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i DIVIDEND POLICY AND FIRM VALUE IN KENYA. RELEVANT OR IRRELEVANT? WAMBUGU JOHN KAMAU D53/NYI/PT/28024/2014 A SEMINAR PAPER SUBMITTED TO THE SCHOOL OF BUSINESS IN PARTIAL FULFILMENT FOR THE AWARD OF DEGREE IN MASTER OF BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION OF KENYATTA UNIVERSITY
Transcript

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DIVIDEND POLICY AND FIRM VALUE IN KENYA.RELEVANT OR IRRELEVANT?

WAMBUGU JOHN KAMAU

D53/NYI/PT/28024/2014

A SEMINAR PAPER SUBMITTED TO THE SCHOOL OF

BUSINESS IN PARTIAL FULFILMENT FOR THE AWARD OF

DEGREE IN MASTER OF BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION OF

KENYATTA UNIVERSITY

ii

JULY 04, 2015

LECTURER: EUNICE MACHARIA

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TABLE OF CONTENTS

TABLE OF CONTENTS............................................I

LIST OF APPENDICES..........................................II

ABSTRACT...................................................III

1. INTRODUCTION..............................................1

1.1. Background of the study..............................................1

1.2. Significance of the study............................................2

2. LITERATURE REVIEW.........................................3

2.1. Introduction.........................................................3

2.2. Dividend Policy......................................................3

2.3. Dividend Policy Theories.............................................42.3.1. Dividend Irrelevance Theory......................................42.3.2. Residual Dividend Theory.........................................62.3.3. The Gordon / Lintner - Bird-In-The-Hand Theory...................62.3.4. Walter’s Model...................................................62.3.5. Agency Costs Theory of Dividend Policy...........................62.3.6. Tax-Preference Theory............................................72.3.7. Clientele Effects of Dividends Theory............................72.3.8. Catering Theory..................................................72.3.9. Signaling Theory.................................................8

2.4. Empirical Evidence in Kenya..........................................92.4.1. Relevance of dividend policy based on Signaling Theory...........92.4.2. Relevance of dividend policy based on Clientele effect theory....92.4.3 Other evidence of dividend policy relevance.....................10

3. OBSERVATION, DISCUSSION, CONCLUSION & RECOMMENDATIONS....12

3.1. Finance Managers’ view on dividend policy...........................12

3.2. Discussion..........................................................12

3.3. Conclusion and Recommendation.......................................12

3. REFERENCES:..............................................14

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LIST OF APPENDICES

APPENDIX 1: ILLUSTRATION OF TWO SCHOOLS OF THOUGHT ON DIVIDEND POLICY...............16APPENDIX 2: FORMULA OF M-M’S APPROACH........................................16APPENDIX 3: FORMULA OF WALTER’S MODEL.........................................17APPENDIX 4: FORMULA OF GORDON’S MODEL.........................................17

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ABSTRACT

The main purpose of this seminar paper is to verify therelationship between dividend payout and the firm’s value invarious Kenyan firms and value of the study being theidentification of how dividend policy affects performance offirms and thus firm value in Kenya. The study captures recentpublications on data derived and analysed from various listedfirms. Much of the research conducted shows relevance ofdividend policy to firm’s value.

Key Terms contents: Dividends, Dividend Policy, Dividend Policy Theories,relevance, irrelevance, Nairobi Securities Exchange.

1

1. INTRODUCTION

1.1. Background of the studyIn corporate finance, firms undertake major financial decisions

when it comes to value creation; selection of long-term

investment proposals, known as the long-term investment

decision, determination of working capital requirements, known

as the working capital decision, raising of funds to finance

the assets, known as the financing decision, and allocation of

profits for dividend payment, known as the dividend decision.

Pandey (2005) defines dividend as that portion of a company’s

net earnings which the directors recommend to be distributed to

shareholders in proportion to their shareholdings in the

company. The dilemma is whether the management of a firm should

distribute cash to shareholders or reserves the cash to finance

new investments. Dividends represent a direct payment to

shareholders. Earnings that are retained by the firms increase

the value of the firm in that they can either be invested in

projects within the firm that will enhance future earnings or

be invested elsewhere at the market interest rate and be paid

out as dividend in the future (Baye and Jansen, 2006).

