Journal of Cardiovascular Pharmacology Publish Ahead of PrintDOI: 10.1097/FJC.0000000000000270
New mechanism-based approaches to ablating persistent AF –
will drug therapy soon be obsolete?
Junaid A.B. Zaman MA, MD, Tina Baykaner MD, MPH and Sanjiv M. Narayan, MD,
PhD
Department of Cardiovascular Medicine, Stanford Medicine, Stanford, CA 94305.
Keywords: Atrial fibrillation, ablation, rotors, focal sources, drugs
Disclosures:
This work was supported by grants to Dr. Narayan from the NIH (HL70529, HL83359,
HL103800) and the Doris Duke Charitable Foundation. Dr. Narayan is co-author of
intellectual property owned by the University of California Regents and licensed to
Topera Inc. Dr. Narayan is a consultant to Abbott Inc., Medtronic, and the American
College of Cardiology. Dr Zaman has no conflicts of interest to declare.
Corresponding Author:
Sanjiv Narayan
Stanford Medicine
780 Welch Road, Suite CJ250F, Stanford, CA 94305
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Word Count: 2883
Abstract (171 words)
Persistent atrial fibrillation (AF) represents a major public health and medical
challenge. The progressive nature of the disease, high morbidity and increasing
health-economic costs ensure it remains at the forefront of novel research into
mechanisms and potential therapies. These are largely divided into pharmacological
(drugs) and electrical (ablation), with patients often going from former to latter. AF
ablation has improved sufficiently to be offered as first line for paroxysmal AF, but
there is uncertainty on whether drug therapy will improve from its current role or be
relegated to niche status. In this review we shall outline the progress in mechanistic
understanding of AF that may allow results from ablation to diverge dramatically
from drug therapy, to identify populations in whom drug therapy may become less
relevant. We end by looking ahead to future developments which we hope will spur
on therapeutic efficacy in both fields.
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1. Introduction
The treatment of atrial fibrillation (AF) has been revolutionized in the last decade.
While many trials show that maintaining sinus rhythm using anti-arrhythmic drugs
(AAD) is equivalent to a rate control strategy, shown in the AFFIRM 1, RACE-I 2 and
AF-in-CHF 3 trials, these results are specific to AAD therapy. Notably, current AAD are
limited by a relatively poor rate of maintaining sinus rhythm 4 and side-effects
including elevated cardiovascular mortality 5.
Ablation is a non-pharmacological alternative to AAD that has changed the
landscape for managing AF. Multicenter trials show that ablation is more effective
than AAD in eliminating AF in patients with AF despite at least one AAD 6–8 and in
patients who have never used class I or III AAD 9,10. Ablation may also be more cost
effective than AAD 11–13. Moreover, the approach to ablation has advanced rapidly
in recent years catalyzed by human mechanistic studies 14 15 providing compelling
evidence that AF is maintained in many patients by localized sources that may be
amenable to direct targeting by ablation.
This enables us to turn to the provocative question posed: whether AAD are
obsolete in persistent AF – or shortly will be. Of course, this question does not have
a binary answer. It must be considered in terms of specific AF populations, the fact
that mechanistic insights into AF will likely lead to novel AAD as well as
advancements in ablation, and the fact that individuals within the ‘same‘ population
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may have a comorbidity profile or preference favoring one therapy over the other.
This review considers these issues, grounded in the current state-of-the-art but with
a forward-looking vision based on recent trends.
2. Ablation of persistent AF – Current Strategies
Ablation is currently centered on electrical isolation of pulmonary veins (PVI) to
eliminate ectopy that can trigger AF. In patients with paroxysmal AF, PVI may be
offered in lieu of AAD 9,10 , although this is not yet recommended for persistent AF.
Nevertheless, PVI is currently most effective when combined with AAD. In a
systematic meta-analyses of published experience, the efficacy of ablation for
paroxysmal AF was 71% but 77% in patients also using AADs 16. In a recent European
registry of 1,281 patients, 12 month freedom from atrial arrhythmias in patients with
paroxysmal AF was 43.7% for ablation alone but 68.5% in patients also using AAD 17.
