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Japanese Journal of Political Science 7 (3) 225250 Printed in the United Kingdom C Cambridge University Press
doi:10.1017/S1468109906002349
A Survey Study of Voting Behavior and PoliticalParticipation in Zhejiang
B A OG A N G H E 1
School of Politics and International Studies, Deakin University, Australia
Abstract
Two existing models are used to conceptualize the constrained and limited
participation in the communist system. The mobilization model suggests that
participation was so mobilized by the party/state that it was largely meaningless, while
the disengagement model supports the idea that many communist citizens adopted
non-participatory behaviors such as non-voting as a means of protest. This paper
attempts to demonstrate the importance of a third model the emergent democratic
culture model. The survey results show that the participation index is in proportion to
the number of elections in which a villager is involved; and a growing number of voters
in Zhejiang are developing citizen-initiated participation, with rights consciousness.
This research finds that the level of participation is influenced by three major
factors: the perceived worth of the election itself, regularity of electoral procedures, andthe fairness of electoral procedures. It also finds that parochial political culture and
political apathy still exist, and the emergent democratic consciousness falls short of an
ideal democratic standard. While a highly democratic culture helps to develop village
democracy, the apathetic attitude continues to support the authoritarian leadership
and structure in many villages. The paper also gives an account of survey research in
rural China and offers a thoughtful critique of the use of voting and non-voting as the
sole indicator of political participation.
Two existing modelsareused to conceptualize theconstrained andlimited participation
in the communist system. The mobilization model suggests that participation was so
mobilized by the party/state that it was largely meaningless, while the disengagement
model supports the idea that many communist citizens adopted non-participatory
behaviors such as non-voting as a means of protest. While Tianjian Shis study finds
1 Baogang He is Professor in International Studies, Deakin University, Melbourne, Australia. The author
would like to thank four anonymous referees for their very useful comments and criticism.
225
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226 baogang he
the inadequacy and limitations of the mobilization model,2 Yang Zhong and Jie Chen
suggest that villager participation in elections in Jiangsu fits the disengagement model.
Although both the mobilization and disengagement models hold some degree of
validity in some limited cases, they are not totally explanatory of the situation in China,
where what Kent Jennings calls autonomous participation is emerging. This paperattempts to demonstrate the importance of a third model the emergent democratic
culture model; that is, a growing number of voters in Zhejiang are developing citizen-
initiated participation, with rights consciousness.
In order to demonstrate that there is some validity in using the emergent
democratic culture model, we need to give an account of survey research in rural
China and offer a thoughtful critique of the use of voting and non-voting as the sole
indicators of political participation. Following the classical work ofThe Civic Culture,3
this paper will provide a number of tables detailing the general trend of voter behavior
and political participation. This approach is different from that of some academic
papers, which provide very sophisticated regression analysis to test an existing theory or
hypothesis, but offer readers minimal insight into general trends. Such highly acclaimed
and legitimate analysis nevertheless narrowly focuses on one or two issues, which can
be likened to developing detailed knowledge of one specific tree without recognizing
the forest.
This paper studies voter behavior and villager participation and makes a
contribution to the literature on political participation in rural China in the following
ways. First, it examines the advantages and disadvantages of the methodological
strategies that have been used to study the political participation of villagers, and
outlines my methodological strategy for measuring this participation. Second, itpresents research findings on the political participation of villagers in Zhejiang,
examines the participatory activities of villagers, and investigates the voting behavior
and participation of villagers in the election process. Third, it considers the key
determinants of political participation.
1. Survey
Sinologists have studied local political participation throughout the 1970s and
1980s.4 Since the 1990s, Chinas specialists have utilized survey methods developed in
modern social science in their studies of political participation. In his study of villager
participant acts, Kent Jennings recognizes the emergence of a democratic culture at the
local level and finds that the autonomous political participation of villagers is higher
2 Tianjian Shi, Political Participation in Beijing(Cambridge: Harvard University Press, 1997), pp. 26870.3 Cabriel A. Almond and Sidney Verba, The Civic Culture: Political Attitudes and Democracy in Five
Nations(Princeton: Princeton University Press, 1963).4 See James R. Townsend, Political Participation in Communist China (Berkeley, California: University
of California Press, Fourth Printing, 1972); Victor C. Falkenheim (ed.), Citizens and Groups in
Contemporary China (Ann Arbor: Center for Chinese Studies, University of Michigan, 1987); John
Burns, Political Participation in Rural China(Berkeley: University of California Press, 1988).
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a survey study of voting behavior and political participation in zhejiang 227
than commonly expected and that their actions are just as rational and strategic as their
Western counterparts.5 David Zweigs (1999) survey confirms that villagers strongly
support the democratic idea in rural China.6 Yang Zhong and Jie Chens study of
non-voting behavior shows that villagers with higher levels of internal efficacy and
democratic orientation tended to avoid village elections.7
This type of behavior can beinterpreted as further evidence of the emergence of a participant culture. Nevertheless,
others such as Guan and Liu find that Mainland Chinese political culture remains
dominantly traditional and authoritarian.8 Based on three surveys carried out in 40
Chinese cities in 1988, 1991, and 1993, Torstein Hjellum was unable to reach a definitive
conclusion on whether there is an emergent participant culture in China. 9
Survey work on participation and village elections10 in China have been dominated
by Western scholars or Western trained Chinese scholars (see Table 1).11 The field sites
of most surveys on village elections were village, township, county, city, or province. 12
5 Kent Jennings, Political Participation in Chinese Countryside, American Political Science Review, 91 (2)
(June 1997): 36172.6 David Zweig, Democratic Values, Political Structures, and Alternative Politics in Greater China, United
States Institute of Peace Peaceworks(44) (July2002).7 Yang Zhong and Jie Chen, To Vote or Not to Vote: An Analysis of Villagers Participation in Chinese
Village Elections, Comparative Political Studies, 35 (6) (2002): 686712; and Jie Chen and Yang Zhong,
Why Do People Vote in Semi-competitive Elections in China?, The Journal of Politics, 64 (1) (February
2002): 17897.8 Kuan Hsin-chi and Lau Siu-kai, Traditional Orientations and Political Participation in Three Chinese
Societies, Journal of Contemporary China, 11 (31) (May2002): 297318.9 Torstein Hjellum, Is a Participant Culture Emerging in China, in Kjeld Erik Brodsgaard and David
Strand (eds), Reconstructing Twentieth-Century China: State Control, Civil Society, and National Identity
(Oxford: Clarendon Press, 1998), pp. 21650.10 The focus of the paper is on political participation and vote behavior in village elections. As for the
study of village elections, see Kevin OBrien, Village Committees: Implementing Political Reform in
Chinas Villages, Australian Journal of Chinese Affairs(32) (July1994); Kevin OBrien and Lianjiang Li,
Accommodating Democracy in a One-Party State: Introducing Village Elections in China, The China
Quarterly, 162 (June 2000): 46589; Tianjian Shi, Village Committee Elections in China: Institutionalist
Tactics for Democracy, World Politics, 51 (3) (April 1999): 384412; Deniel Kelliher, The Chinese Debate
over Village Self-Government, The China Journal, 37 (January 1997): 6775; Baogang He, Village
Elections, Village Power Structure and Rural Governance in Zhejiang, American Asian Review, 20 (3)
(Fall, 2002): 5589; Baogang He, Are Village Elections Competitive?, in JosephY.S. Cheng (ed.), Chinas
Challenges in the Twenty-First Century (Hong Kong: The City University of Hong Kong Press, 2003),
pp. 7192; Baogang He, Kinship, Village Elections and Structural Conditions in Zhejiang, in Wang
Gungwu and Zheng Yongnian (eds), Damage Control: The Chinese Communist Party in the Jiang ZeminEra(Singapore: Times Media Private Limited, 2003), pp. 14272; Baogang He, Village Citizenship in
China, Citizenship Studies, forthcoming 2005.11 As far as I know, the Chinese scholar Min Qi was the early pioneer in carrying out social survey on
Chinese political culture. See Min Qi, Zhongguo zhengzhi wenhua: minzhu zhengzhi nanchan de shehui
xinli yinsu [Chinese PoliticalCulture: The Origins of Social-Psychological Difficulty in Democratic Politics]
(Kunming: Yuanan renming chubanshe, 1989). Generally speaking, those who produced excellent
writings on village elections such as Xu Yong tend to be skeptical of the results of most indigenous
Chinese surveys due to the unprofessional survey workers, political control of the work, and cost
constraints.12 The size of Chinese provinces is equal to or even bigger than a nation-state in Europe. Cross local-
provincial surveys can be seen, therefore, as equivalent to a cross-national study. A study of the
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228 baogang he
Table 1. Surveys on democratic culture and village elections
Kent Jennings
Jean Oi and Scott
Rozelle
Baogang He and
Youxing Lang David Zweig
Year 1990 1996 1998 1999Field site 4 counties 8 provinces 4 prefectures in
Zhejiang
Aihui and
Helongjiang
Survey
organization
Beijing University A team of social
scientists in Beijing
Zhejiang University Unspecified
Interviewees Rural individual Villager leaders Villagers Villagers
Survey
worker
Well-trained
advanced
undergraduate and
graduate students
Not specified Well-trained
advanced
undergraduate and
graduate students
Unspecified
Size 1,270 160 (?) 1,245 2,637
National orLocal? Local National Local Local
Method Face-to-face,
approximately one
hour one person
Unspecified Face-to-face Unspecified
Random
method?
