KONDISI ENERGI PRIMER KONDISI ENERGI PRIMER (MINYAK DAN GAS) INDONESIA(MINYAK DAN GAS) INDONESIA
Disampaikan pada:
Pertemuan NasionalForum Komunikasi Pendidikan TinggiTeknik Elektro Indonesia 2007Yogyakarta, 5 – 6 Desember 2007
OlehOleh::
EkoEko WidiantoWidiantoVP EP Technology CenterVP EP Technology CenterPT PERTAMINA (Persero)PT PERTAMINA (Persero)
PT PERTAMINA (PERSERO)PERTAMINA Page 2
CURRICULUM VITAE
Name : Ir. Eko Widianto, MTPlace of Birth : Semarang, 3 September 1955Marital Status : MarriedAddress : Rancho Indah, Jl. Tanjung 19 / Blok G-21
Tanjung Barat, Jakarta Selatan 12530 Email : [email protected]
Academic Record : 1982 : S1 Geologi UGM1999 : S2 Applied Geophysic ITB
Work History :1982 – 1985 : Pertamina Exploration Division Jakarta1986 – 1993 : Pertamina Exploration Department Plaju1993 – 1994 : Pertamina BPPKA Jakarta1994 – 1997 : Head of Exploration Planning Jakarta1998 – 2000 : Exploration Manager JOB Pertamina – Greka Energy2000 – 2002 : Chief Geophysic Pertamina Upstream
Chairman of HAGI2002 – 2006 : GM JOB Pertamina-ConocoPhillips (Sakakemang) Ltd.2006 – 2006 : Head of New Venture Division Pertamina2006 – now : VP EP Technology Center Pertamina
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• PENDAHULUAN• PRODUKSI DAN KONSUMSI MINYAK BUMI• PRODUKSI DAN KONSUMSI GAS BUMI• CADANGAN MIGAS NASIONAL • KESIMPULAN
AGENDA
PT PERTAMINA (PERSERO)PERTAMINA Page 4
History of Oil & Gas Exploration in Indonesia
Dutch Colonial – Law 8/1971 Era
The history of Indonesia’s petroleum industry goes back to the Dutch colonialism era and was marked by the beginning of systematic oil exploration in 1865. The first well was drilled in 1871, and the first oil field discovery was made in 1885.
Since the independence of Indonesia in 1945 and up to 1950, most oil fields had been discovered in East Java, South and Central Sumatra, and East Kalimantan. In 1966, Pertamina was established as a merger of several upstream and downstream Dutch oil companies.
The new contract system (PSC) was first introduced in the same year. In 1971, a new law no 8 clarified Pertamina’sroles as an upstream and downstream operator, as well as contractors’ regulator. A 2001 law specified the deregulation of the country’s oil and gas industry
PT PERTAMINA (PERSERO)PERTAMINA Page 5
REFORM PHILOSOPHYREFORM PHILOSOPHY
• REGULATOR • PLAYER
REGULATOR
SUPERVISOR
PREVIOUSPREVIOUS N E WN E W
2001-RECENT (LAW NO. 22/2001)
PERTAMINA (GOVERNMENT) GOVERNMENT
POLICY’S BOUNDARY
PLAYERPERTAMINA& OTHERS
DOWNSTREAM
UPSTREAM
Heri Purnomo, 2006
1971 - 2001 (LAW NO. 8/1971)
PT PERTAMINA (PERSERO)PERTAMINA Page 6
Ref PetroEnergy Magazine No. 6 Year II Oct – November 2005
Note : * PERTAMINA Production = PERTAMINA EP + Joint Company
CALTEX PACIFIC INDONESIA
PERTAMINA*
CONOCOPHILLIPS LTD
TOTAL
CNOOC(SES) BV
PETROCHINA INT’L IND.LTD
MEDCO E&P INDONESIA
UNOCAL
VICO
BPINDONESIA
452.63
136.12
92.80
69
65.93
53.8
52.95
45.24
25.7023.12Oil, MBOPD
CALTEX PACIFIC INDONESIA
PERTAMINA*
CONOCOPHILLIPS LTD
TOTAL
CNOOC(SES) BV
PETROCHINA INT’L IND.LTD
MEDCO E&P INDONESIA
UNOCAL
VICO
BPINDONESIA
452.63
136.12
92.80
69
65.93
53.8
52.95
45.24
25.7023.12
CALTEX PACIFIC INDONESIA
PERTAMINA*
CONOCOPHILLIPS LTD
TOTAL
CNOOC(SES) BV
PETROCHINA INT’L IND.LTD
MEDCO E&P INDONESIA
UNOCAL
VICO
BPINDONESIA
452.63
136.12
92.80
69
65.93
53.8
52.95
45.24
25.7023.12Oil, MBOPD
TOTAL
PERTAMINA*
EXXONMOBIL OIL INDONESIA
CONOCOPHILLIPS LTD
VICO
UNOCAL INDONESIA
PREMIER OIL
MEDCO E&P INDONESIA
KODECO
PETROCHINA INT’L IND LTD
2,679.00
1,107.00
986.00
839.00
613.00
191.00
151.00
115.64
113.7082.68Gas, MMSCFD
TOTAL
PERTAMINA*
EXXONMOBIL OIL INDONESIA
CONOCOPHILLIPS LTD
VICO
UNOCAL INDONESIA