Many groups use AAD early after ablation, when most recurrences occur 18, to
facilitate early atrial reverse remodeling and increase longer term success. More
than one ablation procedure is often required in patients with paroxysmal AF, and in
a systematic meta-analysis the single procedure success was 54% rising to 79% after
multiple procedures at 5 years 19. Registry data also suggests that safety is worse
than reported in clinical trials17.
Currently, ablation outcomes are lower for patients with persistent AF, which is
defined as continuous AF for 1 week to 1 year rather than intermittent paroxysms,
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and may depend less upon triggers and more upon mechanisms that sustain AF.
These mechanisms are debated. Accordingly, many empirical ablation targets have
been proposed including complex fractionated atrial electrograms (CFAEs),
suggested to represent pivot points for reentry 20, and empirical ablation lines to
interrupt macro-reentrant circuits or constrain meandering wavelets. These
approaches yield inconsistent results 21–23, which may reflect mechanistic
uncertainty in CFAE, that represent many etiologies including noise 24, as well as
lines, since macro-reentry is uncommon during AF and typical line sets may not be
sufficient to compartmentalize multiwavelet reentry. Recent trials further question
the value of ablating these targets 25 26.
In summary, current approaches to the ablation of persistent AF are suboptimal, and
actually improved when combined with AAD. Moreover, newer atrial specific AAD
may be more effective and limit pro-arrhythmic side-effects in the ventricles, as
reviewed elsewhere in the Journal. However, recent mechanistic insights from
translational studies of human AF hold the promise of improving the success of
ablation.
3. Mechanisms of human AF persistence. Can we achieve patient specific therapy?
Ideally, ablation or drug therapy should be tailored to mechanisms in each
individual. The rationale for pulmonary vein (PV) isolation is to prevent triggers in
the PVs from initiating AF by electrically isolating the PVs (figure 1). This fits with the
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PV ectopy model of AF 27, and is supported by the efficacy of PVI in many patients
6,19,28. However, this model does not explain many observations, such as termination
of AF when a vein is only partially isolated 29, increasingly appreciated triggers
outside the PVs, AF recurrence in patients with isolated PVs 30 and the surprising
success of AF ablation in patients in whom PVs have reconnected 31,32 or were never
isolated 33–35. Thus, when the PVI procedure is successful, it may operate by
mechanisms in addition to isolation of PV-related triggers, that are difficult to
identify a priori in any given patient.
The first major mechanistic question whose clarification may improve ablation is
“how do transient triggers actually initiate AF?”. Using wide-area mapping, Schricker
et al. recently showed that the first cycles of AF after a spontaneous or induced
trigger create functional wavefront block, facilitated by dynamic conduction slowing
36 and abnormal APD dynamics 37 to initiate a single organized spiral wave or focal
driver from which activity disorganizes 38 (figure 2). Triggers thus initiate AF via a
transitional mechanism. Notably, transitional mechanisms may lie in conserved
regions in each patient – even for AF episodes triggered in diverse regions of the
atria – and are separated 2.1±1.7cm from triggers. Further studies should identify if
ablation of transitional mechanisms (i.e. sites of initiating spiral waves) may improve
outcomes and, for instance, may contribute to the success of wide-area PV isolation
that is typically 1-2 cm from PV ostia. Transitional mechanisms also suggest a role
for drug therapy that reverses conduction slowing by modulating connexins 39 or
modulating the effects of fibrosis 40.
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The second major mechanistic question whose clarification may improve ablation is
“what maintains human AF after it is initiated?” Novel mapping techniques provide
fresh insights into this century old debate 41 between, on one hand, the non-
hierarchical concept that AF is caused by self-sustaining disorganization and, on the
other, the hierarchical model in which disorganization is driven by localized AF
sources (rotors or focal drivers). It is notable that debate is increasingly hinged on
mapping approach, since studies that recorded AF in a small field-of-view at high
density typically support the non-hierarchical model, while newer studies recording
AF in a wider field of view at lower density largely support the hierarchical model. Of
course, multiple mechanisms may co-exist in the same experimental system49.
