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1
Why does Segmentation Matter? Identifying market segments through
a mixed methodology
Jaime R.S. Fonseca
Abstract
The purpose of this chapter has been to develop an overall framework that describes
how market can be segmented, that is the objective of this study is the way of grouping
customers together for the most effective targeting, by means of a new conceptual
model which intends to combine the use of Latent Segment Models with a mixed
research scheme (by merging qualitative and quantitative researching methodologies). A
particular retail market segmentation solution is a function of both the market
segmentation base variables and a specific segmentation procedure, providing a better
understanding of market. The knowledge of segment structure is of high importance for
marketing because of its managerial utility, particularly in what concerns targeting and
positioning. Companies that identify underserved segments can then outperform the
competition by developing uniquely appealing products and services. This research
began with an overview on segmentation aspects and aims, and presents, under mixed
research scheme, an application with Latent Segment Model (LSM) procedure for retail
market segmentation, and information criteria AIC3 and AICu for model selection, in
order to uncover the segment structure underlying to a dataset from a retail chain
customers.
Keywords
Market segmentation; Segmentation base variables; Segmentation methods; latent
segment models; mixed research
Jaime R.S. Fonseca (corresponding author)
Chair for Data Analysis, Higher Institute of Social and Political Sciences (ISCSP),
Centre for Public Administration and Policies (CAPP), Technical University of Lisbon,
Portugal; E-mail: [email protected]
2
1. Introduction and Objectives
Market segmentation is a theoretical marketing concept involving artificial groupings of
consumers constructed to help managers design and target their strategies (Wedel &
Kamakura, 1998). Today, companies recognize that they cannot appeal to all customers
in the market or at least not to all customers in the same way, because each of the
customers is unique, and they come from different backgrounds, live in different areas
and have different interests and goals. As a result, they are too varied in their needs and
buying practices; what’s more, the companies themselves vary widely in their abilities
to serve different segments of the market, and rather than trying to compete in an entire
market, each company must identify the parts of the market that it can serve best and
most profitably, (Sun, 2009). Companies that identify efficiently segments can then
outperform the competition by developing uniquely appealing products and services.
By dividing the market into relatively homogenous subgroups or target markets, both
strategy design and tactical decision making can be more effective and robust for
successfully bridging the gap between segmentation principles and successful
application, which continues to be a major challenge for the marketing community.
Segmentation technique – identifying homogenous sub-populations within larger
heterogeneous populations – has emerged as an important marketing tool over the past
half-century, as a response to the need to effectively communicate with, and motivate to
action, an increasingly diverse population of individuals, families and businesses, who
rely on a rapidly multiplying set of communication channels (Heuvel & Devasagayam,
2004). It is well known that customer segmentation is most effective when a company
tailors offerings to segments that are the most profitable and serves them with distinct
competitive advantages; this prioritization can help companies develop marketing
campaigns and pricing strategies to extract maximum value from both low and high
profit customers. By tailoring the offering product to different groups, companies are
able to more precisely meet the needs of more customers and consequently to gain a
higher overall level of share or profit from a market.
The purpose of this article is to develop an overall framework scheme that describes
how market can be segmented, that is the objective of this research study is the way of
grouping customers together for the most effective targeting, by means of a new
conceptual scheme which intends to combine the use of Latent Segment Models on a
mixed research (by merging qualitative and quantitative researching methodologies),
3
expecting to result in market segments that satisfy the homogeneity within and
heterogeneity across segments; regardless of the employed tool to segment a population,
each segment must contain elements which are homogeneous. The bases of these
similarities should be easily interpretable and should provide useful guidelines for the
promotion of products or services specific to each segment.
From the purpose’s paper we intended to deal more deeply with the third part of market
segmentation scheme (Table 3), that is, best conceptual scheme for effective market
segmentation, and is organized as follows: in section 2, we overview concerning the
subject; in section 3, we present the proposed model for market segmentation, and
corresponding information criteria; in section 4 we report on results from a retailing
data set and finally, in section 5 we present some concluding remarks.
2. Why Segmenting?
Consumer diversity is increasing rapidly and companies have long sought to
differentiate their products relative to competitors, and this is where market
segmentation comes in. Why segmenting? Because of identifying segments where
competitors see an undifferentiated mass market creates several opportunities for new
marketing strategies based on a better knowledge of specific customers’ needs and
preferences. It is consensual that the foundation of strategic marketing is formed by
market segmentation, target marketing and product positioning.
Nowadays, segmentation is a crucial marketing strategy, helping marketers for
identifying consumer needs, preferences and find new marketing opportunities, and
enables marketers to regulate marketing mixes to meet the needs of particular segments.
Several marketing researchers have responded to the needs of management by
conducting market segmentation studies, for instance, (Assael & Roscoe, 1976),
(Calantone & Sawyer, 1978), (Punj & Stewart, 1983), (Beane & Ennis, 1987),
(Kamakura, Kim, & Lee, 1996), (Lockshin, Spawton, & Macintosh, 1997), (S. H.
Cohen & Ramaswamy, 1998), (Dibb, 1999), (Kim, Srinivasan, & Wilcox, 1999), (Bock
& Uncles, 2002), (Palmer & Miller, 2004), (Sun, 2009). Marketing planning process
flows from the selection of target markets to the formulation of specific marketing mix
and positioning, objective for each product of retail chain. Segmentation theory suggests
that groups of customers with similar needs and purchasing behaviors are likely to
demonstrate a more homogeneous response to marketing programs, the constitution of
segments being essential to target marketing (Fonseca & Cardoso, 2007b).
