• General Insurance Industry Trends – 2014Industry Trends – 2014Impact on 2015 and beyond
General Insurance 20142014
Impact on 2015 and beyond
Health Care Scenario - India
� Indian healthcare market estimated at USD 70 billio n � Expected to grow to USD 160 billion*� 70% of healthcare infrastructure confined to top 20 cities� Approx 40,000 hospitals in the country� Health Insurance is growing in India at 15% CAGR
4
� Health Insurance is growing in India at 15% CAGR
� Increase in premium resulting from medical inflatio n and rise in sum insured
*Source: Frost & Sullivan
Health Insurance Premium (Overall)2013
(Crore)
17,178
India
Indian healthcare market estimated at USD 70 billio n Expected to grow to USD 160 billion* by 201770% of healthcare infrastructure confined to top 20 citiesApprox 40,000 hospitals in the countryHealth Insurance is growing in India at 15% CAGRHealth Insurance is growing in India at 15% CAGR
Increase in premium resulting from medical inflatio n and rise in sum
2013-14 (Crore)
2013-14 2014-15 % GrowthQ1 (Crore) Q1 (Crore)
17,178 4,434 5,094 15%
Key Ailments
Top 5 ailments continue to dominate and remain
- Fever, Respiratory, Eye disorders, Gastroenteristis
Controlled spread in diseases / decrease in
- Factor of Health, safety and wellness
2013 Fever and Common
5
37%
19%
19%
14%
11%
2013 Fever and Common infections
Respiratory Tract infections
Other Diseases of Eye (Except Cataract)Acute Gastroenteritis
Heart Ailments
remain the same over the years
Gastroenteristis and Heart Ailments
in injuries and accidents
measures
2014 Fever and Common
ICICI Lombard data
41%
18%
17%
14%
10%
2014 Fever and Common infections
Respiratory Tract infections
Other Diseases of Eye (Except Cataract)Acute Gastroenteritis
Heart Ailments
Key Critical Illness
Top critical illnesses continue to dominate over
- Spurt in Diabetes and Kidney failure
Increased cognizance of health issues / care
2013
6
15%
62%
15%
8%
0%
2013
Kidney Related Ailments
Heart Ailment
Cancer
Brain Stroke or other disorders of Nervous system
over the years
care
2014
ICICI Lombard data
9%
28%
9%
4%
50%
Kidney Related Ailments
Heart Ailment
Cancer
Brain Stroke or other disorders of Nervous system
70,000
Utilization Trend – Cashless v/s Reimbursement
Cashless claims being preferred for high costIncrease in cost (absolute)
- Last 5 years: Cashless: 19%; Reimbursement- Last 3 years: Cashless: 6%; Reimbursement
7
-
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
2010-11 2011-12
CASHLESS
ICICI Lombard data
Cashless v/s Reimbursement
cost treatments
Reimbursement : 28%Reimbursement : 3%
2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 (till Sep14)
CASHLESS REIMBURSEMENT
Medical Inflation - Network
Cashless claims witnessing varied though lowerReduction in costs possible due to efficient network
- Average tariff hike demanded by providers- Average hike negotiated with the providers
8
ICICI Lombard data
3%
7%
4%
11%
15%
10%
16%
18%
Ahmedabad Bangalore Chennai Delhi NCR
Actual
Data used for FY 14-15 (updated till 12th Dec 14)
Network
lower inflation levels across citiesnetwork management
providers : 15%providers : 6%
10%
4% 5%4%
18%
8%
18%16%
Hyderabad Kolkata Mumbai Pune
Actual Demand
Health Costs Trends
Consistent decline in cost of claims acrossDecline more in cashless due to tighter control
Particulars Type_of_Claim 2012
Cashless 8.3%
9
Inflation Overall
Cashless 8.3%
Reimbursement 11.0%
Total 9.4%
across Cashless and Reimbursementcontrol on costs
2012-13 2013-14 2014-15(till
Sep)
8.3% 5.0% 1.4%8.3% 5.0% 1.4%
11.0% 6.5% 3.0%
9.4% 6.1% 1.9%
ICICI Lombard data
62%2013 2014 2015
Increase in Medical cases referred to tertiary hospitals - Retail
Cases referred to Tertiary hospitals increasing
- 49% of individual medical cases referred
10
2% 2% 2%
Primary Secondary
55%49% 49%
Increase in Medical cases referred to tertiary
increasing year on year for Individual policies
referred to tertiary hospitals compared to 43% in 2013
Medical Cases
35%
55%
43%49% 49%
Secondary Tertiary
ICICI Lombard data
65%2013 2014 2015
Consistency in medical cases referred to tertiary hospitals - Corporate
32% of corporate cases referred to tertiary hospitals
11
3% 3% 3%
Primary Secondary
66% 65%
Consistency in medical cases referred to tertiary
hospitals
Medical Cases
32% 31% 32%
Secondary Terciary
ICICI Lombard data
Cashless OPD trend in Corporate
Increase
Lesser
Top 10 Diagnosis
Fever
Abdominal and pelvic pain
Pain in joint
Increasing trend of corporate opting for OPD coverage
Gate keeping concept in India .. Trend to pick up
12
Lesser
Low case
Promotes
Pain in joint
Other specified fever
Acute sinusitis
Arenaviral haemorrhagic fever
Acute gingivitis
Acute nasopharyngitis common cold
Atrophic disorders of skin
Dental caries
Cashless OPD trend in Corporate
Increase in OPD usage aiding overall cost reduction
Lesser hospital visits (Secondary and Tertiary care)
coverage - beginning of Managed Care and
up in future ..
