THORIUM THE ULTIMATE SOLUTION FOR OUR NUCLEAR ENERGY NEEDS
By Rajesh Sinha
1. Energy Consumption in India. The Indian economy has been
growing at a rapid pace for the past four years. The momentum
of this growth is expected to be sustained in the near future.
The main contributors to this growth have been the service
sector and industry. Both these sectors are energy intensive.
The agriculture sector does not contribute much to the growth
rate ‘per se’, but is a major contributor to the GDP of the
country. This sector is huge, and has a very large potential
for mechanisation. The domestic consumption of electricity is
very low in India, especially in the rural sector. The per
capita consumption of electricity in India is one of the
lowest in the world. There exists a huge potential for
development in this field.
2. Energy Requirement. A large number of agencies; both
national and international, have predicted the Indian
requirement for energy in the next forty years. The expected
growth rate varies from 5.7 % to 6.5 %. There is a huge gap
between the production, and demand for electricity in India,
which is amply demonstrated during the power cuts. There was a
public outrage in Kanpur and Maharastra this year due to this
shortage.
3. Sources of Energy. The main sources of energy are:-
(a) Coal.
(b) Petroleum products.
(c) Natural Gas.
(d) Hydro –Electricity.
(e) Renewable source like solar power, Hydrogen, fuel
cells etc.
(f) Nuclear energy.
(g) Gas Hydrates.
4. Availability of Energy. India is one of the largest
coal producers, but the quality of coal is not very good, as a
result a large amount of coal has to be imported. National
reserves of oil and gas are very small; India imported
approximately 76.66 % of her total crude requirements till Nov
20051. There is sufficient capacity to develop hydro-
electricity, but it has a number of social ramifications as
the ‘Narmada Valley Project’ has demonstrated. The renewable
1 http://indiabudget.nic.in, downloaded on 20 Jul 06.
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sources of energy are still in developmental stage. Nuclear
Energy has a lot of scope for development in India.
5. Definitions. Some of the definitions used in the paper
are:-
(a) Fission. This is a nuclear reaction where in, a
nucleus absorbs a neutron and splits into two nuclei,
producing neutrons and heat.
(b) Fissile Material. These are those materials, which
undergo fission reaction readily with neutrons of any energy
level, for example, Uranium 235 (U 235) and Plutonium 239 (Pu239).
(c) Fissionable Material. These are materials which
undergo fission reaction with neutrons having specific
energy levels, for example, Uranium 238 (U 238).
(d) Fertile Material. These are materials, which do not
undergo a fission reaction, but they absorb neutrons and
produce materials which are fissile, for example, Thorium
232 (Th 232).
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(e) Coolant. It is a medium, used in a nuclear reactor
for removing heat from the reactor. It may be liquid, like
water or liquid Sodium; or gas, like CO2.
(f) Moderator. It is a medium used in reactors for
slowing down, or reducing the energy of the neutrons
produced in a fission reaction. It may be liquid, like
water; or solid, like graphite.
(g) Thermal Reactor. The ‘Thermal Reactor’ is one in
which the chain reaction is sustained primarily by fission
caused by thermal neutrons, which have been slowed down so
as to make them more likely to collide with a fissile
nucleus and cause fission. The energy of the neutrons is
equal to the energy of the water molecules, at the given
water temperature.
(h) Fast Reactor. A ‘Fast Reactor’, is a reactor in
which the neutrons are not slowed down before reaction,
hence it does not use a moderator.
(j) Breeder Reactor. A ‘Breeder Reactor’, is a reactor
which produces more fuel during a nuclear reaction than it
consumes. A ‘Breeder Reactor’ can be either ‘Fast’ or
‘Thermal’.
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(k) Burn up. Burn-up is the amount of energy that can be
extracted from a given quantity of fuel. Higher the burn-up,
lesser will be the fuel used. It also means that lesser fuel
would need to be reprocessed and lesser radioactive waste
generated.
(l) Breeding Ratio (BR), Breeding Gain (BG). Breeding
ratio is a measure of the degree of conversion of fertile to
fissile material. BR of up to 1.5 is possible in Fast
Breeder Reactors (FBR).
BR = Fissile Mass Produced
Fissile Mass Destroyed].
BG = BR-1.
(m) Doubling Time. It is the operating time required for a
breeder to produce enough fissile fuel in excess of its own
fissile inventory to fuel an identical reactor. It is
possible to achieve a doubling time of 10 years with
advanced FBR designs.