4
Segments are derived from the heterogeneity of customer wants (Smith, 1956), who
defines market segmentation as a process that involves viewing a heterogeneous market
as a number of smaller homogeneous markets, in response to differing preferences,
attributable to the desires of consumers for more precise satisfaction of their varying
wants. The definition of (Kotler, 1972), was conceptually consistent with Smith’s one,
and he defines it as the subdivision of a market into homogeneous subsets of customers,
where any subset may conceivably be selected as a market target to be reached with a
distinct marketing mix. For (Dolnicar, 2008), market segmentation is the strategic tool
to account for heterogeneity among individuals by grouping them into market segments
which include members similar to each other and dissimilar to members of other
segments, and following (Sun, 2009), market segmentation is to divide the whole
market into meaningful, relatively small and identifiable market segments, which are
groups of individuals or organizations with similar product needs.
In other words, market segmentation is the science of dividing an overall market into
segments, whose members share similar characteristics and needs (members’
homogeneity).
A market segmentation solution is a function of the market segmentation base variables
and of a specific segmentation (clustering) procedure, and it provides a better market
understanding and, consequently, means to develop more successful business strategies
(Fonseca & Cardoso, 2005), by addressing the specific needs of the selected segments.
Because an organization adopts either a mass-market or a market segmentation
strategies, when a decision is made for market segmentation, two essential questions
must be addressed: (1) which method is to be used to segment the market, and (2) which
segmentation base variables to use.
Concerning methods, since the appearance of Smith’s now-classic article (1956), market
segmentation has become an important tool both academic research and applied
marketing, (Punj & Stewart, 1983), and the primary use of Cluster Analysis in
marketing has been for market segmentation; Cluster Analysis is a very weak analytical
segmentation technique, but it is perhaps the most used technique for segmentation,
traditionally; thus we select several applications of this tool in marketing (Table 1),
from 1967 to 2007.
5
Table 1 Cluster Analysis Applications
Authors Goal
(Green, Frank, & Robinson, 1967) That intended to identify matched cities for test
marketing
(Green & Carmone, 1968) Aiming to identify similar computers in the computer
market
(Bass, Pessemier, & Tigert, 1969) Trying to identify market segments with respect to
media exposure
(Montgomery & Silk, 1971) To identify opinion leadership and consumer interest
segments
(Morrison & Sherman, 1972) To determine how various individuals interpret sex
appeal in advertising
(Greeno, Sommers, & Kernan, 1973) In order to identify market segments with respect of
personality variables and implicit behavior patterns
(Sexton, 1974) To identify homogeneous groups of families using
product and brand usage data
(W. T. Anderson, Jr , E. P Cox, & Fulcher,
1976)
On the identification of the determinant attributes in
bank selection decisions and use them for segmenting
commercial bank customers
(Calantone & Sawyer, 1978) To study the stability of market segments in the retail
banking market
(Schaninger, Lessig, & Panton, 1980) To identify segments of consumers on the base of
product usage attributes
(Kiel & Layton, 1981)) For the development of consumer taxonomies of search
behavior by Australian new car buyers
(Becker, Brewer, Dickerson, & Magee, 1985) Tried to divide consumer markets by looking at a
consumer’s personality
(Jain, 1993)
Analyzed markets through social, economic, and special
segmentation variables such as brand loyalty and
consumer attitude
(Segal & Giacobbe, 1994) The cluster analysis uncovered four basic “natural”
demographic segments
(Wayne S. DeSarbo et al., 1995)
K-means Cluster Analysis conducted for a major
packaged goods a major packaged
goodsffjfjkkkkk11111111111mmmmmmm\\\\\\\
(Kotler, 1997)
Has proposed that consumer markets should be divided
according to geographic, demographic, psychographic
(lifestyle and personality), and behavioral variables
(Dibb, 1998) Cluster analysis to identify segments in 270
pregnant
women, by using demographic and satisfaction variables (Hruschka & Natter, 1999a)
K-means using demographic and attitude
Variables
(Hofstede & Steenkamp, 1999)
Developed an integrated methodology based on
consumer means-end chains to identify segments in
international markets
(Baker & Burnham, 2001)
Market segments are identified based on a cluster
analysis of respondents' preferences for brand,
price
(Lin, 2002) Considering demographic and psychographic variables
(Dibb, Stern, & Wensley, 2002) Cluster Analysis for measuring the impact on
organizational performance
(kau, Tang, & Ghose, 2003) Cluster Analysis for seeking patterns as well as
their
motivations and concerns for online shopping (Lee et al., 2004)
To segment festival market based on
motivation factors
(Jayawardhena, Wright, & Dennis, 2007) Cluster Analysis and K-means for stability
6
Hierarchical Cluster algorithms are among the most commonly used clustering analysis
in marketing research; however, users of these approaches, tend to discard much of the
detail found in the dendogram (Arabie, Carroll, DeSarbo, & Wind, 1981). Moreover, as
it is well known, the dendogram did not constitute a unique solution, which is a
disadvantage of Hierarchical Cluster Analysis.