Lesser hospital visits (Secondary and Tertiary care)
case severity due to early diagnosis
Promotes preventive care
ICICI Lombard data
Cashless OPD trend in Corporate
73% OPD usage for consultation, 27% for diagnostics
Spurt in incidence rates for OPD policies vis- à
OPD demand drivers: Call doctor at home for consult ation
Employers using employee funding option to offer OP D
13
Diagnostics27%
Consultations
73%
Cashless OPD trend in Corporate
73% OPD usage for consultation, 27% for diagnostics
à-vis IPD policies
OPD demand drivers: Call doctor at home for consult ation
Employers using employee funding option to offer OP D
ICICI Lombard data
E-cashless Module to gain prominence
Benefits :- Fast-track claim processing- Reduction in TAT for processing and data entry - Comprehensive Online end to end solution for hospit als - Real time online tracking - Transparent claim tracking and processing
14
Hospital
E-Cashless Module
Reply
Pre authorisation
request for
claims,
processing
and tracking
- Transparent claim tracking and processing
cashless Module to gain prominence
Reduction in TAT for processing and data entry Comprehensive Online end to end solution for hospit als
ICICI Lombard data
Insurer verification
Doctor
Reject
Approve
Query
Fasttrack Health
Executive
Summary
� Slow growth/ decline in diseases owing to increased awareness
� Medical inflation coming under control
� Insurers with providers to ensure further cost cont rol
� Incidence of medical cases in Tertiary hospitals hi gh for individual cases
15
� Driving treatment costs higher
� Cashless OPD for corporate witnessing demand
� Technology influence growing
� Boosts seamless functioning
Slow growth/ decline in diseases owing to increased awareness
Medical inflation coming under control
Insurers with providers to ensure further cost cont rol
Incidence of medical cases in Tertiary hospitals hi gh for individual cases
Cashless OPD for corporate witnessing demand
Automobile Domestic Sales Trends
Two Wheeler segment drove market growth Private Car and Commercial Vehicles sales remained stagnant
12,000,000
Product
17
3%
-
2,000,000
4,000,000
6,000,000
8,000,000
10,000,000
Pvt Car
YTD Nov'13
Automobile Domestic Sales Trends
Wheeler segment drove market growth Private Car and Commercial Vehicles sales remained stagnant
12%
Product-wise Sales
2%
TW CV
YTD Nov'13 YTD Nov'14
Private Car & Two Wheeler Trends
Hatchbacks led growth of cars, rising by 40% Two Wheeler segment growth was boosted by Scooters
40%1,200,000
1,400,000
Private Car: Category-wise Sales
18
-15%
-42%-48%
-69%-
200,000
400,000
600,000
800,000
1,000,000
Hatch Sedan MUV SUV Utility Vehicles
YTD Nov'13 YTD Nov'14
Private Car & Two Wheeler Trends
7,000,000
8,000,000
Two Wheeler: Category-wise Sales
Hatchbacks led growth of cars, rising by 40% Two Wheeler segment growth was boosted by Scooters
-25% 132%
-32%
-
1,000,000
2,000,000
3,000,000
4,000,000
5,000,000
6,000,000
Motorcycles Scooter/Scooterette Mopeds
YTD Nov'13 YTD Nov'14
Motor Insurance - Industry Trends
17.13%
16.00%18.00%
Motor insurance segment maintained growth
19
0.00%2.00%4.00%6.00%8.00%
10.00%12.00%14.00%16.00%
2013-14 (Nov YTD)
Industry Trends
Motor insurance segment maintained growth pace, though at a lower rate
9.77%
2014-15 (Nov YTD)
Nature of Damage
47%
32%
4% 4% 3%
48%
32%
3% 3% 2%0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
Head On & Rear On Collision
Side Impact Impact with Animal / Human
Glass Damage Vehicle fall in a Ditch / Pot Hole
All Products
2013 2014
20
54%
25%
6% 4% 2%
55%
26%
5% 3% 2%0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
Head On & Rear On Collision
Side Impact Impact with Animal / Human
Vehicle fall in a Ditch / Pot Hole
Toppled
Two Wheeler
2013 2014
Nature of Damage remained consistent across segments
41% 38%
6%2% 2%
41% 40%
6%2%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
