they are fast
when transacting.
There is a chance of personal details getting in the wrong hands,
especially for those using visa cards to make payments. Moreover,
there are chances that delivery does not occur as promised e.g.
delivery within 24 hours turns to delivery after 72 hours.
4. Market
Development
Possible ways of increasing and
sustaining the usage of online
retailing services
Increase the product range and ensure that products are always in
stock; delivery to homes would increase the convenience of this
value chain; ensure that the regulatory frameworks for protecting
customers privacy are enhanced and there is judicial recourse if these
are compromised.
Build trust; avail a variety of products; offer good prices for
products; avail all information on one page; offer return policies;
offer cash on delivery and offer warranties.
There‘s need for more regulation from government to reduce the
risks associated with online shopping
Enact data privacy laws to protect consumers‘ sensitive data.
Having better user interface, user experience and e-security.
5. Market Prospects Economic/business potential of the
online retailing sub-sector (industry
category)
Online shopping as a trend is picking up and has a bright future. This
is because more internet users are turning to online shopping
especially due to its convenience.
Online retailing is gaining momentum; while we have already
achieved good progress, a lot more needs to be done to ensure
security while transacting, product variety and value added services.
Online shopping is an industry growing in Kenya and people are
beginning to embrace it. A few things need to be worked on and it
will turn into a lucrative industry.
Its heading in the right direction but we can do better.
It‘s still at a pretty early stage. There a few outstanding efforts.
However, there are many copy cats.
Source: Survey data (2014)
166
APPENDIX 6: SUMMARY OF EMPIRICAL REVIEW AND RESEARCH GAPS
Variable Thematic
Area
Author Study Key Findings Weaknesses Knowledge Gaps
Customer
Perceptions
Perceived
Attributes
Parthasarathy
&
Bhattacherjee
(1998)
Understanding Post-
adoption Behavior in the
Context of Online
Services
Perceived attributes such
as usefulness and
compatibility determine
continued usage behavior.
Employed IDT as the sole
basis to study continued
usage of online services.
There‘s need to include
more theories to study
consumer usage behavior of
e-commerce services.
El-Kasheir,
Ashour &
Yacout (2009)
Factors Affecting
Continued Usage of
Internet Banking Among
Egyptian Customers
Perceived ease-of-use is
the strongest predictor of
CUI. Perceived risk had no
relationship with CUI.
Used mall interception to
collect data; Employed CUI
as DV instead of actual
usage.
There‘s need to employ
actual usage as the DV in
future studies instead of
continuance intentions.
Perceived
Risk
Liebermann &
Stashevsky
(2002)
Perceived risks as barriers
to internet and e-
commerce usage
Internet credit card stealing
and supplying personal
information (Privacy risk)
affects both current and
future e-commerce usage.
Only privacy risk was
established as having an
influence on e-commerce
usage.
Further studied on the
influence of perceived risk
dimensions on the usage of
e-commerce services are
needed.
Zhang, Tan,
Xu and Tan
(2012)
Dimensions of
Consumers‘ Perceived
Risk and Their Influences
on Online Consumers‘
Purchasing Behavior
Perceived privacy risk,
perceived social risk and
perceived economic risk
don‘t influence online
shopping behavior
The study focused on the
online shopping segment of
e-commerce in the pre-
adoption context.
There‘s need to carry out
studies focused on other
segments of e-commerce in
the post-adoption context.
Perceived
Value
Oh (1999)
Service Quality,
Customer Satisfaction
and Customer Value: A
Holistic Perspective
Perceived value is an
immediate antecedent to
customer satisfaction and
repurchases intention.
This study used single-item
overall measurement for
most variables.
Each model construct or
variable should be
measured with multiple
items
Yen (2011)
The Impact of Perceived
Value on Continued
usage Intention in Social Networking Sites
Information value, social
value, and hedonic value
have a positive effect on CUI.
Only considered ―get‖
components (social value
and hedonic value) ignoring ―give‖ components.
There‘s need to integrate
both give and get
components of perceived value.
167
Customer
Satisfaction
Level of
Satisfaction
Bolton and
Lemon (1999)
A Dynamic Model Of
Customers‘ Usage of
Services: Usage as an
Antecedent and
Consequence of
Satisfaction
High level of cumulative
satisfaction with initial
usage will lead to higher
usage levels of the service
in subsequent periods.
No moderating variables
used in the study.