Quantitative segmentation tools can range from simple categorization analysis, such as
CART and CHAID/Regression Trees analyses (McCarty & Hastak, 2007), (Thomas &
Sullivan, 2005), (Chen, 2003), (Levin & Zahavi, 2001), to more sophisticated clustering
techniques, such as Hierarchical Cluster Analysis, TwoStep Cluster Analysis, K-means,
(Lee, Lee, & Wicks, 2004), (Hruschka & Natter, 1999), (Jedidi, Jagpal, & DeSarbo,
1997), Conjoint Analysis (Wayne S. DeSarbo, Ramaswamy, & Cohen, 1995), (Green &
Krieger, 1991), (Green & Srinivasan, 1990), Multidimensional Scaling (Carroll &
Green, 1997), (Biggadike, 1981), (Wind, Douglas, & Perlmutter, 1973), Discriminant
Analysis (Tsai & Chiu, 2004), (Harvey, 1990), (Moore, 1980), or Latent Segment
Models (Fonseca, 2010), (Steven H. Cohen & Ramaswamy, 1994).
In this issue of analyzing data, concerning the purposed Latent Segment Models
approach to clustering, part of our conceptual scheme, it offers some advantages when
compared with other most traditional techniques, such as: (1) it identifies market
segments (Dillon & Kumar, 1994); (2) it provides means to select the number of
segments (McLachlan & Peel, 2000); (3) it is able to deal with diverse types of data
(different measurement levels) (Vermunt & Magidson, 2002); (4) it outperforms more
traditional approaches (Vriens, 2001), and (5) it is appropriate to deal with covariates, in
order to a better understanding of customers (Fonseca & Cardoso, 2007a).
Basically they enable us to simultaneously optimize a research function (LSM and
information criteria) and efficiently find segments of cases within that framework thus
being useful for better understanding market structures.
In order to be valuable to marketers, the plan of market segmentation needs to be able to
identify different segments of customers having uniform and stable responses to a
particular set of marketing variables, the segmentation base variables (See Table 2).
This is the second question we have to address, and several authors conducted
researches about it, for instance, (Sharma & Lambert, 1994), (Wedel & Kamakura,
1998), (Kim et al., 1999), (González-Benito, Greatorex, & Muñoz-Gallego, 2000), (W.
S. DeSarbo, Degeratu, Wedel, & Saxton, 2001), (Vriens, 2001), (Heilman & Bowman,
2002), (Fennell, Allenby, Yang, & Edwards, 2003).
7
The greatest opportunity for creating competitive advantage often comes from new
ways of segmenting, because a firm can meet buyer needs better than competitors or
improve its relative cost position (Porter, 1985), thus the identification of segmentation
variables is among the most creative parts of the segmentation process.
Table 2 Some segmentation base variables
Segmentation bases Brief description
Demographics
Consumers can be grouped on the basis of
characteristics such as age or household
composition
Socioeconomic
Consumers can be grouped on the basis of
characteristics such as income, occupation and
education
Product Usage
Potential to use the firm’s product is a
behaviourally based segmentation basis, with
attributes such as awareness, used in the past,
would consider using
Psychographics Consumers can be grouped on the basis of
personality, attitudes, opinions, and life styles
Generation
Generation, or cohort, refers to people born in the
same period of time: similar age, similar
economic, cultural, and political influences in
formative years
Generally, a combination of psychographics (in order to understanding) and
demographics (for targeting) will give good results. For instance, concerning
demographic variables, (Sharp, Romaniuk, & Cierpicki, 1998), and (Lin, 2002) have
suggested that they are useful in segmenting markets, the majority of evidence does not
support this assertion (Fennell et al., 2003) and (Uncles & Lee, 2006). Some studies
showed insignificant or no effect of demographics on consumer price responsiveness,
such as (Kim et al., 1999) and (Scriven & Ehrenberg, 2004). (Granzin, 1981) suggests a
simple solution to the problem that links in with (Simcock, Sudbury, & Wright, 2006)
calling for more sophisticated segmentation: choosing other variables to work alongside
demographics. We argue that demographic variables are very important, in order to a
better understanding of segments, and can be used as covariates when estimating latent
segment models, not as being part of segmentation base variables.
8
3. Methodology
The process of identifying segments necessitates a thorough analysis of the entire
market, not only focusing on the customer’s needs and shopping habits but also
providing knowledge of changing market conditions and competitive actions (Segal &
Giacobbe, 1994). From the traditional market segmentation studies, including now the
mixed research methods, we can enumerate six steps in the market segmentation
process, and we summarize them into Table 3.
Table 3 Segmentation Steps
Segmentation Steps Description
Step 1
Determine the
boundaries of the market
Selecting a market or product category for study
Step 2
Segmentation base variables
Marketers must use their knowledge of the market to select a few
relevant variables in advance.
Step 3
Selecting market research tools
(Mixed research process)
Select tools for collecting and analyzing data. From the stages of the
social research, we notice that qualitative and quantitative can coexist in
each researching process: (1) in a first phase we have the research
preparation, with the establishment of the subject of study (specification
of the problem, papers overview, research theory) and the research
structure (structure of the test, measurement, sampling, ethics); (2) it is
followed by research formation (direct observation, indirect interview,
life history, discussion group, content analysis, survey, secondary data,
simulation); (3) finally, information analysis (data treatment, data
analysis). It would be very difficult to exclude one of the two
methodologies in each one of these three phases, but social scientists
frequently do not manage the available information in its statistical
results, thus losing chances to present statistics that could result in a
bigger clarification of its research questions (King, Tomz, & Wittenberg,
2000).
