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R. Cornelli, Why People Trust The Police. An Empirical Study, Ph.D. Thesis, 2003

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1 University of Trento School of Law International Ph.D. in Criminology XV cycle Ph.D. Thesis Why People Trust The Police. An Empirical Study Tutor: Prof. Ernesto U. Savona Candidate: Roberto Cornelli Academic Year 2001-2002
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University of Trento School of Law

International Ph.D. in Criminology XV cycle

Ph.D. Thesis

WWhhyy PPeeooppllee TTrruusstt TThhee PPooll iiccee.. AAnn EEmmppiirriiccaall SSttuuddyy

Tutor: Prof. Ernesto U. Savona

Candidate: Roberto Cornelli

Academic Year 2001-2002

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TABLE OF CONTENTS

OVERVIEW OF THE THESIS _________________________________ 6

CHAPTER 1 INTRODUCTION. THE IMPORTANCE OF STUDYING WHY PEOPLE TRUST THE POLICE ___________________________ 8

1.1 The Police At The Center Of The Crisis About Public Security And The Loss Of Police Legitimacy _________________________________________ 10

Functions Of The State Police ___________________________________ 10

The Myth Of The Police As Primarily A Crime-Fighting Agency _______ 11

Crime Prevention Is Not The Core Mission Of The Police _____________ 15

Facing New Challenges ________________________________________ 16

The Police At The Centre Of The Crisis About Public Security _________ 19

1.2 Police Searching For People’s Trust _____________________________ 20

An Intermediate Goal Of Several Police Strategies: Increasing Trust In The Police ______________________________________________________ 20

The More People Trust The Police The Safer They Feel ______________ 25

The More People Trust The Police The Safer Are The Neighbourhood ___ 28

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1.3 Problems Addressed By This Thesis _____________________________ 31

Problem 1: Does Trust In The Police Depend On The Police’s Work? ___ 32

Problem 2. How Can Police Achieve The Goal Of Increasing Trust In The Police? _____________________________________________________ 32

1.4 Purpose Of This Thesis ________________________________________ 34

CHAPTER 2 EXTANT LITERATURE ON TRUST IN THE POLICE AND RESEARCH HYPOTHESES _______________________________________ 36

2.1 Trust And Trust In The Police __________________________________ 37

Theoretical Issues On Trust _____________________________________ 38

Definition Of Trust In The Police ________________________________ 46

Is Trusting Based On The Truster’s Inclination To Do So Or On The Truster-Trustee Relationship? __________________________________________ 48

2.2 Factors Affecting Trust In The Police That Have Been Suggested By Previous Studies _________________________________________________ 54

Individual Variables ___________________________________________ 55

Relational Variables ___________________________________________ 62

2.3 Research Hypotheses. Does Trusting The Police Depend On How Police Work? In Particular, Does It Depend On How Fair, Polite And Effective The Police Are? _____________________________________________________ 73

Summary Of Extant Literature ___________________________________ 73

Research Hypotheses __________________________________________ 75

CHAPTER 3 TESTING THE HYPOTHESES: FINDINGS FROM THE TRENTINO SURVEY _____________________________________________ 78

3.1 Overview Of Trentino _________________________________________ 79

Demographic Composition Of The Population ______________________ 79

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A Low Crime Rate ____________________________________________ 80

A High Number Of Police Officers _______________________________ 81

High Levels Of Personal Safety And Trust In The Police ______________ 82

3.2 Research Design And Methodology ______________________________ 83

Survey Of Public Attitudes Towards Police: An Introduction To The Data Gathering Method ____________________________________________ 84

Data Collection And Sample Selection ____________________________ 86

Method Of Analysis ___________________________________________ 87

The Dependent Variable _______________________________________ 90

The Independent Variables _____________________________________ 93

3.3 Findings ____________________________________________________ 100

Some Preliminary Results _____________________________________ 100

Testing The Research Hypotheses _______________________________ 110

Summary Of The Findings _____________________________________ 118

CHAPTER 4 DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSIONS _________________ 123

4.1 Residents Trust The Police Because They Evaluate Positively What The Police Do ______________________________________________________ 125

Empirical Support For All Three Research Hypotheses ______________ 125

Residents Trust The Police On The Basis Of What They See Or Hear About The Police’s Work ___________________________________________ 126

4.2 Limitations Of The Study _____________________________________ 127

4.3 Implications And Directions For Future Research _________________ 129

The Need To Study Which Police Officer Behavioural Styles Increase People’s Trust In The Police. ___________________________________ 130

The Need To Study Which Policing Models Increase People’s Trust In The Police _____________________________________________________ 130

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The Need To Study More Specifically Why People Distrust The Police _ 132

Other Directions For Future Research ____________________________ 133

4.4 Conclusions _________________________________________________ 134

REFERENCES ________________________________________________ 137

APPENDIX SURVEY QUESTIONNAIRE _______________________ 163

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OVERVIEW OF THE THESIS

This thesis tackles why people trust the police.

Chapter 1 is an introductory chapter aimed at explaining why it is

important to study which factors affect people’s trust in the police.

It begins by considering that the police, faced with a crisis in public

security, new trends in policing and police ineffectiveness in preventing

crime, risk losing their legitimacy (para. 1.1). It also considers that the

police are reacting to this crisis by developing strategies aimed at increasing

people’s trust in them. This is also occurring because recent studies have

emphasised the importance of trust in the police for the success of crime

prevention and insecurity reduction strategies (para. 1.2). Although the call

for developing and sustaining these trust-oriented strategies has been loud,

it is recognised that we need to know ‘if’ and ‘how’ police’ work may

affect people’s trust in the police (para. 1.3). This thesis, therefore, looks at

the reason why people trust the police, in order to know if and how police

work may affect people’s trust in the police (para. 1.4).

In chapter 2, a review of extant research literature in the area of trust

and trust in the police is presented.

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The chapter starts by tackling theoretical issues on trust in human and

social sciences in order to learn why people trust the police. From this

review two different perspectives about why people trust the police are

discussed. In the first, people trust the police because they have a subjective

inclination to do so; in the second, people trust the police because police

actions induce them to do so (para. 2.1). Next, the chapter reviews studies

on factors of trust in the police, in order to learn which perspective

regarding why people trust the police has more support from empirical

research (para. 2.2). Considering that the findings of previous studies do not

provide a definitive answer, at the end of the chapter three research

hypotheses on which variables affect trust in the police are formulated

(para. 2.3).

Chapter 3 presents the design and methodology used to test the

research hypotheses.

Data from a survey of residents’ attitudes towards police in Trentino, a

northern Italian province, are analysed. The chapter begins by providing

information on where the survey was conducted (para. 3.1). Then, it

answers the methodological issues that arise from the following questions:

how did the survey collect data? How was the sample selected? How was

the data analysed to test the research hypotheses? How were dependent and

independent variables measured? (para. 3.2). Next, the chapter presents the

main findings of the data analyses (para. 3.3).

In conclusion, chapter 4 discusses the findings and examines the

implications as well as makes recommendations for future research.

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CHAPTER 1 INTRODUCTION. THE IMPORTANCE OF STUDYING WHY PEOPLE TRUST THE POLICE

Policing, as an activity of providing security through physical

constraint1, is undergoing a historic restructuring. For several centuries, the

policing has been a quintessential function of government, which exerted it

through a state police force. Recently something has changed. A

multiplicity of agencies, private and public, have been involved in

providing safety; local authorities and non-governmental groups have

assumed responsibility for guaranteeing citizen security; transnational

cooperation among police forces has developed rapidly in order to fight

transnational crimes. These trends in policing are badly affecting the state

police’s ability to provide security. On the other hand, policing studies

which were already being conducted in the Sixties in the U.S.A. and Britain

1 The concept of policing is closely related to that of social control. It is commonly defined as ‘the function of maintaining social control in society, but this definition misses the specificity of the idea of policing: providing security through surveillance and the threat of sanctions. As Reiner (1997: 1005) states: “Policing is the set of activities directed at preserving the security of a particular social order (although the effectiveness of policing is a moot point). Policing does not encompass all activities intended to produce order. It excludes post hoc punishment, as well as activities intended to create conditions of social order (for example, socialization, measures to secure family stability, encouragement of religion, or other forms internalised ethical controls)”.

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pointed out the ineffectiveness of traditional police strategies in reducing

crime.

As a result, state police are now suffering a crisis of legitimacy. But

they seem to have realized it early. In several countries, among which Italy,

police are trying to recover public support and, therefore, their legitimacy

by strategies specifically directed at increasing trust in the police.

Furthermore, recent studies have underlined the importance of trust in the

police for the success of crime prevention and insecurity reduction

strategies. Therefore, increasing trust in the police seems to be a practical

way for police to be legitimised as security provider.

But can police achieve the goal of increasing people’s trust, and, if

they can, how?

Although the statement that the police’s work affects people’s trust in

the police has traditionally been accepted by social scientists and policy

makers, it has been pointed out that the statement is not empirically

supported.

Furthermore, although several police strategies are based on the

statement that increasing police visibility increases the degree of trust in the

police, this statement is not supported by convincing data.

The result is that we do not know if recent police efforts to increase

people’s trust have some chance of achieving their goal.

Starting from these problems, briefly mentioned in this chapter, this

thesis intends to investigate the reasons why people trust the police, in order

to know ‘if’ and ‘how’ police work may influence people’s trust in the

police.

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1.1 The Police At The Center Of The Crisis About Public Security And The Loss Of Police Legitimacy

Functions Of The State Police

The function of the police is essentially to regulate and protect the

social order, using legitimate force if necessary (Reiner, 1992: 761). The

origins of policing as an activity carried out by a body separate from the

community arose as the extension of state power (transformation of social

control from community-based to state-directed activity). Modern police

were initially created by states to protect the interests of government. In

Western societies, the creation of state police forces results from the desire

of groups that controlled the state for information on potential challengers

and the need to deal with problems of disorder (Marenin, 1982: 241). They

were an instrument for the preservation of dominant class control over

restricted access to basic resources, over the political apparatus governing

this access, and over the labour force necessary to provide the surplus upon

which the dominant class lives (Robinson and Scaglion, 1987: 109). As a

result, the primary functions of the police were the suppression of collective

unrest (Bayley, 1994: 121), and the regulation of the population.

Specifically the police controlled the conflict among classes.2. These

functions, even if with some adjustments, are nowadays part of the police’s

routine activity. Therefore, on one hand, the policing of protest, defined as

the police handling of protest events or as the repression of mass

demonstrations, is an aspect of state response to political dissent in

contemporary Western Democracies (see Della Porta and Reiter, 1998). On

2 Critical criminologists point out that the central function of the police is to control the working class. For a review of the main critical theorists’ views on policing see Marenin (1982).

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the other hand, police maintain the tasks of regulating the population with

regards to ‘new deviants’, such as, in Europe, non-EU citizens.

However, in the twentieth century a great change occurred in policing.

Compelled by the expansion of the area of democracy and political

participation, in western countries police became responsive to the security

needs of the general public. While governments assumed primary

responsibility not only for protecting citizens from foreign threats and for

maintaining public order, but also for providing security to citizens, police

officers on the streets become city servants as well as crime-control officers

(Monkkonen, 1992: 554; see also Lane, 1992). A shift from public-order

control to crime control occurred as a result of pressure from the new

demands of citizens:

“A methodological change in policing that drew its attention away from public disorder offences toward the more urgent task of protecting lives and property.” (Wertsh, 1987: 448)

Police everywhere promised to ‘serve and protect’ citizens (Bayley,

1994: 9). Therefore, the image of the state police as a crime-fighting force

arose, and primed the process of legitimacy of the state police as a

democratic institution to which society delegated the task of making society

safe. Until recently, state police placed all their credibility on their ability to

prevent crime.

The Myth Of The Police As Primarily A Crime-Fightin g Agency

But, the image of the state police as a crime-fighting agency is

described by several authors as a ‘myth’.

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“ The myth of the police as primarily a crime-fighting, deterring, and investigating agency is deeply engrained in our society. This view is reinforced each day by media, which portray the police as going from critical event to critical event, constantly dealing with crime, and often resorting to weapons. […] However, considerable research done since 1950 has shown this image to be inaccurate”. (Kelling, 1978: 174)

Although scholars suggest different solutions to improve police

effectiveness, they substantially agree with this diagnosis: the police, as

they are, are failing to achieve the crime reduction goal.

“The police do not prevent crime. This is one of the best kept secrets of modern life. Yet the police pretend that they are society’s best defence against crime and continually argue that if they are given more resources, especially personnel, they will be able to protect communities against crime. This is a myth.” (Bayley, 1994: 3).

Some evidence for this assertion is suggested by a large body of

research in English-speaking Countries3.

Increased numbers of police officers and increased resources for

criminal investigations are the two core elements of modern police strategy.

3 Studies on policing are mainly English-speaking. As Reiner (1996: xiii-xix) reports, until the early 1960s research on the police was almost entirely non-existent in criminology, as indeed it was in every other academic discipline. Research on policing was born in North America and in Britain during the Sixties. Systematic studies on policing were have taken place in the United States since the American Bar Foundation sponsored a series of studies spanning the criminal justice system in the 1950s. But the conditions for the growth of research on policing in North America and Britain have to be found in two areas: intellectual and political. The key intellectual condition was the epistemological shift in the problematics of academic criminology in the 1960s which is commonly referred to as ‘labelling theory’. This theory allowed the structure and the functioning of criminal justice systems to become legitimate targets for intellectual curiosity and empirical research. The other condition of police research was the centrality of policing issues to political debate in the early 1960s (see Reiner, 1997: 999-1003). In the U.S., the early 1960s were years of growing civil unrest, political demonstrations and urban riots. By the late 1960s ‘law and order’ had become the dominant domestic political issue and the key focus of Nixon’s 1968 Presidential election campaign (Quinney, 1979). Law and order and civil rights were the main political concerns. These concerns started up the research on policing, becoming even more important. In Italy, however, research on police is rare (Palidda, 2000): in contrast to other countries, Italian police agencies are almost totally inaccessible to researchers.

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“The specificity of policing as a sub-set of control process is the creation of systems of surveillance coupled with the threat of sanctions for discovered deviance. The most familiar system is the one denoted by the modern sense of police: regular uniform patrol of public space coupled with post hoc investigation of reported or discovered crime or disorder.” (Reiner, 1997: 1005)

Not one of them seems to have any influence on crime rates. An

Home Office study aimed at summarise the research about the relative

effectiveness of different police strategies, tactics or practices in reducing

crime (Nuttall et al., 1998: 65-69), showed that: the effect on crime rate of

overall numbers of police officers is unclear; the random patrol does not

have a marked effect upon crime levels; increasing the use of police power

arrest is effective only in some domestic violence (Sherman and Berk,

1984) and counterproductive for juveniles.4 Repeated analysis has

consistently failed to find any connection between number of police officers

and crime rates (see Loftin and McDowall, 1982; Bayley, 1994: 3-5;

Sherman, 1995: 328). U.S.A. studies comparing police jurisdictions, with

similar social conditions, determining whether differences in the rate of

crime vary with the number of police officers employed indicated that cities

with more crime had more police, but also more police per crime. The lack

of connection between police officer numbers and crime can also be found

in the analyses of historical trends in the U.S.A., Australia, Britain, Canada

(see Bayley, 1994: 3-4). In Italy from 1981 to 1996 the number of police

officers per 100,000 residents rose by 39%, but crimes reported to police

per 100,000 residents in the same period also rose by 102 %.5

4 The study also shows that the following police strategies or practices, although less used by police, may be more effective in reducing crime: targeting high profile crimes or criminals, problem-oriented policing, responding quickly to emergency calls (see Nuttall et al., 1998). 5 Elaborations on Istat data.

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Moreover, increasing the number of police officers does not seem to

increase the police success rate in solving crime. Police success in criminal

investigations is measured by clearance rates, that is the ratio of crime

solved to the number of crimes reported to the police. In Italy, for example,

from 1981 to 1996 the number of police officers per 100,000 residents rose

by 39%, but in the same period, the ratio of crimes solved (crimes with

offender known) to the number of crimes reported to the police decreased

by 19%. Considering only homicide, where the efforts of criminal

investigation are especially focused, from 1981 to 1996, the ratio of crimes

solved to the number of crimes reported to the police decreased by 44%.6

In conclusion, increasing the success of criminal investigations has a

modest effect on the crime rate7. As Sherman (1995: 35) stated:

“Even if we could increase arrest rates, it would be probably not cause crime to decrease.”

In Italy, for example, like other Western Countries, although the

number of criminals arrested in the period 1990-1999 rose from 64,814 to

123,252 (Ministero dell’Interno, 2001: 453), the crime rate, measured as

crime reported to the police, did not diminish in a relevant way: from 4,362

in 1990 to 4,036 in 1999. Furthermore, in the same period, the number of

criminals reported to the police increased: from 453,751 to 700,199

(Ministero dell’Interno, 2001: 453). If criminals noticed the increased

efficiency of the police, they certainly did not seem to care (see Bayley,

1994: 7 for similar conclusions).8

6 Elaborations on Istat data. 7 As Bayley (1994: 7) suggested, in all probability, the relationship does not run from police success in solving crime to crime, but from crime to clearances. That is, success in making arrests for known offences does not reduce crime, but the amount and nature of crime determine how successful the police are likely to be in solving crime. 8 Criminal investigations, together with increased police visibility are recognised as having a demonstrative goal: they show offenders and the public that a regime of law exists. It has a deterrence function, which may have some effect on the crime rate: it is recognised that a certain

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Saying that police are not able to prevent crime does not mean saying

that police are not useful. Scholars identified several specific reasons for the

inability of the police to prevent crime, and suggested that by tackling these

reasons police may become more effective. One of the most famous

scholars of policing, Bayley (1994: 73), identified two main reasons:

police’ preoccupation with other tasks, and an inadequate organizational

culture.9

Crime Prevention Is Not The Core Mission Of The Police

Police are not effective in preventing crime because, although their

legitimacy (the reason why they exist) is based on their crime prevention

function, their actual daily activity is focused on performing multiple tasks

(see also Whitaker and Phillips, 1983). Goldstein (1979) characterized the

fundamental objectives of the police as follows: to prevent and control

conduct threatening to life and property (including serious crime); to aid

crime victims and protect people in danger of physical harm; to protect

constitutional guarantees, such as the right to free speech and assembly; to

quota of police is necessary to guarantee social order and to deter certain types of crime (see, for example, Sherman and Berk, 1984, on the deterrent effects of arrest for domestic assault). But, research findings suggest that the deterrence function has a modest effect in reducing the crime rate. As Tonry and Petersilia (1999) noted: “Presumibly most people would conclude a priori that a quarter-century’s quintupling of the prison and jail population must have reduced crime rates. There has, however, been relatively little research in recent years on deterrence and incapacitation, and most authoritative reviews of both subjects conclude that while such effects exists, they are probably modest (Nagin, 1998). So also concluded the most famous examination of the subjects, the 1978 report of the National Academy of Sciences Panel on Research on Deterrent and Incapacitative Effects (Blumstein, Cohen, and Nagin, 1978). Similar conclusions were reached in successive decades by National Academy of Sciences Panels on Criminal Careers (Blumstein et al., 1986) and Understanding and Control of Violence (Reiss and Roth, 1993) and by an exhaustive recent survey of research on deterrence effect commissioned by the Home Office of England and Wales (von Hirshi et al., 1998).” 9 The statements of Bayley are the result of four years of intensive research in five countries – Australia, Great Britain, Canada, Japan, and the United States -, and of a review of the literature in the same countries.

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facilitate the movement of vehicles and people; to assist those who cannot

care for themselves, including the intoxicated, the addicted, the mentally ill,

the physically disabled, the elderly, and the young; to resolve conflicts

between individuals, between groups, or between citizens and their

government; to identify problems that have the potential of becoming more

serious for individuals, the police or the government; to create and maintain

a feeling of security in the community.

Several studies show that noncriminal problems occupy the police

more than crime. Therefore, Punch and Naylor (1973: 358) noted that most

routine calls to the police involve a demand for help and some form of

support for personal and interpersonal problems. Cumming and colleagues

(1965: 139) analysed incoming calls to the police over an 82 hours period

and concluded that more than half the calls to the police involved demands

for noncrime services. Also Matrofsky’s (1983: 34-35) study on Chicago

Police Radio Dispatch Responses in the period 1970-1978, found that

noncrime serivces are becoming an increasingly important part of police

work.

Therefore, police activities related to crime prevention are actually not

the core function of the police. As Bayley (1994: 73) suggests, their

ineffectiveness may also depend on this situation.

Facing New Challenges

According to Bayley (1994: 73) the police are not effective in

preventing crime, which is also due to the fact that they are having

difficulty in facing the new challenges arising from the shifting

circumstances of modern life.

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Policing, as an activity of providing security, is undergoing an historic

restructuring (Bayley and Shearing, 2001: 1) around three phenomenon:

pluralization of agencies involved in providing safety, localization of

responsibility to provide protection and the transnationalisation of policing.

Pluralization of agencies. Nowadays policing is not an activity that is

only carried out by state police: a multiplicity of agencies are involved in

providing safety (pluralization of policing: see Loader, 2000). The police

monopoly on public safety has been eroded by private police forces, who

now perform all the tasks once reserved to the state police (‘privatisation’

of the police: see Shearing, 1992), and by organized self protection

activities on the part of communities (such as Neighbourhood Wardens: see

Johnston, 1996).

Localization of responsibility deals with two phenomena:

decentralisation (localization from state to local authorities), and

privatisation (localization from state to private, individuals or groups). On

one hand, under pressure from citizens, local authorities have assumed the

responsibility of providing security, thereby eroding the monopoly of state

governments. And they demand something more than just crime fighting.

They ask the police to also prevent those non-criminal problems that may

affect people’s security. On the other hand, non-governmental groups (or

individuals) have explicitly assumed the responsibility for organizing their

own protection and ask for private (and every so often state) police to

provide it. Therefore the contemporary restructuring of policing regards the

pluralization of the supply of security (agencies providing security), but

also the pluralization of the demand for security: no longer are only state

governments responsible for society’s security needs, but also local

authorities and non-governmental groups. As Bayley and Shearing (2001:

5) reported:

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“The contemporary restructuring of policing separates both the authorization of security and the activity of policing from what is recognised as formal government. In so doing the distinction between ‘public’ and ‘private’ itself becomes problematic. […] For these reasons it is more accurate to characterize what is happening as multilateralization in the governance of security, rather than privatization of policing.”

Transnationalization of policing has several dimensions. First, private

multinational corporations now provide policing on a worldwide basis.