Many researchers have devised theories and provided empirical

evidence regarding the determinants of a firm’s dividend

policy. The dividend policy issue, however, remains still

unresolved due to the fact that there are so many variables

depending upon the type of company, its financial conditions,

and its industry among other variables. There is no single

2

formula that could be applicable. Clear guidelines for an

‘optimal payout policy’ have not yet emerged despite the

voluminous literature. The explanation for the observed

dividend behavior of companies remains a “puzzle”

There are conflicting views regarding the impact of dividend

decision on the valuation of the firm. According to one school

of thought, whether firms pay dividends or not is irrelevant in

determining the stock price and hence the market value of the

firm and ultimately its weighted cost of capital. On the other

hand, according to the other school of thought, dividend

decision materially affects the shareholders' wealth and also

the valuation of the firm. It holds that firms which pay

periodic dividends eventually tend to have higher stock prices,

market values and cheaper WACCs. The existence of these two

opposing sides has spawned vast amounts of empirical and

theoretical research.

1.2. Significance of the studyDividend policy to date is one of the most contested topics in

finance. Several decades since interest in the area was sparked

off by Modigliani and Miller (1961), no general consensus has

emerged and scholars can often disagree even on the same

empirical evidence.

Are dividends relevant? Investors prefer higher dividends to

lower dividends at any single date if the dividend level is

held constant at every other date. If the dividend per share at

a given date is raised while the dividend per share for each

3

other date is held constant, the stock price will rise. This

act can be accomplished by management decisions that improve

productivity, increase tax savings, or strengthen product

marketing.

Is dividend policy irrelevant? Dividend policy cannot raise the

dividend per share at one date while holding the dividend level

per share constant at all other dates. Dividend policy merely

establishes the trade-off between dividends at one date and

dividends at another date. In simple world, dividend policy

does not matter. Managers choosing either to raise or to lower

the current dividend do not affect the current value of their

firm. This is in line with the work of MM, which is a powerful

theory. However in real-world consideration there are many

factors that were ignored by MM and needs to be examined.

Several theoretical and empirical studies have been done

leading to mainly three outcomes; the increase in dividend

payout affects the market value of the firm: the decrease

dividend payout adversely affects the market value of the firm:

the dividend policy of the firm does not affect the firm value

at all. The relevance of dividend policy on stock price is a

matter of considerable importance to the management who sets

the policy, to the investors who invest in shares, and to the

financial economists who endeavor to understand and appraise

the functions of the capital markets. Therefore, it is

important to have an understanding of whether dividend policy

is important or not in Kenya. This seminar paper will study

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several recent research covering the topic on relevance and

irrelevance of dividend policy, as key and contentious area of

corporate finance, and also discuss the literature that has

been produced concerning the topic, by reviewing the most

important and influential studies in this area and main

empirical studies.

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2. LITERATURE REVIEW

2.1. IntroductionThis chapter is split into three sections. The first section

highlights dividends policy. The second section discusses the

key theoretical considerations from previous studies related

dividend policy and the firms’ performance, extended of their

relationship, factors that affect dividend policy and forms of

dividend policy used by listed firms. The third section

highlights empirical evidence derived from previous studies;

their findings, conclusion and recommendations

2.2. Dividend Policy The term dividend refers to that part of profits of a company

which is distributed by the company among its shareholders. It

is the reward of the shareholders for investments made by them

in the shares of the company.

Dividend policy is an integral part of the firm’s financing

decision. Dividend policy can affect the value of a firm and in

turn, the wealth of shareholders (Baker et al, 2001).The

dividend-payout ratio determines the amount of earnings that

can be retained in the firm as a source of financing. Dividend

policy of a firm, thus affects both the long-term financing and

the wealth of shareholders. Dividend policy is therefore,

considered to be one of the most important financial decisions

that corporate managers encounter (Baker and Powell, 1999). It

has potential implications for share prices and hence returns

to investors, the financing of internal growth and equity base

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through retentions together with its gearing and leverage

(Omran and Pointon, 2004). Dividend policy theories are

propositions put in place to explain the rationale and major

arguments relating to payment of dividends by firms. Firms are

often torn in between paying dividends or reinvesting their

profits on the business. Even those firms which pay dividends

do not appear to have a stationary formula of determining the

dividend payout ratio.