Step 4
Profiling of each market segment
Involves selecting those variables that are most closely related to
consumers' actual buying behavior
Step 5
Segment targeting
A marketer should look for opportunities that provide a good In step 3,
selecting tools for collecting and analyzing data, we introduce a mixed
methodology, in order to test the solution, by using all the information
obtained from the qualitative data collection tools, such as interviews,
focus groups, participant observation, for exploring new topics, assisting
theory building, providing context for quantitative data, and to help on
explain /clarify quantitative findings (segments). We think that we are
becoming with a better knowledge about the needs and preferences of
customers, by merging knowledge, by using qualitative (quantitative)
conclusions to update quantitative (qualitative) conclusions.
Concerning step 2, one of the most important step in segmentation
schemes, there is a large array of possible segmentation bases - set of
variables or attributes used to assign potential customers to homogeneous
segments - and for a review we can see (Wilkie, 1990) and (Wedel &
Kamakura, 1998), for instance. Following the last one, “The
identification of market segments is highly dependent on the variables
and methods used to define them.” This sentence stresses the great
importance of segmentation base variables, and methods for analyzing
data. Table 2 summarizes some examples of possible segmentation bases.
match for the organization and its resources
Step 6
Product positioning
Involves developing a product and marketing plan that will appeal to the
selected market segment
9
As for step 3, selecting market research tools, we can use data collecting tools - varying
from qualitative to quantitative tools. Market research design concept, staged design,
can be sustained by a mixed methodology or pragmatism methodology which can be
defined as research using both qualitative and quantitative methods and mixing the two
methods when beneficial (Onwuegbuzie & Leech, 2005) and (Leech, Dellinger,
Brannagan, & Tanaka, 2010); in this methodology both quantitative and qualitative
approaches are about taking observations of the world (data) and presenting them within
a framework (a model) (White, 2002).
In order to reach a market research questionnaire design, often we start the step 3
process with qualitative research to define ways customers view the product category or
service, and the differences in those views; we conduct preliminary focus groups or
other qualitative methods - such as depth interviews - in order to uncover insight as to
how several consumers and business audiences see and feel about the product category
and competitive brands, for instance, uncovering and refining our learning about
customers, thus obtaining a fuller picture and deeper understanding of the segments.
Owing to its use of situation and context appropriate designs and methods, mixed
methods research seems particularly suited for action research (Vitale, Armenakis, &
Feild, 2008). In questionnaire design, we can use for instance market segmentation
dimensions such as behavioural, attitudinal, or a combination of these which may form
psychographic segments, and another dimension, demographic for instance, as
covariates, in order to a better characterization of the segments. By a developmental
survey, we also use a questionnaire for collecting data, and then a quantitative method
for analyzing the obtained dataset.
In this study we are more focused on steps 3 and 4, namely on tools for analyzing data
and profiling reached segments. But the market segments identified should mostly
satisfy three criteria which we display in Table 4.
These criteria are all reached by using Latent Segment Models (LSM), by means of the
aforementioned advantages. It is a probabilistic/statistic clustering approach which
assumes that the variables’ observations in a sample arise from different segments of
unknown proportions. They are very good models for modelling of complex
phenomena, then synthesizing and extracting knowledge. The proposed segmentation
conceptual scheme (1) provides internal homogeneity/external heterogeneity, (2) it
enables marketers to reach segments separately using observable characteristics of the
segments, and (3) because of the using theoretical information criteria for model
10
selection balances parsimony (fitting a model with a large number of components
requires the estimation of a very large number of parameters and a potential loss of
precision in these estimates (Leroux & Puterman, 1992), and model complexity (which
tends to improve the model fit to the data), the selected latent class model does evidence
a good trade-off between good description of the data and the model number of
parameters.
The segmentation process is used to distinguish between customers and non-customers,
where "customers" here are extended to include buyers, payers, loyal customers, etc.,
and to understand their composition and characteristics - Who they are? What do they
look like? What are their attributes? Where do they reside? This analysis supports a
whole array of decisions, ranging from targeting decisions to determining efficient and
cost effective marketing strategies, even evaluating market competition, (Levin &
Zahavi, 2001). The three most relevant criteria for segments (Table 4) are always
reached by this conceptual scheme, when segments’ structure really exists, which
doesn’t happen with other tools, such as Cluster Analysis models.
Table 4 Segments’ criteria
Criteria Meaning
Internal Homogeneity/ External
Heterogeneity
Customers within a segment should have similar
responses to the marketing mix variable of interest
but a different response to members of other
segments
Parsimony
The degree to which the segmentation makes every
customer a unique target. That is, the
segmentation should identify a small set of
groupings of substantial size
Accessibility
The degree to which marketers can reach segments
separately using observable characteristics of the
segments
Let )( ipyi
y denote the vector representing the scores of the ith case for the pth
segmentation base variable (i = 1,…,n ; p = 1,…,P).
We consider that the cases on which the attributes are measured arise from a population
which we assume to be a mixture of S segments, in proportions s (mixing proportions
or relative segment sizes), s = 1,…,S. The statistical probability density function of the
vectori
y , given that i
y comes from segment s, is represented by )|( siysf , with s
representing the vector of unknown parameters associated with the specific chosen
11
probability density function. Then the population density can be represented as a finite
mixture of the densities )|( siysf of S distinct segments, i.e.
)|(
11
)|( siy
P
psf
S
ssi
yf
(1)
where i = 1,…,n, },,1{ , }1,,1{ with }, ,{ ,1
1
,0 ss
S
sss
.
is the vector of all unknown parameters.