PREMIER OIL
MEDCO E&P INDONESIA
KODECO
PETROCHINA INT’L IND LTD
2,679.00
1,107.00
986.00
839.00
613.00
191.00
151.00
115.64
113.7082.68Gas, MMSCFD
Note : PERTAMINA EP Geothermal Electric Power Capacity : 162 MW
Ref International Geothermal Association, Nov 2005
MWGEOTHERMAL WORLD INSTALLED CAPACITY
USAPHILLIPINEMEXICOINDONESIAITALYJAPANNEW ZEALANDICELANDEL SALVADORCOSTA RICA
2.2281.909
855852
785546
437172.1
161.1142.5
USAPHILLIPINEMEXICOINDONESIAITALYJAPANNEW ZEALANDICELANDEL SALVADORCOSTA RICA
2.2281.909
855852
785546
437172.1
161.1142.5
Ref International Geothermal Association, Nov 2005
MW
INDONESIA TOP 10 OIL and GAS PRODUCERS
7
ProduksiProduksi dandan KonsumsiKonsumsiMinyakMinyak bumibumi
PT PERTAMINA (PERSERO)PERTAMINA Page 8
REALISASI DAN PROYEKSI ENERGI PRIMER
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
8000
9000
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2024
SB
M/h
ari
Minyak Bumi Batubara Gas Tenaga Air Panas Bumi EBT Lainnya
PT PERTAMINA (PERSERO)
INDONESIA: Oil production (bars) & consumption (dots)
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000Year
Thou
sand
s of
bar
rels
of o
il pe
r day
© Energyfiles Ltd
PT PERTAMINA (PERSERO)
INDONESIA: Oil production forecast to 2050
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050Year
Thou
sand
s of
bar
rels
of o
il pe
r day
© Energyfiles Ltd
PT PERTAMINA (PERSERO)PERTAMINA Page 11
REALISASI DAN PROYEKSI MINYAK BUMI (SKENARIO PESIMIS)
0
300
600
900
1200
1500
1800
1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008 2011 2014 2017 2020 2023
Rib
u Ba
rrel
/har
i
Produksi Skenario Pesimis Kebutuhan Domestik
12
ProduksiProduksi dandan KonsumsiKonsumsiGas Gas bumibumi
PT PERTAMINA (PERSERO)
PT PERTAMINA (PERSERO)
INDONESIAN PROVEN OIL AND GAS RESERVES 1980 -2006
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
YEAR
MM
BO
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
TCF
OIL (mmbo)GAS (TCF)
CADANGAN MINYAK DAN GAS TERBUKTI INDONESIA
Annual report OPEC 2006
PT PERTAMINA (PERSERO)
PT PERTAMINA (PERSERO)
NATURAL GAS OF INDONESIA(1980-2006 in MMSCF)
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
80,000
90,000
100,000
1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005
Gross Production mmscfMarketed ProductionFlaringReinjectionShrinkage
PRODUKSI GAS ALAM INDONESIA(1980-2006) dalam MMSCFD
Annual report OPEC 2006
PT PERTAMINA (PERSERO)PERTAMINA Page 17
Catatan: Berdasarkan cadangan P1 dan P2 status saat ini
PEMANFAATAN VS PRODUKSI GAS BUMI(REALISASI DAN PRODUKSI)
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
14000
1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008 2011 2014 2017 2020 2023
MM
SCFD
Kontrak Ekspor Kontrak Domestik Tambahan Domestik Produksi CBMImpor LNG Produksi Kemampuan Produksi
PT PERTAMINA (PERSERO)
PT PERTAMINA (PERSERO)
PT PERTAMINA (PERSERO)
PT PERTAMINA (PERSERO)PERTAMINA Page 21
Cadangan dan Sumberdaya Migas Nasional
Cadangan dan Sumberdaya Migas Nasional
PT PERTAMINA (PERSERO)PERTAMINA Page 22
INDONESIA TERTIARY SEDIMENTARY BASINS
SOUTH CHINA SEA
SULAWESISEA
INDIAN OCEAN
PACIFIC OCEAN
BANDA SEA
400 KM
western
eastern
DRILLED38
UNDRILLED22
NON PRODUCING23
PRODUCING15
NON DISCOVERY15
DISCOVERY8TOTAL OF
60 BASINS
OIL & GAS RESOURCES & RESERVES
OIL (BBO)
GAS (TCF)
RESOURCES
RESERVES
84.47
8.88
384.27
133.37
Status : Jan 01, 1999
PT PERTAMINA (PERSERO)PERTAMINA Page 23
OIL RESERVE 1P (MMSTB)
148.6
111.0
2,398.1
682.7
500.4
162.9
0.2
582.392.1
ACEH
CentralSumatra
IRIAN JAYA
NATUNA
East Java
NorthSumatra
SouthSumatra
EastKalimantan
West Java
39.5
10.2
PROVEN : 4,728 MMSTBPOTENTIAL : 5,024.6 MMSTBTOTAL : 9,746.4 MMSTB
INDONESIA OIL RESERVE
DIN
AS
STU
DI E
KS.
