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Journal of Homeland Security and Emergency Management Volume 6, Issue 1 2009 Article 50 European Homeland Security: Bureaucratic Politics and Policymaking in the EU Mark Rhinard * Arjen Boin * Swedish Institute of International Affairs, [email protected] Louisiana State University, [email protected] Copyright c 2009 The Berkeley Electronic Press. All rights reserved.
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Journal of Homeland Security andEmergency Management

Volume 6, Issue 1 2009 Article 50

European Homeland Security: BureaucraticPolitics and Policymaking in the EU

Mark Rhinard∗ Arjen Boin†

∗Swedish Institute of International Affairs, [email protected]†Louisiana State University, [email protected]

Copyright c©2009 The Berkeley Electronic Press. All rights reserved.

European Homeland Security: BureaucraticPolitics and Policymaking in the EU∗

Mark Rhinard and Arjen Boin

Abstract

In the face of modern crises, the European Union (EU) has increased its efforts to build com-mon crisis management capacity across the continent. As the EU seeks to both coordinate nationalcrisis and disaster authorities and build its own supranational capacities, it is worth asking whetherthe EU is capable of designing an effective European homeland security apparatus that will fitmember state expectations as well as its unique supranational character. In this article, we applya bureaucratic politics perspective to explore and assess how the EU’s governance structures andpolicymaking processes constrain and facilitate its efforts to build transnational crisis manage-ment capacity. We discuss how institutional and policymaking characteristics may affect the EU’songoing effort to enhance security and safety for the inhabitants of European states.

KEYWORDS: European Union, homeland security, terrorism, bureaucratic politics

∗The authors wish to express their gratitude to Asa Fritzon of the Swedish Institute of InternationalAffairs for editorial assistance with this article, and to the anonymous reviewers who offered usefulsuggestions for improvement.

1. A New Role for the European Union: Building Homeland Security at the

Supranational Level

In the wake of several unprecedented crises and disasters, in both Europe and the United States, the European Union (EU) has intensified its efforts to build joint crisis management capacity (or what Americans would refer to as “homeland security”). The EU was founded by its member states to further economic integration and to build a common market. Any role in the management of crises and disasters was therefore limited. Ensuring the security of the European “homeland” was at best an indirect aim, to be achieved through economic and political integration focused on preventing inter-state conflict (Boin et al., 2006).

The specter of new and increasingly threatening crises and disasters has prompted member states to support a more active role for the EU in the broadly defined area of crisis and disaster management. The EU is seeking to protect its member states through a variety of means. It is developing early warning capacities through improved intelligence and police cooperation. Common security “action plans” set standards and guidelines for crisis and disaster preparation. Shared resources can be deployed through EU civil protection teams when a disaster strikes anywhere on the continent. And new decision-making procedures and crisis teams are being assembled in Brussels, which could enable a coherent EU response to both internal and external security threats (Boin et al., 2006; Boin and Rhinard, 2008). A factor that has the potential to undermine these efforts is the institutional fragmentation often found in federal systems (Kaufman, 1960). After the failure to foresee the 9/11 attacks and the botched response to Hurricane Katrina, analysts were quick to pin responsibility on bureaucratic rivalries and organizational complexity within the US federal government. Investigators argued that the US failed to respond effectively to the terrorist threat because of competition between agencies. In the aftermath of Hurricane Katrina, others highlighted information-sharing and cooperation problems (Cooper and Block, 2006), “bureaucratic mindsets” (Clarke, 2006) and conflicting organizational priorities (Perrow, 2007). The EU features similar institutional characteristics and the effects may well be the same. Research has dispelled assumptions that threats of crisis and disaster will motivate public officials to put aside parochial differences and develop solutions in a spirit of solidarity (Rosenthal et al., 1991). Any effort to design supranational crisis management capacities in the EU must therefore take account of the potential effects that institutional fragmentation may have. In this article, we use the so-called “bureaucratic politics” approach to explore and assess how the EU’s governance structures and policy-making processes affect its efforts to build transnational crisis management capacity. We use five analytical dimensions to examine the EU’s governance structure and