The LSM estimation problem, simultaneously addresses the estimation of distributional
parameters and classification of cases into segments, yielding mixing probabilities. The
estimation process is typically directed to maximum likelihood using the Expectation-
maximization (EM) algorithm (Dempster, Laird, & Rubin, 1977), (McLachlan & Peel,
2000).
LSM naturally provides means for constituting a partition by means of assigning each
case to the segment with the highest segment-membership probability, that is with
isSs
Max ̂,...,1
, where
S
j if
sf
k
j
k
j
k
si
k
sis
j1
)()(
)()(
ˆ
)ˆ|y(ˆ
)ˆ|y(ˆ
(2)
In order to derive meaningful results from clustering, the mixture model must be
identifiable, that is, a unique maximum likelihood solution should exist (Bozdogan,
1994). A goal of traditional LSM estimation is to determine the smallest number of
latent segments S that is sufficient to explain the relationships observed among the
variables of segmentation base variables. If the baseline model (S = 1) provides a good
fit to the data, no LSM is needed since there is no relationship among the variables to be
explained; otherwise, a model with S = 2 segments is then fitted to the data. This
process continues by fitting successive LSM to the data, each time adding another
dimension by incrementing the number of segments by 1, until a parsimonious model is
found that provides an adequate fit. They are very good models for modelling of
complex phenomena, then synthesizing and extracting knowledge.
Concerning methodologies for the selection of the appropriate latent class model, we
propose the use of the traditional information criteria. Especially, because all the
12
observed variables have similar measure, all of them categorical, we will use the
information criterion AIC3, the more advised for this situation (Fonseca, 2010).
Table 5 Variables and covariates of the used dataset
Variables used for a retail chain customers’ segmentation Segmentation base
USAGE FREQUENCY
Psychographic
VISIT PATTERN
ERN
COMING FROM
TRAVEL TIME
WHY SHOPPING
MONTHLY SPENDING ON PURCHASES FOR THE HOME
MONTHLY EXPENSES IN STORE
QUALITY OF FRESH PRODUCE
STORE TREATMENT
EFFICIENCY OF STORE’S STAFF
STORE VARIETY OF PRODUCTS
STORE PRODUCT PRESENTATION
STORE ENVIRONMENT
CLEANING SHOP
PRICES
PRODUCT QUALITY PRIVATE LABEL
INTERNET USAGE
Covariates
SEX
Demographic AGE
FAMILY SIZE
LIVE CYCLE
INCOME
Socioeconomic EDUCATION
OCCUPATION
CLASS
We can now answer the questions on page 5, concerning segmentation tool and
segmentation base variables. Thus, considering the best segmentation tool we purpose
latent segment models, and as for segmentation base variables we consider, with
marketers, some attributes of stores and some attributes of customers which interact
between them.
These variables are considered as manifest variables or indicators (USAGE FREQUENCY, …,
INTERNET USAGE), from which model parameters are estimated, and used some covariates
(SEX, ... , CLASS), which only are used for a better understanding of segments and their
members (Table 5). Results from these models estimation are valid for all cases,
products, branches, countries, services, and for all kind of variables (categorical,
continuous, or mixed), because of they are probabilistic/statistic models.
4. Results from a retailing data set and discussion
13
As we already assume, we use two types of data collecting in the research: qualitative
and quantitative. Here, we only report quantitative data analysis, based on a dataset
obtained from a questionnaire administered to customers of a retail chain.
Table 6 AIC3 for model selection
Model LL AIC3
1-Cluster -45613,3 91484,666 2-Cluster -44022,5 88681,023
3-Cluster -43082,7 87179,382
After eliminating the questionnaires with several non responses, we retain a dataset with
1449 customers characterized by the segmentation base variables presented in table 5.
Table 7 Parameters’s estimates of two-class latent model
Cluster Size Cluster1(61 percent) Cluster 2 (39 percent)
Indicators USAGE FREQUENCY Everiday 0,2280 0,4265
Two or three times a week 0,3754 0,2670 Once a week 0,1842 0,1523 Two times a month 0,0410 0,0278 Once a month 0,0700 0,0586 Occasionaly 0,1013 0,0679 VISIT PATTERN
During a week 0,3511 0,1898 During the weekend 0,1838 0,1246 Both situations 0,4652 0,6857 COMING FROM
From home 0,6468 0,8012 From Job 0,2643 0,1133 Passing by 0,0598 0,0622 Other 0,0291 0,0234 TRAVEL TIME
Two minutes walking 0,1587 0,2085 Two to five minutes walking 0,1963 0,2524 Five to ten minutes walking 0,1584 0,1521 More than ten minutes walking 0,0673 0,0770 Less or equal five minutes by car 0,1467 0,1582 Five to ten minutes by car 0,0858 0,0674 Ten to fifteen minutes by car 0,0982 0,0425 More than fifteen minutes by car 0,0886 0,0417 WHY SHOPPING
Near form home 0,6015 0,6912 Near from Job 0,0851 0,0436 Passing by 0,1291 0,0419 Low prices 0,0430 0,0424 Variety of brands 0,0066 0,0216 Variety of products in general 0,0196 0,0278 Habit 0,0346 0,0432 Quality products 0,0250 0,0353 Quality of fresh produce 0,0060 0,0047 Cleaning / hygiene shop 0,0068 0,0070 Fast service 0,0119 0,0061 Sympathy in attendance 0,0072 0,0243 Promotions 0,0034 0 Opening hours 0,0077 0,0023 Other 0,0011 0,0018
MONTHLY SPENDING ON PURCHASES FOR THE HOME Mean 266,1543 380,0798
MONTHLY EXPENSES IN STORE Mean 89,3863 200,9802
By estimating these LSM, from the baseline model (homogeneity model or non-
structure segments) to a three-class latent model, we select a two-class latent model by
14
using AIC3 and AICu (Fonseca, 2010a), for model selection, because we have a mixed-
mode dataset (Monthly spending on purchases for the home and Monthly expenses in
store are continuous, the others categorical); these models select automatically the
number of segments, 2-segment in this case, because of graph for AIC3 presents an
elbow (Table 6), by using an information criterion, which is an advantage when
compared with Cluster Analysis.