Most studies agree that AF is characterized by re-entry in one form or another 42. In
theory, multiple small wavelets in a non-hierarchical arrangement could provide
enough heterogeneity of activation and repolarization to reach an energetically
stable equilibrium which perpetuates indefinitely 43,44. Each wavelet has a finite
probability of encountering a nonconducting obstacle and terminating yet, if the
number of concurrent wavelets is sufficiently large, this probability is low enough to
produce persistent or ‘permanent’ AF 45. Small wavelets with no apparent order
may rapidly form and extinguish in computer models 46 and have been supported by
high density electrode mapping of small fields-of-view in humans and animals 47,48.
Conversely, the non-hierarchical model has been challenged by a ‘hierarchical’
model supported by stereotypical observed activation patterns 50, electrogram
morphologies 51, and stable frequency gradients between left and right atrium 52 in
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AF. Other studies show that persistent AF can be eliminated by focal treatment 29,
supporting a model in which that localized sources drive downstream disorganized
wavelets. AF sources meet criteria for a ‘rotor’ if they are reentrant, or are
otherwise classified as ‘focal’ with the downstream disorganization in each case
termed ‘fibrillatory conduction’ 53.
This hierarchical paradigm was recently validated in human AF with the
demonstration of stable rotors in a large proportion of AF patients typically referred
for ablation. Ablation of these sources was able to eliminate AF acutely and on long-
term follow-up with greater success than PVI alone 14. This finding reconciles many
disparate observations which are difficult to explain by the non-hierarchical model,
such as how focal ablation could ever terminate persistent AF. Recent work from a
different non-invasive approach confirms the presence of high frequency rotors with
phase mapping in a 70/30% left/right atrial split, similar to findings from endocardial
contact baskets15. Despite technical differences between approaches, their results
agree that limited patient-specific atrial areas harbor sources that maintain AF and
are limited to these same atrial areas for days. It is beyond the scope of this review
to fully speculate on technical differences between approaches, that will only be
resolved by directly comparing techniques, but many groups have shown re-entrant
circuits in human AF54,55 and many reports show that AF can be treated by limited
interventions that do not limit critical mass. Further work is needed to extend these
physiological insights. A recent 5 year white paper on research strategy for the Heart
Rhythm Society lists mechanistic clarification of human AF among its highest
priorities 56.
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4. Using mechanisms to guide ablation: Will Drug Therapy Soon Be Obsolete?
Single center and multicenter non-randomized trials show that ablating localized
sources can improve ablation outcomes for persistent AF. Initial clinical data were
produced using contact mapping (Focal Impulse and Rotor Modulation, FIRM) in
patients predominantly with persistent AF who had already failed at least one AAD
agent. In the CONFIRM trial, FIRM-guided ablation improved the single procedure
elimination of AF to 82.4% from 44.9% for PVI-based ablation alone on medium term
14 and then 3 year follow up (figure 3A) 57. These results have been supported by
multicenter trials mechanistically 58,59 and clinically 60. Other groups have shown
sources using various methods (figure 3B) 15,54,55.
There are several unanswered questions on the source model for AF that may
impact ablation. First, there is a need for randomized trials to confirm these
promising multicenter data. Second, it is not established how best to ablate sources.
Third, it is unclear whether the endpoint of ablation should be AF termination – and
indeed it is mechanistically unclear why acute AF termination often does not predict
long-term AF elimination in conventional ablation trials. Other questions include
whether AAD have a role in preconditioning the atria 61 or facilitating reverse
remodeling after ablation, and the interplay between targeted source ablation and
PVI.
5. Mechanisms that Modify AF Substrates and May Influence Ablation
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The cardiac autonomic nervous system (CANS) is a rich network of localized ganglia,
afferent and efferent parasympathetic and sympathetic nerve fibers, that can
promote AF by globally or regionally shortening the effective refractory period 62 and
possibly slowing conduction by the mechanism of accentuated antagonism 63.
Ablation of tissue encompassing cardiac ganglionated plexi, at stereotypical locations
often near junctions between the atria and major thoracic veins, has been shown to
improve ablation outcome 64. Studies are underway to address whether targeting
ganglia is the optimal approach to modulate the CANS, how best to localize ganglia a
priori, since current methods are suboptimal, and whether the CANS lie near sites of
rotors or focal sources or contribute to multiwavelet reentry.