The dividend policy was bound up with the development of the

corporate form itself. Lease et al (2000:1) describes dividend

policy as the payout that management follows in determining the

size and pattern of cash distributions to shareholders over

time. It was seen that the emergence of dividend policy as

important to investors was, to some. It was also seen that in

the absence of regular and accurate corporate reporting,

dividends were often preferred to reinvested earnings, and

often even regarded as a better indication of corporate

performance than published earnings accounts. However, as

financial markets developed and became more efficient, it was

thought by some that dividend policy would become increasingly

irrelevant to investors. Why dividend policy should remain so

evidently important has been theoretically controversial.

2.3. Dividend Policy TheoriesAccording to Al-Malkawi et al, (2010), three main contradictory

theories of dividends can be identified. Some argue that

increasing dividend payments increases a firm’s value. Another

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view claims that high dividend payouts have the opposite effect

on a firm’s value; reduces firm value. The third theoretical

approach asserts that dividends should be irrelevant and all

effort spent on the dividend decision is wasted. These views

are embodied in three theories of dividend policy: high

dividends increase share value theory; bird-in-the- hand, low

dividends increase share value theory; the tax-preference

argument, and the dividend irrelevance hypothesis. Several

other theories of dividend policy have been presented implying

that dividend debate is not limited to the above three

approaches. This further increases the complexity of the

dividend puzzle. Basically, the principal hypotheses of

dividend policy can be classified into signaling models,

clientele effects, agency models, tax effects and free cash

flow hypothesis Frankfurter et al, (2004); Brav et al, (2005).

2.3.1. Dividend Irrelevance TheoryPrior to the publication of Miller and Modigliani’s (1961,

hereafter M&M) seminal paper on dividend policy, a common

belief was that higher dividends increase a firm’s value.

Miller and Modigliani (M&M) provide the most comprehensive

argument for the irrelevance of dividends. They assert that,

given the investment decision of the firm, the dividend payout

ratio is a mere detail and that it does not affect the wealth

of shareholders. (Miller & Modigliani, 1961) proposed

irrelevance theory suggesting that the wealth of the

shareholders is not affected by dividend policy. It is argued

in their theory that the value of the firm is subjected to the

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firm’s earning, which comes from company’s investment policy.

The literature proposed that dividend does not affect the

shareholders’ value in the world without taxes and market

imperfections. They argued that dividend and capital gain is

two main ways that can contribute profits of firm to

shareholders. When a firm chooses to distribute its profits as

dividends to its shareholders, then the stock price will be

reduced automatically by the amount of a dividend per share on

the ex-dividend date. So, they proposed that in a perfect

market, dividend policy does not affect the shareholder’s

return.

There are some voices of researchers supporting the irrelevance

dividend hypothesis which will be reviewed as follows:

(Brennan, 1971) supported the irrelevancy theory of Miller and

Modigliani and concluded that any rejection of this theory must

be based on the denying of the principle of symmetric market

rationality and the assumption of independence of irrelevant

information. He suggested that for rejection of latter

assumption, one of these following conditions must exist:

firstly, Investors do not behave rationally. Secondly, Stock

price must be subordinate of past events and expected future

prospect.

(Black & Scholes, 1974) created 25 portfolios of common stock

in New York Stock Exchange for studying the impact of dividend

policy on share price from 1936 to 1966. They used capital

9

asset pricing model for testing the association between

dividend yield and expected return. Their findings showed no

significant association between dividend yield and expected

return. They reported that there is no evidence that difference

dividend policies will lead to different stock prices. Their

findings were consistent with dividend irrelevance hypothesis.

