Total BC AB SK/MB Ontario Quebec Atlantic <$40K $40K -
<$60K
$60K -
<$100K
$100K+ Kids No Kids
A B C D E F G H I J K L
Base: All Answering (unwtd) 499 64 58 47 175 107 48 148 76 138 103 131 368
Base: All Answering (wtd) 506 69 60 29 198 118 33 181 86 115 78 109 398
132 19 28 7 51 17 9 42 24 33 23 24 108
26% 28% 47% 25% 26% 14% 29% 23% 28% 29% 30% 22% 27%
* DE* * * ** * * * *
108 14 8 5 49 28 5 34 17 23 31 28 81
21% 20% 13% 17% 25% 24% 14% 19% 20% 20% 39% 25% 20%
* * * * ** * * GHI* *
55 8 11 3 19 8 6 17 11 13 11 13 42
11% 11% 19% 9% 10% 6% 19% 9% 12% 11% 14% 12% 10%
* E* * * ** * * * *
17 - - - - 17 - 11 - 3 2 3 13
3% - - - - 14% - 6% - 3% 3% 3% 3%
* * * ABCD* ** * * * *
15 8 1 3 2 1 * 3 4 3 3 2 13
3% 12% 2% 10% 1% 1% 1% 2% 5% 3% 3% 2% 3%
DE* * DE* * ** * * * *
6 - 2 - 3 1 - 4 1 - 1 1 5
1% - 3% - 1% 1% - 2% 1% - 1% 1% 1%
* * * * ** * * * *
2 - - - 2 * - - 2 * - * 2
* - - - 1% * - - 2% * - * *
* * * * ** * * * *
50 8 2 1 24 13 3 27 10 10 3 11 39
10% 11% 3% 4% 12% 11% 9% 15% 12% 8% 4% 10% 10%
* * * * ** J * * * *
121 12 8 10 49 33 9 43 18 29 4 27 94
24% 18% 14% 36% 25% 28% 28% 24% 21% 25% 5% 25% 24%
* * B* * ** J J* J* * *
506 69 60 29 198 118 33 181 86 115 78 109 398
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Table of contents
1a. Thinking of how you feel right now, if a FEDERAL election were held tomorrow, which of the following parties' candidates would you, yourself, be most likely to support?
REGION HOUSEHOLD INCOME HOUSEHOLD
COMPOSITION
The Conservative Party
The Liberal Party
The New Democratic Party (NDP)
The Bloc Quebecois (BQ)
Green Party
People's Party
Or some other party
Would not vote/None/Would spoil ballot
Don't Know/Not sure
Sigma
Statistics:
Columns Tested (5%): A/B/C/D/E/F,G/H/I/J,K/L
Minimum Base: 30 (**), Small Base: 100 (*)
Overlap formulae used
- Column Proportions:
Columns Tested (5%): A/B/C/D/E/F,G/H/I/J,K/L
Minimum Base: 30 (**), Small Base: 100 (*)
- Column Means:
Total BC AB SK/MB Ontario Quebec Atlantic <$40K $40K -
<$60K
$60K -
<$100K
$100K+ Kids No Kids
A B C D E F G H I J K L
Base: All Answering (unwtd) 90 9 9 10 29 17 16 30 13 26 5 23 67
Base: All Answering (wtd) 121 12 8 10 49 33 9 43 18 29 4 27 94
10 1 2 2 3 - 2 1 * 4 * 2 9
8% 11% 20% 21% 6% - 21% 3% 2% 15% 10% 6% 9%
** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** **
12 2 1 3 2 2 2 4 1 3 2 3 10
10% 15% 14% 34% 4% 7% 21% 9% 4% 12% 46% 11% 10%
** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** **
6 * - - 3 2 1 - 1 2 1 2 4
5% 3% - - 6% 5% 10% - 3% 5% 21% 7% 4%
** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** **
2 - - - - 2 - 2 - - - - 2
2% - - - - 7% - 6% - - - - 3%
** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** **
* - - - - - * - - * - - *
* - - - - - 2% - - 1% - - *
** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** **
1 - 1 - - - - - - 1 - 1 -
1% - 9% - - - - - - 3% - 3% -
** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** **
2 - - - 2 - - - 2 - - - 2
2% - - - 4% - - - 10% - - - 2%
** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** **
* - - * - - - * - - - * -
* - - 5% - - - 1% - - - 2% -
** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** **
87 9 5 4 39 26 4 35 15 19 1 19 68
72% 71% 57% 40% 81% 81% 46% 81% 80% 65% 23% 71% 72%
** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** **
121 12 8 10 49 33 9 43 18 29 4 27 94
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Table of contents
1b. Well, which party would you say you would lean towards?