A combination of
purposive and
accidental/
convenience,
Selecting 4 out of
30 counties
Random A combination of
purposive and
accidental/
convenience, plus
random sampling
of individuals
Random
Main issues Local government
and political
participation
Village elections,
Village assemblies
Village elections Cultural value and
trust
Yang Zhong and
Liangjiang Li John Kennedy Jie Chen Guo Zhenglin
Year 1999 2000 2000 2002
Field site T county in Jiangxi 34 villages, Six
counties in Shanxi
12 counties in
Jiangsu
26 villages three
areas in
Guangdong
Survey
organization
Universities and
party school inJiangxi
Northwest
University, Xian
Anonymous
research institute
Zhongshan
University &Guangzhou
Academy of
Social Science
Interviewees Villagers Villagers Villagers Villagers
Survey
worker
From universities
and party school in
Jiangxi
Twelve graduate
students
Well-trained
advanced
undergraduate and
graduate students
Undergraduate
students
Size 400 408 1,162 1,852
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a survey study of voting behavior and political participation in zhejiang 229
Table 1. Continued
Liangjiang Li John Kennedy
Yang Zhong and
Jie Chen Guo Zhenglin
National orLocal?
Local Local Local Local
Method Face-to-face Face-to-face Unspecified Unspecified
Random
method
Selection of
township, Random
sampling of
villagers
Random A multistage
sampling
procedure
Unspecified
Main issues Village elections Village elections Village elections Village elections
Sources: Jennings, Political Participation in Chinese Countryside; Jean C. Oi, EconomicDevelopment, Stability and Democratic Village Self-Governance, in Maurice Brosseau, Suzanne
Pepper, and Tsang Shu-ki (eds), China Review 1996 (Hong Kong: Chinese University ofHong Kong, 1996); Baogang He and Youxing Lang, Between Democracy and Authority: AnEmpirical Study of Village Election in Zhejiang (Wuhan: Central China Normal University Press,2002); Zweig, Democratic Values; Liangjian Li, The Empowering Effect of Village Elections in
China, Asian Survey, 43 (4) (2003): 64862; John James Kennedy, The Face of GrassrootsDemocracy in Rural China, Asian Survey, 42 (3) (2002): 45682; Zhong and Chen, To Voteor Not to Vote; Guo Zhenglin, An Empirical Study of Political Participation in Rural China:
An Analysis of Village Elections and their Effects in Guangdong, paper presented at the
International Conference on Local Democracy and Local Governance, the National University of
Singapore, Singapore, February 2003.
Because these surveys were of different sizes and were carried out at different times andin different localities with different questionnaires, it is not possible to compare them
in any significant way.
It is difficult to carry out a higher quality social survey in China. The control
mechanisms of the Chinese government restrict what social scientists can do in
their survey design. Some questions concerning political opposition, for example,
are sensitive and risky. Most social surveys are done through Chinese universities
and cheaper undergraduate or graduate students are utilized. Foreign and/or Western
trained Chinese scholars tend to use their own connections that facilitate survey work
but bring inbuilt bias to the data. In addition, national surveys tend to interview
individuals in big cities so as to reduce the cost, but as a result such surveys aresystematically biased toward urban sensitivities.
Both control and cost considerations make it difficult to carry out the probability
random sampling at the national level. Usually researchers first select a province, city, or
even a township on the basis of purpose and convenience and then apply the probability
random sampling method. Indeed, most surveys listed above are the probability sample
differences and similarities, and patterns of village elections in provinces is much more complex than
any cross-national survey study.
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ofa local population but not of the larger population. They provide descriptive statistics
for the selected localities. They do not have an inferential validity and may contain
over/under-representation of specific types of individuals. As Melanie Manion sharply
points out, Clearly a sample of Chinese interviewed in a locality or localities selectedfor
convenience does not reliably represent a large population of interest.13
Nevertheless,most surveys on village elections can be treated as case studies from which a great deal
can be learned about the patterns, features, and trends of village democracy.
Social survey is a relatively new phenomenon in China. There are problems
of questionnaire and response bias. Unprofessional behaviors do exist, including
occasionally the filling in of the survey by field workers, or helping the interviewees to
complete the survey. To deal with these problems, monitoring mechanisms including
telephone checks or a revisiting interview should be in place. Initially in carrying out
my survey in 1998, I encountered three main problems. First, student survey workers
sometimes conducted their interviews while accompanied by village cadres, whose
presence contributed to a tendency towards saying good things. Second, a few villagers
failed to understand the questions and thus gave invalid answers. Third, occasionally,
husbands completed the questionnaires for their wives, brothers for sisters, or vice
versa. Sometimes discussion took place when completing the questionnaires. Once
these problems were identified, the student survey workers were instructed to overcome
them by separating village cadres from the interviewee, or reading the questionnaire
aloud for some interviewees if necessary, and by prohibiting the interviewee from filling
the questionnaire for others.
2. Methodological considerations on the indicators of politicalparticipation
Measuring political participation is another difficult problem. Previous studies
have used various measures to capture villager political participation. For example,
Jennings studied three modes of autonomous participation: cooperative action
such as attending local party meetings and working with others in solving local
problems; voicing opinions to cadres by writing letters to officials to offer opinions or
suggestions; and contacting representatives. Similarly, Bai Gang examined the full range
of participant acts, including electoral participation, decision-making, administration,
and supervision. By contrast, Tianjian Shi used voting behavior as an indicator for
participation and found that the people who tended to vote were the ones who had
stronger internal efficacy and supported democratic values.14 Yang Zhong and Jie Chen
confined their study to those who actually cast their vote at the central polling station.15
13 See M. Manion, Survey Research in the Study of Contemporary China: Learning from Local Samples,
The China Quarterly, 139 (September 1994): 764.14 Tianjian Shi, Vote and Nonvoting in China: Voting Behavior in Plebiscitary and Limited-Choice
Elections, The Journal of Politics, 64 (4) (November 1999): 111539.15 Zhong and Chen, To Vote or Not to Vote, p. 692.