Because we aim to proceed with a segmentation scheme, as we have explained, we are
going to estimate latent class models, in order to select effective segments and then
being able to target marketing and product positioning.
By estimating parameters of model (1) from the used segmentation base variables we
reach model parameters’ estimates, which we display in Table 7.
Table 7 Parameters estimates of two-class latent model (cont.)
Cluster Size Cluster1
(61 percent) Cluster 2 (39 percent)
QUALITY OF FRESH PRODUCE
Very good 0,0236 0,2793
Good 0,5042 0,4427
Fair 0,3837 0,1650
Bad 0,0498 0,0474
Very bad 0,0011 0
Dn/Da 0,0400 0,0633
TREATMENT
Very good 0,0506 0,6155
Good 0,7112 0,2995
Fair 0,2190 0,0476
Bad 0,0180 0,0053
Very bad 0,0011 0
Dn/Da 0 0,0320
EFFICIENCY OF STAFF
Very good 0,0207 0,4654
Good 0,6971 0,3982
Fair 0,2572 0,0692
Bad 0,0169 0,0142
Very bad 0,0023 0
Dn/Da 0,0058 0,0531
VARIETY OF PRODUCTS
Very good 0,0087 0,1641
Good 0,5063 0,5212
Fair 0,4460 0,2357
Bad 0,0364 0,0322
Very bad 0,0045 0
Dn/Da 0,0023 0,0427
Table 8 summarizes parameters estimates for this model, from the used covariates, used
as inactive, that is, they are not used for parameters’ estimates; thus we use covariates in
order to a better understanding of segments, namely segments’ customers.
15
In these tables’ parameters there are two kinds of probabilities, (1) simple probabilities,
or mixing probabilities (relative segments size), from which we can see that we have 61
percent of customers at segment 1 and 39 percent of customers at segment 2, and (2)
conditional probabilities: probabilities of customer selecting some category for
answering a question, knowing that s(he) belongs to a certain segment; for instance,
0.7033 and 0.7743, from Table 8, are the probabilities of respondents’ answers being
female, given that they belong to segment 1 and segment 2, respectively. Thus it allows
us for concluding that in segment 2 we have majority female respondents.
Table 7 Parameters estimates of two-class latent model (cont.)
Cluster Size Cluster1 Cluster2
0,6119 0,3881
PRODUCT PRESENTATION
Very good 0,0050 0,266
Good 0,6154 0,5839
Fair 0,3593 0,1039
Bad 0,0203 0
Dn/Da 0 0,0462
STORE ENVIRONMENT
Very good 0,0101 0,3700
Good 0,7391 0,5151
Fair 0,2388 0,0627
Bad 0,0120 0,0042
Dn/Da 0 0,0480
CLEANING SHOP
Very good 0,0414 0,4647
Good 0,7527 0,4083
Fair 0,1919 0,0690
Bad 0,0128 0,0082
Very bad 0,0011 0
Dn/Da 0 0,0498
PRICES 0,0414 0,4647
Very good 0,0082 0,0635
Good 0,2689 0,2482
Fair 0,5361 0,4582
Bad 0,1614 0,1741
Very bad 0,0110 0,0112
Dn/Da 0,0144 0,0449
PRODUCT QUALITY PRIVATE LABEL
Very good 0,0144 0,1676
Good 0,4232 0,4726
Fair 0,3942 0,1733
Bad 0,0231 0,0169
Very bad 0,0028 0,0028
Dn/Da 0,1423 0,1668
INTERNET USAGE
At home 0,1851 0,1544
At work 0,0998 0,0471
Both 0,1723 0,1320
No Access 0,5428 0,6664
16
The use of probabilities as parameters is another advantage concerning Cluster Analysis
using, which uses distance measures (there are several), and/or different clustering
methods, then resulting on different solutions.