REGION HOUSEHOLD INCOME HOUSEHOLD
COMPOSITION
The Conservative Party
The Liberal Party
The New Democratic Party (NDP)
The Bloc Quebecois (BQ)
Green Party
People's Party
Or some other party
Would not vote/None/Would spoil ballot
Don't Know/Not sure
Sigma
Statistics:
Columns Tested (5%): A/B/C/D/E/F,G/H/I/J,K/L
Minimum Base: 30 (**), Small Base: 100 (*)
Overlap formulae used
- Column Proportions:
Columns Tested (5%): A/B/C/D/E/F,G/H/I/J,K/L
Minimum Base: 30 (**), Small Base: 100 (*)
- Column Means:
Total BC AB SK/MB Ontario Quebec Atlantic <$40K $40K -
<$60K
$60K -
<$100K
$100K+ Kids No Kids
A B C D E F G H I J K L
Base: All Answering (unwtd) 501 56 42 53 184 113 53 137 83 157 83 114 387
Base: All Answering (wtd) 494 66 53 35 187 117 35 158 86 145 56 102 392
113 10 17 9 46 19 11 31 23 32 17 25 88
23% 15% 33% 26% 24% 16% 33% 19% 27% 22% 31% 24% 22%
* ** * * E* * * * *
90 11 8 7 33 25 6 22 15 31 19 20 70
18% 16% 14% 20% 18% 22% 19% 14% 17% 22% 34% 20% 18%
* ** * * * * * GH* *
57 6 2 3 36 6 3 21 10 18 6 8 48
11% 10% 4% 10% 19% 5% 8% 14% 12% 12% 12% 8% 12%
* ** * E * * * * * *
15 - - - - 15 - 3 3 9 - 5 10
3% - - - - 13% - 2% 4% 6% - 5% 3%
* ** * ACDF* * * * * *
31 10 * 3 9 5 4 7 6 13 3 3 28
6% 16% 1% 8% 5% 4% 10% 5% 7% 9% 5% 3% 7%
DE* ** * * * * * * *
5 2 - - 2 * - 2 1 * * - 5
1% 3% - - 1% * - 1% 1% * 1% - 1%
* ** * * * * * * *
36 2 8 4 14 8 1 20 4 3 2 10 25
7% 3% 15% 10% 8% 6% 2% 13% 4% 2% 3% 10% 6%
* ** * * * I* * * *
148 25 18 9 47 39 10 51 24 39 8 30 117
30% 38% 33% 26% 25% 33% 28% 32% 28% 27% 15% 30% 30%
* ** * * * J* * * *
494 66 53 35 187 117 35 158 86 145 56 102 392
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Table of contents
1aa. Thinking of how you feel right now, if a FEDERAL election were held tomorrow, which of the following parties' candidates would you, yourself, be most likely to support?
REGION HOUSEHOLD INCOME HOUSEHOLD
COMPOSITION
The Conservative Party
The Liberal Party.
The New Democratic Party (NDP)
The Bloc Québécois (BQ)
The Green Party
Or some other party
Would not vote/None/Would spoil ballot
Don't Know/Not sure
Sigma
Statistics:
Overlap formulae used
Minimum Base: 30 (**), Small Base: 100 (*)
- Column Proportions:
Columns Tested (5%): A/B/C/D/E/F,G/H/I/J,K/L
Minimum Base: 30 (**), Small Base: 100 (*)
- Column Means:
Columns Tested (5%): A/B/C/D/E/F,G/H/I/J,K/L
Total BC AB SK/MB Ontario Quebec Atlantic <$40K $40K -
<$60K
$60K -
<$100K
$100K+ Kids No Kids
A B C D E F G H I J K L
Base: All Answering (unwtd) 104 16 9 10 32 20 17 31 16 28 10 24 80
Base: All Answering (wtd) 148 25 18 9 47 39 10 51 24 39 8 30 117
11 3 2 1 3 2 1 2 2 5 1 2 9
8% 10% 11% 14% 6% 4% 9% 3% 10% 13% 15% 7% 8%
** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** **
15 2 4 - 4 3 2 6 1 3 1 2 13
10% 6% 25% - 9% 8% 19% 12% 4% 6% 8% 7% 11%
** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** **
10 4 - 2 3 1 1 3 1 3 2 1 9
7% 14% - 18% 6% 4% 9% 6% 3% 8% 25% 4% 8%
** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** **
1 - - - - 1 - - - 1 - - 1
1% - - - - 2% - - - 2% - - 1%
** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** **
8 1 2 1 4 1 - 3 2 1 - - 8
5% 2% 10% 9% 8% 3% - 6% 7% 3% - - 7%
** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** **
5 - 1 - - 3 1 3 - - - - 5
3% - 4% - - 8% 8% 5% - - - - 4%
** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** **
97 17 9 5 33 28 5 35 18 26 4 25 72
66% 68% 50% 59% 71% 71% 54% 68% 76% 68% 51% 82% 62%
** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** ** **
148 25 18 9 47 39 10 51 24 39 8 30 117
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Table of contents
1bb. Well, which party would you say you would lean towards?