(Hakansson, 1982) supported the irrelevance theory of Miller

and Modigliani and claimed that dividends, whether informative

or not, is irrelevant to firm’s value when investors have

homogeneous belief and time additive utility and market is

fully efficient.

(Uddin & Chowdhury, 2005) selected 137 companies which were

listed on Dhaka Stock Exchange (DSE) and studied the

relationship between share price and dividend payout. The

results implied that dividend announcement does not provide

value gain for investors and shareholders experience

approximately 20 % loss of value during thirty days before the

announcement of dividend to thirty days following the

announcement. He suggested that current dividend yield can

reimburse the diminished value to some extents. Generally, his

findings supported the irrelevancy of dividend policy.

However, some empirical results of different researches were

consistent with irrelevance dividend theory. There are many

researches challenging the dividend irrelevance hypothesis.

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(Ball et al 1979) studied the relationship between dividends

and stock price in Australian stock market from 1960 to 1969.

They found significant relationship between return of stock and

dividend yield in the next year after dividend payment.

However, their findings failed to support the irrelevance

dividend theory.

2.3.2. Residual Dividend Theory There are empirical studies that investigated the relationship

between dividend and investment policy (Allen and Michaely,

1995). They have concluded that firms could pay dividends

provided they did not have any positive net present value

projects to undertake. This is termed the residual dividend

theory, which states that a firm pays dividends after meeting

its investment needs while maintaining a desired debt-equity

ratio (Ross et al, 2000).

2.3.3. The Gordon / Lintner - Bird-In-The-Hand TheoryLintner (1962), and Gordon (1963), independently presented the

bird in hand theory. This theory states that investors always

prefer the cash in hand instead of a future promise of capital

gain in the form of dividend to minimize the future risk. Bird

in hand theory proposes that a relationship exists between firm

value and dividend payout. It states that dividends are less

risky than capital gains since they are more certain. Investors

would therefore prefer dividends to capital gains (Amidu,

2007). Because dividends are supposedly less risky than capital

gains, firms should set a high dividend payout ratio and offer

a high dividend yield to maximize stock price. Dividends

therefore are relevant to determining of the value of the firm.

11

2.3.4. Walter’s ModelWalter (1963) postulated a model which holds that dividend

policy is relevant in determining the value of a firm. The

model holds that when dividends are paid to the shareholders,

they are reinvested by the shareholder further, to get higher

returns. This cost of these dividends is referred to as the

opportunity cost of the firm (the cost of capital), for the

firm, since the firm could use these dividends as capital if

they were not paid out to shareholders.

2.3.5. Agency Costs Theory of Dividend PolicyJensen and Meckling (1976) presented the agency theory based on

the conflicts among the shareholders and management of the

firm. It states that the percentage of the equity controlled by

insider owners should influence the dividend payout policy. In

adapting the agency theory argument of Jensen & Meckling

(1976), Rozeff (1982) constructs a model in which dividends

serve as a mechanism for reducing agency costs, thereby

offering a rationale for the distribution of cash resources to

shareholders.

Easterbrook (1984) gave further explanation about this agency

problem and stated the two forms of the agency problem: one is

the cost of monitoring the internal operations of the firm and

the other is the cost of risk avoidance on the part of the

management.

2.3.6. Tax-Preference TheoryThe tax preference theory state that because long term capital

gains are subject to less onerous taxes than dividends,

12

investor prefer to have companies retain earning rather than

pay them out as dividends. This argument is based on the

assumption that dividends are taxed at higher rates than

capital gains. In addition, dividends are taxed immediately,

while taxes on capital gains are deferred until the stock is

actually sold. These tax advantages of capital gains over

dividends tend to predispose investors, who have favorable tax

treatment on capital gains, to prefer companies that retain

most of their earnings rather than pay them out as dividends,

and are willing to pay a premium for low-payout companies.