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policy-making processes: (a) the permeability of decision venues, (b) the division of sectoral responsibilities, (c) the concentration of political authority, (d) the number of decision points, and (e) the nature of coordination. We conclude with an assessment of the EU’s capacity to “add value” to the traditional crisis management roles performed by the member states. 2. Future Crises, Institutional Design and Bureaucratic Politics

Europe faces a variety of threats (OECD, 2003; Missiroli, 2006; Cottey, 2007). Recent crises include terrorist attacks in Madrid (2004) and London (2005), extreme flooding in Central Europe (2001) and the UK (2007), massive electricity failures in Western Europe (2006), heat waves and forest fires (Lagadec, 2004). Although these crises have been fairly localized, their effects have been felt across the continent (Rhinard, 2007). As future crises are likely to be increasingly transboundary in their effect, national governments have begun to realize that a concerted, multilevel response is required. National response systems must be linked up in a cooperative homeland security effort. Cooperation and coordination between European states is on the rise (Boin et al., 2006; Jones, 2007; Boin and Rhinard, 2008). The EU now operates a variety of joint crisis response services – with an emphasis on early warning and alert systems – intended to complement national efforts. Political rhetoric and policy statements suggest national politicians are ready to further enhance the role of the EU in the area of homeland security.

The question is whether the characteristics of the EU’s institutions and policy-making process will allow it to coordinate a supranational response to a European-wide disaster. The EU is known for slow, consensus-oriented policy-making and member states appear unsure about shifting decision-making authority to supranational institutions in Brussels. Yet policy responsibilities continue to accrue incrementally and often without direction. To get an analytical grip on the EU’s institutional and policy-making characteristics, we make use of the bureaucratic politics perspective. Introducing a Bureaucratic Politics Perspective

The bureaucratic politics perspective has its roots in organizational economics (Niskanen, 1971), public administration (Downs, 1967), and organization theory (Cohen et al., 1972). It focuses attention on the interaction between self-interested units in complex bureaucracies and helps us understand how these interactions may enable or prohibit joint policy-making.

Bureaucratic politics is a generic label for the competitive relations that exists in and between these organizational units (Rosenthal et al., 1991; Preston

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and ‘t Hart, 1999). Bureaucratic politics can take on different forms and may have different effects, ranging from open, high-intensity rivalries that prohibit cooperation to closed, low-intensity bargaining aimed at finding consensus.

One would be excused for thinking that crises and disasters should lead officials to put aside parochial interests to take effective and coordinated action, regardless of the level of bureaucratic politics that may dominate everyday policy-making. Research shows, however, that bureaucratic politics do not disappear during crisis episodes (Rosenthal et al., 1991). In fact, government officials and public agencies may become more concerned about their authority and prestige in the face of crisis. The combination of intense media attention and the prospect of post-crisis “blame games” can further intensify competitive behavior. Bureaucratic politics may affect all phases of crisis management. Here we are particularly concerned with the preparation phase – the effort to create and enhance supranational capacity to coordinate an international response to transnational crises and disasters. The 9/11 Commission Report cites a litany of organizational dysfunctions and bureaucratic rivalries that “frustrated the formulation and coordination of a coherent, overarching national strategy for homeland security” (Parker and Stern, 2005). Evaluations of the federal government’s response to Hurricane Katrina, too, suggest that poor communication and information sharing between governance levels was partly due to organizational conflicts (Cooper and Block, 2005). By employing a bureaucratic politics perspective, we seek to identify points of institutional vulnerability that may hamper the EU’s effort to build joint crisis management capacity. Preston and ‘t Hart (1999) outline five analytical dimensions that will help us make such an assessment (See figure 1). These dimensions provide useful metrics for assessing the EU’s institutions and policy processes, a task to which we now turn. Adapted from Preston and ‘t Hart, (1999: 54).