REGION HOUSEHOLD INCOME HOUSEHOLD
COMPOSITION
The Conservative Party
The Liberal Party
The New Democratic Party (NDP)
The Bloc Québécois (BQ)
The Green Party
Would not vote/None/Would spoil ballot
Don't Know/Not sure
Sigma
Statistics:
Overlap formulae used
- Column Proportions:
Columns Tested (5%): A/B/C/D/E/F,G/H/I/J,K/L
Minimum Base: 30 (**), Small Base: 100 (*)
- Column Means:
Columns Tested (5%): A/B/C/D/E/F,G/H/I/J,K/L
Minimum Base: 30 (**), Small Base: 100 (*)
Total BC AB SK/MB Ontario Quebec Atlantic <$40K $40K -
<$60K
$60K -
<$100K
$100K+ Kids No Kids
A B C D E F G H I J K L
Base: All Respondents (unwtd) 1000 120 100 100 359 220 101 285 159 295 186 245 755
Base: All Respondents (wtd) 1000 135 112 65 385 235 68 339 172 260 134 210 790
266 33 49 20 103 38 24 76 50 75 42 52 214
27% 24% 44% 31% 27% 16% 35% 22% 29% 29% 32% 25% 27%
* ADE* E* E E* *
226 28 21 15 88 59 15 66 33 61 53 53 173
23% 21% 19% 24% 23% 25% 22% 19% 19% 23% 39% 25% 22%
* * * * * GHI
127 18 13 8 61 16 11 41 22 35 20 25 103
13% 13% 12% 12% 16% 7% 16% 12% 13% 13% 15% 12% 13%
* * * E E* *
35 - - - - 35 - 17 3 13 2 9 27
4% - - - - 15% - 5% 2% 5% 2% 4% 3%
* * * ABCDF * *
54 19 3 6 14 7 4 14 12 17 6 5 49
5% 14% 3% 10% 4% 3% 6% 4% 7% 7% 4% 2% 6%
BDE* * DE* * *
7 - 2 - 3 1 - 4 1 1 1 2 5
1% - 2% - 1% 1% - 1% * * 1% 1% 1%
* * * * *
9 2 - - 6 1 - 2 4 1 * * 8
1% 2% - - 1% * - 1% 3% * * * 1%
* * * * *
91 9 10 5 38 23 5 50 14 13 5 21 70
9% 7% 9% 8% 10% 10% 7% 15% 8% 5% 4% 10% 9%
* * * * IJ *
185 26 13 10 72 54 9 69 33 45 5 44 141
18% 19% 12% 15% 19% 23% 14% 20% 19% 17% 4% 21% 18%
* * * * J J* J
1000 135 112 65 385 235 68 339 172 260 134 210 790
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Table of contents
1a/1b/1aa/1bb. Thinking of how you feel right now, if a FEDERAL election were held tomorrow, which of the following parties' candidates would you, yourself, be most likely to support?/ Well, which party would you
say you would lean towards?