Second, transnational cooperation among law enforcement agencies of

nation-states is developing rapidly in order to fight the transnationalization

of crimes. Third, policing is being undertaken by genuinely international

institutions, such as the United Nations, the World Court and the European

Union (see Bayley and Shearing 2001: 40; Bruggeman, 2001: 283).

Each of these phenomenon (pluralization, localization and

transnationalization) throws up a challenge to the state police. New

demands and new security control spaces have emerged, but all of these

demands differ from those the police were used to dealing with in the past

(Recasens I Brunet, 2000). State police are no longer the only security

provider: they are put on the market of policing, where a multiplicity of

subjects, private and public, demand security, and a multiplicity of agencies

contend with each other on the basis of their effectiveness to provide

security. Therefore, private polices exhibit a different mentality from that of

state police: they are more concerned with preventing than punishing crime.

“Rather than deterring crime through the threat of detection, arrest, and punishment, private policing tries to regulate behaviour and circumstances to diminish the possibility that crime will occur. […] private security tries to create an environment of discipline and order that limits opportunities for crime, reassure law-abiding people, and constrains the deviant few.” (Bayley and Shearing, 2001: 18)

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It is a new policing style, in line with up to date crime prevention theories

(which includes situational crime prevention). It is this style that state

police are required to adopt (Bayley, 1998a: 5). In conclusion, the need for

international cooperation forces state police to abandon the reference to

state-nation and to reorganize themselves at a transnational level, without

loosing their specificity (see Kumar, 1998). The risks, in fact, are, on one

hand, that of confusion at an international level between military forces and

police forces (Bayley and Shearing, 2001: 40; Bayley, 1998a: 6)10, and on

the other that of the loss of the democratic accountability of policing

(Loader, 2000).

It is to face these challenges that police have to rethink their goals and

practices; but police culture (and society’s thoughts on the police, that is

how people and institutions think about police organization and activity)

seems to be too much rigid to adapt to this new reality (see Bayley and

Shearing, 2001).11

The Police At The Centre Of The Crisis About Public Security

Therefore, for several reasons, the crime-fighting strategies developed

by the police have failed to obtain the desired results, and recent trends in

policing are hitting the police’s ability to provide security hard. The result is

that police failures have alienated citizens, and may have exacerbated fear

of crime problems (Kelling, 1978 :227). As Bayley (1994: 11) referred:

10 Regarding the confusion between police and the military, Palidda speaks of two trends: that of the militarization of the police, and that of torsion of military towards international police actions (see Palidda, 2000: 3). 11 Although some changes occurred in recent years (see para. 2.3), the dominant model of policing in several Western Countries is still the so-called ‘bureaucratic or centralized model’. It is recognised that this model produces a police culture characterized by resistance to change (see Zhao et al., 2001: 366).

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“In democratic countries all over the world there is a sense of crisis about public security. And at the centre of this crisis are the police, who promise to protect us but do not appear to be able to do so.”

Police forces seem to have realized it, and some of them have tried to

recover public support by strategies specifically directed at increasing trust

in the police.

1.2 Police Searching For People’s Trust

An Intermediate Goal Of Several Police Strategies: Increasing Trust In The Police

The last two decades has produced new strategies for policing based

around the idea of Community Policing or Police de Proximité.

The term ‘Community Policing’ began to appear in professional

literature around the mid-1970s. Pioneering U.S. police departments, like

the Santa Ana Police Department, used the knowledge acquired from ‘team

policing’ experiments to expand some of the elements, such as geographic

decentralization and despecialisation of police services, and interaction

between police and community, more broadly in the department’s routine

operations (Scott, 2000: 98). From here, in the 1980s several cities in

U.S.A. and abroad12 began to implement community-oriented policing

12 See, for example, the SPCUM (Service de Police de la Communauté Urbaine de Montréal) of Montréal, Québec, Canada (see Normandeau, 2000); the Community Policing program in the Rotterdam-Rijmond police, Netherlands (see Hessing, 1997); the recent development in East Europe of police organizational models in accordance with the expectations of the community (see Sutka, 1997). For a brief overview of the spread of Community Programs around the world in 1990, see the proceedings of the Conference of the Australian Institute of Criminology on The Police And The Community In The Era 1990, Canberra, 22-23 October 1990. See also Trojanowicz and Harden, 1985.

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strategies. Data from the Lemas survey, which since 1987 has periodically

collected data from State and local law enforcement agencies in U.S.A.,

show the wide diffusion of the community policing programs. For example,

64% of local police departments serving 86% of all residents had full-time

officers engaged in Community Policing activities during 1999, compared

to 34% of departments serving 62% of residents; state and local law

enforcement agencies had nearly 113,000 Community Policing officers or

their equivalents during 1999, compared to about 21.000 in 1997 (Hickman,

and Reaves, 2001).

The central goal of Community Policing is establishing and

maintaining mutual trust between citizens and police (Community Policing

Consortium, 1994: 15). This on the assumption that:

“Without trust between police and citizens, effective policing is impossible.” (Community Policing Consortium, 1994: vii)

Although Community Policing programs can be very different from

each other (see Beyer, 1990), there are two main elements of Community

Policing philosophy: community partnership and the problem solving

approach (Community Policing Consortium, 1994: 15-18). On one hand the

police recognize the need for cooperation with the community: only by

collaborating with citizens are police able to build effective policing

strategies. On the other hand, police reorganize themselves by adopting a

problem-solving approach. Problem-solving is a broad term that implies

more than simply the prevention of crime: it is based on the assumption that

crime and disorder can be reduced in small geographic areas by carefully

studying the characteristics of problems in the area, and then applying the

appropriate resources (see Goldstein, 1979). Although the problem-solving

approach has been included in many Community Policing programs (see

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Scott, 2000: 36), the effectiveness of the Problem-solving approach is

considered dependent on the widespread involvement of community in the

program. Community Policing and Problem-oriented Policing have very

different historical and theoretical roots. Community Policing arises from

the crisis of legitimacy after the urban race riots of the 1960s, while

Problem-Oriented Policing, in contrast, arose from the crisis of police

effectiveness in crime prevention (Sherman, 1998: 4)13. Although these

differences exist, both come from the crisis of police legitimacy and may be

viewed as the police’s attempts to react to this crisis by recovering an image

of credibility with the public.

The birth of the Police de Proximitè in France has the same roots.

Since the early 1980s, French police activities have gradually evolved

towards an approach that emphasises accessibility and proximity. This

occurred under pressure from the newly established national council for

crime prevention and from communal councils for crime prevention (see

Vourc’h C., Marcus M., 1996: 58), which spread in those years to address

the urban safety problem. Thus, also in France, similar to the Anglo-Saxon

model of “Community Policing”14, when faced with a crisis in public

security that threatened police legitimacy, policy makers reacted by

drawing police closer to citizens.

In Italy, the crisis of police legitimacy during 1970s concerned almost

exclusively the manner in which protests were being policed, and did not

13 As Reiss (1992: 91-94) suggested, Community Policing may be viewed as a reaction against the centralization of command and control in a police bureaucracy. Centralization produced impersonality in contact between citizen and police and a sense of abandonment of local problems. Community policing is expected not only to bring police officers closer to the citizens they serve by instituting foot patrol, but also to develop new policing strategies through citizen participation. In contrast, Problem-Oriented Policing may be seen as a reaction against what are regarded as the preoccupations of a centralized command, preoccupation with efficiency and effectiveness of policing. 14 Vourc’h C., Marcus M. (1996: 58) identified four points of similarity between Police de Proximité and Community Policing: greater attention to the public and to public expectations in

23

produce specific police strategies, but several changes in the practices used

to maintain public order, first of all negotiation (Palidda, 2000; Della Porta

and Reiter 1998). In fact, the specificity of the Italian case is that the ‘urban

security problem’ arose in the political and social debate more recently than

in other Western Countries (at the beginning of the 1990s; see Pavarini,

1994: 443). This Italian ‘delay’ led the public in 1970s and 1980s to focus

not on police effectiveness in providing security, but only, on police

practices in maintaining social order during labour union or student protests

(an appreciable problem since the 1960s). Furthermore, the national

emergencies of ‘terrorism’ and ‘mafia’ during 1980s brought the public

closer to the police forces, who are considered to be a bulwark of

democracy. In conclusion, Italy does not have a tradition in studying police.

In other countries research on policing were important in opening the

debate on police effectiveness (see Sherman, 1998). The result is that the

Italian police have never been under discussion as security providers for

citizens. At least until recently. Nowadays, in fact, also in Italy there is a

wide sense of crisis about public security, and police forces, if are not yet at

the centre of this crisis, are at least touched. As in France and the United

States, Italian police forces seem to be reacting by focusing on recovering

people’s trust in them. The Italian Report on the state of security in Italy

from the Ministry of the Interior (Ministero dell’Interno, 2001 :470) stated

that police are required to create a solid trust-based relationship with

citizens, according to which the police officer becomes the stable and

reassuring point of reference for citizens. The initiatives of polizia di

prossimità, which the Italian Government has recently implemented (see

Ministero dell’Interno, 2001: 469-473) intend to take the police in this

direction.

matters of safety; focus on partnership; a territorial approach to police services; focus on prevention.

24

Thus, in Italy, as in several other Countries15, increasing trust in the

police has become one of the main goals of policing. Achieving this goal is

first of all an instinctive police reaction to the risk of losing legitimacy in an

era of insecurity: they try to recover the legitimacy which they are losing.

Then, it seems something more: a practical way for state police to be

considered an effective security provider. In fact, a growing number of

policy makers state that public support is central to police accomplishing

their core mission of preventing crime and reducing insecurity. In other

words, police success in that mission depends heavily on their legitimacy

(Sherman, 1998). So, increasing trust in the police may be viewed as an

intermediate (and achievable) goal for police strategies aimed at preventing

crime and reducing insecurity. Several studies appear to support this

statement.

Recent research findings highlight the key role played by trust in the

police in improving the security conditions in the neighbourhood.

Neighbourhood security conditions may be subjective and objective. In the

first case, a neighbourhood is safe if residents feel safe. In the second case,

a neighbourhood is safe if residents comply with the law and the crime rate

is low. Recent studies on insecurity have shown that the more people trust

the police the safer they feel (see below Baker and colleagues, 1983; Box

and colleagues, 1988; Smith et al., 1999; Istat, 1999; Cornelli and Castellan,

2001; Mindel et al., 2000; Normandeau, 2000). That is why, very often,

feeling unsafe is linked to a sense of distrust in the capacity of institutions,

among which mainly the police, to solve problems in the neighbourhood

(see Wilson and Kelling, 1982). Several other studies have shown that the

higher the trust in the police is, the less people break the law, and the more

15 The loss of police legitimacy and the reaction aimed at increasing people’s trust are not trends that concern only western societies. See Goldsmith (2002) for Colombian case and Font (2002) for Argentina case.

25

police are able to reduce the amount of crime, and the more likely police are

to make arrests (see below Tyler, 1990; La Free, 1998; Pino, 2001; Bayley,

1994).

A brief overview of these research findings follows.

The More People Trust The Police The Safer They Feel

A review of extant literature on fear of crime16 shows that trust in the

police is not included in the main predictive models of fear of crime. Other

variables are traditionally studied in relation to fear of crime: victimization,

vulnerability, disorder and, very recently, collective efficacy17.

16 Although research on fear of crime has been going on for more than 30 years, the meaning of the term “fear of crime” is even more ambiguous: over the years, fear of crime has been associated with a variety of perceptions, emotions, opinions, feelings and attitudes (such as mistrust, worry, anger, perceived risk, anxiety, concern about neighbourhood disorder, declining national morality). Scholars in their attempts to give sense to different and often contrasting definitions, have distinguished a cognitive dimension of fear (related to assessments of risk) from an emotional dimension of fear (related to feelings). In this way Wilcox Rountree (1998) and Fishman and Mesch (1996) and Hale (1996) analysed the literature on the fear of crime (more than 200 articles and monographies) and found that most of the studies failed to distinguish between a series of concepts related to perceptions of and response to crime. He created a map of all key-definitions used in quantitative studies on fear of crime, distinguishing between personal (self directed) and general (other directed) perceptions and separated these perceptions into judgements of risk, crime related values evidenced in levels of concern, and emotional responses of worry and fear. Hale’s model, based on the work of Lagrange and Ferraro (1989), was recently extended by Tulloch (1998), who incorporated the behavioural dimension into the fear of crime model. For a brief discussion of the problems in defining fear of crime, see William et al., 2000. 17 The relationship between previous victimization and fear of crime seems to be of a complex nature and the results reported in literature are contradictory (see Warr, 2000; Hale, 1996; Borooah and Carcach, 1997). Sociodemographic variables are found to be predictors of fear of crime. The most common explanation deals with the concept of vulnerability (see Barbagli, 2002: 206). Other researchers have adopted a disorder (or incivilities) perspective, according to which fear is linked to social incivilities including behaviour like public drinking, drunkenness, drug use, being noisy in public, or ‘hey honey’ hassles and physical incivilities, including graffiti, litter, vacant houses, house and properties not well maintained, and abandoned cars (see Wilson and Kelling, 1982). This perspective has been recently contradicted by findings from a longitudinal study on Baltimore (Taylor, 1999). Recently, some authors have suggested that ‘collective efficacy’, that is cohesion among neighbourhood residents combined with shared expectations for formal or informal social control of public space, is the major social process inhibiting both crime and disorder and reducing fear of crime (Sampson and Raudenbush, 1999; Sampson and Raudenbush, 2001).

26

However, where it is studied, trust in the police is found related to

insecurity.

Baker and colleagues (1983: 330) found that confidence in the police

has a substantial negative effect on fear: individuals who have more

confidence in the police are less fearful.

Box and colleagues (1988) constructed a model for explaining fear of

crime and tested it by examining data from the second British Crime

Survey. They considered several variables in this model which are found in

extant literature as factors of fear of crime (gender, age, race, incivilities,

neighbourhood cohesion, housing conditions, knowledge about crime,

victimization) which also included confidence in the police.

“If people believe that the police are effective and efficient at clearing-up crimes and apprehending criminals, that they respond to calls quickly and that they have physical presence on the ground, then they are less likely to fear of crime”. (Box et al., 1988: 342)

Analysis of the data showed that individuals who have confidence in the

functioning of their local constabulary have a lower probability of fear than

similar respondents who do not (Box et al., 1988: 351).

Similar findings came from a survey on criminal victimization and

citizen perceptions in 12 cities across the United States, held by the Office

of Community Oriented Policing Services and the Bureau of Justice

Statistics as supplement to the National Crime Victimization Survey with

questions related to Community Policing (Smith et al., 1999). A household

telephone survey asked residents aged 16 or older about their level of

satisfaction with the police who served their neighbourhood and crossed

these responses with those who reported their fear of neighbourhood crime.

When compared to those who were not fearful, persons who were fearful of

27

crime in their neighbourhood were less likely to be satisfied with the local

police (Smith et al., 1999: 26).

Data from the first Italian National Crime Victimization Survey also

showed that fear of crime grows when trust in the police falls (Istat, 1999):

residents who were satisfied with the local police were less likely to say

they felt unsafe walking alone in their neighbourhood at night (Figure 1).

The importance of trust in the police in producing fear of crime was

also asserted by findings of a survey held in Trentino, a northern Italian

province, by Transcrime in 2001 (Cornelli and Castellan, 2001). This

survey measured residents’ sense of insecurity with a multi-item approach,

distinguishing between emotional and cognitive dimensions of insecurity

and between insecurity at general, neighbourhood and personal levels (see

Hale, 1996; Taylor and Hale, 1986; Wilcox Rountree, 1998). Then, it

studied the influence of seven independent variables on each item of

insecurity. The independent variables were: sex, age, level of education,

Figure 1 - Residents degree of safety in the neighbourhood by whether they were satisfied with the police (a lot, quite a lot, not very much, not at all). Italy, 1997-98.

(Percentage of respondents)

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

feeling unsafe feeling safe

a lotquite a lotnot very muchnot at all

Source: Transcrime elaborations on Istat data

Per

cent

age

28

victimisation (having been a victim of a crime), indirect victimisation

(knowing about a crime that took place), trust in the police, and life-style.

The analysis of the statistical significance, through H-test of Kruskal-

Wallis, showed that the most dependent variables used were related to trust

in the police with a very high degree of significance, so trust in the police

appeared to be the most important factor explaining insecurity in Trentino

(Cornelli and Castellan, 2001).

In conclusion, several surveys aimed at evaluating policing programs

indicate that in areas where residents’ trust in the police is higher, feeling of

insecurity is lower (see, for example, Mindel et al., 2000: 43-55;

Normandeau, 2000).

The More People Trust The Police The Safer Are The Neighbourhood

Neighbourhoods are safe not only if citizens feel safe, but also if the

crime rate is low. Studies suggest that the more people trust the police, the

lower the crime rate is likely to be. Three perspectives are addressed. In the

first, the likelihood that a crime occurs, that is someone does not comply

with the law, is related to the degree of police legitimacy, which is a

construct similar to that of trust. In the second, the likelihood that police can

prevent crimes depends on their cooperation with citizens, based on mutual

trust. In the third approach, the likelihood that offenders will be arrested

depends on the public’s support of police investigations.

Criminality, taken as a whole, is first a problem of non-compliance

with the law18. The assumption that the legitimacy of a criminal justice

system enhances compliance, has traditionally been accepted by lawyers

29

and social scientists (see Tyler, 1990: 3). But what is legitimacy? A

common approach to assessing legitimacy is to measure the extent to which

authorities enjoy the public’s support, allegiance, and confidence. The

essential concept in definitions of support is a favourable affective

orientation towards an authority, an orientation that prepares a citizen to act

as directed by the authority (Tyler, 1990: 28). In this sense, legitimacy is a

construct similar to that of trust in the police. Research findings on police

legitimacy may support the assumption that the more citizens trust the

police the more they are likely to comply with the law. Tyler, for example,

examined legitimacy in two ways: as a perceived obligation to obey the

law, and as support for legal authorities, and tested the influence of

legitimacy on compliance with the law by using multiple regression

analyses. The results indicated that, among other factors such as sex, age,

income and personal morality, also legitimacy, both as an obligation to

obey the law and as support for legal authorities, had a significant

independent effect on compliance, even when the other potential causal

factors are controlled (Tyler, 1990: 57-60). The author stated that this result

is in line with previous other studies, which indicated that those who

viewed police and courts as legitimate are less likely to break the law

(Tyler, 1990: 31). More recently, La Free (1998), in his historical study on

crime in the U.S.A., explained the rise in street crimes in the U.S.A. from

1960s to 1980s, and the rapid drop in the 1990s by speaking of the

‘legitimacy of the social institutions’. According to the author, the rise in

the crime rate was determined by the loss of legitimacy of social institutions

(mainly political and economic institutions and the family), while the drop

in the crime rate in the 1990s was determined by people’s increased trust in

18 The most common definition of crime regards if as ‘an action defined by the law which, if detected, will lead to some kind of sanction being employed against the perpetrator’ (see Emsley, 1997: 58).

30

other institutions, such as the justice system (police and courts) and the

school and welfare systems.

People’s trust in the police is crucial in increasing police ability to

prevent crime, because it allows police to integrate their ‘policing’ work

with the spontaneous social control exercised by citizens. Policing is not

only what police do. Members of the public are themselves engaging in a

great deal of ‘policing’ work and they wish the police to complement and

extend what they are currently doing (Shapland and Vagg, 1987: 54).

Therefore, much social control is informal: informal social control

mechanisms play a far greater role than formal policing in determining

crime levels. Recent studies on collective efficacy, defined as cohesion and

mutual trust among residents combined with shared expectations for the

social control in public space (Sampson and Raudenbush 1999: 603), also

confirmed this view. The researchers of the Project on Human Development

in Chicago Neighbourhoods found that collective efficacy is the largest

predictor of crime levels in the neighbourhoods: they showed that the

higher collective efficacy is in a social group, that is, the higher the trust

between neighbours and the willingness to intervene on behalf of the

common good, the lower the crime rate (see Sampson and Raudenbush

1999: 603; Morenoff et al., 2001). Therefore, police may be effective in

preventing crime only if their work is integrated with citizen social control

activities (see Hough, 1987: 75-76). And this cooperation may occur if

there is mutual trust: some scholars suggest, in fact, that a lack of trust

between the citizens and the police will not allow policing programs to

reach their full potential (see, for example, the study by Pino, 2001: 213).

Without social support, police can do little to prevent crime.

In conclusion, it is recognised that the critical ingredient in solving

crimes is whether the public – victims and witnesses – provide information

to the police that helps identify the suspect. In fact, it has recognised that

31

successful criminal investigations are based on the use of modern

technology, which increases the quantity of information available on a

specific crime, and also on a flow of information from citizens to police

(Bayley, 1994: 7). This flow occurs if citizens trust the police to do a good

job.

1.3 Problems Addressed By This Thesis

Thus, trust in the police is a factor of insecurity; it favours the

compliance with the law, and it is crucial for the success of policing and

crime prevention strategies.

Also for these reasons, in Italy, like several other countries, the state

police, faced with the risk of losing legitimacy, have began to concentrate

on increasing people’s trust in them. The spread of new strategies for

policing based around the idea of Community Policing or Police de

Proximité are examples of this new goal.

But, are we sure that police can achieve this goal?

This thesis tackles this issue by addressing two problems. The first

regards if the police’s work affects people’s trust in the police. If this is the

case, the second is how the police’s work may affect people’s trust in the

police.

32

Problem 1: Does Trust In The Police Depend On The Police’s Work?

Although several police forces around the world have promoted

initiatives or programs aimed at improving the trust relationship with

citizens, there is no empirical support that trusting the police depends on the

police’s work. The problem is ‘whether’ the police are able to increase

people’s trust. In other words, is trust determined by the characteristics of

the subject who trusts, or by the characteristics of the object that has to be

trusted?

In fact, the two perspectives may contradict each other.

In the first perspective, people trust the police because they have a

particular position in social space (being male or female, being younger or

older, having an high level of education or not, being rich or poor, having a

proactive life-style or not, living in urban or rural areas, and so on), which

induce them to do so. In this case, trusting the police is an attitudinal issue.

In the second perspective, people trust the police because they focus

on their relationships with police, which provide inputs for trusting or not.

In this case, trusting the police depends more on what police do and how

people assess what police do rather than on people’s inclination to trust.

Here trusting the police is a police matter.

Therefore this thesis tackles this issue in order to know if the police’s

work may affect people’s trust in the police. If so, police might have a

concrete objective to achieve in order to increase their effectiveness.

Problem 2. How Can Police Achieve The Goal Of Increasing Trust In The Police?