& E
VAL
JIA
N-B
AN
G.
PT PERTAMINA (PERSERO)PERTAMINA Page 24
NATURAL GAS 2P (BSCF)1P : 91,170.2 BSCF2P : 134,015.5 BSCF 3P : 178,128.8 BSCF
3,896
728
3,22
14,260
5,190 4,395
52,080
31,814
14,782
ACEH
CentralSumatera
IRIAN JAYA
NATUNA
East Java
NorthSumatera
SouthSumatera
EastKalimantan
West Java
3,654
INDONESIA NATURAL GAS RESERVE
DIN
AS
STU
DI E
KS.
& E
VAL
JIA
N-B
AN
G.
PT PERTAMINA (PERSERO)
WILAYAH KERJA PT PERTAMINA (EP)OIL & GAS POTENTIAL
1476 233
Total: 4 BB0 & 35.5 TCFG9672
8515
625310946
42
349
2466
9581681
535
2330
33
72
108 65
60 24 22
: oil bubble-graph
: gas bubble-graph
2466 : oil in MMbbls9314 : gas in Bcu.ft65 : number of closure
Total Luas WK : 142.510 km2
330 64
2141
PT PERTAMINA (PERSERO)
Newton (2004)
Awang H. Satyana - BPMIGAS
PT PERTAMINA (PERSERO)
FOSSIL ENERGY RESOURCES RESERVES PRODUCTION
RESERVE/PRODUCTION
(YEAR)
Oil 86.9 billion barrel 9.1 billion barrel*)
187 TSCF
18.7 billion ton
CBM 453 TSCF - - -
365 million barrel 25
Gas 384.7 TSCF 2.77 TSCF 68
Coal 90.5 billion ton 170 million ton 110
INDONESIAN ENERGY INDONESIAN ENERGY POTENTIAL 2007POTENTIAL 2007
PT PERTAMINA (PERSERO)
KesimpulanSecara nasional pemenuhan kebutuhan gas hingga 2011 akanterpenuhi.Reserve to Production Ratio untuk minyak adalah 25 tahunsedang untuk gas adalah 68 tahun.Dengan asumsi commercial success dari resources menjadireserve adalah 46%, akan didapatkan tambahan reserve minyak sebesar 40 Billion Barrel dan gas sebesar 177 TCF.Tetap perlunya upaya peningkatan eksplorasi migas Indonesia untuk memenuhi kebutuhan energi primer sesuai target mix energy Option pengalihan sebagian gas alam untuk ekspor menjadiuntuk kebutuhan dalam negri layak dipertimbangkan.Perlunya pembangunan infrastruktur penyaluran gas bumidari lapangan penghasil ke pasar.Proyek gas yang akan onstream sebaiknya tidak mengalamikelambatan
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TerimaTerima kasihkasih
PT PERTAMINA (PERSERO)
Natural Gas, 28.57%
Coal, 15.34%
Oil51.66%
Geothermal, 1.32%
Hydro Power, 3.11%
CURRENT ENERGI MIX (1 million BOE)National (Primary) Energy Mix
Coal , 33%
Gas, 30%
Oil,
20%
Biofuel, 5%
Geothermal, 5%
Biomass, Nuclear, HydroSolar Energy, Wind Power, 5%
Coal Liquefaction
2%
RE,17%
Target of Energy Mix 2025 (3 million BOE)
TARGET OF ENERGY MIXTARGET OF ENERGY MIX(PRESIDENTIAL DECREE NO. 5 YEAR 2006)(PRESIDENTIAL DECREE NO. 5 YEAR 2006)
PT PERTAMINA (PERSERO)
PT PERTAMINA (PERSERO)