REGION HOUSEHOLD INCOME HOUSEHOLD
COMPOSITION
The Conservative Party
The Liberal Party
The New Democratic Party (NDP)
The Bloc Quebecois (BQ)
The Green Party
People's Party
Or some other party
Would not vote/None/Would spoil ballot
Don't Know/Not sure
Sigma
Statistics:
Columns Tested (5%): A/B/C/D/E/F,G/H/I/J,K/L
Minimum Base: 30 (**), Small Base: 100 (*)
Overlap formulae used
- Column Proportions:
Columns Tested (5%): A/B/C/D/E/F,G/H/I/J,K/L
Minimum Base: 30 (**), Small Base: 100 (*)
- Column Means:
Total BC AB SK/MB Ontario Quebec Atlantic <$40K $40K -
<$60K
$60K -
<$100K
$100K+ Kids No Kids
A B C D E F G H I J K L
Base: Decided Voters Leaners (unwtd) 833 101 85 80 304 187 76 213 133 256 177 200 633
Base: Decided Voters Leaners (wtd) 724 100 89 50 275 157 53 220 126 202 124 145 580
266 33 49 20 103 38 24 76 50 75 42 52 214
37% 33% 55% 40% 38% 24% 44% 34% 40% 37% 34% 36% 37%
* ADE* E* E E* *
226 28 21 15 88 59 15 66 33 61 53 53 173
31% 28% 24% 31% 32% 37% 28% 30% 26% 30% 42% 37% 30%
* * * * * GHI
127 18 13 8 61 16 11 41 22 35 20 25 103
18% 18% 15% 16% 22% 10% 20% 19% 18% 17% 16% 17% 18%
* * * E * *
35 - - - - 35 - 17 3 13 2 9 27
5% - - - - 22% - 8% 2% 6% 2% 6% 5%
* * * ABCDF * J *
54 19 3 6 14 7 4 14 12 17 6 5 49
7% 19% 4% 13% 5% 4% 8% 6% 9% 9% 5% 3% 9%
BDE* * BDE* * * K
7 - 2 - 3 1 - 4 1 1 1 2 5
1% - 3% - 1% 1% - 2% 1% * 1% 1% 1%
* * * * *
9 2 - - 6 1 - 2 4 1 * * 8
1% 2% - - 2% 1% - 1% 3% * * * 1%
* * * * *
724 100 89 50 275 157 53 220 126 202 124 145 580
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Table of contents
1a/1b/1aa/1bb. Thinking of how you feel right now, if a FEDERAL election were held tomorrow, which of the following parties' candidates would you, yourself, be most likely to support?/ Well, which party would you
say you would lean towards?
REGION HOUSEHOLD INCOME HOUSEHOLD
COMPOSITION
The Conservative Party
The Liberal Party
The New Democratic Party (NDP)
The Bloc Quebecois (BQ)
The Green Party
People's Party
Or some other party
Sigma
Statistics:
Overlap formulae used
- Column Proportions:
Columns Tested (5%): A/B/C/D/E/F,G/H/I/J,K/L
Minimum Base: 30 (**), Small Base: 100 (*)
- Column Means:
Columns Tested (5%): A/B/C/D/E/F,G/H/I/J,K/L
Minimum Base: 30 (**), Small Base: 100 (*)
Total BC AB SK/MB Ontario Quebec Atlantic <$40K $40K -
<$60K
$60K -
<$100K
$100K+ Kids No Kids
A B C D E F G H I J K L
Base: All Answering (unwtd) 499 64 58 47 175 107 48 148 76 138 103 131 368
Base: All Answering (wtd) 506 69 60 29 198 118 33 181 86 115 78 109 398
142 20 30 9 54 17 11 43 25 37 24 25 117
28% 30% 50% 32% 27% 14% 35% 24% 29% 33% 31% 23% 29%
* ADE* E* * ** * * * *
121 16 9 8 51 30 6 37 18 27 33 31 90
24% 23% 15% 29% 26% 26% 20% 21% 21% 23% 42% 28% 23%
* * * * ** * * GHI* *
60 8 11 3 22 9 7 17 11 14 12 15 45
12% 12% 19% 9% 11% 8% 22% 9% 13% 12% 15% 14% 11%
* * * * ** * * * *
19 - - - - 19 - 14 - 3 2 3 16
4% - - - - 16% - 8% - 3% 3% 3% 4%
* * * ABCD* ** * * * *
15 8 1 3 2 1 * 3 4 3 3 2 13
3% 12% 2% 10% 1% 1% 1% 2% 5% 3% 3% 2% 3%
DE* * DE* * ** * * * *
7 - 2 - 3 1 - 4 1 1 1 2 5
1% - 4% - 1% 1% - 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
* * * * ** * * * *
4 - - - 3 * - - 3 * - * 3
1% - - - 2% * - - 4% * - * 1%
* * * * ** G* * * *
51 8 2 2 24 13 3 27 10 10 3 11 39
10% 11% 3% 5% 12% 11% 9% 15% 12% 8% 4% 10% 10%
* * * * ** J * * * *
87 9 5 4 39 26 4 35 15 19 1 19 68
17% 13% 8% 14% 20% 22% 13% 19% 17% 17% 1% 18% 17%
* * * * ** J J* J* * *
506 69 60 29 198 118 33 181 86 115 78 109 398
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Table of contents
1a/1b. Thinking of how you feel right now, if a FEDERAL election were held tomorrow, which of the following parties' candidates would you, yourself, be most likely to support?/ Well, which party would you say you