High visibility is a pillar of modern police strategy (Sherman, 1995:

327). Several programs increased the number of police officers on the street

33

by engaging new police officers or by shifting police officers from the

office to the street. That is because they assume that the more police

officers there are on the street, the more visible the police are, the more

police-public contacts occur, the more police are perceived as being close to

people, and, therefore, the more people are likely to trust the police (see, for

example Community Policing Consortium, 1994: 14, according to which

“increased police presence is an initial move in establishing trust”). Italy is

also following this direction. Public resources for police are increasing; the

number of police officers per 100,000 residents increased by 38.8% from

1981 to 1996 (Istat, 2000: 319); the new strategies of polizia di prossimità

are focusing on increasing police visibility in neighbourhoods.

Therefore, policy makers tend to justify increased police size by

saying that more police is crucial to induce people to trust the criminal

justice system. They suggest that police officers are the ‘gatekeepers of the

criminal justice system’19: the amount of safety that citizens receive from

institutions is decided nearly exclusively by patrol officers at a street level

(Hall et al. 2001: 628). They also think that more police is what people

want for their safety: if institutions don’t provide more police, the trusting

relationship between citizens and institutions (and police themselves) might

break. Therefore, the positive effect of the increased police presence in the

neighbourhood on people’s trust in the police has become common sense.

Even if people really wanted more police, there is no empirical

support for the statement that more police in the neighbourhood leads to

more trust in the police (and in the criminal justice system). Thus, it is taken

for granted that police may influence people’s trust in them (problem 1), a

second problem is ‘how’ can police increase people’s trust in them: by

19 This expression has been used by Novak and colleagues ( 2002).

34

increasing their size and their presence in the neighbourhoods? Or by doing

something different?

Therefore, this thesis tackles this issue in order to know how the

police’s work may affect people’s trust in the police.

1.4 Purpose Of This Thesis

Although trust in the police is recognised by several studies as an

important predictor of fear of crime, of the compliance with the law, and

crucial for the success of policing programs, currently it is not specifically

addressed by criminologists. Knowledge about it is limited and incomplete.

There are two bodies of research about people’s attitudes towards the

police20: policing studies and citizens’ surveys. The first provide

information on citizens’ satisfaction with the police by evaluating the

effectiveness of specific policing strategies. The second provide

information on citizens’ attitudes toward the police by investigating their

opinions and experiences21.

There are some limitations in previous studies.

On one hand, evaluation studies often measure the success of policing

programs by several means, among which by asking citizens if they are

satisfied with the police. Therefore, they evaluate whether the policing

strategy is effective in increasing trust in the police; they provide

suggestions about whether police activity influence, under certain

circumstances, people’s satisfaction with the police. But, they do not allow

hypotheses to be tested regarding relationships between different

20 As mentioned above, most literature on policing is English-speaking. 21 For a deeper review of the literature on trust in the police see chapter 2.

35

independent variables and trust in the police; that is, they do not allow the

investigation of whether trust in the police depends more on how police

work in the neighbourhood or on what are people’s attitudes towards trust.

On the other hand, surveys on citizens’ attitudes toward the police are

mainly descriptive. They investigate ‘how much’ people trust the police,

but not ‘why’. Most of the small number of surveys that attempt to find

causal relationships regarding attitudes toward the police consider single

independent variables with bivariate analysis, without simultaneously

controlling other factors (Hale and Uglow, 1997). Furthermore, even when

more independent variables are simultaneously studied, often only a few

theoretically relevant groups of variables are considered. Therefore it is

possible that variables regarding the police’s work are not considered (see,

for example, Cao et al., 1998). This happens because knowledge about what

is trust in the police is lacking. It is not by chance that most of the studies

avoid speaking about trust in the police, and use terms such as ‘satisfaction

with the police’, ‘support for the police’, ‘positive attitudes towards the

police’. It is difficult to speak about trust in the police because there is no

general framework about what it is.

Beginning with previous studies and their limitations, this thesis

expands extant literature on trust in the police by addressing why people

trust the police. To do this it tackles the two problems mentioned above: is

the public’s trust in the police a police matter? (Problem 1) How can the

police achieve the goal of increasing trust in the police? (Problem 2).

36

CHAPTER 2 EXTANT LITERATURE ON TRUST IN THE POLICE AND RESEARCH HYPOTHESES

Trust in the police has become a very important topic in

criminological matters: it is recognised as factor of insecurity; it favours

compliance with the law, and it is crucial for the success of policing and

crime prevention strategies.

However, studies that specifically address the question of trust in the

police are rare, and the conditions under which trust in police is produced

have only been partially analysed.

As a result we do not know if police can do something in order to

produce trust in the police: is trust in the police affected more by the

subjective characteristics of people, or by the way police act in the

neighbourhood?

This lack of knowledge is an obstacle to finding effective ways to

reduce crime and the fear related to it, and to effectively implement many

crime prevention and policing strategies.

With these points in mind, this chapter begins by addressing

theoretical issues on trust in general. It draws a definition of trust in the

37

police and discusses two different views regarding why people trust the

police: in the first, people trust the police because they have a subjective

inclination to do so; in the second, people trust the police because police

actions give them good reason to do so. Next, this chapter reviews previous

studies on factors of trust in the police, to investigate which variables are

suggested as being better predictors of the levels of trust in the police. The

purpose is to learn which view of why people trust the police is more

founded in empirical research. Research findings do not provide a definitive

answer, therefore at the end of the chapter three working hypotheses

regarding which variables affect trust in the police are formulated. These

hypotheses will be tested in the next chapter.

2.1 Trust And Trust In The Police

In the same way that today trust in the police is under considered in

criminology, until the eighties trust was also under considered in

sociological literature. As Misztal (1996) stated:

“Although it was incorporated into many models of social relationship, trust was seldom explicitly questioned or studied. […] Modern social sciences have not contributed significantly to our understanding of the concept of trust and the conditions under which trust relations thrive or struggle to survive”

In recent years, however, there has been growing interest in the study

of trust in different areas. Economists think of trust as regulatory

mechanism of the market, and as a public benefit to be considered in

consumer protection legislation. Social psychologists are interested in

38

investigating the changing role of interpersonal trust and its effect on

institutional trust (Wells and Kipnis, 2001). The visibility of this issue is

also increasing in social sciences. Social theorists tend to study trust by

concentrating on its functions and the benefits it produces. It is recognised

as the basis for individual risk-taking behaviour, reduced social complexity,

order, social capital22 and so on (Möllering, 2001).

In explaining why trust is essential for a stable relationship, important

for the maintenance of order or for mutual cooperation, at the basis of any

exchange and necessary for the most routine of everyday interactions

(Misztal, 1996), authors often give different definitions of trust.

Due to the lack of criminological studies that specifically address trust

in the police, looking at how trust is defined in social and human sciences is

useful to specifically study trust in the police.

Theoretical Issues On Trust

John Locke declared trust to be ‘the bond of society’, the vinculum

societatis (see Hollis, 1998). Everyday life is a catalogue of success in the

exercise of trust. Our dealings with friends and enemies, neighbours and

strangers depend on it, whether at home, on the streets, in markets, seats of

government or other arenas of civil society. Would you ask a stranger the

22 Trust is recognised as a form of social capital, facilitating cooperation within the social structure and making the creation of economic prosperity possible. A number of studies have paid attention to the benefits that trust produces in terms of social and economic development. The Putnam study (Putnam, 1992) on different regions in Italy shows two different areas, the first one characterised by the honesty of leaders, solidarity, civic engagement, cooperation and good governance. The second one characterised by poor engagement in social and cultural associations, prevalence of private business on public purpose, corruption, governance less effective. The difference between the two areas regards the existence of trust, norms of reciprocity, civic engagement and association, all presented as elements of social capital. Thus more trust means more social capital. Fukuyama (1995) studied the role of trust in the creation of economic prosperity in Japan. Like Putnam, Fukuyama found high correlation between trust, communal ties (or solidarity), well-functioning social order and economic development.

39

time unless you could normally count on getting a truthful answer? Could

you use the highway without trusting others? Could an economy progress

beyond barter, or a society beyond mud huts, unless people relied on one

other to keep their promises? Without trust, social life would be impossible

(Hollis, 1998).

But what is trust? How is it conceptualised in human and social

sciences?

The following review of extant literature on trust provides four main

perspectives: Simmel’s notion of trust as ‘weak knowledge’, Luhmann’s

distinction between trust and confidence, rational choice scholars’ notion of

trust as rational calculation, and Giddens’ distinction between personal trust

and trust in an abstract system. These perspectives will be discussed and

integrated with the points of views of other authors, such as Roniger,

Seligman, Möllering, Misztal and Dibben.

The Simmelian notion of trust provides a theoretical framework for

analysing personal as well as generalised (impersonal) trust (see Möllering,

2001; Misztal, 1996). Three main elements can be identified in Simmel’s

view: trust as confidence based on personal knowledge, trust as a weak

form of inductive knowledge and trust as an individual’s state of mind.

Simmel (1950), studying secret societies, recognised that the main

internal relationship amongst the members of a secret society is reciprocal

confidence: here trust is based on personal knowledge among individuals

(personal trust). But the notion of trust changes when Simmel address the

problem of the exchange of money in modern societies in The Philosophy

Of Money (1978).23 In this book, the author paid particular attention to how

money has transformed social relations, replacing personal ties of

23 In Simmel the dominant social relation in modern society is exchange, defined as sacrifice in return for a gain (Simmel, 1971: 51) Every interaction has to be regarded as an exchange (Simmel, 1978: 89), and one of the most important conditions of exchange is trust.

40

traditional societies by establishing impersonal relationships. Modern

society is complex, and its functioning depends on a multitude of promises,

contracts and arrangements. Money is a promise that exchange will be

honoured and its function of substituting personal ties is assured by people

trusting the economic system. As it is impossible to know everybody and

verify everything (unpredictability), particularly in complex societies, in

order to interact with others we must trust their reliability. In this sense,

impersonal trust is based on the prediction or calculation of the reliability of

likely future events, which is a form of ‘inductive knowledge’ (Misztal,

1996: 51-2). But trust, as Simmel said, is ‘weak inductive knowledge’. In

fact, because of the unpredictability of social events, besides the calculation

of the reliability of likely future events, Simmel identifies a further element

within trust: a “socio-psychological quasi-religious faith”, which allows one

to overcome the impossibility of knowing everybody and verifying

everything. Simmel describes it as ‘believe in someone’ without calculation

in rational terms, a mental state which has nothing to do with knowledge. In

this perspective trust is seen as ‘weak inductive knowledge’, combining

rational calculation with faith. Following this direction, studies on trust in

medical relationships suggested that trust requires an optimistic acceptance

of vulnerability with certain positive expectations (Hall et al., 2001: 616).

In Simmel’s work (see Misztal, 1996: 50), the shift from trust as

confidence (personal trust) to trust as a weak form of inductive knowledge

(impersonal trust) consists of a shift from a relational quality of trust, based

on personal interaction between social actors, to the notion of trust as an

individual’s state of mind which makes exchanges possible with people or

institutions (such as an economic system), notwithstanding personal

knowledge.

In Luhmann, the relevance of trust is a consequence of two combined

processes: the unmanageable complexity of the modern world and the

41

increasing replacement of ‘danger’ by ‘risk’. Trust is a solution to the

complexity: its function is the reduction of social complexity by increasing

the tolerance of uncertainty, which is ever more present in modern society.

Furthermore, trust is different from confidence. Both concepts are modes of

asserting expectations, and refer to the likelihood that expectations may

lapse into disappointment (Luhmann, 1979). These are different because

trust presupposes a situation of risk, while confidence a situation of danger

(Luhmann, 2000). Risks emerge only as components of an individual’s

decision and action. Risk is created by an internal (individual) calculation

of external (situational) conditions. Conversely, danger happens without

our decisions or as result of previous behaviours24.

Confidence is a response to the danger, and consists of neglecting that

a danger may occur:

“You cannot live without forming expectations with respect to contingent events and you have to neglect, more or less, the possibility of disappointment. You neglect this because it is a very rare possibility, but also because you do not know what else to do. The alternative is to live in a state of permanent uncertainty” (Luhmann, 2000: 3)

The kind of confidence that our expectations will not be disappointed,

because it is part of our daily routine behaviour, does not need a continuous

state of thought. For instance, we have confidence in the purchasing power

of money and this feeling is based more on our familiarity with it rather

than on the effect of deciding each time whether to accept money or not. In

this sense, confidence is a sort of passive, pragmatic acceptance.

Trust, instead, presupposes a situation of risk:

24 Often, the difference between danger and risk is a situational and cultural issue: a dangerous event, such as a flood, may be considered as a risk if people think that public authorities may do things in order to avoid it, as danger if people think that ‘if it must happen, it will happen’ (see Luhman, 2000).

42

“You may or may not buy a used car which turns out to be a ‘lemon’. You may or may not hire a babysitter for the evening and leave him or her unsupervised in you apartment; he or she may also be a ‘lemon’. You can avoid taking the risk, but only if you are willing to waive the associated advantages […] The distinction between confidence and trust thus depends on perception and attribution. If you do not consider alternatives (every morning you leave the house without a weapon!) you are in a situation of confidence. If you choose one action in preference to others in spite of the possibility of being disappointed by the action of others, you define situation as one of trust.” (Luhmann, 2000: 3)

In Luhman’s view, modern societies are even more characterised by

risk, that is a situation that is potentially harmful due to individual and

institutional choices (Luhmann, 1991: 55). Therefore, trust, consisting of

choosing actions by calculating related risks, has become the normal way of

making decisions in modern societies.

Many other researchers have stressed the distinction between trust and

confidence, by attributing only rational aspects to trust (see Seligman,

1997). Most of them, mainly in economics but also in political and social

sciences, refer to rational choice theory, in which rational calculation is

crucial25. Rational choice scholars assume that ‘good reason’ will inevitably

produce trust. In other words, trust is given as a result of a making the

correct choice between several options. Coleman (1990: 115), in

Foundations of Social Theory, argued that the decision to place trust in

someone is based on an estimation of the probability of the trustee keeping

the trust, but also on the use of negative sanctions. Thus, in Coleman, as in

Elster (see Misztal, 1996: 80), rationality and social norms are determinants

of a trust relationship. Gambetta (1988: 217) defines trust as follows:

25 According to rational choice theory, social life is the result of all an individual’s rational choices aimed at producing the highest utility for each actor. This approach can be well explained by utilizing the game theory, in which each actor considers what others are likely to do and then

43

“a particular level of subjective probability with which an agent assesses that another agent or group of agents will perform a particular action, both before he can monitor such action (or independently of his capacity ever to be able to monitor it) and in a context in which it affects his own action.”

In this view, as Misztal (1996: 82) notes, a person is trustworthy when

we have evaluated that the probability of her or his behaving in a way that

is damaging to us is low. Hardin, another rational choice scholar, argued

that trust is a three-part relation, where A trusts B to do X, and it is

“eminently rational”. Therefore, as the author says, the best way to

understand trust is as an encapsulated interest, an account in which the

truster’s expectations of the trustee’s behaviour depend on rational

assessments of the trustee’s motivations. Trust applies only in conditional

situations, in which expectations are rationally expected to be fulfilled

given certain boundary conditions.

The importance of the rational choice approach to trust is linked to its

easy application to formal relationships in the worlds of economics and

politics. Furthermore, many rational choice scholars, considering the

importance of trust for cooperation, which is a basic condition for economic

and social development, were interested in searching for the conditions

which facilitate trust. Among them, reputation (Dasgupta, 1988: 63) and

experience (personal contacts) are mentioned as being critical for deciding

whether to trust or not (Misztal, 1996: 84).

Giddens retrieved and extended Simmel’s distinction between

personal and impersonal trust and Luhmann’s notion of ‘system trust’. In

Luhmann’s view, modern societies are characterised by the increased

importance of ‘system trust’, which is built upon the belief that others also

makes the best choice to achieve the ends, given the probable behaviour of others (see Misztal, 1996: 78)

44

trust (also called ‘trust in trust’). When we believe in the stability of the

value of money, we do not trust other persons, but the functional elements

of the system. Giddens agrees with Luhmann’s views on trust, and

distinguishes between trust in people and trust in “abstract systems”. In

particular, Giddens classified trust in modern societies in two connected

categories: trust in abstract systems, based on faceless-commitments, and

trust in persons, based on deliberately cultivated face-to-face relationships26.

He distinguished them from personal trust in pre-modern societies, based on

kinship, community, religion and tradition. The starting point of Giddens’

view of trust is the modernisation of society (see Misztal, 1996: 89-90):

modernity is a ‘risk culture’ as its tendencies towards globalisation have

extended and intensified risk environments, which are seen not as a result of

a natural hazard but as socially constructed (for example the risk of nuclear

war). Furthermore, globalisation tendencies have restructured social

relations, from a local context of interaction to undefined spans of time-

space (Giddens, 1990: 21). This situation leads to a new quest for trust.

Trust in pre-modern societies was based on kinship, community, religion

and tradition. This form of trust it is no longer adequate for societies where

risks are the result of the decisions made by ‘impersonal’ institutions and

systems (such as the economic system). Furthermore, it is not adequate for

societies where family and community are no longer privileged places for

interactions. Trust in modern societies, therefore, is first trust in abstract

systems, linked to ‘faceless commitments’. Facework commitments are

based on the trustworthiness of the other and concern only those who know

one another. Faceless commitments are linked to symbolic tokens

(interchange media, such as money) and to expert systems (systems of

26 In addition, Giddens speaks of another side of trust, that is the concept called ‘basic (or elementary) trust’. It is a basis of a ‘stable self identity’ and deals with a person’s ontological security.

45

technical and professional knowledge). However, Giddens suggests that

trust in abstract systems is not the only form of trust in modern societies. In

a period of high modernity the importance of personalised trust may grow.

But in modern societies trust is based on deliberately cultivated, face-to-

face relationships, rather than on kinship, community, religion and tradition.

Also trust in abstract systems is closely connected to this new form of

personalised trust. According to Giddens, an individual builds trust in a

particular abstract system when he or she encounters someone who

represents this system (Giddens, 1990: 83). Giddens calls the situations

where the trust relationships between persons build trust in abstract systems

‘access points’. Attitudes of trust or lack of trust, towards specific abstract

systems are, therefore, liable to be strongly influenced by experiences at

access points. Jalava (2001: 6) gives a good example of how personal and

abstract trust work together:

“When the patient goes to the doctor, he is quite often ignorant of the disease he has. The doctor represents the expert system, in which the patient has confidence. When doctor and patient encounter, the doctor can with his presence, either strengthen the patient’s confidence in the system or alternatively awake suspicious about his own abilities. Good treatment often strengthens a patient’s confidence, but bad treatment strengthens only mistrust and suspicions”.

Roniger (1992: 20-24) also addressed trust in institutions. In a

comparative study on trust in modern societies he characterised three forms

of trust: unconditional free trust, characteristic-based trust, and reciprocal

pristine trust. These are all forms of personal trust27. The author (1992: 25),

27 Unconditional free trust is present in the original group constituted by mother and son: psychologists showed that the lack of this trust in the first years of life, which generates an intimate relationships between mother and son has negative consequences on the development of a positive attitude towards society. A sort of unconditional trust is looked for in all the complex contexts and in all the institutional structures: characteristic-based trust is a form of trust that is granted on the basis of a recognition of certain fundamental characteristics, such as ethnic or religious membership, and reciprocal pristine trust is sought after in friendships and other informal relationships which exist within a modern social organization. This form of trust is based on

46

recognises that modern societies are characterised by a growing complexity

of interpersonal ties and institutional structures and identifies in them a

need to extend personal trust in two ways: generalising or focusing. Both of

them apply to persons and institutions. People trust in generalised terms

when they grant trust to the other on the basis of impersonal images of

reliability, that is they produce expectations regarding those they do not

know on the basis of what they see or hear about them. Reliability is a key

concept to understand the generalisation process of trust. Reliability may be

generated by belonging to an organisational structure and sharing its norms

and values or by recognising that certain authorities have certain

competences. People can also trust in focalised terms when they trust

someone or an institution by focusing on their own personal experience

with them. Therefore, political institutions, for instance, may be considered

trustworthy on the basis of the correspondence of the image they project

with what individuals think has to be done (reliability). At the same time,

political institutions may be considered trustworthy if people consider that

their representatives, with whom they had a contact, to be trustworthy.

Definition Of Trust In The Police

From this review of sociological literature some general indications on

what is trust may be drawn. Scholars agree on these points:

1. Trust is an individual’s state of mind.

Trust is an individual’s state of mind, which makes interactions with people

or institutions possible. It is a subjective phenomenon: a trust relationship

reciprocity and on a desire to have a close link with others, based on sharing interests, values and emotions.

47

between two people is in fact two trusts, one in each of the two people for

the other.

2. Trust is linked to people’s expectations.

In the all perspectives considered, trust means expecting that someone

will behave or something will occur in a certain way. Most of the authors

(Simmel, Luhmann, Giddens) stressed that trust involves an element of

vulnerability resulting from our inability to monitor the behaviour of others

or to have complete knowledge about other people’s motivations, and from

our inability to predict future events (see Misztal, 1996: 18). Therefore trust

deals with one’s expectations about the behaviour of others, and the

likelihood that expectations may be disappointed.

3. trust in people and trust in ‘abstract systems’ are two different

but related forms of trust.

Both in Giddens and Roninger’s views, trusting an ‘abstract system’ is

closely connected to trusting people. An individual builds trust in a

particular abstract system on the basis of his/her encounter with someone

who represents this system, or on the basis of what he/she sees or hears

about somebody else’s encounter.

Therefore, according to what it is suggested by sociological literature

on trust, trust in the police may be defined as a favourable state of mind

towards the police consisting of believing that what we expect from them is

likely to be fulfilled by what police effectively do.

Studies specifically addressing trust in the police reinforce the

appropriateness of this definition. Stoutland (2001: 233-250), for example,

defined trust in the police as residents’ positive expectations regarding the

future behaviour and performance of the police. Jacob (1971), after the

urban riots of the late 1906s, characterised the attitudes of residents in the

black inner-city neighbourhoods towards the police as marked by deep

hostility and distrust, and described this situation of distrust as the result of

48

a large gap between residents’ expectations and perception of actual police

behaviour. Cao and Hou (2001: 88) stated that whatever it is called –

confidence in the police, satisfaction with the police or trust in the police –

this concept taps the public’s global attitude towards the police as an

institution in society.

Furthermore, trust in the police is a form of trust in abstract systems.

Police may be considered trustworthy on the basis of the correspondence of

the image they project with what individuals think has to be done

(reliability). At the same time, police may be considered trustworthy if

people consider their representatives with whom they had contact

trustworthy (see Giddens’ definition of ‘access points’ as situations where

trust based on face-to-face relationships builds trust in abstract systems).