Figure 1: Five Dimensions of Bureaucratic Politics

“Bureaucratic Restraint” “Bureaucratic Confrontation”

Closed ------------------Permeability of Decision Venues-----------------------Open

Unified -----------------Division of Sectoral Responsibilities--------------Fragmented

Concentrated---------------Concentration of Authority-------------------------Diffused

Few-----------------------Number of Decision Points-------------------------Many

Formalized-----------------Nature of Coordination-------------------------Ad hoc

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3. Assessing Institutional Fragmentation in the European Union

In this section, we gauge how the EU measures on the five dimensions of bureaucratic politics introduced above. After discussing each dimension in more detail, we assess how the EU is best characterized on that dimension. We then explore how that characteristic may affect the EU’s preparation for future crises. Dimension 1: Permeability of Decision Structures

The more players involved in a policy-making process, the higher the variety of institutional interests and perspectives contending for policy influence (Allison and Zelikow, 1999). Some policy-making areas traditionally feature more open arenas in which decisions are taken, while others are relatively closed (Rourke, 1984; Hix, 1999).1 Closed decision structures with few players lower the chances of open conflict amongst contending interests. Such structures tend to facilitate consensus-building efforts and speedy decision-making (Preston and ‘t Hart, 1999). The risk, of course, is that small numbers of policy actors may be less willing and able to take into account multiple views, test longstanding assumptions, and revise earlier decisions in light of new circumstances. Open decision structures provide for the airing of multiple perspectives on a policy problem, and for the representation of a variety of different interests. By allowing diverging interpretations of a problem (including what values are at stake and what goals should be given priority), permeable decision structures encourage a competitive exchange of views and may thus contribute to better decisions that also reflect a wider public interest. But allowing more actors may well exacerbate conflict and create policy stalemate. Even though the EU is often caricaturized as a “fortress” full of “faceless bureaucrats”, its political system, in general, is much more permeable to outside interests than is the case in many national systems in Europe (Christiansen, 2006). The European Commission (which initiates many of the EU’s policies) has even been described as “promiscuous” in its relations with civil society, because it actively seeks the information, support, and legitimacy that well-organized lobby groups can bestow upon its proposals (Mazey and Richardson, 2001).

Within the Commission, final decisions on legislative proposals are made by a relatively large number of actors. The long standing principle of “collegiality” in the Commission means that all twenty-seven Commissioners should agree to proposals before they are sent to the Council of Ministers (which

1 We hasten to add that the terms “open” and “closed” decision-making arenas should not be taken as a description of the democratic nature of the policy process. These are technical terms that denote the number of institutional actors that play a role in key policy-making processes.

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makes the final decision). This agreement process, which is conducted largely through negotiations amongst Commissioners’ political staffs, can be long, drawn out, and extremely contentious (Christiansen, 2001). In the Council, each member state government is represented. When a Commission proposal arrives on the docket of the Council, negotiations begin over the approval of the proposal into law. For most legislation the voting rule is qualified majority voting, thus not requiring strict unanimity. This has the effect of dampening conflict to some degree, since individual states know they cannot veto legislation and are thus more open to compromise. Efforts are made, however, to ensure that no single member state is left “out in the cold”. Moreover, since the Treaty of Maastricht (1993), the European Parliament has earned co-decision powers with the Council, meaning that disagreements between the two institutions must be reconciled through conciliation committee meetings (not unlike Senate-House negotiations in the US Congress). Thus, the decision structure of the Council, too, can be considered quite permeable. Many actors have a voice in decisions, which can explain why legislative agreement is usually preceded by hard-fought negotiations and long delays: the average time span between proposal and agreement in the Council is 16 months (Falkner et al., 2005). In the area of homeland security, the fairly permeable nature of EU decisions structures has had two major effects. First, many of the deterrence and prevention efforts made by the EU to combat major threats have been slow in the making. The EU’s “Action Plan to Combat Terrorism”, initially adopted after September 11, 2001 and ostensibly sharpened into a “Counter-Terrorism Strategy” after the London attacks in 2005, has languished since. Progress on legislation dealing with intelligence sharing and critical infrastructure protection has been halting at best, and an agreement on passenger name records has only been recently agreed.

Second, perceptions that EU policy-making on crisis management issues is too slow and circuitous have given rise to new coordination procedures. The Commission’s Secretariat-General (the central administration of the Commission apparatus) now has a role in guiding all crisis management related initiatives. The latest revision of the EU’s governing Treaties (nicknamed the Lisbon Treaty), if ratified by all member states, will likely speed up decision-making by changing some voting rules to majority, rather than unanimity, and by establishing new administrative positions for crisis management in the EU institutions.