Therefore, a low dividend payout ratio will lower the cost of

equity and increases the stock price. This prediction is almost

the exact opposite of the bird in hand theory and challenges

the strict form of the dividend irrelevance hypothesis. In many

countries a higher tax rate is applied to dividends as compared

to capital gains taxes. Therefore, investors in high tax

brackets might require higher pre-tax risk-adjusted returns to

hold stocks with higher dividend yield. This relationship

between pre-tax returns on stocks and dividend yields is the

basis of a posited tax-effect hypothesis (Al-Malkawi et al.,

2010).

2.3.7. Clientele Effects of Dividends TheoryLa Porta, Lopez-de- Silanes, Shleifer and Vishny (2000)

concluded in their paper that dividend payments are an

important device in reducing agency conflicts and

therefore agency costs. Even if it is the

manager who determines the dividend payout policy,

13

the dividend payments are an important device in mitigating

agency costs. Despite managers only having to deal with a part

of the total costs, the managers may also suffer from such

self-interested behavior (Manos, 2001). Low income shareholders

will prefer high dividends to meet their consumption needs

while high income shareholders will prefer less dividends so as

to avoid the payment of taxes. Therefore, when a firm sets a

certain dividend policy, there will be shifting of investors to

it and out of it until an equilibrium position is reached.

2.3.8. Catering TheoryBaker and Wurgler (2004) presented the catering theory. This

theory describes that managers should pay incentives to the

shareholders according to their needs and wants and in this

manner caters the investors by paying attractive and smooth

dividends when investors put stock price premium and by not

paying dividend when investors prefer non payers.

2.3.9. Signaling TheoryLintner (1956) carried out a research to determine how senior

managers (top management level) proceed to formulate the

dividend policy decisions. He estimated a model which consisted

of the following variables: earnings stability, plant and

equipment expenditures, willingness to use external financing,

firm size, ownership by control groups and use of stock

dividends. A sample of 600 listed companies was used in this

study. He made use of interviews to collect the data and it is

understood that not all the 600 firms’ manager(s) were

interviewed in this study. From his findings, he explains that

managers mostly looked at current earnings and target level of

14

dividend payout to make the dividend decision.

Bhattacharya (1980) and John Williams (1985) presented the

signaling theory. According to the theory, managers have more

information about the firm’s real worth in comparison to

shareholders. The managers use the dividends as a source to

convey this information to the market. Dividend policy is a

means of signaling that cannot be faked, and managers use it to

convince the market that the picture of the company they

present is the true one. It is also a way for the company’s

managers to show the market that they have a plan for the

future and are anticipating certain results. Thus this theory

says that there is a positive relationship between the

information asymmetry and dividend payouts also that the

dividends should be paid according to the stock prices.

Asquith and Mullins (1983) posited that the initiation of

dividends has a significant positive impact on the firm’s stock

price. They interpret their evidence as consistent with the

signaling hypothesis in that managers use dividends to

communicate private information to investors; the investors

react favorably. Richardson et al (1986) and Jais et al (2009)

concurred to this assertion and added that dividend changes and

stock market reaction have a positive correlation. Dividend

increase is considered good news while dividend decreases as

bad news.

Dividend policy under this model is therefore relevant (Al-

Kuwari, 2009

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2.4. Empirical Evidence in Kenya

2.4.1. Relevance of dividend policy based on Signaling Theory(Luvembe, Njangiru, & Mungami, 2014) studied the effect of

dividend payout on market value of listed banks in Kenya by

using regression model. They considered a census survey of all

the banks listed in Kenya as at December 2010. There was an

indication that the dividends payout ratio had a significant

impact on the company’s future earnings growth. Further

indication was that high dividends paying companies are

believed to be more profitable, having greater cash flows and

thus some growth opportunities. On the other hand, companies

with earning instability are believed to be the ones having

difficulty to pay dividend. Thus the dividends payout ratio is

believed to influence the company’s future earnings growth.

This is in line with the findings of Nissim and Ziv (2001) who

investigated the relation between dividend changes and future

profitability, measured in terms of either future earnings or

future abnormal earnings and found out that that dividend

changes provide information about the level of profitability in

subsequent years incremental to market and accounting data.

They also found out that that dividend changes are positively

related to earnings changes in each of the two years after the

dividend change.