There‘s need to establish
the moderating effect of
customer characteristics on
the perception – usage
relationship.
DeLone &
McLean (2004)
Measuring E-Commerce
Success: Applying the
DeLone & McLean
Information Systems
Success Model
Proposed that ease of use
influences user satisfaction
which subsequently
directly influences usage
of e-commerce services.
Conceptually enhanced the
DeLone & McLean IS
Success Model (2003)
without empirical tests.
There‘s need to empirically
validate the relationship
proposed in the model.
Chen, Huang,
Hsu, Tseng &
Lee (2010)
Confirmation of
Expectations and
Satisfaction with Internet
Shopping: The Role of
Internet Self-efficacy
Satisfaction is influenced
by perceived usefulness
and both satisfaction and
perceived usefulness
determine consumer‘s
repurchase intention.
Ignored the role of
perceived value and risk as
determinants of e-
commerce repurchase
intentions.
There‘s need to investigate
the role of value and risk
perceptions as determinants
of usage of e-commerce
services in future studies
Yen (2011)
The Impact of Perceived
Value on Continued
usage Intention in Social
Networking Sites
End-user satisfaction
mediates the relationship
between PV and CUI
Only considered ―get‖
components e.g. social
value and hedonic value.
ignoring ―give‖
components.
There‘s need to integrate
both give and get
components of perceived
value.
Customer
Factors
Age
Venkatesh,
Morris, Davis
& Davis
(2003)
User Acceptance of
Information Technology:
Towards a Unified View
Age has a moderating
influence on the
relationship between
facilitating conditions and
use of IT
Was based on an
organizational context
where usage is not entirely
voluntary.
There‘s need to establish
the moderating influence of
age in a voluntary context.
Income
Hernández,
Jiménez &
Martin
(2011)
Age, gender and income:
do they really moderate
online shopping
behaviour?
Age and income have no
moderating influence on
use of e-commerce
Only establish the
moderating effect of age
and income but not
education
There‘s need to establish
the moderating influence of
education level
Education
Level
Riddel & Song
(2012)
Role of Education in
Technology Use and
Adoption: Evidence from Canadian Workplace and
Employee Survey
Education has an influence
on computer usage but not
on usage of computer-controlled or computer-
assisted devices.
Was based on workplace/
organizational context
where usage is not entirely voluntary.
There‘s need to establish
the moderating influence of
education in a voluntary (i.e. consumer) context.
168
Usage
Continued
Usage
Bhattacherjee
(2001b)
An empirical analysis of
the antecedents of
electronic commerce
service continuance
Perceived usefulness and
user satisfaction influence
e-commerce continuance
intention.
Is based on the ECT. Also
lacked moderating
variables. Focused on B2B
E-Commerce. Used CUI as
the DV
There‘s need for an
integrated model of E-
Commerce Usage by
Consumers.
Brown &
Jayakordi
(2008)
B2C e-Commerce
Success: a Test and
Validation of a Revised
Conceptual Model
CUI of an online retail site
is directly influenced by
perceived usefulness, user
satisfaction and system
quality.
Is limited to the B2C E-
Commerce context in South
Africa. Lacks moderating
variables.
Employed the user‘s
continuance intention as the
DV. In this study, actual
usage is employed as the
DV.
Wen, Prybutok
and Xu (2011)
An Integrated Model for
Customer Online
Repurchase Intention.
In the post-purchase stage,
PU play a more important
role than hedonic factors in
predicting customer online
repurchase intention.
Respondents were college
students in the U.S., thus
limiting generalizability to
other populations &
contexts.
There‘s need for more
studies on customer e-
commerce usage that has a
wider respondent make-up
outside of the U.S.
Chen & Chou
(2012)
Exploring the
continuance intentions of
consumers for B2C online
shopping: Perspectives of
fairness and trust
Empirically tested and
validated that satisfaction
is a strong predictor of the
continuance intentions of
consumers.
Employed continuance
intentions as the DV for e-
commerce success in the
B2C E-Commerce context.
This study shall employ
actual use as the DV.
Ramayah &
Lee (2012)
System Characteristics
Satisfaction and E-
Learning Usage: A
Structural Equation
Model.
user satisfaction is
positively related to usage
continuance
Limited itself by using
DeLone & McLean‘s
Model (2003) as the sole
basis for the study
There‘s need to develop an
integrated model for use in
explaining IS continuance.
Source: Survey data (2013)