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Dimension 2: Division of Sectoral Responsibilities

One challenge that confronts virtually all bureaucratic organizations is the need to maintain a degree of administrative cohesion in the face of “fragmentary forces” (Kaufman, 1960). Complex policy problems rarely fall neatly within the domain of one particular organization (Pressman and Wildavsky, 1984; Peters, 2001). A coordinated approach between sub-units is therefore necessary to compensate for inevitable administrative fragmentation. Fragmentation gives rise to bureaucratic politicking. Sub-units have their own interests and pursue those interests in ways that may be at odds with the larger organization or federation of which they are part. Fragmentation may nurture a reluctance to share information and to cooperate on common goals. It can degenerate into inter-organizational feuds and damage policy coherence (Allison and Zelikow, 1999). At the same time, some degree of fragmentation and competition across sub-units allows for open debate and may thus reduce the risks of one-sided, ill advised policies (Lerner, 1986; Chisholm, 1989; Garicano and Posner, 2005). The redundancy and clash of perspectives provided by fragmentation may in fact enhance the preparation for unknown threats. Fragmentation is one of the more familiar characteristics of the European Union policy structure (Page, 1992). EU policy responsibilities are divided between the main EU institutions. This inter-institutional fragmentation reflects the “balance of power” arrangement amongst branches of the US federal government. The Commission, whose strategies may reflect an “altruistic” desire to protect the treaties or a “selfish” desire to expand its competences, competes for policy influence regularly against the Council (Wallace et al., 2005). Inter-institutional divisions have grown more pronounced in recent years (Grönvall, 2001; Larsson et al., 2005). Another source of fragmentation is found within the institutions themselves. The Commission, and increasingly the Council, house the bureaucratic capacity required to drive the EU policy process. Within those bureaucracies, functionally-specific directorates manage policies in their own ways (Cram, 1994). Each Directorate-General (DG) “has its own functional responsibilities, operating procedures, and culture, and each interacts with a particular constituency” (Kassim, 2003: 159; see also Abeles et al., 1993). Not surprisingly, “Directorates General, like ministries in national administrations, have different views about the appropriate course of action in any given area” and well-known clashes take place (Kassim, 2003: 159). This intra-institutional fragmentation has been observed to diminish the internal coherence of the Commission (Edwards, 2006).

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Fragmentation has hampered EU homeland security policy. Take the Treaty of Maastricht (1993), which expanded EU policy responsibilities in the areas of joint police action, border control, and judicial cooperation. Some of those competences were placed under the Council umbrella, others with the Commission. The result is that the Commission and the Council have different levels of policy-making prerogative in the same policy area. Questions over “who takes the lead” frequently cause major bureaucratic struggles between the institutions and delay policy decisions (Spence, 2006).

There is, for instance, no single actor driving the counter-terrorism agenda. Both the Justice, Freedom and Security Commissioner and the Council’s High Representative for the Common Foreign and Security Policy have sought to represent the EU abroad (Crosbie, 2007). In an attempt to address such problems, Gijs de Vries was appointed in 2003 as the EU’s “counter-terrorism tzar”. But Mr. De Vries was given no real authority and had little influence over the conflict and competition between administrators that characterizes the EU’s counter-terrorism effort. Gijs de Vries has since resigned and been replaced by Mr. Gilles De Kerchove. There is no single actor responsible for disaster management, either. The Council’s “Joint Situation Centre”, founded in 1999, represents member state efforts to improve common surveillance capabilities focused on emerging international conflicts as well as potential terror attacks. The Situation Centre’s findings inform policy measures and new cooperation projects. The Commission’s Civil Protection Unit conducts similar surveillance exercises and produces policies aimed at improving the EU’s overall capacities for deploying teams to disaster areas and conflict zones. The division of labor between these two centers is not always easy to distinguish. Within the Commission, a number of DGs vie for control over new policy initiatives. The decision to create a centralized early warning and communication system, for instance, was subject to serious clashes between the Commission DG for internal security and the Commission’s Secretariat-General. The latter ended up with the portfolio, but only after serious strife. That type of bureaucratic squabbling has repeated itself in other areas, including civil protection, health security, and intelligence cooperation. Dimension 3: The Distribution of Political Authority

The way in which authority is distributed in a political system bears heavily on the policy-making process. In more centralized systems, political authorities can exercise greater control from a unified source (Peters, 2001). This can help dampen conflict between different bureaucracies. The downside of unified