Head On & Rear On Collision
Side Impact Glass Damage Parking Impact with Animal / Human
Private Car
2013 2014
Vehicle fall in a Ditch / Pot Hole
2%
43%
27%
13%5% 3%
37%
23%
11%4%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
Head On & Rear On Collision
Side Impact Glass Damage Toppled Impact with Animal / Human
Commercial Vehicles
2013 2014
Nature of Damage remained consistent across segments
Act of God cases
Significant increase in cases pertaining to Natural Calamities (cyclone)
81%
60%
70%
80%
90%
21
11%
0%
50%
29%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
Flood Storm / Tempest / Cyclone / Hurricane
Significant increase in cases pertaining to Natural Calamities (cyclone)
0%4% 3%
13%
5%2%
HailStorm Subsidence / Landslide / Rockslide Others
2013 2014
Road Transport & Safety Bill, 2014M
otor
Veh
icle
Act No centralized regulator
Decentralized SystemDifferent rules for different statesState wise Registration
22
Mot
or V
ehic
le A
ct
State wise RegistrationState wise PermitState wise issue of DL
Road Transport & Safety Bill, 2014
Dra
ft B
ill Centralized regulatorOne point control authorityUniform RulesUnified Registration Unified Registration SystemCentralized Permit Unified Driving License
Other Features
In the interest of Road Safety:� Governance on manufacturers on products� Substantial increase in fees and penalties � Golden Hour treatment� DAIR – Claim settlement that
23
� Reduces reporting time for insurers� Waiting time for claimants
Governance on manufacturers on productsSubstantial increase in fees and penalties – deterrents
Reduces reporting time for insurers
Unified Driving License
Centralized issuance of driving license
Holding more then one driving license - Driver disqualifies for DL & includes penalty
Sunset clause in driving license
24
• Old license to be replaced within two years• Address change endorsement on driving license• 5 years renewal for transport DL & 3 Yrs
60 days grace period for renewal of driving license
Fake DL to lead to disqualification of driver
Driver disqualifies for DL & includes penalty
Old license to be replaced within two yearsAddress change endorsement on driving license
Yrs for hazard DL
60 days grace period for renewal of driving license
Fake DL to lead to disqualification of driver
Telematics : Insights from abroad
Usage Based Insurance (UBI) policy penetration has nearly doubled to 8.5% in July’14
Resistance to monitoring on the decline
26
65% of those interested in UBI willing to change dr iving habits, reinforcing the potential for driver-coaching
73% of those interested in UBI ready to pay for val uefor insurers to differentiate products
Source: Towers Watson Usage-Based Insurance U.S. Consumer Survey
Telematics : Insights from abroad
Usage Based Insurance (UBI) policy penetration has nearly doubled - 4.5% in Feb’13
Resistance to monitoring on the decline - decreased from 41.6% to 35.2%
65% of those interested in UBI willing to change dr iving habits, reinforcing the
73% of those interested in UBI ready to pay for val ue-added services – opportunity
Based Insurance U.S. Consumer Survey
Summary
� Auto industry on the path to recovery� Motor insurance continues to grow, albeit at slower pace� Motor insurance segment to benefit from enabling po licy changes� Road Transport and Safety Bill
� Better road safety laws and insurance experience fo r customersUsage based insurance, a promising concept for Indi an insurers
27
� Usage based insurance, a promising concept for Indi an insurers
Auto industry on the path to recoveryMotor insurance continues to grow, albeit at slower paceMotor insurance segment to benefit from enabling po licy changes
Better road safety laws and insurance experience fo r customersUsage based insurance, a promising concept for Indi an insurersUsage based insurance, a promising concept for Indi an insurers