Although there is agreement about what trust in the police is, research

on trust and trust in the police does not tell us why people trust the police:

do they trust because they have a subjective inclination to do so or because

they have a positive perception of the police’s work?

Is Trusting Based On The Truster’s Inclination To Do So Or On The Truster-Trustee Relationship?

In human and social sciences, scholars do not agree on why people

trust someone. Assuming that trust is an individual’s mental state, what is

its origin? Does it come from the truster’s subjective characteristics, general

beliefs and life style? Or does it come from the truster’s assessment of the

trustee’s behaviour? In other words, people expect something from

someone because they have a particular position in social space (are male or

female, are younger or older, have or do not have a high level of education,

49

are rich or poor, have or do not have a proactive life-style, live in urban or

rural areas, and so on), which induce them to do so? Or is it because they

focus on the relationship with the trustee which provides inputs for trusting

or not?

In the first case, people trust someone because they have an

inclination to do so. Personality theorists, for example, conceptualised trust

as a belief, expectancy, or feeling that is deeply rooted in one’s personality

and has its origins in the individual’s early psychosocial development

(Lewicki and Bunker 1996: 115). Here, the tendency to trust is influenced

by an individual’s dispositional tendencies (Brockner and Siegel, 1996:

405); the relationship between truster and trustee is not crucial in

determining the decision to place trust in someone. This perspective

emerges also in the Simmel’s notion of trust as faith: someone trusts

another because he or she needs to do so. In his view, while confidence is

based on knowledge between individuals who know each other, trust

compensates the difficulty of possessing personal knowledge in modern

societies with a ‘socio-psychological quasi religious faith’, a sort of

optimistic acceptance that is not based on observation of what others do.

In the second case, people trust someone because the trustee’s conduct

persuades them to do so. Social psychologists, for example, focus on the

interpersonal transactions between individuals that create or destroy trust at

interpersonal and group levels. They note that trust is more than simple

expectations: it is expectations set within particular contextual parameters

and constraints (Lewicki and Bunker 1996: 116). Here, the antecedents of

trust reside within the situation (Brockner and Siegel, 1996: 405); the

particular relationship between truster and trustee provides the truster with

inputs for assessing the trustee’s behaviour. This perspective also emerges

in Luhmann’s notion of trust as a choice from several options, according to

which, people trust on the basis of a careful and conscious assessment of

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the other’s conduct. In his view trust is the result of a choice from among

several alternatives, and differs from confidence, which is result of

aprioristic acceptance (Luhmann, 2000: 3). Similarly, rational choice

scholars suggest that the decision to place trust in someone is based on a

rational calculation of the probability of the trustee keeping the trust. So

before trusting, the truster carefully observes the object of trust (individual,

group of individuals or institution) in order to decide if the trust will be

kept. Like Luhmann, rational choice scholars believe that the decision to

trust or distrust depends more on the characteristics of the object of trust,

rather than on the characteristics of the subject who trusts.

Some authors attempted to theoretically join these two perspectives

together. They suggest that people trust because they have a general

inclination to do so and because they have a relationship with the trustee.

Boon and Holmes’s identified three elements that contribute to the level of

trust one has for another: an individual’s chronic disposition towards trust,

situational parameters and history of their relationship (see Lewicki and

Bunker 1996: 116). Möllering spoke of ‘interpretation’ and ‘suspension’ as

the two key-elements required to place trust in someone. In his view, trust is

a state of favourable expectation regarding other people’s actions and

intentions; therefore trusting is based on a careful observation and

interpretation of the other’s behaviour. But, as it is impossible, in modern

society, to possess complete knowledge regarding the behaviour and

intentions of others, trusting consists of suspending our awareness of the

unknown and transforming it into expectations. This suspension enables us

to trust. Möllering (2001: 414) describes it as follows:

“Suspension captures the ‘as if’ in Lewis and Weigert’s idea that ‘to trust is to live as if certain rationally possible futures will not occur […] Suspension can be defined as mechanism that brackets out uncertainty and ignorance, thus making interpretative knowledge momentarily

51

‘certain’ and enabling the leap to favourable (or unfavourable) expectation”.

Recently, Dibben (2000: 2), reviewing previous research on trust,

characterised three features of trust operating in interpersonal situations:

dispositional trust, the disposition of an individual to be trusting or not,

learnt trust, a general attitude to trust or not to trust another individual, and

situational trust, which is dependent on the situational cues that modify the

expression of generalised tendencies. In Dibben’s view, trust is a subjective

mental state:

“Trust is a subjective phenomenon […] A key implication of this is that the one trust that may be said to exist ‘between’ two people is in fact two trusts; they exist separately, one in each of the two people for (/of) the other”. (Dibben, 2000: 2)

But, at the same time, trust requires an experience:

“[…] interpersonal trust may therefore be seen to follow G.H. Mead’s explanation of a subjective experience, being that which resides in one individual to which the individual alone has a direct access, which requires another individual as stimulation for it, which may also be communicated in behaviour towards the society of individuals generating that atmosphere between them to which each responds, and which may be reflected upon by the individual as a separate experience of self-as-was a moment ago (learnt trust) and to which the self-as-now reacts (situational trust).” (Dibben, 2000: 2)

Thus, research in human and social sciences provide divergent

findings on why people trust someone else.

What is suggested by studies specifically addressing trust in the

police?

52

Studies tackling this issue are rare. In fact, frequently studies on

factors affecting people’s attitudes towards the police have considered

single independent variables with bivariate analysis, without simultaneously

controlling other theoretically relevant factors (Hale and Uglow, 1997).

Only a few recent studies (Hurst and Frank, 2000; Preist and Carter, 1999)

have analysed the influence of different groups of variables on trust in the

police, in order to find out which group affects trust more than others.

However, some of them do not consider variables regarding the police’s

work (see, for example, Cao et al., 1998).

Research findings also differ. Some authors suggest that a person

trusts the police when his or her personal values, emotions, beliefs and life-

style all converge in believing that his or her expectations will be fulfilled

by the police. Davis (2000), for example, maintains that while common

sense suggests that experience with the police is a key factor in determining

how citizens perceive the police, people trust in the police actually depends

much more on culturally transmitted norms and beliefs. Surveying a multi-

ethnic neighbourhood in a predominantly middle-class section of Jackson

Heights, New York, the author found that people’s views of the police are

largely derived from the ethnic community to which people belonged. The

people belonging to ethnic communities that experienced a low sense of

political empowerment were less likely than others to believe that the police

were effective and more likely to believe that the police engaged in

misconduct. Conversely, other authors suggest that the choice to trust or

distrust the police comes from careful observation of the police’s work. A

positive assessment of the police’s behaviour and performance leads a

person to believe that positive expectations will be fulfilled by future police

behaviour and performance. People may assess police behaviour and

performance when they have a face-to-face contact with police officers or

when they see or hear something about somebody else’s experience with

53

the police. Thus, people’s trust in the police may have its origins in face-to-

face contacts (direct relationship) between people and police officers, or in

contact based on what people see or hear about someone else’s experiences

with the police (indirect relationship). Cheurprakobkit (2000: 327), for

example, suggests that direct or indirect experiences with the police should

provide better predictive power of trust in the police than demographic

variables.

Thus, in the same way that trust in people or institutions is viewed

from two different perspectives, that based on the truster’s inclination or

that based on the truster-trustee relationship, trust in the police may also be

viewed from these two different perspectives.

The first maintains that people expect something from the police

because they have a particular position in social space (are male or female,

are younger or older, have or do not have a high level of education, are rich

or poor, have or do not have a proactive life-style, live in urban or rural

areas, and so on) that induces them to do so. In this case, trust in the police

depends on people’s subjective inclination to do so rather than on what

police do and how people assess what police do in direct or indirect

relations with them.

The second perspective argues that people expect something from the

police because they focus on their relationships with police, which provides

inputs for trusting them or not. In this case the relationship between people

and the police, and people’s assessment of what the police do in their

relationships with people, is crucial in determining the people’s decision to

place trust in the police.

Therefore, these different perspectives address trust in different ways:

on one hand, as the product of variables regarding the subjective

characteristics of people (individual variables); on the other, as the product

54

of variables regarding the people’s relationship with the police (relational

variables).

What are these variables? Which of them predict the level of trust in

the police? Do individual variables or relational variables have more effect

on trust in the police?

As seen above (chapter 1), knowing whether trust in the police is

determined more by the characteristics of the subject who trusts (people) or

more by characteristics of the object that is trusted (police), has important

implications for several criminological debates: on why people feel unsafe,

why people turn away from the law and on how to build policing programs

that are effective in tackling the issue of safety.

The next paragraph specifically address those variables related to trust

in the police that have already been studied by previous empirical research

into trust in the police. The purpose is to investigate which variables, and

which group of variables (individual or relational) are better able to predict

the levels of trust in the police.

2.2 Factors Affecting Trust In The Police That Have Been Suggested By Previous Studies

This paragraph reviews the body of empirical research on citizens’

attitudes towards the police, policing and police legitimacy, in order to learn

which variables have been studied in relation to trust in the police.

Factors affecting trust in the police may be classified in two types:

individual variables and relational variables. Individual variables consist of

55

variables based on an individual’s characteristics; relational variables

consist of variables based on situations in which citizens have a relationship

with police officers, personal (direct relation) or mediated by what they see

or hear about other people’s contact with police (indirect relation). 28

Individual Variables

Trust in the police is an individual’s state of mind which may be

affected by variables regarding the individual’s characteristics: socio-

demographic variables (such as age, gender, ethnicity, education),

attitudinal variables (such as political orientation, personal satisfaction with

life), and other variables regarding individual characteristics, such as

victimization and social integration in the neighbourhood.

Age. Research on citizens’ attitudes towards the police has stressed the

relationship between age and attitudes toward police. More specifically,

young people are less satisfied with police activity than adults (Hale and

Uglow, 1997). There are two possible explanations for this relationship.

Some authors have suggested that younger individuals often have a

more antagonistic attitude toward authority, and therefore possess negative

attitudes towards institutions in general, and the police in particular. As

people get older they tend to believe that the police play a legitimate role in

protecting the status quo (Hurst and Frank, 2000: 191).

Others suggest that the relationship between age and attitudes towards

the police is affected by prior negative experience. Recent studies focusing

28 A similar distinction is suggested by Correia, Reisig and Lovrich (Correia et al., 1996) and by Murphy and Worral (1999: 330), who separated individual variables from contextual-level variables. Murphy and Worral, however, also included community-level variables (such as neighbourhood disorder) and victimization in contextual factors.

56

on juveniles’ attitudes have suggested that a juvenile’s contact with the

police is generally associated with more negative attitudes towards them

(Griffiths and Winfree, 1982). This is because the police treat younger

individuals more unkindly than adults. Furthermore, younger people are

more likely to have contact with the police than adults. Research found that

younger people, especially those between eighteen and twenty-five years of

age, are more likely to be stopped by the police: they are responsible for a

disproportionate amount of crime and as a result, more likely to be targeted

by law enforcement officers (Reid Howie Associates, 2001).

Thus, although there appears to be reasonable empirical support for

the relationship between age and attitudes toward police, the difference

between juveniles and adults seems to be caused more by the likelihood of

having more negative contacts with police, rather than by age itself.

Race. Among the individual variables used to analyse perceptions of

police, race (or ethnicity) has consistently been shown to be a powerful

predictor (Correia et al, 1996).

The first U.S. National Crime Surveys (1972-73 and 1975) showed

that, although citizens’ attitudes towards police were positive, minorities’

attitudes were less favourable. Many later studies revealed that ‘non White’,

mainly Afro-Americans, citizens are less satisfied with the police than

‘White’ citizens and, therefore, more hostile towards them (Fustenberg and

Wellford, 1973: 405; Scaglion and Condon, 1980). Leiber and collegues

(Leiber et al., 1998) found that the race of respondents was the strongest

predictor of attitudes concerning police fairness and discrimination.

57

Although race is an important factor of attitudes towards the police29,

its influence may be more complex than commonly thought.

Some studies suggest that differences in attitudes on the basis of race

may result because ‘minorities’ are more likely to have negative or

involuntary contact with police than ‘whites’ (Murty et al. 1990; Fustenberg

and Wellford, 1973). Minorities are more likely to be stopped and arrested

on suspicion (Chandek, 1999) and also more likely to be badly treated and

discriminated against by police than ‘Whites’. One of the earliest studies on

citizens and the police, that of Bayley and Mendelsohn (1969), explored the

difference in citizen evaluations of police made by Black, White, and

Hispanic respondents living in Denver. They reported that minority

members of the community, especially those with Spanish surnames, were

consistently less positive in their attitudes toward police than were white

respondents.

“Twenty-seven percent of the Dominants said that the police did an excellent job in their neighbourhood; only 2% dissented. Among Negroes, 12 % said police did an excellent job and 7% said they did a bad job. Among the Spanish-named, 11% said the job done was excellent and 13% said it was bad” (Bayley and Mendelson, 1969: 111)

But they also pointed out that the amount of negative contact between

minority residents and the police was greater than that between Whites and

the police. A higher percentage of minority respondents indicated that they

or someone in their family had been badly treated by a police officer. A

lower proportion of minority respondents, compared to the proportion of

Whites, indicated that they were satisfied with what the police did for them

when called for help (Bayley and Mendelson, 1969: 117). Fustenberg and

29 Not all surveys revealed differences in race. Some surveys even found that ethnic minority respondents were more positive than white respondents about the police (see, for example, Ditton, 1999).

58

Wellford (1973) have confirmed that the persistent difference between

blacks and whites occurs primarily among those least satisfied with the

service they receive. In particular, when police take the time to explain

what they are doing respondents are generally more satisfied than when

police do not explain their actions: police officers were found to be less

disposed to explain what they are doing to minorities than they are to

‘Whites’. This is why minorities have less positive attitude.

Other studies have suggested that minorities’ unfavourable

evaluations of the police may be the consequence of unfulfilled

expectations. Since many ‘non-White’ people live in neighbourhoods

characterized by high levels of crime, they make more demands on police,

which police officers cannot fulfil. For example, Carter’s (1985) study on

the Latinos community in Texas suggested that the less favourable Latinos

attitude towards the police was the result of the interaction between high

expectations and a perception of poor police performance. Chandek (1999)

found that factors other than race were more important in determining crime

victims’ attitudes toward police. After controlling the effect of other

variables, ‘Police Officer Demeanour’ and ‘Expectation Fulfilment’ were

found to be the most influential determinants of crime victim satisfaction

with the police. As Cheurprakobkit (2000) suggested:

“the general perception developed during the course of police-citizen contact is far more important than race or the nature [citizen-initiated or police-initiated] of police contact is far more important than race or the nature of police contact in determining citizens’ attitudes toward the police”.

Thus, although there appears to be strong empirical support for the

relationship between race and attitudes toward police, the difference

between ‘White’ and ‘non-White’ in American literature seems to be

59

caused more by the likelihood of experiencing negative contact with police

or unfulfilled expectations rather than by race itself.

Education. Although education is widely considered, together with

income, as an important socio-demographic variable and it is commonly

included in analyses of public perceptions of the police, studies have so far

provided inconclusive findings on the impact of education on public

perceptions of the police (Correia et al., 1996).

Gender. Findings about the influence of gender on trust in the police

are inconsistent. Most research has found that, although some differences

between males and females exist, perception of the police tends to be very

similar (Hurst and Frank, 2000). However, some authors suggest that males

were slightly more critical of the police than females. A study involving

5,477 pre-high school students in eleven U.S. cities (Taylor et al., 2001)

found that girls consistently reported more favourable attitudes toward

police than boys; it also suggested an explanation:

“Males may be more likely to have adversarial run-ins with police due to disproportionate involvement in delinquent and criminal behaviour” (Taylor et al., 2001: 302).

On the contrary, a Correia, Reisig and Lovrich’s study (Correia et al.,

1996) on citizens’ perceptions of state policing organizations in U.S.A.

suggested that gender is a highly significant factor: females had a

significant likelihood of having less favourable perceptions of state police

than males. An Israeli study (Shoham, 2000) on battered wives’ perceptions

of the police suggested a possible explanation for the less favourable

attitudes of females:

60

“This study, similar to previous ones, demonstrates the gap between the expectations of the women who lodge complaints and those of the male police officers. The women expect support and an understanding mien, whereas the police officers view the situation from the legal point of view. The use of objective legal terms by the police is perceived by the women as demonstrating indifference or as siding with the husband. It is possible that most police officers, because of the predominantly male composition of the force, do react differently from what the women expect. […] They [women] perceived that police did not understand their situation, tended to be suspicious of their motives, and believe them to be seeking revenge or trying to exact some sort of profit”. (Shoham, 2000: 255)

Therefore, different attitudes towards police between males and

females, if there are any, may be caused by different fulfilment expectations

during contact with police officers (see also Wachholz and Miedema,

2000).

Victimisation. If there is not a consensus on the different attitudes

toward police between males and females, it seems there is no doubt on the

differences between victims and non victims. Many studies have addressed

the impact of criminal acts on attitudes toward police and found that

individuals who have been victimized have less positive attitudes toward

the police than those without similar experiences (Priest and Carter, 1999;

Dean, 1980). Furthermore, individuals who have been in contact with the

police for a crime incident have less positive attitudes towards the police

than those have had contact for other reasons (Mastrofsky, 1983).

This is often thought to result from the victims dissatisfaction with the

way in which police officers have serviced a call for assistance: too slow,

inefficient, unfair, not interested. For example, Mastrofsky’s (1983) study

on data collected in 1977 by the Police Service Study in three metropolitan

areas (Rochester, New York; St. Louis, Missouri; Tampa-St. Petersburg,

61

Florida) suggested that the police are more effective with non crime

problems: non crime problems are more tractable and citizen expectations

are more in line with what police are able to achieve. Coupe and Griffiths

(1999) studied the satisfaction of burglary victims with the service provided

by the UK police in the West Midlands. They indicated that victim

satisfaction depended on how well police actions and the outcomes of cases

met victims’ expectations. In particular, to a great extent, satisfaction

depended on the behaviour of the first officer to reach the burglary scene

and also on being kept informed about the outcome of investigations.

Chandek (1999: 675-695), using data obtained from a sample of crime

victims, showed that two variables affect a victim’s negative attitudes

towards police: police officer demeanour during the contact with the victim

after the criminal event, and the fulfilment of the victim’s expectations by

police officers (that is whether the police officers actually do what the

victim expects them to do).

Social Integration. Citizens’ trust in the police can also be affected by

their level of social integration. Social integration is for individuals what

social cohesion is for the community. The more individuals are integrated

with others, the more cohesive the community. Research on collective

efficacy, defined as cohesion among residents combined with shared

expectations for the social control in public space (Sampson and

Raudenbush 1999: 603), have suggested that the more people work together

and think that they are able to tackle criminal problems the more they trust

that the social control system (and therefore also the police) works.

Furthermore, social integration is part of the construct of social capital. The

most common definition of social capital regards it as features of social

organization, such as networks, norms and social trust that facilitate

coordination and cooperation for mutual benefit (Putnam, 1992). Coleman

62

(1990) noted that personal relations and networks of relations are important

in generating social trust and enforcing norms. Trust in institutions, as a

form of social trust, may be viewed as an element of social capital, and so

highly interrelated with the other components of social capital (for the

relationship between networks and institutional trust see, for example,

Diani, 2000). In very recent studies (see Hope et al., 2002), trust in the

efficacy of the police is recognised as being linked to the availability of

social and cultural capital.

Other Individual Variables. Attitudinal variables such as political

orientation and satisfaction in one’s own life are rarely studied in relation to

trust in the police. Common sense suggests that people more oriented

towards the political left and less satisfied with their own lives are less

likely to be trustful of institutions, and, in particular, of the police. Cao et al.

(1998: 286) suggested that political conservatism and satisfaction with life

are positively related to confidence in the police, but the results of their

study indicated that they are not strong predictors.

Relational Variables

As the study of individual variables has suggested, trust in the police

may also be affected by variables regarding people’s relationship with the

police. The relationship between truster and police officers is direct when

based on face-to-face contact; it is indirect when based on what the truster

sees or hears about police or about other people’s contact with police.

63

Police-Citizen Contact. Therefore, having a face-to-face contact with

police officers is recognised as a factor affecting citizens’ attitudes toward

police (Jacob, 1971).

Some authors suggest that more contacts leads to a better knowledge

of police work, of their problems and difficulties, as without contact, people

have much less information on which to base their attitudes (Hurst and

Frank, 2000: 192). Others note the importance of police-citizen contacts by

suggesting that “police officers meld public attitudes” (Wirths, 1958). The

result is that the more contact you have with the police officers the more

you trust them.

However, this result is not well founded: some research findings show

that citizens who had contact with the police have more, and not less,

negative attitudes toward police than those who did not (Scaglion e

Condon, 1980: 491-493). Research on police elderly people interaction, for

example, has revealed that when compared to the elderly who had only

second-hand experiences with the police, the elderly with direct contact

tend to view the police less favourably (Arcuri, 1981). Carter (1985)

confirmed that as the number of contacts increased, public satisfaction

decreased.

The discrepancy in these research findings may be explained by

considering that not all police-citizen contacts are similar. Contacts may

differ in character: positive or negative, on one hand, voluntary or

involuntary, on the other. Contacts are positive if police officer behaviour

and performance during the contact are favourably assessed by citizens.

Voluntary contacts are those in which citizens mobilize the police, while

involuntary contacts are police-initiated and characterized by a measurable

increase in police use of legitimate authority. For this reason involuntary

contacts are more adverse in nature.

64

Police Officer Behaviour During The Contact. Thus, a significant

body of literature has suggested that the type of contact one has with the

police, rather than the contact itself, exerts a significant influence on

positive attitudes towards police. Positive or voluntary contacts are

generally associated with higher satisfaction levels, while lower levels of

satisfaction are reported by those who have experienced negative or

involuntary encounters with the police (Dean, 1980).

Cheurprakobkit (2000) examined the impact of police contacts and

language spoken on citizens’ attitudes toward police in Odessa and

Midland, Texas. It was found that citizens who initiated the contact

assessed the police’s work more favourably than those where the contact

was initiated by the police. Furthermore, positive police experience not only

yielded positive attitudes towards the police, but also neutralized or

ameliorated the negative attitudes of citizens involved in police-initiated

contacts.

Correia, Reisig and Lovrich (Correia et al., 1996) suggested that only

positive/negative contacts affect positive/negative attitudes toward police.

Findings from a study on citizen perception of state policing organizations

in the U.S.A. revealed that there is an important relationship between the

manner in which citizens are treated and positive perception of the police:

regardless of whether contact was voluntary or involuntary, an individual’s

perception of unsatisfactory or unfair treatment decreased the probability of

positive perceptions. Further, an unclear explanation by police concerning a

citation or warning also decreased the probability.