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authority is that conflict may be dampened to such degree that it leads to poor decision quality. In reality, most policy systems feature fairly autonomous centers of bureaucratic authority. Different branches of government, at different levels, each drawing from their own sources of political authority, develop and defend their own approaches to policy questions (Peters, 2001). In the EU, political authority is distributed in a rather complex way. It begins with the split between national and supranational policy levels. In the US, political authority is divided in a fairly clear, if not always undisputed, way between state and federal levels (established by the Constitution and precedent). In the EU, that division is continuously evolving and often bitterly contested. Issues such as competition policy and agricultural management are recognized as supranational competences. Defense and personal taxation are issues that remain within the province of national governments. For most other policy areas, the division of political authority is very much an issue of negotiation amongst twenty-seven member governments and the institutions of the European Union. In some areas, member state coalitions form in support of “more Europe”; in others, member states may seek to preserve national prerogatives. No single political office-holder can lay claim to preeminent authority or influence. Member states play a key role in approving European legislation in the Council. But other institutions exercise considerable authority, too. For instance, the Commission enjoys the sole right of initiative for most legislation, can withdraw legislation from the Council, and is responsible for implementation decisions. The Parliament has its own power base, in the form of direct European elections, with which it challenges the Council’s authority through the process of co-decision. The authority underpinning each EU institution (with the partial exception of the European Parliament) does not originate from popular support. Commissioners give up any authority that accrues from national struggles for elected office when they move to the European level, but have little chance of acquiring new sources of authority there. The result is a bureaucracy characterized by “leaderless pluralism” (Page, 1992: 192-3). There is little scope for the exercise of political leadership in the form with which we are familiar from the experience of the national state (Wallace, 1985). The EU’s distribution of authority has affected cooperation between European countries on homeland security issues. Member states are unsure of how much decision-making power to delegate to the European level, across a range of issues (Monar, 2006). Recent efforts to streamline European decision-making on judicial cooperation and counter-terrorism, by removing national vetoes during collective policy-making, stalled in the face of several obstinate national governments (Bileksky, 2006).

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A similar story can be told regarding the EU’s civilian disaster response capacities. The Commission operates the deployment system of shared civil protection resources used by the EU to assist member states and third countries when disasters strike (Boin et al., 2006). The Council would like to draw upon those resources during their own European Security and Defense Policy (ESDP) international missions. Yet plans for institutional cooperation to send civil protection teams on those missions have never been realized. Dimension 4: Number of Decision Points

Another feature that influences bureaucratic politics is the number of decision points in a policy process (Pressman and Wildavsky, 1984). A decision point is a moment of choice when the actors involved in a policy process can influence the direction of policy. Every point affords an opportunity for additional bargaining and conflict. Fewer decision points reduce the number of bargaining games that may take place. Such a system limits potential delays between decision-making and implementation, and raises the chance that the intent behind the original decision is carried out “on the ground”. A small number of decision points also militate against those who feel they lost influence in an initial decision and thus try to “claw back” gains in subsequent decisions. The risk of few decision points, however, is that policy revision may not take place even though changing circumstances or compelling new information demands it. The more people involved in making a decision, the longer it takes. This can raise the intensity of bureaucratic politics. Actors or groups having lost at one stage of the decision process can regroup, reformulate coalitions and attempt to influence outcomes at the next stage. It becomes harder to reach compromises. Actors need not “settle” differences at an early stage of the process. As a result, conflicts may draw out over long periods of time. The European Union policy-making process entails a series of formal decision points. Before a major legislative decision is taken by the Council, several preliminary decisions must precede it. This includes decisions within the Commission on (a) whether to propose legislation, (b) intra-service approval of the policy proposal, (c) inter-service approval of the policy proposal, and (d) approval of the proposal at political leadership level. Then the proposal must be reviewed by low-level, national civil servants within the Council working groups, and subsequently approved by the Committee of Permanent Representatives (Coreper). Only then will Ministers begin negotiating over any unresolved issues, termed “B” points on the Council of Ministers agenda. After that legislative decision, Commission and national civil servants negotiate the terms by which legislation must be applied within national settings.