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The focus on voting or non-voting has a methodological advantage in the sense
that we are able to employ a regression analysis to handle concrete statistical figures on
voting behavior. Nevertheless, there are several methodological disadvantages. First,
casting a vote is not necessarily a good indicator of political participation because
many activities such as protest and participation in village representative assembly canand should be seen as forms of political participation. The focus on voting or non-
voting excludes the study of other types of political participation, such as participation
in village management and supervision, which are crucial but where we often lack
statistical data. Second, by the late 1990s various mechanisms were being used to
induce people to vote in village elections so turn-out rate was higher, and the question
concerning non-voting was therefore meaningless in the area in which I conducted my
survey. Third, non-voting can be interpreted, as it has been by Zhong and Chen, as a
protest vote or a form of participation by which villagers resist unfair and manipulated
elections. For example, in one village where problems such as corruption have shaken
some villagers faith in politics and in the party itself, the villagers refused to participate
for fear that their participation would be seen as helping the bad guys.16 Nevertheless,
some forms of non-voting cannot be equated with participation and, indeed and might
be taken as a sign of disinterest in village elections (see section on apathy in village
elections).
ThevoterturnoutinZhejiangvillageelectionshasbeenhigh.TakeHuashevillagein
Shaoxing County as an example. It is a prosperous village, and in 1998 had a population
of1,796, six collective enterprises, assets of 16,720,000 yuan and an annual per capita
income of 5,688 yuan. The voter turnout in the village has always been above 90 per
cent. And, in 1989, 986 people went to the ballot box; 979 votes were cast and thesame number was collected. There were 44 absentees, leaving a total of935 people who
actually cast their votes. In 1996, the population in that village was 1,762, 1,148 of who
were eligible voters. All 1,148 voters cast their votes, yielding a 100 per cent voting rate.
Of the 1,148 votes collected, 23 were invalid, leaving a total of1,125 valid votes.17
Another village surveyed was Dongjia village in Lanqiao Township, Hangzhou.
It had a population of 2,257, 1,523 of whom were engaged in agriculture. In 1996 the
annual per capita income was 5,364 yuan, which was an above average figure. In the
1996 village election, there were 1,731 eligible voters. There was a voter turnout rate
of87.8 per cent, with 1,511 people casting their vote.18 In 1998, Huiping Township held
elections in its eight villages. Of the 3,194 voters that made up the whole township, 3,080
16 Jing Yan, Cong huanjie xuanju kan xian jieduan nongmin zhengzhi canyu [Village Election and
Current Political Participation of the Villagers], MA Thesis (School of Political Science, Zhejiang
University, 1998).17 Cheng Haiyan, Shaoxingxian huashecun cunminweiyuanhui xuanju diaoca baogao [Studies on
Village Election in Huashe Village, Shaoxing County], Summer Study (School of Political Science,
Zhejiang University, 1999).18 Wang Zhenghua, Qianxi nongcun xuanju wenti de zhengjie 1996 nian dongjiacun cunweihui xuanju
diaoca [Problems in Village Election: a Case Study of Dongjia Village Election in 1996], Summer
Study (School of Political Science, Zhejiang University, 1998).
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(96.5 per cent) cast their votes. The first vote elected village committees in five of the
eight villages, with the other three being elected in a second vote. In other words, all
eight villages elected a committee.19 In the 1996 election, held in Nan-er village, votes
were cast by1,205 (96.5 per cent) of the 1,249 eligible voters.20
In other parts of rural China, Lingfen municipality of Shanxi province had a voterturnout rate of87.5 per cent and the rate in the 301 villages of its Hequ County was 86.4
per cent. In the 26 villages of Yangcheng Township, Wushe County, Henan Province,
the rate was 95 per cent. The average provincial rate in Fujian was 97.3 per cent and,
of the 875 villages in its Putian municipality, over half had a turnout rate of 100 per
cent. Of the 302 villages in Xianyou County, 254 had a rate of100 per cent.21 In Lishu
County, Jilin Province, which was nationally renowned for its haixuan system (direct
nomination), there was also a high voter turnout that reached 93.1 per cent in 1988, 94.3
per cent in 1991, 95.1 per cent in 1994, and 98 per cent in 1998.22
Voter turnout is generally considered an important indicator of political
participation. As Melanie Manion claims, vote turnout may indicate mass interest
in elections, since villagers who remain uninterested are likely to vote. 23 Indeed her
conclusion about electoral connection relies on the unreliable and controversial figure
of high voter turnout. Does a high voter turnout necessarily correlate with a high level
of political participation? Many factors, other than the genuine interest of villagers, can
contribute to a high voting rate.
First, local governments take effective measures to ensure a high voter turnout.
Local officials regard voter turnout as an indication not only of the voters interest in
politics, but also of their support for township governments. In Shangdongs Huantai,
for instance, a village needs to achieve 1,000 points to become an official model village.This works by township leaders assigning a certain number of points for each step of
the electoral process. A voter turnout rate of over 90 per cent is assigned 20 points.24
In order to achieve this quota, government officials take pains to ensure a high voter
turnout in all elections, sometimes organizing a second vote despite the additional
financial burden and workload this might entail. Other measures aimed at increasing
19 Zhang Hong, Cong cunmin zizhi shijian fenxi huipingxian cunmin minzhu yishi zhengqiang de
biaoxian ji yuanying [Village Autonomy: Manifestations and Causes of a Higher Sense of Rural
Democracy among Villagers of Huiping Township], Summer Study (School of Political Science,
Zhejiang University, 1998).20 Xie Zhuofeng, Guanyu nongcun jichen xuanju de jidian sikao 1996 nian nanerchun cunweihui xuanju
diaoca [Reflections on Village Election: A Case Study of Nan-er Village], Summer Study (School of
Political Science, Zhejiang University, 1998).21 Bai Gang, Cunmin zizhi: Zhongguao nongmin de zhengzhi canyu [Village Autonomy: Political
Participation of Chinese Villagers], working paper (1 February, 1996), p. 10.22 Zhang Jing, Lishuxian cunweihui huanjie xuanju guanca [Observations of Village Election in Lishu
County], Ershiyi shiji (21th Century), 50 (Hong Kong) (December 1998): 145.23 Melanie Manion, The Electoral Connection in the Chinese Countryside, The American Political Science
Review, 90 (4) (December 1996): 742.24 Weixing Chen, The Political Economy of Rural Development in China, 19781999 (Westport: Praeger,
1999), p. 127.
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the voter turnout include allowing a family to send a member to the ballot as its
representative; creating a mobile ballot box to collect votes from door to door; and
allowing proxy voting.25
The second is an economic factor. Villagers often receive an allowance for their
voting activity, as compensation for missing work. In Zhejiang Province, the sum variesfrom 2 to 60 yuan. In Wuyun it was normally40 yuan.
Third, villagecommittees sometimes contact the so-called migrant workers outside
the village to seek their opinions about village affairs. When there are important events,
such as village elections, the migrant workers are asked either to come back to vote in
person, or to cast a postal or proxy vote.
Fourth, informal organizations and institutions such as factions and kinship
networks play a role in mobilizing villagers to vote for his or her man. Those who vote
on kinship or factional lines are called face ticket, meaning their vote goes to those
with whom they have a good guanxi.
Clearly, therefore, the level of voter turnout is affected by the various factors
outlined above. Using a costbenefit analysis, it is easy to identify the advantages and
disadvantages of voting in Chinese village elections. The tangible benefits of voting are
that voters can remove corrupt leaders whom they do not like; each voter gets a certain
amountofmoneyasacompensationfee;andvotingforsomeoneinaclosedvillagehelps
support and strengthen personal relationships. Additional potential benefits include
voter expectations that there will be rapid village development under elected village
heads. The costs of not voting include non-receipt of the compensation fee, weaker
personal ties, and being disregarded by village cadres. When the benefits of voting are
greater than the costs associated with not voting, a high voter turnout can be expected.High voter turnout does not automatically constitute a criterion for success, or
an index for political participation. This is not really surprising when we make some
comparisons between voter turnout levels in different countries. For instance, the
turnout rate is low in the elections held in places such as Burma and the Philippines,
while the turnout rate is high in communist societies because of political mobilization
and economic incentives.