2.4.2. Relevance of dividend policy based on Clientele effect theoryWaithaka et al, (2012) studied effects of dividend policy on

share prices for companies in Nairobi Securities Exchange using

multiple regression. The study targeted the forty six listed

16

and trading companies in the NSE with the target respondents

being staff members working for the companies. The study used a

random sample of thirty five members.

From the findings, the respondents indicated that increase in

firms’ stocks trading volume affected the share prices to a

very large extent: investors who wanted current investment

income owned shares in high dividend payout firms and size of

the trading volume of stocks affected the share prices to a

great extent; investors who did not require dividend

distributions owned shares in low dividend payout firms which

in turn affected the share prices to a moderate extent. The

respondents clearly explained that increase in firms’ stocks

trading volume greatly affected the share prices.

These findings are in line with Richardson, Sefcik and Thompson

(1986) where they tested a sample of 192 US firms that

initiated dividends for the first time during the period of

1969 through 1982 where they found that increase in firms’

stocks trading volume is due to the signaling effect or was a

product of investors in various tax clienteles adjusting their

portfolios.

2.4.3 Other evidence of dividend policy relevance Murekefu & Ouma, (2012), studied the relationship between

dividend payout and firm performance among the listed companies

in Kenya by using regression analysis. Dividend payout was

measured by the actual dividends paid out and firm performance

was measured by the net profit after tax. Secondary data was

17

gathered from forty one companies listed in Nairobi Securities

Exchange. The data for regression analysis was drawn from the

financial statements for a nine year period 2002 to 2010.

There was an indication of a strong positive relationship

between dividend payout and firm performance. There was also an

indication that dividend is a significant factor in influencing

firm performance. It therefore shows that dividend policy is

relevant and therefore affects the performance of a firm hence

its value contrary to theories that view dividend policy as

irrelevant.

This is in line with the findings of Amidu, (2007) who

investigated whether dividend policy influences firm

performance in Ghana. The analyses were performed using data

derived from the financial statements of listed firms on the

GSE during the most recent eight-year period. Analysis was done

using Ordinary Least Squares model to estimate the regression

equation. The significance and the positive coefficient of the

regressor in his study; dividend policy, indicated that when a

firm has a policy to pay dividend it influences its

profitability.

Thus study supports the second school of thought that dividend

policy is relevant to the performance of firms.

Mbuvi & Gekara, (2015) studied the effect of dividend policy on

value creation for shareholders of companies listed in the

Nairobi Securities Exchange. The study sample was 59

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respondents from finance department. The target population was

the finance managers of the companies that are publically

listed at NSE. The population for the study was the 59

companies listed at NSE, with a minimum authorized and fully

paid up capital of Kshs.50million and net asset of Kshs.100

million as per the requirement of CMA.. Self-administered,

questionnaires for primary data and document analysis as the

source of secondary data collection was used. The validity of

the data was established by seeking opinions of the experts in

the field of study, especially those who had experience of more

than one year.

The findings indicated that management viewed dividend

announcement as causing only temporary share price adjustments

and therefore the effect on firm value was negligible, market

reaction to announcement of special dividends is negatively

related to the firm’s investment opportunity set.

These findings were in line with those of Lie (2000), who after

investigating the relationship between excess funds and firm’s

payout policies found a demonstration that there is a

differential reaction to announcements of dividend increases.

An indication of dividend irrelevance

Other findings include

The relevance (bird in the hand theory); shareholders

preference to receiving dividend payouts sooner than later

because of the uncertainty of future dividends. The

respondents clearly indicated that a decrease or omission

19

of a dividend payout is usually accompanied by a decrease

in the share price

Indication that management declared dividend payouts from

surplus earnings only after their satisfied desired

investments have been financed. The study also observes

that dividends reduced the opportunity for managers to use

free cash in a self-serving manner supporting the Agency

theory

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3. OBSERVATION, DISCUSSION, CONCLUSION & RECOMMENDATIONS

3.1. Finance Managers’ view on dividend policy

Majority view against reduction of dividends per share

Majority try to maintain a smooth dividend from year to

year

Minority pay dividends to attract investors

Managers should consider other kind of incentives in

place of dividend to shareholders

3.2. DiscussionThe question of whether to pay or not to pay dividends has

been addressed from the perspective of the welfare

implications to the owners. The problem of what kinds of

incentive in place of dividends managers need to carry to

reward the owners is equally important and remains to be

addressed.