6. Scope. This paper primarily deals with the ‘electric’
energy requirements of India. ‘Nuclear Energy’, in this paper,
is restricted to energy produced by fission. The discussions
will be restricted to ‘Pressurised Water’ and ‘Fast Breeder’
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reactors. The paper does not discuss the technical details of
the various reactors and the physics behind the nuclear
reactions.
AIM
7. To study the importance of Thorium (Th) as a source of
nuclear energy, for meeting the future energy requirements of
India.
8. Commercial Consumption of Electricity. The Indian
economic growth rate has been 6.5 to 8 % for the past five
years. ‘Industry’ and ‘Services’ sectors have been the main
contributors to this growth. Both these sectors are energy
intensive. Though the contribution of agriculture to the
growth rate is modest, it contributes 22 % to the GDP of the
country 2 . It accounted for 22.9 % of the total energy
consumed in India, as compared to 35.6 % by industry in 2004-
053. Approximately 58 % of the population is engaged in
agriculture4. Agricultural practices in India are, at the best,
primitive, as compared to Europe and America; as far as
mechanisation is concerned. Most of the tilling, irrigation,2 www.economywatch.com, downloaded on 20 Jul 06.3 http://indiabudget.nic.in, downloaded on 20 Jul 06.4 www.economywatch.com, op cit.
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harvesting and related procedures are carried out manually/
using animals. Commercial establishments consumed 8.1 %, while
traction’s share was just 2.5 % of the total electricity
consumption5. As the government pays more attention to the
development of infrastructure and mobility within the country,
the share of these sectors is bound to increase.
9. Domestic Consumption. India has the second largest
population in the world. Approximately 1/6th of the world
population lives here. The per capita energy consumption is
one of the lowest in the world at 606 KWH/ year6. The domestic
sector accounts for 24.8 % of the total electricity consumed7.
The domestic consumption of electricity is very low, as
compared to other countries. There are a large number of
villages that have not been electrified, or which receive only
a few hours of supply per day. The 2001 census indicates that
the population of the country has grown at 1.99 % per year for
the last 10 years. According to a study published by the
United Nations , depending on the population growth scenario,
India’s population will cross 1.88 billion (high variant),
1.57 billion (medium variant) or 1.2 billion (Low variant) in
the year 20508. Thus there is tremendous scope for growth in
consumption in this sector.
5 India budget, op cit.6 www.powermin.nic.in, downloaded on 20 Sep 06.7 indiabudget, op cit.8 www.dae.gov.in, downloaded on 20 Jul 06.
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10. Projected Demand for Electricity. Various agencies
have projected the rate of growth of demand for electricity in
India. Some of the estimates are as follows9:-
(a) 10 th Five-Year Plan . 5.74 % for the 11th and 12th
plans.
(b) TERI. 5.7 % from 1997 to 2019, and 3.6 % from 2020
to 2047.
(c) Institute of Energy Economics of Japan (IEEJ). 5.4 %
till 2027.
(d) Central Electric Authority (CEA), India. 6.5 % from
1997 to 2012, and 1 to 2 % beyond 2050.
Coal
11. Availability. India ranks third in the world, in coal
production. According to the ‘Geological Survey of India’,
9 Ibid.
8
Indian coal reserves stand at 253.301 Billion Tons. The total
extractable coal in the 10th ‘Five Year Plan’ is expected to be
37.86 Billion Tons. According to the ‘Economic Survey of
India’, the total domestic requirement of coal during 2006-07
is expected to be 365 million tons, while the production is
expected to be 334 million tons, leading to a shortage of 31
million tons. This shortage will be overcome by imports.
12. Problems. The Indian electricity sector is primarily
based on coal based thermal power plants. According to
Ministry of Power, Government of India, web site, coal based
plants produce a total of 68,988 KWH of power, which is 54.4 %
of the total installed capacity10. Coal is a difficult fuel to
handle. It is expensive and cumbersome to transport. Coal
based plants need a very large amount of water, and produces a
large amount of ‘Green House’ gases and ash, which contribute
to air, soil and water pollution. India is increasingly coming
under pressure to reduce her carbon emissions under the Kyoto
Protocol.
Gas
13. Availability. India has recently discovered large
reserves of ‘Natural Gas’ in various areas, both onshore and
10 www.powermin.nic.in
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off-shore. According to the annual ONGC report made to the
Government of India, the total known gas reserves of India are
estimated at 1101 Billion (Bn) cubic meters. The present
annual domestic gas production stands at 31.777 Million Tons
(MT), while the consumption stands at 30.788 MT11. Gas is
available in abundance in the world, and the present demand
for gas stands at 2420 MT equivalent of oil; as per the ‘BP
Statistical Review of World Energy’12.