More importantly, the value of the high voter turnout rates is doubtful if we
consider practices such as sending a family member to the ballot as a representative
and casting invalid votes. An example of this occurred in Nan-er village. It had a voter
turnout of96.5 per cent, but 158 or 13 per cent of the votes were invalid. When the 269
absentees who cast their votes but did not tick any candidate were added, the number
grew to 22.2 per cent, leaving the total of valid votes at only74.9 per cent. In the election
for the village head, 1,249 ballot sheets were handed out. Of the 1,205 collected 936
(77.8 per cent) were valid votes, 158 (13 per cent) invalid and 111 (9.2 per cent) absentees.
Exactly the same numbers and percentages were found in voting for village committee
25 Bai Gang, Village Autonomy, p. 11.
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members.26 In the 1996 election in Dongjia village, the voter turnout rate was 87.8 per
cent. In the election for the village head, 1,731 ballot papers were handed out and 1,511
collected. Of these 1,137 (75.3 per cent) were valid votes, 219 (16.5 per cent) invalid and
155 (8.2 per cent) were absentees. The last two categories represented 24.7 per cent of
the total votes. The only candidate standing won 829 votes, which was 73.1 per cent ofthe valid votes, but only 55 per cent of all the votes collected. On average candidates
for committee membership achieved 55 per cent of the valid votes. Individually they
received 73 per cent, 66.7 per cent, 59.8 per cent, and 34.7 per cent respectively of the
valid votes, but only55 per cent, 50 per cent, 46 per cent, and 25 per cent of the votes
collected.27 Thus, the high voter turnout rate becomes less impressive when one takes
into account the fact that there were up to 25 per cent of invalid votes and absentees.
Zhong and Chen have realized the problems associated with using voter turnout
rates to measure political participation levels. As a result, their study excluded all proxy
votes and only counted people who physically attended the central polling station.
Based on this revised measure they found that approximately 48 per cent of eligible
voters reported that they actually went to the central polling station to vote. According
to the survey I conducted in Zhejiang, about 53.3 per cent of the respondents stated that
they went to the central polling station to cast their vote. Zhong and Chen argue that
their method is a more accurate and reliable way to record voter turnout. While I share
their skepticism about high voter turnout levels, their method has its own drawbacks.
For instance, a general meeting and central polling station is sometimes located in one
natural village. Residents of that natural village can get to the polling station within
one to five minutes, while it takes other village residents much longer, often over half an
hour, to reach the polling station. In other words, voter turnout at the polling stationis determined not only by the villagers interests in village elections, but also by the
distance between the villagers residence and the polling station and their willingness
to travel to cast their votes.
In conclusion, both general turnout rate and the special voting rate at the central
voting station have methodological problems in measuring participation. Moreover,
since many political, economic and societal variables contribute to voting behavior,
subjective factors such as voters belief in democratic values are by themselves not
sufficient to explain voting or non-voting behavior.
Below, I will describe a different measurement I have developed for assessing
the level of political participation in village elections. The purpose of the research
matters here. If the researchers purpose is to explain voting or non-voting behavior,
it is important to distinguish subjective from objective factors and examine the
influence of subjective factors. My aim, in this paper, however, is to demonstrate
26 Xie Zhuofeng, Reflections on Village Election.27 Wang Zhenghua, Qianxi nongcunxuanju wentide zhengjie: 1996 dongjiacun cunweihui xuanju diaoca
[Problems in Village Election: a Case Study of Dongjia Village Electionin 1996], Summer Study(School
of Political Science, Zhejiang University, 1998).
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a survey study of voting behavior and political participation in zhejiang 235
the emergence of democratic and participatory culture through measuring the level of
political participation and political consciousness. For this purpose, I have employed
a special approach to measure the level of participation, which synthesizes objective
and subjective factors. In other words, it includes not only voter activities, but also
their attitudes towards and knowledge of elections. In my view, both categories arenecessary if we are to measure political participation effectively. While acknowledging
that the use of subjective knowledge and attitudes as indicators of participation is
fraught with danger due to the increasing influence of behaviorism in the standard
Western literature, some scholars do take these subjective items seriously in their study
of political participation and political culture.28 Subjective knowledge and attitudes do
influence peoples voting behavior especially in the Chinese context where subjective
attitudestowardselectionsarevitalindeterminingtheirpoliticalparticipationbehavior.
There is a close correlation between citizens perception of fairness of village elections
and the level of their participation (see Section 6). Notwithstanding, the problem
associated with using subjective knowledge items is, of course, recognized. For example,
it is very probable that certain respondents may over-estimate their knowledge levels.
Additionally, only a few citizens have a high level of knowledge of electoral laws and
this is so throughout the world, not just in China.
Recognizing the advantages and disadvantages of using subjective knowledge, I use
seven variables as the indicators of participation including: self-registering as voters,
casting a vote, participating in the selection process, engaging in public debate over the
choice of candidates, filing complaints to officials about the violation of rights, voters
attitudes toward elections, their attitudes toward candidates, and their understanding
of electoral law. Using these seven variables instead of a single one is beneficial indecreasing the level of measurement error.
The participation index that I have constructed is a coding of several attributes that
are associated with an electors attitude towards elections and his or her behavior in
an election. These attributes include levels of understanding of electoral laws, attitudes
towards the need to know candidates prior to elections, and the campaign events an
elector attends. For questions 10, 14, and 20, a measure of degree is assigned to the
corresponding attributes. For example, we assign a score of3 to know well in the case
of knowing electoral law, 2 to know in general, and so on, as shown in Table 2. Question
12 is a multiple response question about campaign activities, such as attending electoral
meetings, nominating candidates, participating in the deliberations that decide on the
final set of candidates, speaking for candidates on election day, and going to vote. Here
the score is based on ticked choices.
28 Participationis sees as a function of cognitionsand beliefs. SeeLesterW.Milbrath,PoliticalParticipation:
How and Why Do People Get Involved in Politics?(Chicago: Rand McNally College Publishing Company,
1965), pp. 6472; also see Christopher Arterton and Harlan Hahn, Political Participation (Washington,
DC: The American Political Science Association, 1975).
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Table 2. Scores assigned to questions 10, 12, 14, and 20
Question 1 2 3 4 5
10 Understanding the electoral law 3 2 1 0
12 Attending campaign events 1 1 1 1 114 Knowing Candidates 3 2 1 0
20 Attitude towards vote 3 2 1 0
Table 3. Participation indices and the number of elections votersparticipated in
No. of Elections participated in Average political participation indices
1 9.46
2 9.83
3 10.844 11.34
5 13.43
6 12.39
The participation index is formulated by adding up all the scores assigned to
responses to the above four questions. For example, if an elector believes that he
generally understands the electoral law and chooses number 2 as his response to
Question 10, he is assigned a score of 2 for this particular question in Table 1. If he
only took part in the election and did not attend any other campaign events, his score
for that question would be just 1. If he answers Question 14 by choosing number 3, that
is it is sort of necessary to know the candidate before an election, his score turns out to
be 1 according to Table 1. If the elector considers his or her own vote to be important, he
or she gets a score of2 for Question 20. All the scores for individual questions were then
added up to obtain a total score of6, namely2 + 1 + 1 + 2= 6, to find the participation
index of the elector.
3. The trends of political participation
There is no doubt that villagers now participate in politics with more awareness
and interest. It might be hypothesized that those who have three rounds of electoralexperience are likely to possess a higher participation index than those who have only
one or two. This hypothesis is confirmed by Table 3, which indicates that, with the
exception of the sixth election, the voter participation index is directly proportional to
the number of elections in which they have participated.29 In other words, the index
rises in proportion to the number of elections participated in.
29 There is an exception in Linhai. The first two elections revealed certain difficulties and inner problems,
and, as a result, the third and fourth ones were suspended. However, the fifth election was conducted
again due to the pressure from the center and media. Moreover, peoples initial enthusiasm tends to be
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Table 4. Why did you vote?