Hurst and Frank’s (2000) study on 852 high school students in and

around Cincinnati, Ohio, indicated that the students’ evaluation of

encounters with police officers is the major predictor of attitudes:

specifically those juveniles stopped or arrested by police and treated, in

their view, poorly or very poorly, were less positive in their attitudes. On

65

the other hand, juveniles who initiated contact with the police and viewed

the police behaviour in the encounter as good or very good were more

likely to hold favourable attitudes toward the police.

Similar research findings confirmed the result of the studies on

legitimacy in the criminal justice system. They suggested that when citizens

believe they are treated fairly, they tend to grant the police more legitimacy

and to be more likely to comply with police and law enforcement outcomes

(Tyler, 1990). In this view, citizens’ trust in law enforcement is based as

much (or more) on their perceptions of the way in which they are treated as

on the actual outcomes of law enforcement’s actions.

People assess an encounter with police as adverse or negative not only

when police conduct30 is unfair, incorrect or unfriendly, but also when

violence has been used during the contact. There are two cases of use of

violence: when excessive force has been used by police, and when citizens

used violence against police officers (citizens’ resistance)31. Concerning

police use of excessive physical force, Johnson argued that perceptions of

police brutality have been at the heart of citizen distrust of, and complaints

about, the police (Cao et al., 2000).32

30 Talking about police officers misconduct could lead one to think that it is an issue regarding only individual police officers and that, in order to solve the problem, it would be enough to control each individual officer’s behaviour. Actually, one of the most complete sociological theories on controlling police misconduct, the Lundman (1980) organizational product thesis, maintains that most police misconduct is a product of organizational deviance, so that what needs to be controlled is not an individual officer’s behaviour, but organizational climates. Cao et al. (2000) applied Lundman’s organizational product thesis when explaining citizen complaints against the police’s use of excessive physical force and found that this theory is only partially supported: both individual behaviour and organizational characteristics are important covariates of the complaint rate against police use of excessive physical force. 31 The likelihood of violence occurring in any interaction between police officers and citizens is critically dependent upon the behaviour of both participants. As regards as citizens’ resistance, two Australian reports found that the extent of resistance experienced could be linked to the officer’s preference for a specific set of conflict resolution tactics or to the officer’s difficulties experienced in controlling anger (Wilson et al., 1994; Wilson and Braithwaite, 1996). 32 Furthermore, the use of excessive force generates conflict between police and residents, and lowers officer morale (Cao et al., 2000).

66

Police Officer Performance During The Contact. Citizens’ positive

attitudes toward the police may be influenced not only by how much they

are fairly treated by the police during the contact, but also how much the

police’s activities fulfil their expectations during the contact.

The main findings of a recent study by Reisig and Chandek (2001)

confirmed that citizen satisfaction with police encounters is a product of the

congruence between individual expectations of service and the perception

of the actual service rendered. This finding persists for both voluntary

(citizens call police for service) and involuntary (police stop citizens) police

encounters. The authors achieved this result by applying the consumer-

oriented theory to the policing context: citizens who come into contact with

police may be considered as possessing expectations similar to those held

by a private sector consumer.

“One concept we believe is especially applicable to police-citizen encounters is expectancy disconfirmation. The expectancy disconfirmation model posits that consumer satisfaction is a response to the congruency between an individual’s expectations and the actual performance of a product. Applied to policing, satisfaction may be viewed as a function of the interrelationship between what citizens expect from the police and their perceptions of police performance (i.e. services rendered).” (Reisig and Chandek, 2001: 88)

Authors tested the expectancy disconfirmation model by using survey

data from citizens who recently had contact with police in a medium sized

midwestern U.S city. They found that increased disparity between

expectations of police performance33 and actual service inversely affects

citizen satisfaction with the way the police handle encounters.

33 In this case performance is defined not in the standard formulation, which tends to equate it with the outcome, effects, consequences of inputs, programs and strategies, but as the execution of work: to perform is simply to do, independent of the consequences (Wycoff and Manning, 1983).

67

The link between citizens’ expectations being fulfilled by police

performance and trust has been well documented in policing literature.

Several crime victim studies have documented that victim satisfaction with

the service provided by the police depended on how well police officers

actions met victim expectations (Chandek, 1999). Police officers’ manner,

levels of proficiency, concern shown towards the victim, how long they

spent at the scene and the outcome of the case are all aspects of the service

provided to victims by the police which can affect victim satisfaction.

A Coupe and Griffiths (1999) study, conducted in the West Midlands

region of England, found that a large number of police actions and the

victim’s perceptions about these actions were related to the victim’s

satisfaction with the service provided by the police.

“Findings indicate that the key police actions that were significant in influencing satisfaction were whether the victim felt reassured by the police officer who visited, and whether or not the case was solved. Respondents who received additional information on the progress or outcome of their investigations were also more likely to have been satisfied.” (Coupe and Griffiths, 1999: 427)

Citizen satisfaction with the police has mainly been found to be

related to their expectations and estimates of the time it took the police to

respond after being called. Percy (1980) was one of the first to examine the

impact of expectations on satisfaction with the police: his research strongly

suggested that victim satisfaction with the police is a function of the

disparity between a crime victim’s expectations and perceptions of police

response time:

“In the citizen survey data reported response time and variables which compare expected and reported response times were the strongest predictors of citizen satisfaction with police actions. […] Response time and citizens’ perceptions about it are factors which police agencies can

68

directly influence as they attempt to provide more satisfactory services to citizens.” (Percy, 1980: 66).

If police response time exceeded the citizen’s expectations, he tended

to be dissatisfied (Fustenberg and Wellford, 1983).

Attitudes towards the police may be influenced not only by direct

experience with police officers, but also by indirect experience with police,

based on what citizens see or hear about police or someone else’s contact

with police.

Police Visibility. Citizens’ perception regarding police visibility, that

is how much police officers are seen in the street, might influence their

attitudes toward the police. Several policing programs are based on the

assumption that high police visibility increases both positive attitudes

toward police and safety in the neighbourhood (Sherman, 1995). On the

other hand, public surveys about police practices show a strong citizen

request for a more visible police presence in their areas (Shapland and

Vagg, 1987: 54). An Australian study (Boni, 1995:14), for example

reviewed all the surveys on citizen attitudes toward police held in Australia,

and showed that the most frequent ways of improving the effectiveness of

police suggested by citizens was to increase the number of police officers

and police visibility.

Although citizens request greater police visibility, and several policing

programs are based on this request, research findings on the relationship

between police visibility and attitudes toward police, are however

contradictory. Recently, Hurst and Frank (2000: 197) found that both

visibility variables used in their study on juvenile attitudes toward police

(visibility outside and within the respondent’s neighbourhood) were not

significant in predicting attitudes. Also one of the most famous evaluations

69

of policing programs ever undertaken (Bayley, 1998b: 26), the Kansas City

Preventive Patrol Experiment (Kelling et al., 1974) found no relationship

between increased visibility of policing and positive attitudes toward police.

“[…] few significant differences and no consistent patterns of differences occurred across experimental conditions in terms of citizen attitudes toward police services”. (Kelling et al., 1974: 33)

Scholars suggest that the lack of effect34 of increased patrolling

activities in Kansas City was because the program was conducted by

automobile. Car patrols were too distant and impersonal. On the contrary,

police officers on foot, closer to citizens, might have a greater impact on

citizens’ attitudes toward police, apart from on crime, arrests and fear of

crime. Two studies tested this suggestion: The Police Foundation’s

evaluation study in Newark, NJ, 1980, and Robert Trojanowicz’s study in

Flint, MI, 1982. The Newark experiment (Police Foundation, 1980), found

that residents living in areas with foot patrols were more satisfied with

police services, and less fearful of crime. However, no impact was found on

crime rate: foot patrols are not more effective in deterring crime than

mobile ones. The Flint study found that the Neighbourhood Foot Patrol

Program was successful in increasing citizen satisfaction with police

services, besides reducing the crime rate (Payne and Trojanowicz, 1985;

Trojanowicz and Banas, 1985). Similar results are found in more recent

studies, that mainly evaluate community-policing programs. The impact

evaluation study on the Edmonton Neighbourhood Foot Patrol Program

(NFPP) found that the NFPP was successful in improving public

satisfaction and increasing police officer job satisfaction. Skogan and

colleagues (1997: 205-209), evaluating the Chicago Alternative Policing

34 The program was found to be ineffective not only in improving people’s satisfaction with the police, but also in decreasing the crime rate, and in reducing fear of crime.

70

Strategy, found that levels of satisfaction with the police were higher when

the police were more visible. The gap in satisfaction between respondents

remembering lower levels of police visibility and those remembering higher

levels was about 15 percentage points (see also Normandeau, 2000 on

Community Policing Program of Montreal, Canada; Liou and Savage, 1996

on Community Policing Program in City of West Palm Beach; Campbell

DeLong Resources Inc., 1996 on Portland Police Bureau). Therefore, unlike

the research in Kansas City and a few other studies, which suggested that

changing levels of police visibility does not make much of difference on

citizen satisfaction with police, studies on foot patrolling and community

policing found a relationship between police visibility and attitudes toward

police. Why are the findings so different?

The reason for this discrepancy might be the different ‘quality’ of the

police presence in the neighbourhoods, and not the ‘quantity’ itself. As

noted above, car patrolling and foot patrolling are different: citizens

perceive police officers in automobiles to be more distant than those on foot

and believe that having a contact with them is more difficult, while foot

patrols are closer and more approachable. Therefore, the problem is not

how many police officers you put on the street, but how. Furthermore, in

famous and successful35 community policing programs, what citizens see is

police officers involved in community member relations and working with

them in solving problems, and not simply police officers patrolling the

neighbourhood. Thus, it appears that when studies found a relationship

between police visibility and positive attitudes toward police, it is not the

35 In unsuccessful community policing programs, there is no doubt about the absence of the relationship between police visibility and citizens’ trust in the police. Skogan (1995: 2) reports that in a recent evaluation of community policing programs in eight cities, the Vera Institute found that, although they increased police’ visibility, all of them experienced great difficulty in establishing a solid relationship between the programs and neighbourhood residents. Distrust and fear of the police were rampant in many of the neighbourhoods where community policing was instituted. In

71

visibility itself which affect positive attitudes, but the ‘quality’ of the police

presence in the neighbourhoods. Police presence can reduce or even

increase people’s trust in the police, depending upon what police do.

Quality Of The Police Conduct. Police conduct is recognised as being

critical not only during face-to-face encounters (Hurst and Frank, 2000:

197). Extant literature suggests that persons knowing of police misconduct

experienced by others will have less positive attitudes toward police (Smith

and Hawkins, 1973). Vice versa, persons seeing and hearing of the

respectful conduct of police will have more positive attitudes towards the

police. A study on two precincts in the Bronx indicated that when police

treat residents with respect, they are less likely to be dissatisfied with police

actions. In fact, while in New York City the number of civilian complaints

against the police rose dramatically after 1993, two researchers from the

Vera Institute of Justice (Davis and Mateu-Gelabert, 1999) studied in detail

the only two precincts where, together with crime, civilian complaints also

decreased. They examined a variety of possible explanations for the decline

in civilian complaints, and concluded that the most likely explanation for

this decline was the particularly effective manner in which the precinct

commanders implemented departmental policies. The commanders

improved community relations and the way that precinct personnel were

trained and supervised, and in doing so created a more respectful police

force. This new way of policing greatly changed the community wide

perception of the police and decreased civilian complaints. Therefore,

citizens’ positive attitudes towards the police may be influenced by how

polite police conduct is perceived to be throughout the community.

these cases no relationship can be found between police visibility and citizen satisfaction with police.

72

Effectiveness Of The Police Activity. Citizen attitudes may be affected

by how effective in their work police are perceived in the neighbourhood.

As Hough (1987: 70) suggested:

“ ‘Effective’ tends to be used to mean ‘effective in dealing with crime’ […]. However, a now quite substantial body of research suggests only limited scope for the police either to catch more offenders or, more generally, to deter people from crime”

Several studies (Cumming et al., 1965: 276; Punch and Naylor, 1973:

359; Kelling, 1978: 174; Matrofsky, 1983: 33) have found that a large part

of the routine calls to the police involve demands for help and some form of

support for personal and interpersonal problems (non-crime problems), so

police work might be classified in two relatively different activities: ‘law

enforcement’ and ‘keeping peace’ (Bittner, 1967: 699). Therefore, effective

policing is policing that achieves multiple objectives, which correspond to

all of society’s demands. On the contrary, police have historically

prioritised criminal investigation activity, while under evaluating their tasks

in responding to non-crime problems (Mastrofski, 1983: 34). According to

Kelling (1978: 183):

“The police have developed strategies oriented around just one of their many functions. These strategies have not only failed to obtain their desired results, but have also led the police to ignore other important functions and have alienated citizens, whose support is vital in effective police performance”

Therefore, according to Kelling, the emphasis on crime-related

activities has failed to achieve crime reduction goals and, together with the

under evaluation of community demands for help for non-crime problems,

may have exacerbated citizen distrust in police and fear of crime.

73

By contrast, focusing on specific problems borne by the community,

both criminal and non-criminal, and improving police capacity to solve

them, may increase police effectiveness and improve the citizens view of

police work (Goldstein, 1979: 257). Based on this idea, several problem

oriented policing programs spread in North America (Scott, 2000: 36).

Studies evaluating these programs suggested that police activity has become

more effective and citizens, even those who had no direct contact with

police officers, were more satisfied with them (National Institute of Justice,

1999; National Institute of Justice, 2000).

2.3 Research Hypotheses. Does Trusting The Police Depend On How Police Work? In Particular, Does It Depend On How Fair, Polite And Effective The Police Are?

Summary Of Extant Literature

Why do people trust the police? Research findings suggest that trust in

the police is affected by variables regarding individual’s characteristics

(individual variables), and by variables regarding situations in which

citizens have a relationship with police officers, personally or mediated by

what they see or hear about someone else’s contact with police (relational

variables).

With regards individual variables, people may trust or distrust the

police because they are male or female, younger or older, ‘White’ or ‘non-

White’; because they have a higher or lower level of education or because

of their view on political matters or their level of general trust in

74

institutions; because they are or not victims of crime, and they are highly or

poorly integrated in the neighbourhood.

With regards relational variables, people may trust the police because

they have frequent contact with them, because they see often them in the

neighbourhood, because they positively assess police conduct and activity

on the basis of what they have experienced (direct relationship), or on the

basis of what they are see or hear (indirect relationship).

However, some studies suggest that relational variables have a major

explanatory power regarding trust in the police, compared to individual

variables. In fact, although there appears to be reasonable empirical support

for the relationship between most of the individual variables and positive

attitudes toward police, actually the difference in trust levels between

juveniles and adults, males and females, ‘non-Whites’ and ‘Whites’,

victims and non-victims, seems to be caused by the different likelihood of

having negative contact with the police. Therefore, juveniles may have less

trust in the police because they are stopped more often and more likely to

be badly treated by the police. Females may have a significant likelihood of

having less favourable attitudes towards the police than males because their

expectations are likely to be less fulfilled by police. ‘Non-Whites’ may

have less trust in the police because they are more likely to have negative

contact with the police: they are more likely to badly treated by police

officers, and their expectations are more likely to be not fulfilled by police

officers. A victim’s negative attitude toward the police may be often caused

by how police actions meet victim expectations. Therefore, if individual

and relational variables were analysed jointly, it may result that relational

variables have more predictive power on trust in the police.

But, not all the relational variables seems to have a similar

explanatory power: ‘police officer behaviour’ and ‘citizens’ expectations

75

fulfilled by police performance’ seems to be the two most important

predictors of trust in the police. In fact, although some authors state that

more citizen-police contacts leads to a more positive attitude towards

police, a significant body of literature has suggested that the type of contact

one has with the police, rather than the contact itself, exerts a significant

influence on positive attitudes toward police. Contacts may be positive or

negative. People assess a contact with police as negative when police

conduct is unfair, incorrect or unfriendly, but also when violence has been

used during the contact. Furthermore, contact may also be negative when

police activity was ineffective in fulfilling citizen expectations during the

contact. Positive contacts are generally associated with higher satisfaction

levels, while lower levels of satisfaction are reported by those who have

experienced negative encounters with the police.

Police conduct and activity are recognised as being crucial in

producing positive attitudes not only during face-to-face encounters, but

also during police encounters with other citizens where an individual

acquires information for assessing police conduct and activity. Research

findings suggest that the ‘quality’ and the ‘effectiveness’ of the police

presence on the neighbourhoods, more than quantity of the police presence

(visibility), affect positive attitudes toward police.

Research Hypotheses

Thus, the review of the literature on factors affecting trust in the

police seems to support the perspective according to which people trust the

police, not because they have a subjective inclination to do so, but because

they focus on their relationship with the police, which provides inputs

76

leading them to believe that what they expect from the police will be

fulfilled. So, according to this perspective:

Hypothesis 1: trust in the police depends more on relational variables

than on individual variables.

In particular, two points of view on why people trust the police seem

to be supported. In the first, trust in the police is influenced by the level of

fairness of the police’s behaviour. In the second, trust in the police is

influenced by the likelihood of correspondence between people’s

expectations and police’s activity.

Among others, Tyler (1990: 94-96) suggests that, in judgements

people make about their personal experience with the police, they consider

overall factors related to the fairness of the procedure, as having had a

chance to state their case and been treated with dignity and respect, more

than factors related to the outcomes.

So, according to this view:

Hypothesis 2: trust in the police depends on how fair and polite police

officers are perceived to be.

In the consumer-oriented theory, the expectancy disconfirmation

model argued that consumer satisfaction is a response to the congruency

between individual’s expectations and actual performance of a product or a

service. Applying this approach to the policing context, it is argued (Reisig

and Chandek, 2001) that citizen trust in the police is a product of the

congruence between his expectations of police service and his perception of

the actual service rendered.

77

So, according to the expectancy disconfirmation model:

Hypothesis 3: trust in the police depends on how effective in

performing citizens’ expectations police officers are perceived to be.

78

CHAPTER 3 TESTING THE HYPOTHESES: FINDINGS FROM THE TRENTINO SURVEY

This chapter intends to test the three hypotheses which arise from a

review of literature, these are: trust in the police depends more on relational

variables than on individual variables (H1); trust in the police depends on

how fair and polite police officers are perceived to be (H2); trust in the

police depends on how effective police officers are perceived to be in

performing the duties citizens expect of them (H3).

In order to test these hypotheses, the data from a survey of residents’

attitudes towards police in Trentino, a northern Italian province, are

analysed.

In the first paragraph general information is provided about the area

where the survey was conducted.

The second paragraph answers the methodological issues that arise

from the following questions: How did the survey collect data? How was

the sample selected? How was the data analysed to test the research

hypotheses? How were dependent and independent variables measured?

The third paragraph presents the main findings of the data analyses.

79

3.1 Overview Of Trentino

Before talking about how the Trentino survey was conducted, aspects

of the Trentino province, such as the demographic composition of the

population, crime rate, size of the police forces, feeling of security and level

of trust in the police, resulting from the last Italian Victimization Survey

held by Istat in 1997/1998 (see Istat, 1999), are briefly presented. These

aspects provide a better understanding of where the survey was conducted

and may also be important in the discussion of the research findings.

Demographic Composition Of The Population

At the beginning of the 2001, the population of Trentino was 477,859,

4,000 more than the year 2000. It represents 0.8% of the Italian population.

Females are in the majority (51.2%). The largest age group is adults from

25 to 45 years. In the period 1990-2000, the population increased by 28,109

residents. The reason is mainly the increase in immigration from abroad.

Non-EU citizens at 31.12.2000 were about 11,300, 3,000 more than in

1999. Trentino is an attractive area for immigrants because of the higher

levels of income and employment in comparison to Italy as a whole. The

average age of residents has increased: in 1961 was 35 years, while in 2001

was 41 years.36

36 For further information on socio-demographic composition of Trentino population see the reports of the Statistics Service of the Autonomous Province of Trento (see Bertozzi et al., 2001).

80

A Low Crime Rate

The recorded rate of crimes in Trentino in the period from 1990 to

2001 has remained quite stable, with a slight tendency to increase. On the

contrary, in the same period in Italy the crime rate has decreased.

Figure 2 - Crimes recorded by the police from1990 to 2001: comparison between province of Trento and Italy. (Rate per 100.000 inhabitants)

0

500

1.000

1.500

2.000

2.500

3.000

3.500

4.000

4.500

5.000

1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001

Years

Crim

es p

er 1

00,0

00 in

habi

tant

s

Trento

Italia

Source: Transcrime elaborations on Istat data and Mininterno

Figure 3 - Crimes recorded by the police in 2000 and 2001: comparison between province of Trento, neighbouring provinces and Italy. (Rate per 100.000 inhabitants)

2.000

2.500

3.000

3.500

4.000

4.500

2.000 2.200 2.400 2.600 2.800 3.000 3.200 3.400 3.600 3.800 4.000

Crimes per 100,000 inhabitants in 2001

Crim

es p

er 1

00,0

00 in

habi

tant

s in

200

0

Trento

Bolzano

Verona

Vicenza Belluno

Italia

Brescia

Source: Transcrime elaborations on Istat data and Mininterno data

81

Nevertheless, the comparison of the crime rates in Trentino and in

Italy shows that criminality in Trentino is much lower than in Italy (Figure

2 ).

In the year 2001, in Trentino crimes recorded by the police were 2,181

per 100,000 inhabitants, while in Italy it was 3,652. The crime rate in

Trentino is also lower than that of neighbouring provinces (Figure 3 ).

A High Number Of Police Officers

Table 1 - Police officers per Region. Year 1996 (rate per 100.000 residents and variation from 1981)

Regions

Police Officers

per 100,000 residents % variation

(1981-1996)

Trentino-Alto Adige 609.1 1.1

Lombardia 298.2 32.3

Veneto 307.6 30.5

Italy 468.3 38.8

Source: Istat, 2000: 319

Compared to Italy and to neighbouring Regions, Trentino-Alto Adige

(which includes the two Autonomous Provinces of Trento and Bolzano) has

the highest ratio of police officers per 100,000 residents. It is more than

twice as much as that of Lombardia, almost twice as much as that of

Veneto, and much greater than the Italian average. But, if in Trentino from

1981 to 1996 the number of police officers per 100.000 residents rose by

1.1 %, in Italy, during the same period, it rose by 38.8%, in Lombardia by

32.2 % and in Veneto by 30.5% (table 1).