14. Problems. Gas based Thermal Power Plants contribute
13,582 MW of power which accounts for 10.7% of the total power
produced in India13. Gas is difficult to handle as it needs a
huge infrastructure in the form of pipelines. Importing gas in
ships is a cumbersome process and requires ships that run on
Diesel, which in turn is at a record high price, with no signs
of a reduction. Building of pipelines is a very specialised
and expensive proposition with added political problems due to
the pipeline crossing a number of international territories. A
fantastic example of the problem is the Indo-Iran gas pipeline
through Pakistan. The thermal capacity of the gas is low and
thus a very large amount of gas is required for a given amount
of power produced.
11 http://indiabudget.nic.in, downloaded on 20 Sep 06.12 www.neimagazine.com, downloaded on 30 Jul 06.13 www.powermin.nic.in, downloaded on 20 Sep 06.
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Oil
15. Availability. Crude is increasingly becoming a very
expensive commodity. According to the US Geological Survey, a
total of three trillion barrels is ultimately recoverable. Out
of this only 1/4th can actually be recovered, hence the world
oil production is expected to peak around 202014. The prices
are increasing and so is the demand. India has a meagre oil
reserve of 786 MT, as per the Annual ONGC report to the
government of India15. The annual consumption of oil in India
in 2005-06 was 127.12 MT, while the domestic production was
31.777 MT. India imported 95.86 MT (75.4 %) of her total oil
requirement. Oil based ‘Thermal Power Plants’ produced 1202
MW, which accounts for 0.09 % of power produced in India.
16. Problems. The demand for oil is mainly from the
transport sector. The world reserves are depleting fast and no
significant new fields have been discovered for the past
several years. The country is totally dependent on the
international market for this commodity, and the availability
is influenced by the competing demands from various countries.
The availability of oil in the country can be influenced by
international events, even where India may not be directly
involved. For example, disruption may occur as a result of war14 Neal Adams, Terrorism and Oil (Oklahoma: Penn Well Corporation,
2003), p.6.15 www.powermin.nic.in, downloaded on 20 Sep 06.
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and terrorist activities. Most of the oil is produced in the
‘Middle East’ and North Africa. These areas are inherently
unstable; since 1948, there have been seven major wars in the
Persian Gulf region itself. The strife in Iraq is continuing
with no end in sight. All these factors make the country
hostage to blackmail and influence from undesired corners.
Hydro-Electricity
17. Availability. This sector contributed 32,976 MW to
national power production in 2005-06, which was 26 % of the
total power produced16. India has a large number of perennial
rivers with a huge hydro-electric potential of 150 Giga Watt
Electric (GWe) per annum. According to the Department of
Atomic Energy report, India was producing only 27 GWe from
Hydro-electricity in 200317. The plans are to produce 29.9 % of
power through these means by the end of 10th ‘Five Year Plan’18.
18. Problems. Though it is a very clean source of energy,
it is expensive as dams have to be built for the same. The
bigger projects do affect the eco-system of an area, as large
areas are inundated. Bigger projects also lead to displacement
of populations leading to resentment and opposition to the16 Ibid.17 www.dae.gov.in, downloaded on 20 Jul 06.18 http://indiabudget.nic.in, downloaded on 20 Jul 06.
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projects. The campaign against the Narmada Valley Project is a
good example. The power generated in these plants is not
constant through out the year and also depends on natural
factors like monsoons.
Nuclear Power
19. Availability. Nuclear power contributed 3900 MW or 3.1 %
to the total power produced in the country19. This sector has
got a huge potential for expansion. All the plants in India
are Uranium based. Except for one plant in Tarapur, which is a
Boiling Water Reactor (BWR) all other reactors in use are
Pressurised Heavy Water Reactors (PHWR) using natural Uranium
as fuel. Pressurised Water Reactors (PWR) are under
construction at Kudankulam in Tamil Nadu. The BWR is a very
old technology, and is being phased out. The PHWR uses heavy
water as coolant and moderator. The PWR uses light water (de-
mineralised water) as coolant and moderator. All these
reactors are ‘Thermal Reactors’. India is self sufficient in
manufacture of the fuel used in the present reactors, and also
in production of heavy water. Indian Uranium reserves stand at
95,000 tons, of which 67,000 tons is recoverable. India
accounts for only 1 % of total known world reserves of
19 www.powermin.nic.in downloaded on 20 Sep 06.
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Uranium20. This reserve can provide 330 GWe-year of energy. The
aim is to produce 20 GWe power from nuclear plants by 2020.
