2013 FRANKFURT
MOTOR SHOW OICA PRESS
CONFERENCE
Patrick BLAIN – President September 11, 2013
September 11, 2013 1
I. Vehicles in use (2011) II. Motorization rate (2011/2005) III. Production (H1 2013/H1 2005) IV. New vehicle sales (H1 2013/H1 2012)
OICA statistics
All data are “all vehicle”: PC, LCV, HCV, BUS
2 September 11, 2013
NAFTA
EU 27/EFTA
JAPAN/SK
ASIA (exc. Japan&SK)/ OCEANIA/
MIDDLE EAST
RUSSIA/TURKEY/ OTHER EUROPE
CENTRAL/SOUTH AMERICA
AFRICA
0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 Millions
PC CV
3
I. Vehicles in use 2011: by region and type
Emerging markets
Mature markets
1,097 million vehicles in use in 2011 (805 million passenger cars 292 million commercial vehicles) +4% / 2010
Mature markets = 2/3 (62%) of worldwide vehicles in use and only 17% of worldwide population
September 11, 2013
4
II. Motorization rate 2011– WORLDWIDE
594
693
551
525
567
342
418
Average rate: 165 veh./1000 inh.
790
618
267
176
269 169
109 58 81 68
17
84
688
146 217
260
173
299
165 180
NAFTA: 644
C&S America: 142
AFRICA: 41 Asia (exc J&SK)/ Oceania/Middle east: 62
J&SK: 534
RU/TK/Other Europe: 241 EU 27/EFTA: 559
September 11, 2013
5
II. Motorization rate 2011 – Focus on EU 27/EFTA
599
594 554
571 555
693
551
525
644
567
231 342
418
Average rate for EU/EFTA : 559 veh./1,000 inh.
September 11, 2013
577
593
742
From Romania (231 veh/1,000 inh.) to Iceland (742 veh/1,000 inh.)
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
NAFTA EU 27/EFTA JAPAN/SK RUSSIA TURKEY OTHER
EUROPE
CENTRAL SOUTH
AMERICA
ASIA (exc. Japan&SK) OCEANIA
MIDDLE EAST
AFRICA
nb o
f veh
icle
s pe
r 100
0 in
habi
tant
s
2005 2011
6
+2%
+5% +2%
+35%
+36%
+68% +23%
Motorization rate by region 2011/2005
September 11, 2013
2005: 144 veh./1000 inh 2011: 165 veh./1000 inh. + 15%
EU 27
JAPAN/SK
RUSSIA /TURKEY /OTHER EUROPE
ASIA(exc J&SK) OCEANIA/
MIDDLE EAST
NAFTA
CENTRAL/SOUTH AMERICA
AFRICA
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
H1 2005 H1 2006 H1 2007 H1 2008 H1 2009 H1 2010 H1 2011 H1 2012 H1 2013
Mill
ions
7
III. Production: Evolution by region H1 2013/2005
8,3
7
1,8
15,7
8,4
2,3 0,3
Production volume increases / 2010
Production volume decreases / 2010
H1 2013 : 43.7 million vehicles H1 2013/2012 : +1.8% September 11, 2013
20% 19%
19% 19%
18% 16%
34% 36%
4% 5% 4% 4%
1% 1%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
H1 2012 H1 2013
AFRICA
RUSSIA/TURKEY/OTHER EUROPE
CENTRAL/SOUTH AMERICA
ASIA (exc J&SK)/OCEANIA/MIDDLE EAST
JAPAN/SK
NAFTA
EU 27
8
III. Production: share by region H1 2013/2012
+8%
-9%
-6%
+3%
+18% -2% +21%
Asia/Oceania/Middle East (exc J&SK): more than 1/3 of the worldwide production Mature markets (EU27/NAFTA/J&SK): 54% of the worldwide production September 11, 2013
0 2 4 6 8 10
CHINA USA
JAPAN GERMANY
SOUTH KOREA INDIA
BRAZIL MEXICO
THAILAND CANADA
SPAIN RUSSIA
FRANCE UNITED KINGDOM
TURKEY
Millions
9
III. Production: Top 15 countries – H1 2013
September 11, 2013
10
19% 17%
21% 22%
9% 8%
37% 39%
7% 7% 5% 5% 2% 2%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
H1 2012 H1 2013
AFRICA
RUSSIA/TURKEY/OTHER EUROPE
CENTRAL/SOUTH AMERICA
ASIA (exc. Japan&SK) OCEANIA MIDDLE EAST JAPAN/SOUTH KOREA
NAFTA
EU 27/EFTA
+7%
+8%
-3% +6%
-6%
+7%
-7%
IV. New vehicle sales by region H1 2013/2012
H1 2013 : 42.6 million vehicles H1 2013/2012 : +2.8%
Asia/Oceania/Middle East (exc J&SK): 40% of worldwide sales Mature regions less than half (47%) of worldwide sales
September 11, 2013
0 2 4 6 8 10 12
CHINA USA
JAPAN BRAZIL
INDIA GERMANY
RUSSIA UK
FRANCE CANADA
SOUTH KOREA THAILAND
ITALY INDONESIA AUSTRALIA
Millions
PC CV
11
IV. New vehicle sales: Top 15 countries – H1 2013
.
September 11, 2013