82

High Levels Of Personal Safety And Trust In The Police

Findings from the first Italian victimization survey indicate that,

compared to Italy and neighbouring regions, the level of insecurity in

Figure 4 - Feeling of insecurity for Regions years 1997-1998. (Percentage of respondents)

0 10 20 30

Trentino Alto Adige

Bolzano-Bozen

Trento

Lombardia

Veneto

Italia

Source: Transcrime elaborations on Istat data

Figure 5 - Trust in the police for Regions. Years 1997-98. (Percentage of respondents)

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80

Piemonte

Valle D'Aosta

Lombardia

Bolzano

Trento

Veneto

Friuli Venezia G.

Liguria

Emilia Romagna

Toscana

Umbria

Marche

Lazio

Abruzzo

Molise

Campania

Puglia

Basilicata

Calabria

Sicilia

Sardegna

Source: Transcrime elaborations on Istat data

83

Trentino-Alto Adige is the lowest. Specifically, only 16% of residents in

Trentino stated they felt very or quite unsafe (Figure 4). The percentage of

people feeling unsafe is, however, lower in Alto Adige (province of

Bolzano).

Data from the first Italian victimization survey also indicated that in

Trentino the level of trust in the police is the highest in Italy (Figure 5).

3.2 Research Design And Methodology

In accordance with the research hypotheses, this study is correlational:

that is, it examines the extent to which changes in trust in the police are

associated to variations in other variables.

The method used for gathering data was a social survey. Data were

obtained through a telephone survey of residents’ attitudes towards the

police in Trentino. A computer-aided telephone system was used to carry

out the interviews. The survey was designed to examine the attitudes and

the reported behaviour of Trentino residents over the age of 14.

The multiple regression technique was employed to test the research

hypotheses. Two different multiple regression models were used. The first,

(Model A), was applied to the whole sample of the survey; the second

(Model B) was applied to a sub-sample of the survey which only included

respondents who had had face-to-face contact with police officers during

the past year.

A more detailed overview of data collection and sample selection

procedures, data analysis methods and the variables used in the analysis

follows.

84

Survey Of Public Attitudes Towards Police: An Introduction To The

Data Gathering Method

The method used for gathering data was a social survey.

Social surveys are means of primary data gathering which involves

asking a segment of the population about their attitudes or reported

behaviours. They are powerful tools for obtaining quantitative data for both

descriptive and analytic analyses and they are considered to be the best tool

for primary data gathering, when experiments cannot used (Hagan, 1997:

108).

Surveys have been extensively used in criminal justice to assess

several issues, such as victimisation and fear of crime, as well as attitudes

towards police (Hagan, 1997:109-110).

During the last two decades, mainly in United States37 and Great

Britain, politicians, social scientists and police administrators have become

increasingly concerned with the attitudes of citizens towards the police

(Brandl et al., 1997; Hurst and Frank, 2000; Davis, 2000). Therefore, a

supplement of the U.S. National Crime Victimisation Survey makes in

depth studies of police-public contacts and use of force during the contact

(see Langan et al., 2001). In a section of the British Crime Survey, people

are asked about contacts with the police and their assessment of police

performance (see Yeo and Budd, 2000). A section of the Scottish Crime

Survey deals with the public’s view of the police and contact with them (see

Hale and Uglow, 1997). Furthermore, several Governments finance surveys

on police stop and search (see, for example, the Scottish research on police

37 The U.S. Congress, through the Violent Crime Control and Law Enforcement Act of 1994 instructed the Attorney General to develop a national system for collecting data on police use of force. This led to a series of government studies designed to obtain information on the prevalence and nature of citizens’ encounters with the police.

85

stop held by Reid Howie Associates Ltd, 2001). Similar surveys are

periodically carried out in Canada, Australia and Netherlands.

Very often surveys of citizens have been incorporated into evaluations

of police strategy (see Collins, 1990). Several U.S. Police Departments

regularly survey citizens’ assessment of police performance, the data from

which are used to evaluate the success of policing programs. Examples are

the Community Assessment Survey of the Portland Police Bureau (see

Campbell De Long Resources Inc., 2000); the surveys of citizens’

perceptions of Chicago’s Alternative Policing Strategy (see Skogan and

Hartnett, 1997); the evaluation of the Dallas Police Department’s

Interactive Community Policing Program (see Mindel et al., 2000)

Surveys on citizens’ attitude towards the police are also used as tool to

democratise policing. According to Davis (2000: 7), one way to assess the

rate of the progress of policing is to conduct surveys that measure citizens’

experiences with the police and their opinion of the police. Ethnic and class

differences with respect to the level of confidence in the police and citizens’

assessment of the use of excessive force by police could serve as parameter

to evaluate whether policing is moving toward a democratic model.

The experience of conducting surveys, mainly in the United States and

Great Britain, showed that surveying public opinion towards the police is

important for at least three reasons. First, because the public is the

consumer of police services, it is vital to obtain their evaluation of the

service provided (see Fustenberg and Wellford, 1973: 393-394). Second,

positive images of the police are necessary for the police to function

effectively. Conversely, negative attitudes towards the police, result in

mutual ill feeling, lack of respect, disorder, and inefficient police

functioning (Cao et al., 1998: 280). Third, the information may yield

important insights not only into how much confidence citizens have in the

police, but also into correlates of their confidence: public opinion of the

86

police is a potential barometer of a culture’s contemporary view of

governmental institutions as a whole (Cao and Hou, 2001).

Although these benefits38 exist, surveys on citizens’ attitudes towards

the police are rare in Italy.

The lack of scientific knowledge of Italian police forces (Palidda,

2000: 17), and the Italian delay in using social surveys in criminal justice

system matters39 were, and still are, obstacles for carrying out social surveys

on citizens’ attitudes towards the police. Therefore there are no national

Italian surveys on public-police contacts, similar to those carried out in

Britain or the USA. Only a few issues regarding police activities and trust

in the police are included in local surveys that have addressed citizen safety

(see Sacchini, 2001: 69-74) or attitudes toward institutions (see La Valle,

2000).

Currently, the Trentino telephone survey on residents’ attitudes

toward the police is the first one to specifically address people’s attitudes

towards the police and contact with them in Italy (see Cornelli, 2002).

How were the data collected and the sample selected for this survey?

Data Collection And Sample Selection

Data for the analyses were obtained by a telephone survey of

residents’ attitudes toward the police in Trentino. This survey was designed

to examine the opinions and the experiences of residents over the age of 14

38 Social surveys is a method of data gathering which may suffer several problems, similar to those found in victim surveys. In particular the risks of false or mistaken reporting, telescoping and interviewer effect are also present in surveys on citizen attitudes towards the police (see Hagan, 1997: 184-189). 39 Although there are some previous studies on victimization, it is argued that the first complete victimization survey is that of 1997/98, held by Istat, the Italian National Institute of Statistics (see Barbagli, 1998)

87

in Trentino. The survey was carried out by Transcrime, Research Centre on

Transnational Crime of the University of Trento (Italy), in cooperation with

the Office of Statistics of the Province of Trento. Interviewing began on 17

April 2002, and was completed on 22 May 2002.

Structured interviews were conducted by administering a

questionnaire40 to a random sample of 1.300 residents over the age of 14.41

A computer-aided telephone system (CATI) was used for interviewing.

The sampling design considered two stages. Respondents were

located, first, by calling a random sample of Trentino residences; second,

by asking to speak to a person in the residence who was 14 years of age or

older. Quotas were established in order to ensure that the sample was

representative by sex and age42.

How were these data analysed to test the research hypotheses?

Method Of Analysis

To test the research hypotheses, this study employed the multiple

regression technique. Multiple regression is considered an important tool

40 The survey questionnaire was designed ad hoc, to test the research hypotheses of this study. It was divided into five separate sections. The first part asked for a variety of sociodemographic information (gender, age, education, job and citizenship of respondents). The second part was designed to illicit information about residents’ experience with the police and residents’ perceptions of police activity. The third part was designed to examine residents’ trust in the police. The fourth part focused on private and local police forces. The final part was designed to obtain information on residents’ feeling of safety, victimization experiences and social cohesion. The survey consisted of 34 questions. 41 The sample selection procedure was held in cooperation with the Statistics Service of the Autonomous Province of Trento. 42 The sample is representative of four age groups: 14-25 years old, 26-45 years old, 46-59 years old, over 60.

88

for social scientists in the analysis of non-experimental data (Hagan, 1997:

140)43.

Multiple regression is helpful in testing statements about a

relationship between a set of independent variables and a dependent

variable. It provides a multiple coefficient regarding the percentage of

variance assocated with the dependent variable explained by independent

variables considered in the model. In testing relationships, multiple

regression requires that the choice of variables included in statistical models

are guided by theoretical considerations (Jiao, 1998a: 169). Previous studies

suggested that two different sets of variables are related to trust in the

police: individual variables, regarding an individual’s subjective

characteristics, and relational variables, regarding the relationship between

public and police activity.

Therefore, multiple regression is used to test the hypothesis that trust

in the police depends more on relational variables than on individual

variables (H1).

Furthermore, multiple regression is also helpful in testing statements

about a single relationship between a single independent variable and a

dependent variable. In fact, multiple regression analysis not only provides a

multiple regression coefficient, but also coefficients that indicate the

relationship between each independent variable and the dependent variable.

A review of previous studies suggests that police officer behaviour

and performance are crucial in determining trust in the police. Therefore,

multiple regression is used to test the other two hypotheses: that trust in the

police depends on how fair and polite police officers are considered to be,

43 As will be seen below, most of the variables used in this study are either ordinal or dichotomous. Ordinal level variables and dichotomous variables can be used in multiple regression, even though the distances between the categories are not exactly equal (Jiao, 1998: 182). For an application of the multiple regression in studying people’ attitudes toward the police see Jiao (1998); Cao et al. (1998); Preist and Carter (1999); Skogan and Hartnett (1997: 208); Hale and Uglow (1997).

89

and that trust in the police depends on how effective police officers are

considered in performing citizens’ expectations.

For these purposes, two different multiple regression models were

used, the first (Model A) was applied to the whole sample of the survey; the

second (Model B) was applied to a sub-sample of the first, which only

included respondents who had had face-to-face contact with police officers.

With the multiple regression model B it is possible to estimate the

predictive power of a set of variables referring to the citizen’s assessment of

the police officers’ behaviour and performance during face-to-face contact.

Furthermore, using two models, on two different sample sizes with a

different number of variables included, avoids the risk of multicorrineality.

In a multiple regression analysis, the estimates of partial scope coefficients

are, by definition, affected by the presence and absence of other variables.

Entering a variable in a multiple regression equation can have a major

effect on the size of regression coefficients. There is multicorrineality when

two or more predictor variables are highly interrelated, so as they should be

considered as one. For this reason, they should be not included together in

the multiple regression equation. According to Jiao (1998a: 182), the

presence of multicorrineality can be detected by observing dramatic

changes in the size of coefficient estimates, when we switch samples,

change the indicators used to measure a variable in the regression model, or

delete or add a variable in the equation. In any case, in our study, no one

independent variable is highly correlated (r > .7) with others, so the risk of

collinearity can be excluded.

Both of the models have the same dependent variable, ‘trust in the

police’. In order to test the first hypothesis, that is trust in the police

depends on relational variables rather than individual variables, both of the

models were tested by two multivariate regression analyses. In the first case

(Model A1; Model B1), the overall effect of both relational variables and

90

individual variables on people’s trust in the police is examined. In the

second case (Model A2; Model B2) only the effect of relational variables is

considered. Comparing the capacity of the models to explain the dependent

variable’s variance in the first case (Model A1; Model B1) with that in the

second case (Model A2; Model B2) allows the independent influence of

relational variables on trust in the police to be estimated.

In order to test the other two hypotheses, that trust depends on how

fair and polite, and how effective in performing citizens’ expectations,

residents consider police officers to be, the effect of each variable on trust

in the police is examined by analysing the significance and value of the

standardised regression coefficients (beta) in each step of the analysis44.

An overview of the dependent and independent variables used in the

analysis follows.

The Dependent Variable

Both models (A and B) have the same dependent variable, trust in the

police45. Trust in the police46 is measured by the item: ‘Overall, are you

satisfied with the police in your neighbourhood?’. Respondents could

44 Standardised coefficients are analysed due to the different scale of the independent variables. In fact, while the "unstandardised" coefficient, b, states the change in Y that is due to a change of one unit of X. standardised coefficients, beta, states the change in Y that is due to a change of one standard deviation of X. 45 In this survey, the term ‘police’ refers to all the three Italian state police forces: Polizia di Stato, Arma dei Carabinieri, and Guardia di Finanza. 46 Literature recognises at least three possible meanings of distrust. The first is a low level or absence of trust. The second is the opposite of trust, that is having anxious or pessimistic views of expected results. The third is a more complex view of distrust under which it is possible to be both trustful and distrustful. In this perspective distrust is a complement to trust: distrust that generates caution and verification (“trust but verify”) can substitute trust or can enhance trust if initial experiences are positive (Hall et al., 2001: 618-619). In this study the first meaning of distrust is used: distrust is simply a low level of trust.

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choose from 1= very satisfied, 2= quite satisfied, 3= not very satisfied, 4=

not at all satisfied.47

There may be two limitations in the use of this item.

The first is that the dependent variable in the survey was measured in

terms of a single item indicating a global attitude, rather than with a multi

item approach. In fact, like agencies that administer criminal law, the police

also have multiple goals (Whitaker and Phillips, 1983). The roles played by

Police officers in today’s democratic society are extremely important and

complex. Many scholars maintain that the job of law enforcement officers

is no longer limited to just crime fighting: officers have to broaden their

role and focus on the quality of life matters indicated by citizens (Kakar,

1998). Police officers are requested to not only be an investigator and

enforcer but a key-element in the process of spontaneous social control

exercised by the community. A study by the Australiasian Police Research

Institute compared public and police perceptions of the role of the police,

and confirmed that public would prefer the police to place higher priority

on a wide range of tasks. The public felt that the police should take a more

proactive role and place higher priority on community service tasks (Jiao,

1998b: 302; see also Boni and Packer, 1998). Therefore, the tasks of police

officers are not only the traditional ones of crime detection and restoring

order (Bayley, 1994), but also that of preventing crime and reducing

insecurity in a partnership with the community (see also Murphy and

Worral, 1999). The focus on a single item might ignore the fact that police

forces tend to have more than one goal (Wycoff and Manning, 1983: 23).

For these reasons, some studies use two types of satisfaction measures:

specific (satisfaction with a particular police activity), and global

(satisfaction with the police in general).

47 In the multiple regression analysis trust in the police was categorized as follows: 1= high trust in the police; 0 = low trust in the police.

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The Trentino survey also used four different items to investigate the

level of satisfaction with the police in preventing crime, keeping order,

investigating criminals, and reducing insecurity.48 However, there were no

great differences in levels of satisfaction for each item (included that of

general satisfaction), and the items were highly correlated (see table 2).

Table 2 - Correlations between general and specific ‘satisfaction’ variables

Variables

global trust in the police

trust the police keep order

Trust the police prevent crime

trust the police reduce insecurity

trust the police arrest criminals

global trust in the police

1 0.555 0.540 0.544 0.471

trust the police keep order 0.555 1 0.644 0.626 0.554

trust the police prevent crime 0.540 0.644 1 0.723 0.657

trust the police reduce insecurity 0.544 0.626 0.723 1 0.668

trust the police arrest criminals

0.471 0.554 0.657 0.668 1

All relationships are significant (p<.001)

Other studies stated that global attitude measures have been reported

to be highly correlated with specific attitude measures (see Cao and Hou,

2001: 91). They are also found to be predictive of specific attitude measures

(see Cao et al., 1998: 283). Therefore the item on global attitudes may be

considered a reliable indicator of both general and specific satisfaction with

the police. It is for these reasons that only a single general item indicating a

global attitude toward the police was used in the analysis.

The second limitation may be that the concept of trust is in part

different from that of satisfaction (Hall et al., 2001: 617). Trust is linked to

expectations for the others’ future behaviour, while satisfaction is about the

48 Similar items were used by Skogan and Hartnett (1997: 207).

93

evaluation of others’ current behaviour. Furthermore, trust is considered

more stable, while satisfaction more ephemeral and subject to rapid

revision. Few studies, considering these differences, used an item as ‘How

much confidence do you have in the police?’ (Cao and Hou, 2001).

However, two reasons support the decision to use the item concerning

satisfaction. The first is that it is the most used indicator of citizens’

positive attitudes toward the police in social surveys, and it is normally

referred to either positive attitudes or to trust in the police (see Hale and

Uglow, 1997; Yeo, Budd, 2000; Istat, 1999: 44). Tyler (1990: 45-56) also

used items referring to satisfaction with the police and the courts. in order

to measure people’s opinion of the legitimacy of criminal justice system (a

concept very close to trust in the police).

The second reason is that, although trust and satisfaction may be to

some extent conceptually different, empirical data shows that the level of

positive attitudes toward police are about the same, irrespective of the focus

of the attitude question (people’s satisfaction with the police, people’s

opinion about whether the police do a good job, people’s confidence in the

police, etc.). The research findings of Hurst and Frank (2000: 195), and

Brandl et al. (1997) follow this direction.

The Independent Variables

In accordance with the research hypotheses, independent variables are

classified in two groups: individual variables and relational variables.

Among individual variables, both regression models consider gender,

age, education, victimisation and level of social integration49. All these

49 The sample size and the data collection procedure (telephone interviews) did not allow an adequate investigation of the attitudes of foreign born residents (non-Italian citizens). They are

94

variables are suggested by literature as factors of trust in the police (see

chapter 2).

Age was measured as the respondent’s actual age in years at the time

of the survey. For the analyses, age was categorised as follows: 14-25, 26-

45, 46-59, over 60.

Respondents’ gender was measured using a binary variable where 1 =

male and 0 = female.

Education was assessed with the available data in the survey where 1

= low (did not complete first school level) and 7 = high (graduate degree or

more).

Respondents were asked three questions about criminal victimisation.

The first question is about theft and burglary: ‘During the past three years,

has anyone stolen or attempted to steal something from you or someone in

your family’. The second question is about vandalism: ‘During the past

three years, has anyone deliberately damaged or destroyed your or your

family’s property?’. The third question is about assaults: ‘During the past

three years, has anyone attacked or assaulted you in a very frightening

manner?’. From the responses to these questions, a single ‘criminal

victimisation’ variable was created. If the respondent answered ‘yes’ to at

least one of the three questions, victimization = 1. If the respondent

answered ‘no’ to all the questions, victimization = 0.50

Respondents were asked two sets of items about their level of social

integration. Social integration is an individual variable and corresponds to

social cohesion, that is a community-level variable: the former applies to

only form a small part of the Trentino community and they often do not have a phone. The survey’s results shows that only 11 respondents were from abroad. Therefore, the variable ‘citizenship’, which in the Italian context may be considered as a proxy for race or ethnicity, cannot be included in the analyses. 50 Similar items were used by Hurst and Frank (2000: 194) and by Skogan and Hartnett (1997: 226),

95

individuals, while the last applies to community.51 Social integration is a

construct linked to that of mutual social support, part of that of collective

efficacy52, and overlapping that of social capital53; (see chapter 2); it has

been measured with items generally used to measure these related concepts.

Items refer, in particular, to two dimensions of social integration:

neighbourhood interactions, and involvement in the neighbourhood life.

Therefore the first set of items used is about interaction with

neighbours: ‘How often do you chat with your neighbours?’; ‘How often do

you exchange favours with your neighbours?’; ‘How often do you spend

your free time with your neighbours?’. A single ‘neighbourhood

interaction’ variable was created. If the respondent answered ‘often’ to at

least one of the three questions, interaction with neighbours = 1. If the

respondent answered ‘rarely or never’ to all the questions, interaction with

neighbours = 0.

The second set of items is about involvement in neighbourhood life.

‘Do you regularly go to one of the following places in your neighbourhood?

(There then followed a list of places such as sport associations, non-profit

associations, culture clubs, bars and so on)’. A single variable on

involvement in neighbourhood life was created. If the respondent answered

‘yes’ to at least one of these items, involvement in neighbourhood life = 1.

If the respondent answered ‘no’ to all the questions, involvement in

neighbourhood life = 0.

Among the relational variables, which are variables referring to

respondents’ relationship with police, both regression models consider

51 The distinction between social integration as an individual variable and social cohesion as a community-level variable is important because what it measured in the survey was an individual’s life-style (more or less integrated in the community), rather than a feature of social organization. 52 Sampson and Raudenbush (1999: 603) defined collective efficacy as cohesion among residents combined with shared expectations for social control in public space.

96

items referring to police visibility in the neighbourhood, quality of police

conduct in the neighbourhood, and the effectiveness of police activity in the

neighbourhood. They are all items regarding respondents’ indirect

experience with the police, that is what respondents see or hear about the

police, without focusing on potential face-to-face contact previously

experienced with some police officers.

Police visibility, which according to Skogan and Hartnett (1997: 201)

is the ‘quantity’ of policing activity that people observed around them, was

measured by asking respondents how often they see police officers in their

neighbourhood54. Respondents could choose from 1 = never, 2 = not very

often, 3 = quite often, 4= very often.

Quality of police conduct in the neighbourhood, that is how fair

people perceive police conduct in the neighbourhood to be on the basis of

what they see or hear about other people’s experience with the police, was

measured by asking respondents: ‘In your opinion, how fair are the police

in their relations with residents?’55. Respondents could choose from 1 =

unfair, 2 = not very fair, 3 = quite fair, 4 = very fair.

Effectiveness of police activity in the neighbourhood, that is how

effective in fulfilling the community’s expectations do people perceive the

police to be on the basis of what they see or hear about other people’s

experience with the police, was measured by asking respondents: ‘In your

opinion, how capable are the police of fulfilling residents’ expectations?’56.

Respondents could choose from 1 = not at all capable, 2 = not very capable,

3 = quite capable, 4 = very capable.

53 The most common definition of social capital regards it as features of social organization, such as networks, norms and social trust that facilitate coordination and cooperation for mutual benefit (Putnam, 1995: 67). 54 Similar item was used in the survey on Criminal Victimization and Perceptions of Community Safety in 12 Cities, 1998, held by the U.S. Department of Justice (see Smith et al., 1999: 24). 55 Similar item was used by Stoutland (2001: 237-238). 56 Similar item was used by Stoutland (2001: 233).

97

Besides these variables, regression model A also considered police-

residents contact measures. Respondents were asked a set of questions

about whether during the past year they had experienced face-to-face

contact with a police officers as a result of being stopped while on the street

or driving or riding in a car, being involved in a car accident, asking for

information or help, informing the police about a neighbourhood problem,

informing police about suspect people, having been a victim of crime,

having been involved in a crime event as an offender or witness, talking to

an officer for work, or other reasons.57 For each question, if the respondent

answered ‘yes’, contact = 1 (had a contact); if the respondent answered ‘no’

contact = 0 (no contact).