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The European legislative process takes many months. Over that time, a proposal becomes subject to a host of reformulated coalitions seeking influence. The process by which coalitions form and compromises are made is a slow one. European actors know that strong coalitions matter, but a drawn-out policy process might change fortunes. For instance, the rotating leadership of the Council of Ministers (the “Presidency”) brings in a new set of policy ideas, actors, and interests every six months. This change can shift the power balance amongst existing coalitions, thus triggering a new round of bureaucratic competition as “old” issues receive new life: “preliminary decisions, the bargaining over policy ideas, and so forth, will flow throughout this system time and again” (Peters 1992: 118). Recent moves toward an EU-wide counter-terrorism strategy revealed the impact of multiple decision points and temporal slippage. Following 9/11, EU leaders encouraged the Commission to develop a “comprehensive approach to countering terrorism” (Council, 2001). After several rounds of negotiations within the Commission a “Counter-Terrorism Action Plan” was presented to the Council. That piece of legislation represented a recombination of existing EU efforts; nevertheless, it was delayed by a concern over which Commission service should have oversight and whether the Commission or Council “owned” that plan. In June 2002, after more than 8 months deliberation, the plan was adopted by EU member states. In subsequent years this legislation receded on the political agenda, becoming little more than a “check-off list” for administrative authorities within the various EU sectors responsible for counter-terrorism (Balzacq and Carrera, 2005).

The attacks in London on July 7, 2005 coincided with the UK Presidency of the EU and breathed new life into counter-terrorism efforts. UK authorities cajoled European colleagues into revamping the EU’s action plan into a “Counter-Terrorism Strategy” with a new set of priorities. That move prompted another round of bureaucratic negotiations regarding the institutional “home” for those initiatives, with the DG for Justice, Freedom and Security winning the struggle. By June 2007, however, policy observers were criticizing the lack of progress in EU counter-terrorism in the aftermath of the London attacks. The resignation of the EU’s first counter-terrorism coordinator reportedly stemmed from his frustration at both institutional infighting and the slow pace of member states’ adoption of counter-terrorism policies (International Herald Tribune, September 26, 2007). Moreover, implementation is a perennial problem in the European Union. Although member states sign up to binding agreements, with compliance enforced by the Commission and the Court of Justice, inevitable slips occur. The “implementation gap” is particularly wide in the area of homeland security (Crosbie, 2007). Regular “scoreboards” of member state implementation show

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that national governments are slow to put into effect the laws they approve in Brussels. Rules against money laundering and human trafficking have proved especially problematic. Some bright spots can be found, however. All EU member states have now adopted necessary legislation to implement the European Arrest Warrant. Dimension 5: Nature of Coordination

Coordination mechanisms help to reconcile diverse interests and encourage compromise. They allow high-level leadership to dampen the type of “pulling and hauling” typical of bureaucratic conflict (Michaud, 2002). Complex issues demand intricate forms of coordination: “Where there is limited interdependence, simple coordination capacities should suffice. Where the activities of different ministries are closely interdependent, more sophisticated and complex coordination capacities are needed” (Metcalfe, 1994: 279). This is, of course, exactly what most issues are in the context of EU homeland security policy-making. Too much coordination, however, smacks of top-down management – an image that the EU and the member states are anxious to avoid. The Commission has traditionally relied on mutually agreed rules for consultation at two main stages of the policy process. The first is the “interservice consultation” process within the Commission. Once a Commission DG has finished drafting a proposal, that proposal is circulated to other DGs for input and cooperation. The second formal coordination stage takes place after a proposal has been moved “up” to the College of Commissioners. This is the highest level of authority in the Commission, and involves the Commissioners coordinating on particular pieces of legislation. More accurately, the cabinets, or political advisors of each Commissioner, negotiate over proposals. With only two formal opportunities for coordination, negotiations at these moments can be fierce. Interservice consultation affords DGs, in some cases, the first opportunity to scrutinize proposals from colleagues in different services. At the cabinet level, the policy formulation stage is nearing its end. Cabinet members are shrewd political operators with an eye (indeed, a responsibility) for watching out for the political interests of their Commissioner.