Kenyan stock market is in a developing young state. Most of

the research conducted and published in various financial

journals have no single explanation regarding irrelevance or

relevance of dividend policy. Most of the articles commence

with the dividend puzzle and conclude with more complicated

puzzle. Much study on dividend policy in Kenya is still

missing. The study did not come across dividend policy as the

sole independent variable with firm value as the dependent

variable. This could be the missing link.

21

3.3. Conclusion and Recommendation

From the study however one thing is evident. The decision to

pay or not pay dividends is affected by many reasons. Gill et

al (2010) describe dividend payout as important for investors

because dividends provide certainty about the company’s

financial well-being, dividends are attractive for investors

looking to secure current income, and dividends help maintain

market price of the shares. Companies that have a long-

standing history of stable dividend payouts would be

negatively affected by lowering or omitting dividend

distributions. These companies would be positively affected by

increasing dividend payouts or making additional payouts of

the same amounts because this sends a positive signal to the

stock market. Companies without a dividend history are

generally viewed favorably when they declare new dividends.

Therefore the study gives more weight to relevance of dividend

policy

Further research should be conducted on Kenyan market on

financial firms to check consistency with the results. Future

studies should focus and compare on impacts of dividend policy

and market value of firms for longer periods. Future research

could be carried out on more financial institutions and in

various Kenya sectors.

22

3. REFERENCES:

Amidu, M. (2007). How does dividend policy affect performance

of the firm on Ghana stock exchange? Investment Management and

Financial Innovations, Volume 4, Issue 2.

Azhagaiah, R. and Priya, S. N. (2008). “The impact of dividend

policy on Shareholders’ wealth”. International Research Journal of Finance

and Economics 20. 180 - 187.

De Angelo, H., De Angelo, L. (2006). The irrelevance of the MM

dividend theorem, Journal of Financial Economics, 79, 293-315.

Luvembe, L, Njangiru, J.M., Mungami, E.S. (2014) Effect of

Dividend Payout on Market Value of Listed Banks in Kenya,

International Journal of Innovative Research & Development. Vol 3 Issue 11

Mbuvi, J.N., & Gekara, G.M. (2015) Effect of Dividend Policy on

Value Creation for Shareholders of Companies Listed In the

Nairobi Securities Exchange, Journal of Economics and Finance Volume

6, Issue 2, 35-41

Miller, M.H., Modigliani, F. (1961). Dividend policy, growth,

and the valuation of shares. Journal of Business, 34, 411- 433.

Mitton T., (2004). Corporate governance and dividend policy in

emerging markets. Emerging Markets Review, 5, 40-426.

23

Murekefu, T. M., & Ouma, O. P. (2012). The relationship between

dividend payout and firm performance: a study of listed

companies in Kenya. European Scientific Journal.

Nissim, D and Ziv, A (2001), Dividend Changes and Future

Profitability. Journal of Finance, 56, 2019–65.

Pandey, I. M. (2005), Financial Management 9th ed., New Delhi:

Vikas Publishing House PVT Ltd.

Ross, Westerfield and Jaffe. (2002), Corporate Finance 6th ed.,

United States: McGraw-Hill/Irwin.

Waithaka, S., Ngugi, J. K., Aiyebei, J. K., Itunga, J. K., &

Kirago, P. (2012). The Effects of Dividend Policy on Share

Prices; A case of Companies in Nairobi Securities Exchange.

(BAM), Prime Journal of Business Administration and Management, 2 (8),

646-948.

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APPENDICES

Appendix 1: Illustration of two schools of thought on dividend policy

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Appendix 2: Formula of M-M’s Approach

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Appendix 3: Formula of Walter’s Model

Appendix 4: Formula of Gordon’s Model


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