Regression model B, as mentioned above, was tested on the sub-

sample that only consisted of respondents who had a face-to-face contact

with police officers. Apart from police visibility, quality of police conduct

in the neighbourhood and effectiveness of police activity in the

neighbourhood, model B also considers relational variables regarding the

quality of police officer behaviour and the effectiveness of police officer

performance during the face-to-face contact.

Respondents who had a contact with police officers were asked three

questions about the quality of the police officer’s behaviour. The first, ‘Did

the police officers treat you fairly?’ regards the variable ‘fair treatment’; the

second ‘Did police officers keep you informed or give you useful advice?’

regards the variable ‘polite treatment’.58 For both questions, if the

respondent answered ‘yes’, fair or polite treatment = 1; if the respondent

answered ‘no’, fair or polite treatment = 0. The third question, ‘Did police

57 Similar items were used in the Police Public Contact Survey, supplement to the National Crime Victimization Survey 1999, held by U.S. Department of Justice (see Langan et al., 2001) and in the Scottish Crime Surveys (see Hale and Uglow, 1997). 58 Similar items were used by Chandek (1999: 680-681), and in the section of the British Crime Survey referring to public-police contacts (see Yeo and Budd, 2000).

98

officers use physical force against you?’, refers to ‘use of force’ variable.59

If the respondent answered ‘no’, use of force = 1; if the respondent

answered ‘yes’, use of force = 0.60

Respondents who had a contact with police officers were asked three

questions about the effectiveness of the police officer’s performance61. The

first, ‘Were police officers quick in responding?’ refers to the ‘response

time’ variable; the second, ‘Did police officers were capable to solve the

problem?’ refers to ‘capacity of response’ variable; the third ‘Did police

officers do all they could in order to solve the problem?’ refers to ‘efforts in

responding’ variable.62 For each question, if the respondent answered ‘yes’,

response time/capacity of response/efforts in responding = 1; if the

respondent answered ‘no’, response time/capacity of response/efforts in

responding = 0.

Table 3 summarises the variables used in the multivariate analyses

(both Model A and Model B), and how they were measured.

59 Similar item was used in the Police Public Contact Survey, supplement to the National Crime Victimization Survey 1999, held by U.S. Department of Justice (see Langan et al., 2001). 60 Considering that only one respondent answered ‘yes’ to this question, the variable ‘use of force’ is not analysed in the multiple regression models. 61 In this study, police are effective during the face-to-face contact when police officer performance meets the respondent’s expectations; that is when respondents positively assess police officer performance. The usefulness of citizens’ opinions to assess police effectiveness is confirmed by several studies: in democratic societies, where police have to achieve multiple goals and traditional measures based on arrests are inadequate, surveying citizens is crucial to assess police performance and to reform police structure and actions (see Gary, 1976; Whitaker and Phillips, 1983; Kakar, 1998; Davis, 2001) It is important to note that, although performance and effectiveness are often considered synonymous, they are actually two separate concepts: As Wycoff and Manning (1983) reported, performance is an execution of work, and effectiveness the outcome of this work. Measuring effectiveness is measuring the output or outcome of an activity or strategies (input), measuring performance is measuring the activity itself. What has been measured in this study is not police performance, but the outcome of police activity, that is whether police achieved the goal of meeting people’s expectations of police activity (effectiveness). An example highlights this distinction: in the case of ‘response time’, measuring police performance based on time of response is measuring how much time police officers take to respond to calls; measuring effectiveness, however, is measuring whether this performance adequately responds to what society expects (goals). This adequacy may be measured objectively (by, for example, the number of criminals caught red-handed) or subjectively (by, for example, citizens’ satisfaction with police response time).

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Table 3 - Variables used in the multivariate analyses

Variables

Measurement

Dependent variable

trust in the police

‘Overall, are you satisfied with the police in your neighbourhood?’ 1= not at all satisfied; 2= not very satisfied; 3= quite satisfied; 4= very satisfied

Independent variable

Individual variables Gender 1= male; 0= female age 1=14-25; 2= 26-45; 3=46-59; 4= over 60

education From 1 = low (did not completed first school level) to 7= high (graduate degree or more)

victimisation 1= yes (was a victim of crime); 0= no (was not a victim of crime)

neighbourhood interaction 1= yes (has relations with neighbours); 0= no (has no relations with neighbours)

involvement in the neighbourhood life 1= yes (regularly involved in neighbourhood life); 0= no (not involved in neighbourhood life)

Relational variables

police visibility How often do you see police officers in your neighbourhood' 1= never; 2= not very often; 3= quite often; 4= very often

quality of the police conduct in the neighbourhood

How fair and polite are police in their relations with residents?’ 1= unfair; 2= not very fair; 3= quite fair; 4= very fair

effectiveness of the police activity in the neighbourhood

How capable are the police of fulfilling residents’ expectations ?’ 1= not at all capable; 2= not very capable; 3= quite capable; 4= very capable

Only for Model 1 contact: being stopped 1= yes (had contact); 0= no (no contact) contact: being involved in a car accident 1= yes (had contact); 0= no (no contact) contact: asking for information or help 1= yes (had contact); 0= no (no contact) contact: informing the police about a neighbourhood problem 1= yes (had contact); 0= no (no contact)

contact: informing the police about suspect people 1= yes (had contact); 0= no (no contact)

contact: having been a victim of crime 1= yes (had contact); 0= no (no contact) contact: having been involved in a crime event

1= yes (had contact); 0= no (no contact)

62 Similar items were used in the in the section of the British Crime Survey referring to public-police contacts (see Yeo and Budd, 2000)

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Table 3 - Variables used in the multivariate analyses – continued

contact: talking to an officer for work reasons 1= yes (had contact); 0= no (no contact)

contact: other reasons 1= yes (had contact); 0= no (no contact)

Only for Model 2

response time ‘Were police officers quick in responding?’ 1= yes; 0= no

capacity of response ‘Did police officers were capable to solve the problem?’ 1= yes; 0= no

efforts in responding ‘Did police officers do all they could in to solve the problem?’ 1= yes; 0= no

polite treatment ‘Did police officers keep you informed?’ 1= yes; 0= no

fair treatment ‘Did police officers treat you fairly?’ 1= yes; 0= no

use of force ‘Did police officers use physical force against you?’ 1= no; 0= yes

3.3 Findings

Some Preliminary Results

Before discussing the results of the multiple regression analyses the

following tables are presented: a table showing the percentages for the

variables used in multivariate analyses; several tables showing the

percentages for the independent variables with ‘trust in police’. Chi-square

is analysed to gain preliminary information about the significance of the

relationship between each independent variable and trust in the police. The

categories used for the variables correspond to those used in the

multivariate models discussed in the next section, with the exception of the

variables referring to direct contacts. To simplify the presentation of the

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preliminary results, three variables were created: a ‘contact’ variable, a

‘quality of police officer’s behaviour’ variable, and an ‘effectiveness of the

police officer’s performance’ variable.

In the questions regarding contacts, if the respondent answered ‘yes’

to at least one of the questions, contact = 1 (had a contact); if the respondent

answered ‘no’ to all the questions, contact = 0 (had no contact).

In the questions about quality of police officer’s behaviour during the

face-to-face contact (fair treatment, polite treatment and use of excessive

force), if the respondent answered ‘yes’ to all the questions, quality = 1

(high quality); if the respondents answered ‘no’ to at least one of the three

questions, quality = 0 (low quality).

In the questions about effectiveness of police officer’s performance

during the face-to-face contact (response time, capacity of response, efforts

in responding), if the respondent answered ‘yes’ to all the questions,

effectiveness = 1 (high effectiveness); if the respondents answered ‘no’ to at

least one of the three questions, effectiveness = 0 (low effectiveness).

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Table 4 - Percentages of the variables used in the multivariate analyses.

Variables Coding scheme

Distribution

%

N

Dependent Variable

trust in the police 1= high 90 1247 0= low 10 Independent variables

gender 1= male 46.3 1300 0= female 53.7

age

1= 14-25 12.6 1300 2= 26-45 35.4 3= 46-59 24.5 4= over 60 27.5

education

1= low 0.1 1297 2 18.7 3 35.3 4 11.3 5 28 6 0.7 7= high 5.9

victimisation 1= yes 16.5 1300 0= no 83.5

neighbourhood interaction 1= yes 76.5 1300 0= no 23.5

involvement in neighbourhood life 1= yes 93.5 1300 0= no 6.5

police visibility

1= never 15.2 1291 2= not very often 43.5 3= quite often 31.5 4= very often 9.8

quality of police conduct in the neighbourhood

1= unfair 33 1175 2= not very fair 60.7 3= quite fair 5.1 4= very fair 1.2

effectiveness of police activity in the neighbourhood

1= not at all capable 21.7 1214 2= not very capable 63.4 3= quite capable 13.2 4= very capable 1.7

contact: being stopped 1= yes 26.1 1300 0= no 73.8

contact: being involved in a car accident 1= yes 1.5 1300 0= no 98.5

contact: asking for information or help 1= yes 5.3 1300 0= no 94.7

contact: informing the police about a problem 1= yes 3.2 1300 0= no 96.8

contact: informing the police about suspectpeople 1= yes 3.2 1300 0= no 96.8

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Table 4 - Percentages of the variables used in the multivariate analyses - continued

contact: having been a victim of crime 1= yes 3.5 1300 0= no 96.5

contact: having been involved in a crime event 1= yes 0.5 1300 0= no 99.5

contact: talking to an officer for work reasons 1= yes 6.1 1300 0= no 93.9

contact: other reasons 1= yes 2.5 1300 0= no 97.5

.

response time 1= yes 85.3 191 0= no 14.7

capacity of response 1= yes 81.1 190 0= no 18.9

efforts in responding 1= yes 86.5 193 0= no 13.5

polite treatment 1= yes 73.6 201 0= no 26.4

Fair treatment 1= yes 94.6 203 0= no 5.4

use of force 1= no 99.5 205 0= yes 0.5

The vast majority of the respondents (90%) say that they are satisfied

or very satisfied with the police (see table 4 ).

Face-to-face contact between citizens and the police are rare. About 1

in 3 respondents say they had contact of some kind with the police over the

past 12 years. Why did they have a face-to-face contact? About 1 in 4

repondents has been stopped for document checks by police officers while

they were in a car; about 5% of the respondents asked a police officer for

information; and about 6% of the respondents had contact for work reason.

How have respondents who had a contact evaluated police officer

behaviour and performance? With respect to behaviour, about 3 in 4

repondents say that police officers gave information or useful advice (polite

treatment), and about 95% said that they were failry treated by police

officers. With respect to performance, 85% of the respondents say that

police officers were quick in responding, about 4 in 5 respondents say that

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police officers were able to solve the problem, and 86% of the respondents

say that police officers did all they could in order to solve the problem.

Although few citizens have face-to-face contact with police officers,

the majority of them (58%) often see police officers in the neighourhood.

On the basis of what they see or hear about somebody else’s experience

with police officers (indirect relationship), respondents were asked to judge

police conduct and activity in the neighbourhood. The vast majority of the

respondents say that police are fair (94%) and able to fulfill citizens’

expectations (85%).

How does the level of trust in the police vary in relation to the

variations of the independent variables?

Table 5 - Trust in the police by age. Percentage.

age

trust in the police

14-25

26-45 46-59 over 60

high

82.2 90.7 90.4 92.4

low

17.8 9.3 9.6 7.6

χ2(DF=3, N=1247)=13,424, p<.05

Table 6 - Trust in the police by gender. Percentage.

gender

trust in the police

male

female

high

90.3 89.7

low

9.7 10.3

χ2(DF=1, N=1247)=0,108, p>.05

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Table 5 shows that, compared to adults, juveniles (14-25 years) are

somewhat less likely to be satisfied with the police.

The level of trust in the police does not vary significantly in relation to

the difference in gender: the percentage of males who said that are satisfied

with the police is about the same as that of the females (table 6).

Table 7 - Trust in the police by education. Percentage.

education

trust in the police 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

high

100 92.0 89.3 87.1 90.1 88.9 92.0

low

- 8.0 10.7 12.9 9.9 11.1 8.0

χ2(DF=6, N=1244)=3,031, p>.05

The level of trust in the police does not vary in relation to the level of

education.

Table 8 - Trust in the police by victimisation. Percentage.

victimization

trust in the police

yes

no

high

79.2 92.1

low

20.8 7.9

χ2(DF=1, N=1247)=30,989, p<.05

In contrast, residents who had been a victim of crime are less likely

than others to say they are satisfied with the police.

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Table 9 - Trust in the police by neighbourhood interaction. Percentage.

neighbourhood interaction

trust in the police

yes

no

high

90.9 87.0

low

9.1 13.0

χ2(DF=6, N=1247)=3,680, p>.05

Table 10 - Trust in the police by involvement in neighbourhood life. Percentage.

involvement in neighbourhood

life

trust in the police

yes

no

high

89.8 92.6

low

10.2 7.4

χ2(DF=1, N=1247)=0,658, p>.05

Neither neighbourhood interaction nor involvement in the

neighbourhood life are significantly related to trust in the police. Persons

who are well integrated in the neighbourhood (that is, those who often have

contact with neighbours and are involved in neighbourhood life) and

persons who are not integrated have about the same level of satisfaction

with the police.

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Table 11 - Trust in the police by police visibility. Percentage.

police visibility

trust in the police

very often

quite often not very often never

high

94.2 94.7 84.5 80.3

low

5.8 5.3 15.5 19.7

χ2(DF=3, N=1239)=42,425, p<.05

Persons who often see police officers in the neighbourhood are more

likely than others to be satisfied with the police.

Table 12 - Trust in the police by quality of police conduct in the neighbourhood. Percentage.

quali ty of the

police conduct in the neighbourhood

trust in the police

very fair

quite fair not very fair unfair

high

97.6 91.8 53.6 -

low

2.4 8.2 46.4 100.0

χ2(DF=3, N=1142)=227,668, p<.05

Residents who perceive that police are fair in their relations with

citizens are more likely to be satisfied with the police than others.

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Table 13 - Trust in the police by effectiveness of police activity in the neighbourhood. Percentage.

effectiveness of police activity in

the neighbourhood

trust in the police

very capable

quite capable not very

capable not at all capable

high

98.1 96.7 56.1 9.5

low

1.9 3.3 43.9 90.5

χ2(DF=3, N=1176)=406,887, p<.05

Also residents who perceive that police are able to fulfill citizens

expecations are more likely to be satisfied with the police than others.

Table 14 - Trust in the police by face-to-face contact with the police officers. Percentage.

face-to-face contact

trust in the police

yes

no

high

88.7 90.7

low

11.3 9.3

χ2(DF=1, N=1247)=1,306, p>.05.

The level of trust in the police does not vary in relation to having or

not having had a face-to-face contact with police officers.

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Table 15 - Trust in the police by quality of police officer’ behaviour during face-to-face contact. Percentage.

quality of the

police officers’ behaviour

trust in the police

high quality

low quality

high

90.4 86.6

low

9.6 13.4

χ2(DF=1, N=441)=1,613, p>.05

Among residents who have had a face-to-face contact with police

officers, those who assess positively the quality of the police officers’

behaviour during the contact are more likely to trust the police than others.

Table 16 - Trust in the police by effectiveness of the police officers’ performance during the face-to-face contact. Percentage.

effectiveness of the

police officers’ performance

trust in the police

high effectiveness

low effectiveness

high

91.5 69.1

low

8.5 30.9

χ2(DF=1, N=441)=23,943, p<.05

Among residents who have had a face-to-face contact with police

officers, those who assess that police officers were effective are more likely

to trust the police than others.

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What is clear from these tables is that, among the variables that might

affect trust in the police many relational variables and some individual

variables have a significant relationship with trust in the police.

In particular, the tables show that trust in the police varies with age,

victimisation, police visibility, quality of police conduct in the

neighbourhood, effectiveness of police activity in the neighbourhood and

effectiveness of police officer performance during a face-to-face contact.

But, which of these variables are able to explain (and predict) the

levels of the trust in the police? Are they individual variables, or relational

variables? Which of these two groups have a major predictive power of

trust in the police?

Testing The Research Hypotheses

As mentioned above, in order to test the research hypotheses two

different multiple regression models were used: Model A on the whole

sample of the survey; Model B on a sub-sample of the first, which only

included respondents who had had a face-to-face contact with police

officers. Both models have the same dependent variable, trust in the police.

Among the independent variables, both models consider individual

variables and the relational variables referring to respondents’ indirect

experience with the police: police visibility, quality of police conduct in the

neighbourhood and effectiveness of police activity in the neighbourhood.

Model A also considers police-residents contact variables, while Model B

also considers variables regarding the quality of police officer behaviour

and effectiveness of the police officer performance during contact. Both

models were tested by two multivariate regression analyses. In the first case

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(Model A1 e B1) all the independent variables are included. In the second

case (Model A2 e B2) only relational variables are included.

Table 17 - Multivariate regression analysis of trust in the police. Model A1.

Independent variables

B Beta

(Constant) 0.105 gender -0.003 -0.005 age 0.009 0.033 education 0.008 0.037 victimisation -0.084 *** -0.109 neighbourhood interaction 0.003 0.004 involvement in the neighbourhood life -0.024 -0.020 police visibility 0.028 ** 0.082 quality of the police conduct in the neighbourhood 0.073 *** 0.153 effectiveness of the police activity in the neighbourhood 0.151 *** 0.338 contact: being stopped 0.008 0.014 contact: being involved in a car accident -0.102 -0.044 contact: asking for information or help 0.041 0.033 contact: informing the police about a neighbourhood problem -0.052 -0.034 contact: informing the police about suspect people 0.056 0.036 contact: having been a victim of crime -0.011 -0.007 contact: having been involved in a crime event -0.172 -0.045 contact: talking to an officer for work reasons -0.016 -0.014 contact: other reasons -0.037 -0,022

R2 = .244

Adjusted R2 = .232

* p<.05, ** p<.01, *** p<.001

Model A1 explains a quota of the variance associated with the

dependent variable significantly different from zero, that is 24% (R2 = .24).

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Table 18 - Multivariate regression analysis of trust in the police. Model A2.

Independent variables

B Beta

(Constant) 0.105 police visibility 0.026 ** 0.075 quality of police conduct in the neighbourhood 0.076 *** 0.160 effectiveness of police activity in the neighbourhood 0.158 *** 0.354 contact: being stopped 0.004 0.007 contact: being involved in a car accident -0.116 -0.050 contact: asking for information or help 0.046 0.037 contact: informing the police about a neighbourhood problem -0.062 -0.040 contact: informing the police about suspect people 0.047 0.031 contact: having been a victim of crime -0.060 -0.039 contact: having been involved in a crime event -0.163 -0.042 contact: talking to an officer for work reasons -0.022 -0.019 contact: other reasons -0.044 -0.026

R2 = .232 Adjusted R2 = .223

* p<.05, ** p<.01, *** p<.001

In the second analysis, individual variables are not included in order to

see if the multiple regression coefficient (R2) for the model, that is the

variance associated with the dependent variable explained by the model,

remains similar to the first analysis. As can be seen in table 18 model A2

explains 23% of the variance associated with trust in the police (R2 = .23).

So, the comparison between multiple regression coefficients (R2) for model

A1 and Model A2 shows that including individual variables in the model

explaining trust in the police does not increase the quota of variance

explained by only relational variables in a relevant way.

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Among the individual variables, considered in the first analysis, only

victimisation is a predictor that is significantly related to trust in the police

(p<.001), with a negative value of beta (beta = - .1). Therefore, having been

a victim of crime decreases trust the police.

Among the relational variables, the following are significant

predictors of trust in the police: police visibility (p<.01), quality of police

conduct in the neighbourhood (p<.001), effectiveness of police activity in

the neighbourhood (p<.001). Police visibility has a very low capacity of

predicting trust in the police in both of the analyses (in Model A1, beta =

.08; in Model A2, beta = .07).

No contact measure is statistically significant in predicting trust in the

police. These variables remain non significant also in the second analysis.

Table 19 - Multivariate regression analysis of trust in the police. Model A including only ‘quality of police conduct in the neighbourhood’ and ‘effectiveness of police activity in the neighbourhood’.

Independent variables

B Beta

(Constant) 0.155 *** quality of police conduct in the neighbourhood 0.078 *** 0.162 effectiveness of police activity in the neighbourhood 0.163 *** 0.365

R2 = .217 Adjusted R2 = .215 * p<.05, ** p<.01, *** p<.001

The results indicate, instead, that respondents’ perceptions concerning

the fairness of police conduct in the neighbourhood (in Model A1, beta =

.15; in model A2, beta = .16) and the effectiveness of police activity in

fulfilling the community’s expectations (in Model A1, beta = .33; in Model

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A2, beta = .35) have a stronger effect on their feeling of trust in the police.

As can be seen in table 19, only these two variables explains 22% of the

variance associated with trust in the police (R2 = .22).

Changing the sample does not change the results in a relevant manner:

similar results emerge from the analyses of the sub-sample which only

included respondents who had had a face-to-face contact with police

officers (Model B).

Table 20 - Multivariate regression analysis of trust in the police. Model B1.

Independent variables

B Beta

(Constant) -0.127 gender -0.021 -0.032 age -0.056 * -0.148 education -0.003 -0.013 victimisation -0.055 -0.082 neighbourhood interaction -0.001 -0.001 involvement in neighbourhood life -0.056 -0.014 police visibility 0.047 0.109 quality of police conduct in the neighbourhood 0.116 ** 0.219 effectiveness of police activity in the neighbourhood 0.142 *** 0.301 response time 0.222 ** 0.237 capacity of response -0.033 -0.040 efforts in responding 0.104 0.106 polite treatment 0.033 0.044 fair treatment 0.008 0.005

R2 = .451 Adjusted R2 = .395 * p<.05, ** p<.01, *** p<.001

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Model B1 explains 45% of the variance associated with the dependent

variable (R2 = .45).

Table 21 - Multivariate regression analysis of trust in the police. Model B2.

Independent variables

B Beta

(Constant) -0.308 police visibility 0.047 0.109 quality of police conduct in the neighbourhood 0.097 * 0.183 effectiveness of police activity in the neighbourhood 0.136 *** 0.289 response time 0.234 *** 0.249 capacity of response -0.002 -0.003 efforts in responding 0.116 0.119 polite treatment 0.018 0.023 fair treatment 0.007 0.005

R2 = .426 Adjusted R2 = .392 * p<.05, ** p<.01, *** p<.001

In the second analysis (model B2), individual variables are not

included: the variance associated with the dependent variable explained by

the model remains similar to the first analysis. In fact, as can be seen in

table 21, model B2 explains 43% of the variance associated with trust in the

police (R2 = .43). Therefore, also in Model B, the comparison between

multiple regression coefficients (R2) for the first analysis (Model B1) and

the second analysis (Model B2) shows that including individual variables in

the model explaining trust in the police does not increase the quota of

variance explained by the relational variables in any significant way.