20. Problem. India is one of the leading nations in the
world as far as nuclear research is concerned, but she is not
a signatory of the Non-proliferation Treaty (NPT). The Nuclear
Suppliers Group (NSG) has a legislation banning trade in
nuclear material with countries which are not NPT signatories.
As a result, she cannot purchase Uranium from the world
market, nor can she expect foreign investment in this field.
She cannot seek technological cooperation with other
countries. The Uranium resources are not inexhaustible. The
government is trying to overcome these problems by signing
bilateral treaties with the International Atomic Energy Agency
(IAEA), and the USA, who can influence other members of the
NSG.
Indian Nuclear Program
21. Plutonium 239 (Pu 239 ) . Plutonium is a dual use material,
which can be used in nuclear weapons as well as in fast
breeder reactors. With the fast breeder reactor programme like
that of India, excess plutonium can be used for new power20 OECD NEA & IAEA, Uranium 2005: Resources, Production and Demand ("Red Book"). (www.uic.com.au), downloaded on 20 Jul 06.
14
stations. The use of fast breeder reactors in India arises
more from the point of view of resource utilisation capacity,
than from the growth capability. By the use of fast breeder
reactors the utilisation of uranium can reach 60-80% as
compared to less than 1% with the pressurised heavy water
reactors
22. Thorium 232 (Th 232 ) . The problem of limited Uranium
reserves was identified by the fore fathers of the Indian
nuclear program. They also realised that India has a reserve
of 0.63 million tons of Thorium232 (Th232), mainly occurring in
the beach and river sand. Out of this reserve 225,000 tons is
recoverable21. Th232 is a fertile material and does not undergo
fission on its own, but it can be used in a breeder reactor
along with Plutonium (Pu), to produce Uranium233 (U233). U233 is a
fissile material which can then be used as fuel in a U233 based
nuclear reactor to produce electricity. The advantages of
using Th 232 are as follows22:-
(a) It has a better absorption cross section, than U238,
and hence can be more efficiently converted to U 233.
(b) U233 is less sensitive to the type of reactor in which
it is used, hence it is simpler to use.
21 www.dae.gov.in, downloaded on 20 Jul 06.22 ibid
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(c) Recycling of U233 is easier than of Pu 239.
(d) Burden of management of long-lived radio-active
waste is lesser in the Th233- U233 cycle as it has a shorter
half-life.
(e) It has better burn-up characteristics.
23. Three Stage Nuclear Program. The Indian nuclear
program is well charted and has been planned to cater to the
long term energy requirements of India. The program is in
three stages23. They are as follows:-
(a) Stage 1. Stage one visualised power production
using PHWRs fuelled by natural Uranium. This stage has
been completed, and today India is one of the world
leaders in PHWR technology. All nuclear power plants in
operation today, except the one at Tarapur are based on
PHWR technology.
(b) Stage 2. Stage two planned for the use of Pu239
produced as a by-product in the PHWR to operate the FBR.
This FBR would not only produce energy using a Pu-U fuel
23 Shaping the Third Stage of Indian Nuclear Power Programme, Department of Atomic Energy pp 2.
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but also produce more Pu239. This stage is at an advanced
juncture and the construction of a 500 MW Prototype Fast
Breeder Reactor (PFBR) has commenced at Kalpakkam. India
is a world leader in this technology, and one of the very
few nations to have succeeded in mastering this
technology. A new company Bharatiya Nabhikiya Vidyut Nigam
Limited, (BHAVINI) has been floated and is going to
construct four more FBRs to utilise the fuel produced in
the PFBR. A diagrammatic representation of the PFBR is
placed at Appendix P.
(c) Stage 3. Stage three plans to use Th232 found in
abundance in India to produce U233, in breeder reactors and
use that fuel in U233 based reactors. In preparation for the
Third Stage, development of technologies pertaining to
utilisation of Th are going on at Indira Gandhi Centre for
Atomic Research (IGCAR).Considerable Th irradiation
experience has been acquired in research reactors and Th
has been introduced in PHWRs in a limited way. Experience
is being gained over the entire Th fuel cycle, which
includes breeding and reprocessing the Th to separate the
U233. IGCAR has developed an experimental reactor; KAMINI;
the only currently operating reactor in the world, which
uses U233 as fuel. The fuel for this reactor was bred,
processed and fabricated indigenously. Efforts are
currently on to enlarge that experience to a bigger scale.