Table 8 Parameters estimates of two-class latent model by covariates
Cluster Size Cluster1 (61 percent) Cluster 2 (39 percent)
Covariates
SEX
Female 0,7033 0,7743
Male 0,2967 0,2257
AGE
Less than 25 years 0,2274 0,1127
From 25 to 34 years 0,2204 0,1717
From 35 to 44 years 0,2119 0,1993
From 45 to 54 years 0,1646 0,2189
More than 55 years 0,1757 0,2974
OCCUPATION
Independent 0,1814 0,1763
Dependent 0,7885 0,7929
Both 0,0241 0,0261
Dn/Da 0,006 0,0048
EDUCATION
Incomplete 1th cycle 0,0189 0,0502
Complete1th cycle 0,1664 0,1964
2th cycle 0,0984 0,0903
3th cycle 0,1721 0,1519
12º year 0,1624 0,1636
Graduate frequency 0,0991 0,0553
Bachelor 0,0499 0,0404
Graduate 0,2198 0,2349
Dn/Da 0,0129 0,017
FAMILY SIZE
1 person 0,1701 0,1568
2 persons 0,2568 0,2240
3 persons 0,3141 0,2694
4 persons 0,2248 0,2128
5 persons 0,049 0,0703
6 or more persons 0,0179 0,0339
LIVE CYCLE
Single pre family 0,2857 0,1648
Couple pre family 0,0634 0,0477
New Family 0,0861 0,0509
Maturing Family 0,0936 0,0765
Established Family 0,2468 0,3507
Single Post Family 0,0485 0,0764
Couple Post familly 0,0793 0,0741
Older Single 0,0463 0,0711
Older Couple 0,0504 0,0877
INCOME
Les than 400 € 0,0512 0,0562
de 401 € a 798 € 0,1475 0,1551
de 799 € a 1197€ 0,1885 0,1996
de 1198 € a 1596 € 0,1284 0,1461
de 1597 € a 1995 € 0,0741 0,0841
More than 1996 € 0,115 0,105
Dn/Da 0,2841 0,2651
CLASS
Class A 0,0838 0,0766
Class B 0,1515 0,1311
Class C1 0,2689 0,3087
Class C2 0,3384 0,3938
Class D 0,1094 0,137
17
The estimated probabilities allow us for naming segments and also for knowing the
segments profile, based on both segmentation base variables and covariates, to a better
understanding of clusters (Table 9).
Table 9 Profile of retail chain customers
Variables Occasional Customers (61%) Loyal Customers (39%)
USAGE FREQUENCY Occasionaly to Two or three times a
week Everiday
VISIT PATTERN During a week; During the weekend Both situations
COMING FROM From Job; Other From home; Passing by
TRAVEL TIME
Five to ten minutes walking; Five or more minutes by car
Two to five minutes walking;
More than ten minutes walking; Less or equal five minutes by car
WHY SHOPPING
Near from Job; Passing by; Low prices;
Quality of fresh produce; Fast service;
Promotions; Opening hours
Near form home; Variety of
brands; Variety of products in
general; Habit; Quality products; Cleaning / hygiene shop;
Sympathy in attendance; Other
MONTHLY SPENDING ON
PURCHASES FOR THE HOME
266,2 380,1
MONTHLY EXPENSES
IN STORE 89,4 201,0
QUALITY OF FRESH PRODUCE Good; Fair; Bad; Very bad Very good
TREATMENT Good; Fair; Bad; Very bad Very good
EFFICIENCY OF STAFF Good; Fair; Bad; Very bad Very good
VARIETY OF PRODUCTS Fair; Bad; Very bad Very good; Good
PRODUCT PRESENTATION Good; Fair; Bad; Very bad Very good
STORE ENVIRONMENT Good; Fair; Bad; Very bad Very good
CLEANING SHOP Good; Fair; Bad; Very bad Very good
PRICES Good; Fair; Bad; Very bad Very good
PRODUCT QUALITY
PRIVATE LABEL
Fair; Bad; Very bad Very good; Good
INTERNET ACCESS At home; At work; Both No Access
Covariates
SEX Male Female
AGE Up to 44 years old More than 44 years old
OCCUPATION Independent Dependent; Both
EDUCATION 2th and 3th cycle; Graduate frequency;
Bachelor Incomplete and Complete1th
cycle; 12º year; Graduate
FAMILY SIZE Up to 4 persons 5 or more persons
LIVE CYCLE Single pre family; Couple pre family;
New Family; Maturing Family
Established Family; Single Post Family; Older Single; Older
Couple
INCOME More than 1996 € Up to 1995 €
CLASS Class A; Class B Class C1; Class C2 e Class D
As a result, we can name segments as Occasional Customers (Segment 1), with 61
percent of customers, and Loyal Customers (Segment 2), with 39 percent of customers.
Concerning Occasional Customers, we can see that they live near from store and they
are more concerned with opening hours, fast service, and promotions; about store
products they think that all is up to good for quality, cleanness, environment, efficiency,
18
variety, prices; they spend monthly 266€ on purchases for home, 89€ at store (only 33
percent), and they access Internet both at home and at work.
In contrast with Occasional Customers, Cluster 2 or Loyal Customers live far away
from store and they are more concerned with variety of brands, variety of products in
general, quality products, cleaning / hygiene shop and sympathy in attendance; about
store products they think that almost all is very good for quality, cleanness,
environment, efficiency, variety, prices. Next, after identifying the two segments, we
evaluated their socio demographic profiles, regarding the socio economic and
demographic variables, here used as covariates; as we can see, concerning sex, they are
majority male, aged up to 44 years old, independent, with lower level of education,
family size up to 4 persons, as for live cycle, they are majority single pre family or
couple pre family, new family or maturing family, with more than 1996€ for income,
and they are in class A or B.
Quality service is a very important construct; through building on and extending earlier
research ((Aaker, 1991); (E. W. Anderson, Fornell, & Lehmann, 1994); (Oliver, 1997)),
forwards a framework of service that presents quality which leads to satisfaction which
in turn affects loyalty (Harris & Goode, 2004); (Fonseca, 2009) from an empirical
research about customers’ satisfaction, also concludes that quality service leads to
customers’ satisfaction. Loyal Customers spend monthly higher levels of mone (Harris
& Goode, 2004), in our case 380€ on purchases for home, 200€ at store (53 percent!),
and they did not access Internet. Thus, loyal customers buy more, are willing to spend
more, are easier to reach, and, more than that, they act as enthusiastic advocates for
firms.