An increasingly discussed mechanism is how structural remodeling of the atrium
contributes to AF. Recent MRI studies have revealed structural abnormalities outside
the PVs in AF patients that predict poor response to PVI 65. In theory, ablation of the
scar border zone with viable atrium may eliminate arrhythmogenic mechanisms.
Such areas are difficult to define in thin-walled atria given the 1-2 mm resolution of
MRI, and may or may not 66,67 represent fibrosis. Nevertheless, empirical ablation of
such regions may improve outcomes. Since this goal may reach beyond the spatial
resolution of atrial MRI reconstruction and the ablation electrode itself, this is
another area in which novel image processing and electrogram signal processing
approaches may allow genuine signal to emerge from noise to improve ablation
targeting. On the hand, the precise localization of scar borderzone may be less
needed for drug discovery, where new AAD agents could globally homogenize
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heterogeneities that promote re-entry 68 by modulating specific membrane-sensitive
ion channels, fibrosis or cell-to-cell gap junction coupling.
6. Different populations, same disease. Can we treat all AF the same?
There will certainly be populations in whom mechanistically targeted ablation will be
most effective, in whom drug therapy is most likely to become second line (and
possibly “obsolete”). The field is evolving rapidly, but such populations likely include
ablation of AF in patients with early persistent AF (perhaps under 6 months of
continuous AF) or with paroxysmal AF. The numbers of patients treated with
mechanistically-targeted ablation with longstanding persistent AF (i.e. AF for one or
more years continuously) thus far is relatively small, and may include patients in
whom AF may represent a late-stage process from diverse comorbidities and in
whom additional data are needed.
There is increasing evidence that age is no bar to offering ablation, despite a recent
European recommendation to offer it first to youngest patients 69. Being older does
not necessarily cause atrial fibrosis per se, since recent studies show that the
historical duration of AF is more strongly associated with adverse remodeling than
age 70. This is also supported by recent data showing respectable ablation outcomes
in patients over 75 years of age 71 that reinforce earlier meta-analyses and registry
data 72,73. However, many trials excluded patients above 75 years of age and some
studies report that ablation outcomes are inferior in this population 74. Early data
from mechanistically-targeted ablation suggests no clear association between age,
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number of AF sources and ablation outcome 15,75. On the other hand, the elderly
represent a population in whom medication side-effects are felt most keenly, in
particular the adverse impact of poly-pharmacy on patients with impaired renal
function, and studies should further compare individual mechanism-targeted
ablation strategies versus AADs in this population.
Obesity is increasingly felt to cause a complex metabolic milieu producing substrates
for AF 76. Accordingly, patients with higher BMI may experience poorer outcomes
from current ablation strategies, and promising new data show that aggressive risk
factor modification can improve ablation outcomes 77. In recent subgroup analyses
of the CONFIRM trial, patients with raised BMI and obstructive sleep apnea showed
a higher number of AF sources often remote from the PVs, but because these
sources were mapped the benefit of mechanistically targeted ablation was
retained78.
Finally, it is increasingly suggested that AF is but one manifestation of an atrial
cardiomyopathy, in which case classifying patients on this basis may improve
treatment 79. Long standing persistent AF is often refractory to AAD, by definition,
and is associated with more extensive structural remodeling classified as Utah Stage
IV on MRI 80. It is possible that mechanistically focused ablation may offer benefit for
these patients, since initial long term data suggest that outcomes are maintained 57
15. Conversely, such patients may represent ‘burnt-out’ AF disease, as suggested by
extremely complex activity on limited area high density surgical mapping 47.
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7. Novel Approaches.
It is plausible that therapeutic options to target specific mechanisms beyond AAD
and ablation will enter clinical practice in the medium term. These include stem cell
therapy, genetic targeting, autonomic neural modulation and sophisticated hybrid
(combined surgical and endocardial) procedures 81. Drug development will continue
in parallel with refinement of ablation – just as novel oral anti-coagulants have
emerged at the same time as left atrial appendage occlusion devices. Thus, a new
synergy is likely to emerge, with pharmacological modulation of substrate
complemented by electrical modulation of drivers and mechanistically targeted,
limited ablation.