would lean towards? - Unprompted
REGION HOUSEHOLD INCOME HOUSEHOLD
COMPOSITION
The Conservative Party
The Liberal Party
The New Democratic Party (NDP)
The Bloc Quebecois (BQ)
The Green Party
People's Party
Or some other party
Would not vote/None/Would spoil ballot
Don't Know/Not sure
Sigma
Statistics:
Columns Tested (5%): A/B/C/D/E/F,G/H/I/J,K/L
Minimum Base: 30 (**), Small Base: 100 (*)
Overlap formulae used
- Column Proportions:
Columns Tested (5%): A/B/C/D/E/F,G/H/I/J,K/L
Minimum Base: 30 (**), Small Base: 100 (*)
- Column Means:
Total BC AB SK/MB Ontario Quebec Atlantic <$40K $40K -
<$60K
$60K -
<$100K
$100K+ Kids No Kids
A B C D E F G H I J K L
Base: Decided Voters Leaners (unwtd) 412 53 52 38 145 90 34 108 62 119 98 108 304
Base: Decided Voters Leaners (wtd) 368 52 53 23 135 79 25 119 62 86 74 78 290
142 20 30 9 54 17 11 43 25 37 24 25 117
39% 39% 56% 40% 40% 22% 44% 37% 40% 43% 32% 32% 40%
* E* ** E * ** * * * * *
121 16 9 8 51 30 6 37 18 27 33 31 90
33% 30% 17% 36% 38% 38% 26% 32% 29% 31% 44% 39% 31%
* * ** B B* ** * * * * *
60 8 11 3 22 9 7 17 11 14 12 15 45
16% 15% 21% 11% 16% 12% 28% 14% 18% 16% 16% 19% 16%
* * ** * ** * * * * *
19 - - - - 19 - 14 - 3 2 3 16
5% - - - - 24% - 12% - 4% 3% 4% 5%
* * ** ABD* ** H* * * * *
15 8 1 3 2 1 * 3 4 3 3 2 13
4% 16% 2% 12% 1% 1% 2% 3% 6% 4% 4% 2% 5%
BDE* * ** * ** * * * * *
7 - 2 - 3 1 - 4 1 1 1 2 5
2% - 4% - 2% 2% - 4% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2%
* * ** * ** * * * * *
4 - - - 3 * - - 3 * - * 3
1% - - - 3% 1% - - 6% 1% - 1% 1%
* * ** * ** * G* * * *
368 52 53 23 135 79 25 119 62 86 74 78 290
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Table of contents
1a/1b. Thinking of how you feel right now, if a FEDERAL election were held tomorrow, which of the following parties' candidates would you, yourself, be most likely to support?/ Well, which party would you say you
would lean towards? - Unprompted
REGION HOUSEHOLD INCOME HOUSEHOLD
COMPOSITION
The Conservative Party
The Liberal Party
The New Democratic Party (NDP)
The Bloc Quebecois (BQ)
The Green Party
People's Party
Or some other party
Sigma
Statistics:
Overlap formulae used
- Column Proportions:
Columns Tested (5%): A/B/C/D/E/F,G/H/I/J,K/L
Minimum Base: 30 (**), Small Base: 100 (*)
- Column Means:
Columns Tested (5%): A/B/C/D/E/F,G/H/I/J,K/L
Minimum Base: 30 (**), Small Base: 100 (*)
Total BC AB SK/MB Ontario Quebec Atlantic <$40K $40K -
<$60K
$60K -
<$100K
$100K+ Kids No Kids
A B C D E F G H I J K L
Base: All Answering (unwtd) 501 56 42 53 184 113 53 137 83 157 83 114 387
Base: All Answering (wtd) 494 66 53 35 187 117 35 158 86 145 56 102 392
124 13 19 11 49 21 12 32 26 37 18 27 97
25% 19% 36% 30% 26% 18% 35% 20% 30% 26% 33% 26% 25%
* ** * * E* * * * *
105 12 12 7 37 29 8 28 16 34 20 22 83
21% 18% 23% 20% 20% 24% 24% 18% 18% 23% 35% 22% 21%
* ** * * * * * GH* *
67 10 2 5 39 7 4 25 11 21 9 10 57
14% 15% 4% 14% 21% 6% 10% 16% 13% 14% 15% 9% 15%
* ** * E * * * * * *
16 - - - - 16 - 3 3 10 - 5 11
3% - - - - 14% - 2% 4% 7% - 5% 3%
* ** * ACDF* * * * * *
39 11 2 4 13 6 4 10 8 14 3 3 36
8% 16% 4% 10% 7% 5% 10% 7% 9% 10% 5% 3% 9%
* ** * * * * * * *
5 2 - - 2 * - 2 1 * * - 5
1% 3% - - 1% * - 1% 1% * 1% - 1%
* ** * * * * * * *
40 2 8 4 14 11 2 22 4 3 2 10 30
8% 3% 16% 10% 8% 9% 5% 14% 4% 2% 3% 10% 8%
* ** * * * IJ* * * *
97 17 9 5 33 28 5 35 18 26 4 25 72
20% 26% 16% 15% 18% 24% 15% 22% 21% 18% 7% 24% 18%
* ** * * * J* J* * *
494 66 53 35 187 117 35 158 86 145 56 102 392
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Table of contents