Again, through socio economic and demographic profile, we can understand better this
segment, by become knowing that they are majority female, oldest, dependent, with
highest level of education, family size with more than 4 persons, established family,
single post family, and older single for live cycle, with less than 1995€ for income, and
they are in class C1, C2 or D.
From the Table 8, it is evident that there is a great difference in the socio economic and
demographic profiles of occasional and loyal customers. The knowledge of the
segments’ structure is very important because of it managerial utility, particularly in
what concerns targeting and positioning. Because of customers in each segment must
respond differently to variations in the marketing mix compared with those in other
19
segments, it implies that this classification into two segments is a true market
segmentation scheme, as the segments exhibit behavioral response differences.
All of this is reinforced by the interviews we made at the beginning of this plan of
marketing segmentation. They confirm the existence of two segments, because all of
them fall into the uncovered segment structure. This is one important aspect of mixed
methodology, merging knowledge, in the case, by using knowledge from the qualitative
research to complement the quantitative research findings. It is of great importance this
mixed methodology, in order to be sure that we reached effective segments, because a
bad segmented market is often worse than making the mass-market assumption.
Finally, in order to know which factors mostly influenced the Internet usage (after
recoding Internet access: 1, use; 2, non-use), we use binary logistic regression. The
model estimation allows us to conclude that education (p value = 0), age (p value = 0),
income (p value = 0), sex (p value = 0.005), and usage frequency (p value = 0.022), by
this order, are the variables which contribute more for explaining Internet usage. The
model also states that concerning education and age the influence is, inverse; as for
income, the influence is direct. This is in accordance with the uncovered segment
structure: occasional customers access internet at home and at job, they are majority
male, youngest, with lower education, but with higher income. Thus, we have good
reasons to believe on the veracity of the reached segment structure, firstly reinforced by
the interviews (qualitative validating quantitative – mixing), and now by quantitative.
As future research, concerning Internet usage, this retail chain organization would like
to get enough information about it, in order to consider future electronic commerce.
5. Conclusions
Firstly, we overview the great importance of market (retail market in particular)
segmentation, because of through the growing knowledge about the market segments,
by tailoring the offering product to different groups, companies are able to more
precisely meet the needs of more customers, and consequently to gain a higher overall
level of share or profit from a market.
Accurate measurement of preferences allows the marketer to gain a deeper
understanding of consumers’ wishes, desires, likes, and dislikes, and thus permits a
better implementation of the tools of the marketer (Steven H. Cohen & Neira, 2003), by
20
the concentration of marketing energy and force on the segments to gain a competitive
advantage within the segment.
Secondly, we apply Latent Segment Modelling to market segmentation, for a dataset
with mixed-mode data, and AIC3 and AICu for model selection. A two-class latent
model fitted well the data, and the two segments are internal homogeneous/external
heterogeneous, they constitute a very parsimonious solution, and marketers can reach
segments separately using the observable characteristics of the segments. This is a good
solution, and the advantages of efficient clusters is that marketers can easily understand
them, being able for developing different and more successful business strategies, and
this allows these managers to focus limited resources on meeting or exceeding the needs
of particular customers (Beynon, Goode, Moutinho, & Snee, 2005).
We tested this solution by using all the information obtained from the qualitative
collection methods, such as interviews, focus groups, participant observation, in
accordance with retail chain marketers at the beginning of the segmentation scheme, in
order to demonstrate that the derived segments will respond differently to variations in
the marketing mix; with the information obtained from the qualitative treatment, we
became knowing that customers are likely to react to an offer, a price or a promotion in
accordance with occasional customers and loyal customers. Thus, throughout a mixed
scheme of market segmentation and AIC3 and AICu information criteria, we can
support the idea that latent segments models are accurate on representing efficiently the
heterogeneous customers, by means of identifying two homogeneous segments which
accommodates the needs and preferences of customers. The great strength of this
pragmatic approach to social science research methodology in general, and market
segmentation in particular, is its emphasis on the connection between epistemological
concerns about the nature of the knowledge that we produce and technical concerns
about the methods that we use to generate that knowledge.
This moves beyond technical questions about mixing or combining methods and puts us
in a position to argue for a properly integrated methodology for the social sciences
(Morgan, 2007).
Our empirical findings indicate that customers’ perceptions are quite different for all the
used variables, including Internet usage; loyal customers indicate that quality is very
important to them, varying from quality of fresh produce to prices. Concerning used
covariates, we find that all of them are important in order to differentiate the retail chain
customers.
21
At last, we conclude that education, age, income, sex, and usage frequency, by this
order, are the variables which contribute more for explaining Internet usage (use/not
use, after recoding), by using a binary logistic regression; is quite evident, from these
results – testing the solution – the effectiveness of the uncovered structure.
To sum up, we must conclude that the used scheme of latent segment models for
segmentation combined with mixed methodology is an advantageous scheme research
in order to uncover the underlying market typology, when compared with most
traditional methods. In future study, this retail chain organization must carefully study
the situation about electronic commerce, given the importance of Internet access, in
order to find out what benefits the customer seeks, and what risks s(he) fears.
Acknowledgements
Thanks go to the anonymous referees for suggesting a number of improvements.
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