Despite formal coordination mechanisms, coordination in the EU policy process tends to be ad hoc rather than systematic and ongoing (Christiansen, 2006). The combination of uncoordinated policy processes and bureaucratic politics sometimes requires the President of the Commission to personally intervene, discipline civil servants, and chair meetings himself (Rhinard, 2003). In the field of homeland security, such coordination problems emerged during the drafting of a “critical infrastructure protection” program for Europe. The DG for Justice, Freedom and Security took responsibility for drafting the

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program in preparation for Council adoption. Between 2003 and 2005, the DG’s plans for a wide-reaching program and a Council Decision to implement the program found disfavor amongst other DGs. It took over 12 months for high-level Commission officials to recognize the enduring conflict and to step in to force a compromise. Part of that compromise involved the “downgrading” of the legislative instrument for the program from Decision to Green Paper, a type of document which only sets out discussion. As a result, progress has been slow toward a European-wide approach to protecting critical infrastructure from attack (Fritzon et al., 2007). 6. Conclusion: The EU Treads Slowly but Surely

The European Union has faced few crises that cross multiple geographic boundaries and require a collective response. The BSE (“Mad Cow Disease”) was such a crisis: it demonstrated the lack of supranational crisis management capacity (Grönvall, 2001). At the time of writing, the global financial crisis is testing the Union’s resolve to deal with these types of threats.

Observers and officials across Europe expect such crises to rise dramatically in the near future given a number of trends. Increasing complexity and tight coupling of critical systems, together with new threat agents (e.g. modern terrorism, climate change, and technological developments), have emerged in recent years and prompted new attention to what European states must do cooperatively to protect their citizens. In response, the EU has begun to prepare for such crises. In this article, we applied a bureaucratic politics perspective to gauge the capacity of the EU to meet these expectations. While it is hard to judge what action the EU needs to take to manage transboundary crises, this perspective does allow us to assess the EU’s capacity to formulate policies aimed at enhancing EU homeland security. We found potential for bureaucratic politics in several areas of the EU political system. One is within the institutions (between agencies and DGs in the Commission, for instance), another is between the EU institutions (Commission, Council, and Parliament) and yet another is found between the member states and EU institutions. These divisions are constantly in flux, as demonstrated by fairly frequent treaty revisions over the past decade.

The Lisbon Treaty will further change EU policy-making dynamics through a variety of means. Voting rules in the Council are set to change for internal security matters, so that individual governments no longer hold a veto on issues ranging from civil protection cooperation to counter-terrorism. Prospects for a new “European foreign minister”, based in the Council but with access to Commission resources, is a source of hope for those wishing for more coherence

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in the way the EU pursues security at home and abroad. A new internal security committee in the Council may serve as a clearing house for the myriad of committees and working groups producing legislation on different aspects of crisis management. If the Lisbon Treaty is fully ratified by all member states, its implementation will change the institutional dynamics by which crisis management policy is made in the EU. Yet structural reforms cannot be viewed as a panacea, as the creation and performance of the US Department of Homeland Security demonstrates. In federal-type systems, coordinating the work of constituent units is notoriously difficult (Kettl, 2003). Where the EU encounters additional difficulties in comparison to other federal-type systems is that it has no constitutional settlement on responsibilities between the supranational (federal) and national (state) levels. Beyond slow-moving infringement proceedings and Court of Justice cases, there are few “constitutional rights” that allow the supranational level to compel the national level.

In the US, the division of responsibilities and political authority between the local, state and federal levels was “tested” by the flawed response to Hurricane Katrina. In response, the Department of Homeland Security revised its National Response Framework to clarify the division of labor between the various governance levels and actors. Although the EU and US “federal” systems are often assumed to be too different for comparison, in the area of crisis management that may not be the case. The EU may learn a thing or two from US experience, despite a general reluctance on both sides for mutual learning.

Our analysis shows the EU is in the early stages of contemplating and devising a coordination system for crisis management. If a truly “European” crisis hits the continent in the near future, thus requiring a collective response, there is likely to be confusion as to which governance level is responsible for which crisis management duty. This portends images of the Hurricane Katrina response being replayed in Europe. At the same time, the EU shows signs of awareness of the “fragmentary

forces” operating in and across its institutions and is taking steps to reign in those forces. The EU is developing specialized procedures for crisis management, including early warning intelligence operations, crisis teams responsible for receiving and processing information, procedures for assembling relevant decision makers when urgent, and guidelines for carrying out decisions within the member states. The EU is moving ahead, slowly but surely.

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