Answers No. of respondents Percentage (%)
Right and responsibility 843 67.7
To get those I trust elected 414 33.3My sacred duty 373 30.0
Just following others 73 5.9
At the request of cadres 64 5.1
For other reasons 76 6.1
Note: This was a multi-choice survey and each respondent was allowed to select more than oneanswer.
Table 5. Villagers views on the importance of voting
Views No. of respondents Percentage (%)
Very important 413 33.2
Important 507 40.7
Not important 114 9.2
Making no difference 197 15.8
No response 14 1.1
Total 1245 100.0
Our survey found that most villagers (67.7 per cent) regarded voting as their right
or responsibility and nominated it as their primary motive for voting. The second
ranked motive was to get those I trust elected (33.3 per cent). In addition, 30 per cent
of respondents regarded voting as a sacred duty (see Table 4) and almost 90 per cent
of respondents saw elections as either important or very important (see Table 5).
The favorable attitude of villagers towards democracy is confirmed by other
surveys. For instance, a 1999 survey of 2,637 individuals in four counties in rural
China, conducted by David Zweig, reveals a strong democratic tendency among the
respondents. In responseto the statement, If the existing cadres are capable andtrusted,
there is no need for democratic elections, about 55 per cent disagreed somewhat or
disagreed strongly. Only 23.9 per cent agreed somewhat, while only 12.4 per centstrongly agreed. In response to the statement, I know what goes on in my village,
therefore I have the right to participate in village affairs, 24.4 per cent strongly agreed,
and 39.3 agreed somewhat. Only 15.8 per cent disagreed somewhat, 14.4 per cent
didnt agree very much, and 6.1 per cent strongly disagreed.30
high at the beginning of an election. If there is free choice not to vote, the turnout rate will be much
lower.30 Zweig, Democratic Values, p. 41.
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Table 6. Participatory activities by villagers in Zhejiang, 1998
Activities Number Percentage
Going to vote 663 53.3
Attending electoral meeting 429 34.5Nominating candidates 333 26.7
Participating in deciding on final candidates 234 18.8
Introducing candidates 121 9.7
Table 7. Participation in election-related activities in rural China, 1999
Activities Number Percentage
Participating in propaganda to encourage people to vote 542 20.6
Nominating candidates 346 13.1
Voting for village committee members 2,092 79.3Participating in village assembly or partys members assembly 259 9.8
Never participating in anything 263 10.0
Dont know 65 2.5
No Answer 20 0.8
Source: David Zweigs 1999 Survey of rural China; Zweig, Democratic Values, p. 43.
Both Zweigs and my surveys demonstrate that a significant number of villagers
have participated in election-related activities and possess democratic learning (Table 6
is drawn from my survey, and Table 7 comes from Zweigs).
4. Patterns of voting behavior
How did the villagers decide whom to vote for? And, why did they vote for
that particular candidate? Chinese authorities and independent studies have produced
summaries that outline the values or criteria adopted by voters when casting their vote.
In the Huaihua region of Hunan province, for instance, it was found that villagers chose
their leaders according to six criteria, displaying preferences for those who:
were knowledgeable and competent in science and law;
demonstrated a capacity to lead villagers towards prosperity through hard
work;
were considered honest, enterprising and knowledgeable in the field of
economics;
appeared to be caring, fair-minded and even-handed;
were principled;
were willing to listen to the people.31
31 Cheng Zhiyuan and Liu Dongjing, Nongmin xingzhong de tianping hunan huaihuadiqu nongcun an
liuxuan yu liubuxuan de yuanzhe xuanju dangjiaren [The Villagers Have a Scale: Village Heads in
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Table 8. You voted for the candidate for village head because (s/he)
Reason/criteria No. of people Percentage (%)
Will represent my interest 83 6.7
Will speak for the common people 678 54.5Will do a good job for the Party 462 37.1
Will take a leadership role in developing village economy and
welfare
711 57.1
Will represent kinship interests 47 3.8
Will speak on behalf of people in the same trade 40 3.2
Is well respected 119 9.6
For other reasons 135 10.8
Note: This is a multiple-choice survey and respondents were allowed to select more than oneanswer.
Table 9. How did you decide which candidate(s) to vote for?
Reason No. of people Percentage (%)
1. Knew about candidate and decided for oneself 480 38.6
2. Decided after briefing by candidate 64 5.1
3. Sought others opinions, then decided 88 7.1
4. Followed them around 21 1.7
5. Followed leaders directions 14 1.1
6. Voted for those from my own kinship group 19 1.5
7. Voted for those considered fair and impartial 431 34.68. Ticked in order of candidates names 28 2.2
9. Saw no difference between candidates 79 6.3
10. No response 21 1.7
Total 1245 100.0
Villagers used these criteria to judge candidates. On this basis, it appears they were
unlikely to select those who were known to abuse village power, or those who were
considered autocratic and conservative.32 Tables 8 and 9 draw on my survey data to
indicate the voting criteria of villagers.Drawing on the above data and remarks written on the back of our survey papers,
we classifiedvoting behaviors intothree groups: the competence-oriented, the morality-
oriented, and those oriented towards self or kinship-interest.
Huaihua, Hunan Are Elected with Six Criteria], Xiangzheng luntan [Township Forum], no. 4 (Beijing,
1994), p. 13.32 Chang Yumin, Shenmeyang de ganbu zhui bu shou nongmin huanying? [Who Are the Most
Unpopular among Villagers?], Xiangzheng luntan [Township Forum], no. 4 (Beijing, 1994), p. 14.
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(1) The competence-orientedTo answer the open question, Do you have any suggestion for village election? in
ourquestionnaire, a doctorin Liuao Township of Samen County suggested, Candidates
for village heads should be able to lead the village to prosperity, have good education
and be knowledgeable.33
A teacher in Liuao commented that, They should speak forthe people and be able to lead the villagers to more wealth. During their term of office,
what counts is their achievements rather than who is the boss backing them.34
Data in Table 7 indicates that 57.1 per cent of respondents selecteda candidate based
on the belief that, S/he can lead the village to prosperity and more communal welfare.
When choosing village committee members, particularly the village head, voters tended
to put competence in work as a first priority. Often villagers believed that a man who
has been successful economically would be able to play a leading role in bringing about
wider social and economic development.35
In the 1980s and 1990s, capable rural entrepreneurs became increasingly influential
in village affairs and this had a significant impact on voter behavior in village elections.
In October 1993, for example, in the village election held in Yaoyu Township, Yuncheng
municipality, Shanxi province, 40 per cent of the 28 elected leaders were first-timers,
and 35.7 per cent of these were directors of private enterprises.36
It is natural that villagers, who are concerned to protect their own interests and
ensure village development, hope that competent people will manage village affairs.
This is born out in the 1999 village election in Laofangqiao Township, where voters
had expected a village entrepreneur to become the village head. The man was certainly
competent and resourceful, and villagers believed that he would be able to improve the
village economy and their own living standards if he became head.37
A similar case wasfound in Yuyao, where an able entrepreneur from another village wanted to run for
the position of village head in X village. According to the village electoral law, he was
ineligible to run for the position because he was an outsider. Nevertheless, the villagers
wanted to elect him as village head and they pressured the township leaders to bend
the law a little bit and let him run for the position.38
The new rich are influential not only as candidates, but also as voters, for they
are able to influence the voting behavior of other villagers. Some peasants follow the
voting choices of the rich. In the village of Yijiacun, for example, some peasants said,
33 Sources from an open item in our questionnaire for voters, Do you have any suggestion for village
election?34 Ibid.35 Xu Yong, Gufenzhi jueqi zhong de cunzhi moshi zhuanghuan [The Emergence of Share-holder
Economy and the Transformation of Village Governance], Huazhong shifandaxue xuebao [Journal of
Centural China Normal University], Social Science edition, no.2 (1998), p. 5.36 Shao Xingliang et al., Yiminweitian [The People Are the Most Important], Xiangzheng luntan
[Township Forum], no. 4 (Beijing, 1994), p. 11.37 The interview with the cadres of Party and government office of Laofangqiao township, Yuyao
municipality, August 1999.38 The interview with the cadres of Party Organization Dept. of Yuyao municipality, August 1999.