New mechanistic insight for well established drugs is emerging – such as in
catecholaminergic polymorphic ventricular tachycardia (CPVT) 82 in which there are
emerging roles for AADs such as the ability of flecainide to block ryanodine receptors
as well as sodium channels. In AF, new drug combinations such as amiodarone and
ranolazine may achieve better results with fewer side effects, especially in patients
with left atrial dilatation83. An inexorable trend in medicine is from invasive to less
invasive, and as mechanisms become better defined it is our hope that in AF this rule
will also be followed.
At the current time, three major questions need to be answered for mechanistically-
targeted ablation. First, multicenter randomized trials should be performed to show
its benefit over conventional strategies. Such trials are underway and initial results
show promise 84. Second, the efficacy of mechanistically guided ablation must be
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demonstrated in randomized trials compared to AAD in drug-naïve patients. Third, it
it needs to be defined if AF may still recur late after initially successful mechanistic
AF ablation, i.e. to define the natural history of AF substrate progression in this
context. In the worst case scenario it may be a matter of ‘when’ and not ‘if’ AF
recurs, from the disappointing long term results of non-mechanistic ablation 85.
However, there is room for optimism since results from rotor ablation may be
maintained at 3 years86.
Conclusions
Improved mechanistic understanding of AF will drive innovations in both drug
development and ablation. Recent translational studies and advances in
computational mapping have revealed rotors and other localized sources for AF that
can be readily identified and treated with ablation to improve success in many
patients. While AAD have an increasingly supportive rather than a central role in
many patients, they are currently far from obsolete. This situation is unlikely to
change in the medium-term. With a 5-10 year horizon, however, mechanistic clarity
from translational and basic studies may enable the identification of novel targets. If
such targets are truly localized then specific ablation approaches may become
predominant. If such targets are more spatially distributed then novel drug agents
may enjoy resurgence.
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Figure legends:
Figure 1.
Current strategies and evolution of current clinical ablation. Multiwavelet theory
(A) which had excellent results with Cox-Maze (B), providing evidence either for
atrial compartmentalisation or inadvertent source modification. The PVs were
identified as the first trigger of human AF (D) and isolation of them has led to
success in many paroxysmal patients. However the non-responders or those
with advanced disease will benefit from more detailed study (E) and ablation
(F). From 87
Figure 2.
Triggers Initiate AF via Transitional Organized Mechanisms. A) Isochronal
activation map shows a sinus beat commencing low in the sinus node (red),
followed by (B) a spontaneous premature atrial complex from the anterolateral
RA causing slowed conduction in the inferior RA. A septal right atrial beat in (C)
encounters late-activated tissue in the low septal RA, cannot activate clockwise
and activates in the opposite direction to form a spiral wave. D) This transitional
mechanism was conserved in 3 initiations in the same patient (star represents
trigger, circle represents rotor core). From 38
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27
Figure 3.
Ablation at Localized Sources for Human AF.
A) Long term data showing
superior freedom from AF when adding FIRM over conventional ablation
alone. B). FIRM map showing left atrial rotor surrounded by complex
fibrillatory dynamics, where limited focal ablation eliminated AF acutely and
on long-term follow-up. C) Inferred image from non-invasive body surface
mapping, indicating a phase map showing a left atrial rotor with simple
dynamics and minimal surrounding fibrillatory activity. From 15,57,88
Table 1. Summary of antiarrhythmic drugs (AAD) comparison with catheter ablation for AF now and in the future for first and second line therapeutic strategy.
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Table 1. Summary of antiarrhythmic drugs (AAD) comparison with catheter ablation
for AF now and in the future for first and second line therapeutic strategy.
Patient
group
Rhythm
strategy
AAD AF Ablation –
current
AF Ablation –
future
Drug naïve patient
(First line ablation)
Equivalent to rate control (AFFIRM1, RACE I2, HOT-CAFÉ89, AF-in-CHF90)
Superior to AAD (RAAFT-29) or non-
inferior (MANTRA-PAF10)
Likely superior to AAD if targeting physiologically mapped AF sources (e.g. FIRM86).
Failure of drugs
(Second line
ablation)
Rate control adopted ‘permanent (accepted) AF’
Superior to AAD (SARA6, STOP-AF8, Thermocool AF7)
Possible reduction of AF burden. ‘Cure’ less
likely Due to more advanced disease
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