17
BARC is now designing and developing the ‘Advanced Heavy
Water Reactor’(AHWR) which will utilise plutonium
resources in an optimum manner to maximise conversion of
thorium to U233, extract power in-situ from the Th fuel, and
recycle the bred U233 in future reactors24. A diagrammatic
representation of the AHWR is placed at Appendix Q.
24. Goals for Stage 3 of Nuclear Program. The third stage
of the program is designed to meet the following goals25:-
(a) Utilise Th as fuel on a commercial scale.
(b) Deploy nuclear power in the country on a large
scale.
(c) Achieve good economic performance as compared to
alternate options for energy generation.
(d) Attain higher levels of transparent safety, through
optimal utilisation of inherent and passive safety
features.
24 www.igcar.ernet.in, downloaded on 20 Jul 0625 Shaping the Third Stage of Indian Nuclear Power Programme, Department of Atomic Energy pp 4.
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(e) Utilise the proliferation resistant potential of Th
fuel cycle to the full extent.
(f) Provide for adaptability to non-electrical
applications, in particular, desalination and high
temperature processing applications, including those for
generation of non-fossil fluid fuels.
25. According to Dr Baldev Raj, Director IGCAR, “The
projected increase in electricity generation, which is
expected to be between 300 to 500 GW per year by the year
2020, can be sustained for more than 50 years through the fast
breeder reactor method only. The U233 breeder option provides a
power generation base of 500 GW per year, which can be
sustained for four centuries. If our energy independence in
the years after 2020 is to be ensured India must build the
prototype because it takes a minimum of two decades and four
more reactors after the prototype to get full benefits of the
learning curve in commercialising a complex technology such as
that of the fast breeder reactors.”26.
26. Requirements for India. The above discussion has clearly
indicated that if the country has to maintain the current rate
26 lecture by Dr Baldev Raj, Director IGCAR, to Chennai Science City, downloaded on 20 Jul 06.
19
of economic development, she has to be self sufficient in
energy. As of today, India is highly dependent on external
imports for her energy requirements, whether they are oil or
gas. She will become dependent in case of Uranium and coal in
the long term. The demand for energy in India is going to soar
as time passes, because of the scope for development in each
field, be it industry, agriculture or domestic requirements.
This is primarily due to the large population that has to be
supported. As oil gets depleted, there will be a major shift
towards electricity as a means of energy. The following
developments are anticipated in the next 50 to 60 years:-
(a) Increased dependence on railways with electric
traction.
(b) Increased usage of electric vehicles, which may have
onboard power generation, or may require charging from
external source.
(c) Increased dependence on nuclear power plants for
shipping.
(d) Shift in agriculture from diesel to electricity.
(e) Increased usage of electric appliances in homes for
cooking.
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27. Technical Capability. India has been pursuing the
nuclear objective with a single minded approach; as a result
she has been able to develop the requisite technologies
indigenously. Today India is in one of a select group of
countries, who have mastered the FBR technology, and the only
country to develop the U233 technology. Thus the technical
capability exists in the country to use Th as a future fuel in
the nuclear reactors.
28. Benefits to the Country. If India uses the Th based
cycle, she will be self sufficient in energy for a few
centuries to come. The other benefits accrued to the country
could be:-
(a) Independence from nuclear hegemony of other
countries.
(b) Independence from arm twisting by oil exporting
countries.
(c) Drastic reduction in the import bill.
(d) Savings in foreign exchange.
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(e) Earnings from exporting the nuclear plants to other
countries.
(f) Reduction in pollution from green house gases.
CONCLUSION
29. The Indian economy is growing rapidly. A large amount
of energy is required to maintain this pace. The per capita
consumption of energy in the country is amongst the lowest in
the world. There is sufficient scope for development in the
field of agriculture, and domestic consumption of energy. In
addition there is already a shortage of power in the country.
30. The main contributors to the energy sector are fossil
fuels, like oil, gas and coal, with a very small contribution
from the nuclear sector. The fossil fuels are exhaustible, and
polluting. India is highly dependent on imports for crude oil.
World oil production is expected to peak in 2020 and then
taper off. The Uranium reserves in the country are also
limited and there are a large number of curbs on importing the
same.
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31. The country has a huge reserve of Thorium, which if
exploited can solve India’s energy problem for the next few
centuries. The country has, and is, developing the requisite
technologies successfully. It is now a matter of time when
Thorium based reactors would be functioning commercially in
India. Thus Thorium appears to be the ultimate solution for
India’s energy requirements.
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Atomic Energy, Government of India.
6. Shaping the Third Stage of Indian Nuclear Power Program,
Department of Atomic Energy, Government of India.
24
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