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We will vote for whomever they (the new rich) vote for. As a result, the elected village
committee appeared to represent the will of the new rich. When interviewed, another
peasant replied, To be honest I have no idea of who is a better candidate. But we must
be right if we pick the richest guy in the village. This demonstrates that wealth has
become a criterion according to which some villages cast their votes.39
(2) The morality-orientedSeveral answers to the open question Do you have any suggestion for village
election? in our questionnaire clearly demonstrated the morality-based model. A
villager in Tangxia Township, Reian municipality, said that, Village heads should be
trustworthy and will speak for the people. They should be practical, should care about
the communal interest and will work hard for the local economy.40 They must follow
the partys principle of serving the people. Not to abuse power for self-interest (a
villager in Wuyun Township).41 They think of the people. No abuse of power, no
bullying over villagers and no currying favor with leadership above (A teacher in Liuao
Township).42 They ought to be fair-minded and even-handed. Not to be too selfish (a
villager in Wuyun Township).43 They should be well-known and well-respected in the
village; and should be elected by the villagers (a villager in Liuao). 44
Data from Tables 7 and 8 indicate that 9.6 per cent of respondents selected a
candidate because s/he was well-respected, 54.5 per cent did so because the candidate
will speak for the people, and 34.6 per cent said they would vote for those with good
characters and a fair mind. People in this category tend to view candidate selection
from a moral perspective and this approach has a long tradition in Chinese political
culture. Indeed, one of the hallmarks of Confucianism was the selection of officialswho were scholars and who had high moral standards.
(3) The self or kinship interest-orientedThis group voted on the basis of maintaining and promoting self-interest or
kinship interest. When asked how they decided which candidate to vote for, 19 (1.5
per cent) respondents to our survey ticked the item vote for people from my own
kinship (see Table 8). Asked the reason for voting for a candidate as village head, 10.5
per cent of respondents indicated they voted on the basis of self or kinship-interest,
with 6.7 per cent selecting the item S/he can represent my own interest and 3.8 per
cent opting for S/he will represent the interest of my kinship. In other words, they
suggested that they would not participate in an election if they did not see any benefits
39 Chen Xiang, The Impact of the New Rich on Village Election, 1999 summer field work report.40 Sources from an open item in our questionnaire for voters, Do you have any suggestion for village
election?41 Ibid.42 Ibid.43 Ibid.44 Ibid.
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for themselves or their families. In such instances, organizational, administrative, and
economic strategies were employed to get these villagers involved in the election.45
Voting for candidates based on kinship ties means that lineage considerations
outweigh those of policy, character, and concern for village affairs. Such behavior
is not compatible with a modern approach to village citizenship. A modern villagecitizen can be understood as one who cares about village affairs rather than kinship
ties. Thus, the movement away from lineage loyalty constitutes an indicator for the
formation of modern village citizenship. From the above data, it is clear that lineage
considerations have only a limited effect on voter behavior. For example, the majority of
survey respondents indicated they did not take kinship ties seriously when casting their
votes. Neither did elected village heads think their success was dependent on lineage
voters: they did not see lineage interest as strategically important to maintaining their
positions. Generally, this indicates that, to a large degree, villagers and village heads in
Zhejiang exercise a rational interest calculation that transcends kinship divisions, and
that villagers and village heads are becoming modern village citizens (see the section
on village citizenship).
5. Apathy in village elections
We should be aware that a democratic culture co-exists with a parochial political
culture. Anyone who carries out informal interviews or chats with villagers will
encounter a number of villagers who dont care about elections and village democracy;
they take non-democratic behavior as normal, often as something deriving from their
customary way of life. Some villagers experience a degree of political apathy. Indeed, this
is just as much a problem for Western democratic societies as it is for non-democratic
societies. Most citizens even in democratic societies do not live up to the ideal of
participatory citizens held by classical liberals.
As shown in Table 3, some people (5.9 per cent) voted just because others did,
while others (5.1 per cent) voted at the request of cadres. In other words, passive voting
was evident among 11 per cent of voters, who appeared relatively indifferent politically.
When asked what they thought about the importance of their vote, 9.2 per cent of
villagers said they did not think their vote was important; and 15 per cent said they
thought their vote made no difference. In total, and as shown in Table 4, 25 per cent of
respondents displayed an attitude of indifference towards the electoral process.In addition to those people who appeared indifferent, there were others in parts
of Zhejiang, who behaved irresponsibly. For instance, some villagers failed to take
seriously the Taoxufeng village election, held in March 1999. Some wrote on the ballot
papers that they would vote for the First Emperor of Qin, Clinton, or even dirty words.
45 Jing Yan, Village Election and Current Political Participation.
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Others drew a turtle or the like on their own or others ballot papers. 46 Some villagers
found excuses to vote through representatives. Others, who knew nothing about the
candidates and did not even bother to listen to candidate briefings, just voted blindly.
Some peasants even allowed the person who carried the vote box to vote on their
behalf. In this regard, Xu Xu, a peasant in Huamin Village of Kaihua County, gave thefollowing account. On the day of the election, village leader Yunxiang and his men
gave me three names and asked me to circle one, which I did. I did not give much
thought to that. I care only about my meals and money. Wang, a vegetable grower,
said, Now the land is tilled by each individual household; who gets elected makes no
difference to me. Anyway I can only depend on myself for my daily bread. A wealthy
peasant, indeed a millionaire, shared Wangs view, I only hope that the partys policy
will remain unchanged and individual economy will always be encouraged. I dont care
who gets elected.47
Zhaozhai is a wealthy village in Yiwu municipality that has 137 households. In the
1996 election only 43 households went to the ballot, and some did so perfunctorily.
Some villagers said, Officials give orders and we are supposed to follow. How could we,
the order-takers, appoint officials?48 In this case, the villagers appeared to have little
idea that democracy actually means they have the ability to elect their own leaders.
In July 1998, Zhang Zhongsheng conducted a field study in a village of Kuoshan
township on the relationship between the village committee and the village party
branch. The 30 respondents to his study could be divided equally into three age groups:
the aged, the middle-aged, and the young. In terms of gender, there were 15 males
and 15 females. In the aged group, he found two men who were fairly knowledgeable
about the relationship between the Party and the village committee. Two other menknew the village committee existed, but did not understand its function. One old man
knew about the party branch, but did not know about the village committee. Four old
women had no knowledge at all of the village committee. In the middle-aged group,
one man was quite familiar with both institutions, while four men and one woman
had knowledge of the committee. The other four women knew nothing about it. In
the youth group, four men and two women knew there was such an institution as the
village committee, but had no idea what its functions and responsibilities were. The
other man and three women knew nothing about it. In fact, they thought the committee
46 Song Peihua, Cunminweiyunhui minzhu xuanju wenti diaocha [Democratic Election of Village
Committee: Case Study of Tao-Xu-Feng Village in Hemudu], Summer Study (School of Political
Science, Zhejiang University, 1999).47 Fu Xia, Huamincun xuanju zhi wo jian [My View on the Election in Huamin Village], Summer Study
(School of Political Science, Zhejiang University, 1998).48 Cao Liwei, Renzhongdaoyuan_kan cunminweiyuanhui xunju de wenti jiqi wanshan [A Long Way to
Go: Problems in the Election of Village Committee and Solutions], Summer Study (School of Political
Science, Zhejiang University, 1998).