116

Among the individual variables considered in the first analysis, age is

the only significant predictor related to trust in the police (p<.05), with a

negative value of beta (beta = - .14). Therefore, the younger you are, the

more likely you are to distrust the police.

As in Model A the relational variables that remain significant

predictors of trust in the police are: quality of police conduct in the

neighbourhood (p<.01), effectiveness of police activity in the

neighbourhood (p<.001). The ‘response time’ variable is also a significant

predictor of trust in the police (p.<01).

These results confirmed that the respondents’ perceptions about the

fairness of police conduct in the neighbourhood (in Model B1, beta = .22;

in Model B2, beta = .18) and about effectiveness of police activity in

fulfilling the community’s expectations (in Model B1, beta = .30; in Model

B2, beta = .29) have a greater effect on their feeling of trust in the police.

These results also indicate that the respondents’ assessment of the police

officers rapidity in responding to calls influences trust in the police (in

model B1, beta = .24; in model B2, beta = .25).

To which variables are these three main predictors related? This

question allows an evaluation as to whether these predictors are affected in

turn by individual variables or relational variables. In facts, the results of

the multiple regression analyses does not supply any statement concerning

the causal connections between the independent variables included in the

regression equations. It may be the case that, while the relational variables

are the major causative factor for trust in the police, they are strongly

influenced by individual variables, so therefore the importance of relational

variables in predicting trust in the police would be in some way reduced.

Analysis of the correlation (r of Pearson) of each of these three

variables with the other independent variables used in previous regression

models shows that:

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- ‘quality of police conduct in the neighbourhood’ is positively related

(r>.20; p<.05) to the following variables: ‘effectiveness of police activity in

fulfilling the community’s expectations’ (r = .47); ‘polite treatment’ (r =

.28); ‘efforts in responding’ (r = .24); ‘response time’ (r = .20).

- ‘effectiveness of police activity in fulfilling the community’s

expectations’, besides ‘quality of police conduct in the neighbourhood’, is

positively related (r >20; p<.05) to: ‘efforts in responding’ (r = .28); ‘polite

treatment’ (r = .25); ‘response time’ (r = .22); ‘capacity of response’ (r =

.20).

- ‘response time’, besides ‘effectiveness of police activity in fulfilling

the community’s expectations’ and ‘quality of police conduct in the

neighbourhood’, is positively related (r>.20; p<.05) to: ‘efforts in

responding’ (r = .52); ‘capacity of response’ (r = .33); ‘polite treatment’ (r

= .27); ‘fair treatment’ (r = .22).

Therefore, the three most important predictors of trust in the police are

only significantly related to relational variables. Although some individual

variables are significant (p<.05), the value of the correlation coefficient, in

each case, is much too low (r < .2).

Neither contact measures nor police visibility are significantly related

to the three predictors. Among the relational variables, only those referring

to quality and effectiveness of police work, in direct or indirect experiences,

are significant. In fact, respondents’ perceptions regarding the fairness of

police conduct in the neighbourhood, their perception regarding the

effectiveness of police activity in fulfilling the community’s expectations

and their assessment of police officers’ rapidity in responding to calls for

help are related to each other. Furthermore, they are influenced by

respondents’ assessment of whether police officers did all that they could in

order to solve the problem, if they were quick in responding to the call for

help and if they were polite. Respondents’ perception regarding the

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effectiveness of police activity is also influenced by whether police officers

were able to deal with the problem, while respondents’ assessment of police

officers rapidity of response is also influenced by whether police officers

were fair or not.

Summary Of The Findings

Two-way tables showing the percentage of trust in the police for each

of the independent variables indicated that almost all the relational

variables, and some of the individual variables have a significant

relationship with trust in the police.

But which of these two groups of variables – individual or relational -

have a major predictive power of trust in the police?

The results of the multiple regression analyses demonstrated that

relational variables are able to explain a significant quota of the variance

associated with trust in the police, while individual variables explain a

negligible quota. In fact, in both of the models, the variance associated with

the dependent variables explained by the model remains similar,

notwithstanding the inclusion or exclusion of individual variables.

Considering the single variables, although victimisation (in Model A)

and age (in Model B) are found to be significant predictors of trust in the

police, the standardised regression coefficients (beta) indicated that ‘police

conduct in the neighbourhood’, ‘police effectiveness in fulfilling

community expectations’ and ‘response time in face-to-face contact’ are the

three major predictors of trust in the police. Therefore, the more people

perceive the police to be fair and polite in their relations with residents, the

more people perceive the police able to fulfil community’s expectations,

119

and the more people who call the police consider they were quick in

responding, the higher is their level of trust in the police.

Analysis of the correlation of each of these three variables with the

other independent variables used in the regression model showed that only

the relational variables referring to quality and effectiveness of police work,

in direct or indirect experiences, are significantly related to the three

predictors of trust in the police.

The Figure 6 summarises these results. Only the three major

predictors of trust in the police and only significant correlations (p<.5; r

>.2) are considered.

The implications of these findings will be discussed in the next

chapter.

120

Beta= .15 (Model A1) Beta= .22 (Model B1)

Beta= .33 (Model A1) Beta= .30 (Model B1)

Beta= .24 (Model B1)

r= .20

r= .22

r= .47

r= .24

r= .28

r= .28

r= .25

r= .20

r= .27 r= .52

r= .33

r= .22

Figure 6 - Summary of the findings

QUALITY OF THE POLICE

CONDUCT IN THE

NEIGHBOURHOOD

EFFECTIVENESS OF THE

POLICE ACTIVITY IN

THE NEIGHBOURHOOD

RESPONSE TIME

TRUST IN THE POLICE

EFFORTS IN RESPONDING

POLITE TREATMENT

CAPACITY OF RESPONSE

FAIR TREATMENT

121

123

CHAPTER 4 DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSIONS

The purpose of this thesis was to investigate why people trust the

police, in order to know ‘if’ and ‘how’ police’ work may influence people’s

trust in the police. This issue has several implications in terms of the

appropriateness and effectiveness of recent policing strategies focused on

increasing people’s trust in the police.

In extant literature on trust and trust in the police two perspectives

contrast: in the first, people trust the police because they have a subjective

inclination to do so; in the second, people trust the police because they

perceive the police’s work positively. These two perspectives address the

issue of why people trust the police in different ways. On one hand, trust is

viewed as the product of variables regarding the subjective characteristics

of people (individual variables); on the other, trust is viewed as the product

of variables regarding people’s relationship with the police (relational

variables).

Studies specifically dealing with trust in the police do not tell us

which perspective is empirically supported. They are rare and often the

conditions under which trust in the police is produced are only partially

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analysed. Therefore, empirical-driven studies have produced contradictory

research findings: trust in the police is found to be related to both individual

and relational variables.

However, studies comparing the effect of different sets of variables on

the levels of trust in the police suggest that relational variables may have a

greater explanatory power regarding trust in the police in comparison to

individual variables. In particular, among the relational variables, variables

regarding police fairness and capacity to fulfil people’s expectations are

suggested be highly significant (see chapter 2).

From these suggestions, this thesis has formulated three research

hypotheses: trust in the police depends more on relational variables than on

individual variables (H1); trust in the police depends on how fair and polite

police officers are perceived to be (H2); trust in the police depends on how

effective in performing citizens’ expectations police officers are perceived

to be (H3).

The hypotheses were tested by using data from a survey on residents’

attitudes toward the police held in Trentino, a Northern Italian province.

The results of the multiple regression analyses have shown that the

relational variables considered in the survey are able to explain a significant

quota of the variance associated with trust in the police, while individual

variables a negligible quota. The results also showed that the three major

predictors of respondents’ trust in the police are: the respondents’

perception of police’s capacity to fulfil citizens’ expectations, the

respondents’ perception of police fairness in relations with citizens, and the

respondents’ assessment of the police response time to calls for help.

What do these findings mean with respect to the research hypotheses?

What implications do they have?

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4.1 Residents Trust The Police Because They Evaluate Positively What The Police Do

Empirical Support For All Three Research Hypotheses

The results of the Trentino study indicate that the police’s work

matters: people trust the police because they evaluate that police conduct is

fair and the police activity is in line with people’s expectations. All three

research hypotheses are supported.

In respect to the first hypothesis, although some scholars suggest that

people trust the police because they have a particular ‘position in social

space’ (being male or female, being younger or older, having a high level of

education or not, being rich or poor, having a proactive life-style or not,

living in urban or rural areas, and so on) which induce them to do so

(general inclination), findings from the Trentino study indicate, instead, that

they trust mainly because they focus on the inputs provided by the police.

The Trentino study disagrees with the perspective according to which

people trust the police regardless of how patrol officers behave.

In respect to the second and the third hypotheses, although some

authors and several policy makers suggest that trust in the police depends

on the ‘quantity’ of police in the neighbourhood (that is people trust the

police because they often see police in the neighbourhood and because they

have frequent contact with them), findings from the Trentino study indicate,

instead, that it depends on the ‘quality’ and the ‘effectiveness’ of the

police’s work. ‘Quality’ has been defined as ‘fairness and politeness of

police officer conduct’, while ‘effectiveness’ has been defined as ‘police

capacity to fulfil citizens’ expectations’. Therefore, on one hand, people

trust the police because they perceive police officers to be fair in their

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relations with residents (H1), on the other, people trust the police because

they perceive police officers as able to fulfil residents’ expectations, and

quick in responding to calls (H2).

Residents Trust The Police On The Basis Of What They See Or Hear About The Police’s Work

The Trentino study considered two different sets of items for

measuring both police quality and police effectiveness. The first items refer

to respondents’ indirect experience with the police, that is what respondents

see or hear about the police’s work in the neighbourhood. The second items

refer to respondents’ direct experience with the police, that is how

respondents, who had recently experienced a face-to-face contact with a

police officer, assess the police officer’s behaviour and performance.

The findings of the Trentino study indicate that residents trust the

police on the basis of what they see or hear about police’s work, rather than

on the basis of what they have directly experienced. In fact, both of the

variables focused on indirect experience (‘quality of police conduct in the

neighbourhood’, ‘effectiveness of police activity in the neighbourhood’) are

found to be significant predictors of trust in the police, while among the

variables focused on the assessment of police officer behaviour and

performance during face-to-face contacts, only ‘response time’ is found to

be a significant predictor of trust in the police.

However, variables focused on the assessment of police officer

behaviour and performance during face-to-face contacts (such as the

respondent’s assessment of the police officer’s capacity of response to calls,

of efforts made by the police officer in responding, of polite and fair police

officer behaviour) are indirectly relevant. In fact, while they are not found

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to be predictors of trust in the police, they are significantly related to

variables referring to indirect experiences with the police. Thus, although it

needs to be kept in mind that ‘correlation is not causation’, it seems,

however, that respondents evaluate the fairness of police conduct and

effectiveness of police activity not only on the basis of what they see or

hear about someone else’s experience with the police, but also, at least in

part, on the basis of what they have directly experienced.

4.2 Limitations Of The Study

Before possible implications of these findings are discussed, it is

important to note a few limitations of this study. These limitations induce

one to be cautious when discussing implications.

First, this study only examined attitudes of people living in Trentino, a

Northern Italian Province. Compared to the other Italian regions, Trentino

is the area with the highest level of trust in the police, one of the lowest

crime rates, a low level of insecurity and with a high ratio of police officers

per resident (see chapter 3). Findings from the Trentino study may be

influenced by some of these characteristics, therefore the results may be

different in areas with a high crime rate, low ratio of police officers per

resident, where residents have a low level of trust in the police or a high

level of insecurity. Consequently, broad inferences should be drawn with

caution.

Secondly, this study examined people’s attitudes only towards Italian

state police forces, that is the Polizia di Stato, Arma dei Carabinieri and

Guardia di Finanza. Actually, in Italy, local police forces (Polizia

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Municipale) also have functions in providing security. So, the results may

differ if people’s attitudes towards the local police were also considered, or

as an alternative.

Thirdly, this study only examined attitudes, that is the opinions and

reported behaviour, of respondents. All the independent variables are

measured on what residents in Trentino think or report. The results may be

different by also considering, or alternatively, variables measured at

neighbourhood-level, such as rate of employment, level of social cohesion,

ratio of police officers, presence of police stations, and so on (see, for

example, Dunham and Alpert, 1988). The relational variables, regarding the

relationship between citizens and police are analysed from the subjective

point of view of citizens. In particular variables regarding police fairness

and effectiveness are measured by how respondents perceive or assess

them.

Fourthly, since the variables used in this study were adapted mainly

from English-speaking research focusing on local policing agencies, it is

possible that some important variables were inadvertently omitted. Race

(or, rather for Italy, the difference between Italians and non-Italians) was

not included in the analyses because of the sample selection procedure,

based on telephone numbers. Italy is a country that has only recently been

affected by immigration from abroad. Therefore, most immigrants are still

not well settled in Italy, they often do not have a fixed residence, and,

therefore, they often do not have a telephone. In the Trentino survey, only

11 respondents of 1300 were non-Italians. Other individual variables, not

included in the Trentino survey, might be, theoretically, predictors of trust

in the police, such as political orientation and sense of satisfaction with

own’s life (see Cao et al., 1998).

In conclusion, another limitation regards the results of the multivariate

analyses: both of the regression models only explain a part (never more

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than 45%) of the variance of trust in the police. There is a need to increase

the explicative capacity of the models by adding other variables.

Keeping in mind these limitations, the findings from the Trentino

study indicate a strong tendency to consider the police’s work, and in

particular how people perceive the ‘quality’ of police conduct and

‘effectiveness’ of police activity, crucial in determining trust in the police.

What implications do these results have?

4.3 Implications And Directions For Future Research

Although what people perceive may not correspond to what police

actually do, the results of the Trentino study, however, seem to support the

belief that the police’s work influence people’s trust.63 Therefore, the main

implications of the findings of the Trentino study regard the behavioural

style of police officers in the neighbourhood, that is whether they are fair

with citizens and effective in their work, and the structure of the police, that

is whether the police’s organization and culture make it easy for police

63 The Trentino study measured the police’s fairness and effectiveness subjectively, by surveying how respondents perceive or assess them, rather than objectively, by directly observing how police act in the neighbourhood. Therefore, further studies on trust in the police should analyse not only the influence on trust in the police of the image that people have of the police, but also the influence of the police’s work itself. But, in any case, even if there was not a perfect correspondence between what people perceive and what police do, at least in part people’s perception is influenced by what police actually do. Studies on perception of a different topic, risk, confirmed this perspective. Even if they indicate that when persons make estimates of risk they do not merely calculate on the basis of statistical information, thus risk perception is different from risk itself, they also recognised that the knowledge about the characteristics of the risk is a crucial factor in determining the type of perception (for a brief review of the research on risk perception see Boholm, 1998; Renn, 1998). Similar results are suggested by social psychologists: although perceptions and facts are two different things, the characteristics of facts influence how people perceive them. Therefore, although the Trentino study surveyed how respondents perceive or assess the police’s work, their results, however, seem to give some support for believing that the police’s work itself may influence people’s trust.

130

officers to behave fairly and effectively. These implications open other

paths for research on trust in the police.

The Need To Study Which Police Officer Behavioural Styles Increase People’s Trust In The Police.

The fairer and more effective police officers are, the more people trust

them. This, keeping in mind the limitations discussed above, seems to be

the major implication of the results of the Trentino study. Therefore,

different behavioural styles of police officers when patrolling the

neighbourhood and handling contacts with citizens may produce different

levels of trust in the police.

Different police officer behavioural styles have been studied in

research, conducted mainly in the U.S.A. and Australia, addressing the

problems of the excessive use of force by the police and civilian complaints

against the police (see, for example, Terril and McCluskey, 2002; Wilson et

al., 1994; Wilson and Braithwhite, 1996; Cooper, 1997). In order to build

effective policing strategies, future research, also in Italy, should study why

police officers behave in different ways under different circumstances, and

the influence of these behavioural styles on people’s trust in the police.

The Need To Study Which Policing Models Increase People’s Trust In The Police

According to the Lundman theory on police misconduct (see Cao et

al., 2000), named the ‘organizational product thesis’, it could be that police

officer behaviours are partially the result of the specific organizational

model adopted by the police. Police officer behaviour might reflect the

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police culture existing in a particular police organization. Building upon the

previous works of Bittner, Reiss, Sherman, Lundman argues that police

misconduct is organizational deviance when actions violate external

expectations for what the department should do. Simultaneously, the actions

must conform with internal operating norms, and supported by

socialization, peers, and the administrative personnel of the department.

Therefore, police-officer behaviour may not only be a problem regarding

individuals in the police, but mainly a problem regarding the police’s

structure, that includes law aspects, general organizational aspects and

organizational climate aspects in each department. Therefore, what needs to

be controlled is not each individual officer’s behaviour, but the

organizational climate. The importance of organizational aspects on a single

police officer’s behaviour has been pointed out by other scholars (see Boni

and Wilson, 1994). Grennan (1999), for example, states that the presence of

women officers on the force may act to reduce the likelihood of violence in

police-citizen encounters. Fyfe (2000), Dunham and Alpert (1988) suggests

that pre-service psychological examination, competent training officer

programs and supervision of officer behaviour decrease the likelihood of

police use of excessive force. More recently, Cao et al., in a study

comparing the rate of citizen complaints against the police in different U.S.

departments, provides some support for the Lundman theory: there is

evidence that both organizational characteristics and organizational

behaviour are important in predicting the complaint rate (Cao et al., 2000).

Therefore, not only different police officer behavioural styles, but also

different policing models (regarding law aspects, organizational aspects,

and climate aspects) may have a different influence on the levels of

people’s trust in the police.

Scholars have identified and compared different policing models (see,

for example ‘policing styles’ in Della Porta and Reiter, 1998: 3-5; Smith

132

and Klein, 1983: 66-69; Jiao, 1998b) In order to build effective policing

strategies, future studies should analyse the influence of these models on

people’s trust in the police.

The Need To Study More Specifically Why People Distrust The Police

The Trentino study also suggested that distrusting the police might be

an important social function. Trust in the police depends on how fair and

effective police work is in the neighbourhood. These features of the police’s

work (fair conduct and effective activity) are widely recognised as elements

of democratic policing strategies (see Bayley, 2001). Therefore, on one

hand, a low level of trust in the police may be considered to be an indicator

of a low level of democracy in policing; on the other, knowing why people

(and specific groups of people, such as juveniles, immigrants, victims of

crime) distrust the police may provide important cues in order to build

democratic policing strategies. Indeed, the Trentino study has considered

only why people trust the police, and not why people distrust them. In the

Trentino study ‘distrust’ is simply a low level of trust. Extant literature,

however, recognised at least three possible meanings of distrust. The first is

a low level or absence of trust. The second is the opposite of trust, that is

having anxious or pessimistic views of expected results. The third is a more

complex view of distrust under which it is possible to be both trustful and

distrustful. In this last perspective distrust is a complement to trust: distrust

that generates caution and verification (“trust but verify”) can substitute

trust or can enhance trust if initial experiences are positive (Hall et al.,

2001: 618-619). Future studies should focus more specifically on distrust

not only as the absence of trust, but also as a feeling that is opposite or

133

complementary to trust. This may provide cues in order to develop

democratic policing strategies.

Other Directions For Future Research

Besides those discussed above, other directions for future research

arise from the limitations of the Trentino study.

Because the research hypotheses were tested only by data from a

survey held in Trentino, they need to be tested in other contexts with

features (for instance, crime rate, level of insecurity, social cohesion, etc.)

that differ from those of Trentino. Studies should also be comparative.

Therefore, because the variables included in the multiple regression

models explained only a part of the variance associated to trust in the

police, future studies should focus on improving the explanation capacity of

the models by adding other independent theoretically relevant variables. In

particular, because all the independent variables are measured only on what

residents in Trentino think or report, without considering variables

regarding the social structure of the neighbourhood, future studies should

also analyse the effect of variables measured at a neighbourhood-level, such

as the rate of employment, level of social cohesion, ratio of police officers,

crime rate and presence of police stations.

134

4.4 Conclusions

This thesis began by noting that the police, facing a crisis in public

security and the new trends in policing, risk losing their legitimacy. It also

noted that police are reacting to this crisis situation by developing

strategies, around the idea of Community Policing and Police de Proximité,

aimed at increasing people’s trust in them. The most important initiative

that has been taken is to increase the number of police officers in the

neighbourhood. Although the call for developing and sustaining these

strategies has been loud, it has been recognised that we need to know ‘if’

and ‘how’ police’ work may affect people’s trust in the police.

This thesis tackled this issue in two steps: by reviewing extant

literature on trust and trust in the police in order to understand why people

trust the police, and by analysing original data from a survey of residents’

attitudes towards police in an Italian province. The review of literature

showed that there is no consensus on why people trust the police. The

Trentino study, however, gave support to the perspective that argues that

people trust the police because they focus on what police do, rather than

because they have a subjective inclination to do so. If police officers are fair

in their relations with citizens and effective in performing the duties citizens

expect of them, people are more likely to trust the police. Thus, the

Trentino study indicates that the police’s work may play a crucial role in

determining people’s trust in the police. Furthermore, it indicates that, in

order to increase trust in the police there is no use in increasing police

visibility in the neighbourhood or the frequency of police-citizen contacts;

instead it is necessary to concentrate efforts on considerably improving the

way in which police act in their day-to-day relationships with citizens.

135

Therefore, the main implications of the results of the Trentino study

regard the behavioural styles of police officers in the neighbourhood and

the structure of the police. Trust in the police depends on how fair and

effective police officers are. Different behavioural styles of police officers

and different policing models may have a different effect on police fairness

and effectiveness, and, therefore, on trust in the police. Studying which

styles and models may increase police fairness and effectiveness may be

useful to build effective policing strategies.

In conclusion the Trentino study highlights that distrusting the police

migh have an important social function. In fact, trust in the police depends

on how fairly and effectively police work in the neighbourhood. These

features of police work (fairness and effectiveness in fulfil citizens’

expectations) are widely recognised as elements of democratic policing

strategies. Therefore, on one hand, a high level of distrust in the police may

be an indicator of a low democracy level in policing; on the other knowing

why people (and specific groups of people, such as juveniles, immigrants

and victims of crime) distrust the police may provide important cues in

order to build democratic policing strategies.

136

137

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