1aa/1bb. Thinking of how you feel right now, if a FEDERAL election were held tomorrow, which of the following parties' candidates would you, yourself, be most likely to support?/ Well, which party would you say you
would lean towards? - Prompted
REGION HOUSEHOLD INCOME HOUSEHOLD
COMPOSITION
The Conservative Party
The Liberal Party
The New Democratic Party (NDP)
The Bloc Quebecois (BQ)
The Green Party
Or some other party
Would not vote/None/Would spoil ballot
Don't Know/Not sure
Sigma
Statistics:
Overlap formulae used
Minimum Base: 30 (**), Small Base: 100 (*)
- Column Proportions:
Columns Tested (5%): A/B/C/D/E/F,G/H/I/J,K/L
Minimum Base: 30 (**), Small Base: 100 (*)
- Column Means:
Columns Tested (5%): A/B/C/D/E/F,G/H/I/J,K/L
Total BC AB SK/MB Ontario Quebec Atlantic <$40K $40K -
<$60K
$60K -
<$100K
$100K+ Kids No Kids
A B C D E F G H I J K L
Base: Decided Voters Leaners (unwtd) 421 48 33 42 159 97 42 105 71 137 79 92 329
Base: Decided Voters Leaners (wtd) 356 48 36 26 140 79 28 101 64 116 50 67 289
124 13 19 11 49 21 12 32 26 37 18 27 97
35% 27% 54% 40% 35% 26% 44% 32% 40% 32% 37% 40% 34%
* ** * * ** * * * *
105 12 12 7 37 29 8 28 16 34 20 22 83
30% 25% 34% 27% 26% 36% 30% 28% 24% 29% 40% 33% 29%
* ** * * ** * * * *
67 10 2 5 39 7 4 25 11 21 9 10 57
19% 21% 6% 19% 28% 9% 13% 24% 17% 18% 17% 14% 20%
* ** * E * ** * * * *
16 - - - - 16 - 3 3 10 - 5 11
5% - - - - 21% - 3% 5% 8% - 8% 4%
* ** * ACD* ** * * J * *
39 11 2 4 13 6 4 10 8 14 3 3 36
11% 23% 6% 14% 9% 7% 13% 10% 12% 12% 6% 4% 12%
DE* ** * * ** * * * *
5 2 - - 2 * - 2 1 * * - 5
1% 4% - - 2% 1% - 2% 1% * 1% - 2%
* ** * * ** * * * *
356 48 36 26 140 79 28 101 64 116 50 67 289
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Table of contents
1aa/1bb. Thinking of how you feel right now, if a FEDERAL election were held tomorrow, which of the following parties' candidates would you, yourself, be most likely to support?/ Well, which party would you say you
would lean towards? - Prompted
REGION HOUSEHOLD INCOME HOUSEHOLD
COMPOSITION
The Conservative Party
The Liberal Party
The New Democratic Party (NDP)
The Bloc Quebecois (BQ)
The Green Party
Or some other party
Sigma
Statistics:
Overlap formulae used
- Column Proportions:
Columns Tested (5%): A/B/C/D/E/F,G/H/I/J,K/L
Minimum Base: 30 (**), Small Base: 100 (*)
- Column Means:
Columns Tested (5%): A/B/C/D/E/F,G/H/I/J,K/L
Minimum Base: 30 (**), Small Base: 100 (*)
Total BC AB SK/MB Ontario Quebec Atlantic <$40K $40K -
<$60K
$60K -
<$100K
$100K+ Kids No Kids
A B C D E F G H I J K L
Base: All Respondents (unwtd) 1000 120 100 100 359 220 101 285 159 295 186 245 755
Base: All Respondents (wtd) 1000 135 112 65 385 235 68 339 172 260 134 210 790
394 53 29 25 161 104 24 137 73 99 60 83 311
39% 39% 25% 38% 42% 44% 35% 40% 42% 38% 45% 40% 39%
* * * B B * *
67 4 4 3 30 23 2 19 12 18 13 12 55
7% 3% 4% 5% 8% 10% 3% 6% 7% 7% 10% 6% 7%
* * * * *
327 48 25 21 131 81 21 117 60 81 48 71 256
33% 36% 22% 33% 34% 34% 32% 35% 35% 31% 35% 34% 32%
* * * * *
606 83 84 40 225 131 44 202 100 161 74 127 479
61% 61% 75% 62% 58% 56% 65% 60% 58% 62% 55% 60% 61%
* DE* * * *
267 41 31 15 110 55 15 94 37 73 34 62 204
27% 30% 27% 23% 28% 24% 23% 28% 21% 28% 25% 30% 26%
* * * * *
339 42 53 25 115 76 29 109 63 88 40 65 275
34% 31% 47% 39% 30% 32% 42% 32% 36% 34% 30% 31% 35%
* ADE* * * *
1000 135 112 65 385 235 68 339 172 260 134 210 790
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
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2. Thinking about the Liberal government under the leadership of Justin Trudeau, from what you have seen, read or heard, would you say that you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove or
strongly disapprove of their performance?