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Table 10. The index of political participation by rural socialstratification
Rural social stratification Average participation index
Cadres 14.75Teachers 10.26
Managers of rural enterprises 14.17
Workers in rural industries 9.97
Entrepreneurs 11.56
Businessmen 10.80
Workers in private sector 11.55
Specialized households 10.58
Farmers 9.78
Others 9.70
was just another name for the party branch.49 Similarly, our survey shows that only
5.4 per cent of the respondents had a good knowledge of the electoral laws, 29 per cent
had a little knowledge, and 40.1 per cent knew nothing at all. In addition, 39 per cent
of respondents could not remember how many elections had been held up to 1998.
A case study, conducted by Wu Yi, concluded that villager political participation
is polarized. On the one hand, there are the village elites, who through a control of all
social resources have gained direct access to power and are the dominant forces in the
governance of the village. On the other hand, there are the common villagers, who have
little access to communal resources and are on the margin of village power. The latter
now have even less participation in communal affairs than they did during the periodof the peoples commune, when many aspects of the communal life were politicized
and participation was frequently required.50
Our survey shows that, while the general index of political participation on the
part of rural cadres is 14.75, that of common villagers is 9.7. This seems to accord with
Wus conclusion. However, we can also see a 10.26 index of rural teachers and an 11.56
index of rural entrepreneurs. The former constitutes an intellectual elite and the latter
an economic elite in villages. The participation of these two groups falls between cadres
and commoners. Thus, we can say that there is stratification rather than polarization
in village political participation (see Table 10).
From the above table, it clearly demonstrates that participation is influenced by
class strata. Cadres and managers of rural enterprises have the highest participation
index, while ordinary farmers have the lowest score. It means that infancy village
49 Zhang Zongsheng, Cunmin weiyuanhui yu dangzhibu guanxi de fenxi [Analysis of the Relationship
between the Village Committee And the Part Branch], Summer Study (School of Political Science,
Zhejiang University, 1998).50 Wu Yi, Cunzhi zhong de zhengzhi ren: yige cunzhuang cunmin gonggong canyu he gonggong yishi de
fenxi [The Political Man in the Governance of the Village: Analysis of Awareness in Participation and
Communal Sense], Zhannue yu guangli[Strategy and Management], no. 1 (Beijing, 1998), p. 96.
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democracy is largely pushed by the old class of villager cadre and new class of the new
rich of rural enterprises.
6. The determinants of participation
As previously noted, other scholars have already undertaken work on political
participation. For instance, Jennings uses variables such as age, gender, education, and
membership to explain different types of participatory acts. In explaining voting or
non-voting behavior, Zhong and Chen use subjective variables such as internal efficacy,
democratic value, attitudes toward corruption, and levels of attention towards public
affairs. I do not want to repeat what they have done in this chapter. Instead, I will
take the index of participation as the dependent variable, and examine what Jennings
calls, but does not study, some contextual properties as independent variables. It is my
understanding that contextual properties should include the village power structure,
the role of the village elite, the regularity of election procedures, the perceived worthof elections, the competitiveness and fairness of elections, the level of economic
development, and literacy standards. The following contextual properties can be
understood as key determinants of political participation.
The fairness of electoral institutions and rules. If villagers see elections as a
formality, or as being manipulated by the village party secretary, they feel their votes are
worthless and therefore adopt an indifferent attitude towards elections. In other words,
when township leaders or the village party secretary try to manipulate the electoral
process, villagers will likely perceive the election as nothing but fake democracy andbe reluctant to participate. It is no wonder, therefore, that Zhong and Chen found
that villagers in Jiangsu, who had higher democratic values, did not vote when party
secretaries controlled the nomination process and when candidates were not allowed
to have electoral campaigns. I encountered something similar during my research trips
in Zhejiang, when survey respondents were asked to assess the fairness of electoral
institutions and rules. By analyzing the survey results, we were able to examine how
the villagers assessment of electoral fairness impacted on their participation in village
elections.
The value of elections. Another key determinant is whether villagers perceive
elections to be valuable political activities. In some cases, elections are perceived to
have little or no direct benefit to villagers and their welfare. If voters believe they cannot
get rid of those they dont like or if elected village heads feel they cannot achieve certain
aims on their own, participation levels are likely to be lower. A particular story helps
illustrate this point. Villagers in Xingsheng Township had displayed some interest in
earlier elections. Their enthusiasm cooled, however, when they discovered that the
village committee played a relatively insignificant role in village life and was unable to
accomplish anything substantial so that certain problems such as corruption and poor
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service were unresolved despite a change of leadership.51 In order to gauge how villager
perceptions of the value of elections affect their participation index, we asked survey
respondents to assess the value of electoral institutions and rules.
An economic theory of participation. According to this theory, participation
is merely a function of economic development and conditions. Those who are
preoccupied with moneymaking do not see how elections will affect their goals.52
In rich and commercialized villages, there are many more opportunities for earning
money outside of those villages. As a result, many adopt an I-dont-care attitude,
which is what we discovered in Ningbo. One case study revealed that eight out of ten
respondents from villages, where annual family income is only about 2,000 yuan, no
longer expected material benefits from the village and were not interested in village
elections. Their aim was to increase their family income through their own hard work
and initiatives.53 We will test this theory by examining how economic variables such
as family income and the number of village enterprises relate to the level of politicalparticipation.
Literacy. Finally, literacy and education levels have an impact on elections and the
extent of participation. In this respect a particular story illustrates how illiteracy impacts
on electoral participation. In the 1999 Chengzhou municipality village elections, the
voter turnout was 92.3 per cent. Unfortunately, many of the voters were illiterate or
semi-illiterate, and some could not write down their names, while others did not know
how to indicate yes or no in the right places on the ballot paper. Ultimately, there were
so many errors that four voters in Zhongye village went to the leadership to request
that those ballot papers not properly filled in be deemed invalid.54
In examining the respective influence of these variables on political participation,
I will first look at the correlations, based on the assumption that these variables are
not inter-related. The higher the correlation, the more the factor influences political
participation. The results demonstrate that participation is influenced by three major
factors:theperceivedworthoftheelectionitself(0.30),regularityofelectoralprocedures
(0.19), and the fairness of electoral procedures (0.17). In other words, if the election is
deemed to be fair and legitimate and follows regular procedures, there will be a higher
degree of political participation, and vice versa. Literacy (0.13), family income (0.12),
and gender ( 0.11) also have some impact on elections, but to a lesser extent than the
previous three. Finally, the number of village enterprises (0.036) is shown to have little
impact on participation levels.
51 The interview with the party secretary in Xingmin, Rei-an municipality.52 Fu Xia, My View on the Election in Huamin Village.53 Hu Liwei, Ignorance during Election: An Investigation of Village Election in Siyuancun, Yangcunqiao
Township, 1998 summer field work report.54 Qiu Zhengjun, Cunguan zhijie xuanju, gai xi hai shi you? [Direct Election of Village Head: Good or
Bad? On the 1999 Village Election in Chengzhou Municipality], Summer Study (School of Political
Science, Zhejiang University, 1999).
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Table 11. Multiple regression coefficients
Variables Coefficient Std. Error Sig
Intercept 1.563 1.224 0.202
Gender 0.075 0.284 0.15No. of village enterprises 0.009 0.085 0.779
Average family income 0.074 0.000 0.018
Literacy 0.097 1.224 0.002
Election procedure 0.105 0.284 0.001
Worth of election 0.300 0.064 0.000
Fairness of election 0.022 0.503 0.510
Note: Dependent Variable: the score of political participation.
The above analysis does not take into account the inter-relationship between thevariables and its impact on participation. In this case, a multiple regression analysis
would be better (see Table 11). As space does not permit a full examination of all the
figures, we will limit ourselves to the analysis of coefficients. The higher the coefficient
of the variable, the more influential that variable is on political participation. The
worth (0.3) and procedure (0.1) of the election are still major factors. However, in this
case fairness only has a beta of0.022 and a significance level of0.51. This is because of
interaction effects. The factors of literacy (0.097), family income (0.074), and gender
(0.075) are lower than the worth and regularity of elections. The number of village
enterprises (0.009, significance level is 0.779) does not contribute much to the level
of participation.55 It is clear now that the number of village enterprises does not have a
direct impact on the index of political participation.