REGION HOUSEHOLD INCOME HOUSEHOLD
COMPOSITION
Top 2 Box (Net)
Strongly approve
Somewhat approve
Bottom 2 Box (Net)
Somewhat disapprove
Strongly disapprove
Sigma
Statistics:
Overlap formulae used
- Column Proportions:
Columns Tested (5%): A/B/C/D/E/F,G/H/I/J,K/L
Minimum Base: 30 (**), Small Base: 100 (*)
- Column Means:
Columns Tested (5%): A/B/C/D/E/F,G/H/I/J,K/L
Minimum Base: 30 (**), Small Base: 100 (*)
Total BC AB SK/MB Ontario Quebec Atlantic <$40K $40K -
<$60K
$60K -
<$100K
$100K+ Kids No Kids
A B C D E F G H I J K L
Base: All Respondents (unwtd) 1000 120 100 100 359 220 101 285 159 295 186 245 755
Base: All Respondents (wtd) 1000 135 112 65 385 235 68 339 172 260 134 210 790
325 44 28 19 128 87 19 102 56 84 61 81 245
33% 32% 25% 30% 33% 37% 28% 30% 33% 32% 45% 38% 31%
* * * * * GI
675 91 84 45 257 148 49 237 116 176 73 130 545
67% 68% 75% 70% 67% 63% 72% 70% 67% 68% 55% 62% 69%
* * * * J * J
1000 135 112 65 385 235 68 339 172 260 134 210 790
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
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3. Some people say that the Liberal government under Prime Minister Justin Trudeau has done a good job and deserves to be re-elected this year. Other people say that it is time for another federal party to take over
and run the country. Which of these statements is closest to your point of view?
REGION HOUSEHOLD INCOME HOUSEHOLD
COMPOSITION
Trudeau government has done a good job and deserves re-
election
Time for another federal party to take over
Sigma
Statistics:
Overlap formulae used
- Column Proportions:
Columns Tested (5%): A/B/C/D/E/F,G/H/I/J,K/L
Minimum Base: 30 (**), Small Base: 100 (*)
- Column Means:
Columns Tested (5%): A/B/C/D/E/F,G/H/I/J,K/L
Minimum Base: 30 (**), Small Base: 100 (*)
Total BC AB SK/MB Ontario Quebec Atlantic <$40K $40K -
<$60K
$60K -
<$100K
$100K+ Kids No Kids
A B C D E F G H I J K L
Base: All Respondents (unwtd) 1000 120 100 100 359 220 101 285 159 295 186 245 755
Base: All Respondents (wtd) 1000 135 112 65 385 235 68 339 172 260 134 210 790
317 34 23 16 138 90 17 109 53 73 58 71 246
32% 25% 20% 24% 36% 38% 25% 32% 31% 28% 43% 34% 31%
* * * B B * * GI
359 61 57 26 124 69 22 108 66 92 52 77 282
36% 45% 51% 41% 32% 29% 33% 32% 38% 35% 39% 37% 36%
DE* DEF* * * *
130 16 22 8 57 15 11 40 23 40 14 20 109
13% 12% 19% 12% 15% 7% 17% 12% 13% 15% 10% 10% 14%
* E* * E E* *
171 24 11 15 66 39 17 72 28 46 10 39 132
17% 18% 9% 23% 17% 17% 25% 21% 17% 18% 7% 19% 17%
* * B* B* J J* J
23 - - - - 23 - 10 2 10 1 2 21
2% - - - - 10% - 3% 1% 4% 1% 1% 3%
* * * ABCDF * *
1000 135 112 65 385 235 68 339 172 260 134 210 790
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
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4. Which of the federal party leaders do you think would make the best Prime Minister of Canada?
REGION HOUSEHOLD INCOME HOUSEHOLD
COMPOSITION
Justin Trudeau
Andrew Scheer
Jagmeet Singh
Elizabeth May
Yves-François Blanchet
Sigma
- Column Means:
Columns Tested (5%): A/B/C/D/E/F,G/H/I/J,K/L
Minimum Base: 30 (**), Small Base: 100 (*)
Statistics:
Overlap formulae used
- Column Proportions:
Columns Tested (5%): A/B/C/D/E/F,G/H/I/J,K/L
Minimum Base: 30 (**), Small Base: 100 (*)
Total BC AB SK/MB Ontario Quebec Atlantic <$40K $40K -
<$60K
$60K -
<$100K
$100K+ Kids No Kids
A B C D E F G H I J K L
Base: All Respondents (unwtd) 1000 120 100 100 359 220 101 285 159 295 186 245 755
Base: All Respondents (wtd) 1000 135 112 65 385 235 68 339 172 260 134 210 790
612 87 76 38 229 146 36 174 105 173 107 118 495
61% 65% 68% 60% 59% 62% 53% 51% 61% 66% 80% 56% 63%
* * * * * G GHI
529 73 66 33 206 119 32 146 97 145 94 99 430
53% 54% 59% 51% 54% 50% 47% 43% 56% 56% 70% 47% 54%
* * * * G* G GHI
83 14 10 6 22 27 4 28 8 27 13 19 65
8% 11% 9% 9% 6% 11% 6% 8% 5% 11% 10% 9% 8%
* * * * *
76 8 9 4 29 16 11 18 18 22 8 18 59
8% 6% 8% 7% 7% 7% 16% 5% 11% 9% 6% 8% 7%
* * * ADE* *
47 3 2 1 22 17 3 18 7 13 5 8 39
5% 2% 2% 1% 6% 7% 4% 5% 4% 5% 4% 4% 5%
* * * * *
30 4 4 1 14 5 1 17 4 2 2 5 25
3% 3% 4% 1% 4% 2% 2% 5% 2% 1% 2% 2% 3%
* * * * I *
52 8 1 8 23 4 8 27 7 15 2 11 41
5% 6% 1% 12% 6% 2% 12% 8% 4% 6% 1% 5% 5%
* * BE* BE* J *
24 8 3 2 7 4 - 11 6 5 2 8 16
2% 6% 2% 3% 2% 2% - 3% 4% 2% 2% 4% 2%
D* * * * *
11 - - 2 6 1 2 4 4 2 1 6 5
1% - - 3% 1% 1% 4% 1% 2% 1% 1% 3% 1%
* * * A* * L
104 12 12 5 38 31 5 56 17 15 4 25 79
10% 9% 11% 8% 10% 13% 7% 17% 10% 6% 3% 12% 10%
* * * * IJ J*
18 2 - 1 7 6 2 15 2 - - 7 10
2% 2% - 2% 2% 3% 2% 4% 1% - - 3% 1%
* * * * IJ *
87 10 12 4 31 26 3 42 15 15 4 18 69
9% 7% 11% 6% 8% 11% 5% 12% 9% 6% 3% 8% 9%
* * * * IJ *
42 4 5 4 18 11 1 14 4 12 2 12 30
4% 3% 4% 6% 5% 4% 2% 4% 2% 5% 1% 6% 4%
* * * * *
1000 135 112 65 385 235 68 339 172 260 134 210 790
100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
8 8.1 8.3 7.9 8 7.9 7.9 7.2 8.1 8.5 9.1 7.7 8.1
* * * * G* G GHI
2.96 2.9 2.97 2.96 2.94 3.1 2.75 3.32 2.96 2.52 1.95 3.12 2.91
0.1 0.25 0.29 0.38 0.15 0.21 0.34 0.18 0.23 0.16 0.17 0.22 0.11
10 10 10 10 10 10 9 9 10 10 10 9.3 10
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5. The next federal election will be held this fall. Using a 1-to-10 scale, where 10 means you are completely certain you will vote and 1 means you are completely certain you will NOT vote, how likely are you to vote in
the upcoming federal election?
REGION HOUSEHOLD INCOME HOUSEHOLD
COMPOSITION
Top 2 Box (Net)
10 - Completely certain I will vote
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
Bottom 2 Box (Net)
2
1 - Completely certain I will not vote
Don't Know
Sigma
Summary
Mean
Std. Dev.
Std. Err.
Median
Statistics:
Overlap formulae used
Minimum Base: 30 (**), Small Base: 100 (*)
- Column Proportions:
Columns Tested (5%): A/B/C/D/E/F,G/H/I/J,K/L
Minimum Base: 30 (**), Small Base: 100 (*)
- Column Means:
Columns Tested (5%): A/B/C/D/E/F,G/H/I/J,K/L