7. Conclusion
Through developing a comprehensive index of participatory culture, the survey
results show that the participation index is in proportion to the number of elections
in which a villager is involved; and that a democratic and participatory culture has
taken place. Villagers participation is one of the forces that have transformed formal
democratic institutions into functioning ones. Concerned with a fair distribution of
village wealth, many villagers demand the regular and frequent holding of villagerepresentative meetings. In this way political participation becomes meaningful and
villagers empower themselves by using formal democratic institutions to minimize
corruption and to demand a fair distribution of village wealth. The villagers
55 In West Java, Indonesia, it is found that income and mass media exposure have a stronger influence
than economic independence/dependence and a much stronger influence than age and occupation on
voting, and the number of administrators or the size of the village bureaucracy has a negative influence
on voting. Dwight Y. King, Associational Activity and Political Participation of Villagers in West Java,
Indonesia, Southeast Asian Journal of Social Science, 11 (1) (1983): 85.
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participation in regular elections and village representative assemblies reconfirms
the early conclusion made by Townsend that political participation will be a less
revolutionary, less populistic, more institutionalized and more bureaucratic political
style and that the political awakening of the Chinese people will still stand as one of
the most significant political changes in modern China.56
This research finds that the level of participation is influenced by three major
factors: the perceived worth of election itself, regularity of electoral procedures and the
fairness of electoral procedures. It is clear that in order to raise the level of political
participation of rural voters, it is essential to improve the electoral system and the
institutions themselves so that villagers will appreciate the worth and significance
of elections. It is also important to improve electoral procedures to ensure villagers
have full rights and the opportunity to nominate candidates. In order to guarantee
their fairness there should be little or no manipulation of elections. To help mitigate
this villagers have invented haixuan through which to directly nominate their own
candidates.
Despite the emergence of a democratic culture, parochial political culture and
political apathy still exist, and the emergent democratic consciousness falls short of
an ideal democratic standard. The contradictory co-existence of democratic and non-
democratic political cultures is one of the factors that contribute to the variations of
village democracy in China. While a highly democratic culture helps to develop village
democracy, the apathetic attitude continues to support the authoritarian leadership
and structure in many villages. As Gadsden and Thurston point out, The lack of a
democratic political culture is obvious at several levels. The complex web of personal
and political relations that permit township officials continuing power over the lives ofvillagers is one example. At the village level, local emperors not only exist but are also
often elected.57 As long as there is a significant sizeable percentage of villager citizens
who are active, autonomous, and participatory, village democracy can take root and
develop even if there is passive peasantry.
A long time ago, Milbrath asserted, moderate levels of participation by the mass
of citizens help to balance citizen roles as participants and as obedient subjects and
balance political systems which must be both responsive and powerful enough to act.58
Indeed, the Chinese government has advocated what it calls orderly participation to
strike a balance between participation and discipline. Too much participation will
threaten the CCPs regime, but equally, too little participation will undermine the
legitimacy of the CCP.
56 Townsend, Political Participation in Communist China, p. 218.57 Amy Epstein Gadsden and Anne F. Thurston, Village elections in China: Progress, Problems and
Prospects (International Republic Institute, Washington, DC, January 2001), p. 19.58 Milbrath, Political Participation, p. 153.
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a survey study of voting behavior and political participation in zhejiang 249
Appendix: Note on the survey
I selected Zhejiang as a case study precisely and primarily because it is not regarded
as the most successful area in China for village elections and democracy. Indeed,
Zhejiang used to be well behind Jilin and other provinces in terms of the three yardsticks
(a larger number of candidates than available positions, competition, and secret ballot)set out by the Ministry of Civil Affairs to measure the soundness of elections (see
Appendix Cross-Provincial Comparisons of Village Elections Implementation).59
Village elections in Zhejiang were not seen as national models of village democracy and
as such were considered less likely to possess artificial elements than official examples.60
Consequently, I was able to overcome the bias inherent within the official models
and get an accurate understanding of the actual development of village elections and
democracy. It must be made clear, however, that the development of village elections
and democracy in Zhejiang cannot be taken to represent China as a whole. Village
elections have been developing unevenly across the country and there are vast regional
and local variations.61 For instance, some elections fail in villages that experience decay
and poverty and where the party organization is predatory. It must also be stressed that,
although the case study of Zhejiang is not fully representative of China, democratic
elements present there may help us to come to grips with a peaceful and evolutional
model of democratic transition that might contribute to the future of Chinas political
development.
A secondary reason for selecting Zhejiang was my ability to understand local
dialects without much difficulty. Thus I was able to easily organize survey work and
research teams. Having grown up in Hangzhou, the capital city of Zhejiang, gone to
one village in Jiande county, Zhejiang, between 197577 as an intellectual youth andcompleted my undergraduate study in Hangzhou University (now a part of Zhejiang
University) from 1977 to 1981, I was often seen as a native by local officials and villagers.
This enabled me to gain access to and understand information and material quickly
and easily. At the same time, I maintained an external point of view that prevented me
from being involved in internal village politics and helped me to develop an objective
perspective.
59
Jude Howell, Prospects for Village Self-Governance in China, The Journal of Peasant Studies, 25 (3)(1998): 96.
60 Prior to 1983, Zhejiang was slow to undertake economic reforms, and the provincial leadership was
reluctant to implement agricultural decollectivization policies. Under pressure from the centre, the
Zhejiang leadership mobilized university staff members to implement decollectivization. (As a lecturer
in Hangzhou University I was sent to the countryside in 1984 to talk to township leaders about Beijings
new agriculture policy.) In the mid 1980s, when Beijing decided to decentralize foreigntrade, Zhejiangs
leadership again had a nervous reaction.61 Thurston has studied the varieties of village self-government. See Anne F. Thurston, Muddling toward
Democracy: Political Change in Grassroots China, United States Institute of Peace Peaceworks (23)
(1998). Jie Chen and Yang Zhong have emphasized the importance of regional differences in local
elections. See Jie Chen and Yang Zhong, Why Do People Vote, pp. 17897.
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250 baogang he
With the help of a research team comprising two staff members and seven students
from Zhejiang University, I conducted three surveys in Zhejiang Province between
October and November 1998. Villagers, village chiefs, and township leaders were
surveyed separately and four geographic areas were covered: Wenzhou (2 villages in
Tangxiang), Shanmen (7 villages in Liuao township), Lishui (3 villages in Shuiger, 5villages in Wuyun), and Shaoxin (4 villages in Chengdongxiang). There are variations
between these villages and townships. Private economy dominates in Tangxiang
township in Wenzhou, andLiuao township in Shanmen. Shuiger andWuyun townships
in Lishui are very poor and underdeveloped. By contrast, Chengdongxiang township
in Shaoxin are quite rich with well-developed collective enterprises. Around 1,800
questionnaires were distributed to villagers from the villages selected, of which 1,500
returned, and 1,245 villagers respondents were useful. In addition, we gained the 111
respondents to the village chief survey, and the 115 respondents to the township leader
survey.
The survey methodology took the form of face-to face interviews with villagers,
village chiefs, and township leaders. The survey adopted a simple random sample
in the target population for village chiefs and township leaders, and proportionate
stratification was used for the survey of villagers. In each township, we considered a
certain ratio of respondents based on the categories of gender, generation, kinship, and
economic development. Where cost and convenience were considerations, judgmental
or purposive sampling was adopted as well as quota sampling. Student interviewers
were given quotas of different types of people with whom they should conduct
interviews. The survey data together with numerous interviews, official documents,
and 70 students summer investigation reports from Zhejiang villages, are able torepresent the general trends and status of elections in Zhejiang.